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Forex Forum Archive for 02/11/2004

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Ldn 23:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
An article in today's Nikkei said that the People's Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan indicated that the exchange rate mechanism would be revised this year. The article states that the changes to be made remain unclear. There has
been a lot of speculation that China's central bank might allow a 5% appreciation of the Yuan against the USD as early as next month. This suggestion appeared in a Chinese Business daily last weekend even though it was officially
denied earlier this week.

Chicago 23:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Cable: I've just finished looking at some of the most popular trend following systems. Given the steep climb many of the trailing stops are FAR below the current price. Obviously it depends on the volatility factor employed, but it looks like cascading stops are not an issue until around the 1.82/1.83 area. BUT, unless the mkt keeps moving higher, crunch time will come in a few days as even the most minor dip will run in to the ever rising trailing stops. Something to consider.

Livingston nh 23:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
CK - I emphasize that I used the word "should" - market will decide whether that's correct interpretation

Nassau QF (newb) 23:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
What's a little weird is that the Trade with the US went up while trade with the EU went down.

The lack of demand for UK goods in the EU was emphasized in December, when the monthly trade deficit rose to yet another record of £2.75bn.

However, exports to the US - Britain's biggest single country market - remained buoyant, with a rise of £350m to £2.65bn in December.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/3475847.stm

Dublin CK 23:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 23:33 GMT February 11, 2004

Thanks,

Im just trying to get my head around the theory of the fundamentals ever since the technical analysis flew out with Unlce Al's speech.

I have a gut feeling that exports will have risen faster than imports and that it shall beat the economists forecast.

Livingston nh 23:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
CK - as far the Trade Balance - it should depend on why the deficit shrinks - rising exports or shrinking imports -- if both rise but exports rise more then USD positive -- rising exports and shrinking imports USD neutral -- if both shrink but imports decline more USD negative

Melbourne Qindex 23:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:28 GMT February 11, 2004
GBP/USD : Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels

... // 1.8522* - 1.8679* - 1.8835* - 1.8991* // ...


After Expansion


... // 1.8522* -1.8600 - 1.8679* - 1.8757 - 1.8835* - 1.8913 - 1.8991* // ...

Dublin CK 23:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Why havent the british governemt, BOE and other been complaining about the weakness of the dollar?

One of the UK's biggest trading partners is the US.

Y is it just the europeans that are complaining so much?

On a seperate note, what impact would a reduction in the decembers trade balance on friday be on the dollar?

ICT ML 23:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, looking at that right now...if you are an "accumulator"...now is as good as any level....but for intraday play I see 1.8860 area as the next support on dips now......but trying to buy the supports has not worked at all this week....it is not fully retracing back to them...so say any dips that get remotely close to 1.8860 area....

SF MRZ 23:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Eur/$ 1.3000 lQQks pretty possible, within the scope of today's rubber band trades.

Dallas GEP 23:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Marc, where would you suggest we jump on board?????

Dallas GEP 23:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Beware my friends chart reading is going to be misleading the next couple of sessions.

ICT ML 23:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Bummer....closed my earlier lcable longs out after my channel top held at 1.8880 area......only to see it jump another 60 pips......Boys, this is a RUNAWAY train, just get on while you can, because 1.9000 barriers are going to be a bluur.........GBP is the path of least resistance, and some big guns went long this week looking for much higher levels ......

good luck....

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 23:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
IF eur has a chance to come up above 1.3, I Would perfer to buy a put option at 1.3 for a m/t trade.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 23:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud looks bottoming in 1hr and 4hr, exited postitions on trail now waiting level to long.

Melbourne Qindex 23:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

LAX-LGB SNP 23:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 22:47 GMT February 11, 2004
you're probably right - not too experienced with eurchf
price stayed so close to hourly 50 sma till y'day so i was unclear about her earlier
however weeklies show price out of trough and aiming for pre-2000 highs + dailies show price travelling higher steadily

Caribbean! Rafe... 22:46 GMT February 11, 2004
replied already

london cam 22:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 22:47 GMT February 11, 2004

I suspect may be right. Past evidence suggests SNB habitually intervenes between 06:00 and 10:00 and 12:30 to 15:00 hours GMT so watch out in 7 hours time.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 22:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, no, I prefer to sell break of the trendline.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 22:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
may add aud/nzd longs during retracement now.
to the lower 1.12.

RBNZ didn't eat their words.

Dallas GEP 22:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Are you short now AB, because .6820 looks doable over the next few sessions

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 22:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
TA tells you outside week is a strong signal.
TA tells you the eur should not return
but Greensy slips several words making USD sinks like Titanic.

Dhahran 22:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello people ... what're ur recomendations to trade?

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 22:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, what I see from the chart is the pressure on m/t players on eur/gbp will force open the .6780 gate, time problem.

Dhahran 22:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello people ... what's ur recomendations to trade?

Livingston nh 22:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Snp -i don't think snb in -look at EUR/CHF - that would usually be a bigger concern

Dallas GEP 22:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, SOMEONE really doesn't want that eur/gbp to go below .6780. What is the deal with that????

Caribbean! Rafe... 22:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SNP// you got mail =)

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 22:43 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, we will soon see which country starts to take out their canon first apart from Jap.

The cable is very erratic but I will be patient enough to wait all the exhaustive surge finishes first.

At times, you can easily see what's the meaning of climb the wall, falls elevator in the monthly chart and weekly ones.

LAX-LGB SNP 22:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BoJ holding up $yen ... SNB holding up $chf ... ECB intervention rumors floating ... PRC's fixed peg v/s US

with so much interference with the natural order of things - we might as well revert to the gold standard and start swapping our cattle for linen

Dallas GEP 22:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
That Euro possie was SHORT!!!!!!

I will be back later.

Dallas GEP 22:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This will not work all the time (nothing does!!! lol) but prior to a big data moving event you can take possies going BOTH dollar short and dollar long and as long as the move is significant you can make money.

For example: I was USD/CAD short from 1.3331 prior to SNOW's little speech (stop was 1.3361). I then also took a Euro/USD long @ 1.2674 with stop @ 1.2704.

Of course the Euro long stopped out QUICK @ -30 but usd/cad shorted over 200 pips and I took profit @ +181 @ 1.3150.

You could at times get stopped out on BOTH possies, hence the reason for the fairly tight stops.

Bucharest Razvan 22:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
NYC FXDH 22:16 GMT February 11, 2004

Hehe.. I didn't say eur was going to 1.19.. As a matter of fact I said nothing at all.. just reacted to the market.. and I'm a very happy man :) (avg long 1.2692 since Monday)

NYC FXDH 22:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wHAT I CHUCKLE ABOUT IS THREE SHORT WEEKS AGO EVERYONE SAID THE TOP WAS IN PLACE ON THE WEEKLY CHARTS AND EURO WAS GOING TO 1.19..

prauge viktor 22:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gep sometimes even the train need a 20min to take breath but this move is very wild to stop like this without verb.intervention from tricht it will not stop but I love to see the 1,3 befor we can see the 1,225

Ldn 22:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP right all the way

Dallas GEP 21:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
MORE than likely we will have some consolidation at these current levels and then see what Asia has in store.

Dallas GEP 21:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
The bulls don't know where the tarin stops either!!!

GVI john 21:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2835…. $/yen 105.45
DJIA 10,738, +124 pts…NASDAQ 2,090, +14 pts
10-yr 4.03%, -7 bp’s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI....

Dallas GEP 21:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dollar Bull Retracements.......causes

1. Can't keep selling dollars if you have run out of buyers
2. SNB has been known to intervene
3. MOF never bashful
4. People wat their profits out (squaring)
5. BIG buyer wanting for everyone to lean ONE way
6. Price action NEVER in continuos straight line
7. Exporters having fits
8. RBC and RBA not bashful either

Yada, Yada

All this being said, if you stand in the way of USD bear train be prepared to jump to the side because even the usd bears don't know where the train will stop sometimes.

Paris jony 21:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks sotckholm I think asia well go forwored with this wave to the 1,2888 and the cable to the 1,898,i wish the same tou and tonight I will trade non stop.good luckza.

Ldn 21:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Chicago why would it reverse , the FED dont want the dollar strong they told us that so why will it reverse , a bit of profit taking maybe but thats about it till June

NYC FXDH 21:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I AGREE livingston..i THINK A FATE CUT IN CDN IS WHAT dODGE ELUDED TO TODAY IN HIS COMMENTS

Chicago 21:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Re:cable. With everyone watching the 1.9000 level I think the chances are that we blast right through there and then reverse.

Porto PJT 21:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
200 on gbp jpy have been a dificult one last times.199,63 last high.

Stockholm za 21:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Paris ....... this is what happen to my R & S Zoans today

12885-12838
12792-12778
12717
12657-12643
12596-12550

At the moment things are looking like this..
13026-12954
12883-12860
12766
12672-12650
12578-12507
We are 80,9% bullish over todays range
I do not think that Asia will know how to deal with what has taken place today and will keep it in a thight range till europe time frame if the inter contenental smartmoney is at sleep in Asia...
Pay attention to activites inside the zoans to filter strength & d....... This is just my stupid O ....... Happy trades to you....


Pecs Andras 21:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This is really a blind trade now since htere is no visible support until something like 8725, so I have no idea where to book profit and load a long
So I am aiming for some pips and then wait

Livingston nh 21:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
As things settle down in next few days I'd watch USD/CAD - if Cad starts to move back towards 1.33 then USD may rally against others - Canada is most likely country to have further rate cuts unless ECB surprises next month

Porto PJT 21:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy, yes but seams when they reach a consensus eur will be at 1,40 , EZ are not much happy from exporters side but i always feel they have some kind of proud when talking about euro so high....

USA Biscuit Boy 21:27 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Pecs I bet their will be a few big options barriers for cable being protected at 1.9000 so should get interesting then :)

Pecs Andras 21:27 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I hope so
I am short cable at 8912
It is worth at least some 50 pips I guess

Livingston nh 21:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Jony - the trade deficit is not a major reason for the EUR or cable to have rallied and I think charts have been working fine (except for the yen which is flat lining)

Pecs Andras 21:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sorry
I meant cable longers

Dallas GEP 21:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Anrdas, they will soon IMO.

Melbourne Qindex 21:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The following is still valid in Asia session for the time being.

Melbourne Qindex 23:14 GMT February 10, 2004
EUR/USD : the critical point of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.2716. The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a potential to tackle either 1.2562 or 1.2777. The market is currently trading below 1.8685 and the bias is 1.2562. The lower barrier of of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2624 // 1.2654 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2777 // 1.2808.


... 1.2501 ... 1.2562* ... 1.2624 // 1.2654, 1.2685, 1.2716 ... 1.2777 // 1.2808, 1.2839 ...

USA Biscuit Boy 21:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas I do know they got another wad to spend from the last diet so im guessing they can hold 105 for a long time. But maybe soon they will pull their bids and let it fall below 105 and then come in and shoot it to 106. However I did read a few reports exporters are relying on them heavily not to let 105 options get taken out.

Pecs Andras 21:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hey
these cable klonger have never heard about profit taking?

Paris jony 21:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ja livingstone its a littile bet more then 7%,u know all the traders are just looking for the cor.to 1,197-1,215 range but the matter of fact now adays no charts are working the boj and the other had allreasy changed all the ccles and the name of the game.and onther thing that noone is talking about it that the usa is the icon.motor for the world and she is with a very wide gap and the weak usd is the only way to go out of this and that is the real true which must understand it from mr.green tes.

Dallas GEP 21:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I wonder how much Japan is spending right now to fight off the dollar bears???? They let it slip earlier to 105.17.

USA Biscuit Boy 21:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Does anybody know why swiss has softened up? SNB responsible????

Moskow 21:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
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LAX-LGB SNP 21:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
with ref to 07:29 GMT February 11, 2004
scalpings have been rather slim thanks to AL(an)I-baba and his 40 thieves
FWIW usdchf is still above 1.22 ;-)

Dallas GEP ... anytime !

ICT ML 15:53 GMT February 11, 2004 - ya da mannn - i would have reverse-closed those eur shorts but fell asleep

Livingston nh 21:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
that's "7% above"

Paris jony 21:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

I dont see no reason for the time been to G3 intervention this it will start when the 1,425 wwill come,dont see that Mr:green is just asking the mkt to take the usd down ,the def.is a very serious problem for all the world,pleas take care about this view of point.

Livingston nh 21:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
The EUR is only a bit over 7% of its EU set fair value a few years ago - remember there was talk that EUR was going to rise but instead it fell - there is not a lot of distortion for EUR but seems AUD and GBP need a bit of correction

Porto Azarento 21:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi.
Next 5 hours:
- usdcad up
- audusd, eurusd, gbpusd down.

Bye

USA Biscuit Boy 20:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT I don't even think the ECB could reverse the euros long term uptrend on its own. I think the G3 will have to act together on that one and right now the US isn't concerned.

