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Forex Forum Archive for 11/03/2004

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Ldn 23:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush win means he'll have say in who'll be next Fed chief, with Greenspan term to expire in 2006 - and that's not insignificant; but where Fed matters most, in steering course of economy, economists widely agree Bush win means very little in terms of where FOMC takes rates, both short, long term. Most tip Fed to hike next month, possibly pause in December, hike again in new year "what is going to happen will largely be independent of the political process," says RBS Greenwich's Stephen Stanley

Dallas GEP 23:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GD they are down

Philadelphia Caba 23:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 23:51 GMT November 3, 2004
Don't get connection to ffxxccmm - anybody else?

have exactly same problem..

Wien GD 23:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Don't get connection to ffxxccmm - anybody else?

NY 23:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
It's a shame that Sharon and co. can't go into intensive care also. It would be a much peaceful world.

quito_ecuador_valdez 23:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn// I don't want to play tennis but if you could site some legit analysts vis a vis links to who thinks Fed will hike again this year I would like to read them as I personally haven't found a single thing in print saying that. Fed hikes would raise USD and they don't want that no matter who says so including Snow & Co. Obviously I/we need your sources for this Fed hiking poll. There is no inflation worry as there is no inflation.

Well, the hookers of Las Vegas are dissapointed yet elated in the returns in that there were two Johns running on the Democratic Presidential ticket, an independant Codd but at least a Bush who finally did win. What can I say?

Eilat Dolphin 23:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Not that I care, but president Arafat just entered intensive care following a serious deterioration of...
They didn't tell of what.

Should we suspect a massive attack of Bushallergia ?

No, the French doctor would surely have designated that culprit.

Ldn 23:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush win means very little in terms of where FOMC takes rates, both short, long term. Most tip Fed to hike next month.

KL KL 23:29 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.849...also retracement play

Dublin Flip 23:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
$15million to George is not even beer money guys. He's made upwards of 10 times that in the past 12 hours on profits from his short USD position via Junior's victory.

London e 23:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
George Soros now has to go to a monastery. Hopefully there he will found out his assumptive flaw in applying his Theory of Reflexivity to politics.

Melbourne Qindex 23:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 23:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
sorry that should read 15 Million whoops

Syd 23:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio Soros doent spend over 15 Billion unless there is something it it for him

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 23:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
asia range

may work may not

1.2795 1.2837

1.1918 1.1966

0.7533 0.7575

Dallas Mauricio 23:10 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Your'e right about the bet.

Syd 21:56 GMT November 3, 2004
Billionaire and ardent anti-George W. Bush critic George Soros said he is "distressed" at President Bush's election victory and doesn't trust a second administration to have learned from the first.

I would think more upset he lost his bet

KL KL 23:10 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short eurusd 1.2727 sl 10 above....time to retrace and reload for next leg up....how low depends on tonight & Fri....

hk mom 23:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
euro belayed 1.2930 target will arrive soon.

Ldn 22:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Arafat Condition Deteriorates

Syd 22:57 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AUD steadies at US$0.7560 amid RBA decision and US election

LINK

Dallas Mauricio 22:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
What is your target, SL & time frame please. TIA

houston ken 22:33 GMT November 3, 2004
i am long on cable

Melbourne Qindex 22:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USD Index : 11/03/204

close = 84.76

open = 85.26

high = 85.61

low = 84.67

Melbourne Qindex 22:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USD Index : The market is trapped in a projected range of 84.42 - 84.81. A projected supporting point is located at 83.76. Projected resistant points are expected at 85.08 and (86.4) which is the key quantized level.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 22:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Hope everyone survived the elections. I see a move by eur/usd bulls once more to take out the key resistance (2850) but as rumors have it there is a barrier being protected there and others scattered up to the 3000s. Gbp/usd has a very interesting position I have a critical top T/L around the 8510-30 area and a fib retracement line as well. This will be a good target for the bulls. We will see if the bears hold ground at that point. Both of these pairs have intraday indicators in O/B areas but bullish. Daily indicators are bullish but running out of time before a correction takes place IMHO. GL GT

hk mom 22:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gecko, is the usd correction over? 84.50 is gone already?

houston ken 22:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
dallas mus are long on cable?

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 21:59 GMT November 3, 2004
"...a weaker dollar would actually push other areas into recession...if the Fed continues to raise rates but expands the money supply we will have inflation - in its early stages inflation allows companies to boost revenues..things look good - tax revenues rise."

Agreed! THANK YOU in fact nh. This is why only a 4-6 month USD devaluation period is in the plans, 'til end of 2nd Q 05. USD will level off 'til 3rd-4th Q 05 then begin to retrace 2.5 years of history, evaluating...giving other countries a turn once the consumer potential is fully restored to the world's largest economy..USA. That's my model, just for the fun of offering it. Worldwide, it works. It's worked all last year & all this year for me. Meanwhile during this 2-3 year USD appreciation cycle, China will finish maturing-keep selling-keep buying, India will enter adolesence & begin to mature as both form stable worldwide buyers/sellers, India after China.

houston ken 22:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
i am long on cable

Dallas Mauricio 22:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Who's long Cable?

Santo Domingo tht 22:28 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Perhaps I'm still blind and that's why I can't see the breakout supposed to be happening now, but the dollar mkt has been trending reasonably well since EUR/USD broke through 1.2380 some weeks ago.

Tokyo IM 22:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Goodmorning all.

Livingston nh 22:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
th - inflation is a form of default - the US is not going to default - trade agreements are up for review next year - part of the cure for the deficit would be some trade restrictions (tariffs or quotas) - this is not a "rust belt" trade deficit like the '80s// trade restrictions are more suitable in a service based economy (akin to mercantilism of days gone by)

Dallas GEP 22:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
looking at the charts....eur/usd LOOKS like a triple top @ 1.2830 so even EURO bulls probably will wait for a pullback before longing here so a quick 30 pip short MIGHT work. USD/CHF @ 1.1920 in the same way is looking like a bottom for now. In EITHER case I would not have more than say a 30 pip stop. I made the mistake earlier of NOT ruuning a stop and REVERSE on an AUD/SHORT so that when it hit 7520 I should have been in long. PLEASE note that these reversals have NOT been working very well lately so the PREFFERED possie IMO will be to short USD on any retracements

quito_ecuador_valdez 22:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP//tks for the posts. General note: We're in Thrusday's Asian session...let it take a deep breath 'til Tues-Wed to clear up to a definable path. Until then just pipraid & assume months long trend to long XXX/USD & a short in USD/XXX is emerging/happening. Mkt makers muchless the US gov. don't go by analysts' theories of what will happen, they make it happen while theorists "try" deftly to protect themselves pinning tails on donkies. Models & theory are fun but the big picture has to be seen & the "big model" says USD devalues for some 4-6 months more on gradual decline.

Call it a trend change, breakout, preposterous, it really isn't any of these; I simply call it continuation of trend reality from 2002 to present..nothing more. Agree with GEP, USD vs more sought after c'ncys (CHF, CAD etc) are the best pairs now as investors seek those c'ncys, adding demand value to them at the same time sheading USD adding devaluation, for the most pronounced movement effects. Au at this time is wise if you're a goldbug.

Ldn 22:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Metals Lose Their Luster
Take a look at the copper market, where supply is poised to exceed demand, and the message is clear: It's time to take those profits
LINK

Ltn th 22:10 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
nh// Does the US have any real choice but to default? And isnt this the best acceptable option to achieve this? Otherwise they place themselves in hock like latam countries or will be faced by future nationalisation to buy back the farm.

Livingston nh 21:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
A couple of things to consider - a weaker dollar will do very little to reduce the trade deficit because of the structural nature of current trade flows and the lack of demand in the two of the large trade partners (EU and Japan) and our reluctance to sell to China some of our products - there is a case to be made that a weaker dollar would actually push other areas into recession // keep in mind that inflation is a debtor's friend - it is a means of defaulting - if the Fed continues to raise rates but expands the money supply we will have inflation - in its early stages inflation allows companies to boost revenues and things look good - tax revenues rise //

Syd 21:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Billionaire and ardent anti-George W. Bush critic George Soros said he is "distressed" at President Bush's election victory and doesn't trust a second administration to have learned from the first.

I would think more upset he lost his bet

Ltn th 21:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Syd 20:30 GMT. A reasonable suggestion but extreme care needed. Horribly political. Bounty and Great Southern Basin prospect.

Dallas GEP 21:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well I readily admit to some confusion re: the effect of the US elections on CCY's. Last night when it looked like BUSH was going to win a quick victory USD surged to where EUR/USD was around roughly 1.2660. Then when it became apparent that the election might be closely contested THEN USD bears came in and sold dollars. So even with BUSH now confirmed as having won re-election..it does appear DOLLARS will be SOLD across the board on any rallies exceot for POSSIBLY USD/JPY which no doubt our friends in Japan will try and support. The CCY's with possibly the MOST to short are usd/cad and usd/chf. The US welcomes this weakening of the USD against the other currencies. That is and should be apparently clear by now.

NY Coolman 21:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Is this a time to go short euro ahead of 1.2850 resistance for 1.2760? Any views

Alicante RTN 21:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The trending market may be taking over from the ranging markets which have been prominent all year. In 2005, we will see 1.50 as possible for eurusd, while cable will top 2.0. Usdjpy will fall below 100 and eurnok will move towards 7.80. Eurchf will move up to 1.60 level as this will partly compensate for the painfully low usdchf to be seen in 2005.

Dallas GEP 21:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Strategic change in trading is necessary IMO at least for me. reversals are not really working very well. Looking back at charts tho beleive it or not it seems VERY short term charts and quick in and outs do SEEM to be working well. KL seems to have a pretty good handle on this as well as a few others you see posting here. I am out now of aLL aussie SHORTS WITH AVERAGE loss of 35 pips. Got out of CHF longs at BE.

Dallas GEP 21:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
DOW closed +100 up OIL is 50.88

Sydney 20:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
If you take into account GWB had the 9/11 to contend with immediately after taking office making it really impossible to concentrate on the economy and then having a deadline of three and a half years affectively to win the war on terror, I would imagine all that experience behind him, he will be able to concentrate on both the economy i.e. Deficit and terror especially knowing he has 50% of America on his side, listening to the press and media they gave the impression the whole world was against him, and they were not . Its strange that the Australian Prime Minister has control of the senate and so does Bush (and so will Blair) and they all are winners.

Melbourne Qindex 20:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The difference between daily cycle and 44-day cycle in my system is larger sample size is used (44 times more) in the case of 44-day cycle. I like to run the 44-day cycle whenever there is a big uncertainty in the market.

Melbourne Qindex 20:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:13 GMT November 3, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 1.2584 - 1.2889.


... // 1.2584* - 1.2660 - (1.2737) - 1.2813 - 1.2889 // ...


Other 44-day cycle barriers are located at 1.2594, 1.2610, 1.2641, 1.2674, 1.2689, 1.2785, 1.2801, 1.2832 and 1.2864.

Melbourne Qindex 20:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:41 GMT November 3, 2004
GBP/USD : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 1.8000 - 1.8516.


... // 1.8000* - 1.8129 - 1.8258 - 1.8387 - 1.8516 // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle are 1.8092, 1.8161, 1.8184, 1.8276, 1.8322, 1.8368, 1.8460, 1.8483

Melbourne Qindex 20:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:22 GMT November 3, 2004
USD/CHF : the current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 1.1866 - 1.2355 and th emid-point reference is 1.2050.


... // 1.1866 - 1.1958 - (1.2050) - 1.2143 - 1.2355 // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle are 1.1897, 1.1918, 1.2182, 1.2204, 1.2281, 1.2314 and 1.2358.

Melbourne Qindex 20:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:03 GMT November 3, 2004
USD/JPY : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 105.10 - 108.56 and the mid-point reference is 106.83.


