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Forex Forum Archive for 11/22/2004

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pd cumino 23:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 20:18 GMT November 22, 2004
Thank you. The Bollinger bands, the size of candles... Interesting. Are also useful to understand the quality? To say leveraged, not leveraged, commercials, hedged FI, delta hedged in option market, official flows, equities?

Ldn 23:54 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Italy's Berlusconi says euro strangling economy
ROME, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has launched a savage attack on the European Union's budget rules, saying the Stability and Growth Pact had to be reformed if the eurozone wanted to see strong growth.
In a hard-hitting column to appear in Tuesday's edition of Il Foglio newspaper, Berlusconi repeated his threat to bring down his government if recalcitrant coalition allies refused to back his plans for income tax cuts in 2005.
Berlusconi said the cuts were needed to revive a lethargic economy, but stressed the strength of the euro currency was also weighing heavily and called on his EU partners to revise the Maastricht Treaty on which the stability pact is based.
"The blessed introduction of the single European currency has thus far produced the exact opposite result of what the euro was created for -- an asphyxiated economy and hobbled growth under the burden of 'stupid' ties," Berlusconi wrote.
LINK

KL KL 23:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Caba, I am tempted to tp..you keen to BE.....ok I will ride with you but on one exception I have lock in 2 pip gain!!

Bribane L 23:37 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
China tells US to put its house in orderIn an interview with the Financial Times, Li Ruogu, the deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, warned the US not to blame other countries for its economic difficulties

Ldn 23:23 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USD Price Action warning should be seen
Confusion in the global currency markets only time will show how it plays out. USD should already be softer given Greenspan's comments Friday, Monday not creating pressure on the Dollar is warning signal, clear Japan, Europe not happy and it may pay to identify which will step in first to intervene

Macquarie Bank
strategists report

Syd 23:11 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
AUD Value Debate To Intensify
Australian Treasurer Costello in AFR interview repeats recent comment strong AUD is damping exports.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 23:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
eurusd is currently in my sell zone so any very short-term rally should be used to sell for target of 2x areas and possibly below.

gl everyone
TIA:-)

Philadelphia Caba 22:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
TJ+KL, thanks.

Atl TJ 22:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 22:37 GMT November 22, 2004

I am thinking that Cable will move another 20 or pips. Will enter Short if that happens. I will refrain from chasing a thin market, may cause severe pain.

KL KL 22:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba, yes technically I am in....I took my +10 pips at 1.8595 and reshorted again at 1.8605 sl 7 again.u know me always take the 1 pip or more on offer after it moves in your direction.

Philadelphia Caba 22:37 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 21:35 GMT November 22, 2004
in short gbpusd 1.8605...sl 7 above...momentum play
r'u still in?

Philadelphia Caba 22:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Sold GBP/USD @ 1.8595

KL KL 22:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw Japan Nikkie is closed today....maybe not BOJ?

Syd 22:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Australian Treasurer Costello strong AUD is damping exports.
recently in an interview to the australian press

london aas 21:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
eurusd to possibly move down or not as part of short term correction in bullish trend.
Market is boring and totally untradable, when's the tension going to break? If everyone's selling usd, then it's already in price, is it not so greenback to stage a short term recovery.

KL KL 21:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
in short gbpusd 1.8605...sl 7 above...momentum play

Antwerp Tom 21:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
OMIL 20:34 GMT Thanks, one could not have said it better and thanks for posting your levels again, raise my glass to you as well Lechaïm

River Falls_USA_ PB 21:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 20:34 GMT November 22, 2004 ///thank you for posting such wonderful sentiment...slow days are a pain in the...so I would rather revel in good thoughts like yours - a raised cup in return. gt/gl

Syd 21:23 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Earthquake 7.3 hits NZ south Island

slv sam 21:11 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate/ thx and gt.

Rivonia PipPirate 21:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
g/y fri low 19092 gl ss

KL KL 21:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
taken out of everything...now am angry and need to recover...so hoping gbpusd and eurusd goes up a bit more like 10-20 pips and I have a big HAMMER waiting....waiting..com'on to mama

slv sam 20:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
what was the low for GBP/JPY last Friday? TIA

Ldn 20:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
U.S. interest rates move higher in latest week

http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuoteCompanyNewsArticle.jhtml?duid=mtfh15399_2004-11-22_20-14-35_n22rat_newsml

Ldn 20:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Euro zone figures due out in the coming week will show business confidence resuming its slide, reflecting concern over slowing growth and the strong euro, economists said.LINK

B.A. BOCA 20:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out of non-fx related matters, the most interesting thing to me right now is the effect on Gold the new EFTs will have. pretty soon we will have all kinds of commodities readily tradable in US markets, which will have more of an effect on the underlying asset that most people realise.

it could turn ugly if not properly managed

B.A. BOCA 20:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
good day all, this week should have some spark left in it still, especially in cable.

extremely positive sentiment is the toughest barrier for the euro now

Miami OMIL (/;-> 20:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I love the community we have here sometimes bitter and sometimes sad but always a community and the people that decide to participate and contribute in a positive way will be rewarded by being a part of the community. The other bad apples that try to wreck the community will soon find out it is like the market it can be moved sometimes but not deterred from it’s path. I for one take what little knowledge I have and try to pour some of it here. In return I can tell you I have been rewarded many times besides it feels good to help others (at least it does to me). These are ideas of course we share it does not mean we have to be 100% right and therefore no one should be attacked for it either. To each his own ideas and ways of trading should be respected. Live and let live. It is times like these when the holidays come that it is a pleasure to read comments from the members of the community. I raise my cup of wine and salute everyone that contributes to this wonderful community. Flip your comments are very well appreciated here and in the GVI forum thanks for you contributions. Jay sorry for veering off the FX comments here but it is very slow and I thought I could share some of my ideas at this point. GL GT
Die hard member since 2001-02

Dallas GEP 20:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Cumino, volume light as in fewer transactions than normal. Of course there is no definitive way for a spec to actually KNOW volume details but small things like candle sizes and the width between bollinger bands and of course the relative inactivity in the ticker band can lead to some assumptions about volume.

USD/CAD is realtively DANGEROUS because it can run fast in either direction and in CONFLICT with the other pairs. It previously was used (usd/cad as a leading indicator of dollar sentiment but no more. So usd/cad requires IMO a quick entry and exit so that you don't linger long with the pair

quito_ecuador_valdez 20:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Note €/$ chart 30 day. Draw resistance line from high of 11/18 to present. Draw support line from low of 11/18 to present..dunno if this is significant enough of a triangle for a mini peak coming in next session, because the dip on the 18 was a fluke-a-roo.

Dublin Flip// I guess it's your turn at the stocks with the fruit throwers pegging away at those of us who would help the "rest". Sure is getting "old" when those of us who try to help our fellow traders, get abused in return, from some of the surface feeders who are here to cause trouble rather than do good. It doesn't phase me one bit personally & I hope Flip & the rest of the pros here take the same view..ciche: stick 'n stones can break our bones but words can never hurt us. Thanks Flip for your most needed & welcomed posts on this (rather rustic) site and GVI as well.

Am moving house & office this week, will be scarce abbeit quite sore..getting too old for this. Back here & there sporatically til next week. Tks Omil for your ranges.

Livingston nh 20:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Old timers ? Yorba Linda, Atlanta M2Smith, NYNY, Hartford, PropKid

Bribane L 19:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GVI Jay 17:17 GMT yes been here since 1997/8 also

GVI john 19:54 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
jkt-aye
Will do

Miami OMIL (/;-> 19:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello I hope everyone had good weekend this week promises a good bottle of wine and some time to relax. This will be a short week and the volume will probably be thin. In regards to the G20 meeting I think overall the market got the idea that the $ will probably fall a bit more before anything happens. I have the support and resistance the same as I posted last time for eur/usd pair but I will put the numbers up again. Like I said before this is still buy on dips mode until the price action tell me other wise IMHO. GL GT

Resistance for eur/usd pair stands now at 3040-50 3080-90 and 3140-50, retracement 3020-30, 2980-90, 2960-50, 2930-40 and 2900-10. Top T/L is around 3000-10 and bottom T/L is around the 3020-30 and both act as support now. Support is around the 3000-10, 2970-80, 2930-50, and 2860-50 for now.
Second wave retracement numbers are 2970-80, 2900-10, 2850-60, 2800-10 and 2740-50

jkt-aye 19:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Would you check this date GV ? 07/19/02, 04/18/03, 05/13/03 and 05/14/03. THX

berlin otto 19:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Ok, today is very quiet day and I recommend you

buy gbpusd 1,8559

its very range trading and we closed our position with +12 pips.

