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Forex Forum Archive for 03/11/2004

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Sydney alimin 23:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
could go either way, i personally prefer staying away for a while

Amman 23:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
where do you see the EUR/USD going up.. towords 1.2430 or down......1.2????

Gold Coast martin 23:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good mornong.....The aud reached a low of 7317 during the ny session with the terrorist variable sisrupting its downward trend....it is expected to trade in a tight range in the next 2 sessions leading up to the ny session where i expect it to drop dpwn to my forecasted figure of 7295...it has been a very volatile ny session...today should revert back to the trends that were emerging prior to the tragedy in spain....

Melbourne Qindex 23:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:47 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/USD : My current 44-day cycle suggests that the projected supporting level at 0.6851 - 0.6869 is likely to be challenged if 0.7318 fails to hold. A projected resistant point is positioning at 0.7502. In the mean time the market is likely to trade between 0.7318 - 0.7421.

Melbourne Qindex 23:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 23:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD has gone from "favored son to the least desirable" forex trade, says JP Morgan analyst Jordan Kotick; adds AUD now expected to underperform on major crosses, unwinding previous outperformance. Also expects USD to remain bid, pressuring Aud
ap

SanFrancisco tg 23:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
A question on my mind in asia tonight is which currency would be the most immune from BOJ intervention since they surely are thinking about it with the potential for a euro retracement looming.

hk ab nzd 0.6 23:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks very much Dr. Q. I will try to stay away with this at the moment.

KL KL 23:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Any body know what level will short squeeze be trigged for EUR, GBP...I mean approx...since the last one at 1.2365....would 1.2430 be the next for EUR and 1.82 for pound?

Melbourne Qindex 23:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 22:58 GMT - EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range is 0.6786 - 0.6849 and the mid-point reference is 0.6818. Something is not right! If the market can overcome the projected resistant point at 0.6911, it has a potential to tackle 0.7036.

Ldn 23:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab that is true also UK is a worry.

hk ab nzd 0.6 22:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex// Now the scenario and the eur/gbp is exactly the thing mess up. It's hard for seeing eur direction.....

Sydney bl 22:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex thanks

Melbourne Qindex 22:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Sydney bl 22:50 GMT - EUR/USD is around the neutral point. I am bias on the downside and it is better for me not to give any advice at this moment. I will run more analysis on EUR/USD. I will post them in my page later today.

London ADK 22:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dankie ek waardeer dit

hk ab nzd 0.6 22:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
If BOJ plays both ways, they will lose the control.....

Now after Spain, aussie has to think about how to step up their guard as well.

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 22:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
London ADK 22:43 Not justification. Suppose better keep this for the PF.

Sydney bl 22:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex good morning I am here seeking your advice again
I have a EURUSD short position from yesterday, shall I hold

KL KL 22:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Take a look at the hourly for AUD, EUR, GBP....more upside breakout probable....when things stall at this level...there is a reasons!!

Melbourne Qindex 22:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

KL KL 22:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Chart is telling me to sell GBP EUR but INSTINCT is telling me to buy....any opinion on this?? Time to look forward man...life is short!!

London ADK 22:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia you have made your point. SA has a deeprooted social problem. This is not the place or the time.

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 22:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
No disrespect to the Spanish but 200 die and the forum is in a frenzy, I tell you 20000 are murdered in this country annually(for the last 10 yrs) and just silence????

Washington mmm 22:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP is CAD @ 3157 still valid ?

Melbourne Qindex 22:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

GVI john 22:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
From the GVI Opening strategy session for anyone who missed it...

Sadly, I must start with a statement of our deepest felt sympathies for those impacted by the terrorist bombing today in Madrid. There never can be any justification for random acts of violence of this type.

Clon G 22:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barca Tony
Spent many happy months in Barcelona, visited Madrid many times. My heart goes out to Spain and all Spaniards, Catalan, Madrilenos, Andalucian, Galician and the rest. I don't think we'll ever be rid of these extremists. They've always plagued decent civilised society, Baader-Meinhoff, IRA, Red Brigade, ETA, Al-Qaeda and it's always the innocents and the ordinary people who are the ones caught up in the carnage. Like many others I have my ideas for solutions, but they're not for today and not for a forex forum.
Sincere and heartfelt good wishes to you and your fellow citizens.

Ldn 22:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tony I also share your grief and anger - even though they are trying to combat these b.a.s.t.a.r.d.s feel even more should be done and no compasion given for the terrorist they should just be eliminated on capture

prauge viktor 22:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy (delurking briefly):its the sound of wisdom,that what u said it.

Indonesia Newtrader 22:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
To Tony
Hey man i can feel ur pain bacoz here in my country my cousins had the affect (Killed) on that teror in bali.in fisrt week i want to kill every teroris on my own hand and the result is i get insane myself.and 2 weeks later i realize that stuff will not bother me anymore bacoz i don't want to be like them (Hatred heart) bacoz i'm a complete and perfect man that the god make me as i'm with pure love.savvy

Barcelona Tony 22:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thank you fellows ... really nice to be here these moments ...

GVI john 22:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2355…$/yen 110.75
DJIA 10,128, -169 pts…NASDAQ 1,943 -20 pts
10-yr 3.77%, +5 bp’s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
Thursday’s trade was typical of liquidating markets both in the forex and equity arenas. In liquidating markets, selling is triggered by stops and one the stops are blown out, trading grinds to a halt until the market drifts down to the next level of stops. This view is independent of the new terrorist threats.

I don’t know anything more than I hear about this terrorism, but I heard this morning that it was the “most sophisticated” attack in terms of planning that has been executed to date. Now the general view is emerging that this was Al Qaeda. My general view is that it is very difficult to trade liquidating markets anyway and that the terrorist overlay is by definition impossible to predict. I think we have no market at all overnight and into the weekend. By Monday a lot of the uncertainty hopefully will have been lifted.

Thanks to “cc” and “JP”! The TIC (treasury flow data) is to be released this Friday at around 14:00 GMT. It's been a market mover the past couple of months. I think the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey will be the most significant release on Friday, along with the “TIC” data.
CALENDAR
FRIDAY, MARCH 12, 2004
04:30 GMT- JPN- January Industrial Output, vs.-0.8%
23:30 GMT- AUS- January Housing Finance
07:45 GMT- FRA- Feb preliminary CPI: vs. +0.1%, +2.2% y/y in Jan
12:00 GMT- CDA- February Employment:
Jobs- vs. +15,100
Rate- vs. 7.4%
13:30 GMT- US- 4Q03 Current Account deficit: vs. $135.0 bln in 3Q03, see 4136.0 bln
13:30 GMT- US- Jan Business Inventories and Sales
14:45 GMT- US- Mid-March University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: vs. 94.4 Feb

Pecs Andras 22:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy (delurking briefly) 22:20 GMT March 11, 2004
Very well said. I fully agree

Eilat Dolphin 22:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tony/ Our hearts with you and your people!

It looks to me right now that the attacks are AQ and ETA sharing parts of the logistics, moneys.

The politicians do everything they can to fight this, it's just that it is very hard, when not impossible, to penetrate.

We mourn those innocents... with experience.

Stockholm AGuy (delurking briefly) 22:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 22:04 GMT March 11, 2004
>I'm full of rage now

That's exactly the intended effect, of course. BinL & Co want to provoke a religious war. Give in to the atavic urge to punish everyone of a certain faith or ethnicity for the actions of a few madmen, and he'll be the happiest terrorist on the planet.

Condolences to the victims and their families. Cool heads for the rest of us.

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 22:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
euro is still long since 7am noffin has changed

Nottingham 22:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 22:14 GMT

eurnzd just did the 200 sma and caused kneejerk kiwi and aussie selling

B.A. BOCA 22:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
liquidity is thin right now to say the least....watch out for wide swings.

tony// we live in the same city, so i feel your pain, but it should not be replaced with anger towards others....GL m8

Pecs Andras 22:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Aussie in freefall again... That really beats me

KL KL 22:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony, Take it easy..this is exactly how they want you to react...anger and fear. Can't take out 1 billion muslim... Trouble with this religion IMHO they do not and cannot control what is right and wrong. Not enough moderate telling them off....like those skin heads....you have enough moderates telling them off and they are contained....so this is not perfect world with all these risk and that is why we use charts and SL to make us sane!!

Ldn 22:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP Aussie really getting scewed at the moment even Euro coming under attack

RTM RB 22:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony: We all have a duty to let our kids to live in save world, does not matter where or how much you got.

Blind hate will not solve the problem, we must hold such a strong love to the cause "Our children deserve safe life, what ever it takes (we) the parents will do!"

Dallas GEP 22:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
That would be 1,3240/45 NOT 1.3140/45. on USd/CAD

Dallas GEP 22:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I see the long USD/CAD is going to be a challenge now as well but I think it has more support to go long than the euro has to go short for sure. Will see. no rest for the fx'ers!!! LOL

Barcelona Tony 22:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
as I expected ... the f..ing bin s-ucken is behind madrid's blasts ... what next? all islamic people out of the country? is the only way to be safe in the developed world? or will keep allowing these people to use our public health services and so on, and let them keep killing our beloved ones? well ... I'm full of rage now ... and the worst thing is politicians will do nothing to cut this s--it off ... what a day today .... obviously $ is hit "for the moment" (this f...ing guy must be short of $ still) geez..

KL KL 22:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 22:00 GMT, Maybe they are still sleeping...I am looking to go long for the sake of defying logic and whatever the charts tells. It is one of those days that you can just do the opposite and make $$$

Dallas GEP 22:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yeah WB, that Euro was setting up to be pretty sweet. We will get it next round. I am still holding my usd/cad long which generally is less affected by this type of news that the euro and swissy are. If we don't get a huge dollar backlash in Asis I think it is good for 1.3140 to 1.3145 which would cover my loss on this Euro deal with just that one positon but we will make more money on other possies tonight anyway so WTF???.

Pecs Andras 22:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What bothers me is that in a situation like this AUD and NDZ should spike up, but they hardly move???

Clon G 21:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good call GEP - a perfect illustration for the need for stops - every time

chester wb 21:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
out till london. that spike up ruined my perfectly good euro short! lol

KL KL 21:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Maybe need to PUT on BEARISH Dollar now....Hard to deny the trend. Trend is strong now. Looks like the low have been tested and now time to move up again...waiting for Eur to break 1.24 sell here for a bit of retrance and cover at 1.235 for long to 1.27. Same with pound waiting to break 1.815 sell and reverse at 1.81 for 1.86. Sometimes hard to reverse BULL dollar thinking

KL KL 21:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Maybe need to PUT on BEARISH Dollar now....Hard to deny the trend. Trend is strong now. Looks like the low have been tested and now time to move up again...waiting for Eur to break 1.24 sell here for a bit of retrance and cover at 1.235 for long to 1.27. Same with pound waiting to break 1.815 sell and reverse at 1.81 for 1.86. Sometimes hard to reverse BULL dollar thinking

tokyo nyan 21:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning anybody know Usd lows vs EUR, CHF hit this moring? thank yoU!

Dallas GEP 21:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
You got two choices guys to be able to adjust to these unforseen news events. ONE have a ton of equity and don't run stops (completely insane) or run stops you are comfortable with and don't worry about it if they get hit due to BS like what just happened. Don't worry about things you can't control!!!!

Dallas GEP 21:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
You got two choices guys to be able to adjust to these unforseen news events. ONE have a ton of equity and don't run stops (completely insane) or run stops you are comfortable with and don't worry about it if they get hit due to BS like what just happened. Don't worry about things you can't control!!!!

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 21:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 21:39 55 people get murdered EVERY DAY here but no one says a word ?????????????????

KL KL 21:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Al-qeada Also claim responsibility for Earth Quake at BAM, Iran. SInce when have we discounted these attack?? Part of life now!! Now that all religious festival (Islam) is out of the way...time for them to think evil again. No matter what I think Forex should trade as normal

Nottingham 21:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep...I have minimum expected high tom (after 22:00GMT and by 21:00GMT) of 3215 (doesn't sound like much but I work to minimal risk, for eg min high for gbpcad is 2.38, see earlier notes, clearly we will do much more than this)...non farm payrolls tom at noon GMT so may give up to 3245/50 prior to this release

Dallas GEP 21:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yes Andras, that positon was relatively small so I was letting it float around for a bit. I am .6474 short still

UB Tulga 21:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What effects AUD/USD down? many thanks

Dallas GEP 21:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
USD/cad has recovered better than Euro for now. MMM you still in your USD/CAD long????

Pecs Andras 21:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Are you still in the NDZ short?

Dallas GEP 21:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well can't do a censored thing about a news story breaking like that except to have stops in place to minimize damage. I PROMISE you it will happen again!!! LOL Normally pricing action will revert back to where it was UNLESS some of the stops were taken out which in this case they were.

prauge viktor 21:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn : thanks

Pecs Andras 21:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Oh my God, just hearing that the death toll in Spain is over 200 now!

Dallas GEP 21:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
PIP loss on those eur/usd shorts was -42 pips. USD/CAD tho should make that up later

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 21:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
it s osama effect

Clon G 21:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
apparently on Reuters they ran a story about an al-qaeda letter stating a major attack on US was "90% ready"...that and a stop run I guess caused the spike

Wash DC Tempus 21:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Reports of imminent terrorist threat agaisnt teh US.....

Rumors of homeland security raising terror threat level.

This is going to be a bumpy ride tonight so all should be careful...

Do not reccomend any positions until teh dust settles....

KL KL 21:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What was that now tempted to short EUR @ 1.24 and GBP at 1.815...both look good level now...waiting to see candle

Dallas GEP 21:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
No KL do not reneter at this time short. Stops were cleared which jumped price up. CADDY stop LOWERED to 1.3167

Nottingham 21:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep, euro is always a sell if trading at high shortly before roll over..its a technical thing...I look for between 0.15-0.25%...normally it will do more during the next day (at some stage) but there I have no guarantees...also works well for usdcad...gl gt

Ldn 21:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
prauge viktor No quite the opposite an extremely high Vix is negative commodity currencies and favours swissy.

chester wb 21:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
that got it

Ldn 21:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The safehaven buying also of the CHF is a warning sign dont you think ?

KL KL 21:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, sorry, do you re-enter at this stage..as I was typing I missed out shorting at 1.2366....rats

prauge viktor 21:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn : is that meaning to go long aud/usd thanks

Dallas GEP 21:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KL, we may have just had some stop running. At least it ran mine!!! LOL At this point may wish to wait to short. My stop was 2 PIPS too low at least for now.

chester wb 21:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
that spike almost got my stop on euro !

UB Tulga 21:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Wow EUR/USD broke 1.2350 soundly. Heading north?

Ldn 21:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino your quite good on the aud noticed in the passed appreciate anything you could share with us if possible many thanks

Chicago YM 21:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
what caused that?

Dallas GEP 21:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dammitt....that burst snagged my Euro stop order, USD/CAD still holding on well tho.

KL KL 21:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 21:18 , Would be good to sell Eur at 1.235x and buy at 1.220 reverse for a few more hours?? Like you say trading range.

Ldn 21:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino & Nottingham, thanks , I suppose I am comparing the spike from the low we have been seeing which makes it look considerably worse , its getting back to where it was last October. however its something to watch.

Nottingham 21:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn>>>VIX barely above 20, so much room to go...1104 is a fibo on S&P so after a bounce next week to 1121, we head for 1068 then review again imo...gl gt

Dallas GEP 21:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Euro is having some problems getting thru this 1.2320 area which is acting as support now of course. May bounce around between 1,2315/20 and 1.2335/40 area for a while probably too tight to range trade here.

pd cumino 21:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
VIX 20.23 VXN 26.58

Ldn 21:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone know if the VIX index is still high as that will affect the Aussie Dollar - I know it rose considerably in NY session

Stockholm DG 21:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

UB

AUDUSD Go Long 0.7425. Below 0.74 stay bearish.

Night

Nottingham 21:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pecs + Sydney...for me such a trade from 2350 was based on time and retracement expectation moving from one trading day to another...relatively low risk...gl gt

Dallas GEP 21:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Someone could get BUY some cheap USD/CAD right now. 1.3193

UB Tulga 21:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Does any one have forecast on AUD/USD durung Asian session? Many thanks

Stockholm DG 21:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Thanks dallas I needed support :-)

I closed E/$ as I have to sleep :-) But will be back
anc grab the Bull in the european morning.

Great forum here, I wil be back....