... // 105.10 - 105.97 - (106.83)* - 107.70 - 108.56 // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-


... // 105.32 - 105.63 - 105.82 - 106.08 - (106.83) - 107.59 107.84 -108.04 - 108.34 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 20:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:31 GMT November 3, 2004
EUR/JPY : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 133.66 - 137.49 and th emid-point reference is 135.58.


... // 133.66* - 134.62 - 135.58 - 136.54 - (137.49) // ...


Other projected barriers from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-

... // 134.42 - 134.94 - 135.19 - 135.95 - 136.22 - 136.70 // ...

quito_ecuador_valdez 20:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 20:32 GMT November 3, 2004// My brain's dust from 12 hrs..pls explain.TKS

Melbourne Qindex 20:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:05 GMT November 3, 2004
GBP/JPY : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 192.24 - 196.94 and th emid-point reference is 194.59.


... // 192.24 - 193.42 - 194.59 - 195.77 - 196.94* // ...


Others barriers from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-


... // 193.58 - 193.81 - 194.12 - 194.92 - 195.37 - 196.27 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 20:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:46 GMT November 3, 2004
EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 0.6835 - 0.6971 and the mid-point reference is 0.6903.


... // 0.6835 - 0.6869 - 0.6903 - 0.6937 - (0.6971) // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle charts are as follow :-

... // 0.6829 - 0.6852 - 0.6876 - 0.6891 - 0.6924 // ... 0.6931 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 20:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:40 GMT November 3, 2004
AUD/JPY : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 76.76 - 80.67 and the mid-point reference is 78.71.


... // 76.76 - 77.74 - 78.71 - 79.69 - 80.67* // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-


... // 76.93 - 78.56 - 78.97 - 79.37 - 80.19 // ...

LA Fxnew 20:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
market is moving sideway?????
keep going up since 3 hours ago

Melbourne Qindex 20:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:31 GMT November 3, 2004
EUR/AUD : the current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 1.6920 - 1.7302 and th emid-point reference is 1.7111.


... // 1.6920* - 1.7016 - 1.7111 - 1.7207 - (1.7302) // ...


Other barriers from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-


... // 1.6893 - 1.6944 - 1.6983 - 1.7029 - 1.7063 - 1.7143 - 1.7166 - 1.7183 - 1.7223 // ...


Melbourne Qindex 20:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:20 GMT November 3, 2004
AUD/USD : The current expecte trading range from my 44-day cycle is 0.7302 - 0.7552 and the mid-point reference is 0.7427.


... // 0.7302 - 0.7365 - 0.7427 - 0.7490 - 0.7552 // ...


Others barrier from my 44-day cycle charts are as follow :-


... // 0.7333 - 0.7365 - 0.7373 - 0.7413 - 0.7454 - 0.7488 - 0.7494 - 0.7521 - 0.7534 // ...

Eilat Dolphin 20:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ NFP isn't that far away. I don't remember the market ever positioning itself in 4 H oversold when close to a Big News item... with Big margin of error possible.

So, if this moves keeps momentum in business hours, I'll sure short in 12 to 16 hours.

Syd 20:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
STRATEGISER THE TIMES THEY ARE A CHANGING for the Nzd. Given the fundamental outlook and the fading away of further RBNZ rate hikes, the Nzd may now have seen the best of its broad rally. The next big trend for the local unit to unwind recent broad based strength. We would see playing this against the Eur as leveraging potential gains

Ltn th 20:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
valdez// "...thee and me...". I see you are a fan of The Bard (Rabbie Burns).

Pol Forum Archives 20:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 04:41 GMT September 18, 2001
Bin Laden claimes no involvement; why should he lie? He is not a coward to do that- on the contrary- he will die for his cause. He may be willing to defend himself at the Int. Court- if given the opportunity

quito_ecuador_valdez 20:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 20:02 GMT November 3, 2004
except you & me..LOL. Well, "everyone" who posted thusly. A couple days ago I posted the election would be a non event & that any move would be simply resumption of the mkt movers' intentions in the first place who were merely holding off for a week. So here we are, resuming the charts as they were a week before the election, and I wouldn't be surprized if we now weren't in a fast game of "catch up" to 1.30 & beyond.

Van jv 20:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Illinois DB 18:42 GMT November 3, 2004
GVI john 18:30 Please confine political discussions to the Political forum.

I apprreciate your comments
Itís time to call for decency
But do not go to Political Forum as advised
All insults and brutal intimidations are allowed and mostly ignored there
Just go to Archives for "Los Angeles" and "SanFrancisco TG" for introduction

Ltn th 20:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
valdez. My a/c looks decidedly healthier. from archive.

Ltn th 10:47 GMT November 2, 2004
Alimin// I envisage largish end of intraday.
Unclear or dubious reports could be funn!

Ltn th 10:22 GMT November 2, 2004
Following is not intended as political comment but purely as likely international market response.
election 3 scenarios. 1 bush clear win. 2 kerry clear win or 3 unclear and litigation.
Likely responses:
1 bush win. small s/t bullish USD then reverse.
2 kerry win large st bullish USD then correction but stronger USD.
3 unclear. bearish USD st, end result likely same as last time lt bearish mt lt unclear.

Ltn th 20:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
valdez// everyone???

Eilat Dolphin 20:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Juneau/ That wasn't enough of a $ rally on hourlies ?

Eilat Dolphin 20:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Medallion/ Probably, but I'll comment after Georges II speaks urbi and orbi. Due about now.

Surabaya Medallion 19:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
So people already assume the NFP will be bad?

quito_ecuador_valdez 19:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
TG// agreed.
CAR// Please refer to quito_ecuador_valdez 19:24 GMT November 3, 2004.

slv sam 19:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 19:38 GMT/
I should..but i did collect good profits..so no regrets :)

SanFrancisco TG 19:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
My last post for the day. From the fundamental perspective, new Euro highs have no economic relevence to Euro economic condition. Oil supply/demand fluctuation is serving only as liquidity. The US economy is very strong. The deficit is producing some pressure on the USD, but is not the mainstay of the weakness, which is the FED "weak dollar policy" to cut into the deficit and continue to stimulate the economy.

GER ad 19:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR 19:39 ,
Buy the rumour sell the fact...

Juneau CAR 19:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
So where is the dollar rally when bush is elected?

Rivonia PipPirate 19:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 19:31 GMT Are you still kicking yourself for selling out your Cad stash?

quito_ecuador_valdez 19:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Little Rock TS 19:11 GMT November 3, 2004
Excellent resources: the right sidebar navigation menu..Analysis & News, Data & Tools. Try also fxstreet dot com, fxnews dot com, the various brokers as well as later on the Learning Center at right. Visit the Help Forum too.

slv sam 19:31 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 13:55 GMT November 3, 2004
all ready this week for e/$ 1.29xx, $/chf 1.18 and $/y 105.20!GT

I think we see above targets tomorrow Thursday!GT

SanFrancisco TG 19:31 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I am not considering Euro 2800 as a value of any concern. In my eyes 2780 holds more weight as support (yes it is very close), followed by 1.2700. If 2780 holds this should produce a new near term range.

Rivonia PipPirate 19:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Little Rock, Murphys' Law: If anything can go wrong it will, at the worst time.

quito_ecuador_valdez 19:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 15:59 GMT November 3, 2004
It's interesting Dolphin..last night everyone said if Bush wins USD evaluates. We see the opposite today thus far. This example I use is common & to help in the confusion I suggest one read this very short article to broaden perspective & to put the "breakout", which is doubted by some here, in the light.

Note on the FF: I as well as many others have been at times guilty of placing text here which should have been on the Political Forum & the Help Forum. Global View has provided us all with an excellent free resource & individually we don't stray the line much but collectively as a group we do. I think (using myself as an example from now on) to excercise more discipline to increase the quality of our forum would be in order. I start with me. You start with you.

SA Pat 19:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Little Rock TS 19:11 GMT November 3, 2004 John J Murphy - Technical analysis of the financial markets Mark Douglas - Trading in the zone

manila stubbs 19:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Little Rock TS 19:11 GMT November 3, 2004
technical analysis by john j. murphy - the bible of tech analysis

nyc jk 19:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
4 pm ny time or 21.00 gmt

SanFrancisco TG 19:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I suggest considering the 10YR yield marks of 4025, 4075, and/or 4160 for additional insight into the performance of the USD tomorrow. The first and last are the extremities and contain further gains or declines as long as the yield is performing in line with the USD.

MSC Eqwis 19:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Can anybody help-what is DJIA close time,pls?

Tallinn viies 19:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
closed my short euro.
sad sad sad.

anyway,
crude running pretty smoothly :)
out of here, Champions leaque football today. beer and stuff you know.
cu tom

Little Rock TS 19:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Is there a forum or site I can visit that has information to people who are new to all of this? Or any good books you can reccomend?

ny amc 19:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
good job George.

george new york 19:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
today was a good day

my position was all gbp against usd

buy 1,8388 close 1,8430 +42 pips
buy 1,8435 close 1,8468 +33 pips
buy 1,8470 close 1,8474 + 4 pips
buy 1,8477 close 1,8485 + 8 pips
hedge sell 1,8450 close 1,8438 +12 pips

totaly + 99 pips I will present tommorow Now 4, at 7 GMT
good luck

saint louis 18:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
sold EUR/JPY 135.91

van revdax 18:47 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Gentlemen, by removing what should be on PF to PF, you no longer need to bother Jay or anyone.

Illinois DB 18:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GVI john 18:30 Please confine political discussions to the Political forum.


For anyone who's angry or upset about Martin intimidating people or TG polluting the forum with his lunacy,
all I can say is it's GVI's website and they can run it any way they want. When I first found this forum, I was very
impressed with it. But after following it for months, I agree with whoever pointed out that advertising has dwindled
drastically: There's too much emotion, intimidation, and politics on this forum to make it worthwhile.
You can complain all you want, but the forum is free and you're free to leave. But ultimately, that also means that
all the BS is GVI's fault. And that means you Jay, or whoever calls the shots here. This website has allowed
these posters to detract seriously from the quality of the forum, and in my personal opinion, there's not enough
good advice left over to make up for it.

Jay, one tame comment very occasionally after an entire afternoon of vitriol does constitute policing the forum.
As I said, it's your forum, but speaking for myself personally, I find TG's comments obscenely inexcusable,
and in need of being deleted. Thanks a lot for hosting the forum, but I find it very hard to use constructively.

Tallinn viies 18:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
if euro close today comes over 1,2785 I need to turn to bullish camp again. su.cks I know but man got to do what man got to do.

Tallinn viies 18:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Im sorry.

buy crude,
couple of hours ago it was 15% down from the top which were done last wednesday.
free money on table imho

GVI john 18:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Please confine political discussions to the Political forum. Thanks for your help!

GVI john 18:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I know the markets are slow, but please confine political discussions to the Political forum. Thanks for your help!

Fl FrGuido 18:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I thought this was the Forex Forum. Not the Political Forum. Enough on Politic's. Sorry but some are abusing this site.

[From] GUIDELINES FOR THE FOREX FORUM

The forums are meant to be places where traders from around the globe can relay information and ideas. There purpose is to GENERATE TRADING IDEAS.


Dallas Mauricio 17:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Thank you for your posting.

jkt-aye 17:55 GMT November 3, 2004
Mauricio ... usually it take 1-2 days to hit the target. imo. GT&GL

jkt-aye 17:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio ... usually it take 1-2 days to hit the target. imo. GT&GL

Dallas Mauricio 17:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I prefer the 1st one also, since I am long @ 1.8448.

jkt-aye 17:49 GMT November 3, 2004
GBP plan ... long 1.8450 tgt 1.8540 stp 1.8420 or short 1.8425 tgt 1.8385 stp 1.8455. I prefer the 1st one. What do you think ?

Dallas GEP 17:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD is cable

jkt-aye 17:49 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP plan ... long 1.8450 tgt 1.8540 stp 1.8420 or short 1.8425 tgt 1.8385 stp 1.8455. I prefer the 1st one. What do you think ?

tim los angeles 17:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
what is cable

Dallas Mauricio 17:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Any Cable views?

