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Forex Forum Archive for 03/17/2004

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shanghai bc 23:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   

CK -- Short-term,it may try to recover from crosses front putting it in Gbp/Usd 1.80-1.84 range with upside bias..Medium-term,it may fall a bit more along with Eur/usd towards 1.75-1.80 region..Long-term,we may be able to see 1.90-1.95 region again this year..Again,Gold will lead the upside march for Euro and Pound but Gold is still in a range with a potential to breakout to the upside in a few weeks time..Imho..

Dublin CK 23:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 23:45 GMT March 17, 2004

Where do you think the target for cable in the future will be?

shanghai bc 23:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   

Cable may be trying to recover from the KO it suffered recently..MPC 's clear words is to the effect that it will raise rates in coming months but only slowly in order not to push up Pound too fast..Not often we hear such a clear signal to the market..Market has something to go for at least..Fwiw..

UK GF 23:42 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Medley's Richard Medley says Fed isn't that worried about Jobs growth or the lack of it - viewed by most as major factor keeping U.S. rates low but Medley's Richard Medley says Fed isn't that worried about it "I don't think the Fed's going to jump to any conclusions yet because their models still strongly indicate job growth will begin." Still, if are few more months of tepid payrolls then Fed may have to do one of two things - either conclude its jobs predictions were too high or shifts in labor force make data less important and the second being more the case says Medley
(reuters Newswires)

UK GF 23:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Eases Back To 0.7400 As Model Funds Sell

Melbourne Qindex 23:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 23:18 GMT - Good morning/evening! The 22-day / 44-day cycles are only good for forex, stocks, bonds and commodities.

Melbourne Qindex 23:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 23:18 GMT - Good morning/evening! The 22-day / 4-day cycles are only good for forex, stocks, bonds and commodities.

Dublin CK 23:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Doc Q,

Do you give any 22 day cycle analysis on the cheltenham racing festival?

Can best mate win the gold cup for a third year?

Ps: Thanks for your contributions, I find them very helpful

usa tom 23:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
long aud to 7445, long nzd to 6540, will reverse nzd, hoping for 6370 by friday.

hk ab .6 nzd 23:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
2nd nzd option will be matured today.

altogether the two contracts bring another 1000 pips.

Melbourne Qindex 23:07 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:07 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels (17/03)


Set A : ... //1.2081* - 1.2121 - 1.2161 - 1.2200 - 1.2240 // ...

Nassau QF 23:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:03

Thank you.

tokyo nyan 23:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
good morning, Did Anybody hear any talk of Medley report? it supposed to be taking about change in Japan"s intervention stance??

Melbourne Qindex 23:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Nassau QF 22:56 GMT - Spot Gold : Whenever there is a general interest we will run the analysis.

Melbourne Qindex 23:00 GMT March 17, 2004
Spot Gold : The market is entering a barrier of 403.7 - 410 and the mid-point reference is 406.9.

Nassau QF 22:56 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Mr. Cheung,
Do you ever track gold?
I don't see any analysis on your member site but I was wondering if it's something you ever do analysis on.

Melbourne Qindex 22:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:43 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels


... // 0.6522* - 0.6628* - 0.6734* // ...


After Expansion :-


... // 0.6522* - 0.6575 - 0.6628* - 0.6681 - 0.6734* // ...


Melbourne Qindex 22:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:41 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/GBP : Month Cycle Quantised Levels


... // 0.6522* - 0.6628* - 0.6734* // ...


After Expansion :-


... // 0.6522* - 0.6575 - 0.6628* - 0.6681 - 0.6734* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 22:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 0.6638 - 0.6734. A projected resistant point is positioning at 0.6750.

GVI john 21:51 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2240…$/yen 108.25
DJIA 10,300, +116 pts…NASDAQ 1,977, +34 pts
10-yr 3.70%, +1 bp’s

PERSONAL OPINIONS:

For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI text

or 21:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have any news on AUD/USD? Seems to have regained its footing now. Short covering from last weeks badly oversold state or new position taking now?

Ltn th 21:26 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Do I see a certain irrational exuberance in certain sections of the market? I think it might be wise to look to slightly longer term charts. Daily on a number of pairs is suggestive. Would those more expert on t/a care to comment?

Melbourne Qindex 21:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tpe jen 12:33 GMT - USD/CHF (22-day cycle) : The one I posted was from 16/3. In general it is very dominant on the first day and the last day of the cycle. In a strong trending market a particular one can dominate for several days. However the weekly cycle is the best overall if the market is trading in the normal weekly range.

Brisbane L 20:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, my little voice has not been talking to me lately - perhaps I should listen a bit harder.

prauge viktor 20:48 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep thanks once again but I wana to tell u that the last 24 there is a lot of confusion inside the market maby its the BOJ effect

Dallas GEP 20:41 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, USD/CAD has a bullish overtone. AB I know planned on longing from here but I think we may could see 1.3350 /60 FIRST. It is MIXED to be sure. i don't know whether I would enter a possie on it right now currently

SA Newbie 20:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi Gep, I must say today was very confusing. I must still adapt to make rangebound days a success too. I keep on thinking once in a direction it will just keep going. Still trying to work out which indicators will do it the best. Yr postings are really a great help, Thanks

prauge viktor 20:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep what u think long cadnow thanks for ur help

Dallas GEP 20:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
This is one of those times where a little voice tells you what to do and like a FOOL you don't do it. 1.2250 was one of those moments that beckoned out to be shorted but I sat on hands!!! Problem with shorting now is if that 1.2220 area is still acting as support or not the it won't go much from here

Dallas GEP 20:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Taro. If it helps others than great, It is well worth it to me for I get MORE satisfaction out of other people's successes than I generally do out of my own.

Montréal Taro 20:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP
For what I know you don't have any obligation to do anything.
Therefore no need to apologize. Anyway Thank you very much for the experience and knowledge you bring to this forum thru your participation.

GER ad 20:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
plovdiv ok 19:58
EUR/CHF,
May find support near 1.5590 and reverse (targets: 1.5710; 1.5750; 1.5810...) if not 1.5560 (1.5510) could be seen. Under 1.5490 very negative.

Porto PJT 20:07 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 20:03 , thank you, good trades to you.

Dallas GEP 20:04 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks TarHeel, but I did screw up keeping the euro possies updated!!! LOL

pd cumino 20:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Pj Amc.

Porto Pjt. No, I closed in February my mid December pos.
I am watching, but to say the true I am a bit confused.
When I don't understand I don't trade.
As you know technicals or economics aren't sufficient reasons for me. When (if) I will have a decent idea I will post for you. GL.

Calabash TarHeel 20:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:52 GMT March 17, 2004

Dallas, regardless of your situation, you do a superb job of posting. Many thanks!

Dallas GEP 20:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Yep. Taro, my last update on Euro prior to this last post was when I took a short from 1,2268 much much earlier . So I am behind my friend, I apologize.

plovdiv ok 19:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
please give me advise about eur/chf with targets

Dallas GEP 19:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Taro I entered longs @ 1,2195 and 1.2199. Quite frankly I can't remember if I had posted that or not. I have having some issues keeping everything updated because I have more to do lately and LESS equipment to do it with!!! LOL.

pj amc 19:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino on a 30 minute chart is the 3rd time at approx 1.8180. major resistance here and stochastics are in overbought territory..........just my opinion

Porto PJT 19:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 19:35 , hi cumino, could you tell me if you have any work made on eur/sek front, and if yes what your medium term view?thank you, sir.gt.

Montréal Taro 19:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I'm curious to compare to me.
I looked on the forum but couldn't find the time you enter and at how much.

Montréal Taro 19:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep, now that I know its ok

What about the pound and euro, did you trade them today ?

Dallas GEP 19:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Closed eur/usd longs @ 1.2250.

pd cumino 19:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
pj amc 19:12
Why cable looks ripe for a pull back?TIA

Dallas GEP 19:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Sorry Taro, the Beast is a term for the POUND GBP/USD although that term makes some people cringe. I will try and be more clear and use the correct terminology.

pj amc 19:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Cable looks ripe for a pullback. Just shorted at 1.8170

Montréal Taro 19:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Did you trade the Pound an Euro today ?
Which currency you call beast ?

NYC NYC 19:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Forex marklet feels like it is trading with no tolerance for pain.

Dallas GEP 18:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
DP I am studying the beast as we speak. Euro longs are working well. USD/CAD shorts are beginning to work. Closed out half of them already (some @ 1.3375 and some @ 1.3425 (those are closed))

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:56 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
The daily eur/usd pennant has been pierced but a closing above 1.2220-30 would still not give the bears the break they need to test the lower bottom created in 3-3-04 IMHO. We shall see what kind of a bounce eur/usd will produce this time.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:48 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
FWIW eur/usd is still in no man’s land but the pennant is there no more and I might actually get to see 1.1980-85 after all (maybe). As long as 1.2170 holds these are the rough retracement numbers 1.2250-55, 1.2270-75 and 1.2295-2300 for now. GL GT

LAX-LGB SNP 18:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
interesting formations on aud$. eur$ and $chf daily charts
since the week's tone appears to be set lower i think i'll hold $$s till weekend despite mid-week rollovers (ouch !)

FWIW eurjpy still outpacing eurusd by twice as much, what gives ?

London GB 18:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gold shooting up.

