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Forex Forum Archive for 11/16/2004

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Gen dk 23:54 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 23:47 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
dc CB Asia market alway unpredictable , go to see what happens when they have all had their coffee break

dc CB 23:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Syd - copper. Copper's seasonality - lows come in december then rallies into spring

Syd 23:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Copper in notable fall on LME as speculators sold amid talk of China-government sale. In the next three to four weeks we will see further long liquidation," says analyst

ldn 23:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK (AP)--Saddam Hussein diverted money from the U.N. oil-for-food program to pay millions of dollars to families of Palestinian suicide bombers who carried out attacks on Israel, say congressional investigators who uncovered evidence of the money trail. The former Iraqi president tapped secret bank accounts in Jordan - where he collected bribes from foreign companies and individuals doing illicit business under the humanitarian program - to reward the families with up to $25,000 each, investigators told The Associated Press.

ldn 23:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD lower after resilience in face of USD-positive TCI portfolio inflows, PPI data overnight.

YVR TTT 23:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Scavenging merchant bankers grab any afval.


http://www.mineweb.net/sections/mining_finance/391136.htm

Sydney Ge11Ja 22:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Morning all, still looking for lower eur/yen and indeed all yen crosses, the market is expressing its weak usd view via eur/usd which will get nervous ahead of w/e meeting. Japan yesterday said no impact on Japan from forex so looking for eur/usd lower and usd/yen to trade sideways. Even if I am wrong on individuals I still feel YEN will rise greater than EUR. My target on eur/yen is 134.55 first stop and then potentially 130.00. Asia is the cause of US trade problems not Europe.
Aud and NZD look wrong up here but hard to trade against, maybe look for more commodity action to show the way.

GL n GT

Sydney 22:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Australian Dollar May Fall Versus Yen as Uridashi Sales Wane
``Instead of putting money into Australian dollar bonds, Japanese investors are putting money'' into local stocks and bonds, said Akira Takei, 42, who helps manage about $9.1 billion at Fuji Investment Management Co. in Tokyo. Australia's currency ``will head south against the yen
``Japanese people here were getting weekly phone calls from their banks trying to sell them Australian dollar-denominated product,'' said Jake Moore, a currency strategist at Barclays Capital Inc. in Tokyo ``It was a huge thing for small investors in 2003, but now there's much less appetite for Aussie- denominated product from Japan.''

Australia's dollar will fall to 77 yen in the next three months because of declining demand for Uridashi and as Japanese growth accelerates, Moore said.
Ito, 51, said demand for the securities is dwindling because Japanese investors don't see potential for the Australian dollar to appreciate further against the yen.

``Investors are a little scared with the Australian dollar at current levels,'' Ito said in an interview from his office in Sydney. ``Japanese money going into Australian-dollar Uridashi seems to depend on currency expectations from now on.'' He declined to provide a forecast on the currency.
Australian dollar-denominated Uridashi issuance absorbed about 50 percent of Australia's A$48 billion current account deficit last year, Westpac's chief currency strategist Robert Rennie said. The deficit in the current account, the broadest measure of trade because it includes investments, is equivalent to 5.7 percent of the nation's gross domestic product, meaning the economy needs to attract about A$130 million a day to maintain the value of the currency, based on Bloomberg calculations. The U.S. current account gap is also equal to 5.7 percent of the economy.
``Japanese retail demand matters for the Australian dollar,'' said Sydney-based Rennie. ``Mum and Dad Japanese investors are consuming less and less of Australia's current- account deficit.''

Westpac.

Livingston nh 22:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
YVR TTT - large quantities of salt required with all government statistics

Ldn 22:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dollar fall overdone?


YVR TTT 22:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 21:49 GMT November 16, 2004

I think someone is greasing the numbers!

Sydney 22:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BOJ Will Probably Keep Rates at Zero as Growth Ebbs, Yen Gains
Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Japan will probably keep interest rates at almost zero while pumping cash into the world's second-largest economy as growth slows and a stronger yen threatens to sap corporate profits, economists
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10001063&sid=afWgg.t74z9I&refer=movers_by_index

Ldn 21:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 21 thanks for that, just dont know where this chap was coming from with his statement but we seemed to have aired it well on the forum

Livingston nh 21:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn --as %of GDP
2004 EU 12 has 2.9% deficit /// EU 15 has 2.7% deficit
Proj 2005 EU 12 has 2.5% deficit /// EU 15 has 2.4% deficit
Autumn 2004 report

Syd 21:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
RBA's Macfarlane relaxed about trends in wages growth, employment,suggest recent fall in unemployment rate, strong economic data not sufficient to bring forward higher interest rates. probably remain on hold .the risk of tightening abating in 2005 as the economy slows
censored

BEIRUT MK 21:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
today's action for eurusd is suspicious,so

close short eurusd avg 1.2972 at 1.2958
close short gbpjpy from 195.38 at 195.18

wait for a break of 1.2845 in eurusd to be in safe mode


Stockholm AGuy 21:30 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 21:24 GMT: "I'm out, good day."

How surprising.

Here's the correct answer for you anyway: none.

TG, I so wish you could stop proving over and over again that you are just quoting figures and terms which you do not understand and instead took the time to read at least one introductory book on economics. We would all stand to gain from that.



YVR TTT 21:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GDP per capita and sensitivity to budget deficits?

The rise in real-estate"VALUES"

SanFrancisco TG 21:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Let me try to put this in simple terms. If an old, rigid, cranky old lady is trying to run with a weight on her foot against a flexible high performing athlete with the same weight on his/her foot, who do you think is in better shape?

I'm out, good day.

Stockholm AGuy 21:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 21:04 GMT:

TG, please enlighten us: what's the connection between relative levels of GDP per capita and sensitivity to budget deficits?

Stockholm AGuy 21:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 20:58 GMT: "strange hearing analyst saying the EU was greater than the US, and the economy in the US a lot stronger"

He was probably talking about other things. I guess GDP/capita, which is indeed significantly higher in the US, especially after the latest EU enlargement round. (But the new EU countries are not in the EZ yet.)

"he didnt see the Dollar falling further , as the reason market using as excuse is a weak one"

I sure hope he is right, because no matter what TG says, the strain on European exporters is far from "nominal". But I am not optimistic.

SanFrancisco TG 21:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Finally, considering (among other things) the study by renowned Swedish think tank Timbro, where it found U.S. GDP per capita was a whopping 32% higher than the EU average in 2000, doing the math is simmple to see there is a much more dramatic effect on the economy from a 3% deficit in the EU than the US.

SanFrancisco TG 21:01 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I would add that I am encouraged bu the EU allowing market forces to dictate the rebalancing of the USD, which in the end benefits the global economy. The actual strain on the EU economy I believe is nominal. The next step would be to institute the kind of reforms Schroeder has called for, but so far old Europe has smashed the idea demonstratively.

Ldn 20:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy strange hearing analyst saying the EU was greater than the US, and the economy in the US a lot stronger - he didnt see the Dollar falling further , as the reason market using as excuse is a weak one.

SanFrancisco TG 20:57 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Although the US 2004 deficit would be a record in nominal dollars, it would represent a smaller share of the economy--4.2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) per the US Congressional Budget Office --than the deficits recorded in the mid-1980s and early 1990s.

For the 10 years from 2005 through 2014, CBO projects that current policies would produce a cumulative deficit of $1.9 trillion, or 1.3 percent of total GDP over that period.

There are also fundamental structural differences in what a deficit means to the EU economy vs the US economy, with the latter having certain advantages, fleximility among them.

Sydney gvm 20:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies thks mate GL/GT

Syd 20:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
As the market get closer to the next FED meeting and another quarter point hike is in the offering , many will have less appetite to hold long Euro , with the Dollar slipping lower and Europe exports suffering , the Europeans wont be able to raise rates any time soon , would imagine a few with juicy profits being taken off the table.

YVR TTT 20:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
A close of 1.2995 on the weekly is needed for any rice in EURO.

Stockholm AGuy 20:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 20:43 GMT:

The EZ's stability pact prohibits deficits over 3%. The larger EZ countries, and some smaller ones (notably Greece) are a bit over that level. The US is closer to 6%.

London. 20:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
ABIDJAN, Ivory Coast (AP)--Ivory Coast's embattled leader sounded one of the first conciliatory notes Tuesday in his West African nation's devastating confrontation with its former colonial ruler, declaring: "We are not at war with France."

Looks like france have a few problems of its own now doesnt it

Syd 20:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Canada's Goodale is on the wires now saying C$ uncertainty a significant risk to growth

Ldn 20:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
nh annual deficit as % of GDP

Livingston nh 20:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - annual deficit as % of GDP or total debt? // absolute values or % of GDP? // Italy debt over 100%, France and Germany mid to high 60%

Ldn 20:35 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Watching CNBC interview can anyone clarify is the EU deficit greater than that of the USA .

Tallinn viies 20:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 20:02 GMT - as I remember (dont have oil charts at home) 45,45 was 50% retratcement from weekly charts.
weekly charts not yet oversold. daily oversold and stochastic crossed higher from oversold levels. now my first trigger is previous day high. if taken out, going with the flow up. stop under last day low.
at the moment long small portion, will add near 45,45. no stop at the moment. sold out half of my long near yesterday high at 47,30.
from fundamental point of view tommorows stock numbers may come again higher than expected. reaction depens very much of the level we have moved before the numbers. personally I hope we are near 47,4 to sell :)

Bruxville Jim 20:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
TG// A substantial linguistical value to me... LioLi (love it or leave it). Good trades.

