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Forex Forum Archive for 06/09/2004

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Porto PJT 23:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
jk, lol, i am counting the minutes....

nyc jk 23:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
we will be waiting on the edge of our seats for your word, cal

south beach 23:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Chicago: Do you thinks EUR/USD wil reverse upward in the NEAR term? Any advice & thoughts appreciated.

chicago cal 23:05 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
good thing the euro keeps falling; tomorrow i'll try to give you guys a heads up as to what might happen; i'll be going for 50-150+ pips you can forget about 20-25 pips contra trades with me

gl

Stockholm za 22:50 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL >> Happy to know that things are working out fine…
We all have loses some times because the market DOES not follow or work after our desire..
The question is how much …. Lol…
Remember money that is tied up in a loosing trade is of no value to your portfolio or health..
Well-done… & happy trades…
€/$.. We have move down to the 1,2095 hourly gate … fwiw…..

Brisbane L 22:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
AUD breach of 6970 supports revisit of 6800-6850 region before demand likely to return
Westpac technical analyst Robert Clayton

Miami OMIL (/;-> 22:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 22:18 GMT June 9, 2004
I will second that strongly after having a lost about 6 to 7 bad trades in a row last week and Fridays fiasco were I lost about 150 pips with a frozen platform I finally got it all back and some with only this bearish move by eur/usd. Now that is what money management will do for you in the long run believe me it will save your hide when you hit a bad streak. I have to admit this is what I really wanted to display a couple of weeks ago when I was talking about money management. ;-)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 22:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Well I was wrong when I said 1.2050-60 would hold for eur/usd. I guess it held for a couple of hours and then puff. This was a good run on this pair after the ugly range we were submitted to for a couple of weeks. I would like to say that 1.2020 will hold but I still don’t have a buy signal on my system and next support (1.1990-2000) might be tested before any real bounce is seen. I will be back later with more conclusive comments in the meantime I hope everyone got a little piece of this one and enjoyed it because it does not come very often IMO. GL GT

Stockholm za 22:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ >>>>
It’s the only way to survive their games, Good Risk/Reward & money management + discipline
Will get you a long way… Happy trades to you…
SNP >> nice !!

USA Biscuit Boy 22:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
RBNZ tightened another 25bp and further modest rises expected.

OK SZ 21:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
za, good post and good question..to me it's seems the $ still has not hit bottom..but I will let the market tell me that and go with the flows..gl, gt mate

Stockholm za 21:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
RELEASE: GDP [Sweden]: 0.6%
FIRST TAKE: Sweden's gross domestic product expanded 2.6% y/y in the first quarter, accelerating from an upwardly revised 2.3% expansion in the final months of last year. This continues the steady growth trend in place since mid-2003. Output rose 0.6% from the previous quarter, slowing marginally from an upwardly revised 0.7% in Q4.

RELEASE: Wholesale Trade (MWTR) [United States]: 0.8%
FIRST TAKE: Wholesale sales bested expectations once again in April, jumping 0.8%. In a surprise, however, inventories fell 0.1%, the first decline in eight months.

RELEASE: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey [United States]: 10.1%
FIRST TAKE: The hiring rate declined in April to 3.3%, from 3.5% in March. The April rate still bests hiring activity prior to that. However, the layoff rate also declined in April, to 1.0%. Thus, the combination of layoffs and hiring is consistent with net employment gains reported last week.

RELEASE: Oil and Gas Inventories [United States]: 302.1 MB
FIRST TAKE: Commercial crude oil inventories recorded a build during the week ending June 4, according to the American Petroleum Institute and the Energy Information Administration. Motor gasoline stocks also showed a build. Thus, today's data will have a bearish impact on petroleum markets.
TDS
...............................................................
Q from my mail :-
Inflation or Deflation?
Boom or Bust?
Stock Market Crash?
Dollar Drought?
The trade gap is $500 billion. The budget gap is almost another $500 billion. And the U.S. fiscal gap is a staggering $51 trillion.
That's the difference between what the U.S. government is obliged to spend... and what it expects in revenue.
SOMETHING'S GOT TO GIVE... but what?

LAX-LGB SNP 21:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

EURUSD

GBPCHF

USDCAD

all views highly appreciated ! :-) TIA

GVI john 21:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GVI MONTH AHEAD DOLLAR OUTLOOK:

SEE global-view research access via right link. For individual currencies see GVI.



GVI john 21:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2250…$/yen 110.45
DJIA 10,368, -64 pts NASDAQ 1,991 -33 pts
10-yr 4.81%, +3 bp’s
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on “GVI’s Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


See Text on GVI

BIG APPLE ROB 21:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Washington Capitol evacuated, private plane no threat...
false alarm

BIG APPLE ROB 20:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
News report stated capitol/Washington has been evacuated.

LAX-LGB SNP 19:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
self-preserved by hedging usd shorts with jpy bids using conti-majors ... now shorting usd agst contis looking for a short-squeeze ahead of last month's levels - if third quarter liquidity is going to be tight and ranges will hold, i might as well play them from the rollover side ;-)

New York Raider 19:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
US PPI /// On the several times recently when the release was delayed, I would call them up and they were still working on it. The notion that they don't want to release it right at the end of the day before the 3 day is highly plausible.

dc CB 19:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Re: PPI postponed "don't read too much into it...?"

the Ten Year sept futures hit 10705 just before the announcement...was looking to break 107. tomorrow there is a 10Y gov. auction......think they want the bottom to fall out before the auction????

the bond market had also announced this AM that they would extend thurs session by a 1/2 hour to accommodate the scheduled PPI release at 19:00 gmt.

either the BLS wants to get out of town because of the Reagan funeral or the numbers are really bad and they don't want to let them out before a 3 day weekend....tanking the bond and stock markets.

B.A. BOCA 19:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
cable is shaping up to be a blind sell tomorrow...IF ofcourse..

Indonesia soso Raden mas 18:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi friends!
Some trades for now.
sell $yen110.50 stop 111.10, target 109.10
buyeuro/$1.2050 stop 1.1990 target 1.2222( nice looking number,Lol)
also I see good chance for 1.7070 again but buy only if 1.69 printed, with stopbelow 1.6870
Good trades

GER ad 18:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/CHF at 1.5121

houston st 18:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
thanks GVI John...you're handier than a shirt pocket! :)

houston st 18:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
supposedly just announced that May PPI has been indefinitely postponed, and no data before June 15, per GVI John's posting in GVI Pro..gt.