But, tonight range trading is going on too and we must

eurusd buy 1,3020 target 1,3070
gbpusd buy 1,8540 target 1,8610
usdchf sell 1,1640 target 1,1580

Be patient and you must place hedge opposite and
good luck!

GVI john 19:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Friday data have been loaded. My mistake. If you find any errors or omissions, please let us know. If they are not on any day by 22:00 GMT. Let us know.

houston st 19:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   

FXQ -- definitely meant prices from the future...heck I'd pay extra for that too!!...gl/gt...

Livingston nh 19:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Irish - a Top suggestion - delivery would save wear and tear of crossin' the street and dealin' with that surly bar maid

Halifax CB 19:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
pd - I know that in the brokered fx world, there isn't volume; but I have seen it on at least one retail platform. I imagine it is based on contracts taken by the retailer with its own clientele. At least that's my guess :)

River Falls_USA_ PB 19:29 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
...and an extra $50k to day trade with! etc. etc. etc.

dc fxq 19:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
houston st 19:24

did you mean "future prices" (bring it on!) or futures prices?

lol

Spotforex NY 19:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
can we post a JUBB index???????

Livingston nh 19:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
jay - if you get a chance could you post tomorrow's range on the majors?

Chicago Irish 19:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
....And a Pint of Guinness too Jay.

houston st 19:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   

GLOBAL VIEW -- how about some future prices?...tia...

jkt-aye 19:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
...and some date on the history is missing too. TIA

nyc sa 19:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Global-view or Jay , I would appreciate very much if u could update historical quotes regularly as I like many day-traders often rely on them to gauge the next trading day . Friday quotes are not shown yet , thnx.

pd cumino 19:06 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP.
What you mean "volume light"? Would you kindly elaborate?

Dallas GEP 18:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Closed 1.3048 euro shorts @ 1.3040. Eur/GBP shorts still IN

OK SZ 18:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
TG, just got back in and agree with your comments on the spreads..I also trade futures..tks for the response..gl, gt

Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Well if you look at the MACD's, they just confirm what we are seeing, FLAT with LITTLE momentum either short or long. Volume right now LIGHT so any SUDDEN movements probably NOT forthcoming, Look more for MOVING averages to contain price movements so you probably WON'T get movements from the upper to lower bollinger bands and THUS the ranges from high to low will be relatively narrow.

KL KL 18:29 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
ok short usdcad at 1.1855 sl 1.1862 ..sleepy and going for a nap

Dallas GEP 18:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
OK closed usd/cad longs @ 1.1855 (from 1.1828) for +27 pips.

KL KL 18:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, it depends on what you like. Shopping, eating or those nature type thing. Not much you can visit in those short time left. KL Singapore is EAT for me...buy some Lomotil before you go to Indonesia...Bali belly is famous there...LOL. I usually eat in hotel...and even that I get those belly problem.

Check out the electronis in KL at Low Yat plaza ...like those gizmo/gadgets...mp3 players, digi cam, mem stick... you know what I mean....Very cheap

I am flat now cos there seems to be not much action or not nice chart set up in currency...all middle ranging....sorry no play.

Looking at DOW now and waiting to short it ok short DOW at 10465 sl 10479.....look at google down $6...looking to long it soon for a few bucks quick scalp....also still looking for gap to close near 153.

Dublin Flip 17:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Sorry Georgas (for the delay) but I didn't understand your little diversion from good manners and I do have a life. I initially thought you were happy for me to give "my two cents worth" but instead you seem to be parnoically wondering "what's in it for him" -LOL
Well Georgey I guess I'm just one of those all around nice guys who's more than happy to have a metaphorical "pint and a chit chat" with whoever happens to be next to me at the FX bar, while killing some time. I think you'll find most people who actually trade for a living work more in camaraderie than in competition with their peers. Maybe I was just lucky but over the past twenty years I've had been exposed to many clever people and still learn something everyday (including much from the Global View community). If you have mistakenly been misguided to think that someone has "a hidden agenda" every time one speaks to you I sincerely feel sorry for your misapprehension.
Seriously bad karma dude but nothing getting back on the "meds" won't fix -LOL
Cheers and be lucky.

KL KL 17:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
ok long again gbpusd 1.8572 short usdcad 1.1852 sl both 7...out both +3 +2 respectively...must be patience and wait for better levels. hey BIG Boys wake up...LOL hopefully that gets them worked up like Ron Artest - NBA.

KL Alimin 17:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 17:39 GMT November 22, 2004

yes haha, you are right! it is a fantastic time for me to travel around, can enjoy more out of my forex profit in aud :)
i am just having holidays here and singapore and later indonesia, will probably go back to sydney after chinese new year next year, need to collect some red-pocket money first LOL...any recommendation for nice places to visit here?

have u got a position with euro at the moment? u must be collecting pips happily from gbp scalping :)
i got stopped on euro short last week, but reenter few moments ago targetting 1.302x for some quick pips


knoxville dan-k 17:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
hummm, things seem a little sluggish in the usd/jpy i wonder if a retracement is in order any opnions ?

Chicago Irish 17:42 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bring back Dool!

KL KL 17:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, you from Sydney initially right...holidaying or work in KL/S'pore? Yep a bit muggy as Aussie will call it. Must be enjoying the currency exchange at the moment 1=3 ringgit....thats lots of noodle/roti canai and nasi lemak if you know what I am refering!!

btw out gbpusd short 1.8578 +8...reshort higher

Dallas GEP 17:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
WEll Caba, support @ 7015 so that might be FIRST out...otherwise I would hold for 7000 print it will be VERY slow

LA Mel 17:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
yo

Dallas GEP 17:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
OK trying eur/usd SHORT @ 1.3048 with 15 pip stop...target 1.3020

Philadelphia Caba 17:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:22 GMT November 22, 2004
Eur/gbp shorts STARTING to work.
GEP, how long you want keep this trade? still 0.6995 target? Thanks.

GENEVA FHR 17:30 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I am still here and alive

Chicago Irish 17:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Jay....was just thinking about that....how many veterans since the early days still around?

Spotforex NY 17:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
member since 1998

GVI Jay 17:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius, communities, by definition are evolving entities and members come and go. We can't control who comes and goes and only try to do our part to hopefully provide a marketplace that helps our members with their trading and grow as traders. You would be amazed to find how many have been with us for many years, some from close to our inception more than 7 years ago.

Bris TW 17:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius georgas 17:14 GMT November 22, 2004

Im afraid your wrong there a little. Most are gone in a few months because they are broke.

KL Alimin 17:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
hi guys, it seems that after euro made new high recently calls have been made for higher and higher euro, but it looks toppish to me

KL, whereabout are you in KL? i am in KL at the moment...hot and humid but it is nice here...been here for 2 days already and will go to singapore day after tomorrow..good trades for u

Vilnius georgas 17:14 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Jay you are talking about community. After a couple of month 80% who posted here today , will far away .This forum's community changes very fast.
Well I quess , i just have a different opinion.

GER ad 17:13 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD,
Out at 1.1847

pd cumino 17:12 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Thank you again, very kind and useful. Hope your numbers will be everytime very close to that best "Qindex". Good luck.