Gen dk 20:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney gvm 20:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 17:00 my system is short CLZ4 from 47.64. Stop @ breakeven. Do you have any downside targets? I see Qindex mentioned possiblities of a 40 handle - smells to me like we might have a counter trend rally coming up before any more downside...what do you think?

SanFrancisco TG 20:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
How was that a great article? I got no trade value or economic condition from it. A shallow, misguided political attack on leaders of state perhaps, but nothing of any weight.

Bruxville Jim 19:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 19:27 GMT // Great article. Thanks.

Chicago Irish 19:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
All that coming from someone who is proud to be a "sooner"?

hk revdax 19:30 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 19:27//kINDLY MOVE THIS TO THE 'DEMAND' FORUM. TIA

OK SZ 19:27 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
we should demand that our leaders understand the proper use of the English language. Shame on them both.

LONDON (Reuters) - The English language is being destroyed by a "deadly virus of management speak" which has infected the mouths and minds of politicians like Tony Blair (news - web sites) and George W. Bush, a leading UK journalist said Monday.


AFP/File Photo



The British Prime Minister and his ally the U.S. President are mangling the language, destroying its meaning by avoiding the use of verbs, twisting nouns into verbs, and endlessly repeating phrases until they become "zombified."


"It's deeply depressing," says John Humphrys, one of Britain's leading political journalists and the author of a new book, "Lost for Words," about the demise of the language.


Humphys' book laments the growth of "cliched, dumbed-down, inflated and bogus management-speak" which he says now passes for English.


In particular he criticizes political leaders for being sucked into using meaningless phrases and hackneyed mantras to disguise policies or protect themselves from accountability.


Humphrys has been a journalist for 45 years and in his current post as a presenter on BBC radio's news and current affairs program "Today," he regularly interviews world leaders.


"The whole essence of a good lively democracy is that one has good lively argument," he told Reuters in an interview. "But this kind of language kills real debate."


"And nobody is prepared to stand up and say: 'what does that mean?' because the assumption is made that if you don't know what it means then there is something wrong with you."


MASTER OF MANIPULATION


Humphrys says the original culprits in the destruction of English are "business gurus who are trying to sell their own particular theories and have invented their own ridiculous phrases and vocabulary to accompany those theories."


But for him the more sinister development is that such language has taken root in political discourse.


Humphrys picks on Bush -- who once famously used the word "misunderestimate" -- and pokes fun at him as someone who "often speaks as though English were his second language."


He also labels the U.S. leader a "master of the language of political manipulation" and accuses him of sweeping aside all the nuances of notions like freedom, truth and democracy and instead firing the words out like "dum-dum bullets."


"Repetition has taken them beyond cliche," Humphrys writes. "They have become zombified words whose meaning is no longer the point."


Blair, too, is singled out as a king of language corruption.


Humphrys notes Blair's apparent fear of verbs and mocks his speeches, which are peppered with verbless phrases like "new challenges, new ideas," or "for our young people, a brighter future" and "the age of achievement, at home and abroad."


By using this technique, Humphrys says, Blair is simply evading responsibility.





"The point about verbs is that they commit the speaker," he writes. "Verbs cement sentences to their meaning so it's not surprising that politicians tend to mistrust them."

Humphrys also blames institutions like the European Union (news - web sites) and the world's media for the decline in standards of English.

He laments the inclusion of such words as "pertannually" in the proposed EU constitution -- and despairs that when concerns were raised, the word was replaced with "insubdurience."

He urges the public, and journalists in particular, to reject meaningless phrases and to demand they are explained.

"When you get enough people pointing it out, the public starts to spot what is going on," he says. "That's why the battle has to be fought."

"We should expect -- and should demand -- that when people are setting out policies or trying to persuade us of something, they engage in proper debate and don't simply give us a set of unchallengeable propositions."







GA TJ 19:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 19:00 GMT November 16, 2004

Would that be before or after the US Banking Implosion? Sounds like it would be a great Real Estate buying opportunity. The sky is falling, the sky is falling..... head for the fallout shelters!!!!

SanFrancisco TG 19:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
como- should I tell my American family head to the bread line next week in anticipation?

perrie como 18:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I do trade best when not fooled by the misleading TV and financial newspapers, which in history were always at least one day too late to understand the double bubble crash has yet to come

Helsinki iw 18:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Well, young people going home to eat at mummy`s table might be a sign of falling spending? Then again there´s harder data to digest around.

SanFrancisco TG 18:47 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AAA expects Thanksgiving travel to be highest in 5 years. Sign of stable consumer spending?

perrie como 18:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
This well matches some smart articles I did received this summer and something I was waiting since many years too as to me, the only solution to re-equilibrate the society from those "marketing-sales-costs cutting" policies/mentalities I had more than enough!

tks

http://yahoo.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=SGPFJC0YA5XOGCRBAEKSFEY?type=businessNews&storyID=6830676


By Tim Ahmann
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices shot up 1.7 percent last month, the biggest gain in nearly 15 years and well above expectations, as energy costs skyrocketed and food prices surged, a government report showed on Tuesday.

MEDAN FATGUY 18:42 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 18:22 GMT November 16, 2004
The Arabian sold oil change to buy gold.

NewYork frankie 18:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
i'm outta here for t'day. small profit on euro and b/e on cable.
"I'll be back"

berlin otto 18:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ok, boys and girls, I go away
I am waiting gbpusd for 1,8600 tommorow
my transaction is good
on the top +30 pips today
but
tommorow morning or afternoon +100 pips
Good luck.
Berlin in the dark is very nice town.

Ldn 18:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Crude oil futures were moderately lower Tuesday afternoon, as early buying gave way to a wave of selling.

Ldn 18:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KL KL
sorry no

KL KL 18:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn, you into FTSE as well? any views there? or just commodity metals...

TelAviv DOR 18:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
HI VIIES , can you tell us pls where , in your opinion , those corporates will enter to cover their longs in $ ?

Ldn 18:06 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Prices on the London Metal Exchange contracts ended
lower Tuesday on the previous late kerb after copper set the tone, with speculative selling weighing down prices to 11-day lows in Asian hours. Rumors about a Chinese-government sale saw copper prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange plunge limit-down. In the next three to four weeks we will see further long liquidation before the end of the year at probably even smaller volumes," provided that the dollar does not stage a significant recovery, he added. Three-month aluminum prices also fell Tuesday, testing support at $1,780/ton, but the metal did not fall as substantially as copper.

KL KL 18:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
out eurjpy -1 ....better go back to sleep and attack in Asian session...time to just forget about the day

Ldn 17:54 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Interest Rate Spreads widening to USD"s advantage

Dallas GEP 17:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Thanks JIM

Bruxville Jim 14:40 GMT November 16, 2004
Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT // Nice r/r :)

Out for now back later

SanFrancisco TG 17:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Viies - Good point. I've also been hitting futures lately when I dont like the "stuck in the mud" activity.

Tallinn viies 17:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
when I worked for the bank as a sales manager, there was one sure thing that corporate hedgers came out from the dark when october was over (just due their budget got ready I guess)
most of them started to cover their long dollars with forwards in the last quarter. heard most of them still waiting for the better levels....
I think it is same everywhere. so, enough dollar sellers on rallies if this correction should happen. if not they forced to sell here or at levels. most of the corporates try to do the job before first Q is over

KL KL 17:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
join you KEVIN , short eurjpy at 137.72

berlin otto 17:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 16:39 GMT November 16, 2004
Something wake me up!

Be patient! The game is not over. Target 1,8600

Antwerp Tom 17:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Viies, thanks for yr comments. After longing €/$ for several days, shorted it now fwiw. Somehow this 1.30 seems to difficult to take now. Decided for myself: if today we don't see 1.3030, i'm out of there. But it ain't over yet, maybe it will happen later tonight, though i doubt it :-) GL GT

Tallinn viies 17:07 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
saint louis 16:59 GMT - ooolrite. if you want my reason then Im euro buyer because at the moment we stand exactly at level where this year started!
good enough`?

1,3000 and 1,1750 extremes this year. a bit too tiny range if we check the history. I would say 15-20% between extremes more likely per year. also we are on strong uptrend, also first and last quaters of the year gives biggest moves most of the time. also many many things, no time to put them up here but they are out there :)

Antwerp Tom 17:01 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
THX Jim, I see even Viies goes JoJo...LOL

hk ab 17:01 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, viies, RF//Gold is knocking 400 USD door.

Tallinn viies 17:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
yes tom Im here. swinging around.

lately have been extremly busy on oil markets.
there are lot more possibilities at the moment than fighting here with central banks.

but I guess after G-20 decides who must help US out this extremely huge deficit (Europe alone or with Asia together) then we have clearer picture again.
personally I think we may see 1,25-1,27 before 1,35 and higher. lets see

saint louis 16:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
for all those who state when they take a position here... can we please advise WHY we take the open position... I would like to see the reason, such as break of S/R or macd trend or whatever.... its hard to see how good anyone here is if we just randomly throw out entries and exits without a reason for the trade. We all have the reason, we not share it for newbies especially. I am not saying I always show the reason either.. will work on it....

