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Forex Forum Archive for 11/10/2004

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london 23:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
In a normal market (Clinton Era ) and Rubin at the helm Oil at these levels the USD would be considered a raving buy

quito_ecuador_valdez 23:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL KL// Rally of USD? Where amigo? Eur?USD 1.3003 was the high on my chart today..that ain't no rally.

hk ab 22:52 GMT November 10, 2004// Perhaps what I just posted on Help forum can help you and others who are confused about the direction of the USD..whether to buy it or sell it. It's not difficult to understand but the key is to pull up the 10 year charts on USD crosses with CHF and AUD. Plug in a 400 SMA to smooth things out. It's almost a perfect sine wave. We're almost there to complete the grande cycle..just another 500-700 pips is all it will take for the cycle to start repeating itself..evaluating the USD in the process for some years to come. We have to hit bottom to spring back to the surface..on a weekly cycle and on a 10 year cycle. Check my Help Forum post a few mins ago.

KL KL 23:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I really thought Arafat was half dead many years ago....looks like ITS ALL ABOUT MONEY....."all pigs are created equal, some PIGS are more equal"...animal farm. Maybe the money should be given to his wife and be squandered...and perhaps then peace can come in mid east cos no more money to buy Terrorist tools.....She should long USD with the lot .....LOL....the rally in USD I have been waiting is finally here!!

Syd 23:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Van Gecko & BC looks like your call on the $US may be about to begin a few of the ingredients have been put into the bowl

sydney E.M. 23:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
AUD to consolidate with slightly weak bias given USD's stronger short-term tone vs majors; vulnerable to sharp fall
if October jobs data at 0030 GMT weak. Technically, falling 10-day momentum points down; watch for any fall below 0.7554 which would trigger minor double top targeting 0.7450 area.

HK [email protected] 23:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

Arafat Near Death

It is almost time,the US and the French have move to attach his fat bank accounts and demand explanation, to that unexplained wealth.
If that money is supposed to be the Palestinians people money, it must be made sure it will be used fore their welfare and not by terrorists.
The Palestinians need a serious guardian as protection from their political leaders who are known to steal their money systematically

Ldn 23:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Majority of Wall Street's biggest banks now expect Fed to end year with another hike, Merrill is included saying they believe output will remain on a solid uptrend going forward and robust employment will continue

HK [email protected] 23:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Good morning all.
The Psychology of brain washing the traders about the T.deficit, did not pay Y.day for those who kept on selling USD.
On that bases one should stick to normal Tech. as I did for the KIWI.
HK [email protected] 09:00 GMT November 10, 2004
So the target I stated has been touched. 0.6825.
Just one must keep in mind what are the effective stories around the market and ignore the propaganda on the TV.
BTW I do not trade the NZD.

Syd 22:53 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
london d they must have meant that , saying it was this weekend

hk ab 22:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
3-factors which we had conversed fluently in this fx fantasy to smack the USD are: Double Twin, Terrorism and rate differential. Now the last being removed (at least vs euro). Could the first two suddenly being changed as well?
When all the 3 are gone, does it imply that we can buy usd safe? I doubt.

Ldn 22:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Arafat Near Death
CLAMART, France (AP)--Yasser Arafat has suffered brain damage and kidney and liver failure, the Palestinian prime minister said Wednesday .French Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin said late Wednesday that the Palestinian leader was in his "final hours," telling France-2 television: "I hope that we can respect the final hours of a man who is approaching death." Palestinian Cabinet minister Saeb Erekat said the 18-member PLO Executive Committee would decide on a new PLO chief immediately after Arafat's burial. It is believed the PLO's No. 2, Mahmoud Abbas, would win the vote, giving him the legitimacy to take the reins of power. Abbas has been acting as caretaker leader, along with Prime Minister Ahmed Qureia.

london d 22:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
sydney - Pretty sure theres no g7 meet until next year, however there is a g20 meeting on the 20nov weekend, and normally currencies arnt on the agenda at these meets

hk ab 22:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
When dlr/jpy was at the time breaking 130, I read a story in economist saying that Jap is like having a drop of tear on their face and they have no choice to let the dlr/jpy fly to 140-160 due to the deflation spiral.
Japan still hasn't got the inflation but dlr/jpy is now at 10x.xx

I think there're more impt factors other than just stories especially involving long term trend.

IF that type of 2002 Mar dlr/jpy fall comes to USD this run, we need to think about what's happening behind.

london 22:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Aussie failing to hold above 7640 according to Commonwealth Bank technical analyst John Gajewski vulnerable to drop back 7510-7530, drop through 7510 would raise chance of major peak forming with a break of 7435 confirming it

Dublin CK 22:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish 21:42 GMT November 10, 2004

Ah balls, commentators curse. censored Rangers, there always doing that. Lost me money too.......

Fingers crossed i havent cursed my cobweb theory long of gbp/yen.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 22:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Took one-touch contract on eurusd for target 1.2669 in next 4 weeks.


gl everyone and play safe.

TIA:-)

Syd 22:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
When is the next G7 Bloomberg TV said its this weekend?

Sydney Ge11Ja 22:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Crazy move in eur/yen overnight has left me battered and bruised, but back on the horse as they say. Key to today in Asia will be Japanese interest obviously. Look for orders from Tokyo either way to get colour of market from their perspective. It seems most of that move was investment related ie Japanese buying of eur and aud assets. We need to watch and wait to see if that was one-off or not

GL and GT

quito_ecuador_valdez 21:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I've been away from my computer all day so I'm not hip on what's happening tomorrow regarding the US, French and Canadian markets...each country has a war day-veterans holiday Thursday. As far as I know their FX mkts will be closed..I assume that would mean a thinner than usual market. Anyone who knows differently please post.

11-Nov All times GMT es=estimate pr=previous
U.S., France, Canada: Mkts Closed: Holiday
Thin mkt w 3 countries on vacation..here's what remains of Thursday's thurkey shoot:


AUD Employment Change OCT 0:30 es=20.00 pr=63.50
AUD Unemp Rate OCT 0:30 es=5.6% pr=5.6%
AUD Participation Rate OCT 0:30 es=63.6% pr=63.6%

JPY Machn Ordrs MoM SEP 5:00 es=1.3% pr=3.1%
JPY Machn Ordrs YoY % SEP 5:00 es=8.1% pr=5.4%

EUR Germ.GDP s.a. QoQ 3Q 1 7:00 es=0.3% pr=0.5%
EUR Germ. wda YoY 3Q 1 7:00 es=1.6% pr=1.5%
EUR germ. nsa YoY 3Q 1 7:00 es=1.5% pr=2.0%

CHF Retl Sales Real YoY SEP 8:15 pr=3.1%
CHF Adj Real Retl Sales YoY SEP 8:15 pr=-0.9%

EUR ECB release Nov mo. rept 9:00

GBP UK Q3 Housebuilding 9:30

NZD ANZ Job Advertsmnt Series OCT 12:00 pr=-0.2%
NZD RetlSales MoM SEP 21:45 es=0.0% pr=0.0%
NZD RetlSales Ex Inflatn QoQ 3Q 21:45 es=1.8% pr=0.8%

JPY GDP QoQ 3Q P 23:50 es=0.5% pr=0.3%
JPY GDP Annualized Q3 P 23:50 es=2.1% pr=1.3%
JPY GDP Deflator YoY Q3 P 23:50 es=-2.5% pr=-2.7%

Chicago Irish 21:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
CK....Jinxed it

Dublin CK 21:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Possession:Rangers 61% Celtic 39%
Shots: Rangers 14 Celtic 6
Corners: Rangers 11 Celtic 2
Fouls:Rangers 14 Celtic 12
Bookings:Rangers 1 Celtic 1

Rangers 0 - 1 Celtic (Hartson 66)

Gowann the bhouys......

Turning Points with Cobweb theory (GBP/YEN)
1st 2nd 3rd
193.68 202.52 193.80

Next projected turning point is 202.40 - 204.53

3 - 4 Week time horizon




Dublin Flip 21:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Also from Boca Raton
"we emphasize that more flexibility in exchange rates is desirable for major countries or economic areas that lack such flexibility to promote smooth and widespread adjustments in the international financial system, based on
market mechanisms."

Syd 21:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Australian labor force report due 0030 GMT

BEIRUT MK 21:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
close long gbpusd at 1.8465
close short usdjpy at 107.18

Chicago Irish 21:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
They couldn't co-ordinate a pissup in a brewery.

Ldn 21:18 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
The Group of Seven richest countries is considering coordinated intervention on currency markets to stabilise foreign exchange rates, Italian Economy Minister Domenico Siniscalco said.

LINK

Syd 21:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Tolminkiemis its actually selling Kiwi on the crosses

Tolminkiemis 21:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Ok I call it a day. Take care, you, members of up or down game.

Sydney Alimin 21:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TLV B747 17:44 GMT November 10, 2004

no more running possies at the moment, i had some usd/jpy long possies but closed it too early thinking 106.25 would cap, went out and came back to see it blasting to 107 level

need to travel again next week and won't be trading till 25 nov, good luck to your plan for next 3 weeks

Tolminkiemis 21:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL KL , by the way about your missed short entry. U know the highest was 1.3005 for sure in some places 1.3006. Broker pulled one behind u.

Tolminkiemis 21:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Syd, With all due respect to Finance Minister Cullen, he knows a censored. Its USD flip flops on majors forced kiwi to calm down.

Tolminkiemis 21:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, You are an iron man I must say. Sleeping only when mkt is within 15-20 pip range is unhealthy. Try my way from 12 PM till 7 AM. What comes to a position I do not have anything at mom. Wait 4 better times. By the way aren't u asleep mkt is in 20 pip range now?

Syd 21:04 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
NZ Finance Minister Cullen,yestserday said that the NZD was at or nearing a peak seems to still be having a negative affect NZD/USD is likely to fall to 6780 before any bounce , just wondering if its a warning for further retracement in others no hike from Fed out the way

KL KL 21:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Tolminkiemis, actually I just woke up....sleep when market is in a 15-20 pip channell....too difficult and not enough volitility will comfirm my sleep clock...LOL...missed the eur on 1.3 by 1 pip i.e short limit at 1.3004 in my traps....what are your possie??

Tolminkiemis 20:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ok Latvia, my greetings to Raimonds Pauls!