Swiss DG 20:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT, thanks for the explanation.

beirut jb 20:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wtg GEP
:)

LJ G 20:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
maribor... Your EURCHF longs looking great! Congratulations!

Porto PJT 20:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Swiss DG 19:58 , problably the trend of usd down will continue from Mr G speach and a break here could aceleratte usd down. Right now i cant see how the usd will reverse the trend without ECB help, that i doubt it will happen, more verbal than real intervention.If US stock market was in red, and in a downtrend maybe a alarm could ring....is not the case.
imo.

Dallas GEP 20:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Closed Caddy short from 1.3331 at 1.3150. Lost -30 pips on a eur SHORT just prior to Snow's sppech but obviously CADDY made up for it +181 PIPS.

nyc fxdh 20:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
dc fxq
you are so right about the treasury being in charge of currency... does Snow know Grenspan took over his job?

Paris jony 20:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hello stokholm za,how do u see the eur/usd for tonight pleas the kwi yestrday it was good thanks.

Swiss DG 19:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Porto PJT,
Can you develop? What do you expect as effects on usd?
tia
Dan

Porto PJT 19:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, usd index, 84,80 last low in 12 january 04, today low was 85,09.

Ldn Mvs 19:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Mtl - JP - tks for that - yes well obvious conclusion of all that is that the noises we have been hearing of late are so extremely politicised as it is an election year, and Bush & Cie. need votes from the car manufacturers etc. where in reality we all know that the problem is more severe than JUST a currency issue (which it isn't!)

Ldn Mvs 19:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
DC fxq - tls for feedback - yes agree on that one but just surprising that the currency issue was mentioned so openly by Greenspan, hence my comment - was implying that in an undercover way he may be trying to manipulate that rule if you see what I mean...

Stockholm za 19:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
FXVelocity :-
"The number of times a dollar is spent, or turns over, in a specific period of time. Velocity affects the amount of economic activity generated by a given money supply. "

USA Biscuit Boy 19:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the input. I will be patient and observe the price action after the data is released before going long euros. If this is indeed the start of a new downleg for the dollar there is still plenty to go so im not going to rush in right now. A nice dip will change that tho :)

Mtl JP 19:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Mvs 19:12 / The just recently released White House Council of Economic Advisers report said that the U.S. economy will generate 2.6 million new jobs in 2004, or some 400,000 more than have been lost since he took office in January 2001. The report also forecast that another 3.6 million jobs would be added in 2005. (note: the council predicted that last year the economy would add 1.7 mio jobs, when in fact it lost jobs).

Noteworthy statement is this one imo: "Outsourcing is just a new way of doing international trade," said N. Gregory Mankiw, chairman of Bush's Council of Economic Advisors. "More things are tradable than were tradable in the past. And that's a good thing." fwiw...

dc fxq 19:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

Ldn Mvs 19:19 GMT February 11, 2004
Also sounds like Greenspan has decided to take control on currencies -

Greenspan has NO input on currency policy whatever, only on interest rate policy. Currency matters are the SOLE responsibility of the Treasury Department not the FED.

Ldn Mvs 19:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Also sounds like Greenspan has decided to take control on currencies - seems like he is indirectly telling Mr. Snow to take a hike! Atleast with Greenspan we get an honest opinion, no dithering - just how we like it!

Ldn Mvs 19:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
WASHINGTON, Feb 11 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Wednesday U.S. job losses to China are due to international economic competition, not the weakness of Chinese currency against the dollar.

If China were required to float its currency, which is currently pegged to the dollar, and the exchange rate were higher, it would not necessarily result in more jobs in the United States, Greenspan said.

"If China stopped exporting to the United States, ... others would take up the slack, and I think in that regard, you would find that it is not a Chinese issue, it's a basic issue of competition internationally," he said

-----------------

With that comment, coupled with earlier statement on US$, would think that this leaves the way open for much higher EUR/JPY intra-day!

Chicago 18:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Wow. SP midcaps at new all-time high!

Chicago 18:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
To paraphrase Rubin in his new book: Greenspans doesn't get out of bed without considering the implications...

nyc jk 18:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy - That is exactly why it is something "new to the table" because it is from his mouth. Don't think it is just an "offhand" comment either, him and his crew spend hours and hours debating whether to replace "considerable period" with "patience", he doesn't say anything without having considered the implications.

UK/Bristol David 18:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Re - the EUR. Just a minor observation - the EZ is a multiheaded entity and finds it difficulty to take positive action, hence the wooly words coming out of the G7. For what its worth EZ will not take any direct action until the majority of its multiheads begin to squeal. My guess is that that point is 1.3. Views pls?

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 18:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
censored the manipulators...
TIA:)

USA Biscuit Boy 18:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I just don't like fast moves due to offhand statements. Greenspan brought nothing new to the table except the fact it happened to be out of his mouth. I will wait and see if euro can close above 1.2790. If not I'll definately look to buy closer to 1.2700. GL and GT. Cable im not touching. Took a loss on it yesterday which cancelled my euro and swissy profits.

ICT ML 18:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
USA BB....we look at it like this......todays move equals 3/4 of last 2 days "non moves"..if that makes sense to you.....so a bit "Under done" still for me.....target of flagpole forming is first Tp zone...1.9000 fwiw

Deauville Nico 18:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 17:53 GMT February 11, 2004
I don't think this move is overdone, fundamentaly , if ECB doesn't change its interest rates, with the twin american deficit and all the rest, euro could get 1.40 by the end of the year. I think 1.2800 area has become a good support area. The ball is the ECB camp. The question is 'when will the ECB cut its rates or say the situation is unconfortable?" 1.29/1.30 seems to be fair enough.

USA Biscuit Boy 18:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I tell you what cable must have had its wheaties for breakfast. The thing is unstoppable!!!!

Porto PJT 18:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan is talking about currencys???amazing

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 18:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gd night all, believe that Asian willl give us more interesting move tomorrow.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 18:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
MOF turns now.

USA Biscuit Boy 17:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I agree on that euro call Ldn. But this move was certainly overdone so we have to see where we close today to see where a good spot to go long will be. We also have to make sure adjustments are made on the crosses because MOF has a full warchest now and they will certainly use it against these erratic moves fueled by statemennts only. GL and GT.

SA Bok 17:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Just a heads up in all this traffic MACD seem to still be diverging ..
Cannot call levels in this Event market this evening but could be the first clue to a reversal ...

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 17:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp back under .68 again.......

Ldn 17:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Actually there is nothing now to stop the euro from hitting 130 its been given the Green light by the Boss to sell - most unbelievable

SA Bok 17:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sorry Thier Jobs - it should read

SA Bok 17:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 17:37 GMT - So True , but they the people on this committee are also fighting to keep jobs and not join the unemployed ... LOL

USA Biscuit Boy 17:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Still can't believe Greenspan got involved with currency talk. Thought that was Snow's job. Im sure Trichet couldn't believe what he was hearing either lol.

Bris TW 17:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I do not see why some of this commitee is so harsh on Grandpa Greeny. If anyone on this commitee was in Mr G`s position things would be alot worse than they conceive it is.

Alb emm 17:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Aud anyone see it pull back from this level or higher thanks

Jozi Wits 17:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Yo yustin, maemo here. check you email soon. thanks for the great contribution to the forum, and im sure by now you are used to this sort of reaction. on the whole your always up on the market. GL and GB my brother. :)

SA Bok 17:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Does this committee not see that Mr G cannot do more on Jobs as interest rates are being kept low .. employers must employ but outsourcing is winning ...

SA Bok 17:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 17:22 - I saw that , but then I also saw CB Chief said some change may/will occur on IFR ...

Talk is 2.5% to 5% ...

NDF Already at 4400 and maybe lower ...

If does occur will see USDRMB at lower end quickly , interesting if the Chinese Govt then lets Companies repatriate Profits(more freely) to create demand and supply ... Interesting the smoke in book getting thicker ...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 17:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks you friends..
really I will miss you here, but in about 10 days I will get very bussy to that new place. I will back here as soon as I can
result of my trade strategy this week give cummulative profit loss ratio is at 275%. ( loss total 60 pips and profit total 165 pips). seen eur/usd now is on the blue track.
ya.. still many time.

see you...(have done twice). LOL

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 17:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SZ// The announcement is made already ( I think ) and no reevaluation mentioned.

Helsinki iw 17:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Think market reacts a bit too strongly on Easy Al.
We are still in the large comsolidation range and o/b on
hourlies. Sold some euros here and waiting for the EZ officials
to start bitching tomorrow.

Quezon Mailman 17:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, are you still there? Do you observe usd/chf? My studies show that 1.2270/60 are good supports. I already bought 1.2291 for a decent bounce to around 1.2340/50 area. What can you say? thanks.

Chicago 17:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Some chatter going around that there is a "black box" CTA doing some selling of IMM futs. Smells like a rumour floated by trapped shorts....

beijing road 17:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok : Our gov said this week no revaluation of RMB soon, but i Never trust what they say.

HK Kevin 17:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, stop loss on my medium term short EUR/CHF holding for 1 week and give back almost all profit I earned today from EUR and CAD. Good night.

SA Bok 17:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 17:16 GMT - Interesting do you know the source ? TIA

SA Bok 17:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 17:14 GMT - When Freely floated will be the most traded pair USDRMB in my view .. USDJPY .. will become third rate ... Its a matter of time and we all know the Chinese will only move at thier pace ...

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 17:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sp// a side note,

eurchf and aud/nzd have proven many tandem move in the past. HOwever, the lag could be as long as 4 weeks.
Now, with eurchf breaks upside, I expect to see aud/nzd will do the same thing later (could be 3-6 months later).
GL.

Miami OMIL 17:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Here I believe you have to take the good with the bad (live and let live) it is the way of life. I always try to filter the bad out of the good in other words just read the good comments only. Raden this forum will miss you thanks for your contribution and hope everything goes well for you. (/;->

OK SZ 17:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
on china I heard that they will be making an announcement tomorrow that could be interesting

SA Bok 17:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
And he is at it again LOL

USA Biscuit Boy 17:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Well it will be very interesting where we close for euro. If above 1.2790 im bullish again. Below 1.2790 then mildly bullish only and a chance we geet stuck in the range again.

GA TJ 17:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Just an opinion here but long term does anyone think that the currency war that is about to breakout will eventually be turned on China. After all are they not the largest economy that does not have a floating currency? I'm thinking that way down the road they will have enormous pressure to float their currency which means that we will have another pair to trade.

SA Bok 17:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Here's the guy(congress) who lambasted Mr G last time ...

la as 17:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
newbie here(and have alot to learn!), Raden please share your url. :)

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 17:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eurchf!!!!

Geez

Quezon Mailman 17:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden, I take my hats off you. Very objective. It is not whether you are correct or wrong. It is your contribution that really matters to this forum. I am proud of your guts here.

Chicago 17:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
For you guys that trade stock indices, there is good paper for sale in SP from 1152.5 to 1156.0.------which means we'll probably close at 1160.....

UK/Bristol David 17:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok 17:04 GMT = I agree. You have to take the likes of Mr G into account as well as Techs. I just dont like this unseemly gloating by nondescipts.

Chicago Irish 17:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden:Don't let the nay-sayers get to you.Good luck mate.

SA Bok 17:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Appreciate .. Seems some sellers up here EUR and GBP ...

Chicago 17:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok: Not sure. Just reporting on what I am seeing/hearing. All of a sudden there was paper for sale in BP, EC and AD. But that could all change (again) in a heartbeat!

Mars Martian 17:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden, excuse me, what is the url of your page ?

Outerspace Dr.Evil 17:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Merlin, for a man living in Fantasyland, you have a firm grasp of reality!

Inner Space Mini-Me 17:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I offer an alternative to Dr Evil.....in mini's of course :-)

Stockholm za 17:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden_mas…. I can also pay you for another 20 days.. so that these f-ing rats will starve under the 30 days…….. lol & good fortunes…

melbourne farmacia 15:00 GMT February 11, 2004
Many happy trades to you....

SA Bok 17:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Chicago 17:03 GMT - Can you offer more details ? TIA

Fantasyland Merlin 17:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Evil, its hard to place money with one person, because there are so many superstars here.

Bris TW 17:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas well done on 1.2836 sell for euro in your strategy

SA Bok 17:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
UK/Bristol David 17:01 - Not me I appreciate his views and calls but in the event market like this making Tech Calls are not the best , you have to let the dust settle ...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 17:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
okay before I am off.
be evaluated.
I will say eur/usd choose track-3, from 1.2655 because no get 1.2645 see chart picture in my page.

see you later. I will back here as soon as I can.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 17:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, agree.

Belgium (Gent) Sidekick 17:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden, I wish you all the best.
Take care.