Dallas GEP 21:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Andras, it's first real stopping point in my view is 1.2250. Of course there are pockets of support all the way down. The 38& retracement of today's hi low would be 1.2276 and the 50% retracement would be 1.2254 and THAT's where we MIGHT land. Of course 1.2350 will need to hold!!!!

chester wb 21:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
still hanging in with euro shorts. t/p is still 1.2250 area but that could take a while. raise stop to1.2365

Dallas GEP 20:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nothing would surprise me DG but the probabilities are better IMO for the euro to short now but it will be a fight for sure.

Pecs Andras 20:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
What makes you hope for a 100 pip gain for your short from here?
Charts or something else?

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 20:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
the trend for CAD is short as well id say 3100 initial target

KL KL 20:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 20:51 GMT , You are probably right and may trigger buying by big boys to trigger SL at 1.2365 & above...maybe this leg can hit 1.24...then again people are lining up there to short....how much power can this up leg sustain?? It is a mind game now. THings are not happening as the charts tell you

Sydney alimin 20:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
looks like a lot of people are shorting at around 1.2350 hmm that's bad in a way...can be counter productive

Stockholm DG 20:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Here comes euro's next attack... my target is 2450
(am I insane?)

KL KL 20:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dow down $$ up and vice versa...IMO

Dallas GEP 20:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Average traded on Euro shorts 1.2326 (1.2308 and 1.2344)

Washington mmm 20:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dow still getting beating down 142

Dallas GEP 20:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Case in point: 1.2344 short is already in money .

Dallas GEP 20:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr, Kat that's a low risk trade IMO from this 1.2350 area. You can risk 30 pips or so for possibly over a 100 pip gain.

Dallas GEP 20:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yep I agree NOTTY. Picked up some caddy long @ 1.3205.

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 20:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
u people short euro here , hope its only demo otherwise ona must be drunk

target 2540

UB Tulga 20:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Does any one have forecast on AUD/USD durung Asian session? Many thanks

Washington mmm 20:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP you're right thanks :)

Gen dk 20:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 20:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Maybe better to short pound at 1.815 or near that level

Dallas GEP 20:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM that stop is too tight put it 1.2367 this will allow for a little run thru

Nottingham 20:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep, usdcad is a buy on anything below 3200 before 22:00GMT...also euro res at 2350 pretty decent imo...gl gt

UB Tulga 20:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.2337. Targeting to 1.2315

dc fxq 20:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
BBC reports the Arabic tapes were found in the van thought used in the attacks. Obviously USD negative. Spain is of course the 51st state.

Washington mmm 20:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep short EUR also with a stop @ 2356 .hope both will hold.....lol

Dallas GEP 20:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yep just added some more shorts @ 1.2344 on Euro 30 pip stop

Sydney bl 20:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP do you have any eur short at mement

chester wb 20:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
short euro trade not looking good. break 1.2355 iwill take the loss and get out.

Dallas GEP 20:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM your caddy is holding up pretty well.

Dallas GEP 20:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well so much for my thinking Now for 1.2350 test LOL

SanFrancisco tg 20:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SZ - I would wager 90% of any losses I have ever had have come from trading ON the news. Better to place orders at extremes of both directions in advance or simply wait 30 min or so after news/data to enter.

OK SZ 20:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
plus you have the dow getting hammered...I am off for now to clear my head..gl, gt all

Washington mmm 20:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thans GEP

Dallas GEP 20:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KL, YES If we break 1.2335 then 1,2350 should hold but I don't beleive we will break 1,2335. The other wild card is EUR/GBP in that if EUR/GBP longs then pound and euro can move in opposite directions as we saw yesterday (in this case Eur long and Pound short)

OK SZ 20:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I must say I find it amazing that when the us raises it's terror alert the dollar plunges but when someone in europe does we go higher..I must say trading the us session anymore is becoming ridiculous....JMHO

Bandung Dewan 20:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
next gbp/usd sell level 1.8110

Chicago Irish 20:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Fox news reports that Al-Qaeda claim responsibility for the Madrid attacks.........

Manchester Dan 20:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Reuters: Al Qaeda letter claims responsibility for bombing...

prauge viktor 20:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep.I think if that creazy osama got a hand in this ugly act it will leav a very negitive impact on the usd on bloomberg they are talking about Koran hsa been foud with denatied in one of the trains

Pecs Andras 20:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Are you still in the Kiwi short?

Dallas GEP 20:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DG, eur/chf shorting will keep a lid on eur.usd if swissy gains strength across the board.

MMM, That should work if Euro doesn't break this 1,2350/50 area. Otherwise you will need wider stop.

SanFrancisco tg 20:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
My sincerest condolence for anyone affected by todays horror in Spain, I hope you may continue to see the good in things in spite of this. This has been going on for many decades, and in recent years the scum is getting more disgusting. They must be stopped at any cost.

KL KL 20:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 20:11 , So if pound up from here 1.8089 EUR should also up. If pound went near 1.8050...EUR 1.2350...is it a better place to sell here if given the opportunity again??

Bandung Dewan 20:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
i have stop my buy at 1.8096
fwiw, 16 pts

NYC YIPPEE 20:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yep.

Stockholm DG 20:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KL

I am long in EUR. Short in CHF. I am 99.9%
USDCHF will fall until closing tomorrow. And
big brother will follow so EURUSD UP :-)

Washington mmm 20:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep bought @ 3203 with a stop @ 3180 todays low

Dallas GEP 20:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Euro fortunes up or down are probably tied to POUND, Pound support is @ 1.8080 and it had a small bounce up from there and Euro bounce up a little as well. Interesting to see if increased terror alert will have a negative effect on the Euro.

FL MC 20:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE, Do u still have short EUR? If so same target and stop? TIA

KL KL 20:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm DG 20:04 , what level will you sell EUR?? or good level for retracement before another up

Dallas GEP 20:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM, you could still long cad bfrom 1.3200 but your stop would need to be wider. Your choice.

nyc jk 20:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sz - Dow Jones newswire is reporting they have already raised it fwiw.

NYC YIPPEE 20:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ON GVI

Spotforex NY 19:45 GMT March 11, 2004
France raises terrorism alert - DJ

OK SZ 20:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
on cnbc they just said that france might raise it's terror alert on friday

Bandung Dewan 20:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
my level buy....

Stockholm DG 20:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Varna,

Why sell Euro? I see no such indications :-(

D

nyc jk 20:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tony, so sorry to hear the terrible news. I feel for you, hang in there.

Dallas GEP 20:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM. I would wait to see if you can get it @ 1.3190,,,but you might need a 30 pip stop. 1.3157 should be safe.

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 19:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Strange world aint it, one man's terrorist = another man's freedom fighter, look at Nelson Mandella, his terror campaign left a legacy of continuing terror, with 20,000 people per annum murdered here, and yet he is a hero today. Got me beat.

Varna 19:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD - 1.2315 - really good time to sell

Stockholm DG 19:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GL

D

Madrid issue: look at CNN (Breaking News)

Washington mmm 19:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep is USD/CAD good level to re enter here ?
THanks

brisbane sunstate 19:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm DG 19:46
should be same day
gl

Dallas GEP 19:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Good levels WB!!!

chester wb 19:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
looking for euro to retrace back to at least 1.2250 area. im short from 1.2311 and 1.2326

Bandung Dewan 19:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
next buy level for GBP/USD 1.8080

Dallas GEP 19:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
NOTE: One of the reasons I don't normally leave SELL or BUY orders in place is because of how dramatically price action can change while you are not on your platform to attend to your possies. For instance, this possie had an original stop @ 1,2338 but when I got back and saw the charts I realized that 1,2308 might be run thru to the next level around here @ 1,2330; the 1,2338 STOP I had on the original order would have held at least to this point in time but I have moved it above 1,2358. it's this type of adjustments that you CAN'T really make while you are away.

Stockholm DG 19:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Anyone know the time it takes to get your
account open by censored after fundng it?

prauge viktor 19:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP :thanks I put it on 0,7435 so we need a littel luck i hope

Baz JW 19:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Sincere sympathies to all the Spanish people. - this is truly a disgusting and cowardly act. I hope those responsible will be found.

Dallas GEP 19:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I agree WB. Stop on shorts need to be above there for sure!!!

Dallas GEP 19:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DG, the war against terror in my view has gotten more visible because the terrorist are becoming more desparate. Their time is comimg and has been for some time now.

BTW on Euro this 1.2320 also provides some resistance. Not sure whether action is strong enough to break it . If it does next stop is 1.2240/50 level. will see.

chester wb 19:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.2330/35 should cap euro.imho

Bandung Dewan 19:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Clon G 19:30 GMT March 11, 2004,
Not only Osama.....

Dallas GEP 19:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, I an not cetain on the NZD/USD at this time I am still short tho from .6474 but that is getting beat up a little. ASk AB about the NZD possie.

As far as Aussie goes, if your short here, need stop above .7430 in my view. I think I would wait for .7410 because USD is getting a lttle beat up now.

Dallas GEP 19:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tony, the way fix this terrorist problem is simple. just send the SOB's to me one at a time and I promise you they wouldn't leave the room. This makes me incredibly angry. Just a bunch of cowardly thugs, but their time is coming which I know is of little comfort to those of us who have lost loved ones to these Aholes!!!

Clon G 19:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
come on dewan - tell osama that!

prauge viktor 19:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep pleas whats about the aud/usd and nzd/usd are they are good to short them

Dallas GEP 19:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Came back for a minute and noticed my eur/usd short is in play from 1.2308 traded SHORT. Let's see if this works. Pound is also near it's high as well so see if this does make turn,

Bandung Dewan 19:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 19:08 GMT March 11, 2004
I'm so sorry about what happen in madrid. This is no one of religion groups to connected, this is terrorist. No one of religion teach us to do like this.

Stockholm DG 19:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Tony,

I feel for you. It's a horrible feeling even though I live
far away from Madrid. But I follow the news and all
our newspaper is updating the sad number almost
every hour.

190 dead and over 1200 wounded. And a less safe
Europe. The war against terror just gave us more
terror.



prauge viktor 19:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony: I fell with the pain friend and I hope the islamic groups or the ETA will be punesh ,when I watch the pictueres on the tv I cant belive that could happen in the EU,take care

Barcelona Tony 19:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone,

just jumped in to express my horror, and my absolute rage, anger, call it whatever you want to what it is the worst terrorist attack in Spain's history.. please don't believe it is ETA's act (thought very probable) ... what today happened reminds me of 9/11 in quite a way just to think there could be an islamic group behind it ... we'll see ... but for us today is a very sad day .... GT GL as always ....

Just a trading tip : aud should drop below 0.7, and that would close the gap in my indicator (a gap created some time ago and that seems ready to be closed)

Stockholm DG 19:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

EURUSD bullish from 1.2320
GBPUSD bullish from 1.8090
USDCHF bearish from 1.2770

SGD MH 18:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Is EUR/USD heading downwards this session or up? Just wonder what your thoughts are.

Bandung Dewan 18:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP,
Is treasury budget statement so important?

prauge viktor 18:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP,whats about athe aud/usd nzd/usd are they ready to short them or not yet

NY MC 18:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, I guess it could bounce down or sell off up. LOL

Dallas GEP 18:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Also a 136.50 short on EUR/JPY looks good as well

Dallas GEP 18:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Just popped in to post a thought I had then I am gone again but a SHORT on eur/usd @ 1..2308 with stop at 1.2338 should work. 1,2308 is a FIB point and it SHOULD bounce down from that at least initially. I don't believe market is STRONG enough volume wise to push thru FIB at this time. Moderate to moderate high risk on this trade especially if bullish tone doesn't subside somewhat.

GER ad 17:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Higher EUR crosses (EUR/GBP;EUR/JPY;EUR/CHF...) be careful by buying USD now the rally may be over.

Porto PJT 17:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
re: GER ad 17:06 , post on help forum.

Melbourne DC 17:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
cork g 1705 short 0.6811 .. one euro defence eurjpy 136 compromised .. but still holding on to short see if close above 0.6800 . likely to square on dip if action gets stale towards close. all the best .

Dallas GEP 17:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I will be out for a while boys. back later

HK Kevin 17:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Closed my EUR/JPY long from 134.68 at 136.16.

Dallas GEP 17:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Saint3, kind of like Euro. Pound shorts from 1.8030 should work then long back up./

hk ab nzd 0.6 17:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
cool.... the nzd being smacked at thin hrs....

cork g 17:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
anybody short EUR/GBP?

hk ab nzd 0.6 17:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
short eur/jpy 136.06 hedged now. Gd night.

hk ab nzd 0.6 17:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
tom// I trade with timing not lvl on this beast.
BOJ is spooking both buy and sell spect now....

usa tom 17:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab, what's ur tp on the usd/jpy long? I'm looking at 112 by tomorrow, and 114 by end of next week. What do you think?

hk ab nzd 0.6 17:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
woke up by my bank....

looks like BOJ helps me to boost the dlr/jpy to 112....

longed right at 110.56 and 59.....

indonesia new trader 16:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Can i have ur email plz?

Wiarton H 16:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
This weeks movement looks like a copy of last week ,does that mean we can expect the same tomorrow as last Friday?????

HKG SK 16:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab

Tonight's market is already a good sleeping pills for you.

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
closed eur ealier eur short for 10 pips to buy sleeping pills. Gep// leave the stuff for you.

LA saint3 16:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep and raden,

what is your view on gbp/usd?
market movement is unusual today

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nzd is breaking my 200 sma in 1 min chart :)

that blue line has bound the 3 upmoves in the last 6 hr.

Melbourne DC 16:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
euro having difficulties with her resistance 1.2280, 0.6820 136.00, will they break without catalyst?

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, Fri. trade.

HK Kevin 16:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 16:05 GMT, 50-day ma of EUR/GBP at 1.6825 should be a temp resistance. That's why I buy Cable instead of EUR.

HK Kevin 16:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 16:05 GMT, you mean closing of EUR/CAD and GBP /CAD positions? Why is it tomorrow?

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, fwiw, I see eur tight range until someone clear tells us what they want to go.
the eurgbp is v. confusing indeed.

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KEvin// same here, many positions as well.

I see dlr/cad is preparing a big upmove. I have its 200 dma going to be blast soon by crosses closing.

HK Kevin 16:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 16:05 GMT, in other words, I see EUR higher till 1.2360 this week.

usa tom 16:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
anyone thinks that the euro might be artificially kept up due to banks not wanting the currency to collapse because of the terrorist attach this morning? I mean spain is part of eu and that should have a negative effect on the euro but that has not happened yet. makes you wonder.

ICT ML 16:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP....I got nothing figured out right now..as my trading results for this week to now will show..LOL

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 16:13 GMT March 11, 2004
for short term.
why not? :-)

HK Kevin 16:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 16:05 GMT, what do you mean?
Currently holding manuy positions on hand. Long Cable from 1.798X last night and 1.7935 this morning, miss the chance to take profit as I am attending a meeting and the limit orders 1.8020 was not hit. Also short EUR/GBP from 6884 last night (s/l almost hit) and long EUR/JPY at 134.68. Also unlucky limit order 136.15 not filled.
Re: USD/CAD, technical indicators tell sell, but we have a marginal higher closing price over the last 3 day. 1.3180 support also hold today.  

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
brave hearts might want to short nzd here again......but I have enough + the put option on nzd.

Dallas GEP 16:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ML. how many coupons for the EURO roller coaster ride???? You got pound figured out yet???

usa tom 16:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
seems like boj put its bid at 110.70 again, any comments? Feels like they might take this back up to 111 by tonight, 112 by tomorrow. TIA

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas.. you get good level.
I hope we are same exit at 1.7960

chicago cal 16:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
euro is a good buy here for 1.2350 and then 1.2450

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
yes gep.
me too have b/e stop on eur short at 1.2280

Dallas GEP 16:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Euro still bullish looking

Dallas GEP 16:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden I might wait until 1.8030 firsyt myself.

Dallas GEP 16:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
On second thought that's silly unless range tarding is over. I put stop now @ 1.2289

B.A. BOCA 16:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp // that 'new' platform you mentioned is a very old way to get $$ out of people. trust me stay away.

GL

Dallas GEP 16:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eur looks a little bullish now. probably will stop out @ BE

nyc jk 16:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
raden is that correct, you are suggesting selling GBP now ??

ICT ML 16:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nice 30 pip variance on gbpjpy chart vs qoute now.....

Sydney bl 16:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP thanks

Dallas GEP 16:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ML, what is a THrader???? LOL

NY NY 16:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Montréal taro 15:34

You can ask Gloabl-view for insight on such matters. This FF should be about market discussions and not about the brokers.

Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
BL, well my possie says 1.2220!!! This area around 1.2250 is a pivot point so it could swing either way, up to 1.2280 or down to 1.2220, BUT my guess would be down first. I have my stop @ my 1.2274 entry.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hello..
gbp/usd short term trade.
ideal sell when at 1.8005

Quebec YQB 16:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp

How many trades did it take for ref* to notice. you said 8 days, but how many market orders did you trigger?

