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Forex Forum Archive for 11/01/2004

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Melbourne Qindex 23:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Speculative selling will increase if the market can penetrate through the barrier at 106.27 - 106.32.

Dallas GEP 23:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
HIGH shown was .7507 on AUSSIE

Dallas GEP 23:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Giuys I don't see that on any other platform.

GA TJ 23:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 23:48 GMT November 1, 2004

I saw the spike on my charts then I reloaded the data and it was gone. Hope that was in your favor.

Dallas GEP 23:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
TG......not if they spike up and get an order I am going short on!!!!. DID ANYONE else see that AUD/USD spike. This was with FFFFXXXXCCCCMMM

Toronto YV 23:52 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP,hope they sell on 95 for you , no spike on mine .

Syd 23:52 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP can I have what your on

SanFrancisco TG 23:50 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP - You really need to change dealers.

Dallas GEP 23:48 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Guys we must have had a spike on AUD/USD Because I got a fill at .7495 on an order I had waiting. It was filled 8 minutes agao WTF????

Livingston nh 23:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I am now long USD/CHF, USD/CAD and short Cable // the Fed should come into play

Dallas GEP 23:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL what indicators are you using to signal these possies????

KL KL 23:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Long gbpusd at 1.8319...sl 10 below must be quick to risk!!

Dallas GEP 23:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I would look to price action to take ccy's to pivot points and then consolidation will probably occurr until AFTER elections . These points generally be where at least for the time being the NEW SELLERS won't want to sell and the NEW BUYERS won't want to BUY. BTW we aren't there yet BUT I beleive prices will MOVE more towrd the USD bulls side.

Melbourne Qindex 23:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

KL KL 23:24 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd short at 1.8327 from 1.8344 +17 is good start on a new day and Melbourne Cup day in Australia...anyone here punting....What GEP say may be correct throw out the TA these few days and may I add use momentum!!

MacabiDiva (not sure the spelling), Elstrom, Mummyfied...I think these 3 will be the few to lookout on a potential wet day. imho

knoxville dan-k 23:13 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
well i think if their are 10 people in space and 6,000,000,000 people on earth then we all live off the land except for the 10
rofl

YVR MAXXIM 23:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 23:08 GMT November 1, 2004
MAXXIM low today has been 1.8295

on this down leg lol. ty.

Sydney Ge11Ja 23:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
The question has to be asked, how many people live off the land these days? Why is that lobby so strong? In the US 1.9% derive their living off the land, got to be similar here.

Dallas GEP 23:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
MAXXIM low today has been 1.8295

Syd 23:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja when it does happen will be brilliant but think its a little premature expecting it any day - the Deputy Prime Minister John Anderson has got to be totally convince first as he deals with the farmers , which is one of the big obstacles.

YVR MAXXIM 23:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Got low of 1.8322 so far what,your board showing dallas. tia

maxx z

Syd 23:01 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th
Good morning, without getting too deep my feeling on the aud its in a range 68 - 75 ish allowing for an overshoot each end - Telstra are putting prices up again at xmas so a little more manipulation to do before a float. China ,Commodities ,deficit and rates all a factor which when the market decides the USD is in favor will be used to turn against the Aud .

Dallas GEP 23:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
STOPS on gbp/usd shorts is 1.8367

Sydney Ge11Ja 22:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I am also short eur/yen from yesterday, I think that is going a lot lower. Even elections etc cant make me think Europe is a better place to hold money right now than Japan.

Dallas GEP 22:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
OK.....lately price action has NOT been following most technical indicators specifically MACD's and STOCHS. IMO it is better to play off moving averages and fib points. OVERSOLD and OVERBOUGHT lately has meant VERY little so take that for what's it worth. Going to LONGER timeframes seems to work BUT that won't get you the quick movements when seen. 5 minute charts seem to work OK but you have to be IN and OUT VERY quickly to get your pips. In other words the market right now is a real SOB. I would suggest you get 20 pips maybe and GET out to reload if you want.

BTW I have another GBP short @ 1.8345 waiting but I have some doubts I will see it in Asia. I would not be in GBP shorts when LONDON opens if it can be avoided.

Sydney Ge11Ja 22:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd 22:30 GMT November 1, 2004

Thanks sold AUD at 0.7460, you removed my last hurdle to selling. I am looking for 0.7410

Ltn th 22:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd's. There seems something a little odd in discreprency between opinion pieces of banks or, at least how it is reported, and hard data and revenue projections just now. Think Rupert??
I listened to John McFarlanes speech which was reported much more bearishly than it came over. Still ANZ's propoganda has been a little odd since their recent kiwi acquisitions.

Re Telstra. Some murmuring in the corridors of both houses on both sides. Split may be re-visited as recent rate and scope of technology change makes hardware investment less attractive whilst enhancing value of marketing expertise and market penetration. The old saw of socialised risk and privatise profits will apply especially since the community views non govt monopoly or legislated prerogatives for private corporations less favrably these days.

Syd 22:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Treasurer Peter Costello said Telstra probably couldn't be sold in one tranche and might not be possible for up to five years. Investment advisers expect the final Telstra stake to be sold sometime in 2006

dont hold my breath.

Syd 22:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja yes but not till ( 2006 ) , Costello has no intention of any sale in the near future.

wisconsin tim 22:25 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
love disclosures like this:
The strategies have been back tested using TradeStation 8 and possibly MetaStock

Sydney Ge11Ja 22:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd 22:18 GMT November 1, 2004

There is also talk this morning that Telstra will be sold in one block ie 30 Bio AUD, bulls will use that as an excuse to hold on. I think its going to trade lower but price action doesnt give me confidence to build a short at the right level.

Toronto Waverider 22:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Someone just told me holiday tom in US? National celibacy day, no dick and no bush. (drumroll) It's just a joke, I don't care who wins, so don't flame me.

Syd 22:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Few discrete positives for AUD , pace of global growth is slowing; China's rate hike may be first of a few; risk to commodity prices is to downside; local current account yet to show cyclical improvement in spite of record highs in terms of trade; interest rate support for AUD is limited. The clear summation for the AUD is that the only real reason to be bullish over the medium term is if investors are equally (if not more) bearish on the USD Short-term positioning suggests downside bias to mid 0.7300 area, but if U.S. election is "a debacle," AUD can stay higher for longer.
NAB currency strategy report.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 22:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
3 RANGE

1.8302 1.8353
1.8200 1.8455
1.8243 1.8411


NO COMMENTS

YVR MAXXIM 22:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gbp-usd lows---1.8416-8311-8306-8297-8312- playing long side instead of short more profit right now imhop. 50 fib.(1.8307) not broken on 1 hour. see pullback maybe to 1.8327 from 1.8351. trend ur friend.

maxx z.

hk mom 22:16 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, usdchf has made a very clear and nice key-day reversal.
Listen to gecko, wear diamonds ;)
buy usdchf during pull back.

NYC YIPPEE 22:15 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Still, it is bucket shops like yours that make it hard for people like me to make a living. I'll watch you for you on the CFTC web site.

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 22:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
No affiliation, lol...

Spotforex NY 22:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Mo is known as the 'show me' state...show some actual returns and may may have something.......

Spotforex NY 22:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Marshfield AMA

not too much of a difference from hypothical and hyperbol....

Big difference in demo trading and actual trading.....

good luck and make sure you pay GV some ad money.....

NYC YIPPEE 22:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
"Hypothetical trading results from JAN 2003 to SEPT 22, 2004"............. SCARY !!!!

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 22:02 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Company looking for system developers/ programmers. If there are any of you with a verifiable background with trading performance and or systems. Would like to talk with you if you are interested also.

www.atcmfx.com

the lou 22:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
holding EUR/USD short... falling asleep

KL KL 21:52 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP me tooo got some at gbpusd short at 1.8344...rather sneeky of me...just happen so quickly the bid

Dallas GEP 21:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Got some gbp/usd short at 1.8342. trying to get more possies in if it pips up to 42-45 again

perrie como 21:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Unprecedented
The last US presidential election finshed with the same number of votes for both candidates.

The political parties after proposing a new round of elections lost most of their fund raisers.

Until the problem will not be solved the last president will continue to act as the Official US president.

Joke News

Toronto YV 21:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh, thanks .

JHB SA 21:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Yebo all!!!Been a long time .At last well settled in Cape Town & ready to trade again.Zar, very cofusing, but not too much of a bull anymore.GEP, nice to see u again. GL GT. Boys here are punting Bush.

KL KL 21:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Perhaps Hawaii going to Bush?? Everyone looking at OHIO....Clevland Rock?? Dollar Rocks

Ltn th 21:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
nh// On the subject of horse races. The RBA meets today for intensive study and analysis of form guide.
Informed insiders speculate that, rather than discussing interest rates, they will concentrate on question of whether to authorise major intervention to cap EURAUD as certain irishmen repatriate their winnings later in day.