Dallas GEP 17:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well for now at least. USD/CHF is having probllems getting thru 1.1985 watch for that to break. Aussie pretty much stagnant as is most other pairs,

manila stubbs 17:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
i think i see a possible divergence in gbp$ chart. anyone have any comments on this?

Halifax CB 17:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dallas M. Probably when the FF started doing a politcal piece every 3 minutes :)

Sydney Alimin 17:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Political Forum 17:10 GMT November 3, 2004

that's another good way to put it too...anyway let's get back to trading

Dallas Mauricio 17:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Long Cable @ 1.8448

hk mom 17:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
aud has only ONE way to go. That's the bc's 0.76-0.78 region.

FloridA vv 16:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 16:29 GMT November 3, 2004

No need to compare the losses when you have a very clear sign that the Plague of the 21st sentury is at your door steps.
Terrorism (if not stopped) would become more fearfull and dangerous than WW1 and WW2 together.

HK Kevin 16:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas, Great idea on selling Cable. Just close my short eur/jpy from 135.99 at 135.75.

george new york 16:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
at 1,8438

george new york 16:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
we remove hedge sell gbpusd 1,8450

nyc sa 16:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
dowjones reports Kerry called Bush to concede the election.

Sydney Alimin 16:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
triple top is about to form on 5 min chart euro? but somehow i feel it can still go up one more time, well i might be wrong..but even if it goes up more won't be too far from today's top i think

george new york 16:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gbpusd buy 1,8477

hedge position sell 1,8450

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gold still focuse 415.70 or 416.45. maybae down fast from 423.35 now..

FloridA vv 16:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well, will you stop arguing ang get ready for a nice $ bull run?
$ is always right.;))

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 16:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Russian NTV Kerry call to Bush about his victory!??

Eilat Dolphin 16:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
xyz/ Looks like CAD has hit it's floor.

Eilat Dolphin 16:14 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
xyz/ But you have to concede that the last minutes candels are a beauty of indecision.

london xyz 16:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
kerry concedes...

dollar continues fall


have a look at the cad

QED

jkt-aye 16:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kerry concedes ... AP report.

SanFrancisco TG 16:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
If the Dollar Index fails to hold below 84.75 the prospects increase for it to stabilize near term.

SPORE 16:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
bloomberg reports kerry had called bush to concede white house race

SanFrancisco TG 16:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Flip .. A double dip recession and total US economic meltdown along with it eh? Hasn't happened, not going to happen.

Take a look at what stocks have said about the horrible spectre of the deficit that is "sure to bring down the US" ....

At some point Flip you have to get off the pot.
US STOCKS

The Dow Jones closed up 25% for the year 2003, its best performance since 1996.

The S&P 500 closed up a very strong 25% for the year 2003.

The Nasdaq closed up a very strong 50% for the year2003.

The S&P Midcap Index closed the year at an all time high in 2003.

The Russell Index closed just 8% under its all time high set in 2000 in the year 2003.

Dublin Flip 16:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
tg you guys comparing Spet 11 to WW2 is absolutely hilarious stuff. Now that the election is behind us can we start dealing in reality. Sept 11 is shocking tragedy but miniscule compared to WW1 or 2.

george new york 16:04 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
buy gbp usd 1,8477

london xyz 16:04 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
TG

rooting out the spectre of terror is going to cost a fortune over a generation, that will have structural effects in the interim.

Dublin Flip 16:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The reasons to buy the stock market are the same reasons to sell the dollar. Making tax cuts permanent , more corporate welfare and deficit spending are stock market +ves but that doesn't mean USD should do anything different.

london xyz 16:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
dolphin.


its done and dusted , doesnt matter who declares victory or concedes defeat or when......the market has moved on, read below.

SanFrancisco TG 16:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
In November 2003 Fed Chairman Sir Alan Greenspan noted "There is, for the moment, little evidence of stress in funding U.S. current account deficits. To be sure, the real exchange rate for the dollar has, on balance, declined more than 10% and roughly 20% against the major foreign currencies since early 2002. Yet inflation, the typical symptom of a weak currency, appears quiescent." Prior to and still raging since this assessment, hype mongering of looming demise such as a credit bubble, housing bubble, stock bubble, double dip recession, and deficit bubble, have been on the podium. They must be so surprised to see that global stock markets and economies have continued to stagnate while those of the US soared, none of the bubbles has transpired, and the demand for US backed assets that spur the economy and in effect cover the debt remains strong depending on international conditions. The US economy is THE engine of the global economy, and fluctuation in deficit spending is as manageable as fuel consumption in this age. The current FED team has rescued the economy from tragedy, tax receipts have increased on a steady line for the last two years despite the tax cuts so heavily attacked by political interests, and the yield of the debt is in historically low ranges which counter-balances the volume of debt.

Let there be no mistake, the current deficit could no more be avoided today than the deficit the country saw during the WWII era. The economic apocalypse of September 11th, 2001 was compounded by a recession in full stride since the end of 1998. Had the US government not responded with drastically lowered interest rates, a weak currency policy, and lowered taxes to rescue a devastated business world, the results of arguably the greatest economic shock in US history would have been even more horrible. The effect would not have been limited to the US.

Any financier worth his or her salt knows that a deficit in the US does not have the same effect as it does in Europe. A deficit in Europe can lead to catastrophe due to distinct differences in the makeup of how income is derived for countries and a deficiency of economic evolution compared to the United States. The US functions on a higher plateau as a classified "service economy", and is THE major engine of global economics as long as it is secure and therefore is THE place for foreign money to be placed which finances the deficit. The more aggressive the US is about rooting out the specter of terror, the faster we will reach past levels of foreign investment that reduces the deficit. The National Association of Business Enterprises very overwhelmingly say terror is a worse threat to the economy than the deficit. I agree totally and without hesitation understanding the truth and facts of our concerns.

Eilat Dolphin 15:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi all! Just in, so tell me: if Bush is to speek soon and declare victory, and kerry won't have the guts to say nay, isn't that $ bullish and probable.

london xyz 15:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
flip and others......this bloke is more likely to double the deficit than halve it..!!!!!


dollar index was 110 the day bush took over (approx), today its 85 approx.........so dollar sell off today perfectly rational behavior.

HK Kevin 15:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Wiating for 135.65 to cover my eur/jpy short from 135.99.

Livingston nh 15:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Interest rates should come back into play - the US is still on path to higher rates - maybe only BoC and PBoC are also raising - everybody else on hold?

Dublin Flip 15:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
xyz the deficit has been growing so fast if junior halves it we will only be back to where we were when we started worrying about it three years ago -LOL

Ldn 15:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
london xyz that may be alarmist , by the way some are talking Putin , and Itally looks like they may decide to come to the party.

SanFrancisco TG 15:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Actually agree, in half is quite a distance under current needs. He/they will surprise though as they have continued to do.

Ldn 15:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
China , recent hike marks beginning of long process of interest-rate normalization in China; CSFB adds scenario supports its central scenario of soft landing for global growth next year said likely to hike rates further 200-300 bps says
chief China economist Dong Tao
CSFB's research report

london xyz 15:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
TG

you are dreaming if you think bush is going to halve the deficit.

he has a war to conduct for starters, and economic growth has peaked in the US.

his tax cuts will become permanent.

with iraq and other military ops on the horizon, no chance deficit will be meaningfully reduced........and he has repub congress to rubber stamp all his plans.

SanFrancisco TG 15:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
haha, absolutely comical lack of ethics. This guy (PIMCO) CIO has been "warning" of double dip recession and everything else he could think of since 2000.

Whats he gonna say when Bush cuts the deficit almost in half now that he has the time to do it after the necessary expenditures to save the economy from recession and terror shock of unprescidented levels?

He was "on medication"?

nyc jk 15:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
tg - if you recall, he put out that article calling Dow to 5000 when it was near the interim lows .....double whammy for him haha.

SanFrancisco TG 15:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Incredible, watching Bill Gross (seething liberal) still trying to call Bush a "lame duck", and watching the Dow BLASTING UPWARD at the same time. What a joke.

london xyz 15:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
the election is now old news.

bush has won, and the republicans have control over both houses.

the reason the dollar is getting pumped and treasuries as well is because , with this result, bush can cut taxes and spend as he likes with no congressional counter balance. The budget deficit will likely grow, and with it the trade deficit as well.

There is also extremely good chance of further threats military action next year against Iran.

Dallas GEP 15:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Reported that BUSH will claim victory soon even if KERRY does not concede. BUSH will allow a short period of time for KERRY to concede first however, No exact timeframes are given JUST said SOON.

HK Kevin 15:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
It looks like this downmove in EUR is driven by EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY.

Dallas Mauricio 15:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Great trading, congratulations!

george new york 15:34 GMT November 3, 2004
today we have

buy gbp usd 1,8388 1,8435 1,8470
close 1,8430 1,8468 1,8474
+42 +32 +4

all position +78 pips

Sydney Alimin 15:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
close my usd/jpy short :) flat before data

Sydney Alimin 15:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
i think euro can still go up a bit

SanFrancisco TG 15:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Oil inventories higher than expected

george new york 15:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
today we have

buy gbp usd 1,8388 1,8435 1,8470
close 1,8430 1,8468 1,8474
+42 +32 +4

all position +78 pips

hk ab 15:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
noted eur/gbp bounced at 0.6901...
eur has more legs.

jkt-aye 15:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Does any one have EIA weekly report and oil price now ? TIA

george new york 15:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
close position buy gbpusd 1,8470
close 1,8474

Chicago CME 15:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
What is the feeling on the CAD. Does the ccy have much more upside?

Ldn 15:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
US ISM Oct Non-Mfg Business Index 59.8 Vs Sep 56.7
Oct Non-Mfg Employment Index 55.8 Vs Sep 54.6
Oct Non-Mfg New Orders Index 60.5 Vs Sep 58.5
Oct Non-Mfg Prices Index 74.1 Vs Sep 67.1

Helsinki iw 15:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Come on now - Putin is just as opportunistic as any other politician, he wants to fight terror with Bush, or in other words, he wants a free hand in Chechnya. Remember those people used to be called freedom fighters? For sure Bush will be an ally of the Russians, after all they have oil. The question is who will get to invest in Russia, Germany or USA?

george new york 15:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
buy gbp against usd 1,8470

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Great post RATON. Thnaks

gmc 15:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ism non 59.8%

Ldn 15:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG agree surprised they came out so soon , shows he has got more amigos than everyone thought .

Boca Raton 15:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
http://www.perfectgreeting.com/index.cfm?action=sendcard&card_id=3040&pa%3E&card_id=3040&pa

Dallas Mauricio 14:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
With the exception of Cable.

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT November 3, 2004
Supposedly in about 30 minutes KERRY will speak. There is some thought that at that time he will concede. IF that happens IMO USD will sky rocket

Halifax CB 14:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Florida vv - just remember that not all states bind their electoral college votes, and that no electoral college voter has ever been prosecuted for changing their vote. Given the bitterness of many Kerry supporters, and their natural tendency towards anything-to-win, nothing would surprise me. I just hope that Kerry steps above his usual level & concedes defeat, to preclude EC shennanigans....

SanFrancisco TG 14:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - Those excerpts regarding Putin and Italy hold not only historic implications, but I believe they set a tone for things to come. I have not expected Russia to become a stronger ally due to Bush being in office, but it is clear that economic gains are to come on the back of greater ties and trade, with a strong flavor of progress in freedom as Putin has stated.

The economic implications are through the roof.

Tallinn viies 14:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
sold more euros at 1,28.
stop all at 1,2849.
cant believe euro can move up up up. need it down to 1,2675 again.

Dallas GEP 14:49 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Raton, AUSSIE already reacted to a BUSH victory much earlier and by taking out all those stops it pushed to if NOT it's high today then certainly within 20 pips of it's high.

Dallas GEP 14:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
DOW is up 160 points

FloridA vv 14:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
B = 269, just one vote to win
K = 238 - good job, but not good enough,
DOW soars,
Loading $ longs again
GL

Boca Raton 14:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Along with the AUSSIE.

