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Forex Forum Archive for 05/31/2004

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Brisbane L 23:49 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD intraday charts suggest further demand to emerge; pair targeting 0.7175, has scope to reach 0.7225
Westpac strategist Robert Clayton

Latest Newspoll gives Australian government substantial boost 3 weeks after generous election-year budget. Ruling coalition's primary vote jumps to year-high of 47% from 41% two weeks ago, while major opposition Labor slumps to 37% from 44%. Also pegs coalition support at 53% on two-party preferred basis, vs 47% for Labor, meaning PM Howard would easily win fourth straight term if election held now. Newspoll MD Sol Lebovic says result points to delayed response to big-spending budget
AP

Montréal Taro 23:32 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD
I have some answer for you
ttaro27 at hotmail

Montréal Taro 23:31 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I have some answer for you.
ttaro27 at hotmail

Wien GD 23:15 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Taro - yes - but will leave soon

Rye, NY et 23:10 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...
Nymex Crude just opened...$40.75;Fri close @ $39.88

Tokyo Jon 23:02 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
The daily data has been updated for my program. it is predict a big day for usdjpy 108 to be seen. you can download my program from the lounge.

Yesterday for eurusd, its support came in at 1.2170 and predicted a slow day

houston st 22:50 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

USA Biscuit Boy 22:46 GMT -- thanks for the reply..I have a similar trade on at the moment but always curious how others think & trade..good luck.

USA Biscuit Boy 22:46 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Sorry make hat 1.2150. Cheers :)

USA Biscuit Boy 22:42 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
houston st 21:33 GMT May 31, 2004
Sorry for the late reply was out. Don't have a stop but below 1.2050 i'll think twice.

Montréal Taro 22:28 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 19:26
Do you still here ?

hk ab nzd 0.65 22:20 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
short eur/jpy 133.45.

mads ricca 22:05 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
london d 21:27 GMT May 31, 2004

a bit old, but implied vols..01:41 GMT May 31st 2004

EUR/JPY
1 WK 11.4
1 MO 11.0
2 MO 10.8
3 MO 10.7
6 MO 10.55
1 YR 10.45

houston st 21:33 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

USA Biscuit Boy 21:00 GMT -- where you putting your stop on this trade? tia. gl/gt.

london d 21:27 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Hi, does anyone have 1month, 3month and 1 year atm vols for eurjpy please?

USA Biscuit Boy 21:00 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Bought eur/usd at 1.2187 looking for 1.2250 initially. GL and GT.

dc CB 20:01 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Qindex: regarding your 10y Bond posting on the Analysis page (May 31).

the numbers are basis which contract- June (closed fri at 10928) or September (closed fri 10812). Fri was 1st notice June, tia

Miami OMIL (/;-> 19:45 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I will add to my previous comment as long as there is no negative news towards the $ for the coming day then the correction should take place IMO.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 19:38 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Tom a correction is what I was expecting on eur/usd for these coming days. I commented on the retracement numbers and support before. I believe we cannot gauge any movement today because of the thin market condition but I favor a correction for the next days IMHO.

Wien GD 19:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
hi - newbie ... I'm looking for a fx software which offers trailingstops AND normal AND mini accounts ... AND guaranteed stops ... anybody can help me?

hk ab nzd 0.65 19:22 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy has a very interesting destination at 127.

hk ab nzd 0.65 19:17 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
If nzd doesn't retrace lower than .6180, then it will be an inverted shs pattern and one could go long in front of .62 line.

Antwerp Tom 19:12 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, any view on eur/usd for tomorrow?
Is today's movement a precursor for european trade tomorrow (lower eur)?
Was quite surprised to see drop today from 2250 to 2180, thought the Saudi story and its implications would weigh on usd.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:45 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I appreciate that Tom have a nice day. GL GT

Antwerp Tom 18:44 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Thanks OMIL. I like your other posts too.

Van jv 18:43 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh///your education note is appreciated

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:42 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I have for eur/usd 1.2178 offer for today.

Antwerp Tom 18:41 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Hello friends. Can anybody tell me the e/usd low of today (offer)? Did we touch 1,2180 (offer)? TIA

Mtl JP 18:31 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
nh 18:00 / re M3/M2 speculation (should it be that the FED's #s be unambigious?? amazing that they are being argued about...)

Here is a picture that maybe says 1000 words: usdx vs gold IF the usdx is heading to target for retest of what would make a double bottom at 85, then gold - if the cross-relationship holds - should also make a double top at $432.50ish.

Livingston nh 18:00 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Van jv - the article was primarily directed at equities in light of an "unprecedented jump" in M3 - first, the Fed is usually wrong so the author's idea that the Fed knows of some catastrophe is bogus - second when you like at the M3 figures it's helpful to look at non-M2 M3 growth - so for the last month this figure is up about 30 bio but M2 is up about 90 bio so M3 isn't the problem it is M2 where most of the rapid growth is - why ? well M2 it's concentrated in comm bank savings deposits (money leaving equity and bonds ??) but the bulk of the non-M2 M3 increase is in large time savings deposits (whereas the author compares the first half 2003 M3 growth to today - that growth was primarily in Eurodollars account)

Projecting this growth for twelve months yields a totally different result than if you projected the money supply decline in Q4 2003 -- but straight line projection is usually dangerous -- for 12 months and 6 months M3 growth is around 5%

The author may be right about the equity prediction but it won't be because of M3 growth

Genoa nic 16:41 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Van jv, FWIW I tend to be a technical trader, and just read that article before seeing a post about money supply. Maybe the emphasis put on M3 numbers was a bit overblown, as the article was very biased. If you want to take your own pic

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/Current/

GL

Van jv 16:04 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 15:04
US money supply ////see Genoa ref at 9:58, your comment please

Hong Kong Qindex 15:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Dai;y Cycle Quantized Levels


... // 198.35* - 199.12 - 199.89* - 200.66 - 201.43* // ...