Bruxville Jim 20:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Labas vakaras, T-kiemis;)

Bruxville Jim 20:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
london d// you may be right on that one. Most probably capital adequacy, leverage, mm, etc etc will push such player out of the market prematurely (max drawdown could be too high even if it's a winning strategy).

Have a nice evening everyone. Approaching 11 PM here in Latvia.

Tolminkiemis 20:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, I say u, since FED mkt moved nowhere but KL made so many trades as I do in a month. Amazing is not it? Wish him a good luck

Tolminkiemis 20:48 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, this is the point odds!!!! if i were right 100% i never would place any sl. U enter the mkt when u think odds are in your favor and it is rational u seek bigger reward for smaller risk. r/r profile is important in every trade to keep u comfortable. At least u can say i did my best

Bruxville Jim 20:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
20.44// Yeah, since KLKL is the only one in the market at the mom, big boys are shaking the market exclusively to stop him out:))

london d 20:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
jim- it is all timing and levels, there is no winning formula to trading fx, but a stop larger than a t/p is a losing one in the long run.

Tolminkiemis 20:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, i wonder do you sleep at all, seems like you and your broker the only in the market now. Amazingly active you r.

KL KL 20:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
whopps...eur taken too...so quick -20...oh well now time to think again

Bruxville Jim 20:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
london d 20:35 GMT // It's a false perception that using small TP's and wide stops is necessarily a losing strategy (provided that leverage is reasonable, i.e. small). Would a 18 pips SL and 80 pips TP do better if SL were hit e.g.100% of time?

KL KL 20:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ok my gbpusd short got hit..-10 grrrrgh eur still alive ...barely

london d 20:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
tomlin- read my second post ;)

Tolminkiemis 20:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
And you know what is the moral of my story? Well there's always another day ahead, just take it easy.

Tolminkiemis 20:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
london d, read my second update 1.2883 typo!

london d 20:36 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
aah 1.2883, not thats a different story, I'm sorry to hear that, good luck in your next trade.

Santo Domingo tht 20:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
aaaah, that's better,

london d 20:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.2983 to 1.3001 risking 83 pips to make 18? you wont be in this biz for long buddy.

KL KL 20:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Those who missed the run are eager to get in now but I think it will be driven lower in time. Need to get rid of some stale bull to head higher. THe magic number is how low is low? As I have said many times, if people says US economy is BAD.....how about Europe...with eur dollar at this rate will it be tolerated by "chit chat no action" Trichet..IMHO I sense some more rate drops "chit chat with no action"

Santo Domingo tht 20:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Amasing, even worse than me.

Tolminkiemis 20:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I was long from 1.2983 ...sorry long from 1.2883 of course....lost track of big figs. these days they change 1 time per hour.

Tolminkiemis 20:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I tell you amazing story....I was long from 1.2983 in Europe this morning, had a t/p 1.3001. After the deficit numbers mkt got back to 1.2955 area and it held, I called in the dealer and said "what a heck, mkt supported well, it will go through the roof today" I cancelled my tp at 1.3001......Since then you know the story.....Well I was not that stupid you just thought of. Of course I placed sl just below 1.2900. :-). This is how real character and discipline is build.

wellington am 20:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
So it's back to selling dollars then? $/yen and cable look like good opportunities around these levels.

Syd 20:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Thanks guys , gonna get a coffee

KL KL 20:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Syd, many were gunning for the KO option on eur at 1.3...I knew it would not last...hit & run also a tactic of big boys...it seems

London Geda 20:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
on 5 min chart
Eur, and Gbp are forming Symmetrical triangle,,,
while, AUD is forming a flat congestion area!
u can play it this ways
Short EUR/AUD
or
buy AUD on the break above 77, tgt 90
stop is below congestion area
gl

KL KL 20:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
lon ram, eur this few minute trying to head higher but sellers are dominating...when it reaches down trendline(short term)

btw short gbpusd 1.8457 eurusd 1.2894

Tolminkiemis 20:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin...you answred Syd question, but it does not provide any solution or use. Syd my advise, just forget who DID what. If u do not have info on who DOES what and HOW MUCH now. Follow your rules.

Chicago CME 20:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
"14:16 Italy Econ Min Retracts remarks on euro intervention". what a jub!

gold coast martin 20:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 13:58 GMT November 10, 2004
FWIW....hearing that BNP PARIBAS was name that took euro to 130+ briefly..........
SYD...Hope this answers your question ...g/t

Dallas GEP 20:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK expect some consolidation BEFORE Asia so could be wrong but expecting volatility to DECREASE until then. Out until Asia

Syd 20:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Chicago CME thats never a good sign, infact feels like traders are being manipulated , would love to know which bank shoved the Euro up to 1.30 and then reversed crafty sods

Bruxville Jim 20:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
T-kiemis// You believe what you want to believe...

Livingston nh 20:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
CME - the same was true in Jan/Feb of this year - everybody's on one side of the boat

Tolminkiemis 20:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Chicago CME, very good point. Just wait for a confirmation signal, be patient.

Chicago CME 20:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
quote from David Bloom on CNBC UK a couple of days ago was "close your eyes and sell the dollar"....

Syd 20:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Euro could possibly see 1.2750 in Asia today, now the rate hike out the way and deficit better than expected , a need to deflate the Euro especially with Japan getting edgy .

lon ram 20:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
kl kl ,,what,s ur view according to EUR/USD now?thanks

KL KL 20:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out gbp +3 pip eur +1 :)

Chicago CME 20:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EVERY commentator on CNBC (UK & US), Bloomberg are bearish on the dollar. I can't remember when I heard a discenting opinion.

LA Fxnew 20:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
dunt know any other good broker with good platform !

Tolminkiemis 20:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I'm excited and dazzled by 90% of posts "got out +10 points", or "exited mkt at B/E"........I wish I could do that 90% of a time 20 times per day.

Bruxville Jim 20:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
fxnew// -panda- and -mcm- allow that... gl.

Tolminkiemis 20:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
LA Fxnew, change the broker, what's the problem?

LA Fxnew 20:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
too bad i cant scalp .. broker will put me into manual execution; otherwise i am good at scalping too :)

KL KL 20:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8444 eurusd 1.2892

gold coast martin 20:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   


Bruxville Jim 20:01 GMT November 10, 2004
JIM,...sold some mid positions and held other long ones....bear until 31st of december....g/t

orlando jcr 20:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY long out +10

Bruxville Jim 20:03 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Temptation to sell the yen crosses is mounting...

Syd 20:03 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Yen Falls Versus Dollar, Euro on Concern Japan to Sell Currency
Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) -- The yen fell by the most against the dollar in six months on concern Japan may sell its currency to protect exports and economic growth.

LINK

Tolminkiemis 20:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL, Dallas you are a dream of every market maker. Skapling all day long. Wish u a good luck.

Bruxville Jim 20:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Martin // Did your local G.C.M. Federal Treasury manage to get rid of those costly Aussie and Kiwi shorts before the rally? Or still holding them for good till Dec31?

Dallas GEP 20:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK out at +3 on usd/jpy longs

KL KL 20:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out 1.2888 +11

BEIRUT MK 19:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short usdjpy at 107.21
long gbpusd at 1.8445

KL KL 19:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
long eurusd 1.2877

kranj 19:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I think buying some cable at 1,8434 (mkt px now) and 1,8330 with stop at 1,8295 shuld pay off. Time frame end of next week, target 1,8750+. Acceptable R/R. GBPJPY laaging in JPY crosses upmove IMO. Regards,

gold coast martin 19:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 19:54 GMT November 10, 2004
AND LONG LIVE THE BRUXVILLE FIRST NATIONAL BANK!!!

Tolminkiemis 19:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, labas kebabas.

Chicago CME 19:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Kiwi/$ looks to be putting in an important top on the daily charts. Will wait for a pop higher on the intraday before nibbling at some shorts.

Bruxville Jim 19:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Tolminkiemis // Sveikas, braljukas, zirga galvas!

LONG LIVE DA BALTICS!!!

london 19:53 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Steve Stanley, chief economist of RBS Greenwich Capital says that if the Fed had it in mind to pause in December, they would have sent a clearer signal in today's statement, suggesting that they enter the next 5 weeks anticipating another 25 BP move at the December meeting
RBS

Tolminkiemis 19:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Chicago CME...be sure we'll get more of "too highs" especially form Germans - bigest EU exporter. Am I not right, Berlin otto?

Tolminkiemis 19:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Toronto Silverfox, well the only colours I know is blue for an uptick and red for a downtick. I really hope the colour change makes Americans safer.

Chicago CME 19:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I wonder if we get more of this european and perhaps asian jawboning tonite and tomorrow. So far the effect has been limited. $/jpy has already corrected so if we get boj intervention i think we spike higher and then $/jpy gets sold again.

Ldn 19:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dollar Currently Too Low Versus Euro says the French PM

Toronto Silverfox 19:48 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Rumour threat alert colour being dropped to yellow
from orange by homeland security

houston st 19:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- you know the old saying, "buy the rumor, sell the fact"...good trades.

KL KL 19:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd short 1.8450 + 13...waiting

Tolminkiemis 19:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP , since when FX makes sence? If it did, how could u make profit then?

Dallas GEP 19:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
WEll market right up to rate decision was buying dollars THEN it SELLS dollars on rate annoucement which doesn't really make sense so what else is new???? LOL

Tolminkiemis 19:43 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Like this GV? city name u mean?

Global-View 19:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Replace TAL with a recognizable location and then click the save box,

KL KL 19:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8463

Bruxville Jim 19:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Global-View 19:38 GMT// Your location is equally ambiguous, I dare say... LOL

Dallas GEP 19:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
well strong support for usd/jpy @ 106.90 I will move stop (no lectures , PLEASE!!! LOL) to 106.70.

BEIRUT MK 19:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
close short usdjpy at 107.01
close long eurusd at 1.2903

TAL 19:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Where should I post it GV?

TAL 19:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
berlis otto, no problem wish u a nice day. Do not overtrade.

Global-View 19:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 19:35 GMT November 10, 2004 (and others). Please post your full location (TAL is not easily recognizable). It only takes the time to do it once as we have a save feature in the posting template. TIA

TAL 19:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
So FED vs. ECB the score is even now. However, the ball is in FED's posession. Interest differential slowly but surely moving towards USD favor. Just one advise. Wait till market discovers it.

