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Forex Forum Archive for 05/28/2004

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Stockholm za 23:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

"Fear blinds us to opportunity - greed blinds us to danger -emotions cause "perceptual distortion" where we only see the part of the picture that our beliefs allow us to see. "

Have a nice long weekend................................

USA Biscuit Boy 20:19 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Goldcoast Martin I noticed that spec shorts for aud/usd according to IMM commitment of trader charts has grown this week despite the strong bounce shown by the aussie which is puzzling to me. Can you maybe sometime post your short-term analysis on this pair given this months closing. Thankyou for your insight.

OK SZ 20:05 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ML, you have that list too:) yes I will be doing things around the house this weekend, but we will play golf and see some jazz concert..email me with that broker will ya..have a great memorial weekend

USA Biscuit Boy 19:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Going back to BC's post about US$ Index.....the dollar index has now closed firmly below the 50 day MA and IMO is a very good signal it is going to trend lower once again if history is any guide. I really think the dollar has fallen into a new downtrend now and my strategy for the coming month will be to sell it on blips. I don't really pay enough attention to the dollar index chart so thought it might be helpful to remind others about it as well.

USA Biscuit Boy 19:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Well it might pay to give up my aussie dollars and euros here and retire for the week (euro trade was a complete fizzle). Take it easy guys.

Diablo nice hobby you have. I would love a saltwater aquarium but they are so much work to keep up. My wife knows I would never look after it so ive been banned (probably a good thing). Fresh month next week can't wait :)

Dublin CK 19:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Ladies, gents, scholars and gamblers.

Have a good weekend, have fun, be safe.

Thanks for all your posts this week, some very informative information.

Slan,

CK

jkt diablo 18:54 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy - what an unusual hobby you have there, keeping your mind bright all the time. I've got the point :-)

moscow vasya 18:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
selling eur/chf this time would probably refresh this evening

ICT ML 18:39 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
just recieved email from broker I am IB at, eur/usd spread going to 3 pips on full size lots, and the margin requirements are going back to flat $1000 per lot on all pairs, (and can request a $500 per lot if truly insane) and the mini size accounts are going back to $50 per $10K size lot. Didn't think that CFTC rule change would last long.

You guys have a great weekend. I have a "honey do" list a frickin' mile long myself....

KNOXVILLE TN. Dan-k 18:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
red wine= bad hangover
try 3 olives vodka yum

Tor Pumpkin 18:35 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jkt, I drink red wine.

ICT ML 18:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
well, here cable is at my predetermined BOD point, bounced just ahead of 1.8275.....only problem now is it just gave a 4 hr swing sell sig, not a BOD signal....what to do ...what to do....might have to wait for 1.8175 or just start selling it again....

USA Biscuit Boy 18:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jkt diablo 18:07 GMT May 28, 2004

I enjoy trying to score some cheap pamp suisse gold bars on Ebay below market price. I have a nice little collection going. My simple mind enjoys bright shiny things. For some reason they are very theurapeutic to just stare at.

ny amc 18:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ny.gg....great call on usd/jpy

USA Biscuit Boy 18:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hey GG one of my favorite movies mate. Thanks for reminding me I will rent it this weekend and watch it over a few beers :)

NY GG 18:13 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
closing my usdyen shorts here. there's probably more on the table to be had, but I don't usually carry weekend positions. just a closing thought from yours truly ...

"The point is ladies and gentlemen that greed, for lack of a better word, is good. Greed is right. Greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed, in all of it's forms - greed for life, for money, knowledge - has marked the upward surge of mankind and greed - you mark my words"

jkt diablo 18:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Just wanted to wish you all a wonderful and refreshing weekend!
So what do you usually do on weekend to refresh your mind and recharge your guns for next week?

For me, weekend is time to enjoy my hobbies most, like watching movies (believe it or not, I can watch two or three new movies in the cinema on weekend). I live in a nice apartement on top of a big shopping mall so the cinema is only a minute away. My other hobby is reefkeeping. I have a 100 gallon reef tank and weekend is the time to do some maintenance on the tank. Frankly, this hobby is one that has been keeping my insanity for the last few years. Whenever I got depressed, just staring on the corals and fishes for a while would make me forget all those losing pips :-)

Sorry for talking so much, at least you could know me a bit better. I'm totally newbie here and just trying to be friendly...

Hong Kong Qindex 17:47 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond : The market hit the low and the high at 109^25 and 110^14 respectively and it closed at 109^28.

Hong Kong Qindex 17:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond : The market hit the low and the high at 108^09 and 108^30 respectively and it closed at 108^12. The mid-point reference of my lower barrier at 108^02 // 108^14 is 108^08.


Hong Kong Qindex 07:48 GMT May 28, 2004
10-Yr Bond (September) : The critical point of my daily cycle is positioning at 109^06 which is going to be a resistant point. The odds are good that the market will tackle the supporting strength of the lower barrier located at 108^02 - 108^14. The June contract will be used as a reference and it is very unlikely that the market will move too far away from the range of 109^28 - 110^12.


... 108^02 // 108^14 - 108^26 - 109^06* - 109^18 - 109^30 // 110^10 - 110^22 ...

USA Biscuit Boy 17:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hot d a m n just got my aud/usd buy order finally filled at 15 hehe. Cheers :)

Oakland Daimyo 17:17 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
FWIW: Still holding some USD/JPY shorts. Have taken profits on EUR/USD long late this morning. I woke up late and missed limit profit as I was greedy last night and adusted it up. Stupid. Playing a sell uptick strat on this one for now. However, I still think this months move may be operators way of reloading for next assault so I would not be greedy w/ tgts. USD bulls will not run quickly nor easily. Will consider buying back and adding longs around 109.60, will decide once printed. I would tell you were my reverses are but I think we aren't alone. : )

USA Without 10 Pips 17:12 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips - Can you work out next week friday
18:00 close price for me ?

USA Biscuit Boy 17:05 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo it seems you made out very well indeed with the recent dollar strength. One month does not make a trend. Let's hit em hard next month. Have a great weekend.

Oakland Daimyo 16:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
You know Biscuit Boy, if I could leave more often, my P&L would look so much better. Frustrating month, as I did not follow my system like I should have (itchy fingers) and P&L reflects it. Thank FX gods for % of equity stops and partners who understand these treacherous waters. Sharks and Guppies. Thought I was a shark, feel more like a guppie this month. Anyway, next month is a new month, reset after modest hotseat. : )

Saihat 16:53 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jpy pass 50% for last week 113.33
and 50% from down 110.15 (just few pips)

Hong Kong Qindex 16:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:49 GMT - I am lazy and only interest to know the values at GMT 20.00.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:51 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dr. Q.. :)

Hong Kong Qindex 16:50 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:44 GMT - I am interested in your projections.

USA Biscuit Boy 16:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo how can you leave you just buckled up! He he, have a good one buddy :)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q is it sort of what you expected?
It's start from sunday 11:00 Am EST...
Nice to meet U Dr. Q...and many thanks ... :)

Oakland Daimyo 16:47 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Have a great weekend everyone. C-ya next week.

Oakland Daimyo 16:45 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USD buying pressure is strong guys/gals, you might want to click in your seat belts.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
If you believed in the last table I posted...
I think you should take a look at this for next week for the eur

