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Forex Forum Archive for 04/15/2004

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UAE oil man 23:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
only the greed/willingness/eagerness/confidence change at certain price level which results in trend (panic on one side and over-confidence on the other).

Sydney RBA 23:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Truly hopeless. Forgive them for what they not know. I hope you are profitable anyway. :)

Stockholm za 23:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I love it ... I love it.....
Sydney RBA .... Go Tell that to the CB´S Especally BOJ...Gl/GT

UAE oil man 23:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
No...The buyers are just more eager to buy at this price and over..while the bears want to sell higher and are not eager to sell under as their confidence level of the present state of the market is low..thus underlying price moves up...But every dealt price in the exchange has to be matched...Thus there is as much bears/bulls..

Singapore Sfx 23:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Tks mate. I understand now.

Sydney RBA 23:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Let me make this even more simple,

If you are a trader at a bank, and say your prices in the EBS you make keep getting paid "bought", and banks calling you on the Reuters dealing system keep buying from you, and the corporate desk keeps paying you, then there are more buyers than sellers.

Porto PJT 23:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Euro below 4 hour trendline, 1,2002+/-, + 38 hourly fibo around 1,2000, + 1,2016 daily trendline is the kind of clusters i always search, neck on hourly h&s formation 1,2060/80.Prefer to sell it till 1,2060 and stop around 1,21.
gt.

Sydney RBA 23:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Singapore SFX

American Heritage® Dictionary
v. Past tense and past participle of overbuy.
adj. Characterized by excessively high prices owing to prior heavy buying and a concomitant rise in prices: an overbought stock market.

In the real world, quite simple, if there are more buyers than sellers, prices go higher. Does not get any more simple than that. I don't know why people are trying to complicate this. Good trading friend.

Eilat Dolphin 23:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
So Asia just woke up... on the euro.

Eilat Dolphin 23:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ldn/ BE BRITISH !

UAE oil man 23:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Alright, let's go in history then...1 was designed to reflect 1 angle (The angle on the top of the one, there is normally No bar on the bottom of a 1..which would make 3 angles), while 2 reflects 2 angles.. and 3 reflects 3 angles, 4 ..4 angles..and 0 and no angles..that is why they have those physical shape ...Hope this is understandable.

Ldn 23:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
A rabs thats what my dad used to say..

sf mike 23:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
No,

1, 2 are arabic

I II are roman

- = are chinese

Eilat Dolphin 23:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sf mike/ Those Arab numbers you claim are Chinese, as per historians.But I believe we should collectivelly agree to keep calling them Arab, as it pleases them a lot.

UAE oil mam 23:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
He he Dc fxq, looks like they have the natural flawed common sense..
----

in anycase , Is it time to look for the bottom..

It's always better to wait till things do go up to buy them and sell them when they are going down...question of choice...

----
ICT ML..I m still short euro and will be till i see some strenght in it..

dc fxq 23:32 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 23:28 GMT

too many willing buyers , not enough willing sellers.

not being a smart a$$, just realistic.

sf mike 23:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
By the way, the cat was Puali's.

sf mike 23:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
That wasn't an insult. It just an observation. Anyway I did praise them for inventing "arabic" numerals.

Cool it ML.

Singapore Sfx 23:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
To the folks that said prices went up cos "more buyers than sellers", cud i hear what the definition of "overbought" is pls?

Melbourne Qindex 23:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

sing 23:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Well, common sense is not that common after all.

dc fxq 23:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sg 23:18 GMT

wrong!!!!!!

if there are few willing buyers and lots of willing sellers numbers
ARE v. important! and vice versa!

ICT ML 23:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 23:18...hey Oil Man...how is YOUR cat doing lately?...LOL..picked any good trades lately?????

UAE Oil man 23:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks mike, in anycase, here, it is not about knowing, it s just facts about the markets..Wether numbers were invented by Arabs or that Schroedinger's cat is alive in it's box until you open it ,are questions which dont relate to the Exchange market or the current discussion.

sg 23:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Actually, number of buyers and sellers is irrelevant for price movement. And, definetely it's not the same(number of buyers and number of sellers). Common sense tells you that.

ICT ML 23:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sf mike 23:03 GMT...Hey dude...unless I can find several years worth of worthwhile, insightful and Profitable posts you've made in the archives.....why don't you shut your trap and stop with the anti arab insults.

Given the choice of choosing Oil Man or Sf mike.....as a worthwhile forum read...you lose in a landslide.



sf mike 23:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 20:31 GMT April 15, 2004
I hadnt hear this one for a long time..it s a total rebutal and fake phrase by the way.

Typical response from an Arab. Just becuase they invented the current number system, they think they know everything.

Livingston nh 22:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I'd like to suggest that when you consider the exchange market of buyers and sellers, each transaction requires a buyer and seller (equal) but it's nice to know the Source of the selling or buying -- e.g., one seller with a couple of yards to unload to multiple eager buyers (multiple transactions but still one seller) says different things

SHg 22:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan is scheduled to testify next Wednesday before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress on the economic outlook.
And Fed Gov. Ben Bernanke is slated to speak on economic outlook and monetary policy next Thursday at the annual meeting of The Bond Market Association. He'll address the same subject in a speech next Friday at a conference in Washington.
AP

Gen dk 22:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Miami OMIL (/;-> 22:26 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 22:15 GMT April 15, 2004
Good to see your comments here again. That is a good description of the procedures in the market. I hope we can see more comments from you in the near future. GT

Shg 22:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Credit card debt 'still soaring'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/3627497.stm

The UK's total outstanding debt on cards was £53.5bn in 2003, with 65.5m cards in circulation.

UAE Oil man 22:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Well as for sentiment indicator , you can always look at the IMM spec position ..


----

Sydney, Well sorry you don't seem to understand what is an exchange market...When someone wants to buy a currency against curerncy another entity has to actually sell that currency against the other...That's the basic conseption of an EXCHANGE market..Now why do prices move up?..It has nothing to do with the number of buyers or sellers but the price the buyers are willing to pay and price the sellers are willing to sell at...Eagerness , greed in it s most raw form..nothing to do with number of buyers or sellers cause they will have to be the same at any given time...or there is no exchange..

Shg 22:09 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

US diplomats told to leave Saudi

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/3630657.stm

brisbane sunstate 21:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Sydney RBA 21:22 GMT
oilman is one of the most respected members and not a new upstart
gl.

Stockholm za 21:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OoooooPppss :-
Sydney RBA 21:22 GMT April 15, 2004
That joke was on you _ ( mirror comment )
I will recommend that you go to the ARCHIVE and do some Research........ GL/GT.......

Tallinn viies 21:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
good evening guys.

finally euro has formed short term bottom near 1,1870/80.
was able to get euros at 1,1910. moved my stops to 1,1854 now, planning to buy more euro near 1,1930 area. target 1,2060

GVI john 21:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
tim -- Go the Global-View homepage. You will find near the bottom a link to FX futures resources. Click on that link and find another link to the Commitment of Traders reports.

Go Badgers!

GVI john 21:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.1980…$/yen 108.10
DJIA 10,397, +20 pts…NASDAQ 2,002, -23 pts
10-yr 4.40%, +3 bp’s
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on “GVI’s Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


See GVI for full report




Sydney RBA 21:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 20:29 GMT April 15, 2004 ,

Obviously mate, you haven't been doing this very long. Good luck in your endeavours.

Wisconsin tim 21:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Is there a sentiment gauge for fx?
It seems to me that the major brokerages for the little guy would have sentiment on the smaller accounts.

I see that the dynix charts on right has something like this but I don't know if its gauging the big dogs or the little.

TIA

tim

UAE Oil man 20:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I hadnt hear this one for a long time..it s a total rebutal and fake phrase by the way.

in anycase Gl.

UAE Oil man 20:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Sydney RBA 19:59 GMT April 15, 2004



???...."more buyers than sellers"...lol prices are exchanged ...there has been as many buyers or sellers...or no transaction...It's about the eagerness/willingness to pay more than the other side for the same underlying.

UK 20:26 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone got any opinions on the medium term dollar/gbp ?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 20:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ZA thanks GL GT to you as well.

Stockholm za 20:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL....... Happy trades To you....

All the Biggies - Big stops Start from ~12040 + >>> ~12095 V
We did not get any ema 5 Spike today ( as yet )
Back in range - no expansion..
Trade safe.......

Tim gl/gt --- Only 2 positive above sholder top..75% is the spike..... over and out.......

Roumeli aek 20:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
london phil 19:41 GMT
My observation is that a big wedge is forming here on the daily’s , as a bull flag, not a real downward pressure

Sydney RBA 19:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
More buyers than sellers mate.

ny amc 19:58 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Can someone explain to me why aud/jpy has been strong since 10am est today? Thanks for any feedback

Wisconsin tim 19:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 19:47 GMT April 15, 2004

About 13 - 5 minute bars make up that spike, shows up nice on my hourly PnF - very symmetrical

ICT ML 19:52 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AG.....I saw it coming and pulled my sell orders. It was a good ride, maybe we try again to break .6550, maybe not...I'll let the bigger guys decide that for us.

I'm flat now, got bit last night in Asia when my cable sell stop filled and then stopped out but still a good couple weeks run in the book.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 19:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
There is a weak intraday buy signal for eur/usd on my system but I would wait for the break of 1.2000 to buy if there is strength on the move. The second fibo line still stands as resistance for now. Temporary support for eur/usd is found at 1.1930-40 IMHO. The week has been (weak) for eur/usd both sides at a stand still. Support and sell a break of 1.1860-50 and resistance and buy a break of 1.2015-25 but these breaks have to be accompanied by strength in the market or we could easily get false breakouts on either end IMHO. GL GT

Stockholm za 19:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ws wi 17:27 >>> That SPIKE was not even registered on my charts......... It close only 1-5min ??

