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Forex Forum Archive for 10/29/2004

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quito_ecuador_valdez 23:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
knoxville dan-k 22:27 GMT October 29, 2004
Not a bad idea about the polyester bag but it keeps in heat overall unless you duct the exit out of the opening of the bag with flex tube. Believe it or not I scotch tape a square of toilet paper to the inport of the vent fan which pulls the paper tight against the grill by suction, changing paper ever so many days. Sometimes the best things in life are free.TP is very porus & keeps out dog hair, critters, & airborne flotsom scundge. You do need a higher output fan or best add another one because the TP does slow down the air flow of course. No I don't wrap TP cardboard cores with tin foil and use them for Xmas decorations like my neighbors do. I keep two on my desk and look through them like binoculars and make funny noises when I need something to do.

quito_ecuador_valdez 23:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Closing statement from Valdez ref FX mkt. & election:

1. I don't think the US election next week will be an FX event.

2. What I do think however that the result of the election RETURNS has been selected as a "turning point" point in time for big money to continue to move the mkt. in whatever direction suits them.

There is a difference between the two although simpleton pundits & gurus will expound on ANY move whatsoever being the "result of the election" then bash their heads against the wall of the men's room privately trying to pin a suitable and acceptable "tail" on the donkey as to "why". The decisions for FX trend for the rest of the year and next year as well have already been made, the money men are just waiting for the paint to dry to drive the car to the predestined destination.

I still would not be surprized if OBL alive (confirmed) or dead (confirmed) or his wreaking DNA tested viscera show up as a topping for Bush's electoral "desert" before polling hours.

quito_ecuador_valdez 23:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio// regards to your bad experience on 2, I have heard bad stuff literally about all from 1 thru 6 and more. There is simply no perfect outfit. There are so many variables involved in online trading...one reason I just pick up the phone to make a trade and be done with it..position trading only instead of pip jocky stuff. But then again I MUCH prefer my '86 Mitsubishi Montero to my 2005 model new car. Old fahrt with a hat.

quito_ecuador_valdez 23:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
LOL! that dates us allright.."gonna see my mama, noooowww." Dad bought a set of CB radios (Sonars) when I was in h.s. back in the early 60s. I kept up with the passion til around 91...had a ssb unit and chased skip all the way to Australia with just my 5 watt without "shoes". email me amigo...putting together some very tastey things for FX traders..may need yer help.

knoxville dan-k 22:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Their u go Valdez, thats a big 10-4 good buddy u got the rubber duck here go ahead

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:38 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
a "handle" referring to chat rooms and forums is the name one "goes by". quito_ecuador_valdez. By forum rules we can not outright give emails, we have to pussy foot around a bit..

knoxville dan-k 22:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
well Dallas, Valdez maby next week u all can hold my hand in this game i have not been doing so well - price of education getting too expensive

Dallas Mauricio 22:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I had more than one very bad experiences with 2.

Dallas Mauricio 22:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez What do u mean by handle>

knoxville dan-k 22:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
oh yea, one more thing,- go to your local store where they sell a product call dacron polyester and buy a bag, or sheets of it and wrap your puter case in it and it will filter out most all dust just for your info-works great-it is used widely in filter materiels and pillows

knoxville dan-k 22:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
well Valdez keep in mind that the 10ghz chips are already out they are just to da$$ expensive, last time i checked they were 4,200.00 per chip and that was in lots of 10 or 100 i think. so yep these fast puters that are in a afforadable range are really out of date before you buy them, and by the way my first puter was a heath-zenith kit !! can you beleive that! lol- forgot all about that til you mentioned the 70's seemed like i had to reprogram the thing every time i wanted it to boot up lol

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio..lest Jay whack our peepees for chating on FF, Yahoo email me, use my handle. OK amigo..nos vemos. I'm a pure gringo gone Latino..wife Ec. 2 breeding toy poodles (wife's dogs), 1 street mut embra (who thinks she's my wife), one pit bull macho named Sam who likes green salads and fruit (y todo lo que es masticable).

Dallas Mauricio 22:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I spoke to them today in fact about this as AI could have benefited from it today. They are working on adding it. To use their respinse, "It's in the pipeline".

knoxville dan-k 22:13 GMT October 29, 2004
the auto trailing stop feature is not on 1 i miss that

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
knoxville dan-k 22:01 GMT October 29, 2004
This is what I'm saying, what is kick butt now is slow joe in a few years. Besides you can sell your old boxes for something or give them to the grandkids. I've been buying puters since before Windows when Tandy Radio Shack had the only ones in town. Each time I swear and be dammed that's the last one I'll ever have to buy. Right. That was in the late 70s. So I don't feel buying in at an extra grand right now is any big deal. And yes, the day we buy, someone comes out with a whiz bang machine, same price, 2X better! LOL. I figure my gee whiz dream machine will last 4-5 years, maybe 6. I want a refrigerated CPU outfit (works at 30 degrees F or so..maybe less now)but feel the tech is still advancing thru the beta stage and will pass this round. Getting rid of heat is a very big issue..will install dust filtered case fan in addition to several other fans inside the case to aid in that. A BIG power supply is a must too..forgot that. And...making a car battery back up power unit (6-8 deep cycle truck batteries) with RV inverter which will last thru 2 days of trading 15 hrs/day continual use. Valdez will trade when Valdez wants to trade.

knoxville dan-k 22:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
yes Dallas, i use 1 currently i have plenty of computer screen real estate but 2 does not want to run properly but the auto trailing stop feature is not on 1 i miss that, my puters are just getting to old

Dallas Mauricio 22:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I love Dell & have never had any problems with the 3 computers i have bought from them. I don't like Michael Dell personally but that is another story.

Dallas Mauricio 22:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
We are very much alike. My mother is Colombian & my Father was Panamaian, born in Chicago, grew up in Miami & live in Dallas. My only real passion besides my dogs is Bruce Springsteen.

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio//Yep, extreme all right. But the puter I'm using now was cutting edge whup butt 4.5 years ago and it's busting at the seams trying to keep up with my charts and platform and 5 more browsers running all sorts of stuff. I want to get an extreme now so I won't have to get another computer every 2-3 years as proggies and platforms advance. I hate to change computers..it's like divorce. I have the $ so why not, I can't spend it when I'm dead. I don't eat out much, don't go to ballgames etc., dont have "habits" nor tobacco, nor swill cocktails 'til 0200 in smoke filled bars, and don't go on 15 day $15k cruises, hate casinos and shopping malls, never fly 1st class and wear cheap clothes and pay top price of $30/bottle for cologne...so this is my recreation money. When I retired at 49, I reassessed life entirely and retired from just about anything else as well that I didn't need. My wife, my farm, my dogs and my computer are my life in that order. For the average joe, stick to the $1,500 puter but get a clone, not an out of the box failure like Gateway etc..

Dallas Mauricio 22:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
knoxville, I was referring to 1 & 2 on the left. I use 1 (C).

knoxville dan-k 22:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
well i understand, i currently have a appain 4 moniter splitter card running on a p3-500 + 3 single moniter puters i follow news, stocks, and data feed but these are getting a little slow and i am on 3 gig download broadband its still working but their have been a few times its slowed these old processers down, upgrading for me is a shure fire must in the next few months, it just seems that to me as soon as i buy the hottest thing on the market-its out of date the next day!! lol, but that is how it works. my system a few years ago was un-beatable but now running into programs requiring more power, i hate to loose my appain card but it too is old and will not work on the newer systems. I did buy a 2.gightz hp machine that is flat screen and works better but still not enough -- love those flat screens, desk real estate is at a premium gl gt

Dallas Mauricio 21:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hyper Threading is almost the same thing.

For the dual processors to come out!

Dallas Mauricio 21:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 21:51 GMT October 29, 2004

Your system is on the extreme side.

quito_ecuador_valdez 21:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
knoxville dan-k 20:31 GMT October 29, 2004
I don't know how much $ U want to spend on a new puter but I'm in the same process myself..shopping components to see what guts to use. Myself I feel if I spend a grand or so more than I COULD spend & eek by with a cheaper newer system, to me that's not what I want..I do want cutting edge best state of the art. I'm looking at an $800 video card from Matrox which runs 4 LCD flatscreens at once..comes w/software to make all 4 into one giant monitor..mouse goes freely from one to the other. I'll put 3 gigs of memory (fast stuff too) and somewhere in the neighborhood of 3.5 gigs of Athlon processor. The sound card remains. As to that I'm looking. I WANT a duplex card from hades where I can do telephony (Internet telephone) where I can talk and listen simultaneously like a real phone. Also we just got broadband here in bananaland FINALLY so video conferencing is a must. I'm looking bottom line at $3k-3.5k, twice as much but one kick arse puter. I can make up the diff between a "normal" Dick Sally Jane puter costing 1/2 as much same week easily.Why am I waiting? For the dual processors to come out! Double barrelled is kick butt better than a single shot.

Dallas Mauricio 21:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
knoxville dan-k, I used 2 & 1. My experience with 1 as far as the actual filling of orders during volitile times has been 1000% better than 2.

As far as a new computer, I have a 2.80GHZ processor with Hyperthreading & 1 Gig RAM & it has been more than adequate to run all my trading & personal software. Have a great weekend.

Toronto Waverider 21:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Wolf Blitzer getting OWNED on CNN lol

knoxville dan-k 21:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
well they probably cannot find him because he is running behind them - lol

ICT ML 21:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
NH agree he is likely dead . Biggest pieces of "forensic evidence" found at Tora Bora after we were done fuel air bombing the caves were partial finger nails and tooth chips. If he escaped that he was seriously wounded.

So does he sport the beard and all, meaning look like his old self in the video? If so that kills the theories that he underwent plastic surgery, or has shaved the beard to disguise himself amongst the other Iranians he supposedly is hanging out with in Tehran.

It also could mean it was taped any time this year or late last year in advance. I hear that Saddam had pre taped all kinds of goofy mesages for almost any event they thought might happen. So I wouldn't put it past these guys to do likewise.

Or he could still be alive and running for his life.

But glad to see the market took it in stride today. Kerry has got to be flipping out over the timing of this. One thing about most Americans, we don't take crap from anyone, friend or foe, just ask the UK Guardian readers about trying to influence our election.

The darker cynical part of me was telling me to buy euro & swiss before the close "just in case". But I didn't.

.

Eilat Dolphin 20:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
CB/ Thanks for the correction. I forgot Herr Stauffenberg.

Halifax CB 20:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hitler's arm ws damaged (IIRC) from the bomb blast in his bunker. There's been chatter about Osama's arm for while, from an injury during the bombing in Afghanistan. What I don't understand is how these people (and I use the term loosely) think they are improving their cause in the west with the beheadings & kidnappings. Even Arafat belatedly realized that openly targetting non-combatants was not the best idea politically, and left that to Hamas....

Eilat Dolphin 20:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TG/ I am not sure his paralysis comes from a military wound. I remember that Hitler's arm was also paralysed in the last months of his life.

It has been sometimes described as from psychosomatic origin, but I am not familiar with these ailments, besides for those two villains.

Eilat Dolphin 20:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TG/ From his translated message, I feel he tried to send a pro Kerry message... by scaring the US electorate, which is childish of his, at best.
Good. It's better to have stupid enemies.

Livingston nh 20:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TG - he's done a nice job so far - huh?

Dolphin - he's dead

Eilat Dolphin 20:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
nh/ Dead ? Dead ? Invite me to a swim with him and I'll hand you twenty four milllion $ tax free.

SanFrancisco TG 20:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin - thats a considerable observation on your part. Observing the tape now I think you could be right that he has a problem with the arm. Perhaps we just missed him. It took 10 years just to grab the Unibomber and he was on US soil. We will get OBL.

Another observation is the Dow rallied when the tape came out, the widespread analysis is that the market is satisfied this reminds people we need a President like Bush, and he will take care of business where Kerry will not.

Unless we have a horrible event, we could be looking at a USD rally in this pullback near term.

Livingston nh 20:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gimme a break - this guy is dead - old news

knoxville dan-k 20:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ok, i have been using 1 but and have a nice puter setup but is getting a little old, what speed puter do u run on ? tia

SanFrancisco TG 20:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
NYC - At least there is finally one thing consistent from Kerry. He and Bin Laden take the same position that Bush is the bad guy.

