User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  
January  February  March  April  May  June  July  August  September  October  November  December  
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Forex Forum Archive for 04/02/2004

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Gold Coast martin 23:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
THANK YOU HK... g/l g/t

hk ab .6 nzd 23:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
martin//sxxo showed .7571 bid.

btw, finally something lucky for me with the 1.2105 long eur filled.

Gold Coast martin 23:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
the live forex chart on this site is showing the AUD/USD pair at 7650...surely this is a mistake ..can someone tell me the correct price for this pair as my trading platform is showing 7568....

hk ab .6 nzd 23:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// those c9 index is still very good.

Think that uncle was kicked at 1.2380 again that morning.

and they never get their dlr/chf filled now.

Sydney gvm 23:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
America must be partying in the streets - 200,000 more govt employees and 100,000 more people serving burgers at Macdonalds

dc fxq 23:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
think most everyone is a bit shellshocked and bagged early.

Good weekend all.

mexico aps 22:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hello

Melbourne Qindex 22:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab .6 nzd 15:30 GMT - You are welcome, have a nice weekend.

clon glenn 22:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
but apparently no-one else....good w/e all...gl/gt for next week

clon glenn 21:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yup!

Mamanama Khalifa 21:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Anybody there?

brisbane sunstate 21:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
telaviv dori 20:56
e/$ now 1.2132-1.2135 H 1.2374-L 1.2100
$/j now 104.54-104.57 H 104.79-L 103.66
GL

nyc jk 20:59 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR 1.2131/34 JPY 104.54/57

telaviv dori 20:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sorry the second is $/YEN TIA

telaviv dori 20:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
problems with my computer , where is the market now on E/$ & $/GPY & their h/l pls.

Dallas GEP 20:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
time test

nyc jk 20:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
have a good tequila OMIL, I will try some !

dubai mak 19:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
well, the no. of US jobs have significantly increased, according to CNN. better get ready to watch some rise in stocks.... i reckon :)

LHR B747 19:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD report:

closed ALL spot trades with -130pips
Left open EUR CALLS @ JUN/04 & SEP/04

Unemployment was UP to 5.7%...these FX speculators seems to be stronger than any truth :)

Kkorma Hamid 19:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hello room
What time will the mrket close?
thanks

Van jv 18:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:30///Many thanks ,, appreciated and Nice weekend

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 18:31 GMT April 2, 2004
I don’t suggest opening new shorts and leaving them over the weekend unless you have a specific plan and target. I will leave mine but I have already moved my stop to a point to secure profits. I other words I don’t loose even if my stop is hit over the weekend. There should be a bounce if this support holds which looks good for the moment. It is sell on rallies so the retracement looks like this if the support holds 1.2210-15, 1.2245-50 and 1.2280-90. Resistance is around 1.2150-60 and heavier resistance around 1.2280-2300. This are rough numbers because this move has not ended yet IMHO. Now I have to go I am late for my meeting lol. GL GT

Van jv 18:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:30/////Re testing of double bottom //EUR/and DX res./ might be better to leave new pos. for next week & sell EUR on blibs...????

dubai mak 18:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
someone here suggested a rise in the USD/CHF exchange rate.... and boy was he right! Just made a whopping $1000 profit... thanks man! i owe you one :)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:27 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Ok I set it in auto pilot and I am off to my meeting (tequila). I hope everyone has a safe and good weekend see you on the other side. GL GT

ZP Nemo 18:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
How big would gap at Mon opening in Asia???

Quito Valdez 18:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Newcastle//
Thanks much for your concern but I'm fully aware of the sponsor/broker issue amigo! That's why I indirectly asked if the guy could email me personally...read my post carefully please..no offence. I would never jeapardise one of Jay's sponsorships nor encourage anyone to do the same.

If we had a chat room or if I could promote my own forex chatroom/learning website to do this stuff with it would be a lot more convenient!!!!!

Anyone wanting the URL please email Jay.

Ran away with 198 pips from yesterday's USD buy..maybe bailed too soon but wth, it's beer:30 and I've got other stuff to do. Happy trades all. April showers bring May flowers.

philadelphia jb 18:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Perrie...could you give me that website?

perrie como 18:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
a good forex might be reminiscences of the d-mark with some shakespeare philosophy behind

Philadelphia JB 18:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone have any interesting URL's that i can browse regarding the forex?

boulder dat 18:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
WOW... gold down $9.00 to $418.00

Newcastle GH 17:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez- It was just where you wanted to know the name of the platform. There are sponsers on the site and it is not permitted to discuss there pros and cons, or to name them. I have sent emails today but they must have failed. Will try again! Cheers!

perrie como 17:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
guess the next week markets will have to cope with huge euro sellings from most crosses, against the dollar there could be some strong attempt of supporting It, with roumors also, in the mid 1.18 .19 area.

The japanese yen might strenghten more, as the strongest economy globally is continuously confirming a way out of the long term crisis suffered.

In the bond markets all medium to low rated securities are continuously sold. Reminds of some junk crisis at least.

Talking long term I do not foresee good times for the euro as for the dollar next 2 years.

g/l all and nice w/e

Roumeli aek 17:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Gold @ 420, the top was in last night eh?

Quito Valdez 17:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Newcastle GH 17:20 GMT April 2, 2004 //

I don't see any email from you, resend please. Huh? What post don't you like...am confused here. If you want my emial go to my website if you know what it is. I can't give the URL here.

I think if we punch thru 1.2100 we'll see 1.2050 the way my chart sits and begs.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I hope, so I can get my limit printed but either way I have moved stops to secure my profits I don’t want my hard work to go with out reward lol. I have been flat since Tuesday waiting to cash in (or cash out) today. JK if you like tequila try that bottle I mentioned but it has to be the añejo bottle cheers.

Barcelona Tony 17:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 17:38 GMT ... that is what makes me think 1.1950 is not the real target .... 1.16 looks better now ... my long term trades will be held more time in search of that

Livingston nh 17:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The EUR looks different if you look at a weekly line chart -- there is really no support under 1.2090 and thin Friday afternoon could see some folks try a push down (4 day "rally" undone in minutes)

nyc jk 17:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thanks OMIL, stil trading heavy, but as you say died down a bit so not sure if we see it down there today or not either, but I think Monday very likely if not today cheers

nyc jk 17:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thanks OMIL, stil trading heavy, but as you say died down a bit so not sure if we see it down there today or not either, but I think Monday very likely if not today cheers

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
JK like I said the move for this pair has died down a bit with people squaring for the weekend and intraday contras also pushing it up. The crosses are not helping that much either. I am looking for it to test the double bottom but not sure if that will be today.

boulder dat 17:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
euro is loking kind of heavy here. we could see the figure go soon. i imagine someone is going to push it through. but, don't expect it to go down too far. i'm looking to buy on the bottom. maybe even cable. cable seems heavily supported. this thing doesn't watnt to go down at all.

nyc jk 17:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OMIL what are you looking for next on EUR if this 00 ish area goes? 50?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Intraday indicators are in O/B territory for eur/usd and pushing new holes in the bottom of my monitor. I have moved my stops to secure profits and hope it can break this support to make my limit.

Newcastle GH 17:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Quito valdez, Naughty, naughty! I told you before you cannot discuss those type of things here! Read your emails CB and get back to me !

RO rok 17:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP 6 mo. min ????

Gen dk 17:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 17:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OH JP, Now that's a HELLLLL of a deal. GREAT platform provider!!!

pj amc 17:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
any views on aud/jpy ? short here?

QC WC 17:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, hope you could share some not so small pips trade next time:-)

Barcelona JP 17:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:06 GMT April 2, 2004
JP WHY would you change your SHORT order to 1.2205?????

GEP, They fill me at 1.2180.
Once price was at 1.2165, they said my entry was wrong. An gave me the opportunity to change my entry from 1.2180 to 1.2205. I had 10 seconds to make up my mind.
I accepted and instead of having a gain of 15 pips I had one of 40.

KL KL 17:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Put a sell order on gbp usd at 1.8380...I think it will test 1.81x later next week. Also on EUR at 1.218 to test the 1.19. I think I also call it a day as all ccy is basing here at current level for some retracement up. AUD also look tempting to short now at this level... I am sure many big time traders using this lull to catch you in some unsuspecting mood before the NY close....and then wham...IMHO...gl gt to all.

nyc jk 17:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2 - and I forgot to add, nice trade!

nyc jk 17:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
cheers fg. of course those are averages with a lot of variability between cycles, but you get the idea.... Sydney2, well that was obviously a longer term view I gave, as for the very near term, I think short is still generally the way to be, market now starting to price in an August tighting, but having said that I do very little short term trading in bond futures so I am probably the wrong guy to ask for the day to day stuff in that instrument sorry.

perrie como 17:10 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
soon will get interesting
no ECB rate change confirms next week eur/usd below 1.19

Newcastle GH 17:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

Apart from those usual malfunctions on platforms - freezes, slow fills, no fills etc, I had a new on today. I took a Euro short and was in profit but the open positions said i was in a losing position. I waited a while for it to fix itself but it got worse. I had a limit and a stop so I wasn't concerned unduly. eventuall i made the s/l tighter and was eventuall stopped out for a 21 pip loss, but at the time i was actually at break even. I haven't complained yet as this broker has a disclaimer which kills that! I wouldn't use them but ther are benefit as well. But that is the weirdest one!

Dallas GEP 17:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
JP WHY would you change your SHORT order to 1.2205?????

Barcelona JP 17:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD has a very strong barrier at 1.3190

Sydney2 17:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk , thanks for your comment on bond, I shorted 30 years T-bond just before the data. I am just wondering if I shoud take profit or leave it there. Your view again?

Dallas GEP 17:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GREAT!!!

Barcelona JP 17:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:58 GMT April 2, 2004
if they ACCEPTED your order and put you in position THEN you have a legitimate grievance if they then changed it.

I'm very happy, GEP, they put me in position at 1.2180 and then they gave me the opportunity to change my short entry at 1.2205.

ICT ML 17:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Sorry,nh...that was for GEP...can't control my cut and paste I guess...LOL

ICT ML 17:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 16:24 GMT April 2, 2004 ...I think he said they actually offered him a Better entry price than what his platform said they filled it at...that would be a bizzarre offer..but I'd take it...LOL

melbourne farmacia 17:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP - long cable @ 1.8240 if tools look good ... for small pips

QC WC - it's all about following the flow -yeah it's ugly, but don't tell me you havent purchased a ugly thing in your life....

