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Forex Forum Archive for 03/12/2004

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Gold Coast martin 22:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
good morning....volatility in a terror driven market temporarily halted the downward bias of the aud which was expected to reach the 7250 range by the end of the ny session..expect the 7250 range to be tested on monday.....i am still short on aussie at 7250 and did not close my positions ahead of the weekend...left them open....g/l g/t

Spotforex NY 20:58 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HI Zorro.....

You are consistant in your posts!!!!
All the Best!!!

Spot

EU ZORRO 19:58 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi all....!!!!...hi Spot...

....Bought again more cheap EUROS....!!!!

...nice weekend everyone...

LAX-LGB SNP 19:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Manchester Daniel
am trying to log into MSN but unable to so i'm leaving a msg here - hope you see it
FWIW i managed to net some over the round figure i mentioned earlier despite the 40s rollover

TTYL TC everyone :-) have fun


Va Catch22 19:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the confirmation, nh!

Livingston nh 19:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Va Catch22- probably USD positive as yesterday's moves are unwound and correction continues

Dallas GEP 19:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, I wouldn't leave anything open over thw eekend but unlikely we will gap down below 1.2170 area and 1.7900 area over the weekend because that will take ALOT of pushing!!! LOL

prauge viktor 19:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep:Im still short audusd what u think about it close it with a littel profit or let it during the night (Imean sunday night)thank u and wish u nice week end

Barcelona JP 19:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi, guys.

How are you doing?

prauge viktor 19:10 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ja I mean on sunday

Dallas GEP 19:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, you mean AFTER hours?????

hk ab .6 nzd 19:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, got the dlr/jpy close at fig.

gep// u r welcome.

nt// sent you an email.

Have a nice w/e all.

prauge viktor 19:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep are we going to break 1,795 and 1,217 tonight

Clon G 19:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
OK JP - got the message...I wasn't prying, just wondered, as I'd enjoyed his posts in august/september last year when I was last around myself. Thanks.

Va Catch22 19:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Possitive or nagetive to dollar then in that case, nh?

Mtl JP 19:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
G 18:51 / oil man = busy

Clon G 18:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
thanks GEP

Dallas GEP 18:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
G, I really don't know. I will find out tho and post back.

Clon G 18:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Hi GEP - been away for a while...wondered if you could tell me what happened to oilman? and/or the cat?

Dallas GEP 18:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
NY, the point about getting help from the Muslim world to help with the terrorist issue is a complex one. If a mother gave birth to a son that became a mass murderer she probably would still love him and try to protect him despite his actions. Now if her mass murderer son though tried to harm HER other family members she would take action. It would try to be like breaking up a fight between to brothers and what you might end up with is BOTH of the brothers fighting you!!! The US politically gives mixed signals all the time regarding friend or foe relationships, I really don't blame the Muslim world in general for being apprenshive when it comes to what the REAL motives are sometimes. We did even know in the US what they really are most times!!!

Livingston nh 18:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
VA Catch22 - if equities hold - first, I'm going to be distressed 'cause it going to confirm my opinion of Fridays (I got stuck last week despite the poor Payroll figs) -- But second, the overhang of the terrorist attack in Madrid is probably out of the market by Monday

prauge viktor 18:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEPthanks I wait to 1,8 as u told me and shorted it

Nottingham 18:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Mvs 18:27 GMT

glad it worked out for you mate

Dallas GEP 18:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AB, thnaks for the NZD

hk ab .6 nzd 18:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Time for bed, not good for health to have late sleeping.

hk ab .6 nzd 18:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt/ next week gd night!

Dallas GEP 18:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Viktor the pound is VERY tricky right now Probably need 50 pip stops to play. I say short from 1.8010 and long from 1.7910 pivot point is 1.7950/60

hong kong nt 18:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- i saw hang seng and dow jones jumping to 18000 and 12000 in year end in my dream last night. good night...

Nottingham 18:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
re US equities...S&P...1104 was a fibo and bounced nicely...can extend to 1121 max (25/30 max intraday), then 1060/1070 next major target...anything more than that is more than a healthy correction...gl gt

Ldn Mvs 18:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 18:11 GMT March 12, 2004 - grt analysis there mate - worked well! Shorted some cable on that read :) cheers

hk ab .6 nzd 18:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
another wild card could be eur/aud...
as usual wild.....

why my system didn't kick in any signal few days ago... too busy with the nzd and dlrcad.

Nottingham 18:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab..agree

Ldn Mvs 18:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Agree Nottingham 18:19 on CAD ...couple with that, we hv flirted with the 200 day ma tdy at 1.3391 (topping at 1.3385 bid tdy so far), which just two weeks ago proved to be a very tough ma to close above on numerous occasions.

Va Catch22 18:24 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nh - And if it holds, what does that mean?

hk ab .6 nzd 18:23 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Not// life will be quite diff. if it close above 200 dma imvho.

Nottingham 18:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...although usd holding firm, this pair has the biggest risk of retracement going into next week/monday's trade...a retracement down to 1.3330 should be expected as a minimum next week (even if we were to see 1.37, you would expect to see this level early next week)...on top of that, price has met the 10 day sma on a frequent basis (even when trending) so that must not be rules out, but since we are now closing above it, it can be used as a point at which to buy dips (until price closes below 10 sma)...gl gt

Livingston nh 18:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
For some sentiment indication watch the US equities into the close - big snapback this morning but now holding on - last two days lunch time was a good short but so far today nothing -- see if they can hold 'em for the weekend

prauge viktor 18:12 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP thanks

Nottingham 18:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
in addition, eurgbp may find trouble taking 6775...this level can be used in conjunction with cable

Dallas GEP 18:10 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Watch to see if 1.8020 fails

Dallas GEP 18:10 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Watch to see if 1.8020 fails

hk ab .6 nzd 18:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
With the deteriorating econ by fast cad move, cad should be a blast up.

Nottingham 18:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Cable...may see a bit more short covering if goes above 8015/10

prauge viktor 18:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep whats about shorting GBP

Dallas GEP 18:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
.7350 if seen

Lagos Styrax 18:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP// at what point do you hope to short aussie

Dallas GEP 17:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MArket is at standstill right now No data to push it In other words bet ALL HELLLL breaks loose here shortly!!!

Dallas GEP 17:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thinking about shorting AUSSIE

hk ab .6 nzd 17:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
entered half at 110.75 first.

Dallas GEP 17:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Saw it after post AB.

hong kong nt 17:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab .6 nzd 17:39 -- agree, luck does play a significant role in our life...

hk ab .6 nzd 17:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
and I don't see they dare to it 'cos dlr/jpy is now sitting on the daily ma 10.

hk ab .6 nzd 17:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP 110.44.

Dallas GEP 17:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AB, don't forget the STOP on that usd/jpy in case those Asian boys decide to pull bids again

hk ab .6 nzd 17:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
a usual sign of aud m/t reversal is a hit of bottom and a bounce of 100 pips and close above it the next day.....jimvho.

hk ab .6 nzd 17:43 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
put a buy limit on dlr/jpy at 110.70 s/l 110.44.

sgp sp 17:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nottingham, in other words.....better to sit this one out....:)

thanks.

hk ab .6 nzd 17:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// as mentioned earlier, 70% of success in this mkt is luck except those insider like bc, noody, jf. Other players have very less say on fx.

to me, I hope the mkt does not retrace too much to hurt my nzd put option @.7 and .7050. a week more to go.

dlrjpy daily chart is drawing my attention now.

Nottingham 17:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 17:25 GMT

has seen 1st o/s and already met target so unless 2nd o/s seen at 80.1 no contras are on...if holds 81 handle it would be productive into next week tho...gl gt

Dallas GEP 17:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
STY, It think target is 1.3320, 1.3350 first of course. But Friday can bring ANYTHING!!!

hong kong nt 17:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- bought some hang seng call option today, hope bulls may surprise bears next week, ideal target 13300...

sgp sp 17:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, I must take my hat off to u.....playing mj and not paying attn to your possies.....hope u made lots of money....

will see how it ends at 1.3391 then....don't want to hold it over the weekend...

:)

hk ab .6 nzd 17:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, dlr/cad is outside day reversal right?

Lagos Styrax 17:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, please on USD/CAD what is your target? and are closing the position before the end of ny session?
I entered @ .3372 short

hk ab .6 nzd 17:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// out of your surprise, my mj game with my colleagues is v. v. v. small game often only involve a few dollars up/down.. ;)

and I think we should ask Kevin to have the drink together as well this Sunday

hong kong nt 17:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
a cross dominated friday night, positioning big move next week? dji is shinning again...

ny 17:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:08 GMT: This is not to take anything away from your post. When the masses are unwilling to use brutal force against those small minorities who spit at human decency then we are in a period of decline. When the US intervened in Afghanistan and then Iraq the world cried foul and they did this again when the US put a bunch of Al Queda guys behind bars. ARE WE MAD? Why don’t we support our President and fight the fight and leave the cowards behind? Why don’t the Muslim community get their act together and actually help destroy these groups instead of supporting them?

hong kong nt 17:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:28 -- what a conincidence! you enter at my exit point...

hk ab .6 nzd 17:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp looks more normal now.....

hong kong nt 17:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- how's yr mj game? win enough to buy me a stellar?

QC WC 17:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP - May also see below 1.77 if 1.7820 support breaks.

hk ab .6 nzd 17:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
1.3391, either a break or as GEP said, short signal comes.

Dallas GEP 17:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Short usd/cad from 1.3370

hk ab .6 nzd 17:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// yup, I won that too tonight.

for the dlrcad, it moved one day later than I anticipated.

It will show us good number once the 200 dma penetrates.

Brisbane RR 17:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
WELL SAID Gep.

Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AB, the goose looks short I am waiting to confirm

hong kong nt 17:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 17:15 -- covered usd/cad and usd/chf, next week, we may see GBP 1.845 flashing on the screen...

sgp sp 17:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, hope u win at mj.....got out of my aud/jpy at b/e.....the possies is driving me nuts......will look to enter again at a higher level....earlier level b/e of 81.16 is not good.....now only holding usd/cad.....still holding aud/nzd....small possie.

nottingham, any idea where aud/jpy is going?

Thanks, gt & gl 2 u

hk ab .6 nzd 17:24 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
you will be surprised what you can get next Mon. morning if you haven't closed :)

my stop was not hit yet, so, next week will be a funny start for me.

hk ab .6 nzd 17:23 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep// I am working on the smacking goose now.

593.5....(pips)?

Dallas GEP 17:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
As a matter of fact AB. I closed it @ .6354. NOT BAD!!! Great call!!!!!

Dallas GEP 17:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Boys I don't paid to type!!!! LOL

hk ab .6 nzd 17:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEp// closed your nzd short yet? hehehe

HK Kevin 17:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 17:06 GMT, probably around 1,7900 is 1st entry level, but it's Fri, so no action today. Even we close above 1.80 this week, this 1.7900/20 is going to be test again next week.

Dallas GEP 17:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
LOL SATAN!!!!!

hk ab .6 nzd 17:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
closed eur/jpy short with another 100 pips after long dlr/jpy now thinking about whether worth buy some dlr/jpy here....