(city)toronto Dr Unken Katt 15:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
< got the conclusion gbp/usd will meet 1.7998-85 at Wednesday in this week and then move higher than 1.8426.
maybe wrong.>

how about going to 8630 first , good target on daily

Stockholm za 15:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh >>> It`s all good .... I see the same when i visit them.....
Happy trades.......

Hong Kong Qindex 15:17 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : 1.2156 - 1.2187 - 1.2218

)toronto( Bolshevik 15:15 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
agree, thats why these people look like cowz and pigz

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I got the conclusion gbp/usd will meet 1.7998-85 at Wednesday in this week and then move higher than 1.8426.
maybe wrong.

Palestine West End Ltd. 15:10 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Hi all .... where do u see the Euro in the next few days ... Thank you

mtl grumpy 15:07 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
")toronto( Bolshevik 12:29 GMT May 31, 2004
in the Usa burgers r made from cow's dung
its the only difference"

...and in Canada they are made from recycled waste imported from the us and served with a pepsi and a mae west - with malt vinegar of course

Livingston nh 15:04 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I don't know where some of you folks are getting your US money supply figs but the Fed was very tight in Q4 of 2003 (a response to Q3 GDP) and loosened a bit in Q1 (a response to dismal first reported employment figs) but the figures show some tightness in the last few months - e.g., on Feb 23 M1 was 1323.9 bio and last week's fig for May 17 was 1323.2 (that's less than 1323.9) -- in the broader M2 and M3 there have been increases but very modest, M2 165bio (on a base of more than 6trio) and M3 260 bio (on a base of more than 9trio)

Hong Kong Qindex 14:45 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : The current expected trading ranges are 199.89 - 200.66 - 201.43. Most likely we have to wait for tomorrow to see any action.

sf mike 14:16 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
11:20 GMT

Kaunas 14:10 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
At what time exactly (GMT) NY session opens?

mtl joe 14:03 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I don't agree, I think the strong numbers will support usd/cad. 1.45 in June

LAX-LGB SNP 13:40 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
p.s. have to agree with Oilman's short $CAD below the mid 1.36x

LAX-LGB SNP 13:37 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
gbp looking weaker across all fronts ... chf (2.2990) ,jpy (202.4x),usd (1.836x) AND eur (0.6635)

eurjpy sharply below 134.86 and eurusd below 1.2246 (1.1908 again ?) but eur still supported by chf and gbp makes for a mixed bag of tricks

lets see where we close today ;-) may June bless us with bountiful showers !

slv sam 13:03 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 12:42 GMT /
cheers! GT

Dublin Flip 12:44 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ib I really have no idea but I'd say the fed's abilty to predict geo-political catastrophes or stock market crashes is about as faithful as my own- not very good thankfully-LOL
The Money supply might suggest finding anomolies and perhaps the amount of cash that has come out of the financial economy due to the worries over the impending rate modulations. i.e. Sitting on the sidelines, waiting for the dust to settle and looking for a home.
or more likely I don't know-LOL

manila stubbs 12:44 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate
trust me, big mac in the phils may be cheap as censored but its the most horrible big mac i have ever had. i think they use street cat meat to make it.

Minnesota Mark 12:43 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Pip - Cupless bottom of coffee?? Best bring your bib.

Mtl JP 12:43 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
not me YV, compliments your tax-funded statcan.com

UAE Oil man 12:42 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Canadian numbers are not important ..

All that can result is a short term weakness in Canadian $..but the Trend is now set for much more Canadian $ strenght (1.35=>1.30=>1.20).

Bye.

Toronto YV 12:40 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Mtl JP , thanks for the numbers.

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
fwiw
(Canadian )Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.6% in the first quarter of 2004, boosted by a resurgence of consumer spending and continued growth in exports. Following a flat performance in January and February, the quarter ended on a strong note, as GDP shot up 0.7% in March.

Mtl JP 12:15 GMT May 31, 2004
Can #s:
12:30GMT: Real GDP concesus: 2.0% vs 3.8% last
12:30GMT: Monthly GDP concesus: 0.6% vs 0.0% last

Toronto YV 12:34 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
anyone what is the score on cad GDP?tia,gt.

Rivonia PipPirate 12:33 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Ok dudes, I've changed my mind, going for a steak,egg 'n chips at the Mugg and Bean where you get a cupless bottom of coffee with the meal.

)toronto( Bolshevik 12:29 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
in the Usa burgers r made from cow's dung
its the only difference

Paris ib 12:27 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip. Don't know if we are poised on the brink or if my paranoia is just acting up in my old age. Time will tell. I find it difficult though to believe in pre-announced crises. This liquidity thing with the FED though is interesting. I wonder if it has something to do with the Japanese deciding to stop buying dollars (which they were recycling in the short end of the yield curve). Don't know enough about any of it to make even an educated guess. Does anybody reading the forum know what is going on with that?

IST Sez 12:23 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 11:37 GMT May 31, 2004
.
Philliphine's ccy more valuable than swiss in terms of Mc burger

Rivonia PipPirate 12:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Ant Tol 11:59 GMT May 31, 2004 Thanks Ant, I already booked my flight to Phillipines, but anyway I suspect those Moroccan BigM's were made with camel dung at that price.

Dublin Flip 12:08 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ib sorry I missed the earlier post.
Given the global economy doesn't crap out completely oil in the long term is for the massive up move is still to come. So far it's been doing a bit of range stretching and that's it. One thing may delay it for a while would be a big global downturn of course but then if we knew that we'd know everything. There are so many new users of oil (china and India billions have only just started using it) that to predict USD 15 a barrel like the oil "experts" suggested this time last year is an incredible piece of delusion.