Kaunas DP 18:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP
do u have any ideas about beast for next 24h - TIA

FFT 18:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
German Chancellor Scnroeder called the eur/usd rate unfavorable but added that nevertheless exports have been growing since the start of the year.

GVI 17:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Several Dead After Blast Rips Through Baghdad Hotel

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - A powerful blast ripped through a Baghdad hotel and neighboring houses Wednesday evening, killing several people and sending flames and smoke into the night sky in the center of the city.

Correspondent Luke Baker said several bodies were being pulled out of the rubble of the Mount Lebanon Hotel, a small hotel used mainly by Iraqis and Arabs.

The hotel, neighboring buildings and several cars were ablaze, and rescuers said many people were trapped under the rubble. The blast sent a column of flame and smoke into the night sky.

Ambulances and police cars raced to the scene, and crowds of frantic Iraqis rushed there to look for friends and relatives.

A crater about 20 feet across and 10 feet deep was blown out of the road outside the hotel.

Guerrillas fighting the occupation of Iraq have mounted several car bomb attacks in Baghdad in recent months. Hotels have been targeted several times.

london phil 17:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
huge bomb blast destroyed the hotel lebanon in baghdad many dead used by foreign contrators they are saying

nyc jk 17:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
great trade ad

GER ad 17:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD out at 1.2229

Tallinn viies 17:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PAR 15:52 - you are not correct.
actually last year market has been trading other way around. if dollar weaker oil goes stronger. if dollar bounces back stronger, hedge funds are selling oil...
fwiw

Nassau QF 17:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Held it until after FOMC I guess.

Nassau QF 17:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
WASHINGTON, March 17 (Reuters) - The U.S. Labor Department said on Wednesday it will release its delayed Producer Price Index data for January on Thursday at 0830 EST (1330 GMT), but had not scheduled a date for the February data, also delayed.

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=topNews&storyID=4588966

sgp sp 16:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
gdnite hk ab.....c u tomorrow. :)

porto Azarento 16:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Buy eur/chf 1.5648

usa tom 16:51 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
good night ab, seem like u may get ur chance to sell nzd again as it stopped here and may bounce back, i closed half of my position already from 6493.

hk ab .6 nzd 16:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
must say gd nite, tired.
eur SAR unchanged there.

place aud/nzd p/t 1.1530, same reason.

GER ad 16:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD bounce not convincing, S/L moved to 1.2190

U.K. J.B. 16:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
but= buy

london cam 16:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Isle of WIght DHE 16:19 GMT March 17, 2004
Hourly still southbound on EURUSD so I'm holding on too. wouldn't be surprised to see 1.2095 tested by NY close if 1.2180 doesn't hold

U.K. J.B. 16:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Back after a fantastic day at Cheltenham Races. Quick update re Eur/Gbp position 100 points now in profit re previous postings, but @ your peril, we are heading for 66.45 again as previously stated

Nassau QF 16:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Jan PPI coming out tomorrow?

hk ab .6 nzd 16:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
KEvin, have you rest already?

hk ab .6 nzd 16:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
:)

hk ab .6 nzd 16:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
747, I hope that would not be too mean to you.

plz move your s/l a bit lower cos I don't want to see I SAR to eat your stop.

hk ab .6 nzd 16:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hope some brave cad bears help me to fill teh 1.3390 long overnight.

indeed, this morning those die-hard nzd bulls didn't push it to .6750! missed by 3 pips.

hk ab .6 nzd 16:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
close dlr/jpy longs.... too risky.

Dallas GEP 16:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Friends, IMO the pickings will be easier tom and Friday. Don't over committ on position sizes.

London EC 16:26 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
your stops mean when 1.2160 is taken out US$ will fly

Dallas GEP 16:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
B747. I like both those possies, good R/R

Isle of WIght DHE 16:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Eur/$ might have decided to hammer a stake in at 1.2180. may wait an our or so before considering a tasty little long though.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ny 16:10 GMT March 17, 2004
still recomment buy...but you have to focus at 1.8060-1.8025 because there support for bearish short term. good luck my friend !

LHR B747 16:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
long EUR/USD @ 1.2181 S/L @ 1.2160 (if not kicked will hold until Friday 18:00 GMT)
long EUR/JPY @ 131.90 S/L @ 130.70 (if not kicked will hold until Friday 20:00 GMT)

hk ab .6 nzd 16:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
chopstick player can take a look on the nzd daily chart....

things are repeating what happened last week.

GER ad 16:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/USD at 1.2180 S/L under 1.2165 T/P 1.2220+

hk ab .6 nzd 16:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
thanks v. much sp.
The bad thing for jpy's stuff is that they like to go extreme then OVERSHOOT before reversal.

ny 16:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:52 GMT. is that a buy or sell on cable?

sgp sp 16:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, to quote his post :

The lower barrier of my daily cycle is located at 131.07 // 131.45.

Short term target - 1.3152 ~ 1.3170 (I think thereabouts)

I am going to close my eur/jpy shorts soon.....

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
global-view.
yes ..right.
my deskmate friend is posting you now.
thanks.

LHR B747 16:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
no 30pips...sold @ *** 1.2198 ***....for 7 pips

sprry, mistyped

hk ab .6 nzd 16:04 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
who remembers Dr. Q, mentioned eur/jpy bottom 131.xx?

LHR B747 16:04 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
no 30pips...sold @ 1.2798....for 7 pips

hk ab .6 nzd 16:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nobody wants to risk eur/jpy and other jpy crosses tomorrow, jf. Thanks for your view very much, appreciated.

prauge viktor 15:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep thanks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Technical Analysis
17 March 2004

GBP/USD (when at 1.8105)
· For today if we hope 1.7950 is still valid as daily candle bottom, but seen to break lower than yesterday daily candel at 1.8000 is difficult. If price not show you 1.7930 today that’s not good for your buying position. Price seen must be get higher than yesterday daily candle (above 1.8197) for today because yesterday candle is not sell signal pattern. If p[rice will move on oscilation type, price must be get only top at 1.8340 to move down again for oscilation until 1.8191 again. But if show you until top at 1.8406 that’s eman price will get the up trend and very possible close will be at 1.8340 again for today candle. If today price can not touch 1.8406 that’s eman tomorrow price give chance to get higher than 1.8406 (is at 1.8435) to get bullish confirmation for long term. If like this price will get the acceleration to move up for several day (maybe on the way to get 1.9500 ). If possible climax selling for today only at 1.7950 (not 1.7813 again).
· Be carefull if price show you 1.7805 that’s mean price will be easy to get strong resistant at 1.7768-47. Be carefull with this area because this area is very strong resistant. Seen so many buying order placement here for long term trade. So price can move strong up to get railway in up trend from this area. But if price show you 1.7725 chart will get the key answer to get bearish situation and if like this we can hope to get 1.7413 or 1.7347. Hope not thinking buy again if price show you like this, but be carefull when price at 1.7413 or 1.7347 because buying order placement there too.
· Until now still not yet valid if we thinking price will get bearish situation and so we can still valid to hope 1.9295. Placement order sell for long term is very danger now because get bad on risk rewards ratio. Until now placement buying order for long term trade is better than selling.
· For daily trade chart emotion seen will get first resistant at 1.8127, but if show you 1.8135 that’;s mean will get second resistant 1.8150. Strong resistant area seen at range 1.8186-95.
· Good level for selling is at 1.8234 – 1.8260/74 – 1.8374 /81- 1.8432
· Good level for buying is at 1.8035 – 1.7950/44 – 1.7825 – 1.7768/47 – 1.7413 – 1.7347

Eur/USD(when at 1.2240)
· Level 1.2054 is the key level and have been broken that’s mean price will get next resistant at 1.1952 as minor resistant to make swing only to get 1.2290 or 1.2624 as maximal swing. If price show you 1.1940 that’s mean price will down to get 1.1828 as the bottom for longterm bullish continuation to get 1.3020. But if price show you 1.1800 that’s mean price will get 1.1760-26. Be carefull with this area because can make buying emotion to get minimal 1.2387.
· Until now for long term trade, confirmation bullish signal still not be get although give chance to get 1.2544. Too early now if we talking about 1.3020
· For daily trade price still have chance to get 1.2480-86.
· Good level for selling order placement is at 1.2334- 1.2384/89 - 1.2423 –1.2480/86 – 1.2544.
· Good level for buying is at 1.2204 – 1/2185 - 1.2139 – 29.
· Price have get 1.2195-82 and give you chance as extreme bottom swing to move up for trend to get 1.2882. But although price move until 1.2668 that’s mean up trend still not yet get clear signal. Until now long term target at 1.2889 is still valid to hope with assumtion price move from low 1.2054.