CAIRO AG 19:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ML// Hope u handled well ur ErGbp trades u had..... Even though it looks BULLISH to everyone, or at least seems so.... but i think that ONLY A break of 0.6750 may trn it this way...

I really wish u all the best.

GL & GT

london phil 19:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw there is a hourly downtrend line on the euro usd in place since begining april touched twice euro needs 1.210 to touch it for the third time this may cap it then again it may not . also if you look at the bigger picture on the daily 6 month chart we are still in a nice down trend on the euro which shows really well on this chart with the downtrend line at 1.2200 at present. lower lows lower highs all the way.
as someone said before on here allways good during dull times to take a look at the bigger picture.
and before anyone says it yes i have only looked at half the big picture after 1.2900 but that is the trend at the moment

Moscow Mishanya 19:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ML, thanks for advice!

&GL

ICT ML 19:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
re: shorting cable here.....I would wait for 1.7935-49 myself to see if it stops there....and have a stop at 70

Moscow Mishanya 19:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Any opinion on shorting cable here for 100 pips during early Asian?

CAIRO AG 19:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Saint// NOTHING GOES IN A STRAIGHT LINE MY FRIEND!!!!!

But again, set ur STOP and TP and wait.

NYC NYC 18:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Use the flow here as an indication of the market, which I see as either long dollars or sitting on tis ahnds, thus the slow dift down for the buck.

LA saint3 18:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
does anybody know what happened to cable?
Isnt dollar getting stronger already?

TIA

Roumeli aek 18:05 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
see the chart of gold posted here few days ago, showing a bottom today. Tomorrow up, next week up.

Global-View 17:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Wisconsin would be clearer. Remember, we have members from over 100 countries so the mroe clarity, the better.

WI tsh 17:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
west salem, wi =)

didn't think anyone would know that

Global-View 17:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ws (and others). One of our few rules is to include a recognizable location and since we have a save feature for it, there is no excuse for some of the abbreviations, such as ws. TIA for your cooperation.

ws wi 17:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Wondering how much credence is placed in chart formations?

hourly shs on $/yen with neckline of 108.24

for stocks a neckline close confirm is ~69 accurate is it the same in fx

tia

tim

nyc sa 17:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Jay , could u please comment on the $/yen latest move ? thnx .

Gen dk 17:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

dc fxq 16:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
If you take a look at S/T daily RSI you will see that the same [airs that are bounging today have been oversold rather badly. Still a technicla reboind in my estimation.

Shg 16:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Bids As State Dept Orders Some Out Of Saudi Arabia

Talk earlier Bush has something planned

Va Raven 16:54 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
To dive, south is the only direction or no?

Shg 16:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Think we will see 121euro before lower also 181 cable FWIW

or 16:52 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Selling AUD/USD here. Have a feeling it wants to dive south bigtime.

Helsinki iw 16:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ For the past few days we have seen good supply on
any EUR/USD bounce of the lows. This time around that may
not be so, as it appears that unwinding of carry trades is
grinding to a halt, as witnessed by the bouncing AUD e.g.

Initial resistance at 1,1970/80 but this must break 1,2000 to
gather some more steam. Until it does, there is still a chance
that the euro drops to 1,1820/30. Staying out, watching the
show. IMHO.

Jubail S 16:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
Many thanks

Dallas GEP 16:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Looks like euro shorts need stop @ 1.1985 now to survive WTF??? Have to leave now guys LATER

Dallas GEP 16:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Jubail, initial target would be 1.1910. It looks BULLISH rigth now tho

Dallas GEP 16:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Well Euro is a roller coaster ride!!!!!

Jubail S 16:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
Would you tell the target of EUR/USD?
I'm shorting it.
Thank you & good luck

Quito Valdez 16:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
...good 2 C U back GEP. :^)

Dallas GEP 16:32 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
You already ATE it at BE (no problem). Because of all the Euro shorts. I would PREFER usd/jpy to long anyway!!!

Dallas GEP 16:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
just discussing with friend but EUR/JPY shorts could MOVE ALOT!!!! They may be a little volatile but 128.50 should PRINT IMO

Pecs Andras 16:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Thanks. Hope I can eat your stop:-)
I am long from 108.45 targetting 109ish

Dallas GEP 16:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Well I am short on usd/jpy from 108.57 and it ALMOST got my stop until I moved it from 108.80. Target is 108.20 BUT if EURO Shorts which it will THEN 109.00 will print. STOP AT BE right now and just now TAKEN!!!!

OK SZ 16:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
just sell euro on these spikes till we see 117...

Pecs Andras 16:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Any idea on JPY, Mate?

dc fxq 16:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 16:11 GMT - all too true, it will be (and is) changing bit by bit over time however. Many perma EUR bulls will be neutered!

shg 16:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Bounces As USD Sold After Fact
Aussie Creeping Bid Tone, Signals Shorts At Risk
Dip Buyers Appears

IFR

Dallas GEP 16:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Friends this Euro action doesn't seem quite RIGHT to me. A NEW set of shorts from here with stop @ 1.1965 should be profitable. I have a large number of shorts already.

Eilat Dolphin 16:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP/ What, just a simple am-bush...

Quito Valdez 16:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Pecs, GEP//my point exactly..if usd were backed by gold from God above, it wouldn't matter! LOL stupid mkt

Dallas GEP 16:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Taro. I have picked up some additional responsibilities along with working yet another platform so my focus so time now is even more limited.

QC WC 16:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
From the initial price movement seem data released not USd positive. No?

Pecs Andras 16:11 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Nothing can be good enough for dollar in this crazy market

Quito Valdez 16:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nice little quick long eur/usd workin' if you were quick enough at 1.1911, back to 1945

Montréal Taro 16:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

We don't see you much on the forum anymore, hopefully everything is going your way...

Global-View 16:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
From GVI

pd cumino 16:04 GMT April 15, 2004
I think many watched prices paid

GVI Jay 16:04 GMT April 15, 2004
Prices Paid 51.9 vs. 53.4

Good heads up on the rumor.

Dublin Flip 16:02 GMT April 15, 2004
employment part lower 12.3 to 12.2

Va Raven 16:02 GMT April 15, 2004
Closer to the rumor, so a wash.

Dublin Flip 16:01 GMT April 15, 2004
pretty close rumour king (Raven).....-LOL

Va Raven 16:00 GMT April 15, 2004
Actual = 32.5

Va Raven 15:57 GMT April 15, 2004
Was = 24.2
Expecting = 26.1
Rumored = 34.1
Actual = ?

Dallas GEP 16:04 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
26.1 was previous number 32.5 was good number, better than expected supposedly WTF????

OK SZ 16:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
32.5

Dallas GEP 16:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
32.5

NYC 16:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
32.5

Quito Valdez 15:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Put this forum in "post a message" mode, be ready to post the number.

Van jv 15:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 15:51///wish you were right...with possibly only short tern buying power/ debt + housing crush +++ahead/ ----->no good recovery

Dallas GEP 15:55 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OK guys CNBC is dowm I need number as soon as it is announed!!!! PLEASE Philly

Quito Valdez 15:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
London Cam// good post, true story. Only issue I see is opinion about US recovery, I think it's on track, going the right direction and not at turtle's pace. I'm not prejudiced for or against much of anything..true fact is my game so don't think I'd say U were prej. against USA..you're not. I C ur point about foreigner's portfolios..hadn't thought of that..thx 4 ur perspective!! data out in 9 min..

Gen dk 15:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Toronto Silverfox 15:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Rumour in CME is around 35. Thats why Euro futures are now in negative territory I think thats why Euro came down from
1.1945 to current level.

Quito Valdez 15:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Van// true...bond meltdowns etc.. The Fed has some of the best econ folks in the world, not perfect, 'good'. They would sence a bond melt down and other melts -hopefully- when they go playing with 1.0 prime int. rt. But what's new..the world econ is one delicate notion...everywhere...a hairbredth from feast or famine. If bonds melt down, USD plunges, that's what US exporters WANT. If we get a bond melt down, is that 'bad' even tho treas won't have as much playmoney to give away to more debt? Just some thoughts, everyone's got em, like dandruff.

london cam 15:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 15:13 GMT April 15, 2004
In the recent past I've often wondered why the Euro isn't much lower. However, when comparing the US and EU economies, we're not comparing 'like with like'. What I'll write below is secondhand information so may not be correct (no doubt someone here will correct where necessary)

EU growth may be slow but the EU doesn't have a massive foreign account deficit whereas the US does.

US budget deficit is too large to be rectified unless hyperinflation lends a hand.

EU budget deficit could theoretically be paid for from private German savings accounts. US per capita savings is negative.

Foreign CBs and individuals gradually reducing proportion of US assests and Treasury debt and replacing with Euro assets (portfolio balancing).

Foreign holders of US assets have seen their porfolios turn negative due to fall of USD, so although Americans may be happy with the Dow @10000+ foreigners see no benefit when converting to local currency.

Many in EU don't believe the US will truly recover for decades.

I hope you don't get the feeling that I'm anti US - I'm not. I hold some US assests and hope the US will recover. Without a solid US recovery the rest of us suffer. however, I feel it may take much longer than many anticipate.

15mins for Philadelphia fed survey, let's hope we see some movement...

GL GT

Van jv 15:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
LA ARTOFYEN 15:24 GMT April 15, 2004
..........................so if the EURO upleg is officially over, then the longer-term charts do point to sub 1.15 tests .............
Million $ ??? Is it Over?? I am long/1 pos only/ ...expect if is over last effort to retest Res, zone----but doubt it is , cause in this mess , boyh polit. and econ. Gold will go up and ........