River Falls_USA_ PB 17:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius georgas 16:59 GMT November 22, 2004///IMO that attitude only works playing with marbles. There is noone on this forum that can gain or impart information that will move the forex market one way or the other. We are all just followers trying to catch the FX Train to wealth and happiness. None of us has anything to lose by sharing ideas...only gain in the process. If you don't agree, you don't have to participate...but you should - lotta' wisdom and experience floating in these messages. gt/gl

Bris TW 17:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 17:03 GMT November 22, 2004

Many would I guess but there is one that I like to double check figures with and that is the best Qindex .

If my numbers are close to his then they cannt be too far off and I am on some sort of right track.

GVI Jay 17:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius. You don't understand then the spirit of community.

Dallas GEP 17:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Stop on CAD long is now at entry @ 1.1828

pd cumino 17:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 16:57 GMT November 22, 2004
Thank you very much. Last question, in your opinion many people use that method, or only few?

KL KL 17:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out usdcad long at 1.1848 +18 is ok

gbpusd short still alive ...hope it is losing power here.

Vilnius georgas 16:59 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GVI Jay 16:37 GMT
I very well understand what you mean but don't quite agree. I have no doubt it is good for a forum. But the main question remains : Is it good for him ?
every single rule he learned was very heavily earned. everyone who knows the price of being successful in fx , will keep his mouth strongly shout up.
its just my two cents.

KL KL 16:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw out short gbpusd 1.8544 at 1.8534 earlier and limit trigger was working....just doze off and now eager to get in.

long usdcad 1.1830..i think low enough

short gbpusd at 1.8586 for quick play

Bris TW 16:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 16:51 GMT
Some very good some not so bad. Not very bad as the stop is a must 20 should be enough depending on the levels strength.

Atlanta-South 16:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JAY is so correct, we should ALL be glad there are those that are willing to help by giving their time & hard earned knowledge that it tooks them years to gain. Again, thanks to ALL that use this forum. YOU have helped me many times.

pd cumino 16:51 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW. Thank you. Hope you had very good results with your method. G/T.

Dallas GEP 16:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Ok took a SMALL long on usd/cad @ 1.1828. Thuis COULD very well collapse from here or it COULD long 50-60 PIPS 15 pip stop

Dallas GEP 16:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Ok took a SMALL long on usd/cad @ 1.1828. Thuis COULD very well collapse from here or it COULD long 50-60 PIPS 15 pip stop

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Even Fundementals are Technical----> Just 101 compared to the second

Bris TW 16:42 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp is trying to cross the levels last time I shorted it last year.(dont trade it often) .7040 and .7070 keys to upside.

Zurich Picasso 16:40 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004

And no, i never follow anyones suggests about the trades.
Here i try to listen to the general ideas about market
trends and moods, which could help me with my own insights.

And i don't believe in 30pip stop which is really common
between day traders. I think a 50 pip swing is common
without any fundamental/technical reasoning.

If you are interested, i am short in aud/jpy from 81.40 since
last week.

Dublin Flip 16:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
tg you've got to remember not all spreads are equal.
A three pip spread in euro @ 1.30 is the same as a two pip spread at 85 e.g. Euro 230 per million-LOL

Bris TW 16:38 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
For Cable weeks ago 1.8070 break was 1.88+ target for me and still in quite a few lots too ;) Raised stops to 1.8470

GVI Jay 16:37 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius - If you haven't noticed, there is a true spirit of a global community on Global-View. You should be thankful that those with experience are willing to interact with others of less experience, which is what makes our community unqiue. Also, the spirit of community encourages our members to give for they know they will receive information that is useful in return.

Bris TW 16:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 16:20 GMT

For the first day of new week I use 1 hr high and low of previous week. 1.2087-1.1890
-27.0= 1.1837 I add 10 to that cause of nice "clean" fxc_ data. 1.1827 should be low for first day of new week with CAD using FXC_ data.

1.1769 should be next if that low broken and if 1.1769 then 1.1572? This is for the current week.

SanFrancisco TG 16:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Flip - All true. Yet, it should be tighter, no excuse in the 21st century. I know because I've seen a 2 pip spread hold a firestorm on a data release. Unfortunately, we're just a pinch away before they start competing responsibly to offer it. It isn't like 1980 when it was about matching paper I'm told.

Zurich Picasso 16:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004

Just because i suggested not to rely on gurus, doesn't
mean that i am agains GEP.
My religion may not be in line with 15pip "profit", but thats
just a point of view.

Calabash TarHeel 16:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
knoxville dan-k 16:22 GMT November 22, 2004
Usually. The Kiwi, with it's higher interest rate has a tendency to hold a little stronger than the aud. IMO

Vilnius georgas 16:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 16:15 GMT
i have been fallowing your posts long time ago.And what i don't understand :
why do you need to share what you have gained through soo many years.

London Flip 16:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip- I think TG was refering to Ccy futures rather than STIR futures.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
when U log on into platform...should play Private Dancer...the Numbers will drive u wild

knoxville dan-k 16:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
does the nzd/usd pretty much mimic the aud/usd?

Dallas GEP 16:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Eur/gbp shorts STARTING to work. usd/cad longs appear to be developing.

Bruxville Jim 16:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:07 // You wanted aud/cad to drop... Aussie didn't give in to Martin prayers... The goose took off into the skies instead... That's THAT simple.
btw, e/cad downtrend is still intact (was confirmed by touching 1.57 near the end of last week).

pd cumino 16:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004
Thank you. How you are calculating? I'm not expert.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
when You take a loss from cad...should another BOB Marley:
I shot the Shariff

GOES B747 16:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
747

HK Kevin 16:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:07, Re: EUR/JPY, I am waiting for 135.20 to re-short, may be tomorrow.

River Falls_USA_ PB 16:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG/ OK SZ
It will change…it already has. Pip spreads have narrowed dramatically ever since forex has entered the “public domain”. The spread now is a built in commission for broker/dealers with extra juice trading with their interbank partners. More legitimate competition will narrow the spread (comish) even more IMO gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Should Play auto...song..By: Bob Marley..."don't let him fool You"
Every time You click cad

Bruxville Jim 16:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
15:52...add some 5 big figs to current rate...you get the picture:)
I'll be impressed if Loonie really turns at those points. But for now it's simple - one of those prices will indeed hit first... Drop the coin NOW!

Dublin Flip 16:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
tg Futures spreads in intrest rates and FX are not comparable. For starters Intrest rates hardly move these days. Spreads are a function of volatilty nothing else. If someone can't make money using a three point spread and zero costs he's got bigger problems than can be addressed here. FX moves around so much (even on a dull day like this) that if you want to sell at certain rate (say on the side of the spread) you only need to wait 10seconds. The guys providing the liquidity (even on the platforms) have a much harder job than many here realise. Liquidity is not as consistent as people think . If it was we'd sit here for 8 hours 39/44 like the euro-dollar futures market often does.

HK Kevin 16:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:07, I remember in the old days. When the goose decides to jump, it can move 3 big figures in a day.

Bris TW 16:14 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:07
Not many do. Oil Man used to. Where is uncle oily anyhow?

ny amc 16:09 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
River..........Thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I really Don't Understand this cad...
almost everthing is perfect...but this

River Falls_USA_ PB 16:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 16:00 GMT November 22, 2004///large option or spread expiration like Ldn mentioned, without much reason for momentum prior tends to keep a pair hovering on one side or the other. Post expiry a pair may…and I mean may…might…possibly gravitate to and through that number. gt

HK Kevin 16:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF still support the correction of EUR is underway. So hold my stops, and let my short EUR/$ and long$/CHF positions run overnight.

gold coast martin 16:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   


Bruxville Jim 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004
For the 5th time in 3 weeks.....YES.....G/T

SanFrancisco TG 16:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SZ - When you think about it, fx is the most liquid market, and advertised as such dominantly. So there should be no trouble matching orders consistent with a futures spread of 1 or 2 pips right? If you can't you shouldn't be in business, even with a fast market, I've seen stock futures rocket on data and hold the spread. I don't think there's much question the spread at current rates is a gouge.

Bris TW 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 15:49 GMT

FIBS mate whatelse? Next below 1.1788 , 1.1769 and 1.1694

Bruxville Jim 16:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
martin, you still expecting 0.63 (or was it 0.60) Aussie around year end?

re: zurich - that's a cool city in das Schweiz...