ICT ML 16:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 15:59 ...if you can figure out how to scalp using limit entry orders....you are a better thrader than I am.....

an entry order cannot be within 10 pips of current quote..and they are going to move the price on you anyway...HAHA..so you are always going to be 10 pips away from action trying it...but I have a few secret once an hour trades that worked sometimes...LOL

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, dlr/cad may not see 1.32xx again after today.....

tomorrow will be the poses close day and crosses will bring the goose to the right direction.

Sydney bl 16:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP where do you think the EUR/USD heading to now

Dallas GEP 16:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM, GREAT!!! You average 30 pips and you will do VERY well indeed. Congrats!!!

hk ab nzd 0.6 16:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
if eur mighty direction is down, then eur/gbp is a great short here with the .618 fib as s/l...

now .6820 is somehow at the .50 fib of the whole jan to now move.

Dallas GEP 16:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well boys this market now is like trying to parallel park a Ferrari the grocery store, what's the point????

Euro DID get below that 1.2255/60 area at least.

Indo Allcorp 15:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:48 GMT
So the inside help is setting limit orders or is it other info?

Please send email to [email protected]
Porto PJT and others. Thanks for your answers.

HK Kevin 15:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 15:46 GMT, agree with you. c9 will be holding their losing positions for -200 pps, but probably many get margin call for -500 pips.

Quebec YQB 15:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
They should have a forum where we can talk about the FCM's more openly.

I should give it a try scalping then, if it works.

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am really doubtful about this eur/gbp moves.... is it just a false break.....

Washington mmm 15:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP...made 32 pips

thanks

prauge viktor 15:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP: u mean the aud/cad it was a very good thanks and whats about audUsd I think this week it was a good one just with yen when taked my s/L 111,42 this it was painfull but as u say no pain no gain

Dallas GEP 15:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr KAT, not confusing at all look at EUR/GBP

Dallas GEP 15:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
YQB, with 3-5 pip spreads not hard, 8-15 pip spreads censored near impossible. But I am just like ML, I do not scalp.

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
another avalanche come for nzd.
but I may buy a bounce if it's more than 150 pips.

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
seems dlr/jpy has made up its mind so others can follow now.

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 15:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
cofusing market , puond pairs are short while euro long , , im gonna wait

Nottingham 15:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
For anyone that has probs with the "bookie" brokers then get friendly with the people that design their software...from them you will find out exactly how they operate...a friend of mine worked at such a place a couple of years ago and fwiw all the rumours you've heard are true

Quebec YQB 15:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Just like to know how is it you guys scalp with such wide spreads?

Porto PJT 15:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
prague mark 15:43 , e-mail sent.

Dallas GEP 15:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, who would want to watch that slow moving POS????

ICT ML 15:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 15:35 GMT .YES...I was trading against a dealer, on manual execution...and they had almost totally shut me down from even thinking about taking intraday trades....through various tactics.....they do not like to lose...but if you believe their sales guys..they only make $$ off spread..not off tradersa losses...what BS that is

But got some inside help and all is better now.....but we'll see how long it lasts though.

Dallas GEP 15:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MMM U r welcome, , how many pips did you make on the usd/cad trade????

hong kong nt 15:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- suppose c9 get a chance to buy at .72xx tomorrow, most of them won't be washed away at .70xx, in contrary, if aud goes up from here and back to .75xx area and stabilise for a while, most c9 will buy, then another leg to .70xx will wash them away...

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
all eyes are now on eur/gbp imvho.

prauge viktor 15:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP thanks G/l

Dallas GEP 15:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd short moved to BE. Let's see if this 1.2255/60 support breaks

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Next will be dlrcad.....

Dallas GEP 15:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, I believe for now we are going to range trade from 1.2220 to 1.2280. The reason generally for range trading is that the market hasn't really decided a direction so you have bears and bulls kind of fighting in a standoff mode.

More than likely, The LAST possie you take on a range trade will be the one you lose so keep possie position same each time.

prague mark 15:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT 15:40 GMT
in case this info is related to brokers who tolerate scalpers (as opposed to censored) pls. do send this info to me as well
[email protected]
TIS

Indo Allcorp 15:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT 15:40 GMT
Thank you very much sir and if anyone else here has some answers please dont hesitate to contact me through Jay.

Porto PJT 15:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp, i have a info for you, ask Jay my e-mail or messenger if you want.gt.

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eur is just now having a delayed rock and roll which will rock like aud and nzd laterz.

Pecs Andras 15:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 15:35 GMT March 11, 2004
The 2 brokers you mentioned are one and the same, so there is no point in switching to the other one.
Maybe you should find a very different one, because these guys are known to dislike scalpers.
I have never understood why, because they get the spreads for every 2 minute trade, don't they?

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
aud and nzd are usually volatile at 16:00-17:00 GMT.

nt// I still think many C9 will buy every 100 dips so, wait till you see they sell and you can safely buy any aud near .7000 line, that was also what recommended by bc. ( I have plans to buy anything prints .70xx for positional move) btw, I think kiwi will be in great interesting move if RBNZ announce they got the approval to move.

prauge viktor 15:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep:is the usd rally finished and we are going to the higher level for the euro or not yet thanks

Indo Allcorp 15:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:32 GMT
I have not psted here before but just watched and I remember you saying that you are being HOSED..Is this manual exec?
Last question on the matter. I guess I will just have to in the end change to every broker available and after that use my Wifes name to trade LOL..

Montréal taro 15:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
NY NY 15:31
Can you point to a us better house to deal with ?

ICT ML 15:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Indo Allcorp 15:28 ...you shouldn't.....i only saw popups on market orders when they started screwing with me..and I am NOT a scalper...LOL

probably ought not continue this discussion here....

Washington mmm 15:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
out USD/CAD @3220
Thanks Gep

sarasota jf 15:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
price on screen is irrelevant - they quote 4-5 points either side to deal now - they dislike to lose

NY NY 15:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 15:19 - both houses you mention have a relationship to each other.

Amazing that for less than $2k the FCM is 'concerned' but states it in a way to put up on a 'better' platform...better for who.
I think you could surmise the answer.

Indo Allcorp 15:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:23 GMT
Yes I have considerd using auto fills with buy and sell orders pre determind. You say they will not worry about that and I will not see the dreaded "waiting for dealer response" popup?

Nottingham 15:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gbpcad...1st o/b been and done target...2nd a 100 pip or so lower at 2.3641 looking for same move if seen...minimum expected high tomorrow is 2.38 assuming pair stays above 2.35 today...gl gt

Indo Allcorp 15:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sarasota jf 15:23 GMT
F-X..c:M move the pips?

Washington mmm 15:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
3288 =3188 :)

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1,2220 is the bottom

Dallas GEP 15:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.2274 EURO short playing 1.2280 to 1.2820 range

Washington mmm 15:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
long USD/CAD @ 3288
GL

ICT ML 15:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 15:19 GMT...you will lst less than a week on auto fill...but you will start out on it, and they will catch on to you quickly if you are using market orders. Limit orders don't seem to bother them at all.....

they are about the same platform....enjoy it while it lasts

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
long cad 2nd lot 1.32.

sarasota jf 15:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp
dont bother they move my spread to 13 pips now on a couple of new accounts - look elsewhere

Indo Allcorp 15:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
BTW I have changed the way I trade as previously I sufferd losses of 20:1 lose ratio and now have 20:1 win ratio.

OK SZ 15:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
greenspan speaking at this time

Nottingham 15:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab...noted thx

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
cad is severely affected by crosses, mainly aud/cad.

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
reshort eur 1.2280, but if eur/gbp breaks .6820 and stays firm, will close no matter what the loss is.

Indo Allcorp 15:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello,
I am not sure if this is for a help forum or not but I would like to ask about the change from Automatic to manual excecution. R E-F C-() have taken me off auto excecution due to the fact I have increased my mini account from $71 - $1860 in 8 trading days due mainly to 1-2 minute trades. They want me to use another platform with direct interbank rates and movable spreads fropm 3-8 pips. That platform does NOT guarrantee stop loss orders and is very poor all round!
If I was to move to F-X.C.M..: I only trade CABLE and would like to know if the new broker would know of my old scalping from another as I like the windows based platform both use.

hong kong nt 15:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- buy some aus, stop below 00, target .750...

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nottingham for this aud/nzd I have l/t target 1.2.

but all depends how it react at the previous top around 1.1690.

Nottingham 15:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, its done 300 not long ago...btw eurgbp at key levels now...

Nottingham 15:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 15:04 GMT

What target have you got for that...I bought retest of 1.1335 following break last night and was hoping for a bit more since averages were taken but has been a bit oredrly so taken off table...gl gt

Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, seems like the biggest one day movement on NZD.USD was is around 175 PIPS????? That's it????

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Not//I will look for aud/nzd for direction....

hk ab nzd 0.6 15:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
when dlr/jpy makes up its mind, eur will move south again.

Right now, BOJ is playing fire if they deliberately lift up all the bids.

Nottingham 15:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
moment of truth coming up for nzd...eurnzd testing 200 sma again...

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// lucky that I close all the eur and chf position except those l/t chf longs.

now I can have some funds to deal with this stupid goose.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// when u see aud/nzd hit 1.16, close your nzd shorts ;)

or another recommendation is close it at some lows tomorrow.

OK SZ 14:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
it seems as if they are trying to suck you into shorting this euro at this time..not gonna work for me here..be careful

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP// just want to ask you if you know about the history of nzd move. What's the biggest one day run for this pair? do u know?

Dallas GEP 14:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
YES AB, I do like the short very much. GREAT CALL my friend Where is the TP on this nzd/usd possie????

LondonJoe 14:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
should be good for... they look goof dor now though !!!

LondonJoe 14:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - of course Citi will be saying that they put out a buy recco to their custy base 3-4 days ago targeting 80c when we where 7620 on monday - they looked goof dor 12hours as we traded to .7745.... hmmmmmm.....

Dallas GEP 14:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, you and that dammmm handle.

Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Can't really discuss that Jeff on the forum but you can email Jay at global-view for my email address if you wish.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
oops forgot to change handle again.


nt// what worries me not to short eur is not those C9 but eur/gbp stays above Q's mentioned .6782.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.68 14:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 13:24 GMT March 11, 2004
ab -- see many c9 stop loss on aussie, kiwi, gbp, etc this afternoon, not a good sign for selling euro. fwiw...

nt// I think for kiwi, it's a special case now since the RBNZ DOES act actively but not just sitting there now.

and my bet is that those C9 will not resist the temptation and try to catch bottom of aud and nzd again. Could you update me? THANKS!

A fast furious dip to .70xx region will really kill them and they will stay out the next profitable long run on aud.

but still kiwi will be suffered from the threat. As long as NZ gov't have not made up the final decision, there will still be rainfall in NZD.

Ldn 14:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD reaction "appears excessive," Citi. Now down 1.4% on day at 0.7347.

hk ab eur/gbp 0.68 14:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// do u like my nzd short?

Carlsberg!

Cleveland Jeff 14:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, do you manage a fund?

hk ab eur/gbp 0.68 14:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, above 1.33......

Helsinki iw 14:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
In the bigger picture it is still hard to call, but the euro may
have formed a higher low today. Last weeks 1,2055 was a
15 pip break of the 1,2070/80 level, which should be quite
tough anyway. At least this is the best recovery all week
since dumping from 1,24++, so would be careful with shorts
as we are approaching week-end. Long EUR/USD and GBP/CHF
now, but tightish stops and fully prepared to admit to being
wrong if the market tells me so.

Intraday support at 1,2215/20 should hold if I´m correct.
IMHO

LA saint3 14:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hi guys ,
any view on gbp now?
thanks

LA saint3 14:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hi guys ,
any view on gbp now?
thanks

Nottingham 14:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Port Louis YH 14:37 GMT

I would view it this way...if I was already short nzdusd I would look at that eurnzd zone as an indicator...a break through the 200 sma will target my secondary o/b...in that case you could open fresh nzdusd short position...on a second failure at 200 sma (we've already had one), I would cover short nzdusd if I had one...gl gt

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Martin, I actually have a SELL order @ .7400 but next trip up to .7370, I probably will join the party.

Port Louis YH 14:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham
Thanks, If I understand u mean trend down, may be...

Dallas GEP 14:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well Martin, I do believe technicals DO drive the big boys however so I am just trying to be just quick enough so that I don't become fish bait myself, The calls on the Aussie have been awesome and had it not have been for that bad data a couple of days ago we would not have had to endure that Aussie hit initially but if you just look at the Aussie trades INCLUDING the initial ones, my equity has increased by 8.4% in last five days if you just look at the Aussie trades by themselves.

Quito Ecuador Valdez 14:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
News blast from banananald...Incredible %#&*ing market...A big Euro country gets bombed, the Euro goes UP and not radically so, it should have gone down, but no, it was just a normal humdeedump, likely the bombers had NO effect. While that's good, now if the USA had the SAME attack, the dollar would plumet. I give the $%*! up. Time to plant my alfalfa and beans. This is one very weird trading world amigos. :')

Gold Coast martin 14:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DALLAS,, HOPE YOU ARE CATCHING SOME OF THESE AUSSIE DIPS......

OK SZ 14:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
euro 30min chart shows my 2 moving averages converging the 21&50 so we should get a signal here soon

Nottingham 14:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Port Louis YH 14:30 GMT

see my 13:40 and 13:27 posts

OK SZ 14:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
My take on the euro is that we are going to test the lows again which were on march 2nd at 12050-57 to form a double bottom which we then head higher and go for new highs..when is the big question but me thinks very soon...jmvho

Port Louis YH 14:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Anyone could give his opinion about Nzd/Usd for this session?
I am short and but it seems tobe going up?

Chambery FR JFB 14:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
fwiw... :-) we've had the longest hourly bar (154 pips) for that particular hour (1PM GMT) of a Thursday in 1 year or so. Imvho, no wonder then if the market is calm now :-)

Nottingham 14:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Spainish ministry saying explosives used in attack same as ones used by ETA...its as if ETA has its favoured hardware stores/suppliers and Al-qaeda has theres...fwiw Spainish government bound to say ETA to dispense accountability and link with backing Bush Iraq campaign...gl gt

Gold Coast martin 14:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dallas..you are 100% technically right ..but are technicals ultimately the sole catalysts in short term trading scenarios....you have to have a gut feel for the market as well.......g/l friend

Dallas GEP 14:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FIBO traders SELLING the sh***T out of the Aussie @ .7370 FIB point.

Dallas GEP 14:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Martin I will tell you the only thing that bothers me TECHNICALLY on the Aussie is that it is WAY oversold.

Dallas GEP 14:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yeah PJ you may be right. LOL

Eastbourne PJ 14:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, too many Cowboys in the market during US session!

indonesia new trader 14:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
any signyal to do something
thx

Dallas GEP 14:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
THis is what sucks about the US session, all this whippiness as evidenced by pound and aussie action. Need to be IN and OUT quickly.

Dallas GEP 14:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD should be watched. 1.3180 would be VERY nice long as posted earlier but 1.3190/1,3200 area might work well as well.

Dallas GEP 14:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OMIL. yeah but like I said the Pound was MUCH closer and it has shorted 30 pips as well.

Dallas GEP 14:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
WTH Martin , I have been in everything else besides the NOK and the ZAR!! LOL

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FWIW GEP, while eur/usd was not able to break the 1.2290-2300 area I still don’t have a sell signal IMHO.

sgp sp 14:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Mstr Q, do u still see eur/usd going down after the volatility?

Thanks. :)

Nottingham 14:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, see my 13:40 and 13:27 posts...I have just 0.25% from just under the 200 day ma and will do again at second o/b if seen...otherwise temptation is to try a short on another failure at 200 day ma, but second time is always riskier and I will have to put a stop on this one above 200 day ma...gl gt

Gold Coast martin 14:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dallas...you got to be in it to win it.....lol

Calabash TarHeel 14:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

What if any thoughts do you have on the $/Cad?

TIA, GL,GT

Dallas GEP 14:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Aussie has shorted 20 pips since we have been talking BUT it is on some minor support here @ .7330

melbourne farmacia 14:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004
Good trades za - we call them blowflies...

Dallas GEP 14:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Notty, what are you doing in regard to the NZD crosses,

Porto PJT 13:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UK transport police denies bomb talk.