Eilat Dolphin 20:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OBL left arm is paralized to the shoulder, he can only move it only by pulling on his fingers, - and lifting his forearm only a few degrees once.
His hand actually moves (when it finally moves) like a crab, always the small finger first. Happened half a dozen times.
Great.
He looks old, worn out.

Dallas GEP 20:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I like 2 best. Their feed IMO is more fair.

knoxville dan-k 20:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ty Dallas u like 1 or 2 best

NYC 20:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
DUBAI (Reuters) - Osama bin Laden appeared on Al Jazeera television on Saturday accusing President Bush of deceiving the American people.

In an address just days ahead of the U.S. presidential election, bin Laden also said the U.S. administration resembled "corrupt" Arab governments.

Dallas GEP 20:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
YEs Dan, right on I use both

Spotforex NY 20:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bin Ladan:

- takes responcibilty of the 9/11 attacks
- neither Bush/Kerry can keep the US secure

knoxville dan-k 20:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ok ty, same here u use 2?

Eilat Dolphin 20:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
The dog is barking at America, because he can't even bite her. It should be $ bullish soon enough.
I am acting accordingly.

knoxville dan-k 20:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas did u see my post ?

Dallas GEP 20:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dan, I use the one that has it's add at top of the page when you post to here to the forum AND I use the one to the left of the screen here (the 2nd one down)> Jay aks us NOT to mention the names directly so sorry for the indirect answer

Dallas GEP 20:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK prior to platform close, I close out the last add I took on USD/CHF longs @ -17 pips. Thought it was best NOT to carry all the longs over the weekend, Still have 6 lots long USD/CHF and stop loss is set at 1.1880 to protect against RUNAWAY!!! LOL

Livingston nh 20:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dammam 19:57 GMT October 29, 2004
And the dead speak - we had some looney toon speak for over an hour yesterday for the entertainment of the FBI, CIA and ABC news

Dammam kx 20:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
at 20 GMT

Dammam 19:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
watch ALJAZEERA TV at 21:00 GMT, there are some talks about a speech from Bin Laden

nothing confirmed until now.

Dammam kx 19:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
testing

Sydney EM. 19:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Athens you USD view would appreciated for coming week if poss.

Surabaya Medallion 19:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Yes, hehe I don't trust Greenspan too but we must always be careful since he still has his last bullet, the interest rate. Poor old guy, he is powerless to persuade Bush not to play fire with Oil.

knoxville dan-k 19:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas if i may ask what trading platform do u use? tia

Pecs Andras 19:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP
On Mondya morning you will easily square those chf possies with a profit I guess. This is just slow grinding, not like last time on Friday, so there will surely be a retrace

Chicago goofy 19:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Forums, how is the sunday for aussie? Is it a negative day? TIA the information from Aussie expert.

Dallas GEP 19:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well Thanks MARC, it ain't over yet but the FAT LADY is warming up her voice. Well on closed possies today I am up around 2K a far cry from the goal of 5-10K. Weren't really many confirmed entries and ranges for the most part were narrow. I do very much like the USD/CHF long possie BUT we will run out of time more than likely prior to having a chance for it to long especially since in a THIN market we are having some GBP and EURO buyers trying their PUSH although that to me seems risky as well at least at these elevated levels but WTH do I know???

Livingston nh 19:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
medallion - mxn is an oil currency // don't believe G'span - he attributed Q2 "soft patch" to oil 's transitory price - well, now he says differently "economy has traction" (and oil is 20% higher)

perrie como 19:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Would It be whatever but It seems as Ol' times Swissie is back.

Surabaya Medallion 19:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I also want to thanks this forum that has warned me to stay out from NZD. Still learning NZD slowly.

Surabaya Medallion 19:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well, at least what other explanation other than Oil that could cut GDP under 4%? At least on January-March when Oil is still in the 35 dollar range, the U.S GDP is better. And this is straight from Greenspan mouth. "Oil price is acting as extra tax so U.S people won't have extra money to spend." I thought someone already post here that high oil means USD is going out from the pocket of G7 Nations, so less money to buy U.S Bonds which indirectly weaken USD. Middle East Nations will diversify by buying Euro and not 100% USD. And what is with the rumor that Putin from Russia is planning to use Euro instead of USD.

Btw what is USD/MXN you are refering too? :)

Budapest Daniel 19:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
another real time one here: http://www.igindex.co.uk/liveprices/liveprices_flash.html

ICT ML 19:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well GEP you've made a valliant effort today...but odds were stacked against you being this was one of the worse possible days to try to trade on........Last trading day of the Month, prior to a tight US Election, AND a Friday to boot!. Too much whippiness and worthless tech indicators on days like today.

Will be interesting to see if euro spurts at close like it did last week.

Glad to put this month behind me, it has not been very good overall.

Wien GD 19:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Fatguy ... this is also for free, although not realtime ... http://www.futuresource.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=CL1%21&o=&a=V%3A5&z=610x300&d=medium&b=LINE&st=

Budapest Daniel 19:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks for your support Dallas, apperciate your help, but please don't do that I'm going to be on a vacation for 5 days and I don't want to see any computer for that period... That was the reason I asked you about shorting the gbp/chf :)

Surabaya Medallion 19:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Check Oil price at www.kitco.com or www.Bloomberg.com.

Livingston nh 19:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
medallion - don't buy the "myths" - higher oil doesn't hurt the USD - money goes home in bad times so the EUR is a beneficiary but it's not because oil hurts the USD - oil is higher on demand not reduced supply // why is USD/MXN moving higher? oil currency

Dallas GEP 19:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, GBP/CHF is in a definite DOWNTREND. I will work on some entries for you and post this weekend.

MEDAN FATGUY 19:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

Budapest Daniel 19:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
fatguy: 51.75

hk grandpa 18:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 18:52 GMT October 29, 2004
PPT=please pull trigger.....

Surabaya Medallion 18:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm just thinking what will happen if Oil goes back to 53.xx and 55.xx which in my bias could happen. Surely Euro could jump to 1.288? I will leave that to the chartists to check the correlation.

MEDAN FATGUY 18:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 18:52 GMT October 29, 2004

What is the oil price now?

Wien GD 18:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ppt = plunge protection team ... all long oil????????

Surabaya Medallion 18:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez

I don't really like the current U.S policy too. But Taiwan and China both know there is nothing to gain if there is a war. But of course if there is a war Taiwan will lose more than China so I think Taiwan will not try to provoke China. I think once Mao Zedong said it is nothing to lose 20 million peoples to a nuke, another 1000 million peoples will take revenge. Wow, talk about paranoid people. So in summary, the status Quo will be just like Israel and Palestine. Just imagine the cheap oils if U.S can maintain peaceful relationship and pressure Israel to be at peace with the Middle East nations.

Btw I'm wondering if it is possible to deposit Chinese Yuan in HK Bank or China to enjoy the 5.5% interest rate. I know Chinese Banks sucks therefore HK Banks are preferred.

HK GRANDPA 18:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 18:39 GMT October 29, 2004
confucius say "he who trade when full moon is LUNAR-TIC..."

Budapest Daniel 18:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
cool just stopped out on gbp/usd :(

Livingston nh 18:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
WIEN gd - re:PPT - you believe in ghosts and goblins too - Halloween is Sunday

Chicago Irish 18:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GD:PPT all long oil.........

Wien GD 18:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
New intraday high for oil ... now we need ppt! Otherwise dow and naz will get wet feet

Budapest Daniel 18:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
btw. GEP what do you think about GBP/CHF? I'm eyeing with it to short... My boss once said this pair is good for longer term positions because it stays on the same direction for a long time, and raden also mentioned this pair as a good bet om the short side.

Livingston nh 18:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR is being held back by cable which almost fell back below 200 da sma yesterday - interest rates should come to the fore because the Fed has been expressing concern about the budget and trade deficit -- will ECB have to cut rates in Q1? probably

Budapest Daniel 18:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
and also a bit of luck ;)

Dallas GEP 18:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, all it takes is TIME and MONEY!!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 18:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Surabaya Medallion 17:51 GMT October 29, 2004// Yes, it makes better 'BUSINESS SENCE' to go with the bigger richer partner but the people of Taiwan don't especially want to side in with the commies. Personally I think the US State Dept stinks with it's views & is basically a money sucking fiend stalking whatever meat seems sweeter. Opps, this is polit forum stuff. But if USA will climb in bed with the primate "leaders" of commie dogma in Beijing I suppose if the US needs some form of bail out they will think China will be there. Ha! They've gotta nutha thing comin'...China is for China, nothing more, nothing less.

Budapest Daniel 18:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP I hope your "feelings" will come true :)

Wien GD 18:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Oil ... at intraday high

Dallas GEP 18:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, that boat is taking on some water all right, but not sure it is going to sink at least TODAY. EURO appears to be topping out BELOW 1.28. if I wasn't in LONG on USD/CHF, I would probably try some EUR/USD shorts although it is LATE in the day. My GUESS is we will close @ 1.2760/65 on EUR, 1.8340/50 on GBP and POSSIBLY 1.1975/80 on CHF but it is anyone's guess right now.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 18:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 16:04 GMT October 29, 2004
colud be

Daliy colse

1.8370

weekly

1.8366

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 15:52 GMT October 29, 2004
COULD BE HAPPEN

DALIY CLOSE AT

EUR 1.2741

CHF 1.1986

AUD 7471

CAD 1.2173

WEEKLY CLOSE AT

EUR 1.2790

CHF 1.1954

AUD 7478

CAD 1.2163

SAIHAT 06:32 GMT October 29, 2004
COULD BE R+S (EUROPE)

1.2684 1.2794
1.1949 1.2077

105.83 106.69
0.7408 0.7484

1.8202 1.8356
1.2192 1.2296


****NOT ACOURATE****

quito_ecuador_valdez 18:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
London e 17:54 GMT October 29, 2004//I'm curious, how do you know the index(indeces) will short next week? I'm not challenging you, just would like to know what your indications are. TIA, GT

Budapest Daniel 18:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf... again on a sinking boat...

Bonn Karl 18:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy 18:03 GMT / Are you confusing him with San Francisco? LOL.

Ciao Francesco - in bocca al lupo!

HK GRANDPA 18:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   


Chicago Irish 18:10 GMT October 29, 2004
LOL,,OR PINOCCHIO.!!!!!!!...oops left the H out!!!!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Short euro here

Livingston nh 18:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
fwiw - The China rate hike is the first in a number of steps to try to regain control of economy - because it imports much of its requirements from Japan, Australia, Korea and others it will likely weaken its currency (combine it with the HKD and trade around 9.10) - these higher prices are inflationary but serve to reduce demand in conjunction with higher rates - it also protects the large holdings in USD assets as the CNY moves to float // the rising cost of commodities is more likely to cause an early float in order to offest the continuing PBoC rate hikes

Wien GD 18:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Stock market now near intradays lows ... if support doesn't hold, expect some more pips on eur.

Chicago Irish 18:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Ok Franny

Halifax CB 18:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
We're still range trading USDJPY and CAD (eg. recent buys of both..) GL/GT

PADOVA FRANCESCO 18:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
No, simply call me : Francesco. Thanks

PADOVA FRANCESCO 18:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
No, simply call me : Francesco. Thanks

Wien GD 18:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
This market is real funny ... now oil got one on its head ... and sm immediately tries to turn around. But imho this doesn't look good for GEPs usdchf long possies - we will see.

Stockholm AGuy 18:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hey, 'cesco, mind if we simply refer to you as "The Saint"? :-)

PADOVA FRANCESCO 17:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi, my name is Francesco, city Padova,... and I answer on your question on Monday, November 1st, ...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
U Have a regular account?
100k/Lot

HK GRANDPA 17:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
euro gets to 12780 and Qaking ducks appear again only to disappear in the next 1 hour,,,,the invisibible japanese wall of 10580-106 will make sure,,,,

Dallas GEP 17:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
AVERAGE on usd/chf longs is 1.1968 (10 lots)

lon ram 17:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hi padova,,what is ur view according to EUR/$,,do you think it would break the 1.29 very soon?,,,thanks

London e 17:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am selling a lot of SP500 to hold through next week.