Dear 'Zurich' guy/gal, what has Gep done to you? Did you enter into longs together with Gep with a 1:100 leverage and then bailed out of them at the very bottom in fears that your stop will be hit? My condolences to you.

ny amc 16:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
River Falls..........if you dont mind can you explain why you said that ? thanks

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:59 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 15:51 GMT November 22, 2004 ///time to load up short on the pair intraday, huh. gt

SanFrancisco TG 15:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SZ - Yes I trade futures as well, and actually began with them years ago. I'm thinking that nature will take its course and larger futures firms will begin offering tighter fx spreads and the other "dealers" will be forced to do the same. Eventually I think the NFA will not take kindly to the ripoff spreads we see now. I've seen futures firms already tightening spreads appropriately.

ny amc 15:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
LDN.........can you explain that as to how that moves a currency and its intrady movement ? Thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 15:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 11:32 GMT - USD/CAD : 1.2304 is the upside target and 1.1360 is the downside target for my 3-month projection profile.

Ldn 15:51 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD Size of 1.3000 Expiries Estimated at Yard

pd cumino 15:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 15:47 GMT November 22, 2004
Why if CAD drops through 1.1829 its target is 100 pips lower?

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin/Moscow Vasya – thanks for the humor. Needed something other than coffee to perk up this slow day! Mr. Bean is a favorite of mine! Just trying to take bites within ranges today. Will not put swing or position trades on today. gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
aus/yen short

Bris TW 15:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
If CAD drops through 1.1829 its target is 100 pips lower. Good to try a long here with tight stop.

GER ad 15:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Long USD/CAD at 1.1837 tight S/L

hk mom 15:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
gecko, do you have any new trading idea?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/yen short here

JHB CDB 15:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I have been monitoring this site a while now, and can see who actually know what they are talking about.

It is not grabing everyone trandomly, but talking with people behind the sceens

gold coast martin 15:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Moscow Vasya 15:34 GMT November 22, 2004
..i understand that you mean MR Bean the actor not BIN laden the terrorist,although there is not a great deal of difference between an expert advisor and a terrorist....different type of terror....g/t

OK SZ 15:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
TG, was reading thru some posts from earlier and noticed you said something about futures vs. retail fx..are you trading futures or the fx? just curious as a lot of my friends trade futures due to the spreads in fx..

Moscow Vasya 15:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Valdez recommended Dallas Gep as an expert advisor :) ! That makes me remember a movie about mister Bin where he was sent to america as a great art expert. :)

Dallas GEP 15:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Zurich, I actually agree with that. One has to find their own way but I have had alot of people help me along the way and I am in NO WAY a guru of any sort for they do not exist IMO.

SanFrancisco TG 15:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
$Cad extending 110 pips or so since Asian open. Can surely go lower still, but as it exhausts the risk/reward is stacked heavily in favor of pulling up, so a matter of not getting to trigger happy with 5 minute charts, letting a smooth floor develop pays off for me usually in this kind of scenario.

Zurich 15:30 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB 15:17 GMT November 22, 2004

1st lesson - don't look for guru's in the woods.
or anywhere else for that matter.

JHB CDB 15:29 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Thank you, could you send Jay the request? I think he is tired of me trying to e-mail everybody.

Just eager to learn.

Dallas GEP 15:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Sure CDB. I would be glad to help anyway I can.

Lagos bao 15:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
wheres this eur$ gbp$ market goin today guys?!

JHB CDB 15:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Hi Gep, I understand from Valdez that you are a busy guy. I am very interested in becoming a day trader, but lack the experience, and would really appreciate some advice off-line. Valdez tells me you come highly recommended.

Could I e-mail you?






JHB CDB 15:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips

Thank You Bahrain

Dallas GEP 15:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
tOOK SOME MORE Eur/gbp SHORT @ .7030

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
say yen
USDJPY 103.4082 102.8158 Sell
short it at 103.40 stoploss at 103.40+30 Pips=103.70
PT=say 103.10 area...and before the 4 hours is over

bandung mbonky 14:59 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
i thought it will be within 10 pips for your stop :)

JHB CDB 14:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips

I take it the number to the right is then the SL?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
for stop offset the entry with these pips
EURUSD 30
USDJPY 30
GBPUSD 30
USDCHF 30
EURCHF 30
AUDUSD 30
USDCAD 30
NZDUSD 30
EURGBP 30
EURJPY 39.5776573
GBPJPY 44.90039194
CHFJPY 30
GBPCHF 44.22812415
EURAUD 46.18653928
EURCAD 41.09824961
AUDCAD 30
AUDJPY 30

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB 14:48 GMT November 22, 2004 //
The ones that have Buy...> Only Buy at the left number
Visa Versa...
Hold means don't mess with it
This only for a few hours...3 - 4 Tops
If it doesn't into our favour...Get out within the Hours
if it does Take an Average of 10-20 pips

JHB CDB 14:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips

If you don't mind explaining your stats?

What is your entry and SL on the specific currency?

Halifax CB 14:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM - I hope you like cold weather :). Anyway, the good numbers mean my looking for counter moves in the USDCAD are off; it's back to looking for good entry points in line with the trend. However, the downtrend in $CAD (on the dailies) appears to be slowing significantly, and the risk of getting back into the mid 1.9's at least is pretty large..GL/GT...

JHB CDB 14:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Sa Pat

I had sent you the e-mail recently. Chat to you latter

HK Kevin 14:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:38 GMT, sorry. No need to answer. I got it.

SA Pat 14:42 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB
Send me a email so that i have your mail address in the mean time.

HK Kevin 14:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:38 GMT, what does "Hold" mean? Stay sidelined.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:38 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I don't think I should try to trade swing..Day Trading always been good to me...
I am Doing this today for next 3-4 hours

EURUSD 1.3075 1.2970 Hold
USDJPY 103.4082 102.8158 Sell
GBPUSD 1.8636 1.8421 Sell
USDCHF 1.1708 1.1549 Hold
EURCHF 1.5198 1.5104 Buy
AUDUSD 0.7851 0.7785 Hold
USDCAD 1.2048 1.1751 Sell
NZDUSD 0.7118 0.7060 Buy
EURGBP 0.7045 0.7001 Buy
EURJPY 134.8139 133.7344 Sell
GBPJPY 192.2177 189.5603 Sell
CHFJPY 89.0208 88.1034 Sell
GBPCHF 2.1658 2.1506 Hold
EURAUD 1.6690 1.6565 Sell
EURCAD 1.5673 1.5273 Sell
AUDCAD 0.9401 0.9146 Sell
AUDJPY 80.9944 80.2941 Sell

JHB CDB 14:25 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
That is cool, looking forward to meet another contact in the trading sceen.

I believe knowledge is power, And I lack a lot.

SA Pat 14:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB
I will get in touch later tonight about 8h00 our time.

bandung mbonky 14:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Isa FC, i dont think boj will intervene the market at this level and this moment. if u recall jan-mar this year they enter the market when jpy moved a bit stable and not in rush hour. and corrct me if i am wrong, they (boj n japan exporters)'ve already talked about jpy under 100, and it didnt bother them at all. for today, they (japan gov) only have one option, that is play a little harsh to china to float their yuan (or intervene the market). anybody have any idea??

pat SA, altough iam not a guru, but you can see that gbp has weak fundamental at this time after BOE rise interst rate for 5 times. at the same time usd have the same problem with their twin deficit, and people (or market) eat this twin deficit sentiment and drag usd to the bottom (eur fly to blue sky). and u must remember that GB has EU as its biggest trade partner instead of USA. so you must watch eurgbp chart to understand this gbp lagging movement.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I think Trading should the same as Film Rating
Currencies are like harror movies...(Have to >25 Years to trade)
Options...not sure...maybe should have maximum age as well...Maybe strok...before strik

Tokyo IM 14:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Canada is way to go. Man this guys are good. Want to live there.