Gen dk 15:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 15:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Looks like Phily Fed could come in around 40.

Quito Valdez 15:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Van// Tkx for the data...darned interesting!! I'd heard wind of this, never found the stats. Thx!!! Great post!

Van jv 15:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 15:13 GMT April 15, 2004
...with all good newz about the US econ and all the so-so news """"" if you add pprobble bubbles melt -downs ---->possibly recession plus....not so rosy

Van jv 15:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Waldez---some data
Van jv 23:02 GMT April 6, 2004
The Anglo-Saxon Debt Miracle/Morgan Stanley/

Australia, Britain and the United States have substantially outperformed other developed economies in the past five years. The vaunted Anglo-Saxon flexibility has been cited as the major cause of the better performance of these economies. A better explanation, in my opinion, is debt. Household debt in Anglo-Saxon economies has risen much faster than elsewhere, or compared to their history. Australia’s household debt-to-GDP ratio rose by 39 percentage points between 1998–2003, Britain’s by 19 points and the US’s by 16.

Exhibit 1

The Leverage Game (% of GDP)

US UK Australia Euro-Zone Japan



Household Debt

1988 57.9 66.6 36.8 59.7

1993 62.2 74.8 42.9 63.3

1998 67.1 72.5 61.2 41.7 65.1

2003 83.5 91.8 100.3 48.3 67.3

Current Account

1988 -2.3 -4.1 -3.0 2.7

1993 -1.2 -1.8 -2.7 3.0

1998 -2.3 -0.5 -4.5 3.0

2003 -4.8 -1.7 -6.3 0.4 3.2

Real GDP Growth between 1998-2003 (%)

11.5 11.3 20.9 11.1 5.7

Quito Valdez 15:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
True story Art of Yen. Can't agree more..it not just econ, and not just geopolitical, it's everything all rolled into one ball unfortunately, a lot of which is totally absurd but yet reality. FX is controlled by human habits subject to human emotion, psyc etc. and has at times little to do with the "perfect world" analyses. Thx for the input amigo.

Nottingham 15:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
NYC FXDH 14:50 GMT

For the purposes of near term usdcad trading ONLY :o) , Canada should be regarded as the 51st state and any opportunity to sell this pair on spikes should be taken...option related stops above 1.35 may provide such an opportunity and favoured strategy is to sell the pair if that occurs today (levels of 1.3535 or higher)...gl gt

Va Raven 15:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Key playday topmorrow, Gecko; To be or not to be for these pairs.....

Houston ST 15:26 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nice dollar bounce; any news? tia.

ln 15:26 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 15:13 GMT. A price is a price is a price. Where something should trade is a matter of perspective and all it takes is to either be with the crowd when they move or at the least not be on the wrong side when they do. This is what I have learnt from you guys on the forum.

Quito Valdez 15:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
There, see, someone has a brain..check eur/usd chart now. U.S. jobless also much better than last year's figs. irregardless of stats this year, WHICH IS USD POSITIVE.

LA ARTOFYEN 15:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito, major trends die hard so if the EURO upleg is officially over, then the longer-term charts do point to sub 1.15 tests but never forget to incorporate political risk into the equation....Also, as we all now, FX is hard pickings because it rarely trades in a straight line.....Ask the guys targeting 95.00 in usd/yen once above 110 and then down to 90!!!!

Quito Valdez 15:13 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
...with all good newz about the US econ and all the so-so news and even bad news about the EU, I'm surprised the eur/usd pair isn't at 1.10 or even less; adding to that the EUR is overbought in the 1st place.

Please don't say it's the US double deficit that holds the USD down for EUR/USD when 1/2 the EU countries will disobey budget deficit rules this year as the continent's economic growth continues to lag far behind the rest of the world, the EU's head office reported this week. This is one weird FX market which responds in shear contrast to economic logic.

van Gecko 15:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
good for you sir.. some good pips this year from baby sitting her Highness & long marching with the Swissy soldiers.. any thoughts on the Conti cousins.. raven?

Quito Valdez 15:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
from various fx sources, ref EUR/USD:
Interim support 1.1840 from Fib retracement level of the September – February uptrend. There is a pivotal low at 1.1752.

Nearby resistance 1.1964, break higher signals rally to 1.2049. If the recovery accelerates, look for test 1.2100. An unexpected break higher targets resistance 1.2160, then 1.2217.

...we still feel that support at 1.18 should provide a floor from which a significant euro bounce may occur
Bull/Bear:
NEAR-TERM: Mixed
MEDIUM-TERM: Slightly bearish
LONG-TERM: Mixed

U.S. econ up 4%, EZ 1.2%. Over 1/2 of EU countries will disobey on deficit rules of EU.

Stockholm za 15:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

EUR/USD = Check-Mate.................fwiw.....

NYC FXDH 14:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
any thoughts on$ cad

Va Raven 14:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Not bad at all and you, gecko?

van Gecko 14:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Raven.. fine, thank you sir.. hope her Majesty had been treating you well?

Va Raven 14:05 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Long time no C, Gecko, how is everything?

prague viktor 14:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko:thanks and G/L

CAIRO AG 13:58 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Gecko: Thanks.... but again, i was under the impression that IT WAS the BOE who intervened..LOL

But yes, i agree its a BUY on a break of that 0.6750!!

van Gecko 13:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AG.. exactly, & yesterday's bullish long Candle after being down in the doghouse all year long is a start in that direction..

CAIRO AG 13:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Gecko: But i thought EuroGbp COULD TURN BULLISH in case it breaks 0.6750 !!!!

GL & GT

van Gecko 13:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor.. the lead crosses are flashing reversal signs after an extended slides to the downside.. (eur/gbp had been vely sick since January)..
when the dogs lead.. the master usually follow..
gl



Melbourne Qindex 13:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : I have a feeling that the market will trade 390 - 392.3 later today. Good night and good trades!

PAR 13:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
After stronger than expected Empire state manufacturin expect a very strong Phily Fed Index.

Stockholm za 13:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw....... Rumour..............
THEY have not taken out their profit as yet........
Market NOISE....
Happy trades......

GER ad 13:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
DXB R.C. 13:22,
Is in German but maybe you can understand
OS!

ln 13:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
SPb Mike 12:54 GMT. UBS is a bit slow. other banks have been saying this for ages. its basically to do with how they account for agency debt.

Bandung Dewan 13:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Bandung Dewan 21:25 GMT April 14, 2004
gbp/usd going to 1.7680, level sell at 1.7925, s/l at 1.7944. eur/usd going to 1.1858, good level sell at 1.1980. s/l at 1.2005. gl/gt

DXB R.C. 13:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Would be obliged if someone could advice me where could I find some info and quoat of currency options in the net!! thanks

prague viktor 13:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko:are we marching to the 1,25?thx

Gen dk 13:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

van Gecko 13:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
"van Gecko 04:11 GMT April 14, 2004
the odds for euro to break 1.18/19 near term is slim to none.. the near term market psycho is similiar to last September when euro corrected to 1.08 & all the 'Johnny come latelys' jumped on the 1.05 bottom feeding bearwagon..
The 1000 pip drop from the recent 1.29 high had been vely rewarding for all short marching Sons Of Beatrice..
Cheerios..
"


Nottingham 13:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw April inflows are expected to be first non-intervention influenced figures

PAR 13:04 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Japan and UK major buyers of US tsy.

GENEVA FHR 13:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
FEB net foreign flow down to 83.4bn

dc fxq 13:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
FEB. NET FOREIGN FLOWS INTO U.S. DOWN TO $83.4 BL

Melbourne Qindex 12:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 12:59 GMT April 15, 2004
Spot Gold ; 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels (14/04)


... // 380.7* - 385.4 - 390* - 394.6 - 399.2* // ...

SPb Mike 12:54 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
"US TIC data for February out shortly at 13.00 gmt (US capital inflow for February)...Headline number has been running strong at around $90 bln for the past 3 months and around $60 bln ex official flows. No real basis for forecasting this series. In general, numbers above $40 bln (equivalent to the trade deficit) are considered robust. Note Global Econ team has done some work recently suggesting TIC significantly overstates actual flows." UBS

Livingston nh 12:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
QF - the DoL site you posted is normally updated by 9 am but is not the initial release site

Nassau QF 12:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Don't know why DOL posted old info.
It was dated the 15th.

Here's info from Bloomberg:

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose 30,000 to 360,000 Last Week
April 15 (Bloomberg) -- The number of Americans filing initial claims for jobless benefits rose to 360,000 last week, a 30,000 increase that was the biggest in more than a year, the Labor Department reported in Washington.

Claims had fallen to a revised 330,000 the previous week. Even with the increase, claims have averaged 351,000 this year, down from 402,100 for all of 2003. The department said claims tend to be unusually volatile during the first week of a quarter and the Easter holidays, which coincided this year.

Nassau QF 12:42 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
In the week ending April 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 328,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 342,000. The 4-week moving average was 336,750, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average of 340,000.

http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/current.htm

BNE Bob 12:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Research 12:02 GMT April 15, 2004

Have a look at :-
http://batr.org/markets/calendar.html
http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRIntCalendar.htm
http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRUSCalendar.htm
GL

beijing road 12:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham: thanks,sir.

prague viktor 12:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
360000

Vilnius 12:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Jobless number anyone?