Dallas GEP 19:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I THINK eur/jpy TOP might be 138.45/50 for today IF yen keeps getting sold off. PROBABLY high will print in Asia session

Van jv 19:36 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 19:24 GMT ...thanks for Short Term Rates,
can we have long side please, if possible

berlin otto 19:36 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL,
I am fine, and today is very happy day. I am busy, you are right, I have +++++++++pips.

TAL 19:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TLV B747......if u really believe that i might sell u gold calls myself in this case.

lon ram 19:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
mr dallas gep,,what your view now according to US$/eur after increasing the rates,,do you think eur will going to roof again...

BEIRUT MK 19:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
watch $cad!!!

TAL 19:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TLV B747, best tool would be a tranquilizer in this case.

TLV B747 19:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
thanks to this forum I found the tool, plan works towards the target !!! good luck all !!!

"GOES B747 11:15 GMT October 6, 2004
FED rates above 9% during 2007; and may go into +++15% year later.

What is the best financial tool to use to enjoy such a move ???

tia & gt"

Spotforex NY 19:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 2 percent.

Bruxville Jim 19:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP, do you have an opinion on where E/Y will form a top?

Livingston nh 19:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Tal - your cynicism is admirable but now folks have to consider whether the Fed and ECB are serious - the Fed says it will hike but inflation no problem - ECB says inflation may be a problem so maybe a rate hike -- ECB cuts once - Fed hikes twice so Q1 sees a 3/4 spread (one is lying about rates and the other about inflation)

lon ram 19:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
mr chicago cme,,any new from the fomc..do you think the fomc would keep the rates unchanged!!!!!!!!

Dallas GEP 19:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
The reason for longing usd/jpy in my mind was that it has been one of the more bullish pairs anyway so with rate increase there should really be no fundamental reason for it to short so the thought is LONGS will probably continue THRU that 107.30 resistance. WILL see!!!

Ldn 19:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Short Term
Interest Rates
US 2.00 %
Japan 0.15%
Euro 2.0%
UK 4.75%
Swiss 0.25-1.25%
Aus 5.25%
Can 2.50

TAL 19:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
as I said it is not the rates anymore guys (at least for a little while) look at 10yr US note yields went up at the same time when eurusd went through the roof.

Bruxville Jim 19:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
70% chance of a 0.25bp Dec hike currently priced in in futures markets.

Chicago CME 19:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
zzzzz.......i think the ranges have been set for the week. Treat the remainder of the week as a range trade. Small positions and wide stops beyond the this weeks hi & lo.

TAL 19:18 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Is berlin otto in da houz? probably busy with huge swings?

Dallas GEP 19:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
In at 107.24 USD/JPY long stop @ 106.90 target 107.80

jkt-aye 19:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
raised

GVI john 19:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Latest Survey
CLICK HERE

THIS LINK IS ALWAYS POSTED ON THE FORUM BEFORE IT GOES TO THE WIRES.

TAL 19:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Enjoy lifeless mkt now.........

Bruxville Jim 19:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
0.25

London Zappy 19:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
...both ways if I'm lucky...LOL

Spotforex NY 19:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 19:08

Jay at Global view has that info......

probably on the web site somewhere....

TAL 19:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GVI john seems you requote my post, pal.

London Zappy 19:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I just did an option straddle on E/$ at about the 1.2881 level,
looking for 50 or more pip movement either way in next 10 mins...

Chicago CME 19:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
movement of $/jpy could dictate $ sentiment post fomc.

GVI john 19:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
FWIW we feel a +25bp hike is a sure bet AND that is fully priced into the markets so there should not be much of a response. Any other outcome is highly unlikely.

Helsinki iw 19:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Unless the oil market has done FED:s job for them? Not likely this time though.

Livingston nh 19:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Besides CAD and the SGD one of the great trends is the "economic analysts" who each month have bet against the Fed trend and warn us of "next month" - the Fed is on autopilot

Bruxville Jim 19:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
My genie made a guess for 19.15 GMT: an initial probe at 1.2840, then above 1.2900, then down from 1.2930/50?

TAL 19:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY, so u say there is such a survey. How can one access it?

Spotforex NY 19:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GVI bi-weekly survey is doing ust fine....quoted by major financial news services now.....

Bruxville Jim 19:03 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
This time, next month's hike is on stake - watch their policy statement for clues...

nyc jack 19:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 18:53 GMT November
I remember one guy used to post such surveys here a few months back.Due to some reasons, those who run this site used to delete it promptly. Now they started there own survey , but it appears doomed with a curse and is not kicking off.

berlin otto 19:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL,...
1. yes, very stupid.
2. MKT will move significatlly after FED .

Bruxville Jim 19:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Consistency in not surprising the markets will make The Grandpa pick +25bp.

TAL 18:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
FED 25 up, no doubt about it. Mkt will go nowhere today.

TAL 18:53 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Guys, I have an idea need your opinion. What do you think if we ask administrator of this good web site to put on daily survey for G7 ccies. Every visitor might vote where he/she sees mkts moving bull, bear, neutral. One for daily one for weekly. Please your opinions....does it sound very stupid? :-)

MEDAN FATGUY 18:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
From the payroll data last week, I think FOMC is unchange.

jkt-aye 18:51 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
of course TAL as this is FX world, right ? thanks and GL

Dallas GEP 18:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK guys MAKE SURE you don't have any orders waiting for execution that you are not aware of. This FOMC deal COULD move the market big.

slv sam 18:48 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
so far today i was euro bearish...but just now and b4 fed i notice some pairs with strange price actions especially $/cad...it is indicating (but not sure!) a strong down move for the us$ soon...could exceed 1.30!!!imho.GT

orlando jcr 18:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Talk of Russia aside (St. Petersburg was beautiful on my visit last year - but still a lot of poverty)....

FOMC is in 30 minutes...
Haven't seen anybody post predictions of hedge positions placed?

Where do we see EUR/USD USD/JPY in next few minutes/hours after the announcement? Does anybody think that .25 points has already been factored in?

If it is anything like the jobs report this month, a $ bounce on good news won't give as much as we would hope for significant profits. (not like October's job report)

TAL 18:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin...nu i ladushky tada. Wish u a nice day ahead.

TAL 18:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
jkt-aye, do not measure anything. Measurements are for tailors. Adjust to the changes in market constantly.

gold coast martin 18:43 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   


TAL 18:37 GMT November 10, 2004
I c tboi toge coglasen....g/t

jkt-aye 18:43 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEDA ... from the same chart, my measure of down target is at 106.65 but let see what happen to 106.85 as GEP mention before. GT

SanFrancisco TG 18:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville - Nothing meant as an insult in any way, just speaking about real conditions comparatively. I acknowledge there has been some fair progress and I'm glad to see it. Sometimes internet can leave a wrong impression.
Enjoy your day.

Re $Yen, my projected high level is 107.40, and so I'm having a hard time believing there can be much more upside from here today (currently 107.25).

TAL 18:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Boca Raton....comm'on pal, have money and do anything only Russia, China? U r a naive guy. Look closer, GWB of USA has money, does anything he likes :-).

TAL 18:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin ..that is what I'm trying to tell you: "WHO IS SPOTLESS?" Russia now= US 1930.....Robber barons and gangsters bla bla. The only difference they are now nuclear state ans speak Russian :-). Russia I believe has big potential, however not so big as they think for themselves :-) China will put it's shadow on the neighbour.

London Geda 18:36 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Just a trading signal
On hourly chart,, JOY closed down above Higher Bollinger Band for 6 bars (till now) i.e 6 hours,,
as prices most of time reverses to its mean,, i would call a consolidation to lower prices here,, seems good setup to short,,
tailor ur risk first....
gl

Boca Raton 18:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Russia is exactly like China in the respect that if you have enough money, you can do anything you want.

NYC CS 18:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
That surplus is very heavily oil weighted, i.e. not representative of the aggregate flows of all non-oil related economic activity...

Chicago Irish 18:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TG.Sound like Flint Michigan or certain parts of the south side of Chicago.

gold coast martin 18:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 18:21 GMT November 10, 2004
Having visited the country many times since 1991 i acknowledge that the progress made has been astonishing...however due to the political structure and corruption progress will be continually impeded....While russia enjoys a huge surplus at the moment and a rise in the middle class,it will take 3 times the current surplus to update infastructure and promote further growth and foreign investor confidence,,,,thats provided the politicians and oligarchs allow it.......currently it still feels like another world to a westerner visiting for the first time....g/t

Bruxville Jim 18:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
p r i c k

Bruxville Jim 18:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
"SanFrancisco TG 18:15 GMT November 10, 2004
Hi TAL. Aside from having large gold reserves, there is widespread, horrible unemployment, starvation, poverty, and lack of economic performance. To such an extent many in America would feel like they have entered another world if visiting. An interesting read actually if you have the time to study it."

:))) You, arrogant censored...:)))
Fellow Russians are not doing that bad really...

TAL 18:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG ...it seems you a stuck on the Cold War times TV channel my friend. Come and visit this country you'll be surprised. Economic performance u say 5-7% growth I tell you. It has made a substantial progress since Yeltsin times. You really lack credible info on this one.

Dallas GEP 18:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
19:15 is FOMC announcement

SNP 18:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
expect conti- pairs to lead conti-$ pairs marginally higher soon

Dallas GEP 18:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Well FXNEW, I think people will be tring to buy EUR/USD around 1.2800 and GBP around 1.8350 IF the interest rate increase is announced (I THINK there will be USD selling on DIPS)

berlin otto 18:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Hi, guys, today is very nice day!

Chicago CME 18:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
going with the flow here and selling some small eur/cad ahead of the announcement.

London Zappy 18:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Hi Folks,
I've been travaling all day, and missed the fun! What time is FOMC please?

TAL 18:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
lech snow...well RSI Eurusd divergence on daily looks good. Good old Murphy has the point. In fact have not seen good divergence on RSI for ages! Confo might be a trendline drawn through 12 october and 3 nov lows. Good luck

orlando jcr 18:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 18:05 regarding positions posted here...

I disagree with you about posting what positions we're in.
I find it helpful when I log in to see what the sentiment has been prior to my jumping in.

I also take it as confirmation of what I may already be thinking, or even a red-flag if I'm thinking in the other direction.

I don't always use it, but it is a helpful tool.
The people on this board are as helpful as any broker.
Use it for advice and make own decisions.
At least the people posting here are trying to do the same thing - make some money.