Ant Tol 11:59 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate,
Big Mag - Marroco 0.26$, Kuvait 7.33 $
Reuters

Stockholm za 11:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
fwiw..... €/$
At the moment round-table with ema 5 at key gateway....
Happy trading week..........

Dublin Flip 11:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ib OBL has said it enough times mate. Palestine and Saudi Arabia are their main concerns with the state of SA the main objective. Everything else has been secondary and has worked like an old fashioned diversion from Colonel Hogan's Stalag 13-LOL
Seriously though Saudi Arabia is the worry. Ever heard of anyone being worried making too much money selling something. Sounds like a funny way for the House of Saud to do business. They obviously need friends. They are more isolated than at any time now that the US has pulled the troops from their front yard . Dunno if the US was streteched or thought it would put pressure on the Kingdom to be more compliant but it was always a risky move by Rummy and co. Certainlly given that's what OBL asked for the US to do
(i.e. to get out of Saudi Arabia). Certainly leaves the Kingdom exposed.
Anyway be lucky...

Paris ib 11:46 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip. Bloomberg article today says SAUDI is operating at 85% capacity at present. Supposed to be the only OPEC member with the capacity to increase production. I guess that's why we are seeing increased terrorism there. So prizes for guessing what the terrorits are aiming for.

Paris ib 11:43 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
You go broke.

Minnesota Mark 11:37 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ARM = Adjusted Rate Mortgage.. the 110 - 120% are where idiot banks/mortgage companies let people take 110-120% of the equity out of their homes and spend it. Alot of people don't think around here, they just think the homes will go up and up and up and no problem spending what they don't have. Problem is, when there is no one to buy your 120% mortgage and you have to sell what do you do...

Rivonia PipPirate 11:37 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Thinking of a Big Mac for lunch? but not sure where to shop for the best deal:

The cheapest Big Mac in US dollar terms is in the Philippines at $1.23, while the most expensive is in Switzerland at $4.90.

In other words, in May 2004, the Philippine peso was the world's most undervalued currency, while the Swiss franc was the most overvalued.

Minnesota Mark 11:28 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Yes Paris, trying to inject a bit of humor.. The first part of Fridays Daily Reckoning will show you a bit of exactly what you are asking about, was just reading it now. They still argue if it is inflation or deflation that is going to hurt us the most. They have drawn alot of similar circumstances between Japans last 10 year slump and what is going on here.

Paris ib 11:23 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Minnesota. Think Jay is off for the day. Don't know what an ARM is, but I take your point. Sounds like the U.K. in 1990. You are being tongue in cheek though, I take it? Financial Times today has an article which suggests, like you do, that raising rates will cause big trouble but they focus on carry trades. So maybe the OPEC thing is not what has the FED in a panic. Maybe it is the rates. But, you know, it is the FED that raises.... so if they are SOOOO worried perhaps they have to keep sitting on their hands.

Minnesota Mark 11:17 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Paris ib 11:03 GMT May 31, 2004 -- Yes Paris, I think the US economy is headed for a really good recession if not a depression. Take the housing market alone: More people than ever now own homes in the US, over 40% of the loans were taken out as ARM's, plus the other creative 110%, 120%, and the interest only ones. A vast majority of these people are mortgaged to the hilt, surviving off the equity they took out of these homes. Making it paycheck to paycheck to make ends meet. Once interest rates go up 2-3% how will they pay? Bankruptcies will rise, banks could fall, milk will double, rioting in the streets, gangs of homeless liberals stealing tomatoes out of backyard gardens.. In reality though if you want my take on it ask Jay for my email and I will go through a couple senarios that are quite possible.

Paris ib 11:07 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Sydney. If that's the worst that can be said about him, it doesn't really sound like much to worry about.

Paris ib 11:03 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Minnesota. So does this mean that something really ugly is building for the market?

Paris ib 11:01 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Well I got that link wrong.

Anyway here is the reference:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3222-2004May30.html

Paris ib 11:00 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
HREF="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3222-2004May30.html ">The Anti-Kerry Campaign



Dublin. Flip. Does that mean OIL prices go up or down? Sounds like regardless of OPEC or SAUDI if there is no spare capacity and there is growing demand (which there is) that prices must go up. Or have I got that wrong?

syd 10:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Paris ib 10:51 GMT May 31, 2004
Kerry can talk without a script.

Minnesota Mark 10:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Paris ib 10:51 GMT May 31, 2004 -- The money supply is a completely different story. If you want to read some rants on Greenspan and what he has done try www.thedailyreckoning.com though they are of the gloom and doom sort the figures they use are very accuate and it can be pretty funny at times. Especially Mondays edition. Go read the archives and they show the errors they feel Greenspan has made.

Dublin Flip 10:54 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Re OPEC's influence over the price of oil. My post from GVI last week....

Dublin Flip 11:39 GMT May 28, 2004
As john correctly states in today’s strategy session Saudi Arabia was thought to be the only area of excess spare capacity at 2.5 million barrels a day . They are now in the process of committing it. As I read a few days ago in an excellent report from Pumkin (words to the effect), when OPEC ceases to have reliable excess capacity it ceases to be a cartel. The basis of a cartel is that they have excess capacity to use to control prices. Once supply sets prices it will go from a cartel to club. When people stop celebrating the break-up (or neutering of OPEC) which they believe has been artificially holding up prices they will realise why they have. There is precious little capacity left to control.

Paris ib 10:51 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
P.S. What truth on Kerry?

Paris ib 10:50 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Minnesota. No doubt that Moore has an agenda. However, I just wonder if he has made the SAUDIs uncomfortable with their perceived role as a U.S. ally at a time when there is a certain amount of resentment about the U.S.'s role in the Middle East. Otherwise I don't have any idea about what might be coming up that is making the FED so nervous (I was referring to Nic's earlier post about money supply). Does OIL have the power to disrupt markets so badly? I would have thought that only a massive oil price hike could do that. How likely is that? Don't know.