B.A. BOCA 17:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP / ...are Satin reincarnated ....
what about other materials, like leather?

:) Good + peacefull weekend!!

hk ab .6 nzd 17:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hi everyone.
just back from mj game....

yes, the cad finally moves. And don't think it can be stopped easily now, next week is the real game.

the 1.32xx not to be seen came one day late.....

Dallas GEP 17:12 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usd.cad to me is still topping out. We will probably see CAD under 1.3350 before NY close,

QC WC 17:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
BOJ in action!

Dallas GEP 17:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SOME Extremist groups are NOT rational animals, they react on not logic but emotion. You can not negotiate with someone who is raised to beleive you are Satin reincarnated and just your MERE existance is a threat to them. This brainwashed from birth process is complete EVIL. If a compromising tone is even offered to them, it is considered a sign of weakness and you can be assurred attacks will be MORE likely. There is NO negotiation with SOME of these groups, they can and they will be wiped out. The SWORD is the only thing they understand. Did you ever try to reason with a mean DRUNK??? It is impossible and a waste of your time. Same thing in my view SOME of these groups. I will say I beleive there to be only a very small group of people that fit in this EXTREMIST category. The rest of us need to band together to get rid of these animals. They know NO boundaries, we need to make them aware they there are boundaries of human decency.

hong kong nt 17:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:55 -- just wonder if the market may reach ~1.785, a place with too good payout ratio and very solid support at 1.7800/30. I prefer to long ~1.790 with stop below 1.780...

Toronto DEEB 16:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone,

I'm new to this Forum, and relatively new to the Forex market. This is a great place to learn about the market, thanks to everyone who posts valuable info. Just wanted to know if anyone has an opinion on the CAD/USD and whether or not it may continue to the upside, or head back down before the trading day is over.

Anyone's input is appreciated.

Mtl JP 16:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
gvm 16:41 / see POL

or 16:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Terrorists are getting desperate. Even they know their time is almost over. There is simply nothing to negotiate. As for Osama word is he is on house arrest give or take a few hundred square miles and will be "captured" when the time is right.

HK Kevin 16:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 16:49 GMT, many thanks for sharing your ideas. Actually I am flat on this pair being lucky this time to fill my limit order of my long from 1.7986 at 1.8120 yesterday.
My next buying level next week would be around 1.7840-1.7860 with stop below 1.78 level.

hong kong nt 16:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:40 -- lucky to long some usd/cad at ~1.315 this week...

nyc jk 16:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
gvm - are you kidding us? we are going to bring Osama to the "negotiating table" and ask him what his grievances are? what are you smoking man?

SLC TJ 16:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 16:41 GMT With all due respect to your comment, it is their actions that bring on such titles. There is never a justification to kill and maim the innocent in the name of being heard, or being recognized as having a grievance. It doesn't work. It only creates more animosity.

Nottingham 16:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:40 GMT

A poor week for cable would to to trade only 100 pips into the previous weeks range, so as things stand, 1.8 should be seen next week...next week's high will be a lot higher than that if downtrend isn't followed through...for euro you would look at 1.2330 mnimum high...gl gt

Barcelona Tony 16:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
little bit of precipitation from my side, thought swiss would break 2895/2900 sooner ... mm

prauge viktor 16:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi Gep :I need ur help with audusd im still short may i colse now with a littel profit or still we can see 0,725 thanks

Hou 16:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I don't see Osama rocking up to a negotiating table real soon

London EC 16:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I think Euro is supportet since few months

hong kong nt 16:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP -- chart supp, 100-day ma, fibo supp, s wave supp and e wave supp are all clustered within 1.7800/30, a level 'must' hold for another unleg. unless said level is broken, bias remains up...

Sydney gvm 16:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I think we should realise that the word 'terrorist' is spin jargon - this is war and they are our enemy. We cannot win this war in the traditional sense. We must try to find a way to get these people to the negotiating table. But before we can do that we have to admit that they have a greviance worth discussing and we cannot do that while we continue to refer to them in emotive terms such as 'terrorist'.

HK Kevin 16:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 16:03 GMT, what if Cable able to hold 1.7900, allow for a dip to 1.7880, then we may take out 1.80 level again. It's Fri, everything could happen.
hong kong nt, hk ab is really great on USD/CAD.

Nottingham 16:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 16:37 GMT

would agree in principle with that comment...selling at the week high/low going towards closing doesn't make sense for short-term players, unless they are willing to carry wide stops into next week...gl gt

GER ad 16:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
We may see today ~EUR/USD1.2140;EUR/JPY134.50;USD/CAD1.3410 but at close the Dollar will be lower than now IMHO.

Eilat Dolphin 16:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GV 16:18/ I just love the "not giving up to terrorists" part.

QC WC 16:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Who is buying EURO? Hope it's not being supported like Usd/Yen!

Dallas GEP 16:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Having been in the computer software implementaion business for years before this trading thing, I KNOW Jay can handle this pretty easily. Don't worry. Agitators don't last long around here!!!!

Waiting for POUND to BREAK or EURO to break CADDY may be topping out for now???

Barcelona Tony 16:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
added $chf longs eur$ shorts and gbp$ shorts ... here we go! guess today 2950 for swiss and 2100 for euro

hong kong nt 16:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
thanks for those pushing up the usd/cad and usd/chf...

QC WC 16:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Somebody playing with the last three digits of Euro and Usd/Yen?

QC WC 16:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
PATIENCE

Global-View 16:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Tony. We have members from over 100 countries and when you put our depth and breath of membership in perspective, there is nothing like what we have here. Sometimes people get spoiled by how smooth we generally operate and if you let one or two bad apples spoil the buinch, it is like gtiving in to terrorism. We are on top of it so rest assured we will maintain the Forum's integrity. As for Athens, he remains a close friend and you should not draw conclusions so quickly.

HKG SK 16:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Is a patient game I will wait for at least 1.2080 before I will take profit.

LAX-LGB SNP 16:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
OMIL - likewise !

P.S.
although eurusd has broken lower wedge, this might be a false break and a close above might see more bids emerge

HKG SK 16:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone see any more movement for tonight or are we done for the day???

Dallas GEP 16:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Took Profit on GBP shorts @ 1.7923 May re-enter

Barcelona Tony 16:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
global-view loosing credibility these days ... sorry to say that ... but Athens, a big contributor, left the forum for some reason and that reason is clearly seen now .... still don't understand why I receive e-mails when I say some words and these people stays around the time they want... Jay that's not good ..

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:12 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SNP so far this year it has been pretty good but like they say this is just one battle of the many left for the rest of the year. Have a cool one for me this weekend and take care.

OK SZ 16:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usa long,,,take your views elsewhere you low life piece of censored

Helsinki iw 16:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Also think that comment was very distasteful in light of recent
events.

Chicago Irish 16:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jay that I.P.address should be forwarded to the relevant authorities

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP you are probably right but maybe not 100 pips. With my intraday position I set a limit and a stop and executed even if I leave 100 pips on the table. This looks very good for my midterm position though. You have a good week too and don’t spend it all in one place LOL.

Barcelona Tony 16:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usa long all the time 16:04 GMT ... pity that those drivers aren't your parents ...

Barcelona Tony 16:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
today's is a HUGE VOLUME DAY in every single financial product so in any case today's trend could well stay for some time ...

HKG SK 16:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
If 1.2180 gives which I think it will soon we will get at least 100 pips down from here.

usa long all the time 16:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
what we need to get dollar down
4 aeroplains
some good drivers
and one operator sitting back in afghanistan
gl/gt

Nottingham 16:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
btw primary oversold comes almost exactly at 100 day sma and former bottom of 1.7825/20...below there would cause a lot of panic selling

QC WC 16:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Feeling time is due for some BOJ actions!

Dallas GEP 16:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
OMIL , this euro COULD dump 100 pips. have a good WE

Nottingham 16:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Cable...may see acceleration of downtrend if 1.7920 taken, a support

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Number 1.2180 printed for eur/usd and I don’t like to be greedy so I will take the pips and run. Flat for the intraday position and holding the ever-hopeful midterm position. Hope everyone has a good and safe weekend. See you on the other side. GL GT

bucharest dan 15:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Georgia GC
1352 gmt, it was a spike

Nottingham 15:58 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
There's a 50% fibo here (66) and that's what stands between it and a test of 200 sma...my own view is not to chase highs until closes above 200 sma and rather buy (or sell) on return to 10 day sma on any given day, but I'm a 0% risk guy :o)

Barcelona Tony 15:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw 15:56 GMT March 12 .. absolutely agree and would coincide with the close of the gap in my indicator for the 1.21 level ... so we're in the same direction

Georgia GC 15:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks dan. when was that. I am out already.

bucharest dan 15:52 GMT March 12, 2004
Georgia GC 1.2273

Helsinki iw 15:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ EUR/USD made a daily key reversal up yesterday, but it
looks like it could break soon the low. A next session break
would look quite bearish and would probably result in a quick
test of last weeks low and strong support at 1,2055/65.

Some trendline support here at 1,2175/85 (line from lows
1,2055 and 1,2160, but that may well give in soon.

Think that if we break the key reversal from yesterday, we will
also break the 1,2055/65 level, which would set a target of
1,1870/80 IMHO

Wonderland Alice 15:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I will donate all of my $350 000 profit to mssr's Jay and Raden...of course I am in Wonderland, so I am not sure how they will spend this fantasy money.....

GER ad 15:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Georgia GC 15:51,
Sorry I have ~1.2273 at ~13:52

Barcelona Tony 15:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
mmmmmmmmm not good .... too slow this euro slide ... big hands holding it?

Eastbourne PJ 15:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Closed Cad long from 1.3303 at 1.3366

bucharest dan 15:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
but for a short moment, maybe you were lucky

bucharest dan 15:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Georgia GC 1.2273

Dallas GEP 15:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Notty, a good chance USD/CAD may stall in this 1.3360/70 level. What is your view. EUR/CAD shorts are hurting it

Georgia GC 15:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Could anyone tell me the hight of EUR/$ after 13:30 GMT please? I shorted this pair at 1.2240 with S/L 1.2265. I am worry about if my stop get hit. I do trade only after my working daytime. can not access any chart. thanks alot.

U.K J.B. 15:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 15:38
Exactly but if you view my previous posts i am looking for considerably lower than that. Fini for week now have a good one.

bucharest dan 15:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usa long all the time
can I ask you why now?

dc fxq 15:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usa long all the time 15:43 GMT ----- how kind of you to share with us.

HK JL 15:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

Hi, frs from this forum, can anyone tell from where I can find the daily NZD 's hi low and close pls ?? TIA

Dallas GEP 15:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Correction; Usd/cad close was @ 1.3354 on longs. Should have waited

Nottingham 15:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
U.K J.B. 15:31 GMT

that level was the bottom end of my band of resistance so quite possible it will hold it up...if taken however, could cascade to 6770 quite quickly...gl gt

Stockholm DG 15:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR dropping.. pip's party :-)

Barcelona Tony 15:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
out on my pipraiding in euro short 2211 - 2196 gt gl

usa long all the time 15:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hi

SA Newbie 15:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks everyone.