PADOVA FRANCESCO 17:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Correction: target /you remember/ is 1,2900 like yesterday.

Surabaya Medallion 17:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Yes I know Gold and Euro are almost like Twins it is almost scary how they act in Unison. :)

Denver BP 17:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I wish I would have taken my advice and went long on the Euro 20 minutes~ ago. :(

PADOVA FRANCESCO 17:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Ok, guys, we saw the very nice moving - I told you yesterday that the way EUR/USD is up,... I right now is 1,2784-87.

The way on target is now free,... follow me.

Dallas GEP 17:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
In now on those 4 lots USD/CHF LONG @ 1.1955

Surabaya Medallion 17:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez

It is just a common sense to choose more profitable partner. The Taiwanesse better buy a lot of weapons and U.S Bond to win U.S support back. :) But I'm always under impression that HK and Taiwan also peg their own currencies, the same as China. Taiwan currency only vibrating at max 2% from 33.5 to 34.3 against USD.

Wien GD 17:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Surabaya Medallion - nice discussion topic ... lol

Wien GD 17:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Looks like rising oil would like to help gold & eur (kerry) and tries to hold down stock market (george) ... who will win? I stick with it - oil decides the way we go.

Dallas GEP 17:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK have a 4 lot LONG on usd/chf waiting @ 1.1955 to go with 6 lot long that is already working. Stop on 4 lot order is 1.1935

Surabaya Medallion 17:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
It is more like Gold is chasing Euro rather than the other way around.

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:42 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Yeah GEP but wth do you do with this? LOL

Just a note to those watching the Chinese Yuan aka RMB (Renminbi):
FULL ARTICLE HERE
Contrary to the ensuing observations by pundits and analysts, Chinaís decision to raise interest rates For the first time in 9 years only delays a revaluation of its currency instead of making it more probable. The monetary policy tightening means China will be able to delay its 'currency tightening'.

One cannot ignore the fact that Chinaís rate hike was a political wink to the nod from US State Secretary Powellís comments regarding China and Taiwan earlier this week.

Same article says Powell indicated he didn't think Taiwan was an independant nation..he indicated it's part of China. Guess the US State Dept is now in bed with Beijing. What puke.

Wien GD 17:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm trading gold, silver and (gold and silver) stocks since a long time ... very very often eur and gold are moving together.

But in the moment we are witnessing a battle between gold&eur against stock market which goes up as expected.

Dallas GEP 17:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Not bad little end of day action. p on this particular set

Denver BP 17:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
So you are saying gold and silver are up so the EUR will go up? I'm still learning :)

Wien GD 17:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gold and silver closed near intraday highs. EUR supportive.

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tks much OMIL, enjoy your w/e likewise. I share your views on support numbers, wanted other ops such as yours on this to sort of back me up psychologically. :^) I can't tell a thing frankly from the charts concrete enough for me to "believe it", this is just one of those ride the waves periods in FX and see where the current takes the boat. My long take of E/$ 1 yr chart parallels your opinion.

Wien GD 17:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Stock market BO to the upside.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I don't use charts...Just Data

Surabaya Medallion 17:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Oil definitely will go up to 60. Too much people hedging it. A 0.27% interest is not going to stem China oil consumption either. Iraq is still an Achiless hill together with Yukos with Nigeria still in a strike mode. A little disruption and Kaboom. These are among reasons of my dislike to hold long USD and Yen. I have been burned twice with these oil thingy.

SanFrancisco TG 17:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
See Financial Forum for a for a brief 2000-2004 US Economic Performance Summary.

San Diego DC 17:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain,
Can u share what indicators do u use for your trading, other than what you shared about the STDEV recently. TIA

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 17:01 GMT October 29, 2004
I will follow the market price my hunch is not worth a hoot in forex. I have support now at 2680-2700, 2660-70, 2600-10, 2530-40 and key support around 2450-60. Main support is at 2350-60 with Mother T/L around the 2270-90 area and pivot point at 2350-60 area for now. Any bounce is a buy around these areas. Intraday indicators are unwinding with daily indicators turning bearish but no bearish signal in my charts so that could mean a test of the key resistance before any more retracement. Weekly and monthly indicators are bullish all the way. I was hoping for a test of 2530-40 or even 2600-10 but bulls might not let that happen IMHO. Have a good and safe weekend. See you on the other side. GL GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MEDAN FATGUY 17:21 GMT October 29, 2004
///
Don't tell me That... buy a put...:)

MEDAN FATGUY 17:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:14 GMT October 29, 2004
Dow will down to 9400 or below next week

Wien GD 17:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain ... might! Imho it will go where oil goes.
Your guess: oil goes down?
Today bought some (not much) oil stocks. They are trading at the lower trading range. And imho oil is suppressed from good friends of george.

Wien GD 17:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gold and silver stepping north ...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dow might see 10400 next two weeks

London e 17:12 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF is at a critical level. Best level to buy with a very very tight stop. If it goes much lower it will go much more lower and if it doesn't it will go much higher.

MEDAN FATGUY 17:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
prepare to long euro . Buy at break the DTL

Wien GD 17:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP: i think currencies do again follow stock market ... like yesterday.
if dow goes up usd goes up ... the same to the opposite. In the moment sm is going sideways. It could go either way.
Cause of gwb and his friends sm might go up, but thats simply a wild guess.
Cause of weekend and fear of an event it could also go down.
We will see.
==> i will take my position(s) once dow and naz decide their way.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
88.60 for chf/jpy..short

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP//Right. It's always a matter of "last second" thought. For the past 2 months I've used NO indicators as to me on the recent charts they go haywire often and don't seem to offer me much warning or erroneous warnings do to erratic charts. I'll use your indicators next week and see how I do and beyond since next week will be nutz. Tks again amigo..have a fine w/e, hoping next week treats (trick or treat!) you well. ;^[]

MEDAN FATGUY 17:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gold up . 427.5

tnk raj 17:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hi dallas..
wat wud u recommend ..as macd and moving average for entry n exit...hope i learn frm u..thx regards.raj

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OMIL//Tks for the advisory. Just for kicks, what's your projection or hunch as far as USD correction vs EUR?

MEDAN FATGUY 17:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:46 GMT October 29, 2004
Whr is ur stops numbers?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
chf Loning at 45 area

Dallas GEP 17:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Valdez, I will go with a hunch or a feeling and disregard the technicals at times. And if the feeling is STRONG, I will ALWAYS go with the hunch or feeling. For example, technicals were showing clearly that usd/jpy should have shorted significantly MORE than it did but I had a strong feeling we would have intervention LIKE usd/jpy longing and we did of course yesterday.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
A quiet Friday as traders head for the end of the month book squaring and has some traders watching from the sidelines the election finals which are wrapping up next week. I believe that the $ correction is not over but that could change pretty fast if 2800-10 is taken out by next week IMHO. I hope everyone has a good and safe weekend. GL GT

KL KL 16:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ok guys 15 more minutes for me ....then call it a day....enough...now setting some traps :)
I think market will range 30-45 pips now

Limit sell gbpusd 1.8395 sl 10 above
Limit sell eurusd 1.2795 sl 10 above

G'day, have a good weekend and see you later sun or mon...getting boring now!!...maybe suprise attack soon??gl gt

quito_ecuador_valdez 16:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tks GEP. This is sort of a funkey question while the chart snoozes,, but about how much to you weight indicators overall (given "hunch" & "fly by seat of pants indicators used too)? Say 50% or more? For some reason after 2 years of trying indicators I just don't trust them from past experience. Obviously indicators are valued however since you find them most useful.

Dallas GEP 16:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Got 6 LOTS LONG usd/chf now @ 1.1976

London e 16:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Last chance to buy cheap usd/chf. If price falls below 1.1958 then I will wait to buy USD/CHF even cheaper. If price holds above 1.1965 then USD/CHF will be very bullish.

MEDAN FATGUY 16:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

KL KL 16:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MEDAN FATGUY, so your platform is humans....LOL...must be good....easy work. Not easy to get license...your connections must be good. Lately heard all these crime...hope you keep safe.

MEDAN FATGUY 16:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I heard a nice story about bush ...

bush was mountainbiking and went downhill much to fast and crashed ... he fell hard with his bike and both were skidding over the dirt. Two kidds saw that and immediateley ran there to help bu up again. They picked up his bike and bent cleand it a bit. The president was very surprised about these two nice kids and said " well you helped me so nicely I would like to fulfill a wish for you each". The one kid said "I would like to has such a nice bike as the president has" ... bush said "no problem, you will get one". Bush looked at the other boy and asked him, "what would you like" ... the kid said "I would like to have a presidential funeral" ... bush was surprised and asked ... "why do you want that?" ... the kid answered "when my dad gets to know I helped the president he will kill me" ...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Then Long it Patrick... ;)

Halifax CB 16:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP - agreed but it seems that most big moves establish a decaying range afterwards anyway - Gibbs phenomena in physics...Plus it's friday, end of the month; who wants to be caught with risk? Anyway, that sort of looks like what's happening in USDCAD...GL/GT

MEDAN FATGUY 16:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 16:18 GMT October 29, 2004

I trade forex . I m a money changer with branches at PG n KL.

London e 16:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MEDAN FATGUY 16:17 GMT October 29, 2004
Thats priced in, if Bush wins it should fly. If Kerry wins it will go choppy sideways. IMO

Dallas GEP 16:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well, as far as indicators go Bollinger Bands, Stochaistic, and MACD are the main ones Along with moving averages. The MACD generally are the mOST important. 15, 30 1 hr and 2 hr are main ones I use BUT I use 5 minute for exit and entry

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
No one said it's not bearish...Corrections are always there

KL KL 16:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MEDAN FATGUY, you trade the forex or just browsing...who you use as your broker? any good?

MEDAN FATGUY 16:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
i dont kinow what r u guys thinking.

Dollar is still bearih.

If Bush win the dollar will b bad,

if Kerry win the dollar will b worst.

IMHO

quito_ecuador_valdez 16:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP// Hi amigo..I take it by your posts recently you are heavy into indicators. (am I right about this?) Personally I've avoided them after some time of them not working well for me no matter what combinations I've tried. Whether that's an error or not I want to see by experimenting yet more with indicators. If so, what indicators do you use as specificially what would you recommend for:
1. 5 day chart in 5 min increments
2. 1 month chart in 1 hour increments


Chicago Irish 16:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Just another hundred handles to go eh Bahrain? Speaking of handles after that call you should adjust yours to within-10,000-pips :-)

PADOVA FRANCESCO 16:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Cari ragazzi, tutte le posizioni sono in aspetto diretto. Noi, confirmiamo test EUR/USD 1,2770 su 1,2900.

All ways on the target 1,2900 ....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Now the diver's pause...Some concentration req for the dive

MEDAN FATGUY 16:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
yes, Kl .

KL KL 16:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, already visited and was told to go back and get more fuel....out long gbpusd +2 pips....should have taken more earlier...+ve is ok

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
1.7490 aussie big time sell

London e 16:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Rebuying USD/CHF here at 1.1990.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 16:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
colud be

Daliy colse

1.8370

weekly

1.8366

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Cable has to visit 1.8250 first...then the rally

Dallas GEP 15:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK guys let me say that some ALOT of these trades have been mOVINg WITHOUT MACD confirmations. That is what is so difficult this last week or so. So you have to short or long based on LEVELS and hope we still range trade

KL KL 15:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MEDAN FATGUY, where you from Medan??

btw long cable 1.8341 sl 10 below....exited earlier short too early...never mind profit is the game

Budapest Daniel 15:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP do you confirm it with the MACDs? 15-30-60?

Dallas GEP 15:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
YEP...nice selling coming in on GBP

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 15:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
COULD BE HAPPEN

DALIY CLOSE AT

EUR 1.2741

CHF 1.1986

AUD 7471

CAD 1.2173

WEEKLY CLOSE AT

EUR 1.2790

CHF 1.1954

AUD 7478

CAD 1.2163

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
why KL?
It's going to 1.8250

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good selling now on cable

MEDAN FATGUY 15:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL r u malaysian?