GVI john 18:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GVI john 18:47 GMT June 9, 2004
FWIW- Labor Department blames calculation difficulties for PPI postponement. No data before June 15.

GVI john 18:43 GMT June 9, 2004
I would not read too much into the postponement of the PPI data.

GVI john 18:30 GMT June 9, 2004
Labor Dept just indefinitely postponing May PPI. They did not want to stay late on Thursday.

Bah Bahrain1 18:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain with in 10 pips//// Got it not to warry. Thanks.

New York Raider 18:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
US PPI /// Talk hitting the wires that although scheduled for Thurs 1900 GMT, it may be further delayed. Any further news/confirmation appreciated. There were several past PPI releases that were delayed...

Bah Bahrain1 18:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain with in 10 pips/// Hi pal, could you please send me again your magic site address pls.
By the way Hamaaneee say hello to u.

OK SZ 18:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ah way to go..guess I just have to learn how to correctly use them..thanks again

chicago cal 18:27 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
yea, thanks there's a fibo calculator at this site; i am currently using a $5 radio shack regular calculator

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Euro should bounce back from 1.20 +/- 8 Pips

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 18:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
maybe someone forgot my little view.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:46 GMT June 9, 2004
seen usd/chf must be finished at 1.2555..top?
see reuters.
CU..my friends..
time for rest..too niight

Hb 18:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
15 min 188 sma 1.2251

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Montreal loup 18:17 GMT June 9, 2004,
Good Man...Thanks

OK SZ 18:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
cal, do you use any software for your fibs?..your posts are excellent..

Montreal loup 18:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
188 SMA / 15 min is 1.2248

chicago cal 18:16 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
early ny session i gave everyone a tip as to the market direction for the day "oil man" did too

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys,
Tough day for all I think..
Could someone please do a little favour for me pls..
I need the value for 188 SMA for the euro using 15 Minutes..
Thanks

perth rick 18:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
New York Raider 18:04 GMT June 9, 2004
its just temporary imho b4 a larger $ selloff

chicago cal 18:07 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
mnl; i use fibo numbers up 250+ pips today; to understand how they work would take some study on your part; for me fibo #s work with range as well as break out plays

New York Raider 18:04 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dollar Index /// Gaining major yardage - touchdown! What a reversal day on JPY rates

Chicago YM 17:50 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I shall return soon

Chicago YM 17:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
lunch break

OK SZ 17:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
viies, yes I sold my at 79 from 65..sidelines for rest of day..gl, gt

perth rick 17:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
perth rick 06:02 GMT June 7, 2004
Short euro at market 1.2330 for 1.20

perth rick 13:23 GMT June 8, 2004
[1.2290] Euro/usd selloff alarm beeping

perth rick 13:26 GMT June 8, 2004
support for euro is at 1.20 ;)



Tallinn viies 17:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
bought at 1,2066 and sold out all at 1,2084.
it doesnt look good.
agressive selling only option now as long as 1,2140 contains the move. target 1,1950 firts

Bah Bahrain1 17:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Buying EURGBP here at 0.6604 s/l at 6580 p/t 6625 GL

hk nzd .59 double bottom 17:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NY close is v. impt on dlr/jpy... now pending a key-day.

OK SZ 17:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
will sell gpb/usd at 1.8330 if I get the chance to

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hi friends !!
gbp/usd now give new number at 1.8224 (bid)...bottom?
start from now.

OK SZ 17:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I went long euro at 12065..buy fractal on my chart

jkt diablo 17:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q, do you think we'll see euro 1.23 again later this week?
BTW, your super magnet 1.2103's really superb :-)

mnl vrm 17:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hi, can anyone tell me about fibonacci retracement? does't really work?

hong kong panda 16:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NT good evening. How is everything going on? hope that everything fine on your side.

hong kong panda 16:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NT good evening. How is everything going on? hope that everything fine on your side.

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nt, do u treat the left inverse shs shoulder to be .6140? TIA.

HK Kevin 16:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, my previous post should be refer to hong kong nt.

Stockholm za 16:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
JFB >>>> up-date will be done later... will forward the same ..
Happy trades...........

HK Kevin 16:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk no, good evening. Daily chart says yes. Covered the rest of my long USD/CAD at position 1.3564. Also short USD/JPY at 109.86.

hong kong nt 16:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:33 GMT -- kiwi daily is possibly forming an inverse SHS, worth to buy at 0.618 with small stop, by the way, both eur and chf just reach their tech supp lvl...

Chambery FR JFB 16:35 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
G'evening :-)
What a dive! fwiw, s/l hit today on autopilot @1.2200 -36/-60pips... flat now...going for a swim...too hot!
Happy trades...

jkt diablo 16:35 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I'm long euro now @ 2070.

Eilat Dolphin 16:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bomb in Cologne, Germany wounds twelve says police. (10-15 minutes ago).

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
In Chinese culture, if something fails 3 times, it's not nice to support it the fourth....


to play safe, don't long aud now but wait signal comes.

NY GG 16:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 16:29 GMT June 9, 2004
OK, OK, thanks, OK!

OK SZ 16:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GG, farmacia has a break of 18240 for 1.8187..am waiting for that level but probably not today..maybe euro session..

chicago cal 16:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
if downward momentem continues 1.1770 will be in play mid-term

NY GG 16:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
closed my aussie shorts at .6910 will go short cable if it breaks below 1.8250 but it looks rock solid inside that 4h channel.

mex sjs 16:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
287 pip week....

sydney balmain 16:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
gold coast time for piva .... patience rewarded.

mex sjs 16:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
re euro it has been only a 262 pip week, do you think we have seen low for the current weeK? 1.2060 is 50% retracemente of 1.1770-1.2350, TIA

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:15 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 16:12 GMT June 9, 2004
hi..still remember your old friend ?

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ZORRO, try dlr/jpy....

Gold Coast martin 16:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
EURO ..ZORRO....keep that stamp collection building....lol....seriously,hope the market goes your way,,,,

Sydney Alimin 16:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
wow i must be blessed tonite, haha ok saw it already, time to sleep i guess before i am upsetting people more, thanks everyone, g'nite

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
But I don't think SNB likes to see eur/chf too far under 1.5050.... this is also the .382 retracement.