Global-View 12:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GVI Jay 12:31 GMT April 15, 2004
NY Fed's Empire State April manufacturing Index 36.05 vs. 25.2 in March

Bris th 12:31 GMT April 15, 2004
Jobless claims 360,000 fwiw

Ldn Cashman 12:31 GMT April 15, 2004
Continuing claims much lower. Headline no. distorted by easter period

GVI john 12:30 GMT April 15, 2004
360K, +30 look out

dc fxq 12:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
rne

try this one also:

http://www.macro-dev.com/mthcalendar.php

Belgrade Knez 12:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Research,

I don't know can this one help.


http://europa.eu.int/comm/eurostat/newcronos/queen/display.do?screen=welcome&open=/shorties_copy_282760044706&language=en&product=EUROIND&root=EUROIND_copy_259805082983#/shorties_copy_282760044706

Nottingham 12:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
road...that cable o/s 1 has now have done it's target for second round trip today...I can't play any further extension to retracements but some intraday traders may gun for resistances at 7850/80 whilst using 7815 as a fire exit...gl gt

ln 12:04 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
any views on entry into cable short or is this a stay out poss?

ZP Nemo 12:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
i feels, EUR b4 knockdown.... IMHO

Melbourne Research 12:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi all.

Am doing research into a comprehensive Forex Economic Events Calendar.

So far the best one I have is Econoday. However this one does not show many events outside of the UK and US. Anyone suggestions would be appreciated, even if acess to a particular Calendar requires payment.

Gen dk 11:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hong kong nt 11:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
lessen terror threat may give eur/chf a plus...

Gen dk 11:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 11:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI john 11:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.1905…$/yen 108.85
DJIA +3 pts… 10-yr 4.35%, -2 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


FULL TEXT ON GVI...


Mumbai ms 11:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
and from there could start heading lower to 1.7000 (Basis-Daily Chart )

Mumbai Mitali 11:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Pound from 1.84 has come down to 1.7770 levels, there could be a consolidation from here and could move higher to 1.8050 levels

hong kong nt 11:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP -- after kissing the neckline line at 1.8000, head and shoulder top's downside objective at 1.68/1.70 are flashing in my mind...

hk revdax 11:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 10:44 //Thus the secret lies in avoiding dogs during dogs days.

hk ab nzd 0.6 11:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
friends really go now,
see ya all later after ny lunch.


all limits are in place.

may put a buy stop above eur before data.

HK [email protected] 11:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Italy Snubs Bin Laden Truce Offer


Politics: 15 April 2004, Thursday.
Italy flatly rejected the truce with European states offered in a purported Osama bin Laden audio tape.

Italy's Foreign Minister Franco Frattini said that the discussion of a truce offer with Al Qaeda leader is "unthinkable", AFP reported.

Calcutta Vikram 11:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Next support below that would be 1.7575-50. Would I buy at 1.7743? No. Would I sell here for break of 1.7743? No. Might buy at 1.7575, if seen.

Calcutta Vikram 11:14 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Perceive Support in Cable at 1.7743.....FWIW

CAIRO AG 11:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Well... i think quotes are gonna stay ROUND here till the S annoucement... to make OR BREAK. GL & GT

hk ab nzd 0.6 11:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
so all asian closes and leave the decision to US players.

Mumbai ms 11:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Any comments on the same

mumbai ms 11:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi . One should go long on pound for the short term , as it has retraced 61.8% from the high of 1.9140 .

Nottingham 10:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 10:55 GMT

I wouldn't bet against you...those that did would only win 5 times in last ten years or so, at least on a closing basis...gl gt

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// nzd breaking lower bollinger band in hrly
big move if it succeed to .63 first.

sgp sp 10:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt....how often has ur gut feelings let u down...could be a good indicator :)

HK [email protected] 10:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.6 10:51
If NZD will decide to reverse wildly it may test the Res. 0.6529 which exactly lie on the daily Res. line

hong kong nt 10:55 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- have a gut feeling that 1.776 is the day low

sgp sp 10:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ok ab, won't even touch it unless either one happens.
thanks

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp// to retain the downward momentum, nz must break .63 today and close under it. Otherwise, a doji will be signaled and everything should be reversed.

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp, I think maybe 1/2, depends what happen in the gold and the coming US session.

sgp sp 10:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab, u r not saying another almost 350 dive for nzd?

Gen dk 10:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 10:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : 395.95 / 396.65

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gold is kissing the 395 in www.gold.org now.

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
yesterday nzd makes 350 pips move.

Today dive should not be more than yesterday's if there's one.

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, the Macau index have its dogs days recently I guess.

Still think the gbp is giving bad fortune to eur in the near future.

hk revdax 10:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab//i am glad that i took my cut of the sausage and ran away...

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// the bearish cycle trend mkt is fast and horrible....

oilman's famous: bull climb the wall, bear dives.

hong kong nt 10:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- will take a rest for today. gl>(mj)

hong kong nt 10:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- after touching neckline, cable bears are charged with a lot of energy...

Gen dk 10:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nzd lower bound of bollinger band at .6331 in hrly, fwiw,

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp, I missed the signal of long aud/nzd at 1.1570....

just leave it as I have 2 already.

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
doing yen cross killing?

Melbourne Qindex 10:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below the following 22-day cycle technical points :-

1.7655 - 1.7762 - 1.7807

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp, I give my vote to qindex
.7160(bid).

after all the bloody move, the pair that I will buy against USD is yen. I hope to eye a double bottom at around 103

Nottingham 10:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp resistances...6700/05...6722/25...6747/51...gl gt

Gen dk 10:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sgp sp 10:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab, what do u think of aud/usd?

Melbourne Qindex 10:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 01:53 GMT April 15, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels


... 1.1737 ... 1.1787 ... 1.1837 // 1.1862 - 1.1887 - 1.1911 - 1.1936 - 1.1961 // 1.1986 ... 1.2061 ...

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eur1.1850=gbp1.7500=chf1.3080?
Where should yen be?
110.58?

aud=.7160?

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:13 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// kind US players can give us 1.1855 sounds to me and many will be eyed.

gbp makes another ugly move again.
this destinate to 1.75?

CAIRO AG 10:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
NOTTINGHAM// Any thoughts on the EurGbp cross? Do u agree it COULD be a good short at 0.6705 IF SEEN? TIA

hong kong nt 10:11 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
VIIES -- me2...

Melbourne Qindex 10:11 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : the lower barrier of my monthly cycle normal trading range is positioning at 396.2 // 406.7 and the mid-point reference is 401.5. The downward trending momentum was strong in the last New York session and the market was able to penetrate through 396.2. The retracement of spot gold in Asia session was not impressive and the pressure is still mounting in the next few sessions. The market rhythm of my monthly cycle is represented by 10.5 and thenext quantised level below 396.2 is 385.7.

Tallinn viies 10:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
bought the euro at 1,1910. stop at 1,1844. target 1,1990/2000

hk ab nzd 0.6 10:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
friends, if u take out hte nzd 1hr chart, the bollinger band explosion will soon be seen.

Gen dk 10:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Nottingham 09:54 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 09:42 GMT

swissy...a good deal way from o/b levels even conventinally (which does guarantee anything with this pair)...I would want to see 1.31 handle here before I was interested
cable...when I checked my position report this morning I noticed that cable had triggered primary o/s during asian trade, 1.7801 and that retracements targets had already been done...buying on a second move down to o/s 1 today can't be guaranteed to produce a return today (but still ought to when added to at o/s 1's in coming days if necessary) but it needs to be remembered that the pair rarely closes below the primary o/s 1 level so there will be some natural support at those levels...secondary o/s for cable today is at 1.7715
euro...needs to hold 1.19 today otherwise risks retest of 1.1860 area...doesn't get o/s till under 1.18...gl gt

cb jc 09:54 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone... what GMT ECB interest rate announcement.. also BOE..

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// gbp got crazy.

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
oilman, what do u see today?

Stockholm za 09:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw........
DPUD @396
Happy trades......

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
road// I c.
I am a bit hesitated now and want to see how it could react with news at 8:30 EST first but seems too many early birds have joined the bull camp at the moment.

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
any news?

beijing road 09:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
but I plan to long eur under 1.19 during us session.

beijing road 09:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab:no.

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
don't forget that the iraqi news will be updated within this 24 hrs.....

road// did u long eur?

Tallinn viies 09:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
today there will be lot euro buying in front of 1,1880-1,1900. think it is wise to try it with good r/r. stops under 1,1840/45 imho

beijing road 09:42 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham : EUR/USD, cable,usd/chf and EUR/JPY

Nottingham 09:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
which pair are you looking at road?

beijing road 09:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham : any magic level for today? thks.

sgp sp 09:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
still at work huh? np :)
check ur mail

Melbourne Qindex 09:24 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 08:50 GMT - EUR/USD : the odds are very good today.

Melbourne Qindex 07:53 GMT April 15, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from my 22-day cycle is shifted to the following :-


... 1.1867 - 1.1933* - 1.1999 ...

hk ab nzd 0.6 09:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp// seems there's a firewall on the network.
So, talk here.

Dallas GEP 09:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I expect we will have some squaring out of more EURO longs prior to Jobless Claims announcement as already has happened to an extent.

hk ab nz 0.6 09:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gep// What I could say is a 30 pips sustained break of eur 250 dma, will be the nail of the coffin.
That's said, now rely on signal.

hk ab nz 0.6 09:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp, give me 10 mins.

Dallas GEP 09:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Ab, is that is true you can kiss that EURO low of 1.1869 goodbye!!!! I had someone who claims to have a FEEL for these things (please read between the lines) that he thinks it will be around 285K

sgp sp 09:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab, dinner is delayed, mj? session still on? nt is in conference with us now....hope u can join us.

hk ab nz 0.6 09:05 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp, nt// my dinner is now delayed.