JHB CDB 14:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SA Pat

Thank, Will do

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I think In general

AUDCAD 0.9376 -
AUDJPY 81.0875 -
AUDUSD 0.7847 0.7642
CHFJPY 89.3072 87.9790
EURAUD 1.6783 1.6584
EURCAD 1.5876 1.5468
EURCHF 1.5201 1.5116
EURGBP - 0.6991
EURJPY 135.1743 133.4844
EURUSD 1.3057 1.2962
GBPCHF 2.1708 2.1504
GBPJPY 193.1069 190.5791
GBPUSD 1.8594 1.8399
NZDUSD 0.7119 0.7040
USDCAD 1.2078 1.1890
USDCHF 1.1670 1.1581
USDJPY 104.4432 102.7705

SA Pat 13:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB
Ask Jay for my email.

JHB CDB 13:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Close to Alberton.

My day trading is bad, I was hoping in getting some pointers?

SA Pat 13:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB

What part of Jhb your in?

SA Pat 13:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
The "States" bru :)

JHB CDB 13:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
In which area are you PAT?

SA Pat 13:38 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB

Usually position trades, but have been doing day trades aswell lately.

JHB CDB 13:30 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SA Pat

Hi, how are you doing?
What type of trades do you do? Swing, position, day

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:30 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
PAt...
Thanks...I think the same as last post for euro

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Guys...from the chart for the euro ( I hardly use anymore)
I think this slow down from last week...might be getting ready to dive for a month or more...
If so then...Might see 1.270 buy early next week
some correction..Mabe 1.2850 then to 1.2550

SA Pat 13:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Question to all the guru's?
Why is cable lagging behind the rest of the majors.

If you know the answer:please post
If you think you know the answer:please post
If your not sure:try anyway

Thanks....gt

Bahrain 10 pips, your view will be appreciated

Flower City ISA 13:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
London, is there any possibility for intervention from BOJ if the JPY reach 102.00 ? about 2 hours ago, i also read news about the BOE probability to enter the market if the euro goes up again too quickly.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
bandung mbonky 13:07 GMT November 22, 2004
//
I hav'nt analysed to tell the truth..
Just from what I recall from last month's analysis


Just did from thr chart...
I think U're right...going back to 45 maybe from 50

knoxville dan-k 13:10 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
seems like a lack of volume out their today

bandung mbonky 13:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
i dont think so bahrain, its just about the heating oil, if us confirm their adequate heating oil stock for winter it will be bearish for crude oil. market has lacks of bad news compared to 2-3 months ago. its just about sentiment, isn it??

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dax should take good beating for a month

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
AukLand...Did You buy cad?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Oil should start going up again I think...Might see 60 this time

HK [email protected] 12:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   

Cad.

If the target and support at 1.1860 will not give way, a long term recoil may extend up to 1.2370.

bandung mbonky 12:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
gee..waiting is sucks... i thought eur will break at least 13070 to lick anyone's stop before sliding below 13000. i put my short up there

NJ RT 12:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts about EUR/USD and USD/JPY ?
Thanks

SanFrancisco TG 12:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
JP - smoking again pal? :) Futures 1-2 pips spread, instant execution, $5-$7 flat commission round turn. Stocks same. I think you're so obsessed with politics you are missing the boat on retail FX still being outlandish with spread fees. Either that or your not serious and are just being sarcastic, which is what I hope.

Mtl JP 12:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
TG 11:44 / in a free (and democratic) market, any rate that two parties volontarily agree on and accept is legitimate. As far as I know no-one is forced to accept any dael, much less a deal, they can simply walk away if they do not like what they see. What exactly is this scale of "relatively legitimate" you seem to compare to ? Relatively legitimate to what?

Halifax CB 11:54 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Though I think that the $ is headed lower in the mt, in the ST it looks to be moving sideways vs. the Euro & CAD. so we're are looking for sell points in Euro with SL's around 1.306, and buy points for CAD with SL's around 1.88 for ST trading only.

SanFrancisco TG 11:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain - saw your comment about _firm lowing spreads to 4 pips. Unimpressive. When firms lower them across the board to 2 pips they will be providing relatively legitimate spread for the first time.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Doing some yen soon
USDJPY 104.443187 102.770468
Sara or Ivan...Not sure ..:)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL
No worries ...going to 1.8380 soon

berlin otto 11:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Good morning LA and USA,
my opinion for today is:

buy gbpusd at 1,8559

target 1,8600

hedge sell 1,8525

The dolars weakness is on the way.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 10:57 GMT November 22, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips are you looking to long cad on intraday???

Yes I am with these in mind
USDCAD 1.2077 1.1890

Flower City ISA 11:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Although i have analized that the euro is still have the power to go up, but still i took the euro short position on 1.3024, and right now it still floating loss, according to your analysis will i still have a chance to close this position and take a little profit by today ( before US market closed) ?

Spr Noods 11:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q

any 3 months view on the Cad
prancing an option play...thanks

London. 11:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Flower City ISA the odds are for a correction for the USD probably this week, watching the Aud seems to be struggling here a little which could reflect s/t dollar moving higher also USD index may also be in for a upward correction ,

san francisco pansy 11:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Flower City ISA 11:17 GMT November 22, 2004
anal....ised....you got that right....

Flower City ISA 11:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
london, where do you think the euro will go ?
according to my analysis, the long term trend is going to reverse, but when i analized the shorter period, it seem that it still have enough power to make uptrend move, do you agree with me ?

Auckland 10:57 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips are you looking to long cad on intraday???

SG 10:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
09:17 GMT - BOC Gov [DODGE] is on the wire saying the recent Cad appreciation is not inappropriate. The comments will go some way to helping the Cad recover recent losses, brought about by concerns the rise of the Loonie was causing political and monetary policy concern. The trade minister has been vocal about the impact to exports following the recent trade data, while also this weekend Dodge said the higher Cad would be taken into account when setting policy. While this could see a December rate hike postponed, the other reasons behind a strong Cad remain in place as the fiscal position of Canada could not be more different to that south of the border. For Usd/Cad, losses to 1.1920-25 have just been registered as the headline hit the wires, with an extension lower to the recent 1.1875 base a possibility.

KL KL 10:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8544 ....stalling here ... no more fuel?? or a bear/bull trap. Don't know if you don't take a possie...here goes and lets see!!

HK Kevin 10:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Once again, USD doesn't react as expected to negative news.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
any have 1.2070 for cad Target? TIA

Antwerp Tom 10:38 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
If USDCAD is a "leading indicator" for EURUSD, then expect an upmove in €/$ soon imho GL GT

Hong Kong Qindex 10:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : My daily cycle charts indicate that the market is going to vibrate around the level at 1.1931.

London. 10:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
THEMES TO WATCH – UPCOMING SESSION


EUR/USD may blast higher still if it can remain north of 1.3000, but we are a bit cautious at these levels, as once an “event risk” is out of the way – one often gets the opposite reaction to the recent trend. Our basic theory is that we may be able to count on one more drop in the USD – before a rather large scale correction sets in.

Little data this week as Thursday and half of Friday are closed for US THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. Watch 1.3000 level in EUR/USD.

censored BANK

Hong Kong Qindex 10:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Auckland 10:14 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I agree with PipPirate r=7042/5 and next 7075/8

Eur/GBP 10:11 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

Rivonia PipPirate 10:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw Projected r & s e/g for today:
....6975..7000.....<< s......r > 7027..7041/5....7066...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/GbP 0.699110606
I only have a buy Level

Hong Kong Qindex 10:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : The next target is 1.8482.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


B) : ... 190.09 // 190.40 - 190.71 - 191.01 - 191.32 - 191.62 - 191.93 // 192.23 ...

Ldn 10:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Would intervention by ECB and BoJ work without the Fed? would be surprised if it didn't, given "overextended nature of USD shorts." Also with US rates heading higher and with US growth likely to hold up compared with that in Europe and Asia, steam will be taken out of USD's slide as two-way risk returns to market in longer term.
RedTower Research

Los Angeles ss 09:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Comments on GBPUSD for the remainder of the London session?