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
IMVHO, the elephant will use his eur/chf cross to kill the eur and save chf. Then, USD bear trend will resume but should be in few days.

Watch dlr/chf 1.2650 and usd index 90.

EU ZORRO 16:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

...Bought more EUROS here...

...and left orders to buy more @ 1.1985....

Hong Kong Qindex 16:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : It is rather weak, 384.8 / 385.2

Sydney Alimin 16:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
just got the feeling it is not complete yet if euro doesnt test 1.2050/60 tonite, but then again it has gone down a lot, i dont think i will have chance to see it anyway, if it doesnt happen in 20 mins, i am off to sleep
gravity works...LOL :) gl gt everyone

hk nzd .59 double bottom 16:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, dlr/jpy should stop by 110.12... otherwise, another key-day reversal.

Nottingham 15:57 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 15:51 GMT

IMM: euro longs at 22194, 3 month high...usually a good gauge...gl gt

Mumbai Jay 15:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC...EUR/USD 200 DMA is coming around 1.2075..Do you think this will an entry point for bigger players? TIA.

Sydney Alimin 15:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
geez, after looking at the daily chart almost all those 2 weeks upmove for euro gone in 2 days...this is showing just how crazy fx market can be

Hong Kong Qindex 15:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Illinois DB 15:42 GMT - You are welcome!

HK Kevin 15:50 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:34 GMT, USD/JPY is also crazy. Ragain daily's high and now at 109.8X.l

HK Kevin 15:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:34 GMT, eur/jpy's move is crazy. If I am lucky, it may tetake 136.40 and move to 138. It's a a long term trade with stop to minimize loss.
You know, my worst trade this week is short Aussie at 7062 on Mon night. It drop to 7018 and rise again, hit my stop profit at 7042 and now at 6917.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
seen usd/chf must be finished at 1.2555..top?

London AKA 15:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
DAIMYO: on the index charts though, wave 2 looks like a flat... which makes me think we will see a 3 wave correction in wave 4? with "a" being nearly complete?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hello.
I hope not too worry if have sell possie sell eur/usd and gbp/usd. although for short term trade..have confirmed sell signal agai.
start.

Bah Bahrain1 15:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain with in 10 pips/// Haamanee say hello to u.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hello friends.
seen eur/usd must finished 1.2152.
gbp/usd have confirmed sell signal...welcome 1.8080/50

Bah Bahrain1 15:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oil man(13.03GMT)//// Thanks mate. GL>

Illinois DB 15:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q thx for your call on gold. My system went short at the same time yours did, but your confirmation helped my confidence to sell.

Also thx to everyone on this forum, I read it a lot and its very good.

chicago cal 15:41 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
euro long might get you 10-15 pips; gl

hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
jf, your anticipated move comes a week late.....

Sydney Alimin 15:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
jkt diablo: thx mate, i should thank a lot of people here especially Dr Q with his super magnet that made me resist the temptation to take profit at 1.2210...hope you are making money too...best of luck...keep it simple and safe

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
My number printed for eur/usd and I have exited the intraday short position on that pair. I believe with intraday indicators in O/S territory a pullback is eminent for this time although I don’t have a buy signal in my system I don’t really think that there is enough push here to break the next support 1.2050-60 area for the moment IMHO. GL GT

hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, I prefer bigger pennant on the eur/jpy in the weekly chart.

Oakland Daimyo 15:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London AKA -- You are correct, if you were watching you could have seen USD regain selloff levels this week.
Key Levels from Sunday night (still valid):
Step ladder
90.64
90.27
89.96
89.65
89.27
89.23
89.18
------
89.03
88.45
88.38
87.23
87.02

hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, I see the japs will flirt the eur/jpy hard before Sept.... I really don't be surprise to see a weekly 1000 pips move on this pair sooner than later. Take care....

BUT, that old manipulator will appear again suddenly to move the eur/jpy with 500 pips gun, very crazy....

jkt diablo 15:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 15:03 GMT June 9, 2004
took profit for now 1.2090 euro, woohoo nice trade 2 days

Congratulations Alimin! I thought your target profit was only 2210 :-D

sydney balmain 15:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
today isnt over yet.. dead cat bounces so far

Livingston nh 15:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Tomorrow should be active all US session - MPC and US job claims early and PPI at 3PM EST - US Trade figures apparently off 'til Monday

HK Kevin 15:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:02 GMT, took half profit of my long USD/CAD from ~1.3450 at 1.3334. But my long EUR/JPY from ~133.20 is in danger, took 2nd position at 132.16, with overall stop below 131.80, a break of which signal a trend change of 300-500 pips.

London AKA 15:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
does anyone look at the usd-index? it does prove useful most of the time, and is rather technical?

USA Biscuit Boy 15:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Trying a long eur/usd position here after being stopped out near 1.22 overnight. GL and GT.

London AKA 15:27 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
dollar has done a perfect rally from yesterday's lows, made in 3 waves (out of 5) so far. looking for a corrective dollar sell-off (mild, not more than 50 pips) and then a final 5th wave rise above current levels. with this correction of a larger usd sell off (still in a bear market for usd, i think) being a 4th wave, it is likely to be fairly messy (2nd wave was a clear zig-zag on eur, chf)... maybe will be flat, in which case will see a broad, 2ish figure range over the coming days... and then a fifth wave of a dollar sell-off, to 1.26eur, sub 1.21 chf.

Sydney Alimin 15:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
i mean market participants :)

Wash DC Tempus 15:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I think taht the EUR is becoming a bit tricky.....
starting to see alot of factors lining up yet again against the common currency.....
Fed hike at end of June with an additional 50 bp later this year (look to PPI tom. for inflationary indicator)... recovery in oil prices very pro US growth... UN and G8 support for Iraqi government.... also outside chance G8 will mention their concerns from overall euro strength.... so in a macro sense think we are still in arnges 1.1900 to 1.2300 but watch downard euo bias.... tyhink levels between 1.2080 and 1.2100 good idea to square interday shorts but i would hesiate putting on a long position her unles syoua re looking for a 30 pip trade

Sydney Alimin 15:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
man, after big move like this, it is just a perfect set up for thursday and friday data release, keep the market entertained and guessing

jkt diablo 15:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I believe EUR/USD is a buy at this level (2085-2100). What do you think?

GER ad 15:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CHF,
out at 1.5166

Hong Kong Qindex 15:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 15:08 GMT June 9, 2004
AUD/USD : Monthly Cycle Quantized Levels


... 0.6688* // 0.6769 - 0.6849* - 0.6930 // 0.7010* ...

