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Forex Forum Archive for 02/03/2004

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Pecs Andras 23:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP
You really have a lot of patience, mate! LOL
I am out, and I just got into an AUD short.

Dallas GEP 23:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Still in USD/JPY long. All else I am square on.

Tokyo Jon 23:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hello all, just type a lengthy view for gbpjpy, but GV sent me back to the login screen, so the short view is, sell 193.60 target 193.30 then 192.89. S/R at 194.10 for 195.40 then 196.10. wide stop and reverse is needed as a volitile seesion is expected. long term view buy targeting 198.40

the sell signal was generated last night at 194.33 and is showing second sell at 193.60

hk ab 0.88 23:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nk, nice sharing.

now we don't see blood.

That means main trend prefer upside? :)

however, summo wrestler looks very ready to sell all they need to sell prior April now. Let's see how low they want to push the tiny poor bird aud/jpy.

have a nice day!

Melbourne Qindex 23:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:11 GMT February 3, 2004
EUR/JPY : 5-Day Cycle Quantise Levels

The critical level of my 5-day cycle is located at 131.04 - 132.08. The upper barrier is positioning at 133.12 // 134.16 and the lower barrier is expected at 128.96 // 130.00.


... 126.87 ... 128.96 // 130.00, 131.04, 132.08, 133.12 // 134.16 ...

Athens 23:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Re "For sure history is zero to me and mac dont make me fear cos in my expirience as a studend learn... etc".

Market knowledge and experience is built on history and battles fought which leave scars if you don't get killed, it isn'r acquired through textbooks and seminars...

Good night all.

saloniko 2004 nk 22:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 17:07 GMT February 3, 2004

hope not mine..lol

I like to press market and always to kill simple views..
Tom is another day and hope till the end of week things to be clear as the sunsine in the blue saloniko sky..

If Euro really want drop need to confirm it as past..(looking the past)
For sure history is zero to me and mac dont make me fear cos in my expirience as a studend learn that most times is delay..
That means that blood is on the streets b4 the real reverse..

Good Night!
I have finished my small Cuba coctail ..

GL
nk

GVI john 22:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2545…. $/yen 105.50
DJIA 10,505, +6 pts…NASDAQ 2,066, +3 pts
10-yr 4.11%, -4 bp’s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI...

Ldn 22:36 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Australia's RBA -2: No Move Had Been Expected

Australia's RBA Keeps Cash Rate Steady At 5.25%

Pecs Andras 22:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys
Does anybody intend to jump in on AUD after the rate decision?
What do you expect if there is a hike, and what if there is no hike?
I think it will shoot up like crazy if there is a hike, but there won't be much selloff if they stay put, maybe just an initial 30-40 pip drop
Any views?

Melbourne Qindex 22:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : the following is still a good reference in the Asia session.

Melbourne Qindex 12:10 GMT February 3, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : The market rhythm of mydaily cycle is represented by 0.003639.

... 1.2307 // 1.2343, 1.2380, (1.2416), 1.2453,1.2489*, 1.2525, 1.2562 // 1.2598 ...

Ldn 21:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
MARKET TALK RBA Expected To Hold Rates

LAX-LGB SNP 21:26 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 20:47 GMT February 3, 2004
thanks man ... hope you did well with all this last minute pre-G7 manouvering, its getting harder
plus these new charts are not making it any easier

Nassau QF (newb) 20:52 GMT February 3, 2004
to be frank i missed yesterday's early rise (am sure OMIL ca$hed in though) anyway my reasons are that London's session retraced its gains closing barely 3 bps higher and Jan's opening level of 1.2593 outlasted the market

Global-View 21:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   

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Ldn 20:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Expect the RBA to stand firm
It is now widely expected that the Reserve Bank will decide to leave interest rates on hold next Tuesday, despite the evidence of a strong rebound in economic growth. By Alan Mitchell (Jan 31) AFR

Any RBA hike today will blow this blokes credibility out of the water being the supposed mouth piece for the press in AUS.

Nassau QF (newb) 20:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
SNP, what was your sell signal for Eur/USD?

Alb Emma 20:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The Big number to watch is the Employment data Friday If it comes in over 200.000 you will see a large Dollar Rally prior to the G7 Meeting. FWIW.

BEIRUT MK 20:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
long eurusd at 1.2535 target 1.2650
buy a break of 1.2730 target recent high
thank you.

YVR MAXXIM 20:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
J-peg or Zip file. i knoop mine dicht.......

Ldn 20:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
beirut jb eased the criteria on loans enabling business to loan more easily helping a pickup in business.

USA Biscuit Boy 20:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
censored SNP you have been a very busy beaver :)

YVR MAXXIM 20:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
7-11 how your gulp closed! ritz crackers.......

LAX-LGB SNP 20:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
with reference to 10:48 GMT February 3, 2004
selling EURUSD below 1.2593 = 2 quarters
selling AUDUSD below 0.7688 = another 2 quarters
selling EURCHF is barely breaking even
selling EURGBP below 0.6864 = 20 bps
selling EURJPY below 132.40-55 yields another 20 bps
selling GBPCHF below 2.2960 stopped @ entry
GBPJPY sell scenario still in th woods
buying USDCHF above 1.24 = 3 quarters
unable to buy USDCAD ahead of 1.3225 and 1.3135 TLs
GL GT everyone :-) have fun

YVR MAXXIM 20:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sor(OS)ry, but maybe my mouth is at "war"!

beirut jb 20:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 20:23 GMT

thank u, but what does mean this in clear english??

Ldn 20:23 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
FED"S SENIOR LOAN OFFICER SURVEY reported an increase in demand for business loans for the first time in four years. According to January survey of 56 US and foreign banks, 18% of domestic banks, on net, reported that they had eased their lending standards on C&I loans for large and middle-market firms over the past three months, the largest reported net easing since the latter half of 1993. Moreover, 11% of domestic banks, on net, said that they had eased standards on loans for small firms. The Fed survey mirrors the rise in US bank loan data - up $56 bln over the past 3 weeks. reuters

Stockholm za 19:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY.... At the moment....
8460-8449
8438
===>8428
8417
8406-8395
TR = ~8537-:-8319
Happy trades.....

Warwick Sat 19:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
"Livingston nh 18:14 GMT February 3, 2004 "
Thank You for that little gem from the "sidelines" there NH..
Much appreciated...

beirut jb 19:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL

well we were talking about 15 min chart i.e intraday trading,

regarding eur/$ daily is long, weekly reverse to short but yet confirmed it,

divergence is typical when ranging,

market will take clear direction after G7 likely
GL GT

Miami OMIL 19:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
FWIW now that we are talking about continuation patterns how about the pennant continuation pattern on the eur/usd daily chart. This is something to be aware of if 1.2680-1.2700 is broken this could be enough excuse for the bulls to take over to their objective in the 1.30s. We also have to be aware of the intervention that could happen if the euro continues to get stronger against the dollar. These will be interesting times for the forex community I hope everyone is careful because I feel we are headed for waters a bit more turbulent than I am use to IMHO. (/;-> GL GT

london p 19:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
top of the channel now 2560 ish watch there for breakout

london p 19:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
like i said earlier we have a downwards sloping channel on the 5 min charts for the last 6 hours usually continuation pattern as well euro.
a great simple site for these things is chartpatterns.com

beirut jb 18:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
london cam 18:46

well when time is exhauseted triangle will die and after a long

ranging like that , market can go either way 50/50

GL GT

Athens 18:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thank you, too, OMIL.

Miami OMIL 18:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens 18:44 GMT February 3, 2004
That is why I posted the website so that it can explain it a lot better than I can but usually it is considered a continuation IMHO. Of course you have more experience than I do. Thanks for your time and effort Athens your comments are always appreciated. (/;->

BEIRUT MK 18:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
close long eurusd since 1.2459
close short usdcad since 1.3313 avg
thank you.

london cam 18:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
OMIL & jb thanks for that. I hope the trend reverses as I'm short cable! :-)
OMIL nice site!

Athens 18:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
OMIL 18:40, not always.

beirut jb 18:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
well it's a continuation pattern, since trend was up , it should resume up

the thing bothering me is time,

time is runing out

and move should be imminent or patern die

USA Biscuit Boy 18:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the tip athens. Unfortunately that sounds like too much work for me lol. I was never a good daytrader.