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:59 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML Van Halen aren’t those guys like 50 or 60 years old? LOL

Dallas GEP 16:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
if they ACCEPTED your order and put you in position THEN you have a legitimate grievance if they then changed it.

sydney fg 16:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
interesting post jk. thks

ICT ML 16:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GEP....after today, I can afford to buy my Van Halen concert tickets for Mandalay Bay Las Vegas....they are about the same price as spot gold right now...LOL

nyc jk 16:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2 16:48 GMT April 2, 2004

med to long term bond view - very bearish. evidence mounting that the Fed to start the tightening cycle in the not too distant future. The Fed does not often change the direction of it's rate moves, and one it begins an easing or tightening cycle it typcially lasts for a long time. Specifically, I read some reasearch that over almost the last century, average interest rate cycles have lasted for almost three years with an average of almost 7 rate moves in each.

Barcelona JP 16:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:49 GMT April 2, 2004
Well the ONE minute timeframe is really a LONG time but if they accepted 1.2180 they should honor it

Sorry, GEP, they give me 10 seconds to make up my mind.
I did and then my entry was changed to 1.2205. So, they gave me back 25 pips.

Guernsey Man 16:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, Nice buy in the Dollar/Canada!!!

perrie como 16:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
irrational exuberance dark side of the world

Bomb Is Found on Spanish Train
New York Times - 55 minutes ago
MADRID, April 3 Less than a month after the commuter train terror bombings here, a package containing explosives was found today on the high-speed rail line linking Madrid and Seville, Spanish officials said.
Spanish Police Find Bomb on Railways; Trains Halted (Update6) Bloomberg

boulder dat 16:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
seems that chart scenario that i posted may be duplicating itself today. we had the 11:30 n.y push, now we are back to the ranges. i'm not seeing much more downside to euro for the rest of the day. i'll be looking to buy cable going in to next week. this move just offered better buying opportunities.

Dallas GEP 16:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Well the ONE minute timeframe is really a LONG time but if they accepted 1.2180 they should honor it

Dallas GEP 16:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Well the ONE minute timeframe is really a LONG time but if they accepted 1.2180 they should honor it

Sydney2 16:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Any friend here has a short to middle term view on bond? tia

Barcelona JP 16:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
vancouver jpb 16:45 GMT April 2, 2004
barcelona.... Do you watch CNBC....

I do not.

But, you are right man: needs to be an investigation on that.

boulder dat 16:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thanks Valdez.... sometimes when you get bored waiting for a trade to work out, you find things to do to occupy your time. glad you like the site.

Barcelona JP 16:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:36 GMT April 2, 2004
Friends earlier when numbers were announced I tried AT LEAST a dozen times to get short but platform WOULD NOT let me. I EVEN had a second person on the platform to try and short on the same account as well and it was fruitless!!! That just BURNS my Asssss!!!!

GEP, Commerce Bank accepted my short at 1.2180.

Once at 1.2165, they said to me there was a new price for the entry: 1.2205 and gave me 1 min to make up my mind.

That's fair, don't you think?

vancouver jpb 16:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
barcelona.... Do you watch CNBC....

Rick Santelli... who covers the CBOT.... Was very blunt when he said that the heavy selling began at 8:27-8:28.

There needs to be an investigation on this one.

Quito Valdez 16:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
dat..your website's a hoot! Nice graphix.

Barcelona Tony 16:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 16:25 GMT ... the H&S is about to work ... gbp welcomes 1.70 .. come on! sell everything against the $!!

vancouver jpb 16:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dublin.... exactamondo!

Barcelona JP 16:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Reuters saying now that they did not leak the Jobs Report but there is a defective time-clock at Docklands London that is being replaced because it placed the wrong time on a story.

Do you believe in miracles? Then, if you do, trust Reuters.

Come on!!!!

Dublin CK 16:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sydney fg 16:36 GMT April 2, 2004

More people employed, more people have money to spend on goods.

More sales companies will make to customers, boosting profits, increasing shareholder value, share prices increase.

Booble verison II will continue. Interest rates will rise eventually, but not before the election.

sydney fg 16:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
dallas, don't fret - i had cable order sell at 1.8450 and pulled it,.... now that's dumb

Livingston nh 16:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sorry ML - I had recalled comments about some commodity prices - I had thot scrap metals of some sort// looking for inflation anecdotal

Dallas GEP 16:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Friends earlier when numbers were announced I tried AT LEAST a dozen times to get short but platform WOULD NOT let me. I EVEN had a second person on the platform to try and short on the same account as well and it was fruitless!!! That just BURNS my Asssss!!!!

sydney fg 16:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
PC Beach, FL Chris 16:31 GMT April 2, 2004
Employment numbers up big
Indices up

You would think that the indices would lag because of interest rate hike fears...Can someone please enlighten me as to why this may not be the case today? US$ acting 'accordingly' though...

dow futures only up 40 points from pre-data lvl. traded up 100 points at one stage.

Livingston nh 16:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
PC Beach Chris - equity folks are a little slow - they know that the party can go on after one or even two rate hikes (last example 1999)

boulder dat 16:35 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
PC Beach, FL Chris...

we already knew that employment was heading up. so we already know that interest rates will be going up. what we didn't know was that there were a whole lot more people earning paychecks. those individuals will be spending money, helping companies with their bottom line.

that is just one way to look at it.

ICT ML 16:35 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 16:24 GMT April 2, 2004

I think you have me confused with another member nh. I don't deal with scrap.

Dallas GEP 16:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Bye Farmacia. What is your trade of the day suggestion for us for here to close????

QC WC 16:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, same message last friday but end up buying the ugly picture and only informing us after selling it with a huge profit:-)

PC Beach, FL Chris 16:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Employment numbers up big
Indices up

You would think that the indices would lag because of interest rate hike fears...Can someone please enlighten me as to why this may not be the case today? US$ acting 'accordingly' though...

sgp sp 16:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
have a nice weekend ab, c u next week.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Have a good weekend AB.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
You need patience in this business the market came within 5 pips of my limit and it won’t let me go early from work today. Farmacia have a good weeked.

melbourne farmacia 16:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
A repost from last friday :
Final comment before close up shop for the weekend - Gbp/usd chart is one ugly picture.... from a trade & aesthetic perspective, wouldn't win any art prize ! Have good weekend all. GT

catch u all monday.


Livingston nh 16:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML - are you still seeing scrap prices firmer ? - do you see any holdbacks by suppliers?

boulder dat 16:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Valdez...

i think you and i are in the same camp. buy some euro's and cable at the first chance. the push on that chart was 11:30 n.y. same thing seems to be happening right now.

hk ab .6 nzd 16:21 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
place limit buy eur 1.2105 good night.

ICT ML 16:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 16:17 GMT April 2, 2004....I hit that one at 15 a few minutes agao....I think I need to get a much bigger gun...HAHA

Nottingham 16:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 16:11 GMT

euro conventionally o/s around 1.1965 fwiw...longing at those levels has always yielded returns but sometimes not on the same day, requiring further longs lower down...50% same day...gl gt

Quito Valdez 16:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
boulder dat 16:10 GMT April 2, 2004//
That's exactly what I was saying..it goes boom...wallows around to cool in the mud and boom again to recoup when break's over.

Livingston nh 16:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Cable is probably holding on because of the higher probability of a rate hike next week after today's US figure

ln 16:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 16:15 GMT. cheers. i am going to have a crack at euro to see if i can get this to give me a hand.

nyc jk 16:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
haven't tried that one OMIL, thanks will check it out!

Dallas GEP 16:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML thanks for email BTW

hk ab .6 nzd 16:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
a break of eur/gbp .66 will send eur under 1.2 today......

ICT ML 16:15 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 16:12 GMT ..I hit it at 93 for you but it didn't budge..some official bidders under here is the word.

sydney fg 16:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
1.2130 even!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Valdez right on Q eur/usd just took out the 1.2125 bottom next is support and my meeting with some shots lol.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 16:09 GMT April 2, 2004
Thanks JK remember I recommend Don Julio Añejo for tequila sipping lol.

ln 16:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
would someone hit cable pls so i can go home.

Quito Valdez 16:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Miami//
If that's the case with the bomb influencing the mkt then this is a temporary USD glitch bound to go back down hard and fast when the "new" wears off the paranoid hypes. I want Euros so bad right now I can taste Frankfurt-ers.

Dallas GEP 16:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Valdez RUN A TRAILING STOP TO PROTECT PROFITS

melbourne farmacia 16:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OMIL - same story - my swissy long order filled at 2730 at 8.28am, so my platform details said..

sydney fg 16:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hey folks. hope all made some money today.
that data definately leaked, or someone took a massive punt.
dow and euro moved sharply 2 minutes prior. wasn't watching, but apparently bond market moved too.

me, i wasn't sharp enough to recognise the heads up. got on down at 1.2170. took em back at 1.2230. not sure what's holding eur/usd up here. might just be that 200 pips calls for a breather! Though gold keeping it in check i guess.
ooh, there goes 1.2120
g/l all.

boulder dat 16:10 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hey everyone...
i keep a daily journal of all economic events, and take a snapshot of the chart itself to show the results. this helps me see what kind of reaction to expect from the market in case of certain events happening.

on january 9th, the payrolls came out with about 1000K jobs created. the euro shot up like a banshee. what was interesting was, it made no major headway after the initial move. there was a surge up around 11:00 n.y. time in the euro. from then, it remained raingbound in about a 20 pips range. not sure that this will be the case again, but here is a look at the chart if you would like to see. it may help you decide how you want to proceed the rest of the day. certainly the move that has followed since the intial move has been pretty lackluster. especially in cable.

click here

nyc jk 16:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, I like your trading ideas and your priorities! LOL

Nottingham 16:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
key on eurgbp is 6600/10...looks like it will coincide with eurcad 200sma...these levels are expected to be pivotal...gl gt

Dallas GEP 16:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
KL YES I am

Quito Valdez 16:08 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Kl KL//
yep. I wanna sell my usd for euros now, bad, taking 200+ pips but GEP and others who know better than me say to hold off for 1.20+...sheesh. Adrenalin! :)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:08 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Well GEP I believe that eur/usd will test the 1.2050 today but I am just hoping for 1.2090-2100 to go sip on some tequila LOL. There was a 24 pound bomb found in Spain’s train system to Barcelona. I believe that this influenced the market a bit IMHO.

sgp sp 16:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab, if that is the case, then after election, it would be nice to short the dj....

KL KL 16:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Yo thanks GEP...are you in any Gbpusd short position?? and Valdez you are right it is just in a square position...and suddenly either up or down....I am tempted to short at the top level just to follow the trend. They rarely defy trend...then again I can be wrong and hope s/l save me....this thing of S/l not taken sometimes by broker or systems worry me some times...so need to be vigil

Dallas GEP 16:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Reuters had story @ 8:28 EST 2 minutes early. They will be getting call from FBI

hk ab .6 nzd 16:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sp// the bubble (lie) could probably burst after November US election.....

vancouver jpb 16:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The payroll number was total leaked. The euro starts to nose dive just before the report. Not ten or 20 pips but 40!