Oakland Daimyo 15:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Looks like games have begun. Have fun guys/gals. C-ya @ NY close.

Sydney Alimin 15:05 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: still holding mate? i just quitted, wont be too greedy tonite :) can sleep well now

Gold Coast martin 15:04 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
CAIRO ..yes i do..the timeframe would be 1 hour before end of ny trading..g/l...

Sydney Alimin 15:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
took profit for now 1.2090 euro, woohoo nice trade 2 days

cairo as 15:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin do u still see 120.15 in EUR/USD

cairo as 15:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin do u still see 120.15

hk nzd .59 double bottom 15:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
We seldom see valid key-day reversal fail.....

no matter which pair is it.....

Stockholm za 15:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
fwiw...... €/$ = BOD till 1,201x get taken out ...
Happy trades.....

OK SZ 14:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I see a bounce from 2060

B.A. BOCA 14:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
this looks like more than just a yen-inspired sell-off. smells like forced liquidation of funds targeting 1,25+ more like it...below 1,2050 is panic time

most dangerous times, also the best if you're on the right side of things

GL

Oakland Daimyo 14:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 14:53 GMT June 9, 2004
Thank you-- much appreciated. I thought there might be some relevant levels to watch for on the way.

Gold Coast martin 14:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
CAIRO...that should be sell....sorry..

Hong Kong Qindex 14:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:43 GMT - Most of the time my weekly cycle key quantized levels are good reference for position trading.

Gold Coast martin 14:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
CAIRO...it is going to 120.15 soon....good to buy now for short trade....

chicago cal 14:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
watch 1.2080 it may bounce a little from there i'll take some profits if it does in fact bounce

Nottingham 14:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp...6603...no idea on interest but a technical level...gl gt

Tallinn viies 14:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
euro doesnt look good.
still need to buy more to average.
1,2160 on my radar

melbourne farmacia 14:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo 14:37 GMT June 9, 2004
From my system - Gbp/usd needs to overcome 1.8240 for 1.8187. Cable's still within my range 1.8465 -1.8379 - 1.8326 -1.8283 - 1.8240 & 1.8187. GT

Oakland Daimyo 14:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Do not be fooled. Dealers trying hard to confuse, shake us off the scent. I for one see you and am not going to give up this fight easily. USD buyers are back for now. Purely technical correction (much needed)

Nottingham 14:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
B.A. BOCA 14:48 GMT

Don't worry I'm sure the ostriches will obilge...either way it will be a good play; I expect some here will play it via options as it seems safest with good payout either result...gl gt

Stockholm za 14:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Beautiful cycle...... I love it & love to see you guy`s fight it ..
Happy safe trades...

cairo as 14:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
do any one recommend what to do in EUR/USD now

cairo as 14:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
do any one recommend what to do in EUR/USD now

B.A. BOCA 14:48 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
it's up to the BoE now to help cable get crunched..

Oakland Daimyo 14:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML--- Keep your dealers phone # programmed into your desk phone. Call in orders. You still have a chance with this one. IMHO

Sydney Alimin 14:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
well done Dr Q! what a wonderful magnet you have there :) cheers...

Nottingham 14:41 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
cable...some demand expected at 8230/20 with more at 8200
usdcad...believe sellers to materialise at 3570/80...that is in and around the 10 and 50 day sma's so makes the zone pivotal imo
euro...2080 next expected orders...also re euro, noting going round calling for test of 6 month trendline, would be 1950/1900 region...gl gt

ICT ML 14:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
well that figures.....charts showed cable plunging through our stops at 70, platform has just frozen in time at 79 for 3 mins now...can't go short.

IST Sez 14:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Cable heading down....!!
yess!

Oakland Daimyo 14:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Farmacia-- we could use your help here mate.

Oakland Daimyo 14:36 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk---trying not to loose focus. I'm often early w/ my signals so using patience is something I'm working on. This one looks ripe for raiders.

nyc jk 14:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
cheers Daimyo. I am also short GBP, this 1.8270/80 area proving to be stubborn for now though......

UAE Oil man 14:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LA SID 13:21 GMT June 9, 2004

Tx, I do not adhere to scripts longer than i have too.

Oakland Daimyo 14:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk---Please see earlier posts. Plus, my 1st Wyckoff P&F tgt is 1.7949 (med-term)

Sydney Alimin 14:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
thx Dr Q, always appreciate your educating and helpful posts

GER ad 14:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/CHF at 1.5152

nyc jk 14:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
daimyo - where's your target on the GBP mate?

Oakland Daimyo 14:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD---C.O. preperation for markdown cycle complete. Knock thrice, nobody home. Look for dump.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT - In general I would keep an eye on daily and weekly key level.

LHR B747 14:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 14:23 GMT: OK, you are right and would like to apologize if someone feels offended, sorry again!

Hong Kong Qindex 14:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT - In general I would keep an on daily and weekly key level.

melbourne farmacia 14:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 14:17 GMT June 9, 2004
Watch your choice of words mate...

ny amc 14:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
euro finding support at its 50dema on the daily

Oakland Daimyo 14:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Mo Chi Chu

Hong Kong Qindex 14:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 08:22 GMT June 6, 2004
USD/CHF (Weekly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2522. The distribution profile of my weekly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.2204 - 1.2522. The lower barrier is positioning at 1.2125 // 12204 and the mid -point reference is 1.2165. The upper barrier is expected at 1.2602 // 1.2681 and the mid-point reference is 1.2642. The market rhythm of my weekly cycle is represented by 159 pips (k=0.01588) and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.2046 - 1.2681. (Suggestion : Maintain a long position if the market is trading above 1.2284).

Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2045* - 1.2125 // 1.2204* - 1.2284 - 1.2363* - 1.2443 - 1.2522* - 1.2602 // 1.2681* ...


prague viktor 14:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk...:thanksG/T

Hong Kong Qindex 14:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT - It is negative when the market is trading below the critical point/level. However one have to be very cautious that the market may reverse its course when it is approaching the lower or upper barrier. Basically I have simplified the whole situation. There is a key level in my daily, weekly, monthly, 3-month, 5-day, 22-day and 44-day.