Chicago 17:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
All of a sudden the sentiment on the IMM has swung 180degrees to being better offered.

Outerspace Dr.Evil 17:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, just increased my account value by 3000% in 43 seconds, an annualized return of over One Biillliiiooonnnnn Percent. Going out to buy 2000 cases of Cristal, the Manchester United team and a new space ship. good luck to everyone, I don't need it as it's all skill with me.

Miami OMIL 17:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
As bugs bunny would say “of course you know these means war”. Everyone was waiting for the G7 meeting to start the fire and it was Green’s comments that did the trick. The stage has been set for the turbulent times I have talked about on earlier posts. It will be interesting what strategy for intervention will take place and were they will start to drop the bombs. (/;-> GL GT

UK/Bristol David 17:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Re - Raden Mass. There are a few very unworthy people here gloating about Raden Mass's view coming unstuck. At least he has the balls to make forecacasts - unlike some of the gloaters here. Shame on you.

ICT ML 17:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOJ appears to be trying to spoil the party...be alert.

prauge viktor 17:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
good luck raden have a good time and be back soon to the forum.

cairo ram 17:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wish you all the best raden about your new company

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, exit here 1.5756.

Swiss DG 16:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Raden, have a good time.
Bye

SA Bok 16:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Mr G has iginted a spark in the room .. egos abound .. guys lets let the dust settle ... It all buy buy Currencies ...

oneway ... and we all know the market is positioned one way ...

Like somebody said Trichet and Co are not going to be taking this well...

GL all

Mars Martian 16:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Cheers, raden. All the best to your new post. :-)

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
put a sell stop on dlr/jpy under 104.95

Zarb Trafalgar 16:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hey ram...didn't you get enough? you want some more?
Ok, sell euro as much as you can,
See you in censored.....

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Who bragged a "joint intervention" yesterday?
Or an opp. sign?
crazy volatility now.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Friends..
I will off for about 10 days for new company.
Good luck and sorry for my view today.
See you.. and thanks

Bris TW 16:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
mmm account just increased by 140% + in 15 minutes sometimes risking a margin call isnt a bad idea. Better than 12% in 5 months LOL. Collected at 1.8855. Big moves are over for now maybe tomorrow US data figures may supply some more. Dont want to be too greedy :)
I have my eye on a classic F40

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, trail my eur/chf 1.5750 right now
make up the 7 pips loss of the original short.

cairo ram 16:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
where r u raden ,,com on give us a little futuristic view about eur/$

Somewhere Anon 16:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I agree, za. That's soooo true in here. :)

HK Kevin 16:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, Re: EUR/CHF, it's a great short in terms of risk and reward at current level with tight stop above last high's year, but I don't intend to add short here.

Stockholm za 16:50 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
WELL.. well - well....
fwiw.......
Empty vessels make the most noise :-
Small profit traders talk the most …
Big profit traders talk less……
GV/FF.. At S3
Trade safe.........

Belgium (Gent) Sidekick 16:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan will also hold a semi-annual testimony on monetary policy to the senate. Do you think this will also have a huge impact like today?

melbourne farmacia 16:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Just covered 85% of gbp/usd longs for 731 pips from my model levels entry / exit - 1.8103 & 1.8828 ( holding last two weeks ) and limit to close aud/usd at 0.7881 if seen. GT

PS only sell when your indicators suggest so..

HK Kevin 16:32 GMT February 11, 2004 - yes my euro picked up on break.

Bed time for me now, good nite.

ICT ML 16:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Trichett's got to be flopping around on the floor in a fit of seizure by now....LOL

beijing road 16:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL : always love this crazy mkt,lol.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
note eur/gbp is still under .68....

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
KEvin, my eur/chf SAR at 1.5738 now holding long. Think a good chance of new break.

beijing road 16:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL : yes, new positions added. all stop placed at 1.2630 now like yesterday.I will hold long position at 12515-25 as long as I can while squaring out other positions b4 1.29 longed at 1.26 level.Cheers.

SA Bok 16:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Seems he is really keen to keep rates low .. even Asian CB'S sells treasuries , he reckons okay ... again Kudo's great intervention by the US ....

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eurchf will challenge new high!

HK Kevin 16:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, covered EUR short before Greenspan's speech. Long US/CAD also stop profit. Now struggling on short ER/CHF from 1.5702, s/l in place. I am taking a long distance call during the EUR spike, so still and prefer to be flat.

Miami OMIL 16:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Road you got your order filled on eur/usd? Remember what I said 1.2900 won’t be easy to crack but the technical charts are pointing to it. With Greeny’s comments I believe this is a very good push to get there IMHO. (/;->

Ldn 16:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan"s warning over the long term risk of budget imbalances which he adss can be narrowed by the Usd"s decline should keep the pressure on ahead.

Well Cant believe he has said this
the man is nuts

ICT ML 16:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I got a channel top coming up @ 1.8880.....doubt it holds, but might slow it down a bit

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I am flat.

Mars Martian 16:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
12815/20 & 18835/40

WoooHoooo!! Hip Hip Hooray !!!

nyc jk 16:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I think highs of the whole run 1.29+ in sight now...

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
oops, stopped....

now eye on dlr/jpy

Deauville Nico 16:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Ok, you should think seriously about buying euro for a new high...

SA Bok 16:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Not ...

cairo ram 16:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden your opinion plz about eur/$

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Bok, looks like option offer more.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd have get 1.2804

SA Bok 16:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
1.2800-10 Euro Offers ??

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, your view on cad?

nyc jk 16:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
kuues - I don't think it is an overreaction at all . Those are HIGHLY significant comments coming from Greenspan. In fact pretty incredible really. we may see a stall at 1.28, but looks like we still have quite a way to run imo.

HK Kevin 16:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melboune Faramica, cautious is money. Are you buying EUR on a clear break of 1.2690.

Caribbean! Rafe... 16:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
euro: IMO we may as well see 1.2829 today before everyone can go about selling.

got stopped out earlier.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
have get 1.8813

prauge viktor 16:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks green the 1,425 is coming soon its in the interest of every one ..we all love u green u and bush

beijing road 16:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
trend is your best friend, keep going with the trend until it reverse.

Tartu kuues 16:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
has anyone considering shorting EUR here
seems that its just over reaction and it was made by stops
i didnt see messages like we dont rise rates

Mars Martian 16:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
[Quote]
greenspan says; dollar decline should help narrow us current acct gap. fed can be patient in removing monetary policy stimulus.
[End Quote]

Cheers. I see 1.30 is coming, blunt skulls.

ICT ML 16:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
New breakout support on cable is 1.8735 area +/- some pips.....doubt we see it anytime soon now....

Nottingham 16:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
short aussie @7844...add tom if required but target for today 7811 or less...gl gt

Van jv 16:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
News"However, he cautioned that such low interest rates "will not be compatible indefinitely" with the Fed's primary job of fighting inflation.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
one more 1.8795.

PAR 16:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan , US government running out of money.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:27 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
D.C. Alan Greenspank 16:24 GMT February 11, 2004
yes. thanks

ICT ML 16:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, that should be 2.1XXX not 1.2XXX

New York lev 16:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
he is speaking about the dollar

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
A hyper crash or exhaustion. Note NY close.....

D.C. Alan Greenspank 16:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
No offence here, radan....are you a newbie ?

ICT ML 16:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
usa monster 16:22...like I said earlier in week...1.2XXX unless the euro crowd begs the FED to help "STOP THE PAIN"....

UK/Bristol David 16:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
As usual an over reaction to Mr G. He clearly indicates a need for interest rises. My guess is EUR/USA will revisit 12730 today.

Deauville Nico 16:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This rally on euro tells a lot about the conviction of operators.
Just buy on a dip or above 1.2800

cairo ram 16:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hello raden,to which levels eur/$ expected to go,
may be 1.30 after hours????
thanks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sell again eur/usd at 1.2805 if be touched

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
s/l 1.8808

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
short gbp 1.8791.

PAR 16:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan only interested in stock market not in US dollar value.

usa monster 16:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 16:19
sir any views on cable from here?

Mars Martian 16:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
12780/12786.

I love you, Alan.

Deauville Nico 16:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Buy euro on a break of 1.2800

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
nt, wanna sell some nzd here?

Swiss DG 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Deauville Nico,
as for instance 1.2782 or higher?
Dan

JHB ,SA Al 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
My tradestation is jumping 70 pips 1.2760, 1.2677, back and forth and the graphs show a steady bull candle. Anyone else experiencing this.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOJ forgot to ask Greenspan what he would talk about tonight.
Now, without pushing dlr/jpy above 106, I wonder BOJ will be happy to see 104.xx printed tomorrow morning.

Somewhere Anon 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
What's are you getting mad on me ? I owe no one here any
indication. :)

Now EUR/$ is 1.2770/75, do sell now if you hate the surge so
much. :)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd will up to get 1.2780 area as a top

Miami OMIL 16:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This is a good time to let the smoke clear before placing your bets IMHO. 1.2790 is in jeopardy now and if it is taken then 1.2900 will be seen soon as I said before. (/;-> GL GT

ICT ML 16:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
TJ..I'm with you 100% on that should, have just kept buying ...nothing is changed.........Greenie has caused more problems in my business life than I care to admit....personally can't stand him.

SA Bok 16:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Agree 1.2775 resistance must hold or we are off to the races ..

Deauville Nico 16:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Swiss DG 16:16 GMT February 11, 2004
Personnaly I think we won't see 1.2650 before to see a new high...

Mars Martian 16:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
[Quote]
greenspan says; dollar decline should help narrow us current acct gap. fed can be patient in removing monetary policy stimulus.
[End Quote]

Cheers. I see 1.30 is coming, blunt skulls.

beirut jb 16:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Somewhere Anon 16:11

well daily chart wasnt long before greanspean testimony???

if u was so sure why u didnt call eur/$ long ???

before greanspan speech eur/$ was sell break 12650 and buy hold 12650 tech and raden and all were right to short it at 127
or 12680 ahead of a possible break,

I was short since 12760 but close it earlier at 127



will sell eur/$ again or 12770 didnt clear

GL GT

Nottingham 16:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
aussie 2nd o/b 7883

warsaw tmsmp 16:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
greenspan says; dollar decline should help narrow us current acct gap. fed can be patient in removing monetary policy stimulus.

Mars Martian 16:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
"However, with inflation very low and substantial slack in the economy, the
Federal Reserve can be patient in removing its current policy accommodation,"


Cheers !

Swiss DG 16:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden,
What's your opinion about eur/usd. Back to 1.2650 or...

SA Bok 16:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Somewhere Anon 16:11 - Be Brave and say where you are from ...

Raden all I am pointing out is EVENT RISK ... Charts dont see that or do you guys factor these in ... seen as Non events

Somewhere Anon 16:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Cheers !

GA TJ 16:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hindsight is a no good stinking bitch. So much for closing that GBPJPY yesterady. I shall take comfort in knowing that it "Could" have gone the other way. What Uncle Al giveth Uncle Al taketh away.

Ina* mr.co'z 16:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan nevertheless said the Fed can't hold interest rates low
indefinitely. The Fed's key interest rate now stands at 1%, its lowest level
since 1958, and most private economists don't expect an increase until late this
year. Although the rate is appropriate for now, Greenspan said "the evidence
indicates clearly that such a policy will not be compatible indefinitely with
price stability and sustainable growth; the real federal funds rate will
eventually need to rise toward a more neutral level."
"However, with inflation very low and substantial slack in the economy, the
Federal Reserve can be patient in removing its current policy accommodation,"
Greenspan said.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
okay seen gbp/usd will get top at 1.8813

LA saint3 16:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp and euro are very strong!!!

USA Biscuit Boy 16:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
IMO if euro can't break to the upside here it is going to test 1.26 and below. GL and GT.

NYC MSG 16:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello . .what exactly has caused the dollar to fall? Is it something Greenspan said? I cant seem to find anything on the news . thanks

ICT ML 16:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thought they were delaying this for an hour......didn't have orders ready...for such a surge

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan helps the spect to spook ECB and spark the canons, good job.

That's why I stay away from majors these days.... stupid.

As said previously,
after an outside week reversal and we saw eur touching 1.2780.
Sensible or not?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SA BOK
with tight stp is still control.

Memphis Charles 16:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Be careful when the play seems obvious.

Deauville Nico 16:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hey, I told you guys to wait for grandy!

beirut jb 16:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/$ we should now monitor this level 12770~12795 to know how strong it is

Somewhere Anon 16:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Check out the daily chart of EUR. It shows a clear buy signal !
Tech works - if you know how to do it that is. :)

SA Bok 16:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
yes Raden .. Techs dont work when you get event comments such as this ...

HK J. 16:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Yes Yes Yes....I long GBP and EUR. YEAH YEAH YEAH

Ina* mr.co'z 16:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
next resistance cable at 1.8776 .

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wow.. crash.