Insider info, the bond boys had the a just on us.

hk ab .6 nzd 16:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, unfortunately, there are always some mkt maker stir things up. So, those early birds move are not reliable at times.

sgp sp 16:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab, fake or otherwise, I think it is heavily manipulated....sort of like reserved the best for the last....lulling us into complacency and then ripped all the assumptions to shreds. I could be wrong....

hk ab .6 nzd 16:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
someone can't lose the eur/jpy.....

and the happiest group should be the 1.2050 1.26 dnt owner.....

few more days to go.

Cairns Aussie 16:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab .6 nzd..Couldn't imagine any FX trader not staying up for the news out today...zzzzzz

amman jo 16:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thanks dallas

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab .6 nzd 15:54 GMT April 2, 2004
Could probably be true and there is talk about the payroll number being leaked before it came out. I notice about 1min to 30sec before they were out that the dollar started to get stronger which makes me believe that this might me true IMHO.

Dallas GEP 15:59 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OMIL if E/Ybreaks down past 126.50 euro is 1.2050 EASY E?Y is the driver

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
FWIW intraday indicators are in O/B territory for eur/usd so a bounce from the low 1.2125 or support 1.2100-1.2090 is not out of the question IMHO.

hk ab .6 nzd 15:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sp// many asian players have dreamt when the payroll is out.
So, they may need to wake up early on Monday to change their minds, imvho.

it's 300,000 not 200,000.

though I feel it's a fake number.

Dallas GEP 15:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
JO conservative STOP would be 1.2190, or say 1.2240 otherwise

sgp sp 15:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab, what abt ur view on nzd/usd? still think it is a short?

amman jo 15:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
dallas

how about the stoploss for shorting euro at 1.2155

thanks

hk ab .6 nzd 15:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sp// I am holding.
aud/nzd seems I can add some more later.

Dallas GEP 15:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
KL I mean

Dallas GEP 15:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
HL, good level to short euro is from 1.2155/60

sgp sp 15:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab, bird in hand worth 2 in bush....
btw, my aud/nzd stopped out at b/e, how abt urs?

Dallas GEP 15:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Guys that usd/cad LONG I called earlier was HURT by eur/cad shorts which DID not allow it to long, I would be leary of longing USD/CAD while EUR/CAD is shorting.

Dallas GEP 15:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Guys that usd/cad LONG I called earlier was HURT by eur/cad shorts which DID not allow it to long, I would be leary of longing USD/CAD while EUR/CAD is shorting.

Van jv 15:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD down 220 and Gold only 7$ at at 421, silver up 3 ..8.14.....????

HK Kevin 15:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 15:25 GMT, forget to mention most of my YEN trade are loss

hk ab .6 nzd 15:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sp// I will take a contra on chf and eur soon.

let's see if the previous bottom/top on eur and chf will be taken out or not before 13:00 EST.

hk ab .6 nzd 15:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sp// honestly, my original target was well above 1.3 but after these few weeks move, I know that I should trade the range now.

melbourne farmacia 15:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
QC WC 15:29 GMT April 2, 2004
Covered mate - might resell @ 1.8379 if seen today or monday. Will see how my range pans out - 1.8240 - 1.8283 - 1.8326 - 1.8379..

Guernsey Man 15:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Gep, Is the dollar a buy against the Canadian dollar here?

sgp sp 15:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab....wow...ur usd/chf longs sure bring in tidy profits....
congratulations.
:)

HK Kevin 15:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 15:25 GMT, Re USD/JPY: hourly chart said 104.70 sell it

hk ab .6 nzd 15:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Holy smoke, just checked the payroll data.....

What I feel is all these statistics look "toasted" out.....

Bush may want to well prepare his election activity and this is the first piece....

I can't imagine the payroll can jump 15 times in a MONTH!

anyway, bc, any new thoughts after this?

Sydney alimin 15:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
personally i think eur/usd can still go down all the way to test 1.2040

Quito Valdez 15:33 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
What scares me here is the typical eur/usd square shaped "plateau-ish" formation on the charts..it goes down abruptly, plateaus along happily then comes back up abruptly, brutally with no warning. Big money movers?? Same on the up side..square formations where it goes up abruptly, plateaus then down abruptly. Move around the chart in any time frame you want and you can see this formation frequently. No more posts...I post too much.

Provo John 15:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, thanks. appreciate your postings as well. Good trades.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ZA have a good week.

Indo Allcorp 15:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 14:07 GMT
Finally I see an open position on my screen from 1.8430. Talking to the tech support they say only a few users had the same problems as me. BTW it took just under an hour to process LOL. fast executions ! hehe

Thinking of holding at least till NY close. Euro can drag this cable down fast if it falls below 1.2050 for a clean break. Should send Cable to 1.8200-50 at least

hk ab .6 nzd 15:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, thanks fory our good forecast few hrs ago.

closed eur short from yesterday at 1.2140 for 123 pips.
closed m/t dlr/chf longs from 1.22, 1.2205, 1.2260 at 1.29

No more european positions.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 15:23 GMT April 2, 2004
I am sorry I can’t recommend an entry point at this time. It is sell on rallies but if you read my comments I have an exit for today on my intraday position at around 1.2090-2100. GL GT

QC WC 15:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, still holding short GBP? If so, any target?

Stockholm za 15:27 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Miami – Yes it has been a very rewarding week…..
I cannot see it today.. Hourly over sold … etc.
Have ema 233 to deal with ~12085…….
That number is needed for the rest :–
see [ shanghai bc 10:47 GMT April 2, 2004 ]……. Lol
Next minor Value line is 1194x
Auto. Trailing stop…… let’s see what happens….
Happy trades to you………

Quito Valdez 15:27 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I'm a spot trader only...pass to GEP and Knottingham...it looks to me tho that it's too early to tell on EUR from a newbie point of view. IMVFHO. :)

melbourne farmacia 15:26 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Provo John 06:49 GMT April 2, 2004
Thanks for your euro chart. - ps i liked your building for sale, very Frank L as you say. GT

Sydney gvm 15:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
oh and BTW everyone is long up the wazu Oil - watch CLK4 close circa $30 in NY

hong kong nt 15:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:37 -- seems you're a big fans of usd/jpy...

Nottingham 15:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 15:19 GMT

what you have sounds right...fwiw if taken and confirmed with break of recent lows then it can print 1.57xx today and I would bet that both eurusd and usdcad dragged down by it in that scenario...you reading for averages will vary slightly depending on your data feed but less scope for inaccuracy on longer term averages...gl gt

Barcelona JP 15:23 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I think USD/CAD is going to hit 1.3100/1.3080

KL KL 15:23 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Just came back...oh well, GEP, Valdez, OMIL, what is a good level to short pound EUR....etc now after this release??

Nottingham 15:21 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 15:17 GMT

point was in reference to euro and in particular longer term levels on both it and its crosses...imo swissy a bit noisier but I won't be a seller of it until >1.30 today fwiw...gl gt

sgp sp 15:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hi Nottingham, can u confirm the fig at eur/cad sma 200 is 1.5887 thereabouts?

thanks.

Barcelona Tony 15:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 15:12 GMT ... swiss did broke daily trendline to the upside ... at least in my charts ... gt gl ..

ln 15:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
the latter on weekly chart

ln 15:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
cheers guys. euro seems the best short as both cable and aud have had higher highs and higher lows.

Barcelona JP 15:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Regarding speculation the March employment report was leaked,
coincidental with June 10-year futures getting hit about 25 ticks two minutes
before the formal release of the data at 8:30, traders are now talking about a
Reuters story on Yahoo which gives the 308k rise in payrolls and calls it (in
the headline) the strongest job growth in four years. The story also mentions
the rise in the unemployment rate to 5.7% and the upward revisions to January
and February payrolls, but more importantly features an 8:28 time stamp. View
the story at the following link:
http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/040402/economy_jobs_1.html

LONDON savage 15:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
and im out

LONDON savage 15:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
moved stop to +10 pips @ 1.3137

Nottingham 15:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 15:08 GMT

although $ dollar move looks dramatic, we haven't yet broken any critical levels longer term...gl gt

Sydney gvm 15:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Ln early days - quiet before the storm - stay short

LONDON savage 15:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
2cnd profit obj @ 1.3107

ln 15:08 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
would have expected more followthrough on euro and cable. any views why we have not had it despite market being short dollar heading into the data.

GER ad 15:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY out at 127.01

LONDON savage 15:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
TOOK FIRST LOT AT 15 PIPS MOVE STOP TO BE

Nottingham 15:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
eurcad less than a figure a way from 200 day sma...a break lower will almost certain see reaction selling of eurusd...gl gt

LONDON savage 15:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sHORT CAD 1.3147

washington MMM 15:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Guys ......any view on AUD/USD @ thses levels ?
Thanks

Saihat 15:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR-hour

120-1.2220
240-1.2225

prague viktor 15:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Gep:Good call my friend G/LG/T

van Gecko 15:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
After teasing the herd of eager europhiles for the last few sessions patient Sons Of Beatrice had resume their merry short marching of Euro to 1.20 ..
Cheerios..


Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 14:57 GMT April 2, 2004
Hope you are doing well this week. Do you think we will see that number today? tia

GER ad 14:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 126.77 tight S/L

Stockholm za 14:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

The - H£ll`s Triangle - is on its way.........
~1202x For valley speed ..........
Have to love FX.......
Happy trades.......

Barcelona Tony 14:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
SELL EURCHF NOW TILL 1.57 STOP 5750 TARGET 55

GER ad 14:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD ~at the same value as at beginning this week but EUR crosses weaker.

sg tpe 14:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony, thanks.
hope can see 125.00 lvl soon

Quito Valdez 14:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GEPster, you're like gold amigo. uer/usd 1.20 will make me 304 pips.

Barcelona Tony 14:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sg tpe 14:41 GMT ... any level before 1.1950 is good

QC WC 14:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Nice call Revdax

Quito Valdez 14:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747...sorry mate...no footwork today...am in USD since 2 days ago. Retracement was just given to me by a friend, 1.20+ is seen in a day or two..so think twice about shorting Euro just yet.

Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Mentioned earlier this week we would see 1.2150 - 1.2450 range BUT we should see 1.2050 TODAY or lower depending on profit taking along the way. Do not try to hold BAD USD bear postions too long. NEW ranges will be etablished at least for now

Dallas GEP 14:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Very busy with 4 different platforms but one of the BEST buys now IMO is USD/CAD long from here with 1.3140 stop, this should see 1.3250 MIN, Eur/cad shorts so far have limited upside but that won't last

sg tpe 14:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
anybody shorting euro yen at this lvl. thanks

Nottingham 14:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
usdcad is yet to make a higher high so potentially full might of dollar has not yet been seen...a move above high required to create reaction spike to 3210, which if taken should force some buyers into the market...so far it does look wise to take profits on the spikes higher if long...gl gt

HK Kevin 14:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Not fast enough to enter any trade on the Conts. but the limit order of short USD/JPY at 104.70 was filled.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:35 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The BB is holding the show right now for eur/usd next support is at 1.2090-2100 IMO.

Barcelona Tony 14:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
if anyone thinks of selling $ deep pockets for the time being!!

Sydney gvm 14:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
so many euro positions LONG and WRONG - its the weekend - sell ya mother

Sydney gvm 14:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
119 NY close

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Just broke through the support looking for 1.2088 to finish the week for me on my intraday positions.

nyc jk 14:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
today

Avignon NP 14:27 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD @ 1.2050 today or monday ?

HK Kevin 14:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
B.A. BOCA 14:18 GMT, well said.

Cairns Aussie 14:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
RE:cnbc talking right now about how the bond futures started moving at 8:28 est
USD/EUR started moving at the same too..Nice to have that sought of ifo a couple of minutes before hand..

Shg 14:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Federal funds futures prices plummeted Friday amid fast market trade after shockingly high nonfarm payrolls numbers roiled the market, pricing in a 100% chance of a 25-basis-point hike in August and starting to factor in an additional 25-basis-point hike in November.
RTS/

pj amc 14:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
cnbc talking right now about how the bond futures started moving at 8:28 est

B.A. BOCA 14:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hello all....looks like some 'presidential' revisions have been made to the unemployment figs!

Gen dk 14:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Livingston nh 14:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
RTN - think US bonds are calling the tune today - BoE likely to move next week with US rates higher so Cable may hold on - pressure is off ECB to move// agree numbers are a bit out of whack in the revision area

Avignon NP 14:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I was filled on profit taken near the first low a 1,2178 and again I've shorted at 1,2225

Avignon NP 14:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
well depends your broker settings, you usually have for any orders an upper and lower bound limit if you do not or cannot set it, then your broker uses a defauld one of maybe 5p and in theses cases 50p in a couple of sec your not filled .... make sure your broker execute market order without any bounderies !

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
pj amc 14:10 GMT April 2, 2004
It all depends on your broker they can basically do what ever they want. The way you can protest this is to change broker.

Nottingham 14:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
your percentage chance of getting limits or stops filled at requested can be directly related to the percentage margin you are required to put up...in the end you get what you pay for so to speak...gl gt

nyc jk 14:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
RTN - why do you say it doesn't make sense?

Alicante RTN 14:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The headline nonfarm payroll number does not make sense and the market is starting to perceive this. Decent possibility here for a snap-back move towards pre-release levels in all majors, imo. Be careful - the easy money has already been made.

pj amc 14:10 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
This is geared toward the experienced fellas here..........I had an order aboe eurusd to buy and below it to sell 2 minutes before the release of the employment report. They did not fill my order on the sell side anywhere near where I had it? Is this normal on moves like this?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
There is stalling here at the 50% fib retracement line on eur/usd pair for now.

Barcelona Tony 14:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp 13:58 GMT ... reliable broker!!! LOL ... btw shangai bc commented the chance of swiss trading the range 1.30-35 .... hats off ... when everybody thought we were in front of a new turn his range will be met sooner than ever!!

Barcelona Tony 14:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Oil Man made it again .... short $ when $ will soar to heaven!!

Melbourne Qindex 14:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : It is negative when the market is trading below 421.4. The next trading range is going to be 409.1 - 415.3.

ICT ML 14:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia...did you see what I was talking about in the chart regarding that candle..both 4 hr and daily?.....the VOODOO lines RULE...

or 14:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Be careful while the easy play is to buy USD the smart ones are getting their sell orders filled.

vancouver jpb 14:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
WOOOOHOOOOO!

What a ride

Indo Allcorp 14:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
at least my Gold deler has no problems + 7 bucks so far

ICT ML 14:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
We have a target on the cable collaspe at 1.8050, where a "new" slightly up channel bottom resides fwiw

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo I will look for 1.1980 first but one step at a time IMO.

ICT ML 13:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
DAT...exactly......I had to close them at market now before they could get around to the limit order taht was 100 pips less profit than mow........got it done too....and will reenter after things settle down a bit....if they will take the order that is....hahha

Indo Allcorp 13:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 13:53

I have LOL. But my trade shows excecuted but has still not shown as an open position for 28 minutes. This happend the other day also and the strange thing was my trade did not open untill the market moved agaist me

london phil 13:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
gold down 10 dollars and still falling 418

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo agree 100%. We should see the low 1.21’s today and some more IMHO.

melbourne farmacia 13:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML - Very nice RED candle on cable for you mate.

Livingston nh 13:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Employment report strong across the Board - prior month revisions higher // nassau QF - the unemployment rate had to be adjusted to account for the reduction in labor force made over the last few months - this brought back in the unemployed who had been washed out

This happened last year at the same time

boulder dat 13:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML....

i've had that problem before. it just takes time for them to process all of the orders. eventually, your od=rder will be processed. even the exit order. so yes, go for it.

Oakland Daimyo 13:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:50 GMT April 2, 2004
The option related defense at 1.2050 appears to be at risk. It looks like this level is vulnerable as this would be the 3rd knock on that door. I believe we finally have enough supply hitting the mkt to push past on way to 1.1780. GT to all

Barcelona Tony 13:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
buy $ people! what are you waiting for???

Gen dk 13:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

london phil 13:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
finally aussie dollar selling of nicely broke that .7600 level

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML that is definitely a gift from them sometimes they give and sometimes they take LOL

Indo Allcorp 13:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
LONDON savage
I would guess my 1.8430 position is safe for now. 1.8150 is a nice target now.

Nassau QF 13:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Payrolls went up but so did the unemployment rate.
It's now at 5.7% vs. 5.6%

Employment Figures

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Remember what BC said this will set the tone for the next week or so for the dollar. I believe the eur/usd will test the double bottom very soon IMHO. GL GT

ICT ML 13:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
on phone with them to see if I can close at market for another 70 pips profit....they say go for it

Oakland Daimyo 13:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Looks like trap has been set. USD strength to follow. EURUSD distribution cycle can continue now as spec accounts were drawn in over the last 3-4 days. Pain will be felt by these accounts as they scramble for the exits. Go Bear raiders.

Barcelona Tony 13:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
swiss ready for the big break .... 1.35 again next!

nyc jk 13:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
be careful ML, maybe you will get the trade confirmations when EUR is 1.2107 lol

Helsinki iw 13:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Yes, broker is what my broker has made me.

LONDON savage 13:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Indo Allcorp, the same thing happened to me now but my order eventually came through i hope you had a profit limit order

ICT ML 13:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
You know what guys....I was short euro and cable from 1.2307 and 1.8486 and left before data with TP set at 1.8376 and 1.2207...and my broker who "guarantees' limit and stop fills did NOT fill them....A gift from God maybe?......

dc fxq 13:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Rather odd that no one complains when the front running of data foes the other way is it has so often in past months.

Nottingham 13:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
LONDON savage 13:41 GMT

we got some euro downside here...traders I'm speaking to now flat...gl gt

Shg 13:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Bund futures had already crashed nearly two points in the few minutes before payrolls were released, prompting talk that data were leaked. June bunds now down 1.20 at 114.69 in more orderly mkt vs 115.21 a few minutes before numbers,USD had jumped immediately before the number, as well. --shifty

Barcelona Tony 13:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yes there was something semlling!!! my $ longs that are on fire!!! well .... enjoy longing $ all this session .... if swiss breaks 1.2850 ..... enjoy

or 13:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
More cheap euros! Snap em up while u can!

Indo Allcorp 13:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Strange..I scalped a short cable at 1.8430 and the order shows excecuted but has not shown as open yet. over 9 mins have passed and would have enjoyed taking profit at 1.8270.

Still has not filled and my bet it wont be untill the market gaps back up . I hate brokers!

LONDON savage 13:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham my friend hope you got some of that move i managed to grap some on the cad should of traded the euro though

Melbourne Qindex 13:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : 126.67

CAIRO AG 13:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Viees/// YES IT WAS !!!!!!!

Moscow Hawk 13:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
No surprise in dollar strength. See you at lower levels. One more test of 1.20 and good chances we will see the break downside in this case.

Have a good weekend.

prague viktor 13:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I think the next station for the usd is 1,183..any comment

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 13:37 GMT April 2, 2004
That is the low for eur/usd

LHR B747 13:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 13:37 GMT // 1.2162

Avignon NP 13:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
YEP my short from 1.2358 made his profit with 180pips one of my very best day !!

dc fxq 13:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I show 1.2161 bid as the spike low

Tallinn viies 13:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ok, suprise I must say.

was it really 1,2166 traded?

LHR B747 13:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR @ 1.2189

Wellington am 13:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
bugger. got stopped out earlier this evening on my cable short. would have been singing otherwise.

boulder dat 13:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
shg... yo're not joking. i stayed out because i thought something else was going on. as it turns out the "something else" was me not knowing the right people beforehand.

GVI john 13:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
March 308,000
February +46K vs +21K
January +159K vs +97K

Melbourne Qindex 13:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:04 GMT April 2, 2004
USD/CHF : As shown in my 44-day cycle reference the market is going to consolidate between the following ranges of 1.2620 - 1.2667 - 1.2698. The odds are good that the market will overcome the projected resistance at 1.2698 and head for 1.2853.

Shg 13:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
DATA SNAP: US Jobs Grew At Fastest Pace In 4 Yrs In March

Melbourne Qindex 13:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : the mid-point reference of 1.1686 - 1.1356 is 1.2021.

Melbourne Qindex 10:10 GMT March 20, 2004
EUR/USD : Heading Towards 1.1686?


The distribution profile of my 22-day cycle (19/03) probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.1686 - 1.2356. On the way to 1.1686 there are 3 major barrier, namely 1.2222, 1.2088 and 1.1954, for the market to tackle. Other cycle analyses will be used to closely monitor the situation.

chicago cal 13:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nice

Shg 13:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Say what you like someone had those numbers before hand the Euro dropped 40pts 3 minutes before they were released

GENEVA FHR 13:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
NFP +308000 Jan Rev +159000 Feb rev +46000

Gen dk 13:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Varna GV 13:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Knez//Belgrade, i think that you must buying EUR against USD in this month ( April), and sell June.
I think that the month of April will be good for USD against the Euro, but in May and June , the Euro will go up strongly and will reach the high around:1.35 and then you must be short on EUR/USD wit target: Aug/Sept.