Bruxville Jim 16:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom//
"Tallinn viies 08:51 GMT November 16, 2004
good day all
euro keeps bouncing up.
turned my short euro to long now.
will add at 1,2920/25 level.
target 1,3075/80
fwiw"

My Northern Baltic neighbour is still active enough:)

GER ad 16:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa 16:26
EUR/JPY,
ECB is talking but BOJ could intervene to some point (already is suspicious how 105.00/20 USD/JPY still holding after so many assaults) so a break of 137.80 could bring your number.
But IMHO we should see at least 136.20 first again.
Under 136 look for 135.40/50.
GT & GL

Tallinn viies 16:54 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
PAR 16:44 GMT November 16 - sorry mate, you probably havnt heard oil almost 20% down from the top fwiw
suggesting buy it here

HK Kevin 16:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Judging from the price actions of EUR/JPY and EUR/GBP, it seems EUR still lack of stength to broke 1.30.
NYC SA, EUR/JPY is a sell around 136.70/80, tight stop with initial t/p 135.80, below that means 135.20

SanFrancisco TG 16:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
PAR - When did anemic inflation for the first time in 4 years become a "losing battle"? I think we're ok, just need to employ the checks and balances.

Antwerp Tom 16:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
THX Islander, glad to hear he's still around.

PAR 16:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Looks like Greenspan is loosing battle against inflation with all commodities at multi year highs and PPI sky high.

st. pete islander 16:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OMIL is working on a revamp of his system and doing some back testing ... from what he told me .. won't be around much until the end of the year. gt

Antwerp Tom 16:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Anybody know what happened to OMIL and Viies, miss their comments...

Dallas Mauricio 16:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Something wake me up!

st. pete islander 16:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
UAE 16:31 GMT November 16, 2004

As in UAE Oil Man, by chance?

UAE 16:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
HI ALL

nyc sa 16:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
sorry meant euro/yen .

nyc sa 16:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Anyone trading $/yen ? my bank is having it as trade of the week with a target of 1.4080 ? anyone sees it up ? any comments please ? I am short . thnx .

River Falls_USA_ PB 16:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas 16:22
rien

PAR 16:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Fannie loosing 9 billion dollar.

Vilnius georgas 16:23 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas 16:17 GMT
how's going mate ?

Kaunas 16:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 16:20 GMT November 16, 2004

River Falls_USA_ PB 16:19 GMT November 16, 2004


Merci.

Antwerp Tom 16:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
1.2997 GL GT

River Falls_USA_ PB 16:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas 16:17 GMT November 16, 2004 ///1.2997

Kaunas 16:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
What was EUR/USD high today (buy)?

OK SZ 15:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
auburn is good, but not good enough. don't let espn influence you on this. Mark May is a complete idiot and trev alberts is a joke. If we wanted to see the 2 best teams play for the title it should be auburn vs oklahoma. Look at the complete records of all 3 and usc does not come close to these 2. sorry for not being trade related..gl, gt all

berlin otto 15:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Frankie, NY

uptrend to 1,8600
today or tommorow morning

Dallas Mauricio 15:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Can you elaborate on FNM disaster please? TIA

PAR 15:46 GMT November 16, 2004
Good TIC not enough to help dollar<. Market now focused on stocks with FNM disaster;

Bruxville Jim 15:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Judging from comments on this board - fishes have been building and are still building euro shorts. Therefore, the path of least resistance might appear to be UP...

Oilman's Flash clip about sharks might soon be SO relevant again:
http://forex-music.port5.com/

OK, a fresh euro high is needed in advance...

Dallas Mauricio 15:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
War Eagle!!!!

ny amc 15:46 GMT November 16, 2004
OK...SZ.....watch out for Auburn

NewYork frankie 15:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Sold Euro at 1.2978 for 50pips and Cable 1.8532 again 50 pips. Stops at today's highs.

ny amc 15:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK...SZ.....watch out for Auburn

PAR 15:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Good TIC not enough to help dollar<. Market now focused on stocks with FNM disaster;

perrie como 15:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
God Bless the Trends now please

Dallas Mauricio 15:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I really hope you're right & I respect your consistent positive comments on this board.

Budapest GH 15:30 GMT November 16, 2004
Otto, I am with you. I also beleive it can turn out to be a nice trade.... trail stop don't put a profit stop. Market may broke resistance and never look back.

Dallas Mauricio 15:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I'm long cable from 1.8517 myself. This might br the highest it goes now (1.8534).

berlin otto 15:13 GMT November 16, 2004
Hi,
What is going on with cable?
I bought gbpusd 1,8515
target 1,8600
what do you think

Budapest GH 15:30 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Otto, I am with you. I also beleive it can turn out to be a nice trade.... trail stop don't put a profit stop. Market may broke resistance and never look back.

GA TJ 15:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 15:12 GMT November 16, 2004

War Damm Eagle. Nuff Said!!

hong kong nt 15:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KL -- key fibo res of Hang Seng index at 14500, you may consider put option at said level, if seem in coming weeks...

Sydney 15:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
441.20

manila stubbs 15:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
i see. i guess mine must be the one thats wrong.

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
that is COMEX DEC 440 1/2

berlin otto 15:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
What is going on with cable?
I bought gbpusd 1,8515
target 1,8600
what do you think

OK SZ 15:12 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
there are 3 dominating football teams in the country, New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers and the Oklahoma Sooners:)

Sydney 15:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
440.50

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I have gold printing at a high so far today at 440 1/2

manila stubbs 15:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
might be a fluke. 439.60 in mine

Dallas Mauricio 15:07 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Eagles should be in the Super Bowl.

Bruxville Jim 15:05 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
gold touched 440

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas M, I don't even think Deion Sanders could have covered a receiver EVEN in his prime for 14 seconds!!!! And YES, they are certainly NOT GOOD.

GOES B747 15:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
sell google, make money!!

gt all

Dallas GEP 15:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK out on Aussie now...hit trailing stop at +15

GOES B747 14:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
River Falls_USA_ PB 14:56 GMT November 16, 2004

yes, very-very-very-very quick !!!
R&B are counting on Irani oil for free.

gt all

Dallas Mauricio 14:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The Cowboys still stink!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys

River Falls_USA_ PB 14:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 14:49 GMT November 16, 2004///did the Israeli currency strengthen quickly? I don't follow the cross daily...and yes, this is all unfortunate. I am thinking about calling Valdez and asking if he has an extra bunk. GT

texas(jksn.) pnb 14:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
so hows it going everyone.

TIA:-)

GOES B747 14:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
River Falls_USA_ PB 14:43 GMT November 16, 2004

mess, a huge mess; R&B (Rice & Bush) will allow things to roll towards the worst for man's kind.
the signal is clear "Large Scale Military Operation"

gt all

perrie como 14:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The US$ might show some strenght, but seems not against all. Would also remind that the risk of other round of dollar negative squeezes is still present.

Maybe a clearer picture in some 1 - 2 weeks. Casualties are still one of main factors in such markets.

Also in Cuyahoga County - Ohio - 93,000 Extra Votes. Reminds of Orwell's writings wd say.

g/l

River Falls_USA_ PB 14:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 14:39 GMT November 16, 2004 ///what are schekels telling us? TIA

Bruxville Jim 14:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT // Nice r/r :)

GOES B747 14:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
MK, being in Beirut is not good for the moment.
take a shelter, “Jaleb Alawi” made sure that the progress of the last few years will wipe in minutes…be careful and take care.
May take USD and XAU up at the same time.

imo, Israeli Shekel's move of today signals about something very big just around the corner.

gt to you & all

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
6690 target intially on AUSSIE stop is now at 7723 to lock in 15 pips

GA TJ 14:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I think this 30 min bar might show the near term direction. Q is how much back filling from the previous 30 mins. If it is limited then 1.3010 probably will not be seen today. If that happens then (Do I Dare Think It LOL) it will increase the likelyhood of a correction.

BEIRUT MK 14:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Goes, Yes.

hk m 14:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:18 - what is your target on aussie?

BEIRUT MK 14:33 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
short gbpjpy at 195.38 stop 197.90 target 194

GOES B747 14:32 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
MK, are you in Beirut now?

BEIRUT MK 14:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
will add more eurusd shorts on a break of 1.2845
will add more usdchf long on a break of 1.1825

hk mom 14:27 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Listen to gecko, wear diamonds.

Chicago CME 14:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
here come the s/t model funds.....

Dallas GEP 14:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Euro shorts limited out

Dallas Mauricio 14:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Cable looks like it is heading towards 1.8474.

perrie como 14:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Personally am waiting to see the Ohio votes recount to get trough. Seems that democracy rules written 50-60 years ago have to be rewritten to fit the new mediatic democracy we are living with.


g/l

gold coast martin 14:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
A POINT OF NOTE...funds will commence to exit their dollar positions PROGRESSIVELY with the most noticeable results towards the end of the month....

gold coast martin 14:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 14:14 GMT November 16, 2004
LOL....My system had a technical correction to 12720 with a timeframe of 2 fridays ago...unfortunately, the correction will come when the funds that have been playing with oil previously and got out recently, are currently doing the same to the dollar...expect the funds to start exiting towards the end of the month hence providing the market with a long awaited correction back to 12720 initially....g/t

Dallas GEP 14:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Well 7738 short on AUSSIE got executed.

GA TJ 14:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Chicago CME 14:10 GMT November 16, 2004

I have been thinking EURUSD correction for 2 weeks. I know I will be right but I wonder when. LOL

Dublin Flip 14:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I was just having a bit of laugh actually mate.
You could be right of course though. Currently the market seems reluctant to sell dollar through the major levels 1.30, 105 and 1.86. The longer we sit here marking time the more people's positions get pared back and species reshort for another attempt.
best of luck....

GOES B747 14:12 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
sharks are moving down, eating all fishes during the move towards the ground (1.2660/1.2720)

gt all

hk mom 14:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
can't help to say too many small fishes want to join the sharks for 1.35 JIMVHO

Chicago CME 14:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
EUR fails to make new highs, and $/CAD fails to make new lows. The tide turns again. here we go.,,,

HK Kevin 14:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, sell EUR is a tough game. Anyway, just long USD/CHF at 1.1732.