USD/CHF(when at 1.2797)
· Target level 1.2591 is still valid to be hoped with assumtion move from high 1.3073.and price have given message to get 1.2551.Be carefull if show 1.3088 that’s mean as indication that price will test high at 1.3329 as the extreme top. If price show you 1.2530 that’s mean will get 1.2436-13 as extreme bottom.
· Objective level is at 1.2552 still valid to be hoped. Be carefull with this level because can make buying emotion.
· Objective level that can be hoped for today is 1.2630 or 1.2591. be carefull with that level because can bring price move up emotion. The selling pressure will be so big if show you 1.2400 to get 1.2040.
· Good level for selling placement order is at 1.2850/60 – 1.2887- 1.2954/68 or 1.3015
· Good level for buying is at 1.2667- 1.2506 -1.2551- 1.2597 - 1.2551 or 1.2436-13 – 1.2276

USD/JPY(when at 108.30)
· Level 109.58 be get, there is high possibility to get next level at 108.73-51. This movement able to carry to get spiral movement until 105.39 as bottom price.
· Price is on the selling emotion as the reaction from 111.42. and now price have shown you below 109.58 that’s mean price will get 108.78. be carefull if price touch this level because chart can pullback from here. If price show you 112.45 that’s mean price will up to get nearest target at 113.44. This level give you chance for move down so far, but if show you 113.60 that’s mean price still will up to get 114.99. This level is very potential as the top.Confirmation to get 117.94 if show you 115.20.
· Good levels for buy is at 107.62 – 106.75 – 106.48 – 106.16
· Good selling level is at 110.60 - 111.71 – 112.78


Best regards,
Raden Mas

PAR 15:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Crude oil trading at $ 38 a barrel in New York. Could be $ positive.

Dallas GEP 15:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, yeah I think I would TP OR put stop at entry and see if .7375 will BREAK. It went down to .7361 much earlier. your choice my friend but I would BANK profits

hk ab .6 nzd 15:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
What could those Mr. M and F yell tomorrow morning when Jap opens.....

As mentioned again, it's dangerous for them to play fire.

PAR 15:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
UK will only consider joining the EURO when the UK economy is in big big trouble and then it would be better for the EURO if GBP stayed out and that the UK solved its own problems.

Dallas GEP 15:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Spelling is great, my typing SUKS!!!!

prauge viktor 15:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep my friend I m short aud/usd since yesrtday @0,74 what do u think now is it the time to take profit..thanks

ICT ML 15:42 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP...yes...tried to kick it south....think Buffet was there waiting for me...LOL

hk ab .6 nzd 15:41 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
jf//ok, would not forgot the thing needed.
but will add 1.2230 if seen and has a collective stop.

Dallas GEP 15:40 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ML. are you short on the kangeroo??? (newbies: AUD/USD).

Dallas GEP 15:39 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
JV, I would GUESS it is BELOW that level 107.60/80 area IMO

sar jf 15:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab sht too risky right now - we see a few bounces

Eastbourne PJ 15:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PAR

And borrowing more money!

Van jv 15:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP ////seems to me BOJ may support/ intervene 108 level, thus next move from that level would take JPY crosses down---but is 108 that level?

hk ab .6 nzd 15:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
somehow, I dunno why people would not question about those data obtained in britain... Is it really "dead" good in fact? I strongly doubt.

Eastbourne PJ 15:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PAR 15:28 GMT March 17, 2004

Most of these extra jobs created as you put it have been payed for by raising extra taxes. A masterly move, not.

LHR B747 15:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
long @ 1.2191 for 30pips // for the fun lots account !!! :)

ICT ML 15:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP...yeah but they forgot to take their Aussie neighbors at .7375 with them....need to send them packing iin a big way soon

Dallas GEP 15:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
747, just a guess but 1.2190 MAY go and 1.2180 will hold????

hk ab .6 nzd 15:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
am interested to do a SAR on that 1.2155 too.

Dallas GEP 15:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Moved those 1.2200's folks out temporarily but looks like more bids here 1.2190 and more offers as well tho. Hellofafight.

hk ab .6 nzd 15:29 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Now only positional dlr/chf and aud/nzd left.

PAR 15:28 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Looks like the only european economy which is performing well is the UK economy which keeps creating jobs with interest rates at 4% while the EURO zone economy keeps destroying job with negative real rate interest rates. Why does Schroeder, Prodi or Chirac never ask some economic advise from their socialist friend Blair who is a master in creating economic growth and jobs.

LHR B747 15:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
*** 1.2180 *** will fall or not?

hk ab .6 nzd 15:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
TP 1.2155 no more no less.

Nottingham 15:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp...6725 support, should prove problematic but a failure to hold would accelerate losses to 6700...gl gt

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
I do have problems playing blackjack sometimes. Something silly assssed about counting cards or something!!! LOL

hk ab .6 nzd 15:22 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
gewp, key not the eur, but eur/jpy.

LHR B747 15:20 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:17 GMT: with the trades and profits posted around this forum I have very strong reason to beleive that all casinos will deny access from us :)

With the lucky people around here no one wants to be the house, especially not a full house :))


GL GT

hk ab .6 nzd 15:20 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
gep, small play 1.2194 short

Hou 15:20 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Testing 1.2200 again, c'mon you little beauty

Dallas GEP 15:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
OK 747 LOL It would be nice to have a GV trip somewhere where we all could meet and exchange faces and personalities!!! probably would need to be in a casino somewhere....Lake Tahoe perhaps????

mex sjs 15:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
cairo ag, better do it, (chf) breaking the high, 'cause I am loading right at current level with tight stops , looking for 1.2950+....gl

LHR B747 15:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT: the point is when...timing is all about FX stands on...timing

LHR B747 15:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT: I was joking....look on the :) sign there!!!

FX trading without joking is a sure thing for death at 40's....:)

Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Someone is LARGE and sitting on 1.2200 on Euro. Debatable whether or not THEY can be moved.

CAIRO AG 15:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Back online... Will that $chf break the HIGH?

hk ab .6 nzd 15:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
all jpy crosses look pale.

Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
B747, sometimes jokes don't come across well without being face to face. That's one of the things I specifically dislike about forums

hk ab .6 nzd 15:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tomorrow aud/jpy will be v. bloody.

hk ab .6 nzd 15:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
no worry, 747... we have been pals here for a long time.

now first reentry will be at 1.3390.
put a limit and then, can sleep earlier with the pips earn today.

breakeven s/l on dlr/jpy now.

note some strange movement on nzd and aud/nzd.

boulder dat 14:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
exited my short euro from the 45 and 25 level. looking like it wants to go up from here and follow cable for a while.

LHR B747 14:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:50 GMT: so, with USD 200K (1:50) investment to make 1M (whole lemon)....cute!!!

boulder dat 14:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 14:41 GMT March 17, 2004
looks like that 16 level is going to print here.

Gen dk 14:51 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 14:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
B747, manners are just fine. It was a joke!!!!

Dallas GEP 14:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
OK SEZ, won't be straight line tho!!! LOL

LHR B747 14:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT: pleas improve your manners, do not calculate how much money other people make :)

GL GT

Dallas GEP 14:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
That would be 1 MILLION dollars!!!!

Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AB, so at @ $1,000.00 a pip that's only $1,000.000. NICE!!!!!! LOL

IST Sez 14:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP,
Shorted usd/cad at 1,3422 for your target...
see you there...:))

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
about 1000 pips collected from dlr/cad.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:41 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp sma 20 .6716 is the key number.

Dallas GEP 14:41 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
The first set of lots taken short USD/CAD @ 1.3375 were taken assuming that 1.3380 would survive what was really the first onslaught but THAT obviously wasn't to be. Was going to edit the SECOND set of shorts to be around 1.3440 area BUT system went down at that exact moment and it took the SELL order that was @ 1.3425 at the time,

AGAIN, these are small postions because if this was a LARGE possie a prudent stop would have probably already taken out the first set. I want to be clear about this because generally it is NOT a good idea to add lots to a losing possie.

I think we will see 1.3350 again during NY session.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ok, enough for today.
but might long again on that 200 sma line.

boulder dat 14:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
i'm reluctant to believe that we have seen the low in euro so far. i added to my 1.2245 short @ 1.2220. looking for the 1.2195 level. although, i feel if the 1.2200 level goes, we will euro much lower by days end.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
friends, remember that aud/jpy could be a 5 fig. move from the 80 lines...

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
2nd one now kicked in 108.05.

Dallas GEP 14:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AB, we all learn from each other

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
long half 108.00

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEp// sure, np.

I think I should say thanks to many mentors here who affect me a lot.

Gen dk 14:28 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hong kong nt 14:26 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- sell small usd/cad at 13440...

Dallas GEP 14:26 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AB, I know we are going opposite direction on CAD but based on where you started your longs you are doing VERY well my friend. Congrats.

Added more SHORTS on usd/cad. Note: I am doing these on a layered basis so each positon size is relatively small for me. TOP for now on USD/CAD is probably 1.3450.

boulder dat 14:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp is pushing some lower limits. this should help to bring down euro even more. the 1.2200 level is offering a bit of support for today though. not sure that it will go.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hm.. some resist at 1.3450.


next number(barrier) Ihave in the mind is 250 sma
1.3536.....

Nottingham 14:20 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 14:12 GMT

If closes above 200 sma I'd be looking for 1.37-1.41 then retracement to either 1.3500 or 1.3750...all depends on the close though, as we've seen nearly 2 figures higher intraday only to see the pair lose it all by the close...so again, until the close above the 200 sma, safest thing to do is buy on dips...currently testing important resistance at 1.3440...a break higher may accelerate the uptrend...gl gt

HK Kevin 14:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, we need to close above that 200ma for 3 days to confirm the mid-long term trend. Re: Eurpean ccys, the only thing confuse me is EUR/GBP, which I expect to hold 6770 and rise again, that is why I close my short from 6784 this Mon for several pips loss.

hong kong nt 14:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- good call on usd/cad...

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
trail 1.3323.

Jabar asti 14:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hi... friends ! where gbp$ will going on ? thanks...

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp never lies......