Lahore Rk 13:26 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
HI forum

Any projection for the non farm and the impact

Tia

GL/GT

earth farmer 13:26 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
if i got power i will like
1 us dollar= 1 iraqi dinar (new)
hahah

earth farmer 13:26 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
if i got power i will like
1 us dollar= 1 iraqi dinar (new)
hahah

earth farmer 13:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
7 min to go
tik tik tik ...................................tik tik

earth farmer 13:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hi all
i think we will see 1.2410 and 1.8650 in 15 min

earth farmer 13:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hi all
i think we will see 1.2410 and 1.8650 in 15 min

Gen dk 13:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

slv sam 13:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
my gamble/
bought e/$ at 1.2310 target 1.2425 today!GT

Quito Valdez 13:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Knottingham. We'll all just have shorter fingernails til H hour.

Stockholm za 13:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

fwiw.....
DPUD @568
EUR/USD on ema 35 play info data..
Happy safe trades..........

Nottingham 12:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 12:49 GMT

I think it will be lower than expected but I don't have a position to reflect this because a) I'm not trading off this number (though may trade later on) b) there will be plenty of time for those that wish to take a position following the release so if I were planning to trade I'd do it then...speculating on numbers such as these has to be done in a profitable way...gl gt

Quito Valdez 12:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OK Mex, sera aka 1 min. amigo

Quito Valdez 12:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
dumb question and I can't get anything solid from the dialog below (no offence!! :) [Valdez out of dimes to put in his 10cent crystal ball on his desk], what think the employment number will be....expected or high or low?

Madrid 12:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
MADRID (Reuters) - An explosive device was found on Friday on a high-speed train line near the Spanish city of Toledo, Interior Minister Angel Acebes said.

High-speed train services were halted earlier after a railway employee spotted a suspicious bag on the line. Bombs exploded on four Madrid commuter trains on March 11, killing 191 people.

mex sjs 12:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
quito, am in ur site....charlamos

Jeddah Fat. 12:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GER ad Thank you very much

Quito Valdez 12:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
1 mo thing...GMT = Grenwitch = Zulu (aviation/military) = UTC (universal time constant) = universal mean time = universal time. The later being more definitive of what it actually is...constant. Lots of names for the same thing.

london phil 12:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
20 pounds of dynamite under a rail line with detontaors cnbc

melbourne farmacia 12:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Guy's data at 8.30 am ny - end of story

Gen dk 12:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

warsaw mach 12:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
roumor that bomb was found on the fast train truck in Spain (between Madrid and Sevilla)

Quito Valdez 12:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Agreed...GMT is a constant 365.25 days per year. That's just the way it is set up. Individual local times vary with their own savings time preferences. Ecuador and other countries on the equator have no savings time thank goodness...no need to....night = 12 hours and day = 12 hours...time here as the climate is the same year round.

London R J 12:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thanks cashman and avignon,
I have soo much to learn.............

LHR B747 12:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
50mins to go...

Global-View 12:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
US Employment report comes out at 13:30 GMT, 49 minutes from now.

london phil 12:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
explosive device found on spanish train
reuters

GER ad 12:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Jeddah Fat. 12:18
After the numbers the conditions could be very volatile (especially if the number are as expected 80/120000) so entry order near momentary value could be dangerous. You need to know where are the supports and resistance points
Example: EUR/USD (check Melbourne Qindex 11:51)
IMHO good support at ~1.2260 and good resistance at ~1.2390. But if the number is extreme a break of these points is possible (with eventually a large continuation).
GT & GL

London R J 12:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
HI GUYS,
Vilnius, yes my messages automatically post the time in bold letters on the first line of the posting. All I am saying is that the time in London UK is 13:36.
Cashman, I swear now I am so confused by all of this time malarkey that I dont know when the report will be out...I thought it would be out Now!
Please do your own research into this and do by all means let me know.

clon glenn 12:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Avignon

GMT is 12:38........13:38 is current UK time which is now BST

Ldn Cashman 12:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Avignon, noooooo. GMT stays contant. Doesn't matter if you move your clock one hour forward or backward. I'll say no more.

LHR B747 12:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
tik...tak...tik...tak...*** BOOM *** BOOM *** !!!!

Ldn Cashman 12:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Also RJ,a clue is if you look at your posting it tells you the time in GMT above it.

Avignon NP 12:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GMT is currently 13:31 but of course as the yankies only will change time comiig sunday they are mixing up ! so when they say report out at 13:30 it will be at 14:30 ... next week will be back to normal !

Porto PJT 12:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
RJ data in 1 hour.

Ldn Cashman 12:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
RJ, so are the numbers out in 1 minute then >? Think about it

Vilnius Phoenix 12:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London R J 12:21

... and time is 13:21 ?

GVI john 12:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2315…$/yen 104.15
DJIA +1 pts… 10-yr 3.88%, 0 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
Text on GVI...

Dublin CK 12:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Just a thought to bare in mind,

Avg NFP for the last 6 months has been 61k - Actual

Avg NFP for the last 6 months has been 94k - Forecast

London R J 12:21 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
cashman, did you forget to put your watch forword or do you not realise that the time now in London --United Kingdom is actually 13.20, by the way GMT means Greenwich mean time. We are still an hour behind continental time

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
gold..gold..
ideally in one hourly candle now show me 428.00.
seen will be confirmed.

Jeddah Fat. 12:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GER ad & people
Would you suggest to create entery orders?

kmlp begam 12:15 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
what time is the payroll. could any one tell me in GMT pls

Ldn Cashman 12:15 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
No, GMT is 12.14 now. We have 76 mins to go

Livingston nh 12:15 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The beauty of "spinning" is that the insignificant becomes significant (straw into gold) - the employment figures (or any gov't statistic) has enough pieces that a good "spinner" can succeed for a bit // watch for something like "jobs fell overall BUT manufacturing jobs jumped" or the "unemployment rate rose to 8% BUT more people entered the Labor Market" // reality will prevail but you can't know what the "spin" will be

Tallinn viies 12:15 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I hope you were able to buy the euro down near 1,23. everything close to 1,2260 looks cheap.-
stop still at 1,2240

Sofia TNZ 12:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Thanks AL

London AL 12:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
TNZ: http://wwp.greenwichmeantime.com/time-zone/clock-changes/index.htm

Dublin Flip 12:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I think the market is going into this number fairly square and are opting for the wait and trade of the number mentality. It's hard to argue with that defensive approach for most PA punters. The problem may be if the headline comes in , market reacts and the nuances of the data bring a different interpretaion than the initial sentiment. If you are long termer than you have your position. If you are a short-termer taking in a position into today's NFP to quote AG "You may as well flip a coin".

Nottingham 12:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London R J 12:03 GMT

If number either side of +50k and +175k then trend will not change all day after a quick 100 pip mark-up/down so you should be able to buy and forget for 1.25 or sell and forget for 1.2150 respectively...inside this range the reactions will obviously be less violent and it will be a case of buying dips or selling bounces and you will have to pay respect to recent resistances and supports...gl gt

Avignon NP 12:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Sure if you're not in the market better to wait till 13:30GMT ... I'm short Eur/Usd since this morning from 1.2358 maybe in the right direction ?

London R J 12:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
sofia
13.13 now

Sofia TNZ 12:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hello guys,
Why the data will be at 13:30 GMT?
When US changed the time.
Is the GMT 13:10 now? or 12:10?
Thanks

hk revdax 12:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London R J 12:03 //i disagree to your thinking. whatever will happen has already been discounted in the price structure. so either you go long now or go short and place a stop. the shortest cut in the mkt is a stop.

Nottingham 12:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius Phoenix 12:03 GMT

I wouldn't put to much emphasis on price action ahead of this number...last month euro slid ahead of number...

hk revdax 12:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
FWIIW//Those who are long $ should hit the bar or go to sleep with their long position held over the weekend.

London R J 12:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nottingham
yes, so the best option in my view to get anywhere as of now would be to wait to see the actual number, then, dependent on what side you are on (in my case GBP) Make the move, in thus saying, I mean if number is high I missed the boat temporarily (until say next week- to catch USD on consolidation) or if numbers are low, then do the trade after about 1.5 hours -- do you agree with my thinking, if not please comment
g/l g/t to all.....

Vilnius Phoenix 12:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
It can be some insiders who already knows answer re Jobs (I can be wrong about it). Euro small decline means insiders already sold ?

melbourne farmacia 12:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML & TJ - I sometimes use a setup based on 3/4 am bars for GBP/usd. 70% of the time, u can ride her for 100 pips...

london phil 12:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
looking back to last month the dollar had firmed for 2 weeks before the numbers by 700-800 pips when the numbers came out worse than expected the euro took back 200-300 pips.

this time for the last week euro has firmed by 300 pips so the opposite to last month so i would think the market is pricing in bad numbers where as last month they priced in good numbers

so good nuumbers dollar+ve
bad numbers dollar - ve but not as extreme as last time
in line dollar + ve buy the rumour selll the fact

just speaking out loud comments welcome

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
my prediction with time range emotion indicator
gold only have maximal 3 hours from now to stay here at arround 426 to get key answer. If will move up ideally move at range time maximal in 3 hours from now.

Nottingham 11:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London R J 11:49 GMT

Agree in principle as there will be some one off exceptionals boosting the headline number up so I think minimum +150k required to boost dollar significantly

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hello..friends.
I want to give view about gold.
I suspect gold will up from 425.50 to get extreme top at 432.50

saloniko 2004 nk 11:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

Oil Man ..u are absolutly right..lol!


nk

Melbourne Qindex 11:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 11:50 GMT April 2, 2004
EUR/USD : Trading reference from my 44-day cycle reference is as follow :-


... // 1.2085 - 1.2162 - 1.2239 - 1.2316 - 1.2393* // ...

London R J 11:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ck, here's an unqualified comment:
by my thinking, numbers up to 125k have been expected , now if we get numbers even slightly below this levels (ignore an improvement from last time) we will still see a negetive dollar sentiment. ( improvement not good enough would be the excuse) Any thoughts on this view?

Mtl JP 11:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
CK 11:26 / market concesus for 120K
IF below that eur and gbp to pop around 100 pips each

Jeddah Fat. 11:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GER ad
Thank you
Good luck all

GER ad 11:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Jeddah Fat. 11:34 GMT
"recommendations to trade"
Stay put and wait until NFP (13:30 GMT).