Hong Kong Qindex 09:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : the following is still valid in the London Session.


Hong Kong Qindex 01:52 GMT November 22, 2004
GBP/JPY : My daily cycle charts indicate that the market is likely to trade between 190.41 - 192.52 in Asian session.


... // 190.41* - 190.94 - 191.47 - 192 // 192.52* ...

Eur/GBP 09:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
any comments On EUR/GBP
thanks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBPCHF 2.170822463 2.150407978

hk ab 09:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
babies, short all cad crosses. GL to all, have an appointment.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
ab
is this doing it's Job?
0002.HK 49.40858617 43.33223073 Buy 44.4 Long

gold coast martin 09:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 09:30 GMT November 22, 2004
It is cyclical ab...you know better than any one else:Patience.....with the commodity currencies "what is expensive today is cheap tommorow and vias versa"..g.t

Gen dk 09:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EURCHF 1.520143599 1.511614982
all though seems like a sell now

hk ab 09:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Then, cad can share the burden for euro and yenny.

hk ab 09:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
cad rushing to parity soon.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Cad is gonna Blow Now...Yee haaaa

hk ab 09:30 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
iw//tks.
I think Chinese immigrants number to Canada, NZ and Aussie will have a drastic decrease in the near future, including my family.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Cad is a buy Traders

prague jv 09:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
back to shorting gbp/usd game .

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD 1.207752399 1.189034337

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:23 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
3-4 days la

Helsinki iw 09:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
BOC:s Dodge on the wires: against intervention, CAD:s rise not excessive.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USDJPY 104.443187 102.770468

Gen dk 09:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Uk dan 09:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
seems like the euro is waiting for the 200 pip a day slide to start.

Los Angeles ss 09:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
10 Pips -- what is your time frame for the ranges that you post? Thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Cable Has to be a sell

hk ab 09:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Very interesting dlr/cad dive.

hk ab 09:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
RHood, any link?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Cable's Range
GBPUSD 1.8594 1.8398

London RHood 09:14 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SNB said they wont buy anymore dollar assets this morning.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
chf shorting at 16.70

KL KL 09:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out short usdchf 116.39 at 22 +17 out long eurusd 130.20 at 37 + 17...flat now

knoxville dan-k 08:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
im on eastern standerd time, what is best time in morning for trading?

Tokyo IM 08:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL KL, I have been watching Japanese stocks today and found only 1 - 2 at plus rest were all minus. I guess cheappo dollar really starts showing the effect. I am not sure about BOJ boys but they sure are to outsource keying to India. Cause that password will need to recover soon. Some traders here say that Yen will go till 95 before we will see very good rebounce to a reality. So you can draw conclusions from here.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Moscow Vasya 08:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
peeps = people, that was a deal on usd rise

Moscow Vasya 08:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Often think that i caught the "key moment" and there's no need in big stop - but experience shows its untrue :(((

knoxville dan-k 08:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
moscow, who is peeps?

Moscow Vasya 08:41 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
My problem is that i put too little stops (15-20 pts) so i loose too early on them, often i need to reinstal the position after stop works.

KL KL 08:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Moscow Vasya, not to mention DOUBLE YOUR LOSS...so sl is very important!!

KL KL 08:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Moscow Vasya, sometimes when you play both quick enough you can catch nice profit but need quick hands and fast decision + eyes...not all the time you can catch

KL KL 08:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Moscow Vasya, sometimes when you play both quick enough you can catch nice profit but need quick hands and fast decision + eyes...not all the time you can catch

Moscow Vasya 08:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
wait knoxwille - peeps just made their bets - let see where it turns

KL KL 08:29 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo IM, kunin-chiwah? Domo arigato....actually you forget to mention I now have bionic fingers after years of catching falling knife. Sometimes not as good as real hands..LOL Nikkie had a heart attack today...how is prognosis from BOJ...the last time they were jumping up and down near palace but emperor ignore them due to wedding bells. I am sure the emperor have the password....unless...oh no he lost it too??....so in the meantime Japan outsource keying of password combination to India/china...9 trillion combination??

knoxville dan-k 08:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
well short from friday nzd/usd any opnions on a target ? was hoping for 7025

Moscow Vasya 08:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Oh sorry - you just sold them both

Riyadh NADER 08:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL, it seems that the EURUSD is gonna break the 1300 support

Moscow Vasya 08:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL - didnt it make sence just sell EUR/CHF pair?

KL KL 08:12 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Riyadh NADER, if I am dollar bull short term I take a short of eurusd + a corresponding long of something...in this case usdchf is near all time low...so make sense to long it.

ok out usdchf 116.39 +30 out eurusd 130.20 +30....SAR for both here...and that took care of mu hang seng loss. Maybe stick to currency how. lets see what happens now to my eur long and chf short...remember sl is 10 by default unless specified

Tokyo IM 08:10 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Riyadh NADER 08:08 GMT November 22, 2004// KL KL is always trying to catch the knife cause he is a Last FX Samurai. And he is very good at it. Do not try to follow him cause he is too fast.

Riyadh NADER 08:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL, IT HAS ALREADY STARTED TO MOVE YOUR DIRECTION...GOOD ONE

KL KL 08:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Riyadh NADER, sometimes I am a contrarian and end of year still 6 weeks away...retrace can be deep to flush out stale longs...anyway like now some are still thinking eur can go to 132-135...gbp 1.88....I just trade within my style and as long as you make profit ....good luck to those usd bears!!..looks like it is happening!!

Riyadh NADER 08:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL , Why are you long USDCHF

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 08:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD is currently in my intraday sell zone so 202x areas or lesser may be possible.

gl.
TIA:-)

KL KL 07:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
long usdchf 116.09 short eurusd 130.50

Riyadh NADER 07:56 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
But the momentum for equity markets is higher as the us market are expected ti increase as it usually does in thanksgiving week and do not forget the end of year + effect.

KL KL 07:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Riyadh NADER, nothing that is why I am tempted to reshort. ...forgot the spread is 12 in hang seng ...silly silly me


out gbpusd 1.8580 +4 will reshort higher...looks like Friday action

sofia anmart fx 07:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD is a buy for 1.3082-99 S?R at 1.3015.

NewYork frankie 07:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
sold euro 1.3050 stop 1.3075 tp 50 pips

bandung member 07:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
could it be the week of consolidation (instead of retracement) for eur???

Ina co'z 07:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello All....

Got resistance for cable at....1.8685...GL/GT....

Riyadh NADER 07:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
wHAT IS PUSHING THE HANG SANG HIGHER ANY IDEA?

KL KL 07:33 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
prague jv, its about margin & profitable trades....at any time max margin use is 35-40%. I gues I do over trade sometimes...sometimes it is like giveme...giveme....and I cannot ignore

btw short gbpusd 1.8585...ouch hang seng short taken out now need to focus on currency....I need 50 gain today to pay for hang seng loss

Moscow Vasya 07:32 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I dont know, the experience shows that my trading signals doesnt even worth a censored, but they say that buying usd in the second half of the day will be good thing :)

London. 07:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bob Parker Economist on CNBC european squawkbox says that if the Euro stays higher than 135 in '05 it can push the EU into a recession.

RY NS 07:29 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Any creative trading idea for today??

Bribane L 07:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 07:15 no my point being is that Aussie stocks are now having a slight height problem aussie dollar probably causing a bit of profit taking up here also.

prague jv 07:24 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL KL
I 'd like to know your deffinition of overtrading .If you dont mind asking me . Thx.

KL KL 07:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out usdchf +7 at 116.13...rats my hang seng short got taken...reshort 13781 sl 13810...that hurts

sofia anmart fx 07:17 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD is a buy at the market for 1.3082. S/R at 1.3015.

KL KL 07:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bribane L, nothing suprising like currency the higher they go the bigger the retracement...you into stocks and index??

Bribane L 07:06 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Australian Shares End Down 1.1%; Largest Fall In 6 Mos

Brisbane PhD 07:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bht EUR/USD 1.3033. Initial stop 1.3003.