PAR 16:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan , US interest rates will stay low.

Global-View 16:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan's testimony LINK

Nottingham 16:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Cable 1st o/b 1.8782 2nd o/b 1.8845

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 16:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan is helping l/t players for better level?
Think he had bought the rumour, sold the fact.

help me to close the eur/chf position.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd sell again at 1.2766(if posible)

Ina* mr.co'z 16:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ops..got my SL !

PAR 16:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan very worried about US budget deficits.

Nottingham 16:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
aussie 1st o/b 7833

Ina* mr.co'z 16:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
usa monster 15:59 GMT February 11, 2004

same number like ICT and Raden at 1.8635/25...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
cool.. sell again at 1.8729

To BA 16:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
there we go euro up flying, dollar falling

SA Bok 16:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
There's your answer sell the Buck ...

Deauville Nico 16:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Oh oh sellers, I 'm just back from town, but? what do I see? you're all screwed!

Global-View 16:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GVI 16:01 GMT February 11, 2004
Greenspan: Dollar drop has been gradual, harmless

SA Bok 16:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Interest Rates appropriate - Mr G
They will be low for a while ...
Jobs growth seen...

Ina* mr.co'z 16:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hi ICT ML...whats your view for cable now ? tia ..gl !

usa monster 15:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Ina* mr.co'z 15:57 GMT February 11, 2004
t/p?

ICT ML 15:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
usa monster 15:51: I'll trade any pair that has good volitility...so GBP pairs are the main ones...but I also trade eur/usd and usd/chf and others.....

Ina* mr.co'z 15:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:54 GMT February 11, 2004

with you...sell 1.8700 s/l 1.8713 ..gl !

london cam 15:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Treasury prices fell yesterday as oil prices jumped, raising inflation concerns among bondholders. Additionally, the markets will be offered $56 billion in new 3-, 5- and 10-year notes this week (not sure when). I suspect Greenspan has to be somewhat optimistic in his remarks on the US economy otherwise demand for these notes will not be suffcient to meet this supply.

I suspect the dollar will rise after Greenspan speaks - BUT wouldn't bet on it!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd up is enough at 1.8695.
will sell more if touch 1.8704

ICT ML 15:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
USA Monster....regarding Greenspeak....nobody in this country (except us) give a crap about the foreign exchange rates......what they care about is their front load, rear load, mid load, non-performing mutual funds are earning more than cash in a interest bearing checking account would.....LOL...so that is whatthe crowd that Greenie and friends are going to cater to...all IMHO of course

usa monster 15:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:48 GMT February
sir i have a question
u only trades cable?
i have seen mostly ur analysis r about cable

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd 1.8632 and 24 is ver nice to wait as bottom.

Genoa nic 15:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
TO BA, the correlation is between yields and Dollar: higher yields, short term, mean bonds down and Dollar up. Longer term may be another story

ICT ML 15:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
.....should be heads towards 1.2100 area, which will drag GBP with it in my view......so the euro weakness now has me concerned about our cable ambitions

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 15:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 15:00 GMT February 11, 2004
IMO - forex wealth doesn't came from playing 5 min charts...




There are tonnes of players in the f-orex-new forum playing on 5 min fib even....
LOL:)

nt// mine one is fine today, I am only hanged out with a buy eur/chf SAR (whihc doesn't look good at the moment yet).
1.5738.

ICT ML 15:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
usa monster 15:40.......simple patterns mate....cable started off on a new up trend this week, which will be valid as long as 1.8625 area +/- some pips holds if tested. Been trying to bet filled down there for a few days now....buying GBP is a NO BRAINER, until either euro continues to act whimpy and heads

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd.
there is 2 posibility move down start from 1.8685 or 95.

To BA 15:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Genoa Nic

So you mean there's some synergy between bonds and forex? - which bonds are leading say eur/usd?
Thanks

usa monster 15:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML
pliz share ur views in detail

To BA 15:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks everybody...

usa monster 15:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML
mostly u r master in cable trades
but not this week
may be it look overbought here?
i think if uncle greenspan not speaking in favour of strong dollar.then it can go for 1.88+ might even can go for 1.90 target

Chambery FR JFB 15:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
fwiw... with the recent pike low on gbp and if it bounces from there (which it seems doing), we have an almost perfect horizontal channel with double top @1.8730 and double bottom @1.8645... I was confused, am even more now :-) GL all

ICT ML 15:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Road:....I'm here....trying to buy a bounce off 1.8625 area, want the market to stay down here until Greenspeak is in play...

Johannesburg cd 15:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BA - do a search in the archives on the keyword greenspan, it'll give you a nice chronological narrative of the saga as it unfolds on GV.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 15:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
nk, you often know all these important margin.

Genoa nic 15:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
TO BA,
The game is on rates, watch at bond markets for clues. Fore sure the best charts to trade Euro/$ the next few hours are 10 yr and Bunds: capital markets will dictate swings. Caution is adviced IMVHO to not pretend too much on breakouts because as soon testimony is out the first reaction may be erratic, and the market may lock in profits quite fast.

Livingston nh 15:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
dat -the Chairman's speech has not been posted yet - closer to 16gmt

beirut jb 15:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
boulder dat 15:18 GMT February 11, 2004
often greenspan's testimony is pre-relaesed.



well I think if it is pre released, will c market reaction sooner than 16 GMT

also should only released few minutes in advance I think


beijing road 15:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ML: are you around plz?

sf mike 15:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
To BA 15:24 GMT February 11, 2004

Don't worry about the content of the Greenspan speech. Nobody here is smart enough to know what he said anyway. Just watch the markets before, during and after. Then follow the movement whether up or down.

Global-View 15:27 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
To Ba: Read this following and it will give you some expanation... LINK

To BA 15:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, I'm new to this - could anyone tell us what's Greenspan going to talk about and what is expected to happen if he says something and what if he says something else?
Thank you.

Jozi Wits 15:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Warsaw Black Magic 15:21 GMT February 11, 2004

In that case i think Yustin is also a Greenspan insder. :)

boulder dat 15:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
livingston... thanks.
i looked around the site, but couldn't find it.

Helsinki iw 15:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, all.

Nottingham 15:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Warsaw Black Magic 15:19:

He speaks in 40 mins...btw do u know of anywhere that I can get daily high/low/close for eurpln and usdpln?

Warsaw Black Magic 15:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Alan G. speech has been delayed because Greenspan insiders must have time to sell EUR and GBP :]

sad but true

Belgium (Gent) Sidekick 15:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Great call raden !
Hats off :-)

Global-View 15:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan's testimony can be found using this LINK It should be posted around 16:00 GMT

Livingston nh 15:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
dat --http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/

Warsaw Black Magic 15:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR and GBP are droping.....
Where is greenspan ???

boulder dat 15:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
often greenspan's testimony is pre-relaesed. anyone have any idea how to get a hold of it?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
he..he..
you get as winner for gbp/usd.

Pecs Andras 15:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
G's speech was postponed to 16:00 GMT from 15:00 GMT
So we have another 40 minutes

Helsinki iw 15:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Excuse my ignorance, but Sir Alan is not on yet is he? Some-
one claiming he is speaking already.

Kaunas DP 15:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex,
do u think today gold will follow usd - TIA

Sydney alimin 15:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
thx raden for gbp/usd, i owe u one more piece of 'ikan bakar rica2' ok? :)

sf mike 15:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Are the majors tipping their hands now before Greenspan. Or could this be a fake out?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ıstanbul sez. 15:04 GMT February 11, 2004
wait until the top at 1.3396

Quezon Mailman 15:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
THANKS Indo. Solo-Raden. I just read your email re: euro views. I was surprised to sell it very close to your parameters.

nyc fxdh 15:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on $ yen Hearing loads of stops at 75-95 area

HK Kevin 15:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hope USD/CAD could test 1.3360 before back to 1.3280

HK Kevin 15:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Covered my short EUR from 1.2702 at 1.2681 and keep the long USD/CAD position from last night running. Faramica may be right for watchig 1.2690. Take a rest and return before Greenspan's speech.

Belgium (Gent) Sidekick 15:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan at 11.00EST I presume?
Seems like the maket is waiting for his blahblah

hong kong nt 15:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ab--how's your trade today? hope Greenspan may push DJIA southwards tonight...

ıstanbul sez. 15:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden,
What's your view on usd/cad frd?
I m buyer usd/cad target 1,34+

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I agree Farmacia. 30 to 1 hour charts should be minimim and 5 minutes can be used to fine tune entires and exits.

melbourne farmacia 15:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
IMO - forex wealth doesn't came from playing 5 min charts...

Sydney alimin 15:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
nice triangle btw eur/usd!

Bris TW 15:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 14:57 GMT
Depends on his wording with regards to the Interest Rates question. Could see another 11 year high in Cable or could see 1.8580

To BA 14:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Any word on Greenspan yet people?....

Sydney alimin 14:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
greenspan will further fuel the down? hehe hopefully

Bris TW 14:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I would help Kevin but not yet bud ;) Been scalping all day cable and euro

Sydney alimin 14:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
i am another eur/usd seller! :) cheers raden!
and gbp/usd seller too since yesterday...hopefully it will make my day now

Deauville Nico 14:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sorry to insist but you should wait for grandy Greenspan...

HK Kevin 14:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
We need one more EUR seller to break the 1.2660 level.

Quezon Mailman 14:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia, Solo-raden, your 5 exclamation points only prove one thing - a very solid belief. I was with you earlier.

Ldn pm 14:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:29 - your call - if playing that side I would favour buying near 1.2650/60 but with a tight stop on a break below 1.2635/40 which targets 1.2575/85.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 14:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
trail eur/aud shorts from 1.6510 and 1.6480 here at 1.6280.

Seems bottoming in 4hrs chart.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.66 14:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp is posting threat to many m/t players.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:43 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
let's go !!!!! sell eur/usd and gbp/usd

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:43 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
it's time for gbp/usd and eur/usd move down together.
maybe chart have get the conclusion.

Quezon Mailman 14:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
It looks like a dollar come back is in the offing.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
let's see gbp/usd down to get 1.8632

Quezon Mailman 14:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd forming a triangle on the 30-min chart. Price should fall before 1.2690 all the way down to 1.2660. At this point, trading will be heavy. The break of which may prove to be the start of a long journey towards 1.2600 - or even lower.

prauge viktor 14:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
indonisia solo raden I think boj is in the mkt..

beijing road 14:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
pm: I prefer to buy on dip as long as 1.2600 is held.

UK/Bristol David 14:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Beijing road 14:20 GMT - EUR/USD 5 min charts - my stochs show sell signal. GL GT

Dallas GEP 14:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Mailman, it is ALL risky!!!!! Stops abobe 1.3360

SNP - Thnaks for tip

Pipirate- The cars are what I am into, My PC's are just adequate. LOL

JP - all shorts down to fig, need stops abouve 1.3361 IMO

Ldn pm 14:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:20 - in my opinion whilst below 1.2695 remain short - with tight stop at 1.2705

Deauville Nico 14:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:20 GMT February 11, 2004
If you have not enter the market yet; wait for the Greenspan Bla bla bla and catch the train:
buy at 1.2705/10
sell at 1.2660/50
Have a nice one!

Nottingham Daniel 14:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This may be of interest:

EUR/USD - the single currency traded sideways with a weak bias in Europe and brings the soft tone over in early New York trading. More position adjustments and profit-taking should take place ahead of Fed Chairman's testimony at the House at 11:00 am, which would tend to pressure the currency pair even more. Mr. Greenspan is expected to be positive on the U.S. economy and will paint a specifically rosy picture on near-term job growth. That makes the currency susceptible to further declines to 1.2600, even to 1.2500 further out. The latter downside target should kick in if the currency pair falls to 1.2600 without generating a sharp market response to the upside. That should extend the downside focus to 1.2500. Any further corrective move may find strong demand however. The uptrend should resume thereafter, and it may just be a matter of time before the 1.2900 top will be challenged again.

Quezon Mailman 14:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sold euro 1.2678.
Dallas, good friend. Shorting USD/CAD seems to be risky at this point. Anyway, i know you have contingency.

Dallas GEP 14:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SNP - Thanks for the computer tip. I will try that.

Pippirate- I don't have the coolest PC's around but I do have some pretty slick cars (LOL)

JP, Any shorts on Caddy back down to 1.3300 probably neeed a stop above 1.3361

beijing road 14:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
guys, take a look at eur/usd 5m chart, which way plz?