Minnesota Mark 10:46 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Paris ib 10:32 GMT May 31, 2004

OPEC will continue to attempt to keep oil prices as reasonable as possible. They know which side of the bread their butter is on. If oil gets to expensive it will force countries to push more for alternative fuel sources which will hurt them in the end.. The terrorists have more control of oil prices right now than anyone. Sink a tanker in the straits up there and no oil will be getting through.
Michael Moore is an IDIOT with an agenda. All he does is lie in all his so called documentaries. The only reason he got 1st place at that silly film fest is because of the anti Bush sentiment running wild in europe. The truth is coming out about Kerry and he should lose the election. Bill Clinton should make sure of it. He wants Hillary in there next round and I can't see Kerry stepping aside so she can step in if he were to win.

hk ab nzd 0.65 10:39 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
bc, thanks for your advanced info on those printing.....
made me to have a 2nd thought on the pace of eur rally.

Paris ib 10:32 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
was saying before I accidentally hit enter...... that OPEC has potentially more power to disrupt markets than the FOMC. In addition my question is: how supportive are the SAUDI's going to be of the BUSH administration's request to keep OIL prices under control into the election when: there are terrorist groups attacking and the link between the SAUDIs and the BUSH family has had a lot of unwelcome publicity care of Mr. Michael Moore? It's only a question but I wonder if all this puts the SAUDIs in a tricky position politically and I wonder how that will influence their decision on quotas.

Paris ib 10:29 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Opec meets June 3rd Fed meets June 29th. I would guess that Opec has

Hong Kong Qindex 10:27 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 10:25 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
KUFA, Iraq (AP)--A strong explosion rocked Baghdad near the green zone and early reports said there were a number of casualties
Pictures of a large hole and a burning car in Baghdad's Harithiyah neighborhood were broadcast by the television network, Al-Jazeera.

Al-Arabiya television reported at least two people were killed and an undetermined number were injured in the blast.

Genoa nic 09:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Good morning BC,

I just read an article in which, among other tech arguments, great emphasis is put on that matter (M3 growth):

“The Federal Reserve has confirmed our Stock Market Crash forecast by raising the Money Supply (M-3) by crisis proportions, up another 46.8 billion this past week. What awful calamity do they see? Something is up. This is unprecedented, unheard-of pre-catastrophe M-3 expansion. M-3 is up an amount that we've never seen before without a crisis - $155 billion over the past 4 weeks, a $2.0 trillion annualized pace, a 22.2 percent annualized rate of growth!!! There must be a crisis of historic proportions coming, and the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States is making sure that there is enough liquidity in place to protect our nation's fragile financial system. The amazing thing is, the Fed's actions mean they know what is about to happen. They are aware of a terrible, horrific imminent event. What could it be?”

Full article : http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_04/mchugh053004.html


I’ m always kind of suspicious when reading “doom and gloom” articles on gold sites, but after having read your 9.15 post my attention is clearer….

Hong Kong Qindex 09:47 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Tbilisi DA 09:19 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for information

shanghai bc 09:15 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

SA 05:26 -- Expecting Eur/usd to move into 1.25-1.30 region in June..Fed has been printing Dollars like there is no tomorrow for the last month..The effect could be felt in coming weeksand months..

Tbilisi DA 09:10 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
What you thing about EUR/USD? Is it going to go dawn?

shanghai bc 09:09 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

NT 06:19 -- Good afternoon..Unless it is your own home,I would go for cash positions..Better leave some money on the table in every winning trade....Good luck..

Dublin Flip 09:09 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
"houston st 05:29 GMT May 31
these past few months are the first since I've been trading FX (only since 2001) that I've not had BOJ intervention to consider everytime the yen strengthened..if only Japan had learned a decade or two ago that they could live w/ a stronger yen.."

st you have answered your own question. A decade ago Japan could not have lived with a stronger yen. Nowadays they have much more balanced FX wise trade suprlus. Back then it was all in dollars. Nowadays with Asia and Europe providing huge proportions of the trade surplus the effects of a strong dollar can also be counter productive in many areas. The strength of Oil and commodities over the recent years (which had NOT been the case for a very long time) is also a reason to be more accepting of a weaker dollar (thereby cushioning the skyrocketing values of the import prices). But the biggest reason overall that Japan can accept a strong Yen is that this is the first post 1980's boom recovery that has been broad based and consumer included (dare say led). Before this, all of the last fifteen years false dawns have been purely export and/or government driven. The BOJ/MOF's actions merely reflect the current overlaying factors and it's aims are to maximize and/or soften the external effect. The -ve effect on GDP of a lower USD just isn't as big a concern these days. It took a while but I'm sure they are happier this ultimately became the case than just blindly defending a line in the sand. The BOJ/MOF's have been buying the economy time to catch up. A long time mind you but that's all -LOL

Gen dk 08:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HKG panda 08:34 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
nt// long time no see. yr last call of $/yen 104.50 strategic buy proved to be very good call. gl gt. The beauty of this call is that yen is heading south while still can have some solid ground to establish long position.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 08:31 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I can't tell at the moment. No time to do more hw on the chart yet.

hk dong 08:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
hk ab if nz 0.65 in 3 months & aud/jpy 6x. in 3 months then where will aud/usd be in 3 months?

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 08:10 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
and be honest, aud/jpy has scope even go to 6x.xx handle in these 3 months.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:07 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Hello I hope everyone is enjoying the holidays and the weekend. Just stop by to see what is going on I see it is very quiet. Contemplating on an intraday sell for eur/usd as soon as support is taken out. Here are the rough supports I have for this pair at this time 1.2165-75, 1.2095-2105 and 1.2055-65. I believe it should stay slow for the rest of the holiday but always cautious with a thin market as this we could always have a lot of volatility too IMHO. GL GT

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 07:04 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy seems eyeing 74 soon.