Halifax CB 21:02 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip - No doubt; but all these guys have long histories (Saddam's roots lie in the rise to power of the psychoba'ths during the Kennedy/Johnson era). And of course Fidel; think how much nicer the world might be if he had made the US major leagues :)
Anyway, you fail to mention that ObL was favoured by the States because of the threat he posed to the old Soviet Union in Afghanistan. If you can point to information from back then that defines him as a clear threat to the US, I'd be happy to consider it. Cheers.

Livingston nh 20:46 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Toronto - FYG - if tomorrow at 9 PM EST North Carolina is declared in the Kerry Camp there will likely be a new President / If North Carolina does not fall in the Kerry Camp watch Wisconson at 10 PM EST - if neither falls in Kerry Camp stay flat

Syd 20:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy ,SanFrancisco TG is it that time of the month or something for you two?

perrie como 20:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
A Weak USD Preference - Morgan Stanley
Stephen L Jen, Economist at Morgan Stanley
We remain constructive on the USD medium-term. Our forecasts are unchanged. However, the risk is rising of a shift in policy preference towards a weaker USD under the next US administration. This poses the single biggest risk to our USD call. What I am concerned about. The USD broke out of its 8-month range two weeks ago.

Dallas GEP 20:32 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I wonder tom, if with each state's election results the CCY's will twitch one way or the other!!!! That would be difficult trading to say the least!!! LOL

Toronto YV 20:32 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
When will the result of election be announced ? And should we expect the market to be dead for the next 24 hours or so because of election ? TIA .

Juneau CAR 20:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SF is not open minded. If the US had a 3 trillion twin deficit, the dollar and DOW in freefall, he would still somehow spin it that it was someng else fault or it was good news.

You are wasting your breath on him!

Mtl JP 20:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio 19:47 / seeing as "traders are holding their largest net long position ever", some traders would use that info to take out a bet that the there are not that many more new and additional buyers left in the market to push the price even higher.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 20:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Looks Like some selling will happen on Yen

SanFrancisco TG 20:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Oh, I wasn't aware that GDP, Industrial Production, and major contributors to economic condition stopped becoming relevent lately Stockholm. Enjoy your day folks. Think I'll pull my wheels out of the mud here and get on with business. I'm sure some of you will make use of the data.

Dublin Flip 20:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
"ObL is really a product of the Clinton administration much more than Bush's"
OBL goes back much further than Slick Willie. He was on the US Payroll back in the eighties thanks to Bush Snr in his and Regean's day. "Sins of the father are visited on the son"

Stockholm AGuy 19:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 19:50 GMT: "No actually"

Yes actually.

"those are two separate pieces of economic data from two separate sections of my records."

Irrelevant. Every single statement you made in that post is incorrect, no matter which of your "records" it came from.

"You seem more interested in fighting the facts"

Uh, no. I'm quite interested in (relevant) facts. Alas, the post in question contains none.

Ldn 19:53 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio relevant in the big picture.

SanFrancisco TG 19:50 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
"AGuy" - No actually those are two separate pieces of economic data from two separate sections of my records. I assumed most would understand that. You seem more interested in fighting the facts than observing them. Too bad.

Dallas Mauricio 19:47 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Pardon my ignorance, is this $ Bullish or Bearish?

Ldn 19:44 GMT November 1, 2004
Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show large speculative traders are holding their largest net long position ever in 10-year note futures ahead of the October payrolls report release.

SanFrancisco TG 19:47 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - Big data, thank you. But please try and not be so political haha :)

Ldn 19:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show large speculative traders are holding their largest net long position ever in 10-year note futures ahead of the October payrolls report release.

Ldn 19:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
The market in whole is very short dollars in advance of the election, and as such any twitchy trading is going to be to the upside, as caution leads to covering.

Stockholm AGuy 19:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 19:36 GMT:

Oh my. Now you're confusing industrial production with growth rate of the same, and monthly rates with annualized ones to boot...

SanFrancisco TG 19:36 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I could easily be a sissy and say fine you don't need valuable information then. But I know there are those here who like to have as much real perspective as possible. So here are a couple more facts ...

As of August 2004, US industrial production stood at 5.6% compared to 2.9% for Germany and (-)1.2% for France.

To provide a clear understanding of recent European Union Gross Domestic Product compared to US Gross Domestic Product, French GDP for the first half of 2004 was approximately 0.8% while the US recorded a record 8.2% GDP in just a single month in the same year.

Enjoy your day.

Stockholm AGuy 19:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 19:30 GMT: "some people who don't want to hear that Bush has done a good job want to make sure the facts are branded as political"

The statement "Bush has done a good job" is not a fact, it's a judgement on the performance of a political candidate. So would be "Bush has done a bad job". Both statements therefore belong in the Political forum, not here.

"Quite a mix of level headed people and screwups here."

Indeed.

SanFrancisco TG 19:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Hmmm, this is fascinating. You've got a like me who takes economic conditions seriously and makes sure he has the facts, volounteers his countless hours of research to the forum, yet some people who don't want to hear that Bush has done a good job want to make sure the facts are branded as political and banished from the forum.

Absolutely fascinating. Quite a mix of level headed people and screwups here.

Stockholm AGuy 19:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 19:07 GMT:

Oh, please! I'm looking at the US campaign from the outside, quite grateful that I don't have to choose either candidate - honestly I don't know which one is worse. But I do know an apology for the incumbent's economic record when I see it.

Please do take it to the Political forum.

SanFrancisco TG 19:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Uh, no. These are extremely prudent economic facts for recent and current economic conditions that are barely circulated. To cast them as "political" is an amazing example of the extreme people will go to to ignore economic truth at any cost.

Halifax CB 19:06 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Think we better head over to the political forum, we can decapitate each other there :)

houston ken 19:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB if osama = clinton then sadam = ????? lol

houston ken 19:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG on whose watch did all these happened?

Halifax CB 18:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SF TG - Agree with you completely in many respects. People forgt that ObL is really a product of the Clinton administration much more than Bush's, and that 911 happened on Dubya's watch was more a matter of a few chads than anything else...
It's also quite useful to have the economic background to keep the US situation in perspective. Thx

Stockholm AGuy 18:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 18:44 GMT: ..."pertinent economic facts"

Not to the FX forum. For last-minute US campaigning, you may want to consider the Political forum.

SanFrancisco TG 18:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
While its slow these are both interesting and pertinent economic facts. Nearly 70 percent of the job loss we have experienced occurred during the 2001 recession and immediately after the attacks of September 11th. In the three months after September 11th, the economy lost nearly one million jobs. To act as if there is a job crisis due to current management, or the rebound from such devastation has been slow when the current unemployment rate is below the average rate of the 1970ís, 1980ís, and 1990ís is absurd. The destruction of physical assets from the terror attack was estimated in the national accounts to amount to $14 billion for private businesses, $1.5 billion for State and local government enterprises and $0.7 billion for Federal government. Rescue, cleanup and related costs have been estimated to amount to at least $11 billion. Lower Manhattan lost approximately 30 per cent of its office space and scores of businesses disappeared. The implied projected cumulative loss in national income through the end of 2003 amounted to roughly half a trillion dollars.

tim los angeles 18:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok, the market is very quiet, I think the dolar go down, ... gbpusd 1,8400 before 1,8200;

Helsinki iw 18:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Anybody care to explain why TG San Fran is scared shitless while being a citizen of the most powerful nation around today?

GA TJ 18:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Electoral College System explained. In the Help Forum I just posted a short and sweet with the high points explaination.

Eilat Dolphin 18:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GEP, Hallifax.

st. louis 18:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
thoughts on EUR/USD today?

Halifax CB 18:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Electoral college rules & history
It's a complicated system. OTOH, it does seem to work....

Livingston nh 18:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Care there GEP - Electors are not always bound and some states can allocate electors (Colorado and Maine may split this year) which could create a tie (possible but unlikely)

KL KL 18:19 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
NY and London boys gone home???hey come back please I am awake....help me make some market...this is boring now...oh well time to go to bed again...so that was the squaring eh...looks like a nice set up tomorrow..

My prediction on US election will be BUSH.

2year Republic, 2 Years Democrats...sounds fair to me one wreck the economy, the other fixes it....meanwhile we all get squish in the middle....who wreck and who fixes is like chicken and egg argument....sometime I feel if they did not do anything we will still have the economic ups and down....life goes on regardless!!

Dallas GEP 18:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
BTW...for those not familiar with the electoral process in the US. Each state is required to cast ALL of their electoral votes for the candidate that wins that state. This leaves OPEN the possibilty that a PRESIDENT can get elected and NOT have the majority vote. THAT"S what happeded last time when GORE (democratic candidate) WON the overall popular vore but LOST Florida and so those were the deciding ELECTORAL votes that won BUSH the election

LA Fxnew 18:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
All pairs seem not moving .. thin market at this moment..

Anyone assume cable will move fast pretty soon?