KL KL 07:00 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out usdchf 1.1620 +11-7 = +4.....just to reduce total loss. Looking to focus on gbpusd now to short or usdchf short....

ok short usdchf at 1.1620 sl 7 above

KL KL 06:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Well GEP...I got stopped usd chf still alive...maybe not for very long..should have!!

Tokyo IM 06:45 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Good day all.

KL KL 06:44 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, you are right with my stops...very very tight now...cos either I am right or wrong in this volotile days...lately my broker have been mucking around with the spread of 3-5. I took that possie just because gold and usdyen reallying...for a moment....right now I think waiting for London to wake up. should have taken the few pips on offer just now for both usdchf & gbpusd...should have...oh well GL GT

Dallas GEP 06:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
KL just to clarify for example on your gbp short @ 1.8581, basically if after you get in that possie if it LONGS just 3 pips assuming spread of 4 pips you at that time are STOPPED out correct????

KL KL 06:23 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
long usdchf 1.1609

KL KL 06:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8581 sl 1.8588

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
doing this today

EURUSD 1.3057 1.2974 Sell
USDJPY 103.8089 102.7705 Buy
GBPUSD 1.8594 1.8489 Sell
USDCHF 1.1679 1.1581 Buy
EURCHF 1.5161 1.5116 Buy
AUDUSD 0.7847 0.7784 Sell
USDCAD 1.1975 1.1890 Buy
NZDUSD 0.7119 0.7071 Sell
EURGBP 0.7035 0.6991 Buy
EURJPY 135.3170 133.4844 Buy
GBPJPY 192.6726 190.5791
CHFJPY 89.3072 87.9981
GBPCHF 2.1667 2.1504 Buy
EURAUD 1.6714 1.6584 Buy
EURCAD 1.5619 1.5468 Buy
AUDCAD 0.9376 0.9284 Sell
AUDJPY 81.0875 80.1528 Sell

NewYork frankie 06:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
range trading seems to be the order of the day. Euro will probably trade in the 1.3050 -1.2990 band until Tuesday. I then forsee a breakout of the triangle formation to 1.3150/00 and a little retracement to 1.31 The pullbacks are getting mighty shallower each time which indicates a heck of a lot of buying interest. The lame duck at this stage appears to be cable. Every other day it seems to play leapfrog with the Euro in terms of pip and % daily increase and is thus keeping the Eurgbp trapped in a tight range. Excellent for scalping but nothing else. I also believe the Cad will see a lower bottom this week and then a good retracement. Aussie, despite all the talk of being heavily O/B is a good buy at these levels to probe .79 this week, and again a good pullback. Wouldn't touch usd yen with a barge pole. Just my 2cents worth.

toronto dr.unken kat 06:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain , what makez you think its short

hk jc 06:03 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
hi, just asking if there are any rumorse of japan intervention?tia.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
aus short here

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
short euro here Target 1.2970

KL KL 05:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out long gbpusd 1.8581 from 67 +14......volitile day is good gl gt. will reshort higher...I think all currency need a push or let id drop and retrace...imho

KL KL 05:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out eurjpy 134.68 +4
out gbpusd 1.8567 +4 SAR here long sl 7 below...maybe more up first based on hourly

Beijing cx 05:46 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax--The almost fx traders who make margin trade use website.

sg kingpin 05:38 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
open any paper or read any article and you will see the dollar is heading to oblivion towards unimaginable lows.
keep picking up dollars all the way till 1.35. for a long term investment range over a year+.

KL KL 05:36 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
in short gbpusd 1.8571 v. short term play

prague jv 05:23 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Good afternoon JF , and thanks
I agree with you on that one. I have not gone into eur/jpy just yet . Eur/Gbp is almoust where it was all last week , and I thing it will come litle bit down from there , but havent got any sign about when . Euro is not good for long or short on moust pairs , and I am comtemplaning to put it on side , till more clear .
Jpy is in stong trend , but is ready to give some back and just waiting for impulse for it to join and it will be for me the only move I am willing to put on , atleast for now .
If I were a doctor and looked at GBP , I wud thing it is close to death , coz there is not movement in it on litle bit larger time frime than 5 min .
Just sitting on the side line is ok for me , and once U said , that no position is possition as well . So I did take the advice for now .
Hope for good trading week (holidays - oh well) we will get someting out from it hope .
GL/TK

KL KL 05:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
out audusd at .722 +2 pip other currency are a better plat at the moment imho

Dallas GEP 05:21 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
well for those wanting to SHORT usd/jpy, 103.70 seems like an excellent spot to do that from. You could run a 15-20 pip stop from there. You could ALSO long from HERE but yous stop would need to be wider PLUS bias is still DOWN imo on usd/jpy even with the rhetoric out of Japan

KL KL 05:15 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw shorted some hang seng at 13734..sl 13768

also shorted eurjpy 134.72

Bribane L 05:11 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
US business sees slightly faster growth, weak dlr

Dallas GEP 05:09 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Well I went ahead and took EUR/GBP short @ 7022. While the better possie would be to wait to 7028/30 I think Euro morethan likely will short tonight and even if it doesn't that 7022 level on EUR/GBP is fully recoverable IMO. 7009 is the 2 hour 20 period moving average.

hk mom 05:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Zorro, I am buying euro yen as well. Meet you at 150.

Bribane L 04:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
One way for the EU to do significant damage in the short term to the Euro is to give a surprise rate cut , I dont think it is totally out of the question and would probably be more affective than intervention. Just a thought

tk jf 04:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
jv - i think u are safer in that euryen today - but when europe comes in eur may trade weaker
but $yen appears to have found a bottom for now - with the variety of boj warning today - people want to realise profits - n not risk a 200 pip spike - 135.35 ish still limits topside tho

bandung mbonky 04:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
anybody who short eur should keep an eye on us long holiday

Los Angeles ss 04:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW -- Think if it breaks the sessions low 1.8550 on some momentum might be decent for a short term sell -- US$ index is on the verge of breaking up past it's daily high as well. But cable experiencing lots of volatility this time in the session as you can see.

prague jv 04:08 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
revdax
it is bit late to short eur/jpy here .

LA Fxnew 04:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
anybody touch cable at this moment?

houston st 04:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   

REVDAX -- never short a quiet market...lol...good trades to you this week...

hk revdax 03:59 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Shorting Euro looks tempting! Any takers?

hk revdax 03:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Beijing cx //Do most fx traders use website trading in China?

Beijing cx 03:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Qindex:Thanks!I used the Archive function only to see shanghai bc's articles from now to May 13,2003.But I want to see the articles before May 13,2003.

KL KL 03:35 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
ok for the sake of people gunning for ko at .79 long audusd .7820 sl 7805...Will reshort at near or above .79

sgp cc 03:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB - Agree that adjustments will not be painless, but should not be as painful as the de facto exporter complaint. Structural employment issues is another issue altogether... even if dlrcad was still at 1.50, an Indian call-center worker would probably still be commanding 1/10 the hour wage (total costs are generall much higher due to infrastructure issues).

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:51 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
London
DXNS.L 187.12 151.52 Buy
SPW.L 458.73 390.59 Buy

Hong Kong Qindex 02:50 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:49 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
HK LOng Stock
0002.HK 49.40 43.33 Buy Long

Hong Kong Qindex 02:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Beijing cx 02:39 GMT - Good morning! Use the Archive function key of this page to search all previous articles of Shanghai bc.