Date EST Hi HiC Lo C Lo
5/30/2004 11:00 1.2282 1.2238 1.2002 1.1953
5/30/2004 12:00 1.2301 1.2252 1.2002 1.1952
5/30/2004 13:00 1.2311 1.2260 1.2010 1.1961
5/30/2004 14:00 1.2316 1.2263 1.2021 1.1976
5/30/2004 15:00 1.2318 1.2265 1.2027 1.1982
5/30/2004 16:00 1.2322 1.2267 1.2030 1.1986
5/30/2004 17:00 1.2327 1.2272 1.2033 1.1990
5/30/2004 18:00 1.2327 1.2272 1.2035 1.1992
5/30/2004 19:00 1.2325 1.2269 1.2040 1.1999
5/30/2004 20:00 1.2322 1.2267 1.2035 1.1995
5/30/2004 21:00 1.2319 1.2264 1.2032 1.1991
5/30/2004 22:00 1.2315 1.2260 1.2030 1.1989
5/30/2004 23:00 1.2312 1.2258 1.2031 1.1991
5/30/2004 0:00 1.2307 1.2254 1.2033 1.1995
5/31/2004 1:00 1.2303 1.2251 1.2038 1.2001
5/31/2004 2:00 1.2301 1.2250 1.2035 1.1998
5/31/2004 3:00 1.2296 1.2247 1.2032 1.1994
5/31/2004 4:00 1.2291 1.2243 1.2029 1.1992
5/31/2004 5:00 1.2287 1.2239 1.2028 1.1991
5/31/2004 6:00 1.2283 1.2236 1.2025 1.1989
5/31/2004 7:00 1.2279 1.2232 1.2022 1.1986
5/31/2004 8:00 1.2274 1.2228 1.2018 1.1982
5/31/2004 9:00 1.2270 1.2224 1.2014 1.1978
5/31/2004 10:00 1.2269 1.2221 1.2008 1.1972
5/31/2004 11:00 1.2265 1.2217 1.1996 1.1958
5/31/2004 12:00 1.2263 1.2213 1.1988 1.1950
5/31/2004 13:00 1.2262 1.2210 1.1982 1.1945
5/31/2004 14:00 1.2241 1.2192 1.1970 1.1930
5/31/2004 15:00 1.2230 1.2181 1.1965 1.1928
5/31/2004 16:00 1.2206 1.2161 1.1955 1.1916
5/31/2004 17:00 1.2207 1.2158 1.1939 1.1896
5/31/2004 18:00 1.2206 1.2156 1.1924 1.1877
5/31/2004 19:00 1.2199 1.2149 1.1911 1.1863
5/31/2004 20:00 1.2164 1.2122 1.1903 1.1853
5/31/2004 21:00 1.2155 1.2114 1.1897 1.1846
5/31/2004 22:00 1.2147 1.2106 1.1889 1.1839
5/31/2004 23:00 1.2146 1.2103 1.1884 1.1833
5/31/2004 0:00 1.2154 1.2107 1.1874 1.1821
6/1/2004 1:00 1.2154 1.2105 1.1863 1.1808
6/1/2004 2:00 1.2149 1.2101 1.1858 1.1803
6/1/2004 3:00 1.2146 1.2097 1.1852 1.1797
6/1/2004 4:00 1.2149 1.2097 1.1848 1.1792
6/1/2004 5:00 1.2164 1.2106 1.1842 1.1785
6/1/2004 6:00 1.2166 1.2106 1.1836 1.1779
6/1/2004 7:00 1.2161 1.2102 1.1830 1.1772
6/1/2004 8:00 1.2153 1.2095 1.1829 1.1773
6/1/2004 9:00 1.2149 1.2090 1.1833 1.1782
6/1/2004 10:00 1.2137 1.2081 1.1842 1.1798
6/1/2004 11:00 1.2120 1.2069 1.1855 1.1820
6/1/2004 12:00 1.2099 1.2053 1.1857 1.1823
6/1/2004 13:00 1.2096 1.2052 1.1855 1.1819
6/1/2004 14:00 1.2110 1.2062 1.1850 1.1811

Udine Cael 16:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jpy going nowhere unless 109.84 & 134.03 are taken out on usd & eur respectively?

Saihat 16:42 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
london phil

IT MAY GO UP OR DOWN ...FROM HERE

Hong Kong Qindex 16:41 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:21 GMT - I would like to see your daily, weekly and monthly, or 1-day, 5-day and 22-day projections when you have time.

Oakland Daimyo 16:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
OMIL-- USD bulls are making runs at the majors at the time being. I don't think they will find a sufficient enough following to stop the current weakness trend. They are just trying to recoup losses from the last week. Resumption before NY close. B/O on USD index intraday P&F looks more like fakeout than buy signal as it is Friday before long weekend. It may not be over just yet. Let's see who has upperhand.

london phil 16:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
with the usd chf goiung up but the usd yen going down i would assume that finallly we have some real strength for the yen any opinions

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
London Debtor;
I have a feeling you don't agree with the system generation...right?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd is testing 50% fibo and 55ma on the 1hr chart at the moment. If 1.2180 is taken the dip here could be of a better size but a word of caution this is a long weekend full of terrorist whispers in the air and also the end of the month (book squaring). I believe this time it would make a good choice to keep the guns in the holster and wait for a clearer shot next week with a clear mind this weekend. Last words for the week, month what ever, very tempting to reload and put buy orders here for eur/usd that is what everyone and their mother is expecting that should tell you something by itself. I believe I will let this one pass as the weekend has come for us all like it or not. Now take your pips and don’t spend them all in one place. To everyone here have a good and safe weekend see you on the other side. GL GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:21 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
London Debtor;
Thanks for the noticing.. :) ...I'm a modeler...It's VBA application that I developed over the last few years...
I guess it forecasts where the MKT Can Not go...rahter then go...with time..
Dr. The same can be generated for any time frame..
and many thanks.. :)

Palestine West End Ltd. 16:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
whats is happening with the EURUSD please , anyone expects anything ????
do u think it will go below 1.2199.....today..





.................................................................

IST Sez 16:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks MASTER
nice week end....

Hong Kong Qindex 16:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
IST Sez 16:13 GMT - GBP/JPY : The odds are good that we can see 200 mark next week.

IST Sez 16:13 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q,
May I ask your point on GBP/JPY.
Can we still expect it under 200 in the next week ?
thnx

Hong Kong Qindex 16:11 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Weekly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 16:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:49 GMT - Basically I am a medium term trader and do not follow the market closely enough.

IST Sez 16:09 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Take a look to GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY !!!
nice movemnets....JPY is overwhelming...

London Debtor 16:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:01 GMT May 28, 2004
Good day, How did you make that data? Thanks

USA Biscuit Boy 16:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Udine Cael 15:52 GMT May 28, 2004

Thanks for the tip. Already scooped some up just above figure. I'll give them up above 1.2250 later today. Cheers.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
I guess from the table below...it says that 1.219 +/- 5 pips is good to enter within a few hours maybe relize 1.2254 some place...
You can copy the levels into excel
if you have them in one cell...go to (Data) then Text to columns...Use Deliminated and then space..
Chart it and it should a copy of waht will happen..
Cheers..

UAE oil man 16:00 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
60 pips..just look where it will close ;)
i find it AMAZING people talk $ strength when one quick look shows 110,20 $Yen
and $chf @1,25310....hard to write on this pocket pc...back later.

Sydney alimin 15:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
is NY closing in 2 hours?

Udine Cael 15:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
buy eur/$
good accs. at 1.2192/85

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q...What do u think of the Levels? So Far.. :)
Thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 15:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 15:39 GMT - Thank you for your kind words. The market will always surprise you one way or the other.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:41 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 15:38 GMT - Spot Gold : It is a very good reference for trading currencies.

Sydney alimin 15:39 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q, you have helped people here a lot with your always courageous and fantastic quantum index levels and yet you remain humble and nice person. You have got my highest admiration! Would love to have a chance to meet you one day... keep up the good work and all the best to whatever you do in life!

LHR B747 15:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q.: now I realize who generated the charts that made me to buy gold @ USD 318/-...!!!

Many thanks to you, I must admit that very good information/research publications were base on these black backgrounds charts.

Thank you SIR...!!!

Hong Kong Qindex 15:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.65 15:30 GMT - Thank you, EUR/JPY : it seems to me that someones are accumulating their short positions. Speculative selling will increase when the market is trading below 134.87.

hk ab nzd 0.65 15:35 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
credits go to jf too.
Earlier bed time, see ya all next week.
Have a nice weekend all.

LHR B747 15:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex: tell me what is my lamguage, please surprise me!

In case you will move to direct purchase of jewellery ex. factories, I can ask someone from our team (boss position is not what I am after, even if I am for some strange minds) to guide you to one of my contacts :)

She She & GT

Hong Kong Qindex 15:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 15:26 GMT - We don't post our date. It is because there are several major curves governing the movement. Originally my system was used to forecast the market movement of spot gold only before Citibank asked me to run currencies and T-bonds projection.

hk ab nzd 0.65 15:30 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, Top calls on your yen mission!

Think eur/jpy will be interesting next week "eventually".

Hong Kong Qindex 15:27 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 15:24 GMT - You can find it in my website (qindex dot com). Some of my employees can speak your language.

USA Biscuit Boy 15:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the 44 day aud/usd analysis Q :) May I ask when that cycle started and when it is due to end? Jewellery business hey no wonder you like keeping an eye on spot gold!!

LHR B747 15:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex: now things are getting clear, retailers do not like to sell for pips, they prefer range :)

Good luck in your business and in case you want, feel free to provide me your business address and I promise you to compare your offerline when I will purchase in HKG - I normally do that twice a year.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 10:13 GMT May 28, 2004
GBP/USD : 44-Day Cycle Reference


... // 1.7942* - 1.8019 - 1.8095 - 1.8171 - 1.8247* - 1.8324 - 1.8400 // 1.8476 - 1.8552* ...