SanFrancisco TG 18:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
CB - I know people who are far away from being the overreactive or emotional type who are also quite successful living in SF who intend to sell their propery and disburse from SF should Kerry win. The overwhelming arguments are the area is already taxed too much and will become an even easier target for a wmd as Kerry weakens the US military, anti-terror efforts, and intelligence sources such as the CIA, which was quite stripped down before Bush got there. I've been having some very surprising conversations lately.

No matter who is in office we are going to have market moving events in coming months, the only difference will be if they are US positive or US negative depending on agendas and result.

Dallas GEP 18:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Well I think it depends a great deal on who you surround yourself with from an advisor standpoint. BUSH I feel is much more a hawk than a dove and some of his advisors are even MORE hawkish. So in that regard, there is NO DOUBT in my mind that BUSH would react more quickly to any perceived threat than KERRY would. TO the extent that discourages attacks I guess would be considered a very good thing. TO th extent that military action MIGHT be taken BEFORE a non-military solution is given a chance, in THAT regard of course it is NOT desirable. Personally BUSH IMO is too hawkish and KERRY is too DOVEISH. The most CURRENT poll show that the AMERICAN voters are much more comfortable in BUSH handling perceived threats to US interests compared to KERRY. If the UNDECIDED voter feels this to be a deciding factor, BUSH will get the undecideds and will WIN tom.

KL KL 18:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Kerry is cheap talker - "we will use technology to resolve our oil problem"....how ..."by investing in company that can create more enegy efficient cars"???..American so gullible??

Oil will not see levels below $42-43 imho for some time to come...if company directors have any brains they should lock some in at that level before it start its 60-69 journey...I am buying big time near the $42 level.

Lastly OBL still unrepented ... to H*** with him ... the more muslim support him the better the chance that the nation will change Govt.......good we need to start disturbing their cosy exiestence. Notice the muslim nations RARELY take the lead role....to go and send their people to support Humanitarian activities???why?? Something very wrong with this religion logic. Also very keen to establish autonomous states to be run under Islamic laws....like the problem in Southern Thailand, North Malaysia, Indonesia, Phillipines, Russia...etc as if their continuous violence does give them the right to exist!!! Over my dead body!!

he he must be the time I am awake to give them all a serve and waiting for my tp on gbpusd short out now at 1.8324...happy with 18 pips...!!

Halifax CB 17:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin - nice post about history...Dallas GEP - what scares me more about Kerry is that Democrats seem to have a tradition of mucking about until political situations are really out of control (rather in the Neville Chamberlain style) until big wars are the only remaining option. E.g Wilson, Roosevelt, Truman, Kennedy/Johnson all spring to mind....

Dallas GEP 17:52 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Speech I guess that was released a day or two ago RE; UBL. Markets are VERY VERY jumpy. Expected SOME usd buying going into elections but it may be simply USD shorts squaring out. COULD have already seen that BUT euro and GBP both to me look still a little heavy. I think if one wanted to make say 10-15 pips a possie this market COULD work out that way. We for instance have already had 3 trips dwon on GBP from 1.8335 to 1.8300/10 for instance. I am not quite comfortable trading it to tell you the truth.

Pecs Andras 17:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Joe

LondonJoe 17:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
RBA meets tomorrow... decision is wednesday 9.30 am sydney time .. nothing priced in for a hike whatsoever..

Pecs Andras 17:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Anybody knows what time is the RBA rate announcement?
TIA

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy.. when at 135.64
please focuse on bottom target 134.11.
hold your sell please..
cu tomorrow my friends..
sorry if too often posting here.
Good Luck !!

Eilat Dolphin 17:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP/ I agree, but you have to excuse OBL because somehow he didn't read the history books. (Possibly because he was in England on some schooling, and, as these Brits are a bit snobbish toward you US, (in those years then at least), the didn't tell him about Yamamoto, Iwo Jima, only Viet nam, thus he never grasped the p‚rticularyty of the US nation.

Possibly, he might have made the decision for Bush victory.
Normal, it's not the first time that a tyrant gets exactely the opposite of what he entrepreneered.


Anyway, it was also a formidable show of his total military wickness with was, and still is $ supportive.

But it should be fading off. I don't see a stronger $ in the coming 24 H, but TELL me your opinion because I am just out of the sea and with other interesrts to pursue soon; while my euro thing is still twenty feet underwater after almost 2-4H candels burned...
TIA!

KL KL 17:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok awake now....very nice gold down a bit, oil down $2....time to buy USD.?? so short gbpusd 1.8342...sl 10 above...wow that was quick...locking in 1 pip gain sl now 1.8341, now 2 pip...sl 1.834....can relax and watch circus. Data out quite ok. Oil down "should" be good for USD....USA...USA!!! ....he he he currency is a game you need to change your allegience quickly!!

SanFrancisco TG 17:32 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I'm curious to know how many here think Iran's parlaimentary vote yesterday to complete their nuclear program while they cheered "death to America" is going to result in a market moving event in the near future due to conflict? I think it all depends on who is at the helm in the US. If Bush is in office, Iran will not succeed. If Kerry is in office, a nuclear detonation on US soil is inevitable due to weakened resolve is what I am hearing overwhelmingly.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gbp/uusd will go to 8310 again..

Livingston nh 17:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP - did you see the two panel joke about both sides using OBL tape withe voice over - "I'm __ (pres Bush or Kerry) and I approve this message"

Dallas Mauricio 17:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
What's UBL speech?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 17:11 GMT November 1, 2004

u are welcome

Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
UBL speech apparently according to other translators warns that any state that votes for BUSH is to be consudred enemy and ones that vote for Kerry are to be considred one that want a change for better relationship. The threat also says the BUSH states will be held responsible for their actions.

From a US viewpoint, this threat is very foolish for the desired effect it might have is quite the opposite of what UBL wants.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
explosion in Iraq oil pipe line..
I think only temporary reaction. I think oil is the second variable now..keep your buy of usd..

Dallas Mauricio 17:19 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Short Cable @ 1.8337

Dallas Mauricio 17:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks. Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 17:04 GMT November 1, 2004
I got difficult to answer the question about time frame, because I use continuation chart, if not show me today..will hold until tomorrow and so on..

Livingston nh 17:06 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Swissy working on an outside day and Cable may be next - Cable 200 da MA is the nearest of EUR, CHF that may be breached -- don't forget 1.30 EUR was a sure thing earlier this year

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:06 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad will go to top range at 1.2305-2318..
hold your buy please!!
lets see..what will happen if chart touch that range..

Dallas Mauricio 17:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Please advise as to what time frame. Today, tomorrow... TIA

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:58 GMT November 1, 2004
manuver gbp/usd to go 1.8335 means the preparing of target low 8224 or lower at 8209..I prefer 8209 than 8224.

George New York 17:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
what is going on? I want much weaker dolar right now.

Livingston nh 17:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
DAT - the CB's are whistling past the graveyard - my experience they have less of a clue than most (one of the reasons G'span puts faith in markets) - Japan may be the poster child for the economies of EU and US as populations age

quito_ecuador_valdez 16:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Just for speculation's sake, I see retracement on E/$ 30 day chart possibly going back to Oct 22 @ 1.2600; 1.2700 (Oct 29) for the least. I think some USD tenseness is unwinding already, frankly, as some players getting tired of caution & "want" to excercise optimism (right or wrong).

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
manuver gbp/usd to go 1.8335 means the preparing of target low 8224 or lower at 8209..I prefer 8209 than 8224.

Halifax CB 16:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
looks like USDCAD is now moved into the range of 1.220-1.2250 with some give at either end. There's a fairly new rising channel that started around 4:30 GMT I think we'll follow for the next little while. GL/GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I look gbp/usd must be finished its minor cyclic at 1.8335 before down sharply to go 1.8270-73..
be carefull !!

sofia anmart 16:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD should be resisted at 1.2745-50 for the final decline for this pattern to 1.2680.

st. louis 16:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
sold EUR/USD 1.2733

Boulder DAT 16:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh...

Interesting point. However, if inflation raises up an extra 1.5% (the ironic difference between interest rates moving from .5% to 2%) wouldn't that eat up the very same savings earned that you talk about?

It would be hard to determine what is actually going to happen at this point. Almost all the CB's have come out and said the rise in oil prices is going to have little to no effect overall. I try and never disagree with the Fed bosses. They seem to know a ton more than me. So maybe the CB bosses won't move at all. The only people who seem to be concerned are the actual consumers. PPI/CPI hasn't shown any sizable increase. But, confidence numbers are coming down all over with the concern of higher oil.

manila stubbs 16:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
sofia anmart 16:39 GMT November 1, 2004

how far down is your projected target for the correction of the euro before resuming its uptrend? TIA

Livingston nh 16:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Boulder DAT - From the other side-- consider that the Japanese need the higher interest rates (it has been the problem for many years) to draw out the hoarded funds - in a nation of savers if you move from 1/2 % to 2% you have increased disposable income significantly which increases domestic demand (akin to the elderly retired in the US in early '80s when CD rates were 13%) - if domestic demand expands money can flow out rather than in (money goes home in bad times)

sofia anmart 16:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD should make a temporary bottom at 1.2715 for a retracement to 1.2745-50 before the next slide.