SanFrancisco TG 18:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Hi TAL. Aside from having large gold reserves, there is widespread, horrible unemployment, starvation, poverty, and lack of economic performance. To such an extent many in America would feel like they have entered another world if visiting. An interesting read actually if you have the time to study it.

LA Fxnew 18:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP:
what do u think of cable or euro after interest news????

TAL 18:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG.....Russia? Give me your reasons why you think so. I do not c anything wrong at the moment there.

Dallas GEP 18:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Closed EUR/GBP shorts @ .6980 TP, FLAT now before FOMC

TAL 18:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
London Geda ...Whatever it does pre FOMC, post FOMC...leave the market for today. It has been violated now. Watch when volatility calms down, intraday range sets in and then move with the breakout. Tomorrow the earliest. This mkt needs to calm down.

lech snow 18:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
from john murphy:
JAPANESE ARE SELLING THE YEN... The September US trade deficit showed an unexpected drop. While it's still very high, today's announcement is causing some buying of dollars and selling of foreign currencies. Chart 1 shows the Euro struggling to hold its recent move above the February high. It's also in overbought territory (RSI over 70). Since the Euro and gold have been positively correlated, any Euro selling should also cause some profit-taking in gold and gold shares. The yen is falling the hardest of the foreign currencies because of fears of Japanese central bank intervention. That's also helping the dollar today. Chart 2 shows the yen falling sharply today -- also from a short-term overbought condition (RSI falling from over 70).

BEIRUT MK 18:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
sold usdjpy at 107.22 target 106.80

TAL 18:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
do not want to insult anyone on this forum... but do you friends, really believe posting your trades help anyone? Honestly, I read your market views and analysis but do not care about "sold at xxx, stop at yyy, target at zzz."

SanFrancisco TG 18:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
In a prime example of how a country can have a surplus but still have an economy either headed for the dumper, or already in it, Russia has a trade surplus of $62 Billion dollars.

London Geda 18:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL, i agree with you
what about some sort of short squeze before FOMC announcement,,,
and better new highs within a couple od days...

this would be the ideal scenario for a top in Euro,,, last upswing without real buying just short covering

BEIRUT MK 18:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
add more eurusd at 1.2878 stop all at 1.2838 tagret 1.2920

TAL 18:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Toronto Silverfox key reversal opens around previous day close makes a new high and closes below previous day low. This is perfect key day reversal. By the way perfets never works! as everyone spots them. A paradox of trading.

TLV B747 17:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
just spending time to catch action (reading news) during my long time away from Europe...amazing, many people write that the political situation reminds them 1938...
Americans talk about 1929...what a crazy world we live in!

I wonder, where is the point that politics and econimics meet?

to hook with FX...who bail who during crisis periods in USA and in Europe...if I am not wrong, then no one bailed out USA but Europe is another story...think about it for the longer term.


I am off...gt to all and make money in mss but spend it smart :-)

BEIRUT MK 17:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
bought eurusd at 1.2888 for 1.2920..

TAL 17:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I do not dear to call a top in EUR/USD just yet (mkt needs to close below 1.2740 on daily better weekly basis) but today's volatility is one of a toppish signals.

Gen dk 17:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

BEIRUT MK 17:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
if eurusd close below 1.2935 , it is a reversal for 1.2650 min

London Tokky 17:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Any opinion on quick moves post-FOMC Rate Decision, especially EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD?

IMO, the dollar positivity has already been factored in across the board, what kind of impact can announcement of subsequent rate hikes have on the crosses above. Thanks.

TLV B747 17:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hi alimin, hope everything does good to you.

will you share with me your running trades?
looks like 3 happy weeks for USD and JPY against European ccys. are just ahead, does you sonars/screens showing the same?

gt

Toronto Silverfox 17:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Quick ? for the chartists in the crowd. In order to have
a key reversal with a higher high and a lower low were should it close below previous low, or below the previous close?

TLV B747 17:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
thanks GEP...

imo, European ccys. set to take a hit until the first days of DEC/04 (say 03/DEC/04) against USD and JPY...many thanks to everybody for your feedback/opinon.

gt all

London Tokky 17:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
jkt aye,

1915 GMT

jkt-aye 17:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Is the FED announcement at 18.15 or 19.15 GMT ? Thanks

Dallas GEP 17:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
NOW Sid, you know I am just a very small fish just like everyone else here.

Dallas GEP 17:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: I think is is a good long from 106.80/90 like I posted earlier for a try @ maybe 107.50 (107.25/30 would have to break).

Sydney Alimin 17:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
i cant wait till fomc anymore, it is too late for me now, need some sleep...will let this one pass...good luck guys

Sydney Alimin 17:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy has the potential to go long more, if fomc indicates more dollar bullishness and then data for japan later are bad, then expect usd/jpy to rally more

Dallas GEP 17:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Good to see you again B747

Dallas GEP 17:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL, that is why I posted back I was still IN earlier there was a FIB point that I didn't calculate that was around 1.2930 so I moved stop out of the way of that. When the market is moving fast I have a problem with posting real time that's why I said that if I couldn't post possies real time I would not mention then since there are of no use to others


TLV B747 17:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
good evening all,

took EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY shorts; for 500pips target within 3-4 weeks...looks like TOP levels for NOV/04 are done, s/l @ 139.20 & 198.40

placed EUR/USD short order @ 1.2915/45/75/30.05 s/l @ 1.3022...target 200pips during NOV/04.

btw, the new TLV airport is running well; so I will go back to Holland very soon...looks like I will miss the politicians arrival to wave Yasser bye-bye. :-)

gt all

NY 17:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   


Do you Know about USD/JPY ?

TAL 17:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:51 GMT November 10, 2004
shorted euro 1.2904, 30 pip stop, 60 pips target

according to me you had to be stopped on the way up ???

Dallas GEP 17:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK closed my EUR/USD short at BE DON"T WANT TO BE IN EUR?USD come fomc time

tehran 17:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
About USD/JPY UP or Down ?

Rivonia PipPirate 16:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
There will be a 1.3 party at Dallas GEPs' abode tonite... just follow the signs to Southfork. Bring your own broards.

LA SID 16:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Sorry TAL..I misunderstood..I thought u were refering to the biggest internet player in the world today but Dallas GEP does not make markets to anyone as yet...just give him time!!

Gen dk 16:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

TAL 16:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
LA SID.. Dallas?! I mean the broker where one can open up the account to trade

Chicago CME 16:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
My cycle studies suggest dollar will print a bottom this week, but gut feel says that the dollar will test 1.30+ again before we see a tradeable retracement.

Santo Domingo tht 16:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Brutal moves today but holding my critical levels so far. Euro 1.2850 GBP 1.8450 AUD .7550 and CHF 1.1860. If these levels hold on todays close I'm still selling dollar.

Chicago CME 16:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
FOMC is likely to mark up its growth outlook, probably sees balanced risks for inflation but will continue with gradual approach to return short rates to neutral. Dec hike still on the cards. I think most of the dollar move has already happened for the day.....probably for the week.

LA SID 16:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL 16:28 GMT November 10, 2004
question. Does anyone know who is the biggest fx internet dealer?

Dallas!!!!!

Dallas GEP 16:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Sorry I mean 1.2940 and YES the ECB gives mixed signals ALL THE TIME

PAR 16:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan will indicate he will keep printing dollars at full speed to keep his hedge fund friends happy. So no need to buy dollars.

Los Angeles ss 16:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Anyone recall what the dollar after the last FOMC announcement and rate hike, for the rest of the day?

Dallas GEP 16:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK still in EURO shorts but technically it SHOULD short from HERE or 1.2840

hourpower 16:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
will buy $/CAD around .1930 if divergence on macd

TAL 16:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
question. Does anyone know who is the biggest fx internet dealer?

HK Kevin 16:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Took small short EUR/JPY at 138.12, 20 pips stop, looking for 137.40 tomorrow.

Chicago CME 16:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
$/CAD failure to hold above 1.2010 area not a good sign. Will admit defeat on this one and say that trend remains down until 1.2060 area is broken....

TAL 16:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, you have to agree with me that ECB is the worst in expressing their EUR views in public. ECB lacks clear and cut consistency of FED and BOJ.

Dallas GEP 16:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I know this seems trite, but the statements coming out of the ECB, US , Asia or whatever are at times made to illicit a response and may NOT how they really feel. Just TODAY an ECB official stated they are HAPPY with the level of the EURO. This statement coincidently was issued AFTER we had the euro short today. So WHICH IS IT REALLY???? Well one could assume the latest statement was intended to give some support to euro bulls in the face of the euro bears this morning. After all the ECB is just like the BOJ in that they want an ORDERLY market without wild swings

Chicago CME 16:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
London Tokky: EUR above 1.2840, buy dips, EUR below 1.2840, sell rallies. IMHO

TAL 16:18 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Chicago CME, re your comment. No doubt about it we need strong close below 1.2750 to say the mmkt has topped.

London Tokky 16:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
do u mean until it goes down to 1.2840? I am trying to get used to this FX language.

Chicago CME 16:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EUR still in an uptrend until we break 1.2840.

TAL 16:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading tactics.... for now I would advise to employ very little or no leverage at all.

London Tokky 16:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Sam,

In simple terms, do you mean short Euro? What levels are u thinking of. I know it is your opinion.

TAL 16:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
re my previous comment..... and the traders picked up eur because at the moment it seems easy pray. We know BOJ stance on jpy appreciation. It is ECB's smailies and their "exchange rates are balanced" view that arose eur demand.

slv sam 16:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
forex trading need strong heart and deep pocket of course but if you trust it it pays you....euro top in place till we visit 1.26 area..so basically seel euro on rallies for short and medium term imho!GT

TAL 16:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I think it will be not easy to go 1.3xxx from now on. ECB will have to do something and they will be serious this time. US/Asia trade relations and Asian CB inverventions keeps Eur out of balance now. It is these ccies that have to bear the biggest share of usd slide.

Dallas GEP 16:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY a good long still from 106.80/90 area

Dallas GEP 16:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
TAL great suggestion

Dallas GEP 16:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK if eur/gbp shorts get into play EURO should short from here

Gen dk 16:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

TAL 15:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
eurusd a big mess. Stay out children, sceary wolfs out in the street.

Dallas GEP 15:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK euro know looks a little bullish.....1.2930 is resistance at this time

Gen dk 15:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

london 15:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
US crude oil inventories rose 1.8 mln bbl last week to 291.5 mln bbl, the seventh straight week of builds and a larger weekly increase than analysts had expected. Crude stocks increased in the Midwest and Gulf Coast regions, more than making up for declines in other areas, the EIA says.