Gen dk 14:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

melbourne farmacia 14:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Intraday Euro/usd sellers should be careful on a break of 1.2690 gt

Deauville Nico 14:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
An important guy (who knows what he is talking about!) interviewed on Bloomberg said that:
There is an apprehension on the Greenspan intervention:
He could announce that the FED will rise its interest rate faster than expected (so SELL EURO AS MUCH AS YOU CAN!!) for a reason that is too long to explain for me now.
BUT what thinks this guy is that Greenspan will confirm the actual position of the FED to reduce unemployement (no fundamental changes) , in this case, I suggest to buy euro at 1.2705, above the 50 days moving average.
May the trend be with you...

beijing road 14:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
David, only market is always correct, so follow the mkt plz.

beirut jb 14:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:51 GMT

hi mate, hi all traders,

IMO eur/$ is sell 12650 break

buy 12650 hold

intraday offcorse,

for daily swing, eur/$ is ranging it made since 129 hi and 12330 low only : lower hi and higher lo


GL GT

Dallas GEP 14:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Took a CADDY short @ 1.3331 looking for FIG

Dublin Flip 14:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
David do what all the best traders do
Flip a coin.
They'll probably both be right in the next 48hours.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ya.. to kill 1.2648 seen not easy.
step by step but seen sure. LOL
minor phase have get sell signal now.

Quezon Mailman 13:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Nice to be back again from delivery.

Indonesia, Solo - Raden, good day! Will you advise to sell euro on the break of 1.2645? Personally, i think it will go deeper if this happens. thanks!

UK/Bristol David 13:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD - Elliot Wave up/Raden Mass down - who to follow? Plse mr G help decide!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd have no time again and see more weak than before.
ussually if like that price will move down soon.

SA Bok 13:36 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
London HC 13:32 - Agree Maden is a good Technical Analyst ... Flow info comes from others in the know on this forum

JHB ,SA Al 13:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi all,
I also am currently long on the EUR, as the next wave of Elliott Theory looks like it's ready to run. My opinion, we could see a un into 1.30 this week.

prauge viktor 13:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
london Hc how do u look on the CZK +or -

Deauville Nico 13:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
cairo ram 13:20 GMT February 11, 2004

My thought can be completly false but I'm sure of two things:
If there was only fundamentals, euro/dollar would be at 1.40 by the end of the year (Bloomberg analyses report at different time by different guys)
Bush must do his best (or worst, it depends) to please his cityzens and a weak dollar helps.
So Greenspan may replace 'a considerable period of time' by something softer but meaning bearly the same thing till the job market creates more than 200 000 people.
I put a buy order on euro/dlr at 1.2705
Any views are welcomed...

London HC 13:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Victor. I doubt it.

HK Kevin 13:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden, good evening. Still holding short EUR from 1.2702 this Asian morning and welcome your 1.2635 level.

prauge viktor 13:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
london HC he gots a very good information about that ...trust him..!!!!

ZP Nemo 13:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Not SP... SA)

New York Lev 13:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
In my opinion, It doesn't seem that the current worries are priced in. eur/usd has been consolidationg for last 30 days. today we may see some huge action without rollback. Any opinions?

Ldn 13:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
China posted its first trade deficit in 10 months in January
(Source: FT Investor)
The world's fourth largest trading nation had a $20m trade deficit in January, with year-on-year export growth rate plummeting to 19.8 per cent in January from 50.7 per cent in December, China's commerce ministry said on its website. Imports increased 15.2 per cent from a year ago.
But analysts say the surge in exports in December was exceptional, mainly because exporters rushed to ship goods overseas ahead of the 3 percentage point cut in tax rebates, which became effective in January.
That said, they believe the cut in rebate taxes will keep this year's export growth rate below last year's level of around 35 per cent.

ZP Nemo 13:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
SP what may be in EURUSD??? Your forecast?:)))

London HC 13:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Prague. How would he know?

cairo ram 13:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hello Deauville Nico,are you still at ur opinion that eur could rise up after greenspan talking?
thanks

prauge viktor 13:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
indonisia solo raden do u think boj will start with intervention today I main agrresiv one..

Deauville Nico 13:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
A big move is coming up soon....may the Trend be with you!

SA M 13:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd .
10 x be carefull !!

Chambery FR JFB 13:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thx all...:-) GL GT

Chambery FR JFB 13:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Deauville Nico 13:08 GMT February 11, 2004
Merci :-)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd .
be carefull !!

Kaunas DP 13:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 13:08 GMT
correct
but u know this guy is very reserved in terms of "surprises" and other things might already be priced in
but who knows...
GL

Ldn 13:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ECB economist Otmar Issing indicated in an interview in the Sueddeutsche Zeitung Tuesday that there is no point in short-term action by central banks to influence exchange rates, according to AFX.

NYC 13:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan testimony starts at 16:00 gmt

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
okay.. good for sell eur/usd at 1.2695

Deauville Nico 13:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Futures on Dow Jones Industrial rose 30 points in some minutes.....as if a great news came out.

Nottingham 13:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
11am local so that would make 16gmt i think

prauge viktor 13:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
indonsia solo raden I bilve in ur third way 1,2593 there is about 50 bi usd as obtion it will sart about 1,5h from now.

Nottingham 13:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas DP 13:05 GMT

thats my view but greenspan may surprise in which case sub 1.26 is a given on a move below 1.2650/55 as feel market expecting that support to hold...gl gt

Deauville Nico 13:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
15:00 GMT I think

Chambery FR JFB 13:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Excuse me all... at what time does M. G speak today plz? Maybe time for a rest until then... :-) GL GT

Ldn Viewer 13:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:00 - Thks ..

cairo ram 13:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden
what,s ur view again about what Deauville Nico 12:57 GMT February 11, 2004 saying

Kaunas DP 13:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
censored knows but to me we have seen the daily low for eur/usd

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
okay.. have get 1.2687 (top). too risky buy here againts the chart emotion.

bucharest dc 13:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ok, thanks and safe trades

Sydney alimin 13:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
what time r u leaving for jogja tomorrow, raden?will u be trading on the plane too? LOL :P

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
bucharest dc 12:48 GMT February 11, 2004
ya.. please wait patience. I do step by step. better one but serious than all with half. I will do that and prepare for all.
still focuse for tommorow is happy day for me.

Sydney alimin 13:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BEP=break even point isnt' it?

Ldn Viewer 12:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden what is BEP .. still learning appreciate

Deauville Nico 12:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Raden,
Euro may tend to go downwards technically speaking, but, fundamentally, it tends to reach 1.29. Don't forget about the twin deficit and the disappointing jobless statistic. Moreover, I heard again today that ECB won't do anything till 1.30 and that for the moment, the situation is not that bad. Bush watches out for his reelection, and Greenspan licks his shoes, so Greenspan may says what his interlocutors want to hear...
Take care all....
GT

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd top area now only 1.2687-95. ideal for sell

mex Willy 12:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks!!!!!!!1

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
mex Willy 12:48 GMT February 11, 2004
better exit your buy eur/usd from 1.2655, although BEP.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
cairo mr.
of course I can not answer your answer. I am TA . I only look the emotion most of players after hear and thinking to make conclusion from his talking. LOL

bucharest dc 12:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
they were asking for some charts, I am interested too

Swiss DG 12:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Raden,
So do you think we might follow track-3 down to 1.2593???
Dan

mex Willy 12:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Indonesia Solo, welcome, thanks for the post.

STill valid to buy Euro at 1.2655 and the get 1.2720?

TIA!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd players. take your parasut now.!

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 12:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 12:30 GMT February 11, 2004
What about 1.30X areas? and after this 1.30x area,do you expect E/$ to stay BULL or BEAR till year end?

TIA:-)

saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 12:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden..

No time for date..

Looking that Gr888 1.2650 area...

Still im wondering if Euro come first to 1.43 or Usd/chf ...1.34

nk

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wow. eur/usd seen start to get 1.2642 to kill 1.2648 (key number), and then we can hope 1.2517-11

cairo ram 12:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hello randen_masandi plz could you give me ur view about what after greenspan talk recording to eur/$ going,.thanks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk 12:30 GMT February 11, 2004
LOL.
welcome to you too.
make a date today with her?

Saihat 12:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
for test

sell jpy & s/l 105.71 or 105.90

GVI john 12:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2670…$/yen 105.55
DJIA +3 pts… 10-yr 4.10%, 0 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
bucharest .
too many post there. which is that post (sender?) .
I am sorry can not check one by one.

Melbourne Qindex 12:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 12:13 GMT - We may see it in the first quarter.

saloniko 2004 nk 12:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Welcome Raden..!

LOL!


nk

Saihat 12:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
.7760 stop loss

Saihat 12:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
FOR TEST

buy aud & .7760

bucharest dc 12:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden, check back the messages

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I am back.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 12:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q,
any idea when that eur/usd moved down to 1.21X areas takes place? has been playing in this range quite awhile.

...am thinking of buying the beast in 3-4 hours or so,let's see.

TIA:-)

SA Bok 12:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
PAR 11:50 GMT -perfect sense that my friend ... earn GBP pay in EUR .. its a USD weakness story ...

EURGBP pretty stable and getting better for EUR debt ..

Plain play borrow EUR invest in GBP (need market rates LOL)

with Lower EURGBP rate

Wish I earned GBP.. LOL

Best of all worlds

Melbourne Qindex 12:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : The market is going to challenge the upper barrier of my weekly cycle.

Nottingham 12:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
UK consumers borrow from barclaycard

Melbourne Qindex 11:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:30 GMT February 10, 2004
EUR/USD : My 44-day cycle indicates that a projected supporting level is expected at 1.2551 - 1.2561. The short term target is the barrier at 1.2624 - 1.2630. Since the market has established a downward trending movement from 1.2787, the following 44-day cycle will be used as a key reference for the time being. The odds are in favour of maintaining a short position.


Melbourne Qindex 08:52 GMT February 10, 2004
EUR/USD : My current 44-day cycle reference is as follow :-

... // 1.2472* - 1.2551 - 1.2630 - 1.2709 - 1.2788* // ...

Helsinki iw 11:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Makes sense to borrow a sinking asset.

Dallas GEP 11:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
1.3218 caddy short closed on TP of 1.3290 on auto-pilot from earlier (+28) eur/gbp longs fron yesterday were closed @ @ .6785 earlier which resulted in -21 pip loss.

PAR 11:50 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
UK consumers are now borrowing in EUROs so that they are not affected by continiuos UK interest rate hikes

Melbourne Qindex 11:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : As shown in my 5-day cycle chart the market is below 0.6781 and it is trading outside the 5-day cycle normal trading range.

sgp sp 11:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, I am not holding any aud/nzd position but I have nzd/usd shorts at avg 0.6931 (the last limit short did not take to bring my avg higher.)

Me think it is too late to long the aud/nzd....what do u think? Still possible for 1.13 now that 1.12 is a done deal.

GL & GT 2 u...

Melbourne Qindex 11:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 11:28 GMT February 11, 2004
Spot Gold : It has a good chance to trade in the lower trading range of 402.1 - 405.6 in New York. (One may see 384.5 if the market is trading below 395 - 30% chance).

Ga lee 11:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
appreciate that nottingham,a grand one to you :-)

Ldn 11:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Asked whether the Bank of England's recent rate hikes could delay the much-desired rebalancing of the U.K. economy by causing sterling to strengthen, King said he couldn't see such a cause-effect relationship.
"There was no direct impact from our rate decisions on the exchange rate," King said.
Sterling's exchange rate has strengthened over the past two months, but it was due to "a side effect of changes in the dollar/euro exchange rate," he added.
King said "what happens to the exchange rate will certainly have an impact on monetary policy," but he provided no hint on the bank's future steps.

Nottingham 11:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Ga lee 11:21 GMT

1st o/b 2.5016 2nd o/b 2.5122...yest pair failed to reach 1st o/b at 2.4930...gl gt

Ga lee 11:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp/cad going thru ?

SA Bok 11:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
MACD on GBPUSD hourlies despite bounce look offered ... IMHO ...GL all

SA Bok 11:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Any hints from Mr G to higher interest rates and longs in currencies will bail .. interesting day ahead ..

Par - yes amazing the difference in CB's thinking makes you wonder what the discuss at G7's meetings ... who stratergy will work .. LOL

Melbourne Qindex 11:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:47 GMT February 11, 2004
EUR/GBP : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 0.6742 // 0.6758 - 0.6774 - 0.6789 - 0.6805 // 0.6821 ...

Melbourne Qindex 11:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:25 GMT February 11, 2004
EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 0.6689* - 0.6814*.


... // 0.6689* - 0.6721 - 0.6752* - 0.6783 - 0.6814* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 04:19 GMT February 11, 2004
EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range from my 5-day cycle is 0.6781* - 0.6806* - 0.6831*.

Melbourne Qindex 04:15 GMT February 11, 2004
EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range from my 22-day cycle is 0.6752 - 0.6864.


... // 0.6752* - 0.6790* - 0.6827* - 0.6864* // ...

GER ad 11:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Looks like the Dollar rally before G. testimony fail.