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, why I set a higher target because the smas are twisted too bad in the daily chart while now the break of sma 200 is a clear signal to bring into some burning sensation for those l/t players.

I would have a dream @ 1.39.

HK Kevin 14:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Still hold long USD/JPY. Also let's propose a toast when it trade 109.40-60.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, appreciated ;)

chess.. hahahah

nt// I have 2nd job on Fri......

HK Kevin 14:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, I just trade my technical readings. It's a large position , so I am enought. Yesterday, we have a breakdown and quickly rebound, topday may be a vice versa. It call easily retrace back to 1.3350. With the break of 1.3410, your 1.3403 trail stop is fine. Let's chess when it trades 1.3460

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, moved to 1.3403 now.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tom// an important moment of your nzd short.

Nottingham 14:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
euro...1.2180 key level...expect some buying support ahead of that...I feel market consensus is for key level to hold and market is positioned to reflect that, so a break below 1.2180 should not be faded as break will have caught many out and force liquidations...gl gt

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
sorry, should be 1.3393.

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
trail now 1.3403 but think the upmove is just the beginning.

Kevin, has some more faith ;)

hk ab nzd 0.6 14:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
rocket is coming again...

HK Kevin 14:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Closed the remaining long USD/CAD at 1.3404.

hk ab nzd 0.6 13:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ln// u must a trader of exp. < 6 months.....

you are saying the 2nd wildest beast the most rangy....

Interesting thought fort his session.

Dallas GEP 13:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
LN, it's range IMO is one of the more predictable

usa tom 13:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
anybody trade singapore dollar? it's good time to sell isn't it?

Gen dk 13:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Mtl JP 13:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ln 13:49 / somethings not understood are explained via relligion, others are simply written off as mysteries

Nottingham 13:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Ln...for past 6 months usdcad has imo been one of the easiest to forecast, thus safest, plays going

fwiw gbpcad testing 2.43, an important resistance

ln 13:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
cant understand why people play cad. its not a great currency and it only trades in a range that is not very predictable.

Gold Coast martin 13:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Good evening all.....The aud should continue its downward trend of 3 days ago now that the spain terror factor is receding into the background..if it holds below the 74 threshold for the next 2 hours we could well have a drop down 7250 by the end of the ny session today....g/l g/t

HK Kevin 13:46 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, USD/CAD 1st t/p 1.3410, next 1.3460. GT

hk ab nzd 0.6 13:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// if there's a second leg of aud/jpy south.

Expect to see .7 by Friday.

Washington MMM 13:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep .....Thanks.........GL

hk ab nzd 0.6 13:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP// I am mighty to crush the 200 sma ;)

Barcelona Tony 13:42 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
wtf with swiss............. joking

Dallas GEP 13:40 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
YEP shorted CAD 1.3375 looking for 1.3320

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:40 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
What I don’t understand is how can earnings go down and people spend more? Recipe for disaster we will see IMO.

hk ab nzd 0.6 13:40 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
gd evening everyone.

nt// the aud/jpy saves the c9

Washington MMM 13:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi GEP .any views on CAD today ?
Thanks

Nottingham 13:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
za touched on this before when he said stick to what works for you...it doesn't matter whether your readings corroborate with that of another traders, as the appeared inaccuracy of your own readings ought to be consistent in the long term if you are using the same datafeed for the period of time that falls under scrutiny by your indicators...the issue of whether your realtime feed is actually realtime (or at least inline with what you can trade at at any moment in time) is of greater importance...gl gt

Gen dk 13:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Sorry Core CPI .2%

hong kong nt 13:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
HK comrades, how about having a drink sometime this Fri ?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
CPI .3%
Core CPI .1%
Nothing that is going to move the market much IMHO.

IST Sez 13:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas,
yes frd.aud under sell pressure but I dont think it last so long IMHO.
I can long it unless break 0,7370

Calabash TarHeel 13:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Hope you are right, but never know. Short bench has hurt all year. BTW, appreciate you and all of the pro's posting here.

GL

Dallas GEP 13:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
SEZ, I was struggling with AUSSIE shorts for 2 days finally got BE and -2 on second set of lots. Somebody was bidding up from .7410 area. Looks like it is shorting now POSSIBLY

Gen dk 13:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

IST Sez 13:22 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone!
Closed my aud short at 0,7382 +11 pips.
not bad.
GL,GT

Dallas GEP 13:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Yeah, heels will win that one if seen IMO

Calabash TarHeel 13:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Hello Dallas
Assuming that you are into B,Ball, looks like my Heels and your Horns might get a chance to bump heads.

Gl, GT

nyc jk 13:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
lol GEP. I think this time though it is going to bounce like a dead cat off a highway.

Chambery FR JFB 13:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 13:04 GMT March 17, 2004
"Learn it, train it, trust it, modernise it & incorporate it in your system plans and then stick with it as long as it works for you."
100% agree with you... I am in the process of building it right now for Euro after having done it for GBP... Just that if I can't trust others indicators posted here, it's confusing :-) No big deal though, planet earth still spinning, and will tomorrow, whatever our indicators are saying :-) Thanks for your time anyway HT

dc fxq 13:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 13:04 GMT ---- in addition to what you have so well explained one also must take into account the length of time contained within the database of available reference points (days, hours, minutes, etc.).

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Happy St. Patrick’s Day. (ZA=MA) MA+DISIPLINE=MONEY thanks for sharing with us all. :-)

Dallas GEP 13:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ast = LAST

Dallas GEP 13:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
That ast trip down to ,7375 for AUSSIE and it bounced like a golf ball off a highway. Let's see what it does this time my friends

melbourne farmacia 13:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
BOCA - 1.8195 being 0.236 retrace line also. GT

Nottingham Daniel 13:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
LONDON (Reuters) - Britain is still not ready to join the euro, Chancellor Gordon Brown says, appearing to rule out membership of the single currency this parliament.

Stockholm za 13:04 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
JFB.. That is nothing strange, with so many platforms and charting package out there - there will be a difference, to understand why we will have to go into the programming methods use, formulas, the signal provided etc. all incorporated to represent the platforms visual concept of what is taking place in the market….
Every platform has their own concept of what a forex day is when it starts & end.. Some is dead on the weekends some of them is alive etc. Due to the time factor/spread parameter/signal programming representation, all these MA`s & other toys will be different….
Does it matters? Yes or no … who gives a §hit ?
You chose the one that best soot your trading desire and needs.
Learn it, train it, trust it, modernise it & incorporate it in your system plans and then stick with it as long as it works for you.
Happy trades…….

HKG SK 13:04 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
This is too quiet for comfort whether your are long or short.

NYC NYC 13:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Quiet here reflects the uncertainty currently gripping the market as a whole.

B.A. BOCA 12:56 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
good day all...

cable right now has been held in check twice by the 200ma (hourly)..right now sitting near 8190. watch it if it breaks above.
gl

GVI john 12:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2255…$/yen 108.30
DJIA +28 pts… 10-yr 3.68%, -1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
There have been a number of major developments over the past day or so. The first is the Fed statement yesterday. Start out with the fact that we know pretty much what they know. They don’t have some top-secret analytical system or data on the economy. They see pretty much the same data we do. Thus finally the FOMC statement caught up with what has been staring us all in the face. The U.S. is not generating jobs, and I sense a nagging worry that the economy could be starting to slow. The last hope is that the income tax refunds from last year, which will be sent out over the next couple of months will give the economy a second jolt into the election season.

Bottom line, FROM TODAY’S PERSPECTIVE (this can always change), there is no prospect for a Fed rate hike for the balance of the year. Who knows about 2005? We will worry about it when we get there. The only concern I have about ultra low interest rates is that they will continue to fuel the asset bubble and penalize savers. Thus we are creating economic distortions that will have to be rectified at some point, but not now. To their credit, I sense that the equity markets are feeling this sense of unease as well.

Where is the Bank of Japan? It doesn’t matter what I feel logically is their policy on the yen. Actions speak louder than words. I perceive that they are testing the waters about changing their forex policy. Why? Same as the U.S., they are creating all kinds of unwelcome distortions in the domestic money markets. I think they are going to TRY to pull back from their aggressive intervention stance. So how do you start? You give traders a little free rein to trade. If the $/yen starts to fall too far, too fast you come back and smack the markets. This is an experiment. Don’t be surprised if they go back to the old methods if this does not work and don’t be surprised to see a sudden short bout of massive intervention. This is not a time for large yen exposures. Wait for the dust to settle.

The BOE meeting notes from two week ago were mixed on the surface, but event though the vote was 9-0 for a steady rate policy, they gave a clear indication that further rate hikes are in the pipeline for the near future. The Committee appears worried about the risk of a sharp rise in sterling and does not want to extinguish economic growth as they GRADUALLY allow the CPI to rise to its 2.0% target level.

Today sees the release of the February CPI report and the weekly API/DOE data. FRS Chairman Greenspan will speak by satellite at 16:30 GMT to a Banker’s convention in San Diego.