Eastbourne PJ 15:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Closed my Eur/Nok short @ 8.5038 for +2912 pips (all be it for smaller pip value)

U.K J.B. 15:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
unfortunately we may find temp supp. here at 6790/95 ret. level

GER ad 15:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SA Newbie 15:24
Because the cross EUR/GBP is lower (tonite 0.6842 now 0.5795)

Nottingham 15:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...next key level is 200 sma which comes in a whisker below 1.34...pair has failed to close above this line for over a year now, although it has managed to move up to 180 pips above it intraday before reversing back under it (average move above before reversal for this year is 69 pips)...gl gt

Nassau QF 15:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SA Newbie 15:24 GMT

Because it had to take out my stop on GPB/USD short first.
I'm out at b/e

U.K J.B. 15:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sa newbie

Eur/gbp being sold at last

Porto PJT 15:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SA Newbie 15:24 GMT , eur/gbp not found a floor yet.

Dallas GEP 15:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Closed CAD long @ 1.3364 +20

SA Newbie 15:24 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Any reason why Gbp not following the Euro south?

LHR B747 15:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Any one around with access to the EUR trading/fighting floor?
If yes, I would like to proivide you with a Viagra pill of 5Kmg to make the currency to fly.

If there are some good hearts around, please bring the EUR to 1.2650+++ soon - I hope all of you know now how bad it went if my last way for high EUR is to ask you guys :)

Have a nice weekend and Shabbat Shalom if applicable...!!!

Dallas GEP 15:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
No problem MMM. I can wait for my profit. GOOD LUCK!!!!

LHR B747 15:10 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Global-ViewJay // better to make these type of people to talk, let's pray he will not find a holy mission with the other hateful.

Washington mmm 15:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP didnt see yor previous post sorry..........GL.......LOL

Washington mmm 15:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP reversed #3353 with a stop # 3385 wish me luck to hold :) thanks

SA getFX 15:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GENEVA FHR 14:52 GMT > Thanks for quick results! Beat Bloomberg TV by ~ 3 min...

Global-View 15:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
USA. Contact me at [email protected] Your email address on file was bounced back to us

OK SZ 15:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Euro bounced off the lows so it looks like we push higher for rest of day

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Long 1.3343 on CAD

Chambery FR JFB 15:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Very quick Jay, congrats :-)

Eastbourne PJ 14:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Picked up some cheap CAD there.

dc fxq 14:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Basically a neutral UoM report. Expectatios a little down, current conditions a little higher and dome front runners got bagged again. LoL

Nottingham 14:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone quick enough to collect 3200 cads, gap now filled

GENEVA FHR 14:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
UOM 94.1

sgp sp 14:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Any idea of the data results?

shanghai bc 14:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

China is lending support to US economic growth

Porto PJT 14:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:41 GMT , yes i agree, but lets wait for Michigan first, bad number can send it down, and providing a better entry, besides that is a bit OB on s/t, imo.

Dallas GEP 14:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
1.3350 containing for now. MAY fail

Dallas GEP 14:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
CAD looks like it wants to break up. It will happen FAST if it does.

Nottingham 14:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Michigan number due in a few minutes...fwiw estimates for first look can turn out to be a long way off the actual reading, so whilst 95 expected, a surprise (in today's case recent data/releases suggest downside) can't be ruled out, as opposed to final looks which are often estimated correctly to within a point or so

Stockholm DG 14:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

AM I right of I see an evening star on USDCHF 1h?

Washington mmm 14:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP any views on the USD?CAD support levels today
still holding some long from yesterday
thanks

beijing road 14:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
This week is my worst week this year. Lost 200pips on EUR/USD and the cable, only won small pips on EUR/GBP. As some people siad b4, the best trade is no trade.

Porto PJT 14:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
out usd/cad at 39

Dallas GEP 14:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Well guys, Ithink USD/CAD may move the most I just don't whick direction. Option on Eur/USD may be keeping it up around 1.2240,, Option expires in 35 minutes

Stockholm DG 14:21 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

EURUSD support .2210 seems to be hard
to take out today. Your input?

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
john 14:11 / One thing that is VERY noteworthy imo is Greenspan's recommendation to Congress to change the bacground in the painting the gov't wants one to see. To witt: "One change the Congress could consider as it moves forward on this critical issue is to replace the current measure of the "cost of living" that is used for many purposes with respect to both revenues and outlays with a more appropriate price index." This from the good chairman who has been using this suddendly (?) "inappropriate" index to tell us how well/badly things are going. Makes me wonder for exactly what "planning purposes " the CPI is inappropriate. NOT directly PPI, but related closely enough. Trust at risk own's finacial perril imo.

Stockholm DG 14:20 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   


Ok.

GVI john 14:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
PPI = Producer Price Index . It used to be called the Wholesale Price Index years ago.

Dallas GEP 14:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Producer Price Index PPI

Riga Nick 14:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hello
I think if GBP breaks through 1.7990 can be some up move as a corrctive in a downtrend at least. GL, GT

Dallas GEP 14:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Will but on clear break of 1.3340 on USD/CAD

Stockholm DG 14:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

Hi

What is PPI?

Lagos Styrax 14:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nairobi
Thats quite good and patriotic.
Hope you get 2mbps throughput in kenya. Thats what I call broadband.
Hope you get that in all nucks and crany of kenya and at a price a peasant can afford.
Forgive my saying that. things are not that terrible here too; only that I think it could be better.
Cheers
gl/gt

B.A. BOCA 14:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
gold flatlined at 400...

not a bad idea actually...think this weekend starts early.

GVI john 14:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
PPI has been posponed indefinitely. There is no conspiracy. They are completely revamping the way the data are being calculated to make it more representitive of what its purports to measure and are having big proplems collecting the data from reporting firms. They would rather do it right than publish a flaky number. Inflation is not an issue in the U.S. at the present time anyway.

Nairobi, Kenya Jk 14:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Lagos Styrax 14:02 GMT March . Hey ! Dont say Africa. Please say Nigeria. Internet connection in Kenya is superb. I beleive Pip Pirate will say the same for SA. Why not Come and trade from Nairobi

Dallas GEP 14:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
G, right now it is 1.8036 (might move it ) but I wouldn't enter a shot right now, this possie was from many hours ago.

Lagos Styrax 14:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Gep
Hope the satellite footprint will get here in africa
internet access is still shaky and expensive lol
well, any thing for us boys - by the way of market direction

sf mike 14:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
No kicker here. Perhaps Consumer Snetiment at 9:45AM EST

Global-View 14:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Last we heard PPI was postponed again.

dc CB 13:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jay, have any information about US PPI?
I thought the US was to report the Feb PPI numbers at 13:30GMT. This is the second month in a row that the PPI has not be reported. what's up with that? too high numbers that would upset the no inflation mantra?

Cork g 13:58 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, may I ask where is your stop for that 7957 pound short?

Gold Coast martin 13:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Despite terrorist related fears the aud is under pressure to break the 7308 level and re-test the 7250 level as earlier on....aud should still be on target to complete its downward pattern down to 7250 range as posted earlier despite the volatility....g/l g/t

Dallas GEP 13:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Friends that 1.3217 CAD short from many hours ago limited out @ 1.3185 BUT I wasn't smart enough to long at the time!! LOL. The .7957 pound short is still in play on Pound.

I lost internet access again and had to work with trade desk on the phone hence no posts here, Access came back just 10 minutes ago. I am thinking of launching my own satellite called GEPSTAR for my own dedicated internet access point!!!!

CAD still looks bullish BTW

Nottingham 13:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
One thing I will say about usdcad re perceived trend/breakout, is don't count your chickens until the close...the past few weeks have seen trading where it broke through some major resistances by over a hundred pips, only to retrace fully before the close...this pair remains a buy on dips i.e. I wouldn't chase break-outs/upticks...nearterm needs to hold 3285 otherwise risks full retracement of post 12:00GMT move...gl gt

B.A. BOCA 13:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
productivity fell...important factor to look at when forcasting 'when will the jobs come?'.

Ldn Hat 13:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Tartu kuues 13:33 Thanks

SA Newbie 13:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks everyone-- Good thing it is not confusing!!LOL

Nairobi, Kenya Jk 13:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SA Newbie 13:37 GMT Yes. its positive but sometimes markets are crazy they just shrug it off and concentrate on other factors. I think madrid is still a worry. IMVHO

sf mike 13:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
No, markets move whenever they want regardless of the news.

B.A. BOCA 13:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hello all.......USDCAD bounced nicely off long-term support, but let's se how it holds up in this o/b environment. crosses supporting it right now..

i would ont expect too much movement (new highs, lows) before the weekend. too many loose ends out there.. so take the pips they offer you.
gl

OK SZ 13:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
yes this should be $ positive, but I think the terrorism thing is the BIG issue with the $ at this time..

LAX-LGB SNP 13:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
FWIW mkt prices in news much in advance of said announcement

SA Newbie 13:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Should this not be $ positive?

LAX-LGB SNP 13:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Current Account Gap Narrows Unexpectedly

KL KL 13:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
figures of 127.5 is $ +ve but $ decline?? this is not making sense....Now for Michigan Consumer Sentiment....this one is the real mcCoy??

Tartu kuues 13:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Hat- US C/A better then exp.

Global-View 13:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GVI 13:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Edit Delete
4Q03 C/A deficit $127.5 bln vs. forecasts of $136 bln

Nairobi Tn 13:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
deficit narrowed to -127B

GENEVA FHR 13:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
4thqt current acct 127.5bn

Ldn Hat 13:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Anybody have any news on the data out today

Porto PJT 13:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad rsi 9 in 1 hour chart dont support much higher levels s/t but i am long targeting 30+

Livingston nh 13:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD has no support until a test of last week's low around 120.50 - still likely to see 1.18 handle before correction ends

USD/CAD has fundamentals and techs in its favor now - 1.3440 may hold it for a few days

Lagos Styrax 13:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hey where is everybody?
Or is it friday fever; that can't catch the big guys
Well, lets see what happen @ 13:30
Gl/GT

Gen dk 13:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 13:12 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hey you pound stay in line at 50 and you Aussie back to 00 and you EUR back to 50 and JPY back to 00...no cheating

Washington mmm 13:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Nottingham

KL KL 13:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Today could be like yesterday.....down..down...everybody happy in right direction....go to toilet....then suddenly up and reverse....SL hit, chaos....up down ....cry...

I think Current Account will be 134.99...so the financial world would be in chaos and lows tested for a lousy 100K....Crazy! All ccy in holding pattern now ... like line dancing!!

Manama MT 13:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles JV
It is crazy upthere.. my adv is not to enter the market before the figure. of dificit. Pls don't get deceived by false movements besides it is Friday and the final session of the week is more rage expected within next 1/2 hour. gt gl

Nottingham 13:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...needs to close above 1.3285 to change negative outlook then would be a buy on dips to 10 day sma until it closed below it...next big resistance come in at 1.3380, but currently troubled by some former bottoms at 1.3330 + some fibos...with cad you don't need to over complicate things, just focus on 10 day sma as lead indicator of health...gl gt

GER ad 13:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD (1.3330),
The strong rally in CAD crosses in the last days may need to correct first and this may push USD/CAD higher. So sell 1.3380/90 with a S/L over 1.3420 (the brave may sell already 1.3335 with the same S/L).