Hong Kong Qindex 06:52 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond (September) : The key quntized level of my daily cycle is located at 108^21. The pattern of my daily cycle charts suggest that the market is likely to trade between 107^29 - 108^21 initially. The lower barrier is located at 107^17 // 107^29 and the upper barrier is expected at 109^01 // 109^20. The odds are in favour of taking long position on dips. The June contract should be used as a reference, keep an eye on my monthly cycle charts.


... 107^17 // 107^29 - 108^09 - (108^21) - 109^01 // 109^20 ...


For tomorrow!

Hong Kong Qindex 06:25 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond : Projected Support at 107^27
QIndex - Monday May 31, 2004 - 06:17:26 GMT

GV Research

hong kong nt 06:19 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
BC -- can you share your wisdom on HK property market? is it wise selling some property now before US rate hike heading higher? many good trades to you...

houston st 05:29 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

BC -- Thanks for your comments..Re: Asia, these past few months are the first since I've been trading FX (only since 2001) that I've not had BOJ intervention to consider everytime the yen strengthened..if only Japan had learned a decade or two ago that they could live w/ a stronger yen..have been short usd/jpy since 111.57 and holding for medium term..would like to see eur/usd pullback again before resuming assault of 1.24xx, so will be patient for now..much luck to you, although I suspect you don't really need it..thanks again.

nyc sa 05:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai ,what is ur target for euro/dollar in June ? do u think it can revisit 119 before going up let 's say to 125 if this is the target ?thanx.

Dallas ts 05:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
thxs dr.quindex. shorted, stop 135.59 will paid you 1 year subscription if I t/p at 126.50 this month.

shanghai bc 05:12 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

ST -- This is more of correcting the previous moves of running away from Asia into Euroland in the past weeks..They have suddenly discovered Asia is not that weak..Euro is vulnerable on crosses front..Eur/Chf,Eur/Gbp,Eur/Jpy are all positioned against Euro..Then,again,Yen may lead this charge against Dollar this time while Euro and others follow..Anything below Eur/Usd 1.22 may be a good bargain in coming weeks..Good trades..

Hong Kong Qindex 05:07 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : A Strong Pull-Back is Imminent
Sunday May 16, 2004 - 02:52:48 GMT
QIndex - www.global-view.com/beta/qindexguide.htmlUSD/JPY (44-Day Cycle) : The key quantized level of my 44-day cycle reference is positioning at 114.86. The pattern of my 44-day cycle frequency and probability charts suggest that the market is going to retreat after it has reached its target around 114.86. It is likely that we can see 109.93 - 112.39 trading range within this week. USD/JPY has a potential to pull-back all the way to 105.00 - 107.47 within 2-3 weeks. We will change our view if the market can trade above 115.53. See details in our weekly cycle analysis. USD/JPY : Current Comment. Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

... // 105* - 106.24 - 107.47* - 108.70 - 109.93* - 111.16 - 112.39* - 113.63 - 114.86* // ...

Hong Kong Qindex 05:06 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:59 GMT - I am only interested in daily high/low and the rate at 20.00GMT.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:59 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q
How do you see the accuarcy of the time series forecast for Eur/Jpy so Far?

houston st 04:57 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

bc--Chinese & Japanese billions holding eur/usd line @ 1.22? tia & good trades.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:37 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY might kiss 199.9 then head towards 203.6

sar/tok jf 04:14 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ab- still eurgbp has alot more unwinding to do

sar/tok jf 04:12 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
ab - seems the breaks have been released on euryen - however in new month japanese funds need to allocate new buying for assets again so again my feeling will be usdyen make some rally and eurusd back under 1.2000 once a few more people buy it - slow move at first then faster and euryen can fall to dr q's target level - i am not watching so closely to be honest but this is my impression

Hong Kong Qindex 04:02 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Dallas ts 03:55 GMT - EUR/JPY : I don't think you have to wait for 134.18 for entry if you are going to hold for a week.

Dallas ts 03:55 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT May 31, 2004 Dr Q I am going to short this pair. I'll fork over cash to paid you for a subscription if I am in profit this week. any ideas for a short entry? thxs

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 03:43 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
It's gonna be a good week I think

Ldn 03:32 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Australia's private sector lending grew in April, keeping talk of a Reserve Bank interest rate hike alive as a swag of economic data was released Monday. Private sector credit rose 1.5% in April, with household credit up 1.6%, Reserve Bank data showed. "While housing credit is expanding at a near record annual pace then the Reserve Bank will remain poised to raise interest rates"
Craig James- CommSec.

houston st 03:29 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

Hong Kong Qindex 03:26 GMT--thanks..will do.

Hong Kong Qindex 03:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
houston st 03:18 GMT - I am now working on T-bonds. I will post the daily EUR/USD later today if you can aceess to my page.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 03:21 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Eur/JPY is very strong at 133.65

houston st 03:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

Q--do you have eur/usd ranges today? tia.gl/gt.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 03:11 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I could FTP these numbers in Excel or Email if OK with jay...then everyone can do what ever with them and time + / - GMT.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 03:04 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I take that as a compliment shang.
Thanks

houston st 03:02 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

we're gonna need a bigger browser...

shanghai bc 03:00 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   

Better call this "within the jungle of numbers"..