Nottingham 13:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 13:53 GMT

There a good chance both aud and nzd will benefit from some welcome cross strength as nzd in particular sitting ahead of some critical levels...if these are taken then poor old oceanics will take another, but imo final for this week, hit...gl gt

Dallas GEP 13:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn, you and Martin are the drivers on this Aussie thing. I almost shorted @ .7485 earlier but it was prior to data being out so I pass up on it. I do think however, we mat see .7485-..7500 again before next shorting round.

BTW guys candle patterns on Euro and Pound Suggest a SELL but I belive POUND is CLOSER to being ready.

Ldn 13:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MARKET TALK: USD Comes Under Pressure Again

Dallas GEP 13:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
That NZD/USD short starting to work AB

Gold Coast martin 13:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas,,,,,,i still have my aussie shorts at 7350 ....i have just shorted further to 7295....g/l

Ldn 13:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP Aus is very oversold at the moment you may get a better level to short . any views more than welcome

Dallas GEP 13:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Daily chart on Eur/USD says SELL on Rallies from 1.2293. 4 hour shows sell @ 1.2308

Chambery FR JFB 13:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Brstol/UK Stag 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004
You're welcome :-)

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 13:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ndata disregarded by traders , we r loking at stronger euro

HK Kevin 13:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, 1.32 won't be seen after today. Below 1.32 or above 1.33?

hong kong nt 13:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 13:47 -- same rumor may appear everywhere in every corner of the world in next 48-72 hours...

Ldn 13:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Closed my previous position square and just took profits on reverse from 7370, however Aud is extremely oversold now and should rebound higher for better levels.

Dallas GEP 13:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well the news didn't really rock anything did it??

Martin, what do you think about a short on Aussie from here @ .7350????

LDN SAM 13:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Bomb alert in London train station

Tallinn viies 13:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
rumour of security alert at waterloo station in london

Gold Coast martin 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia...go back to the archives for the last 3 days and read and weep...as i told you previously keep your comments to yurself as you dont know who i am and what i hold....stick to your special strategic projects.....

Brstol/UK Stag 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB 13:38 GMT March 11, 2004
Thank you. I will contact Jay

HKG SK 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I really cannot see why the US market will get hit if the attack is in Europe. What happen if this attack is in Germany???

Stockholm za 13:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia ... You is a very GOOD observer........lol
Happy trades to you ........

Calabash TarHeel 13:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd

Do you mind if I ask your thoughts on the $/cad?
TIA,GL,GT

dc fxq 13:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:37 GMT --- there really isn't much to react to with largely as expected data, especially when revisions are factored in. Your next chance will be tomorrow at 14:45 GMT with the UofMich CSI report. Looking at the 95.0- 96.0 range. Oh yes and "possibly" Jan PPI will finally be released at 13:30.

melbourne farmacia 13:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 13:28 GMT March 11, 2004
Based on some of your previous comments, you too are a newbie ... that's fear to say ? .

Nottingham 13:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP and hk ab...if you're about, I suggest watching eurnzd (see below) as it will effect your nzdusd significantly I believe

Brazil, JH 13:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, buy something so the market will move...

Chambery FR JFB 13:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ny brok 13:32 GMT March 11, 2004
Brstol/UK Stag 13:29 GMT March 11, 2004
Guys, I have made a lot of calculation of this type with XL, I don't know any site doing this, but if you'd like some help, am your man :-) let me know thru Jay/ Happy trades :-)

Pecs Andras 13:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I wonder if anybody can trade profitablí in this market now?
Of course medium/long term players excluded.

Brazil, JH 13:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I said new traders may wont to stay out not everyone LOL

Nottingham 13:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
re backtesting specific systems...tradestation or metastock can do that for you...bonus of living outside of the US means you can purchase the "offline" version from distributors and use your own datafeeds

Sydney alimin 13:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
boo boo no party :( people already got early shock theraphy, everyone is numb now, cant react to data anymore

UB Tulga 13:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What is your view for AUD/USD? Many thanks

Brazil, JH 13:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Just to funny...doesn't know where to go..LOL

Pecs Andras 13:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UB Tulga 13:33 GMT March 11, 2004
Pretty much as expected

UB Tulga 13:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Is US data good or bad? My cable here is not working now so I can't get it on TV. Many thanks

ny brok 13:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am also interested if there are any excel based prog out there that Brstol/UK Stag 13:29 GMT is looking for.

IST Sez 13:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
jobless claim drop to 341000

Brstol/UK Stag 13:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Good afternoon. I would appreciate some help please. I wish to analyse a 2 croos ema system for frequency of crosses/ value at time of cross/maximum pip movement from value of cross. Could anyone give me a demo site where this could anaysed or a site which contains this data. Thank you.

Gold Coast martin 13:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
BRAZIL ...good point...this is a volatile market and newbies should play it safe and not trade at all....learn from the experience by observing not by getting wiped out....

Nottingham 13:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eurnzd...overbought conventionally and close to my primary o/b of 1.9016...secondary o/b at 1.9156...caveat here is that primary o/b is a little below the 200 day sma at 1.9048 and a breach will likely result in an attempt at secondary...fwiw we are approaching trend limits on this pair (i.e. risk of long term change to up from down) if secondary o/b taken by more than 50/100 pips...gl gt

UB Tulga 13:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Any feedback on AUS/USD? Many thanks

Brazil, JH 13:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
New traders, remember, = odds on winning and losing on US data, that is not good odds for long term trading...
good luck...to all... for me I wait for the bounce :-)

Gold Coast martin 13:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
As aud enters ny session at 7360 range as predicted should data be bad add 25 points to the range that it was predicted to fall to(7295+25).....should data be very favorable then expect a downward move to 7295 touching the 7270 range...time frame:by end of new york session.....g/l g/t

hong kong nt 13:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- see many c9 stop loss on aussie, kiwi, gbp, etc this afternoon, not a good sign for selling euro. fwiw...

IST Sez 13:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dow expected to sharp decline due to Madrid explositon.

UB Tulga 13:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
In 10 minutes US data. Good luck to you all

beijing road 13:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR seems to bottom out.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FWIW eur/usd touched 1.2160 so the fib numbers changed to 1.2275-80, 1.2310-15 and 1.2345-50. I have resistance now at around 1.2290-2300 and 1.2325-30. Hope everyone is ready for the news and GL GT to all.

Stockholm za 13:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Livingston....... You are welcome... the series work well on most pairs.....
Now it`s fighting the pull betweene 89 & 144 with 55 giving it the balance....
Note that 21 X 34 yesterday...
Happy trades..........

Nottingham 13:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp...at the moment shs intraday for 6770 but an extended foray above 6800 means upper end of my res band (6815) under pressure...gl gt

bucharest dan 13:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Date Time (EST) Location Description Forecast Previous
3/11/2004 8:30:00 AM US Feb Retail Sales 0.5% -0.3%
3/11/2004 8:30:00 AM US Feb Import Prices 0.4% 1.3%
3/11/2004 8:30:00 AM US Weekly Jobless Claims 346K 345K
3/11/2004 8:30:00 AM US Feb Retail Sales ex autos 0.5% 0.9%

indonesia new trader 13:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
if the jobless claim unchanged or better than expected
do you think it can break today high.thx

UB Tulga 13:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Does any one have forecast for US data? Many thanks.

GVI john 13:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Norway cuts rates 25 bp to 1.75%

Nottingham 13:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
HKG SK 12:59 GMT

Private firms mostly commodities...good deal of active individuals in forex though

Livingston nh 13:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za - thank you for the 89 ema idea last week - hadn't looked at that before

HKG SK 12:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham

Do you have a very active forex market in Nottingham???

IST Sez 12:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Long eur 2254 for 2554

Nottingham 12:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
norwegian rate annoucement in a moment

Gen dk 12:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

bucharest dan 12:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
yes :)

Gen dk 12:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Toronto Bogdan 12:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hey Bucharest Dan - are you still around?

hk ab nzd .6 12:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
keep those longer term chf long under 1.25.

hk ab nzd .6 12:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
close the long chf and short eur with fair grains. let's take a look of what the cad will do.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I got sell entry when touch usd/chf at 1.2825 and will be managed until 1.2606. I hope well done. stp 1.2950

hk ab nzd .6 12:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep if aud/nzd breaks 1.14, your nzd short will be safe.

GVI john 12:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2250…$/yen 110.55
DJIA -50 pts… 10-yr 3.68%, -4 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
Sadly, I must start with a statement of our deepest felt sympathies for those impacted by the terrorist bombing today in Madrid. There never can be any justification for random acts of violence of this type.

full text on GVI...

Melbourne Qindex 12:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:30 GMT March 11, 2004
GBP/USD : Heading Towards 1.7855

3-Month Projection Quantised Levels


... // 1.7855* - 1.7919 - 1.7982 - 1.8045 - 1.8108* // ...

hk ab nzd .6 12:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
filled the other half at 110.56

hk ab nzd .6 12:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
small long dlr/jpy 110.59

warsaw mach 12:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Spanish PM is sauing it was ETA

Melbourne DC 12:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc 1214gmt
your 1.21-26 view plus dnt1.2080/1.2680 talk would make nice range play for those not too greedy :)

KL KL 12:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Which would give most pips today? GBP or EUR bothways??
Anybody

hk ab nzd .6 12:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I hope that there will be one more eur/chf upleg to allow me to do the positional shorts... don't begin that early.

melbourne farmacia 12:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OMIL - yeah i was in the backyard having a smoke, but orders filled by the london boys.. see how the next few hours pan out. GT

Melbourne Qindex 12:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Mumbai Jay 11:51 GMT - GBP/USD : It is still very unstable. We have to see how it goes in the New York session.

UB Tulga 12:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Does any one has any idea about USA the news? What is it going to be more likely USD up or down? Many thanks

Brazil, JH 12:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Got 1 hour to get coffee, smoke, and hit the pool..
GL guys :-)

hk ab nzd .6 12:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks Qindex, gd weather in aussie?

Dallas GEP 12:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
data 13:30 GMT

Melbourne Qindex 12:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd .6 11:50 GMT - I don't follow NZD/USD.

Dallas GEP 12:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I suggest WAIT FOR DATA

Nassau QF 12:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Times are EST
3/11/2004 8:30 AM US Feb Retail Sales
3/11/2004 8:30 AM US Feb Import Prices
3/11/2004 8:30 AM US Weekly Jobless Claims

Dallas GEP 12:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK AB....

indonesia new trader 12:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
now the market already calm,so what u suggest now
thx

Gold Coast martin 12:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pay attention to JPY..It is approaching a level that may make it spike with some performance enhancing help from the boj....market very volatile ....careful out there....

hk ab nzd .6 12:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
some good players are on the 110.50 line now.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk funny..
that's view for usd/chf.
check your chart for 15 minutes candle today.

bucharest dan 12:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep, what hour is data? 1330 gmt?

Dallas GEP 12:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Quite possible that eur/usd will stall here 1,2260/65. Should consider short BUT I will wait for data.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk funny
I should say thanks for your suggest.
I have copy this view in this forum today, play in fire?
· For daily trade good selling placement order is at 1.2931 or 1.2959 and extreme top is at 1.3045. If you can get that levels you can still hope for 1.2630.

hk ab nzd .6 12:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
move stop on nzd to .6508

Nottingham 12:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
re euro rates...its important not to underestimate ECB in its conviction to raise rates...they will never publically admit officially inflation figures are far too low and internally will jump on any excuse to lift rates...inflation in Europe is rather different to that in the US and even UK...not only does it vary country to country but it also varies region to region within countries and even town to town...for example it is possible to buy non durables such as fruit and veg for x in a big city but find that the same goods cost 2x in a small town only an hour away...

UB Tulga 12:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
How much time we have left the news on US?

UB Tulga 12:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
We have some EUR/USD movement

Gen dk 12:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nzd .6 12:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
too many lessons in the past that poor data on Fri will definitely fry the eur up.

hk funny 12:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
raden, you shouldn't give any advice again in this forum, as you often play fire here, may be for fun, but would get your followers killed for no reason.

shanghai bc 12:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

ECB may be considering rate hike in view of falling Euro and rising oil price to fight inflation,their main enemy..This consideration may put Eur/usd in a range of 1.21-1.26 in coming days making euro strong on crosses too..Fwiw..

Nottingham 12:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...if gbpcad breaks supports usdcad would be buy on that dip 1.3190/1.3200...otherwise will probably drift back to 1.3245/50 as gbp and eur crosses work themselves out...gl gt

hk ab nzd .6 12:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nzd stops cleaning?

Dallas GEP 12:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well AB, you are right, problem is if US data is BAD then we could see that 1,3180. That would be my hesitation

Washington mmm 12:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Gep :)

UB Tulga 12:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What is your view on EUR/USD before NY session? Thank you all

hk ab nzd .6 12:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// for dlr/cad I see some triple bottom in hrly.

Dallas GEP 12:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD great buy would be 1.3180. You could try from here as well but stops would need to me much higher.

hk ab nzd .6 12:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I like Carlsberg.

Dallas GEP 12:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, How about some of that Hong Kong Beer????

Washington mmm 12:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi GEP...........Any views on USD/CAD
thanks

Dallas GEP 12:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Data is out in an hour and a half!!! CAREFUL!!!! Stops IN when orders in PERIOD!! IMO

France Lucky Strike 12:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Under 1.2220, I think the market would do as if nothing happened.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
That is just to keep the boys a wake Farmacia got my order filled with that move. To top that out the power went out just before it happened leaving me blind with nothing to look at. That was a strange and frightful feeling lol.

hk ab nzd .6 12:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// don't forget my beer.

beijing road 12:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Unbelievable movement! any reason behide this?

Dallas GEP 12:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK Will call it the AB trade!!! LOL Shorted NZD/USD @ .6474.

hk ab nzd .6 12:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp rolling down nicely.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
buy gbp/usd now at 1.8222 for 110 pips

hk ab nzd .6 12:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
but I think the chance is less.

hk ab nzd .6 12:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// that would be even better and easier management, I would put a SAR stop .6498.

Helsinki iw 12:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ GBP/CHF correction from 2,3900 may be over. If the
market starts to go for yield again this one should perform
quite well.

Dallas GEP 11:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB unclear about what entry should be I have .6475 BID right now

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd when at 1.2239
best level for buy.

melbourne farmacia 11:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Very nice technical bounce on swissy & cable.

prague jv 11:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good place to start selling usd for possition trades imho . gl

Dallas GEP 11:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB I have ,.6472 now on NZD call the ball

hk ab nzd .6 11:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP// btw, the stop shoudl be a SAR s/l

Gen dk 11:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nzd .6 11:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
70% success depends on luck!

Dallas GEP 11:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK AB I will enter here in sec.

Dallas GEP 11:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Took Profit 1.2335

Dallas GEP 11:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
back in 1.2243 short

Sydney alimin 11:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
congrats hk ab...u made good money today :)

hk ab nzd .6 11:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP// nzd is a short with tight s/l now
.6470.

France Lucky Strike 11:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 11:49 GMT March 11, 2004
I agree, this is a spike and if we resume the initial bias, then this is an exellent price to sell euro

warsaw mach 11:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Welteke must have some long EUR/USD position and is working on his profit. (hahaha)

Ldn Viewer Jack8 11:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
a lot of movement today expected

Dallas GEP 11:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Watch RANDEN's post RE: EXACT levels

Mumbai Jay 11:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q..Thanks for all the great forecasts. Do you now think that GBP has bottomed out?

hk ab nzd .6 11:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, do u remember any significant one day move on nzd? how many pips it moved? TIA

Dallas GEP 11:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Probable that 1.2245/50 breaks and landing spot neat 1.2220

Gold Coast martin 11:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Whether EURO overshoot was due to terrorist rumours or the words of a tootless tiger it seems to have resumed its earlier trading pattern....

Dallas GEP 11:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.2245 to 1.2250 is resistance so I took profit @ 1.2556

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hey..
eur/usd when touch 1.2238 give info "must get"1.2319.

hk ab nzd .6 11:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 11:46 GMT March 11, 2004

north.

London ADK 11:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Welteke idicated tha tthe ECB would not intervene, not even at 1.30

From GVI
London Rhood 11:29 GMT March 11, 2004
If you didnt see it he said - I cannot understand why people think the ECB should intervene at 1.3000 euro dollar , if you take a synthetic euro there was no intervention till 1.7300 in the 80s..........

hk ab nzd .6 11:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nt// if I did not get the wrong signal, I would have shorted eur 1.23 double but now 1.23 and 1.2210 now ;)

Melbourne Qindex 11:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The market rhythm is back to normal!

dc fxq 11:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 11:42 GMT ---- there have been a series of comments from him, initially no need for intervention at 1.30 as the 1980's move came at synthetic EUR at 1.73. More recently he has reverted back to "volatility harmful, EZ economy at risk for slowdown" tack. Basically more babble.