GOES B747 14:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
ab & flip,

if I was a EUR bull, I would wait 3-4 weeks as the move (then) will catch the 'defense' very sleepy mood.

I am short with s/l @ 1.3022

gt all

Chicago CME 14:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Japan's holding of UST's fell very slightly and China's increased slightly.

PAR 14:07 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
TIC 63.4. Private up to 47.7B from 37.4 Billion. Public dollar demand down. Normally dollar positive but with Fannie May loosing $ 9 billion I am not sure.

melbourne farmacia 14:06 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
63.4b

Chicago CME 14:06 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
net buys of US securities $63.4bn for Sep.....and dollar unable to rally. Forget the number...watch the reaction.

hk mom 14:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
sell some euro 1.2990. This is my second entry.

Los Angeles ss 14:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
what was the tic number?

hk ab 14:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
747, very true.

Dublin Flip 14:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
How about the next 3/4 minutes-LOL

GOES B747 13:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: the moment of true arrived, if it will not break above 1.3010 within the next 3HRS; then we have to wait anoth 3-4 weeks.

gt all

Budapest GH 13:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
At this moment if I was forced to do something I wud rather sell the dollar, but I prefer to wait and see, as seemingly there is nothing happening. Yesterday short dollar DTs were scalped and the market is in equilibrum, at the very same level, from where yesterday's dollar strengh developed. Daily higher lows are very alarming against sell tactic for today, as percive the market gathering force to go futher in direction of the daily trend.

PAR 13:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
After these PPI figures we can conclude that Greenspan won his battle against DEFLATION ?

sg tpe 13:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dallas Mauricio. hope a higher than 60bn net inflow then

Dallas Mauricio 13:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Remember the TIC Data in 25 minutes.

Dallas Mauricio 13:35 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Not yet.

sg tpe 13:32 GMT November 16, 2004
anybody selling cable here??



Global-View GVI 13:33 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GVI 13:31 GMT November 16, 2004
Producer Price Indexes -- October 2004

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today that the seasonally adjusted Producer Price Index for Finished Goods advanced 1.7 percent in October. This gain followed a 0.1- percent rise in September and a 0.1-percent decrease in August. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by the manufacturers of intermediate goods went up 0.9 percent, after increasing 0.1 percent in the prior month. The index for crude materials turned up 4.3 percent in October, compared with a decline of 4.2 percent in September.

sg tpe 13:32 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
anybody selling cable here??

Budapest GH 13:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
If one is able to sell higher n higher, then it is definitly an uptrend...but selleing againt the trend is not very wise.

Bruxville Jim 13:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 11:59 GMT // Some would call such price action an "uptrend"... Sell higher 'n' higher...

Budapest GH 13:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Pippirate - That is said story...I take the opportunity to warn all, only to give power of attorney on trade execution on the a/c, so that can't happen. I am also surprised to hear, bc most of the brokerage companies only allow the a/c owner to give money transfer instructions and only to his/her name. How cud have that happen than????

JHB CDB 12:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Thank You GEP, I'll make a note of that

Dallas GEP 12:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
CDB. lately shorting or longing at strong support or resistance levels has been working better than traditional indicators PLUS 4 hout MA is 7694 so we should see that again short term

JHB CDB 12:46 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

What signal did you get for this position? If you don't mind explaining?

Dallas GEP 12:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK Order waiting on AUSSIE short @ 7738.

GOES B747 12:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
From "the privateer" www.the-privateer.com:

"The US government is so flat broke that it must raise its debt ceiling by November 18 or stop many
normal government functions because they will have no cash. The Treasury has already said that due to
debt limit constraints, it does not have the capacity to settle a four-week bill auction scheduled to be held
on November 16. The lame duck Congress returns on November 16. It has two days in which to act."

"In effect, the US economy is being artificially held up by US Treasury borrowing, and spending that
borrowed money into the US economy, in the process “boosting” the US GDP. The Labor Department
reported that the US labour market snapped out of its summer lull to add 337,000 new jobs in October,
the biggest increase since March. 71,000 of these jobs were new jobs in all levels of government. All the
rest were in services. US Manufacturers shed 5,000 jobs in October - and that’s where it matters."


gt all

EDINBURGH RP 12:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Thank you for removing BAHRAIN from site. He lowers the whole tone....

Dallas Mauricio 11:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
This market is like watching paint dry again!

hk ab 11:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp was a false break again?

Global-View 11:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ldn pm - we will repeat this once again. Please leave the Forex Forum open for market flow. You can ask non-market questions on the Help Forum and in this case, the Financial Forum. This is also to let you know we will be removing your post.

Budapest Daniel 11:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia, so he has simply stolen your money?

Dallas Mauricio 11:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hi everybody!

Rivonia PipPirate 11:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Budapest GH 10:46 GMT Thx for your inquiry, but you are too late as I gave Cal/Sam access to my account already. Unfortunatly his mother died suddenly and he withdrew all the cash from my account to pay for the funeral (very expensive in Lagos I'm told), he has agreed to repay me someday if some other kind soul would give him access to their account.

Stockholm AGuy 11:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
PAR 11:24 GMT: "Belgium, the country with the highest taxes"

I wish. Check out http://www.nationmaster.com/graph-T/tax_tot_tax_as_of_gdp

Syd 11:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I have been using his and find it great


http://www.webroot.com/products/spysweeper/?rc=648&ac=adw04ss

Dallas GEP 11:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
THX PNB!!! FOCUS GUYS. DATA out in 2 hours USD has already gained a little

NYC 11:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
China c.bank says cooling policy at crucial stage
Tue Nov 16, 2004 05:26 AM ET
BEIJING, Nov 16 (Reuters) - China's central bank said on Tuesday that measures to cool the heated economy were at a crucial stage and that it would be monitoring prices carefully to prevent a rebound in investment.

The People's Bank of China also reiterated previous policy stances, saying it would maintain a stable monetary policy, keep the yuan currency basically stable, and steadily push ahead with interest rate reform.

Global-View 11:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
We will ask this one more time. If you want to discuss this further, please take it to the HELP FORUM and keepo the Forex Forum free for market flow.

PAR 11:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Reynders who is the finance minisister of Belgium, the country with the highest taxes and unemployment of the world and with more people employed by the government than in the former USSR ,is not exactly the rigth person to give advise to the US abouts Americas economic situation.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 11:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
as a constructive suggestion bahrain, try zipping all the file sinto one zip file and upload the 1 file at one time.

hope it helps
TIA:-)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 11:15 GMT November 16, 2004 ///
I'd rather use geo...I can't ftp all files at the same time.
Kenn I am sorry about how U feel right now...
this was not intended at all...
Many of the forum users open my page (No Prolblems so far)

Bris TW 11:15 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain maybe www.geocities.com would be a better host. It has popups but NO activeX controls needed.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 11:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
GEP. you did make those profits: congrats!

gl everyone. TIA:-)

Dallas GEP 11:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
PRIOR to US data annoucements here in just less than 2.5 hours , some of the USD bear positions should square out

gold coast martin 11:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
See HELP FORUM ON WHAT TO DOWNLOAD AND PERFORM SCAN ..

KL KL 11:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd 1.8543..I just cannot long any currency at the moment bcos of the obvious...lets see

Auckland 11:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin please do us favour and repeat web address with antyspyware (if I remember wery well you publiched same few days ago) I hope it will stop them...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 10:58 GMT November 16, 2004 ///
Thanks Man!! :)
Kenn= Strong words

Global-View 11:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Martin. Could you go to the Help Forum and explain in a little more detail what someone has to do to remove spyware. This way we can shift this discussion off the forex forum and have it in our archives for future reference.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
www.spyware-adware.net/ Yahoo-Anti-Spy.html

Gen dk 10:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Auckland 10:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain I'm not coming from "com" world... I just use computer and that's it but it's not too hard to keep computer up to date... and what i found as very interesting is that just small group of people is complaining and I can't remember well are they visiting this forum to cry for attention or to bring something good...

gold coast martin 10:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KENDALL 10:52 GMT November 16, 2004
The AVGvirus detection system classifies all cookies and spyware with a low propability as a virus....dont panic just install adware and remove the offending cookies.....and get back to what you got in here for.....TRADING.....G.T

Global-View 10:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kendall, email me with details of what happened and we will look into it.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
They might ban U guys for using such lang...
Might have to some risk reward system when U email JAy

KENDALL 10:54 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
if you install it as required to see the page, as I did in bona fide, thinking a "fellow" in the Forum will not something so wrong and illegal, you will install a TROJAN VIRUS.

TRY YOURSELF IF YOU DONT BELIEVE ME!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:54 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 10:52 GMT November 16, 2004 ///
Thanks!!

Bris TW 10:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Programs such as Adaware, Bulletproof Spyware remover and Spybot S&D will remove spyware.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
It is Not
I don't mind being banned from the forum OK.
If Your case is true.
what do you think Kenn...People look for hosts with virues while they trading?
Come on Man!!
I am sure nothing is wrong!!
Just do the check!!

KENDALL 10:52 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
and I can prove what I am saying. This is not a joke, this is a very serious matter!!

Bris TW 10:52 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KENDALL 10:48 GMT November 16

You seem to have some quite serious mental issues. Bahrain has no gain in putting a webpage based trojan so you can see his signals.

BTW it is not a trojan. It is spyware. The most it would do is change your homepage and this type of spyware does not even do that.