CALENDAR
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 17, 2004
13:30 GMT- US- Feb CPI: vs. +0.5%, +0.2% ex-food & energy
14:30 GMT- US- API/DOE Weekly Energy Inventories

THURSDAY MARCH 18, 2004
RBA Monthly Bulletin
23:30 GMT- AUS- 4Q03 Dwelling Commencements, vs. +5.5%
23:50 GMT- JPN- Weekly Portfolio Flows
01:30 GMT- JPN- 20-YR JGB Auction
09:30 GMT- UK- Feb Retail Sales Volume: vs. +6.4% y/y in Jan
12:00 GMT- CDA- February CPI, vs. +2.2% y/y

13:30 GMT- CDA- February International Securities Transactions
13:30 GMT- US- Weekly Jobless Claims
15:00 GMT- US- Feb Leading Economic Index: vs. +0.5% in Jan
17:00 GMT- US- Mar Philly Fed Index: vs. 31.4 in Feb

FRIDAY, MARCH 19, 2004
JPN- Minutes of Feb 4-5 BOJ Meeting
07:00 GMT- GER- Feb Producer prices: vs. -0.2% in Jan
UK- Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin

tpe jen 12:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 11:32 GMT
Tks, yes that is what I want,
Usd/Chf daily resistance/support level and your bias (of course, the most appreciative)
by the way, 22-day time reference, does it count from today

Saihat 12:28 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
foe demo

eur buy 1.2275.....stop 1.2247

Dublin CK 12:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks JK,

It will be a better day if Moscow Flyer @10/11 wins at the CHELTENHAM festival today.

LHR B747 12:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PAR 12:02 GMT: It pays very good to be jobless in Germany, in case you already got a job it will be easier for your boss to get rid from cancer than to get rid from you :)


Gen dk 12:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

nyc jk 12:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
happy St. Paddy's day CK, will have a green beer in your honour later.

dc fxq 12:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PAR 12:02 GMT --- "Osties" in large part.

PAR 12:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
How is it possible that Germany has three times as many unemployed as the UK with a population which is not the double.

Sydney alimin 11:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
pretty calm market for eur/usd, is it waiting for data?

Dublin CK 11:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Happy St Patricks Day................

Chambery FR JFB 11:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 10:33 GMT March 17, 2004
Thx za... but how come EMA144(and others) can be so different?? I use two different charts packages, one shows 1.2136, the second 1.2144... It's 100+ pips from yours!! I don't think there are different ways to calculate an EMA, does it? (except that one can base the calculation on high/low/close/open - mine are on close - but that doesn't make such a difference)... Comments from everyone very welcome :-)

Melbourne Qindex 11:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tpe jen 11:03 GMT - USD/CHF : My current 22-day cycle indicates that the expected trading range is changing from 1.2689 - 1.2844 to 1.2778 - 1.2956 - 1.3007. I am bias on the up side.

Melbourne Qindex 11:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 1.2752 - 1.2846.The critical point of my daily cycle is located at 1.2789. The lower barrier is positioning at 1.2715 // 1.2752 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.2900 // 1.2936.


... 1.2715 // 1.2752 - 1.2789 - 1.2826 - 1.2863 - 1.2900 // 1.2936 ... 1.3010 ... 1.3157 ...

Melbourne Qindex 11:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:11 GMT March 16, 2004
USD/CHF : the market is testing the lower barrier of my weekly cycle at 1.2667 - 1.2759. It is positive if the market can move away from this barrier.

Melbourne Qindex 11:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tpe jen 11:03 GMT - USD/CHF : Are you looking for projected supporting or resistant levels? It is because in a strong trending market I would prefer 22-day cycle. Anyway I will run it before I go to bed.

tpe jen 11:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
Melbourne Qindex, may I have your Usd/Chf day level?
Tks in advance,
and good day to alll

Melbourne Qindex 10:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 10:57 GMT - You are welcome.

Sydney gvm 10:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
thx Qindex

Nassau QF 10:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Ah Sterling.

Tallinn viies 10:46 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Nassau QF 10:30 - one of the major currencies for your info

Stockholm za 10:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
JFB … on my day charts ema 144 is at ~12264 & ema 34 & 89 is colliding at ~12397
IF 34 cannot bounce off 89 then we need some serious fundamentals to stop the ema 233 & 377 pull…..happy trades - over & out....
ps. This is just my bull §hit - ignore it .......lol......

Nassau QF 10:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies

What is STG?

Tallinn viies 10:28 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
MMS: BOE says Asian CB"s possibly behind Stg rise

Chambery FR JFB 10:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 09:49 GMT March 17, 2004
(trying to understand...) : I can see that current price is between daily EMA8(1.2271) and EMA144(1.2136) and I hope the latter to attract the price down... But what's the importance of EMA24/89? why not take EMA21/34 into consideration first? TIA again :-)

Stockholm za 10:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB...... fwiw - 6 - is not part of the series.....

Chambery FR JFB 10:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 10:11 GMT March 17, 2004
Thx :-)

Stockholm za 10:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB...... YES my friend.... even on AUD/USD... lol
They work well on most pairs in MY system....
Happy trades........

Melbourne Qindex 10:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:47 GMT March 17, 2004
AUD/USD : My 22-day cycle suggests that speculative selling will increase if the market can penetrate through the barrier at 0.7406 - 0.7410.

Barcelona Tony 10:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 09:58 GMT .. sorry for the confusion, my mistake, thnks anyway

Chambery FR JFB 10:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi za :-) If I may ask, do you use the same EMA settings for EUR/USD as for GBP/USD : 6/13/21/34/55/89/144? TIA & happy trades 2 :-)

Melbourne Qindex 10:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:32 GMT March 17, 2004
USD/JPY : As shown in my current 22-day cycle, a projected supporting level is positioning at 107.97 - 108.05.

Melbourne Qindex 06:18 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/JPY : The short term target is 131.52 - 131.71.


Melbourne Qindex 10:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:11 GMT March 16, 2004
EUR/JPY : My 22-day cycle charts indicate that the market has a tendency to trade between 132 - 134 for the time being.


Melbourne Qindex 23:02 GMT March 16, 2004
EUR/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 132.23 - 134.07 and the mid-point reference is 133.15. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is located at 131.07 // 131.45.

Melbourne Qindex 10:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:43 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : the current expected trading range from my 22-day cycle reference is 1.2198* - 1.2376* (15/3).

... // 1.1662* - 1.1841* - 1.2020* - 1.2198* - 1.2376* // ...


After Expanding 1.2198* - 1.2376* :-

... // 1.2198* - 1.2243 - 1.2287 - 1.2332 - 1.2376* // ...




Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : the market is expected to vibrate around the quantised level at 1.2244 with an expected magnitude of 30.4 pips, i.e. 1.2213 - 1.2274.

Melbourne Qindex 00:10 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels



... 1.1909 ... 1.2091 ... 1.2152 // 1.2182 - 1.2213 - 1.2244 - 1.2274 // 1.2304 ...1.2395 ...

Stockholm za 09:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 09:52 GMT
Sorry My
Stockholm za 09:49 GMT is for the EUR/USD.....If U see the pattern for the Swiss then its all good......
Happy trades to U.......

sophia neo 09:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Ldn :: tnx! can you please tell me what is this budget data we are waiting to be released - heard it on Bloomberg but didn't understand what's about

Barcelona Tony 09:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 09:49 GMT ..this on swiss? so you bearish?

Stockholm za 09:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw … interesting developments..
Note :-
[ ( ema 34 & 89 ) + ( ema 8 & 144 ) ] Day
&
[ ema 89 & 13 ] 3hour

Trading the base of the d-top
No bounce = ~Trend change……..
Profile :-
13067-12896-12775-12655-12506
12265
12024-11875-11755-11634-11463

-melbourne farmacia - Thanks....
-Happy trades……..


Barcelona Tony 09:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
wtf is this joke about? swiss breaking trendline to the upside and back down again?

hk ab nzd .6 09:38 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, I am eyeing the euraud as well

first two filled at 1.6640 and 1.6600 respectively. Now just found that 1.6505 was also filled.
The last one is at 1.6405.

Ldn 09:36 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
UK 3 month To Jan avg earnings +4.4% Vs 3 Mos To Dec +3.4%
UK 3 month to Jan avg earnings was Forecast +3.5%
UK ILO 3 month To Jan unemployment -33,000; 4.8% Rate






Ldn 09:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
UK Feb Adj claimant jobless Was Forecast -10,000
UK Feb Adj claimant jobless -6.6k At 2.9% Of Workforce

sophia neo 09:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
anyone got the UK figures?

HK Kevin 09:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, yes, add more on 1.3262 like you yesterday. Cover half at 1.3342 an hour ago.

hk ab nzd .6 09:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, did you hold your dlr/cad long?

the spike down and up last night tells everything.

Sydney gvm 09:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
anyone have a view on $/yen direction/range in the next 5 hours - I have a system sell stop @market that gets elected open of CME futures (closing a position from 18 Feb 04)

hk ab nzd .6 09:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// I will resist all temptation to open positions on european curr. today.

Sydney alimin 09:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
i mean eur/usd daily chart FWIW

HK Kevin 09:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 09:12 GMT, I am also in at 108.22.

Sydney alimin 09:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
wow, the daily chart is perfectly coiled, big move should be expected in a few days

hk ab nzd .6 09:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
I think I should attend more lectures about how to choose the right level to close the position ;)

KL KL 09:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Today only 20 - 30 pips day....too fast and dangerous.....all in limbo land

UK GF 09:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Risks To German, EZ Growth Have Increased, GBA
Pessimism Remains Over German Economic Recovery

hk ab nzd .6 09:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
12/March was the outside day for cad.

hk ab nzd .6 09:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP// Thur and Fri will be the big move days this week.