KL KL 15:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
close gbpusd short 1.8358 +8

SPb Mike 15:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL//

It's fun 4 russian only, as far as I know in german it means "to" - so nothng speacial. If wanna know mail me through Jay, I'll explain.
BTW congats with ur trades!
GL GT

jkt-aye 15:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
short cable @ 52 stp 84 tgt 295. my last action of this week. Have a nice week end ALL

Dallas GEP 15:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
CLOSED gbp/usd short @ +5 pips (+300.00)

Dallas Mauricio 15:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I closed cable Long way too early. Should have kept my 30 pip trail stp. Changed it to 15 pips & got stopped @ 1.8322. Se La Vie!

Dallas GEP 15:22 GMT October 29, 2004
Closed SWISS short too early...trailing stop was too tight

Dallas GEP 15:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sold cable 6 lots 1.8360

KL KL 15:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Should have waited short 1.8364 sl 10 above

KL KL 15:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
whoops got taken, another breakout...time to long the dips IMHO

KL KL 15:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
SPb Mike, this game is like playing catching when you were a kid.....what does it mean in russian anyway....can it be posted?? out gbpusd 1.8344 short here sl 10 above...+ 18 again

SPb Mike 15:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL//

Noticed u use "nah" often, sounds good :)
Guess u r familiar with russian language lol

Dallas GEP 15:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Closed SWISS short too early...trailing stop was too tight

Dallas GEP 15:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
C ya M!!!! Have a good weekend

Sydney Alimin 15:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
any little bounce by dollar intraday just short it, will pay good...
the way it is going like this, i dont see any significant dollar bounce, unless it jumps 100+ pips in one go
enough for me today and this week, see you all next week

Dallas Mauricio 15:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am done for the day. +70 pips today on Cable. Had a great week thanks to Bahrain, Dallas GEP & New York Frankie. Good Luck to all & keep your green into the weekend.

KL KL 15:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
out short 1.8326 +18.....phew long here again sl 10 below...lets see

Dallas GEP 15:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OUT at 1.1995 on SWIss SHORT (+1,600.00)

Budapest Daniel 15:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
very good calls guys.. you'll end up 100pips plus today :)

KL KL 15:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
close long 1.8344...nah nah....+22 pips...reshort here sl 10 above

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
short again Cable

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Trail stop now @ 1.1995

Dallas Mauricio 15:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good Call GEP

Dallas GEP 15:01 GMT October 29, 2004
OK the market is not giving alot of PIPS either way BUT I think we MAY have some more dollar selling coming in



Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Trail stop now on usd/chf at 1.2005

OK SZ 15:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gep/nice trade on the usd/chf..good day all and goodweekend

KL KL 15:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TLN jack8, LOL...90% of time...ok long gbpusd 1.8322 sl 10 below ...looks like the march up is starting

Tokyo IM 15:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am sorry that I came back just could not stay away from such a crazy market. But from what I noticed all my indicators are dead. And I mean dead they just do not show anything short term.

Dallas GEP 15:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK the market is not giving alot of PIPS either way BUT I think we MAY have some more dollar selling coming in

pr jv 14:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Gep / very strange things happening on my platform .

TLN jack8 14:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL, I meant 10 pips stop all the time or it depends?

Dallas Mauricio 14:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I hate them. Hellll...it's the SAXXXXO

Dallas Mauricio 14:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm long Cable again with a small possie @ 1.8292. STP BE & going to trail @ 30 pips.

Dallas GEP 14:52 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hellll...it's the SAXXXXO ticket at top of screen that isn't updating

Dallas GEP 14:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
WTH, looks like a bomb hit the platform feed.....NO MOVEMENT

Sydney gvm 14:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
so thats the dollar reaction rally? Man I'm quaking in ma boots !!

Dallas Mauricio 14:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
This is translating English into English.

KL KL 14:45 GMT October 29, 2004
TLN jack8, if gbpusd bid is 1.8310 my sl is at 1.83...the difference is called 10 pips. hope that helps

Sydney gvm 14:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:41 - nice work - joined you @ 26

KL KL 14:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TLN jack8, if gbpusd bid is 1.8310 my sl is at 1.83...the difference is called 10 pips. hope that helps

Sydney gvm 14:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sell this or wait for 126.90 - same result

Dallas GEP 14:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
SHORT usd/chf @ 1.2027 (6 lots)

TLN jack8 14:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL, no matter what 10 pips.?

SanFrancisco TG 14:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
See Financial Forum for a for a brief 2000-2004 US Economic Performance Summary.

Budapest Daniel 14:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
seems like the usd bulls won for the short term here

Budapest Daniel 14:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
seems like the usd bulls won for the short term here

melbourne farmacia 14:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL - sold a bit..top fibo & now flat.

KL KL 14:36 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
TLN jack8, you mean what method?? Power of the my tiger eye in trading like today and not use platform SL. Never trust your system SL. I usually use 10 pips..out short gbpusd from 1.8318 at 1.8307 +11 is ok....higher low and lower high ...wait for breakout and strike like cobra!!!Hope that helps

Tokyo IM 14:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL & Dallas GEP, I wish you GL and I am of for a nice weekends. I wish everyone else on this forum the same thing. Do not get too adicted to the Market.

Sydney gvm 14:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Nokomis FrGuido

I.E another crap massaged figure from the good ol' US of A

Sydney gvm 14:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Its weird watching the CME futures in FX - all the shennagins in the last 12 hours on the 3 majors and we are still within 5-6 points of yesterdays closes

Nokomis FrGuido 14:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Interesting???

CHICAGO DATA - TOO STRONG] There are some problems with today's Chicago PMI data, only one of which is the unfortunate handling of the first commercial release of the data. The headline index is the strongest since July 1988. The back-orders index is the strongest in 10 years. The orders index ties the high since 1994. This is simply inconsistent with the caution described by the NABE earlier today, with the caution being heard from retailers, with the 11-month low in the ISM index a month ago, with the substantially less robust readings from the Empire State and Philly Fed surveys earlier this month. We do not know why the Chicago data are out of whack with other reports, but we have to think the weight of evidence is against the strength suggested in the Chicago report

Dallas GEP 14:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
NOPE IM I have taken just ONE trade , the last one and it was breakeven. I was not getting very strong signals on much and thus I didn't enter possie, Should have known that day would be relatively quiet. It would take about 5 trades to make that happen but as of yet, NO GO.

KL KL 14:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia ..LOL...you in long yet??I just shorted 1.8318 again 10 pip sl above...not sure what I am doing but as long as gain 1 pip ...good!!

TLN jack8 14:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL what do u use for a stop loss?

Sydney gvm 14:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 14:19

mate - am signing up for a discretionary account as we speak - this systematic stuff is driving me nuts (pays the bills tho) - must obey the stop - feel like a robot

watched the 84.80 come and go - censored was I tempted !!

Halifax CB 14:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
prague - all brokers will post somewhat different prices though the prices shouldn't be spectacularly different.

Tokyo IM 14:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, are you any close at making 10K so far. I think you must be preaty sleepy by now .

melbourne farmacia 14:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL - think Kate moss !!!

van Gecko 14:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 13:41.. good job matey, be patient..
as much as I like to see the Dollar take out 84.50 in one try, this weeks quick test of 84.80 was a great opportunity to take some profits & reload from higher grounds.. there'll be plenty of pips for all the Dollar bears on a clean break of 84.50..;)
Cheerios..
hk ab 11:16.. no
Sydney EM.. cheers

Dallas GEP 14:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
WEll SWISS long grabbed my trailing stop whcih was at Breakeven, Got filled on order roughly 7 pips ABOVE market on a buy. THAT really pissessss me off. Stop on long SHOULD have been 1.1991 Not sure we will get follow thru on DOLLAR buys

Tokyo IM 14:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Chicago data can not be any more helpfull. What a day ...

Halifax CB 14:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well that rise disappeared quick, cheers for SL's and brokers that honor them....

Sydney Alimin 14:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
that's a very shortlived dollar jump! blah, boring friday

KL KL 14:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, what does price action tell you? choppy is understatement??

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
shorting chf at 1.2080 area

prague jv 14:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am haveing different prices on my platform than I can see somewere else !!! What is my broker doing to me ??
freezing me?

melbourne farmacia 14:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ - nothing important... just a warning etc...

KL KL 14:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
cover gbpusd take the 5 pip at 1.8392....ha ha you cannot catch me...nah nah....all manual process quicker than automated

Sydney Alimin 14:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 14:08 GMT October 29, 2004

LOL, which screen are you looking at? i look at everything at the moment

KL KL 14:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin, you seeing the same screen as I am??....it is moving both way fluidly.....beautiful ...lower low and lower high!!! bye bye eur, gbp long gbpusd 1.8287 sl 10 below

Halifax CB 14:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Things change quick; SL's are now set to trailing at -15, no target

Sydney Alimin 14:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
goodie, provide chance to get some euros later

HK GRANDAD 14:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
honorable grandson...dont cry,.....grandpa will buy you many many more hats

Dallas GEP 14:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
NOT A FALSE MOVE IMO

Halifax CB 14:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Forgot, SL's in the 60's. Could be expensive

Halifax CB 14:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
We're long USDCAD again; don't know if this going to be one to hold for the w/e though...

Dublin Flip 14:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Guys this was from Bloomberg and posted by a GVI guy regarding this morning GDP and deflator (AG's favortite inflation guide)...

A measure of prices tied to the report rose at a 1.3 percent annual rate, after gaining 3.2 percent in the second quarter. The prices of goods and services bought by consumers rose at a 1.1 percent annual pace and were up 0.7 percent when food and energy costs were excluded. That gain was the smallest since the fourth quarter of 1962.

hk mom 14:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Funds are reading gvi to find out which way small fishes heading first.
son, wipe the tears, tomorrow is another new day.

hk ab 14:02 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
But another Fed hike now become certain.

Sydney Alimin 14:02 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
well well, good number but no dollar buying? bad sign next week for dollar

Dallas Mauricio 14:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
good #, Dollar selling continues! Go figure?!!

hk ab 14:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP//could be a false move, take care.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Cad might short at 1.2268 area

Chicago Irish 13:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
68.5

Sydney gvm 13:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
BS spoofing on dollar buy just now

Madrid CAB 13:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Chicago PMI 68.5

Dallas GEP 13:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
LONGED usd/chf 6 lots 1.2011 68.5 is number

hk ab 13:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, according your view, it the Chicago PMI should be better?

Sydney Alimin 13:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
this jump means short dollar here?

Sydney Alimin 13:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
come on gvi guys, bring us the number

Sydney gvm 13:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ohhhma god no one but no one is short enough on this dollar going into next week's election - why is everyone buying dollar dips ? wronggggggg

KL KL 13:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
got hit and re long at 1.8315 out 1.8329 +14 -10 =+4 still ok re short 1.8324 sl 10 above... what the .....is happening out 1.8314 +10. Look like someone is still kicking the dust...taking a bit of time to settle....good thing I have some night vision equipment...now put down equipment and waiting for a few minutes. Dust storm is gusty??

Dallas GEP 13:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Changed usd/chf buy order to 1.1988 BID

Dallas Mauricio 13:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Should I take this as yes? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:54 GMT October 29, 2004
Thanks U Dallas

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks U Dallas

Dallas Mauricio 13:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, R U long Cable? TIA

OK SZ 13:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 13:46 GMT October 29, 2004
re post:

Hey farmacia, what subscription and to what? have not been here in awhile so might have missed if you posted awhile back

Sydney gvm 13:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Check out something different;

Buy Crude - Sell Soybeans

CLZ4 - 51
SF5 - 535

Dallas Mauricio 13:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Still $ Bearish #.

dc fxq 13:48 GMT October 29, 2004
Yes, 91.7 vs 88.0 expected.

dc fxq 13:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Yes, 91.7 vs 88.0 expected.

Dallas GEP 13:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
91.7 expected 88

Pecs Andras 13:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Michigan 91.7

st. pete islander 13:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
91.7

houston st 13:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   

U of M 91.7 (oct) vs 94.2 (sept).