You have a choice to instal it or not on your first visit to the page. Just choose do not install.

KENDALL 10:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I BELIEVE YOU SHOULD BE BANED FROM THIS FORUM. YOU ARE NOT AN IDIOT YOU ARE A MOTHER F. YOU INFECTED MY COMPUTER WITH THA LINK THAT I FOLLOWED IN BONA FIDE. THIS IS ILLEGAL IS MOST CIVILIZED COUNTRIES.

THERE ARE NOT SPY SOFTWARE. STOP YOUR BULL. THERE ARE TROJAN HORSE VIRUS!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I am an Idiot not a Retard OK!!!...PLS!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 10:37 GMT November 16, 2004
Just spyware.... stop making noisy....

///
Yeah!!!...The above Person is Up to changes in Technology
U two ask for my email from Jay when he wakes Up!!!

Kaunas 10:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:37 GMT November 16, 2004

Will you shut up and get out?
Retard.

BEIRUT MK 10:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
now i will close , and see you at 1.2660eur and 1.2100 chf

Budapest GH 10:38 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The daily trend is still for USD weakness. But I still remain contrarian. I will try to long USD, after tide recedes, at levels close ti indicated (+/- 20 pips). Cable 1,86, EUR 1,305, JPY 104,50, CHF 1,1650, CAD 1,1850, aussie 0,78. Good luck.

Auckland 10:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Just spyware.... stop making noisy....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Send an email apology...both of U!!

BEIRUT MK 10:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
long usdchf at 1.1741 target 1.2100 stop 1.1200

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas 10:31 GMT November 16, 2004///
Not mine
The host...the cost of using!!!
That's all
are TV Commericials Virues for watching a game!!!
I think it's U guys that are a sleep!!

houston ken 10:35 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BEIRUT MK u better cover euro going up untill ny session is over .

KL KL 10:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
out short +1 pip , reshort 1.8540 out +2...come on timing timing

BEIRUT MK 10:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
stop on eurusd shorts at 1.35

BEIRUT MK 10:33 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
add short eurusd at 1.2982 still my target is 1.2660

Kaunas 10:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:28 GMT November 16, 2004

There is a spyware in that link.
Please stop this nonsence.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
add-on...are they virues?
Try That and Your anti virues will tell..they seem to be
U Both owe me an appolgy

Dallas GEP 10:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Took EURO short @ 1.2982

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KENDALL 10:19 GMT November 16, 2004
///
No Virues!!!
Man!!!
Just do the check PLS!!

KENDALL 10:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Unfortunately I cant post here a printout of my AVG antivirus working. So far there are 5 infected files thanks to Bahrain!! And he is so idiot or so MF to insist that there is not a virus!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:26 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Just do the archieves

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Look People
Just go Yahoo and type anti-spy
download and install
it's over...OK

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Look...Just check the archies OK
There was the same accusation before

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 10:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Zuerich 10:19

I DO NOT THINK SO

some times his post give help

Budapest Daniel 10:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, simply ignore them buddy...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Not True!!!!
No Virus!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas N 10:13 GMT November 16, 2004 ///
Hey I can see U're a newbie...Just don't round accusing people

KENDALL 10:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
YOU ARE A LIAR!! IS A F. BIG TROJAN VIRUS, ALREADY INFECTED MY PC IN 5 PARTS!! I BELIEVE THE ADMINISTRATORS SHOULD BAN YOU OF USE THIS FORUM. YOU ARE NOT AN IDIOR YOU ARE A MOTHER censored!!

Zuerich 10:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:16 GMT November 16, 2004

You are the most annoying and worthless person on the forum.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The Host did not me (They do that with non Idiots only)....Called Idiot's Trojen
Kenn...This is not a virus and will not harm Your PC
Just a spyware...The cost on people (Non Idiots only) to use the site

Kaunas N 10:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:11 GMT November 16, 2004

No, you are just a small anus who gives links with viruses.

KENDALL 10:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Why you did that????

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KENDALL 10:06 GMT November 16, 2004///
Yes...I am an Idiot.

KENDALL 10:06 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:37 GMT November 16, 2004
Cal//
What do u think of this persons methods...
He thinks he chart the future?
http://kalzayani.freewebsites.com/Charts.htm

THE ABOVE ADRESS REQUIRE A CONTROL THAT IS JUST A TROJAN VIRUS. BAHRAIN ARE YOU AN I D I O T OR WHAT?????

KL KL 10:05 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
in gbpusd short 1.8531

Budapest Daniel 10:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
i'm with you on eurgbp short dallas from .7014

Dallas GEP 10:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
OK seems to me AUSSIE setting up for nice short @ 7738 and eur/gbp short @ 7013

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 10:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BAHRAIN

1.5309-1.5383=/74/

74 pips too wide

20 or so make more sense

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT///
The levels are good anyways (top and bottom)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 09:51 GMT November 16, 200///
Very true...only if they happen at the exact time...
I think impossible

KL KL 09:52 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
unbelieveable - I just have no guts today to enter a position....so much movement so little action from my samurai trading...very angry now short gbpusd 1.8515...lockin in 3 pip now for start of angry day....haiya!!...sheeze that was it...ok wait. +3 is good

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 09:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips

it should like this

1.3124*1.1665 =1.5309

not as 1.3124*1.2004

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 09:45 GMT November 16, 2004
///
???

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 09:48 GMT November 16, 2004
///
I Think he logged Off...LOL

nyc jk 09:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
cal 09:32 GMT November 16, 2004
Partner Needed urgently.
Can you Open 2 $1000. accounts? Then i will show you free.

by my "mathematical calculations" that would cost such a dumb individual $2000, not free...............

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:47 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Saihat/
Timing...did I say when they will happen?
U did...Not me

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 09:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

Bahrain Within 10 Pips

EURUSD 1.3124 1.2889 Buy

USDCHF 1.2004 1.1665 Buy


EURCHF 1.5383 1.5184 Buy


IF 1.3124*1.2004= 1.5383 .....it give conformation

but it = 1.5754 not = 1.5383

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Is GVI working on Spam Guard Dudes?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:42 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Achu
I think most traders here will teach U how to trade

Babuyan Isl MGW 09:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hello everyone. has the UK data been released? figures from anyone please...

Rivonia PipPirate 09:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Sam...er Cal I am actually looking for a partner to run my account, I'm willing to pay 35% of the monthly profit, can you help? The luxuary of seeing you operate a demo account will be a big plus in your favour. Anxiously awaiting your reply.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Cal//
What do u think of this persons methods...
He thinks he chart the future?
http://kalzayani.freewebsites.com/Charts.htm

cal 09:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BAD trading indicators.

Indicators, indicators, indicators!
Many believe that knowing all the indicators offered with the normal charting software is the way to become a successful Trader. The fact is, Indicators are merely TOOLs to help us in devising a trading plan/ method. They are certainly not a substitute for the discipline and skill needed to execute the trading plan. Most professional traders/ investors usually employ just one or two indicators and that too of the simplest kind. Most of them adhere to the KISS (Keep it Simple, Stupid) principle.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 09:22 GMT November 16, 2004

Have Yahoo index for HK Property?

Syd 09:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hk m hi Expected some question and answers from the RBA , but nothing yet, best to keep an eye on the big Dollar. cheers

cal 09:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
this is done by openning less than 10 positions in a year, coupled with mathematical calculations offline to acieve that result. so it is 50% online, 50 % ofline

hk ab 09:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
jf//thanks for keeping an eye on my post :D
How are you? v. busy in the new area?

nt//what's your view on current hk property? tks.

Rivonia PipPirate 09:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
LOL CAL ACHU = LA SO///LAGOS SAM, new improved.

PAR 09:19 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Expect UK CPI +0.7%, +2.1 Y/Y.

tk jf 09:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
cal 09:12 GMT November 16, 2004
how many demo accts did u take u to achieve this remarkable achievement ?

Rivonia PipPirate 09:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
cal 09:12 GMT Blesk you Achu

slv sam 09:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD /
why not? technical?

hk m 09:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Syd 08:18 GMT :was there anything else that might affect the aussie? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:08 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Sort ordering in this way for today
http://kalzayani.freewebsites.com


Currency Short Long Trend
EURUSD 1.3124 1.2889 Buy
USDJPY 105.7509 103.7322 Sell
GBPUSD 1.8875 1.8381 Buy
USDCHF 1.2004 1.1665 Buy
EURCHF 1.5383 1.5184 Buy
AUDUSD 0.7821 0.7678 Buy
USDCAD 1.2180 1.1912 Buy
NZDUSD 0.7124 0.6946 Buy
EURGBP 0.7056 0.6967 Buy
EURJPY 136.9963 134.8084 Sell
GBPJPY 196.0505 191.9677 Sell
CHFJPY 90.0179 87.8178 Sell
GBPCHF 2.1946 2.1720 Buy
EURAUD 1.6879 1.6518 Sell
EURCAD 1.5679 1.5470 Buy
AUDCAD 0.9436 0.9182 Buy
AUDJPY 82.3847 80.8186 Buy

Wien GD 09:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
slv sam .... you are kidding! .... $ strength just around the corner?????