After this, I think aud and nzd will do some good retracement to the upside.

saratoga sam 09:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm dont forget our friend Eu Zorro as the other classic contrarian indicator..He should be do for a shout soon.. In fairness though he was shouting up all last year :)

hong kong nt 09:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- long usd/jpy at 20...

hong kong nt 09:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- aussie ard .7360 is a buy...

Dallas GEP 09:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Well OMIL, I believe it is all a can of mixed nuts, Someone is going to get whacked of course and if we are not careful WE will be the Pinata!!!! LOL Back later

hong kong nt 09:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- aussie pulling back to 20/50-day ma. fwiw...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 09:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Well GEP you are famous or infamous here depending on the week lol. What is you take of ML's piñata (eur/usd)? tia

Dallas GEP 09:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Interesting SAM!!!!!

Sydney gvm 09:01 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Saratoga/GEP isnt Newsweek the classic contrarian indicator - well the cover page usually but we'll make an exception in this case ;-))

NZ 09:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi
Anyone else going long on the GBP now?

saratoga sam 08:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
No its you. Looked it up in the archive. They also quoted Carribean too... Thought you guys would be all over it...

Dallas GEP 08:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
No I didn't SAM. That could have been anyone though????

Dallas GEP 08:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Got a NZD possie that looks good AB, the rest of this looks mixed to me!!!!

saratoga sam 08:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas did you know you were quoted in that article i posted yesterday? Indirectly as the article quoted someone saying "MACD is sloping UPWARD on eur/usd. That is a bullish sign of course". You made it in Newsweek dude...

Dallas GEP 08:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Actually got out at even on one set (Aussie) and I lost two stinking pips on the other set LOL

hk ab nzd .6 08:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy is always my enemy....

hk ab nzd .6 08:46 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
NOPE, Gep// I have all the longs there.

1 from 1.3200
3 from 1.3253 last week.
1 from 1.3300
then added 1.3250 last night

Dallas GEP 08:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AB, I would assume you would be a SHORT on the CAD???

hk ab nzd .6 08:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// I feel bad of unable get that 108 long limit filled.....
but think wild swing will give a 2nd chance later. or at least 108.05.

hk ab nzd .6 08:42 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Friends WATCH the cad play!

hk ab nzd .6 08:41 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// points noted.

but jpy crosses wildness is just as usual and think this could only be the beginning if japs are mighty to retreat funds back to Nekkei.

Dallas GEP 08:39 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Got out at BE on Aussie short Flat now looking for direction

Kamensk Andy 08:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong nt - what would be your target for yen - near 250 dma? TIA

bloemfontein 08:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Swakopmund Liz hoe gaan dit in swakkies vandag?

Helsinki iw 08:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Made a wrong call yesterday with regard to USD/JPY,
but again feel it is worth playing on the long side from here;
the origin of the wedge it was in up to 112++ is right here at
the 108 area. There is also strong support at the 107.65/75
level, which is not expected to break.

EUR/USD has obvious support at 1,2160/70 which should be
tested soon. A break would put the recent low at 1,2055 in
sights, but really think that would break then and the euro
should trade to sub 1.20 before stabilising this round of weak-
ness.Possibly as early as this week. IMHO.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
My numbers may be off about 15-20 pips but the pennant or wedge has not been broken yet for eur/usd in my chart.

hong kong nt 08:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- GBPJPY lost some 1300 points, no good to sell euro or gbp here this week...

brisbane sunstate 08:29 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 08:27 GMT
Top marks for risk management :-)
gl.gt

LHR B747 08:27 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
brisbane sunstate 08:16 GMT: EUR puts (DEC/04) will bring the profit (in total) if 1.1875 hits

it looks like 1.2200-1.2400 range is solid like a rock....now :)

GL GT

Dhahran maz 08:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Lost 16 pips from longing EUR/USD

Saihat 08:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
demo

sell aud ..stop .7415

UK GF 08:22 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Forex Focus: ECB Holds Downside Risks For Euro
Non-policy meetings at the European Central Bank seldom have much effect on the euro, but Thursday's gathering could well be an exception. With reports suggesting that ECB officials will use the meeting to assess the economic impact from last Thursday's bombing in Madrid and with senior officials continuing to emphasize the rising importance of consumer activity, analysts say that heightened expectations of an ECB rate cut may well be the consequence. blmb.

IST Sez 08:20 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex,
great man!!!!
you are the number one in this forum.

hk ab nzd .6 08:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tom// if nzd past .6463, 4hrs sma 20, I think you can take your breath and prepare a good profit till .6400.

mex sjs 08:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
just longed usdchf here at 1.2830 tgt 1.2950 by tomorrow...sl= 1.2780, adding to an old 1.2900 long usdchf...

brisbane sunstate 08:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 08:09
yes it is. eur target 1.15 in weeks imo
gl

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Last support coming up for eur/usd is 1.2220-10 we will see if it holds.

sgp sp 08:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, a small possie is filled too at 1.135....bigger possie is at 1.13.....

anyway, picked up limit short of gbp/usd, thanks to nt's post.........avg 1.8155....didn't even touch 1.8184 (Qindex weekly mid pt between 8136 ~ 8231), that is where a biggie is located....oh well, I can live with what I have.

hk ab nzd .6 08:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// I really have no LUCK with aud/jpy..... i think a 5 fig. move is coming.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Islander I hope you have a backup. If you don’t I can help you too just say the word.

st. pete islander 08:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ML .... K, thanks .... crashing and error messages for days. Fun, fun.

LHR B747 08:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR @ 1.2234 (in addition to yesterday's 1.2338)
Removed S/L from 1.2220

Target @ 1.2720-1.2760

Is that crazy? :)

GL GT


hk ab nzd .6 08:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// I also moved the limit to 108 and 107.50 after your advice.

sp// my aud/nzd 1.1350 filled.

Now with many longs on this pair and the dlrcad.


The eurgbp never BETRAYS.

ICT ML 08:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Islander...nope...NY

shanghai 07:59 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
cable down so quickly!

Dhahran maz 07:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL

Thank you

st. pete islander 07:56 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 07:09 GMT March 17, 2004

ML, that isn't who I think it is, is it? The one in MI?

Rivonia Pi(m)pPirate 07:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
London EC 06:45 GMT I had the same problem 'till I hit on the idea of turning my monitor upside down, it really helps, except all the action now happens on the LHS. Hope this helps. Ü

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ML no doubt the intraday charts and indicators are a mess but I am thinking a bit further down the line. You have email hope that helps.

Dhahran maz I have also sent you the email.

London AL 07:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 23:00 GMT March 16 abc cons conf -22 vs -18 last.

Saihat 07:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
DEMO
buy gbpusd ...sto 1.8121

usa tom 07:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
bye bye aussie and kiwi, ab are you on train yet?

ICT ML 07:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
OMIL...I was just kidding ya.........I was looking at the hourly mess of a chart....

Nottingham Daniel 07:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
GMT - Times

17 Mar. 04 09:30 Unemployment Rate (UK)
17 Mar. 04 10:00 EU-15 CPI MoM (EU)
17 Mar. 04 12:00 MBA Mortgage Applications (US)
17 Mar. 04 13:30 Consumer Price Index (MoM) (US)

Indo Allcorp 07:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 07:09 GMT March 17
Happend to me also. I changed the feed from comstock to FXcefco and seemd to be fixed.

KL KL 07:30 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
BOJ....we will not intervene as often now...wink wink nudge nudge!! Some form of mama hug coming soon

Dhahran maz 07:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL
Would you send your chart system?
[email protected]

Thank you

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ML, JF I can always be wrong but if you look at the daily chart you can see a pennant or a wedge being formed at this time with time running out. This also coincides with Farmacias time frame IMHO. Ok ML

Swakopmund Liz 07:22 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi all. anybody having pricing from G F T hanging for minutes at a time?

ICT ML 07:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
OMIL...send it

sar jf 07:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
omil - i agree with ml resembles roadkill not high probability lol

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ML when that happens to me I have a backup chart system ready. If you like I can send you the info just say the word.

ICT ML 07:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Boy OMIL... glad you can read that chart...all I see is a big euro Pinata' being whacked from all sides from a swinging tree...LOL

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Time indeed is running out on the eur/usd bear movement for the time being. The pennant has closed to 1.2355-65 and 1.2240-30 with daily indicators turning to the north the % for the bulls increase and the day (3-18-04) becomes more important now IMHO. GL GT

ICT ML 07:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
PJT..thanks...mine keep cutting in and out every half hour or so....have to reboot etc...with my broker...that makes me one nrevuos SOB....being blind

Porto PJT 07:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 07:05 , yes, since 2 hours ago

ICT ML 07:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
anyone else Desktop charts keep crashing tonight?

LAX-LGB SNP 07:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
1.2815 $chf
1.2232 eur$

sar jf 07:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ec - perhaps try chess where things are a little more straight forward n less expensive to learn

Plovdiv Gotin 07:01 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi mates/Yesterday E/$ low and $/SF hi pls?TIA.

LAX-LGB SNP 06:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
so far eurjpy drop has surpassed eurusd by nearly 2 cents - how soon before she catches up ?