Hong Kong Qindex 15:21 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 15:20 GMT - They have a long way to go!

Hong Kong Qindex 15:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 14:27 GMT May 28, 2004
AUD/USD : 44-Day Cycle Reference


... // 0.6852* - 0.6892 - 0.6931 - 0.6971 - 0.7010* - 0.7050 - 0.7089 - 0.7129 - 0.7168* - 0.7208 // ...

indonesia newbie 15:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 15:14 GMT May 28, 2004
Dr Q i have no word can't describe my apreciated to u.
and it's really happen the jpy and dollar become strong at same time (what i never see).
thx and have a good week end all.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 15:14 GMT - I can do better in Melbourne where I have more time. In Hong Kong I have to worry my retail jewellery business.

USA Biscuit Boy 15:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd and aud/usd higher highs and higher lows again today. very nice trend :)

LHR B747 15:14 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex: now it is clear why you are so good with "highs" and "lows" :)

Thanks again for your posts and enjoy the long weekend.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:14 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 15:03 GMT - We can run 44-day cycle projection on every trading day but some of them carry a higher weight in our forecast.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:47 GMT - My Ph.D. is in Biochemistry.

LHR B747 15:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
I would like to take with me into the weekend some rxtra JPY longs.

Your opinions please.

TIA & GT

OK SZ 15:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
za, best to ignore those posts..today a non-event for me as I am ready to enjoy a long weekend..hope you do the same.

HK Byron 15:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham, what i have to say, your hearing is GREAT. Best Regard. gl and gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:06 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Guys
The the right most column is is the long as a function of time...the left is the short...Level + time have to correct
So if U wanna go out for 3 hours...u would order at lowest point to to that time then cover at what you see appropiate with time after time...this is trade plans..

rome mimmuz 15:06 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
UAE oil man 14:59:

well, the blip was 90 pips, not 60, and 1.23 is not that bad to fall from!! but I definitely agree with you that the uptrend in eu/$ is still intact and solid, nicely rebounded from averages and with rock-solid MACD, how can we ask for more? :)

GT all and nice weekend

Nottingham 15:05 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
freudian

Nottingham 15:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
oil man...maybe you meant euro...fruedian slip on your part perhaps? :)

indonesia newbie 15:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex
sir so we should wait for today closing rate to make projection
? so we can't roll over our position yet?

Stockholm za 15:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:58 GMT May 28, 2004

????????????

What is exactly the censored with you Guys problem... ?
Do you think this is the -Tom & Jerry- Show ?

---------------------------------------------------------

UAE oil man 15:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
meant 1,31 $chf..

UAE oil man 14:59 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
e$ up trend looks great...pretty funny to see people call 1,31 on a 60 pips blip in $...
good weekend.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:58 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
U maybe right Dr. Q...Check this for the euro...with time 5 Minutes forecast.. (T+100)...I think U would love this..
Time EST Hi HiC Low C Eur Low
5/28/2004 10:55 1.2333 1.2301 1.2158 1.2133
5/28/2004 11:00 1.2335 1.2304 1.2159 1.2134
5/28/2004 11:05 1.2336 1.2305 1.2163 1.2138
5/28/2004 11:10 1.2335 1.2306 1.2165 1.2141
5/28/2004 11:15 1.2334 1.2306 1.2168 1.2143
5/28/2004 11:20 1.2331 1.2305 1.2169 1.2145
5/28/2004 11:25 1.2330 1.2305 1.2172 1.2148
5/28/2004 11:30 1.2329 1.2305 1.2174 1.2149
5/28/2004 11:35 1.2327 1.2304 1.2176 1.2152
5/28/2004 11:40 1.2324 1.2302 1.2187 1.2166
5/28/2004 11:45 1.2324 1.2302 1.2187 1.2166
5/28/2004 11:50 1.2324 1.2303 1.2187 1.2167
5/28/2004 11:55 1.2322 1.2301 1.2192 1.2173
5/28/2004 12:00 1.2321 1.2301 1.2196 1.2177
5/28/2004 12:05 1.2320 1.2301 1.2202 1.2185
5/28/2004 12:10 1.2317 1.2299 1.2205 1.2188
5/28/2004 12:15 1.2316 1.2299 1.2208 1.2193
5/28/2004 12:20 1.2316 1.2299 1.2211 1.2196
5/28/2004 12:25 1.2316 1.2299 1.2212 1.2198
5/28/2004 12:30 1.2316 1.2299 1.2214 1.2200
5/28/2004 12:35 1.2310 1.2294 1.2220 1.2207
5/28/2004 12:40 1.2306 1.2290 1.2220 1.2208
5/28/2004 12:45 1.2299 1.2285 1.2222 1.2212
5/28/2004 12:50 1.2290 1.2278 1.2224 1.2216
5/28/2004 12:55 1.2281 1.2271 1.2224 1.2216
5/28/2004 13:00 1.2277 1.2268 1.2224 1.2216
5/28/2004 13:05 1.2277 1.2268 1.2224 1.2217
5/28/2004 13:10 1.2273 1.2265 1.2224 1.2217
5/28/2004 13:15 1.2269 1.2262 1.2223 1.2215
5/28/2004 13:20 1.2274 1.2265 1.2222 1.2215
5/28/2004 13:25 1.2275 1.2265 1.2218 1.2209
5/28/2004 13:30 1.2276 1.2266 1.2215 1.2204
5/28/2004 13:35 1.2277 1.2266 1.2213 1.2202
5/28/2004 13:40 1.2278 1.2267 1.2210 1.2197
5/28/2004 13:45 1.2279 1.2267 1.2207 1.2193
5/28/2004 13:50 1.2279 1.2267 1.2204 1.2189
5/28/2004 13:55 1.2280 1.2268 1.2203 1.2188
5/28/2004 14:00 1.2282 1.2269 1.2203 1.2188
5/28/2004 14:05 1.2281 1.2268 1.2203 1.2187
5/28/2004 14:10 1.2281 1.2269 1.2203 1.2187
5/28/2004 14:15 1.2282 1.2269 1.2203 1.2188
5/28/2004 14:20 1.2282 1.2269 1.2203 1.2188
5/28/2004 14:25 1.2282 1.2269 1.2203 1.2187
5/28/2004 14:30 1.2281 1.2269 1.2203 1.2187
5/28/2004 14:35 1.2279 1.2267 1.2204 1.2188
5/28/2004 14:40 1.2279 1.2267 1.2204 1.2189
5/28/2004 14:45 1.2278 1.2267 1.2205 1.2190
5/28/2004 14:50 1.2279 1.2268 1.2206 1.2190
5/28/2004 14:55 1.2283 1.2271 1.2206 1.2191
5/28/2004 15:00 1.2286 1.2274 1.2207 1.2192
5/28/2004 15:05 1.2291 1.2277 1.2208 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:10 1.2294 1.2280 1.2208 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:15 1.2296 1.2282 1.2208 1.2192
5/28/2004 15:20 1.2298 1.2283 1.2208 1.2191
5/28/2004 15:25 1.2300 1.2285 1.2209 1.2192
5/28/2004 15:30 1.2302 1.2287 1.2210 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:35 1.2305 1.2289 1.2210 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:40 1.2307 1.2291 1.2210 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:45 1.2309 1.2293 1.2211 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:50 1.2310 1.2294 1.2212 1.2193
5/28/2004 15:55 1.2311 1.2295 1.2214 1.2196
5/28/2004 16:00 1.2311 1.2296 1.2216 1.2198
5/28/2004 16:05 1.2311 1.2297 1.2218 1.2201
5/28/2004 16:10 1.2311 1.2298 1.2224 1.2207
5/28/2004 16:15 1.2312 1.2298 1.2228 1.2212
5/28/2004 16:20 1.2311 1.2298 1.2231 1.2216
5/28/2004 16:25 1.2309 1.2298 1.2235 1.2221
5/28/2004 16:30 1.2309 1.2298 1.2241 1.2228
5/28/2004 16:35 1.2314 1.2302 1.2244 1.2232
5/28/2004 16:40 1.2319 1.2306 1.2249 1.2238
5/28/2004 16:45 1.2323 1.2309 1.2250 1.2239
5/28/2004 16:50 1.2325 1.2311 1.2251 1.2241
5/28/2004 16:55 1.2327 1.2313 1.2253 1.2243
5/28/2004 17:00 1.2329 1.2315 1.2253 1.2243
5/28/2004 17:05 1.2330 1.2316 1.2253 1.2243
5/28/2004 17:10 1.2331 1.2317 1.2253 1.2243
5/28/2004 17:15 1.2331 1.2317 1.2252 1.2243
5/28/2004 17:20 1.2331 1.2317 1.2254 1.2244
5/28/2004 17:25 1.2332 1.2318 1.2254 1.2244
5/28/2004 17:30 1.2333 1.2319 1.2254 1.2244
5/28/2004 17:35 1.2333 1.2318 1.2255 1.2246
5/28/2004 17:40 1.2333 1.2318 1.2255 1.2246
5/28/2004 17:45 1.2333 1.2318 1.2255 1.2246
5/28/2004 17:50 1.2333 1.2318 1.2254 1.2245
5/28/2004 17:55 1.2332 1.2318 1.2256 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:00 1.2332 1.2318 1.2256 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:05 1.2332 1.2318 1.2256 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:10 1.2332 1.2318 1.2256 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:15 1.2332 1.2318 1.2256 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:20 1.2331 1.2318 1.2255 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:25 1.2329 1.2317 1.2255 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:30 1.2328 1.2316 1.2255 1.2247
5/28/2004 18:35 1.2327 1.2316 1.2257 1.2249
5/28/2004 18:40 1.2327 1.2315 1.2259 1.2251
5/28/2004 18:45 1.2326 1.2314 1.2258 1.2251
5/28/2004 18:50 1.2325 1.2314 1.2258 1.2250
5/28/2004 18:55 1.2324 1.2313 1.2258 1.2251
5/28/2004 19:00 1.2323 1.2313 1.2258 1.2251