HK [email protected] 09:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
The odds are, that if 395.60 will become a single or double bottom...You will not see prices below 400$/Oz for long time.

hong kong nt 09:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP 1.784 looks tempting for a rebound, give a try w/30 pip...

hk ab nz 0.6 09:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
a leaked number of under 300k?

Gen dk 08:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

EU ZORRO 08:58 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
you have mail....Tks

hk ab nz 0.6 08:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nice move is buying usd now.
fro this morning bc's post, gold moves first
and gold just moved to south an hr ago.

Bonn 08:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi Andy! It that you searched. It necessarily will help you.
www.TimeTrapSystem.com

HK [email protected] 08:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Not an easy moment for short term investors in gold, but ROC in Diff. time frames may point to Div.

Philippines newtrader 08:52 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD :
buy 1.1910
target 1.2048
stop 1.1885
resistance
1.2048
1.1980
support
1.1925
1.1885

USD/CHF :
buy 1.2950
target 1.3085
stop 1.2925
resistance
1.3085
1.3020
support
1.2965
1.2920

GBP/USD
sell 1.7955
target 1.7825
stop 1.7990

resistance
1.7957
1.7905
support
1.7848
1.7788

Dallas GEP 08:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Willl look forwrd to it Jon, THANKS.

Q, would you say the chances are good for another retest of the eur/usd LOW of 1.1869 in the next few sessions, Sir???

Tokyo Jon 08:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sorry, just got back in japan, and only particialy set up, so I can only give you my chart analysis. Will be around later to discuss more, but you will now see my presence here once again, atleast for 3 months. once my network is back up and running you will be able to msn me at jonnyt6 at hotmail. see you all soon

sgp sp 08:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt, just replied your mail...

Melbourne Qindex 08:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:46 GMT April 15, 2004
Spot Gold : As shown in my 44-cycle charts the market is negative if it is trading below 399.2. Specultive selling will increase if the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 397.2 The short term target is 388.9.

Dallas GEP 08:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi JON, Great to see your posts. What does your marvelous system say in terms of signals currently???

hk ab nz 0.6 08:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
b4 leaving, (new) short dlr/jpy limit at 109.30, 110.70
eur long 1.1855 and chf long 1.3088(buy stops)
nzd limit at .6225 still waiting to close 4 nzd short positions with the SAR together there.

aud/nzd..... disappointing.

Tokyo Jon 08:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eurjpy, buy above 130.10 target 131.00
sell below 129.45 target 128.85
short term positions.

hk ab nz 0.6 08:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I am sorry, I gtg now for a dinner and mj.

she is always online. If u send her email, she will reply quick.

EU ZORRO 08:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nk, I would like to talk with you...by mail if possible...

HK [email protected] 08:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Maybe that piece, like a glass of tea in a snowy day from Al-Jazeera...

Sadr close to striking a deal

Thursday 15 April 2004, 0:32 Makka Time, 21:32 GMT

The Shia cleric has led an uprising against the occupation

A deal between Iraq's rebellious Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and the US-led occupation authorities is said to be imminent.

Abd al-karim al-Anzi, an envoy appointed by Sadr to lead negotiations aimed at averting bloodshed in the holy city of Najaf, said on Wednesday that a deal could be struck in the next 24 hours.

"I expect a solution within the next 24 hours. I met US officials today and the talks were extremely positive," Anzi said.

QC WC 08:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, thanks so its negative again now.

hong kong nt 08:34 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- want to buy back at 1.790, any comment? btw, can you send me the handle of sp?

saloniko 2004 nk 08:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

Zorro..im here..*!*

(Just came frome Athens..)

nk



Tokyo Jon 08:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eurjpy is good fo midterm buy

Minnesota Mark 08:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold 399.7/400.20

Nottingham 08:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab, currently bid and offer surround 400, but it has rotating in a tight range around the 400 level for some hours now

hk ab nz 0.6 08:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt//have u got your cable back?

Philippines newtrader 08:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD (1.1957)
Trading range: 1.1900 – 1.2045
Trend: Upward
We expect to see upward correction today and recover of the levels above 1.2000. The key events today are US Jobless Claims at 8:30 AM EST and Philadelphia Federal at 12 PM EST. It is expects positive data by Philadelphia Federal and neutral expectations by Initial Jobless Claims.

USD/JPY Daily Forecast and Analysis
USD/JPY (108.38)
Trading range: 107.45 – 108.85
Trend: Neutral
The upward movement is over and we expect to see neutral trading today with chances to see corrections to the level of 107.60.


Melbourne Qindex 08:29 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
QC WC 08:25 GMT - GBP/USD : It is positive if the market is trading above 1.8009 and negative if it is trading below 1.7931. The mid-point reference between 1.7931 // 1.8009 is 1.7970.

EU ZORRO 08:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

Good morning all...

....Saloniko Nk....are you around?

hong kong nt 08:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP very technical, kiss neckline and down...

hk ab nz 0.6 08:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gold past 400 (bid), can anyone confirm?

Dallas GEP 08:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello Friends!!! have some Euro shorts and that is all at the moment.

QC WC 08:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, where is the weekly cycle barrier? 1.7931 or 1.8009?

hk jn 08:23 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gold might need 1 more day to heal the wound

hk ab nz 0.6 08:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
problem is gold still kissing the 400 line....

hk ab nz 0.6 08:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt, seems the USD bulls yesterday come again today.

Should be the last day of their operation?

Nottingham 08:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Minneapolis DRS2 08:15 GMT

aussie...significant resistance at 7425/30

sgp sp 08:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thank u Dr Q.....

hk ab nz 0.6 08:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
we have EU ZEW today.

Melbourne Qindex 08:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : It is negative if the market is trading below the weekly cycle barrier.

Minneapolis DRS2 08:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
What's the latest on AUD/USD? I'm tempted to short right now (just below 7400)...

Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT April 15, 2004
EUR/AUD : Projected supporting points are 1.6131 and 1.6160.

SPb Mike 08:14 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello forum!
Could anybody check if us capital flow data is out later today? if yes, what time?
GL> 4all

hk ab nz 0.6 08:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
but if 1.1630 cracks, it will be a no-return level like the 1.1530 in days.

sgp sp 08:09 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab....yup...still holding the small longs...u know what I think this is a hard nut to crack...and judging by aud/nzd big moves...maybe close and open again when it retraces?

melbourne farmacia 08:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
london 07:44 GMT April 15, 2004
I would of covered longs at 1.7990 ( fibo resistance ) but i'm flat gbp so far today.. all my shorts covered at last nights posted target - 1.7809 - a few hours ago fwiw.

hk ab nz 0.6 08:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp// keeping your aud/nzd long?
we are facing that 1.1630 hard nut again soon.

hk ab nz 0.6 08:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
what a ridiculous tape message.
Then, EU play politics with US?
Geez.
ticked down 20 pips now.

sgp sp 08:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sorry, was out after wishing u good afternoon. .....guess u r not able to log in yms...but no problem, anytime u r in, I will invite u. btw nt is also welcome...just let me know when....

hk jn 08:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
thanks all

hk ab nz 0.6 08:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt, I am not using the y-m yet. I will use it late tonight.
I can send you sp email if you want to contact her earlier.
will do now.

hong kong nt 07:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- can you send me a test msg?

hk revdax 07:58 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk jn 07:51 //Forget about the news.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
sp// I remember a pal mentioned long chf last night, gd for him.

Gold Coast martin 07:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk...jn....the bin laden tape like one esteemed colleague on this forum said is like terrorists threats....chewing gum that has lost its flavour...also the credibility of the arabic press has been questioned ..so the tape should not be significant to the mainstream market...g/l g/t

Melbourne Qindex 07:55 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:53 GMT April 15, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from my 22-day cycle is shifted to the following :-


... 1.1867 - 1.1933* - 1.1999 ...

hk ab nz 0.6 07:52 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
if eur goes to 1.1930 in the next hr, you should know the TREND for this week.

hk jn 07:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
the bin Laden tape news, any view please

hk ab nz 0.6 07:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
today worth to trade contra usd is dlr/jpy only.

Nottingham 07:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ok ab, noted

Melbourne Qindex 07:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:49 GMT April 15, 2004
GBP/USD : Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels

The market is still trading outside the weekly cycle normal trading range.


... 1.7619* - 1.7697 - 1.7775* - 1.7853 - 1.7931 // 1.8009 ...

hk ab nz 0.6 07:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
jn// better look at NY close.

c9 has no chance to take profit while they are sleeping.....

sleep with a nice dream, wake up with a nightmare.

hk revdax 07:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 07:38//Macau index works best for CHF due to the fact that Switzerland is a politically neutral country. The latter gets the least amount of surprises.

ZP Nemo 07:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I hope and mean, it was tech move for all stops taking... US data will be not so bad for $ IMHO

hk jn 07:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab
c9 got credit this time

hk ab nz 0.6 07:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham// re: bc post, 16:00 CMT ( China time zone)

london 07:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 07:36 GMT April 15, 2004 I longed gbp/usd down at 1.7790, how about you? any targets thks

hk ab nz 0.6 07:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
newbie in f-news got their piggy cable head shot.....

Nottingham 07:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hey hk ab, UK starts to kick in from 7am UK time (as we are, 06:00GMT). 9am UK is just when the lazy stock fund managers start work! Any moves you see started between 7 and 8am UK can often set the trend until early US session...gl gt

hk ab nz 0.6 07:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, gold has not moved much yet. may mean another day of range trading?

