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Forex Forum Archive for 06/08/2004

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KNOXVILLE TN. Dan-k 23:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
stops around 109.30 lets see if they get taken out then off to 109 i think

ny amc 23:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
talk about pulling the trigger too soon

ny amc 23:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I was thinking around 109-109.10 but covered because it looks pretty solid at 109.50 but i will be watching to get back in short.

KNOXVILLE TN. Dan-k 23:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ny--do you have a target on usd jpy ?

ny amc 23:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
closed usd/jpy short at 109.55 from 110.05

LAX-LGB SNP 22:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
FARMACIA
you've got mail !

hk ab nzd 0.59 double bottom 22:50 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I am more intended towards Daimyo comment, it's more like a yen story rather than an USD story now...

hk ab nzd 0.59 double bottom 22:44 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BB, yes, after yesterday close, eur has made the thing it needs.

Moscow Mishanya 21:33 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London AKA
privet
ti mojesh menya dostat' na mishanya_fx at yahoo dot com
;-)

GVI john 21:29 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2270…$/yen 109.65
DJIA 10,433, +41 pts NASDAQ 2,024, +3 pts
10-yr 4.78%, +2 bp’s
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on “GVI’s Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


SEE FULL TEXT on GVI

USA Biscuit Boy 20:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the thoughts on reversals guys. To me technically and fundamentally the dollar looks very weak so I will continue to play it from the short side until it shows otherwise.

LAX-LGB SNP 20:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
going to bid audusd, gbpchf and short usdcad

Dr Qindex - thanks for your eurusd numbers ... too bad the broker didnt fill my shorts @ 1.2355 but filled @ 1.2320 - earlier during Asia, the thieves denied my gbpusd long @ 1.8365 but honored short @ 1.8440

now i dont know if i should be unhappy or happy or both ;-) perhaps you can prescribe some medication, haha j/k

Stockholm za 20:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw >>>>
Have a look at :- May 12 & 13 Candle sticks......lol
Happy trades to you .......

ICT ML 20:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BB....a daily key reversal candle formation is just one more item to help determine the market intentions...alone it is worthless, in agreement with other techies it has a much better chance of being useful.

This market has me pretty confused right now. Still long cable but for a "trend", this is acting pretty weak. Daily, weekly say still heading higher...monthly says might peak this month and head back down., causing another "key monthly reversal"......who knows.....maybe we are really going to suffer a year long range trade like Athens had alluded to early in the year.

Porto PJT 20:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Eur/jpy long at 50, stop at 134,00.

Helsinki iw 20:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Unless the ema spike eats me ===) (.)(.) all good ?

Helsinki iw 20:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy, the qualifications for a key reversal are simple, and you can, if you choose, use them as trading signals for whatever time period you like to follow. Basically they will give you a s/l level and a direction, nothing more. My experience is that they work best when at the end of a trend, whereas if they occur in the trends direction at a stage where the trend is already long in the tooth they often are signs of exhaustion. In short, there are reversals and reversals. This one looks ok to me, but would be happier with confirmation from other dollar pairs, i.e. CHF, GBP , AUD or CAD as well. But this is another sign that dollat weakness may be waning for now. IMHO

Stockholm za 19:28 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
fwiw.......
€/$ If close > 45 = +
ema 8 spike is good.
Happy trades........

USA Biscuit Boy 19:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ad no I won't take it too seriously maybe the markets are a little more complex to decipher.

USA Biscuit Boy 19:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Well it looks like if eur/usd closes below 1.2280 today it will show an "outside" reversal today. Looking back over long term daily charts it seems these reversal indicators work famously except when they don't (which unfortunately is about 50% of the time). Maybe I need a coin to flip....

Bah Bahrain1 19:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Have a feeling that tom Fareast time will see this eur below 1.2230. take care and good luck. see you after 6 1/2 hrs.

GER ad 18:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 18:39,
...
Key Reversal Day
A technical analysis chart pattern that occurs either at a top or a bottom after a long move lasting many days or even weeks. A top reversal day would be the setting of a new high in an uptrend, followed by a lower close than the previous days close. A bottom reversal day would be the setting of a new low in a downtrend, followed by a higher close than the previous days close. They signal a near term possible trend reversal.
...
So is enough if we close lower than Yesterday low after setting today a new high.
Is only theory don’t take it too seriously (no confirmation from CHF, GBP...)

GL & GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
That is a bearish engulfing pattern for the eur/usd pair.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 18:39 GMT June 8, 2004
Maybe this is not exactly answering your question but we have an engulfing pattern on the daily chart and the ideal closing would be under the 1.2270-80 area IMHO. GL GT

hk ab nzd 0.59 double bottom 18:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BB, look at the explanation from the gvi teaching page on somewhere on your right. I got to sleep now, talk tomorrow.

USA Biscuit Boy 18:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HK AB or someone else may be able to help.....I often see posts regarding reversal days. This is when in an uptrend we make a new high but close near the days low. Is this a subjective indicator? How close to the days low must we close to be classified a reversal day? Maybe we can use todays eur/usd price action as an example. TIA for any help.

Bah Bahrain1 18:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi frnds, Hope all fine with u, Think tom will see $YEN above 110 again....GL

KNOXVILLE TN. Dan-k 18:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
gonna drop cable after i get the dish installed

LA saint3 17:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hi ..
does anyone see cable will drop anytime?

TIA

OK SZ 17:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, excellent idea..I am off to the gym so will be back late this evening after my sons ballgame..take care..gl, gt

Rye, NY et 17:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 17:09 GMT June 8, 2004
Covered shorts. I think this market is going to stall out for the rest of NY. I'll look to buy around 1.2210, if seen. GL/GT

NYC hkfx 17:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Japan's GDP report is comin out later @ 23:30 pm (GMT), what should we look out for?

OK SZ 17:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, nice one you had a nice call last evening on the short from 12330 also..gl gt

OK SZ 17:08 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
with the bulk of the selling coming from that investment bank probably already done the euro will probably drift higher for rest of the day..still want to buy it lower..

Rye, NY et 17:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 17:02 GMT June 8, 2004
nice call...I added to my shorts there...

OK SZ 17:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
biscuit, yes just got back in..was short from 75 earlier and covered at 50..want to see euro a bit lower before buying if I get the chance..but will watch and see shat happens now..gl, gt

Hong Kong Qindex 16:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish 16:46 GMT - LINK

USA Biscuit Boy 16:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Add more ultimately above 1.2450. GL and GT.

sydney balmain 16:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
privet London aka.

USA Biscuit Boy 16:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SZ are you around.....buying eur/usd here? I bought some at 1.2253....i'll buy more near 1.2220 if seen stops below 1.2200.

Chicago Irish 16:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Cheers Qindex.....! BTW is your shop in HK online? If so please post a link.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish 16:37 GMT - USD/JPY : A sell signal has been hoisted for several days already. One may like to do it after the market can penetrate through 109.05.

Gen dk 16:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London AKA 16:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
long cable at 1.8330 with a stop just below at 1.8325 - where i think wave e of a trangle finished.

vsem russko-govorashim otdel'nij privet.

Rye, NY et 16:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:17 GMT June 8, 2004
YES, sir! I absolutely agree. I would only add that, IMO, the second dip toward 1.2200 will be further toward 1.2100. GL/GT

Gold Coast martin 16:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Should EURO print a new daily low in the next 5 minutes we will see 12190 within the next 2.5 hours..g/l

Chicago Irish 16:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex:Just waiting for the magic words "A sell signal has been hoisted for Usd/Jpy on my system" :-)

Gen dk 16:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London STR 16:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AKA--you are very right about the sleep!!! But great rewards are not easy. I also look at the big picture too--its how i analyse as well. Ill start off on a daily timescale and work my way down to a five minute. Yes I see £ and Euro going way down, soon, but upper targets from here must first be reached. May I ask--if you use stops, where have you put yours? Thanks!

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:53 GMT June 8, 2004
for usd/chf if we look for weekly chart seen on the process build in wave-2

Gold Coast martin 16:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
LONDON..AKA..da zdes ponimauchie po-russki est...

Rye, NY et 16:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et 04:06 GMT June 7, 2004
Short EUR/USD 1.2335;cut 1.2400;take 1.2210

Adjust: S/L to 1.2360

Add: Short EUR/USD 1.2268;cut 1.2290;take 1.2210

Hong Kong Qindex 16:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
lnd 16:15 GMT - USD/JPY : This is the only pair that I feel very comfortable. The rest of them have some uncertainty.

London AKA 16:29 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
one of the best introductions for elliott wave is elliott wave international web-page. get frost and prechter's book as well.

London AKA 16:27 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
tak tut russko-govorashie est'?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
it's time

London AKA 16:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
STR: not placing stops is not at all stupid, if you have the discipline... well, and the ability to sleep at night without stops... ;-)

i think in the big, big picture, the swiss is in a bullish phase against both eur and usd. i see the rally in usd/chf from 1.2135 to 1.32+ as unfolding in 3 waves, and hence corrective. we should therefore be seeing a fifth wave down in usd/chf, which should move to at least the january lows, if not lower. i see the third wave in this sell-off as completing now (so we either have a final 5th wave sell-off of wave 3, or maybe the beginning of wave 4?)