Dallas GEP 15:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
JCR, most of the time neither unfortunately

orlando jcr 15:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP,

Who wins the bears or bulls...???

Dallas GEP 15:51 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
shorted euro 1.2904, 30 pip stop, 60 pips target

Gen dk 15:48 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hong Kong Qindex 15:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 15:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Well USD bears have now bounced back the prices some

Dallas GEP 15:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Well since GBP has moved over 200 pips and EURO has moved much less, EURO probably has more left but we may now be stagnant until the FOMC meeting

Hong Kong Qindex 15:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bdg f3i 15:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
which one is better Euro or GBP now?

Dallas GEP 15:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
CB actually USD/CAD longed to 1.2031

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 15:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Ok. One-touch gbpusd short touched too. I am not taking the eurusd one-touch long on 12th and shall post when I enter a new one.

gl everyone.
TIA:-)

HK Kevin 15:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 15:26 GMT, if FED raises 25 basis as ecpected, my next sell order will be aound 1.2900.

Halifax CB 15:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Fascinating how USDCAD is stayng put with all the $ bullishness running rampant everywhere else. I figure it's a good time to stay put. Think I'll do the same. GL/GT

Syd 15:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko can you throw the aud into the mix also thanks

orlando jcr 15:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Another dumb question...

Do we think this is the factoring in for .25 point from FOMC and we won't see dollar strengthening afterward, or will it take another jump then?

Livingston nh 15:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY bounced off the 21 da mva, a key level if it can close above -- the EUR/JPY level should the ECB another headache

Gen dk 15:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 15:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
JCR, I my estimation probably NONE

Tallinn viies 15:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
orlando jcr 15:24 GMT - almost zero. let say 0,01%

van Gecko 15:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Kevin.. good job.. cold_feet_titist kicking into full gear.. 1.2750 within diving range..

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
IM I closed it too early at 106.85

orlando jcr 15:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP,

What would the possibililty of ECB intervening for Y during Europe and BOJ doing same for Euro during Asia tonight...???

I know they have some mutual interest here...
This is probably to complicated, and to maccabelean

Syd 15:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GBP nearly 200 pts down also

Gen dk 15:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK Kevin 15:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Close all short EUR position from 1.30 at 1.2858

perth rick 15:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.286 keep shorting the euro this is nothing, profit target is 0.98

Dallas GEP 15:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Out at 1,8415 on GBP for +20

gold coast martin 15:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:20 GMT November 10, 2004
As posted earlier on today gep...it is but it is only "smoothing"....

Tallinn viies 15:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1,2785 today?
I wouldnt mine :)

Dallas GEP 15:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Guys, I won't post possies anymore if I can't do it immediately because I know that's not very helpful in a quick market.

orlando jcr 15:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Hi...

I'm late to the party today - just logged on.
See $Y has been shooting up.
I jumped in for a quick 10pip, but am nervous as I've not been watching today...

What is concensus on topping out here?

Dallas GEP 15:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK this kind of looks like intervention maybe on BEHALF of the BOJ?????????????????

Gen dk 15:18 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 15:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.8435 short gbp

HK Kevin 15:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 14:54 GMT, 1.2855 is enough for me. Need to close my position before FOMC meeting.

HK Kevin 15:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 14:54 GMT, 1.2855 is enough for me. Need to close my position before FOMC meeting.

HK Kevin 15:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 14:54 GMT, hope to see a duplication of Jan 12

Tokyo IM 15:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY LONG

Chicago CME 15:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
haven't seen it mentioned here, but possible catalyst for $/yen move is Kyodo news reporting a terrorist threat posted on an islamic website. ref: DJ news.

Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
censored OUT at BE on gbp short

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Short again GBP 1.8472 soory too fast

Dallas GEP 15:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY LONG or EUR/JPY LONG????

Chicago CME 15:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
$/CAD needs to see a clean sustained break above 1.2010....that will bring 1.2140-75 area into my crosshairs.

Dallas Mauricio 15:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Way to Go!

Dallas GEP 14:55 GMT November 10, 2004
Closed SHORT GBP @ +35

Tokyo IM 15:04 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP I were talking about long one .

Dallas GEP 15:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
IM , sorry I was busy, which yen pair possie were you talking about I was taking both longs and shorts

OK SZ 14:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
well since the dow rallied into the close yesterday I think a short term top is in and a break below 10350 should kick in sell programs to 10175 area..with the $ still expecting it much lower but it's time for some short term rallies starting today..gl, gt all

Gen dk 14:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 14:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Closed SHORT GBP @ +35

Hong Kong Qindex 14:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

van Gecko 14:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Kevin.. hope you're fine.. price action since last Friday implies some anxious predator syndicates was in a rush to pull a fast one over us.. to turn the whole fx world into a bunch of screaming Dollar bears..
the 1/2 session gravestone is now propagating into the one session bar.. a potential blow-off top in the making..


Dallas GEP 14:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
profit IN SHORT now on GBP @ 1.8520

Tallinn viies 14:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
top has formed for today.
only if we get suprise from FED (no hike) then we may try highs again. imho

Tokyo IM 14:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, did you close it with profit or loss?

Dallas GEP 14:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
NOPE closed it

Syd 14:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
It seems that Federal funds futures contracts pricing in a 100% chance of a 25-basis-point rate increase Federal Open Market Committee meeting today Also is an 82% chance of a 25-basis-point rate increase in the Dec. 14 FOMC meeting.

Chicago Goofy 14:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Very interesting ...Good Morning All, GT/GL~~

Tokyo IM 14:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, did you still keep your Yen long ?

Tokyo IM 14:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Yen is playing rocket and going for the space.

london 14:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
The International Energy Agency today called the peak in crude oil prices. 'Higher stocks, better sweet crude supply and lower forecast GDP growth suggest a seasonal peak

Gen dk 14:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

eur lg 14:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
JAK try reuters dealing code bojq.

Halifax CB 14:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
There seems to be a reasonable amount of support for EURUSD at about 1.2910. and resistance for USDCAD slightly above 1.20. If they hold for awhile, I'll probably short the dollar. But no rush. USDYEN also seems to have moderate resistance in the 106.5 area, but as with anything with JPY in it, I'm very cautious....

HELSINKI jak 14:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
my clients want to buy a total of 700t Yens . any one has sellers?

Ldn 14:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ECB's Wellink airs fears that stronger euro will dampen moderate recovery

HK Kevin 14:19 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 14:07 GMT, we have a reverse day this Mon in the daily chart of EUR, an inside day yesterday, followed by a new high today. Interesting and need to watch today's close for clue. My limit order short at 1.30 was executued.

Tokyo IM 14:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Finaly Yen is doing what it were suppose to do. I guess we will not get anymore cheap dollars here in Japan.

van Gecko 14:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1/2 session euro greystone..

London Geda 14:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
i usually dont folow order flows,, but i got this tip, (and I am unsure) if it is true or not,,
there is 2yards buy order at 2950 on EUR,,,
could be a rumor, just wanted ot pass it,,,
enjoy ur day all

gold coast martin 14:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 13:50 GMT November 10, 2004
boj...appears to be doing some smoothing to keep yen above 10585....

Dont be too adventurous with euro longs....g/t

LA Fxnew 14:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
looks like cable is ready to enter 84xx ...

van Gecko 14:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
looks like some elephant bears did a slam dang on euro up at 1.30..

Dallas GEP 14:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Closed some eur/usd shorts @ 1.2950` Hanging on to the rest

Boulder DAT 14:04 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I had wondered how much of a sell-off the market would see if euro touched 1.3000. I had wanted to see what the trade number was. I felt that since we were close to 1.30, and the number was lower than expected, the dollar would get some kind of relief and then sell off. The other scenario would be if the number was worse than expected, the dollar would get clobbered. We saw a better than expected number, a small dollar rally, then we touched 1.30. Someone obviously had a large sell order sitting there. I expect that once this order is completely filled, and the dust settles, we will probably revisit 1.3000. This could easily happen before the Fed announcement. But, I'm also imagining that once we cross 1.3000, someone else is sitting on the top of the market with another sell order. Things will probably get choppy for the next few sessions.

sofia anmart 14:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
10:11 GMT November 10, 2004
EUR/JPY-137.05. We buy at the market for 139.35.

mex sjs 13:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
long gbpusd here at 1.8560 stop today's low, tgt 1.8640-60 area for later on today...gl & gt

london 13:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said on Wednesday that large currency fluctuations were unwelcome to the British and global economies.
"We don't welcome vast changes in exchange rates," he told a news conference.

KL KL 13:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short eur usd 1.2996 gbp 1.8576 out eur 1.2956 +40 gbp1.8558 +18,
wow this is fast paced...good

PAR 13:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
CNBC . As long as FED keeps printing too much dollars, dollar will go down. Basic supply and demand.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 13:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 11:35 GMT November 10, 2004


eur

1.3010 1.3003 R4(printed)
1.2977 1.2974 R3

Cape Town 13:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dollar lows were 1.3006 and 1.1695.

HK [email protected] 13:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Likely because of high cost of fuel not too much remain to buy imported French cheeez.

Pecs Andras 13:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.30 already printed

Sydney Alimin 13:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
that's it 1.3 for euro, that's rather easy

Halifax CB 13:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
London - it wouldn't surprise me at all to see CAD hit 1.19 today. But I've got my profit for today, so I'm just going to wait....

la so 13:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
KL too dangerous shorting euro at present levels I would rather wait for a take out of 2945

Ldn 13:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
US Posts $51.56B Sep Trade Deficit; Consensus $53.5B
Aug Revised To $53.55B From $54.04B


US Jobless Claims +2K To 333K Nov 6 Week; Survey +8k
Oct Jobless Claims Revised To 331K From 332K

KL KL 13:36 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
here comes the gravy train moving up and down the line collecting stop loss.....