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Supposedly in about 30 minutes KERRY will speak. There is some thought that at that time he will concede. IF that happens IMO USD will sky rocket

Halifax CB 14:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well, glad I was at the dentist this a.m., I certainly wasn't expecting a 100+ pip move down in USDCAD; looks like the $ has taken a similar beating elsewhere. Back to the downtrend, or just discouragement over Kerry's whining? More importantly, will it stick? My first impression is no (even though I still lean to $ bearish). Time for a little bottom fishing with stops in the 1.2070's, but keeping it small.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
OK..It's working now..

london 14:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Gecko if around are you still looking for that correction higher USD with Bush win

Plovdiv Gotin 14:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
in 30 min

george new york 14:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
15 gmt ISM index

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
FXXCM
Works with u guys?

manila stubbs 14:29 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
wat time is ISM?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:29 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
These are all my first orders for today
EURUSD 1.2933 1.2472
USDJPY 108.4944 105.0435
GBPUSD 1.8495 1.8006
USDCHF 1.2317 1.1807
EURCHF 1.5414 1.5214
AUDUSD 0.7572 0.7299
USDCAD 1.2491 1.2093
NZDUSD 0.7128 0.6785
EURGBP 0.7015 0.6888
EURJPY 137.5317 133.8566
GBPJPY 196.4166 192.6603
CHFJPY 89.9318 87.2426
GBPCHF 2.2279 2.1745
EURAUD 1.7258 1.6811
EURCAD 1.5799 1.5404
AUDCAD 0.9252 0.9043
AUDJPY 80.6208 78.2892

george new york 14:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
now we are waiting ISM index ... and then we :
buy or sell gbp against usd

slv sam 14:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USA SAM 14:15/
Not trading e/$, was simple opinion!

slv sam 08:48 GMT October 15, 2004
Gecko/
watching price action not only euro but other majors against US$ tell me today probability is us$ going to be strong...that is for today! but I still belive we are going to visit 129 again before year end!!GT

Ldn 14:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kerry Campaign Staff Meeting; Talk Of Concession

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
already posted it...
Its a buy..Yes...But correcting from there 0.7571
maybe going for 50 pips

Ldn 14:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
MOSCOW (AP)--Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi Wednesday said an election victory by U.S. President George W. Bush would help maintain close ties between the U.S. and Italy.

Berlusconi said that if confirmed, "Bush will keep up that policy that gives the United States the role of promoting freedom in the world."

Berlusconi, spoke after a private dinner with Russian President Vladimir Putin at his residence outside Moscow after arriving in Russia late Tuesday

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
eur 1st order 1.2933

Sydney 14:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips could you give your opinion on the Aud at these levels thanks

Bahrain 14:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
aussie 1 st order
0.7572

USA SAM 14:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ARE YOU BUYING OR SELLING US$??


slv sam 13:55 GMT November 3, 2004
all ready this week for e/$ 1.29xx, $/chf 1.18 and $/y 105.20!GT

slv sam 12:14 GMT November 3, 2004
e/$ 1.29+ this week?.GT

slv sam 09:55 GMT November 3, 2004
IMHO all bets on big US$ sell off! so expect a sharp squeeze soon possibly to 1.23-1.24 level!GT

SanFrancisco TG 14:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - Wow. Historic.

HK Kevin 14:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sold EUR/JPY at 135.99.

sofia anmart 14:04 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD should make retracement to 1.2765-50 before another up leg to 1.2850.

Ldn 14:03 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
MOSCOW (AP)--Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday hailed George W. Bush as a "predictable partner" and said that if his lead in the U.S. presidential election is confirmed, it would mean the American people had not given in to the threats of international terrorists.

"If Bush wins, I would feel happy that the American people have not allowed themselves to be scared and made the decision they considered reasonable," Putin said at a Kremlin news conference following talks with Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

Putin said during the U.S. election campaign that terror attacks in Iraq were intended to thwart Bush's re-election. He reaffirmed that view Wednesday, adding that the recent video statement by Osama bin Laden proved international terrorists were trying to prevent Bush's victory.

He said that U.S.-Russian relations have improved under Bush's presidency "for the benefit of our peoples and global security."

Bush has shown himself to be a "tough politician, a man with strong character and a "predictable partner," Putin said.

"I have known Bush for four years as a consistent and honorable person," Putin said. "If he's re-elected, we will congratulate him and feel glad that no mud they tried to sling at him has stuck. We would also voice hope that he will show all his best qualities and the experience he has gained at the helm of such a huge and important nation as the U.S."

Dallas GEP 14:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KERRY IMO will concede within within the next 24 hours.

Santo Domingo tht 14:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ready Sam, don't worry. Good luck.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 13:53 GMT November 3, 2004
thanks for your input. but I am worry.. big selling from eur/usd after touched 2805 will give impact gbp/usd although still not yet your level 8560..

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 13:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
what a mess in Ohio.

slv sam 13:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
all ready this week for e/$ 1.29xx, $/chf 1.18 and $/y 105.20!GT

HK Kevin 13:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:33, Cable has the potential to reach 1.8560 in my chart readings. I am watching carefuly the resistance of EUR/JPY and Kiwi at 136 and 6900 for a sell.

george new york 13:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
this morning i told you

buy gbpusd 1,8388 and then 1,8450 1,8500 in this moment

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short cable Here and more on 1.8521

Santo Domingo tht 13:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Very cool trading today, trailing stops 20 pips behind market, heading for a swim shortly.

Santo Domingo tht 13:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 13:41 There's something wrong with the chart, the red arrow is pointing the wrong way.

Dallas GEP 13:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well some of AUSSIE shorts I took out Others still in.

LDN SAM 13:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Anybody hearing anythg aabout explosion in New Jersey??

Ldn 13:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD outlookLINK

KL KL 13:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
off to bed limit sell gbpusd 1.8517...open sl

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
hai all people here..
please be carefull with all pairs now !!
especially with eur/usd, gbp/usd, aud/usd, Gold
eur/usd have get top extreme target at 1.2785, gbp/usd have get xtreme top target at 1.8472, aud/usd 0.7542, gold sell level at 423.80.
maybe today charts will get big reverse.
the historical will be painted today..
be carefull !!!
not good now if thinking bear of usd.

george new york 13:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ok guys now we closed gbpusd buy 1,8435

close 1,8466 + 31 pips

Dallas GEP 13:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
BAHRAIN,, yes I am still short AUSSIE

george new york 13:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
against usd

Tokyo IM 13:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Who thinks 1.8440 going to hold ?

george new york 13:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
now open position buy gbp 1,8435

KL KL 13:04 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
locking in my customary inflation 3 pip profit for both aud & gbp usd shorts...ok gbpusd sl trigger works +3, out also audusd +5 = +8

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I read in news last night US election cost them $4bln. I guess they were shooting for $8bln instead.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dallas U shorting them?

If any are long cable..I suggest U PT here

Sydney Alimin 12:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
if no surprise later and we close around this level for euro, i bet for higher level in a day or two, got bullish harami on MA support, whether this is gonna be longer lasting or not is another question

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL// splendid idea LOL! But there are already 1.3mln illegal workers from Ec in USA already, I think the proposed Ec "voter oversight workers" after having done their work would stay on. (good for us, good for USA)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:49 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
selling auscad .9250 and
ausyen 80.45

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:47 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
aussie crosses are cooked...short

Sydney Alimin 12:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 12:33 GMT November 3, 2004

LOL that was for your earlier profit, sorry to hear that you got stopped out on the second one but you are still + in total right? wait for my 106.40 profit taking on usd/jpy then you can begin to think about buying usd again,ok? ;)

KL KL 12:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez ...maybe US can outsource electoral job to your country and help reduce twin deficit??

ok short gbpusd 1.8440 and audusd .7533 been dancing there for just a wee bit long

Dallas GEP 12:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
For clues to AUSSIE movement watch aud/jpy and usd/cad AUD/JPY had the most firect correaltion

melbourne farmacia 12:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip - Not wrong there mate.. "special relationship"

Cycle day on Aud/usd fwiw..

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I'm with GEP. One would think that a country which put men on the moon repeatedly in the 60s and 70s and remote controlled go carts on Mars repeadedly could do the simple task of counting votes & putting one ole cowboy in the White House. Sheesh. 'Nuff said, frankly I's "am bare as sed" as hades over the whole stupid mess. Ecuador just had local elections, a third world country has better and faster results than this & same day may I add (pop 12Mln). Let the 3rd world simply run US elections in the future.


3-Nov Wednesday (the bloody morning after)
All times GMT (EST=GMT-4) es=estimate pr=previous
All data exits at 14:00...
USD USTreas.announceNov refndg(3s,5s,10s) 14:00
USD Dom.auto/truck Sls OCT 14:00 es=13.5M pr=14.3M
USD Weekly gas/oil inventories (time unk)
USD Factry Orders SEP 14:00 es=0.50% pr=-0.10%
USD ISM Non-Manufac'g(OCT) 14:00 es=58.3 pr=56.7


JPY Mkts Closed: Cultural Day

KL KL 12:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
aarrrgh #$%$%#...lurking in anger now

KL KL 12:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin, not really I am now close to 5...4 more pips from being taken out on this .7520 short.....tempted to move it or get out now??? Ponder ponder...worry worry...maybe I should start saying US election result convincingly BUSH

george new york 12:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ok, guys,...buy gbpusd 1,8388
now 1,8430 +42 pips

Sydney Alimin 12:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
will lock in profit on half possie at usd/jpy 106.40/45, and move stop to BE, target open for the time being (realistically 106 and 105.80 first, anything below that is a bonus for now)

Dallas GEP 12:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
didn;t know that FLIP Thnaks

Sydney Alimin 12:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
interesting move by aud, perhaps this is the much waited move to 0.7550/0.76

Dublin Flip 12:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP a Bush victory (coupled with Howard's return a few weeks ago) is a pretty big plus for Australia. That's seen by many as a further stengthening in the special relationship.

Juneau CAR 12:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Gold just went from +$1.50 to + $3.80 in about 5 minutes. euro/dollar went form !.2731 to $1.2745 in same time!

Dallas GEP 12:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
sold more AUSSIE at 7520. STOP at 7566

LondonJoe 12:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AUD has broken important levels will target 7650-770 now - rightly or wrongly,,,

Sydney Alimin 12:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
well done KL, you got out at the right time, are we back to 'sell usd' trend again? i hope i dont have to use my second bazooka on usd/jpy but there are still data coming out later today, so anything is possible

Dallas GEP 12:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Interesting AUSSIE spurt

KL KL 12:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short audusd .7520 sl 10 above

slv sam 12:14 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
e/$ 1.29+ this week?.GT

KL KL 12:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
perrie como, e-voting - IMHO is the biggest scam..period.

btw out audusd short from .7294 at .7282 +12 is good !! hate to lose a winning trade!! reshort higher later in view of potential problems with votes in US...here comes the lawyers

Sydney Alimin 12:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
can we expect a long consolidating market weeks ahead if the election's result proves to be influential and yet there is no official result for some time?

perrie como 11:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Watchdogs Spot E-Vote Glitches
Activists watching the election say they received hundreds of calls from voters reporting e-voting problems -- some small, some significant. The observers file lawsuits in precincts where the glitches cause alleged disenfranchisement. By Kim Zetter.

www.wired.com

perrie como 11:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Yukos Shareholders to Consider Bankruptcy During Emergency Meeting in December

Dallas GEP 11:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
No I am not happy with the result. I was hoping for a clear victory one way or the other. Looking at the numbers, it looks to me it is mathematically impossible for KERRY to win OHIO yet we will probably go thru the same SHITTTT we did 4 years ago where there will be a bunch of cries of discontent. It was very divisive last time and it will be this time UNLESS KERRY concedes quickly. IF KERRY had won the popular vote, I think it wouild be especially bad IF it had wound up he loses the elctoral vote but that is not the case. The people who thought the election woukd have little effect on CCY's were WRONG,

perrie como 11:49 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Oil Futures Up As Traders Watch U.S. Vote
Wed 6:43AM ET - Associated Press
Crude oil futures surged above $51 on Wednesday, then fell back a bit in volatile trading on the oil markets as traders anxiously watched results from the U.S. presidential election.