Sydney Alimin 16:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
well done martin, hope so....cheers mate

HK Kevin 16:17 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
My trading scenario for EUR is to hold the support at 1.2200, then rise to 1.2450 before testing again 1.2200. Afterwards, the real show begin.
Don't take the US rate story too serious, the market has all priced in. Most important of all, US economy can't afford an agressive rate change.

Gold Coast martin 16:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SYDNEY ALIMIN...Euro at an artificially boosted level of 122-123 and lacking solid key fundamentals is already in trouble....good days ahead for selling euro....

New York hkfx 16:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the welcoming...

I'm not too familiar with these technical analysis theories/models (i.e. Elliot waves, pyramids, MACD's, etc.)...where can I learn more about this? Any quick reads to recommend?

lnd 16:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex. cheers for your post very early on regarding euro. cut my long at breakeven. felt uncomfortable with the long since yest and your post prompted me to just cut and run. sitting with small short on $/yen as i agree with you that this is waiting to crack. this false support from semi-official agenst on $/yen will move out of the way making room for 106/107. once again thanks. gl & gt to all.

Gold Coast martin 16:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SYDNEY BALMAIN...DOBRO POJALOVAT....

Sydney Alimin 16:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
enough for me today, gl gt everyone, see u all in the morning

Livingston nh 16:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trying a long cable again (stopped out at 42 earlier -50 pips) - think third time upmove is the charm on this to break above 1.85// also small long on USD/CHF (may be a bit early on this) for a turn

Sydney Alimin 16:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
personally i think if euro closes around current price, it will be in trouble tomorrow

sydney balmain 16:10 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
spasibo martin za haroshi posts.

Gold Coast martin 16:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
good evening....the last point of resistance for the aud on its way down to 6870 is 6988 resistance barrier...this barrier should be breached within the next 3 hours..after that the goose is cooked and this time there will not be a lot of major support for the aud when 6870 is reached...will keep you posted...

London STR 15:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the insight Raden Mas.
Bahrain--how is Manama today? :)

Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:49 GMT June 8, 2004/
I agree...what is your thoughts about chf and where it's at in the waves?...a level that is absolute for say six months?

London STR 15:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AKA--i know this sounds, intiailly, a bit stupid, but i dont place a stop. The fact is i pyramid my positions: ive gone long at 8350 on only 50k--ill add to that when it gets over 8375 most likely. Pretty much ill look to close out my long if below something like 8200--but i have 8720 in the cards, which i believe is similar to you? Do you pyramid as well AKA?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
my rule analysis concept.
if gbp/usd in 20 minutes from now can not be passed 1.8375, chart will get selling pressure after 20 minutes from now.

sydney balmain 15:51 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
i fly by the seat of my pants... very subjective.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
after thinking about Elliot, I want to inform you about gbp/usd and eur/usd. Today have made sell signal for bigger time frame. Be carefull..maybe sellers will come from this pattern.
for this time frame..stop loss rule is at 1.8500 to get profit target 1.8080 (bottom).

London e 15:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London STR 15:43 GMT June 8, 2004
Im going to look more into Elliot wave now. Thanks for the comments everyone ;-)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:39 GMT June 8, 2004
sorry for my comment.
I agree with you, but although Elliot wave is too subjective, Elliot wave have some rule that have researched and have been tested and proved. the mistake is from Elliot users , not from Elliot Theory.
I prefer use moving because that indicator is objective..always follow whereever price move. I think better than oscilator(detect graph behind graph).
...just my opinion.

London AKA 15:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
STR - where would you place your stop on cable? even though this 4, if it is a 4, is so long in time, it is rather shallow in price?

London AKA 15:44 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
i certainly take my hat off for modellers (paul tudor jones and ed seykota etc...). haven't developed any of my own and still trying to catch that 3rd wave!

incidentally, does anyone follow the dollar index? reuters <=usd>; bloomie dxy ?

London STR 15:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London e--ive been doing elliot for about two years now, and by no means an expert. But the fact is, if you can spot a wave 2 and wave 4 (after a while theyre shape becomes quite obvious) then you can start using it your advantage. Best of luck at the meeting!

London AKA 15:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
very profitable indeed, if you don't try to catch every move ;-) also, pyramiding should be the strategy with elliott, as counts can frequently prove to be more complex than originally thought.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London e 15:35 GMT June 8, 2004,
Elliot wave is subjective...Cause it's only a concept..
Modeling it...is another thing...
and London...it's a good concept...I think it's true...
Been Modeling the elliot wave for 4 years now..so
Good Luck London

London e 15:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London AKA 15:32 GMT June 8, 2004
Is elliot wave trading profitable? I find it too subjective, but haven't really tried it, incidently Im going to a meeting on Elliot wave tomorrow!

Hong Kong Qindex 15:33 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:25 GMT - In general I am interested in several hundred pips movements.

London AKA 15:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
sorry, forgot to introduce myself: i have been trading fx for a year now, mainly wave analysis driven... would be really happy to discuss views/counts.

Gen dk 15:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hong Kong Qindex 15:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:19 GMT - I really don't know, have to wait and see the closing rate in New York session.

London e 15:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
NYC hkfx 15:19 GMT June 8, 2004
I just about to graduate too in Maths and Finance, but trust me the markets are more about psychology I think. By the way I got myself in deep deep debt trading forex so be careful - start of small and expect to lose it all and more!

USA Biscuit Boy 15:27 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
NYC hkfx 15:19 GMT June 8, 2004

Welcome to the forum mate:) I believe this the best place to learn FX trading so enjoy! Make sure to check out all the links and resources too.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I Just sold CHF for 40 pips London
Dr. Q...
I use t value of 8.5 as a standard..as in no normality assumption...
The odds are (1-1/8.5^2)..in a consective way in the levels ( with time)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:24 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
today movement eur/usd and gbp/usd have made some investors in my floor nerveous .
the key level for big movement is at 1.8270. I think so many sellers wait this level if be broken. in this area there will be crash orders. who will win?

London AKA 15:20 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
anybody trading elliott wave here? what do people think of usd/chf? looks like finished wave c in this rise from today's lows to 1.2423. in which case looking for a next leg down, going sub 1.23? any views/comments here? thanks, gl and gt!

Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oh Dr. Q...I run the system using 15 Minutes data...
and since the top for below is 1.2390 from now till next day...The last post Levels becomes redundent...
So I think the euro will have to 1.1980 from 1.2390..then do the 1.2530
U Agree?

6/8/2004 11:45 1.2377 1.2358 1.2268 1.2244
6/8/2004 12:00 1.2378 1.2359 1.2268 1.2244
6/8/2004 12:15 1.2383 1.2362 1.2267 1.2243
6/8/2004 12:30 1.2385 1.2363 1.2267 1.2243
6/8/2004 12:45 1.2385 1.2363 1.2267 1.2244
6/8/2004 13:00 1.2386 1.2364 1.2267 1.2243
6/8/2004 13:15 1.2386 1.2364 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 13:30 1.2386 1.2364 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 13:45 1.2388 1.2365 1.2267 1.2243
6/8/2004 14:00 1.2389 1.2366 1.2268 1.2244
6/8/2004 14:15 1.2389 1.2366 1.2266 1.2243
6/8/2004 14:30 1.2389 1.2367 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 14:45 1.2390 1.2367 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 15:00 1.2390 1.2367 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 15:15 1.2390 1.2368 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 15:30 1.2390 1.2368 1.2266 1.2242
6/8/2004 15:45 1.2387 1.2366 1.2267 1.2243
6/8/2004 16:00 1.2385 1.2365 1.2268 1.2245
6/8/2004 16:15 1.2383 1.2364 1.2269 1.2246
6/8/2004 16:30 1.2382 1.2364 1.2270 1.2247
6/8/2004 16:45 1.2381 1.2363 1.2269 1.2246
6/8/2004 17:00 1.2381 1.2363 1.2269 1.2246
6/8/2004 17:15 1.2381 1.2363 1.2269 1.2245
6/8/2004 17:30 1.2384 1.2364 1.2268 1.2245
6/8/2004 17:45 1.2385 1.2365 1.2269 1.2246
6/8/2004 18:00 1.2384 1.2364 1.2270 1.2248
6/8/2004 18:15 1.2379 1.2361 1.2272 1.2253
6/8/2004 18:30 1.2375 1.2358 1.2274 1.2255
6/8/2004 18:45 1.2375 1.2358 1.2273 1.2254
6/8/2004 19:00 1.2377 1.2359 1.2273 1.2253
6/8/2004 19:15 1.2377 1.2359 1.2270 1.2250
6/8/2004 19:30 1.2377 1.2359 1.2269 1.2248
6/8/2004 19:45 1.2372 1.2355 1.2267 1.2245
6/8/2004 20:00 1.2370 1.2354 1.2268 1.2246
6/8/2004 20:15 1.2370 1.2354 1.2272 1.2252
6/8/2004 20:30 1.2370 1.2354 1.2272 1.2252
6/8/2004 20:45 1.2373 1.2356 1.2271 1.2251
6/8/2004 21:00 1.2372 1.2355 1.2269 1.2249
6/8/2004 21:15 1.2372 1.2355 1.2267 1.2245
6/8/2004 21:30 1.2372 1.2355 1.2265 1.2243
6/8/2004 21:45 1.2373 1.2356 1.2265 1.2243
6/8/2004 22:00 1.2374 1.2356 1.2266 1.2244
6/8/2004 22:15 1.2374 1.2356 1.2266 1.2244
6/8/2004 22:30 1.2364 1.2350 1.2266 1.2244
6/8/2004 22:45 1.2362 1.2348 1.2266 1.2244
6/8/2004 23:00 1.2362 1.2348 1.2267 1.2245
6/8/2004 23:15 1.2366 1.2351 1.2267 1.2245
6/8/2004 23:30 1.2366 1.2351 1.2267 1.2245
6/8/2004 23:45 1.2367 1.2351 1.2268 1.2246
6/9/2004 0:00 1.2368 1.2352 1.2267 1.2244
6/9/2004 0:15 1.2374 1.2356 1.2266 1.2242
6/9/2004 0:30 1.2374 1.2357 1.2266 1.2242
6/9/2004 0:45 1.2374 1.2357 1.2264 1.2240
6/9/2004 1:00 1.2377 1.2359 1.2264 1.2240
6/9/2004 1:15 1.2378 1.2360 1.2264 1.2239
6/9/2004 1:30 1.2378 1.2360 1.2265 1.2240
6/9/2004 1:45 1.2380 1.2361 1.2264 1.2238

NYC hkfx 15:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hey, I just joined this forum and everyone seems to be close and friendly...Hopefully i'll be welcomed here...