Miami OMIL 18:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
london cam 18:37 GMT February 3, 2004
The triangles are continuation patterns check this web site out:
http://www.stockcharts.com/education/ChartAnalysis/index.html

Hope that helps. (/;->

london cam 18:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
beirut jb 18:33 GMT February 3, 2004
for the benefit of the non tech savvy traders here (I'm one) could you please explain the possible consequence of the ascendant traingle. thks

GL GT

UK ELC 18:36 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Cheers BB I just thought that in a 60pip drop there would have been some scalping "chatter" !!

beirut jb 18:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   

gbp/$ ascendant triangle in 15 min still in play but time is runing up

any comments

GA TJ 18:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Closed CAD Longs. Have to leave the office and wanted to book some profit.

Las Vegas DJM 18:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Considering the incubation period for Ricin posioning is 4 - 8 hours, it is safe to say no one will die from this attack.

Athens 18:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy, trading one in-out and holding one is the best tactic on a day like this. One can collect a few extra pips and also let some steam out while also holding a core short. Of course, this is a matter of personal choice but this is what I have been doing all day and it has worked nicely, hence just a suggestion.

Warsaw 18:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ok, Help forum sounds all right, thank you.

Global-View 18:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Warsaw. Either ask it on the Help Forum or contact us directly. Otherwise, please leave the FF free for those trading with positions.

Warsaw 18:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
But my question is trading related! I am asking whether the spread that I am paying to a market maker is competitive on the market or not. What can be more trading related?

london p 18:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i have a down sloping channel on 5 min euro from highs just hit bottom of channel and bounced on the way back up now i reckon

USA Biscuit Boy 18:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ELC I am short euro myself. If 1.2520/30 breaks selling pressure should really increase. Then there should be some nice stops mid 1.24's to gun for. GL and GT.

Washington DC 18:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Ricin confirmed as the substance found. No one reported to have gotten sick from it.

Global-View 18:15 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Warsaw. The Forex Forum is designed for trading flow and discussion. For non-trading related questions, we have a Help Forum.

Livingston nh 18:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
UK - look at EUR bouncing off 21 da mva - MACD is starting to move up - watch shorts - may be too early

Warsaw 18:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
What is your forum for then? For asking you questions?

UK ELC 18:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
We have seen a 60+ pip drop in Euro$ yet nobody seems interested in discussing shorts...am I missing something here?

Nassau QF (newb) 18:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR short finally happening.

Global-View 18:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
We are very experienced in all aspects of the forex market.

Warsaw 18:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
:) Ok, names do not matter. I just need to know whether their spreads are low enough for me to stick with them.

hk ab 0.88 18:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ok, gd night everyone.

Warsaw 18:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Do you think you are in a capacity to answer my question? :) I thought you only moderate and censor this forum but do not provide advisory services. That is why I address my question to forum participants.

Livingston nh 17:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
SA bok - long term unemployment is rising in the US -- Snow is "snow job" the market -- he also believes in a stong USD policy (and the Tooth Fairy, Santa Claus and Unicorns)

Global-View 17:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Warsaw. Email us and let's leave the FF free for market flow and not broker talk. TIA

warsaw 17:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
They censor the names of the sites. Cool! Actually, does not matter. I just need advice on spreads.

GENEVA FHR 17:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Well then change your broker i am in this market for a long time and never had this kind of problem.If there was a wrong input in your platform your broker should adjust it. It is very easy to check high and low prices with some banks and show it to your broker.

SA Bok 17:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Snow saying somewhere Dec NFP well understated and it seems he knows there will be a (or seen the numbers already) a large revision .. he must have just got of the line to his broker and positioned himself ... LOL

Eastbourne PJ 17:38 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The suited broker impressing his prospective client in the marina pointing out all the brokers yachts dotted around and the prospective client says "Where are all the customer's yachts?"

Barcelona JR 17:32 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Aden & Geneva

GENEVA FHR 17:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona JR forex market is a non-regulated market and any contributor could make the price they wish.However the pratice is that if a wrong price is entered in your platform you should complain to you broker.Normal pratice is to amend this trade if your broker is an honest one.

Aden PK 17:26 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi Barceleona, You shohld contact Mr. Jay for help mail him [email protected] You are right the high was 1.2989 bid traded with my broker.

nyc tony 17:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
well this eur jump has been a lucky gift to me, not so much the politicians. i believe this to be a fabricated move not going to last. closed eur long and shorted eur 1.2550. still holding long $/cad position. good luck to all

Barcelona JR 17:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Please I would apreciate your help. censored has made a spike on GBPCHF last night at 2.3010 that's 25 pips over other brokers like censored. Anybody knows if NFA regulates this kind of stop-hunting practice ?

Pecs Andras 17:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks BOJ or whoever it was
I have just bailed out of my dollar/yen long with a few pips positive.
I bet they will shoot now that I am out LOL

Pecs Andras 17:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks guys

hk ab 0.88 17:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
the exciting thing is mkt is 50/50 on a hike/no hike.

So that means one side will be bloody tomorrow.

SA Bok 17:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 16:58 GMT - 0930 am Sydney or 2230 GMT

USA Biscuit Boy 17:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pecs I know it is 9.30am Sydney time......I think that is 22.30 gmt.

Pecs Andras 16:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Anybody knows what time is the AUD rate decision tonight?

Athens 16:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
QIP, $/CHF used to be the leading pair in older times, not any longer. Nowadays it leads only when moves aere related to terrorist action/rumours. Besides, the very tight EUR/CHF range for many months now indicates that the two contis move more or less at the same pace.

hk ab 0.88 16:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
strong bottom of aud/nzd being tested at the moment.

USA Biscuit Boy 16:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Im short euro at 1.2465 and 1.2563. GL and GT.

beirut jb 16:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens

Hi mate

For me $/cad should clear first 13425 area wich is the hi range
since last november,

daily is long, weekly only reverse to long for me if close above

13164 next friday



Nottingham 16:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens 16:39 GMT

Thanx...fwiw I have circa 1.3455 and 1.3505 today...doubt they'll be seen but that's the point, overstretched...gl gt

Sofia QIP 16:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens// FWIW I see the USD/CHF as the leading pair as compaired to the EUR/USD.

Athns 16:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Oops, sorry Nottingham, I just checked back, both were higher.

Athens 16:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham, my first level was lower and the second higher than those.

hk ab 0.88 16:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, cad just almost returned to its openning level. All shorters are s/t players?

GT.

madrd val 16:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
So Athens guess you are seing Eur downish?. I beleive mkt will check ECB resolve prior to G7.

Dallas GEP 16:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Two suggestions based on ONE assumption. That assumption being that market is somewhat MIXED at this time. One, DON'T trade (more conservative) or TWO trade with layered positons.

For example 1.34 MAY be the top on USD/CAD at this time BUT it might also long and go to 1.3450 area. If you believe the overall bais to be DOWN at this time (which I do) and your normal position is say 10 lots, then you might take 5 lots short at 1.34 and then another 5 lots short at 1.3450 if seen with stops appropriate to your risk tolerance.

beirut jb 16:34 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
london p 16:18

well may be but pound need to clear 18420 area to make new hi

all I c now (on intraday basing offcorse) a ranging trade since 4 hours now

Nottingham 16:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens 16:19 GMT:

Cross high was in between my two o/b indicators also...by any chance was your second level circa 1.3475? (first was 1.3406)

Toronto Silverfox 16:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Yo Londom p BOE Thurs and up 25bp almost a done deal.
Shock would be if nothing done.

Athens 16:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I am not at all surprised by USD/CAD resilience on the downside and upward strengrh. My medium term index had crossed into positive territory a few days ago and rising while the basic move is along the model direction. Its correction last night perhaps was a bit deeper than we might have thought, however this is usual when the previous move has been overstretched (in this case Mondays upside move that reached an area between the first and second O/B). As usual a strong reaction follows strong action.