indonesia newbie 14:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 14:04 GMT May 28, 2004
thx so much dr q.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:47 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex,
Are U Dr. Q?
Thanks

Tokyo Jon 14:45 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Montréal Taro 13:13, you have mail

houston st 14:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

Hong Kong Qindex 14:35 GMT -- that falls in line w/ what bc said last night about Yen charging ahead..the next few months should be interesting..good trades.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:40 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:35 GMT May 28, 2004
EUR/USD : 44-Day Cycle Reference


... // 1.2106 - 1.2168 - 1.2229* - 1.2291 - 1.2352 // ...


It is likely that the market may retreat and vibrate around the quantized level at 1.2229* with an expected magnitude of 1.2168 - 1.2291.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
UB GG 11:24 GMT - USD Index : We are waiting for the closing rate of the month to run the projection.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:35 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
houston st 14:31 GMT - You are welcome. I have a feeling that more real money are waiting for a retracement to buy Yen.

Nottingham 14:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...some supply said to be expected 3670/75...gl gt

houston st 14:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

Q--benefited from your posts this week..many thanks for the comments..have a great weekend..that goes to all here as well..gl/gt.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:30 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 14:04 GMT - You are welcome. You will feel more comfortable with a small position if you are following our projection.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:28 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Moskow 14:28 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
if you are interested in obtaining intraday forex history data this is for you

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Some cooling off for a few now...but nothing to worry about...chf..I mean.. it' heading to 1.31... ;)

sydney fg 14:19 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
chk out the hrly bars on the aud. Carnage.

Sydney alimin 14:06 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
dc fxq: what time will NY close today?

sydney fg 14:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
very mixed data today. Friday, holiday weekend and yesterday's breakout = safety first for me. Let new ranges establish themselves for this long weekend.
good luck all.

indonesia newbie 14:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex
good call on eur and jpy.thx a lot cause a get benefit on it.
gl gt

Global-View GVI 14:02 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
GVI 14:00 GMT May 28, 2004
CHi PMI 68.0 (highest in 20 years), employment 54.8 vs. 50.9 in Apr, prices paid 80.0 vs. 76.1 in Apr

Sydney alimin 14:02 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
woohooo fireworks, finally something is happening
LHR B747: boring is the magic word ;)

Van jv 14:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
better than 59.6 ecpected

Nottingham 14:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
euro...hearing some looking for euro bids at 2210/05 now...gl gt

Warsaw 14:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
That was good :> USD rules :P

Spb Mike 13:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:52

14:00gmt Chicago PMI (May) 62.7vs63.9

dc fxq 13:56 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Chi PMI out in four minutes, last data of the week andv an early NY close ahead of the long weekend.

Vilnius george 13:54 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:49 GMT
read yourself post ones again after 2 weeks. i hope you will understand than ....

LHR B747 13:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin: I do not mind about the direction as long it meets my position :)

The range mentioned by Dr. Q. looks like solid and very possible during the next 60days.

GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Dudes I think chf will get to 1.31 next week..

Sydney alimin 13:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
michigan number has come up, no more data, phew another week is almost over....i will get ready into action next week, very exciting months ahead

Sydney alimin 13:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: would you love to see euro 1.19? ;) may it happen today or next week :) would be wonderful if we can make everyone happy eh? i wish i could

GENEVA FHR 13:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
UOM 90.2

LHR B747 13:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin: like always, up for few and down for most of us :)

Nottingham 13:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:38 GMT

Today is a technical moved based on retracement theory...we need to see a good deal lower to bring the week's rally into question...gl gt

Sydney alimin 13:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
so far i have seen only Dr Q mentioned euro 1.15 is still within range, salute Dr Q! always admire ur calls
anybody else brave enough to call for 1.17/1.18 if not 1.15?

Nottingham 13:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
euro...system shorts now cleared...demand still expected to appear 2215 but as weekend approaches folks less inclined to rock boat so rebounds may not be great...gl gt

Sydney alimin 13:29 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: 250 up or down? :)

OK SZ 13:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
some stops at 30 and bids at 122 fwiw

Montréal Taro 13:13 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
test

LHR B747 12:50 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin: when boring mantioned, it means 250pips movement within the next 48HRS of trading :)

Sydney alimin 12:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ok 1 more data, looks like this is gonna be a boring day
no big move...long weekend, understandable

Montréal Taro 12:41 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo Jon
I still can't go in, email me how, maybe I do something wrong

Livingston nh 12:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
JP - short term every thing works - gold is just a commodity - it doesn't lead inflation it merely reflects it

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
nh, usd basket vs gold crossplot.. support and resistance breaks target respective double bottoms/tops i.e. 85 and 431 in ruff terms

Livingston nh 12:19 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
JP - yes and its worse if you consider that treasuries are merely interest bearing USD BUT that won't explain the value of the USD relative to other currencies

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
nh 2:09 / underlaying reason: printsalot

Livingston nh 12:09 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sentiment is starting to sound as one-sided as when 1.30 EUR was a "sure thing" - a retracement after a correction in trend (or worse, a new trend) is always a dangerous time in any market - some care is warranted until all the things the market has allegedly factored in become clear (market price is always right NOW but the market does not know the future)

Nobody has seen inflation in over 20 years, so if you are watching interest rates for currency guides watch the underlying reason for interest rate levels// The EUR is still a "new" currency so past performance guide is limited (it is not the new DEM) // 2004 is not the 1980's so Trade and the need to expand same makes the G-7 Plaza Accord type agreement impossible// short term everything works the same as always, but medium and especially longer term analysis applying J-curves or PPP or whatever can be dammaging to your wealth

Ldn 12:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
International Institute of Economics on the dollar were dominated by Goldman Sachs. These were of the opinion that the US current account "needs" to fall to 2.5% of GDP from around 5% to alleviate pressure on the unit. Put another way, the USD needs to drop by approximately another 10% on a trade-weighted basis.
reuters. news.

Rivonia PipPirate 11:53 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 11:31 Also at 1st o/s level and at fib/old res level.

plovdiv joyrex 11:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 11:28 GMT May 28, 2004//with bullish EUR/USD on the daily chart the pair is buy on dips mode on smaller timeframes-it coincides with your opinion.

GL GT

GVI john 11:36 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2250…$/yen 110.90
DJIA -27 pts… 10-yr 4.63%, +3 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


for text see GV Research


hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 11:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad just held by the month sma 10, fwiw.

Plovdiv Gotin 11:28 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Palestine W.E./down.

GER ad 11:27 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CHF,
Out at 1.5305

Saihat 11:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ramallah

Go archive

post eur

date: today

UB GG 11:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 10:23 GMT May 28, 2004
Mr. Q, What's your 1 month view on USD index pls?