Bit about myself...undergrad student, but about to graduate...i'm relatively new to FX, but i have been reading about the FX market and following the economy in general...i major in economics, so i aint exactly clueless...

Hong Kong Qindex 15:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:12 GMT - It would be better if you can assign the odds for your levels. BTW 4 - 6 hours intervals would be more useful.

HK Kevin 15:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Brought some ugly EUR/CHF at 1.5187.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hello.
about eur/usd.
easy to get 1.2236 first minor resistant and second level at 1.2200 (ideal), if 1.2200 be broken maybe many investors add their sell possie.

Tor BP 15:14 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Tony 14:40 Glad to see you back. In april your forecast for the swissy was great. What target do you expect now for the Swiss and Eur$

Bahrain Within 10 pips 15:12 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q...It's Funny I have the level 1.25 for the euro
It will have to do it by today+1 day...
I ran the system to get the forecast for the next day..
6/9/2004 0:00 1.2511 1.2440 1.2086 1.1990
6/9/2004 0:30 1.2512 1.2440 1.2076 1.1976
6/9/2004 1:00 1.2516 1.2441 1.2065 1.1963
6/9/2004 1:30 1.2518 1.2442 1.2057 1.1951
6/9/2004 2:00 1.2523 1.2444 1.2048 1.1940
6/9/2004 2:30 1.2527 1.2445 1.2042 1.1934
6/9/2004 3:00 1.2527 1.2444 1.2038 1.1931
6/9/2004 3:30 1.2525 1.2441 1.2035 1.1930
6/9/2004 4:00 1.2516 1.2433 1.2037 1.1936
6/9/2004 4:30 1.2506 1.2424 1.2038 1.1941
6/9/2004 5:00 1.2503 1.2421 1.2042 1.1949
6/9/2004 5:30 1.2498 1.2415 1.2047 1.1961
6/9/2004 6:00 1.2483 1.2404 1.2054 1.1974
6/9/2004 6:30 1.2479 1.2399 1.2060 1.1985
6/9/2004 7:00 1.2471 1.2392 1.2064 1.1994
6/9/2004 7:30 1.2468 1.2390 1.2069 1.2002
6/9/2004 8:00 1.2449 1.2375 1.2074 1.2012
6/9/2004 8:30 1.2417 1.2352 1.2079 1.2021
6/9/2004 9:00 1.2410 1.2346 1.2085 1.2030
6/9/2004 9:30 1.2380 1.2325 1.2095 1.2046
6/9/2004 10:00 1.2284 1.2259 1.2140 1.2111
6/9/2004 10:30 1.2299 1.2269 1.2140 1.2110
6/9/2004 11:00 1.2314 1.2279 1.2136 1.2103
6/9/2004 11:30 1.2320 1.2284 1.2128 1.2091
6/9/2004 12:00 1.2320 1.2284 1.2128 1.2090
6/9/2004 12:30 1.2329 1.2289 1.2123 1.2083
6/9/2004 13:00 1.2338 1.2294 1.2118 1.2077
6/9/2004 13:30 1.2344 1.2298 1.2119 1.2077
6/9/2004 14:00 1.2345 1.2299 1.2119 1.2077
6/9/2004 14:30 1.2347 1.2301 1.2116 1.2073
6/9/2004 15:00 1.2349 1.2302 1.2120 1.2077
6/9/2004 15:30 1.2350 1.2303 1.2123 1.2082
6/9/2004 16:00 1.2353 1.2306 1.2124 1.2083
6/9/2004 16:30 1.2356 1.2308 1.2125 1.2084

LHR B747 15:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
sydney balmain: it is also USD 5M lose with some operators :)

Newcastle GH 15:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk,

Thanks and you too SZ I knew you would answer that when you could. I'll have to save up to trade that much!

OK SZ 14:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
the only thing we need now is to know what level he wats to sell at:)

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 14:51 GMT June 8, 2004
Thanks..Dr. q.
Maybe at 200..

nyc jk 14:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
sure, easy to lose a zero when talking billions! cheers

OK SZ 14:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
jk, thanks

nyc jk 14:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
gh - no , 10,000 lots .

Hong Kong Qindex 14:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
houston st 14:41 GMT - Good evening!

sydney balmain 14:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
a yard is 1 $1billion

OK SZ 14:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
GH, yes

London STR 14:52 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AKA right there with, noticed that over the weekend, starting to pyramid positions down here around 8350 etc...best of luck

Hong Kong Qindex 14:51 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:47 GMT - I am a position trader and I would not buy at this level.

OK SZ 14:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
cashman, yes that is correct..thanks for catching that..read it too fast

Hong Kong Qindex 14:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:24 GMT June 8, 2004
Spot Gold : A pullback is imminent and the market is going to challenge the supporting strength of 388.3 - 389.1.


USA Biscuit Boy 14:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Cashman I can never be sure with my retail platform prices. Cheers.

Newcastle GH 14:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SZ
one yard is 1000 lots? Is that correct?

nyc jk 14:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
to go = to sell

Ldn Cashman 14:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SZ, I read it that the investment house had 2 yds to sell.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q...Morning..
U think GBP/YEn is a buy at 201?
Thanks

B.A. BOCA 14:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
52 on reuters...

Sydney Alimin 14:45 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
second selling wave might come sooner than previously expected, still hoping to see Dr Q's range for today

OK SZ 14:44 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
biscuit, I am not sure we get that low today..cla posted that a ny firm has 2 more yards to buy on the euro today..will see

Ldn Cashman 14:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit boy, the EBS high around European open 1.2355

OK SZ 14:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Tony, have not seen you in a long time here..good to see your posts again..gl, gt mate

USA Biscuit Boy 14:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Can anyone tell me the hi for eur/usd overnight on ebs....was that option barrier at 1.2350 taken out or swiss guy still selling up there defended it?

Read asian soveriegn bids at 1.2250 so may hold up here for a while. Closer to 1.2200 looks a very nice buy for a bounce IMO.

houston st 14:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

QINDEX -- good day to you.

Barcelona Tony 14:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Just be careful $ bears ..... be very very careful

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Sorry about that..
Left columns are high and high (covr)
The right are The Longs and Long Cover...
Sorry

Hong Kong Qindex 14:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 08:22 GMT June 6, 2004
USD/CHF (Weekly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2522....... See details in my page.
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

mex sjs 14:36 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
bahrain within 10 pips, those numbers what?? high-low-open-close? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:36 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
If You Buy the euro don't stay too long...it's high today I think is enough...
I say short it at 1.2385 till the next 24 hours

London AKA 14:33 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
cable looks like it has completed a 5 wave triangle correction (wave 4) of the 1.7650-1.84 rally (it was wave 3). if this is correct, we should see cable trade in the 1.8720 area soon (wave 5, before a much bigger correction)

Udine Cael 14:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 14:21 // LOL

Nottingham 14:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:29 GMT

happened hour and a half ago...BoC was surprisingly dovish or at least not yet ready to change stance...however market not too carried away as its seen to be already net short cad...in a nutshell...gl gt

Ath LK 14:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi there
How you look like eur/yen?