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
OK Dr. Q...I will try..I might have to code some...but I will!!
Meanwhile anyone can use the pivot in Excel to do that.
Thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 02:54 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:45 GMT - Thank you for your informaton. Can you generate the projection in the following manner :-

31/05/2004 20.00GMT
01/06/2004 20.00GMT
02/06/2004 20.00GMT
03/06/2004 20.00GMT
04/06/2004 20.00GMT

Brisbane L 02:51 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
World Bank plans to launch 2-year NZ$500 million uridashi bond into Japanese retail market rts

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:45 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q
I think U are right!!
I think this might happen for the eur/jpy
5/30/2004 22:45 134.76 134.50 133.02 132.67
5/30/2004 22:50 134.80 134.53 133.05 132.71
5/30/2004 22:55 134.84 134.57 133.07 132.72
5/30/2004 23:00 134.93 134.65 133.08 132.73
5/30/2004 23:05 135.04 134.74 133.11 132.75
5/30/2004 23:10 135.14 134.83 133.14 132.77
5/30/2004 23:15 135.20 134.89 133.21 132.83
5/30/2004 23:20 135.21 134.92 133.30 132.93
5/30/2004 23:25 135.23 134.95 133.42 133.06
5/30/2004 23:30 135.27 135.00 133.53 133.20
5/30/2004 23:35 135.30 135.02 133.74 133.47
5/30/2004 23:40 135.34 135.06 133.75 133.47
5/30/2004 23:45 135.41 135.11 133.76 133.47
5/30/2004 23:50 135.48 135.18 133.77 133.47
5/30/2004 23:55 135.54 135.23 133.78 133.46
5/30/2004 0:00 135.60 135.28 133.79 133.47
5/31/2004 0:05 135.66 135.33 133.81 133.48
5/31/2004 0:10 135.70 135.38 133.83 133.49
5/31/2004 0:15 135.70 135.39 133.84 133.49
5/31/2004 0:20 135.70 135.40 133.90 133.56
5/31/2004 0:25 135.67 135.39 133.97 133.64
5/31/2004 0:30 135.67 135.40 134.11 133.82
5/31/2004 0:35 135.64 135.40 134.16 133.89
5/31/2004 0:40 135.64 135.40 134.23 133.97
5/31/2004 0:45 135.60 135.39 134.27 134.01
5/31/2004 0:50 135.56 135.37 134.32 134.08
5/31/2004 0:55 135.51 135.34 134.37 134.14
5/31/2004 1:00 135.52 135.35 134.53 134.36
5/31/2004 1:05 135.50 135.34 134.56 134.40
5/31/2004 1:10 135.50 135.33 134.54 134.36
5/31/2004 1:15 135.51 135.33 134.52 134.34
5/31/2004 1:20 135.51 135.34 134.52 134.34
5/31/2004 1:25 135.50 135.33 134.52 134.34
5/31/2004 1:30 135.51 135.34 134.50 134.32
5/31/2004 1:35 135.53 135.35 134.50 134.32
5/31/2004 1:40 135.53 135.35 134.50 134.32
5/31/2004 1:45 135.53 135.35 134.51 134.33
5/31/2004 1:50 135.51 135.33 134.51 134.33
5/31/2004 1:55 135.49 135.32 134.52 134.35
5/31/2004 2:00 135.46 135.30 134.52 134.34
5/31/2004 2:05 135.46 135.30 134.52 134.35
5/31/2004 2:10 135.44 135.28 134.45 134.23
5/31/2004 2:15 135.51 135.33 134.42 134.18
5/31/2004 2:20 135.61 135.40 134.38 134.12
5/31/2004 2:25 135.72 135.49 134.36 134.07
5/31/2004 2:30 135.85 135.58 134.35 134.04
5/31/2004 2:35 135.94 135.65 134.34 134.03
5/31/2004 2:40 136.02 135.71 134.34 134.02
5/31/2004 2:45 136.10 135.77 134.33 133.99
5/31/2004 2:50 136.16 135.81 134.33 133.98
5/31/2004 2:55 136.21 135.85 134.33 133.98
5/31/2004 3:00 136.21 135.86 134.34 133.99
5/31/2004 3:05 136.22 135.87 134.36 134.02
5/31/2004 3:10 136.22 135.88 134.39 134.05
5/31/2004 3:15 136.21 135.88 134.42 134.08
5/31/2004 3:20 136.20 135.88 134.45 134.12
5/31/2004 3:25 136.16 135.87 134.48 134.16
5/31/2004 3:30 136.11 135.84 134.51 134.21
5/31/2004 3:35 136.10 135.83 134.60 134.32
5/31/2004 3:40 136.07 135.82 134.62 134.36
5/31/2004 3:45 136.06 135.81 134.68 134.42
5/31/2004 3:50 136.04 135.80 134.71 134.46
5/31/2004 3:55 136.02 135.79 134.72 134.49
5/31/2004 4:00 136.01 135.78 134.75 134.53
5/31/2004 4:05 136.00 135.77 134.76 134.54
5/31/2004 4:10 136.00 135.77 134.75 134.54
5/31/2004 4:15 135.99 135.76 134.75 134.53
5/31/2004 4:20 135.98 135.74 134.74 134.53
5/31/2004 4:25 135.97 135.74 134.72 134.51
5/31/2004 4:30 135.96 135.72 134.70 134.49
5/31/2004 4:35 135.94 135.71 134.68 134.47
5/31/2004 4:40 135.93 135.69 134.66 134.44
5/31/2004 4:45 135.90 135.67 134.63 134.41
5/31/2004 4:50 135.87 135.64 134.61 134.40
5/31/2004 4:55 135.82 135.60 134.57 134.37
5/31/2004 5:00 135.80 135.57 134.55 134.35
5/31/2004 5:05 135.76 135.53 134.54 134.34
5/31/2004 5:10 135.73 135.50 134.53 134.35
5/31/2004 5:15 135.67 135.45 134.54 134.38
5/31/2004 5:20 135.52 135.34 134.53 134.37
5/31/2004 5:25 135.48 135.31 134.53 134.40
5/31/2004 5:30 135.36 135.21 134.53 134.40
5/31/2004 5:35 135.34 135.19 134.52 134.38
5/31/2004 5:40 135.32 135.18 134.51 134.37
5/31/2004 5:45 135.31 135.17 134.50 134.37
5/31/2004 5:50 135.31 135.16 134.50 134.36
5/31/2004 5:55 135.31 135.16 134.49 134.35
5/31/2004 6:00 135.30 135.16 134.49 134.35
5/31/2004 6:05 135.35 135.19 134.49 134.36
5/31/2004 6:10 135.37 135.20 134.42 134.26
5/31/2004 6:15 135.41 135.22 134.37 134.19
5/31/2004 6:20 135.40 135.21 134.30 134.10
5/31/2004 6:25 135.41 135.20 134.25 134.04
5/31/2004 6:30 135.40 135.20 134.21 134.00
5/31/2004 6:35 135.38 135.18 134.18 133.95
5/31/2004 6:40 135.40 135.19 134.15 133.93
5/31/2004 6:45 135.41 135.19 134.11 133.87
5/31/2004 6:50 135.40 135.17 134.08 133.84
5/31/2004 6:55 135.37 135.14 134.06 133.84