P.S.
ML ... good to know someone cashed in on the gbpjpy :-)

Singapore Pilot 06:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
dlr longs got screwed..reckon today the shorts going to get screwed...reckon BOJ going to come in big way at 107.70 ... trade idea buy 107.70 s/l 107.40 t/p 110.50

Shanghai ht 06:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo: could you please give me some idea on the usd/chf? Are you still here?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:51 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
It all depends on what angle you look at things and in the forex case what time frame IMHO.

Porto PJT 06:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
London EC 06:45 , what makes sence to you?

Brisbane L 06:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
London EC Hi Einstein please share your views with us , let us evaluate

London EC 06:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
I was looking at this forum since very long time and comparing your thoughts with the market I cannot see much sense.

Melbourne Qindex 06:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:32 GMT March 17, 2004
USD/JPY : As shown in my current 22-day cycle, a projected supporting level is positioning at 107.97 - 108.05.

Melbourne Qindex 06:31 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:31 GMT March 17, 2004
USD/JPY : As shown in my current 22-day cycle, a projectedsupporting level is positioning at 107.97 - 108.05.

zhenjiang 06:29 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
i think euroyen 130.80

Melbourne Qindex 06:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:11 GMT March 16, 2004
EUR/JPY : My 22-day cycle charts indicate that the market has a tendency to trade between 132 - 134 for the time being.


Melbourne Qindex 23:02 GMT March 16, 2004
EUR/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 132.23 - 134.07 and the mid-point reference is 133.15. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is located at 131.07 // 131.45.

MTL Cain 06:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Long [email protected], target 1.2285.

G/L & G/T

Melbourne Qindex 06:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : The short term target is 131.52 - 131.71.

Brisbane L 06:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc the BOJ must enjoy the game they play with the traders knowing what cannon power they hold in their arsenal - any move across the board is like walking through a mine field , thanks again for your help we all need it.

boulder dat 06:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
short $/¥ from the 25 level. this thing doesn't look to have much support. since the boj hasn't been able to stop the flows, this could also lead to a euro move to the upside as the dollar gets sold off.

Melbourne Qindex 06:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : A projected barrier is positioning at 1.2287 - 1.2289.

MTL Cain 06:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Took 25 pips from short Eur. Wondering whether its buying time now.

Singapore Pilot 06:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
BOJ sleeping on the Job again...making it so easy to stay short dlrs...like money from heaven

KL KL 06:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Getting itchy to short N long...that is the state of mind. Maybe need to wait for US/UK figures tonight.....patience NEEDED...

Melbourne Qindex 06:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:43 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : the current expected trading range from my 22-day cycle reference is 1.2198* - 1.2376* (15/3).

... // 1.1662* - 1.1841* - 1.2020* - 1.2198* - 1.2376* // ...


After Expanding 1.2198* - 1.2376* :-

... // 1.2198* - 1.2243 - 1.2287 - 1.2332 - 1.2376* // ...

Melbourne Qindex 06:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:55 GMT March 16, 2004
USD/JPY : After expanding 108.29 - 109.64 - 110.99 :-


... // 108.29* - 108.96 - 109.64* - 110.32 - 110.99* // ...


Melbourne Qindex 22:08 GMT March 16, 2004
USD/JPY : The critical point of my monthly cycle is located at 108.29. A projected supporting point is positioning at 105.60. The mid-point reference of 105.60 - 108.29 is 106.95. The current expected trading ranges are 108.29 - 109.64 - 110.99.

shanghai bc 06:03 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   

L -- BoJ is hardly done with their job yet..Eur/jpy and gbp/jpy and aud/jpy are big unknown numbers at present thanks to their potential power..The quetion is when and how large, not if,as far as BoJ folks are concerned..As far as long-term money goes,anything below 110 may be a good value area..

shanghai 06:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
boj stands by,yen down!

boulder dat 05:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
if the boj steps in and moves the yen back up to the levels that it just broke form, i imagine that euro and cable would take a pounding from it. looking for the move back up via the boj, and a move in euro below the 1.2200 level after.

HK [email protected] 05:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Yes; In the spirit of bearishness, it is indeed tempting to short Euro at the range 1.2380/90 which looks as an exhaustive price on the short scale. But in that croocked market even that is not sure anymore. If that range for Euro will be breached upward, forget about dollar strength for a while.

A breach of 404 in gold can bring prices above 410, while daily indicators for gold begin to look bullish.

ICT ML 05:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp-jpy just crossed that daily trend support.......hold on to your hats guys....now if BOJ just stays out I'm happy for a bit...

Brisbane L 05:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc we seem to have a narrowed choppy timeframe upon us

Brisbane L 05:48 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc this will also apply to the aud ?thanks

SA getFX 05:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Tx ab! a bit clearer to me, now!

hk ab nzd .6 05:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
tom// sometimes, loss will give us more experience. That's why I said, patience and indicators are the rest 30% success factors in this business....

c9 index means those housewives + retired traders index.

shanghai bc 05:42 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   

AB 03:21 --One of my main bets of the month is to make sure Eur/usd stays in 1.21-1.26 range for another week..As it stands now,upside is more risky than downside..So,buying between 1.21- 1.22 may have a better odds for a week or so..But overall,we may be lucky to be in that range till the end of the month although Dollar bounce may not be over yet..Good trades..

SA getFX 05:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
c( = c9

SA getFX 05:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
c( index... street margin shop... ?
Could anyone enlighten me? Geomagnetism? Tx.

UB Tulga 05:35 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Longed EUR/USD at 1.2258. Targeting 1.2286.

usa tom 05:25 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab nothing against ya but i hope not, I'm still holding from 6493 want to avoid any hint of 6550 or above.

hk ab nzd .6 05:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// if aud/jpy m/t direction could be made up earlier, then, I think the c9 may have a chance to earn some little profit.

I wonder if my nzd .6550 and .6600 will be filled. but I have some faith and believe some brave uncle will help me that.

hk ab nzd .6 05:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// if aud/jpy m/t direction could be made up earlier, then, I think the c9 may have a chance to earn some little profit.

I wonder if my nzd .6550 and .6600 will be filled. but I have some faith and believe some brave uncle will help me that.

Shanghai ht 05:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo: usd/chf changed from down to up?. What is your opinion?

hong kong nt 05:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- the happy buy 1.795 and sell 1.815 range trading may come to an end, GBP fails to break 10-day ma and GBPJPY breaking 197 points to closure of long positions. short position may be entered towards 10-day ma with stop at 1.825

hk ab nzd .6 05:01 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
seems eur/jpy and aud/jpy has given up the uptrend.

Just wait for the truth to be unveiled.

Porto PJT 04:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, gbp/usd been capped on 200 ma on 1 hour chart.

Porto PJT 04:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
MTL Cain 04:14 GMT , usd/chf respecting 1 hour downtrendline.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:46 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hope gbp/usd will touch soon to get 1.8146 to get nice support to move up fast from there,
go to 1.8384 or 1.8405 for middle term

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:39 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
mex Willy 02:52 GMT March 17, 2004
yes. confidence.
now is on the nice support at 1.2276 and buy signal have be given.
is it time?

HKG SK 04:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
short US$/Chf.

MTL Cain 04:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
what's wrong with usd/chf now? my charts are mixed. Ne view on it?

TIA

Sydney alimin 04:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
could u please type with small caps?

hk ab nzd .6 04:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// I notice that nzd retracement will break the 4hrs sma 50 then, the false break will lead to the real down move to come, currently it is at .66

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hong kong nt 03:58 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- expect euro next big move by breaking 1.215 or 1.240, with decrease in volatility, straddle play may work w/o worry on the direction of next move...

sgp sp 03:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, ok....thanks.

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hk ab nzd .6 03:54 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// hope that you tell us immediately once you see C9 sell USD.

boulder dat 03:53 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
i'm also looking to short cable at this level. it is sitting on its trendline resistance level. besides, you can usually fade whatever moves we see in tokyo.

boulder dat 03:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
looks like "official bids" are going to keep yen up for the moment. i'm looking to go long and put a short leash on it. i have a feeling we will see it above the 109 level sooner rather than later.

hk ab nzd .6 03:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
sp// however, I doubt that it will take place.

hk ab nzd .6 03:48 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
sp// if aud/nzd turns violently, I think levels will be regained around 1.13 lows and you can cover it.

Strategy is if price penetrates 1.13 and close under this, the pair will later retrace to 1.13 and above, then, u cover it and wait and see.

hk ab nzd .6 03:48 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
sp// if aud/nzd turns violently, I think levels will be regained around 1.13 lows and you can cover it.

Strategy is if price penetrates 1.13 and close under this, the pair will later retrace to 1.13 and above, then, u cover it and wait and see.

hong kong nt 03:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- only 107.5 and 108.0 now...

sgp sp 03:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, aud/nzd seems to be coming down ur way.....yes, will do that.....100 pips s/l wide enough?

Thanks, gl & gt.....
p/s, have eur/jpy shorts that is doing very well....all the limit orders hit averaging at 1.3522...and usd/jpy longs (small one) that is feeling unwell at the moment....will close it if/when it dropped below 107.5.

hk ab nzd .6 03:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// do we need to move the dlr/jpy limit lower?

hk ab nzd .6 03:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
I would like to see how the ones pushing nzd to the cliff.....

hk ab nzd .6 03:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone know NZ governor has finished their speech yet?

hong kong nt 03:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 02:43 -- c9 index in street margin house is pretty good indicator for reversal...

hk ab nzd .6 03:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
sp// placed small longs limit to add to my original aud/nzd longs.