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
This what's gonna Happen..for the euro for Morning Session (NY)
6/8/2004 10:35 1.2395 1.2354 1.2175 1.2131
6/8/2004 10:50 1.2396 1.2356 1.2185 1.2143
6/8/2004 11:05 1.2397 1.2359 1.2194 1.2153
6/8/2004 11:20 1.2396 1.2360 1.2201 1.2161
6/8/2004 11:35 1.2395 1.2361 1.2209 1.2171
6/8/2004 11:50 1.2389 1.2356 1.2216 1.2181
6/8/2004 12:05 1.2388 1.2357 1.2220 1.2186
6/8/2004 12:20 1.2410 1.2373 1.2212 1.2172
6/8/2004 12:35 1.2419 1.2381 1.2217 1.2176
6/8/2004 12:50 1.2410 1.2377 1.2236 1.2200
6/8/2004 13:05 1.2393 1.2368 1.2258 1.2231
6/8/2004 13:20 1.2393 1.2368 1.2268 1.2244
6/8/2004 13:35 1.2394 1.2370 1.2271 1.2247
6/8/2004 13:50 1.2395 1.2372 1.2276 1.2253
6/8/2004 14:05 1.2398 1.2374 1.2277 1.2254
6/8/2004 14:20 1.2405 1.2379 1.2274 1.2249
6/8/2004 14:35 1.2405 1.2379 1.2274 1.2249
6/8/2004 14:50 1.2403 1.2378 1.2275 1.2250
6/8/2004 15:05 1.2405 1.2379 1.2275 1.2250
6/8/2004 15:20 1.2413 1.2384 1.2275 1.2250
6/8/2004 15:35 1.2425 1.2394 1.2275 1.2249
6/8/2004 15:50 1.2424 1.2395 1.2289 1.2267
6/8/2004 16:05 1.2421 1.2395 1.2297 1.2277
6/8/2004 16:20 1.2419 1.2394 1.2305 1.2288
6/8/2004 16:35 1.2420 1.2394 1.2304 1.2287
6/8/2004 16:50 1.2419 1.2393 1.2301 1.2283
6/8/2004 17:05 1.2425 1.2397 1.2297 1.2277
6/8/2004 17:20 1.2423 1.2396 1.2297 1.2277
6/8/2004 17:35 1.2422 1.2396 1.2297 1.2278
6/8/2004 17:50 1.2405 1.2385 1.2309 1.2295
6/8/2004 18:05 1.2400 1.2381 1.2307 1.2293
6/8/2004 18:20 1.2398 1.2379 1.2302 1.2287
6/8/2004 18:35 1.2385 1.2368 1.2299 1.2285

HK Kevin 14:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 14:29 GMT, thank you. Just back home from a late dinner.

Global-View 14:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, see below

GVI john 13:00 GMT June 8, 2004
Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent

OTTAWA – The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 2 1/4 per cent.

Economic information received since the release of the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) has been generally consistent with the Bank's expectations for growth and core inflation, and reflects the Canadian economy's continuing adjustment to global economic developments. The notable exception has been the sharp rise in world oil prices in response to stronger-than-anticipated global demand for oil and to heightened geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East. This implies that total CPI inflation over the next several months will be higher than the Bank expected.

All things considered, the Bank's outlook for economic growth and core inflation is essentially unchanged from the outlook in the April MPR. The Bank continues to project that the economy will return close to its production potential by the third quarter of 2005 and that core inflation will move back to the 2 per cent target by the end of 2005.

In these circumstances, the Bank decided to leave the target for the overnight rate unchanged.

Information note:
The Bank of Canada's next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2004.
The Monetary Policy Report Update will be published on 22 July 2004.

HK Kevin 14:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Please ignore my previous post. No change im rate.

OK SZ 14:29 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
kevin, you missed it..no change

HK Kevin 14:29 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
What time is BoC rate announcemrnt, please?

Plovdiv Gotin 14:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Tallin/This is my reading of the figures.

B.A. BOCA 14:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
cable accelerated below that 8370 line i mentioned before, looks like it wants to test 8320/8275. if that goes then the party is over for this range.
should still be looked at as short-term $ strength, though.

Tallinn viies 14:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 14:21 - hold yourses man

Plovdiv Gotin 14:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
If everything is O.K. E/$...1.1375 in a month.

OK SZ 14:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
nice dip on the euro..look for a retrace to 75/80 and then sell some more

Bahrain Within 10 pips 14:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:15 GMT June 8, 2004,
Right with that statment.
The action now is with crosses
STG/Yen at 201 is generally a buy...it should get to 204 next week

Sydney Alimin 14:20 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: are you around buddy?

Chicago JMI 14:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
London EW 14:18 GMT June 8, 2004
Everybody thinks it will reach $500 this year, which is why it won't.

London EW 14:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Good trading. Any views on gold? Is it a buy down here. Anyone think gold could reach $500 this year? Thanks.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Before we all get exited about this move on eur/usd we must go through some support for a deeper correction. Next I have T/L at around the 1.2220-30 area that will probably be good support for now IMHO.GL GT

Sydney Alimin 14:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
i think euro 1.2250/60 could hold for a while before the second selling wave if any

Toronto sj 14:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Is Mr. Greenspan speaking? Looks like Mr. Greenback took a extra viagra.

Gen dk 14:12 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Genoa nic 14:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
FWIW, the “50 bp points hike party” seems back:

Fed: Despite the Fed's talk of a measured pace of tightening the market is pricing in odds for rate hikes in excess of 25 bp over the coming FOMC meetings. The July funds futures contract shows an implied policy rate of 1.28% which prices in 56% probability for a 50 bp tightening on June 30 as a 25 bp hike is more than fully priced in from the current 1% policy rate. August's 1.5% effective rate also prices in more than another 25 bp hike given the Aug 10 timing of the Fed policy meeting. The chart below reflects the outlook as the December policy rate is priced at 2.19% -- or 25 bp hikes at each of the five FOMC meetings through the end of the year (source briefing.com)

hkg panda 14:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
The question is just correction or new trend developing. Yesterday news (rate hike story) can keep on helping greenback for how long and long far?

perth rick 14:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
buy euro at market 1.2266 for 30-40 pips and do a favor to ure broker..i wait for 1.20 with shorts from 1.233 gl to all

UAE Oil man 13:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 13:51 GMT June 8, 2004

Yes LDN, that situation hasnt changed..Doesn't mean that it is happening!..

Market wants a proof..RAISE RATES.

sydney balmain 13:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
stop city very close euro and gbp

Sydney Alimin 13:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
calm down guys :) go with the flow ...

NY KRID 13:52 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
LDN, looks like print is just as cheap!!

Ldn 13:51 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
This, less than a month ago
UAE Oil man 09:31 GMT May 10, 2004
Everything is ready for a Bull $ market,

-Low yields seen/expected as going higher on positive future economic prospects;

-Euro/$ interests differential reducing (and seen/expected as continuing this way).

-4 years bear stock market cycle.

-High commodity prices (Have room to lower.)

-Housing bubble (more $'s repatriated into a rising stock market).

-Certainty in the general population that the $ is going down...That "value" is out of the $ at present.(they have been certified in january of the $ bearishness by most newspaper..)

UAE Oil man 13:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Talk is CHEAP ,for Greenspan..

IF FED is ready to raise rates, stop speaking and do so..Market has been told you were "ready to raise rates" since january..and nothing happens.

BUY EUROS

Brisbane L 13:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan has upset the bond market

ny amc 13:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
meant shorting at 110.05

HK [email protected] 13:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
After the killing (today) of the American in Saudi, no wonder why there will be some stock selling, and why gold is pushed down to make a good impression for the stock market.

ny amc 13:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
shorting usd/jpy at 110.5 s/l 110.55 tar 109.35

Sydney Alimin 13:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
looks like the old fellow is more powerful than any data thrown at the market :) may you live for 100 years more uncle greenie

Ldn 13:36 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan says of interest rate hikes: "Should that judgment prove misplaced, however, the FOMC is prepared to do what is required to fulfill our obligations to achieve the maintenance of price stability so as to ensure maximum sustainable economic growth

ny amc 13:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
friend at morgan says they are seeing an influx of sell orders this morning for stocks from some big players

Ldm 13:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan Doesn"t Rule Out An Aggressive Move by Fed

GBP/USD: Depressed by Greenspan - Stops tipped sub-1.8360
EUR/USD: Easing As Greenspan Takes More Hawkish Tone

Sydney Alimin 13:28 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
the old magician did the trick again...long life uncle greenie ;P

perth rick 13:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
support for euro is at 1.20 ;)

Sydney Alimin 13:24 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ok let's line up the supports for eur/usd

perth rick 13:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Euro/usd selloff alarm beeping

B.A. BOCA 13:20 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ny amc / nice job..

GVI 13:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
GVI 13:20 GMT June 8, 2004
Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan Central Bank panel discussion: economic developments At the International Monetary Conference, London, England (via satellite) June 8, 2004... LINK

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:17 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AG speak???

ny amc 13:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BA..Boca.............actually 28 pips. i was making a cup of coffey and missed the 30 chance

Bahrain Within 10 pips 13:08 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Cad Might wanna Rock n Roll sooner then I thought

Bahrain Within 10 pips 13:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dow Might get to + 50 then straight to 9700

GENEVA FHR 13:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BOC Unchanged

GVI john 13:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent

OTTAWA – The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 2 1/4 per cent.

Economic information received since the release of the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) has been generally consistent with the Bank's expectations for growth and core inflation, and reflects the Canadian economy's continuing adjustment to global economic developments. The notable exception has been the sharp rise in world oil prices in response to stronger-than-anticipated global demand for oil and to heightened geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East. This implies that total CPI inflation over the next several months will be higher than the Bank expected.

All things considered, the Bank's outlook for economic growth and core inflation is essentially unchanged from the outlook in the April MPR. The Bank continues to project that the economy will return close to its production potential by the third quarter of 2005 and that core inflation will move back to the 2 per cent target by the end of 2005.

In these circumstances, the Bank decided to leave the target for the overnight rate unchanged.

Information note:
The Bank of Canada's next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2004.
The Monetary Policy Report Update will be published on 22 July 2004.