Regarding EUR/USD today, no strong gain was seen above my moderate resistance 1.2590 I mentioned here in the morning. However it now needs to clear 1.2525 and then 1.2485 to gather steam for the downside.

london p 16:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ranging how about consolidating at the highs before new highs are made

rate decision in uk i think tomorrow cut allmost a certainty so run up to news perhaps

beirut jb 16:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ranging ,ranging

no signal working

SA Bok 16:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD could see 1.3405 first ... IMHO

saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 15:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

USD/CAD ...Come closer ..Its time to reverse for 1.30-1.29



Hope to be right..
nk*!*



SA Bok 15:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Possible sell signal USDCAD not materializing ... seems we are going BID ... 4 minutes will tell ...

SA Bok 15:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok 15:03 GMT February 3, 2004
Snow speech canceled .. Ricin investigstion ...Newswires

Global-View 15:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Bdg (could you use a more recognizable location): see Global-View 14:27 GMT February 3, 2004

Nassau QF (newb) 15:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
60 minute SMA broken on EUR/USD.
Possible short signal?

I know it's risky.

Bdg Dewan 15:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP,
Have any info about Snow/Greenspan today?
Thanks

GA TJ 15:35 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin

Yes I saw that. But how much can you attribute that and the break of trendlines in Euro, Swissy and Cable to the Recin scare. Personally I don't have a clue. If the trend lines fail over the next day or 2 then I will know. My stuff has Euro a little over extended and expect a pullback of 50 pips or so at some point today. If no pullback then up we go.

Dallas GEP 15:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Well JB, that's been the problem lately IMO. No clear signals and REALLY the only reason the dollar is getting beat up is the Ricin story IMO. Before the Ricn story broke we were at least having some predictable range trading. Now it is all screwed up.

beirut jb 15:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP,Gpb

probably just ranging , no signal here working well

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ML and all, this is starting to look like a triple failure on the POUND. What say you???

HK Kevin 15:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 15:16 GMT, did you notice the retracement of USD/CAD at this Asian morning was far below the previous high 1.3359. It's an indication of a temp top. I think the ccy need a rest for at least 1.3150.

sarasota jf 15:24 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usdcad - saw some usdcad selling for slightly longer term position taking 3-7 days - eur/cad and gbp/cad options being initiated at same time pushed the usdcad up will just dpend on the jockeying while the mkt is figuring the direction out

beirut jb 15:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
dunno wich of this 2 pairs $/cad or gbp/$ to follow now as leading indicator

some divergence here

NYC BradS 15:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
madrd val 15:13/ No, actually I don't. But the policy is just one more aspect of a very unbalanced situation. Can't last forever.

GA TJ 15:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Before selling CAd it might be a good idea to look at the 60 min chart for the past 2 weeks or so. Notice the pattern. Added to my CAD Long from 1.3280 @ 1.3330. Avg - 1.3305 Stop @ B/E.

madrd val 15:13 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
NYK Brads, do u think that has any chance to happen?, coz it really would be a true market shock.

Porto PJT 15:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
beirut jb 15:07 , yes i was counting with some resistence around 50, 60 level but fails, and eur cad is going up fast.Next will be the 1,34 and last highs.

Nottingham 15:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
In my book cad not sell till above 1.3450 but if guess it won't get that high today so failure between 1.34 and yest high prob worth short...personally will hold out for 1.3450 or nothing...gl gt

beirut jb 15:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I meant wait for 134~13425 test before short it

SA Bok 15:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Maybe a good time to sell USDCAD again .. MACD divergence again higher high in rates .. lower MACD .. will confirm in a few minutes ... GL all

beirut jb 15:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Porto

$/cad still rising beter to test 134 and 134

or break down 13330

IMHO

melbourne 15:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
In Europe, Leaders' Concern Rises as Dollar Falls

SA Bok 15:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Snow speech canceled .. Ricin investigstion ...Newswires

beirut jb 15:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
FWIW gbp just break out an ascendant triangle at 15 min

18424 will tell us how stong is this rally

Porto PJT 14:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd cad, in good level to sell, imo.

NYC NYC 14:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Brad. BOJ eased policy last month. Zero chance of a rate hike.

NYC BradS 14:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY - So we are expecting recent levels (or thereabouts) to hold.

Is anyone expecting a BOJ rate hike?

Seems kinda counter-intuitive at this point . . . but is would be a shocker. LDP probably wouldn't go for it (yet) anyway.

Livingston nh 14:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I would not be lulled by the apparent slow range trading in Yen - when the supports are removed (for even a short period) downdrafts are swift see FY end 2002 or just last september -- if MoF holds back early for more intervention in March things will hot up -- EVERYBODY is expecting 105 to hold (you can depend on intervention) - we'll see if EVERYBODY can be right

Dallas GEP 14:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Nott makes a great point in that since USD/JPY moves so slowly it probably makes more sense to trade the other pairs. The reason I traded it was I thought intervention was imminent which it was.

SanFrancisco tg 14:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Regarding the G-7 .. We're post Euro-China-Rubin dollar strength pact. The US-Japan weak dollar repair for intervention support pact is in no danger dispite Euro objection now that they've figured out it will hurt, but it sure does feel like it may be curtailed some from here.

Dallas GEP 14:34 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Andras, I do think you will get another shot but in order to catch it and close you will have to have a TP in place at the time. I did have a 107.75 TP on the first spike but it hit a high of 107.73 (missed it by 2 pips!!! LOL). I then changed TP to higher figure because I thought they would come again and they did but once again I was too high on this round as well. So with all that being said, MOF does seem intent on defending 105.00 at this time anyway and I expect that to be so until at least G7 meeting this weeekend.

LA ARTOFYEN 14:32 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Agreed Nott, but the think that perks your interest in usd/yen is that it is on a collision course for 103 and lower in coming weeks. Think you need to sell into any strength shown but I think that, unlike before, people like me are waiting for BOJ induced spike ups but we are seeing much fewer now. I left a 105.77 offer o/n and resisted hitting the 105.50. I have lowered my stop to break even and if I get flushed out fine but then will look to get back on board above 106 with stop for all at 106.60 for sub 103.......gl mate

bdg zilfallon 14:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Japs = big exporteer country

so the demand of it's currency is strong since the importeer need yen to pay.

Strong demand mean the currency getting stronger.. in yen's case it's going down (indirect)

Japs goverment need to boost export, they doesnt want yen getting stronger.. because it make their goods expensive, they prevent it with intervention.

But you cant change nature....

hope it will help... and sorry bout my english :)

GL/GT

Nottingham 14:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
re 10 pip range...people have no desire to be hit by intervention and with nobody but the BoJ willing to buy there's not much chance of sustained upside...with the situation as it is, I really can't see the need to trade the pair right now as other crosses are much safer/offer better risk reward etc

Global-View 14:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GVI 14:27 GMT February 3, 2004
Snow testimony postponed. Assume it has to do with the ricin incident.

Pecs Andras 14:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 14:14 GMT February 3, 2004
I know that, but what is the reason for that?
it looks so artificial to me. Look at price action now. The pair is ranging in a 10 pip range. It has done so in the past few weeks/months several times. Not even whipsaws. Nothing. It either spikes up after intervention,or drifts down steadlily week after week.

Porto PJT 14:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 14:09 , its true, i am playing only on the short side from long time ago, but the trend usually reverse with CBs action, when at 100 the feeling was the same and igrok came with a call of usd jpy around 130,140, and this level have been almost reached at least 135 i remember.

Dallas GEP 14:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Andras, the prevailing thought is the USD relationship to the YEN was one in which more so than the other pairings, the dollar was OVER valued against it. This USD/JPY shorting is nothing more than an adjustment based on that presumption. Also usd/jpy to some had been kept at higher levels primarily because of japanese intervention.

beijing road 14:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras : very interesting observation.

Nottingham 14:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pecs>>>left to its own devices usdjpy would be sub 100...however due to meddling by BoJ it isn't so I guess that people jump at chance to sell artificially high prices given the chance...gl gt

hk ab 0.88 14:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
same view, nt.
.6860.....