LHR B747 14:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
It looks like US session will prepare the field for the far east boys to effect gang bang on the blonde currency :)

Nottingham 14:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
eurcad...50 day sma to trendline 6350/25 may act as support but market well long eur and short cad so risk of further downside always around the corner...gl gt

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
FWIW this eur/usd run has broken T/L and retracement numbers are 1.2130-40, 1.2050-60 and 1.1980-90 with the mother T/L at around 1.1880-70 IMHO. GL GT

chicago cal 14:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
just added to euro shorts

sydney balmain 14:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ok now here we go... fingers crossed

London e 14:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 14:06 GMT June 9, 2004
Maybe, but I think USD/JPY would bounce down at 109.5 if it ever gets there today. I think USD/JPY is going to break down to 103 this month. Im long USD/CHF too and short USD/JPY but tightened stops on both.

Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q, when the super magnet 1.2103 is reached, is the bias still down? Looking at the weekly cycle levels you posted before, the low barrier is 1.1999/1.2050, so one would expect to long from 1.2103 to 1.2050/1.1999? or do i get it wrong? I remember last time you mentioned if it is trading below the critical level that means it is going down further.

hk revdax 14:06 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London e 13:56 GMT//buy $/JY and sell $/CHF OR buy Euro/JY.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : I feel very uncomfortable when the market can hit 199.

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 13:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk 09:44 GMT May 5, 2004
Good Morning..

Euro..need to overtake first1.2250 and then the critical1.2350/24 for the SOS 1.2650..

The Good news are that USD/CAD still is around 1.37 and might want some +pips UP around 1.38 b4 the Slow Down..

Van Gecko..Kali mera!!

To all the free readers..
Have a nice day!! or Kalo apogeumataki!

nk

The target above 1.40 looks like a dream....
The Question is: why? cos in my opinion the Black hole need to change colour and Green economy push UP and frome the other side Euro after change the Direction ..

So still Euro IS BUY AS LONG IS STAYING ABOVE 1.17++

nk

JHB JW 13:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Is there a problem with the ticker feed or is it my P.C.settings?

London e 13:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
What time is the rate announcement tomorrow?
Any views on USD/JPY or USD/CHF?
Thanks :-)

Stockholm za 13:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 >>> You had the answer......... lol
Happy trades ..........

prague viktor 13:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ :I love to see the 1,4++++level but the Q when..

OK SZ 13:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
za, amen brother..focus on the flows and keep the personals to ones self..gl, gt all

Global-View 13:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
As you notice, we have given some leeway but now suggest getting back to the market.

LHR B747 13:50 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney alimin 13:43 GMT: good afternoon to you from Holland, Yes I still hold my small position. :)

Will EUR/USD @ 1.2000 before 18/JUN/2004 (not 1.2100 anymore) is on cards?

GT

Sydney alimin 13:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
saloniko nk: euro will do what? sorry i don't get what you mean..up or down?

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 13:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk 08:21 GMT May 26, 2004
GBP/J...

Im trying..to

S.E.L.L...for target -200

nk

ALLORA ZORRO!
nk

Dublin Flip 13:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Ok guys. where is the love in the room???
It sounds like it's time for team hug.
hmmmmmm
Now doesn't that feel better??? -LOL

Stockholm za 13:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

YOU GUY`S--- PLEASE DONT START WITH THAT censored $HIT...

¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤

SA Newbie 13:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Martin, thanks for sharing your insights-- up to the minute or hour or day or whatever. A lot of "newbies" really appreciate the time and effort. Strange that so called traders can expect one to be right all the time.

Sydney alimin 13:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747: do you still hold ur possie? :)

melbourne farmacia 13:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Well it would be nice if cable could trade outside the range - been a long few weeks...

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 13:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

Some have to wait a little bit B4 talk..

EURO will DO IT!

IMO

nk

nyc jk 13:41 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 03:13 GMT March 23, 2004
HK ..ab....re:nzd...i hav it on good authority that the RBNZ..has in fact intervened currency wise to stem the rise of the NZD...just thought you may be interested as it will influence potential medium to long trading positions....g/l


that was a good call Martin? how come this intervention that you had on supposed good authority never happened? where is it in the RBNZ bulletins? Martin please stop taking up forum space reposting the same stuff over and over.

Gold Coast martin 13:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR 747....WELL SAID.....

Singapore Sfx 13:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
martin, so why do you post "to the minute" stuff? cos when you do, you make it sound like you're the puppetmaster ..
which kind of dilutes the effect of some good calls.

LHR B747 13:38 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Please stop fighting and pay attention to FX trading...please!
There was a never a day (and will never be!) that all of us will make profits, leave the stage for trading in place of biting each other.

TIA & GT

Gold Coast martin 13:36 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk...he!...if you look at the archives my so called bad calls have materialised ..only the time span has been wrong..it is because i call the range to the pip and the timeframe to the minute...if i can perfect the above i will be god and will not need to trade....good trades nyc...the market awaits for no one...

sarasota jf 13:36 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
jk -
flash memory maybe?

sydney balmain 13:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
here we go.........

Chicago YM 13:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 13:30 GMT - Nice point

Oakland Daimyo 13:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Zorro--- Me too. I strongly think we will see better levels to buy from based on sentiment indicators. Hearing about some spec accounts in a problem soon.

nyc jk 13:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Martin, why do you never dig out any of you bad calls?

Gold Coast martin 13:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
EURO ...ZORRO...Keep buying those euros and you will have a good stamp collection when you retire...lol..seriously, good trades and may the market have mercy on your soul...

Chicago YM 13:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
what is going on?

Haifa ac 13:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga/Latvia Dadzis 12:04 GMT June 9, 2004
What does the funny 'fwiw' abbreviation mean?//
Friends with Inifinite wisdom.

Gold Coast martin 13:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 01:18 GMT June 5, 2004
GOOD MORNING ...after fridays data and all the short term volatility where are we?exactly where we were before the data...Euro will resume its downward path from monday onwards towards the 119 range and the aud with the nzd will shed further towards 68 and 59 respectively..fridays data merely shook the market back into a logical path that existed 3 weeks ago...next week will be a week that we can trade with confidence relying on good technicals and fundamentals to establish medium and long term positions...

Sorry to keep digging old info but it saves me a lot of time while trading....above applies for the rest of this short week..

EU ZORRO 13:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo 13:16....

...I would love to BUY more EUROS down there....