OK SZ 12:50 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
10minutes

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:50 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
CAd has the best price at 1.3375...so Just buy it there and cover with 1.2 figures

ham cla 12:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
13:00 GMT

NYC FXDH 12:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
WHAT TIME IS boc ABBOUNCEMENT ??? THANKS

B.A. BOCA 12:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
amc// there go your 30 pips...

Tallinn viies 12:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:35 - thnks a lot mate!

Nottingham 12:45 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 12:39 GMT

imm suggests market still heavily short the cad...stops could fire below the 61.8 fibo of 130/140 move but BoC required to make some hawkish comments if not raise rates otherwise risk will be for a short covering rally towards 3510/00...gl gt

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Left two colums...are for short and coering the short
The right are for long and covering the longs..
Ie. GBP/JPY is a sell Now at 202.3 and should be covered 201.5..etc

hk revdax 12:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Would anyone like to enlighten me with the probable move of $/CAD near term? TIA

London EW 12:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:35 GMT June 8, 2004
Hi what do those numbers mean? Thanks

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
These should be Ok for 7 Hours
Short range Long Range
EURUSD 1.2341 1.2301 1.2334 1.2290
USDJPY 109.9521 109.4479 109.8616 109.3347
GBPUSD 1.8440 1.8361 1.8431 1.8345
USDCHF 1.2398 1.2342 1.2385 1.2335
EURCHF 1.5249 1.5220 1.5240 1.5213
AUDUSD 0.7074 0.7030 0.7068 0.7021
USDCAD 1.3480 1.3432 1.3477 1.3415
NZDUSD 0.6340 0.6299 0.6335 0.6290
EURGBP 0.6707 0.6683 0.6702 0.6679
EURJPY 135.4109 134.8642 135.3176 134.6998
GBPJPY 202.3033 201.3545 202.1271 201.0958
CHFJPY 88.8837 88.4741 88.8121 88.3622
GBPCHF 2.2796 2.2710 2.2783 2.2690
EURAUD 1.7524 1.7429 1.7501 1.7413
EURCAD 1.6613 1.6537 1.6601 1.6517
AUDCAD 0.9517 0.9456 0.9508 0.9440
AUDJPY 77.5805 77.0771 77.4867 76.9651

Lipari Rico 12:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
The Only Thing that's a buy is Cad right Now.

lnd 12:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
anyone who has missed the boat on euro or cable should wait a while. a nice gap on the dollar index needs to be filled so you might see 1.2210 and 1.8300/10 before upside resumes. but would not sell just in case the gap is a strong trend continuation signal. just buy on dips.

ham cla 12:14 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd.... hearing about offers from a swiss guy around 1.2305-10

Toronto YV 12:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rico : 13:00GMT.

Sydney Alimin 12:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
G8 meeting commences today, isnt it? hmm interesting

Nottingham 12:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
euro...demand expected to appear at 2240/50 and 2210/00...gl gt

Sydney Alimin 12:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
uncle greenie is gonna talk later, who knows what he is gonna say this time

NY GG 12:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
aususd is a major SELL on my system. target .6950

ny amc 12:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
uae...oil man.............what is your view on usd/jpy here

Lipari Rico 12:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
what time is the BOC decision? thanks

UAE Oil man 11:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 11:51 GMT June 8, 2004


Yes, I took them off already..Waiting now.(post down).

B.A. BOCA 11:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ny amc // i dont think the euro is stable enough, might push her majesty down with it.
either way, not bad for a quick 30pips or so..but not for me. GL

Antwerp Tom 11:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hello friends, this eur/usd drop, where is it heading to?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 11:51 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oilman, just a little voice from me...

BOC well remember the disaster they have made on the last "hikes".....

Normandy Nick 11:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Pound: a reaction shoud happen around 1.8360 IF NOT I engage a double reverse at 1.8354 for 1.8290, if it's a false break, a go long again at 1.8404

ny amc 11:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BA..BOCA>>>>>>>>I think its worth a shot there to buy..dont you

London Firewire 11:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Who thinks USD/CHF is a buy on a break of 1.2410

B.A. BOCA 11:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
fwiw..cable has held nicely onto the 200dma on the hourly charts the last couple of days (now around 8370)...watch for a bounce or acceleration there..

or keep on ranging..

London Firewire 11:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Euroland's economy is bad too.

GVI john 11:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2315…$/yen 109.75
DJIA +2 pts… 10-yr 4.77%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


See text on GVI

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 11:28 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

AS sooner 1.40 will come, Will be Good 4 all,and this not mean Traders But Euroland and USeconomy i guess with my small mind..

Have a nice Summer!
nk

London Firewire 11:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I still hold last Fridays prediction that USD/CHF will break the upside of last weeks range in the next few days. USD/JPY will head to its low for the year over the next month.

NY 11:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:33 GMT May 4, 2004
GBP/usd
· Based on hourly chart : is on the sell signal for target 1.7689
Entry level sell : 1.7736 or 1.7786
· Based on 4 hours chart : is on the sell signal for target 1.7625
Entry level sell : 1.7731 or 1.7807 or 1.7854

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:41 GMT May 7, 2004
sell more gbp/usd !!

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:34 GMT May 7, 2004
now !!!

ndonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:19 GMT May 10, 2004
I think is nice level for sell.. nice start for gbp/usd at 1.7745 area. sell !!

ndonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:01 GMT May 26, 2004
gbp/usd.
look 4 hours candle..engulfing bearish.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 00:23 GMT June 1, 2004
good morning Asia Traders !!
gbp/usd have confirmed with sell signal to get number low at 1.8153.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:58 GMT June 8, 2004
I feel gbp/usd in danger area/level for buyers.
danger pattern for buyers.!!!

/////
I guess it's a buy.

Bkk a 11:17 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
How do you think about NZD? Will it go up before raising rate?

UAE Oil man 11:10 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
out of everything with 40 pips .
Not much of a follow up..watching.


---

NH, the "overblown" risk premium is a REALITY..

nyc jk 11:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick 11:07 GMT June 8, 2004

when the balance in the margin account = 0

JHB JW 11:08 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Test

Normandy Nick 11:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
yes I know you are a pound shorter!. What is your non return point? from where do you think the bulls are winning the game?

Livingston nh 11:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Cable looks to move above 1.85 ahead of MPC as talk of 0.5% hike spreads - so the reality of 1/4 point hike should then take it down again // US inflation figures next week should start the 0.5% Fed rate hike talk // be ready to dump the swissy on rate hike news (terror premium is overblown reasoning)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick 10:58 GMT June 8, 2004
LOL.
I am in seller position.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I feel gbp/usd in danger area/level for buyers.
danger pattern for buyers.!!!

Normandy Nick 10:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Raden , don't tell me! You wanna short pound lol! (just kidding, it's so boring today...)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hello friends !!
since yesterday so quite.

Normandy Nick 10:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Genoa nic 10:32 GMT June 8, 2004
No, they just said " money talks" ;)

Genoa nic 10:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Nick, did they tell you were to place hells alarm bells? ;)

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
To break the curse of the nzd key day reversal few days ago, nzd need to break .6408 (bid).....

otherwise, I will anticipate (not shorting) for .59....

Maybe a put option is a better choice.

Rivonia PipPirate 10:08 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
makati amazing lloyd 09:47 Will the Euro go bang?

Normandy Nick 10:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
(1.2380 not 1.2480)

Normandy Nick 10:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
the greenback is back in black against euro/chf and poud and those three pairs are now synchronized. 1.2480/1.2310/1.8495 definitively make sense (Angus Young and Brian Johnson told me that !)

ham cla 09:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 08:45 GMT June 8, 2004
dipota.... sry for the late reply. there are still good bids from tokyo names at 50-60, and stops behind.

shanghai bc 09:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

AB -- The only professor who made real money in the market was prof.Keynes..He was a master trader himself..Not like Newton who was a total failure as a trader..Euro's daddy is a good professor but not sure how good currency forecaster he is..

Gold Coast martin 09:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AMAZING LLOYD...could you please tell me the status of the USD/MJ PAIR..as it is evident you are very good at it...

UAE Oil man 09:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I guess many U.S politicians must be jealous of that 10.5%...
would some many problems..(at least for them).

UAE Oil man 09:52 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
German May adjusted unemployment rate 10.5 pct, unchanged vs April

That's fantastic news !! :) ...
"Only" 10.5%...While U.S is fighting at 5.6%..
At least Europe can't claim a "jobless" recovery..


makati amazing lloyd 09:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
makati amazing lloyd 09:23 GMT June 8, 2004
mga kabayan, marami bang nangangailangan ng tulong diyan? Magaling ako tanung na

translation: my friends, are there alot of you out there that need help? im very good so ask away!

LONDON savage 09:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HELLO can anyone tell me if there is a report / announcement due at 6:00am est. Thanks

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:39 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
bc// I take your words of saying that USD is now in bear market and needs good news everyday.

Will word of Father of euro still valid as a long term year end target?.....

Plovdiv Gotin 09:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
About E/$: from 1.1755 to 1.2900=32 days. From 1.1760 to 1.2355=32 days. What of that?

UAE Oil man 09:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
AB,13GMT..

yes helsinki...Focus on 1.26 would be better for now.