Toronto YV 14:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
this snow is twice today according to reuters
U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow testifies on the FY05 Budget before the Senate Finance Committee, Washington, D.C., 10 a.m. (1500 GMT).
U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow testifies on the Bush FY 2005 Budget proposal before the House Ways and Means Committee, Washington, D.C., 2 p.m. (1900 GMT).

Hong Kong nt 14:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 14:06 GMT -- safer bet is double top reversal....

Pecs Andras 14:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GEP
I will wait for another shot, but if it does not come soon, I will bail out.
I just cannot fathom this yen thing. For many months now it is a 1way street for USD/Yen. Why is this urge to sell the dollar against the yen? All the other ccy pairs move in both sirections, sometimes trend, somtimes range, including the yen crosses.
But dollar/yen never does anything but spikes up as a result of interventions, and then drifts down.
Why is it? Can somebody give me a good explanation?

beirut jb 14:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
14 gmt,

he should yalling now

hk ab 0.88 14:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, are you a brave heart at this .6810 line?

Shelbyville MKT 14:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The Federal Reserve Board's index of the value of the dollar against 7 other cuurencies weighted on the basis of trade was 85.77 Monday, up 0.28 points or 0.33 percent from Friday's 85.49 A year ago the index was 97.92

Toronto YV 14:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Bratislava MB , hk ab , thanks.

Bratislava MB 14:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
this is reuters:

Traders will be on the lookout for any currency comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow when he testifies on the 2005 budget at 1500 GMT

Dallas GEP 14:02 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Andras, yes I am still open. I am still targeting at least figure. To me it seems the target of the MOF were the stops on the NEW shorts that were intiated that saw us get down to the LOW of 105.20. High was 105.89 on my platform.

london cam 14:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
thks ab

hk ab 0.88 14:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
14:00 GMT.

london cam 13:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi forum

Any idea what time Snow is due to deliver his sermon?

hk ab 0.88 13:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, 1.1215 was a very tough bottom for the aud/nzd from the last attack few months ago.

Toronto YV 13:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
beirut jb 13:13 GMT , what time is the speech?TIA.

Shelbyville MKT 13:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Test

HK [email protected] 13:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sorry read correctly: To the upside seems 404$ is a kind of Res. GL/GT to all.

hk ab 0.88 13:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
close the other half at 1.5655. paintdrying....

HK [email protected] 13:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi to all !!!

Y.day note came out accurately.

HK [email protected] 08:08 GMT February 2, 2004
GOLD AIMS AT 394$/oZ. THE CABAL forces keep on pelting the market with shorts mamamia!

Just as general notice!!! A down break of 394$/Oz. is critical to the continuation of gold price decline. To the upside seems 304$ is a kind of Res. GL/GT to all.

Texs(Jksn.) PNB 13:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
seems eur/usd is still playing the range game.
TIA:-)

beirut jb 13:13 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
chicago cal

yes it is but seems market waiting snow speech


GL GT

chicago cal 13:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
cable is a good buy here for 1.8500

hk ab 0.88 13:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
exit half eur/chf short 1.5665.

Pecs Andras 12:53 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Nice job by BOJ, right?
are you still open? I am.
What is your tartget?

GVI john 12:38 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2560…$/yen 105.65
DJIA -28 pts… 10-yr 4.11%, -4 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
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See GVI...


phils VL 12:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP -usd/jpy minor res at 88 and 106.05?

Dallas GEP 12:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Look for a push over 106.00 on USD/JPY at least on a temporary basis

hk ab 0.88 12:23 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
just wonder why no people think about overbought situation on kiwi....

trend wins the fact? :)

jkt-aye 12:23 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR ... as it hit 1.2566 today, my signal pointed to target 1.2616. Happy hunting ALL.

Melbourne Qindex 12:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 12:10 GMT February 3, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : The market rhythm of mydaily cycle is represented by 0.003639.

... 1.2307 // 1.2343, 1.2380, (1.2416), 1.2453, 1.2489*, 1.2525, 1.2562 // 1.2598 ...

hk ab 0.88 12:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, but I am helll tempted to sell gbp 1.8450......

hk ab 0.88 12:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, I don't want to overload today. Though BC m/t trend is still strictly followed.

Hong Kong nt 12:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- dare to sell kiwi at 6800/10?

melbourne farmacia 12:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 11:47 GMT February 3, 2004
Seems it's 50/50 for tomorrows RBA call ab - Didn't expect to see oz above 0.7650 today. But happy regardless.

Fwiw - Usd/cad bounce off 1.3275 T/L well.

phils VL 11:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy - swissy moving up slightly and chf/jpy still up = usd/jpy up

Ldn 11:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
BOJ again

hk ab 0.88 11:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, I have a bad feeling on aud. But it's just my gut feeling on this session. Thus, I exited my buy stops at breakeven.

Riga Nick 11:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Keeping in mind current intersest rate difference in US and EU. I suppose that the most propable reason can change the sutuation on EURUSD market seariously enogth is inflation increacing in US. Only inflation can push US interest rate up now.

sarasota jf 11:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
talk of eurusd stops at 1.2630 now

Ldn 11:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
or "son of a b****" depending on how ur posi is doing at the time lol

hk ab 0.88 11:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sick on birthday :P

Sell On Blips

LAX-LGB SNP 11:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sell on blip

sydney alan 11:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
what is the meaning of SOB please ???

Riga Nick 11:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn: re ECB.
It seems like ECB together with FED just lost all the interest to EURUSD rate.

saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 11:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Anyone see that

USD/CAD is SOB??

GBP/CHF ..SOB too??


nk*!*



melbourne farmacia 11:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
My strategy of buying Aud/usd since early Aus open looks good now, will see how fib 0.7676 goes. GT

Ldn 11:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Bank of New York warns ECB will have little choice to but to intervene on its own account in the not too distant future

sarasota jf 11:23 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ab yes - option expiry feb 5 for usdyen so i guess we got to live with a few distorted moves whether we agree or not

Dallas GEP 11:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Nice CANNON shot from MOF

LAX-LGB SNP 11:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
apologies for all the typos ...

buy USDCHF ahead of rising TL below 1.24 aiming for 1.2577-1.2616
buy USDCAD ahead of 1.3225 and 1.3135 TLs although price has reached thrice-proven resistance 1.3410-30 zone

hk ab 0.88 11:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
jf, I have eur/jpy 133.63 to watch as imp't daily sma 18.

Athens 11:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/$ biunced off a moderate resistance I have around 1.2590 but the retracement is very shallow thus far. Medium term I believe the true test will be in the 1.21 handle. Good luck, I am out of here now.

LAX-LGB SNP 11:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
oops big time typo
buy USDCAD ahead of rising TL below 1.24 aiming for 1.2577-1.2616

phils VL 11:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd - 1.2590 = .764% R from Jan 27 high

Gen dk 11:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sarasota jf 11:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
euryen broke its m.a ard 132.60 level on hourly (72)

hk ab 0.88 11:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
distorted mkt, TA seems can't work for these two months.

NYC JC 11:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i think we all found the answers. Boj .

SA Bok 11:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sarasota jf 11:07 - Again thanks .. just sold more into rally ..

hk ab 0.88 11:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
wow....

wtf of this kind of entry?

surely interesting and crossing my hands to watch the move.

gbp is really tempting......

1.8465 maybe.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd ahve get 1.2580, now price give me message will get 1.2644. buy now ant try cut reverse there (at 1.2644) with stp if 1.2655 be shown.

sarasota jf 11:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
bok its hard to know as options guys use japs as well - but also euryen stops gone off - thats more the culprit on that move

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
okay.. gbp/usd get 1.8410 bid, that's mean price will up again at 1.8525. buy now and cut reverse there with stp if 1.8535 be shown.

Ldn Mvs 11:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 10:21GMT comment bang on by the looks of it............

SA Bok 11:04 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Here is the BOJ or your buyer JF ?

sarasota jf 11:02 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
also usdcad see some initial t/p ard the 1.3240 seems the daily chart held the picture for that as pointed out by gep

LAX-LGB SNP 11:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
JF many thanks for the stats - you da mannn !

SA Bok 10:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
JF - Appreciate info as always .. we does bust will be quick .. interested to see BOJ reaction .. if any .. appreciate ..