London BOE 11:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
This is a link to the full Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report

Sydney alimin 11:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hi raden,
is eur/usd still on track? i just came back from soccer training...chart looks awful, poke here poke there

GENEVA ALAN 10:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BELGIUM (Gent)
I will be in Gent next tuesday. Any chance for a drink?

Alicante RTN 10:56 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB 10:44 GMT

usdchf being off its t/l is caused by the firm eurchf which may be in the process of moving up into a higher trading range.

Genoa nic 10:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks BC, good trades to you!

Ldn 10:50 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sterling is at an 11-year high against the dollar. the bank said sterling's effective exchange rate is 2% higher than at the time of the November report.
The bank said that, if sustained, sterling's appreciation will "diminish the extent to which the global recovery contributes to a strengthening in U.K. net trade."
The central bank said house prices are still rising at "an unsustainably rapid rate," but noted that household borrowing is moderating.
It added that while consumer spending will stay strong in the near term, it should ease later in the year "in the face of slower growth in disposable incomes and moderating house price inflation."
The central bank said the risks to its growth and inflation forecasts are "broadly balanced."

Ldn 10:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
The Bank of England Wednesday indicated that a significant further rise in interest rates won't be needed to ensure it meets its inflation target.
In its quarterly inflation report for February, the central bank said that assuming rates stay at 4.0%, the inflation rate as measured by the Consumer Prices Index will begin to rise midway through this year, and edge up to its 2% target by the first quarter of 2006.
"In the central projection, inflation moves up in the middle of this year, partly as a result of higher utility prices," the bank said. "Thereafter it continues to edge up to the 2% target as growing pressures on supply capacity add to a moderate rise in import prices."
The central bank added that if interest rates were to rise as quickly as the financial markets expect, the inflation rate would be below target in early 2006. According to the central bank, markets expect interest rates to rise to 4.5% by the end of this year and 4.8% by the end of 2005.

LA saint3 10:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I hope greenspan's speech will drag gbp to 1.84xx

LA saint3 10:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
is gbp targeting 1.89??? its movement is so unbelievable...

shanghai bc 10:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

NIC 09:50 -- Good evening..Agree with your views..Expecting Eur/Gbp .6750-.6700 area to hold and organize some bounce from there..Imho..Good trades..

PAR 10:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOE thinks strong GBP will reduce UK trade and budget deficit while US thinks exactly the opposit.

Chambery FR JFB 10:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Alicante RTN 10:37 GMT February 11, 2004
Agree with you (have a buy limit order @1.2705), but it looks like the CHF doesn't want to move down... while EUR made the yoyo close to that t/l resistance, CHF is stuck close to 1.24..."far" from its own t/l... go figure :-( GL GT

SA Bok 10:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Got to add the US has had the best intervention ever to weaken currency and not even spent a cent ..

Kudo's Snow and Mr G

SA Bok 10:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOE: Sustained GBP Strength Would Weaken Export Gains

And this is the one killing your growth engine ..

BOE and interest rates and stuck between a rock and a hard place ...

All exporters except US suffering double whammy ..

Local High interest rates and high value of local currency ..

US - Low USD and low interest rates = growth ...
US - ahead of the curve again and rest will follow late as usual ...

Nottingham 10:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 10:25 GMT

Think it and nzdcad continue to be buy on dips even tho I make life hard and chose to sell overextensions to upside instead!!! gl gt

Barcelona JP 10:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN

Which is your news feed?

Alicante RTN 10:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
euro: t/l resistance at 1.2692 - if broken, a new test of 1.2795 res is in the cards.

Ldn 10:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOE: Strong GBP Offsets Price Impact Of Stronger Demand

....that part cud well be bullish for GBP

SA Bok 10:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP Market looks very long into BOE annoucement ..IMHO

Ldn 10:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BOE: Sustained GBP Strength Would Weaken Export Gains
BOE: Consumer Borrowing Moderating, Spending To Ease
BOE: House Prices Rising At "Unsustainably Rapid" Rate
BOE: CPI Below Target In 1Q '06 On Mkt Rate Expectations
BOE: Risks To Growth And Inflation Are Broadly Balanced
BOE: Strong GBP Offsets Price Impact Of Stronger Demand
BOE: Growth Above 2.5% Trend Rate Over Next Two Years
BOE: CPI To Begin Rise Mid '04 On Higher Utility Prices
BOE Inflation Report:CPI To Rise To 2% Target By 1Q '06

Riyadh Amg 10:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thnx fellows

PAR 10:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP basically is a EURO with a double interest bonus. If short dollar buy GBP. If long dollar sell EURO.

Barcelona JP 10:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks LDN!!

Ldn 10:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Unwinding of Aud/Cad trades this morning from funds who have already priced in a BoC interest rate ease

Ldn Mvs 10:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP did not go up because we hv the BOE inflation report out in 5 mins - basically mkt waiting to see whether they will mention strength of sterling as one of the dangers signs for the future economy - they most likely will and we risk seeing dip....this may be gd opp to buy on dips however........all really depends on tone of what they will say

Leicester OR 10:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
How would Cable react if Euro shorts? Any comments...

Gen dk 10:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Barcelona JP 10:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
CABLE should have gone higher with jobless data. But....

Barcelona JP 10:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP

I'm out of my short USD/CAD. It hit my stop at 1,3340.

And now is trading at 1,3292.

Riyadh Amg 10:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hi group
any views on Gbp/Usd ?
TIA

Ldn 10:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD TECHS: Longs Fragile as Pullback Continues bullish momentum has begun to wane.

Johhanesburg Wits 10:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
IMHO the euro is forming a classic kings crown, shoukd it move back up to the 750 region im more than happy to short it, ie preempt the H & S down.

Nottingham 09:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
plovdiv joyrex 09:52 GMT

pre greenspan yes, but that's not to say it won't move lower following his speech...imo tho it's the low regardless...gl gt

Gen dk 09:55 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

plovdiv joyrex 09:52 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Do the breakdown thru yesterdays Low 1.2665 on EUR/USD will be false?

TIA

hk ab 0.88 09:49 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/chf limit is placed, 1.5738 s/l is a SAR order.

Global-View 09:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

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prauge viktor 09:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
indonisia solo i think today ur third position it will be ok 1,2593

GER ad 09:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD
Just a possibility...
Monday and Tuesday in Europe trading time the Euro was bought and later on when America comes in sold. May be today just the opposite?
I will try to buy at 1.2640/50 with a tight S/L under 1.2620.
GT & GL

Ldn 09:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
09:30
UK 3 Mos To Oct Avg Earnings Was Forecast +3.6%
UK 3 Mos To Dec Avg Earnings +3.4% Vs 3 Mos To Nov +3.5%


UK LFS 3 Mos To Dec Unemployment -21,000, 4.9% Rate
UK Dec Adj Claimant Jobless Revised to -11,000 v -8,300
UK Jan Adj Claimant Jobless Was Forecast -5,500
UK Jan Adj Claimant Jobless -13,400 At 2.9% Of Workforce

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
now eur/usd is on difficult to choose the track. where will you go eur/usd? I like you if continue down to get your "true track"

Nottingham 09:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Covered short nzdusd from 2 days ago...might see lower as audusd could do 775x but not a given...gl gt

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I think we must cancle plan buy eur/usd at 1.2655 as track -1.
not good. exit here although BEP

Stockholm za 09:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY... today .....
8651-8623
8595-8587
8550
8514-8505
8477-8449
True RA ~8703/23-:-8411/31
[ (ema ( 89+144 )) - (rsi 14) ]= lost
Happy trades.....

Helsinki iw 09:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
That´s what I´m thinking too, Nottinham. Take care.

Nottingham 09:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw 09:06 GMT

Cad will underperform badly (nzd aud gbp euro chf) imo so even if $ takes new down leg, cad will lag giving plenty of op to correct trade...gl gt

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
he..he.. eur/usd stil not show me 1.2645 as the key.
still only 1.2648, why????. really I don't want this number. LOL

prauge viktor 09:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
cairo its a bad position I think for today it will be 1,2593

Cairo MDR 09:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I am long euro from 2678
Target 1 2725
Target 2 2785
Target 3 2890

Genoa nic 09:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Good morning all

Shanghai BC,
thanks for your market readings always full of wisdom!
BTW I was checking monthly charts and note that Euro/Gbp is sitting just above the 20 ma, so even if dailies are pointing southbound now that previous range was broken on daily basis, can we expect this area to be hard to crack (I mean 67/67.50)?

hk ab 0.88 09:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
tks iw.

Helsinki iw 09:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I´m bullish USD/CAD, but it doesn´t boost my confidence
that UBS seems to be the other way.

hk ab 0.88 09:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
will watch this eur/chf run carefully.
May try a short at 1.5725 with tight stop above (even at 1.5738).

saloniko 2004 nk 09:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

We are now entering in 1.2650-1.2350 area in my lovely Euro.

Frome now on 1.2650-1.2850 will be the borders for above 1.2850 trgt 1.35 and below 1.2650 for 1.2350 max 1.2250


Have a nice day!

By nk

hk ab 0.88 09:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
iw// so are you bullish or bearish on dlrcad?

bc// Many thanks to the clear tutorial again.

Ldn 09:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Aud continues and takes out support at 0.7785 leaving the
long trade vulnerable. Stops are below the next level at 0.7745 and with
hourly studies still bearish this level could come back under threat. The
daily charts are mixed now as the RSI topples mid range and bullisg momentum
has begun to wane.
ifr

LAX-LGB SNP 09:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
08:38 GMT February 11, 2004
owe you multiple thanks, honorable BC

Nottingham 08:59 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Low for remainder of week may have been printed in euro...a lot depends on greenspan but in euro is to go higher i dont believe it could survive a move under 1.2655...gl gt

Nottingham 08:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eurusd 1.2655, aussie 7750 hold pre greenspan imo

Melbourne Qindex 08:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:46 GMT February 11, 2004
USD/CHF : .... 1.2364 // 1.2400 ... 1.2547 ... 1.2620 ...

PAR 08:44 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Expect another unexpected dramatic drop in UK unemployment numbers to new alltime lows. Whereas US sent jobs to China , UK imports Chinese to work in the UK.

shanghai bc 08:38 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

AB 08:18 -- Good afternoon..Eur/Gbp is a sign that long-term real money folks have not joined Euro long crowd since last June above 1.20..Same goes for Eur/Jpy..But it is always the late comers to the party who make most noises towards the end of the party..For trading guide,as long as Eur/Gbp stays under 20 dma,Eur/Usd has a problem of organizing another lasting rally..But Eur/Usd may make one more good-sized rally for the purpose of providing an opportunity for distribution by long-termers..That is when Eur/Gbp stabilizes above 20 dma..

Rmb news has been all over the wires but China is highly unlikely to dance to the tune of other folks..Good trades..

cairo ram 08:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning raden,thanks for your efforts

hong kong nt 08:37 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- no confidence of local regulatory body? their fx and gold division make lot of $ every year, no worry...

Helsinki iw 08:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw// Like USD/CAD higher and this move from the low 1,32s
looks really good to me. As a disclaimer have to say that I
hear UBS saying in their morning briefing that all bad news
about CAD are already in the price. Often it is not wise to
trade against them. Well, hope that the though 1,3430/40 will
break soon.

Dhahran 08:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden Hello
May you add me to your mailing list?
[email protected]
Three makasih

hk ab 0.88 08:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
but emeperor looks unsafe. and often 'fight against your position".

beijing road 08:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
You guys should pay Raden cos there is no free meal .LOL

hong kong nt 08:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- emperor 0.4 spread...

UK RE 08:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning Raden

Please add me to your list - [email protected]

Thank you very much

Helsinki iw 08:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw, re scandies; NOK/SEK making good progress downwards
parity, looking to hit that level in 1Q. Currently at 1,0310/20
from 1,0750/60 early January.

This morning there are news that the Finnish bank and insura-
nce house Sampo will buy almost all remainig shares of If-insu-
rance from Skandia and Storebrand, for a total of 1,4 bio EUR;
this is creating demand for SEK and NOK at the moment.

EUR/SEK below 9,0870/00 will target 9,02 and 8,98. IMHO

SA getFX 08:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 08:11 GMT > FWIW, G*C*censored* has Gold spread at 0.50 USD...

SA getFX 08:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 08:11 GMT > FWIW, censored has Gold spread at 0.50 USD...

MONACO OGA 08:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, don't have MSN in the office, I think you are confusing me with OG though, and he must be online right now..cheers++

hk ab 0.88 08:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
bc, may I ask your view on this break of .68 line on eur/gbp? will it be the same scenario when eur/gbp breaks .63 from the bottom side?

and sorry for my impolite message talking about the RMB, etc. Sometimes we are often too flooded with many newswire in HK.

lonodon cam 08:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
UK/Bristol David 08:04 GMT February 11, 2004
precisely what many are expecting.

hk ab 0.88 08:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
nt, would like to seek your advice on which bank/broker to trade gold. I find that most banks have a 20 HKD spread which is really useless to trade with them TIA. Please send the name to my email thru Jay plz?

