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Forex Forum Archive for 11/13/2004

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Lagos styrax 15:56 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Blissful weekend to all!

Hong Kong Qindex 15:46 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 12:43 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
may weekly r+s

1.2897 1.3071

1.1613 1.1798

Global-View Research 12:14 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Dollar faces fresh lows (INVESTICA Ltd)

The dollar will continue to be undermined by fears over the current account deficit and there will be concerns that the budget deficit will not be tackled by the administration. The most recent growth indicators have offered support to the US currency and there will be expectations that US Federal Reserve interest rates increases will continue. Any increase in US rates to above the 2.0% level would discourage dollar selling to some extent. It is doubtful whether these dollar positive factors will be enough to prevent fresh record dollar lows against the Euro, especially with persistent negative dollar sentiment. .. See full update in our Research Section CLICK HERE

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 11:41 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
eur

1.2940 1.3006



may work may not

Hong Kong Qindex 10:58 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Singapore FI 11:36 GMT November 12, 2004
Qindex may i asked for ur view in GBPJPY ps


GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

HK [email protected] 10:45 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Gold has to be observed from two points of view.

1) The market price, as fixed by contracts and...

2) The physical market side:

Gold demand drops due to high prices

Press Trust of India / New Delhi November 13, 2004



Normally gold attracts heavy demand during Diwali as it is considered auspicious to buy gold during the festival of light and around 400-500 kilos of the metal was bought between August and November.

However, this time, the demand for gold is 20 to 25% less than the normal demand as high prices forced many people, mainly from the middle-income group, to postpone their purchases, market sources said.

Though people expect a sharp fall in prices once Diwali is over, dealers said unless there is a fall in the global prices, the domestic prices will remain high.

In the global market, gold had touched a 16-year high of $436.20/ounce on Wednesday after a steep fall in the dollar against the euro.
-----------------------------------------------------------


What we know is, that when demand drops(and I believe this time all over the world) by 20% to 25%
The price is not suppose to go up.

Always watch for a correction as producers and bullion holders may hedge their stuff in their warehouses which they can't sell anymore in the open physical market.

The arguments of the Fallujah_battle and increase in Middle East uncertainty as adding to the price buoyancy are weak and can't hold water as they are not new to the markets.
------------------------------------------------------------

Hong Kong Qindex 09:19 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY & EUR/USD  Weekly Cycle Analyses. Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

sofia anmart 07:43 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
anmart sofia 14:59 GMT On November 5, 2004 we said:
DJIA -10 320. next target 10 600.

HK [email protected] 04:22 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Euro can still pull up to 1.3030/40.
If you want to see the wrath of the central banks you may begin to expect It at that exhaustive level.
A later pullback to price range of 1.2250/1.2350 may not surprise.

Gold makes the last efforts to reach it's 445 famous target, it is only a Q. if it can make it within this run.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:57 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 00:52 GMT November 13, 2004

Thanks Ig. I understood what you said earlier so no problems at all.

gl for your trades next week and everyone else's.

TIA:-)

L.A. Igrok 00:52 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB/// Too many typos. Here is what I wanted to say:

"This time the probability for the diamond to be a continuation pattern is bigger than usually. There is a number of reasons including the fact that EUR/USD just changed the main move of the year and still has enough room (potentially 300+ pips) on the upside in order to complete its average yearly range. Besides I have never seen a trend that would end up on its own and without CB intervention. "

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:50 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 00:46 GMT November 13, 2004
Thanks, appreciate your view. gl.

L.A. Igrok 00:46 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB/// This time the probability for the dimond to be a continuation pattern is bigger than usually. There are number of reasons including the fact that EUR/USD just changed the main move of the year and still has a room on the upside in order to complete at least the monimal yearly range average if not an average one. Besides I have never seen a trend that would end up on its own without CB intervention.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:34 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 00:14 GMT November 13, 2004
didnt ask you to predict. it's well known diamonds can have up and down moves both but diamonds are majorly found around top formations so wanted to ask if you had any added comment on your earlier post...anyway good luck with your trades.

TIA:-)

L.A. Igrok 00:14 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB /// I think I just said that. No need to predict. I could be traded inside the formation till broken and then follow the break out.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:04 GMT November 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 23:55 GMT November 12, 2004
what would your comment be in relation to your diamond formation as you say on eurusd? bear bull?

TIA:-)

 




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