KL KL 07:42 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eur aiming for 1.2030 gbp aiming for 1.8050...US figures could be $ negative today!!

Melbourne Qindex 07:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : the market is working on the weekly cycle barrier of 1.7931 // 1.8009.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I still have lots to learn from you on the decision of exit.
I held a short from chf at 1.3040 actually yesterday, but .... sigh....
if London doesn't smash the eur too high, think about 1.2001 short.

Swakopmund Liz 07:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Who / what is sitting on EUR?

hk ab nz 0.6 07:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax// always good trade.

How's the Macau index on aud, cad and nzd currently?

hk ab nz 0.6 07:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
my t/p for aud/nzd long from 1.1530, 1.1545 will be at 1.18.

hk revdax 07:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 07:34//No more trading for me today. You and others could help yourself for the balance of the move. It could be quite rewarding if my Macau indicator were right on this time.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
farmarcia, I was too greedy and 1.7799 wasn't hit.

now, I want to see what tells us in the London opens in 20 mins.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// do u hold any aud poses?

Nottingham 07:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
all aussie o/s positions have now been cleared

melbourne farmacia 07:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab - Hope you longed Gbp/Usd .. gt

Calcutta Vikram 07:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks again, Nemo. Makes sense to me.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:34 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, here we are now.

let's see if 1.2870 is ok.

PAR 07:34 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Cable aiming for stops above 1.8000.

hk revdax 07:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 07:21 //12910 is my profit target for _today_. I will leave the balance of the sausage to others.

ZP Nemo 07:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Since the low yielding CHF had been sold aggressively against many higher yielding currencies that meant plenty of CHF to
be purchased. That limited the USD/CHF rise to 1.3050, but the positive bias toward the dollar also limited any fall to 1.2970/80. Prices waffled inside that range for most of the session, but a late day bout of profit taking saw USD/CHF slide back to the bottom of the range. There are still solid bids at 1.2925 that could be tested in the vent of a slide below 1.2950. Conversely large stops from momentum players above 1.3050 would signal the uptrend is back in favor.

van Gecko 07:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax.. your usd/chf is acting as a 'last up first down' lost leader here.. minor support here at 30.. better support down at 1.2880/50.. even better down at 1.2750-1.2550



PAR 07:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
BOJ again buying GBPJPY ?

hk ab nz 0.6 07:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
what a stubborn player.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I am now working on the aud/nzd resistance at 1.16 again!!!!

hk ab nz 0.6 07:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, appreciate your reply a lot.

if Macau index is still against you, I think that may mean the chf to overshoot down 30 more pips to enlarge your target and you may set the p/t slightly lower.

the dlrcad is struggling.

nzd can make a hrly break out in the bollinger band.

hk revdax 07:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 07:06//i shorted $/CHF around 1.3050 yesterday when it showed a hourly RSI divergency. I am about to close out near 12900 for a profit but the Macau index seems to suggest that $ will be closing on a down note by close. Thus theoretically speaking I should leave the position to tomorrow and go for happy hours in the meanwhile. But being human, I take the profit first. Hope that would help.

hk ab nz 0.6 07:06 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, any Macau index update today?

I feel the herd shorting gbp very heavily.

can't resist the tempt to go against them to buy some even good for 1/2 days.

Calcutta Vikram 06:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for that, ZP Nemo. Obliged

ZP Nemo 06:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
There is talk that Asian names are good sellers ahead of 1.2000 and a large Asian central bank is buying ahead of
1.1850. This could result in more consolidation in the coming session.
Underpinning the EUR against growing USD bullishness is massive short covering of EUR crosses. While the market couldn"t make up its collective mind on USD direction, funds took out large short EUR positions against the GBP, JPY
and AUD to name a few. Expectations of a U.S. rate hike in August has bolstered USD sentiment and resulted in large position squaring. Once this is finished the EUR/USD is likely to sink lower in the days/weeks ahead. (JN)

hk ab nz 0.6 06:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, nzd still has a lot of crosses to unwind, one of which is the gbp/nzd.

MONACO OGA 06:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 15/04
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,1950), 40 pips higher than yesterday's opening. EUR/USD dipped below 1,1900 (low 1,1865) before regaining the lost ground and hovering around 1,1930 (range 1,1900-1,1970). The pair seems to be resilient to test lower levels and we will be looking for a consolidative price action pattern today. Our1,1800-50 target level (lower barrier of bearish channel) was almost seen so we will be carefull with short positions. First resistance around 1,1980-00, then 1,2060 and multi day resistance above 1,2175 (200 period moving average on the daily chart). Overall we are still neutral on the medium term but with the recent moves, we would like to start building long positions below 1,1900 for 1,2000-50 targets.

Data out today:
US Empire manufacturing April expected 28.25 13.30 GMT
US initial jobless claims expected 335K 13.30 GMT
US Phili Fed April expected 26 13.30 GMT

Gold to 401.00 from 399 low yesterday , with WTI May at 36,59.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 108,70) 140 pips higher on on the back of USD strenght. 107,50 resistance was broken and as expected opened way to 109 (high 109,28). Support at 108.20 and a more significant one at 107.50. Next resistance at 109,75.
EUR/JPY (currently 129.90) rallied from 128 to 130 (high 130,39). Support now at 128,80 and strong resistance at 130,75.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,7880) dipped another 260 pips since yesterday opening (total 600 pips in 48 hours). We'll be looking to build long positions again today for a retracement to 1,8050 . 1,7750 support should hold today.
EURGBP (0,6685) broke 0,6620 resistance yesterday. 0,6700 resistance should contain the market, we'll be looking for a retracement to 0,6640 by tomorrow.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

hk ab nz 0.6 06:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I will also do a super SAR on all my m/t shorts on nzd as well when it hit .6225.

hk ab nz 0.6 06:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// what could spell aud .71xx is a safe landing of dlr/cad above 1.35

PAR 06:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Any BOJ intervention ?

hk ab nz 0.6 06:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// qindex looks for .71xx area within 2 sessions.

hong kong nt 06:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- .7300-.7500 range may work for a while...

hk ab nz 0.6 06:34 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
today, I will put my buy limit on aussie at .7175 and nzd at .6225. which could afford me a wider s/l to hit higher target.

hk ab nz 0.6 06:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gecko, agree with those m/t

but judging from the sentiment, I think a beyond 0.8 may need a deeper correction to allocate the bulls in.

many smaller fishes have pushed up the price from .73-.75 which makes the whales to do some clean up exercise first.

van Gecko 06:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab.. afford or not afford is all part of risk management.. if you can't afford.. you have no biz trading..
then again, may be some of us wannabes possess the rare fx power to consistently pick the exact top/bottoms to make 2000 pips by risking 20 pips..;)


Calcutta Vikram 06:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello Friends.....a question, if someone can please help....
We saw the Pound and the Yen both fall against the Dollar yesterday and today, so much so that the GBPJPY Cross remained constant. In fact it was the EURJPY which went up. This is not a normal case. Would anyone have an insight into this movement over the last 2 days? Be obliged. TIA

hk jc 06:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hi, i would like to ask anyone where the yen is going. tia

hk ab nz 0.6 06:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// oic.

Ldn Hat 06:13 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Shorted more GBP/USD at 1.7880 target 1.7750 stop 1.800 will short more if 1.79 is seen IMHO Thanks

Ldn Hat 06:13 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Shorted more GBP/USD at 1.7880 target 1.7750 stop 1.800 will short more if 1.79 is seen IMHO Thanks

hk ab nz 0.6 06:12 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
gecko// some pals cannot afford 200 pips s/l.

van Gecko 06:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD is a buy at good discounts for the M/T here near the bottom of an embedded s/t corrective consolidation range.. may be just prior to the resumption of the climb up to .8000 & beyond..
trading against a M/T up trend after the pair had already undergone a multi-figure correction down to the bottom of a strong rising channel is a common & risky fx practice.. a buy high/sell low accident waiting to happen..
*
The same scenario applys for EURO..
simple in words, but difficult to practice under real time stimulus for many.. fwiw..


hong kong nt 06:09 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- i consider my assumption of rebound to 1.800+ may not have reasonable chance to come true if 1.779 appears again and that's why i place a b/e stop...

vancouver Thrakos 06:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Is anyone planing on shorting the EUR USD @ 1910? or today would be in range like yesterday ....? sometime losing 30pips is more fun then watching the screen and doing nothing all night :) jocking of course.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I can offer 0.035% commision if u are interested ;)

hk ab nz 0.6 05:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt//European blast euro.....break of 1.1900 again will be ugly..

nt// question, why didn't you put another tighter trail on your cable long?

Gold Coast martin 05:52 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
HK..nt...i didnt know you were that good...makes me feel like a newbie!!!!...and your commission is very low!!!

sydney fg 05:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
la S.O 05:43 GMT April 15, 2004

Hi S.O.
Would you like to shag my sister too?

mex juchi 05:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
is that crap allowded in here

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
He is BACK take another photo this time he has the elephant speedos on Irish lol. I am waiting for an intraday position long on eur/usd but it keeps the weight and resistance for now at 1.1970-75 area FWIW.

Chicago CFTC 05:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
la S.O. - please contact me at [email protected], I am very interested in taking a look at your information.

hong kong nt 05:49 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
To la S.O.

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hk ab nz 0.6 05:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// how about.... 1.7799..... chinese lucky number?

btw, bc had a good message this morning about hte year 2004. Please take a look at the archive, worth a lot of reading.

mex juchi 05:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
what a bulls...

hk ab nz 0.6 05:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// got it.

wosh... eur and chf.

seem all eyes are now on 1.3080 dlr/chf.