London. 08:52 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
In the good old days, this would have caused the Euro to tank,

Greece, whose government has spent the past eight months repeatedly correcting and revising upward its deficit figures for the past seven years. A new report from the European Union statistics agency was presented to ministers. It showed that Athens gave false deficit figures before adopting the euro. In 1998, for example, the deficit was 4.1% of gross domestic product, compared with the 2.5% reported. In 1999, the true figure was 3.4% - compared with the 1.8% reported

Tallinn viies 08:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
good day all
euro keeps bouncing up.
turned my short euro to long now.
will add at 1,2920/25 level.
target 1,3075/80
fwiw

Ldn 08:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Economists look for a spurt in US Oct producer prices, forecasting a 0.6%

PAR 08:41 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
As usual UK CPI figures will be much higher than expected and this will fuel talks of more interest rate hikes by the hyperactive BOE.

houston ken 08:38 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
feeling? you trade on emotions? lol

slv sam 08:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Today euro should fail at around 1.2980/90 and THAT will be it before a significant correction..which might if broke 1.27 continue to 1.23 level..aimho!GT

BEIRUT MK 08:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
ken, just a feeling

tk jf 08:33 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
ab - tom may give us a better short term trend to follow - we are in preemptive squeeze mode at the moment - nice levels can be had for friday close if can be patient

houston ken 08:30 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BEIRUT MK what will make you to short euro dollar ??

BEIRUT MK 08:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
close short usdchf from 1.1780 at 1.1760
close short eurgbp from 0.7012 at 0.7000

now short eurusd at 1.2965 target 1.2660

hk ab 08:24 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
nt//when I look at the eurgbp reluctance, I don't see shorting euro is a wise move.
Unless eur/gbp head downwards, shorting euro seems costy.
I also agree with iw's view that a big hand from ECB is needed before any meaningful "turn" is scheduled for USD.
Right now, the mkt is heading that way.

Syd 08:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
RBA: Very Comfortable With Inflation Targeting Regime
Credit, Asset Prices Aren't Appropriate Targets
Limit To What Monetary Policy Can Do
Lenders Might Lower Their Standards
Credit, House Market, Slowdown Helpful

JHB CDB 08:18 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez

Good day,

JHB CDB 08:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss

16:00 GMT

Helsinki iw 08:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Only a few years ago all the same faces used to provide daily quotes such as " the euro has potential to rise", remeber those? Nobody took them seriously then, so why should they now, talk is cheap and the marginal benefit is fast decreasing. As has been noted here before, the authorities will have to show their hand in the market before a dollar bottom can be called. With the US not seen to be really keen on that, it might be some distance away still. IMHO

Los Angeles ss 08:11 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
What time does the TIC data for US come out today????

Ldn 08:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The very strong euro is not in favor of the European economy, including Hungary," Hungarian Finance Minister Tibor Draskovics said. Danish Finance Minister Thor Pedersen also voiced his concern about the euro's exchange rate.
"I look forward to seeing the dollar a little stronger. It helps us all," he said. Both countries' exports are concentrated in the euro zone. If the euro-zone economy slows, their economies suffer.
rts

Ldn 07:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Non Euro Countries now express worry over dollar

Ldn 07:27 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
EUR ECON: West European Oct New Car Regos -3.5% y/y

Toronto Rizk Investments Group 07:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
EUR/$

Syd 07:15 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Backing Bush has won you nothing, Chirac tells Britain
screw chirac

ny ny 07:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Toronto which currency pair are u referring to ?

Toronto Rizk Investments Group 07:05 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
One more thing to add is that it'll be safe to play all of the interm highs/lows between this overall 550-600 pip correction but, do not take any long term longs until it is completely finished.

Even after the correction - analysis should be done to see if it was merely a correction or the start of a new trend.

GL & GT

ldn 07:05 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez the EU economy does it have a deficit the size of the US is the economy better than the US ?

quito_ecuador_valdez 07:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Toronto//Tks for the advice..I've noted your posts..thanks for that as well. Signing off..been up 22 hours. Yawn.

Toronto Rizk Investments Group 07:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 06:49 GMT November 16, 2004

What we are seeing right now should be the highs. If you are not already short then short here with 40 pip S/L.

I have been saying since last wednesday that we should see the major high on that day that will not be surpassed before seeing a 550-600 pip correction.

quito_ecuador_valdez 06:59 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
"The common view, as shared by the G7, is that foreign exchange rates should move stably in reflection of fundamentals," Tanigaki said. "Rapid movements that stray from such fundamentals are undesirable for the global economy."

It sounds like to me some G-7 people got burnt on FX lately! LOL. Yea, sure, would be nice for FX to operate purely on fundamenals..would make life easier for all of us. Why don't the G7 talk to mkt makers who move things in the first place? What a joke. Sounds like an ant trying to move a 20 ton boulder.

london 06:57 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
BAGHDAD (AP)--U.S. forces arrested a senior member of an influential Sunni political party Tuesday after a dawn raid on his Baghdad home, party officials said. Naseer Ayaef, a high-ranking member of the Iraqi Islamic Party, was taken into custody in the northwestern Jamiah neighborhood

London. 06:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Foreign exchange rates will be one focus of discussion at a gathering of Group of 20 financial authorities later this week, given recent market movements, Japanese Finance Minister Sadakazu Tanigaki said Tuesday. "There has been quite a lot of movement in foreign exchange markets since the last Group of Seven meeting, so there is no mistake that foreign exchange will be one focus of discussion," Tanigaki told reporters. "The common view, as shared by the G7, is that foreign exchange rates should move stably in reflection of fundamentals," Tanigaki said. "Rapid movements that stray from such fundamentals are undesirable for the global economy." Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 are set to meet in Berlin from Friday.

quito_ecuador_valdez 06:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Tks RIG, sounds like you've put a lot of work into your system. On the fundamental side and agreeing with your numbers of retracement (1.26+ sounds super!!) , oil is coming down..that's been said in the past to be an USD positive factor. If oil comes down then at least some commodities will as well...another USD positive factor. GL on this..I'm ready to buy more Euros myself, just waiting like everyone else to get that price I want...maybe peeing in the wind but what the heck.

So you think if the retrace happens that there will be the typical stop hunt on the E/$ chart..that is another peak near or at 1.30 then a coal shoot down?

SAIHAT No_one_will_escape 06:42 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
1.2868 1.3079

could be S,R ..EUR

hong kong nt 06:30 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AB -- do you think E/G may see correction back to 20-day ma..

Ldn 06:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AUD slips to 7695, U.S.investment bank sales. U.S. funds seen taking profits earlier .Option barriers at 7750, 7775 and 7800 aggressively defended by gamma-related accounts expiries some way off

Toronto R.I.G. 06:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
"Toronto RIG// sorry for my confusing post..what system or what technicals/charts are you using which indicate a 1.27? TIA."

It's my own brew of equations that I've developed. Works very consistently and is incredibly accurate.

Good Luck!

hong kong nt 06:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AB -- hope USD bulls take cialis at lunch time..

quito_ecuador_valdez 06:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

Toronto RIG// sorry for my confusing post..what system or what technicals/charts are you using which indicate a 1.27? TIA.

GEP...you'll have mail in 15 min. TKS.

hk ab 06:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
very strange reluctance on eur/gbp.
eur still has some strength left?

hong kong nt 06:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Ready to reload aussie at 10-day ma..

Dallas GEP 06:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Valdez [email protected] my friend, Closed EURO longs @ 1.2933 for +8 AUSSIE shorts from 7725 closed @ 7700 for +25

Rye, NY et 06:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 05:55 GMT November 16, 2004
"Toronto// You're certainly welcome..."
Are you talking to me or to Toronto? Sorry for my confusion...


quito_ecuador_valdez 05:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY//---------->GVI
The interview you had in Futures Mag last week..the online version (weep) didn't have it...is there a web that does have it? If so do you have the URL? TIA

Syd 05:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Copper Slumps On Expected China SalesLME copper fell sharply in Asian trading Tuesday, partly due to hefty declines on the Shanghai Futures Exchange that traders said were prompted by expectations of future copper sales by the State Reserve Bureau.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Toronto// You're certainly welcome, but what technicals are you using and what system do you have..something you've created yourself or an off th shelf model?

Rye, NY et 05:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 05:49 GMT November 16, 2004
Great! Thank you.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:51 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Toronto// I hope you're right, would love to buy some cheap euros. But with the resistance line above 1.28 I just can't see how...any clues as to what your system is or what technicals it uses? I'd be really interested to know this..not contesting your post..just trying to learn what you're using.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:49 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Rye NY et// Here is your link: http://www.bis.org/review/r001208a.pdf"
I checked your source code for a link and it's perfect..must be some quirk of GV rendering the link. I've at times had problems posting HTML code and in the process GV's forum scripts botch it.

Toronto R.I.G. 05:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
According to my system we should see 1.2680/2710 by Tuesday of next week.

Rye, NY et 05:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
I'm lousey at posting links. Better at trading: Buy USD to 1.2650; sell back to 1.3000. AIMHO...

Rye, NY et 05:37 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 04:10 GMT November 16, 2004
The Canadian Dollar was pegged to the USD at Bretton Woods, of course. They floated in 1950. Pegged again in 1962 and floated in 1970 (before Nixon took the US off the Gold Standard. target="_blank">Thispretty much sums up the current view.

quito_ecuador_valdez 05:36 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Syd// How true. This is when being light on your feet is paramount. Can you imagine the billions that would be lost if EUR reverses? There are a ton of buy orders for E/$ 1.27 if that expresses the real sentiment of what people think COULD happen.