Manchester Daniel 08:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello Olivier - if possible, please log onto MSN - I would like to just say HI and see how you are doing - long time no speak.
All the best - Daniel

Jay - apologies for the personal message

Ldn MS 08:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden hi

Add me to your mail list [email protected]

UK/Bristol David 08:04 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD - A good chance this will bounce off the 200EMA at 12660. Appreciate views. Tks.

MONACO OGA 08:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 11/02
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2680), 80 pips lower than Tuesday opening. 1,2780 proved too tough to crack yesterday with talks doing the round in the market of central banks on the offer up there. The market retraced to our first support zone at 1,2680 where it closed the day in NY. 1,2770-80 seems to be offering some resistance for the time beeing, but the market remains bullish and we expect a break on the upsides that will trigger a test of 1,2900.
We believe that EUR/USD is trying to break the 1,29 upper barrier of its consolidation pattern. Any attempt to take 1,2900 will have to be monitored very carefully, as many stops could trigger a 500 pips run to 1,3400.
For today we will be looking to buy on 1,2650 and 1,2620 for a break of 1,2780. Our medium target remains at 1,3500.

Data out today:
GER trade balance Dec M/M expected 9,1Bio 09.30 GMT
UK average earnings Y/Y Jan expected 3,5Bio 09.30 GMT
UK claim count Jan expected -7Bio 09.30 GMT

Gold around 407,00 , with WTI March at 34,00.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 105,45) trading inside tight 105,30-105,65 range. Increasing talks of stops below 105,30 doing the rounds in the market. We still like to sell upticks (106,10) for a retest and break of 105,30 as we cannot see how the japanese authorities can keep the pair from falling below 100 in the medium term.
EUR/JPY (currently 133,75) retracing 100 pips and following closely EUR/USD price action. Still looking to challenge previous highs at 135,50 (next one being 137,50).

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8690) printed a new 11 years high yesterday above 1,8720. Support for the day around 1,8640 with resistance at 1,8720. We believe the pair is on its way to the 1,90 level we called earlier in January.
EURGBP (0,6785) finally broke 0,6820 support as expected. We still favour the downside for the medium term with a lower bearish channel barrier around 0,6750, today we'll sell 0,6810 if seen for a 0,6760 target.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Belgium (Gent) Sidekick 07:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello Raden,

can you send me your eur/usd chart also?
I'm always really impressed by your forecasts.

My email : [email protected]

Many thanks

Barcelona JP 07:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP

Good morning to all from Catalonia.

My short USD/CAD at 1,3304 still alive.
Target: 1,3230

LAX-LGB SNP 07:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
2 sessions to go
audusd - sell below 0.7770-85
eurgbp - buying ahead of 0.6720-60 presents decent M/T R/R value but doubt the fillup
expecting eurjpy sold below 133.81-134.05 to take eurusd lower as long as 1.2696-1.2670 holds
obviously i have missed out on gbpchf gaining 3 cents since sunday nite but expect price to retrace to 2.3050+ before the mkt can make up its mind where it wants to go
gbpjpy - sell below 196.90-197.12
usdcad - buy ahead of 1.3284-1.3313
usdchf - buy ahead of 1.2347-1.2384

TTYL TC y'all :-) have fun

Ldn Mvs 07:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Interesting article tdy in NYK Times Business section, entitled "A Lower Yuan May Cut Trade Deficit"...exerpt:

Hints that China might let its currency rise 5 to 10 percent against the dollar in the next few months have stoked hopes in the United States of a smaller trade deficit and some stanching, at least, of the flow of manufacturing jobs to China.

But representatives of American unions and manufacturers, along with many economists, said yesterday that the yuan would have to rise 20 percent or more to make much of a difference in trade flows - a move that no one expects.....

(see article for remainder of story on NYK Times website)

Kaunas DP 07:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden, george - thanks

Kaunas DP 07:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 07:13 GMT
looking for 1.3347 to kill some pips as well
:)

Jakarta achan 07:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden.....

that shuld be achan_suacan not achan_suachan....

thanks raden mas

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
he..he..he..
sell euro/usd, see my track chart.!!

Sydney alimin 07:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
woohoo eur/usd really kicks a$$ *ecstatic*
raden, i will treat u 'pisang epe' and 'konro' if i meet u in makassar

Vilnius george 07:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas DP
ok, i will reply.

Dallas GEP 07:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
1.3318 short on caddy, 1st layer

Ina* mr.co'z 07:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
thx! Raden..good luck for you ! i'm at tasik now !...
M' "Q"..thx..

bucharest dc 07:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning

Kaunas DP 07:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
vilnius george - I believe we might share our views via e-mail as well
GL

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Jkt. achan_suachan.
sending error for 251 kb. full ? or wrong address?

INA Mr_co_z.
I have sent fax analysis to mr. Isk.
he still follow eur/usd track. no comment today from him.
happy for eur/usd and gbp/usd and gold. he laugh...

Kaunas DP 07:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden,
market is quiet so I do believe Jay will let me ask u to send your forecarsts to my e-mail as well - TIA

[email protected]

bangkok Sun 06:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden pls add me too
[email protected]
thanks

beijing road 06:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
place eur order at 12640,30, 20 with stop at 1.2590.

Saudi Arabia Gamber 06:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi all

Raden, Really I want u to put me in ur mailing list, But I don't know if u can take it from Jay.

Jay, can u give him my e-mail please. or register me to his comment page if it there is any.

Thanks

Melbourne Qindex 06:25 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bris TW 06:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi

Hello thanks for email. Do you forcast at fxguide website? The calls in all pairs are very good and certainly rival the premium pay per view style "experts" this forum advertises.
Best of luck to you.

Dhaka Ash 06:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Here is my one sir. [email protected]

Jakarta achan 06:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden_mas andi...

pls put me on your milist.... thanks
[email protected]

Dahak Ash 06:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Can SWAP some view and pay the premium or the ......

SA Bok 06:12 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
How about all you guys pay poor Andi Ras Maden for his efforts ?

Wellington am 06:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
and mine:
andrewm1964-at-hotmail.com

Dhaka Ash 06:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Good morning frnds. would really appreciate a view on EurUsd for 1 month pls

Los Angeles BDH 06:08 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas

Please add my e mail:

[email protected]

Los Angeles 06:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Please add my name and thanks for sharing your views.

[email protected]

hong kong nt 05:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
For GBP bulls, $1.90 and 200 yen must be their ideal target...

Singapore Pilot 05:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
welcome mate and good luck..saw us hedge funds selling good amounts nzd today...

LAX-LGB SNP 05:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Carribbean Rafe
check your yahoo inbox
there's one installer and one user guide ... let me know if there's any problem

prauge viktor 05:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks singapore pilot.

Singapore Pilot 05:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Nzd is a sell today...if you ask me...sell near 0.6965 .. s/l 0.6985 ...t/p 0.6800 excellent risk/reward

Melbourne Qindex 05:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Ina* mr.co'z 05:40 GMT - I would prefer viewers to see my page at this moment.

prauge viktor 05:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
indonisia solo raden :thanks for ur E-mail and ur recomedition plz do u got idea about the nzd/usd thanks

Ina* mr.co'z 05:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello all..!
Raden ! isn't you was contacted Pa Isk today?
What's your views for daily euro & pound ?
MR. "Q" ...would you share with me too ?
tia...gl/gt...for all !

Melbourne Qindex 05:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hong kong nt 05:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
today is wednesday, being the middle of this week, if euro and swiss fail to break 1.280 and 1.225 before NY session, pretty certain that dlr bulls will lead for rest of the week...

singapore SNIPER 05:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Risk factors changes .. mkt unwind carry trades..
aud will fall back to 0.7755-65 to build long again.

phils VL 05:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK RF

gold - at somepoint this year over several months, there will be a balance between inflationary tendencies and the bottoming of the usd...

out of here for a few hours... all the best to you RF

hong kong nt 05:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi -- any views on hang seng? downside bias? good trades...

Melbourne DC 05:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex
No worries .. thanks .. all the best .. DC

hong kong nt 05:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- do you trade gold? my wife derives a range of 380-410 in coming weeks...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
check my chart forcast to make clear about track.
sorry for 212 kb.

Melbourne Qindex 05:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne DC 05:16 GMT - The market is under observation and I will post more analyses on GBP/USD later today in my page.

hong kong nt 05:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- oz and kiwi tops maybe made at .7850-.7950, .7000-.7100...good trades...

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:19 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
View : (same like yesterday view and still valid)
After price break 1.2755 that’s mean price will get 1.2782. This level is the end of hoping to get 1.2210. Price is very potential/ideal if move down to get 1.2210 from 1.2782. Be carefull when price is on the way to get 1.2210 there is two number that potential give buy reaction. These numbers are 1.2565 (pullback to ideal level at 1.2676 and then go down again to get 1.2210 as a bottom major. But if price show you 1.2555 that’s mean toll free to get 1.2210.
But if price show you 1.2795 that’s mean give you sign price will up again to get 1.2836 as the top minor for middle term phase. From 1.2836 I only predict price move down to get only 1.2468 (pullback level). To hope 1.2210 after price to get 1.2836 is difficult.

Trade Strategy :
• Sell at 1.2782 for target 1.2630 with stp at 1.2802 (still floating profit)
• Sell at 1.2836 for target 1.2470 with stp at 1.2856
• Sell at 1.2676 for target 1.2215 with stp at 1.2696 (track-4)
• Buy at 1.2655 for target 1.2836 with stp at 1.2625 (track-1)
• Buy at 1.2565 for target 1.2676 with stp at 1.2645 (track-1)
• Buy at 1.2468 for target 1.2510 with stp at 1.2448 (track-4)
• Buy at 1.2215 for target 1.2315 with stp at 1.2185 (all track)
• Buy at 1.2000 for target 1.2350 with stp at 1.1985 (pullback for long term resistant)

additional view today (update)
Trade Strategy :

Buy at 1.2651 for tgt 1.2722 with stp 1.2631
Buy at 1.2630 for tgt 1.2696 with stp 1.2610
Buy at 1.2593 for tgt 1.2696 with stp 1.2573
Buy at 1.2511 for tgt 1.2670 with stp 1.2491
Buy at 1.2215 for tgt 1.2315 with stp 1.2185

Sell at 1.2722 for tgt 1/2630 with stp 1.2742
Sell at 1.2696 for tgt 1.2593 with stp 1.2716
Sell at 1.2680 (after touch 1.2511) for tgt 1.2215 with stp 1.2700

My view yesterday still valid and today is only additional forcast.

Good Luck !!

HK [email protected] 05:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 05:13

Talking about gold ; may reach this year to 500$/Oz

Melbourne DC 05:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Dr Qindex
Thanks for you insight re gbpusd .. is your suggestion sell range (expected 1.8400-1.8780) breakout strategy? TIA n GT.
David

hong kong nt 05:14 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- how are you?

phils VL 05:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK RF

my flash indicator for all these is the direction of gold and CHF...

Melbourne DC 05:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
hello everyone .. on audusd ..
daily range 0.7529 / 0.7836
ma 2% 0.7531 / 0.7838
b/b 0.7542 / 0.7831

how does ma2% n b/b provide valuable info or above just coincidence ?

HK [email protected] 05:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 04:53 while short term market moves might be erratic longer term will be influenced by fundamentals.
Thus we have to point them out first. Maybe rise in $ interest rates, good US economy, reduction in trade deficit, end of war in Iraq etc.

Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 11:40 GMT February 8, 2004
GBP/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The lower barrier of my weekly cycle is expected at 1.8307 // 1.8402 and the mid-point reference is 1.8354 . Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below 1.8402. The upper barrier is positioning at 1.8685 // 1.8780 and the mid-point reference is 1.8733 . The market rhythm is represented by 95 pips (k=0.009453) and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.8402 - 1.8780 (Suggestion : Maintain a short position if the market is trading below 1.8402).


Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.8307 // 1.8402, 1.8496, 1.8591, 1.8685 // 1.8780 ...


Philippines newtrader 04:58 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Mississauga Rattler ....

thru broker house... why? how bout you ?

phils VL 04:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK RF

whilst GB is unpopular in EZ, the reality of the politics will restrain EZ from fuding USA's growth with a strong euro. Do u hv the elections date?

Nassau QF (newb) 04:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
It's a daily chart.
Not to suggest it can't go down today.

brisbane sunstate 04:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Nassau QF (newb) 04:41
careful chart don't match today's forecast (asia trading) from trl

HK [email protected] 04:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 04:34 GMT Anyway if you see 1.15 for the Euro as I really suspected B4; you will also see 1.1200, Which means Bush is not the next president. This may happen, if the european countries who hate him so much, will try to push the dollar up aggresively, which is not clear to happen.