KL KL 11:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for letting us know I am in .7294... this is a dog in terms of movement excitement....sl 10 above. Not sure how many time it has rejected .75.

btw you happy with the election result...if we can unofficial call it THE result

Sydney Alimin 11:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 11:31 GMT November 3, 2004

that's a good one mate, if it fails to trade above 0.75 again, it is promising good reward later

Dallas GEP 11:31 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Got AUSSIE short from 7495

Sydney Alimin 11:29 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 11:26 GMT November 3, 2004

yeah that was a bit disappointing actually, i was actually waiting for a quick run up to above 107 level where i had prepared my second gun, anyway it is there waiting between 107.05 and 107.20 stops somewhere between 107.20 to 107.50, beyond 107.50 will reassess

KL KL 11:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 11:13
some short squeeze going on usd/jpy - you kidding me 80- 89 for hours in forex term...maybe they looking for the password to invoke BOJ Sell thus the pause...LOL....short squeeze like gbpusd from 1.8378 - 1.8412 in less than 5 minutes

Gen dk 11:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 11:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
some short squeeze going on usd/jpy, preparing second bazooka shot now

george new york 11:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
rally
maraton +100 or better pips

KL KL 11:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd short took 7 pips ...hate to see 13-14 pips dwindle to 2 or 3....+7 is good!!

george new york 10:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ok, Sofia, anmart,...
good decision is : buy GBP against USD 1,8388
in coming days 1,8500 or better

Plovdiv Gotin 10:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Anmart/Your view about $/SF?tia.

KL KL 10:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush won, so short at 1.84..locking in 1...2...3 inflation pips sl at 1.8397...relief rally then reality...USA USA....technically look at gold too

sofia anmart 10:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD should stay above 1.8360 for 1.8450 and 1.8500.

HK [email protected] 10:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Yen at 107 may form a short term high, may even attempt to challenge last low.
A decisive break above 107 is needed for more $$$ gain.
Div. on Osc. may be seen.

Warsaw mach 10:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

RTRS - 11:40 03Nov2004 RTRS-WHITE HOUSE'S CARD SAYS CONVINCED BUSH HAS WON RE-ELECTION

Sydney Alimin 10:42 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL, wanna try shorting again? let's try again on a bounce from the MAs close to the high, or is it a bit late now?

Tokyo IM 10:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, are you shorting cable now ?

Sydney Alimin 10:28 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 08:13 GMT November 3, 2004

ab, are you gonna hold them for long term? what's your short term target for those possies?

Melbourne Qindex 10:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

HK [email protected] 10:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
If Bush will delay his victory declaration, that simply means there will be no atmosphere of uncertainty.
Uncert. will commence, if arguments and quarrel will erupt between the candidates.

Gen dk 10:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

SF MRZ 10:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sell Eur/$ again 1.2723

KL KL 10:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM , actually samurai ninja have a few cuts and require some tiger balm oitment to heal. Time also good healer. TOday is GOOD day to trade look at gbpusd...waiting to short...asking for it...

Fl FrGuido 10:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
CNN says Bush will not declare victory now. Will wait.

SF MRZ 10:10 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The squeeze will come from top and bottom big range trade. Sell the tops and buy the bottoms.

Lndn Frnd 10:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 09:55 GMT November 3, 2004
IMHO all bets on big US$ sell off! so expect a sharp squeeze soon possibly to 1.23-1.24 level!GT

afraid sharks take it to 129 instead of 123

slv sam 09:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
IMHO all bets on big US$ sell off! so expect a sharp squeeze soon possibly to 1.23-1.24 level!GT

Sydney Alimin 09:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
anyone still remember last time when gbp/usd and usd/jpy made a rally at the same time? watch gbp/jpy over the next few sessions

Tokyo IM 09:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, guess you did not catch the knife this time did ya ?

KL KL 09:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd short - 2 pips seems longer term play want to long it

Melbourne Qindex 09:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

KL KL 09:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
long gbpusd 1.8378...breakout of trendline out 1.8387 + 9 is good. Looks like a false break. Short 1.8383 sl 10 above. Still not too late for others to follow!! only 10 pip risk

PAR 09:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Expect UK services PMI to show strong gains to 57.

Sydney Alimin 09:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ok reload 1st entry short usd/jpy 106.70, a dangerous game at the moment, but this is my game plan for this week, until 107.20 and 107.50 are taken

Pecs Andras 09:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
With Nevada in the pocket Bush needs only Ohio and that will be it

Syd 09:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush Wins Nevada

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd when at 1.8371
my system informed me about bottom target 1.8245..

Odessa GM 08:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Good day, Raden! What do you think about EURUSD today? Thanks

Ldn 08:57 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
German Oct Seas Adj Jobless +12K Vs +28K In Sep
German Oct Unadj Jobless Rate 10.1% Vs Sep 10.3%
West German Oct Adj Jobless +14,000; East -2,000 Vs Sep
Oct Adj Jobless Rate 10.7%, Unchanged From Sep
German Labor Office: No Turnaround Yet Visible In Jobless





Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
hello all !!

Auckland 08:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo i think might be better idea if we keep election chats in political forum.... Do you believe we are going to see EUR/USD 1.2585-1.2630 before "north direction" (1.2900-1.3200)

Tokyo IM 08:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
oops i meant Auckland

Tokyo IM 08:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
uckland 08:39 GMT November 3, 2004// Now I remember that was me but that does not mean that I believe into that things I just was reporting ...

Tokyo IM 08:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 08:39 GMT November 3, 2004// It is ok, was not me for sure. As far as I see it it is not the results that are important right now it is this state of confusion that kills everebody's confidence and direction.

Auckland 08:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo I'm not going to say anything bad- just chat. Might be somebody else from Tokyo. To be honest I dont like any of them

Tokyo IM 08:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 08:34 GMT November 3, 2004 , whatever man .. I am not into this things ...

st. pete islander 08:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ohio law says that the counting of those ballots can not be counted until after a 10 day period. However, it would seem that the number of votes in question would not change the results even if every one of them were given to Kerry.

Auckland 08:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Somebody from Tokyo sent message the other day in regards to US elections and he said "red skin" people had dance and they predicted Kerry is going to win- as per same message they didnt miss election results for past 40-45 years

HK [email protected] 08:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

"VOX POPULI VOX DEI".

The American people chose, the right and consistent man whom they trust, and whom they think can run the best defence policies.

But what in the world is the connection between Bush reelection and a strong dollar???

It is just a continuation of the prev. policies of borrowing and spending and deficits.

The king is naked!!!

Syd 08:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ohio's 2 GOP Senators Urge Kerry To Concede US Election

Sydney gvm 08:29 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
saw on TV votes in Ohio likely to take 10-11 days to count total - Edwards saying Democrats will wait for every vote to be counted = uncertainty continues - Dollar down

Tokyo IM 08:28 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 08:26 GMT November 3, 2004 // ??? What is "Red Skin" dancer ?

Auckland 08:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo, seems to me your "Red skin" dancers missed this time- after 40-45 years

Tokyo IM 08:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 262 Bush 261

Tokyo IM 08:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kerry is 7 ev behind 242
Bush 249
??? Waiting time.

hk ab 08:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
nt//I took some 106, some 105.80.
But the future perspect is not bad.

KL KL 08:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
out short 1.8372 +20....my charts frozen....since need to reboot...time to boot in profit...flat now and sell the rally mentality.....don't like when currency just hanging around...like "hanging chads"

perrie como 07:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
funny plenty of news titling dollar strenght as bush wins, but the market is really glued around levels still dangerous for a US dollar crash.

g/l

sgp sp 07:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Hello nt,
hong kong nt 07:50 GMT November 3, 2004

Noted...and usd/jpy....collected too ......

gl & gt 2 u

hong kong nt 07:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AB -- did you collect usd/jpy at 105?

hong kong nt 07:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
euro -- a range of 1.257-1.275 may serve well for today..

sofia anmart 07:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD -1.2700. The pair should be supported at 1.2700 for another wave up to 1.2745 before down to 1.2600.

Melbourne Qindex 07:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Haifa ac 07:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ohio must be FULL of Forex Day traders. They will do their utmost to make today as Volatile as possible.

KL KL 07:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM , actually it was like frozen on my screen for more than a few seconds asking for it...I thought it will go to 1.8413 but hung around the low 9s. Actually I missed the mark by 2 pips. My problem is now to take it or let it run. Long term showing it might pop up higher or dash down...when in doubt I lock in the 3 pips gain first...must be inflation..LOL

ATL MA 07:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney...........There will probably be some delay....Kerry may try to hang on as long as he can.....but the odds are overwhelmingly high that Bush won.....But it may not be "official" until Wednesday or Thursday. But for all practical purposes, Bush won. There is the risk of an ordeal in Ohio going on for several days, who knows....that is the risk. But Bush will win in the end anyway.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 07:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
OK CLOSED EURUSD at low today, need some rest.

next 12th nov I take a long. gl everyone.
TIA:-)

Tokyo IM 07:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, good shot. Right into the foot of the Cable

Sydney Alimin 07:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
got news, delay in Iowa until wed morning? how's the election now btw? can a victor be declared already at the moment or is it still too close to call?

KL KL 07:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8392n sl 15 above

Sydney Alimin 07:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
c.r.a.p it is true! and i got stopped out, missed the move !!

melbourne farmacia 07:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kamensk Andy 06:40 GMT November 3, 2004
Still hold upside bias MT… needs to hold 1.8125, but will re-evaluate next few days… That said, 10 figures seems fair target before turning..( from 1.7710 base ) GT

Crude up $ 1.50 fwiw

Bris TW 07:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Looks like a couple of counting machines have "broken down" in Iowa and Ohio will be delayed for 1-3days.

Los Angeles ss 06:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Alimin -- I think it has to do with Ohio, Democrats say they will not concede until provisional ballots are counted and military ballots are counted, which will take up to ten days. So the uncertainity continues, at least until they change their mind, if they do.

Sydney Alimin 06:57 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
dollar sell-off starts again? geez that rally was really short if this is true, got stopped out at BE too on short usd/jpy grrr...

Bris TW 06:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
No problems Qindex. I owe you more than one from your excellent analysis in the past :)

Melbourne Qindex 06:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 06:44 GMT - Oh! I made a mistake, thank you.

Melbourne Qindex 06:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 06:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush wins Ohio?

Bris TW 06:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Yes Q I was pointing out the last post on your page: Melbourne Qindex 06:08 GMT November 3, 2004
GBP/JPY :
It looked too good to be true.

Melbourne Qindex 06:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 06:38 GMT : EUR/JPY

Melbourne Qindex 05:34 GMT November 3, 2004

and

Melbourne Qindex 05:31 GMT November 3, 2004

Kamensk Andy 06:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne farmacia - good afternoon. May i ask your view on cable mid-term? TIA

Bris TW 06:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I have 1.2662 at -50%fib from latest euro highs of 1.2832. Its bounced hard here a few times. Looks like this time its not bouncing so much and there is just a few real money players waiting for Bush confirmation Id guess.

Next line is 1.2622 -61.8 below there 1.2565

melbourne farmacia 06:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
249 head job / 211 K

Melbourne Qindex 06:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 06:21 GMT - My 44-day cycle is a current one using the last New York closing for projection. The difference between the daily cycle and current 44-day cycle is the number of sample used in the projection. 44 times more of samples are used as compared with the daily cycle.

quito_ecuador_valdez 06:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ohio thus far according to cnn:
Bush 2,478,134 votes popular 51%
Kerry 2,361,524 votes popular 49%
Bush leads Kerry in Ohio by 1.1 mln pop. votes according to CNN. Link HERE.