Calabash TarHeel 11:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:39 GMT March 11, 2004
imvho, we may not see anymore 1.32xx in dlrcad after today

Would you mind telling me which direction you think it will be headed towards, north or south?

TIA

hk ab nzd .6 11:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gd! Hoaxes BURST!

KL KL 11:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 11:41 ...How do you identify the break down. What level must be broken 1.2220

Dallas GEP 11:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shorted Eur 1.2668, 20 pip stop

Sydney bl 11:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP thanks

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
the more dlrcad likes to move the opp., the better the m/t players accumulates.

KL KL 11:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yah just to add to the panic/joy ...Jobs figure also out could be bad but import/export good??? YOu tell me if good or bad??

Eilat Dolphin 11:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ADK/ What did Welteke say ?

Ldn Viewer 11:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
TLN Jack8 11:38 - My point exactly .. dont look for reasons today .. dealers dont want positions and are just clearing all they get ... again best P and L today is stay out ...

Older heads have played and won already ...

Dallas GEP 11:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eur/USD now in holding pattren, Do NOT enter new shorts until this level breaks DOWN. IMO of course!!!

Gen dk 11:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

indonesia new trader 11:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
WTH??
you're right newbies like me don't even know what's happening.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
imvho, we may not see anymore 1.32xx in dlrcad after today....

Melbourne DC 11:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex 1138gmt ... ok .. thanks .. David.

TLN Jack8 11:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
9/11 eur went up, why is it going up now?

London ADK 11:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Viewer 11:35 - This move up was fueled by Mr Welteke's comments a while ago. Not a rumour at all. But I say bring on rumours,.. I will decide what I will trade of and what not

Dallas GEP 11:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
It also helps to have four screens!!!

Eur/usd will bounce up here maybe. should go thru

Melbourne Qindex 11:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne DC 11:29 GMT - We are using projection to look for expected supporting and resistant points. The system is working in a black box and there is no need to understand the system.

Ldn Viewer 11:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
London ADK 11:31 - Your call mate .. this is being driven by interbank amounts ... and you have to have big balls .. note dont have to trade everyday ... GL all and to those who make out of this

Dallas GEP 11:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I agree, this will eat NEWBIES up. Have to be VERY quick and enter with stops amd limits BEFOREHAND

prague jv 11:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd 1.8250 will be printed soon !!!!!! gl

Gold Coast martin 11:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN...is correct..no one can predict terrorism...newbies stay out of market tonite as it may become more volatile at start of ny session due to the us market reaction....for experienced traders it is an opportunity to buy and sell on dips.....g/l g/t

KL KL 11:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Time to short GBP & EUR now??

Gen dk 11:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 11:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Guys how do you know when all stops have been cleared out?

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
it;s now a v. delicious level to long chf once the rumour is cleaned out.....fwiw.

Melbourne Qindex 11:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:54 GMT March 11, 2004
EUR/USD : Heading towards 1.2143

44-Day Cycle Quantised Levels


... // 1.1991* - 1.2029 - 1.2067 - 1.2105 - 1.2143 - 1.2181 - 1.2219 - 1.2257 - 1.2295* // ...

Nassau QF 11:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Worse than expected trade deficit yesterday was good for dollar and now bombing in Spain is good for Euro?

I'm on the sidelines for now.
I've entered no trades today and broke even yesterday.

IST Sez 11:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
buy agst usd frd
pls

London ADK 11:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK London, but what if there is more rumours tomorrow?

Dallas GEP 11:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Limited out on Pound long @ 1.8100 +70 pips, +43 pips on USD/CHF short

Nottingham 11:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eurusd panic threshold at 1.2330/50...above there and wholescale short covering ensues...gl gt

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
stops all cleaned out

short eur add 1.23.

Melbourne DC 11:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex 1122gmt
I don't understand the concept of your analysis but i do remember last time when you keep calling for eur short against a very bid market, eurusd had a major plunge. David.

Ldn Viewer 11:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Newbie's from experience stay out of today's market .. its rumour driven and event risk ... IMVHO

Dallas GEP 11:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Took Profit on USD/CHF Shortagain
Pound long still in play

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LOL.
second sort term trade can not be given entry level again.
usd/chf.

Bratislava MB 11:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 11:20 GMT March 11, 2004

Spain has been heavily envolved in fight against terorism and in Iraq side by side with UK and USA. Al-Qeada has warned that it will target all US allies and besides UK, Spain has been supporting US when all other EU countries were against war in Iraq. Also Spain has big muslim population and is much easier for terrorists to come in as it is not an island as UK.

Melbourne Qindex 11:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne DC 11:25 GMT - Good evening! Just came back from my late dinner.

dc fxq 11:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 11:20 GMT March 11, 2004
"Why choose Spain if Al-Qeada....Too many rumours I think time to short EUR Now. Sorry Not a good time to long EUR...3 more hours and I think you will be right. US are used to all these attack these days."


???????

IST Sez 11:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
havent you buy yet frds
buy even now
cheers

Nottingham 11:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
keep an eye on gbpcad for indication of further cable gain...a higher high there will point to unwinding of oversold position back to more normal levels...my minimum high for today was 2.3930 but a more average level is a good deal higher, well north of 2.40...gl gt

Gen dk 11:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 11:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.8030 long on pound

Melbourne DC 11:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex good evening ..
spike up missed my sell b'cos i moved it from 0.6808 to 0.6815 when 0.6800 broke ... good trade and all the best.

LAX-LGB SNP 11:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MADRID (AFX) - The leader of the banned Basque separatist party Batasuna has denied a Spanish government claim that the armed Basque group ETA carried out today's train bombings in Madrid and has blamed "the Arab resistance" instead.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
plan sell usd be changed not at 1.2825 but at 1.2819.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
when will the decision of switzzy anouce?

Montréal taro 11:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab
You took Us/Cad short, right ?

Melbourne Qindex 11:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:19 GMT - EUR/USD : maintain a short position!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Chicago YM 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004
please plan usd/chf for sell again at 1.2825.
I got the info price will touch "exactly" at 1.2778 :-)

Melbourne Qindex 11:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:19 GMT - My 22-day cycle suggests short EUR/GBP only!

KL KL 11:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Why choose Spain if Al-Qeada....Too many rumours I think time to short EUR Now. Sorry Not a good time to long EUR...3 more hours and I think you will be right. US are used to all these attack these days.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, if that is the case, long eur?

Bratislava MB 11:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GENEVA FHR 11:14 GMT March 11, 2004

FHR please what's the source on that one?

Melbourne Qindex 11:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : If the market is trading above 0.6782 in GMT 20.00, something must be wrong.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Chicago YM 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004
I play usd/chf sell just now for short term trade only.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
filled dlr/cad 1.3255 3 lots.

Ldn 11:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Bolts North On ETA Denial Reports

Dallas GEP 11:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Short again 1.2795 RISKY

Brazil, JH 11:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Bloomberg reports at less 131 dead in Spain...
Sorry Friends..

GENEVA FHR 11:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ETA has denied responsability for the Madrid.There rumors
circulating tha Al-Qaeda were behind the madrid bombing FWIW

Singapore Sfx 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nice call Raden ..

Dallas GEP 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hit 1.2800 out @ +30 pips on usd/chf may short some more

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
come on, dlr/cad it miss by only a few....

Porto PJT 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Speculations that the attack was too successfull and ETA now reluctant to claim involvement.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
better exit your selling usd/chf now at 1.2795 for safety exit.

Nottingham 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
martin, could well be knee jerk to ETA denial...may develop into something more if eurgbp cracks...its o/b on coventional indicators but it can and has gone more historically...we may get some panic buying above 6820...gl gt

KL KL 11:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP should I long EUR now

mumbai oakh 11:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eur up on rmrs that alqaeda behind the blast

Dallas GEP 11:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
trailing stop now @ 1.2800 on usd/chf short

Gold Coast martin 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ub tulga....STILL HOLDING AUSSIE SHORTS....the spurt in euro could a combination of small variables ..not a change in major fundamentals and it will be short lived..it may precipatate in the next 35 minutes...the most important thing is to be patient and stick to your strategy.....

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
long chf carefully at 1.2795.

Chicago YM 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
raden are you long usd/chf?

London ADK 11:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
There is quit a lot of talk of possible rate hike in Switzerland at the moment.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
got usd/chf 1.2795

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
the move could be leveraged higher this run.

Nottingham 11:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp...approaching upper end of res band 6790-6815...a move through 6820 is going to put my primary o/b into focus (6849)...secondary at 6869...gl gt

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gd, aud/nzd looks anchored above 1.1360 now.

Dallas GEP 11:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SWISS is showing gains againsy all pairs now.

Porto PJT 11:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
no ETA involvement bloomberg said.

KL KL 11:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd .6 11:05

So do you stop loss now?? or wait for NY time

Eilat Dolphin 11:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SKY NEWS/ ETA chief says "it isn't us but Arab resistance".

prague jv 11:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Nottingham for your view on usd/cad
usd is comming down from overbought Hr. charts and levels important for continuing usd upside has not been much met . closed all my long $ pos . Be careful here guys gl

indonesia new trader 11:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gep
do you think we can long again at lower price?

UB Tulga 11:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Are you still holding your short AUD/USD position? What pushes UER/USD up?

Dallas GEP 11:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.28 or lower probable target for SWISSY short from 1.2830 RISKY........Very Risky

hk ab nzd .6 11:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
too bad..... can't imagine I entered wrongly.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ok. got usd/chf at 1.2822

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
wrong signals nt,

but anyway, I think I can add later.

hong kong nt 11:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- long small aussie at .735, expect a-b-c correction...

Porto PJT 11:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Viies, are you around?Eur/Nok, your idea on rates decision will be much appreciatted, 25 bps cut already discounted?

hk ab eur/gbp .68 11:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
place new limits to long cad 1.3255.

hong kong nt 11:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- how come you sell eur at 1.221??

Dallas GEP 11:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Swiisy stopped out. 1.2840 DID not hold. good call RADEN.

Gold Coast martin 11:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
HK ab..the 'golden goose" has been plucked already.....stay with the further plucking of this goose this goose i.e aussie ..because there is more money to be made by seeing it getting plucked instead of abandoning it and going to search for another goose i.e NZD....G/L G/T

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
new sell eur 1.2210.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep// fwiw, nzd I will see a little spike to .6475.

for dlrcad it's ready, v. ready

Porto PJT 10:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 10:53 , no worries, very common mistake, is in the same part of the world and very close.I dont know where is Eliat too.gt.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP// may be you help me to push this goose to the sky first... seems aud and nzd have taken the most races and now should be the goose flight.

Msc rocket 10:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Usd/chf last weeks serves as leading indicator in comparison with eur/usd movements.
Now $chf lack upside momentum in comparison with downside eur move . So
1.better sell eur then buy $chf
2. it could be warning of reversal. IMHO

Spain A 10:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
One of the Spanish TV station stating that possibly "Arab Resistance"is actually responsible for the carnage in Madrid thed forning due to Spanish presence in Iraq

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am curious to ask does anyone know the largest single day move on nzd in the past 10 yrs?

Dallas GEP 10:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK AB, I will can go that way as well. What do you suggest????

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
It's a tragic day for the grannies in jap and hk.

Eilat Dolphin 10:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
PJT/ Thanks. I do master geography better that currencies. ;^)

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP// nzd may be a better choice than aud. GL.

Riga Nick 10:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Thanks for your reply. It seems to me you are trading trynig to cach an inpuls. So me too. I couldn't say I'v succeed in this, but keeping trying. :)

Dallas GEP 10:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Will look to enter a AUSSIE short somewhere near .7370 if seen . May not make it however.

Eilat Dolphin 10:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The number of casualties just doubled to 131. Justice Ministry per Sky News.

Porto PJT 10:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 10:35, no dead penalty in Spain, i am Portuguese , not Spanish, but Madrid from here is only 400 milles, maybe they are considering it after today.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.3557 is the 250 dma.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nt// I think this is an after the dust move..

some impt level to watch...

200 dma 1.3392 at the moment
20 dma 1.3286

last barrier 1.3557.

Think seller are selling on the 20 dma and longers are waiting the break and close above 200 dma will be a longer term upmoves.

in short, bulls must overcome the thick sellers mas level to challege the 200 dma for a rocket. The rocket can simply be triggered by a nice retracement on main crosses.

indonesia new trader 10:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP ok broo...
i long to @ 1.2860,will put stop at 1.2843 too
thx man.

Nottingham 10:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
prague jv 10:39 GMT

usdcad relatively simple beast with narrow ranges recently though this of course points to a increase in volatility nearterm...10 day sma keeps underlying trend honest so what that (c. 1.33) for potential change of trend...if taken we may see 1.3380 rather quickly but if not common sense suggests a falling 10 day sma means a falling price since price has not overcome it...that said any dip should be bought whilst usd is in corrective mode against eur/gbp/aud...gl gt

Dallas GEP 10:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Better stop is 1.2837 IMO new trader, but ORIGINALLY I did not think we would see usd/chf lower than 1.2857.

Porto PJT 10:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 10:40 , thx mate, all well here, but sad, lots of friends in spain.GT.

Dallas GEP 10:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
New trader my curent stop on usd/chf is 1.2843

Dallas GEP 10:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nick, exit points depend on FIB points, bollinger bands, 30 minute charts confirmed by 5 minute charts, bounce points on pair in position along with bounce points on pairs most directly influenced by ccy in position plus instinct.

melbourne farmacia 10:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT 10:27 GMT March 11, 2004
Morning mate, sorry to hear about this terrorist attack in your part of the world. Hope your well . GT

GVA SR 10:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Exit is initiated when 7 d ema crosses 23 d ema on hourly chart resistance is 20 days bollinger 20 days ma 1.2486

prague jv 10:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I have been watching the usd/cad very closely lately , and the range now 1.3300 / 1.3220 in my openien upside bias still has to work it self out . In my op. it will not be easy in the very short time overcome . 1.3260 is still the cricical level and now providing some support in not very stable price movement .

hong kong nt 10:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- can you share your expectation on usd/cad ?

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I think the approval of NZ for intervention will bring a super move on nzd and same for vice versa case. Keep ears open on this.

indonesia new trader 10:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
yeah my friend its ok just -20 points yesterday i made 45 point with you so still winning.
Yeah i think so if fx is very complex.i want buy long in usd/chf now,what would be the stop frd.

Nottingham 10:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Barca, understand

Eilat Dolphin 10:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Pjt/ Spain does not have death punishment, right ?

Riga Nick 10:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello
GEP, you have very interesting style of trading.
Pls can you tell me, how do you mantain your exit points?
Thanks

GVA SR 10:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Anything below 1.2486 is a good eurodol sell.

Barcelona JR 10:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 10:23 The ceasefire was announced a few days ago but only for the Catalonia region

Dallas GEP 10:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden, I think you need to see if 1.2840 is cleared FIRST before shorting IMO

Nottingham 10:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
One reason why euro not feeling as much pressure as would be expected is that S&P500 is at key levels...a close below 1121 today would probably see some reaction selling and from next week onwards create a scenario of selling on upticks until a bottom is formed, which would be expected to be no lower than 1060/1070...in this case there would be some natural profit taking and outflows...this theory would tie in well with Japanese repatriation which may explain why yen performing better than euro

Sheffield glenn 10:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ETA re-stated their plans to resume bombings within the last 2 weeks and recently an ETA van was intercepted on its way into Madrid with 500kg explosives inside. With the Spanish Elections on Sunday this is typical timing for maximum impact from ETA - the only difference about this atrocity is the scale of it.

Dallas GEP 10:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
newtrader, this last spurt probably stopped you out???? Still in on USD/CHF, seeing if 1.2845 will hold but DEBATABLE

IST Sez 10:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
buy buy !!!
easy money(%95)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
let's sell usd/chf now when at 1.2855 to get 1.2822 (minimum)
ideal target is at 1.2795

Porto PJT 10:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MONACO OGA 10:20 , yes, maybe you right, ETA usually is softer, other modus operandi, spanish officials refer ETA before but now not so sure.

Eilat Dolphin 10:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OGA/ I think I remember a few bombs that didn't go off on trains and public places, + tourists killed during season and a rise in attacks right after the summer season.
But nothing massive like the Italian right wings used to do: Bologna.

However this should be E negative, which surprizingly, is not yet in the cards.

Antwerp Tom 10:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Any guy from ETA on this board, so he can fill us in...

Barcelona JR 10:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I'm from Spain. Be sure that has been ETA. In 1987 they made a similar attack killing 32 persons in that moment.

Brisbane mav 10:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
what is up with the aussie??