Sydney Alimin 13:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
whatever happens, i dont expect usd/jpy to go beyond 107 today

Sydney Alimin 13:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
michigan out yet?

melbourne farmacia 13:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
re post:
Chicago PMI report will be available to paid subscribers three minutes early beginning this Friday. For traders, this means that they should expect some interesting price action between 9:57 am NY Time and 10:00 am NY Time (13:57 GMT Ė 14:00 GMT) as rumors about the release will flood the markets

pr jv 13:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am swiching to usd pozitive now :>)

Dallas GEP 13:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Order waiting @ 1.1985 (6 lot) on a LONG usd/chf

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas 1.1945

Sydney gvm 13:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:41

Ratio - short - huh? Are you buying or selling dollars?

Halifax CB 13:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thx Pecs - I had the time wrong. The Mich. Sentiment is out at 13:45

Sydney gvm 13:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 10:29

USDX bounce to 86.50 - ? IMHO - in ya dreams buddy
Me short from 88.03 and from long analysis of charts cannot see your bulls eating them cherrios you talking about

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Shorts (Ratio)
almost everthing
Yen...shrting at 106.25 area

Pecs Andras 13:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Just hearing on cnbc that the pmi number will be made available to subscribers of any financial service, including gvi pro, as we read here.
So expect good moves starting three minutes before the hour

Dallas GEP 13:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well tried to take usd/chf at 1.1980 earlier and platform wouldn't let me have it. now waiting for data out in 21 minutes

Sydney Alimin 13:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 13:31 GMT October 29, 2004

my plan was to short for anything above 106.50/60 to 107.20, with tight stop loss accordingly for every position i entered, if they use their bazooka and show me anything above 107.50 then i am willing to wait and short from higher level again until all this cloud over usd is over

London Zappy 13:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
//Dallas Mauricio
Cool, I am going to do an options straddle. Not sure on which instrument, but basicly, I am looking for a currency or index to move up or/and down violently, I don't care which way.

Dallas Mauricio 13:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Longs right?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:33 GMT October 29, 2004
more cable

London e 13:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Google at $200.

Sydney EM. 13:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 10:29 GMT October 29, 2004
Sydney EM 23:06..

thanks for that, coupled with the overbought nature of the market next week could see some USD strength many thanks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
more cable yen...assie and ausyen...shorts

Dallas Mauricio 13:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Election Day used to be a National Holiday, it isn't now. I believe all markets are open.

Sydney gvm 13:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 13:26

mate I lived in Tokyo for 10 years - the Japanese are as simple as Yanks/Poms/Kiwis/Scandis/Russians - whoever - in markets we are all the same - ruled by fear and greed - Nihojin are no different

London e 13:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
My stop is break even on my USD/CHF long position now. Anything can happen.

London Zappy 13:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi All
Does anyone know what markets are closed for Monday and Tuesday? I want to get my money down at the last minuete for the Busk/Kerry thing.

KL KL 13:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
o.k....now can start typing...nice collect....exit all possie and just use momentum to collect. Short gbpusd 1.8344 sl 10 above....move sl to 1.8339 locking in 5 pips, 10, 15....dont know why it is going down just following trend. out 1.8327 +17 is enough....been collecting until I lost count..

long again 1.8326 sl 10 below...nice Day ...good data to show everyone nothing makes sense!!

Sydney gvm 13:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 13:20 forgadaboutit ! I am short $/yen from 108.35 - nothing scary 'bout it

Halifax CB 13:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Re PMI - I understand it going to be made available 3 minutes early (13:42 GMT) by conference call to those who have paid for it. Trade accordingly. Looks like USDCAD is clinging hard to 1.22. Not much room for quick turnarounds in the runup to the next data batch :(

Tokyo IM 13:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK, I will go to eat something it is hard to think on a empty stomach.

Tokyo IM 13:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin, Japanese are not that simple people. It take long time to understand them. They do not think like any other nation so some caution have to be in place than you trade with them. Just a reminder.

Pecs Andras 13:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
san miniato ab 13:09 GMT October 29, 2004
The expectation is a 58.0 headline number, so anything above 60 will be good.

Sydney Alimin 13:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 13:20 GMT October 29, 2004

i think they have no choice, sooner or later they will have to do it, this thing (usd/jpy) is just going down, would be nice if they use their bazooka here even just once to make us aware of their presence

Pecs Andras 13:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well, this dollar "seloff" was not very impressive, so you, shorters, may have to think it over if the Chicago PMI suprises to the upside, like last month.

Ldn 13:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
US GDP is excellent in comparison to the UK and Europe , live censored Financial on Bloomberg says , considering Hurricanes and the like . good numbers
dont think Greenpants will be unhappy

Tokyo IM 13:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin, you do not want to f*** with that guys they will put you on a stick and spin you around. Personaly I do not trade Jappie cause I am scared of them (Invisible Hands).

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
selling eur/yen at 135.5

Sydney Alimin 13:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 13:12 GMT October 29, 2004

let's sell usd/jpy and test BOJ's patience :) i am feeling rather adventurous, with stop loss of course

Tokyo IM 13:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hk grandpa 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004 , I do not care unless Ido not have to ware plastic ring and so on. But with the rising oil price maybe plastic will be more expensive then diamonds.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
selling Aussie 1.7495

san miniato ab 13:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
thks for info hope to see it weaker anyway as i mshort dollies agst eur and yen

tk jf 13:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
this week taught newer traders plenty of lessons - being objective to the mkt and not falling in love with yr posn wud be a start - nice w/e - gt-

Sydney gvm 13:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004
I think almost everything is a sell today

Kimosabi - you speak in forked tongue

sell what?

Global-View GVI 13:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
San Miniato, note this:

GVI john 16:46 GMT October 28, 2004
Starting tomorrow the Chicago PMI will be available early for those who pay.

Sydney gvm 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 13:08 GMT October 29, 2004

Nah looking for 104.75 close THIS week

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I think almost everything is a sell today

hk grandpa 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
buy dolars...wear diamonds
sell dolars...wear zirconias...

solution:buy another 3 hats for honorable mom,dad and son...

Syd 13:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
We may see better levels to pick up cheap USD next week JIMHO

Tokyo IM 13:12 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
So are we selling the censored thing or buying it ? I am talking about USD. Unless we will unite and push that thing called market it will not move .

Ldn 13:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
U.S. Commerce Department, GDP rose by 3.7% as faster consumer spending was offset, in part, by a slower pace of inventory building by businesses and slower exports. Economists expected 4.3%. In the second quarter, the GDP rose by 3.3%.

Economists expected 4.3%. , what I find amusing is they could put they expect anything 5% , notice they always are totally wrong anyway

hk ab 13:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
after out at dlr/jpy.
Now it seems to me many picked usd bottom....
If dlr/jpy can guard 105.80 again, then may buy some again.

san miniato ab 13:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hi frds there have been many rmrs in last hour abt chicago pmi, some spoke abt a reading of 68, others spoke abt a muche weaker numder below 60. many are talking abt possibility that real number will be released on chicago pmi web site some minutes before normal release at 14.00 gmt . Pls anybody knows this site? thks in advance

Sydney Alimin 13:08 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 12:57 GMT October 29, 2004

how about usd/jpy 103 next week? do you like that?

Budapest Daniel 13:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
cool, half of the members here are buying usd, half of them are selling it :))

Sydney gvm 13:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM - nah - sell dollars -wear diamonds

Plovdiv Gotin 13:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
E/agreed, I am long at 1975 too.

Tokyo IM 13:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Want to ware diamonds stay out of the market or it will eat you.

London e 13:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
The market has attatcked just above 1.196 five times since early yesterday and not broken it. Looking at hourly.

Sydney gvm 13:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
London e

fine; pay your 15 points (which you forgot to mention in your original post)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
LND Good Man...I am buying at 1.1943

selling Eru 1.2770

Sydney Alimin 13:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
aussie, euro and gbp all look ready to move a lot higher, it is about time i guess

Budapest Daniel 12:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks Auckland

Sydney gvm 12:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
who on this forum is buying dollars aggressively right NOW - put up your hands...

Halifax CB 12:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD Not much of a spike one way or the other after the news, so it'stime to go off & do other chores...Looks like 1.22 is going be a center for a new ST neutral zone, with 1.216-1.217 on the downside and 1.224-1.225 on the up. The trend down is still intact then, but I think we'll trade off the edges..

London e 12:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 12:54 GMT October 29, 2004
Why not?
Well mainly technicals, and in my opinion if it breaks up above 1.2025 it will go up another 100 pips.
I may well be wrong but his is risking only 15 pips.

Sydney gvm 12:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin

No; it's about Sell Dollars .... period

Auckland 12:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 12:50 GMT October 29, 2004
what is PT? primary target?

Price target.......

Sydney Alimin 12:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
is this now all about sell dollar every friday? :)

Sydney gvm 12:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
London e 12:53 GMT

why?

London e 12:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Im buying USD with a tight stop of 15 pips. Good trades

London e 12:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Im buying USD/CHF @ 1.1980 here

Sydney gvm 12:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sell ya mother

Budapest Daniel 12:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
what is PT? primary target?

Sydney gvm 12:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm selling dollars agin everything

prague jv 12:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
so now it is USD negativ . done think . gl

Pecs Andras 12:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
The EZ countries, except for the newcomers like us, Hungarians, cannot come even close to this growth number

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sold cable PT 1.8235

LDN. 12:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Fed Funds See 60% Chance 50 BP Hike In '04

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sold gbp/yen fro 100 points

Sydney Alimin 12:42 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
i wonder if we are ever going to see usd/jpy 107 again in near future, seems too heavy to get there....i would rather going long usd/cad if anyone wants to buy dollar at this stage

Pecs Andras 12:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Maybe this number was not that bad after all ...

mex sjs 12:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
buy gbp.....fot a tgt above 1.8420-40 area sl= today's low....
gl...

Dallas Mauricio 12:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Frankie!

Surabaya Medallion 12:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GDP 3.7% vs 4.3%. Is it neutral?

hk ab 12:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
close dlr/jpy for another 30 pips.

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
someone gave the bulls steroids for some reason...sheesh

hk mom 12:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Last day for cheap euros.... BUY more!

Dallas Mauricio 12:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Let the games begin!

Halifax CB 12:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
FWIW 1.2240-60 sems to have been the neutral range over the last few days for USDCAD, and something worth trading around.

Sydney Alimin 12:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
i tend to sell usd here, with tight stop loss, mainly in usd/jpy

Cairo MDR 12:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hedged out all my shorts with longs and staying away of the market, will see shooting stars in 6 min.

Halifax CB 12:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Closing out CAD longs, & waiting....

Sydney Alimin 12:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
anything can happen on a friday, let's just wait and see
let's go, bring the data on

Tokyo IM 12:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, are you still hanging on your Jappie possie? Just got back from the bar fills censored good. Lets do some trading...

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I don't think data will affect USD one way or the other...big money is on the election. I'd say any data baring an asteroid collision with the MacDonald's headquarters between now and then will be non events.

prague jv 12:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
price action sudgesting usd pozitiv movement for upcomming event . ( thats what it looks to me )

Dallas Mauricio 12:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm right there with you Frankie!

NewYork frankie 11:44 GMT October 29, 2004
I'm going to be bold and go for a good size move with Cable. Buying here at 1.8312 looking for 1.8440 later. I will close my position at 1.8450 if seen before US figures come out. Will wait for the sudden jolt down of 30pips and reload. This could net up to 200 pips today!

Melbourne Qindex 12:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Keep an eye on Curve B.


Melbourne Qindex 22:09 GMT October 28, 2004
USD/JPY : the nrutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 105.66 - 106.44. A projected supporting level is expected at 105.44 - 105.48. A projected resistant level is positioning at 106.82 - 106.95.


Curve A : ... 105.33* // 105.52 - 105.70* - 105.88 - (106.07)* - 106.26 - 106.44* - 106.63 // 106.82 ... 107.19 ...


Curve B : ... 105.16* // 105.48 - (105.80)* - 106.12 - 106.44* - 106.76 // 107.08* ...


Curve C : ... 104.68* - 104.93 // 105.18* - 105.44 - 105.69* - 105.94 - (106.19)* - 106.44 - 106.69* // 106.95 - 107.20* ...

Melbourne Qindex 12:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:53 GMT October 29, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expecte trading range from my 3-month projection profile is 1.2631 - 1.2777 and the mid-point reference is 1.2704.