Nottingham 13:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
re that demand I posted for euro earlier today...I suspect it may be eurjpy related, just a hunch...gl gt

LA SID 13:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oilman, how does one change his view so quickly after saying EURO is a scremaing buy all the way down? At what point to you say I better stop buying everything in sight and start selling everything in sight? If you can pick the ultimate top and bottom I can see this strategy working out..........

Oakland Daimyo 13:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Note: Tgt for GBP/USD shorts is 1.8200 then 1.8134, maybe 1.8111 GT to all.

Oakland Daimyo 13:16 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
1.2120 is last hope for EUR/USD bulls, if big guns do not show up, it will be selloff (corrective) to 1.2076, possibly more. Will update later if possible. Bear Raids look good.

jordan joe 13:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 13:03 GMT June 9, 2004
do you mean is or was

B.A. BOCA 13:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
sorry, should read 8270 then 8220..

B.A. BOCA 13:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
euro broke its range decisively, cable still holding on to its. only a matter of time it seems, unless euro recovers today...8370 then 8320 pretty quick..

NY GG 13:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I'm going for .6901 with my Aussie short from yesterday. Will advice what to do when we get there later today hopefully.

Oakland Daimyo 13:04 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Aussie heading towards 0.6843 Major 8HR Fractal Bottom. I do not expect to see any significant support till then. GT

UAE Oil man 13:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain.
Eurjpy is a sell, until 134.60 is retaken.
E$ is a sell near 1.2250-90
GBP$ is a sell near 1.8350-1.8480
$CAD is a good buy but might want to wait 1.3550 breaks..Still ok till 1.3380 doesn't break from here.

Again my views change pretty fast, but sorry it's always better to turn the shirt and make money than holding views and loosing money.

GL.

Oakland Daimyo 13:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Pound to follow. Adding shorts here

Gold Coast martin 12:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
INTERESTING 2 hours ahead have just started for the poor aussie.....

Ldn Viewer 12:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 12:44 - Agree mate where there is smoke there is fire , but agree without China would be nothing and they will want to call the shots , plenty to be done ... mate keep up with the AUD , EUR etc ... these make money now ...
Thks appreciate your posts ...

Helsinki iw 12:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ EUR/USD reached the 1,2140/50 level much sooner than I thought even though it is well o/s on intraday studies.
Just a sign of the strength of this move. Expect more dollar strength after some consolidation.

Gold Coast martin 12:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Please note that the 2 year period i mentioned is a period that the market will start to re-act to such a concept...it may take 10 years to actually see an asian "dollar"...

Bah BAHRAIN1 12:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
UAE,OilMan/// are u around mate? What u think EURYEN pls?

Gold Coast martin 12:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LATVIA..ASIAN economies are the worlds emerging powehouses of the future...when the asian major economies are recording 7.5-9% annual growth while euroland is struggling with unemployment levels of around 10% and almost no growth where do you think all the capital flows will go?asia of course...a common asian currency will simply make make it a currency of choice when investing into the asian economies....the bottom line is as asia is a cheap place to manufacture a common asian currency will be cost effective currency for investors to conduct business for a maximum return.....euro will fall to 3rd in line as the most preffered world currency......i know one thing...i would not be accumulating euros with a view of appreciation in the long term...the market of course will give you plenty of warning should this news starts to gain momentum...the key is to think and act ahead of the market......g/t

Hong Kong Qindex 12:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 12:20 GMT - It has been mentioned by Shanghai bc and I guess he is working on it now. I guess it will take another 5-10 years.

Nottingham 12:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
fwiw...unless China agrees to join, any common currency will be pointless...and they have yet to revalue the yuan to more appropriate or at least more reflective levels nevermind agree to any restrictions that unification would impose...it took Europe 20 odd years to get things ready for launch...Asia likely to be no different...gl gt

Hong Kong Qindex 12:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad KZ 12:10 GMT - USD/CAD : I guess it will go up later this week.

houston st 12:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

Gold Coast martin 12:20 GMT--there was an op-ed piece on that in yesterday's WSJ..interesting concept..gl/gt.

Ldn Viewer 12:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 12:20 - Good views and calls on AUD , but 2 years would pale to at least 40 to make it happen at least for a common Asian currency .. it took Europe 40 years , Asia/Pacific at least if not longer , keep the archives and post it one day ... Keep up the good work on AUD ...GL All

Riga/Latvia Dadzis 12:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 12:20 GMT
What exactly makes you think that a common currency in Asian/Pacific region will have SUCH a dramatic effect on euro? I agree on US dollar prospects, though.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NYC Thanks

Riga/Latvia Dadzis 12:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius george 12:16 GMT
GERAI, GERAI.
KAA LABI IET?

ny amc 12:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
dow futures down 19

Gold Coast martin 12:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
There is talk among ASIAN/pacific government officials at the moment for the formulation of a blueprint for a common asian/ pacific/currency...Should this occur it would undermine the USD domination substantially...The effect on the EURO will be more dramatic..it may reduce it to the value of a postage stamp...food for thought for those accumulating EUROS FOR THE LONG TERM....I hope i dont have to dig this info out of the archives 2 years....g/t

Bahrain Within 10 pips 12:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dow futures?
Anyone please...Where is at?

Vilnius george 12:16 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga/Latvia Dadzis 12:04
funny , wild ,indian ,wife. GL

Lightning Ridge Jeb 12:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac
Joe Gutnik is no friend of mine.
He's a Demon (Melbourne AFL)
Whilst I am a Saint (St Kilda AFL)

Lightning Ridge Jeb 12:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q
Thanks for your reply.
Watching in anticipation.

Belgrad KZ 12:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q what is your opinion about USD/CAD, talinn viies u?

Tallinn viies 12:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 12:01 GMT - far far away, planning to buy more near 1,2060/70

Riga/Latvia Dadzis 12:04 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
What does the funny 'fwiw' abbreviation mean?

ny amc 12:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
buying eur/usd 1.2155 s/l 1.2120 tar 1.2220 i just think that since Friday is now considered a holiday and most markets are closed noone will want to be long dollars so that means we should get a retracement...........just my opinion

Antwerp Tom 12:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Viies, what's your SL on this possie? GL GT

Newcastle GH 11:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac,
Settle down ac, I didn't know Guttnick was an opal miner?

Haifa ac 11:57 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Lightning Ridge Jeb 11:38 // LOL. I see you and GH know Joseph Gutnick.