Boulder DAT 16:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw...

Great question... It depends.

Ultimately, I do not see any reason for any of the foreign appetites waning. There would have to be a major shift in policies for foreign central banks to stop buying U.S. debt. I don't see any reason for these banks to change these policies for now. There is a lot more to this answer than probably what I have room (and time) for on GV.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ooops sorry.. I mean 421.25..(not 421.15)..LOL

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gold chart !!
I think gold chart is ready now to get 421.15 after got buying reaction when touched 425.88.
lets see..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gold have get 425.88 as the bottom.. lets chart will be finished for its corection..

Helsinki iw 16:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
DAT, what implications do you see on Japanese appetite for US bonds under that scenario?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hard battle in gbp/usd near 1.8302.. but I think that level will be passed. welcome to 1.8224 !!..

Boulder DAT 16:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
My concern is the $/•. I took some profits accross the board last week. With the price of oil in the past few weeks reaching contract highs, this has to have some kind of effect on the economy of Japan. Here is the loaded shotgun:

a. Higher oil prices mean higher inflation. This should force the hand of the MOF in interest rates to some extent. The end of stagflation should mean a lower $/•.

b. Higher oil prices are going to affect the the purchasing decision of the country. Ultimately, with a country as dependent on foreign oil as Japan, this slow-down should be felt in the overall economy. Higher $/•.

This is where it gets interesting. If the end of stagfaltion is actually (and finally) here, then with a lower $/• this could offset the higher price of oil somewhat. It will be interesting to see where oil goes from here, and what the overall market interpretation is.

Asti Bandung 16:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Jawa !! how are you ?...whats your views about gbp/usd ...got my daily support at 1.8205/1.8185...tia!!

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 16:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 15:47 GMT November 1, 2004
not 11th but 12th nov,2004 as i posted below if you view properly. 2ndly, I post my calls here and hope that it helps guide someone(if it does at all). I don't want to comment on how profitable it is. On all other people's posts here, including yours - no comments and best of luck with all my heart for your trade calls and posts.

for everyone including me: "Remember that FX is ruthless and there is nothing that is impossible in it." - none of us should make the mistake of sticking to our confidence as that is exactly the TRAP the FX market lays infront of everyone of us daily.

of course, AIMVVVHO!

I am outta here now.

TIA:-)

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Boulder DAT 15:53 GMT November 1, 2004
(Valdez agrees..good post amigo)

Helsinki iw 15:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Agree with you DAT.

Boulder DAT 15:53 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Looks like there may be a correction in the next few sessions in store for the U.S. dollar. I expect the election, that although close, will probably not be a repeat of the 2000 election. With that, the dollar will most likely see a move towards positive territory correcting any "skittishness" in the market leading up to tomorrow's election. However, I doubt that this will be long-term. The data coming out of America hasn't exactly been rosy. But, then again, the rest of the world hasn't been stellar as well. Still with a dollar correcttion in the next few days, it could provide great buying opportunities for euro, cable, and aussie. Also, I'm very bearish on $/• and $/cad.

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:47 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 15:33 GMT November 1, 2004
No "point" this time amigo, just posting tomorrow's calendar for those who want it.

Texas// interesting you'd pick Nov11 to long E/$..that's within 24 hours from when I figure things will straighten out enough to do some decent trading...why? The results may be contested fiercely..maybe not..it's 50-50 chance, may need that much time to ascertain the actual vote counts for the electoral college to officially do their "thing". Also, Nov 11 is end of 2nd week of "election fallout" & chop, would be time for big money gain enough confidence to enter mkt if above goes as said.

My model shows a very big longterm long for the pair..but that's just my own model (which has been accruate all year thus far..FWIW).

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 15:46 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
HK GRANDPA 15:41 GMT November 1, 2004
LOL...
here buy more "topi miring".LOL my local product of Jhony walker..

Surabaya Medallion 15:46 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I think EUR will rise to 1.278 at tomorrow Asian session.

Los Angeles ss 15:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden, what happens at 1.8302 for gbp, up or down at that point??

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 15:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd chart I think will be finished at 0.7358 as the bottom target..

Toronto YV 15:42 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
re:quito_valdez :"Don't know if demo server=live server" it is not . They back to service now.

HK GRANDPA 15:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 15:37 GMT November 1, 2004
SELL DOLLARS....BUY MORE JOHNY WALKER....

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 15:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gold chart changed railway forcast.. not at 426.55..but 425.88 as bottom target..

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 15:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
small change: my next long is on 12th nov,2004 opening price not 11th.

gl everyone.

TIA:-)

Texas(Jksn.) p 15:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
small change: my next long is on 12th nov,2004 opening price not 11th.

gl everyone.

TIA:-)

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 15:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 15:23 GMT November 1, 2004
Didn't get what you said. Kindly rephrase.

TIA:-)



lopoie;-)

Madrid CAB 15:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Maybe this can help
http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
LA Fxnew 15:15 GMT November 1, 2004
Toronto YV 15:12 GMT November 1, 2004
Ref Oan*a platform..I fired up their demo FWIW when you posted, seems to be OK..they did flatline on their chart I see abt 4 min after 15:04-15:10GMT.Don't know if demo server=live server.

Sydney gvm 15:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ultimately the elections do not matter

Debt will bury America

Debt will bury the US Dollar

Sell dollars - wear 'gold bracelets'

Sydney gvm 15:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez

and your point is....

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:32 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
While we'rel staring at erratic USD pairs, (as if econ news tomorrow) would even come close to preceeding US elections tomorrow) , here's maŮana's lineup.
All times GMT(EST now=GMT-4) es=estimate pr=previous
2-Nov

EUR Ital Budget Def't (Net OCT) pr=8.6B
EUR Ital Budget Def't (Cumulative OCT) pr=51.1B
DEM Retail Sales (MoM AUG) 7:00 es=0.0% pr=1.1%
DEM Retail Sales (YoY SEP) 7:00 es=-1.6% pr=-0.9%
EUR Ital Lge Co. Employ't (YoY AUG) 8:30 -pr=0.5%
GBP CIPS Constr. Ind. PMI 9:30
GBP PMI Constr (survey OCT) 9:30 es=56.2 pr=56.8
GBP CBI Distributive Trades Rpt. 11:00 pr=-4
EUR Fr. New Car Reg. (YoY OCT) 11:00 pr=-0.7%
AUD RBA Cash Tgt Nov 22:30 es=0.0525 pr=0.0525
USD US Presidential Elections

Sydney gvm 15:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
septik = cockney rhyming slang for 'septik tank' = yank'

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 15:28 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd will get 1.8302 again !!..
eur/usd pelase focuse on 2588.

Dallas Mauricio 15:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
As in tank?

Sydney gvm 15:23 GMT November 1, 2004
Texas(Jksn.) PNB

You must be a septic?

Sydney gvm 15:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB

You must be a septic?

Whats your call - the Texas Bull or non?

Livingston nh 15:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ISM 56.8 - export orders decline but rising prices are a concern

Sydney gvm 15:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
uh hah

so thats the $ rally

well... kinda reminds me of those embarassing dinner party guests.. you know ... you remember... the boring ones

LA Fxnew 15:15 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
yeah ... o a n daaaa sux... down at this critical moment

Toronto YV 15:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Is anybody experiencing problem with censored o*a**n*d*a ?

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 15:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Lndn Frnd 14:18 GMT November 1, 2004
Thank you but I am a very small person and I would like to stay that way as too many good words disturb my objectivity of reading the charts properly. I am honoured to be in the presence of such amicable traders as is found in this forum.

TIA:-)

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Looks like data is being used as chance to BUY more USD

HK Kevin 14:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Stop below 135.40, high yield low risk trade.

HK Kevin 14:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, long EUR/JPY earlier this hr at 135.52. t/p 136.80 if close above 136.00 at NY close. If not, cover the position.

Dallas Mauricio 14:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I agree.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:16 GMT November 1, 2004
I think this week,
More caution in entry + wider range
Less lots
and Hit and run
Might be good for this week

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:24 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
LA Fxnew 14:15 GMT November 1, 2004
gbp/usd from 1 minutes chart is clear to get 1.8273. sell !!
I prefer finishing at 1.8224..

Lndn Frnd 14:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 13:43 GMT November 1, 2004
two GREAT posts you placed on forum one 22nd oct. and the other
31st october sunday night at sydney (yesterday)it worth
6 months trading, just two days occassions , greetings to you

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:16 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I think this week,
More caution in entry + wider range
Less lots
and Hit and run
Might be good for this week

LA Fxnew 14:15 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
raden:
whats ur view on cable?

Thanks

Dallas Mauricio 14:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I was thinking the same thing last night.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:10 GMT November 1, 2004
In General I think this week might slightly dangerous

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
In General I think this week might slightly dangerous

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
TO GOLD PLAYERS..
gold chart will touch 426.55 and be finished at 421.25..