LHR B747 13:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles JV: The crazy by himself have no idea what he will do, how those around the crazy should know?

Many people are throwing 1.2450+++ to the air, too difficult for me to call.

Los Angeles JV 12:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone have any idea what this crazy Euro is going to do today?

Washington mmm 12:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi. Any views on USD/CAD @ those levels
thanks

nyc jk 12:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ahh , now it makes sense! thanks John, yeah I agree with you.

GVI john 12:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
You can access the official press release using "Quicklinks" on the right sidebar.

Dnipropetrovsk Lars 12:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
15:30 US Current Account Balance for Q4 -$136.0bn -$135.0bn

LHR B747 12:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony: I took two minutes to stand will all of you, let’s pray the love will win against hate and our kids will enjoy a better tomorrow.

GVI john 12:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
jk- I agree 100%. what I posted was the first paragraph of the official STATCAN press release, The comment in italics was mine. I was wondering if there was a bit of editorializing in the first line. I think it was a significant decline.

nyc jk 12:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
John, given that Canada has about 1/10th the population of the US, it's probably not fair to characterize that report showing employment as being "little changed". That would roughly equate to a loss of 200,000 jobs in the US which I don't think you would say was little changed, fwiw.

GVI john 12:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2225…$/yen 111.25
DJIA +27 pts… 10-yr 3.72%, -5 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI for full text...


Lagos Styrax 12:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Good day to all
gl/gt

GVI john 12:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
February Canadian Employment

For a second consecutive month, employment was little changed in February (-21,000) and the unemployment rate remained at 7.4%. This recent pause in employment growth, attributable to weakness in part-time work, follows strong increases in full-time employment over the previous five months.

definately a disappointment GVI-John

SA Newbie 12:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks!!

Melbourne Qindex 12:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SA Newbie 11:35 GMT - Very likely.

MTL Dakard Cain 12:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony,

what would be ur view on ur pip raiding stop/loss position?

Thx

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 12:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone seeing a H&S formaion on the 4hour chart in cable?
TIA:-)

Melbourne Qindex 12:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ga Lee 11:08 GMT - Thank you.

Montréal taro 12:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP
do you still have the pound short

melbourne farmacia 12:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ML - whoever's on that line can't protect a cable dump.

Melbourne Qindex 12:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
IST Sez 11:11 GMT - It is in trouble!

sgp sp 12:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, usd/cad finally moving.....sure is a patience game with this pair....:)

Ldn Mvs 12:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
CAD data bad = -21.2k from 18.5 expected
unemployment still at 7.4%

Nottingham 12:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
CAD...unemployment unchanged at 7.4% but payrolls 35k less than exptd at -22k...testing 3285 on usdcad...key resistance...gl gt

Nottingham 11:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 11:42 GMT

understand...thx

Gen dk 11:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 11:43 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Her Majesty looks shagged out and could easily hitch up her skirt and run home for a hot tub, however the last few months show thet she can be willing to be shagged for a couple of hundred more pips should the right bear come along. Next weeks candle gives her some more scope for getting down.aimho

Barcelona Tony 11:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 11:41 GMT March 12 I use bothh 1hr and 4hr and the gaps are on my indicator, not in price GT GL mate

Barcelona Tony 11:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
pip raiders : sell euro 1.2211 t/p 2196

Nottingham 11:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 11:32 GMT

Are you using hourly or 4 hourly as I don't see any gaps on the daily

SA Newbie 11:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Quindex .. Do you see GBP/Usd under 1.79 today? TIA

Dnipropetrovsk Lars 11:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
What do you think about EUR?
Go down?

Barcelona Tony 11:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 11:15 GMT ... back to when gbpjpy was at 196 ... 1 month ago more or less ... that will be closed adn gbpjpy will see 195

Quito Ecuador Valdez 11:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar bounced back on Friday as investors, becoming nervous about market volatility after the deadly bombings in Madrid, dumped the euro and other high-yielding currencies they had piled up over many months.

ICT ML 11:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
anyone know of a 1.7900 strike on cable expiry today?....someone is defending that level in a big way....

Barcelona Tony 11:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
gbp/jpy also has a gap in my indicator at 196 ... shorted it at 200 .. target 195

Nottingham 11:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 11:13 GMT

What's the date of this gap?

Nottingham 11:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Canadian payrolls and unemployment due in 50 minutes...no change expected in the rate of 7.4% while payrolls expected to have risen by a similar amount as last month c. 15k...there is a risk that figures disappoint say some as January data suggested a dip from previously stronger levels, so any follow through with Feb data may spook cad, as traders would switch their bias to rate cut from currently unchanged...this would bring 1.3285 res into play and if taken should certainly see a return 1.33 handle...on the flipside stronger data will cause a kneejerk spike lower but I would favour buying any new lows...gl gt

Barcelona Tony 11:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd below 0.7 will close my indicator's gap ... getting there for sure

IST Sez 11:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Qindex,
how about aud/usd ,frd?
thnx

Ga Lee 11:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nice call qindex..

Melbourne Qindex 11:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:45 GMT March 12, 2004
USD/CHF : After consolidating between 1.2736 - 1.2798, the market will tackle the daily cycle upper barrier at 1.2861 // 1.2924.

sgp sp 11:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 10:52 GMT March 12, 2004

Thanks.....

Nottingham 10:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
audjpy...1st o/s 80.84 2ns 80.10...that first level has been seen and hit target since so if bullish you need to look for failure to reach that first o/s (on any pillback) during today's session...if taken a second time then hold off long till secondary o/s met...nzdjpy has taken both primary snad secondary o/s but has since bounced back to hit target for secondary o/s long play...however needs still to see at least 72.03 today in order to satisfy primary o/s long target, otherwise additional trade would need to be made Monday...gl gt

sgp sp 10:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, I will have to see how my other possies are behaving b4 I add on.....have to adhere to strict money management here.....don't want to over extend my resources. My pain threshold is not good and i do not wish to hit the panic button.

:)

Melbourne Qindex 10:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : I have a feeling that we are going to see this trading ranges early next week.


... // 1.7666* - 1.7743 - 1.7819 - 1.7896 - 1.7972* // ..

Gen dk 10:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne o 10:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
anyone getting a buy for gbp/usd

hk ab nzd .6 10:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// I suggest to add aud/nzd long at 1.13 handle.

patiently waiting after missing the chance to exit above 1.14....

hk ab nzd .6 10:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy looks v. vigorous.

sgp sp 10:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Mstr Q, your guesses are always better than mine. :)

Melbourne Qindex 10:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 10:33 GMT - I guess so!

sgp sp 10:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Mstr Qindex, have we seen the top for aud/jpy?.......

Thanks, gt 2 u

hk ab nzd .6 10:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// I hope that those C9 now believe the pair move to .72 and they don't have guts to short now and short at those .71xx to .70xx and I reverse all of them there.

Melbourne Qindex 10:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I guess we have seen the top for EUR/GBP and EUR/AUD

Melbourne Qindex 22:36 GMT March 11, 2004
EUR/AUD : The market is pulling towards 1.6939. The current expected trading range from my monthly cycle is 1.6695 - 1.6939.


... // 1.6695* - 1.6756 - 1.6817 - 1.6878 - 1.6939* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 23:07 GMT March 11, 2004
EUR/GBP : The current expected trading range is 0.6786 - 0.6849 and the mid-point reference is 0.6818. Something is not right! If the market can overcome the projected resistant point at 0.6911, it has a potential to tackle 0.7036

hk ab nzd .6 10:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// now I know what does it mean by trend is your friend......I hopethat I don't need to change my handle.

hk ab nzd .6 10:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
to any one who have aud/cad on platform, great BUY now.

hk ab nzd .6 10:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// let's see if I can smack this penguin for 600 pips, my best record is only 593.5.

sgp sp 10:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sorry, s/l above 81.62

hk ab nzd .6 10:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt//Lan Kwai Fong may be.

hk ab nzd .6 10:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// agreed with the strategy on aud/jpy.
think it will be a yen move to move the cross lower, I just closed my long dlr/jpy at 111.29

now holidng eur/jpy 136.06 opened last night for hedging purpose.

Dnipropetrovsk Lars 10:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gen dk 10:16 GMT March 12, 2004
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

How about this http://www.finlot.com/eng/forex_trade_signals/
It's better, I think.
What about you?

Sydney bl 10:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex what's your view on AUD/USD

hong kong nt 10:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- hope 2cu on Sun, any favorite pub?

sgp sp 10:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, short. yesterday, I shorted it as well, but during the volatility, I closed it with tiny profits. Just shorted it again,......looking to add another possie to the one I hold avg at 81.10....s/l above 80.62

what do u think.....

hong kong nt 10:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- brave to sell kiwi at .646...

hk ab nzd .6 10:21 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// it's just a delayed train for dlrcad and it has to move when all the others settle.....

the aud/jpy, did you short or long?

hk ab nzd .6 10:20 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
oh nt// my colleagues asked to have mj tonight. Maybe Sunday night :)

I am looking forward for that!

sgp sp 10:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, small one.....when u posted the last train on 1.12....I took a small possie....big one in usd/cad....pain in the butt and a medium one in aud/jpy.

gl & gt 2 u

Gen dk 10:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 10:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:24 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/JPY : The market is currently testing the supporting strength of the lower barrier of my monthly cycle at 80.56 // 81.62. The mid-point reference of 80.56 - 81.62 is 81.09.


AUD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels


... // 78.45* - 78.98 - 79.50* - 80.03 - 80.56* - 81.09 - 81.62* // ...

hong kong nt 10:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- time for beer?

hk ab nzd .6 10:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sp// are you in any aud/nzd position?

hk ab nzd .6 10:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
add .6460 same stop near .6478

hk ab nzd .6 10:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
bc// may I ask why you reckon eur will close higher during ny today? THANKS!

hk ab nzd .6 10:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
sell one nzd .6450. tight s/l.

hk ab nzd .6 09:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
after these few volatile weeks, I Think entering position with more than 2-3 indicators pointing the same direction will be good.

eur/gbp telling eur up but chf telling down. So, sideline on european except the eur/jpy.

close the dlr/jpy long half at 111.28 let the other half run.

BB A 09:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone know about convertible bond? I would like to know that where does the convertible bond usually trade? Is it traded in stock market or other market?

Thank you very much for all replies

Masterdam AEX 09:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn: you cannot imagine how many Europeans must have 1.2730 during this month - they sounded cool and sure that 1.2730 will hit during the rest of the month.

Does 1.2730 will hit from according to the information on your side?