Palestine West End Ltd. 11:23 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Good day to everyone ..... Where do you see the Dollar today befor, and after the numbers???



ramallah 11:12 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
where do you see the dollar today befor and after the numbers??

LHR B747 10:38 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 09:37 GMT: I respect your will to see that range (1.1500-1.1900-1.2300), it looks very logic/smart call.

May you provide/call a time frame to pricing within that range?

TIA

GT & many thanks for your quality postings.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:23 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 10:18 GMT - It can easily last for two months.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 10:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, if you set a range of 1.15-1.23, how long would you think the range will hold? Deep THANKS.

Bah Bahrain1 10:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi friends good day to u all......whaz up, Buy dips today on the EUR$? GL

van Gecko 10:17 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
morning nk.. after wiping out a month of Usd/Chf profits with a this week's 450 pip break down bar, the little Dollar could see some retracement..
however, in view of its recent movements, Dollar bulls positioning for the mid-term should touch it only gingerly with a 10 feet long pole..
*!*

Ramallah 10:11 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hallo all ..........

CAN anyone help me please , whats the euro view please ?????

Gen dk 10:01 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London 09:51 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
High folks,
Can you please advise me how I can plot volume figures with the price for the currencies in the charting application at forex-markets?

Thanks for your time

Nottingham 09:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
cable...system shorts now covered...slightly disappointed not to benefit further as reversal just ahead of today's primary o/b meant I wasn't able to dump a second batch and had to be satisfied with loner from yesterday...all other system trades covered...all were $ longs but all this means is that $ no longer o/s, not necessarily a reversal on the cards...gl gt

Hong Kong Qindex 09:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : I would like to see a big range trading of 1.15 - 1.23. The mid-point reference of 1.15 - 1.23 is 1.19.

Nottingham 09:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk byron...this morning I have probably traded more info than currency...seems everyone gained some humility and looking for friends today...gl gt

Hong Kong Qindex 09:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 09:15 GMT May 28, 2004
USD/CHF : 44-Day Cycle Reference

The market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 1.2517 with an expected magnitude of 1.2423 - 1.2612 for the time being.


... 1.2329 // 1.2423 - 1.2517* - 1.2612 // 1.2706 ...

Gold Coast martin 09:19 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
be very careful trading the aud in the next session.It will swing wildly eating all stops and for those who think that it has settled into an upward pattern better think again ...g.l

HK Byron 09:17 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 09:07 GMT May 28, 2004

Thx for info!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bis and Nottinha...
I already did at avg at .7140...Thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 09:15 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:12 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney bl 02:05 GMT - Good evening! USD/CHF : We have seen the day low already in Asian session.

prague viktor 09:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Gesko, thx ..

USA Biscuit Boyy 09:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:04 GMT May 28, 2004

Might be able to get them at 0.7110/20 if we get thru these orders currently.

Tokyo Jon 09:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hello, still have dramas with my old host. I was not able to post this morning so I shall put my results here.
gbpusd(1.8364), the system is showing high probability of an upward market today, looking to 1.8487 (capping the current up move)
Primary range
1.8487 - 1.8306 - 1.8203 - 1.8083 - 1.7933 - 1.7819 - 1.7651
Sub range
1.8422 - 1.8340 - 1.8249 - 1.8156 - 1.8061

Nottingham 09:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:04 GMT

fwiw just cleared all aussie system shorts...also heard good demand expected 7140/30

Nottingham 09:05 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hearing people willing to bid euro at 2240 and also 2215...also good supply on top of usdchf at current levels but stops situated above which could yield a move to 2485/90 if tripped...gl gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys I am buying Aus now ..big order for 40 pips..
Does any one think the same?

saloniko 2004 nk 08:56 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning Gecko..

surviving in this biz require luck, play money, & hard work in reading/deciphering techs/funnymentals/voodoos/or whatever..theresnofreelunch..
Very Nice!..Specialy voodoos!

Bc ..i read a very nice post of optimistic today..
I like it very much..too!

nk

Nottingham 08:50 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...some little supply may appear at current level (3600) but more substantial interest seen higher up at 3630...gl gt

st. pete islander 08:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Exactly so, Gecko. Thx.

van Gecko 08:39 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
good day Malaga boqueron 07:34.. thanks..
your February views for EUUS correction down to the recent 1.19/18 lows was spot on..
maintaining our conviction until proven 'guilty' is difficult under the influence of various external stimulus in our daily fx lives.. Some traders spent years living in dark caves, inside the world of technical silences..
fwiw..
good day prague viktor 07:39.. islander, and any interested long marching Queen's soldiers.. multiple weekly closes above 1.8050 will confirm the m/t bias for gbp/usd 1.86->1.92->2.00
fwiw..
surviving in this biz require luck, play money, & hard work in reading/deciphering techs/funnymentals/voodoos/or whatever..theresnofreelunch..
'lazy man's way to riches' are only found in books & subscription hypes..
fwiw..(Fun Wonerful Intelligent Woman) islander?


Iran formerly known as shah 08:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Not since the people replaced my dictatorship with a representative government - LOL

ICT ML 08:32 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Islander.....gave back my gbp (used accelerated depreciation too) LOL, think someone else needed them more than I right now. Can always buy them back from the spike sellers later.....

seems to be a general lack of interest in anything so I'll be back in NY (data manipulation) time.

iran 08:21 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi.Is there anybody from IRAN?

st. pete islander 08:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Years ago, the airlines suffered several very deadly mid-air collisions in clear weather. The results of the studies done to find the probable cause found that, after hour of looking out the window, the pilots eyes tended to focus on a point only 12 feet in front of the cockpit. This was countered by expanding the eye movement and looking over a broader field of vision. Q, Gecko, Shanghai, and Raven come to mind as just some of those who seem to look at the bigger picture to avoid running into an immovable object at a high rate of speed. gt

Ldn 08:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: German April Engineering Orders +19% YR/YR

saloniko 2004 nk 07:59 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Euro..

Will be on Sell side once frome here see first 1.2380 and reBuy again some 200pips Lower..

Have a nice day!

Zorro..OLE!
nk


Helsinki iw 07:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Cheers OGA, pretty much in agreement with you. Have had the area of 1,2350/00 as target for some time (previous tops and bottoms). However, sold all my longs out this morning as indicators are flashing danger and we are close enough. Not going short yet, but need to unwind if we are going to make some more headway from here. That said can´t exactly rule out a blip into the target area as we have an upcoming long weekend with terror alerts looming and numbers later on. Prefer to stay sidelined waiting for clues.

EUR/NOK may have bottomed out for this run, and targets the 8,40 area, while 9,14 in EUR/SEK, if seen, should be a good sell for under 9,00.

IMHO

st. pete islander 07:55 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
PipPirate .... Now, don't you go getting me in trouble. It is all in the archives. When I got here years ago, you could go there and find the full vocabulary and print it for free. I don't know if it is still there or not.

Hong Kong Qindex 07:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 07:48 GMT May 28, 2004
10-Yr Bond (September) : The critical point of my daily cycle is positioning at 109^06 which is going to be a resistant point. The odds are good that the market will tackle the supporting strength of the lower barrier located at 108^02 - 108^14. The June contract will be used as a reference and it is very unlikely that the market will move too far away from the range of 109^28 - 110^12.


... 108^02 // 108^14 - 108^26 - 109^06* - 109^18 - 109^30 // 110^10 - 110^22 ...


In the last session September contract closed at 108^30. The low and the high was 108^06 and 108^30 respectively. The June contract closed at 110^12.


Hong Kong Qindex 06:53 GMT May 27, 2004
10-Yr Bond (September) : The critical point of my daily cycle is positioning at 108^18. The daily cycle normal trading range is 108^07 - 108 ^30.


... // 108^07 - 108^18 - 108^30 // ...

Rivonia PipPirate 07:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 07:24 GMT May 28, 2004
For a small monthly fee, st. pete islander can send you a full translation of van Gecko's poetic posts, or take a two week trial first. :-}

saloniko 2004 nk 07:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning!

Think will not be so easy for USD/CHF to break again so fast all the lows 1991,1995,1992..and Euro Fly Fast UP cos some cousins dont help..

So may be a Buy on Dip frome here infront of 1.2225 might Give a Good Profit in the best @ 1.27+

nk

MONACO OGA 07:41 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 28/05
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2280), 120 pips higher than yesterday opening with US data slightly weaker than expected (GDP Q1 and jobless claims). The US currency is still experiencing selling pressure with the market reassing the possibilities for the FED to hike rates this year while geopolitical situation is still looking bad. As a result we almost reached 1,23 earlier today while 1,2250 was the low overnight. We still think there are chances to reach 1,2350 and higher (1,2450) but we would like to see retracements first (1,2230 and 1,2170) for price action to consolidate. For today, we will remain neutral unless we break 1,2310 (bullish signal) or we retrace to 1,2170 (buying opportunity). On the downsides, a break of 1,2080 pivotal point should encourage EUR bears into selling (1,1980).