KL KL 13:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short eur 1.2969...gbp1.8560 out eur 58 +11 gbpusd 44 +16...now flat

Halifax CB 13:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
well, we are out of the long USDCAD positions. Nice ride :)

KL KL 13:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short eur 1.2969...gbp1.8560

London Geda 13:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Samuel,,,
what will haooen in case of losses,,,
i have been in this market for 10 years,,, and have not seen such a great performance, if you r telling the truth.
anyway,,
here is my idea...
why dont u post us your real time audited trading results,
and if i see consistent 30-40% profit on a monthly basis, i would put 500K under your management,,,

One more thing,, if you are able to get 80% profit with "ur backed" forex trading strategy, join a hedge fund, u will get paid , plus bonus on ur 80%
or other idea,,,
just trade ur own account, and keep ur strategy to urself, dont tell anyone about it,, as once they knew it, it will be doscounted by the market ...

sorry, but i thought this is a forum for exchanging ideas, not raising funds without any audited track record!

Halifax CB 13:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
intersetig how pessimistic the market is re. the USD just prior to the announcements...GL/GT

Livingston nh 13:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB - I doubt the ability of governments to execute anything as sophisticated as a plan but the cumulative US trade deficit over the last five years is outstripping the growth of financial assets available to absorb it - these 'free radical' dollars are forced into economies in search of diversification (drives down interest rate but increases prices in equities, real estate etc) - an economy like EU that can't increase employment or Japan that suffers from low demand suffers from the low cost of capital created by these excess dollars /// It would be a major help if China would drop the Peg and join the world economy

Dallas GEP 13:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
NOTE there should still be heavy defense of that 7000 line on eur/gbp still

Dallas GEP 13:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EUR/gbp short 6992

Sydney Alimin 13:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
interesting, gbp is going down but euro is up
usd/chf made new low
wow, busy day today

london 13:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
The weak dollar is pushing oil prices higher and raises the possibility of interest rate hikes in Europe, according to a European Union Commission report
After surging around 45% this year, another 50% rise in oil prices next year would slash euro-zone gross domestic product growth by 0.8% to 1.2%, and inflation would jump to 2.7%.
Oil Prices Will Hurt EU Budget Deficits Will Reduce Govt Revenu
The 35-page document will be presented to European finance ministers at their monthly meeting next week

ALK S.C. 13:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
It seems EUR will jump over 1.3 by seconds

Scarborough TG 13:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Think the US trade deficit will come in much lower due to hurricans in the US, should come in around 43 Billion. Currencies dropping 2 to 3 big figures.

Halifax CB 13:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
London Geda - interesting idea, and it wouldn't surprise me at all. I've got my own (arcane) theory behind it all - that the US & Asia are deliberately strengthening the euro & cad to take pressure off the US consumer (in particular) as the generator of wealth for most of the free (and not-so-free) world.

kpl 13:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hk mom, if you insist then 5013.53 eur long. The guys with 1 b are silent or absent from this forum

Philadelphia Caba 13:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Left sell order for EUR/CHF @ 1.5241; s/l 1.5300; tp open now.

KL KL 12:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ok eurusd short loking in BE...+1 pip

hk mom 12:53 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
kpl, mention your size of euro longs then? 1 b?

kpl 12:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I see many comments with short eurusd here. Time to take these campers out. Do not ware shorts, put the long euro trausers on, while you can afford to buy them ;).

slv sam 12:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
It is now time for euro to retreat imo.GT

London Geda 12:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Halifax,,
thanks for the post,,,,
on 5 min charts it keep breaking down,,
my theory is,, if Eur is at This weeks high of 12990,, then Cad should catch down to this week's low of 11900,, again, whether we break those figures or not,, i have no clue,,but such extended moves will definitly need some consolidation and such consolidation should present accumulation or distribution areas,,, :) eveything should be clear tonight,,,
thanks for ur informative post

Italy Bastiano 12:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I' ve forgotten : bought euch 1.5235 second tranche at 1.5070 ( if seen ) s/l 1.4985. Ob more than 1.60 ( is only 0.8180 of old dm/chf !! do not forget ...) within 6-8 months

Halifax CB 12:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
London Geda; Sorry I didn't see your post before I posted mine - Last night CAD was certainly looking like it was setting itself up for a swan dive into the 1.18 region, and I went short around 1.20, and thought it was on it's way with the dive into the 1.195 area. But I closed that this morning as it has seemed to stall, and am back to looking at the ranges. Guess that's not much help :(

Italy Bastiano 12:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Done second tranche : bought usch 1.1750 and sold euus 1.2970. Ob as detailed in post 04/11 h. 23.18. No interest in short trade. Good luck to everybody

SanFrancisco TG 12:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.1900 +/- is my projected floor, with some probability for bids re-appearing in this area intra day near 1.1940 +/- from the latest hour of selling of higher levels.

london xyz 12:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
dallas gep

rate increase is fully factored in.


the market will be looking at their statement and any adjusmtents to last months comments,.....but 25bp hike is 100pct expected.

Halifax CB 12:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
For those of you following USDCAD, this is a fairly important story, Bombardier is laying off around 10% of it's reareationsal workforce, citing (among other things) the high Canadian dollar. Globe and Mail article
FWIW, we are just range trading CAD again today, up to the FOMC. It's formed a new modal point over night around 1.20, and we expect it to move up towards that for the next little while. But the SL's in the 20's and we'll be out one way or another before the rate announcement. GL/GT

London Geda 12:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Hii, any opinion on CAD,,,,
i dotn know but i see 1.1800 2morrow
plz advice :)
TIA

KL KL 12:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
rats eur....ok short again 1.2971 sl 1.2985

Sydney Alimin 12:18 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
euro looks very well bid here, not sure if they know something
i am monitoring usd/chf as well, this 1.1730/40 is important IMHO

Philadelphia Caba 12:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CHF
I'll try sell more at break @ 1.5210 ; resistence at 1.5290.

Boston mpd004 12:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
CABA// took that same trade, closed for +21

Philadelphia Caba 11:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 01:40 GMT November 10, 2004
Just sold EUR/CHF @ 1.5260, s/l 1.5291, tp 30+ pips

Closed at 1.5229 +31 pips.

Dallas GEP 11:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Rate increase will favor USD strength to the extent that it is NOT already factored in. Prior to meeting we should have at least some USD bear possies square out.

Bruxville Jim 11:56 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Saihat// Average daily range for E/swiss is ~50 pips, so there will most probably be a chance for AD to get out break-even. Sounds like you have another opinion though. gl.

lon ram 11:51 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
mr dallas .gep..do do you think the increasing of rates would effect the us$ and will cause a slow down even ,thanks

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 11:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 10:03 GMT

hi


stop loss ?

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 11:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   


eur

1.3010 1.3003 R4
1.2977 1.2974 R3

aud

0.7693 0.7695 R4
0.7658 0.7659 R3

KL KL 11:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd 1.8590 +12..not sure why the power up...just lock it in

Dallas GEP 11:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
RAM, before the FOMC meeting there is very little chance that we will see 1,30 break IMO

Bruxville Jim 11:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
11:17: "tells a tale of underlying dollar supply."

A global 'BANK RUN' to get rid of dollars:)
Will it last?

lon ram 11:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
mr dallas gep..do you think that we could see the rally on EUR/USD again,,despite of the us rates

KL KL 11:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
short eurusd 1.2960

Helsinki iw 11:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF pressuring strong support here at 1,1740/50. If it were to break decisively, it is likely that the pair will begin a move closer to the 1995 lows at 1,1100. While not there yet,
the impulsive way in which EUR/USD bounces from minimal correction lows tells a tale of underlying dollar supply.

KL KL 11:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ok SAR short earlier gbpusd short 1.8556 at 1.8528 +28 and out there at 1.8602 +74 and SAR again and letting it run down locking in my 3 pips first...lets see how it goes...been a good day and the food too...not sure where it is going just using momentum and trend

Tallinn viies 11:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
my stop was done...
sold again left stop at 1,3019.
target still 1,2775 during nxt 48 hours

JHB AHG 11:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold bull in control $436.15

Dallas GEP 11:04 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Shorted 1.2963

Dallas GEP 11:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK this is agressive but a short euro with 30 pip stop or long usd.chf with 20 pip stop COULD work

slv sam 10:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:27 GMT November 10, 2004
euro could be very nice short from her 1.2945 imho.GT

Even better short now at 1.2965

PAR 10:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
BOE talking up UK economy and by doing so praising itself.

Ldn 10:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
German Deputy Finance Minister Caio Koch-Weser said Thursday that the Group of 20 industrial and developing nations will discuss oil price levels, as well as foreign-exchange rates at its next meeting in Berlin this month

"Foreign-exchange issues will be adressed in the general surveillance discussion," Koch-Weser told foreign journalists.

Tokyo IM 10:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
G'day all.
GEP do you have any projections for Cable?

Ldn 10:45 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
German Deputy Fin Min: G20 To Discuss Oil Price, Forex

Dallas GEP 10:41 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
ALIMIN we had bad UK data GBP probably has seen today's HIGH

Ldn 10:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Upcoming Events


13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) CAD New Housing Price Index m/m (SEP) Expected 0.3%, Previous 0.5%
13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) CAD Int'l Merchandise Trade (SEP) Expected C$7.0, Previous C$7.4

13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) USD Trade Balance (SEP) Expected-$54.0B,Previous -$54.0B
13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) USD Import Price Index m/m (OCT) Expected 1.0%, Previous 0.2%
13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) USD Import Price Index y/y (OCT) Expected -, Previous 7.8%
13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) USD Initial Jobless Claims (NOV 6) Expected 337K, Previous 333K
13:30GMT - (8:30 AM EST) USD Continuing Claims (OCT 30) Expected 2800K, Previous 2800K

15:30GMT - (10:30 AM EST) GBP Leading Indicator Index m/m (SEP) Expected -, Previous 0.1%
15:30GMT - (10:30 AM EST) GBP Leading Indicator Index m/m (SEP) Expected -, Previous 0.1%

19:00GMT - (2:00 PM EST) USD Monthly Budget Statement (OCT) Expected-$58B,Previous -$69.0B
19:15GMT - (2:15 AM EST) USD FOMC Rate Decision Expected(NOV 10) Expected 2.00%, Previous 1.75%

PAR 10:37 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Looks like BOE could raise UK rates again.

SanFrancisco TG 10:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
$CAD flows have been more consistent than $Yen flows so far today, little choppier in the yen.

Sydney Alimin 10:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP, what do you expect from gbp here? feels like it has some leg to the upside but there is some divergence on daily chart..so is
1.88 still possible?

gold coast martin 10:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 10:17 GMT November 10, 2004
EURO AT 12940 LEVEL IS A GOOD DAY SHORT...WITH 12865 TARGET...STOPS AT 12968...G/T

BINGO....SLV....G/T

Hong Kong Qindex 10:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : The market is still trading within the neutral zone of my daily cycle. All 3 curves (A, B and C ) are doing okay to describe the market movement so far.