Jeddah Fat. 11:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hi all
What are your recommendations to trade at the moment?
Any suggestions are appreciated.
Thank you

Dublin CK 11:26 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
After reading all of this mornings posts, Ive been thinking.

Jobs Pos+ive, dollar strength

Jobs Nega-ive, dollar weakness

What occurs if the results are neither pos+ive nor nega-ive.

What I mean is not as good as expected (Expected being 100k), but not as bad as anticipated (Anticipated being 50k or less).

Hypothetically speaking 80k - 99k. Not good, not the worst. But better than last month. With Last months figures being revised upwards by some 15k-20k.

What then for all the pairs?

An immediate spike for the dollar and then a continuation of this dollar bearishness that has been occuring for the last couple of sessions?

hong kong nt 11:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
A poor than expected figure may give commodity ccy an excuse to take profit ?

ZP Nemo 11:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
The best scenario for tonight is better than 100K payrols and profit taking after EUR rising...

USD bulls must to be prepared for rally
IMO

LHR B747 11:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab .6 nzd 11:07 // MAN MAN TSE..!!!

hk ab .6 nzd 11:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 10:21 GMT April 2, 2004


Sorry for the late reply, actually i am now in the restaurant.

For the time being, it's good as bc said, to enter with the first trail entry, could be 200 pips for both direction possible.

I am glad to see oilman again.

Ga Lee 11:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 10:56 GMT April 2, 2004
London opens at this time I do believe...

ICT ML 11:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
TJ...I could tell you that most swing direction change signals happen at midnight or 4:00 am EST and some happen at 8:00. So the 30 min signals happen several hours earlier than the 4 hr ones, so you are pretty much right on. I see the same recurring times in my charts too.

Nottingham 11:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Wellington am 10:48 GMT

Wait for FT or UK Sunday Times to headline silver $10 or gold $600...worked a treat for cable recently, they picked the high to within a day

hong kong nt 11:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:53 -- thanks for your suggestion, my heart is too weak for said volatility. good forecast and trades...

hong kong nt 10:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
BC -- Thanks for your very helpful comment on my GBPJPY 190-194 weekly trading range. many perfect trades to you...

GA TJ 10:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ML

Is it my imagination or does Cable seem to give good signals around 2 AM EST more times than not. Something I think I have noticed but have not done any testing to confirm or reject. Other possibility is that I am delusional before the 2nd cup of coffee.

London R J 10:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Lee
good trades to you all

hong kong nt 10:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AB -- covered all poss. Have a nice dinner...

sin hs 10:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
thank you bc for the insightful explanation.

Melbourne Qindex 10:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 10:36 GMT - Don't try to touch this market. Many years ago I remember on one cycle day it was trading around US7.5 in Aisa time, then it went all the way above US10 in London session. Several hours later in New York session it was trading around US$5 - 6.

hongkong vforex 10:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
i think eur will run strong,buy eur/usd at 1.2280,stop loss 1.2240,aim 1.2350

Wellington am 10:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Until the other day, I thought a short of Silver at $8 might be a nice idea. I'm now glad I held off. Take a look at the 30 year chart, and see the spike of 1980.

Ga Lee 10:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yes RJ, the former..

shanghai bc 10:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

HS -- In every market cycle,medium-long-term, including in forex market,it always works in the same manner..Some well-informed folks with deep pockets move in when the market is very bearish thus putting the floor and starting the bull market..In the next stage,less well-informed types move in, like fund types en masse, thus starting the main massive move..In the next stage,least well-informed folks,the public, move in without fear and we see all headlines and even cabbies giving out tips..Then,that is the time for the first-in folks to distribute their massive accumulated cargo to the unsuspecting public..And next comes a big correction or even a reversal of the whole trend..Commodities market or Silver market may be somewhere in that third stage fully ready for a good and dip corerection in coming weeks although the mega up trend for coming years is just starting..Fwiw..

Ldn Cashman 10:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Don't grudge winners. I might be one one day. I don't like the smart arse attitude to the biz.

ICT ML 10:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
SS....not to worry, we sold cable at 86 earlier on our 4 hr momentum signal. Maybe we will hae a great day today, maybe not...LOL

Either way, we are most likely the few who are short cable right now and that is a good thing for us!

London R J 10:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London ss, excuse my naiveté, but what does sell cable mean, do you sell GBP and buy USD or vice versa.
thanks

LONDON SS 10:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I always find it funny when people hate to see a winner...if it makes you happy yes a flicked a shiny new one pound coin proior to my trade.

ICT ML 10:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt.....the supply side on it is something I would have to look into. I haven't followed silver closely for a long time. But with the demand from China, Taiwan and other chip producers it would not surprise me if the supply isn't keeping up.

Gen dk 10:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GER ad 10:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:33 GMT
Sin HS 10:29 GMT
And Buffett may answer: Talking is silver - Silence is gold and I will stay silent...

Edi Geo 10:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
SS...and I assume you had no stops between 8 & 12 March...only another 2 big figs to go and you are flat. Last month was the toss of a coin..50/50 chance you were right

sin hs 10:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
but the rise of silver recently is unbelivable, like the world's silver is being sucked up by aliens.

hong kong nt 10:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 10:38 -- how about the supply side ? thx

LONDON SS 10:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
SOMEBODY GIVE THE PHILOSOPHER A GOLD MEDAL.

ICT ML 10:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Silver is used in all the high quality electronic gadgetry the world craves...so demand for electronic gadgets = demand for Silver.

Ldn Cashman 10:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Carefull SS your head might explode

Porto PJT 10:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
In, "he who thinks he knows everything knows nothing", here we use something like; "you start to understand when you see the amount you still need to learn and how ignorant you still are", that we see on words from bc, like , "i am still a learner", "stilll learning with you", etc.Good trades everyone.

hong kong nt 10:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Is silver market much shadow than gold market ?

Melbourne Qindex 10:33 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Sin HS 10:29 GMT - I do not follow Silver. If Warren Buffett of Omaha is watching this Forum, he would be the best one to answer your question.

LONDON SS 10:33 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
BASCIALLY I AM SELLING CABLE TODAY!!!

LONDON SS 10:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hi people..anybody who remebers my comments before last months payroll figures release will no doubt be very interested in hearing my opinion on this occassion..as i made roughly 125k sterling buying cable before figures were released last month....

Genoa nic 10:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
KL 10.20,
I don’t know which numbers will considered positive , given expectations and “whispered” numbers so high, but I’m quite sure of one thing:

1)If data disappoint yields DOWN, bonds UP, Dollar DOWN
2)If data are very good yields UP, bonds DOWN, Dollar UP

QC WC 10:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Ooops, it must be my eyes, Philippines,

Sin HS 10:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Mel Q and Shanshai BC, what do you think of silver. It's out of control. Is it being manipulated?

QC WC 10:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, thanks. So far seem the USD is well bid now. QC is Quezon City, Philiipines.

ln 10:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 10:10 GMT. It's always a pleasure to have an exchange with people who do not get sentimental and nasty. Many in this forum are good at marking to market their own thought process and you know what they say we are always learning. "he who thinks he knows everything knows nothing". gl gt.

ICT ML 10:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
should be 1.8375 not 1.8

ICT ML 10:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Rock-on...caught the market long GBP-usd and just broke its swing support. have to see if there is enough follow through to to get to 1.8

Melbourne Qindex 10:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:27 GMT April 2, 2004
USD/CHF : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels


... 1.2501 // 1.2564 - 1.2627 - 1.2690 // 1.2753 ... 1.2819 ..

Melbourne Qindex 10:21 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:44 GMT April 1, 2004
EUR/USD : The trading reference from my 3-month projection profile is as follow :-

... // 1.2241 - 1.2279 - 1.2317 - 1.2355 - 1.2392 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 13:26 GMT April 1, 2004
EUR/USD : A projected resistant level has been established at 1.2371 - 1.2392.

LHR B747 10:21 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 // greetings, I would like to have your opinion about the scheduled EUR/USD 150-175pips movement for today.

(1) To which direction the wind will blow?
(2) Do you think that such a movement will happen today at all?

KL KL 10:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
3 scenerio at 13:30 - If figure disappoint then bond yield goes up and $ +ve...so other ccy goes down.

If figures +ve $ also +ve ...and other ccy also down.

if figures borderline case ... then that is where I have no idea which way other ccy will go and will be taking lead from you champions here...so please post promptly...

Philippines newtrader 10:19 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hi dallas GEP
what do you think of euros trend? bullish or bearish?

hk ab nz 0.6 10:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE, what lvl are u going to add to aud/jpy short?

nt// will have buffet political dinner tonight.

shanghai bc 10:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

AB -- Position sqauaring in London session before the numbers..The numbers may be good for 200 pips plus in either direction..Commodity currencies seem to take orders from LME rather than from forex market..

hk ab nz 0.6 10:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
looks like yen is the one squeezed.

hk revdax 10:10 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 10:05 GMT //Appreciate what you said. Let me say that diversification is the best policy. Remember: the market can do anything and will do anything.

ln 10:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
last post should have "shanghai bc". no disrespect intended just a case of bad typing.

ln 10:05 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 09:43 GMT: Tulips at one time were 'credible' investments and so were .com and IPO's from firms with negative net worth. The US is simply a country with negative net worth and selling a few Polaris's would do little to dent the mountain of IOU's that they have written.

If Asia did not depend so much on exporting to the US I am certain that none of the CB reserve managers would want to be long these IOU's. The medical system is not what I am taling about when it comes to MEdicar/Medicaid. The liabilities of these institutions will hit in a couple of years time on top of the record deficit. Do you really believe that Asia and the rest of the world will be willing to buy these IOU's once the very dodgy nature of US statistics comes out in public?

Just as Enron/Worldcom fiddled the books so have the US in a big way creating the much needed credibility. I for one am not a big buyer of this and Shangi bc's views on gold only makes me want to get away from paper currency and into precious metals.

Montréal Taro 10:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
OK just got it. News comes out at 13:30. You probably answered to somebody

Montréal Taro 10:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
Good morning.
What's going on at 13:30 GMT ?

Montréal Taro 09:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
QC = Quebec, Canada I guess

Dallas GEP 09:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
13:30 GMT

hk ab nz 0.6 09:56 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
strange, dlr/cad offered HARD.......

interesting....

bc// with the move in london this way, it's always put the bet (best) after payroll now right?