Data out today:

EURozone industrial confidence May expected -5 09.00 GMT
EURozone consumer confidence May expected -14 09.00 GMT
EURozone economic confidence May expected 96,6 09.00 GMT
EURozone CPI May expected 2,3% 09.00 GMT
US personal income Q1 April expected 0.5% 12.30 GMT
US personal spending Q1 April expected 0.2% 12.30 GMT
US Univ Michigan confidence May expected 94,2 13.50 GMT
US Chicago purchasing manager May expected 62,0 14.00 GMT

Gold at 395,00, with WTI July at 39,14

***JPY***
USD/JPY (110,60). The pair touched 110,40 earlier and this is the level we had been waiting to turn bullish and buy for a rebound to at least 111,20.(115 still remains to be broken to open door to 114-120 range)
EUR/JPY currently 135,80, exactly like yesterday. We're looking for price action to hover around 135,50 today.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8390), still going up (reached 1,8420 overnight). We reiterate our bullish views: the market is moving upwards and is setting up a new 1,82-1,86 trading range.
EUR/GBP (0,6680) the cross was rejected at 0,6650 yesterday. We remain neutral for the time being. Support around 0,6650 and 0.6620, resistances at 0.6730 then 0,6760.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

prague viktor 07:39 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Van Gecko:good day,If I understand ur post the gpb start the long way to the 1,9++ and 2++ level or Im wrong thx.

Malaga boqueron 07:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hello Gecko, you were right, I was wrong, as regards EUUS when we were down at the 1,1900 level a month ago. That 1,1750 level was very well defended, and the 1,2180 level was not. I guess it's goodbye buck, sell on any rally mode. Again good call.

melbourne farmacia 07:29 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ab - Gbp spent 10 years within "the Range" , and she's not going back.....

London 07:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko me too its like trying to decifer code

st. pete islander 07:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Gecko ... will watch. Your Feb words on the Queen were pearls .... and results put some on Tampa Lil. Any feeling for top end?

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 07:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, I would be v. grateful if you can use simpler terms for us the novice group...:D

van Gecko 07:18 GMT May 28, 2004

van Gecko 07:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
islander.. will do..
not dancing with the Geisha as my hands are tie with the Conti cousins..
fwiw..
that eccentric old fella Gbp/Usd has a habit of doing the unexpected at times.. sudden & vicious daily/weekly KITA (Kick In The A$$) swings are vely common since the days of Sorro (or was it BOE Sorrow?)..
it seems to had come out of its multi year 'snooze mode' this years after breaking that 10 year range..

Nottingham 06:56 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Hat 06:40 GMT

Cable can go to 1.86 before it even attempts to trip downside stops...I don't expect it, but it can't be ruled out as it remains a possibility...gl gt

st. pete islander 06:55 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, whirlwinds to be very bad this year ..... watch your six.

Have you decided to dance with Geisha Girls? Q has been calling this one perfectly. More down to go. gt

van Gecko 06:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
morning islander.. typhoo season starting here in the South China Seas.. may be some 'fx typhoos' are brewing after spoiling us with the recent 'u snooze u loose' ranges..
Hello Tampa Lil ^_^

London. 06:16.. fyi
"van Gecko 02:27 GMT May 21, 2004
Euro is kissing good bye (yes, good buy) to May, the underlying market dynamics is presenting a good window of opportunty for big bad bulls to send it on its merry way above 1.21/22 .."

Cheerios..

jordan joe 06:46 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man
we did not break 1.355 on cad do you think we will and if we do where do we go from there

Brisbane L 06:46 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
CANBERRA (AP)--Australia on Friday warned its citizens to take extra care traveling to the U.S., citing FBI and Justice Department warnings that al-Qaida may be plotting a devastating terror attack

Ldn Hat 06:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Looks like I will get clobbered again :-(

Ldn Hat 06:40 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi ML/GEP/Nottingham/Qindex Tell me about it I got clobbered yesterday and the day before on taking GBP short too early, however I have sold more GBP/USD at 1.8420 the figure looking lower but watching this dont want to miss the chance to get out on time, but this sudden rally in the currencies against the dollar in my 10years experience does not make sense IMHO and I feel there is a big pullback on the horizon, technically 8420 was the channel top lets see what happens ;-) any ways this is all IMHO

st. pete islander 06:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ML, don't you go getting yourself in trouble today. Nice three day weekend ahead. You're supposed to water the new grass .... not eat it. LOL.

Nottingham 06:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 06:33 GMT

primary o/b 8435 secondary o/b 8485...gl gt

ldn 06:36 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
midland

ICT ML 06:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
I have a line on mt charts drawn months ago at 1.8421 labeled "support".....and so far it has been classic resistance....hope to god it breaks though....but I am getting a very uncomfortable feeling about having bought the new high on a Friday....

JF if around, any word on who selling it there?

Nottingham 06:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Remember folks...last day of the week, a week of a clear one way trend in most dollar pairs...often market will pullback Friday or Monday...this weekend this is bank holiday to consider, so Tuesday/Friday may be the option, although a terror free weekend will boost dollar next week, possibly after a fresh high to suck in late money...gl gt

jkt diablo 06:29 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Ok now that euro is very close to 1.23 and cable breaking 1.84 barrier, is it going to be a bloody Friday for USD today? :-)

st. pete islander 06:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
For those of you who haven't been in the FF for a long time, the too few visits by Van Gecko are a real treat. It might take a minute or two, but if you pay attention, his words are actually quite clear in meaning. Or, does that mean I've been here too long.

Gecko, Linda says hello and thank you. gt

Brisbane L 06:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD should be able to move higher as USD resumes downswing and as fears of a hard landing in China abate targets .75
Shane Oliver
Chief Economist AMP.

Sydney Ge11Ja 06:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 06:17 GMT May 28, 2004

Well it was announced this afternoon asian time that UAE, Kuwait, Mexico and Nigeria have agreed to boost output... maybe the start of a concerted effort to bring the price down?

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 06:17 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
BEAR/BEAR/BEAR.......

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 06:17 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
For the deficit, think low crude would do an extent of help but wonder if those M/E countries would be willing to help.

London. 06:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko Does that mean you are Dollar Bear or Bull sorry I dont understand you post.

Ldn 06:14 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
CNBC europe Squawkbox ..... saying the correction over in the Aud and is at cheap levels to buy as still oversold V USD..
Also sees Euro 125. shortly.

van Gecko 06:13 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Level1 "Eur/Usd Bottom Feeder Club" members now replaced by level1 "Usd/Chf Bottom Fishing Club" dive hards.. don't know why the majority of Fx Hudinis perfer to dance with a lead left feet..

Oil man 05:22.. 1st weekly Fractal B/O bar.. '5%' will buy dips, well the rest will sell blips..
'Fatal Attraction' forex style..?


Ldn 06:10 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Charts Suggest Return Of Broad Dollar Bear Trend
A fall in the dollar index this week suggests the U.S. currency is back in a technical bear trend after a three-month rally that was driven largely by expectations of monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. With a Fed rate hike next month priced into interest-rate and foreign-exchange markets, analysts say the dollar is succumbing to prolonged turmoil in Iraq, fears of terror attacks in the U.S. and a renewed focus on America's budget and current-account deficits.
To evaluate the medium-term outlook (say, one to three months) for the dollar index, the weekly chart is an ideal reference point. Most notably, it shows the decline this week took it below 90.60, a three-point uptrend support line that began at an 84.56 low in February. The next major support level is at 88.07, a high for the index traded in January. Technical theory dictates that previous highs become underlying support; a break of this support would target the February low. Beneath there, however, there is little support of any note until the psychological level of 80, which repelled index losses in February 1991 and April 1995. Based on available data since mid-1979, the low point for the index was at 78.19 in September 1992, which was just as sterling dropped out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism - the framework for today's European Monetary Union and euro. Adding to the argument for further medium-run downside for the index is that the two lines that are the moving average convergence divergence, or MACD, measure of momentum appear set to cross over in coming weeks. If this occurs, it would send the strongest sell signal since March 2002 when the index was at 118.80. In July of that year it bounced off 103.54 before resuming its decline in earnest in December.