... // 1.2631* - 1.2668 - 1.2704* - 1.2741 - 1.2777* // ...

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB 11:47 GMT October 29, 2004// I don't have an account for messenger as valdez..you'll have to get it from Jay at his discretion. TKS, GT.

As to USD in coming minutes: Last time we had bearish US data this week the chart behaved opposite with USD strengthening slightly. This data appears good, lest there be a disappointment. Toss a coin.

Surabaya Medallion 12:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I think today is not going to be volatile as the next week NFP /election. Just put stop loss order to limit lossess. I am 100% AUD with S/L 0.741. Even if USD rallying today who know what in store next week?

Ldn 12:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Senior Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer Hannu Anttila said today that further weakening of the U.S. dollar would influence negatively on the competitiveness of the Western European forest industry.

Sydney gvm 11:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
It dos feel as tho the hour is upon us...dollar is in weekly equilibrium as we enter that pit yon called the New York open. What riches await us? What foil is afoot?

We await the half hour with baited breath. Where goeth the fortunes of yee?

Diamonds...Sell Dollar?
Diamonds...Buy Dollar?

Huh - the sands of time.....

hk ab 11:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Revdax// if you don't mind, I would like to hear your today special.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
assuie 0.75130 0.7418
Cable 1.83813 1.8225
Eur 1.28120 1.2681
NY Session Orders
I think the MKT is thining...Maybe a easy friday

JHB CDB 11:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Valdez, I have already added you to my account. If you want you can check your messenger

NewYork frankie 11:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sorry, should have been "will close out my position at 1.8350..."

NewYork frankie 11:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm going to be bold and go for a good size move with Cable. Buying here at 1.8312 looking for 1.8440 later. I will close my position at 1.8450 if seen before US figures come out. Will wait for the sudden jolt down of 30pips and reload. This could net up to 200 pips today!

Dallas Mauricio 11:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Out Cable Long +9 pips. Staying out until GDP Report.

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB 11:38 GMT October 29, 2004
You may ask [email protected] for my Yahoo messenger if you like.

Halifax CB 11:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thx perrie..

JHB CDB 11:38 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good Day too all

Valdez, are you available on messenger?

porto azarento 11:36 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ok quito!
i agree with you.
thanks!

perrie como 11:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Regarding Cad development It seems It was driven untill now by the general surge in commodities and still preffered in todays as one of top hedgers for the stable economy with forecasted higher interest rates to come. Extremely used by some Chicago funds. As a general think It might show further strenght, but would WAIT to see if the USD is capable to continue It's progress or move back to It's general negative trend.
A bigger move here might be well connected to the upcoming datas.

g/l

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Azarento// GV presents many more free services than paid ones, it's an outstanding resource & getting better, that's why you're here. Jay admits people personally to join our family so the forum is not accessible to all the public. Theres' a few simple rules to follow in return. I'm at your website now in fact and the "com" should disappear. We welcome your trading posts & expertise. I'm only a trader, I don't work for GV.


29-Oct Friday // All times: GMT ex=expected pv=previous
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting
AUD Reserv Bnk Crdt Measure (SEP) 1:30 es=1.0% pr=1.2%
JPY Hsing Starts YoY SEP 5:00 es=3.0% pr=10.5%
JPY Anualzd Hsing Starts SEP 5:00 es=1.180M pr=1.174M
JPY Construct'n Ordrs YoY SEP 5:00 pr=8.20%
JPY BoJ Semi-An. Outlook Activ. & Prices 6:00

EUR Fr Unemp Rate SEP 6:45 es=9.9% pr=9.9%
EUR Fr Unemp Change (000s) 6:45 es=30k pr=32k
EUR Fr Consmr Conf Indctr OCT 6:50 es=-18.0 pr=-17.0
EUR Ital Retailer Confid. Gen. (SEP) 7:30 pr=95.8
EUR Ital Services Survey OCT 7:30 pr=7
EUR Ital CPI NIC incl tobac MoM OCT P 7:30 es=0.2% pr=0.0%
EUR Ital CPI NIC incl tobac YoY OCT P 7:30 es=2.2% pr=2.1%
EUR Ital CPI- U Harmonisd MoM OCT P 7:30 es=0.5% pr=0.6%
EUR Ital CPI-EU Harmonisd YoY OCT P 7:30 es=2.3% pr=2.2%
EUR Ital PPI MoM SEP 8:30 es=0.3% pr=0.5%
EUR Ital PPI YoY SEP 8:30 es=3.8% pr=3.5%

GBP M4 Money Supply MoM SEP F 8:30 pr=0.8%
GBP M4 Money Supply YoY SEP F 8:30 pr=10.10%
GBP M4 Sterling Lndng BP SEP F 8:30 pr=13.9B
GBP Net Consumer Credit SEP 8:30 es=1.7B pr=1.9B
GBP Net Lndng Sec.-Dwellings SEP 8:30 es=8.5B pr=8.4B

EUR Euro-Zone Industr. Conf OCT 9:00 es=-4 pr=-3
EUR Euro-Zone Cnsumr Conf OCT 9:00 es=-13 pr=-13
EUR Business Climate Indictr OCT 9:00 es=0.43 pr=0.48
EUR Euro-Zone Econ Conf OCT 9:00 es=100.4 pr=100.7
EUR Euro-Zone CPI Est. YoY OCT 9:00 es=2.3% pr=2.1%

CHF KOF Swiss Ldng Indicatr OCT 9:30 es=0.95 pr=0.97

USD GDP Annualizd 3Q A 12:30 es=4.3% pr=3.3%
USD Personal Conspt'n 3Q A 12:30 es=4.7% pr=1.6%
USD GDP Price Deflator 3Q A 12:30 es=1.6% pr=3.2%
USD Empmt Cost Indx 3Q 12:30 es=1.0% pr=0.9%


CAD GDP MoM AUG 12:30 es=0.3% pr=0.1%

USD U. of Mich Conf (OCT F) 13:45 es=88.0 pr=87.5
USD Chicago Prchasng Mngr (OCT) 14:00 es=59.0 pr=61.3
USD Fed Ferguson: Neutral Int. Rate at UCONN 18:00


quito_ecuador_valdez 11:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Medallian// That is the general concensus. In fact it's also a popular idea that high oil will cause a world wide slump...not just the USA. If the world insists on using archiaic fossil fuels for the last 100 years then the world will have to establish a comfortable price for all. Better still, advance science & tech with money used for war to join the 21st century. The gasoline/diesel engine is a museum piece.

azarento com 11:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
i understand quito. lets see if this resolution is ok for jay.
i love this forum and i always come here.
in spite of porto we have azarente city. why not azarento?
lets talh about Forex (its the most important for all)
my escuses jay! ;) (i know you are a good guy)

Halifax CB 11:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Interesting downward drift in USDCAD last night....Is this an adjustment for expectations of the news today? Or just building response to sell $ comments by everyone and their relatives...? This would seem to make the upside more unstable than the down in the ST; for today we'll be looking to go long on dips with stops in the 1.2150's or below & maybe trade on the oscillations after the news spike (if there is one). But not a day for big positions, that's for sure....GL/GT....

Surabaya Medallion 11:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Anyone think like I think that the high $50 oil might negatively affect the U.S GDP like the past 3 months?

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Porto, Jay isn't being a bad guy, if people advertised their websites here this trading forum would becomean advertising forum. I too have a financial website as do many who post here. We try to keep this area 'CLEAN' in this way. Please don't take offense.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
aussie short at .7479

hk ab 11:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
gecko and bc// Were the Chinese rate hike in your expected book? Thanks.

GVI Jay 10:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Porto, clear out your web name (.com) as well.

porto com 10:55 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hi opo. nice to see you here too!
global i cant enter my email because i must have some problem in the login. ill gonna try later. ok?
(i clean the www of my blog)
thanks!

opo mw 10:42 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
porto, itīs nice to see neighbours around
gl and gt all

Dallas Mauricio 10:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Cable hit my first TP @ 1.8309. Next TP's 1.8322 & 1.8335. SL 1.8284. I hate the slow grind.

Global-View 10:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Porto. Check your email

manila stubbs 10:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
where can i find live dollar index? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Buying Euro at 39 32 and 27
PT at 2810 area

porto www 10:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo raden i dont agree with you but of course you can be right. dont be mad with my words! ;)

porto www 10:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 10:10 GMT October 29, 2004
usd/jpy. be carefull with 105.42 (bid) because thats bottom.

Im completely disagree. 105.42 its just the way to go further lower.
good trades!

van Gecko 10:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney EM 23:06.. despite the near term bullish exuberances over Euro breaking above the 1.25 dollar cap, the Dollar needs a bounce after a 2 week 200 point dive to generate more m/t money liquidity for the pending take out of Dollar index 84.50, the multi year support for the Dollar & the last line of defence for the shell-shocked Dollar bull camp..
prudent bears who had took profits recently will be looking to reload on bounces infront of 86.50 for the eventual break of 84.50.. a clean break the line will be the dawn of another new leg on the Dollars long term march down to Purgatory..
Euro below 1.27 near term will buy more consolidation time for the Dollar & could turn some dollar bull campers into a bunch of happy munchers of Cheerios..


Gen dk 10:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 10:27 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd long +2....not much movement means danger for me!!

Dallas Mauricio 10:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am long cable @ 1.8301 avg cost. 1.8284 SL.

perrie como 10:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
interesting Raden

I do agree,

doubtful we see the Usd/Jpy going below 105.60/40, although the market is deeply oversold It's still slightly negative, but overall It favours a move over 106.40 and into 106.70.

This particrlarly if later economic data will came out near to forecasted. It is extremely interesting the data on the Canadian growth, which I think is still good and as well there are interesting datas regarding the rising employment costs index.

Regarding the price deflator I think It is linked to the value of the dollar, so here will be interesting too.

While the US Gdp think could be of no big surprise before elections.

Just this for our seven, letting for eleven the PMI, which as a general is showing a negative econimic cycle when reading tends below 50, and the other way around for positive economic cycles.

g/l

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 10:12 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Haifa IMO Israeli's must pray for Arafat. Dead Arafat - khaos, jihad, bombers, etc.....

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 10:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy. be carefull with 105.42 (bid) because thats bottom. from there will go to 113.84 in long trem trade. remember me if this view will be right. you can buy more when touch 105.42. please !!

see u my friends.. my train is waiting me now to pick up my weekend.
have a nice week end for you all.
Good luck !!

Haifa ac 10:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
LondonJoe 09:39 GMT October 29, 2004
very weak swiss KOF numbers and revisions to prior numbers.. very negative for the chf // That is nothing compared to the billions Arafat is going to withdraw soon.

perrie como 10:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Seems the market is pondering the North American Morning:

2004.10.29 14:00 US Fed Vice Chair Ferguson Speaks
2004.10.29 10:00 US Chicago PMI 59.0 61.3
2004.10.29 08:30 US Q3 GDP - advanced 4.3% 3.3%
2004.10.29 08:30 US Q3 Price Deflator -advanced 1.6% 3.2%
2004.10.29 08:30 CAN Aug GDP 0.3% 0.1%
2004.10.29 08:30 US Q3 Employment Cost Index 1.0% 0.9

Dallas Mauricio 10:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good day Everyone & GL to all.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 10:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
now is at 2.1950
about gbp/chf will move follow this map :
will go now to get 2.1872 and if break 1.1872 will go to extreme bottom for long term 2.1090. you can hold your sell if like that and buy more when touch 2.1090 !!.
About 2.1872 thats mean from that level if be waited by buyers will move up to get stages like this : 1.22124 - 1.2201 - 1.2327 - 1.2404 (fiinal top). you can sell more when touch 1.2404.
save this view please and lets see how will work in your chart !!..

Philadelphia CABA 09:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sofia anmart 07:01 GMT October 29, 2004
EUR/USD-1.2770 We bought for 1.2900

Good morning, may I ask you on your s/l for this long? Thank you.

manila stubbs 09:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 09:46 GMT October 29, 2004

what would have been your target buddy? TIA

KL KL 09:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
ok tested sl at 106.08 and worked so out jpyusd long +23 pips...tested it just to see how quick my manual trigger works. Looks like all sytems work so far.. Houston all system hanki dori?? Good start...you ready GEP??