Hong Kong Qindex 02:38 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:27 GMT - EUR/USD : The market is under pressure from EUR/JPY. My bias is still on the downside.

Brisbane L 02:37 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Reserve Bank of Australia will "remain uncomfortable" with news April private sector credit grew 1.5%, housing credit up 1.6%, says Craig James, economist at CommSec. Says RBA will stay poised to hike rates as long as private lending fails to fall could back view RBA might need to hike later in year
rts.

Brisbane L 02:32 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Gain of 2.2% in Australia inventories in 1Q much stronger than 1.0% rise expected, according to consensus forecasts; Westpac economist Andrew Hanlan says stocks being rebuilt after they were run down in previous quarter when demand ran well ahead of expectations; will make "huge" contribution to GDP of 1.1%. Adds continued surge in imports in April suggests economy to maintain momentum despite buildup in inventories in 1Q.

App

USA Biscuit Boy 02:27 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Market is very thin so as long as volatility keeps up it has a chance. Option barrier at 1.23 should cap.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:27 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
GM Dr....Eur
I posted the time series forecast 2 messeges ago.
Thanks for asking Doc.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:26 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
I think it might barly tought 1.23 then mabe down again
What do U think USA?

Hong Kong Qindex 02:25 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:18 GMT - Good morning! I am not sure which pair of currency are you referring to.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:23 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
USA BIS,
I think U are right about that...
LOL

USA Biscuit Boy 02:22 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Time to buy eur/usd, target 1.2250 then 1.23, GL.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:18 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
censored Dr.Q
What do you think?
Is it going up again?