Reuters..news.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 06:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
oilman, btw, seems SNB gives up.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 05:59 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Byron, sorry, I don't have the bias yet but price is preparing for the big move.

I suggest to wait for the signal later in daily/weekly chart on eur/aud.

It's really tricky.

prague viktor 05:42 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Oilman:Goodmorning,Im thinking to add another long euro postion if we will see the 1,25++

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:41 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Maybe a downmove in oil could cause a decent drop in EUR/YEN?

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:40 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Would it be reasonable to expect EUR/USD to fall if oil has a substantial downmove? It seems to me there is quite a bit of leveraged money playing the long side in the oil market these days

UAE Oil man 05:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Eur-AUD is a NICE short (Big time)..

It should NOT see 1.7350 (that would Nix view),

target 1.6124

Brisbane L 05:28 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months
Would also like to know what your seeing on that, and you view on Kiwi seems close at hand

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 05:08 GMT May 28, 2004
Nice trend slowly, slowly if it goes to 1.2450 tonight that does not mean it is going slowly LOL. Have a good weekend Oil Man. GT

HK Byron 05:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 05:04 GMT May 28, 2004
eur/aud looks like a big storm coming in daily and 4 hrs......

ab, can u tell more? i'm looking this pair for sp, from other aud cross, seems aud is stronger than eur... worrying sp's 1.72 target...

UAE Oil man 05:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
It's actually only the first week/bar..and people are out of breath..

Let's see after 3-10-20 weeks how they feel;)

UAE Oil man 05:16 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
No why..It's looking great..No signs of exhaustion.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 05:09 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
oilman, then u will change your original intention of "few weekly bars" to "few daily bars"?

1.2500 imvho.

UAE Oil man 05:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Would be nice to finish near 1.2450 tonight..on euro$.

Picking up speed ..slowly slowly.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 05:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud looks like a big storm coming in daily and 4 hrs......

UAE Oil man 05:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
On a chart view 38.00 has to hold..or it will make a quick trip to 32.00.

UAE Oil man 04:59 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Yes AB, that doesn't mean anything..There are many different types of Oil...some are very good (light crude for exemple as one could just pick it up from his garden and plug it directly to his car..joking but next to this..), and some are a PAIN to distillate..which makes their value much smaller than anything else..There are still many untapped heavy oil's around..and a new cache won't help..However if it's a Light crude cache it could help...in 1-2 years once the stuff is devellopped.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 04:55 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
oilman, it's wide spreaded yesterday....saying that it's the 1st 2nd biggest field in the last 20 years.

Sydney alimin 04:53 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
unless we dont use oil anymore as our main source of energy and that oil can be renewed, the price is just gonna keep increasing as our oil reserves are being drained day by day

Rye, NY et 04:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR 04:32 GMT May 28, 2004
Well, I'm glad it worked out for you. I sure don't think the road back down for the dollar is going to be an easy one, but we're pretty much out of reasons to be buying dollars now--except for some large specs to try to run stops--but that won't affect you. I've been spending more time in the commodities market recently, so I've got to get up earlier now. Good night and Good Trades...

UAE Oil man 04:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
I hear many rumours on this chinese discovery of an oil field..
First and foremost, it might be a nice crude cache,but first test the quality is more important than anything..Then it takes a long time to take it out,distille it etc..

In anycase I remember saying long oil,20..Then long oil 25..then long oil 30..35...and now 40.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 04:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
bc// seems oil has not much direct effect on dlr its own but the yen.

houston st 04:44 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

Provo John 04:26 GMT - coming from the oil patch, that's big news to me..I guess the rest of the world has to digest it..perhaps now prices can moderate and the risk/war premium can be offset for awhile..thanks for the link.

Provo John 04:36 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Sorry about that! Try it now.

Opec

Juneau CAR 04:32 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi REY, it clearly started last Thursday. euro climbed through 1.20 and the metals went nuts. I was expecting 1.22, but it was clear to see the odds were, we were off and running.

The majors shot up and they always lead. Can't figure out how they know that stuff-lol. I was just following the heard-lol.

Anyway, it worked out. I watched a lot of guys on this thread climb a wall of worry-lol.

I remember the one sage here who said at 1.205 euro: "logic tells me to buy dollars, so I am going to sell them". That worked out too-lol. I noticed a couple of guys complimenting him on his thinking-lol.

The whole euro strength sort of surprised me.

Provo John 04:26 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
st, Considering that more then $10/barrel is just risk/speculation any thing to reduce it I welcome, even if its more bull then substance!

Sydney alimin 04:25 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
while we are talking about possible retracement or still yet another advancement of usd bear today, the market could decide later that today is a stagnant day leaving most people disappointed including me LOL

MEX JM 04:23 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Forex Predictions
----------------------------------------------------
Market High Low
----------------------------------------------------
Euro 1.2317 1.2203
Yen 111.54 110.17
Pound 1.8490 1.8300

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 04:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
John, seemst hat is'a wrong link.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 04:21 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jf// do u see something special that's why you were not v. bullish on eur? thanks.

houston st 04:15 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

Provo John 04:07 GMT -- just saw that on the newswire..hasn't done much to access session prices yet..an election year ploy by Dubya? thanks & good trades.

UAE Oil man 04:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Good morning,

it's friday..Watch yourself it could be bloody.

Provo John 04:07 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
OPEC May Suspend Cap On Output

Rye, NY et 03:52 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hey, Car...How are you?

GDL MEXICO PIPHUNTER 03:51 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD hits 4-week high
The euro accumulated fresh gains, breaching above the $1.2175 target to $1.2277 as the dollar wilted across the board. A flurry of statements from ECB officials indicating that monetary policy was in neutral stance—rather than biased to easing or tightening—facilitated the euro’s gains. Friday’s activity will be characterized by a flurry of data and low trading volumes, due to the incoming long weekend in the US and the UK. This could lead to increased volatility, and exaggerate the upswings in the pair.

Now that the EURUSD has broken above $1.2250, next resistance seen at $1.2350—the 50% retracement of the 1.2926-1.1759 drop, followed by 1.2380-85. Support has climbed to 1.22 backed by the previous resistance of 1.2175. Subsequent support seen at 1.21 and 1.2050-70.

Juneau CAR 03:42 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks REY for the advice. Sort of worked out the way you predicted with a double bottom. I got out and back in, in betweeen the waves-lol.

Thanks

shanghai bc 03:34 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

OMIL -- Good morning..Thanks for your kind words..Dollar may get some short-term bounce before it falls further..Bounce to Usd/Chf 1.2550-1.2650 region, in a couple of trading days, is a good possibility although further downside cannot be ruled out today..Good trades..

jkt diablo 03:31 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Any view for GBP/USD today? I'm expecting the 1.84 resistance to hold for today and cable retracting to 1.83 or lower. I think it's about time there should be a reasonable pullback for this long rally, right? I know it's Friday and month end so anything can happen.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:21 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
The range I posted for was for the eur/usd pair.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
These are very good comments from the more experienced traders that give us honor with their presence here in the FF. BC your insight into the market is invaluable as it is with the other experienced traders in this forum. Thanks for the comments as always and enjoy a good weekend. I might have to start the weekend early if the numbers later on today do not impress the market. I expect a range (1.2290-2220) for the market for the rest of the Asian and European session IMHO. GL GT

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 03:14 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
bc// fully understand that.

So, we could pick up more yen than eur this run....

And your support is highly appreciated.

shanghai bc 03:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

AB -- Holding Eur/Usd 1.18 line may have a lot to do with Chinese and Japanese billions which have been diversifying out of Dollar assets without disturbing the market..Since they trade with medium-term perspective,1.28-1.30 region may be their target zone for future buying on dips operations..Eur/Jpy is likely to fall dragging down Eur/Usd but it may only slow down the speed of Euro rise not the direction while Yen charges ahead..In the medium-term,rate rise in a debt-ridden economy can only be a disaster for the currency of that economy..

Sydney alimin 03:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
i just got the feeling today's data will trigger something big again, either we will have a 200-pips retracement and further consolidation next week, or euro will touch 1.2375-1.24 area for some correction next week

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 03:02 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
TRL made the right call on 1.2250 this time in this crazy wave of consolidation.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 02:49 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
bc// will yen cross play a wild card for the rest of year on eur? TIA.