Bris TW 06:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Quarterly cycles that is.

Bris TW 06:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Yes I see just a small typing error no problems. gbp/jpy at eur/jpy levels made me think too good to be true for a second.

Melbourne Qindex 06:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 06:14 GMT - It has been posted in my page.

Bris TW 06:14 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:08
EUR/JPY?

Melbourne Qindex 06:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Alimin 06:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf short approaching 1.2150 and euro long 1.2630 might be worth a try here

KL KL 06:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I am back. ha ha out gbpusd 1.8344 from short earlier +14 I notice my sl nearly got taken by 1 pip earlier...phew again. Just short this rally. Really that easy now..my DOW short got taken...looks like a gap is forming and I am waiting to revenge!! Everybody will give this a bounce and reality will set in again next weak and my prognosis is scary!! reshort 1.8359..out again 1.8346 +13 is good...helps pay for my silly DOW mistake ....whoo look at DOW futures....nice nice, look at oil, gold...I am sure those who did not set sl nicely margin getting hit

quito_ecuador_valdez 06:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP..see my post quito_ecuador_valdez 05:11 GMT November 3, 2004..if we're going by what states are "called" for Bush, Ohio (20), NM(5) and CO(9)added to his already 237 put Bush at 271 ec votes, not counting Hawaii & Alaska's results. Bush essentially has won if he wins Ohio.

CA RayS 06:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
MSNBC just called Ohio for the President. They also projected Alaska and the Presidents total is 269.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ray//yup...if Bush puts Ohio in hip pocket he gets to use Air Force One 4 mo yrs. Hawaii (4 ec votes) and Alaska (3 ec votes) have no data yet. New Mexico is running by Yahoo's chart 71% of votes counted..B=51%, K=48%. These numbers vary with the source however..CBS and CNN report different numbers but slanted same way..Bush.

Bris TW 05:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Drudgereport calls Bush win after taking Ohio. Saxxo Calls bush win also. TV/Cable stations will not call it right now.

Dallas GEP 05:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ohio on some new services has been called a BUSH victory with 246 electoral votes plus 20 from OHIO that is 266 votes which makes it almost mathematically impossible for KERRY to win (it takes 270 electoral votes to WIN). Not over yet but KERRY hopefuls have an almost impossible task.

I see that GBP/USD has hit my ORIGINAL target SHORT (I bailed early)

Haifa ac 05:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Is Zorro bigger than Bush?! just pondering.

CA RayS 05:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
It all comes down to Ohio. On MSNBC, it is now down to Cleveland. Wow this is just too close it's scary

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
How's the House and Senate stack up: GOP control.

1st number=2002
2nd number=2004
Last number = Turnover

House
Republicans 229 217 6
Democrats 205 189 1
Other 1 0 0

Senate
Republicans 51 50 3
Democrats 48 42 1
Other 1 1 0

Interestingly Ralph Nader, consumer advocate scored nearly 290.7k pop votes thus far.