Avignon NP 09:54 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
anyone knows where to have in realtime uspayroll data anoncement ?

hk revdax 09:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
QC WC //Where is QC?

hk revdax 09:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
pepper

Melbourne Qindex 09:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:04 GMT April 2, 2004
USD/CHF : As shown in my 44-day cycle reference the market is going to consolidate between the following ranges of 1.2620 - 1.2667 - 1.2698. The odds are good that the market will overcome the projected resistance at 1.2698 and head for 1.2853.

hk revdax 09:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
QC WC 09:44 GMT //Not particularly but if you have to take a side, take the long side of the $, and add some petty and chilly...That would be a delicious meal.

Melbourne Qindex 09:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 07:52 GMT - USD/CHF ; I guess so. 1.2620 is a quantised level in my 44-day cycle reference.

QC WC 09:44 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, any specials?

hk revdax 09:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 09:33 GMT//If the US were generous enough as to sell a couple of Polaris high tech submarines to the Chinese, there would be a trade surplus in favor of the US. But if the US just wanted to sell its Big Mac, it would have to sell quite a few Big Mac and still suffer a deficit.

Gen dk 09:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk revdax 09:39 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ln 09:33 GMT//i myself also want to borrow growth from my future but lack credibility to do so. The US, for whatever it stands, has credibility which in itself is worth billions of $. Thus the measurement of paper money worth has to take into consideration such abstract concept as credibility. If someday the US started 'nationalizing' private properties, the US$ would really be worthless at that time. So far it is still ok. I suppose the medical system in the US is a sham but then again this is the issue of income redistribution rather than a macro-consideration.

hk revdax 09:35 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin//i never read news. just want to know when it will come out. prefer to be long $/CHF.

ln 09:33 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 09:13 GMT. Think this is not the case. All the IOU's that the US have are not worth the same as production. The US is unlike Japan as they do not have the assets to waste while Japan spent last decade doing just this. What you have to do is to take account of liabilities and you find that the situation is even worse for the US if you include medicare/medicaid deficits. This is what Greenspan has been trying to get the Congress to understand and in effect Bush is borrowing growth from the future. When the babyboomers start to cash in their savings in order to consume the situation will get even worse for the dollar.

Plovdiv Gotin 09:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Revdax/ see www.forexnews.com. Yr view about $/SF?TIA.

Plovdiv Gotin 09:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Revdax/ see www.forexnews.com. Yr view about $/SF?TIA.

Melbourne Qindex 09:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 01:30 GMT April 2, 2004
EUR/USD : The critical point of my daily cycle is located at 1.2376. The lower barrier is expected at 1.2284 // 1.2315. High probability values are associated with the extreme end and the bias is on the downside.


... 1.2133 ... 1.2224 ... 1.2284 // 1.2315 - 1.2346 - 1.2376 - 1.2407 // 1.2437 ...

Melbourne Qindex 00:14 GMT April 2, 2004
Spot Gold: Trading reference from my 44-day cycle is as follow :-

... // 421.4* - 424.5 - 427.6* - 430.7 - 433.7* // ...

hong kong nt 09:25 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 08:27 -- market is now in a retracing mode to correct last month's 1600-point decline, expect bears to surface at 13000 line again, pushing market to 12000...

shanghai bc 09:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

NIC -- Good afternoon..Thanks for the info..Good trades to you..

hk revdax 09:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
St. Louis SAJ 09:03 //The world blames the US for having printed so much paper money. What they don;t realize is: if you take this amount of paper back to the US, the US producers are more than delighted to give you the goods and the workers there are happy working. In a theoretical free trade world, that is quite OK. Where it is not OK is there are so many technologically sensitive export items that are on the restricted list. The latter makes the foreign consumers limited in their choice of purchase.

Genoa nic 09:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

In the midst of the lull before the show,some thoughts on what happened on March 5, the day of the previous jobs data.
Payrolls were some 100K below expectations, rising just 21K while median expectations were calling for 120K. January was revised also to 97K from 112K while unemployment rate was steady at 5,6%. The Euro shot up more than 200 pips in 2 hours (from circa 1.22 to a top of 1,2430) closing the day on 1.2370 area.
So currently we are in the same area, or slightly below.
Looking at bond market, 10y (june) which obviously moves inversely to yields, rose 160 ticks by close to 115,20 (high 115,65) and currently is trading at 114,95 ( sorry not the exact numbers in 1/34!). Yields closed at 3,831% (march 5) and yesterday close was 3,898%

One month to digest that numbers and we are trading roughly at the same levels!

The correlation between yields and the dollar will go on today as well, but from a simple daily charts perspective, while the Euro nears the top of the range after having visited the bottom, 10 year is trading at this level after having traded at higher levels during March (yields bottomed as low as 3,650% on March 17 while 10 Y topped at 116,50).

In other words, while the Euro was well bid this week, bonds were well offered since last Friday ( a very important factor was lack of BOJ money in) and seem to me on a wall of precipice, at least short term. This is not a call and take it FWIW!

Shanghai BC, thanks as always for your views, all the best!

CARDIFF-PEKING lee 09:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
things will get crazy.if the us payroll is much worse than expected,then all air force will be blown down

hk revdax 09:08 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Is there any news annoncement today and at what time? TIA

ICT ML 09:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Cable has just given us a confirmed momentum sell signal on 4 hr chart. It is also on a daily RSI trend line that if closes a blue candle today will signal the H&S void next week. Really hesitant to sell it right now regardless of this signal but something to keep in mind today if things get crazy.

St. Louis SAJ 09:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc -- Thank you very much for your thoughts, esp the longer term notions about Asian demand for commodities. I believe that we're of the same view, certainly in general if not exactly. The US gov't (never mind the current president) has been systematically weakening USD for quite some time. Well, so be it -- currencies aren't any longer any sort of ''measure of wealth and storehouse of value'' (pardon my quoting that outdated definition that still appears in economics textbooks (g!)). If it's a paper chase, it's a paper chase. Probably a lot of fun, if one fancies that sort of thing.

My difficulty is that, unlike you and most of the good folks here, I'm not a swing trader; I'm a statistician, which directly implies that I trade options rather than spot or futures.

Even in the depths of the Asian ccy meltdown in 1997, even when Russia defaulted and devalued in 1998, spreading overvalued options against undervalued ones was steadily profitable -- right now this minute, and ftm for the past few months, this same tactic is (evidently) VERY risky. I'm trying to understand why (why should spreading oppies be riskier now than on, say, April 2 1999?) , and I thank you very much for your advice on these and related topics.

Good trading to you, as ever!

Tallinn viies 09:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Reuters: Dollar needs to weaken by 30 pct to rein in the U.S. c/a deficit and Asian
currencies are bound to strengthen, says Michael Rosenberg, Deutsche's head of
global FX research

LONDON savage 08:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham i also think it is bearish will trade it if it breaks through 1.3050

shanghai bc 08:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

SAJ -- Good afternoon..Commodity bull market is largely based on rising demand from India and China..And this bull market is likely to last for years to come with minor corrections on the way..On Silver,in fact,all base metals and even scrap metals have done much betetr than Gold and Silver for the last three years..All I can say is,demand from China is too strong while the inventory is too low starting from Oil to base metals..Commodity currencies like Rand,Aud,Cad have done much betetr than others and likely to continue their better performance..On forex implications,rising commodities must mean rising inflation and rising rates for Dollar too thus forcing Dollar's cyclical bounce..Since Fed is manipulating inflation rates to please its political masters,that is not the case at present..

Nottingham 08:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
London re cad...its maintaining trade below 10 day sma of immediate picture is bearish...however today's payrolls are very important and have the capacity to force pair to trade at 1.3250 or 1.29 today...gl gt

IST Sez 08:43 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Deutche bank ccy analyst: "USD must be depreciated by up to % 20-30 to rein twin deficit"

St. Louis SAJ 08:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc -- An interesting thought, and no doubt a good deal of truth in it. Do you have any views on why silver is now, and has for months been, outperforming gold?

LONDON savage 08:36 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hello nottingham what your thoughts on cad today i had good day with it yesterday

Shg 08:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
U.K. House Prices Rise Fueling Rate Rise Expectations

shanghai bc 08:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

LN 08:02 -- Good afternoon..For somem real money folks who realy set the trend of forex market on medium-long-term basis,in gegeral, they look at the following things while arriving at trading decisions..Real interest rates trend,money supply trend,commodity trend are some of the main trends they study before deciding to bet their billions..On tech side,something like 250,200,100 dma directions and weekly,daily patterns may suffice..I once explained here how they determine overbought or oversold regions via 250.200 dma..Gold comes in this picture as a convenient tool to measure Dollar bias..Since Gold is priced in Gold,it rises and falls in the opposite direction of Dollar..In a big picture, on medium-term basis,the corelation is always there despite the differing magnitude of moves on each side..However,Gold went through two decades of bear market and started rising since Nasdaq bubble burst..Given its long bear market and all the financial bubbles to pop in coming years,Gold bull market may move in much a large magnitude than Dollar moves..Fwiw..

KL KL 08:27 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt or ab ...what your view on Hang Seng and Nikkie....I mean where you going to short....looking tempting now or waiting for it to go higher?? Oso what is your current currency trade open...both short and long....

Avignon NP 08:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
‘All progress is based upon a universal innate desire on the part of every organism to live beyond its income.’ Samuel Butler (1835-1902)

St. Louis SAJ 08:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Genius -- Ah, if only the ruble were fungible internationally! Well, perhaps in the near future. Good trading to you, m'friend! Oogodat', oogodit', ootsyelet' !

brisbane sunstate 08:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
May I ask what is your view on aud? still looking for a drop or have you changed view
gt

Nottingham 08:14 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
High and low for euro range pre payrolls have probably been seen now

Minneapolis U-Genius 08:13 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
St. Louis SAJ // thanks for your lesson in Russian. But i do know how to speak and write correct in Russian. I was speaking like in english terms, where you , to est VI i Ti sounds pretty much the same. And that was no any kind of dissrespect. Good trading to All , specially Ru speaking.

ln 08:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc. Have been reading some very interesting posts from yourself and have a question. Do you not think that the high level of correlation between gold and dollar has been due to the Fed simply making a lot of liquidity available? If so as you say we should buy these until the Fed says that the game is over as there is a lot of dollar funding that is being used to trade by the big boys.

gold coast jsh 07:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
everyone buying euro's today huh? or holding their longs?

CARDIFF-PEKING lee 07:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
guess cable finished its ABC correction,and starting c-5?target 1.88. but for today,before us data release,no lower than 1.8480

Barcelona Tony 07:52 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
something smells .... $chf failed to break 1.26 and mmmmmm that was the end? interesting where ""they"" have decided to move prices on the report (youi know, """they""" always do what they want) ...