Dnipropetrovsk Lars 09:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Support for GBP on 1.7920.
Next 1.7822

Ldn 09:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD Large 1.2300 & 1.2240 Strikes Expire Today

Miami OMIL (/;-> 09:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Somebody is guarding that 1.2240 on the eur/usd like their life depended on it but the bears are pushing. We will see who wins this one. ;-)

KL KL 08:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
look at cable...now look at the bounce. Today all ccy on their own mind .... throw away the crosses ... computer cannot cope!!!

Jakarta JacK 08:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP heading down!!! :P

brisbane sunstate 08:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia solo raden_masandi 08:41
Raden your crystal ball never cease to amaze me :-)
gl

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
It seems that the 1.2245-50 retracement is holding up the show for the eur/usd bears I will ride this one to 1.2180-70 or till it bucks me off. GL GT

Ldn 08:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD Exotic Barriers at 0.7250 & 0.7200

These could be holding the game play up at present , I dont know when they expire sorry anyone who does would be interesting

Indonesia solo raden_masandi 08:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad.
now is on the selling level?
be carefull !!

Chambery FR JFB 08:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Morning all :-) Just a question, not that simple it seems : how would you define a "swing", ie a point that is determinant for the t/l - channel? TIA

Indonesia solo raden_masandi 08:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
imo
seen fresh selling orders be place at area 111.42

Ldn 08:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt who is c9 notice you keep mentioning sorry to intrude.

Gold Coast martin 08:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
UK JB...there will no doubt will be another oner until the 7250 level is breached...as i have posted 8 hours ago ..if this occurs the aud will be going to the south pole to meet santa claus....

hong kong nt 08:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- c9 and ah pak is talking about breaking 0.72 and 0.70 now...

Indonesia solo raden_masandi 08:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hello
usd/jpy have get 111.42
good for sell?

U.K J.B. 08:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gold coast martin 8;22 8:21 x2

Is there another round of tsunami aud selling taking place ??

melbourne farmacia 08:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
joe - lock them in mate.

LondonJoe 08:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
aud - happy to take profits here on the weeks big move..
below .7220 break is very negative and will target .6980 .

Gold Coast martin 08:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
here comes another tsunami of aud selling.....still short on aussie at 7250

Gold Coast martin 08:21 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
here comes another tsunami of aud selling.....still short on aussie at 7250

Gold Coast martin 08:21 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
here comes another tsunami of aud selling.....still short on aussie at 7250

melbourne farmacia 08:20 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd .6 06:59 GMT March 12, 2004
Yes re dollar.

Nottingham 08:12 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
London BM 08:04 GMT

In such an extended and unforgiving downtrend I don't think you need to rush in picking bottom as the bounce, when it comes, will be reflective of that...I would like to see trending lower highs/lows pattern broken on the hourlies and a take of 7315 followed by buy support on dip down and then to take 7350 on next run up...that would lead to something a bit more substantial to end the Friday with...fwiw currencies pairs can end the week at highs or lows but they almost always immediately retrace on the Monday before making further headway, so its not worth chasing new lows once Europe starts to close own for wknd...gl gt

Ldn 08:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex thanks just got up a yen cross chart

Dallas GEP 08:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Took Profit on USD/CAD longs @ 1.3217, I am NOW short

Melbourne Qindex 08:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

London BM 08:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone here think that the AUD/USD has bottomed out. I targeted the bottom at .7275. thinking about switching and going long. Any opinions?

Nottingham 08:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab...we've tested 1.1320/1.1335 intraday following the break, now we're testing it on the daily...chances are we will test it on the weekly and so next week might give you an opportunity...

Gold Coast martin 08:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon...the aud failed to hold the 7250 level and bounced back above the previously broken 7308 level...this was mainly to the fact that it was oversold over a short period of time and it was only natural to expect a bounce back...however as this is just a short term occurence i expect the aud to re-adjust in the next 4 hours by tradining in a tight range of 7320-7345 and then continue its downward path again into the ny session...i expect to see the 7256 range breached by the end of the ny session...g/l g/t

hk ab nzd .6 08:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
the Asian has closed all the shorts now it's being smack by londoners.

Nottingham 08:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...has completed its minimum expected retracement and has been probing for more during the last half hour...might be some scope for a bit more to 45/50 but it may be slow going as chances are it will be a bit lethargic as we approach the payrolls figures due at noon GMT

hk ab nzd .6 07:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Not// too bad that I have never followed eur/nzd charts!

hk ab nzd .6 07:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// I am quite tempted to reenter short on nzd now to my handle!
but remembering this is Friday, think should leave it on the table.

Nottingham 07:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd .6 07:51 GMT

For nzdusd possibly, but against aud, it that level holds it will go back up...if not down...looking at eurnzd price action overnight, we took both 200 and 250 sma but reversed just below last peak made on 22nd Dec 03 and momentum has taken us back down to sit on 200 day sma...a failure to close above will argue for some nzd outperformance against eur/gbp and usd but not necessarily aud, as the more important factor there is that key support 1320/1335 now...gl gt

Jakarta JacK 07:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I think GBP will break 1.7940 if london traders full of sell mood. :-)

hk ab nzd .6 07:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
btw, Not, do u think the last dive is exhaustive enough for nzd?

Melbourne Qindex 07:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:50 GMT - Keep an eye on EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY.

hk ab nzd .6 07:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Not//I wonder why aud/nzd retreat that fast and one more thing is there's nothing special of that 1.1460. I couldn't think of any importance of that number.

U.K J.B. 07:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
stopped out of stg & eur/gbp yesterday. Option player in Euro @ 1.2180 didn't he do well. Sold eur/gbp again this a.m. with a call level at 68.60 - feel ccy pair is o/b negatives priced in for stg 68.50 (50%) thro 67.85 see lower My tar. 66 1/2 GL

Nottingham 07:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab...audnzd now testing break area 1.1320/1.1335...if this holds logical to target recent high until failure

Melbourne Qindex 07:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 06:52 GMT - USD/CHF : I am looking forward to see 1.28xx in London - New York session.

hk ab nzd .6 07:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// do u see C9 enters to buy aud and nzd yet?

hk ab nzd .6 07:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I think this is a temporary end of the nzd downmove and will bouy well on crosses.

but next downmove can be triggered when the gov't has an "breakthrough" announcement.

Ldn Hat 07:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML we have to be careful, I have moved my stop to 1.8050 and shorted more GBP/USD at 1.7980. Thanks IMHO

Ldn Hat 07:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML , yes we need to get a break of 1.7940 that will not happen unless the Euro goes down too so we need to wait for that move

Chamberry, ;-)

Chambery FR JFB 07:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Hat 07:16 GMT March 12, 2004
Very good job Hat! I checked your posts, looks like you wake up in the morning, sell some more GBP and walk away :-) Very impressive series :-) GT

Mumbai Jay 07:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP bears had a good chance to break down to new lows in Asia time when AUD was crumbling; but someone is holding the line at 40 and halted the slide several times. Take care guys, we could be in for a good-sized bounce, more so when EURGBP is hitting highs. IMHO pl

ICT ML 07:20 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning Ldn HAT...if we can just break through 1.7940 here, we are home free...been short from 1.7997 looking for mid 1.7800's first tgt myself

Ldn Hat 07:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Shorted more GBP/USD at 1.7950 stop 1.80 target 1.7850 IMHO Thanks

Dallas GEP 07:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Shorted POUND 1/7957

Ldn 07:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
St. Louis SAJ hello there, yes I also lost money on that move but much wiser now, if you recall wasnt it when their was also a crisis in Russia and many funds were caught , they has to close out most of their profitable positions and at the time he was holding considerable long aussie similar to how the market is positioned today. I recall he started getting rid of trades from the beginning of the year . Last I heard he had closed up and that was it - I now the site is still there but with his disciples

hk ab nzd .6 07:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// pt on nzd already and now let the goose fly. It's ready!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Technical Analysis
12 March 2004

GBP/USD (when at 1.7945)
· Level 1.7925 is the key resistant too.after break 1.79655. Very possible price move from 1.7925 (double bottom formation on hourly chart) to get 1.8275 as the first swing or second swing area at range 1.8367-1.8414. This area is good for sell to get lower then 1.8085. Confirmation to get 1.7813 if price show you 1.7945. Now price is on the way of looking strong support to continue long term up movement. If price show you 1.7945 before get 1.8367 that’s mean at 1.7813 price will get bigger buying attack there, but if price show you 1.8367 before get 1.7813 that’s mean when at 1.7813 buying attack is smaller.
· If price show you 1.7805 that’s mean price will be easy to get strong resistant at 1.7768-47. Be carefull with this area because this area is very strong resistant. Seen so many buying order placement here for long term trade. So price can move strong up to get railway in up trend from this area. But if price show you 1.7725 chart will get the key answer to get bearish situation and if like this we can hope to get 1.7413 or 1.7347. Hope not thinking buy again if price show you like this, but be carefull when price at 1.7413 or 1.7347 because buying order placement there too.
· Until now still not yet valid if we thinking price will get bearish situation and so we can still valid to hope 1.9295. Placement order sell for long term is very danger now because get bad on risk rewards ratio. Until now placement buying order for long term trade is better than selling.
· For daily trade good level for buy is when nearest 1.7930 to get 1.88265 and good for selling at 1.8281-92 and 1.8337 or 1.8403.

Eur/usd(when at 1.2270)
· Level 1.2054 is the key level. If price show you 1.2025 that’s mean price get the ticket to touch 1.1824. Be carefull when price is at 1.1824 because seen buying order be placed there but not for up trend (only swing). And if price show you 1.1800 seen bearish strong energy will come until price touch 1.1763-23.Be carefull when price is on this area because this area is very ideal as selling climax. But if show you 1.1700 that’s mean strong bearish for long term will be domintant (danger for buy order).
· For daily trade price still have chance to get 1.2494 or 1.2668. Good level for selling order placement is at 1.2314 and 1.2240-36 area. Be carefull with 1.2240-36 area maybe price move up so far. If price show you 1.2314 there is posisibility move down to get 1.2195-82 as extreme bottom to move up for trend to get 1.2882. But although price move until 1.2668 that’s mean up trend still not yet get clear signal. Until now long term target at 1.2889 is still valid to hope with assumtion price move from low 1.2054.

USD/CHF(when at 1.2765)
· Target level 1.2591 is still valid to be hoped with assumtion move from high 1.3073. be carefull if show 1.3088 that’s mean as indication that price will test high at 1.3329 as the extreme top.Good buying order placement is at 1.2457 or 1.2257, but not for up trend (only for get swing).
· Objective level is at 1.2461 still valid to be hoped. Be carefull if 1.2461 show you because very potential to drift of price until 1.2636 as the oscilation movement.
· Objective level that can be hoped for today is 1.2630 or 1.2591. be carefull with that level because can bring price move up emotion. The selling pressure will be so big if show you 1.2440 to get 1.2040.
· For daily trade good selling placement order is at 1.2775 – 1.2806 – 1.2840/64 - 1.2931 or 1.2959 and extreme top is at 1.3045. If you can get that levels you can still hope for 1.2630.
· Level 1.2806 or 1.2840-64 is for short term trade only.