Bahrain Within 10 pips 02:17 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Eur is going back up from the right most column
5/30/2004 22:15 1.2243 1.2231 1.2169 1.2157
5/30/2004 22:20 1.2242 1.2231 1.2171 1.2158
5/30/2004 22:25 1.2243 1.2233 1.2175 1.2164
5/30/2004 22:30 1.2245 1.2234 1.2179 1.2168
5/30/2004 22:35 1.2247 1.2236 1.2181 1.2171
5/30/2004 22:40 1.2249 1.2238 1.2183 1.2172
5/30/2004 22:45 1.2249 1.2238 1.2184 1.2173
5/30/2004 22:50 1.2251 1.2239 1.2184 1.2172
5/30/2004 22:55 1.2253 1.2241 1.2184 1.2173
5/30/2004 23:00 1.2256 1.2244 1.2185 1.2173
5/30/2004 23:05 1.2258 1.2246 1.2186 1.2174
5/30/2004 23:10 1.2260 1.2248 1.2186 1.2174
5/30/2004 23:15 1.2261 1.2248 1.2186 1.2173
5/30/2004 23:20 1.2262 1.2249 1.2187 1.2175
5/30/2004 23:25 1.2262 1.2250 1.2190 1.2177
5/30/2004 23:30 1.2263 1.2251 1.2193 1.2182
5/30/2004 23:35 1.2263 1.2251 1.2195 1.2184
5/30/2004 23:40 1.2263 1.2252 1.2197 1.2186
5/30/2004 23:45 1.2263 1.2252 1.2199 1.2189
5/30/2004 23:50 1.2262 1.2252 1.2201 1.2191
5/30/2004 23:55 1.2259 1.2251 1.2204 1.2194
5/30/2004 0:00 1.2259 1.2251 1.2211 1.2203
5/31/2004 0:05 1.2259 1.2251 1.2214 1.2207
5/31/2004 0:10 1.2260 1.2252 1.2215 1.2208
5/31/2004 0:15 1.2261 1.2253 1.2215 1.2209
5/31/2004 0:20 1.2261 1.2253 1.2216 1.2209
5/31/2004 0:25 1.2261 1.2253 1.2216 1.2210
5/31/2004 0:30 1.2262 1.2254 1.2216 1.2209
5/31/2004 0:35 1.2262 1.2254 1.2217 1.2210
5/31/2004 0:40 1.2263 1.2255 1.2217 1.2210
5/31/2004 0:45 1.2263 1.2255 1.2218 1.2211
5/31/2004 0:50 1.2262 1.2254 1.2219 1.2212
5/31/2004 0:55 1.2262 1.2254 1.2219 1.2213
5/31/2004 1:00 1.2261 1.2254 1.2217 1.2209
5/31/2004 1:05 1.2265 1.2256 1.2217 1.2209
5/31/2004 1:10 1.2265 1.2256 1.2215 1.2205
5/31/2004 1:15 1.2268 1.2258 1.2213 1.2202
5/31/2004 1:20 1.2270 1.2260 1.2212 1.2200
5/31/2004 1:25 1.2275 1.2264 1.2211 1.2198
5/31/2004 1:30 1.2282 1.2269 1.2211 1.2197
5/31/2004 1:35 1.2287 1.2273 1.2211 1.2196
5/31/2004 1:40 1.2290 1.2275 1.2211 1.2196
5/31/2004 1:45 1.2295 1.2279 1.2211 1.2195
5/31/2004 1:50 1.2297 1.2281 1.2211 1.2195
5/31/2004 1:55 1.2300 1.2283 1.2211 1.2195
5/31/2004 2:00 1.2301 1.2284 1.2212 1.2196
5/31/2004 2:05 1.2302 1.2285 1.2214 1.2197
5/31/2004 2:10 1.2303 1.2286 1.2216 1.2201
5/31/2004 2:15 1.2302 1.2286 1.2218 1.2204
5/31/2004 2:20 1.2301 1.2286 1.2220 1.2206
5/31/2004 2:25 1.2298 1.2284 1.2222 1.2208
5/31/2004 2:30 1.2295 1.2282 1.2224 1.2211
5/31/2004 2:35 1.2294 1.2282 1.2228 1.2217
5/31/2004 2:40 1.2293 1.2281 1.2227 1.2216
5/31/2004 2:45 1.2292 1.2280 1.2227 1.2216
5/31/2004 2:50 1.2291 1.2279 1.2226 1.2214
5/31/2004 2:55 1.2291 1.2279 1.2225 1.2213
5/31/2004 3:00 1.2292 1.2279 1.2224 1.2212
5/31/2004 3:05 1.2292 1.2279 1.2223 1.2212
5/31/2004 3:10 1.2291 1.2279 1.2223 1.2211
5/31/2004 3:15 1.2291 1.2278 1.2222 1.2210
5/31/2004 3:20 1.2290 1.2277 1.2222 1.2210
5/31/2004 3:25 1.2289 1.2277 1.2222 1.2210
5/31/2004 3:30 1.2288 1.2276 1.2221 1.2209
5/31/2004 3:35 1.2288 1.2275 1.2220 1.2209
5/31/2004 3:40 1.2287 1.2274 1.2220 1.2209
5/31/2004 3:45 1.2285 1.2273 1.2218 1.2207
5/31/2004 3:50 1.2284 1.2272 1.2217 1.2205
5/31/2004 3:55 1.2282 1.2270 1.2215 1.2203
5/31/2004 4:00 1.2281 1.2269 1.2213 1.2202
5/31/2004 4:05 1.2280 1.2267 1.2213 1.2202
5/31/2004 4:10 1.2277 1.2265 1.2211 1.2201
5/31/2004 4:15 1.2274 1.2262 1.2210 1.2201
5/31/2004 4:20 1.2265 1.2256 1.2209 1.2199
5/31/2004 4:25 1.2264 1.2254 1.2208 1.2200
5/31/2004 4:30 1.2258 1.2250 1.2207 1.2198
5/31/2004 4:35 1.2257 1.2248 1.2206 1.2197
5/31/2004 4:40 1.2253 1.2245 1.2205 1.2196
5/31/2004 4:45 1.2252 1.2244 1.2204 1.2195
5/31/2004 4:50 1.2252 1.2244 1.2203 1.2194
5/31/2004 4:55 1.2252 1.2244 1.2203 1.2194
5/31/2004 5:00 1.2251 1.2243 1.2203 1.2194
5/31/2004 5:05 1.2251 1.2243 1.2202 1.2193
5/31/2004 5:10 1.2251 1.2242 1.2201 1.2192
5/31/2004 5:15 1.2251 1.2242 1.2200 1.2191
5/31/2004 5:20 1.2251 1.2242 1.2199 1.2189
5/31/2004 5:25 1.2251 1.2241 1.2196 1.2186
5/31/2004 5:30 1.2251 1.2242 1.2195 1.2185
5/31/2004 5:35 1.2251 1.2242 1.2194 1.2184
5/31/2004 5:40 1.2251 1.2241 1.2194 1.2183
5/31/2004 5:45 1.2251 1.2241 1.2193 1.2182
5/31/2004 5:50 1.2250 1.2240 1.2191 1.2180
5/31/2004 5:55 1.2250 1.2240 1.2190 1.2180
5/31/2004 6:00 1.2248 1.2238 1.2190 1.2180
5/31/2004 6:05 1.2247 1.2237 1.2191 1.2182
5/31/2004 6:10 1.2245 1.2235 1.2192 1.2185
5/31/2004 6:15 1.2243 1.2234 1.2195 1.2190
5/31/2004 6:20 1.2233 1.2226 1.2195 1.2189
5/31/2004 6:25 1.2233 1.2227 1.2195 1.2189

Ina mr.co'z 01:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Good morning all..! Hoping today is first day of our luck in this week..., After you enjoy the nice weekend..Good Trade all !

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 01:58 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud seems big short time from charts.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Heading Towards 132.34
Wednesday May 19, 2004 - 04:48:35 GMT
QIndex - www.global-view.com/beta/qindexguide.html


EUR/JPY : The critical level of my 44-day cycle reference is located at 134.09 - 135.84 and the market rhythm is represented by 175 pips. The pattern of the 44-day frequency chart suggests that the market is likely to vibrate around the critical level with an expected magnitude of 1.75, i.e. 132.34 - 137.59. If the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 130.58, EUR/JPY has a potential to go all the way to 127.07.


44-Day Cycle Quantzed Levels


...127.07* ... // 130.58* - 131.46 - 132.34* - 133.22 - 134.09* - 134.97 - 135.84* - 136.72 - 137.59 * // ...

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 01:45 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
jf, seems eur/jpy being played v. hard.

Brisbane L 01:36 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
Spot gold $395.65/oz, +$1.90 vs Comex close Friday

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 01:17 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
gold has some divergence with the majors.......
better stay on the short side for usd on dips.

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 01:14 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
re: weekly chart.
The hoax can't hold....

hk ab nz 0.65 in 3 months 01:14 GMT May 31, 2004 Reply   
the lovely eur/jpy will find the bottom of the contracting triangle later......

big pennant.

 




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Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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