Long gbpusd 1.8298 sl 10 below..

Dallas GEP 09:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Actually Guys I missed it but there was a buy signal back at 1.1980 on CHF DAMMMMITTT

Los Angeles ss 09:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Plodiv and Daniel.

Budapest Daniel 09:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Cool Plodiv, thanks very much, just extracted the essence...

better to check here

Plovdiv Gotin 09:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
What happened with CHF?tia.

LondonJoe 09:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
very weak swiss KOF numbers and revisions to prior numbers.. very negative for the chf . eur/chf up to 1.5305 from 1.5275 prior.. looks like we head north from here..

KL KL 09:38 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Domo arigato Shogun looks like you army manage to drive off the $ bear away for a while...now time to protect the 106 perimeter wall, usd jpy long now lock in 16 pips so set sl to 106.01....still testing my platform trigger...give me enough time to do it manually in case like last time did not trigger....

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 09:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Any news for EURCHF?? TIA

Plovdiv Gotin 09:36 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
www.igindex.co.uk

Los Angeles ss 09:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Where can I go to find the live price of oil?

Dallas GEP 09:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well guys still not getting any clear signals yet, WAITING

Surabaya Medallion 09:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Seems oil is back to 51.00, I doubt EUr/JPY could pass the 135.3 barrier.

Vilnius georgas 09:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Go ahead.

prague jv 09:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
do not underestimate price action which just happen on usd/jpy @ 105.95 gl

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 09:06 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
do you feel usd/cad will go follow this map of top 1.2354,1.2328,1.2506,1.2568?. please hold your usd buy !!
I hope accurate !

Melbourne Qindex 09:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : 105.52 is the short term target.

Vilnius Val 09:02 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius georgas 08:56 GMT October 29, 2004

Thank you very much Georgas ! Can I ask jay for your mail ?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 09:02 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy will go to 134.37 (bottom stage-1) and extreme bottom at 133.39. please buy at 133.39 if be met. please !!!!

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
SPORE 08:23 GMT October 29, 2004
I get difficult to answer about time frame.. but wait until meet that level for action..
lets see how does the chart when meet my numbers. its very interesting ..LOL. just a joke.

Vilnius georgas 08:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius Val 08:47
hey, oficialiai tai taip suprast riekia , kad ties ta kainos riba nebebus kokio tai pasipriesinimo ir gales judet ta linkme .
bet realybe visai kitokia. tai neturi nieko bendra su fx marketu.
tai tas pats kas kiekvienas susigalvojam tokiu savo barjerus ir paskui kuris nors pataiko tai ir sako o matai kaip as tikslaii pastebejau.
tavo valia tiketi tuo ar nea
goog luck

Gen dk 08:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tokyo IM 08:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I am off for a beer, see you later in the FX day.

Vilnius Val 08:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Can somebody explain me please what does it means "option barrier expiry" ? Sorry for disturbing, just answer please till market still quite quiet ...

slv sam 08:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 08:18 GMT October 11, 2004
closed all existing positions! all liquidity raised used as 10% margin and sold $/yen at 109.29. Target 105. S/L 111.60.GT

I hope i can collect my profit today!! GT

Melbourne Qindex 08:40 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : 106.03 is a projected resistant point.

Tokyo IM 08:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, you might be on a luck today. Seems like OIL prices are heading low and might reinforce US$ and you long could be preaty good move. GT/GL

KL KL 08:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, I think Shogun & army reinforcement arriving...I hope they also send 1 or 2 ninjas to take out those stop loss higher. I have adjusted my SL now to take 5 pips now....start my day in positive move and to test again my SL by my broker platform...now a bit worried with this platform...so have to watch like hawk....

SPORE 08:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo Raden Mas
What are your time frame for these targets. Appreciate your response

Tokyo IM 08:15 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, on your place and knowing that you do not like to leave with minus and prefer to take at least 1+ pip, I would get out of there and watch it closely. I think Yen can have a good follow up on the move today. But then again I am not oracle and can not see into the future. Last desision is on you.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I hope can help you with this. Please be saved !!
29 October 2004
when eur/usd :1.2746, GBP/usd 1.8316,usd/chf : 1.1999, usd/jpy : 106.04,Aud/usd :0.7456, Gold : 425.78

Eur/usd
Please focuse on target bottom at 1.2599(stage-1) and 1.2558(extreme bottom). High prob. Will get buying attack if price show you 1.2599 and buying wave will be so big when touch 1.2558. Please donít be hesitate tio do buying action at level 1.25990 for correction. And please add your buy when touch 1.2558 because this level have high prob for move up sharply and so far.
If today chart touch 1.2785 maybe selling action come there and if in the fact still move up and touch 1.2810, please donít be hesitate for sell because price will down sharply from there.
GBP/usd
Please focuse on target 1.8092(stage-1) and 1.8028(extreme bottom). High prob. Buying action will come from 1.8092 and buying emotion will come so big when touch 1.8028. Please donít be hesitate to do buy at that levels !.
If today price move up early to get 1.8384(stage-1) and 1.8456(stage-2) and 1.8497(stage extreme). Stage-2 probability is more than stage-1 and make down move of from stage-2 will be more than down move of form stage-1. But if the fact price move up 1.8497, please donít be hesitate to attack with selling action with big money there because that level have high probability to move down sharply and so far.
Usd/chf
Please focuse on the target 1.2173(stage-1) and 1.2274(stage-2) and 1.2333(extreme top). High prob. Chart will move down from stage-2 and will be more than move down of from stage-1. and if touch 1.2333 chart will get so big selling emotion to move down sharply and so far.
But thre is long term target at 1.1781 if chart able to break 1.1921.Please donít be hesitate to do buy action when touch that long term bottom level at 1.1781 because have high prob. Chart rebound from there strongly as long term movement.
For intraday, please be carefull with stage-1 at 1.2087, stage-2 at 1.2134 and stage-3 at 1.2162. Selling wave will come from there although not so big except get 1.2162 will be get more selling action emotion. The best level for intraday trade in selling is at 1.2162 because have high prob to move down so far and sharply.
Aud/usd
Please donít be worry with aud/usd chart now , because have get top extreme at 0.7512. Donít thinking chart will go above 0.7512 again before meet stage extreme bottom at 0.7209. Todat chart tend to get stage-1 at 0.7324 and stage-2 at 0.7253 and extreme stage bottom at 0.7209. If chart go to the South and touch 0.7209 please donít be hesitate to attack with your big buy orders because that level is waited by big sharks (I believe from nature emotion). If today pricemove up to get 0.7488 please donít be hesitate to sell more because 0.7488 is extreme top level.
Usd/jpy
Chart pattern ten to finishing the top minor cyclic at 107.10 with stage-2 at 106.92 and stage-1 at 106.63. High prob will get selling attack if touch that levels. Big selling orders emotion I look be placed at 107.10. But there are long term pattern that seem clear to get 107.25(stage-1) and 107.56(stage-2), 107.54(stage-3) and 108.12(stage-4) and 108.65(stage-5) and 109.48(stage-6) and 110.86(stage extreme-1) and 111.72 (final extreme stage). Please be carefull with that stages because selling emotion able to be invited from that levels.
Gold
Chart pattern ten to get low extreme at 402.90. Donít think about above 430.20 before be met 402.90 with stage-1 at 418.46, stage-2 at 416.31, stage-3 at 413.54, stage-4 at 406.98 and final stage at 402.90. Buying action will come from that levels..especially when touch 402.90 chart will wake so strong with full energy !!.

Raden Mas

LA Fxnew 08:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
anyone got view on cable pls ??

Syd 08:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Blah Blah Blah Blah Tanigaki says will act if yen moves out of line

Tokyo IM 08:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, 頑張って見ます。

KL KL 08:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, still long....should I get out??..we can say hardly move for some time...a rather rare action by me. What is your prognosis on the usdyen...your comments appreciated. With oil dropping, I think BOJ can flex a bit of muscle...cos Soros must be a bit worried now....4 more days to weave his doom on Bush...imho

houston ken 08:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
with all the data coming out this morning why are the still beating on dollar?

KL KL 08:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hait arigato defend 105.80

Melbourne Qindex 08:05 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The bull will feel very uneasy if 105.715 fails to hold.

Tokyo IM 08:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, are you still longing Jappie or you are already out?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
1.8402 on NY Open Is better

jakarta kdk 07:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hi, I'm new here.
Perhaps if 1.2800 reached, it will be good to long eurusd when it retest 2760

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
cable 1.8365 area is not a problem IMO

Helsinki iw 07:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR/NOK could be interesting if the oil price stabilizes:
- A number of hedge funds are long NOK in size
- The CB is not happy about strengthening NOK
- The market is very thin and illiquid
- Daily techs display RSI divergence
IMHO

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GM all
I think I am Buying Yen within next 2 hours around 105.65 area

perrie como 07:40 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good morning world.

It seems me that most of the finance world is still mumbling onto the effects on such neo-liberal geo-markets will have the quite unprecedented Chinese rate hike, after 9 years.

Well, as you most probably do, I have seen many comments and opinions regarding this Yuan Rate Hike, but guess I have to follow more the NFDs on Chines yuans for the coming millennium, and also the new ETF quoted; FXI iShares ftse china.

But com,ing back to this rate hike, even if i have to work some more on some analytics later on, seems to me could pose more a base to the always more linked Japanese Yen to the chinese economy.

Personally think high yielding currencies are still on the run.


Igor Waltritsch

KL KL 07:40 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
long usdjpy 1.0585 sl 10 below...

Tokyo IM 07:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, one more thing . If you look at this :

[USD/YEN] has yet to really make its presence known under 106.00, with the recent breaks below the figure finding a multitude of demand from Japanese accounts. The importers are reported with large buying interest 105.80-00, with bids then decreasing in size to 105.50. The incidence of KOs under 105.50 is likely to be large however and as such option based protection is possible, leaving the Dollar's downside confined to a slow pace. Regional FX has seen the SP$ appreciate back towards recent highs, while the HK$ has held well off yesterday's peak as the threat of HKMA action persists. US custodial data shows that in the week to Wed 27th foreign CBs sold treasuries to the tune of $490mln, while Agency debt was increased $4.5bln. Suggesting Asian CBs were around buying Dollars in that period.

Qindex comments will make lots of meaning.

Singapore MJM 07:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Viies// Good morning there.. Same here short 1.2750 Hoping to see 1.2650 in NY time.. Tight stop.. GL!!

Melbourne Qindex 07:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : We need to go through 105.80 before we see good action.

Sydney Alimin 07:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 07:31 GMT October 29, 2004

i think it is gone, but surprisingly stop losses are not triggered yet or not enough follow thru action?

Tokyo IM 07:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I meant it for USD/JPY. sorry

Tokyo IM 07:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Do not be so sure about this breach as of yet. It could bounce back as well.

melbourne farmacia 07:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
From GV reserach... fwiw

Chicago PMI report will be available to paid subscribers three minutes early beginning this Friday. For traders, this means that they should expect some interesting price action between 9:57 am NY Time and 10:00 am NY Time (13:57 GMT – 14:00 GMT) as rumors about the release will flood the markets

Budapest Daniel 07:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Sydney, at least a few things to consisder :)

Tokyo IM 07:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I think it will be bouncing against it with some little push back. But if they will not let it through today, then I am not responcible for monday or tuesday. One more possibility is a temporaly through and big bounce back. Please refer to some indicators for help. Looking into ichimoku would give some help.

Tokyo IM 07:21 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I vote for letting Yen be free from influence. FREE THE YEN

Sydney Alimin 07:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 07:16 GMT October 29, 2004

do you think it is reasonable to say that if this level is not broken, we could see a test of the upside of this range around 107?

Sydney Alimin 07:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 07:13 GMT October 29, 2004

i am afraid i can't give you any formula, support and resistance levels could be trendlines, fibonacci levels, round numbers which could be more psychological in its nature, in fact what is support today could be resistance the next day if it is breached, that is just some basic understanding of support and resistance levels

Tokyo IM 07:16 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Send me your money and I will go with some massive weapons to BOJ-MOF and maybe then we can break 106

Sydney Alimin 07:14 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
impressive, fourth time usd/jpy 106 being tested and still rejected, some tough customers are defending that price barrier, need more ammunition to push it down

Budapest Daniel 07:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney, is there anything else more accurarte in calculating s and r levels?

wellington am 07:13 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
kiwi/usd oversold. trend continues. staying long

hk ab 07:10 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
pack a bit dlr/jpy.