Tallinn viies 11:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
bought euros at 1,2159 fwiw target 1,2340/50

Hong Kong Qindex 11:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Lightning Ridge Mav 11:20 GMT - The odds are good and it will cover the New York session and the next Asian period.

Hong Kong Qindex 11:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 11:11 GMT - 1.5 x quantized level is good enough for the stop in general. The lower and upper barriers are good for entry levels.

ny amc 11:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
buying gbp/usd 1.8285 s/l 1.8235 tar 1.8350

Lightning Ridge Jeb 11:38 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Newcastle GH
not mining this time.
just visiting

Gold Coast martin 11:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
TU.. ferry..by all means..make sure JAY gives you my new email address as he has had it for the last 2 days...g/t

Gold Coast martin 11:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 05:00 GMT April 22, 2004
BRISBANE L..the reason why i brought up thr iraq situation is that i have it on good authority that a UN resolution down the track is a last gasp solution for the bush administration to improve their election chances thus easing the iraqi burden on the american taxpayer....should this occur it will be USD positive...still time will tell and we have to be ahead of the market when this occurs....
In view of the above situation materializing officially yesterday it would prove to be USD positive with the savings from the IRAQI burden flowing through to other parts of the US ECONOMY thus stimulating both currency,economy and Bushs chances of re-election....

GVI john 11:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
This report is posted twice daily on GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2160…$/yen 109.00
DJIA -9 pts… 10-yr 4.79%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Tracker”:
CLICK HERE


FULL TEXT ON GVI

Newcastle GH 11:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Jeb
Are you mining?

Tu ferry 11:27 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
@Gold Coast Martin

not yet in your target zone but nevertheless a very good call concerning EUR/USD.

Would it be o.k. for you that I ask Jay for your e-mail adress?

Lightning Ridge Mav 11:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q
Good Evening.
Do you still feel USD / JPY odds good for lower barrier
as per 7:17 GMT post?
regards Jeb

Nottingham 11:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 11:06 GMT

we had a nice rally after the numbers and sterling is holding onto gains against the euro...cliché but timing is everything...still, sterling should stay firm ahead of the announcement tomorrow with options strat being favoured directly ahead of the event...gl gt

indonesia newbie 11:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 11:01 GMT June 9, 2004
aniwei thx dr Q,i promise not to do it again.
but little question here can we (example in possie short) make ur upper barier if broken is the stop loss entry??

indonesia newbie 11:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
xpto 11:00 GMT June 9, 2004
yeah...it's very2 scary but my plan is to keep the faith.(sounds nonsense but i don't have any chartin skilz yet).

Livingston nh 11:06 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Good UK IP and mfg numbers don't look to have helped Cable - any thots?

Hong Kong Qindex 11:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 10:51 GMT - Don't do it next time. There is no mercy in this business.

Sydney bl 11:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
thanks Dr Qindex

xpto 11:00 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
indonesia newbie 10:51, terrific, you enter in the market without a plan.scary.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney bl 10:44 GMT - We have to wait for the rate in New York closing.

indonesia newbie 10:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex
dr Q thx for ur post in forum now all my posiie become green
short usd/jpy 111.30 short eur/usd 1.1990 ,1.2203 ,1.2297 ,1.2335(avg 1.22**).without ur coment i already cut all the possie.many thx dr q.savvy.

Nottingham 10:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
euro...support said to be at current levels (2180/75) but I haven't got any concrete demand there...however expect orders to come in at 2150 down to 2130...gl gt

Sydney bl 10:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex what's you view on EUR/JPY now

sofia roco 10:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London ss - Thank you. GL>

Gold Coast martin 10:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 01:28 GMT March 7, 2004
...."the anticipated level of the AUD in june is to be in the 68 to 70 range".
The above post still applies for the rest of the month...g/l to all...

Hong Kong Qindex 10:27 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London ADK 10:23 GMT - Thank you for your kind words.

London ADK 10:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q - great forecasts lately. GL Sir

Hong Kong Qindex 10:16 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 10:21 GMT June 5, 2004
EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2103 (super magnet). The distribution profile of my weekly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.1999 - 1.2413. The lower barrier is expected at 1.1999 // 1.2051. The upper barrier is located at 1.2309 // 1.2361. The market rhythm is represented by 104 pips (k=0.01033) and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.2103 - 1.2517. (Suggestion : Maintain a short position if the market is trading below 1.2335 ).


Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.1999* // 1.2051 - 1.2103* - 1.2155 - 1.2206* - 1.2258 - 1.2309* // 1.2361 - 1.2413* - 1.2465 - 1.2517* ...


hk dong 10:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Ldn, with Aud/Nzd below 1.1200 the r/r is not attractive for market movers to sell aud for .6800

Nottingham 10:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
cable...fwiw 1.82(1.80)-1.85(1.86)...gl gt

london ss 10:06 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
sofia:
i believe cable is still on the way up, has formed a slight triangle formation, but should rally thru the 1.8460/70 top sooner rather than later, now has very very strong support @1.8280 under that level would trigger mass selling, my target is 1.8700, but it must reach this by the end of next week.

lnd 09:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
why is the aud here? i would have expected at least a 0.68xx print on this thing given cable and euro price action. any clues?

jkt diablo 09:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I don't think BoE will raise rate tomorrow and with yesterday Greenspan comment which triggers the market fear of US rate hike up to 0.5%, cable's quite vulnerable and should favor the downside.

Sofia roco 09:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London SS - your opinion on cable, pls. TIA

Singapore Sfx 09:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sure Par, but is it profitable ?

london ss 09:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
priced in

london ss 09:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
5% uk base rates pried in.

PAR 09:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
With UK interest rates going to 5% it is extremely dangerous to sell sterling.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
sorry, should be 3480.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
small long cad 1.3580

NYC pws 09:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
big figure shorts on Cable at 1.8400?

Bah BAHRAIN1 09:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Part p/t done on the EURYEN here @ 133.15. GL

New York Raider 09:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Thankful to be out of region altogether... I thought that there might be a bigger reaction to the story, in CHF at least

Saihat 09:27 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk dong
some time real

London ADK 09:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Haifa - Not many people know who Sherpa Tenzing Norgay is.

Haifa ac 09:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
London ADK 08:45 // David Irving (historian) LOST in London's High Court to Deborah Lipstadt.