Beijing cx 02:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc:I want to see your articles before May 13,2003.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:34 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


prague jv 02:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Yuan peg to ease in stabiliti
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,11456875%5E643,00.html

Halifax CB 02:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
sgp cc - just a little up the road from me is the Halifax Autoport; there's a constant stream of European cars rolling off boats destined for US & Canadian markets. I'd give you fair odds it's going to be a whole lot less busy over the next year...But you are right, the manufacturers who had the sense to set up plants (or keep them) in the US are going to do much better than others. But (to give an example) a substantial # of cars (as well as parts) are built here in Canada under the US-Cdn AutoPact; all the cars destined for the States have seen their labor related costs rise by 30% since the CAD/USD lows. That's going to hurt. And don't forget re-tooling & rescheduling production lines is a big undertaking. Market segments where adaptation is easier and the work is labor intensive - for example, call centers, once touted as the solution to a lot of Eastern Canada's economic woes - are already closing down & moving elsewhere. The real pain has yet to be felt.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:20 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I analysed all stocks sp 500 + Ftse 100 +HK+ NZ and France...
Seems lots of sells these days...
I Think the equity MKT generally Heading south next month

shanghai bc 02:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Morning!
I want to see your articles before May 13,2003.Would you email your all articles to me?Thank for your help.
Good trade!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dr. Q...Thanks
Maybe some outliars in the data I am using.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:14 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:07 GMT - EUR/USD : It is still moving in a very technical manner in my system.

Bribane L 02:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Concerns growing that declining USD could precipitate nasty side effects for U.S. stocks; among most troubling scenarios
Potential for stronger global currencies to hurt growth outside U.S. while touching off rise in rates within U.S. that slows consumer spending there, greenback's weakness is not necessarily good news. Too sharp a drop might slow the export-driven economies of Europe, Canada and Japan, which might jeopardize overseas profit opportunity
Citigroup reports.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:07 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q...:)
U getting Firm output for euro levels?
I am getting sort of funny ones.

chicago joe 02:05 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks, seem like if it's really short those numbers could be attained in one day.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 02:04 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
AUDUSD 0.7880 0.7778 Sell
NZDUSD 0.7144 0.7003 Sell
Maybe not for ten days

chicago joe 02:02 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, could you please tell me what's your target for the low in the aud in the next 10 days.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:59 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 01:55 GMT - GBP/USD : I will post the daily cycle analysis in my page later.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 01:58 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GBPUSD 1.8656 1.8444 Sell

Los Angeles ss 01:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Q-- what do you see for GBPUSD trading range for this Asian session? Thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 01:55 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
GM all
Selling NZ Near here and aussie

Hong Kong Qindex 01:52 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:52 GMT November 22, 2004
GBP/JPY : My daily cycle charts indicate that the market is likely to trade between 190.41 - 192.52 in Asian session.


... // 190.41* - 190.94 - 191.47 - 192 // 192.52* ...

Gen dk 01:39 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 01:28 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
7053 stop 6995 TP

sgp cc 01:27 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
I find all the chatter about higher currencies hurting exports to be so much b-s. Any global manufacturer/exporter worth its salt should have built up plants in multiple country sites, put in place alternative supply chains and do have the option of hedging their fx exposures. For example, Honda is in the midst of expanding their transmission plant in the US - and only a couple of the Acura models are NOT built/assembled in the US. So not matter what the European and Japanese politicos might jabber on about, their businessmen are savvy enough to diversify their manufacturing bases. Of course, it still means that in local currency terms, their earnings will suffer assuming constant $ sales.. and it does mean that some manufacturing will be shifted back state-side. Which makes a lot of policy sense for the Bush administration to pursue. The foreign creditors (mostly central banks) were stupid enough put themselves in the current position where they will have no choice but to help stem any disorderly drops in the dollar to protect their existing treasury hoard. While it may have made sense on an individual country level, it just created a huge moral hazard and collective hole for themselves.

Philadelphia Caba 01:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:18 GMT November 22, 2004
7030 short order is waitng on EUR/GBP

May I ask you on your s/l? Thanks.

Atlanta-South 01:25 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Big fish always try to eat the small fish. SO, they must know where to find them.

Bribane L 01:19 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Won Too Strong Vs Asian Currencies BOK aide saying , could get them and the BOJ in together.

Dallas GEP 01:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
7030 short order is waitng on EUR/GBP

Sydney 01:01 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Would imagine many CB watch site like GV to get the feel of the specs

Los Angeles ss 00:53 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, GEP!

houston st 00:48 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- with all the talk of intervention I don't imagine most of us small-timers want to short $ near the lows...better to wait for Europe or for you big $ guys to challenge BOJs trigger points, which to me is closer to 102 @ the moment...I'd love to see an intervention spike today....gl/gt...

WISCONSIN TIM -- your Packers will have to play in a dome tonight here in Houston, as they closed the roof with all the bad weather we've had...I believe the Pack is 16-23 in domes...gl to the cheese heads, as this place really rocks when the roof is closed...

Dallas GEP 00:47 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
SS, cable IMO is VERY dangerous....you could assume a top of around 1.8640...looks a little bearish now but I don't think I would short OR long it from here

Los Angeles ss 00:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Gep -- your feelings on cable?

Syd 00:43 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
The Journal also wrote that his statement suggested that a rate cut "is as likely as a rate increase, though neither may be imminent." Gonzalez-Paramo's statement represented a sharp change in tone from earlier this month, when the ECB left its key rate on hold at 2% but warned that inflation was "worrisome," the Journal noted. In all, it makes for a compelling investment in eurozone government bonds rather than U.S. Treasuries, some analysts say. Pimco has been making that bet for some time. It has an average position in German bunds of 15% in all of its U.S. indexed portfolios that allow use of foreign bonds

Journal

EU ZORRO 00:42 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa 00:16...imo...

...EURJPY target + 150 medium term....great buy now and Lower if seen...

Dallas GEP 00:40 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
these are NOT confirmed but so far Euro long @ 1.3010 short @ 1.3055 USD/CHF long @ 1.1585 and short @ 1.1630 seem to be decent positons . Too early to tell but USD bias SHORT term seems to be a little bullish IMO

Syd 00:31 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia I hear you ,and talking coffee time for some

melbourne farmacia 00:26 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa – Sorry mate, just out for morning coffee.. No clear view as yet on gbp/yen.. Cable seems to be consolidating between 1.8480 / 1.8620… Suspect the next breakout move will be rather brutal. No real bias at this stage & I don’t consider topside rejection as that important based on pervious cable patterns.

Syd – was looking for 0.7890 after 0.7730 break, but knowing the risk of pullback booked some profits late Friday night.. run the rest… ( Once the Aussie Dollar hits the front page of the SMH / Age… a top is near IMO. Very quiet thus far.. ) This 0.7860/70 area has option related offers so I don’t expect much upside today until / if euro probes 1.3100 offers etc..

Brisbane L 00:22 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc the other point that is confusing , the float of the yuan is suppose to take the pressure of the other majors which have increase against the USD , however it appears that the market is doing the exact opposite , surely if all went to plan the Euro etc would then fall back to more (acceptable ) levels.

Syd 00:18 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
It seems that Vice Finance Minister Watanabe who's in charge of FX policy, has really started to fire the bullets he is heard to be saying ,movement in currencies in the last seven days has been rapid and erratic and this is the proper time to think of intervention everyone giving their opion as usual at what level this is going to happen quite funny really

LA Fxnew 00:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
back to the trading day....
Any view on cable today???


Thanks

nyc sa 00:16 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone trading Eur /jpy ? would u be kind enough to give ur views on this pair ? I personnally feel it is going to break 133.85 , but I can't gauge how low it will go , that is to say what is the bottom of the channel , expert TA would be appreciated . Thnx .

KL KL 00:12 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
China revaluation will happen in 2008 about 1-3 months before olympic games to give the world a +ve gesture and "pretending" to show its openess. Meanwhile China enjoying the power it has over the financial world....they like talking when things are going their way. What I mean by talking is they allow the rumours to swirl as long as it is according to their line of thought. Apart from that this Yuan is just making SLAVES of 500 millions of people in China...and keeping the well connected rich kronies high and mighty. China economic crash would also be spectacular ... you see they think they are the only one offering cheap labour....they think Indonesia, India, Brazil, Argentina, Africa cannot offer the same....of course all bubble have legs to run and time will always be the judge of any economic miracle!!

Syd 00:06 GMT November 22, 2004 Reply   
Iraq planning to hold elections Jan. 30

anyone see this if completed successfully being slightly a positive for the USD.

 




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Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

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