Dallas Mauricio 14:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bears are outfighting the Bulls on Cable

gold coast martin 14:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac 13:54 GMT November 1, 2004
Dont stress HAIFA...you will get your 3 wishes...Bush will get the US...ISRAEL will get the peace ..and IRAN will get the bunker buster......

Dallas GEP 13:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
OK Raden.....//

For newbies, sometimes we will talk about giving our possies room to breathe. What is meant by that is price action GENERALLY is never is a straight line. It vibrates back and forth. The reason for this of course is that there are buyers and sellers at at various levels. For instance at 1.8308 BID there were some BUYERS of GBP/USD . This of course pushed gbp/usd back up again and then we had some sellers, When 1.8308 bid is seen again if there are no longer any more buyers THERE then price action will go lower until more buyers are found. This is why at times it may take several attcks on a level to break it one way or the other because all the buyers or sellers at that level HAVEN't had their orders filled yet or perhaps they are coming in with FRESH orders.

Haifa ac 13:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bush 55.7 bid 56 offer in London bookies with 24 hours to go. That is a bit encouraging.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
cbale/chf..placing short orders 2.2060 to 2.2080 target 2.1820

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
lets go to get 1.2066 for usd/chf !!..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:14 GMT November 1, 2004
1.2618 is usd/chf.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
OKAY.. we saw usd/chf touch 1.2030..
please thinking about 1.2066 as the top. let the corection from 1.2030 be finished. Have get message from the 1 minutes chart about 1.2066. please..

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 13:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
My next long eurusd would be on 11th nov and imho just a view that eurusd has better chance at tackling this year's high after 11th nov,2004.

of course, just an opinion in the FX market.

TIA:-)

Lj. gmc 13:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
My opinion is USD go down.....to 1.29 in a few days

Surabaya Medallion 13:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
U.S. September Personal Spending Rises 0.6%; Incomes Up 0.2%

Bloomberg.com

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:32 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas //
I know what U're saying...but the decision to hold the short is slightly dangerous
I am Longing today...around 1.2730 to 1.2697

Sydney Alimin 13:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:23 GMT November 1, 2004

haha, i hope you are right, but having seen the movement of usd/cad today i think i'd rather staying out and choosing other pairs to trade, if you get the profit later make sure u treat me some konro ok?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:23 GMT November 1, 200
usd/cad when at 1.2214.
yes..sure !!
no !! not though call only :-)
there are 3 danger level that must be get of one. will get dramatical selling of usd when one of them be touched.
let see!..

Sydney Alimin 13:25 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB 13:22 GMT November 1, 2004

BTW, those euro diamonds the hk family were promising seem to be looking a bit like zirconium these days....


LOL, don't count them out just yet, when we see 1.28 after data they will come out raging with vengeance

Halifax CB 13:25 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Forgot - FWIW, I'm now flat.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:19 GMT November 1, 2004 ///
are U sure?...
Sounds like a tough call

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin..
about usd/cad..will show us 1.2370 as the top.
hold your buy usd/cad please and cut switch there !!.
thats nice konro(makassar food) for you.. :-)

Halifax CB 13:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP - I figure right now it's just cycling between 1.217 and 1.224 (roughly). I'm going to keep trading long off that (say in the 1.2180's-90's) with SL's in the 1.2150's or so, on the assumption that there isn't going to be much spec flow to spike it further down, and that as the uncertainty re. the US elections is settled, the general tenor should be up. Especially as folks who think that Canada is a safe haven start investigating whatour maple syrup republic really is, relative to the States, after the election. Could be wrong though :)

BTW, those euro diamonds the hk family were promising seem to be looking a bit like zirconium these days....

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:19 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
please hold your sell of eur/usd until get bottom target at 1.2588..
maybe usd/chf show us 1.2266(top) when eur/usd touch 1.2588..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne RTR 13:10 GMT November 1, 2004
/
Sorry RTR...I am purely TA..I would Know

gold coast martin 13:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:07 GMT November 1, 2004
Careful with aud Bahrain.....

Dallas GEP 13:13 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
13:30 and 15:00 GMT are the correct times for US data annoucements

Melbourne RTR 13:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Within 10 Pips, as did I RBA tomorrow will leave rates unchanged any thoughts what effect this will have on assie

Sydney Alimin 13:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:05 GMT November 1, 2004

yes mate, that 1.2230 level before was actually perfect :(
oh well, let's find another opportunity

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne RTR 13:04 GMT November 1, 2004
Any chance of AUD testing 75 tonight

I Longed it for that

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
any shorted cable/yen targeting 192.7 area?

Dallas GEP 13:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Several of us have mentioned about usd/cad being perhaps a ccy pair to watch out for and to not trade. Reasson for that is usd/cad seems to be one of the least likely pairs to follow technicals so while USD COULD gain , usd/cad could actually short as is the case NOW for instance

Melbourne RTR 13:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Any chance of AUD testing 75 tonight

Dallas Mauricio 13:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I meant 5 hours behind.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I think 1.2030 will be passed. pelase thinking baout 1.2066 (top) for usd/chf !!..

Dallas Mauricio 12:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
US (New York) is 5 hours ahead of GMT until Spring of 2005.

Spring Forward, Fall Back.

Dallas Mauricio 12:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
You are wrong. We already set our clocks back on 10/30/2004.

UK AT 12:54 GMT November 1, 2004
Clocks went back in UK this last weekend. At moment GMT 4hrs behind EST until clocks go back in US next weekend

UK AT 12:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
sorry 4hrs ahead of EST !!!

UK AT 12:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Clocks went back in UK this last weekend. At moment GMT 4hrs behind EST until clocks go back in US next weekend

Dallas Mauricio 12:53 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
13:30 GMT is 8:30 EST. The US is now on Standard time.

Spotforex NY 12:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
The US set BACK its clocks this weekend.....

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 12:35 GMT November 1, 2004
I get difficult to answer about that. really difficult..:-)

Sydney Alimin 12:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
well FF time is 12.30 GMT and the economic calendar says 12.30 GMT, how? or EST now is GMT-5?

Dallas Mauricio 12:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
8:30 EST (New York) which is 13:30 GMT

Los Angeles ss 12:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden, I guess I am asking how long for your short term target to be met?

Sydney Alimin 12:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
i thought it is 12.30 GMT? geez this must be the daylight savings thing...very confusing!!

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 12:29 GMT November 1, 2004
if I get conclusion (map forcast) below 15 minutes candle formation I call it short term, if 30 minutes chart until hourly chart I call it middle term , but 4 above 4 hours chart I called long term..

Dallas Mauricio 12:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Forget to chnge your clock?

Sydney Alimin 12:30 GMT November 1, 2004
bring on the data, here we go

Cairo MDR 12:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
the sata is one hour

Sydney Alimin 12:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
bring on the data, here we go

Los Angeles ss 12:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden-- what do you mean exactly by short term? # of hours?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:28 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 12:22 GMT November 1, 2004
okay..
based on 15 minutes candle formation, I look chart will go to 1.8224 as the bottom.. this is short term trade..

Melbourne Qindex 12:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas Mauricio 12:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Should have kept my long Cable, reversed again, long Cable.

Ina co'z 12:23 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
supports for cable at 1.8285 and 1,8205..GL/GT !

Los Angeles ss 12:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden -- thanks for your input. Does you system ever show any shorter term trends, say for the next hour or so?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 12:05 GMT November 1, 2004
please hold your sell of gbp/usd with full confidence..
chart must be finished at 1.8224 (maybe today or maximal tomorrow) but long term is clear that chart must be finished at 1.7964 as bottom. I think buyers of gbp/usd wait there..
btw sorry if I use word with "must"..
my word "must" will be ok when 1.7964 really show us. :-)

Dallas Mauricio 12:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Reversed Cable, Shorted @ 1.8332. SL 1.8347

Plovdiv Gotin 12:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
And 1.2043 too.

Plovdiv Gotin 12:16 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
About $/SF. 1.1997 is important level according to my system.

Dallas GEP 12:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
RAden, 1.2618 USD/CHF?????

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:11 GMT November 1, 2004
no !! I talked about usd/chf !!..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
if we use 1 minutes candle formation..will be interesting of usd/chf when show us 1.2002..I think from there will get buying attack to get 1.2030 for intraday trade..
lets see..

Dallas GEP 12:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden your 12:04 post is USD/CAD correct???? Not usd/chf

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
if we use 1 minutes candle formation..will be intereting of usd/chf when show us 1.2002..I think from there will get buying attack to get 1.2030 for intraday trade..
lets see..

Los Angeles ss 12:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Raden, how about cable??

Brisbane 12:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Am long at the moment. 4hr & 1hr charts are looking long to me overall but I am new to this game.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hello !!
please thinking usd/chf about TOP TARGET 1.2618... first minor top at 1.2230, and second top middle at 1.2286..
hold your buy now and exit when touch 1.2230 for intraday trade !..