USD/JPY(when at 111.20)
· Price have get confirmation to get 109.58 with assumtion move from start point at 111.60. Be carefull with 109.58 because very potential as the bottom but not for up trend( (only swing movement). But please thinking for sell when price show you 110.20 for second confirmation. Seen price move up only for swing..
· If 109.58 be get, there is high possibility to get next level at 108.73-51. This movement able to carry to get spiral movement until 105.39 as bottom price.
· Price is on the selling emotion as the reaction from 112.30. if price show you that’s mean price will get the nearest target 113.44.. If price show you 112.45 that’s mean price will up to get nearest target at 113.44. This level give you chance for move down so far, but if show you 113.60 that’s mean price still will up to get 114.99. This level is very potential as the top.Confirmation to get 117.94 if show you 115.20.
· For daily trade, good levels for sell are at 111.42 – 111.71 – 112.78



my best regards,
raden mas

Tallinn viies 07:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!

sold more euros ag gbp at 0,6841.

KL KL 06:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Go You little AUSSIE BATTLER....scare away a few bears....will you cause SL at .736. Today hopefully no more bomb or bomb scare

hk ab nzd .6 06:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, now we have dlr/chf above 1.2750 does it mean some strength of usd later?

St. Louis SAJ 06:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn -- Good memory, and my compliments to you for it! Mr. Dennis did indeed jack AUD around very thoroughly in 1998 -- no idea he was ultimately profitable, but the first trade I had in Aussie at that point lost quite a bit.

When I finally got a bit smarter, the subsequent straddles I bought did even better than expected (possibly lucky, but I still remember the trade quite well).

I hear (no solid evidence, sorry) that he retired from running capital for other folks in 1999. True? False? Any info?

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 06:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Qindex,How many hours from now do you expect usdchf to reach 1.2850,with ref. to ur view i saw some time back.

TIA:-)

Ldn 06:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex this means its in trouble . Aussie could fall quite fast as I recall the last time it was up here 75 area back 1998? it took out 400 in one session due to some fund closing out long positions. not sure of the exact date but do recall wasnt it when turtle closed his shop .

usa tom 06:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SK, i don't think sub 1.2 will be seen tomorrow, because if so euro would have lost 390 pips in 1 day, that's a little too much for now I think. 1.21 is a good target, and also maybe usd/jpy will break 112 again.

Ldn 06:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HKG SK my feeling on the USD is that it has it ranges that the large funds adhere to being 115-130 Euro for example and the market will trade between that for several month it suits the authorities without causing too much problem , just think we are in the bottom of that range at present similar to the Aud 65-80 range only extraordinary circumstance will jolt it from this for awhile but will revert back after time to between these levels Euro being new has yet to find its home

Melbourne Qindex 06:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : After consolidating between 1.2736 - 1.2798, the market will tackle the daily cycle upper barrier at 1.2861 // 1.2924.

HKG SK 06:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn

Thank you for showing this article in this froum. I have read it too. If you go to Fxstreet.com and read what other analysis you will noticed the feelings of the US$ is very confused. Noone seems to see why the GBP is down and Euro is up. But to me this is just to confuse all of us. We need to have aclear view today because there are a lot of pips to be make.

The view: US$ up across the broad.

Melbourne Qindex 06:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Mumbai jay 06:31 GMT - EUR/GBP : 0.6849 is a good resistant point.

Mumbai jay 06:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE Quindex .. Good day to you. Do you think we have topped out in EURGBP?

Melbourne Qindex 06:29 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:27 GMT - AUD/USD : Once my weekly cycle limit 0.73115 fails to hold, it is in deep trouble.

Ldn 06:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
HKG SK you could be right noticed this article .

Goldman Sachs cuts its 3-month forecast for EUR/USD to 1.2000 from 1.2600; says trend in eurozone's broad balance of payments appears to be deteriorating (partly due to smaller current-account surplus), domestic demand still seems to be struggling compared to other economies; adds its own estimate of EUR/USD's fair value is around 1.1500, meaning EUR/USD slightly overvalued

Ldn 06:27 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex good afternoon, do you see much more upside on the aud from here , it spiked to 73 about an hour ago but sold off fast from that , said to be massively oversold but do you see that standing in the way off further downside in this climate ? seem those who want to get out are just cutting anywhere now ?

HKG SK 06:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
The general theme is to buy US$ until you drop.Will be choppy at first but the big wave is coming. This is usually the case creating a bullish feel on Euro for a day and half and come Friday push the Euro down, there is a very good chance of seeing sub-1.20 tonight, Just watch.

Melbourne Qindex 06:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : 1.7867 is the next taget.

Melbourne Qindex 06:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Heading towads 1.2852.

HKG SK 06:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF will be up. I see a very flase price action yesterday pushing the Chf to 1.2660 now is 1.2765. Will see it breaking 1.3000 tonight. Don't get trapped at this level, tonight we will see a big jump in the USD as the terroist is targeting Europe not the US now, Just watch.

chester wb 06:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
closed long euro @ 1.2275.. -20 pips ..flat now

Stockholm DG 06:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

Morning


What you think about USDCHF?

melbourne farmacia 06:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab - should be interesting now on swiss.

Ldn 06:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GC Marting do you see Aud pressure in early europe in about an hours time ?

Sydney alimin 05:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd down down down

sf mike 05:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// what is c9 index?

Ldn 05:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone a bit of info for Commodity traders.

FX Asia: Charts Say Party Is Over In Commodity-FX Land
Even though prices of commodities such as copper, platinum and silver are at eight-year highs or more, the bull run for commodity currencies appears to have come to an end.
Although technical analysis indicates the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars might recover a little of their recent substantial losses in coming days against their U.S. counterpart, these currencies are unlikely to revisit their recent peaks any time soon. The end of the strong run of the commodity currencies - so called because their respective economies are leveraged to the performance of this type of exports - was flagged on the charts a number of weeks ago.
Those forecasts proved prescient as the Australian dollar, for example, traded down Friday to meet and eclipse a US$0.7309 target of a bearish head and shoulders top pattern. Just last month the Aussie dollar hit a seven-year high at US$0.8005 and the New Zealand dollar did likewise at US$0.7099. At 0350 GMT Friday the Aussie was at US$0.7273 and the Kiwi at US$0.6380, while the U.S. currency was at C$1.3195 dollars. To be sure, it is difficult to sell the commodity currencies after such precipitous declines, but investors likely will get an opportunity to sell them on rallies in coming days that are in the cards, due to the technically "oversold" nature now of the currencies. Underlying resistance for the Australian dollar is at US$0.7405 - a level generated by the low made last week. Near-term, this level would provide an ideal technical entry into short positions. Those with more patience and a longer-term investment horizon might wait for underlying resistance at US$0.7540 to establish short positions in the Australian dollar, which were made more attractive from a fundamental standpoint Thursday by soft local jobs data. The numbers prompted sharp rallies in 90-day bill futures with the strip pricing out the likelihood of an interest-rate hike anytime soon. Indeed, some analysts suspect the cash rate at 5.25% is at its cyclical peak. A similar view is building in the market about New Zealand rates, too, even though the central bank in each country has left the door ajar for another hike if needed later this year. The Australian dollar is likely to find minor underlying support nearby at US$0.7263, a high traded Nov. 20. A short-covering rally in the Australian dollar could come from this area, but this would merely provide attractive levels either to take profit on trading longs or establish short positions in the antipodean unit. Adding to the case for some sort of short cover soon is the simple relative strength index, which is now reading oversold on the daily chart at 30.0. The overall bearish view is also backed up by a massive sell signal issued Feb. 23 on the moving average convergence divergence, or MACD, measure of momentum, and the breach of 100-day moving average support Thursday at US$0.7482. Major underlying support isn't evident now until US$0.6843.
Across the Tasman Sea, similar patterns are evident in the New Zealand dollar, which isn't surprising in light of the high statistical correlation between the two currencies against the U.S. unit. The main difference for the Kiwi, however, is that the neckline of its complex head and shoulders top was triggered this week - the Aussie was triggered earlier - and the New Zealand dollar's downside target is still far away at US$0.6126. The target reflects the more than five U.S. cent height of the pattern, and the US$0.6635 level of the neckline when it was broken to the downside on Wednesday. Underlying support on this exchange rate isn't until the July high last year of US$0.6014. Near support is the 200-day moving average that comes in Friday at US$0.6222. But just as with the Australian dollar, investors who follow technicals should be looking to sell on Kiwi rallies too. Underlying resistance at US$0.6526 - a Jan. 19 low - is a good entry point, along with 100-day moving average resistance at US$0.6582. The other commodity unit, the Canadian dollar, looks a little different on the daily chart. Resistance for the U.S. dollar is at C$1.3308, while 100-day moving average support is at C$1.3138. Just as with the other commodity currencies, investors should look to buy Canadian dollars on any weakness.

chester wb 05:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
long euro @ 1.2295 testing the waters. i consider this a contra trade as there is more risk to the downside imo.

hong kong nt 05:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- c9idx helped my parents to scale out #5 at 125-129 and #11 toward 110, pretty impressive...

HELSINKI JAK 05:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
i`m statnding buy to sell eur/usd if 1.2260 breaks

melbourne farmacia 05:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab - so far so good. Last nights 1.2725 floor became the 1.2750 roof today. gt

HELSINKI JAK 05:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
hey guy
i have some news saying that the move on both eur/usd and usd/chf was based on a claim made by AL QAEDA`S claim in being involved in bali bombing. its seems though that markets are in doubts of that so they are mostly likely to give up alll the gains made during the occation

hong kong nt 05:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- forget to mention those c9 index may not be an 'absoulte' indicator of imminent reversal, use it as a indicator for scaling out maybe a good idea though. fwiw...

sar jf 05:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
not going to office tonight - im not sure

hk ab nzd .6 05:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
bloomberg has so many reasons to explain movement.... interesting.

hong kong nt 05:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
BC -- do you think it's safe to trade usd/chf 1.250-1.280 in coming few days? many good trades to you...

hk ab nzd .6 05:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
who was behind the whole move? do u know jf? TIA.

hk ab nzd .6 05:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// I need Revdax Macau index to confirm that before any new aud comment.

but judging from a trendy mkt view nzd now drops 200 pips daily.....

Melbourne Qindex 05:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:47 GMT March 12, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels


... 1.2200 // 1.2231 - (1.2262) - 1.2292 - 1.2322 - (1.2353) - 1.2384 // 1.2415 ...


The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability suggests that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.2200 - 1.2415.

hk ab nzd .6 05:23 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
faramcia, chf bounced right off the roof 1.2750, Gd take!

chester wb 05:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
1.2270/80 area is both daily and weekly support area for euro.BB's are starting to tighten up on hourly.. 15 min shows a bounce could be about ready. but it could just move between 1.2260/300 till london comes on

hong kong nt 05:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- no c9 buy aussie this morning, most expect .72 to break today. fwiw...

Melbourne Qindex 05:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The next target is 0.7256 - 0.7259.