Gold Coast martin 05:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
la...SO....is that a nigerian guarantee?

hong kong nt 05:42 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.6 05:36 -- if your wish come true, my b/e order will be executed, can you buy at 1.7805? :-)

hk ab nz 0.6 05:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I need your y-id.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
First dives, first bounces.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, cad is a great uncertainty. An uncertainty too large that newbie should lift their hands.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
all depends, imvho, eur/gbp doesn't break thru .66 again and dlr/cad doesn't break 1.35 as easy as hot knift in the better.
Then, USD bulls will give up for a week or two.

Comparing all pairs, I think aud and jpy will be the first rebounds against usd in the near term cycle.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// that means the bloodshed on cable is done, right?

I hope to get some cable at the same lvl as yours like 1.77xx now. Will London/European be generous enough?....

hk jn 05:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt

that was caused by rumoured Asian bank dump

Melbourne Qindex 05:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The key quantised level of my current 22-day cycle is 0.7314.

hong kong nt 05:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- see heavy stop loss of die hard cable bulls this morning...

hong kong nt 05:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP, given recent volatility, may see a recovery to 1.810 line before re-gathering of bears...

hk ab nz 0.6 05:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
asian has no guts to hold up eur yet....

hk ab nz 0.6 05:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon "s"..... hehehe.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:26 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I have a downward bias on eur/aud.

sgp sp 05:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon ab...

hk ab nz 0.6 05:17 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy has reached the first fib from the dive @139 to recent low.....

hk ab nz 0.6 05:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Ldn// from Autumn last year, aud is o/b for a long time.
this retracment was rather healthy but just too many passenger have jumped on the bus before the terminus which makes it keep on unloading mode.

hk ab nz 0.6 05:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
european will open in 45 mins and london in 3 hrs.
IF they still have a lot of operations, we will still see it today.
Fri. is not promising move but Thur. surely is.

dlr/cad is also another one to watch.

Dr. Qindex and bc// in your opinion, how many days does dlr/cad need to stay above and close above 200 dma to remain m/t bullish view in cards? seems 3 days are not enough.

hong kong nt 05:14 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
quick 110 pips on GBP, exit half...

Ldn 05:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
NT aussie also oversold a lot

Australian RBA Sold A$258M In Forex Mkt In Mar

hong kong nt 05:04 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP may reach neckline res at 1.795-1.800 soon to relieve short term oversold..

hk ab nz 0.6 04:57 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I will wait for one more reaction for tonight US number.

hong kong nt 04:55 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- 109.1 yen and 1.779 cable are my lucky numbers today, failure to break 1.305 swiss and 400 gold last night may imply something obvious...

hk ab nz 0.6 04:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// I was so stupid to miss the chance to shoot dlr/jpy above 109 for quick profit.....

now, would like to do some shorts when it hit the impt resistance at 110.70.

hk ab nz 0.6 04:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// are u in one at the moment now?

HKG SK 04:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Please help me on USD/CHF

hk ab nz 0.6 04:45 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
bc// a long on aud @70xx is a very tempting position to me. What's the high we can expect on the run?
I think we can monitor some major fib.
Thanks for the gold advice, it's very very useful.

hong kong nt 04:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AB -- reliability of c9 index tends to be higher inside one famous street retailer..

Ldn 04:43 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc What was the Launch high on the aud thanks again

hk jn 04:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ab
may c9 correct this time?

sg 04:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
joe, for euro, if your broker has 3 pips spread you coud've been filled, but again, they are very efficient in filling your stop loss orders but not the limits.

sg 04:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
joe
I have cable high 1.7924 and euro low 1.1905, that's bid you wouldn't be filled for any.

hk ab nz 0.6 04:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
bc// will yen possibly finding its way to test 200 dma again?

the price seems held v. well overnight.

hk ab nz 0.6 04:33 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
and nzd is doing its fib retracement.
aud does it better.

hk ab nz 0.6 04:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
nt// update on c9 index in my bank.
just past by this morning and saw c9 took their bank book buying lots of nzd.....

amman joe 04:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
can anyone help me got two orders to
sell cable at 1.7925 and to
buy euro at 1.1909

none was filled even hgh cable was 1.7926 and low euro 11905 , do i have support?

sg 04:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I'm long cable from 1.78 and short EurGbp from .6690. I expect short covering to start soon.

nyc sa 04:16 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone buying cable for 1.83 or u think it will go lower first before up ??

shanghai bc 04:09 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

TH -- Aud/Usd launch high..

NT -- Still expecting Aud/usd to reach .70 level at some point in this Usd bounce cycle..For timing of the trades,following Gold's move for the timing of Aud shorts or longs may be more profitable.. Gold usually moves a bit earlier than Aud for operationsl reasons..Usually in early London morning..Our boys have somehow become major market movers in commodities..Good trades..

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks BC like you said eur/usd needs the wingman to help out on this bear run.
ML my number to dump my short position has not printed (1.1860) but it has come close right now eur/usd is tap dancing on the 250dma line if that is taken out I see around the 1.1770-80 area as a good support for this fall for the time being IHMO.

ICT ML 03:53 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OMIL...eruo hit my first zone where I am willing to buy it on a strong bounce out of here....cable though isn't attracting the same type of accumulation interest yet based on the stair step consolidation patterns of tthis move......

shanghai bc 03:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

The breakout level last year was 1.70 for Cable and 1.17 for Eur/Usd..Cable somehow rose 6 long months in a row from 1.56 level all the way to 1.91 level..It will be not unusual if Cable falls back to 1.70 level while Eur/usd remains relatively slow mover..Eur/Gbp may benefit in a perverse way in this scenario..And it is impossible for Eur/usd to move in a big way one way or another without Eur/Gbp and Eur/Jpy backing up its move on the flanks..Fwiw..

sg 03:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I thing cable is a good buy at this level.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ML, technically cable looks like a better short than eur/usd IMHO.

ICT ML 03:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OMIL...I hear ya on that...but think the damage is done to it....broke the range bottom and dailies are looking bad again on it...

I failed to get my Aussie sell stops in in time though...looks like selling at market again

Melbourne Qindex 03:39 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
QC WC 03:35 GMT - GBP/USD : the market is heading towards 1.7680 - 1.7686. 1.7939 is the projected resistance.

QC WC 03:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, what's your views for GBP now at this level?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:35 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ML glad to hear that I would tend to agree with NT on the next support for cable that is the 38% fib line on this bear move. GL GT

ICT ML 03:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OMIL...I am doing fabulous this week on numerous pairs...was flat but that slamming picked up a sell stop i had in place so I am short again on the cable

hong kong nt 03:30 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD -- tech supp at 1.779 may provide some support on first attempt...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:28 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ML hope your are riding the cable train in good fashion.

ICT ML 03:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Geezes...someone just SLAMMED cable hard

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Good day to everyone not much to comment about eur/usd except what I have posted before the fib lines remain but the resistance (55ma 1hr chart) has held the upper movement in check for the moment. With more news later today for US we might see some needed fire to this pair. The intraday indicators have moved out of the O/S territory and are poised to test the support at 1.1860. I am still expecting the bounce but with less confidence than before. GL GT

Melbourne Qindex 03:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD : the current expected trading range from my monthly cycle is 1.6214 - 1.6373.

Melbourne Qindex 02:58 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:58 GMT April 15, 2004
AUD/USD : The key quantised level of my daily cycle is located at 0.7216. If the market resumes its down trending movemwnt and penetrates through the key quantised level at 0.7216, AUD/USD has a potential to reach 0.7060.


... 0.6905* - 0.6957 // 0.7008* - 0.7060 - 0.7111* - 0.7164 - 0.7216* - 0.7268 - 0.7319* - 0.7371 // 0.7422 ...

Melbourne Qindex 02

hong kong nt 02:44 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
BC -- what do you think of joining the aussie bears at .7400, if seen, today? many good trades to you..

Melbourne Qindex 02:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The odds are good that one can see 0.7168 in the New York session or tomorrow in Asia time.


Melbourne Qindex 09:26 GMT April 13, 2004
AUD/USD : Is the market heading towards 0.7160?

As shown in my 44-day cycle reference the market is pulling back to 0.7520. The market rhythm of my 44-day cycle reference is represented by 180 pips (0.01796). The distribution profile of my 44-day cycle probability chart indicates that the odds are good that the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 0.7340. The next targets in the extreme trading range are 0.6801 and 0.6981.

... 0.6801* ... 0.6981* ... // 0.7160* - 0.7250 - 0.7340* - 0.7430 - 0.7520* - 0.7610 - 0.7699* // ...

LTN th 02:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Martin// Sorry to be so long in responding but was trapped on phone. I see potential but am fishing for details or informed analysis. Thanks.

Melbourne Qindex 02:23 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : the congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 0.7216 - 0.7379.

Gold Coast martin 02:22 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ny..as i dont trade this pair i am sorry i dont have a view on it...dr Q is best equipped to answer your question on this pair...g/l g/t

Melbourne Qindex 02:21 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : In the mean time the market is still trapped in the following ranges of 0.7303 - 0.7329 - 0.7387.

LTN th 02:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 02:02 GMT// By launch high are you referring to AU dollar launch or are you converting from AU pound high?

Shg 02:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY Reverse H&S Targets 132.70

Ldn 02:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc I recall the fall of the Dollar in '94 and feel myself that Greenspan has been doing his utmost to prevent another situation happening , hence his verbal smoothing over the last few months. agree entirely with your views and grateful for you sharing them , very generous. thank you

ny amc 02:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
melbourne and gold coast.............do either of you watch aud/jpy and if so what are your thoughts on it here? thanks

Van jv 02:11 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 01:56///glad you raised this issue...seems inflation and higher rates expectation are equated with strong USD, which might be correct under "better" economic conditions . However not much changed, on the contrary war , bubbles and debts potentially leading to recession/depression should discourage investors MT and LT ....Psychology, talk about value range now bekow support you mentioned would however change -derail orig. expectation of LT EUR/USD channel.......