Sydney Alimin 11:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane 11:54 GMT November 1, 2004

what do you mean? we just got there hours ago, did you long at 1.28 and hoping to B/E now? to be honest i dont know but if we get 1.28 again this time i think it is gonna break the recent high

KL KL 11:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
took a quick 13 pip long on gbpusd at 1.8322 out 1.8335.... seem like 1.8315 well defended must be some KO options at 1.83.....attack!!!!

Brisbane 11:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on EURO reaching 2800 within the next week????

Dallas Mauricio 11:53 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Gm Everyone. I am long Cable @ 1.8330, Tgts 1.8338, 1.8351 & 1.8377. Stp 1.8297. GL to everyone today.

Halifax CB 11:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain - I agree on CAD - at least for now. It is moving into the 1.2240-50 region where it seems perfectly happy to sit or go either way, unpredictably. Good time to wait and see. But it does seem well supported at 1.2170 or so, & I traded off that profitably last night.. GL/GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Longing euro at 30

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I dont recommend U trade cad

SanFrancisco TG 11:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Prospects of Euro falling below 2700 today by end of NY are slim. More likely it develops a bit tone from 2720ish. Possible congestion near 2780 just below opening high of the week.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Longed NZ Just now

Surabaya Medallion 11:06 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Oil is up because of the Nigerian Labors are planning to hold a strike on 16 Nov. Even without this, Oil will still go up because of Winter. I still avoid Yen because of it and 136.3 should be the level for EUR/JPY.

KL KL 11:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Medan FATGUY, g'day...I think you r right...my problem how far the dip. ok out gbpusd long BE.....not comfotable here...buy lower later

Sydney Alimin 10:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
interesting, oil is going up again

gold coast martin 10:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
someone using my handle....dont use it please....

gold coast martin 10:52 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 10:49 GMT November 1, 2004
..Only honorable grand pa...all family get more seasoning under grand pas apron to learn more......

hk ab 10:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
No hk family members today?

Medan FATGUY 10:46 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 10:07 GMT November 1, 2004

I think cable is buy on dips...

KL KL 10:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
long gbpusd 1.8338 sl 10 below

KL KL 10:10 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
arrrrgh should have waited a bit more ...will reshort a few more pips higher...notice how quick they retreat....big boys lurking

KL KL 10:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd 1.8332 sl 10 above...

Gen dk 10:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 09:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I hope its not yet ANOTHER 2 hours before something happens again, (like always)... !

KL KL 09:51 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd long from 1.8319 at 1.8331...12 pips is good enough...now wait again ...lurking!!

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 09:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Stalled at +35pips. waiting for another shove. Whats the info on you guys out there, and gals of course =).

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 09:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I'm looking to hit 100+ pip... hope it comes around this morning.
+30 pips atm eurusd. 20pip stop following.

KL KL 09:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd at 1.8316 from 1.3852....nice 36 pips SAR now long for quick scalp. must be quick

Sydney Alimin 09:24 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy and usd/chf are getting closer and closer to my speculative selling range, will try small possie if hit the range

Ldn 09:24 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
A strong ISM today above 60 , good NFP number above say 200.000 Friday plus a clear result in election could see quite a squeeze on the Dollar Shorts bearing in mind the acute positioning of Shorts - you will then hear the Fat Lady singing

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 09:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
continuing short from 1.2776 EUR/USD +22 pips

Cairo MDR 09:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Nov 1 4:01AM *EURO ZONE OCT MANUFACTURING PMI 52.4 VS 53.1 SEPT AND 53.0 EXPECTED

Ldn 09:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
German Manufacturing PMI Below Forecast indicates that growth in the sector is slowing. Employment subindex at 49.3 fell back below the crucial 50.0 mark, indicating that companies have been laying off workers

Ldn 09:01 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
German Oct Mfg PMI 52.8 Vs 54.1 Sep Below Forecasts Of 53.9
- Sources

KL KL 09:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8352 sl 10 above....got to be quick

Dallas GEP 08:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, kind of a BULLISH candle pattern now. First spot MAYBE around 1.2230 NO sooner I think

KL KL 08:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok lock in my 10 pips out at 1.8346...10 is better than 1....now flat and looking to reshort...study the price action!!!

Ldn 08:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
HELSINKI (AP)--U.S. embassies in the Nordic and Baltic region issued a rare warning to Americans living or traveling there they had received "threat information" and warned them to be cautious

Sydney Alimin 08:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, do you see a chance to short usd/cad anytime soon?

KL KL 08:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin, Nowhere...just a topic of discussion.. One cannot discount this. I was there a few months ago Brussel, Frankfurt, Spain, Lisbon, London, Holland, Denmark, France, Italy and Swissland....you telling me the economy is "picking up"...what I saw is more like RSI at the top on the cliff...LOL Looks turning a corner into something cloudy!!

Of course there is the possibility of .25% increase to cool housing...I cannot afford one there at the rate it is going and put food for family....something has to give way in this times....

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 08:53 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorting EUR/USD @ 1.2776

KL KL 08:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
WASH DC SRQ, Eastern GMT time frame?????....LOL just kidding.

I flick from 5 min to 1 hour then occasionally 1 day to weekly just to get the feel of the major trend. But the critical ingredient is to make 1 pip as the gains began to evaporate and goes against your trade. Be prepared to lose first and then if the direction is correct lock it in!!! I find this method more profitable than those long term trades...

Sydney Alimin 08:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 08:34 GMT November 1, 2004

where did u hear about it mate?

Sydney Alimin 08:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ecb is gonna cut rate 0.25%? i dont think that's a good option for them, everyone else is raising interest rates, if they cut it where would euro be?

KL KL 08:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tell me what is the impat of a rate cut of .25 % in Euro land to stimulate growth.....where will euro be 1.24?? 1.20?? 1.17??...For sure the the drop in euro will not be 0.25% or will it go for 1.35??

Dallas GEP 08:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Well guys, I would like to say I am seeing sone nice possible possies but I can't at the moment unfortunately. FLAT now with those USD/CHF longs closed earlier. YEN pairs APPEAR to be short but no confirmation as far as I am concerned. Missed AUSSIE short off an order by 3 pips.

WASH DC SRQ 08:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 08:26 GMT November 1, 2004
What time-frame are you working on normally?

Ldn 08:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Swiss National Bank can't raise interest rates quite as quickly as it might have done otherwise. And investors might question extending their already long Swiss franc positions against the euro. But, with risk aversion once again on the rise and other recent safe ports of call, such as sterling and the Canadian dollar, starting to look very much off limits, the Swiss franc could still be the place to go. "A further move into risk aversion territory could provide renewed support for the Swiss franc," said Benedikt Germanier, a currency strategist with censored in Zurich. Also, argues Brendan Brown, chief strategist with Mitsubishi Securities International in London, although Swiss growth is slowing down, so is that of most of its major competitors. As far as the euro is concerned, for example, he points to the fading hopes of an early rate rise by the European Central Bank. "A 5%-10% appreciation (of the Swiss franc against the euro) is well within the range of mainstream scenarios," he forecasts.
reuters


KL KL 08:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Those who missed gbpusd I am in again at 1.8356 short....grab more above here and I am SL 10 above what I entered....

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 08:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY @ 135.99
TrailStop 20 pip.

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 08:15 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Still short EUR/USD 2783.. +6 pips atm..
Am also short gbpusd @ 1.8350
Hoping it will hold out.

KL KL 08:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
he he out gbp short from 1.835 at 1.8342 +8

sofia anmart 08:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD should stay below 1.8380 for 1.8150.

KL KL 08:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd 1.8350....time to go down this time.....i hope!!

LDN LDN 08:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
AP.A new oil strike on the Norwegian Continental Shelf was averted over the weekend after the Federation of Oil Workers Unions reached a deal with oil services company BJ Services the deputy head of the union said Monday.

Melbourne Qindex 08:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:46 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
In response Haifa, you would be very correct =).

sofia anmart 07:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY-106.25. Should stay above 106 for 107.15.

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 07:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Data released Monday showed speculators' net yen-long positions soared to 27,636 contracts in the week to Oct. 26 from 8,565 contracts the week before.
It was the largest volume of yen longs since the week to Feb. 17, so the unwinding of these positions may briefly send the dollar higher.
That has led J.P. Morgan Chase Bank of Tokyo to recommend unwinding dollar-short, yen-long positions for now and begin selling the U.S. unit again when it bounces back above Y107.00.
"In the medium- to long-term, our expectations for a weaker dollar haven't changed, but given the recent buildup of yen longs and the events calendar this week, we recommend buying back shorts," said Tohru Sasaki, the bank's chief
currency strategist.

The dollar, however, likely won't find much support other than such position-adjustment, with little chance for Japan's Ministry of Finance to step into the market to stem the yen's rise at current levels, traders say.
"With an end to Japan's deflation in sight, intervention, if there is any, will come below Y105.00," said Daisuke Uno, market analyst at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking, noting that the chance of MOF action will increase only when the dollar falls below its March 31 low of Y103.40.