Dallas GEP 05:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Friends I will be back a little later. Quite frankly I wouldn't enter a NEW euro or pound possie until we try to sort these thing out. FWIW

Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:47 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/USD : My current 44-day cycle suggests that the projected supporting level at 0.6851 - 0.6869 is likely to be challenged if 0.7318 fails to hold. A projected resistant point is positioning at 0.7502. In the mean time the market is likely to trade between 0.7318 - 0.7421.


AUD/USD : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels

... 0.7015* // 0.7096 - 0.7177* - 0.7259 - 0.7340* - 0.7421 // 0.7502* ...



Melbourne Qindex 00:05 GMT March 12, 2004
AUD/USD : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 0.7318 - 0.7365. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 0.7194 // 0.7225 and the upper barrier is located at 0.7442 // 0.7473.


... 0.7194 // 0.7225 - 0.7256 - (0.7287) - 0.7318 - 0.7349 - 0.7380 - 0.7411 - 0.7442 // 0.7473 ...

Melbourne Qindex 23:24 GMT March 11, 2004
AUD/JPY : The market is currently testing the supporting strength of the lower barrier of my monthly cycle at 80.56 // 81.62. The mid-point reference of 80.56 - 81.62 is 81.09.


AUD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels


... // 78.45* - 78.98 - 79.50* - 80.03 - 80.56* - 81.09 - 81.62* // ...

melbourne farmacia 04:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ML - cables running in a different trading pattern than euro as we know etc.. Gbp had this bounce at 1.7920 yesterday, so nothing again until 1.7920. But 1.7955 is a level of interest in my book. If things pan out this overall bounce should see 100 + pips rebound. GT

Dallas GEP 04:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Minimum 30 minutes and 2 -4 hours when it gets mixed.

chester wb 04:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
euro needs to break 1.2450/60 on top or 1.2160/70 on bottom otherwise we are stuck in the wonderfull world of consolodation. a lot of bucks can be made in consoldation areas that are wide

Montréal taro 04:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep what about the target

Melbourne Qindex 04:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
damage 04:32 GMT - It is just like weather forecast. Absolutely no guarantee for anything.

Montréal taro 04:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP which timeframe are you using with this strategy ? Under 30 minutes it doesn't look too good

MTL Dakard Cain 04:51 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
In my chart, eur/usd is going to form the trapezium, if no strange event in short term.

Sigs are still confusing.

KL KL 04:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 04:40 GMT March 12, 2004
Farmacia...do you have anything special at 1.7950 area?..

...Yes...he he he. But you will need to catch this lift* first....coming in??!!

disclaimer*: lift may not take you to desired destination!!

Dallas GEP 04:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
WB, I was just explaining how to interpret a upward sloping MACD in regards to a position strategy.

Dallas GEP 04:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jay, I would say not right now because we are on support levels again on both.

chester wb 04:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
buy what on dips GEP?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia good day mate I continue to learn from the expert’s here, thanks for your comments. GT

MTL Dakard Cain 04:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
SG Jay 04:41 GMT March 12, 2004
is it a good level to short euro & gbp ?

I doubt it. unless it (euro) break 1.2300/1.2270, imho.

SG Jay 04:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
is it a good level to short euro & gbp ?

ICT ML 04:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia...do you have anything special at 1.7950 area?..

Dallas GEP 04:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
YES that would be correct on BUY on DIPS signal

chester wb 04:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
if euro fails to break 1.2300 again i will sell it then agin i might not ..all depends! lol

MTL Dakard Cain 04:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Japan"s Feb [BANKRUPTCY] cases falls 23.8% yoy to 1,280, and debt is down 28.9% yoy to Y1.190tln.

Jan [INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION] is revised to +3.3% mom from preliminary +3.4%.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Good call on eur/usd yesterday Qindex missed the call (1.2143) by barely 18 pips the low was 1.2161 you must be slipping. ;-)

Dallas GEP 04:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
You CADDY long guys have to be patient, Alot of diffrent PULLS on that pair.

Montréal taro 04:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, my chart are screwed right now,data missing since 21:00.

But there was a buy on a dips signal at midnight yesterday on the same chart Eur/Usd 30 minutes, is that it ?

Gold Coast martin 04:33 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD..Looks like staying below 7295 ..next critical barrier is 7256..once this is broken then god help the aussie...i shorted aud to 7254.....g/l g/t

damage 04:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

Melbourne Qindex 11:32 GMT March 11, 2004
Melbourne Qindex 04:54 GMT March 11, 2004
EUR/USD : Heading towards 1.2143
???????????????????????

it is better for me not to give any advice
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

sf mike 04:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Now that the majors are coming down against USD. $Yen can move up to close the gap without affecting the Yen crosses too much.

Dallas GEP 04:31 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Note there will be less resistance going down for the pound compared to the euro because of the effect of the crosses

ICT ML 04:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
only thing I don't like, is how aussie bounced off .7250...sold some earlier, but not sure where it goes now

melbourne farmacia 04:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw - euro, swissy and aussie bounced off their respective pressure points - 1.2265 / 1.2747 and 0.7250. Might see a 2nd test coming up. GT

Dallas GEP 04:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Taro. look at a 30 minute chart on EUR/USD and at MACD chart 12 26 9 That MACD line is downward sloping indicating a sell on rallies strategy

Montréal taro 04:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep ealier(3:18 march 12) you said :

when MACD turned down = need to go to a sell on rallies

Well I tried to see in historical data how it would do. I can't see how you make money with this. Its probably because I am a visual person, I need to see it. Can you show me on a chart an exemple ?

KL KL 04:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I am back...whoo..Lucky I was out BE....Now this change the scenerio again. $ power is looking ominious...looking at $Jpy as well...another 20 billion used??? Looking better to long from here till NY time...but chart still respecting dominant down trend!! Goes to show no one knows what is happening...Maybe all Govt. Intervening to keep their $ down to benefit export...otherwise no recovery is seen. Of course no one will admit when this is done. The way it is this is deja wu again....Nothing makes sense now...big boys are playing!!

chester wb 04:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
uh oh-- I'm getting a buy signal on daily euro! whats this freaking world coming to?

Dallas GEP 04:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
WB, I am waiting for it to bounce up again MAYBE!!!!

Dallas GEP 04:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Check mail New trader/

chester wb 04:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
r u shorting euro yet GEP?

MTL Dakard Cain 04:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd is boucing at 1.2270~1.2282. Gep, what's ur view on it in short term? The sigs turns it's direction.

Thx

Dallas GEP 04:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Well ML it may be just as well this bounce points may hold for time being.

indonesia new trader 04:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
i have already request it but no reply yet.
this is my email [email protected]
you can send me first sir
savvy?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
FWIW for intraday position there is a sell signal for eur/usd around the 1.2250-60 area to test 1.2170-80 IMHO.

chester wb 04:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
1.2270/80 is weekly support for euro

Dallas GEP 04:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
OK newtrader sorry I thought you had it, I will ask Jay to provide it, my mistake. You need to email him the request.

indonesia new trader 04:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP
i don't know your email,how can i know if u don't tell me??
btw thx for the reply

ICT ML 04:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP...I hope you don't get them....you can have one after I get about 50 pips in the $$$$.LOL.slow poke....

Good euro sell sig at 1.2350..just took it myself..we'll see

Dallas GEP 04:07 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
1,2300 and 1.8000 were the places to short and I missed it!!!! This 1.2270 and 1,7970 area may be pause points

hong kong nt 04:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- pls check email

Dallas GEP 04:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Waiting on upticks to short both euro and pound may not get them!!!

Sydney alimin 04:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
now we see all this delayed action for euro :) hopefully things will get back to normal

hong kong nt 04:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf daily range 1.265-1.285

chester wb 04:02 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
well I see the euro is about back where it started

Dallas GEP 04:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
My guess would be Eur/cad SHORTING is keeping goose from rising. YEP that's it,

hk ab nzd .6 03:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP// and one has to be careful when aud/nzd hit the previous top as well 1.16.

Dallas GEP 03:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Helll with all that AB, just tell me when to close it when the time arrives and it will be done!!! LOL

hk ab nzd .6 03:58 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
The day is long..... and I think London will have even bigger trouble 'cos they long commod. yesterday...

What I am really INTERESTED in now is the goose.

What is holding it?
crosses? may be but should not be that serious.....

hm.... either 100 dma / 200 dma will tell.

Dallas GEP 03:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
See what I mean about Euro??? Careful tho because 1.2280/90 is support as well

hk ab nzd .6 03:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// I need to see I can confirm you after 6:00 pm.
can you leave me your phone number in my hotmail address?

hk ab nzd .6 03:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP// I posted it already.

for safer play, once the price is close to the 200 dma, the stop should be tightened.

BUT if price pierce thru like a knife in butter, then, you will need to pay me a ticket for a Dallas trip hahaha.

Jakarta JacK 03:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
CLosed my EUR long in pain.. hehehe, I'll wait the EUR to be bottommed for another long pos.

hong kong nt 03:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- today friday, have time drink beer?

Dallas GEP 03:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AB. when should one TP on this NZD/USD short????

Dallas GEP 03:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jack Euro looks still mixed but it may break down rapidly so BEWARE!!!

Washington mmm 03:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Bought aussie @ 7270 with a 20 pips stop gl

hk ab nzd .6 03:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP// A bucket of Carlsberg!!!

Chinese idiom, how fast one goes, how fast one leaves.......

nt// This is the exact squeezing that I talk about.

and I will be patient to wait for bc to long aud together near .70 line.

Think eur/aud 1.7, aud/jpy 78.00 will give some support to aud now.

hong kong nt 03:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- you're right, with AUDJPY, AUDGBP, AUDEUR, AUDCAD all pointing downward, no hurry to buy...

sg tw 03:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
thanks hk ab nzd. seems possible now. further unwinding of crosses. now 1.6903

Melbourne Mel 03:46 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
How far will Aussie go??? Any comments

Gold Coast martin 03:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD..broken through critical 7308 level qite sharply....will need to see in the next 2 hours whether it holds the 7290 level so that a further downside side is identified.....g/l g/t

Jakarta JacK 03:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, EUR MACD on my 15 and 5 min charts are turning. What do you think?

ICT ML 03:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Aussie just fell off the cliff.....hang on now!

Montréal taro 03:45 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
look at that Aud, nice isn't it ?

Dallas GEP 03:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Newtrader, you have my email. Shoot me one bro!!!!

Montréal taro 03:43 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
thx Martin

Gold Coast martin 03:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MONTREAL taro .....good points that all ALL TRADERS should follow....

Montréal taro 03:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Cain, Gep, I'm on this forum since monday and right now I gauge who his "good and reliable" or who I feel confortable with their posting. I never follow anyone and don't intend to ever do it. I use it at a confirmation only. Or to learn new strategy and how to apply them. Than I adjust it to me.

I think even if you find somebody you can trust, you should never rely on that person permanently. I can understand that a newbie follow somebody for the time he is learning, but it should be on a temporary basis for his own wellbeing.

So far Gep and Martin

melbourne farmacia 03:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
As long as Usd/Chf trades under 1.2750, buying pressure will intensify on euro.

hk ab nzd .6 03:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud soon hit the 1.7 ceiling and if no rocket seen, aud could have a temporary bounce.