Sydney 05:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Extreme net long positions often signal a decline in a currency going forward since the buildup of positions reflects what has already happened as opposed to the risk of a reversal when the market is heavily positioned one way.
"The ongoing but not necessarily imminent threat is that if there is a catalyst for a correction ... then it could be really violent," Callow said.
JAPANESE YEN (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 53,757 46,779
Short 14,664 9,965
Net 39,093 36,814

EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)
11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 68,576 60,468
Short 11,047 7,003
Net 57,529 53,465
POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,000 pounds sterling)
11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 40,588 29,594
Short 17,242 16,252
Net 23,346 13,342

SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)
11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 46,258 39,924
Short 5,891 8,132
Net 40,367 31,792

CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)
11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 41,418 45,896
Short 6,446 6,204
Net 34,972 39,692

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)
11/09/04 week 11/02/04 week
Long 34,824 30,737
Short 2,434 1,747
Net 32,390 28,990

London. 05:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
USD fall likely limited to 1.30 vs EUR, 105 vs JPY for this week, USD bears will be wary of jawboning by eurozone officials, possible intervention by BOJ, in run-up to G20 on weekend. Says this may be good week for position adjustment/profit-taking on massive speculative net USD shorts on IMM (EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD most vulnerable )

DBS

HK [email protected] 04:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
LA Fxnew 04:34 GMT November 16

GBP may have to complete a move to 1.8415

Syd 04:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Investment advisers expect the final Telstra stake to be sold some time in 2006

Syd 04:43 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 04:03 the market always gets ahead of itself just have a feeling with oil heading lower , hearing $36 a bottom may affect Commodity index. anyway really appreciate your post. thanks

quito_ecuador_valdez 04:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Pull up a 1 hour 30 day E/$ chart. Triangle forming, support line being heavily tested RIGHT NOW:
1. Draw a perfectly horizontal resistance line from high of Nov/8 to right hand margin. It will touch the peak of Nov 12 on the way.
2. Now draw a support line all the way back to low spike of Oct/13 extenting it to low of Nov 3 & then continue to right hand margin.
3. Note triangle formed, we're at the point...critical mass at this point...something's gonna give , trending bias to $ bulls. Some say (most say) to sell those Euros, taking whatever profits out...looks like some funny stuff going on in the background involving a "rest" for el Euro or an aversion to 1.30.

Counter view:

Pull up a 1 day 1 year chart for E/$. On that chart it doesn't favor a retrace, in fact, it favors a continuance to long.

In this case I favor the Counter view...I can't see a retrace in sight..holding on to my Euros. I'd LOVE to see 1.27 but I flatly can't see it on the charts.

LA Fxnew 04:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
any advice for cable pls....
hardly saw people talk about it

Thx

Hong Kong Qindex 04:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
A) : ... 1.2851* // 1.2870 - 1.2888 - 1.2907 - 1.2925* - 1.2944 - 1.2962* - 1.2981 - 1.2999* - 1.3018 - 1.3036* - 1.3054 // 1.3073* ...

Hong Kong Qindex 04:25 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 04:25 GMT November 16, 2004
EUR/USD : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.2900 - 1.3003. A projected supporting level is expected at 1.2850 - 1.2865 and a projected resistant level is positioning at 1.3054 - 1.3061. The daily cycle normal trading range is 1.2815 - 1.3109.


A) : ... 1.2851* // 1.2870 - 1.2888 - 1.2907 - 1.2925* - 1.2894 - 1.2962* - 1.2981 - 1.2999* - 1.3018 - 1.3036* - 1.3054 // 1.3073* ...


B) : ... 1.2834* - 1.2850 // 1.2865* - 1.2880 - 1.2895* - 1.2910 - 1.2925* - 1.2941 - 1.2956* - 1.2971 - 1.2986* - 1.3001 - 1.3016* - 1.3031 - 1.3046* // 1.3061 - 1.3077* ...


C) : ... 1.2800* - 1.2825 // 1.2850* - 1.2875 - 1.2900* - 1.2925 - 1.2950* - 1.2975 - 1.3000* - 1.3025 - 1.3050* // 1.3075 - 1.3100* ...


Projected barriers of my daily cycle are as follow :-


... (1.2750) - 1.2769 - 1.2798 // (1.2808) - 1.2825 - 1.2829 - 1.2847 - 1.2861 - (1.2866) - 1.2875 - 1.2886 - 1.2893 - (1.2925) - 1.2957 - 1.2964 - 1.2975 - (1.2983) - 1.2989 // 1.3003 - 1.3021 - 1.3025 - (1.3042) - 1.3053 - 1.3075 - 1.3081 - 1.3085 - (1.3100) - 1.3117 - 1.3125 ...

hk ab 04:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
bc, thanks very much for your kind opinion on that.
Some big names simply want to get the signal from ECB to tell them the big ship need to turn for a year or two.

Los Angeles ss 04:15 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Anyone with any views on cad for the next few hours?

shanghai bc 04:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

AB 02:44-- Good morning..I always wondered why Canadian Dollar was not pegged to US Dollar given their proximity and economic link..Just like HK and Macau..Maybe Canadian bankers and politicians still feel more towards London banking circle than Newyork banking circle..

shanghai bc 04:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

SYD 02:42 --Good morning..Rate rise in China will slowly continue putting pressure on Oil and Commodities in coming weeks..China is simply sending back the foreign ships trying to sell their commodities to already debt-ridden Chinese firms..Given the heavy link between Commodities and Currencies in forex betting shop for the last several years,that will act as a big plus for Dollar at some stage too..But the forex market will not quit their money making best bet so far till ECB is forced to show their hands at some stage..Good trades.

Syd 04:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
NZ Banks Cut Home Loan Rates As Competition Grows

Livingston nh 03:48 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Daily MACD has had some false signals in the last two weeks (especially in CAD) BUT NOW it may be the real thing (again) - Cable, Swissy, EUR and CAD are crossing MACD - all are capped by 21 da mva with Cable closest to breaking // 21 da held back yen last week and may hold on the first attempt // inflation figures might light a fire under rates this week

Intervention ?? - jaw boning is step 1, may be near a one way market step 2, but Korean move to cut rates last week and some HK banks so step 3 (disruption somewhere) might be afoot //

Sydney Alimin 03:35 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
B747: still holding your yen long possies mate? good luck with the euro short, i agree with that too
i will be leaving sydney tomorrow and won't be online till end of month, all the best with ur trades...cheers

Sydney Alimin 03:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
LA Fxnew 03:22 GMT November 16, 2004

sorry mate, haven't dealt with cable for some time now, but personally i would like to see it go back to 1.83 handle and if possible 1.82

Hong Kong Qindex 03:27 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
HK REVDAX 03:13 GMT - I will post EUR/USD here in an hour.

LA Fxnew 03:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
hi alimin:

what do you think of cable today? any direction ?

hk revdax 03:20 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 03:14//i am interested in seeing how low it will go today.

Sydney Alimin 03:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
euro looks heavy, i wouldn't be surprised to see 1.27 handle by friday or next week provided the recent high is not taken out, not sure after that though, need to see how this battle works out first
all IMHO

HK REVDAX 03:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex //Any forecast of Euro's downside is today?

Syd 03:03 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Euro zone blames U.S. for worrying FX swings
BRUSSELS, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Rattled by sharp currency swings that have driven their currency to record highs against the dollar, euro zone nations on Monday pointed a finger of blame at the United States.

Their joint call for U.S. action is bound to raise the temperature when finance ministers from the Group of Seven industrialised nations meet in Berlin later this week as part of a broader gathering of 20 rich and emerging market economies

The 12-nation euro zone's finance ministers, the European Commission and the European Central Bank unanimously agreed at a meeting in Brussels that recent currency moves were unwelcome and could further undermine their stuttering economic recovery.

"We expressed our worry regarding the rapid and destabilising development of currencies. This was a position that was unanimous," Nicolas Sarkozy said after his swanswong appearance as French finance minister at the euro zone meeting.

Syd 02:57 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AUD/ falls through 7700 marks start of retracement of rise to 0.7738 8-month high, a fall to session low about 7686 is first leg down to 7640. Pair may then to rise to 7710 early afternoon then continue lower ,a bounce to peak near 0.7680 before drop to 0.7550-0.7500
CBA technical analyst John Gajewski

A view worth keeping in mind for now

Hong Kong Qindex 02:55 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 02:54 GMT November 16, 2004
USD/CAD : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.1944 - 1.2004. A projected supporting level is positioning at 1.1949 - 1.1959 and a projected resistant level is expected at 1.2116 - 1.2126. Speculative buying interest will increase if the market is trading above 1.2050. The odds are in favour of maintaining a long position.


A) : ... 1.1850* // 1.1876 - 1.1902* - 1.1928 - 1.1953* - 1.1979 - 1.2004* - 1.2030 - 1.2056* - 1.2082 - 1.2107* // 1.2133 - 1.2159* ...


B) : ... 1.1868* - 1.1883 // 1.1898* - 1.1914 - 1.1929* - 1.1944 - 1.1959* - 1.1974 - 1.1989* - 1.2004 - 1.2019* - 1.2035 - 1.2050* - 1.2065 - 1.2080* - 1.2096 - 1.2111 // 1.2126 - 1.2141* ...


C) : ... 1.1874* // 1.1893 - 1.1944* - 1.1930 - 1.1949* - 1.1968 - 1.1986* - 1.2004 - 1.2023* - 1.2042 - 1.2060* - 1.2079 - 1.2097* // 1.2116 - 1.2134* ...


Other daily cycle projecte barriers are as follow :-


... (1.1838) - 1.1856 - 1.1861 - 1.1883 - 1.1893 // (1.1893) - 1.1909 - 1.1914 - 1.1930 - 1.1944 - (1.1949) - 1.1957 - 1.1967 - 1.1974 - (1.2004) - 1.2035 - 1.2041 - 1.2052 - (1.2060) - 1.2065 - 1.2078 - 1.2096 - 1.2099 // (1.2116) - 1.2147 - 1.2152 - 1.2156 (1.2172) - 1.2186 - 1.2194 ...