Hong Kong Qindex 04:16 GMT November 10, 2004
Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.



Hong Kong Qindex 03:34 GMT November 10, 2004
USD/CHF : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.1755 - 1.1854. A projected supporting point is positioning at 1.1657 and a projected resistant level is expected at 1.1915 - 1.1928.


A) : ... 1.1657* // 1.1682 - 1.1706* - 1.1731 - (1.1755* - 1.1780 - 1.1804* - 1.1829 - 1.1854)* - 1.1879 - 1.1903* // 1.1928 - 1.1952* ...


B) : ... 1.1620* - 1.1657 // 1.1694* - 1.1731 - (1.1768* - 1.1805 - 1.1841)* - 1.1878 - 1.1915* // - 1.1952 - 1.1989* ...


C) : ... 1.1593* - 1.1625 // - 1.1657* - 1.1689 - 1.1720* - (1.1752 - 1.1783* - 1.1815 - 1.1847)* - 1.1879 - 1.1910* // -1.1942 - 1.1973* ...

Sydney Alimin 10:29 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hmm, maybe this is an early indication of what's gonna happen after data later, another up day for euro means 1.30 will be broken?

Dallas GEP 10:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Short SMALL at 1.2943 on EUR/USD

slv sam 10:27 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
euro could be very nice short from her 1.2945 imho.GT

Chicago Goofy 10:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Gep, dont u thunk it is yen crosses move? dollar majors are waiting morning open..

Tallinn viies 10:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
knowing that capital inflow was much better than expected and FED interest rate outlook more hawkish after NFP numbers we could see nice and sharp correction if trade number will show smaller deficit than most of us expecting.
Im ready for this....
:)

Dallas GEP 10:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
BULLISH for sure now against USD

sofia anmart 10:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY-137.05. We buy at the market for 139.35.

Sydney Alimin 10:05 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
cable needs to break these narrow ranges, been trading like this for 2 days

GER ad 10:03 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/CHF at 1.5243 for 1.5280+

Gen dk 10:03 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 09:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GOTIN it is bulloish now but short from 1.2930/35 area is how I see it still

Tallinn viies 09:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
how serious are those talks that Russian and Chinese interest moved euro higher from the lows?

Plovdiv Gotin 09:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GEP/How do you see E/$?tia.

Dallas GEP 09:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Those USD/CAD longs were TP at 1.2000 on ato-piolt earlier

AKL S.C. 09:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Thanks HK [email protected]

PAR 09:28 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Uk inflation report will indicate that UK inflation is not at all under control and that BOE instead of being vigilant like the ECB ( which keeps on lying about inflation ) will act decisively and raise UK rates to counter inflation. This also will gives BOE room to act if UK economy goes into recession next year.

welly rs 09:25 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
welly am sounds good jay has my email

HK [email protected] 09:24 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
AKL S.C. 09:11 GMT November 10
Eventually it may happen.
But this time a group of speculators decided to make it an issue(T. deficit very old issue) and brought the number of open interests to record high, in hope that some more suckers will buy their longs.
If all the world talks the dollar down because of the deficit it may not happen.
Oil now is at 47, and may even decline more, which can help the stock market and the $$$ for a time.
The deficit will remain, but the USD collapse will happen when all will be at the top of being $$$ bullish.
I still expect range trading for euro: Trying to victimize small traders on both sides of the trade.
This is what a bird tied on high branches can do; catch a fly here or there. But she can fall to the ground too.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hello all people here !!

wellington am 09:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hi Welly rs, I'm in Melrose. Let's grab a coffee sometime.

Re the kiwi, anyone's guess what it will do tonight (and tomorrow!), but I'm looking to sell PUTs around .68, and will be staying mildly bullish probably up until Q1/2 next year.

Kiwi should stay bid along with ozzy, although we're about 18 months ahead of them in terms of our rate cycle. But it's all eyes on the US$+deficit really - the kiwi still offers a ~4% rate differential, we're getting good prices for our commodities, and there are those that think a Dec rate rise is on the cards.

Weekly chart suggests a possible top around ~.73/75.

AKL S.C. 09:11 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected],
Do you think the deficit tonight 54b would be enough to push the EUR to 1.3 or higher?

HK [email protected] 09:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   


AKL S.C. 08:55 GMT November 10

I do not trade Kiwi, just have a look sometimes. I think price has still to touch about .6825. as i mentioned B4.

HK [email protected] 08:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

wellington am 08:42 GMT November 10

With such a deficit ratio eventually a 20% devaluation is needed,(like for the USD).

So a good buy will be, when the price will touch the line connecting Nov._96 high to 7/7/03 high.(today at 0.5787)

AKL S.C. 08:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Tks Wellington

HK [email protected], will kiwi dollar go up tonight? or way home? whats your comment on EUR?

welly rs 08:46 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hi mate, yup shacked up in ori bay

wellington am 08:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
kiwi Current Ac as % of GDP

4.6 Latest Qtr
4.4 Prev. Qtr
4.0 1 year ago
2.4 2 Years
4.7 10 year average.

Welly JS hi if you're from Wellington.

HK [email protected] 08:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
AKL S.C. 07:54 GMT November 10, 2004

Now it is not a Q. of the deficit. kiwi is on the way to 0.6825 on Tech.

The Deficit was known around for a time. Hunting Kiwi for a rebound later could be interesting.

Syd 08:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Welly RS well I read something last week it was about 5.5% of GDP, while the USA is 6% ?

SAIHAT As_Time_passing_i_am_happy_&_ i_will_be_ old 07:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
1.2859 1.2934


could be for europe s+r

Welly RS 07:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
4.7%??

AKL S.C. 07:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
For kiwi's deficit, long story,i had a glance when i did my res in AEC but I cant remember the figures. I just wonder why it can still play

Syd 07:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Spot gold fell due to Japanese players taking profit today in Asia , general lack of fresh buying interest, say local traders

Syd 07:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
What is the Deficit to GDP for New Zealand ?? and compare that to the US. anyone know

kpl 07:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
AKL S.C., What is wrong about this view?

AKL S.C. 07:39 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Lots people tell me they target EUR 1.33-1.35 and will long EUR from 1.29. Are they crazy? or a humur?

Tallinn viies 07:26 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!
selling the euros today again,
moved stop to 1,2966.
target 1,2785

kpl 07:22 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Two days down in a row then up. This pattern holds for a month +. Wonder if today is the lucky euro day again.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
I guess USD action waiting for today's data...
1. Hedge funds waiting to dump USD in desperate attempt to profit..Nov is end of fiscal year for them.
2. CBs quit dumping temporarily, waiting for retrace so they won't lose millions..
3. Big fight on speculator's parts regarding whether Fed will/should raise int. rates. This event can make or break the US recovery according to some. Funny thing is if int doesn't increase SLOWLY then inflation results..if it increases too slowly, econ suffers in other ways. Touchy.

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Yen crosses very well bid in Asia today ie aud/yen, eur/yen etc. Anybody have any idea why?

Hong Kong Qindex 04:16 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
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Hong Kong Qindex 03:34 GMT November 10, 2004
USD/CHF : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.1755 - 1.1854. A projected supporting point is positioning at 1.1657 and a projected resistant level is expected at 1.1915 - 1.1928.


A) : ... 1.1657* // 1.1682 - 1.1706* - 1.1731 - 1.1755* - 1.1780 - 1.1804* - 1.1829 - 1.1854* - 1.1879 - 1.1903* // 1.1928 - 1.1952* ...


B) : ... 1.1620* - 1.1657 // 1.1694* - 1.1731 - 1.1768* - 1.1805 - 1.1841* - 1.1878 - 1.1915* // - 1.1952 - 1.1989* ...


C) : ... 1.1593* - 1.1625 // - 1.1657* - 1.1689 - 1.1720* - 1.1752 - 1.1783* - 1.1815 - 1.1847* - 1.1879 - 1.1910* // -1.1942 - 1.1973* ...

Hong Kong Qindex 04:14 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 04:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
hk ab yes due to Cullen

HK [email protected] 04:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

Japs jump high into the air for every small event!!!

Keep cool no one will attack you.

hk ab 04:02 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
syd, thanks. I got most of it. Think worth to take a look on aud.

aud/nzd busted through 1.10. Dark horse for nt.

Syd 03:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

HK ab here you go

TOKYO (AP)--An unidentified submarine was briefly spotted in southern Japanese waters early Wednesday but it later departed the country's territory, the government's top spokesman said.

A reconnaissance aircraft and destroyer were dispatched to investigate and Japanese maritime forces were placed on alert, Chief Cabinet Secretary Hiroyuki Hosoda said.

The P3C aircraft confirmed that the sub entered Japanese territory waters near the Sakishima islands in the southern prefecture (state) of Okinawa but that it later departed, Hosoda said.

The sub's country of origin and other details could not immediately be determined.

"It's extremely regrettable," Hosoda said. "We have to find out and examine the details, including its purpose and origin."

Hosoda said the aircraft and destroyer were still patrolling the area and could reveal more details about the vessel.

If its country of origin is identified, Japan will take "necessary steps," Hosoda said without elaborating.

Japan's Maritime Self-Defense Forces can order the submarine to surface and identify itself, as well as leave Japanese waters, if it tries to re-enter, he said.

Japan has been considering ways to boost its maritime defenses after a shootout with a suspected North Korean spy ship in December 2001.

In that incident, Japanese Coast Guard patrol boats sank the suspected spy ship in a gunbattle off southwestern Japan. The patrol vessels returned fire only after the ship, ordered to stop, opened fire with a rocket and guns.

The Sakishima islands lie in waters between the northeastern tip of Taiwan and Okinawa's main island - some 1,600 kilometers south of Tokyo.

HK RF2 03:57 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Likely the submarine is already out of Jap. territorial water. No event.

Hong Kong Qindex 03:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk ab 03:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Anyone has an update on Japanese submarine story? The spark of the dlr/jpy retracement?