Helsinki iw 09:24 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
That´s called distribution. Back later to check NY opening.
gl all

makati amazing lloyd 09:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
mga kabayan, marami bang nangangailangan ng tulong diyan? Magaling ako tanung na

Nottingham 09:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
reading a note which underscores risk of cad rate rise today...personally view that as unlikely but the BoC should still make some very hawkish comments which will serve to readjust the markets expectations...the shs formation that I have referred to will be completed in the low 1.33's, towards the 200 day sma>>>this scenario could play out later today...gl gt

lnd 09:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
this market is hard work. you get bursts of volatility but it dies very quickly. got blown out of cable by 5pips yesterday and now its above entry...lol. anyway staying out of market until conditions improve or we get a decent pull back on euro/$ and cable. gl & gt to all.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oilman, is it 7:00? or 9:00 EST?

Helsinki iw 09:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oily, a rate hike in Canada will be seen by the market as a positive for the US, and expectations will strengthen on a strongly rebounding US economy will grow. Beware the "C of Red" on your CAD book. CAD will go the way of the Flames,
what a letdown!

UAE Oil man 09:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
The goose hunters will be in a new shock with today's reaction to CAD rates...And the Slide continues....

Slowly slowly ..

Helsinki iw 09:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Resistance at 1,2345/55 may be tougher than I initially thought, and turn the euro lower, since the market is unable to break through especially that it has been trading against it for several sessions now. The next resistance is at 1,2480/90 which definetly should hold and force a bigger move lower.
USD/CAD is close to strong support at 1,3370/80 which is not expected to break on a first run. All in all, would expect a term of dollar strength from these or slightly lower levels.
IMHO.

Genoa nic 08:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Nick, you welcome. Data by fxtreck source S&P Comstock, BTW

Brisbane L 08:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: US Money Center Bank Rumoured To Be Selling

Normandy Nick 08:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Genoa nic 08:47 GMT June 8, 2004
Thank you.

Normandy Nick 08:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Actually Mark, no , I don't have your email. I've received the datas from someone else thinking it was you!. My email is [email protected] , feel free to contact me.

Genoa nic 08:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick

Date,"Time","O","H","L","C"
03/15/2004,0000,1.79655,1.8003,1.79615,1.79975
03/15/2004,0100,1.7998,1.80095,1.7984,1.79885
03/15/2004,0200,1.7991,1.8018,1.79855,1.8014
03/15/2004,0300,1.8013,1.8022,1.80105,1.80115
03/15/2004,0400,1.8012,1.8018,1.79985,1.80045
03/15/2004,0500,1.80025,1.802,1.80015,1.80105
03/15/2004,0600,1.8011,1.8016,1.80015,1.8013
03/15/2004,0700,1.80105,1.80415,1.80095,1.80335
03/15/2004,0800,1.80345,1.8076,1.8025,1.8051
03/15/2004,0900,1.80465,1.8079,1.8045,1.8079
03/15/2004,1000,1.8075,1.8118,1.807,1.8106
03/15/2004,1100,1.81055,1.8119,1.80895,1.81155
03/15/2004,1200,1.8113,1.81195,1.80725,1.8083
03/15/2004,1300,1.80825,1.8092,1.80445,1.8051
03/15/2004,1400,1.80485,1.80585,1.80165,1.80305
03/15/2004,1500,1.80305,1.8062,1.8001,1.80225
03/15/2004,1600,1.8023,1.80305,1.797,1.7974
03/15/2004,1700,1.79725,1.7987,1.7942,1.79425
03/15/2004,1800,1.79425,1.8002,1.794,1.79945
03/15/2004,1900,1.7993,1.8065,1.7976,1.8038
03/15/2004,2000,1.80375,1.8044,1.8,1.80095
03/15/2004,2100,1.801,1.8036,1.7995,1.8027
03/15/2004,2200,1.80235,1.8071,1.80235,1.80545
03/15/2004,2300,1.8056,1.8063,1.80445,1.8053
03/16/2004,0000,1.8055,1.8056,1.8034,1.80405

GL

Belgium sidekick 08:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
@Normandy:

for free historical data you can also go to the site of
censored. 10s, 1m, 10m, 1h, &d, 1w, 1month are available for download

clonakilty glenn 08:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
morning cla - can you ask them to sell a bit more?

Gold Coast martin 08:45 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HAM CLAUS....KALIMERA...EFHARISTO POLI YIA TIS ITHISIS...

ham cla 08:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
good morning,
middle east names selling dol/yen around 109.65....

Normandy Nick 08:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Ok, Mark, I've received it. Thanx a lot. That's perfect.

Minnesota Mark 08:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick 08:09 GMT June 8, 2004 - Trying to figure out how to do it.. shouldn't take too long. Did you get my email address from Jay last week? If so email me so I have yours and I will send it to you.

Gen dk 08:33 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
jf, eur/jpy can move earlier if the elephant is willing to move.

Normandy Nick 08:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Minnesota Mark 08:24 GMT June 8, 2004
Ok thank you but actually I meant the hourly datas...I need to know what happened exactly during the whole day . I've checked, the exact day is the 15, monday.opening at 1.7990.

Minnesota Mark 08:24 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick 08:09 GMT June 8, 2004

O-1.8045 H-1.8195 L-1.80 C-1.8124

PAR 08:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
When are UK trade deficit figures coming ?

Normandy Nick 08:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
By the way , if somebody knows the history of the pound for Monday, March 16th, please publish it.. (1 hour datas would be great)

Normandy Nick 08:03 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Moskow 07:57 GMT June 8, 2004
I am interested but just for the 16 of march(a monday, I think it's the 16, open around 1.7980) for gbp/usd, could you post it please, In sign of willingness. Thank you very much.

Saihat 08:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
no meat in little bird...

Gold Coast martin 07:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
MOSKOW....You are still peddling redundant info russki....

Moskow 07:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
if you are interested in obtaining intraday forex historical data this is for you

Normandy Nick 07:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
NYC USA GlobalFX PWS 07:48 GMT June 8, 2004
euro is pointing 1.2380 and cable 1.8495
bad signs: euro=1.2290 cable=1.8390 reverse 1.8360

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oilman, if u don't mind, I would like to ask your stop on dlr/cad short. thanks.

I am still watching this little bird carefully.

NYC USA GlobalFX PWS 07:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
any views from a technical perspective on the next move in EURUSD and CABLE?

Hong Kong Qindex 07:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 07:37 GMT June 8, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 1.2177 // 1.2214 - 1.2251 - 1.2288 - 1.2324 // 1.2361 ...


The odds are good that we will see 1.2205 - 1.2220 trading range later today.

hk dong 07:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin euro side to down in 1.2350/1.2250 range with aud up to .7100/50

Moscow Mishanya 07:30 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
nice to meet native language speaking people :)
can you contact me at mishanya_fx at yahoo ?

i use YIM too.

gt

Gold Coast martin 07:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
MOSCOW...mishanya....u meny ect email-address in yahoo...

Sydney Alimin 07:22 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hk dong: with the 300 pips massacre in eur/aud, does that mean eur will go down like crazy as compared to aud or aud will go up from here?

Moscow Mishanya 07:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
spasibo
btw, do u yahoo? )

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:18 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
eurchf next lvl of interest 1.5059 .382 retrace from 1.4683 to 1.5681. run.

sarasota jf 07:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ab i also note dr q indicated monthly high for nikkei around 12,000 level today we are 11521 but also japanese govt said they will sell their 14 % stake in japan tobacco with 35 % eligible for foreigners to buy of that so their will be some yen purchases on that as well

hk dong 07:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
another 300 pip massacre for EUR/AUD in the works

hk dong 02:14 GMT June 4, 2004
NYC YIPPEE 01:49 GMT June 4, 2004
good move

FWIW another great 5:1 r/r sell is
Selling EURAUD 1.7730 stop 1.7840 target 1.7200
great odds for EURAUD to print 1.7500/1.7400 today

Gold Coast martin 07:12 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
MOSCOW.. MISHANYA....udacha tebe!

Moscow Mishanya 07:10 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Of course booking profits all the way... market always changing and our minds should change too

gl!

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
eurchf v. odds. at this 1.52 handle... next will be the .618 retracement.

Sofia Roco 07:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oil man - thank you, [email protected]

sarasota jf 07:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ab euryen has alot of bond issuance buying in next couple days so its supported but its prob good idea to take advantage of this to sell it for slightly longer term - i heard one austrian and one from nederlands - yen has a few things going for it at the moment

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
jf// thanks for your kind reply.

I am seeing whether nzd can break the inverse shs at around .6380 for a rally.

a key day reversal is still barely in contact.

Gold Coast martin 07:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
MOSCOW...mishanya....i would not long aud for 73++...just yet...if your eally want to attempt such a long trade wait until aud prints 7220 as this is a critical level for the aud....g/t

Saihat 07:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
bot eurchf at 1.5218........ stop 1.5195

UAE Oil man 07:03 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Well Aud$..

Still not showing strenght, One might be better off buying Eur-Aud until 1.73 breaks than sell AUD$.

That said good resistances now at 7080 and 7135..That needs to go to resume a bullish Bias..

sarasota jf 07:03 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ab i like euraud and euryen short term - eurusd correction from 60-70 area i thought but only touched 55 - i think safe to buy dips though just depends on your tolerance - still think goes under 1.2000 this is just last leg up in my view - 1.24 area potential top

Moscow Mishanya 07:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 06:48
Thank u very much for an answer... actually i am longing AUD for 7300+

should be nice trade.

gl & good trades as usual.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oilman, bc... thanks for the coherent thoughts.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
jf, what's your view on eur today?