Nassau QF (newb) 04:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Interesting chart here on EUR/USD

http://www.forexnews.com/FI/default.asp?f=20040210.mgn



February 10th - Euro's complex, contracting 1.2775 ¨C 1.2355 corrective consolidation is now ending and the Euro is well positioned for an imminent resumption of Uptrend, for the next broad advance onto the 1.3150 level over coming days (refer Daily Chart below).


Singapore Pilot 04:35 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
see a lot of crosses unwinding esp agst Nzd today... looks like 0.6930 0.6980 range in nzd till tonite

phils VL 04:34 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK RF - the daily trend you refer to may be "optically" up resulting from heavy weight specs pushing up from the daily 20ema line, a 214 pip push on 6th Feb in one day to 1.2724 high...however I doubt that this is new real money flow. In effect eur/usd is further exhausted by y/day's push up to 1.2790.

Looking at daily stox and macd, cant hep concluding that there's not much left upside. My strategy is Sell on rally.

HK [email protected] 04:22 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 04:16 GMT If you see 1.2727 you will also 1.2750 and maybe a bit more.

Melbourne Qindex 04:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

HK [email protected] 04:20 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 04:11 GMT so I guesses well that some will try to reverse at 1.2716 you suggest 1.2720; So it is an additional precaution ; Better take profit and wait. Precaution should be taken as euro daily trend is still up.
I will not be surprised if the euro will begin to surge B4 the speech tonight, as no one will believe Geeeny anything anyway if he dose'nt repeat what all already know.

phils VL 04:16 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
HK RF

eur/usd - agree with you...it will cycle up then dwn again, but imo more dwn bias.

Incidentally, I did not buy entry at 1.2685, but TP my shorts frm y/day's avg 1.2727 shorts... looking to short again abv 1.27.

GL GT

Mumbai jay 04:15 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
BC 0153 GMT...Very good point on the carry-trades. One should not forget the telling example of the two BLOODY trading days of Dlr/Yen in Oct. 98

phils VL 04:11 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd - will range 60 pips btwn 1.2660 and 1.2720 in the next few hours. Although osc not in extreme high, reckon its already o/b, and the push up to 1.2790 y/day is artificial and exhaustive.

I strongly feel the top has been seen at 1.2890 and irregardless of whether y/day's high is broken again, this pair is very tired and will continue to head south in the coming weeks. My call for near 1.15 still stands nx coupla months.

hk ab 0.88 04:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sp, I still hold the long from 1.1168 fwiw, right now, seems aud will be a sale soon.

OK SZ 04:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Rye, Ny...what a terribel year for my giants...hope your doing well and hope this euro is good to all of us..take care

beijing road 04:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
I will not change bullish view on EUR until 1.2600 gives away, and plan to load eur again btw 1.2650-1.2680 with stop at 1.2630. Expect eur to consolidation for more time btw 1.2650 -1.2750. GL

Rye, NY et 04:03 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 03:53 GMT February 11, 2004
Hey SZ, how are you? Hope all is well with you.........
Too bad about our Giants.
But, we can short this European for a couple of bucks
to 2450 or so.......................................................
All, of course, IMHO...............................................

HK [email protected] 04:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 03:18 GMT Indeed short term Euro chart shows some bullishness . That idea of buying at 1.2685 is clear and good all in a hope of hitting first target at 1.2716 . Yes one can expect some will try to reverse at that level , but the risk to be carried to 1.2750 is to be taken seriously.

Taiwan js 04:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden_masandi, could u pls add me to ur mailing list
[email protected] tks

vancouver Maq 04:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden_masandi, would you please add me to your email list as I find your insights helpful. My address is [email protected] Thanks a lot.

brisbane sunstate 04:00 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 03:51
Hi Raden please add my email [email protected]
thanks

OK SZ 03:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden_Masandi..send me copy to [email protected]

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 03:51 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
friends.. I will send you e-mail, because must be added chart forcast especially about track to make you clear.

phils VL 03:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd - TP o/n on limit buy 1.2685 as targetted, frm avg 1.2727. Will short again abv 1.27

aud/usd - TP 0.7799 frm 55. Now flat.

usd/jpy - still long at avg 105.42

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HK [email protected] 02:50 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Do not worry about Green's testimony!!! Why???

Low interest rates must be kept down to let the industries grow, even up to overheating the economy (when you are on a race for election, you may sacrifice few engine parts to be ahead, repairs will be left for the next president), stock market must rise, and of course to let the housing bubble go on and on (on low interest rates) to the satisfaction of the citizenry.
If Greeny will be just predictable (and it looks like he has nothing to add for all what we know) what do you expect to happen to the Dollar???

ICT ML 02:48 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
TJ...looked at the $CAD chart...no opinion here...appears a sell signal, but don't know for sure

Ldn 02:46 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Rumours MAS Intervention

Gen dk 02:42 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 02:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Speculators unload AUD, NZD vs SGD on jitters New Zealand may take steps to curb recent NZD surge after Finance Minister Cullen's remarks government isn't without options to influence NZD, says Singapore dealer.
Also in the news today re Aud.
Australia's Department of Employment says its leading indicator of employment fell to +0.170 in February from +0.249 in January. This marks third consecutive monthly decline reuters.


Mississauga Rattler 02:29 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning...Philippines, New trader.........Are you trading on line or thru a broker house?

Philippines newtrader 02:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden...

good morning..
your forcast yesterday is amazing...thank you very much....
till then. . . . .

Sydney Alimin 02:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden, haha perfect food eh! i guess u tried everything in makassar, very good! yup cheap, nice and big portion too :)) *slurp* i am hungry now u mentioned konro..but there is no konro here :(
i guess euro/usd and gbp/usd can be my konro for today *wink* :)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
LA saint3.
gbp/usd seen top at 1.8719. have made a date..she will wait me at 1.8624

Sydney alimin,
konro..and sea food. LOL.. cheap..

Sydney Alimin 02:01 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden,
oh :( but u can always come back later for holidays hehe did u try makassar's pressed roast banana and coto makassar?
but i would like to visit jogja one day as well...i have never been there, got some friends studying there before
yes shorting some at 1.2710...thank you :) attack attack attack woohoo

LA saint3 01:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
raden .... looks like you are focusing on euro ..
how about gbp/usd ?? you have any view?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:54 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sydney Alimin,
LOL. not comeback to mks again, but I miss Losari beach.
I move to other company.
you get sell eur/usd at 1.2714?

shanghai bc 01:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

The trouble with carry-trade traders in general is that they almost always misjudge the liquidity situation in the market due to their lack of info on that front and,almost always end up in a bloody stampede when the fire breaks out..Gbp,Aud and Nzd are being used as the target of carry-trade at present..Fwiw..

GA TJ 01:45 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ML

If you get a second take a peak at the 60 min CAD. Interested in your opinion.

TJ

Dublin CK 01:41 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:07 GMT February 11, 2004
ok , eur/usd get 1.2714. ideal top

Its uncanny the way you predicted that one.

Congrats

GL/GT

Melbourne Qindex 01:40 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:48 GMT February 10, 2004
EUR/USD : ........ A projected resistant level is located at 1.2699 - 1.2715.

Melbourne Qindex 01:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 01:21 GMT - GBP/USD : It has a potential to pullback from the current level as indicated from my 3-month projection profile. EUR/GBP : It is under pressure and it is heading towards 0.6689.

Melbourne Qindex 01:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 01:21 GMT - GBP/USD : It has a potential to pullback from the current as indicated from my 3-month projection profile. EUR/GBP : It is under pressure and it is heading towards 0.6689.

GA TJ 01:31 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ML

Per your post is one of the reasons I just closed my GBPJPY position. The whole shootin match. Was looking at daily, 60 min, 30 min and I have not idea if Cable drags Euro up or Euro drags Cable down.

ICT ML 01:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q....I am in a dillema here...maybe you have some wisdom and input. We are bullish GBP pairs here so much its is not funny, and it remains well supported in our techs and so far justified......BUT, with euro and swiss vs. $$ seemingly incapable of breaking out of their trading ranges, is our GBP position unrealistic to the point of potentially getting us in hot water in the coming sessions....? TIA

Sydney Alimin 01:09 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
wah 3 hours enough?
hehe thanks raden, have a save trip to jogja, send my regards to ur wife and kids, when are you coming back to makassar? i am thinking of going back to makassar later this year, if u happen to be there we can meet then

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:07 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
ok , eur/usd get 1.2714. ideal top

Singapore Rina Othman - Forecast 01:06 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Sing oops

stop plageurising my work!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sydney alimin.
enough for 3 hours.
happy now.. tommorrow will meet my wife and kids, go to Jogja. ya.. have 40 days no meet them. LOL

sydney.. my view still valid for today about eur/usd.

Singapore oops 00:57 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
No stopping the AUD and Kiwi and in between these two - is the cross - AUD/NZD. .7837 and 0.7007 the high tested respectively (during the overnight session). Weighing on the market is - unwinding of carry trades in AUD/NZD - following comments by Fin Min Cullen at the Parliamentary Finance and Expenditure Select Committee. The Fin Min reiterated his threat to curb the NZD's gains and RBNZ is studying intervention options. Raising reserves could impact on the Kiwi, though he adds they are still deciding on whether to do so. Talk in the market that Cullen's displeasure on recent strengthening of the Kiwi - could see the currency coming off and this easing of Kiwi positions is evident in the cross rate. The cross has moved a leg higher from 1.1135 to 1.1203. Aside from fund related investors, Asian accounts and short term traders are also involved in today's price action

Shelbyville MKT 00:53 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello forum

Ldn 00:47 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc thanks for your excellent insight I hope you will be coming on this side of the forum and let us know when you feel it is time to buy the Dollar because it seems as if you will be one of the first to know many thanks again.

shanghai bc 00:39 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

LDN -- Good morning.. Aud along with Gold and Euro have been real money folks's refuge from Dollar assets for the last three years since Nasdaq bubble burs..My feel is that we are almost reaching the inflexion point from medium-term traders' point of view,be it Dollar bounce or a change of trend of the last three years..Of course,good sized short-term specs can always push the market to the limit,sometimes by thousand pips ..ECB public interventions at some point will mark that inflexion point though..Then,the floor building process may take some 6-18 months..Unfortunately,Aud may have to dance to the tune of international investors more than that of local investors..Imho..

Melbourne Qindex 00:33 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:02 GMT - See details in my page.

Melbourne Qindex 00:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Swiss DG 00:02 GMT - You have to send an e-mail to Jay at [email protected] and he will arrange you to see my page as soon as possible.

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:32 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD UPPER BANDS 1.2699 1.2714 1.2732 1.2747 1.2762 1.2781 1.2810
LOWER BANDS 1.2669 1.2654 1.2635 1.2620 1.2605 1.2587 1.2557

Sydney Alimin 00:30 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning everyone
morning raden, got enough sleep yet? :P

Ldn 00:28 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc what will the feel if the other party gain power in Australia the Labour party nobody seems to want to talk about it ?? I would think it would be a bit negative with their record of high rollers

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:26 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

eur/usd
try sell here 1.2693 to get 1.2648 and sell again when show 1.2714 for same target. I must say thanks for higher level now for sell.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:24 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd.
sell on up rally, only get 1.2712-14.
have given message for 1.2648... but I want show 1.2645. I don't like 1.2648 only. I want 1.2645 is the key number.

shanghai bc 00:23 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   

AB 23:12 -- Good morning..Grannies in Japan and China in general go for high yield currencies and Aud and Nzd are their first choice..We are talking of billions here..Good trades..

Ldn 00:21 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi sorry can you explain your aud posting

hk ab 0.88 00:18 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
sp, wait for a better signal and level. don't rush now.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:17 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd seen get 0.7765 is not difficult. make a date there.
be carefull with that number, maybe buy reaction come there for rest (no make up trend..just for rest).

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:13 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
seen gbp/usd is on the way to get 1.8624.
I want eur/usd show me 1.2645 to get the sure of track.
show me Asia dealers !!

Swiss DG 00:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi Raden,
Still on-line. Thanks very much have followed your previous advise and just made 70 pips. What do you expect now in the coming hours. TIA
Dan

Singapore 00:10 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Tdy is an excellent day for BOJ to flex its muscles. Intervention will hv maximum mileage with the thin mkt condition (Tokyo is out) and a short mkt with many stops stacked up from 106.80 onwards. Specs can choose to hv a field day. So here's looking at you kid........

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning !!
he..he... nice have made a date with eur/usd at 1.2669(done).

Swiss DG 00:05 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex, got it. Did not see the link on the right.

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
dr.qindex do you think we can see 1.2590 or 1.2398 this week? or we are headed higher?

TIa.

Swiss DG 00:02 GMT February 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex, I do not have access to your page. I posted you an e-mail right now. Please let me know how to access it. tia.
dan

 




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The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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