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:51 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
At 19:15 GMT today (Wed) the FOMC (funkey-old-men council) announces int rate..consensus is they'll raise 25 bp to 2.00%. BUT...many feel Fed won't...dunno where the consensus came from really (??). To inform yourself of cutting edge opinions on higher Fed interest rates, click HERE. Link provided by poster Koishi from Japan. Thanks Koishi! So if consensus is that Fed will raise AND THEY DON'T..that means the info was priced in..maybe that's what's stalling the E/$ chart...USD wants to lose ground but FOMC concensus is USD positive..SO: look for USD to plummit in value vs it's crosses if FOMC doesn't hike int rate. Personally I feel int rate hikes this year are totally insane.

Syd 03:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Australian leading indicator of employment slips to 0.231 in November, vs October's 0.346, posting 4th straight decline. Employment Department attributes this to weakness in vacancies, building approvals, modest growth in real GDP. "If the leading indicator continues to fall in subsequent months, it is possible that employment growth could fall below its long-term trend rate

Hong Kong Qindex 03:34 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


quito_ecuador_valdez 03:32 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
10-Nov Wednesday All times GMT es=estimate pr=previous
Today's wish list..lots of data: USA data important

AUD Home Loans SEP 0:30 -1.0% 0.4%

JPY Consmr Conf. OCT 5:00 46.3 46.1

EUR Germ Wh'sl Pric Indx MoMOCT 7:00 es=0.4% pr=0.0%
EUR Germ Wh'sl Pric Indx YoYOCT 7:00 es=3.8% pr=3.4%
EUR Germ Crnt Acct SEP 7:00 es=5.0B pr=0.9B
EUR Germ Exprts SA MoM SEP 7:00 es=1.3% pr=-1.4%
EUR Germ Imprts SA MoM SEP 7:00 es=1.0% pr=-0.1%
EUR Germ Trade Bal SEP 7:00 es=12.7B pr=11.1B
EUR Fr Trd Bal (€s SEP) 7:45 es=-800M pr=-2,454M
EUR Fr Indus Prod MoM SEP 7:50 es=1.5% pr=-1.9%
EUR Fr Indus Prod YoY SEP 7:50 es=1.5% pr=0.7%
EUR Fr Manftrg Prod MoM SEP 7:50 es=1.5% pr=-2.1%
EUR Fr Manftrg Prod YoY SEP 7:50 es=1.4% pr=0.9%
EUR ECB Issing Speaks 10:00

GBP BOE Quarterly Infltn Report 10:30

CAD New Housing PI MoM SEP 13:30 es=0.3% pr=0.5%
CAD Int'l Mdse Trade SEP 13:30 es=C$7.0 pr=C$7.4

USD Trade Bal SEP 13:30 es=-$53.9B pr=-$54.0B
USD Import PI MoM OCT 13:30 es=0.7% pr=0.2%
USD Import PI YoY OCT 13:30 pr=.8%
USD Initial Jobless NOV6 13:30 es=337k pr=332k
USD Continu. Claims OCT30 13:30 pr=2,800k


GBP Leading Indictr Inde MoM SEP 15:30 pr=0.1%
GBP Coincidnt Indictr Indx MoM SEP 15:30 pr=0.1%

USD Mnthly Budget Stmnt OCT 19:00 es=-$58.0B pr=-$69.6B
USD FOMC Rate 19:15 es=2.00% pr=1.75%


NZD Unemployment Rate 3Q 21:45 es=3.9% pr=4.0%

JPY Domestic CGPI MoM OCT 23:50 es=0.0% pr=0.1%
JPY Domestic CGPI YoY OCT 23:50 es=1.9% pr=1.8%
JPY Exprt Price Indx MoM OCT 23:50 pr=0.0.%
JPY Exprt Price Indx YoY OCT 23:50 pr=1.0%
JPY Imprt Price Indx MoM OCT 23:50 pr=1.4%
JPY Imprt Price Indx YoY OCT 23:50 pr=8.7%


USD news prior to election was a fizzle other than a dipsey doodle that recouped to "normal" quickly. Now, today, could be the "excuse" (pivot up for E/$) which BIG hedge funds will use to sell those USDs before physcal end of year this month.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:23 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
bc//numbers are flying around like leaves in a windstorm. My model predicts E/$ 1.34-1.36 within 100-120 days. Others say the same, others yet say 1.32 is the top. What's your take on "the top" for that pair and when do you think the pair will top out and begin the long retrace? It's fun to speculate, a game really...we all know it's impossible to be right 100% of the time...give us your op on this please. There are those such as I who hang on your words more than Mr. Fedspan.

Also, do you think Fed will actually bump up interest another 25 bp today? If they do they shoot themselves in the foot in my op...

Sydney gvm 03:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
interesting comment http://f...thesouth.com

Hong Kong Qindex 03:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

shanghai bc 03:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

MOM-- Good morning..The world is full of too many Dollars at present while the reason to buy more Euros above 1.30 is not that convincing either for long-term players..But a trend can always overshoot and on balance,Dollar has a weaker hand at present till the yearend at least..

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:00 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
mom//Trichet lies constantly..last month he was saying to the effect, aw well, so what if the USD is cheap..the Yanks need the help and the EZ is internally set. Now he's crying again like 5 months ago watching Germany fester and France cough up blood. The man is seriously fuzzy but then again the Euro concept is seriously fuzzy. the Brits sure don't want it. The world can see this wishey-washey stuff..I feel Monseur Trichet's words will be a mere whisper in the wind soon. Will the real Trichet please stand up?

Van jv 02:59 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez//////Eur --that all right....some weeks ago EUR was 1.22/23...............700 p less

02:55 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Yes

Toronto Waverider 02:54 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
The future of North America, lol.

http://censored.photobucket.com/albums/v22/samuelLsamson/a26a1f40.jpg

censored = i*m*g

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:53 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
bc//Thank you for that! Amazing..the ECB says they want a cheaper Euro then they tell a bank on your side of the pond to buy Euros. ECB/Trichet get more insane every day dosn't they! I wonder what it'll be next week? Sounds like we have to invent another play to combat this stuff..the "longshort". Put in a long, if it backfires it automatically turns to a short for you. LOL.

hk mom 02:50 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
-- bc, in other words, Trichet was lying?

Hong Kong Qindex 02:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

shanghai bc 02:44 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

Not sure of the FED but one good sized Asian cb and its Sancho bought boatload of Euro when Euro was diving after the numbers came and effectively turned the tide on that day..But that Asian cb was just doing what ECB boss asked them to do only some weeks ago,to be a devoted supporter of Euro on long-term basis..

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:35 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Jay, John, GVI posters as well as those in the know here..has anyone heard concrete fact concerning the rumor saying the Fed was behind a USD sell off around last Friday? If so, please post.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:21 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Philadelphia Caba 02:12 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
NYC YIPPEE 02:01 GMT November 10, 2004
Risk 31 to make 30 ?

just first TP

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Goofy...put spaces in between the letters so your chart name won't get censored.

Syd 02:07 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Master Builders Australia says September decline in housing finance approvals indicates moderate cyclical downturn in place, should provide further comfort to RBA that housing market has eased. Notes despite small rise in lending for investment properties, trend is still declining. Housing group also points out anecdotal evidence from builders suggests sector slowing, with work in pipeline and forward orders lower than year ago
abc

NYC YIPPEE 02:01 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Risk 31 to make 30 ?

Philadelphia Caba 01:40 GMT November 10, 2004

Chicago Goofy 01:47 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
censored one min chart, Mos. How to pm you btw..

Philadelphia Caba 01:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Just sold EUR/CHF @ 1.5260, s/l 1.5291, tp 30+ pips

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Goofy// what charts are using for Kiwi?

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Goofy// if you saw the actual feed the brokers get from their banks you would see a lot of weird spikes. The broker's programs buffer and average the prices to reduce spikes because spikes cost the broker money usually.

I'll play Kiwi tonight and tomorrow and report back to you what I see/do using a demo of course to experiment with..They buffer quite a bit actually so let's see. What do you use? Yahoo me.

Chicago Goofy 01:15 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, mosquito, dont know which direction the spike head for, my concern is that if it goes against my bet, my stop would get caught...never think to gain this 15 pips spike with no hint.

Dallas GEP 01:13 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
RE: eur/jpy Well not exactly, I wanted to short from 136.55 but at the time I was fighting some eur/usd longs and I missed entry. Should have simply put ORDER in. I am REALLY pissed off about it too

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:10 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
China Yuah 00:40 GMT November 10, 2004// Good to see you posting! We need more Chinese posters. Welcome aboard friend.

Chicago Goofy//I see them on fxtrek's 1 minute 12 hour chart. They used to be very prominent on C M S demo charts...took fantastic pip raids off that..but friends who use that broker say they're not on the live chart unfortunately. Whatever, smoke 'em if ya got 'em..just buy dips and sell spikes. Easy money..makes you some 5-10 pips a whack.

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:08 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:06 GMT November 10, 2004

did you follow your eur/yen plan?

Dallas GEP 01:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
SMALL long on USD/CAD @ 1.1985, target 20 pips

london 00:58 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Wonder if Athens around would be good to have his view on Dollar

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:52 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
My reading for today:
EURUSD: Bearish, GBPUSD: Bullish, EURGBP: Bearish

TIA:-)

KL KL 00:49 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
locking in +1 pip of short at 1.8556 and let it run.....whichever way it wants...need to satisfy my grumbling stomach

KL KL 00:43 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd from 1.8538 at 1.8556 +18 is ok SAR or short here again!!

Syd 00:42 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Australian Sep Housing Finance Falls 0.6% Vs Aug

China Yuah 00:40 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   

Last chance to buy eur/usd below 1,30 and sell usd/jpy at 105 before year end---today----

Dallas GEP 00:38 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Know the feeling mpd44!!!

london 00:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
EU Believes Iran Is 5 To 6 Years From Atom Bomb
wsj. no wonder Israel are not happy

Dallas GEP 00:33 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
OK out at -12 on euro longs

Syd 00:31 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Cullen"s comments re not happy with strength cause a fall in the Kiwi this morning

Chicago Goofy 00:30 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
All experienced traders, any one can explain the frequent spike(10-20 pips) on NZD/USD 1 min chart these days?

KL KL 00:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
long gbpusd 1.8338...short term play

Sydney Ge11Ja 00:20 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Reasons to be short eur/yen part 3 - FY 1H Current Account surplus biggest ever in Japan

Syd 00:17 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
Fully prepared to act on FX Bk Korea says

Boston mpd004 00:09 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
censored, shoulda held for 15 more seconds, re-entered

Boston mpd004 00:06 GMT November 10, 2004 Reply   
out cable +5, but will be watching

 




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