Ekaterinburg 10:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
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sarasota jf 10:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
eurusd some offers at 80 but seems people already short in front of it - so 1.2610 area is natural move

Ldn 10:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
RBoS says RBA's rate decision tonight will have huge effect on AUD/USD for rest of the wk. Bank says, given weakness seen after larger than expected trade deficit, AUD could suffer if RBA hints at any fundemental weakness in the economy. This, RBoS says, could easily have knock-on effect in majors vs USD ahead of G7 weekend

Chambery FR JFB 10:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens 10:43 GMT February 3, 2004
Happily(!!) I kept it where I set it up first, so I lose less... Not a big deal as I closed a long from 1.8250 at that same level (1.8345). Thanks anyway for your comment :-) GL GT

hk ab 0.88 10:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
exit the buy aud, don't feel t proper any how. breakeven.

Athens 10:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Lee, a pleasure.

Re cable the move above 1.8380 could open a window to higher levels but for position traders only a move above 1.8480-85 would be quite worrisome if short.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
oh.. if price move up to 1.8403 still normal and then stp not at 1.8400 if be shown but if 1.8410 be shown.

SA Bok 10:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Change of Plan buy back short USDCAD ... Book profit and its all good ..

GL All

hk ab 0.88 10:53 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
jf, thanks and mind is clear now.
Very good info on the plan.

Ga Lee 10:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanx again for your participation and advice here Athens..

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
be carefull gbp/usd ya !!, because have get 1.8393, maybe from here will down.

ICT ML 10:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ATHENS..I hear you, would just playing one level of resistance to the next is all.....

sarasota jf 10:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ab i been saying for a week it goes to 103.80 - the buying here is an option guy who is long a yen call with a k.o at 104.80 but when it moves up 10 points he is selling it out again- its a stubborn market this usdyen but it goes lower - gt

LAX-LGB SNP 10:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
running on new (hitherto) unproven tracks today ...

short EURUSD below 1.2593 till the 1.2422-59 zone but expect 1.2346 to unlock real US$ strength
sell AUDUSD below 0.7688 aiming for 0.7607
sell EURCHF below 1.5680 aiming for 1.558x-1.562x
sell EURGBP below 0.6864 looking to add on close below 0.6825
sell EURJPY below 132.40-55
sell GBPCHF below 2.2960 aiming for 2.2820
GBPJPY sell scenario is emerging but too early to confirm
buy USDCHF ahead of 1.3270 and 1.3235 TLs
buy USDCAD ahead of 1.3225 and 1.3135 TLs although price has reached thrice-proven resistance 1.3410-30 zone

GL GT everyone :-) have fun

hk ab 0.88 10:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
this eur/chf is really testing my patience.
jf// how certain on that dlr/jpy front? Hm...

hk ab 0.88 10:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
this eur/chf is really testing my patience.
jf// how certain on that dlr/jpy front? Hm...

Ga Lee 10:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
BOJ let it drift lower last time before the G-7 as well..

Athens 10:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ML, in my view buying or selling "breaks" in a non trending market is quite risky, but good luck anyway.

Athens 10:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR, I hope your stop has escaped at least for the time being if you raised it above 80. That 1.8370 would have been hit anyway by now.

ICT ML 10:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Got my TP filled @ 1.8369 on cable longs....now will buy a strong break above and sell into a clear failure here in a bit

Ekaterinburg 10:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   

hk ab 0.88 10:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
and defiinitely we have witnessed how they strangled all the jpy crosses to be "above the line" by NY close.

They pay v. much efforts on NY closing level imvho.

sarasota jf 10:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i think you guys are missing the usdyen - mof/boj will let it go lower

hk ab 0.88 10:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt// bought aud .7666 for day play.

I put it at 104.95 because BOJ usually will not allow a move more than 30 pips under imp't line in the past. usually we will see the massive guns within this 30 pips range.

lowest I may try will be 105.85 but of course, only time will tell now.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
be carefull with gbp/usd when at 1.8385-94 maybe get selling attack . sell there with stp if 1.8400 (bid) be shown.

Ldn 10:34 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham agree they dont have the bottle

SA Bok 10:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Move USDCAD stop to 1.3334 and if 1.3280 breaks look for 1.3200 , move stop to 1.3280 if 1.3250 breaks ... GL all

Nottingham 10:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 10:21 GMT:

I dunno...intervening just days before the G7 is like a big f u to all concerned

jordan joe 10:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i think sfr and cad are telling us where the market is heading

ldn 10:24 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
USD/YEN knocked lower by a German name and a US inv house

phils VL 10:23 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy - fwiw added to long again at 33. s/l unchanged

Ldn 10:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Theory for BoJ intervention strategy? It's letting USD/JPY slide so as to wash those stops out around Y105.30. This means bank will get more bang for its buck when intervention starts up again and USD sellers will suffer even more.

Hong Kong nt 10:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 10:10 GMT -- if i have to split my bet, i may prefer 105.05 and 104.75...

hk ab 0.88 10:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
put a buy stops on aud .7666

Hong Kong nt 10:15 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 10:08 GMT -- we hope to re-enter short at 1.840, aim 1.79...

ICT ML 10:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Road, not selling gbp yet....see some upside room to run , but that can change real quick like

hk ab 0.88 10:10 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I don't see any reason why BOJ would not put the arms under 105.

nt, divide the entries into 105.05 and 104.95 will see.

hk ab 0.88 10:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, will you go short at the first try of the 1.84?

beirut jb 10:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
yes GEP

wait n c, may be at 11GMT with unemployement numbers or Snow speech at 14 GMT market take decision

Ga Lee 09:59 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I'd imagine N.Y. to come in and get their share of some $ selling too, my imagination..probably just what it is..lol..

Gen dk 09:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hong Kong nt 09:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP -- guess price may hit 1.8400/50 before heading south...

beijing road 09:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
ML: going to short the cable right now?

Dallas GEP 09:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Why not take it now ML?????

Chambery FR JFB 09:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens 09:25 GMT February 3, 2004
Thx, I'll check that right away :-)

ICT ML 09:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
come on guys, lets squeeze these extra 9 pips ML needs on cable to TP on @ 1.8369.......got to test the resistance....

Dallas GEP 09:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
JB, USD/CAD has some support @ 1.3320 area. I migh wait and see how this Ricin story develops to see if we have further dollar bearishness before taking a new position. Pound is going long so usd/cad will have a tendancy to short.

hk ab 0.88 09:36 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
just want the 1.5660 opens to give me more pips....

beirut jb 09:32 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
plz c my revious post

Dallas GEP 09:26 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
What do you need JB???? LOL

Athens 09:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR, if I may suggest, sparing a few pips and placing your stop above 1.8380 (bid) is safer (although the real risk is only above 1.8480).

beirut jb 09:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP hi mate what for me???

Chambery FR JFB 09:20 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hello all :-) fwiw, shorted GBP @ 1,8345, sl 1.8370 tgt ard 1.8270 b4 up again. GL GT

Juneau CAR 09:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks!

Dallas GEP 09:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
That was for CAR

Dallas GEP 09:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Traces of Ricin were found in the capital bldg which caused dollar to short, Looks now tho that a bullish retracement is possible

Juneau CAR 09:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Can someone tell me what is going on with the dollar drop? I am in metals, so I monitor your guys board to see what is really happening.

Thanks

Hong Kong nt 09:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 09:08 GMT -- squared long at 1.815...

hk ab 0.88 09:15 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens, thanks for your generous support.

Almost all charts of jpy are now distorted......

hk ab 0.88 09:15 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens, thanks for your generous support.

Almost all charts of jpy are now distorted......

Athens 09:09 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, it's ok if it can hold 105.10. However on the big picture the pattern is not encouraging for the upside. But with MOF cat-and-mouse games perhaps any patterns don't count. Whatever the case, I am not touching this pair.

hk ab 0.88 09:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
o I saw that.
Honestly, this level tempt me to short very much on the gbp 1.8350... deciding.

hk ab 0.88 09:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, you mean long gbp now?