Uno expects the dollar to test its Feb. 11 low of Y105.16 this week and target Y100-Y105 by the end of this year.

Tokyo IM 07:39 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, i was under impression that London was always sleeping ... lol

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorting more yen here target 105.4

Haifa ac 07:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:30 GMT November 1, 2004
"Slow going making me hesitant."//Clearly you are NOT a woman!

sofia anmart 07:36 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD-1.2785. Should be topped at 1.2810 for 1.2600.

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Still dosen't look like a whole lot going on this morning. Slow going making me hesitant.

HK [email protected] 07:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
One can notice that gold once above 430.50 may bring in much short covering and fresh buying.
An obvious Res. may appear at 436, as some of my computations show, and also extending a line between the tops of 1/6/04 and 4/1/04 will be currently at 436.
If one wants to risk a trade against the trend. 436$ may be a price to short to cover and reverse at 430.

KL KL 07:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
out long gbpusd +1, SAR 1.8360 sl 10 above....not sure what I am doing but it is giving me the jitters longing...so quick I change my mind ok out of short + 1 pip.....2 pip in 2 min is ok. Not sure why it is dancing around this levels ...maybe London still sleeping

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:15 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorting $/CHF @ 1960....

KL KL 07:13 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok in again long gbpusd 1.8359...I want to short but charts telling me "hopefully" correct up story..

Melbourne Qindex 07:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Melbourne Qindex 07:09 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Tokyo IM 07:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the info.

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I do think the EUR/JPY will increase this week, of course this is just opinion =).

Sydney 07:01 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM - London back to GMT..

GER ad 07:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 06:58
Yes, CET is now only GMT+1

kl cher 07:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
do you all think the usd/jpy will increase by this week?

Marshfield AMA - FathomX 07:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Well, GBP/AUD seems like its on a steady hike for now looks like. Somewhat good support, keeping an eye on it.

Tokyo IM 06:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Do they have a Day Light Saving in Europe ?

gold coast martin 06:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
48=48 hour

KL KL 06:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, that may be my last 3 pip in my gun but I have a loaded pocket ...full of bullets...in fact they are so heavy...i just need to waste them LOL... btw I took the 6 pip cos I am nervous at this level will reshort a bit higher...looks like struggling.

out 1.8354....lucky...now moving up again have 9 bullets now

gold coast martin 06:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:36 GMT November 1, 2004
AB...the AUD/JPY pair will be a good pair for a 48 timeframe as aud is poised to dip in view of the RBA keeping rates unchanged ,worry to commodity currencies that China has started to take measures to curb its growth{rate hikes and lending curb} not to mention any short term geo-political events from the US....
btw...you may get your wishful thinking on the euro.....g/t

LDN LDN 06:50 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
SEVERAL WORDS ABOUT THE FUTURE LINK

Sydney Alimin 06:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:36 GMT November 1, 2004

agree there ab on the euro bit, i think if we see 1.20 again for euro, might as well call it 1.17 and lower since 1.20 again will mean the breach of the 3-yr trendline

re usd/jpy i am a bit pessimistic to see 110 but we will never know, at the moment, the most i can think of is 108.80/109.10...well let's just focus one by one first, 107 is still not there yet, it needs to crack the area above 106.60 and under 107.20 first and i am looking to enter some speculative short position between this area and stop above 107.20

Tokyo IM 06:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, I thought you were going to put stop 3 pips above cause it was your last boolets ... (Joke) Welcome back.

KL KL 06:40 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
ok back again short gbpusd 1.8360 al 10 above...finger cross

hk ab 06:36 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
yen might still have good chance to reach 110 but euro to 1.20 is a bit too wishful.

747, still holding your dlr/jpy short?

Sydney PYR 06:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
TOKYO
Thank you .

LA Fxnew 06:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
keep selling cable .. as 18416 is today's high ....

Sydney Alimin 06:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
starting 106.50/60 it will get good selling pressure again up to 107.20

Tokyo IM 06:29 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney PYR 06:26 GMT November 1, 2004 ,

My advice would be to get some simple book on technical analysis and give it a read. It will simply explain you all about it. Basicaly speaking you are looking after prace paterns as well as some ind. paterns. So just try to go search for Technical Analysis on amazon or some other store or even google for some free material if you do not whant to pay.

Tokyo IM 06:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Today Yen is preaty good at a $US bull lead. Let's see how far it will guid it.

Sydney PYR 06:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
TOKYO,thanks .
Could you explain it bit more.

Sydney PYR 06:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sorry ,I ment SIN (or TIA?)

Tokyo IM 06:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney PYR 06:18 GMT November 1, 2004,

I found mix of trendlines and price paterns with some simple indicators work preaty well if you also watch after fundamentals.

my 0.02$

Sydney PYR 06:18 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Thans SIA

I undestand that traders mainly use those ind.use mentioned.

However I do not know what ind. are suitable for trending markets and what for ranging markets.

Melbourne Qindex 06:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:06 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorted Yen here and Chf

SIN Oski 06:03 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hi Sydney PYR 05:57 GMT, I think that one is a single individual preference. Some like it simple, just use MA (or EMA) and bolinger band. Some like to use RSI, Stochastic, MACD, MDI, Parabolic, Momentum. Even those also every individual has their own set of parameters they are convenient of using.
TIA

Sydney PYR 05:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
Could you advise me what indicators are most used in forex market,please.

hk ab 05:50 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk grandpa......maybe only long dlr/jpy is the only play I will take till 105 clearly taken.

Ldn 05:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD cross forms solid base just above 1.6980, a 62% fibo retracement (from 1.6815/1.7250) with next exposure to 1.7250 (19 Oct high), a medium-term objective. AUD is likely to retreat back to its lower range of 0.7400 ahead of next 0.7387 (25 Oct lows). RBA board meeting tomorrow will be watched with great interest for rate watchers despite near-universal expectation of no change by CB censored.

hk grandpa 05:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 04:47 GMT November 1, 2004
..grandpa buing more hats for son,mom pulling hair out,dad tellmom to stay in kitchen and cook....family of bulls now family of calves...soon to become teddy bears....

Ldn 05:31 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
For the fourth time in five trading days the AUD/USD failed to take hold above 0.7500 and came off to a low of 0.7471 when the USD bounced back. One reason for the USD bounce was comments from a Chinese official stating that there were more steps to be taken to cool inflation. The AUD was sensitive to the remarks due to its status as a commodity currency. Traders also reported that a large investment bank bought a decent amount of USD against a number of currencies and a very long AUD/USD market took some profit. The main focus will be the U.S. election tomorrow. Analysts feel that a close result that could end up in the courts would be a very bearish event for the USD. If that is the case the AUD/USD should ride the sell USD wave towards
0.7600. If the election produces a clear cut victor the AUD/USD could be very vulnerable to a USD relief rally, as IMM data shows net longs at 28.5. A break below 0.7400 should confirm that a 0.7510 top is in place IFR

Melbourne Qindex 05:30 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Mfld JM 05:25 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
10-4

Marshfield AMA 05:24 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
No sir, I am in Marshfield Missouri. Small town east of Springfield.

Mfld JM 05:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Marshfield AMA - Are you in WI?

Melbourne Qindex 05:17 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 05:08 GMT - EUR/USD : If the market is trading below the neutral zone of the weekly cycle one can consider a speculative short position.

Marshfield AMA 05:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Will take a look...

Tokyo IM 05:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
While market is crawling I desided to find the link to that package.

http://www.wave59.com/astrology.asp

It looks preaty cool and I am not affiliated with them in any way.

Bris TW 05:08 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:59 GMT

Thanks mate.

Marshfield AMA 05:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
In response to above.
"They" have a package that tracks all of it ?? lol...

Tokyo IM 05:04 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, it is not a Crystal Ball but a moon cycles and star movements ... LOL. But serously speaking they have a package wich tracks all of that correletion with Astrology. Looked preaty neat.

Melbourne Qindex 04:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 04:38 GMT - I used to pick just one curve to describe the market movement. However something is missing when the market changes its rhythm during period. Therefore I show you the complete picture. In general 3 dominating curves are used to describe the market movement within the defined period. Curve A is usually the best.

The neutral zone will give you some idea about the momentum of the market. Follow the flow once the market is trading outside the neutral zone. When the market's momentum is dinmished it will be pulled back into the neutral zone.

On Monday and Friday we will concentrate on the weekly cycle charts. I will complete my weekly cycle analyses after I finish my study with EUR/AUD and EUR/CAD.

Marshfield AMA 04:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/USD 1.8348.