Melbourne Qindex 02:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 02:00 GMT - AUD/USD : The market is still under pressure from EUR/AUD which will head for 1.6371. I will work on AUD/USD in the next 2 hours. My son is a freshly graduate and he is working slowly in upgrading my software. Right now it is very time consuming when I am working on some complicated problem. I will post them here when I finish.

Quito Valdez 02:08 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Outstanding posts! Something one can sink his/her/its teeth into. Thanx!! ;^>

shanghai bc 02:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

On Aud,I will not be surprised if it reaches the launch high sometime down the road too once run-for-safety scenario unfolds..

Gold Coast martin 02:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
THE AUD/USD pair to be specific....

Gold Coast martin 02:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
DR Q...in your esteemed opinion where do you see the aud trading range for today?tia

shanghai bc 01:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

LDN -- The major financial event this year may be sudden and fast US bond melt-dowm sometime down the road like what happened in 1994...US financial market is leveraged to the hilt from individuals to corporations..Melt-down in bonds will be combined with stox and housing melt-down and consumer melt-down..Not very pretty scenario for the coming months..All depends on how fast Fed starts entering into rate hike cycle..On Dollar,rate hikes expectations may boost it at the start,but once melt-down on all markets start,Dollar may have hard time as well..Dollar is still on shaky grounds down the road despite its cyclical bounce at present..Fwiw..

HK [email protected] 01:56 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Traders have to respect the support line(Euro weekly) connecting the high of 10/5/98 to 5/26/03 currently at 1.1845, just a touch to 1.1852 Daily-SMA(250).

I am in a deep doubt if it is of any C.B. interest to pass down below that line. So buy Euro on deeps if that support line touched (of course with proper stops). There is much to that line if studied well.

Melbourne Qindex 01:51 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : the key quantised level of my daily cycle is located at 1.1936. Therefore one can estimate that the market is likely to vibrate around 1.1936 with an expected magnitude of +/- 30 pips. i.e. 1.1906 - 1.1936 - 1.1966 for the time being.

Ldn 01:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc just one thing, do you think 89 is unrealistic for the aud say for 2005 ?

Ldn 01:48 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc thank you

Gold Coast martin 01:47 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
shgh...Skepticism is always present whatever the state of the market is.....

shanghai bc 01:46 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   

Agree with Valdez on Aud as a safe haven currency..In fact,Gold and Aud,Pound move in unison most of the time reflecting their status as safe haven currencies..Both are islands away from trouble spots with stable political and economic environment..Swissy is OK but it is inside that millemmium-old feuding ground,Europe..I would choose Gold,Aud and Pound as safe haven reserves hedging Dollar exposure..Fwiw..

shgh 01:38 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dollar turnaround in the air, but skepticism remains
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/040414/economy_forex_outlook_1.html


HK [email protected] 01:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito Valdez 01:25 GMT April 15

Regarding Daily gold chart...Plot the daily downward wedge and compute it's target(like in the T.A. books...using cheap Charlie metohds hahahaha).
Now there was Y.day a break into that wedge as to annihilate it.
By this time, that penetration was proven to be a false attempt to annihilate it.

UAE Oil man 01:36 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Lucky cookie

once a trend start it and continues, one has better not look for a top of this trend..it might continue for a LONG time...way before, one will run out of the cash to find the end of this trend..(the top.).

Gold Coast martin 01:34 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
ltn..th...i dont see any serious medium term implications reading the article..unless you see something that i dont...g/l g/t

Quito Valdez 01:25 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
HK RF//
likely a good plan..many say 15%-25% AU in your portfolio is a good hedge..not investment so much. Thought: since CHF is something like 32% gold backed (highest backing of any c'ncy I believe), and since Switzerland is not involved in wars and aggravating circumstances, what do you think of CHF hard c'ncy as a portfolio additive as well?

HK [email protected] 01:20 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Regarding terrorism; Whoever heard Pres. Bush speech today, about a solution to the Israeli Palestinian problem...Knows that all Arabs in the world blow their tops now. Seems he spoke exactly what the Israeli P.M. would have said.
I expect therefore in the coming weeks more attacks on Israeli and American targets world wide. Terror problems are becoming more complicated and one has to put it into account...so one may buy some gold on dips.

Ldn 01:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ hi , does this also apply to the Aud, noticed on Elliot wave charts they have a total target for Aud 89 sometime out thanks

LTN th 01:19 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin// I wonder if you have any comment on the reference to the bloomberg article about DaimlerChrysler Mitsubishi, I posted yesterday. Do you see an AUD implication in medium term?

hk revdax 01:15 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Q//Thanks. I will take profit as it goes down near 12900.

Melbourne Qindex 01:09 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 01:05 GMT - USD/CHF : It is likely that USD/CHF will close above 1.2985 in New Yorl session.

hk revdax 01:05 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Q//I agree it is limited but my interest in the direction of $/CHF is also limited to today's movement. What i am focally interested in is whether or not $ will end up an up or a down day by the close of today. Any insightful guess on that? TIA

OK SZ 01:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
to complicated to go into, but it is from the 4th wave weekly chart on elliott wave..not here to play games or make silly remarks just take it for what it is and that it's JMVHO..gl, gt

Melbourne Qindex 01:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 00:42 GMT - EUR/USD : the upside potential is very limited. The following daily cycle is still valid in Asia session :-

Melbourne Qindex 02:20 GMT April 14, 2004
EUR/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.1799 // 1.1824 and the upper barrier is positioning at 1.1946 // 1.1971.


... 1.1799 // 1.1824 - 1.1848 - 1.1873 - 1.1897 - 1.1922 - 1.1946 // 1.1971 ... 1.2020 - 1.2044 ...

Quito Valdez 01:02 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
there ya go, martin! LOL. When I see posts like this I often inquire and DOUBTLESS to say I never see a reply on the FF.

hk revdax 01:01 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 00:50 GMT//I shorted $/CHF yesterday when it made a hourly RSI divergency near 1.3050. Now my stop is there and I want to know what will happen TODAY only?

Gold Coast martin 00:59 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
QUITO..i think his analytic substance is the USD/MJ....LOL

Quito Valdez 00:54 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ//
I assume you mean 1.35-40 eur/usd, might you clarify and give your analytic substance/method please?

OK SZ 00:50 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
if your short euro stay with it till the end of this month beginning of may..then start accumulating the euro for a ride to 135-45 range

hk revdax 00:42 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:41 //What is your expectation of _only_ today's movement of Euro? TIA

HK [email protected] 00:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
What happens now is not simply a USD strength, but some sort of dollar-mania. These numbers of Y.day pointing to rate increase means the rising inflation and interest rise will wreck havoc on the American economy, and eventually dollar will decline. Who in the world will like to hold an inflated money. On top of that, dollar has to come down to spark an economic recovery.
It is time to begin accumulating gold on dips IMHO.

Quito Valdez 00:41 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
run = rug ..typo

Quito Valdez 00:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Guys, what did that...something pulled the run out from under USD and is doing it fast all across the board.

Van jv 00:40 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Shg 00:31///////can you kindly get their forecasts for majors, TIA

Quito Valdez 00:37 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Mex sjs// How's your long usd/chf?..did you get another possie...chart is going gnutz.

Shg 00:31 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
JP Morgan slightly downgrades AUD/USD forecast for December 2004 to 0.8100 from 0.8200

Dublin CK 00:27 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
I appreciate your view Qindex, i cant see it happening in April either.But I wouldnt discount the possibilty, no matter how remote.

Maybe May, June.......

Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 00:13 GMT - EUR/USD : The odds of reaching 1.2865 in April is small but much greater than 1.2900.

Dublin CK 00:13 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Dr Q. I see you have some of the Thursday Morning Melbourne blues. It must be a cold one. LOL

Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 00:03 GMT - Thank you for your kind words. EUR/USD : We can not eliminate the possibility of reaching 1.29 in our 3-month projection profiles.

Melbourne Qindex 00:10 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 00:03 GMT - Thank you for your kind words. EUR/USD : We can eliminate the possibility of reaching 1.29 in our 3-month projection profiles.

Melbourne Qindex 00:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 00:03 GMT - Thank you for your kif words. EUR/USD : We can eliminate the possibility in our 3-month projection profiles.

Gen dk 00:07 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dublin CK 00:03 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q thank you for your analysis. Once again it has been uncanny with your estimations.

I have a question for you, in the short to medium term, euro/dollar is expected to bottom out. But in your opinion/calculations can you see it retesting 1.29 highs?

Thank you.

shg 00:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
RBA's Macfarlane indicated, says RBC's Greg Gibbs, that higher interest rates abroad would help take upward pressure off AUD, give RBA more scope to raise rates if necessary
abc.

LAX-LGB SNP 00:00 GMT April 15, 2004 Reply   
kicking myself for missing out on a superb EURJPY long after the shooting star formation but found it unjustifiable since my book is still short on EUR (AUD, GBP too but thats another story)

FWiW interesting daily formations on EURCHF and EURUSD - hope the Asian session can send price lower

Last but not the least, the weekly 50 sma has finally caught EURUSD (not seen since Sept 1, 2003) and the base of take-off @ 0.8830 (Apr 15, 2002). Unless the big cats maul her down before the end of this month, she might come back @ them.

GL GT everyone :-) have fun

 




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