Saihat 06:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
for demo

buy usdchf...stop 20pips

Sofia Roco 06:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oil man - your opinion on Aussie pls. TIA

Gold Coast martin 06:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SHANGHAI BC..you are correct in relation to the non-performing aud...it more or less confirms the uncertainty that people have with this currency and when uncertainty sets in support evaporates thus accelerating the downward path...Euro is in the same situation as the aud but to a lesser degree....good trades....

UAE Oil man 06:53 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:45 GMT June 8, 2004

No E$ is fine too...but GBP has more strenght..So go with the strongest.

it's like going on a Camel race track and looking at the Camels out there..you have 3 Camels..1 won all the trophies in the last 2 month,the other 2 didnt win anything...Which one will you pick as the possible winner?..The loosers or the winner.

jkt diablo 06:52 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
I heard that Greenspan is going to speech today. Is this true?

shanghai bc 06:48 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

MYSHANYA 03;21 -- Good afternoon..Yes,Dollar is in bear market..But Euro and Aussie are not exactly trophy winning horses at present..Good trades..

MONACO OGA 06:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 08/06
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2330), 10 pips higher than Monday opening. Yesterday was a pretty dull session with no data and market consolidating in a pretty tight range (1,2300-1,2335). Overnight the pair rebounded on 1,2280 support level to print a new 2 months high at 1,2355 (our much awaited target). We still think there are chances to reach higher (1,2450) in order to complete the W pattern shaping up since March, but we expect strong selling pressure to appear in this trading zone (option protection at 1,24 and 1,25). For today, we will try to buy on dips (1,2280 and 1,2240) for a test of 1,2400-50. On the downsides, a break of 1,2150 reopens way to 1,18 zone.

no Data of importance again today

Gold at 394.50, with WTI July at 38,84

***JPY***
USD/JPY (109,70). The pair kept hedging lower on further signs of economic recovery in Japan (NIKKEY extending yesterday's gains overnight). We are currently standing on 109,80 support zone (where BOJ was rumored to have checked prices last week). A break of 109.00-50 could trigger a fast move back down to 106,50, however we still favour some range trading inside 109-111 for the time being.
EUR/JPY currently 135,40, still consolidating inside 134,50-136,50.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8430), rebounded again on 1,8350 then 1,8370 support (hourly chart 200 period weighted moving average)and still consolidating inside 1,83-1,8475. It looks as if market is is gearing up for 1,86 (top of our range). However we feel accumulated momentum could easily send the pair up to 1,87. Support for today at 1,8370 and resistance at 1,8480.
EUR/GBP (0,6700). We remain neutral for the time being.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:46 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Many are expecting poor Deficit data on Fri. inspite of the high oil price....
No doubt...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:45 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oilman, u don't like eur but preferring gbp?
Saw your commitment on gbp 1.9...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo, anything u are considering at the moment?

UAE Oil man 06:31 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
things will accelerate ,from here.

SLC TJ 06:28 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 06:12 1 - 2 weeks! That's fast Oil man. I hope you're right. You've got a 6th sense for these things, so I'm paying attention. GT

UAE Oil man 06:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
New positions :

1.3460 Short.($CAD)
1.8406 Long (GBP$)
1.2344 Short ($CHF)

GL.

Chambery FR JFB 06:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 06:07 GMT June 8, 2004
Thx :-) Read your info, VERY interesting... Hope you're doing well too :-) GT

Normandy Nick 06:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
actually the confirmation is done on chf at 1.2337

UAE Oil man 06:12 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SLC TJ 06:05 GMT June 8, 2004


If you wait 1-2 weeks you'll have the chance to trade on that price..:)

houston st 06:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

SLC TJ 06:05 GMT -- very odd indeed..I hope it didn't factor in to any of your trades this session, that is, unless you sold it! gt.

Stockholm za 06:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB >>> G-Morning & well done... Happy trades..

SLC TJ 06:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ST. Oddly enough it also shows as the high on my platform, though I can't imagine I would have had the chance to trade it.

Normandy Nick 06:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
confirmatioin euro 1.2330, chf 12325

UAE Oil man 06:03 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SLC TJ 05:57 GMT June 8, 2004

1.2830?...You should call your feeds and ask them if they are running a circus or what.

Chambery FR JFB 06:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Morning all :-)

Fwiw, moved s/l @1.2275 on euro long from 1.2200... Happy trades :-)

Normandy Nick 06:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
hi,
ready to buy pound at 1.8435 bid for 1.8495, square 1.8360, reverse 1.8350

houston st 06:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

SLC TJ 05:57 GMT--show nothing remotely close to that on any of my data feeds..sounds like a bad tick. gl/gt.

Rivonia PipPirate 05:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 04:59 GMT June 8 For Max payne cam-pain, just blow up Switzerland!!!

SLC TJ 05:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Did anyone else just have an odd blip on their charts for eur/usd up to 1.2830? Bad feed I guess, but it is on two of my charts from different sources. TIA

UAE Oil man 05:47 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:17 GMT June 7, 2004

That's why..I think we will close much lower than this by friday.

melbourne farmacia 05:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ab - date of interest... 22 july.

sarasota jf 05:36 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
euraud bottom put in today now can go back the other way

houston st 05:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

OK SZ 04:43 GMT--re: Asian session & eur, $ is still in bear market, and buying eur/usd on dips is still prefered play for many...Asian session has been a notorious account wiper for me in the past, especially the yen...and many times the Europe session runs totally counter to what happens here...some have better luck avoiding the Asian ambush and working Europe/NY only..hope you have future success in all..good luck/trades to you fellow Okie.

Singapore Sfx 05:23 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
ab - I've seen you mention that, but frankly am not sure. We're approaching the summer months and given the kind of moves we've seen all year, seems like liquidity gonna be at a premium - so much depends on the "point of arrival" for the dollar once that dust settles, I think.

houston st 05:17 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

OK SZ 04:43 GMT--thanks..been pretty consistent of late..must be luck & not skill..much thanks goes to Qindex & BC for their observations, along w/ the others who are "in-the-know"..good trades.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 05:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
thinking about a time frame of 3 months.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 05:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SFX// matter of fact is xxx/jpy including aud/jpy, chf/jpy, eur/jpy, gbp/jpy will write the new page of history soon?

Singapore Sfx 05:04 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oil Man - re chf

One of the bigger plays earlier in the weak usd cycle was the carry trades - the audchf's, nzdchf's and cadchf's of the world. Ever since we started getting excited abt the FED , those have been getting unwound. And recent price action sure suggests that its not all over yet. Probably a big factor for the chf strength vis-a-vis... fwiw.

Gold Coast martin 04:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
WOSCONSIN TIM..he he...your system is scientific as well...it has a CONTRARIAN component...Murphys LAW can be scientific!

UAE Oil man 04:59 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Good morning,

I see many people talking of $CHF and make comparisons with the E$ ..Like $chf we're 3 fig's from low and E$ 6..
Well first of all they are NOT the same currency (even if they are highly correlated they are not 100% correlated).
Secondly, with the RISK out there of terrorism attacks it's pretty normal that CHF gains more strenght than the Euro.
(also a quick look on the EUR_CHF will confirm the "risk-premium")..CHF strenght reveals completly the picture of "un-Safety" out there felt by the major players.
Plus with the supposily Terror-Campain which is said to be happening in the U.S this summer(as reported by the U.S FBI and media)...No doubts No real guys want to hold $ into the summer..
Heck who would want $'s when it's summer time and the U.S government said there was going to be a Bio-chem or atom attack or whatever in their soil?..
Governments can write up as many patriot acts as they want...But CAPITAL is the Number 1 traitor..It goes where safe..

OK SZ 04:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
i know one thing and that is I do not trade the asian session very well..think I will go back to europe/us for now on..gl, gt all

wisconsin tim 04:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
My system is based on Murphy's Law

I am becoming adept at doing the opposite of everything I really think I should ... Castanza of trading =)

gl/gt

Gold Coast martin 04:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
WISCONSIN TIM...i must admit my system has a large component of einsteins law of relativity built into it..so if the law of relativity is applicable to astronomy as well i guess i am as guilty as Gann....good trades...

wisconsin tim 04:49 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Didn't Gann utilize astrology as well as other technical indicators?

=)

OK SZ 04:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
st, it looks like your the only one making money around here:) nice trading..i'm chop city on this stinking euro

Gold Coast martin 04:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia....i hope people dont start using astronomy formations to trade FX.. lol...good trades to you..

houston st 04:25 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

NYC pws 04:11 GMT -- you might want to go back and read some of Qindex's comments from earlier tonite regarding usd/jpy...also, rumor has it much of the buying of the usd/jpy around the 110.xx level tonite was option-related..may have seen the high for the session..good trades.

Sydney Alimin 04:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
testing water, shorted euro 1.2311 stop loss above yesterday's high looking for 1.2210 initially

NYC pws 04:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
USDJPY to make a move above 110 or sustain trade under and continue down from here?