KL KL 04:54 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, I wish sometimes I have crystal ball like yours...I will make do with my stop loss for the time being. You are right Asian session a bit slow...so eyes shut now for London/NY sessions....still keeping the 3 pips gain like last 3 bullets now... like gold...LOL

Marshfield AMA 04:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
$/yen still looking good, climbing to 106.26.

beijing linda 04:48 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
http://hedgefundmgr.blogspot.com has an interesting political odds board with real money on the line....taking all polls into account...its moving tonight...check it out!!

hk ab 04:47 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
what kicked the s of usd to bounce?
any hk family members have a position right now?

Bris TW 04:38 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:19 GMT October 30, 2004

I have noticed that you have changed the way you write you analysis. I remember daily, weekly and quarterly levels that were straight forward and easy to follow. Now you use this Curve A, B, C and neutral zones.

Can you explain these curves and why you have changed to use this? What is this neutral zone?

Melbourne Qindex 04:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Tokyo IM 04:26 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
$/Yen is trying to climb higher.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:16 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I think Chf might go back up

Tokyo IM 04:12 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Something for people who believes in miracles:

Redskins play before the election has predicted who will win since 1944. Well, the Redskins v. Green Bay game ended a few hours ago and it looks as though Kerry is going to win on Tuesday.

The outcome of Washington Redskins home football games has correctly predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election since 1936.

And it might keep to be true after such a long history of that predictions.

Tokyo IM 04:07 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM 03:56 GMT November 1, 2004
I think Swissie is ready to go higher. Let's wait and see.

Correction, a bit higher before going lower IMHO.

Tokyo IM 03:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
I think Swissie is ready to go higher. Let's wait and see.

Tokyo IM 03:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, should have not longed Cable, it just hit EMA and the resalt is right there. Specificaly during Asian FX the thing is not that dinamic.

KL KL 03:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, a little

Arrrgh @$^&*& got sucked in to that trap....still up 3 pips for the day...at least now I understand the Psycho....ok waiting to pounce again

nyc sa 03:47 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
does anyone know of a site that posts high low and close in forex history other than GV ?thnx .

Ldn 03:45 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
IMM CTA data out Friday showed large increases in short-USD, long-ccy positions. JPY alone saw a big jump in
open interest from 8565 to 27,636, and the data was for the week-ended October 26. Plenty more JPY longs-USD shorts were likely to have been put on thereafter, especially into the weekend as USD/JPY broke below 106.00. Another leg up may be seen if the U.S. election produces a clear-cut winner right away. Some of the USD sales seen as of late were on expectations of political deadlock associated with a tight race. A clear-cut winner could seen USD/JPY jump to the 108.00 level. That said, further moves up may be difficult what with the U.S. economy still facing huge twin deficits. China does remain a wild card, and renewed fears of a hard landing could see USD retrace more
IFR

Melbourne Qindex 03:43 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
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Tokyo IM 03:41 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, are you applying your technic during Asian FX as well ?

KL KL 03:36 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd short 1.8372 reverse and long here sl 8 below -3 pips loss. Don't like the lack of momentum to drive down

London 03:36 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 06:21 GMT October 31, 2004
are you still predicting usd/chf will hit 1.42-48 before the end of the year?

Dallas GEP 03:27 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Closed at 1.1965 on some usd/chf longs On others it hit my trailing stop @ 1.1959 ON THE SAME PLATFORM Figure that one out!!! LOL

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 03:22 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
MAY work may not

EUR 1.2755 1.2839
CHF 1.1897 1.1987

AUD 0.7456 0.7514
CAD 1.2134 1.2222

GBP 1.8327 1.8426

KL KL 03:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
short cable 1.8369..sl 10 above

Dallas GEP 03:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
IM I don't sleep much. I am less active however in late US session

KL KL 03:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
locking in 14 pips and that is the start of my new day...out 1.8372.. good enough!!

Tokyo IM 03:14 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP, just out of curiosity - when do you sleep. I have been seeing you posting for some time without breaks.

Dallas GEP 03:11 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tell you what....looking T CHARTS again and I will put TP @ 1.1980 USD/CHF. Should have done that before

Ldn 03:05 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Remember Fund types dont wait till the fat lady sings

Dallas GEP 03:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
trailing stop NOW on usd/chf longs @ 1.1959

Surabaya Medallion 03:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
But of course the 3.7% GDP is not really bad data too. What I dislike is EUR will sit at 1.278 not going up or down.

LA Fxnew 03:00 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
todays high for cable is 18416 ..
downside is in progress!

Dallas GEP 02:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
IM....1.2010...well not good in ASIA...I think we will top in ASIA at 1.1980-1.1990....

KL KL 02:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
O.K time to trade - long gbpusd 1.8358 sl 10 belew in a rather slow day. If I don't start drinking some coffee....I think I am going to doze off in Asian sessions....zzzzzzz

KL KL 02:59 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
O.K time to trade - long gbpusd 1.8358 sl 10 belew in a rather slow day. If I don't start drinking some coffee....I think I am going to doze off in Asian sessions....zzzzzzz

Melbourne Qindex 02:58 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Hang Seng Index : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my  page.

Tokyo IM 02:56 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP, did you position yourself on Swissie long ? What are the odds of it hitting 1.2010 in your view ?

Surabaya Medallion 02:55 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Don't be dispaired. The party is still not over. This time the Euro has firmly established 1.278 as its ground after 3.7% GDP Data unlike last week rally w/o positive news from 1.268. I doubt EUR would weaken before the Thursday/Friday Employment Data.

Dallas GEP 02:49 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf longs starting to work. Short term target is 1.2010

hk grandpa 02:44 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
...au revoir euro...As much as hate to admit euro had the dollar at its mercy but failed to capitalise...honorable market and ecb do not want strong euro....sayonara euro ..back to 120.....yen back up to 110....

nyc sa 02:13 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Tomorrow France is closed 1st of November , for " la Toussaint " holiday i.e. day of the dead ! anyone sees an association with the euro , meaning that's it for now and back to 1.20 ?

wisconsin tim 02:02 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 11/1/2004
Currency Close R1 Close S1
AUDUSD 0.7543 0.7459
EURGBP 0.6985 0.6951
EURUSD 1.2882 1.2756
EURYEN 135.78 134.83
GBPUSD 1.8457 1.8311
GBPYEN 194.81 193.41
NDZUSD 0.6877 0.6804
USDCAD 1.2210 1.2073
USDCHF 1.1985 1.1830
USDYEN 106.03 104.91

Syd 01:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
censored says that the emergence of Bin Laden video ahead of U.S. polls has potential to boost risk aversion to detriment of commodity FX , AUD most risk averse currency of the three and NZD still hurting from less hawkish RBNZ.

Melbourne RTR 01:33 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Any ideas when AUD will break the 75c resistance

nyc sa 01:28 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
GV , will u update forex history plz? I do not see the high low and close for oct. 29. thnx.

Philadelphia Caba 01:01 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
If not will cover at 1.5310.
I mean cover at break 1.5345 higher.

Philadelphia Caba 00:57 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 00:34 GMT November 1, 2004
CABA, my general view is that all the chf pair APPEAR to be bottoming out but of course usd/chf specigically is at multi year lows so that I beleive there will be at least a 38% rteracement on chf pairs but quite frankly I am not convinced of exactly WHERE that might occurr if not close to here.

Thanks GEP,
I'm keeping 2 short positions on EUR/CHF @ 1.5290 & 1.5280 hope for break 1.5265. Will add more if this break seen. If not will cover at 1.5310.

NYC YIPPEE 00:37 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd 04:29 GMT October 28, 2004

Yes .7550 target.

Syd 00:35 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Australia's seasonally adjusted balance on trade in goods and services widened to a deficit of A$2.11 billion in September from a deficit of A$1.84 billion in August
Australian Bureau of Statistics

Livingston nh 00:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
BC - I doubt the Fed is in favor of a weaker dollar given the fact that The Honorable Chairman's view of the transitory nature of enrgy prices has proven false - the Fed is usually neutral on the dollar but any increase in prices (especially while world demand is expanding) is going to be very unwelcome - there is a real split among the Fed members as some have taken to comment on the dollar and the trade deficit

Dallas GEP 00:34 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
CABA, my general view is that all the chf pair APPEAR to be bottoming out but of course usd/chf specigically is at multi year lows so that I beleive there will be at least a 38% rteracement on chf pairs but quite frankly I am not convinced of exactly WHERE that might occurr if not close to here.

london 00:31 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
IMM speculators add net yen long position - CFTC

LINK

Juneau CAR 00:21 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Gold and silver up following dollar's weakness.

www.kitco.com

Melbourne Qindex 00:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   
Dow Jones Index : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

shanghai bc 00:20 GMT November 1, 2004 Reply   

IBIZA 21:20 -- Good morning.. US Treasury and Fed folks want lower Dollar and they will get it ragardless of who gets into the President's office this time..The only thing that blocks Dollars fast fall must be RMB 's peg and ECB and BOJ's interventions at some stage..Not seeing any major Dollar selloff at this stage but Dollar is likely to fall gently all the way to year end,to the delight of US policy makers but upsetting other folks at some stage..Imho.. Good trades.

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
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