Indonesia Newtrader 03:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP
i want to talk about some business here,if you want to pass just tell me.
but if u want hear more let me send u email.
savvy?

Rye, NY et 03:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Long Eur/USD 1.2308 ;cut 1.2230;take 1.2425

hk ab nzd .6 03:26 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
nt// I think a fast final down move on aud and nzd is coming soon. just want to catch a more promising wash out than enter at here. 'cos we could be squeezed pretty hard above .73 and .64.

Dallas GEP 03:24 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Great point Taro. Cain, you will have as many signals as you have traders and some of us may be on different timeframes. Athens for instance is a medium term and longer trader so he may have a signal to SELL euro and I may have one at the same time to BUY euro because the charts we look at are on diffrerent timeframes. Also the interpretation of when a signal is given can be completely different (and wrong for that matter) from trader to trader. The signals then are only as good as the accuracy of the provider!!!

MTL Dakard Cain 03:23 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Taro,

I follow GEP's most times.

I am just a bit curious, when I saw ppl came and asked:" what is a stop?" and wondering whether they will make money to follow one sig strictly?

hk ab nzd .6 03:21 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Friday.....

Dallas GEP 03:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jack, the stochs are with you, the MACD is not. Mixed really as you can imagine. Over the longer term tho the MACD usually wins out. It can still long with a downturned MACD tho but usually if MACD stays turned down that indicates a need to go to a sell on rallies strategy instead of buy on dips.

Montréal taro 03:18 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dakard Cain
Which signal are talking about ? It seems to me that there is more than one trader who is giving signal.

hong kong nt 03:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- AUD .730 is a buy, stop at .723, if hit, erase +70 last night...

sg tw 03:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
any advise on aud/eur. will it stay abv 1.6800 for till next week?

Gold Coast martin 03:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD trying to break through critical 7308 level....pattern of trading like the euro......have had aussie shorts at 7295 since yesterday....will keep you posted....

Jakarta JacK 03:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
OK, will hold and wait. I'm really hoping the EUR will reverse and go up, currently -23 Pips long pos. :-(

Dallas GEP 03:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jack, it will need to go convincely THRU it or shorts to work and keep bouncing off of it for longs to work but it looks HEAVY to me.

Dallas GEP 03:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jack, it will need to go convincely THRU it or shorts to work and keep bouncing off of it for longs to work but it looks HEAVY to me.

Jakarta JacK 03:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, EUR has just touch 1.2307...

Montréal taro 03:01 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dakard Cain
For each winner we need a looser.

Dallas GEP 02:59 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AB. they may bury me with that possie if you don't tell me when to close it!!! LOL Still short .6474 seems like it's been down to it's current price level 5 or 6 times since I have had possie. STRANGE pair!!!!

MTL Dakard Cain 02:57 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Yes. that makes me feel better. :)

A sideline question: Will the signal make everybody become rich in long term, provided they follow the sigs? even they don't spend long long long time in training and studying?

I've seen more and more ppl join this business.

Gen dk 02:56 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nzd .6 02:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep// hope that you are still holding your nzd short price looks quite trendy now.

I have a number in my mind. 200 dma .6220 GL.

Montréal taro 02:52 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MTL Dakard Cain

Look at the time GEP spend in this forum, it is like 2 full time job. And he still sharp too

Hope that make you feel better

SAIHAT 02:50 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
for demo....short term

BUY GBP AT 1.8025.STOP 1.8005

SELL USDCAD 1.3200...STOP...1.3250

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:49 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MTL Dakard Cain 02:14 GMT March 12, 2004
good.
let's pray for them together.. just need your time 1 minutes.
:(

MTL Dakard Cain 02:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Thx GEP.

I guess I'll hold for a while till ur sig updated. It's painful to wait 4 your sig at night while having a full time job at day-time.

hk ab nzd .6 02:47 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
bc// do u see any chance for eur to break 1.21?
I think the chance becomes quite less after eur/gbp stabilize on .6820.

Dallas GEP 02:42 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MMM. personally I think it is too low to short from here and I am not sure I would long it from here either for that matter.

Dallas GEP 02:40 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
For the Euro 1.2307/8 is pretty key. That needs to hold for you guys if you are longing, For you shorters that meeds to break thru.

Washington mmm 02:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP any view on aussie here ?

LA saint3 02:37 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
what happened to euro and gbp at this time?
drop so much..

anyone can explain?

Dallas GEP 02:36 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Got a little nervous there MMM???? LOL Anytime you get out with profit I say GREAT!!! Sure as helll beats the alternative.

Dallas GEP 02:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Cain, may have missed it but I thought it would short some more (USD/CAD) before longing.. I had another BUY order @ 1.3165 but it wasn't seen.

Dallas GEP 02:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GREAT game. Dallas had almost 40 shots but Flyers goalie played a GREAT game. 2-2 tie

Sydney bl 02:32 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
KL KL
are you going to long EUR/USD now

Montréal taro 02:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

I cross my finger with you so Leclair score in the last 5 seconds of OT

Washington mmm 02:28 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep .just got out with 3 pips plus...LOL

Dallas GEP 02:25 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Great Hockey game Star vs, Flyers 2-2 regulation Stars tied with 30 seconds left Overtime next.

MMM, cross your fingers!!! LOL

Washington mmm 02:16 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP the CAD 3157 held so far ....thanks :)

MTL Dakard Cain 02:14 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Yes, I totally agree with OMIL on the Spain's horrible news.

Let's pray for those victims who suffered in the attack, and their families who lost their loved one.

May their souls find eternal peace with God!

KL KL 02:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Out of EUR 1.2320 BE...need to leave to attend other matters. This type of market need human to react..be back to see if trend is broken or not..still I see small channel down trend may take it to 1.2310...this is where I will be buying for upside later. Same for Gbp....

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:08 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
I see a lot of comments for the people of Spain and it is good to see people unite in times like this. My prayers also go out to the families that lost a love one today. The spike on eur/usd today was good for my intraday position but not for my midterm position. With 1.2460 resistance next in line for the bulls on eur/usd and eur/gbp closing in on 55dma the bulls have some life left in this tug of war (even if the pull back was so strong). Fib retracement numbers are 1.2300-05, 1.2275-80 and 1.2245-50. Suppport is at the moment at 1.2290-2300 and 1.2270-80 area IMHO. GL GT

Melbourne Qindex 02:05 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 02:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Cain no not yet

hong kong nt 01:55 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
ab -- long nikkei and short dji work in bear phase as well...

KL KL 01:53 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Jakarta JacK , Sorry you are right 1.2320...for a long and painful ride to 1.2360++ maybe more if the charts hold . Normally this type of run have already caught a few EUR bears and will stop out more as it goes to 1.24...already did on 1.2365...These market people smell blood both ways. Yesterday it was blood the other way 1.1980...so I tend to play the trend now and not be too clever...I have throw fundementals out the windows.. GL

Quito Valdez 01:44 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Top o' the evening. Assuming U saw news: Al Qaeda claims Madrid & emailed supposedly the USA that we're next & that job is 90% completed, going to happen soon. In a chat conversation with someone I know in Madrid today their news states their cops found a guy with a suitcase the same type as what they thought the bombers used to carry their goods and it contained blasting caps, a cassette with Arab music on it and passages from the Koran. They've got the guy incarcerated oof course. So maybe there's some truth in the Al Q. doing or helping Basque separatists do the Madrid job. That being the case, if enough people think the USA is in for it, the dollar will slide. If we git hit, have Euros, CHF, GBP or whatever ready to buy into stocks when they crash. Spain's stocks took a dip, good time to investigate. Japan had better have dumptrucks full of dollars if it wants to play much more.

Outa here, hope you all did well.

Jakarta JacK 01:41 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
KL, 1.2320 or 1.2220, coz currently is still 1.2320 level.

KL KL 01:39 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Long Eur/usd 1.2220cut at 1.2214, tp at 1.2260

MTL Dakard Cain 01:38 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, should I long USD/CAD at 1.3178 now? haven't got ur updated sig.

Thx

Jakarta JacK 01:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hello guys, any suggestion for EUR/USD? Thanks

indonesia new trader 01:34 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP
sir,i want to talk to you if i can via email or messenger.
so....

Dallas GEP 01:22 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
MMM, that 1.3157 had held it so far hasn't it??? USD/CAD right now is looking bearish tho. You could move stop down to BELOW .3140 or see if .3160 will hold your choise.

B.A. BOCA 01:19 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn// i think they agreed to stop campaigning, but i have not heard anything about canceling the elections (yet)-

if they played uefa cup games today....

Dallas GEP 01:17 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Still have usd/CAd long from 1.3205 from much earlier. That will see money tonight, Should have longed some more from 1.3165 but I wasn't around. May long more from 1.3170 if seen again.

Melbourne Qindex 01:13 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 01:04 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
B.A. BOCA think the election is being cancelled now , sure I just heard that on Bloomberg.

Livingston nh 01:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD still below 55 da ema (1.2435) but MACD starting up - Swissy in its flight to quality poised right at the crossover juncture of 21 da and 55 da (as pointed out yesterday) and MACD has nearly rolled over -- so in my technical bubble nothing has changed YET//Cable still weak and on target for 1.7850

OZ deanobravo 00:54 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 00:35 GMT March 12, 2004
cheers Harv, threw me a bit with the Ltn.....I did'nt recognise you..hehe, things going good here thks.
There was no breakdown on the figure unfortunatly..
gl gt

Melbourne Qindex 00:48 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ltn th 00:35 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi Deano. nice to hear you.
Was there any breakdown between domestic and investment markets?
Hope your own a/c doing well.

OZ deanobravo 00:30 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUST...housing finance fell 8.1 % in Jan (f/c 4%)

Melbourne Qindex 00:15 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ltn th 00:11 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
BC// Sorry. I read the reference to cable but missed the aud/usd bit. Many thanks.

Ltn th 00:09 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
BC// Your wisdom has been eagerly awaited by many and is much appreciated.
How do you see this impacting on the AUD given those arrangemnnts that may still be outstanding? Will it force a premature closure or simply delay the timelines?

Melbourne Qindex 00:06 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

B.A. BOCA 00:03 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   
on the bombing and whether it's ETA or AlQeda.....don't expect to get any answers until after Sunday's elections in Spain- a proven link to BinLaden would hurt the ruling PP's chances at getting majority again, since they were the one's who got them into bed with Bush..

gl

NYC tv 00:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

think USD going to be weak, tomorrow. Euro has broken out of 1.2340-1.2350 area, next resistance is 1.2450.

GBP has resistance at 1.8167, a break of that and its clear sailing.

Tom is Friday, been a tuff weak for EQ, data release, terrorism fears, etc...

shanghai bc 00:00 GMT March 12, 2004 Reply   

Eur/Usd is likely to further its advances closing much above the present 1.2350 by NY close..Usd/Jpy may stay still whole day unless some folks coner BoJ lads into 110 line..And Cable and aud/usd may try to stay just above the water thanks to advancing Euro..Their time will come later though..Fwiw..

 




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Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

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Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
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Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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