Syd 02:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
China October CPI falls due to lower food prices , will be hard for inflation to elevate back over 5%, "we expect consumer inflation to hover around 4 per cent for the rest of 2004," in part on persistent money supply deceleration
DBS

hk ab 02:44 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
bc//could you comment on the ldn's post?

Ldn 01:04 GMT November 16, 2004

Syd 02:42 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
LME copper falls sharply in early trading as it follows the Shanghai Futures Exchange trend; "LME copper is tracking SHFE, which fell because of probable long liquidation by Chinese traders," says Tokyo trader.

Shanghai BC , do you see a temporary squeeze in the Commodity prices, seem because Oil is coming off other commodities are having profit taken thnks

Syd 02:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Physical crude oil glut puts pressure on OPEC to take politically unpalatable step of cutting output at time when oil prices, while falling, still very high; "to say there is too much oil in this market is putting it mildly," says trader, "OPEC needs to cut, but they obviously have internal and external pressures not to do that." OPEC unlikely to formally cut quotas when it meets Dec. 10; CGES' Leo Drollas says it'll need to cut about 2.5 million bbls/day in 2005
reuters. newswire

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 02:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
The euro fell in Asia for a second day after European finance ministers said the currency's record high against the dollar threatens the region's economic growth

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 02:22 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 02:12 GMT November 16, 2004
whoops! i wouldnt go as far as that to say that it's better than something else. I just analyze and post that is all.i would never like to go into a comparison. i'll let the people who read it decide and i know i am wrong too man a tims. humility ah-ha.

good trades buddy!
TIA:-)

shanghai bc 02:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

QINDEX 02:04-- Thanks for your forecasts..

Dallas GEP 02:12 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
NP PNB, I am sure your system works better than these dammmm MACDS anyway!!! LOL

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 02:06 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 02:00 GMT November 16, 2004
yes i think i knew that. my view was from my system's point of view.

gl and hope you make profits.

TIA:-)

Hong Kong Qindex 02:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : As shown in my 44-day cycle reference (12/11) the market has a good potential to tackle 1.2423.

... 1.150* // 1.1654 - 1.1808* - 1.1962 - 1.2115* - 1.2269 - 1.2423* - 1.2577 - 1.2731 // 1.2885 - 1.3039* ...


This is in agreemnet with my Quarterly Cycle analyses :-


Melbourne Qindex 05:47 GMT October 31, 2004
USD/CHF : The current expected trading ranges from my Quarterly Cycle are as follow :-


Curve A : 1.1490 - 1.1733* - 1.1976 - 1.2219* - 1.2462

Curve B : 1.1490 - 1.1677* - 1.1864 - 1.2051* - 1.2238 - 1.2425*

Curve C : 1.1490 - 1.1642* - 1.1794 - 1.1946* - 1.2098 - 1.2250 - 1.2402 - 1.2554*




Dallas GEP 02:00 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
WEll PNB, 15 30 1 hr and 2 hr macds on EURO are ALL SHORT. That's what I mean

Syd 01:58 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Investment Banks selling AUD/USD now testing Support 7695,

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 01:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:39 GMT November 16, 2004
its supported as per my 15 mins and 30 mins reading,but more than 2945 can be expected.

gl.

TIA:-)

Dallas GEP 01:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
LONGED eur/usd @ 1.2923 stop @ 1.2913, TP @ 1.2945....NOTE TECHNICALLY THIS IS NOT SUPPORTED.

london 01:21 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK The euro fell against the dollar Monday on comments from the U.S. Treasury secretary and yen as some traders pared bets on a further advance after the European currency reached a record high twice last week.

The dollar had been down 3.6 percent in the past month against the euro on speculation the Bush administration, which has presided over record budget and current-account deficits, would allow the dollar to weaken. The U.S. currency dropped to all-time lows on Nov. 5, Nov. 8 and Nov. 10.

Investors "are taking a breather before making a run at $1.30 per euro," said T.J. Marta, senior currency strategist in New York at RBC Capital Markets. "I think positions are overextended."
Herald tribune

Hong Kong Qindex 01:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 01:13 GMT - Good morning! I will run the 44-day cycle analyses on USD/CHF and see how it goes. I will post it here within an hour.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 01:16 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:09 GMT November 16, 2004
well i am dallas gep and hope everyone else can be too. it is much needed in today's world. gl and gt to you and everyone else.

TIA:-)

shanghai bc 01:13 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   

QINDEX -- Good morning..How high a bounce do you expect in Usd/Chf in this round please.. Good forecasts and trades.

Syd 01:12 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Spot gold while market overwhelmingly net long, speculative shorts now almost 7M oz, showing not all convinced about further gains says Rothschild Australia

Syd 01:10 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD touching below 7700 in Asia morning as profit taking sets

Dallas GEP 01:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
PNB, when is it that ANYONE in TEXAS very humble????

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 01:05 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp in my readings show same view as eurusd. eurgbp is in my sell zone from current areas and target one-touch around 0.6900 in 4-5 weeks probably.

AIMVVVVHO!

TIA:-)

Ldn 01:04 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Bloc leader pushes use of U.S. dollar
Cites benefits of shared currency Chides Ottawa's
LINK

Dallas GEP 00:56 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Closed eur/gbp shorts @ .6997 from .7012 for +15....Aussie shorts still in play (last set from .7725)

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:53 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
reading for gbpusd: weekly basis(change in view): it has to move up some good bit before it comes into my sell zone for medium-term selling, dailies show a selling for sometime after which it should go into bullish territory-in some 3-4 weeks gbpusd should show a sell zone which eurusd is showing as of now.

TIA:-)

Syd 00:50 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Japan says forex a G20 topic, rapid moves not goodJapanese Finance Minister Sadakazu Tanigaki warned against rapid moves in foreign exchange rates on Tuesday and said that currencies would be a key topic of discussion at the upcoming Group of 20 meeting.

London. 00:47 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] the problem is most traders dont see the titanic doing an about turn at sea , until it is on its way back

Hong Kong Qindex 00:45 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : 1.2065 is the short term target for day trader and 1.2144 is the bonus.

HK [email protected] 00:40 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
In relation to the post!!!

HK [email protected] 01:58 GMT November 7, 2004
..... Immediate possible short term target at 10445 and expected Fibo. Res. Level at 10570 coinciding with the top of 4/6/04.

In my rough long term estimation there is a possibility that the DOW is going to something between….. 13000 to 13500. ALL TIMES HIGH !!!
..................

For today the Fibo. target has already moved to 10600. Just very near to the last close(10550).

A Dow bull market will get strong confirmation by crossing, and close above that price_mark=10600.

The impact on the currency market of such event should be watched.

So by now good to have one eye on the Dow.
Such a rally with a possible all time high target (13000/500) may point to very strong underlying fundamentals in the US economy.

GL/GT

London. 00:39 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
European Central Bank is backing away from the idea of interest-rate increase .Some economists say the ECB is losing credibility by flip-flopping, though they acknowledge that many economists outside the ECB also have been surprised by the rise in the euro and surging oil prices. Reuters news

Hong Kong Qindex 00:38 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The following is still valid :-

Hong Kong Qindex 11:45 GMT November 15, 2004
Ldn 11:20 GMT - AUD/USD : The market will retreat when it is trading below 0.7717. In the mean time it is trying to challenge a projected barrier at 0.7741 - 0.7748.

Ldn 00:34 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Daniel Tenengauzer, senior G10 currency strategist at Lehman Brothers in New York, said the dollar was primed for a correction because the market had been unloading dollars for some time.According to the Commodity Futures Exchange figures released on Monday, currency speculators on the Chicago futures market added to their net long euro positions in the week ended Nov. 9, hitting a second consecutive record. The dollar was mostly firmer on Monday as a drop in oil prices gave added impetus to dealers paring positions after the dollar's recent brush with historic lows , oil prices depressed the Canadian dollar because Canada is a net oil exporter

Hong Kong Qindex 00:33 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 00:09 GMT - Good morning! According to my trading system when Hang Seng Index is trading above the key quantized level of my Quarterly Cycle the odds are against you to take a short position when the market is moving away from the "Key Quantized Level" at 13549.

Toronto YV 00:31 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Anybody what was the GBP RICS ? TIA .

Hong Kong Qindex 00:28 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Short term target 1.2300.

Sydney 00:17 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
According to the Economists in Tokyo ,Goldman have cut Japan economic growth forecasts to 3.0% previously at 3.4% for current FY to end-March, also 2.4% from 2.7% for FY06 in due to the weak 3Q GDP numbers recently.

Syd 00:14 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Forex Undoubtedly One Focus Of G20 Mtg says Japan Tanigaki:

KL KL 00:09 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, G'day...You hardly spent time in Aust and now you are back in HK. How are thing in general in HK..Hang Seng seems to be booming fast year high...surely things would not have change so quickly for the better after I last visited it 3 months ago....so many IPO...HK people still think things are going to boom? Rather worrying for me!!

Sydney 00:02 GMT November 16, 2004 Reply   
Aussie traders need to be a little careful RBA doesnt say something to take the wind out of the Sails of the Aud , dont think he is likely to add more fuel to it at the moment with it affecting exports , also the USD looking so fragile, its not in his nature to cause a dramatic rally , as he knows the Long positions are to the extreme levels 34,824 30 therefore wont take much to knock it back a 200 points .

 




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