Sydney Alimin 07:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, those are resistance and support levels with respect to a certain pivot

Budapest Daniel 07:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys, can you please let me know if this is a good formula to calculate support and resistance points

Tallinn viies 07:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!
trying to short the euro today.
after elections we may see short term dollar strenght.
game must be revised if this week high taken out.

Sydney Alimin 07:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
eur/chf shows nice trending down pattern, in fact the 4hr chart just showed a 'falling three method' continuation pattern, if eur/jpy is sold later as well, it would be hard for euro to rally much

sofia anmart 07:01 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD-1.2770 We bought for 1.2900

hk grandpa 06:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
As older and more honorable member of family ...i provide all money for honorable daughter and honorable dad...if daughter no want to spend money for hats for son,thenshould teach son to put foot in mouth instead of hat.....grand pa....euro bear....

houston ken 06:58 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
time to short euro

Tokyo IM 06:56 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
hk family, are you living all separate. Why do you always comunicate via this forum. I would expect good family live togather in a big hous and with such a mom like your`s ware lots of diamonds.

Sydney Alimin 06:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
all of you hk family members are holding euros now, so you should all support each other, no more disagreement :)

hk grandpa 06:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
..before honorable daughter buy euro need to buy more hats for honorable son..

hk mom 06:45 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
a little bit more effort and we will see euro 1.2930 sooner rather than later.

SAIHAT 06:32 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
COULD BE R+S (EUROPE)

1.2684 1.2794
1.1949 1.2077

105.83 106.69
0.7408 0.7484

1.8202 1.8356
1.2192 1.2296

hong kong nt 06:23 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
AUD/NZD -- dark horse of the week..

houston ken 06:12 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
it does not matter he is still going to find a way and deal with the deficit . that is the only thing that will save dollar long term

Tokyo IM 06:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Let the fight begin ...

london 05:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
houston ken thinking the same Aud and Euro I know a bit off the wall but see down till next week and if Bush comes through next weeks winner,will see a Dollar Rally across the board. cheers

houston ken 05:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
selling aussie today on a reasonable spike

Los Angeles ss 05:46 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
sydn: I only short term trade AUD on tech indicators and chart patterns, looking for 20 pips at a time, so no real thoughts on longer term outlook.

london 05:40 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex We could at an outside chance see BOJ and that would be a aud negative

Melbourne Qindex 05:22 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
london 05:19 GMT - AUD/USD : It is going to be affected by AUD/JPY. We have to wait and see.

london 05:19 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex what action is there something going to happen in the next 4 hours ?? are you bearish Aud. cheers

Sydn 05:18 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss any aud stuff

Tokyo IM 05:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
I wish you a GT/GL, cause you will need it. Do not let sleepiness affect your desisions.

Melbourne Qindex 05:17 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 05:04 GMT - You are going to miss the action! Cheers!

Dallas GEP 05:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
IM YES off and on until probably 4 hours into US session

Melbourne Qindex 04:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

LA Fxnew 04:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GEP!

Tokyo IM 04:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP, are you planning to stay all night up ?

Dallas GEP 04:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW...I can't get my charts up now for some reason. I will post back when I do RE: GBP

Syd 04:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Aussie Trade Gap Expected Wider median forecast is deficit of A$2.2 billion in September compared to A$1.93 billion deficit August. Data due Monday at 0130 GMT.

Los Angeles ss 04:48 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
FX New -- from IFR: Shorts hung on by a small margin after the sharp recovery from the overnight
1.8195 lows to just below our 1.8355 stop. Intraday studies are at neutral
levels. Daily studies, with the exception of momentum, have rolled over to
sells from overbought, suggesting that a deeper downside correction is
possible.

LA Fxnew 04:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
need advice again :

any view on cable pls??? anyone ??

GEP --> whats ur view??

Thanks

Dallas admirer 04:41 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 03:34 GMT October 29, 2004
Just for fun tonight I will try to make 5-10K on a relatively small account. You guys can watch and see if I make it happen or fail like a dog!!! LOL!!!

aren't you demo trading on the forum by posting the above? if not then what do you call it? LOL!!

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:40 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have any further news on talk that Chinese switching out of Treasuries in to JGBs?

melbourne farmacia 04:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL - flat on intraday... 2nd account holding weighted ccy's... adding / covering etc...

melbourne 2nite 04:33 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP .. actually Sean IS doing something else .. .. since he is not enjoying his trading, he is posting insults as a mature adult.

Good luck to your endeavour .. 10k profit from 10 lot would need 100p move. ..

Dallas GEP 04:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
SS, I don't expect much action until an hour before LONDON.

Dallas GEP 04:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Amazing how people don't have the balllls to post with their real id!!! LOL

Los Angeles ss 04:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP-- any thoughts on cable for the next couple of hours?

Dallas admirer 04:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
YES you are! LOL

KL KL 04:25 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, does it mean you are flat now?? or still with some open possie?? I expect after China % hike some action today...looks like many are caught by this suprise and now checking their financial models....I smell something brewing and I don't like the feeling both equties, commodities and currency....& I have not included the geo political yet!!

Dallas GEP 04:24 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sean, it's real simple, I like to challenge myself and if that is being a nitwit than FINE, GUILTY. If you don't have fun making money then do something else.

Tokyo Sean 04:20 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Only a F-wit would make a post like Dallas GEP did about making money for fun. That shows a tremendous amount of imaturity in trading. It is obvious you have not been doing this for long mate.

Dallas GEP 04:11 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
NOPE not a chance.

Dallas admirer 04:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP 03:34 GMT hope your not demo trading for fun......LOL

Melbourne Qindex 04:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 04:03 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
OK the most I will take possie wise will be 5 lots. Possibly 10 lots if at very strong support or resistance point. There will be some 2-3 lot possies as well.

melbourne farmacia 04:02 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL – Early stages… watch fibo levels 1.8248 ( major ) & 1.8350 / 1.8287 ( intraday ).. Looking for break top side / or dip to major before up etc… need to see how London boys play first....

KL KL 03:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, how much $$$ in the small a/c - 10k ?? 20 K??.....5-10K is a lot to make in the day. I will try to "play" with you using my hit and run style. A bit quiet today in Asia session .... not volatile enough to enter yet or to my liking, gl gt

Sydney Alimin 03:59 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
the contis look ready to take off again or maybe it is too early to tell
re usd/jpy, it has been testing 106 level 3 times under 24 hours, another test and it looks set to break it, all IMHO

Dallas GEP 03:54 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Well I rather not say but I will post the number of lots I take. I am not sure we are going to have enough movement but we will see.

Sydney Ge11Ja 03:53 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
The market looks a little too quiet for me on last day of month given moves yesterday and level usd/yen. Market looks like it is suffering from complacency induced by rumours of BOJ. That could all end in tears very quickly. MOF/ BOJ dont necessarily focus on levels, they more worry about volatility and market getting ahead of itself. This move has been very orderly and could easily dip to 105 today/ tonight without any official concern.

Chicago Goofy 03:51 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 03:34 GMT October 29, 2004

Amazing, Ur statement just made me hot...I will follow you for sure. BTW, how small account do you mean?

hk grandad 03:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Honorable grand son listen to mom and has already eaten 3 hats!!!!!

KL KL 03:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, top of the day, need some tips from you with regards trade today and the level to get in or out and fibo level to look out for. Are we still in consolidation space for gbpusd eurusd audusd or do you see ignition started already. How about turn date for DOW, ASX??Tia

hk mom 03:47 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Did you listen to mother's advice to buy more euros underneath @10 day simple moving average, hk son?

Listen to mother's word, wear diamonds.

Dallas GEP 03:34 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Just for fun tonight I will try to make 5-10K on a relatively small account. You guys can watch and see if I make it happen or fail like a dog!!! LOL!!!

Melbourne Qindex 03:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Ge11Ja 03:31 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
houston ken 03:30 GMT October 29, 2004

I have a spike too down to 0.7435

houston ken 03:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
did you guys see the spike or is it my broker on aussie?

melbourne farmacia 02:50 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Syd 02:00 GMT October 29, 2004
Nothing major.... " The man had been loading his vehicle when he dropped a package containing 10 litres of hydrochloric and formic acid mixed in water. The liquid released a caustic, smoky haze on contact with air." the age

hk mom 02:49 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
No one wants to wear diamonds? Let me have it.
euro bounced off my 10 daily sma. It's wonderful.

london 02:43 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin may be thats it , the contrarian will kick in normally the case with extreme views

Sydney Alimin 02:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
h.e.l.l everywhere all analysts are saying SELL dollar as if there is no tomorrow, how low more can dollar go? looking at dollar index though, it has had a hard time jumping from 85, i guess gravity there is too much for it

but if everyone is selling dollar then who is gonna buy it? or is this just one of those psy-war and suddenly dollar make a strong rally kicking everyone hard? heck this is confusing, i take the advise, stay out

Sydney 02:35 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Speculators Push USD/JPY Back Down

Syd :-( 02:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
China rate hike to hurt LME metal prices further, making fresh peaks impossible in short-term; "base metals were already severely hit by a large technical correction two weeks ago and with this announcement it will now take even longer for confidence to return," says Barclays

hong kong nt 02:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
seems China is helping Bush...

Syd 02:00 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE (AP)--Emergency services were treating people for nausea and respiratory irritation after a package exploded at a courier company in the city of Melbourne Friday, police and ambulance officials said Ambulance services were called to the courier company in Tullamarine, northwest of the Victorian capital of Melbourne at 9.30am local time (1130 GMT Thursday), and about 400 people were evacuated from the building.

Syd 01:42 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
RBA can hold rates a while longer as credit growth not reaccelerating.

Syd 01:37 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   

Australian Private-Sector Credit +0.9% In Sept Vs Aug
Lowest Since March 2002

wisconsin tim 01:30 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 10/29/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1
10/28/2004 AUDUSD 0.7501 0.7422
10/28/2004 EURGBP 0.6979 0.6945
10/28/2004 EURUSD 1.2832 1.2710
10/28/2004 EURYEN 135.59 134.60
10/28/2004 GBPUSD 1.8406 1.8260
10/28/2004 GBPYEN 194.70 193.20
10/28/2004 NDZUSD 0.6870 0.6792
10/28/2004 USDCAD 1.2256 1.2126
10/28/2004 USDCHF 1.2041 1.1892
10/28/2004 USDYEN 106.25 105.13

Syd 01:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
MARKET TALK: Japan May Not Step In Until USD/JPY Sub-103

Dallas GEP 00:57 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Eur/CHF: not much range but it should long back up to the 5320 area. 30 minute and 1 hour it is a confirmed LONG

Philadelphia caba 00:44 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Good evening GEP, may I ask you on your view on EUR/CHF? Thanks

Dallas GEP 00:39 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi Gang. Careful today, surprises will be in store no doubt

Ldn 00:38 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
If more Japan exporters sell in Asia EUR/JPY can fall to yesterday's low 134.82

Melbourne Qindex 00:29 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 00:09 GMT - It is better for you to ignore that post if you are not an option player or position trader.

Syd 00:28 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY may fall as low as 104.70-80 in run-up to U.S. election says Japan dealer

Syd :-( 00:26 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Australian miners hit hard by China rate hike, fear that major Asian economy will slow, force analysts to reassess profit implications for majors such as BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, WMC Resources and Alumina.

TLV B747 00:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
good morning to all,

PLEASE keep on hitting the USD...PLEASE !!!
buy "made in far east" in USA and ship it worldwide :-)



gt all

LA fxnew 00:09 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The defensive line for BOJ is 100.68

Mr Quindex:
is that a typo??? are you saying yen still has room to go down 600 pts?

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:07 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:04 GMT October 29, 2004
by this week i meant the upcoming week.

bye everyone and good night.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:04 GMT October 29, 2004 Reply   
my next possie: long on 11th nov,2004.

good luck everyone I am out of here with my 1.2645 target in view or this week.

TIA:-)

 




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