Saihat 02:47 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
eur

PP (range)((1.2190-1.2229-may work as good s))

r-1.2292-1.2343-1.2395-1.2446-1.2497
s-1.2214-1.2190-1.2139-12087-1.2036

shanghai bc 02:45 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

SA 02;06 -- Good morning..Dollar Index 85 could be the first target..And a possible new level for the Dollar for the year..For Swissy,that could mean below 1.20 level..1.32+ was the most it could manage on the bounce and did not even stay long above 1.30..I was too optimistic to forecast 1.35+ in the last bounce..Good trades..

melbourne farmacia 02:45 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
and fwiw - both Cable & Euro are currently trapped by voodoo trend lines, so pullback very possible. GT

Calabash TarHeel 02:29 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 02:18 GMT May 28, 2004
Thanks, good to see you posting again.

melbourne farmacia 02:18 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel - aud/usd moving towards 0.7201 - 0.7229 -0.7252 - 0.7275 for now.

nyc sa - not following swissy. GT

Ldn 02:15 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
The Prime Minister admits he is concerned by recent opinion polls showing most Australians believe the war in Iraq is unjustified. Just prior to his calling an election any time soon

nyc sa 02:06 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
hello Shanghai ,how long u think the dollar downward cycle will last ? what's ur view on swissie ? it looks like the 1.35 is out maybe till next year ?

Sydney bl 02:05 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
morning Dr Qindex what's your view on USD/CHF thanks

Spr Noods 02:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
BC thanks

shanghai bc 01:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   

Dollar Index fell through 89 last night..Do we need any more confirmation to say Dollar's medium-term path is to the downside from now on?。。

indonesia newbie 01:57 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT May 28, 2004
Thx dr q i apreaciate ur quick coment.btw i can't go to ur site since i have already have 2 weeks trial and already end by now.thx dr q.
gl gt.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 01:48 GMT - EUR/USD : The market rhythm has changed and 44-day cycle reference is used, see details in my page. With a little bit of luck we have seen the weekly high in the last session.

Calabash TarHeel 01:50 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia
Would appreciate your thoughts on the $/aud for s/t, if you have any that is.

Tia, gl, gt

indonesia newbie 01:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex
Dr Q is it ur coment in eur/usd still valid?(since i have short that pair @ 1.2090)
thx.

USA Biscuit Boy 01:46 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Option barrier at 0.7200 for aud/usd. Next target 0.7220 then 0.7340. Jap bids at 0.7150.

nyc sa 01:46 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia ,what's ur view on the swissie more to go ?is this a real bear trend or is it just due to the long weekend terror alert ?

Hong Kong Qindex 01:43 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil : Speculative selling will increase if the market can penetrate through 38.78. The current expected trading range is 38.78 - 39.57.


Hong Kong Qindex 04:21 GMT May 25, 2004
Crude Oil : My 3-month projection profiles indicate that the market is basically vibrating around the quantized level at 40.59 with an expected magnitude of +/- 1.58, i.e. 38.78 - 41.94.


Quantized Levels of 3-Month Projection Profile


... // 38.78* - 39.57 - 40.36* - 41.15 - 41.94* // ...

LAX-LGB SNP 01:39 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
farmacia
i was happy too (but in a firewatery way) ;-)

Ldn 01:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Further Oil Price Rise Would Be A Worry
IMF Rajan

Hong Kong Qindex 01:36 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

melbourne farmacia 01:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 00:56 GMT May 28, 2004
Mate i did the same - covered six figure cable ride early.... but jumped in again yesterday on Asian period dollar selling... happy again. GT

Hong Kong Qindex 01:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ltn th 01:15 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 00:37
Many thanks. That could explain the odd feel to the early asian market today, with big fish in little ponds on both sides of the market waiting for feeding frenzy. Boy! Do some of them have a surprise coming.

Calabash TarHeel 01:06 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 00:51 GMT May 28, 2004

If you count paper trading and mini account, 4yrs. Trading positons large enough to feel the pain when I am wrong, 3 yrs.
Consider myself still very much in the live and learn mode. I don't post my trades here for fear of leading someone in the wrong direction. There are several traders here that are far more knowledgeable than I. Read this forum long enough and you will know who they are. Anytime I am considering a trade and they are calling it the same way I see it, making that trade is a no brainer to me.
I would say to anyone that each person is totally responsible for their own actions. Anyone opening a position based on a posted trade here is the one responsible for that trade, not the trader he followed. If it goes south, blame no one but yourself.
gl,gt

LAX-LGB SNP 00:56 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
jf - thanks for that
should've known it was too good to be true

sar-tok jf 00:51 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
$yen demand 110.30-40 region from japanese position traders ahead of further asset allocation stuff next month - eurusd one more up day then down next week - gt

ny amc 00:51 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
calabash.tar heel............thanks for responding. how long have you been trading forex ?

Atlanta 00:48 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Anyone, will EUR/USD move up in the next 2-6 hrs, or will it stay in a bracketted trend? Thanks.

USA Biscuit Boy 00:37 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 00:33 GMT May 28, 2004

London and NY closed on Monday. Effectively today is end of month.

Ltn th 00:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Can any experienced traders comment on the effect of the end of the month falling on a monday?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 00:33 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
FWIW the market has shown its next move by closing above the range the eur/usd was caught up on since April of this year. Bulls have some control for the time being how far they will take it remains to be seen. In this crazy business we always take an educated guess on what will happen but nobody really knows what is going to happen next. %s are for a retracement from this resistance IMHO. I will move stops on long midterm position for the eur/usd pair when resistance (1.2290-2300) is broken. GL GT

Ldn 00:30 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> Axel Rudolf is a reputable analyst , it just gives a word of caution that the market can turn on a sixpence

Ldn 00:30 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> Axel Rudolf is a reputable analyst , it just gives a word of caution that the market can turn on a sixpence

sydney fg 00:24 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 00:20 GMT May 28, 2004
ny amc 22:51 GMT May 27, 2004

That's about the size of it. The Swiss are politically neutral too.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 00:22 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 00:08 GMT May 28, 2004
Good post I agree with the possibilities there. I have rough retracement numbers now in two layers as 1.2290-2300 holds. First layer 1.2210-20, 1.2180-90 and 1.2150-60. Second layer 1.2150-55, 1.2105-10 and 1.2065-70. Support can be found at 1.2150-60, 1.2110-20, 1.2050-60 and 1.2005-15 for now IMHO. GL GT

Calabash TarHeel 00:20 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 22:51 GMT May 27, 2004
I would like to ask you guys a question, i am very ignorant about certain things, but why where most of you saying that usd/chf would fall apart the worst ( which it definetly did )

Since nobody else has replied, I will explain why I sold the $/chf in the mid 1.27's. All indications indicated that the $ was in for a rough week in general. My thinking was that with the end of the month at hand, three day holiday here and the terriosm rumor mill cranking, traders would be parking their funds in a safe haven. The CHF has been considered a safe haven for as long as I have been trading.Think it has alot to do with their banking laws and and I am told very, very large gold reserves. Probaly doesn't sound like a very good reason, but worked this time anyway.
BTW, I am sure Oilman or BC can give you a much better answer
gl,gt

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 00:15 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
When gold is blasting up fast, eur, by all means, MUST follow.

See the hello to 1.25.........

Ldn 00:08 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
I was emailed this today from a friend in NY.

Euro To Retrace Vs Greenback
Don't be fooled by the euro's current bounce against the dollar - it won't last. The bounce from the May 13 low at $1.1769 is clearly corrective in nature and this, coupled with short-term overbought momentum indicators and nearby major resistance zones, should at least lead to a short-term retracement lower in the days ahead. The upward lurch these past few days has formed three distinctive waves so far, which highlights the potential of an A,B,C correction forming - If further strength were to be seen, such a pattern would become less likely and further upside toward the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the February to May decline at $1.2345 and $1.2484 respectively would probably be made,momentum indicator is highly overbought now and leads me to believe that at least a short-term correction lower is imminent. One could thus sell the euro around current levels with a stop loss having to be placed targeting at least a retest of $1.2076 support and probably a decline toward the psychologically important $1.20 zone in the next couple of days or so. In the event of a much steeper decline below $1.1930 - the May 24 low - my anticipated A,B,C correction lower would become much more likely and therefore also a scenario whereby new year lows below this year's $1.1756 low would become probable again. For now, however, just be aware that some kind of retracement in the euro/dollar cross seems highly likely before the end of the week.

Axel Rudolph, MSTA LONDON

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 00:04 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
oilman, conviction of SNB is questionable.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 00:03 GMT May 28, 2004 Reply   
we may see dlr/jpy 109.xx prints first rather than 1.23xx in eur.

nzd .65 in 2 months but not 3?

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
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