Hong Kong nt 09:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- quick 200pip profit from long GBP 1.8150...

beirut jb 09:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Good morning,

seems I missed all fun today, european were very early to make their move,

also I put too close stop on my short $/cad so it droped without me lol

I m considering a long $/cad here but eur/$ made first hourly long in my system since 3 days so it may be risky

Athens GEP , any comments??

hk ab 0.88 09:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The crystal ball on dlr/jpy darkened out.

Athens 09:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thank you GEP. Interesting and smart moves, which also need some imagination in general. Regarding EUR/$ for example, I wrote on my page last night:

"Seemingly I wan the only one to be willing to sell EUR/$ above 1.25 on Monday but many others had the same plan, so no surprise that we didn't see those levels"
and also,
"I am hearing too many shorting EUR/$ a these levels (around 1.2430) and most of them placing stops just above Monday's high...shark food? perhaps..."

Evidently I lacked the imagination on Monday morning but fortunately got some in the evening :-)

hk ab 0.88 08:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I like shorting some eur/jpy here 132.25

Dallas GEP 08:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Athens, your CADDY observations have been right on the money. Gains can be had going long but ONLY temporarily once past that 1.3360/80 area

ICT ML 08:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
thinking this hourly candle on cable will be a deciding factor for the week......I might close the longs and reverse at 1.8355 if touched , max target I'd expect for now would be 1.8370....RSI trend line on hourly will be under test in next hour

Athens 08:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Re my O/B definition and USD/CAD in this case, again the usual 24-48 hour allowance for such contr cases worked nicely, gains beyond the O/B area were not sustained and compensated well such contra trades.

Malaga boqueron 08:43 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Re thinking is bad. The art is in knowing when to follow and when to desert. Battle plans must be drawn beforehand and under no circumstances should transient impressions of a moment be allowed to interfere with one's plans. By the way, thinking is bad, how long have you been fighting fx battles?

Dallas GEP 08:38 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Yes ANDRAS I am still long and even if you asked me now, I would not trade it for a short.

Pecs Andras 08:36 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Are you still long?
I am from 105.55 but I do not feel comfortable now

Dallas GEP 08:34 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
From the candle patterns on USD/JPY it appears we have some folks willing to test the resolve of the MOF again. IMO that is foolish but we will see as usual. "Patterned" buying was met with some selling @ 105.45. MOF may very well open slightly the door for the shorters to only slam it shut which is consistently one of their tactics.

saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 08:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning...

Weekly Eurobabychart says that many stops around 1.28 and braves some pips above the Top ..

hmm..i wouldnt sit coumfortable even with a stop @ 1.2950

Have a nice week..
Im trying to be always simple..but sometimes my english are bad ....

nk

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:20 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
yes... from 1.2570 price give me money. LOL
maybe this is lucky with tight stp (10 pips)

Melbourne Qindex 08:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:21 GMT February 2, 2004
USD/JPY : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 104.85 ... 105.20 // 105.38, 105.55, 105.73, 105.90 // 106.08 ... 106.43 ...

Melbourne Qindex 08:15 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:37 GMT February 2, 2004
USD/CHF : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2468 // 1.2505, 1.2542, (1.2579), 1.2606, (1.2654),1.2691 ... 1.2728 // 1.2765 ... 1.2839 ...

Miami OMIL 08:14 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
KR, I will wait for the pullback to complete before I take a position again but it sounds like a good plan. I have Fib retracement at 1.2500, 1.2485-80 and 1.2465-60. Support is at the moment is 1.2450 IMHO. (/;-> GL

thinking is bad 08:13 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Malaga boqueron 07:52 GMT February 3, 2004
Thanks, Jordan Joe, The word "thought" is responsible for many of my worst errors, mistakes. It is dangerous to think the market will do this or that. It is better to follow.

lemming - Any of various small, thickset rodents, especially of the genus Lemmus, inhabiting northern regions and known for periodic mass migrations that sometimes end in drowning.

Madras KR 08:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL 07:54 GMT .V.Gd.I was short USD/CHF at 1.2565. out at 1.2482.Long at 1.2483 on EUR. out at 1.2554.Will re -enter at 1.2520/10 on EUR with stop below 1.2465.GL.

Melbourne Qindex 08:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY The current expected trading range is 130.98* - 132.52 and the mid-point reference is 131.75.

SA Bok 08:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD stop now ATM ... being cautious and protect open positions ... GL all

beijing road 08:04 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
IMO, usually indication prevents us from strong trending market.

hk ab 0.88 08:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
nt, look, Jan and Feb are not easy months.

dlr/cad looks tamed though.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sorry..I mean like this :
about eur/usd when at 1.2530
buy here to get 1.2570 and cut reverse there with stp if 1.2580 be shown.
sell again at 1.2645 for target 1.2550 with stp if 1.2655 be shown.
sell again at 1.2737 for target 1.2570 with stp if 1.2750 be shown

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
about eur/usd when at 1.2530
buy here to get 1.2560 and cut reverse there with stp if 1.2570 be shown.
sell again at 1.2645 for target 1.2550 with stp if 1.2655 be shown.
sell again at 1.2737 for target 1.2570 with stp if 1.2750 be shown

beijing road 07:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Will buy into 1.25line and hold it for medium-term/

jordan joe 07:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Malaga boqueron 07:52 GMT February 3, 2004
now i realies that thats why it hurts verry much maybe i should not trade when i am sleepy

Miami OMIL 07:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Madras KR 07:48 GMT February 3, 2004
With 1hr chart indicators on OB area the % favor a pull back. I am out of my long position for now. (/;-> GL

Dallas GEP 07:53 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
JJ support level was 1.2410 not 1.2418.

Malaga boqueron 07:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, Jordan Joe, The word "thought" is responsible for many of my worst errors, mistakes. It is dangerous to think the market will do this or that. It is better to follow.

Helsinki iw 07:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Fading this move here, dollar looks oversold on hourlies.

jordan joe 07:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
and i also wanted to sleep it was 1.30m although i never use stops i usualy do it manual

Madras KR 07:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 07:39 GMT .Yes .I think so too.See my 7.48 Posting. GL.

Malaga boqueron 07:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Jordan Joe, That should be rationale not, rational.

jordan joe 07:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i hade sup at 12418 and i thought if asia takes this out we could tumble down

Belgrade Knez 07:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
LDN SAM 07:45 GMT February 3, 2004

I did wrote source, but GV has changed name of the source to "censored".
Do not know can I post it again, but one of the big European Bank info.

beijing road 07:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Me think eur is on the way to 1.2890 again.

Madras KR 07:48 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL 07:44 GMT .Tdy's close abv 1.2545 & more surely abv 1.2665 will put EUR on track to 1.3050/1.3250/1.3310.GL.

Malaga boqueron 07:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Jordan Joe, RE EUUS stop at 1,2415. What was your rational for putting a stop at that level? It would have made much more sense to put it below yesterday's lo established during U.S. session, or better yet below the critical 1,2330 level. Knowing where to put your stop levels is critical to success in this business.

LDN SAM 07:45 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
BLEGRADE : Morning what is your source on the "second test was negative" please?

Miami OMIL 07:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
On eur/usd as long as 1.2545-50 holds there is still a chance for the dollar correction to continue IMHO. (/;-> GL GT

phils VL 07:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd - if the classic pattern works out, there could be a sharp reversal between 1.2525-1.2535. I may be wrong....

Belgrade Knez 07:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
censored:
"The dollar weakened against the euro in Tokyo after a hazardous substance was found at a U.S. Senate office in Washington. Preliminary tests on a substance found it is hazardous, U.S. Capitol Police said. The powder was found at about 3 p.m. Washington time in the Dirksen Senate Office Building, said Sergeant Contricia Ford. A test identified it as the poison ricin, and a second test was NEGATIVE. "

SA Bok 07:42 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sorry 1.2525

SA Bok 07:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
1.2550 goes .. 1.2550 next , then 1.2640 level pre FED ...

1.2350 and 1.2450 good support areas ... Helmets on boys will be volatile week .. all the event risk ...

GL all

Tallinn viies 07:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
this move on eurusd is only beginning not the end (for today).
for next 48 hours target I have is 1,2670/80. fwiw stop under 1,2390. gl

Sing trader 07:38 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The low in Asia, in the professional mkt (ie EBS) was 1.2416.

jordan joe 07:36 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
it realy hurts

Dallas GEP 07:34 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The LOW i quoted as since Asia open on my platform.