My limits are at 1.1350 1.1300.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 03:28 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:13 GMT March 17, 2004

yes SFX...we have 107.93-107.60 bottom for yenny now..thx..gl..!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 03:23 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
shanghai ht 03:14 GMT March 17, 2004

middle at 1.2570...! hope we all not lose this opportunities..good luck !

hk ab nzd .6 03:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
bc// would you mind sharing your view on present eur?
I see eur/gbp heading back down again, might want to do a double bottom at .66 and then, l/t rally resumes on eur?

KL KL 03:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin - something to do with gann, wave time cycle...

sg tpe 03:15 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Feel like short 1.2350, seem like quite tough to see this lvl.
Also any comment on eur/aud.
Thanks

shanghai ht 03:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo: What is your opinion on the usd/chf right now? Thanks!

Singapore Sfx 03:13 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Raden - very nice call the other day about selling usdjpy 110.95 for 107.6x .. Cheers.

Sydney alimin 03:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
guys, did i miss something here? what is it about 18th of march?thanks

hk ab 02:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// timing is another problem for aud and nzd.

tomorrow and Fri are dangerous days on commodities, GL.

farmacia has your system told you the clear direction on 18th March yet? TIA!

hk ab 02:55 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
jk, imvho, if aud, nzd has now demonstrated some solid retracement, I think eur will do the same. Waiting level to short chf (close my original longs and SAR).

nyc jk 02:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ok thanks ab. yes that was good info for sure. I sold some EUR as well, I am still short though. I will move a trailing sl down and see how we go cheers

mex Willy 02:52 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi, Indonesia raden masandi, now Eur @ 1.2275 clear signal to get 1.2330 area?

TIA!

hk ab 02:50 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt// same idea on the dlr/jpy.

but now I amclean with all jpy's......

hk ab 02:49 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Maybe those fund M are just eating their Big Mac while they are doing the survey.

jk// I would like to check which pair starts usd correction first before doing anything tonight. Last night eur short was helped by jf!!! Big thanks to him.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:45 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd when at 1,2275
in my TA price will touch 1.2334

ICT ML 02:43 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nt...do I take it that you use this "c9" group as your contra indicator?....lOL

hong kong nt 02:39 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- placed small long usd/jpy order at 108.50, 108.00 and 107.50, expect it is a good bargain after 450-500 pip correction...

hong kong nt 02:37 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab -- long put nzd/usd option no hurry as c9 selling aus above .7400 now, expect they start to cut loss at .7550, then, .above 7600 is a reasonable safe level to sell...

ICT ML 02:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
if cable can take and hold 1.8160 area today, a move to chanel top at 1.8350-8400 is target, with a possible over shoot to 1.8575-8600 area, which would complete a perfect daily H& S formation right shoulder top...and then down from there like no tomorrow which my monthly chart gave a really strong sell sig in Feb, and got stronger in March so far.....

something to keep in mind in this choppy market

nyc jk 02:29 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
ab - will you look to resell the EUR if it rallies?

UK GF 02:22 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Merill Lynch did a survey of 300 Fund Managers
50% say Euro overvalued - 42% Euro Expensive

Gen dk 02:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Caribbean! Rafe... 02:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD UPPER BANDS 1.2284 1.2298 1.2316 1.2330 1.2345 1.2363 1.2392
LOWER BANDS 1.2255 1.2240 1.2222 1.2208 1.2193 1.2175 1.2146



USD/CHF UPPER BANDS 1.2796 1.2811 1.2829 1.2844 1.2860 1.2878 1.2908
LOWER BANDS 1.2765 1.2750 1.2732 1.2717 1.2702 1.2683 1.2653


GBP/USD UPPER BANDS 1.8142 1.8164 1.8190 1.8212 1.8233 1.8259 1.8302
LOWER BANDS 1.8100 1.8078 1.8052 1.8030 1.8009 1.7983 1.7940

hk ab 02:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
place entries for dlr/jpy new long limits. Wait for a while.

hk ab 02:16 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
btw, close eur short @50 on limits now flat on eur as well.

road// any bias on eur today?

Melbourne Qindex 02:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Brisbane L 02:02 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Japan MoF Mizoguchi - Volatility Undesirable, Ready For Action

Melbourne Qindex 02:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk ab nzd .6 01:57 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
change strategy on nzd.

buy put options when nzd reaches .6550.

dc fxq 01:47 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Pilot: It will most likely happen again, and gain. Just as the "knee jerk" buyers of EURUSD have been learning for the past two weeks. Good night all.

Nassau QF 01:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Some upcoming events for Wednesday:

Wednesday, 17 March 2004
all times GMT

0130 Australia February international merchandise trade
0700 Germany February producer prices (previous: -0.2% m/m)
0745 France January current account (previous: € 1.0 billion)
0815 CH January retail sales (previous: 1.3% y/y)
0930 UK March Bank of England MPC meeting minutes
0930 UK February unemployment (previous: -13,400)
0930 UK January quarterly average earnings (previous: +3.4%)
1200 US MBA refinancing index (previous: +1.0%)
1230 UK Chancellor of the Exchequer’s Budget Report
1330 US February CPI (previous: +0.5%)
1330 US February core CPI (previous: +0.2%)
1630 US Fed Chairman Greenspan speaks

Singapore Pilot 01:40 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
hahaha ok dc fxq....caveat emptor ...for buyers of yen i mean....well BOJ doing a great job of not giving out free lunches....couple days ago alot of guys were leaning on BOJ bids...but they were stopped out 50 pips away when BOJ did a MIA...hehehehe

MTL Cain 01:34 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi Taro,

email sent. Thx!

dc fxq 01:33 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
it wasa the caveat emptor that threw me at the moment :(.

dc fxq 01:32 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Pilot 01:18 GMT --- mt apologies, irony is difficult to detect on forum postings! :)

Rye, NY et 01:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Short AUD/USD .7415;cut .7450;take .7350

Singapore Pilot 01:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
exactly what i mean...when i said 1 mth ago when dlr yen was at 105.50...selling it was the path of least resistance and 'no brainer'....was calling 112.00 then... now same scenario happening again....people looking at 102.00??
looks like we see 115 first....see stops building up abv 109.10

Rye, NY et 01:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Long USD/JPY 108.90;cut 108.20;take 110.20

dc fxq 01:01 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Pilot 00:51 GMT

Ask those who thought that EURUSD for 1.35 a month ago about "no brainers". Anyone who thinks that in FX trading is doomed to sudden and painful extinction.

Singapore Pilot 00:51 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Looks like getting to be no-Brainer again to sell usd yen..... close ur eyes and sell!!???? caveat emptor

Melbourne Qindex 00:44 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Montréal Taro 00:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
nyc SA
Yes I know a bank who can do that .

mtl Cain

Sure I can share my experience with them

Send me an email . my username is ttaro27 at hotmail

Brisbane L 00:24 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia thanks for sharing view

MTL Cain 00:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
For Eur/Usd negative news, [BNP PARIBAS] agreed to buy US"s Community First Bankshares for $1.2bln in cash. The deal is expected to be completed in Q3. Meanwhile, o/n rejection from 1.2374 high leaves [EUR/USD] heavy, and Eur/Jpy selling is dragging the pair lower this morning. Downside, initial target at 1.2233 o/n low, ahead of 1.2210 Monday"s intraday low.

CAIRO AG 00:21 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
farmacia: thanks

MTL Cain 00:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:14 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : No problem to see 1.2213.

agree. Another negative news for eur just came.

Melbourne Qindex 00:19 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT March 17, 2004
EUR/USD : the market is expected to vibrate around the quantised level at 1.2244 with an expected magnitude of 30.4 pips, i.e. 1.2213 - 1.2274 for the time being.

melbourne farmacia 00:18 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
CAIRO AG 00:06 GMT March 17, 2004
Hi mate - 2 many mixed signals short term, currently hourly Techs suggest sell upticks. GT

Brisbane L 00:08 GMT March 17, 2004
Covered last night and flipped small short.


Porto PJT 00:17 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, thank you.Still very mixed picture.gt.

Melbourne Qindex 00:14 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : No problem to see 1.2213.

MTL Cain 00:12 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi Taro.

One of my friends wants to open accounts to with them(Golf Forecast Time). Can i please share your experience with them?

Thx.

His biggest question: will he be able to get his money back if he make the deposite to his account. Call him newbie, but I couldn't assure him. :D

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:11 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
KL KL
ya.. np for me about little sleep. sleep well .
about gbp/usd and eur/usd.. for short term is okay for exit when get arround 25-30 pips.
but for new entry I think is good now for buy. I don't admire if price climb from now.. maybe fast from 1.8107

Melbourne Qindex 00:10 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Brisbane L 00:09 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Farmacia might I add in the short term

Brisbane L 00:08 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia notice your long Aud, however are you bearish further out because most see any rally above 74 as a selling opportunity

CAIRO AG 00:06 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
farmacia: hi... u mean its a short? TIA

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:05 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
about gbp/usd.
based on 15 minutes candle.
there are 4 important periods. first if close above 1.8138 better exit your sell position.
end period if close above 1.8129 is not good for selling.

melbourne farmacia 00:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Eur/Usd saved by closing under daily f line. re: 11:14 GMT March 16, 2004. GT

Montréal Taro 00:00 GMT March 17, 2004 Reply   
Texas CD

Took me some time but now I see. I used to be with them few years back.

 




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