U.S. state governors:
Republicans 28 27 1
Democrats 22 19 0
Other 0 0 0

~~~~<><<>><>~~~~


3-Nov Wednesday (the bloody morning after)
All times GMT (EST=GMT-4) es=estimate pr=previous
GBP BOE Mon.Pol.Comte 2 Day Mtng & Perier water drinkathon
EUR Ital PMI Services survy OCT 8:45 es=56.0 pr=56.1
EUR Fr PMI Services survy 8:50 es=53.3pr=53.1
DEM PMI Services survy OCT 8:55 es=52.1 pr=52.1
DEM Unemp Chng 000s OCT 8:55 es=15.0k pr=27.0k
DEM Unemp Rate s.a. OCT 8:55 es=10.7% pr=10.7%
DEM Emp Change '000s AUG 8:55 es=5.0k pr=2.0k
EUR PMI Services survey OCT 9:00 es=53.3 pr=53.3

GBP Offic'l Reserves(Changes OCT) 9:30 pr=$136.0M
GBP PMI Services survey OCT 9:30 es=54.5 pr=54.7
GBP CIPS Services 9:30

USD USTreas.announceNov refndg(3s,5s,10s) 14:00
USD Dom.auto/truck Sls OCT 14:00 es=13.5M pr=14.3M
USD Weekly gas/oil inventories
USD Factry Orders SEP 14:00 es=0.50% pr=-0.10%
USD ISM Non-Manufac'g(OCT) 14:00 es=58.3 pr=56.7


JPY Mkts Closed: Cultural Day





HK [email protected] 05:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The flow of return of electoral results is fast and obvious to all. Market has already factored a Bush victory.

Melbourne Qindex 05:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
A note on the states which are called or assumed to be for one candidate or the other..some of these states only have 20 some percent of the votes in, some 90 some percent, the rest inbetween. So just because a state is "called" for a candidate doesn't mean it's 100% over. The "call" is based on votes rendered out of possible votes.

Sydney Alimin 05:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gaahh usd/jpy 106.40 was busted, my remaining 50% short position on BE (106.68) is threatened...i will still play the short side until we break 107.20 and then 107.50

good luck everyone, i am glad we have plenty of volatility even so early today

HK [email protected] 05:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The symmetric triangle on hourly gold looks like invites another price drop. ???

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I realize pop votes don't count..just posted them for interest.
If the three states now slanting for Bush indeed call for Bush, Ohio, Colorado and New Mexico, those total 34 ec votes. 237+34=271 ec votes, a bare win. Not counting Hawaii and Alaska...no data in yet for those two..slow pokes.

Melbourne Qindex 05:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SNP 05:03 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 14:49 GMT October 27, 2004
Ä/$ above 1.28 ... $/CHF below 1.20 ... Gold unable to maintain 430+
looks like time to accumulate USD against contis will be here soon ;-)

... FWiW going to scale out before weekend
GL GT everyone :-) have fun

HK [email protected] 05:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 04:55 GMT November 3
Anyway Pop. votes is not what is decided by.

Rep. always have the option to challenge in court results in Ohio...recheck all voters one by one if they were elligible to vote there.

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Popular Vote 61% of Precincts Reporting (AP)

George W. Bush 51% 38,998,009

John Kerry 48% 36,894,883

Hong Kong Ahe 04:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
In this morning, when Bush leads, dlr strengthen. When Kerry has new outbreak, dlr falls. Market is fully moody.

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Jr keeps his lead of 2.1 mln pop votes.

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
If Ohio, Colorado and New Mex go as predicted for Bush, he's got 271 ec votes..a win, not counting Hawaii & Alaska.

Ldn 04:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
George W Bush: 238

John Kerry: 188

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EurCable.htm
Just added Two more for short range till us Open

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
By the electoral college votes Bush has leaning for him, he's won the election. But the counts for the "leaning" states for each candidate are not totaled/retotaled so it is impossible to predict the actual future. If Fla just went Bush, that's a big whammy..27 ec votes alone.

Dallas Tman 04:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Viva Bush!!!

EUR/USD seems to be trending $ +
Based on the Bush $ policy, how long will this last?



Eilat Dolphin 04:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Yup/ Played. Now we need to see the $ move...
Probably 50 pips up by the time I wake up...

Ldn 04:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
CNN quotes senior source in Kerry camp as saying they believe Democrats have lost Florida; comes as ABC calls state for Bush, with other networks likely to follow

Syd 04:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Australian retail sales growth slowed in September as high oil prices limited spending and building approvals fell to a three-year low.
The disappointing data follow the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision earlier Wednesday to keep interest rates on hold for the 11th consecutive month. And it hardened expectations the central bank will keep its hands off the monetary policy brake for the remainder of the year says chief economist at BT Financial Group.
ABC

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
What's yet to be called?
%=counts thus far, ec=electoral college votes
Leaning for Kerry: 38 ec votes:
New Hampshire B=49% K=51% 4 ec votes
Michigan B=47% K=52% 17 ec votes
Iowa B=48% K=51% 7 ec votes
Minnisota B=46% K=54% 10 ec votes
-------
Leaning for Bush: 71 ec votes:
Ohio B=52% K=48% 20 ec votes
Wisconsin B=54% K=46% 10 ec votes
Colorado B=53% K=47% 9 ec votes
New Mexico B=52% K=46% 5 ec votes
Florida B=52% K=47% 27 ec votes

Bush therefore has over double the ec votes in states potentially leaning for him.

Alaska & Hawaii are completely unknown.

hk ab 04:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
After the turmoil today, I think eur/gbp can tell us the truth.

bust the 0.7 barrier or return to the .66-.7 range again?

Hk [email protected] 04:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Very int. elections style! Voting not yet over, and results from different parts of the US are already coming out.

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gwb 210 jfk 199, Jr leads by 2 Mln votes pop.

JHB CBD 04:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Good day forum

Any idea when the results would be in time wise ?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EurCable.htm
next few days

melbourne farmacia 04:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin - in the next few days / weeks...

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GOP has Senate & House tied up FWIW at Yahoo...donkey or no donkey pres. Voters in 9 states OK anti gay marriage laws. Add Washington to Kerry's basket.

Eilat Dolphin 04:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Vzaldez/ Yea, like direct? One human, one vote ?

Eilat Dolphin 04:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia/ When was Falluja attacked ? What time ?

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:14 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gwb 209 jfk188. Prob is Cal has a lot of Bush people...on popular vote I'd say LOTS of Cal voters will be highly IRRITATED at the electoral college system. Personally I hope they do away with it altogether.

Rockford BDR 04:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
LOL too far south for my taste!

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Rockford..it did..cal is Kerry. shidt.

melbourne farmacia 04:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin - no.. projected US casualties after full-scale Fallujah attack.

CA RayS 04:10 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kerry won California. This was determine weeks before the election. Should have know when our Governor goes to Ohio to campaign for the President. And when he returned to California he was campaign for and against some of the propositions.

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Well, I moved from Cal to Ecuador...with me here pal? LOL

Rockford BDR 04:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
It'll more than likely go Kerri Valdez. I just moved from Sacramento to near Chicago. Couldnt handle any more ridiculous taxes!

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GWB 199 JFK 188..gettin' closer. Yikes! :^O

nyc sa 04:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
bush 209 kerry 199 close

Eilat Dolphin 04:08 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ Good you didn't. I have an agreement with their god. I don't touch them, and they don't touch ladies.

HK [email protected] 04:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
BU/197

KE/188

It goes HOOOOT!!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin//I didn't say anything bad about gays..they are Kerry fodder. Is that bad? It's the truth. Kerry up to 133 votes now. I lived in California, I know that state. I would be happily surprised if it went Bush. Lots of Hispanics in southern half..lots of big business, oil too...white collar. North is rednecks and ranchers like me...Bush country. Dunno...Cal to me could go either way...AC DC LOL

Eilat Dolphin 04:03 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
farmacia/ HI. You mean killed people counted by the US guys ?

Eilat Dolphin 04:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ Wait, gay guys are a good breed.
There just isn't enough of them.

Let them vote, sure, and in exchange they don't compete.

That's a whine-win situation!

melbourne farmacia 04:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Couple of Baghdad car bombs this am.... Fallujah insurgents waiting for the bush call .. projected US body count 100 +

Rockford BDR 04:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
I was responding to your support Bush even if he wins comment. Not up for political tennis. I like reading your post
Thanks

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Rockford BDR 03:55 GMT November 3, 2004 //just quoting Yahoo amigo..I personally don't care who supports who.
Click ye HERE. Says Bush got Hispanic vote, missed Black vote.

Rockford BDR 03:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Your second to last post lol

houston st 03:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

BC -- thanks...yes, some aggressive players tried their best to hit $48.50 but fell short, although they did manage to narrow the backwardated spreads...Access shows this is widening again but volume is thin so we'll have to wait for regular session to see if it holds...w/ inventories tomorrow big guns may have missed their chance for much lower, and more draws in #2 oil will make it harder to manipulate short-term...T.Boone calling for $60 in 1Q '05...only time will tell...appreciate the comments, as always, and much luck your direction.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 03:51 GMT November 3, 2004
True on both points. California may surprize us..full of radical liberals &, gays & hippie types, Feinstein trash etc..typical Kerry fodder. It may go blue on us.

Rockford BDR 03:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Spoken like a true gentleman valdez!

Syd 03:54 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja think aud will follow euro but the numbers being soft take away its support a little , I can see few clear their longs what ever happens sooner or later

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:53 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Blacks support Kerry overall. Ohio, Fla still leaning Bush. Remember, many Floridians are transplants from NY (towers 9-11 etc.) If those two go Bush I think we can bet Bush takes Kerry out.

Eilat Dolphin 03:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ I haven't heard a political analyst not saying that Califronia was Kerry land.

Anyway we many not know before thursday... at best. Your euro market may have to wait.

Sydney Alimin 03:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
thx bc for the view, well noted

NYC YS 03:50 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
NBC calls PA for Kerry

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Irish// I think Sr. Boogyman is toast personally..I give him 85% bias dead. Possibly Bush didn't want to display a shoebox full of OBL fragments before the election to not pizz off the 'rabs too much..afterwards that's another matter..open season on all of 'em as far as I'm concerned. If we're gonna elect Bush then let's stand by him...hate to say that but I think that's the only way out of this..shoot.

Sydney Alimin 03:47 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
i still fancy usd/jpy under 105, for that to happen 106.40 needs to hold first any attempt to break to the upside...still holding last 50% short possie from yesterday

shanghai bc 03:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

ST -- Correction of Crude Oil and removal of election uncertainties may all help Dollar bounce a bit more one way or the other..On Yen,as long as RMB is pegged to USD,Usd/Jpy 110 is a medium-term fair value for BOJ..BOJ folks must be very pleased this year since Usd/Jpy has stayed in 115--105 range whole year dancing around 110 line..Assuming Crude Oil shoots up again after this correction towards 45,Eur/Jpy and Usd/Jpy may have to rise again..Then, that may push up Eur/Usd and commodity currencies again while DollarYen keeps ranging..

Chicago Irish 03:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez:Didn't see Karl Rove playing the OBL card quite the way he did....always good to have the bogeyman on the loose somewhere out there.....

Sydney Ge11Ja 03:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Syd 03:34 GMT November 3, 2004

I am not sure the NAB guys have been having a great run of late, oil seems to be rallying supposedly on Bush win so maybe you might see AUD rally, or even better a push up in AUD/YEN to 79.45?

HK [email protected] 03:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
FWIW:
Kerry Overtakes Bush in Online Futures After Exit Poll Reports

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=a.Zw_siamjdQ&refer=us

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Popular Vote 34% of Precincts Reporting (AP)
Jr 52% pop vote 23,116,275
JFK 48% pop vote 21,281,378

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin// Hope E/$ shorts hard with a Bush win, wanna buy some cheap Euros tomorrow. I am surprized actually OBL didn't "show up" on the White House steps in leg irons and an orange suit, or his body parts in a DNA lab. Oh well, missed my guess on that one. Chigago Irish...too..LOL Awe well.

Syd 03:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD bias looks lower unless Kerry's chances start to improve, AUD's failure to breach 0.7500 earlier is negative from technical perspective, soft Australia data also hurting AUD.could head toward 0.7400 on Bush victory, election is being closely watched to provide the next cues to where the Australian dollar is going
NAB

NYC YS 03:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Problems with new voting machines in Florida

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:32 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin// California has no data yet...very big state.Oregon & Washington have big cities...no data yet. Once those 3 go Bush, yeah, it's all over..fat lady sings.

hk ab 03:31 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Though the vote difference is only a few%, but the seats difference is much larger...... Lord of the rings?

Eilat Dolphin 03:28 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ Looks played to me, Bush side. You agree ?

Melbourne Qindex 03:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Mich, Ohio, Colorado & NM slanting towards Bush..not called yet. Pennsylvania, Minn, Iowa slanting towards Kerry..not called yet. Data-Yahoo.

Syd 03:25 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The Aussie close on the high's in NY at 0.7485. Early buying by investment houses saw a high of 0.7493 trade in
the mid morning, but once again offers above 0.7390 proved too strong and aided by a bounce in the USD, as Kerry's early lead dissipated, the AUD/USD slipped back to 0.7445. There is now a fairly defined range this week of 0.7435/00 and a
significant move in the USD will be needed for a range break. Economic data today was weaker than expected, with the retail sales at plus 0.8 against expectations of a 1.2% rise and building approvals fell by 3.8% against expectations of a 0.3% rise. These figures suggest that rates will be on hold in the next few months. The data encouraged AUD cross selling and unwinding of long AUD/NZD
positions continued today in a 1.0890/1.0915 range. AUD/JPY was sold as oil continued to fall in Asia, trading just above USD49 and the cross fell from 79.45 to 79.10.

Ldn 03:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
193 BUSH
Electoral Votes


112 KERRY
Electoral Votes

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
195 GWB (52% pop) still 112 (47% pop) unchanged for JFK.

Sydney Alimin 03:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
so far 13 daily EMA has held euro bears' attack well...think it is now or never

Tokyo IM 03:18 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Cable is very active in the morning today. I think big guys are starting to work on it.

KL KL 03:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8358 sl 16 above cos I am off to get some food no way to monitor this and am quite sure it is heading lower.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:13 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
opps Bush 184..changed while writing post. What think bc? Bush = $neg or $pos? TIA. GT.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
bc//good morning amigo! Just for fun, what's your take on Bush winning...$ pos like the rest think or not? Bush 170, Kerry 112 thus far.

Sydney Alimin 03:06 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 03:00 GMT November 3, 2004

good morning bc, any chance to see usd/jpy rallying above 107.50 here as we head towards 86 level of dollar index? or is it more in other pairs? thanks mate

houston st 03:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

BC 03:00 -- good morning to you as well and thanks for the reply...I noticed that in both '96 and '00 that the usd/jpy surged after the US elections...coincidence or a $-positive event?...thanks again for your insights.

Eilat Dolphin 03:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ Rule 12:

Inventor: my father gesturing to a nurse on how he wanted the sick person displayed without that shy sick human knowing:

Daddy would do the Victory sign, showing the back of his left hand; while with the other hand's index and big one, make two small passes right above the left knukle.

Meaning:
Naked, legs spread, shaved.

When I did explain it to cute ladies I was becoming intimate with, they usually did sense the humor side, and generally, gladly complied.

shanghai bc 03:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

ST 02:07 --Good morning..Expecting some more bounce of Dollar towards USD Index 86.00--86.50 depending on a clear-cut victory..Not seeing any major Asian player betting their money one way or the other for the last two days.. Maybe they are still waiting for the election results before moving in..Good trades.

KL KL 03:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Toronto YV, not all the time low offer was 1.8326....I also consult Fibo which was ... i think 1.8320 ...some where there...all aggresive drive down have to end my risk only 10 pips....arrrgh short got hit...typing this note...still up +ve...ok now flat. never mind

ok short DOW futures 10093...sl 15 above...going up for what?? maybe more pips to gain here!! we shall see

london 02:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
China likely to hike rates 200-300 bps next 12-18 months, recent hike marks beginning of long process of interest-rate normalization in China; CSFB adds scenario supports its central scenario of soft landing for global growth next year.
CSFB's chief China economist Dong Tao in research report.