EURUSD to continue to move in uptrend approaching 1.2400?
Germany economic releases at 955 and 1200 looking to get priced in here.
Industrial Production number at 1200 estimates? (Inline, above, below)

melbourne farmacia 03:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Interesting day.
Venus's

the afternoon of Tuesday 8 June, Venus will cross in front of the Sun. As we see Venus's dark silhouette move across the disc of the Sun we will be witnessing one of the most unique and famous events in astronomy - a transit of Venus. It will be the first transit of the planet in more than 120 years.

ab - will post cycle dates soon.

Moscow Mishanya 03:21 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
good morning bc
could u tell us, your AUD and EUR view against USD is still the same?

TIA

st. pete islander 03:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Now Tim.....be nice. Packers can't win all of them. lol

wisconsin tim 03:15 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
after last year the bucs are right where they belong ... still can't believe they won a championship

OK SZ 03:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
st. pete..:) i was at the giants game last year in tampa..i still love the bucs..

st. pete islander 03:11 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
We once had a football team tho ....

st. pete islander 03:10 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SZ ... Tampa Bay has a baseball team???? I didn't know that!

OK SZ 03:07 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
St. Pete..yes I can imagine the people down there now..now all you need down there is a good baseball team:)

London 03:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
What range do you have on the Euro in the NY session tuesday thanks

st. pete islander 03:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
SZ .... I bet he can't get there through all that traffic for at least an hour or two .... wall to wall people. lol

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et 02:54 GMT June 8, 2004
I believe ML said it before “"artistic visual projection” is what we need sometimes to get it right LOL. The mother T/L on eur/usd pair is still around the 1.1860-70 area in my chart. GL GT

OK SZ 03:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, :) i hear that

OK SZ 03:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
congrats st. pete..my nephew was at the game..I am sure he's having a great time now in ebor city:)

Rye, NY et 02:58 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 02:56 GMT June 8, 2004
r/r?
Well, make sure you balance your risks against your reward. HaHa!...Good for you...

st. pete islander 02:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Tampa Bay Wins the Stanley Cup!

OK SZ 02:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, doing good here..haven't been trading much lately but waiting for some good possibilities coming..getting ready to head to the four seasons in dallas for some much needed r/r next week..so looking forward to that..gl, gt mate

Rye, NY et 02:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:42 GMT June 8, 2004
They did help. I have the same problem with charts--it doesn't seem to make any difference which ones you use...
I still have a daily T/L coming in (today) at about 1950---I did not re-draw to the second bottom. I think most people do, however...How do you look on that?

Rye, NY et 02:51 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 02:40 GMT June 8, 2004
Hey, SZ, how are you? I was out the latter part of last week. I think if your 2330 holds on this little uptick, I'll move my stop to B/E...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:42 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et 02:38 GMT June 8, 2004
You are welcome I hope it help you.

OK SZ 02:40 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, good evening to you..hope all is well up there..I think that is a good order you have there..I have my euro pivot for today at 12307 with 12330 support from there..gl, gt

Rye, NY et 02:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:32 GMT June 8, 2004
Thanks for your Res. and T/L yesterday...
GL/GT...

Hong Kong Qindex 02:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et 02:37 GMT - You are welcome!

Gold Coast martin 02:38 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
GOOD AFTERNOON...the aud after topping 7070 range has resumed downtrend ....yesterdays post in relation to aud target is still valid..good trades to all..

Rye, NY et 02:37 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et 04:06 GMT June 7, 2004
Short EUR/USD 1.2335;cut 1.2400;take 1.2210
still open...

Hello, Dr. Qindex...
Thanks for your EUR posts...

Still waiting for upticks in 10s and Crude...
But, I certainly think you're right on those, also...
G/T and Good Forecasts...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
nt, I almost saw nzd broke the curse of key day reversal.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa 02:16 GMT June 8, 2004
I will take it one step at a time I believe we have some support to go through before we can make this an official retracement for this Bull Run on the eur/usd. As I said before the dollar looks like it might take a breather from the beating it has taken lately but this is still buy on dips mode for mid term positions for eur/usd. BTW I have the T/L at around 1.2200 area now that could be a key support for now IMHO. GL GT

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
wosh... the aud goes so fast....

nyc sa 02:16 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi Omil , shouldn't euro retrace at least 50% of the last move from 1.1780 and bounce ? or perhaps not bounce at all , who knows , as everyone and his brother are bullish against the dollar .. and in case of retracement where would this take eur/jpy ? Also , I just read that the Dow started today its bullish trend reversal wouldn't this create demand for dollars and the dollar would start a slow move to the upside ? would appreciate ur comments ,thnx .

Hong Kong Qindex 02:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The key level of my daily cycle is located at 1.2251.

Sydney Alimin 02:10 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
perfect, thank you Dr Q!

Sydney Alimin 02:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: are you around buddy? I think this is just what u need :) watching the magic word with 1 'o' in action, should thank the one that mentioned it last night

Hong Kong Qindex 02:08 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 02:05 GMT - The odds are good that we can see that level some time this week.

USA Biscuit Boy 02:06 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks OMIL and thanks as always Dr. Q....Cheers :)

Sydney Alimin 02:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q, please clarify my understanding if I got it wrong, with the weekly cycle super magnet located at 1.2103, does that mean that 1.2103 could be seen within this week? TIA Dr Q.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
BB I hope you are doing well this week I would wait for a break of the 65 as we are getting a lot of head fakes lately but I really think this is the real deal to take us down to 1.2200-10 area first. BTW Qindex has some good levels just posted and I concur with his numbers pretty much IMH. GT

Hong Kong Qindex 02:01 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : A sell signal is hoisted in my system!

USA Biscuit Boy 01:57 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:55 GMT June 8, 2004

Will your sell signal be generated with the break of this first support or is that the second support at 65? TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 01:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 10:21 GMT June 5, 2004
EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2103 (super magnet)........... See details in my page. EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to it.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
We sure are getting a lot of cheap commercials lately around here LOL.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:55 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
FWIW eur/usd is trying to get trough the first support with second support and retracement numbers coming up around 1.2260-65. I will also have an intraday sell signal when that support goes IMHO. GL GT

NEW YORK 01:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
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Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The odds are good that we will see the trading range 1.2205 - 1.2220 later today.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:44 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:43 GMT June 8, 2004
GBP/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 199.41 - 203.84 and the mid-point reference is 201.63. Initially the market is likely to trade between 200.02 - 201.86.

Sri Lanka Ruwan 01:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
USD.CAD
June 8 is a cycle day so could be worth keeping an eye on it if you are short.



Brisbane L 01:43 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

Business conditions in Australia were unchanged at high levels in May, lending weight to comments by the Reserve Bank of Australia last week that economic growth hasn't fallen flat, National Australia Bank said in its monthly business survey. NAB's business conditions index was steady at +14 index points in May, a level still consistent with annual growth in domestic demand of 5%

Hong Kong Qindex 01:41 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 199.41 - 203.84 and the mid-point reference is 201.63.

OK SZ 01:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
sorry guys for posting that but every once in awhile thses idiots censored me off a bit..

OK SZ 01:35 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
it's people like that who are worth s..h..i..t. that annoy me..go read a book or something

shanghai bc 01:33 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

CK 01:05 -- Good morning..Good trades to you..

QINDEX -- Good morning..Good trades and forecasts..

Sri Lanka Ruwan 01:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Isnt scheisse German for dung?

Hong Kong Qindex 01:32 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Nikkei-225 : It is doing okay so far. The current level is 11509. The low and the high is 11466 and 11542 respectively.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:27 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 01:02 GMT - Good morning!

Pecs Andras 01:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Oskar first needs to brush up his English before we can understand his interesting comments...

Hong Kong Qindex 01:26 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 01:05 GMT - Cheers!

Hong Kong Qindex 01:24 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : A pullback is imminent and the market is going to challenge the supporting strength of 388.3 - 389.1.

Gen dk 01:20 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bah Bahrain1 01:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
mIAMI omil(20.48,7June04)//// Many thanks. Have a great night, GL.

Gen dk 01:19 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

ny amc 01:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oskar...........can you explain your last post a little better

nyc jk 01:13 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
wtf is oskar?

USA Biscuit Boy 01:12 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
oskar oslo 01:09 GMT June 8, 2004

Then maybe it's time you put your money where your mouth is and post some of your own insights. That is unless of course you are all talk....

oskar oslo 01:09 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
only total amatuers would believe the nonsense that is flung daily around this forum. gentlemen and ladies, believe typur pipe dreams but your are all some much scheisse in a field of cattle.

Dublin CK 01:05 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q & BC - Thank you for your comments and analysis. As always they are like guiding lights, shinning in a dark FX tunnel.

shanghai bc 01:02 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   

On Gold,it is India and China that count these days..Others including all those cbs do not really count that much..Maybe Roschild of London gave up their Gold business when they noticed buying and selling scrap-metals were more lucrutive business these days..

Brisbane L 01:00 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
GBP could be hit hard if the BOE dont hike rates thursday.

Brisbane L 00:56 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Japanese players showing reluctance to buy gold ahead of likely U.S. rate hike, but metals analyst with Tokyo trading house holds view that now good time for long-term investors to start buying bullion on dips; notes there are still downside risks, but move back over $400 in coming months seems "very likely". Gold last quoted at $394, little changed from $393.95 overnight NY
reuters.

Mfld JM 00:52 GMT June 8, 2004 Reply   
Was that a glimmer of a heartbeat the E/$ just shown?

 




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