Belgrade Knez 07:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
jordan joe 07:27 GMT February 3, 2004

low 1.2414

Dallas GEP 07:33 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
That was bad luck Joe. The STRONG support level on that is 1.2410. I have had the market go RIGHT on my stop and no lower and I go taken out. I know your pain!!!

jordan joe 07:32 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
that means i knwo how to place them on them exactly on the dot

HK 8888 07:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sorry, that low should read 1.2416

HK 8888 07:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Low in Asia been 1.2516.
Low in NY last night was 1.2391.
Guess it depends when you put your order on.

Dallas GEP 07:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
JJ, 1.2414 on mine.

Dallas GEP 07:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Previous LOW up to this time has been 105.37 (bid) and we had very small spurt up from there so will see.

jordan joe 07:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
thank u ML

ICT ML 07:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
jordan joe ...I have 1.2413 on my platform as low right now

jordan joe 07:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
can some one help pls
i was long with a stop at 12415 in asia my broker took the stop can you give low in aia any one please

Dallas GEP 07:24 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Yepper, just did same thing added usd/jpy long @ 105.43.

phils VL 07:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy -added to long at 43(ask)

HK 8888 07:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Jiji news service in Tokyo running a story that the view in the mkt is changing towards the US will approve USD weakness at the G7 meeting this weekend, quoting a former asst Trsy sec Clarida.

USD's being sold on this. EUR/USD up from 1.2475 to 1.2510

SA Bok 07:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Short at 1.3344 already

Will be confirmed once 21 ma and 5 ma cross ...
Look for 1.3280 1st if breaks 1.3200 may go .. but remember this pair can be a beast ... No stops at mo ... will move to entry once 1.3300 is offered ... if 1.3280 is touched will move stop 10 pips into the money and run for profit target at 1.3200.

AIMHO ... GL all

Belgrade Knez 07:07 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Pilot.

Singapore Pilot 07:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
knez.... dunno man been stopped out at 1.2480.... reckon test 1.2520 30 b4 down again

SA Bok 07:02 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sell USDCAD ... IMHO ... MACD showing divergence on hourlies ... GL all

Belgrade Knez 06:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Cheers emperor.

beijing road 06:58 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Take a short side on eur/jpy bte 13170-132 maybe is a good bet withstop at 13220.

singapore emperor 06:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sell eur here w s/l at 1.2510..... am on the train

Belgrade Knez 06:53 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Pilot
Any recommandation for euro/$ at the current level?
TIA

Singapore Pilot 06:46 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
sell eur/gbp intraday with s/l 0.6850 t/p 0.6820

phils VL 05:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy

the low on 6th Jan was 67 as against almost 1 mth later today's low at 45

phils VL 05:53 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy

long at 105.50 - s/l 104.97. My idea is to take 50 pip profits on way up and 50 pips on way down. I'm prepared to risk 53 pips on assmption that the 105 line in sand will be protected vigrously and any downmove will be at ants pace which will allow me to bail out even before my s/l if I coose to. In this specific scenario of pip-picking, the r/r is about 1:1
Whereas the downside trend is established, it is also clear that the rate is ultra slow, as against the possibility of it movng up to 107+ going into G7.

Stockholm za 05:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY....... Today
8478-8451
8424-8416
8380
8345-8336
8309-8282
Range ..~8527-:-8243
Happy trades

melbourne farmacia 05:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Aussie shorters saved by fib at 0.7615 ... just ...

Bristol Stag 05:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sell EUR/USD 12471 taget 12430; Buy USD/CHF 12573 target 12610. GL GT

ldn 04:49 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
FX EXPIRIES DIARY today sees USD/JPY rolling off at 104.00, 105.00, 105.25, 105.75, 106.00, Eur/Jpy at 132.00, Eur/Usd at 1.2340, 1.2400, 1.2500-05, 1.2600, 1.2645, 1.2700, Eur/Gbp at 0.6885-90, and the Aud/Usd at 0.7560, 0.7680

Ldn 04:31 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
(AP)Australian data showing a softening in business conditions and building approvals Tuesday added to the case for the central bank to hold off raising interest rates - at least for the time being.

The National Australia Bank's business conditions index fell four points in December to a reading of 18 points, while official statistics showed building approval permits falling by 1.5% in December from November

singapore emperor 04:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hrly resistance in EUR @ 1.2480-90. Break 1.2515-20, uptrend resumes. Downside ss @ 1.2420-25 is good.
Today 1.2420-1.2520.

Melbourne Qindex 04:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : In the mean time the market is vibrating around 1.8209 with an expected magnitude of +/- 31 pips, i.e. 1.8179 - 1.8239.

Ldn 03:56 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
(AP) Eur negative M&As Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA on Mon announced its intention to launch a public tender offer to acquire 40.6% of the outstanding shares of BBVA Bancomer of Mexico, paying about EUR3.3bln or $4.1bln in cash. The news fueled speculation of Eur negative flows o/n, thus adding to weight on Eur/Usd. Meanwhile, NKS reports today that DaimlerChrysler will provide about Y70bln in a finalized aid package for Mitsubishi Motor Corp, in addition to the planned purchase of 22% stake in Mitsubishi Fuso Truck & Bus Corp from MMC for about Y52bln. The finalization of the plan would give specs additional excuse to sell Eur/yen.

Melbourne Qindex 03:55 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:26 GMT February 2, 2004
GBP/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.7996 ... 1.8087 // 1.8118, 1.8149, (1.8179), 1.8209, (1.8239), 1.8269 // 1.8300 ...

Hong Kong nt 03:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- we guess dlr/cad may consolidate within 1.315-1.345 this week...

beijing road 03:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
If 1.25 is taken out, eur might fly much higher.

USA Biscuit Boy 03:44 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sold euro at 65.

Melbourne Qindex 03:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:28 GMT February 3, 2004
USD/JPY : A projected supporting level has been established at 105.01 - 105.12.

Dallas GEP 03:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Friday these ccy's were moving like LIGHTSPEED compared to today. Hopefully the London boys will do SOMETHING!!!!

Singapore Toto 03:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
for those who want to have a cheap s/l in long usdyen, overnight 105.50 usd put is trading at less than 20 yen tics off 105.50 spot

Dallas GEP 03:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
BTW Andras, I got in much earlier yesterday @ 105.63 traded. I will add more tho if we pip down some more

Dallas GEP 03:04 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Andras, I would consider 105.45 entry with 25-30 pip stop (conservative) or just put stop below fig (more agressive)

Gen dk 02:50 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Singapore sea biscuit 02:47 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
French names buying Aud agressively at 0.7600...

Singapore Pilot 02:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks mate.....

singapore emperor 02:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
U are censored good.... great tks for the info

Quebec YQB 02:30 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Anyone short GBP/USD?

glasgow kiss 02:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
good info pilot

Eilat Dolphin 02:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pilot/ Fox news reports the same with prelim news being positive by field test for ricin. Confirmation needed however.

Ldn 02:11 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Master Builders Australia says the 2 RBA rate hikes of late 2003 taking their toll, with December building approvals off 1.5% on-month. Outcome sends clear message to RBA "not to increase interest rates further," group says. Argues approvals on downward trend, further weakness expected over coming months. RBA board meets today for first time in 2004 but expected to keep rates steady
abc

ICT ML 02:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
got to start wondering just how many times this cable and euro are going to bounce off these downtrend lines, because the distance they bounce is getting shorter and shorter....fwiw

Ldn 02:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
After succession of lower lows, lower highs, GBP/AUD's tentatively broken a downtrend line; RBC Capital Market's Greg Gibbs recommends buying pair now for move to 2.4750, placing stop-loss order at 2.3500; "we expect relative interest rate decisions this week to provide impetus for a more decisive technical break higher." BOE tipped to hike cash rate 25 bps to 4%, while RBA perhaps on hold at 5.25%.
reuters.

Singapore Pilot 02:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Substance found in Senate office building indicates presence of biological agent ricin ..Drudge report

NYC NOWL 01:54 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Midwest. the budget gap was not new news.