Tokyo IM 02:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, you must be a real samurai and maybe las FX samurai.

hk ab 02:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Reflex arc here and there.

Syd 02:48 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
van gecko

hk mom 02:47 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Type gecko in the "city".

KL KL 02:46 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ha ha caught the falling knife like a kung fu hero ...out long 1.8329 +26 at 1.8355 and quickly throw the knife back (short) with 10...9 ...8 pip sl above...locking in 10 pip gain. so SL is now 1.8345...domo arigato sinseh!!! up 16 pips is ok... the last forex samurai??

nyc sa 02:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
a big euro gap down tomorrow new-york time ? soon bye euro ?

Toronto YV 02:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
"who is Gecko ?" exactly , checked archive zero post here .

Melbourne Qindex 02:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


nyc sa 02:43 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
who is Gecko ?

hk mom 02:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Can't you guys be a little more generous and give credits back to the one deserved?

Halifax CB 02:38 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
hk mom - you mean diamonds like the little fellow on the right in this picture ? no thanks :)

london 02:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja when in doubt stay out

Toronto YV 02:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL,8329 on cable , just wondering how is it possible to get absolute min (max) on Your trade ?

houston ken 02:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Dollar, Stocks Drop on Pro-Kerry Exit Polls by Ashraf Laidi


After leading throughout most of the European and US trading sessions, the US dollar pushed lower in late US trade on early exit polls showing a Kerry lead in the key swing States of Iowa, Pennsylvania and Ohio. The dollar and US stocks had initially rallied on expectations that the election would be decided as early as Wednesday morning, thereby, overcoming concerns of uncertainty in the markets.

Sydney Ge11Ja 02:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
london 02:22 GMT November 3, 2004

Thanks for the reply, market definitely needs a healthy shake-out. Problem for me is that on days like today when market vulnerable to whipsaws I am loath to chase a move.

GL and GT

Ldn 02:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush
170
Electoral Votes

Kerry
112
Electoral Votes

KL KL 02:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
locking in +10 from 8329 long...phew -10 pips is ok

Toronto YV 02:28 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
mom , "listen to gecko, wear diamonds.", what is the tuning for gecko seems he is not broadcasting here .

hk ab 02:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL//A kind advice to you. For swings of this type today, 10/20 pips s/l is nothing but an accumulated kick "s" activity.

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:27 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
london 02:09 GMT November 3, 2004// Evidently (not taking a hit at you london) the gurus are saying from your post quote to sell USD no matter what, eh? Sure makes that simple. No retrace like the other gurus said to 1.22? So I guess all this USD strength we're seeing..just a set up for a big juicy sell off? Did Eddie Murphy write this material?

Sydney gvm 02:26 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
HK Mom - whats Geckos full sign on (country and name)? TIA

hk mom 02:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
listen to gecko, wear diamonds.

KL KL 02:23 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
arrrggghhh...ok in again now long 1.8329 sl 10 below....looks like yesterday shorting on its way up and kept hitting my sl now vice versa....-20 pips is NOT ok now!! very angry...what was that...get it quick

london 02:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja, Dollar sell off due to uncertainty , election over means back to business - oil turning down taking gold with it, USD oversold = USD rally

hk mom 02:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
bc, I thank you for the advice on buying usdjpy.

houston st 02:20 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

KL -- trying to catch a falling knife...gl/gt.

Tokyo IM 02:19 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, you did it again ?

Sydney Ge11Ja 02:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
london 02:09 GMT November 3, 2004

The Tokyo market will be worse today as it is closed.
Big picture if Bush gets back in wont that mean a return to the sell USD mentality, it seems to have been the market view up to this election. Or are you saying the sell USD mentality was purely a function of concern over a drawn out election?

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 02:03 GMT November 3, 2004//Emperor Qin of China ,two millennia ago, had 3,000 wives... Poor man. Sheesh bc, I've only got one & wish I had a remote control for HER! (Wife Remote)
Buttons:
1. Shut up while I'm concentrating; no I don't care.
2. No I can't take out the garbage right now, you do it.
3. Go away.
4. Come here.
5. Tell them I'm not here.
6. Bring me my breakfast in my office.
7. Ditto lunch.
8. Ditto supper
9. One more coffee.
10.Turn down the hi fi.
11. Go to sleep, turn off the TV.

Melbourne Qindex 02:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 02:16 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
do you notice animals

how lion controls many wives

how chicken male control many wives


how one male cow ,could have power for 100-1000 cow females


and so on

KL KL 02:14 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
arrrggghhh...ok in again now long 1.8360 sl 10 below....looks like yesterday shorting on its way up anfd kept hitting my sl now vice versa....-10 pips is ok!!

Brisbane L 02:11 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc actually it should be the other way around , women should have more husbands seeing there better equipped for it

london 02:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The global markets, including the US dollar is currently on election watch. We see two possible reactions in the FX markets following the election results this evening. According to the CFTC COT reports for last week, short dollar positioning has been growing for a few weeks now. This is most likely a result of traders factoring in the increased possibility of a long drawn out legal battle in the courts following tonight's election results. Euro longs on the IMM rose to a 2-Ĺ year high as of Oct 26, which is clear evidence that the big players in the market are very long. Therefore if there is an undisputed winner tonight, we expect an immediate relief rally in the dollar, which means a EURUSD sell off. Liquidity is exceptionally thin during Tokyo trading hours, which is when the results will be delivered. This means that we could very well see stop-hunting on the interbank market, resulting in wild swings. If there is no clear winner, then we could see a continuation of the dollar sell-off. Ultimately, a long drawn out legal battle only means one thing, which is uncertainty. Whenever there is uncertainty, especially when it is related to the US, the dollar suffers, while safe haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc benefit. Meanwhile German retail sales fell -0.4 percent in September, highlighting the weakness of domestic demand. According to Reuters, the unemployment number leaked once again. German unemployment is expected to increase by 12,000 in October.

houston st 02:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

BC -- no wonder he had a terra-cotta army...to keep his wives company (and unspoiled)...your thoughts on current market please...good trades to you.

Eilat Dolphin 02:07 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
fx giving an edge to Bush here ...

Eilat Dolphin 02:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
bc/ Must be real good to be emporor of China!

Tokyo IM 02:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, why did you long Cable ?

Eilat Dolphin 02:03 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT/ Hi ! You mean escape the love of them ladies...

Basically you are complaining that you are overhelmed with love, almost attacked by it...

Yea... hard life.

shanghai bc 02:03 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   

Emperor Qin of China ,two millennia ago, had 3,000 wives.. 10 wives sounds very modest indeed..

Ldn 02:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Bush
155
Electoral Votes

Kerry
112
Electoral Votes

KL KL 02:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ok in long gbpusd at 1.8384 sl 10 below...time to up now while the count goes on. basing around yesterday price action. Be quick,

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 01:59 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 01:51 GMT

false




No_one_will_escape






Syd 01:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Edwards' Home State Goes To Bush

Boston mpd004 01:58 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
At my age, I can't handle 10 ladies doing etc, or, even 4 and for that matter in this stage of the game after tonight, even one! Gonna go sit in the corner and root for my main man Bush. Good luck and good trading for the rest of the night all.

hk ab 01:55 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, do you have any view on gbp?

Eilat Dolphin 01:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
mdp/ Some Saudis guys have 10 ladies, singing, dancing and fighting, and their warrior still does FX and chating with.
Ok, may be only 4 women.
They don't even tell us how many.

KL KL 01:51 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR, how can one say a peep of Saudi when they are so good to each other with Oil....support during Kuwait invasion. Nearly saved their Kingdom and Mecca from Sadam...this to muslim is the crux of the problem with terrorism today. OBL wanted to create his dream team to drive out Sadam but Saudi said no way with those camels and horse tanks OBL have. So outsource job to US. To cut story short..OBL dream team became Freddy Krugger dream team. Muslim wanted a dream team Army to usher in the new era of Islam to resolve world conflict and spread their message but Bush I / UN kaboom their vision. So today these rag tag dream team still try to create their vision via Jihad!!


btw...if US can create car that runs without fossil fuel or via perpetual motion...then I think we will usher in a new era of world civilization!!!

Boston mpd004 01:47 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 01:39 GMT November 3, 2004
mpd/ You could also trade some, meanwhile.
How do the think the Saudis manage with 10 wives at the same time, FX etc ?

What are you refering to? I don't understand?

Eilat Dolphin 01:44 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR/ By Allah the Mercifyll!
Would we then had the pleasure of reading you defending a US takevoer of Saudia ?

Or would you have called for the "Bay of Dogs" syndrome ?

Boston mpd004 01:41 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL kl//oh, okay, little bit confusing there. GL GT

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:40 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
http://news.yahoo.com/electionresults
Bush leads Victoria's Secret by 36 electoral GVI Jays.

Tokyo IM 01:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Rockford BDR, thanks for support.

Eilat Dolphin 01:39 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
mpd/ You could also trade some, meanwhile.
How do the think the Saudis manage with 10 wives at the same time, FX etc ?

Rockford BDR 01:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Im with ya Tokyo - on Cable and on KL hehe

Miami fleon 01:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL
is a beautifull dream ...the poltical yin and yan

KL KL 01:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
boston mpd004, when I shorted at 1.84 that was the bid the offer was 1.8403...when I covered the bid was 1.8393 offer was 1.8396

Juneau CAR 01:36 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
So KL, tell me again what roll Iraq had in 9/11-lol? I could have sworn those hijackers were Saudi's. President never says a peep about the Saudi's??

Boston mpd004 01:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Trying to watch the election results, watch the forum and listen to wife about her day at the same time. getting confused! :o)

Tokyo IM 01:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL KL/ man you are dreaming ...

NYC YIPPEE 01:35 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Idiot.

KL KL 01:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Latest result

KERRY - 269 BUSH - 269 - SENATE DEMOCRATES 25 REPUBLICAN 25 - 1 - IN DISPUTE - Litigation to take year this time......joint conclusion by both sides - Joint President for the first time in the History of America. Bush to handle Homeland - War - portfolio/ Kerry to handle economy and International PR.

....I had a dream

boston mpd004 01:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
correction again, 8396, I hope I got it right this time LOL

Boston mpd004 01:31 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
correction/8396

Boston mpd004 01:30 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL kl//again, I don't understand. you shorted gbp/usd @ 8400 and you closed @ 3896 for +4, what about the spread costs?

Eilat Dolphin 01:24 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Why is it difficult?

Florida to Bush,
Ohio to Kerry,
Pennsylvania to Kerry.

CaliffLand, I cant tell because of the Swartzy effect.

Is that wrong ?


Toronto YV 01:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
ELECTORAL VOTES SO FAR: BUSH 108, KERRY 77 -- CBS NEWS

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:17 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Electoral Votes
270 of 538 needed to win.

Tokyo IM 01:15 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo is on a hollydays today. G'morning all. Back to find my lossy short on Cable #@[email protected]#

YVR MAXXIM 01:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
gbp-usd 1hr.
12-13-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-21-22-23-00.00hr.
67-87-84-77-73-84-80-63-98-11-16-94-94-close
57-70-86-85-78-75-86-81-63-00-11-17-98-open

KL KL 01:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
nah nah out gbpusd 1.8396 +4....range bound 1.8392-1.8406....16 pip range is no good ...forget it resting now for London NY time booo....boring

Miami fleon 01:12 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Kerry is winning 77 to 66 electoral votes with surprise win in New Jersey

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:09 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
For a popup window of a good vote tracker from Fox News updated every 2 minutes, click HERE.

Syd 01:05 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
The sixth consecutive fall in Australian building approvals and softer-than-expected retail spending in September have heightened expectations the central bank will keep rates on hold this year.

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:04 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Fox news Projects: Bush Wins West Virginia

Boston mpd004 01:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
KL kl//
Are you getting trades spread free?

short gbousd 1.8401 out 1.8392 +9 is good selling the rally using 10minutes,

Eilat Dolphin 00:56 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Almost half of the states have finished voted and there was still no AQ activity ?

And some people here were saying "" we are losing the war on terror... we have lost it... 95% od containers in harbors are not screened..."

Enviable way of losing...



Ldn 00:52 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Oil prices - which last week threatened to soar to record $60/bbl - now expected to fall to mid-$40s as supply concerns ease; "supplies are going to be shown to be sufficient, and you're going to see further selling," says Fimat Futures USA's John Kilduff. "We're probably looking at a pretty quick trend down." Tips prices at $47/bbl short term and eventually down to "low $40s." Should also bring some relief for consumers who face record winter heating bills

KL KL 00:45 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short again gbpusd 1.84

KL KL 00:37 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
short gbousd 1.8401 out 1.8392 +9 is good selling the rally using 10minutes, gl gt all...bit quiet now in this forum....hey come back!!

Syd :-( 00:34 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Australian retail sales rose a lower-than-expected 0.8%
Economists surveyed ahead of the announcement on average had expected a 1.2% rise in sales for September.

soft numbers

Syd 00:33 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Australian Sep Residential Bldg Approvals -3.8%
Pvt-Sector House Approvals -4.4% On Mo
Sep Value Of Bldg Approvals -11.7% On Mo

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:22 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Polls close at 7 p.m. EST in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, S. Carolina, Vermont and Virginia

wisconsin tim 00:21 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 11/3/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1
11/2/2004 AUDUSD 0.7524 0.7448
11/2/2004 EURGBP 0.6929 0.6897
11/2/2004 EURUSD 1.2784 1.2678
11/2/2004 EURYEN 135.31 134.33
11/2/2004 GBPUSD 1.8485 1.8343
11/2/2004 GBPYEN 195.59 194.35
11/2/2004 NDZUSD 0.6899 0.6829
11/2/2004 USDCAD 1.2292 1.2186
11/2/2004 USDCHF 1.2097 1.1971
11/2/2004 USDYEN 106.33 105.40

KL KL 00:02 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 23:42, fortunately I rarely drive in KL..rarely...and if I do I will borrow a solid old bomb car.... suprising how much respect they give me...show no mercy take no prisoners. Each time it rains in KL...I just throw my hands up!!!LOL

btw out gbpusd long from 1.8391 at 1.8398 +7 never lose on a +ve trade. reshort again higher

Eilat Dolphin 00:01 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ Lovely points I and 2. But the dress keeping was a normal historical, icon act and even love act. I would have done the same. If, and if and if...

Remember the fatty blondish girl Marylin that sings the "Feverburstday to you" at the WH ?

The dress she had that night supposedly went fot 5O grands at auction, a dozen years ago... and it was clean, cute, small and black. But f...n clean.

Kenedy's cigar cutter: his son offered up to 80 G for it and complained to Newsweek then (ten years ago) that he was only half a million $ short for the cutter.

Had the Monoroe had a doctrine of showering herself with the overflowing love of her hero, the dress would be worth th 50 G times the cigar cutter.
Astronomic but still Guggenheimeric.

But worry, if ever Kerry misconducted, his Miss will cut a deal.

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:00 GMT November 3, 2004 Reply   
Nov 3 Wednesday (the bloody morning after)
All times GMT es=estimate pr=previous

GBP BOE Mon.Pol.Comte 2 Day Mtng & Perier water drinkathon

AUD Bldg Aprovls SEP 0:30 es=0.3% pr=-5.9%
AUD Retail Sls SEP 0:30 es=1.2%pr=0.2%
AUD Retail Sls Ex Infl QoQ 3Q 0:30 es=1.05% pr=1.80%

EUR Ital PMI Services survy OCT 8:45 es=56.0 pr=56.1
EUR Fr PMI Services survy 8:50 es=53.3pr=53.1
DEM PMI Services survy OCT 8:55 es=52.1 pr=52.1
DEM Unemp Chng 000s OCT 8:55 es=15.0k pr=27.0k
DEM Unemp Rate s.a. OCT 8:55 es=10.7% pr=10.7%
DEM Emp Change '000s AUG 8:55 es=5.0k pr=2.0k
EUR PMI Services survey OCT 9:00 es=53.3 pr=53.3

GBP Offic'l Reserves(Changes OCT) 9:30 pr=$136.0M
GBP PMI Services survey OCT 9:30 es=54.5 pr=54.7
GBP CIPS Services 9:30

USD USTreas.announceNov refndg(3s,5s,10s) 14:00
USD Dom.auto/truck Sls OCT 14:00 es=13.5M pr=14.3M
USD Weekly gas/oil inventories
USD Factry Orders SEP 14:00 es=0.50% pr=-0.10%
USD ISM Non-Manufac'g(OCT) 14:00 es=58.3 pr=56.7


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