PS : btw off topic ja toze govorit pa ruski ... but I think that's not the thing to talk about here

Stockholm za 07:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw..
EUR/USD …
The ~12390-12410 band is the Key value Pivot zoan of the up move from November till today ..
If ~12430 get taken out it will bring us in the ~12480-decision speed valley…
Today’s activity will be very important for the big picture scenario…..
Happy trades………

St. Louis SAJ 07:45 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Got that dead right, viies! (one of these days, I'll figure out how to put a Russian font on this bloody kbd....sigh). Meantime, good trading to you, and many thanks for your continuing guidance!

Gold Coast martin 07:42 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yia govorou po-russki takge ploxo, kak i po-angliicki.....lol

Tallinn viies 07:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yes I can talk but writing with latin letters doesnt work.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
eur/chf moves vigorous.

prague jv 07:37 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
my guess .
wiies could say / minja niet govorit pa ruskom jazyka . malcik .

St. Louis SAJ 07:32 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Genius -- Addendum -- In fact, as one asks a question in Russian, the verb usually precedes, as in: ''Govorite li vui po-russki?''

Ochen' priyatno, gospodin (I know, I know, but I'm old-fashioned).

Moscow Mishanya 07:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
off:
many russian-speaking :)

privet! and GT!

St. Louis SAJ 07:29 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Genius -- That would be ''Vui govorite'', unless he's a friend of yours, in which case it would be ''Tui govorish' '' (apologies, the letter ''yuri'' is impossible to render unless one has a Russian font available, which I do not).

Tallinn viies 07:24 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
btw boyz n galz
for the record...
last week high 1,2401 low 1,2070.
current week high 1,2389 low 1,2047.
why?
because technically we have still lower low and lower high on weekly chart
on the other hand if euro close comes today over 1,2125 which is quite obvious it comes slow stochastic will cross up from oversold levels on weekly charts. usually it is pretty important sign for bigger picture you know :)

Minneapolis U-Genius 07:20 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies, ti gororish po russki?

)toronto( Dr Unken and Dr Iven Kat 07:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
longed cabel

Minneapolis U-Genius 07:17 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hello, just opened long on EUr/usd

Tallinn viies 06:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
I cant believe you say 1,2328 ??? tick here tick there doesnt mean nothing in this business if you follow rubbush Reuters qoutes then it is 5-10 pips whta counts,.
some idiots mess the chart in purpose (like BCI Milan for example)....

Provo John 06:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
viies, I defer to you but FWIW, eur$ hrly trendline comes in @ 1.2328 at the moment. It was nicked a few times last night, but held nonetheless.

Euro hrly chart

Wellington am 06:47 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Shorting cable from .8502

hk ab nz 0.6 06:46 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
viies, but he seems to have said that low rates is not sustainable too...
someone posted that up in the morning.

Tallinn viies 06:40 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
good morning guys

one of the reasons why to buy euros again :)
IFR: Fed"s Kohn: Not Yet At Point Where Higher Rates Needed

1,2300-1,2330 area accumulate I guess. target 1,2440 and 1,2485. emergency exit at 1,2240/45

hk ab nz 0.6 06:35 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// so , you buy aud at .7620?

you know what, citibank is fanning the fire again after their bloody call to buy at .78 few weeks ago.

hk ab nz 0.6 06:34 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
waiting for chances to buy some eur at 1.2285.

)toronto Dr Unken and Dr Iven Kat 06:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
looks like cable started corection "c" wave

LA saint3 06:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd expert out there .. greeting ....

what is your view on this pair for bloody friday?


TIA .

Belgrade Knez 05:28 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Varna GV

Can you comment further your astro prediction given on January 15, 2004.
Thanks.


"Varna GV 12:49 GMT January 15, 2004
SLV/Sam, i'm following astro methods for predicting time cycles for EUR/USD and i think that the uptrend for EUR/USD is not yet finish and my time calculations give me a strong signal that the high for EUR/USD will be in Feb - March and after that i'm expecting a strong corection till Augus - Sept 2004, where i think will be the cyclical bottom for EUR/USD, for the next up leg for euro."

Kamensk Andy 05:08 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - just to relax, new game (not pingu) :)

http://www.hottop.ru/fun/18.html

GL

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 04:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Vancouver , im gonna try this method tomm
btw, anyone believes we are at the beginning of the wave "C"
in the cable

hk ab nz 0.6 04:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
small buy eur here?....hm...

hk ab nz 0.6 04:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt LOL....

hong kong nt 04:09 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 04:02 -- oh, signs of Alzheimer's disease...

hk ab nz 0.6 04:07 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
am still holding aud/nzd short from 1.1490 last night.

Cairns 04:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Posted: Apr 2 High/Low forecasts for 10 pairs + trade recommendations, pivots, R1/R2, S1/S2, trends,live quotes etc at http://www.fxguide.net/

hong kong nt 04:04 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 03:58 -- awaiting the honour in meeting with you...

hk ab nz 0.6 04:02 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
o nt, you used my handle ;)

hk ab nz 0.6 04:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, thanks million.

hong kong ab 04:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AB -- my wife and i guess USD/JPY 100 +/- 3 and GBP/JPY 188 +/- 2 may very likely overlap with long term buyers' shopping range. fwiw...

melbourne farmacia 04:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab - between early October - November, depending on Polls also. Howard has to go before Nov 20 ??? ( someone can correct this date ). Late september is out because of football finals !!! ( this country loves it's sport, too much i think ).

hk ab nz 0.6 03:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// I own you a pint, will keep promise later when I see u in the bar.... hehehe.

many "political dinner" recently.

hong kong nt 03:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AB -- my wife's shuttle run on GBJPY 190/194 works pretty well until now, sometimes, simple is beauty...

vancouver maq 03:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
vancouver Thrakos 03:49 GMT April 2, 2004

For my part I am going to wait until the payroll figures come out before entering anything on the Loonie.
Last week I felt like a freakin genius, but this week I'm the class dunce. Every trade I enter lately seems to turn against me, so any opinion I offer should be taken with that in mind. :)

NYC YIPPEE 03:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
FWIW Selling GBPUSD @ 45.. Stop 1.8565 target 1.8380.

hong kong nt 03:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AB -- my wife's .768 may work for a while, take 1/2 profit at .765 and place exit at cost...

hk ab nz 0.6 03:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// aud/jpy showing wedge in daily

vancouver maq 03:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 03:31 GMT April 2, 2004

I have only tried it the once, and like I say it worked well. I netted a fast 120 + pips on the one side and of course lost my 30 pip stop on the other. I'm a relative novice, but it seems that the worst case scenario would be an indecisive market reaction that takes out the stop on one side before reversing and taking out the other. Other than that I can't see any other risk, which is why I was wondering if it was a strategy that others use to hedge before critical announcements.

vancouver Thrakos 03:49 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Hello Forexers Canadians and all :)
Any comment on the CAD Vancouver? 17:00EST arpil 1st was wilde i am looking for a retest 13150, what u fokss think?
tnx

hk ab nz 0.6 03:48 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone know the exact date of the coming election for aussie and nz?

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 03:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
interesting idea Vancouver , how many toimes have u tried this?

LAX-LGB SNP 03:16 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 03:06 GMT April 2, 2004
thank you ! :-)
your advice makes me think a whole lot clearer

Van jv 03:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 03:06

Good morning and many thanks for you generosity; made my evening...GD,GLL

shanghai bc 03:06 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

JV -- Good morning..Agree that Gold may correct anytime for some days pushing up Dollar..For today,I would scale out of all positions before data is out and start fresh after that..Whether data is good or bad,market will trade on it for a few weeks making a trend in that time frame..So, no need to be too concerned about data today for trading purposes..Good trades..

melbourne farmacia 03:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 02:58 GMT April 2, 2004
Ditto jk.

hk ab nz 0.6 03:03 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// note YIPPEE sell aud/jpy .... good call from him as usual.

nyc jk 03:00 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
yippee, I like that trade, hopefully be a big winner for ya

nyc jk 02:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, I think the notion was utter rubbish is what happened!

hk ab nz 0.6 02:58 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
nt// 7620 right? what's the target?

hk ab nz 0.6 02:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, I think that's not vaid anymore, imho.

shanghai bc 02:57 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

Asian session is likely to push eur/usd to above 1.24 level to wait for US data..

Van jv 02:55 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 00:11
Today's US data may be indeed an important factor ; I am inclined to look for another leg up for EUR…but at the same time can see lovely n-tops and double in Gold …and I , possibly wrong, expect CBs watching. Eurozone is in poor shape--they do not need rally 300 + …US need capital inflow which is now more important than ever---weak number may mean SM down and USD down --that would be bad for all….so may we get some action from Cbs?,-----even after yesterdays ECB data many expected testing 1.24+ …..banks, were they in to sell?/ I am still inclined to expect range extension for a while…..I must be wrong somewhere....

NYC YIPPEE 02:51 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
FWIW Selling AUDJPY at 78.80 target 74.10 stop loss 81.30.

vancouver maq 02:50 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Last month at this time I used a straddle just before the payroll announcement, shorting eur and long gbp with 30 pip stops on each. It worked very well then. That was the only time I've tried it and I was wondering what some of the more experienced traders think of this approach. TIA

melbourne farmacia 02:41 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
ab - What happened to the notion " RBNZ protecting 6610" ? as posted by someone few weeks back.

Spotforex NY 02:38 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Arty....keep gathering them worms.....as you are the early bird!!!!!!!

LAX-LGB SNP 02:30 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
LA ARTOFYEN 22:16 GMT April 1, 2004
thank you !
reason for asking was my friend's obssession with south-OC homes

Saihat 02:23 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD

24-1.3125
48-1.3102

72-1.3102

120-1.3164
240-1.3222

Saihat 02:18 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AUDUSD-huorly

24-7645
48-7632

72-7590

120-7536
240-7536

Saihat 02:12 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD - hourly
24-1.2322
48-1.2300

72-1.2275

120-1.2220
240-1.2233

hong kong nt 02:01 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
AB -- hope to buy some aussie at 20 today...

SG Jay 01:53 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
whats your view will we see 1.25ish for euro/$ .

Gen dk 00:31 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

ltn th 00:22 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   
BC// You could well be right. GWB in serious damage control mode. Be interesting to know what he had to promise Saudi Arabia to break ranks with OPEC. Does not bode well for mid east politics.

shanghai bc 00:11 GMT April 2, 2004 Reply   

USD Index looks very heavy plus raging commodity bulls..Today's US data may be a deciding factor for for Dollar and commodities alike for the next few weeks..Market seems to be expecting it as bad as before..

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube




pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
Managed Forex Accounts
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2019 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105

?>