Dallas GEP 10:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
New trader, the vast majoity of analysts are WRONG. One respected view is expressed then all his peers tend to support it IMO. This is the world is SQUARE theory personified.

The relationships of the currencies to each other is VERY complex and that is what most analysts do not grasp.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sp// if it fails 3 times on the attack of this 1.1360 line, I may retreat all the positional longs and see.

Nottingham 10:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Didn't ETA announce a ceasefire not long ago?

sgp sp 10:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, pls keep me posted. Thanks for your care. :)

gl & gt

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nt// but the greatest greatest move that forthcoming is dlrcad!!!!

Dallas GEP 10:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OGA, yeah we may be trying to throw stones at a bullitt train!!! LOL

long usd/chf @ 1.2865 again

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nt// I think short eur 1.22 is super....

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sp// aud/nzd is now at important moment.

MONACO OGA 10:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin, ETA terrorist activity has always aimed politic/military/police figures. Correct me if I am wrong, but I don't recall any mass murder in public places. So far, this negates the spanish separatist hypothesis.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
friends...
sorry.. still can not sending post by e-mail.
my yahoo is error now.

hong kong nt 10:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- GBP at 1.785-1.795 looks pretty attractive...

IST Sez 10:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
buy any thing agst usd as much as possible
cheers..!!

indonesia new trader 10:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
ok then i put my stop at 1.2213(ask).thx man.
GEP i wonder how can u be short the eur when the eur still at 1.27 area while a lot of analis say it would go to 1.34 area.
thx for the coment

UB Tulga 10:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Thanks. Also thank you very much for your advice

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
be carefull gold when touch 396.50-45.
maybe pullback to get 407.80

Dallas GEP 10:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The ETA is a Spainish based BASQUE separaist group so because of their affiliation that WOULD be dollar negative in my view.

Gold Coast martin 10:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UB TULGA...great trading...hope you do more...

UB Tulga 10:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Out of AUD/USD +26 pips. Further watch when NY opens.

MONACO OGA 10:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, I disagree with your view in the sense that any middle east linked terrorist attack on european soil would transfer some geopolitical risk on europe and therefore pressure the EUR. As I stated before, this modus operandi does not look like ETA at all. So all other explanations are possible, one of them beeing the middle east++

Porto PJT 10:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Any views on eur/nok? 25 bps rate cut already discounted?

Dallas GEP 10:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
New trader, key point on Euro is 1.2210 (BID), if we can stay under that then your euro shorts SHOULD continue to short.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ha, so interesting, bloomberg talking up eur while it's tanking....

Antwerp Tom 10:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ANDRAS this attack only helps the party wanting to destroy ETA

Eilat Dolphin 10:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OGA/ All indications lead to ETA right now. Not that they'll revendicate those bombs.

Porto PJT 10:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FWIW, the terrorist atack on spain are from eta, not bin laden or usa connection at all.

Dallas GEP 10:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well that's what we get for trying to figure out WHO did what to WHOM. Closed out swiisy for +8 pips. Will probably reload.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
come on, I am waiting to see aud/nzd breaks the multiple ma's.

Indeed, I think eur/gbp to break my handle / not break my handle will be important.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex// I think with some luck we can see eur under 1.2 v. soon.

Dallas GEP 10:05 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OGA, actually, an TERRORIST attack on Spain is USD negative and strangely EUR positive in this magnetic currency world.

Pecs Andras 10:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am just hearing in the news that the most likely suspect is the ETA. Don't forget that this Sunday general elections are due, and ETA does not like the present government because they are very hard on them.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 10:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd is v. volatile now.


actually it's good now to switch aud boats and nzd boats to cad boats.........

RTM RB 10:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
It is very technical market at the moment.
Data/news have to be the extreme to affect the price.

indonesia new trader 10:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
thx man,i really apreciate the reply that make me calm now.
BTW my friend told me that today jobless claim should benefit the usd.is that true man?

Helsinki iw 10:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, the Basque separatist organisation ETA may be
involved. Nothing to do with US/Spanish relations most likely.
Personally believe the bombing is just used as an explanation
to todays moves, when no other apparent reason is obvious.
I´ll go with unwinding of carry trades hypothesis myself.

Dallas GEP 10:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Made stop on usd/chf long @ 1.2847 probably unnecessary but will see

MONACO OGA 10:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, agreed, this is not the way ETA usually operates. This attacks has to be middle east related. Very EUR bearish IMO.

Gold Coast martin 10:01 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I will NOTclose my 7350 aussie shorts as i think there is more downside to the aussie in the upcoming ny session.....g/l gt

Dallas GEP 09:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
New trader, it should come back your way, It may go back to 1,2220 area first but it looks to be topping out around 1.2210 area

Pecs Andras 09:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Fine, but we all know that these blasts have nothing to do with Iraq or the USA. Unforunately Spain has had this kind of a problem for many years now.

Dallas GEP 09:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Andras, Spain is considered an ally of US (IRAQ) and thus an attack on Spain is considered an attack on US as far as terrorist are concerened.

Dallas GEP 09:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Andras, Spain is considered an ally of US (IRAQ) and thus an attack on Spain is considered an attack on US as far as terrorist are concerened.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 09:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
with bc supporting .7 on aud, I will long anything with .70xx.......

indonesia new trader 09:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
i shorted the eur @1.2190 Do you think i should cut it or leave it bacoz what i read from the spain attact will make bearish in usd
thx

hk ab eur/gbp .68 09:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad looks like a ticker... and experience tells that it will shoot like a non-stop rocket after aud settles... GL.

Dallas GEP 09:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1,2865 ASK (sorry)

Pecs Andras 09:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
While I also want to expres my symtaphy to all those families who lost their loved ones in this terribel blast, I wonder why it is EUR positive/Dollar negative?

Gold Coast martin 09:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
HK ab ...your point is very valid...

Dallas GEP 09:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Took usd/chf long @ 1.2860, stop @ 1.2853, target 1.2920 RISKY possie but stop is tight si we will see

mex sjs 09:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thanx again, gep, i am long usdchf from 1.2900 and i will hold it until i see it around 1.3120-50 area...now that you mentione this possible bounce from current lvl, then i will go back to sleep a while, thanx again

hk ab eur/gbp .68 09:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
martin, I think eur/aud will give aud a final hard push and look for the top of eur/aud before any longs attempted, jimvho.

now the way is still long..... I guess at least 1.7 to be seen and idealy 1.8 could be in the cards.

Brazil, JH 09:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I can't believe it Dallas GEP still working, how???
I know how GEP is not one man but he is three men all
using the same name.. LOL

GL GT

IST Sez 09:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas ,
Frd, whats your view on eur/gbp?
I m looking long at 6790 to get 0,69 as the eur rally agst usd stronger than gbp rally
thnx for reply.

Dallas GEP 09:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SJS, Swissy will not go back long until the Spainish situation is sorted out BUT it looks like a bounce form 1.2860 is likely.

Nottingham 09:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
echo shanghai bc coomments re aussie...myself see 7060-6960 as ultimate bottom range with weekly closes much below 7000 not likely based on my studies...gl gt

U.K J.B. 09:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Good r/r trade here in eur/gbp
Short @ 67.95 stop 68.30 bid tar. 6665 GL

Ldn 09:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Anyone with a heart condition shouldnt trade these fx markets thats for sure

mex sjs 09:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep, thanx....what i mean is that so far range of the day is only 58 pips for usdchf, eur= 72 and gbp=109, and now hitting lows, when i beleive it should be heading north...

Dallas GEP 09:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Our friend in Mexico's NAME

Sydney bl 09:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP what's SJS

Dallas GEP 09:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am ashamed to admit guys that sometimes my very FIRST thoughts on tragedies is to see how it is affecting our possies. Very shameful!!! Thoughts and prayers to those folks in Spain.

BArcelona JR 09:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The terrorist atack has been made as usual by ETA, but at this time it has been stronger than the others ( about 60 killed ). So it shouldn't have any influence on EUR.

IST Sez 09:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hi everybody,
We can long every currency(especially GBP/AUD/EUR) if we dont play margin trading, for at least 1,500 pips in the next 2 months IMHO
nice trading to all

Antwerp Tom 09:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP Thanks

Dallas GEP 09:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SJS it shorted 50 pips!!!

mex sjs 09:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
can anyone say why usdchf has not moved yet? TIA

Ldn 09:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc many thanks . appreciated.

Dallas GEP 09:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
WEll that terrorist attack in Spain really rocked things back a little the USD bears way. I was waiting to see if we had more after effects. I would guess we would (dollar negative)

shanghai bc 09:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

LDN -- Expecting Aud/usd .7000 region to be the floor of this Dollar bounce..

Antwerp Tom 09:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP Any thoughts about eur/usd?

Dallas GEP 09:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
A couple of hours ago my platform was off-line so I had to have them manually close my usd/jpy shorts I did have @ 110.50 which was only +13 pips The earlier usd/jpy long was stopped out at -10 pips so a net +3. Not what I was hoping for when I bracketed 110.70. Thought if 110.63 level was seen then that would indicate the MOF bailed out again and we would see 110.00. As I said earlier usd/jpy is pretty useless as a daytrade IMO!!! LOL

Why don't they just peg the currency and we can just work the other pairs!!! LOL

Gold Coast martin 08:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
personally i shorted to 7350 6 or 7 hours ago....to play it safe imho i would short at 7390.....74 seems to me to be a bit too distant in the short term scheme of things

KL KL 08:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 08:50, is it a good area to short AUD now at .738x...or should I wait for .74xx

Ldn 08:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sorry thank you.

Ldn 08:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc I would like to ask, are you still bullish Aud medium term with gold looking for higher levels , if so what is your absolute bottom in this USD recovery for the Aud

UB Tulga 08:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin

Thank you for your advice very much

Gold Coast martin 08:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UB TULGA...aud should open at 7350 and head progressivelly south to 7220 by the end of fridays new york session...

Gold Coast martin 08:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
PRAGUE victor...its a pleasure....if you dont taste defeat you will never taste victory....g/l g/t

Ldn pm 08:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Spanish media reports more than 50 dead in Madrid railway station blasts - our thoughts go out to their families, very sobering.

shanghai bc 08:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

All in the unwinding of high yielders while the true indicators of Dollar strength/weakness,Gold and Usd/Chf, are just marking steps..fwiw..

UB Tulga 08:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
What is your targeted price for AUD/USD starting of NY session? Thank you very much again

prauge viktor 08:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin:I would like to thank u about ur advice with aud/usd the last friday it was very hard day but as Gep say no pain no gain.

Gold Coast martin 08:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UB TULGA ..my bottom for aud for end of european session is 7360..the way south really starts at the start of the ny session...should be reriffic viewing,,,,,g/l g/t

LAX-LGB SNP 08:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 06:17 GMT March 11, 2004
moves do appear over-extended but cannot underestimate the herd ... i'm thinking that this 4 cent/4 day drop = 1.5 cent pullback before mkt starts moving again

MONACO OGA 08:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 11/03
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2170), 110 pips lower than yesterday's opening. Worse than expected US trade balance data could not crack 1,2330 resistance (high 1,2340) and unexpectedly sent the market to 1,22 support zone (NY closing 1,2230, overnight low 1,2182). This morning, the terrorist attack in Spain is putting pressure on the european unit. All of friday's gains have now been erased and technically the market seems willing to retest 1,2050. A test of pivotal 1,19 level is in the cards since the downside is the weak side of the market since mid February. For today we would like to sell 1,2250 for a test of 1,2110. Overall we are neutral on the medium term.

Data out today:

US Import price index Feb expected 0.5% 13.30 GMT
US advance retail sales Feb expected 0,6% 13.30 GMT
US initial jobless claims March 06 expected 343K 15.00 GMT

Gold around 398,50 , with WTI April at 36,13.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 110,70) retracing lower below 111 where BOJ were supposed to have bids, talks in the market they are now bidding 110,70 today. Support for the day at 110,40 while resistance above 111,00. Beware of any retest of the downsides since it is clearly the soft side.
EUR/JPY (currently 134,85) looking very heavy and currently testing important support zone.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,7970) lost another 200 pips since yesterday morning, the market still digesting the widening trade deficit. Important support zone at 1,7850 now, and could be tested rapidly, typical price action in a one way market.
EURGBP (0,6790) approaching strong multi day resistance at 0,6820, day support at 0,6750 then 0,6700. We are still favouring the downsides.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Gold Coast martin 08:34 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN...havent closed yet ...i need the final part of my medium analysis to eventuate which by friday 4 pm local time will...2 furhter uridashi deals will bite the dust......if you closed you made money and you will not go broke out of making a profit....

Ldn 08:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin just got in again just looking for a move above 74 for a quickie its overbought now and should see that, thanks though for your advise have taken it in. cheers

Nottingham 08:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
fwiw nzdusd has just about completed daily shs play (6527-6433 marks expected range of completion), testing 6844 neck just two days ago

Melbourne DC 08:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex 0825gmt :
Thank you for your further analysis . I will try to digest it with ref to the unfolding price action.
I am a pip-picker that sometimes let a position stays if it is fortunate enuf to have its timing n location right. David.

UB Tulga 08:32 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin

What is your bottom price for AUD/USD by end of European session? Many thanks

GER ad 08:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Melbourne Qindex 02:00 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/USD :... It has a good potential to trade in the lower trading ranges of 0.7348 - 0.7367 - 0.7382 later today.

Congratulations sir!

Gold Coast martin 08:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN....buying now would be tooearly..it is trying to totally defy the downward trend which should remain until monday next week....once usd gets into the the 7220-7250 range then it will comeback with a temporary vicious kick...at 7220-to 7250 i will become a short to medium term buyer....cheers

Vancouver CAD 08:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
test.

Ldn 08:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin I agree the Aussie is very predictable if you can get into its wave - are you buying now. I have closed out . looking to buy for a run back

Ldn 08:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin I agree the Aussie is very predictable if you can get into its wave - are you buying now. I have closed out . looking to buy for a run back

Ldn 08:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin I agree the Aussie is very predictable if you can get into its wave - are you buying now. I have closed out . looking to buy for a run back

Melbourne Qindex 08:25 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne DC 08:20 GMT - The following is still vaild if you are a position trader.

Melbourne Qindex 01:14 GMT March 10, 2004
EUR/GBP : 44-day Cycle Quantised Levels


Set A : ... // 0.6642* - 0.6669 - 0.6695 - 0.6722 - 0.6748* - 0.6775 - 0.6801 - 0.6828 - 0.6854* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 01:05 GMT March 10, 2004
EUR/GBP : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels


Set A : ... // 0.6687* - 0.6703 - 0.6718 - 0.6733 - 0.6748* - 0.6764 - 0.6779 - 0.6794 - 0.6809* // ...

Gold Coast martin 08:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN....IMHO it is very important for newbies to listen closely to this analysis and benefit from it while a predictable trend has been identified and played out on the aud...it is as safe as a trade can get....

Nottingham 08:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
eurnzd now o/b

Melbourne Qindex 08:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 08:13 GMT - AUD/USD : Use my 22-day cycle analysis for reference in case the market is strong enough to penetrate through 0.73115.

Melbourne DC 08:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Qindex 0817 ..
Thank you for your reply . Good trade to you . David.

Melbourne Qindex 08:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne DC 08:10 GMT - EUR/GBP : Bid price is used in our analysis. We used the one provide by global-view.com at http://global-view.com/fxhist.TXT

The pullback is imminent as suggested by my 22-day cycle analysis.

Ldn 08:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Albert must be readingyour mind on that thanks again

Nottingham 08:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gbpcad...my minimum expected high was barely breached when market promptly sold off to record new daily low...prices are oversold via most conventional indicators (although my o/s come in at 2.3743 and 2.3641) so some unwinding would be expected sooner rather than later...the signal would be a return to and breach of days highs as it would be a reject of fresh lows and an early target for such a move would be 2.4000-2.4050...so as things stand I favour buying my oversolds if seen or waiting for new highs could could be traded to targets on an intraday basis...gl gt

Ldn 08:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex, where wuold you say bottom may be before NY AUD thanks a million

Martin great trading

Melbourne Qindex 08:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:00 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/USD : The market is trading outside the projected congested area of 0.7441 - 0.7542. It has a good potential to trade in the lower trading ranges of 0.7348 - 0.7367 - 0.7382 later today.


Melbourne DC 08:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex 0756 .. good evening
Thank you for sharing your analysis (esp eurgbp) .. is your prices bid? if price manage to breached upper lvl, eg 0.6800/05, would it be a bullish break-up or still tendency to return to range (bottom) in your analysis. Thank you and good trade. David.

Melbourne Qindex 08:10 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY : 81.11 is not going to be strong enough to hold the downward trending momentum. The market will head for 78.58.