Midwest USA roe 01:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
With another $500 Bil budget hole, why hasn't US $ taken more of a hit today vs Euro?

HK 8888 01:37 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
the majority of the usdyen buying has been aud/yen uridashi related by a japanese security company, also helping oz up from 7580 to 7610

Melbourne Qindex 01:35 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
See details in my page if the market is trading outside the range 105.12 - 106.39.

Melbourne Qindex 01:34 GMT February 3, 2004
USD/JPY : ... // 105.12 - 105.44 - 105.76 - 106.08 - 106.39 // ...

...

Pecs Andras 01:29 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I am also considering getting in now.
What is your entry and stop?

Singapore Pilot 01:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
hello Kiss... beats me .... reckon dont want the mkt to have the 'out of sight out of mind ' mentality... me thinks there might be a bigger push up later...

melbourne farmacia 01:21 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Aud/Usd is pushing towards 0.7405 within this current cycle IMO. One should note the long term trend line from 0.8960 ( Feb 1989 ) - 0.8215 ( Dec 1996 ) through to the break out zone @ 0.7400 within Dec 2003. The odds suggest this trend line will be visited once again. On the daily chart the first point of call supports 0.7405 based on the Sept 03 bottom at 0.6340. If we break this 0.7400 zone, expect 0.7250. And something from the Archives regarding correction levels: about from the bad timing, the rest seems ok.
melbourne farmacia 07:40 GMT July 14, 2003
" And this might be a big call by me, but techs indicate, the next major corrrection with the aussie dollar should occurr around 0.7816 durning June - August 2004, this is based on statistical history and time based models."....

Dallas GEP 01:20 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
That was for my friend Andras

Dallas GEP 01:20 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Yes, have been for some time

London Bob the Baptist 01:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
MOF/BOJ strategy these days seems to be more aimed at late in the asian day ie when Europe is opening. Any rally these days in usdyen, whether it be 20 pts or 120 pts is attributed to MOF/BOJ buying. Classic exampe was last weeks nasty spike from 105.85 to 106.65. The reality was it was not MOF/BOJ, but a well known speculater.

Pecs Andras 01:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Are you already long USD/Yen?

Dallas GEP 01:17 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
kIss, it simply is a warning shot to let us know they are stilll there PLUS it serves as encouragement to would be LONGERS of usd/jpy.

Texas(Jskn.) PNB 01:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dr. Q. :-)

Melbourne Qindex 01:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 01:00 GMT - It is very promising so far.

glasgow kiss 01:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
wht would the boj buy a token amount ?

Singapore Toto 01:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Mrg pilot, hor lun lut, 8888

Beijng Damang 01:01 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Kindly,what do U think AUD/USD?

Singapore Pilot 01:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
profit taking in the high tech stocks i hear.... BOJ seen buying $/yen this morning ..reckon token amt only... spooked $/yen to 70 ....

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 01:00 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Good.I am long usd/chf already too.i think some big usd/chf is coming up,and eur/usd should go straight opposite as usual and hence i think the correction that some were waiting for is in the offing soon...in coming days i presume-I can see the 1.19 levels being touched if this happens-all IMHO

Hi Dr. Q,u there.shed light eh?

TIA:-)

glasgow kiss 00:57 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
anyreson that the nikkie if off 1.75 pct ?

Buenos Aires Argenfx 00:52 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Sold EUR at 1.2423 looking for 1.2330 s/l at 1.2485

Las Vegas DJM 00:51 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I am shorting eur/usd also.

Singapore Hor Lun Lut 00:45 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
morning fei mow... morning Toto...

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:41 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
I am shorting eur/usd in next few minutes.anyone with me?
TIA:-)

Singapore Pilot 00:40 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
yeah gold does look set for squeeze down.... basically short aud to hedge that...correlation so far been good...

Philippines newtrader 00:39 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
good morning my friend raden, thanks for the forecast yesterday, may i ask what's your forecast for euro and yen? i have been following your study and i notice it hit in the market......Salamat Po! (thank you)

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:38 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY anyone got view?

order took effect luckily did not hit my stop, target is 190.87-42 but would like to know if any ppl out there in cosmic GV have something to say about this pair.

TIA

singapore emperor 00:32 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GOLD, getting sick on the weekly and daily chart.
pave way for 385-390.

Dallas GEP 00:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Made 10 pIPS on my usd/cad SHORT and I bailed out. Will see some more dollar strength later IMO

Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The battle of eur/usd sellers and buyers when at arround 1.2475 was finished.ho..ho..ho.. big sellers sharks have come from that level. thanks you.

KL Relac lah 00:27 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
think usdyen will still be well-bid at 105.40 ... buy there s/l under 105.20

Singapore Pilot 00:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
i prefer usd yen at 107.00...been calling bottom for the longest time...so far only dead cat bounce..... but i will stay long usd yen with s/l 105.00.... see stops in eur/yen abv 132.00 now

HK 8888 00:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
The high volatility in the British pound obscures the fact that it lacks any
direction. The last six closes in the pound have all been within 85 points
of a central point of 1.8185. The midpoint of the high in early January and
the low of two weeks ago is 1.8200. This trading of the past three weeks is
either a consolidation period and the pound will break out to the upside, or
the pound is in the process of forming a major peak. We favor the first
scenario, but the pound must demonstrate significant strength during the
next few days to confirm this outlook. The Bank of England makes its rate
decision on Thursday and this could be the catalyst for the move. If the
next several days lack much strength then this will increase the odds that
the next significant move will be lower.

The shorter cycles call for the pound to rally into Tuesday when a minor top
is due. If the resistance at 1.8275 breaks, then it should reach 1.8410
during the next two days. If it proves that strong, then this will turn the
medium term outlook positive for two weeks or so. The pound should then
trade to the 1.8600 area and possibly 1.8800.

If the next few days lack much strength then the risk of a sharp move will
shift to the downside. The critical support is at 1.8065, and a break of
this level will turn the outlook very negative. This will signal that it is
headed lower into early March and will fall to 1.7900 or further.


Dallas GEP 00:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
AG, No more than 106.60 in my view

singapore emperor 00:25 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Hi Knez, yep, Pilot be good.
Nervous USDJPY market, prefer to sell towards 106.00

hk ab 0.88 00:24 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
small entry dlr/jpy long 105.55

hk ab 0.88 00:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
from the price action, the BOJ will be in again later.
wait and catch the sell opportunity later.

How high does everyone expect?

107? 107.10-20 will be ideal.

Dublin CK 00:22 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Morning folks to you who live on the other side of the world, good nite to us who live closer to the GMT time zone.

GL/GT

Any ideas if $/yen will see 107 any time soon?

Belgrade Knez 00:20 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Emperor,
Talking to me?

hk ab 0.88 00:19 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Does Japs need to repatriate Gold as well???
Interesting......

pirce under 400 now.

Hokkien fish monger 00:18 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
wah holan can....pilot man, can also sell euryen?? mof censored sleepy this week.....

singapore emperor 00:16 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pilot will help you

Belgrade Knez 00:13 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Pilot, thanks for that.
I am missing life in Singapore.
Cheers.

singapore emperor 00:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
all sell rallies for EUR, AUD and GBP.
continue to set in the mkt. Guess, AUD top is limited to 0.7600-0.7630 now.

Singapore Pilot 00:12 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
knez....good morning...i think in far east time there is no rush ...reckon can see 1.24 450 50 again to try short some there...just put ur s/l at 1.2480 after that

Belgrade Knez 00:08 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 00:05 GMT February 3, 2004
Singapore Pilot
do you think that will go once again to 1.2450 or it's NOT to late to join the short euro?
TIA


sorry for the typo.

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY in at 192.22 luckily did not hit my stop this time.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:06 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
good morning !!!

Belgrade Knez 00:05 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Pilot
do you think that will go once again to 1.2450 or it's to late to join the short euro?
TIA

Singapore Pilot 00:03 GMT February 3, 2004 Reply   
Good morning all.....eur sell at 1.2450 s/ 1.2480 aud sell at 0.7600 s/l 0.7630 ....gbp sell at 1.8235 s/l 1.8270 on the day

 




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  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

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  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
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Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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