Montréal taro 08:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin,
What is coming for the Aussie in the next 8 hours

indoneia solo raden mas 08:07 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas view
11 March 2004

GBP/USD (when at 1.8024)
• Level 1.7965 is the key resistant too.after break 1.8164. very possible price move from 1.7965 to get 1.8275 as the first swing or second swing area at range 1.8367-1.8414. This area is good for sell to get lower then 1.7965. Confirmation to get 1.7813 if price show you 1.7945. Now price is on the way of looking strong support to continue long term up movement. If price show you 1.7945 before get 1.8367 that’s mean at 1.7813 price will get bigger buying attack there, but if price show you 1.8367 before get 1.7813 that’s mean when at 1.7813 buying attack is smaller.
• If price show you 1.7805 that’s mean price will be easy to get strong resistant at 1.7768-47. Be carefull with this area because this area is very strong resistant. Seehn so many buying order placement here for long term trade. So price can move strong up to get railway in up trend from this area. But if price show you 1.7725 chart will get the key answer to get bearish situation and if like this we can hope to get 1.7413 or 1.7347. Hope not thinking buy again if price show you like this, but be carefull when price at 1.7413 or 1.7347 because buying order placement there too.
• Until now still not yet valid if we thinking price will get bearish situation and so we can still valid to hope 1.9295. Placement order sell for long term is very danger now because get bad on risk rewards ratio. Until now placement buying order for long term trade is better than selling.
• For daily trade good level for buy is when nearest 1.7970 and good level for selling is at 1.8123 – 1.8164 – 1.8204 – 1.8234 – 1.8284

Eur/usd(when at 1.2218)
• Level 1.2054 is the key level. If price show you 1.2025 that’s mean price get the ticket to touch 1.1824. Be carefull when price is at 1.1824 because seen buying order be placed there but not for up trend (only swing). And if price show you 1.1800 seen bearish strong energy will come until price touch 1.1763-23.Be carefull when price is on this area because this area is very ideal as selling climax. But if show you 1.1700 that’s mean strong bearish for long term will be domintant (danger for buy order).
• For daily trade price still have chance to get 1.2494 or 1.2668. Good level for seeling order placement in that levels. But although price move until 1.2668 that’s eman up trend still not yet get clear signal. Until now long term target at 1.2889 is still valid to hope with assumtion price move from low 1.2054.

USD/CHF(when at 1.2882)
• Traget level 1.2591 is still valid to be hoped with assumtion move from high 1.3073. be carefull if show 1.3088 that’s mean as indication that price will test high at 1.3329 as the extreme top.Good buying order placement is at 1.2457 or 1.2257, but not for up trend (only for get swing).
• Objective level is at 1.2461 still valid to be hoped. Be carefull if 1.2461 show you because very potential to drift of price until 1.2636 as the oscilation movement.
• Objective level that can be hoped for today is 1.2630 or 1.2591. be carefull with that level because can bring price move up emotion. The selling pressure will be so big if show you 1.2440 to get 1.2040.
• For daily trade good selling placement order is at 1.2931 or 1.2959 and extreme top is at 1.3045. If you can get that levels you can still hope for 1.2630.

USD/JPY(when at 110.77)
• Price have get confirmation to get 109.58 with assumtion move from start point at 111.60. Be carefull with 109.58 because very potential as the bottom but not for up trend( (only swing movement). But please thinking for sell when price show you 110.20 for second confirmation. Seen price move up only for swing..
• If 109.58 be get, there is high possibility to get next level at 108.73-51. This movement able to carry to get spiral movement until 105.39 as bottom price.
• Price is on the selling emotion as the reaction from 112.30. if price show you that’s mean price will get the nearest target 113.44.. If price show you 112.45 that’s mean price will up to get nearest target at 113.44. This level give you chance for move down so far, but if show you 113.60 that’s mean price still will up to get 114.99. This level is very potential as the top.Confirmation to get 117.94 if show you 115.20.

Tallinn viies 08:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!

keeping shorting the eurgbp. no stop order right needed as market is heavily overbought. target 0,66sh

Melbourne Qindex 07:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:30 GMT March 11, 2004
GBP/USD : Heading Towards 1.7855

3-Month Projection Quantised Levels


... // 1.7855* - 1.7919 - 1.7982 - 1.8045 - 1.8108* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 07:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 0.6745 - 0.6799.

Gold Coast martin 07:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The research and analysis in this forum in relation to the AUD{I AM TARGETING THE AUD} is world class...all should be congratulated.....

Ldn 07:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: bearish. Is expected to retest the $1.2208 to $1.2172 support zone Thursday. A break of this would eye the $1.2130 support area next. AUD/USD: bearish, is expected to decline further and retest the 0.7414
blm.

Melbourne DC 07:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sorry . Shanghai bc advised eurgbp dma20 ...

Melbourne DC 07:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0736/7 ...
If you can work your magic with oz 0.66 i will 15% extra for my easter holidays spending :))
Shanghai bc advised eurgbp dma (fxtrek has 0.6710/15 today) to watch for eur direction. Given he also mention eur bulls not around yet, and 06810 has been good dip support on the way down (so resistance now), I thought might be good to short around 0.68 given s/t indicators also, and maybe have prices re-test/confirm dma20 while eur takes its time to turn, then the eur family start moving (up) together.
I note you mention eurgbp short . any ideal target? TIA .

Melbourne Qindex 07:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:26 GMT March 11, 2004
USD/JPY : 44-day cycle reference (current)


Projected supporting points are 110.08 - 110.47 - 110.69.

UB Tulga 07:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Longed AUD/USD at 0.7429

Melbourne Qindex 07:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The market is testing the lower barrier of my weekly cycle located at 0.7405 // 0.7452 and the mid-point reference is 0.7429. The market is going to be very volatile and the weekly cycle projection limit is 0.73115.

Melbourne Qindex 07:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Once the market is trading below 1.2181, it will head for 1.2142 - 1.2143. See details in my page.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
looks like .65 nzd is an option protection.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DC// If you like, I would put down .6 for kiwi later in my handle.....

Ldn 07:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FX concepts sees the Aud at 7150 as there target .

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DC// for eur/gbp, I think a sustained break of 20 dma is a promising piece to go long with this pair, try long near there and put a stop underneath. but I am now just holding one short eur/gbp and one long eurchf.

indonesia new trader 07:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Jakarta Jack
u long eur now man
what the target?

Ldn Mvs 07:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Talk of BoJ sniffing around the 110.70 area...what this means is that they are quite simply calling some of their key banks and asking about what they think the market sentiment is etc...it's a way for letting them know that they are watching carefully - doesn't necessarily mean they will intervene there and then, but makes banks edgy about testing their resolve...

Melbourne DC 07:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0715
your eurgp 0.68 is less impressive than your eurgbp 0.66 since we are only 20 pips away :)) just kidding.
On the other hand would you see that region a good short ? if so , any ideal target? TIA n GT . David.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Time to short more kiwi......

Melbourne DC 07:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc 0709 -- good afternoon and thank you for your reply. All the best n good trades David

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd 1.1360 has a lot of ma's overlapping. Now, once clean break and close above, 1.20 is the l/t target.....

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Indeed, they helped me vely nicely as I bought put nzd .7000 and .7050 mid-Feb. both are now running more than 500 pips now....

UB Tulga 07:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Are Europeans in?

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
RBNZ openly to ask for the permission is where the stree is...

It at least showed to mkt, they didn't just talk but walk even nzd retraced 300 pips from high.

hk ab eur/gbp .68 07:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
oops, I forget to change my handle on this computer.

shanghai bc 07:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

DC -- Good afternoon..Thanks for your kind words..I believe MoF of Japan folks mistakenly believed china would let Yuan rise under pressure ..Miscalculation on their part and they are in the process of correcting their mistake at present..Asia and China and USA are Japan's export lifeline and Yuan is linked to Usd,so,it ia all about Usd/Jpy for Japan..Japan cannot afford to let Yen rise against Yuan and full stop..Japan may try to stay in the present range as long as they like..Given their success in 115-125 in the past and 110-115 now,better not go against their tune..In fact,there are not many huge specs left in yen market since BoJ started intervening at 125 a long ago..I know for sure because China is one of the largest Yen market players at any given time..Almost all of them are real money flow trying to buy into Japan's recovery..On if BoJ knows about other's positions,you will be surprised to know what kind of info.wars some forex giants are in all the time in the market..When hundreds of billions are at stake,info is everything that counts for them..And the right startegies and enough ammunition to take advantage of those valuable infos..Good trades..

Gold Coast martin 07:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN...timeframe on my aussie shorts are 7395 for end of thursdays ny session and 7350 for end of fridays ny session...g/l g/t

Ldn 07:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia ok this is the buying talked about thanks

melbourne farmacia 07:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:15 GMT March 11, 2004
We're in the 2nd Aud/Usd cycle which should see 0.7242 this round, that is once the market takes out 0.7401. Just need more time for this to happen. GT

ps - germans in ??

chester wb 06:33 GMT March 11, 2004
Volume - meaning crossing into Euro zone that's all.

hong kong nt 06:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AB, BC -- thanks and good trades...

Ldn 06:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gold Coast Martin, what time frame have you on your short aud. cheers

tyk jnw 06:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
shorted eur/usd @ 1.2112 stop 1.2240 target 1.2175

Ldn Hat 06:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shorted more GBP/USD at 1.8030 stp 1.8100 target 1.7950 IMHO Thanks

Melbourne DC 06:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hk ab n Ldn Viewer
Both points re jap fye understood . I don't trade sell/buy usdjpy pre/post fye, but was wondering about high yielders . ie if there is still life in buy dip and if so how this MoF/ Jap fye might affect the timing .
Thanks again for your points. david.
P/S HK ab your eurgbp 0.66 is remarkable :)

hk ab 0.66 06:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DC// think about when 115 was given up? not after March but till Nov.
It's always disatrous for one to short dlr/jpy based on March assumption......

Ldn Viewer 06:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Guys on USDJPY , seling has been for year end book keeping .. After 31/03 surely Japanese will look to invest arbroad adn thus have to sell JPY and buy USD thus puuting upward pressure on exchange rate as well as upward pressure on high yielders like AUD,GBP,NZD and ZAR ?? TIA

Melbourne DC 06:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC 6:18 As always appreciative of your info n views .
Would you have any opinion re:
1. MoF intention in keeping usdjpy up (110-115) for Jap business only till end of financial year , hence they will let usdjpy go after that, resulting in resumption of major usd downmove come April , especially for carry trades that has cleared of its longs.
2. Current MoF strategy is targeted against speculative selling (ie one needs to watch how market is positioned) cf early passive bids strategy when usdjpy around 105. (do they know who is holding what positions in the market?)
Thank you , David.

chester wb 06:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
farmacia: i noticed you mentioned volume. do you know of somewhere reliable voluime data can be obtained?

chester wb 06:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
farmacia; I know, i'm just having fun. supposedly there is a dnt option 1.2180/1.2680 that is puting a floor under euro inspite of euro/jpy sell off. imho euro could get back close to 1.2300 before selling off again. what do you think?

shanghai bc 06:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

NT 05;27 -- Good afternoon..I would not worry about missing a few trades.. BoJ lads have no choice but push it up to another high later to keep 110-115 playing field alive..If usd/Jpy can only move up some 500 pips with 100 yard spent,they need to spend some trillion Dollars to be in the game down the road..And all these unwinding of high-yielders/Yen trades owe most of their moves to BoJ lads too..Dollar bounce is still alive and well..Good luck..

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 06:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
cableyen finally in plus , euro seems to be reversing but in a very ambivalent way , still hoping to score 1000pipos on cableyen

Ltn th 06:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
snp// Is it just me or does the market really feel like its friday aalready?

Ldn 06:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia canyou share your aud with us please thanks

LAX-LGB SNP 06:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
i have this one embarassing EURGBP short thats negating my USDCHF longs ... any ideas for an escape strategy, guys ?

melbourne farmacia 06:13 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
chester wb 06:02 GMT March 11, 2004
Euro could of dropped 100 points, so be happy with B/E stop. Wait for volume to pick and enter later. GT

UB Tulga 06:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL

Thank you

Jakarta JacK 06:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Any comments on EUR? I longed EUR at 1.2190.

chester wb 06:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ain't that some sh$$$t ! euro takes out my stop at b/e and now heads back up. i KNEW tha sob was evil.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
UB Tulga 05:54 GMT March 11, 2004
Short on eur/usd target for now is 1.1980-70 area. Go to archive and put my initials in and you will see all my comments about eur/usd, hope that helps.

LAX-LGB SNP 05:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
well as if the tradestation issue wasnt enough ... now the charts are acting up LoL ...

FWIW eurjpy has lost 4 cents in 4 days ... am short from the middle but reluctant to add right now

chester wb 05:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
out of euro posse at b/e. back to the drawing board. probably should have kept posse.

UB Tulga 05:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Hello Miami OMIL?
Are you short on EUR/USD? If what is your target? Thank you

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
WB I don’t have a buy signal for eur/usd yet so it might go lower from here.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
They have been having this problem lately around this time too.

UB Tulga 05:48 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What is your view on EUR/USD? Thank you

chester wb 05:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I cain't tell if the euro is being accumalated, distributed, or if it's just plain evil and is trying to sucker me into doing something stupid! hehe

LAX-LGB SNP 05:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks guys
i wonder why they dont work weekends anymore :-)

LAX-LGB SNP 05:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
define irony ... the ISP ups the speed to 3 mbps and the broker shuts you out - thanks to Mr Bell for the phones

Chicago YM 05:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
another hour or so and it should be back up

Dallas GEP 05:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SNP YES they are doing server upgrades Been dwon twice in last 20 minutes Be up again in 10 call 1-800-600-3926

Chicago YM 05:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am

LAX-LGB SNP 05:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
anyone having probs logging into fx Cat Mouse tradestation ?

jinwa rg 05:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
i had the same problem but i called the dealing desk and they moved the s/l for me, are you referring to r e f c o ?

chester wb 05:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
my long euro position has been about as much fun as going to the dentist. put stop @ b/e 1.2195. maybe i can talk the dentist out of a shot of nitro whlle waiting for euro to pip up

Dallas GEP 05:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well my GD platform server went off line for 10 minutes and I couldn't TAKE profit on an open possie and they wouldn't give me my price so screw them, I will wait and get better close!!! LOL

hk ab 0.66 05:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nt// mkt is always there.

However, to avoid some unnecessary stress, try to stay out from dlr/jpy.

I stopped the long from last at b/e. Now just want to get a long of gbp/jpy 198 recommended by bc on limit.

hong kong nt 05:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
bc -- what a week! start with a sell gbp/jpy order at 209.0, see price falling on bearish divergence and break 205, then, rebound back to 205.00/20, very clear signal to sell but fail to sell with 50pip stop. perhaps, it's time to take a rest...

Ldn 05:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD may target 1.7366 in short term after its plunge below major support at 1.8135, after USD turned bullish vs GBP on daily charts Tuesday, writes Citigroup

Ldon 05:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Talk alsosome repatriation by Japanese institutional investors ahead of the fiscal year-end and by overseas players for the quarter end with liquidation of more carry trades

hong kong nt 05:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
ab -- a bad week, order at gbpjpy 209.0 and gbp 1.860 both missed, cover hang seng 130p y'day...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Well I hope so WB because I have been short on eur/usd for a while now. I put up the numbers to cover most of the scenarios we might encounter. I have no intraday positions at the moment only mid term short on eur/usd. GL GT

ICT ML 05:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE bucket shop low 198.44.....saw comstock low 198.50

chester wb 05:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
omil: i agree with your analysis but i don't think the bulls will get back in controll for a while. i am long euro now for a contra trade but i think overall bias is short

NYC YIPPEE 05:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
What was the GBPJPY low seen by you Asian traders please ?

Ldn 05:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The RBNZ decision helped dampen expectations that the RBA would hike in April and these expectations were given another bucket of cold water when the Australian employment data disappointed. The plus 1.3K in new jobs was below the plus 20/30 K expected and the AUD/USD fell to 0.7420. The move was propelled by rounds of JPY carry trade liquidation with EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and AUD/JPY getting hammered. ifr

Ldn 05:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
The New Zealand dollar sank almost 2% Thursday after the central bank left its key interest rate unchanged and sought permission from the government to add foreign-exchange intervention to its policy arsenal for the first time in 20 years.
Magnifying the negative effect for the Kiwi of the monetary policy decision was the central bank's formal request that laws be tweaked to allow it to intervene in currency markets.
"We have recommended that when the New Zealand dollar is exceptionally and unjustifiably high, the Reserve Bank would be able to use New Zealand dollars to buy foreign exchange, which would put downward pressure on the exchange rate," said RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard.






Ldn 04:57 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Australian government bond futures pricing out chance of RBA rate hike, with 3-year contract at 94.83, or 8 bps below prevailing 5.25% cash rate. Market view swinging to steady rates on recent soft economic data, latest being weak jobs growth today. TD Securities chief strategist Stephen Koukoulas says if employment stays soft, it won't be long before rate cuts are on agenda again

Melbourne Qindex 04:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Melbourne Qindex 04:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Heading towards 1.2143.

hk ab 0.66 04:43 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
place small bid on gbp/jpy 198.05 limit.

hk ab 0.66 04:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, if u still read the forum, would like to know your comment on cad at the moment.

hk ab 0.66 04:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
think the eur/chf has a little bit steam to go before positional shorts placed. now longed at 1.5753 and short eur/gbp .6783 yesterday.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
It looks like 1.2180 might hold for eur/usd if it does we have rough fib retracement lines numbers to 1.2245-50, 1.2285-90, 1.2320-25 and 1.2355-60. Resistance at the moment is 1.2235-40, 1.2305-10 and 1.2325-30. Anything over 1.2350-60 is taken and held then the bulls have the command again for a push at 1.2450-60 area IMHO. GL GT

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 04:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
just ask on any Vancouwer street corner , gees it look ok for 40 pipos

Dallas GEP 04:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
And now playing "Dancing with the MOF", LOL

hk ab 0.66 04:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
place bids to long the 2nd layer on aud/nzd at 1.1275.


all the positional longs are now at 1.1150, 1.1170, 1.1175 x 2 1.1180, 1.1185 and 1.12

U.K J.B. 04:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Early trade recomm. sell stg @ 1.7950 offered tar 1.7855 = 50 % s/l 1.7985 bid GL

nyc sa 04:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
8:30 new-york time , US economic numbers will be released which will allow some tradable volatility, I think better get some rest until then .

chester wb 04:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dr unken kat--where can i buy some of what ur smoking hehe

hk ab 0.66 04:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
1.1360 for aud/nzd has a lot of sma coincidence.
100 daily sma, 20 weekly sma are all there....

Melbourne Qindex 04:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 04:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
longed cableyen @199 , hoping for 500 to 800 pipos ,, hehehe

hk ab 0.66 04:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
without the support on boj, wonder how eur/jpy and aud/jpy will react.....

chester wb 04:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
looking to get at least 1.2235 or better from long euro

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 04:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
well yen held 80 for the entire usa session , waste of time
played cableyen instead ,dropped almost 300pips

Dallas GEP 04:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Of course the MORE money you have, the less clever you have to be!!!!

Dallas GEP 04:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yeah But I am not risking much here from a stop loss standpoint. Let's see if this short works. Might not if MOF decides to still support it at this time. If MOF removes bids it will drop like rock just like the other two times recently. VERY clever those Asian boys!!!!

Melbourne Qindex 04:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk ab 0.66 04:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, heard that BOJ deliberately lift the bids to hurt spect from this morning newswire....

think it doesn' worth to risk in between the two parties.

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 04:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
technically looks short buy you know BOJ , they r able to reverse ema s at any time, its why i lost interest in yen ,

Dallas GEP 04:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
That usd/jpy long was a -10 pip loss. Short should take off soon.

Dallas GEP 04:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OK I am now short usd/jpy. usd/jpy long just stopped out. (SOMEONE just moved LOL)

Melbourne Qindex 03:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Wellington am 03:58 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Charting packages:

I'm looking for a charting package. Must have realtime quotes, historical (exportable) data, systems programming, back testing, and email alerts. Have seen FX Trek at $100 per month. Any recommendations? Thx in advance. Andrew

Dallas GEP 03:56 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dr. KAT, it is only SHORT if SOMEONE allows it to be but I am playing it both ways.

Dallas GEP 03:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thanks guys. I bet you that the ACTUAL IB low rate was 110.70. Lower than that and it is platform games maybe.

Ldn 03:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin cheers

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 03:53 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep ..70 ,but yen is short not long

chester wb 03:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
110.68

Gold Coast martin 03:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
LDN....the aussie has got a habit of overshooting for no technical reason...this overshoot is caused mainly by 'local issues' that the ordinary trader does not foresee as they dont have access to such information....your strategy however os fundamentally correct.....g/l g/t

chester wb 03:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
gep: same thing

valentine catchum 03:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP, 110.71

Dallas GEP 03:47 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Friends I have a LOW of 110.68 on USD/JPY on my platform. That doesn't sound right, What do you have as LOW?????

Ldn 03:46 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GC martin think what is putting many off selling Aud hard is its ability to rebound quite rapidly but I am in agreement with you its ready for a test to the downside - once the remainder of the longs decide to bale may really hit the fan.

chester wb 03:44 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
long euro @ 1.2195...small posse;; just sticking a toe in the water. don"t want to get my legs chewed off if i am wrong

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 03:42 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
sterling looks like has reached the target 2hr chart

Gold Coast martin 03:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
NOTE...DR QUINDEX technical analysis on the aud is spot on....he is to be congratulated again.....his analysis re-enforces my trading strategy on the aud.

Dallas GEP 03:39 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
More tweaking on these USD/JPY orders. Stop on USD/JPY long from 110.75 is now 110.66. The SELL usd/jpy order will activate @ 110.64 with TP @ 110.00 and stop @ 110.79.

Pound and Euro may be bottoming, Not sure as of yet.

Melbourne Qindex 03:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Gold Coast martin 03:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon....have aud shorts at 7425...have further shortened aussie to 7395 ahead of ny session with the local australian session been negative for the aud due to no virtually no change in employment data and the fact that at 12.30pm local and at 3.40pm a furhter 2 uridashi deals did not eventuate......g/l g/t

Jakarta JacK 03:36 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Guys, Anybody think as I am that EUR/USD is a buy?

Jakarta JacK 03:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning (asia), Good Evening (US).

GEP, Cable now is arround 1.7980!!!!! Too bad I release it last night. :-)

When do you think the best time to buy? Thanks

Dallas GEP 03:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Yes EJ, that is the only reason.

la ej 03:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
hey Gep, are you long dr/yen b/c of intermediate support of 110.70?

Dallas GEP 03:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
110.67 is actually the stop on the usd/jpy long and 110.61 is the SHORT usd/jpy order (can't have the dammm things overlap!!! LOL)

Dallas GEP 03:24 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Out of original short @ BE on usd/jpy. I now am long usd/jpy from 110.75 traded with 110.68 stop. Also have those SHORT orders in place NOW @ 110.62 short with TP @ 110.00,

Melbourne Qindex 03:23 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:25 GMT March 10, 2004
GBP/JPY : 44-Day Cycle Quantised Levels


... 177.10* ...186.44* ... 192.65* // 194.20 - 195.75* - 197.30 - 198.85* - 200.40 - 201.95* - 203.5 - 205.05* -106.60 - 208.15* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 01:07 GMT March 11, 2004
GBP/USD : After consolidation between 1.8018 - 1.8063, the market is ready to tackle the recent low at 1.7963.

... 1.7963 ... // 1.8018 ... 1.8034 ... 1.8049 ... 1.8055 ...1.8063 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 03:06 GMT - GBP/USD : Speculative selling will increase once the market can penetrate through the recent low at 1.7963.

Ldn 03:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex as always tks

Melbourne Qindex 03:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 03:06 GMT - GBP/USD : Speculative selling will increase once the market can penetrate through the recent low at 0.7963.

shanghai bc 03:11 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Gbp/Usd has been basically Gbp/Jpy lead game for more than a year by now..In around Gbp/Jpy 1.98-1.99 lies several previous tops in weeklies suggesting a reasonable support around that region for a good bounce later..Fwiw..

Dallas GEP 03:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
MOF bids WERE @ 110.70 (BID) but I wouldn't count on them staying there FWIW

Ldn 03:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
rout not (route)

Ldn 03:06 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex may I ask, is there a possibilty the european market can take the USD a lot higher when it opens in a few hours , are we seeing the beginning of a route , or do we see this reverse as sometimes the case. thanks

Melbourne Qindex 03:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Tell you what the intraday indicators maybe in O/S territory but I am getting a big sell signal for eur/usd. I would prefer a healthy bounce from here for more strength but the way it looks on my charts it has good strength to test the bottom again soon IMHO.

nyc jk 02:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
thanks omil

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:41 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 02:35 GMT March 11, 2004
Can’t tell you yet until it stops drilling holes on 1.2180. The intraday indicators are in O/S territory and bollinger band is in the way so I am pretty sure the drilling will stop soon IMHO. I will post the rebound later when I see some blue candles on my chart.

Ldn 02:40 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
(ap)Earthquake Intensity 3 On Scale Of 7 West Of Tokyo

OK SZ 02:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am showing intermediate support at 12160, 12128, and 12099...for reference my pivot is at 12254..gl, gt

Ldn 02:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Unwinding Of JPY Carry Trades Accelerates In Asia
ifr

nyc jk 02:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
how much of a bounce do you reckon OMIL?

Dallas GEP 02:35 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy short still working from 110.74. Have added a SELL order @ 110.63 with stop @ 110.85 and take profit @ 110.00.

Dallas GEP 02:31 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
+15 pips and out on the pound short

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:30 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
FWIW eur/usd has support right now around 1.2170-80 (bollinger bands) and 1.2155-60 the fibo retracement. There should be a bounce from here for better short position IMHO.

boulder dat 02:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
the last time i got involved in a move like this during Tokyo, the gains were inevitably reversed. instead, i'm going to be patient and look to pick the bottom as i feel the moves to the downside in the europeans are a bit overdone.

Gen dk 02:27 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 02:26 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
+10 PIPS and out on the Euro, Still in POUND

Dallas GEP 02:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Short Euro 1.2200 and short Pound from 1.8000

Melbourne Qindex 01:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The market is trading outside the projected congested area of 0.7441 - 0.7542. It has a good potential to trade in the lower trading ranges of 0.7348 - 0.7367 - 0.7382 later today.

Ldn 01:54 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Problem could see lower dollar and the economy off the boil just at the wrong time for him sods law.

Aud wont like the Labour I would imagine. Unionists as always same as UK

OZ deanobravo 01:52 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
brisbane sunstate 01:50 GMT March 11, 2004
I bet he think's he has 'tiny' eyebrows too!

brisbane sunstate 01:50 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 01:37 GMT
"Australia's PM: Has Been "Tiny" Rise In Jobless Rate"
must be the same "Tiny" chance he say they have of loosing the next election :-)
gt

Ldn 01:37 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Australia's PM: Economy Remains Powerful, Robust
Australia's PM: Has Been "Tiny" Rise In Jobless Rate

Dallas GEP 01:19 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
SEE as soon as I say something, it goes ahead shorts down thru .7440 WTF???? (AUSSIE) I would still be leery of this level but if it breaks it breaks!!!

Ldn 01:18 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas thats gone think better to look at the figure or wait to 7375 thats where I would do it.

Ldn 01:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OZ deanobravo yeah I also heard something about that about 2 yds later today being purchase dont know by whom though. just have to see

Dallas GEP 01:17 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Call me nuts LDN but for Asia I would be inclined to LONG aussie from .7440 with .7407 stop but I am not sure enough about it yet to do it!!!!!

OZ deanobravo 01:15 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GEP...0.7475 was my rate.....i would have been pretty lucky to get 0.7500, fingers not quick enough heheh

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:14 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I posted my projections the other day and they were off or mis-calculated somewhat as I had to calculate and post those by hand..

the correct levels are.

1.2723

1.2499

1.2276

1.2056

1.1837 break of which leads easily to 1.1620.

Dallas GEP 01:12 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Deanobravo, there may be something to the theory that Aussie shouldn't be shorted today but regardless you got a great SELL ay .7500 I would trail because .7440 looks VERY firm to me at this time.

Ldn 01:09 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP any view on your next move aud cheers

OZ deanobravo 01:08 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 00:59 GMT March 11, 2004
i managed to sell at 75 after the release...not sure how far she will go....heard a vague rumour that a german bank had warned its clients not to be short today...but i guess that could be somebody talking there own book...perhaps we could ask that large aussie bank if it has finished selling calls, and that would give us an indication that the top is in place..heheh
On a serious note though, fundamentally we should see more downside, and technically 0.7390 shud provide some support.
gl to u

Dallas GEP 01:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thnaks Brisbane for the scoop RE: Aussie!!!

Livingston nh 01:03 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:49 - EUR test likely - support down at the 200da ma - mentioned this morning that 21 da and 55 da ema looking to cross which could rule out 1.30 for a while

Dublin CK 01:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Rafe, I agree with you there mate, I give this leg of the Euro story another 2-3 weeks, probably 3 weeks before a resumption of the 1.30 chapter.

BOJ & MOF have to just move out of the way first though, March 31st is there deadline, when they wont care as much.

Ever increasing trade deficits, low job numbers and soon to be established weaker Q1 corporate figures will drive it the other way (there bottom line will not be as good as previous qtrs).

The Dow jones has dropped 400 points over the last 3 sessions, its the start of a 5-10% downward correction.

Imported fuel inflation will also decline, with better than expected oil inventories announced today, gently lowering the price of crude.

However, for the moment its all dollar bullishness. Buy buy buy

GL/GT

Ldn 00:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
OZ deanobravo havent sold yet cos it may be a little oversold
but will do if we see 75. looking for probably 7150 at the outside. your views? also Martin

AlexVA Dennis 00:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 00:02 GMT --------


baaa-baaaa 'd joke :+) LoL

Livingston nh 00:59 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY has closed/stayed above 55 da ema since last week but looks to be shaky here - a test of .8160 seems likely

OZ deanobravo 00:55 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
yep, you're right there LDN, already reading that the Australian 'so-called' expert economists are now postponing a rate hike to 3rd qtr...

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:51 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin// I need to contact you, if you don't mind are.

you ok with this?

TIA.

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:49 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD-Something inside tells me that 1.2056 is not a low from which we will launchout towards 1.3 as yet, we have to test it again and then were on our way up. IMO

Have not run any projections since last but just intuition speaking

Would love to hear some views on this technical and fundamental.

TIA.

Melbourne Qindex 00:45 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


Ldn 00:38 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Thinks thats an understatement...

Australian employment rises by tiny 1,300 jobs on-month in February, well below market consensus for gain of 20,000. Unemployment rate rises to 5.9% from 5.7%. Data suggest some moderation in until now very firm labor market, add to view RBA may hold off hiking rates.

AP>

OZ deanobravo 00:33 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Aussie employment numbers on the weaker side

Gold Coast martin 00:29 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
DALLAS...since the short term is a downward pattern for the aussie...the same procedure is required as yesterday...short ausie to 7425 ..even as low as 7395..i shorted at 7450 yesterday and same procedure again applies today....g/l g/t

Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Heading towards 1.7855.

shanghai bc 00:22 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

QINDEX -- Good morning..Thanks for the info..Good forecasts and trades..

Melbourne Qindex 00:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 00:02 GMT - Good Morning! EUR/GBP : A pull-back is imminent for this pair.


Melbourne Qindex 01:14 GMT March 10, 2004
EUR/GBP : 44-day Cycle Quantised Levels


Set A : ... // 0.6642* - 0.6669 - 0.6695 - 0.6722 - 0.6748* - 0.6775 - 0.6801 - 0.6828 - 0.6854* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 01:05 GMT March 10, 2004
EUR/GBP : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels


Set A : ... // 0.6687* - 0.6703 - 0.6718 - 0.6733 - 0.6748* - 0.6764 - 0.6779 - 0.6794 - 0.6809* // ...

brisbane 00:21 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
dallas GEP..

locals all came in and sold aud on the back of the kiwi move..subsequently been a couple of european names buying and the market was short hence the current squeeze..also employment number out in 10 mins.

Ltn th 00:20 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
I am hearing some OZ treasury concern that a lower AUD singly or coupled with any prospect of rate rises would pose an unacceptable risk as a trigger for massive domestic inflation. Any thoughts on this?

Melbourne Qindex 00:16 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
Mumbai jay 23:56 GMT - Thank you for your compliment. I need to run more analysis on this pair.

Ldn 00:04 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
BC sounds like lambs to the slaughter

shanghai bc 00:02 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   

Maybe the Kiwi Greenies are going to count the votes of the millions of lambs to outnumber Kiwi traders..He who has more lambs calls the shots..

Dallas GEP 00:00 GMT March 11, 2004 Reply   
My guess would be we would see some dollar bearishness in Asia. Certainly the Aussies thought their currency was a bargain but I don't think they can long it past .7520 to .7540

 




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