LHR B747 09:00 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
New York Raider 08:53 GMT: Be happy that you are not an Iranian citizen; if damage is serious we will see wave of refugees from Iran very soon.


GT

hk dong 08:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk kevin agree with you, the Japs are at dream contra levels.
Saihat you bot for real or demo?

Normandy Nick 08:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
buy order on pound at 1.8380 for 1.8440

Sydney bl 08:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 i agree, thanks Dr Qdinex

New York Raider 08:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oil /// Bloomberg TV repeated the story re oil pipeline in Iraq via AFP about 5 minutes ago...

LHR B747 08:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q.: you are one of the few who have a point about future forecasts in FX trading.

I am not saying that you are always right but I do say that your opinion/forecast based on deep expirience.


GT

HK Kevin 08:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom, my m/t target for short USD/JPY is 108.60 and s/t correction t/p for EUR/$. Both have been met, so the best play is long EUR/JPY. Will watch the support 132.34 mentioned by Qindex last month.

London ADK 08:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
PAR - Heard of the saying "the history books are written by the winners",....some things hardly ever change.

PAR 08:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Amazing how before elections economic numbers are always much better than expected ?

New York Raider 08:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Oil /// ~20 minutes ago Bloomberg TV indicated that the French wire AFP is reporting an oil pipeline north of Baghdad was attacked/damaged by sabotuers. They mentioned it twice quickly and nothing further since. Anyone heard any confirmation? thx

Bah BAHRAIN1 08:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Buying some more EURYEN here...stop at 132.20 GL.
My avrg long 132.95 now.

Helsinki iw 08:35 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Naturally, EUR/JPY even more o/s now.

Nottingham 08:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:23 GMT

Can't claim to have an edge in the yen field but we are still hearing stories of asset reallocation in favour of euro...whether this is enough to outweigh negative flows is another question...gl gt

Helsinki iw 08:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ EUR/USD making good headway lower, but approaching support areas and intraday studies are warning of o/s status, so think we may see a rebound soon. Only a break of 1,2140/50 would diminsh chance of a rally towards the 1,2300/10 area. Looking to re-sell higher.

Normandy Nick 08:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hi,
long on euro 1.2213, square 1.2160 for 1.2255

London AJK 08:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone, joined the forum yesterday and was impressed by the comments and analysis, some interesting stuff.

PAR 08:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Due to recalculations UK industrial production figures and manufacturing figures will be much stronger than expected giving an alibi to BOE to raise rates.

Nottingham 08:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
gbp...upcoming trade and IP numbers are often market movers...with the MPC announcement due tomorrow, any reaction to these numbers could be magnified...mkt looking for -$4bn trade and +0.4/0.5% for IP...gl gt

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham// Let's try eur/jpy in that case when japs p/t their bunds and reinvest in Nikkei....

eur/jpy plunge to 125?

Nottingham 08:19 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, I can tell you categorically that a large number of hedge funds are short yen whilst being long of Japanese equities so it's entirely possible, although events that culminated in the October 98 move (hedge fund related) may concern them more...that said, the market rarely plays the same tune twice...gl gt

Haifa ac 08:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
$/Y 10831 is monthly low. VERY CRUCIAL AREA!

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
For all HK pals, are we seeing something happening on dlr/jpy as if it was 2002 Mar?

Saihat 07:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk dong

I may bot 50-100 ppis below

HK Kevin 07:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk dong 07:33 GMT June 9, agree with you. I have took profit of my short EUR/JPY from 136.50 at 133.23 anf turn long. ALso long some Cable from 1.8354 last night. Still hold long USD/CAD from ~1.3455 and EUR/CHF from ~1.3181

hk dong 07:38 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy & all jpy crosses are at great 1:5 r/r buy levels
risk 50 pips for 250 pips

Bahrain Within 10 pips 07:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk dong 07:33 GMT June 9, 2004//
Great level 133.00
199.62 for Stg/yen..gonna cover at 203.1

hk dong 07:33 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
brought eur/jpy 133.09
target 136 stop below 132.50

Bahrain Within 10 pips 07:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004 ,
Same to You..

Bah BAHRAIN1 07:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain with in 10 pips//// Many thanks pal, nice to meet u have a great day.

Moskow 07:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
if you are looking for a reliable historical data for trading system verification and precise technical analysis visit
this
it is one of the trustworthiest & effective forex quotes history for intraday trading over net.
Intraday data are presented since 1997.

London AKA 07:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
morning chaps, gl and gt today.
vsem privet.

i think the dollar is basing/has based for a corrective recovery in wave 4 now. mostly against the eur and chf... as they track the dollar index fairly well. jpy is a special kind of animal, so may not weaken that much. but should be a very messy correction, since the second corrective wave was a simple zig-zag.

Hong Kong Qindex 07:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The odds are good that the lower barrier of my daily cycle at 107.97//108.44 will be challenged before the New York session.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:24 GMT June 9, 2004
USD/JPY : The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 108.92. The upper barrier is positioning at 109.87 // 110.34 and the lower barrier is expected at 107.49 // 107.97. The daily cycle normal trading range is 108.44 - 110.34.


107.49* - 107.97 // 108.44* - 108.92 - 109.39* - 109.87 // 110.34 ...

cairo as 07:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
can any one advice in EUR/USD

Bahrain Within 10 pips 07:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004//
Call 17-270603

Bahrain Within 10 pips 07:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004 ,
Yes...High and Low...
if U are getting non contious lines...
Change the scale of X- Axies...there you should get NY Time...in the scale put major ticks at 10..

Bah BAHRAIN1 07:00 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Baharin with in 10 pips/// Now I'm getting the chart with only 2 lines the high/low? is it look like this???

hk dong 06:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
brought gbp/jpy 199.99
target 204 stop below 199.50


Bahrain Within 10 pips 06:57 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004, If happy with eur/gbp...
I Think you might want to cover or cover and Long..1.6650...it should go up to .67

MONACO OGA 06:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 09/06
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2240), 90 pips lower than Tuesday opening. Our 1,2350 target worked well yesterday and rejected the pair lower (1,2250) with unemployment still deteriorating in Germany (the biggest european economy) . Medium term players have been seen unwinding long EUR/USD positions on Mr Greenspan's comments about possibilities for the FED to adopt a more aggressive monetary stance with rate hikes. Closing in NY was 1,2260. Overnight the pair kept retracing lower (low 1,2221). We are now turning neutral and call for some range trading inside 1,2150-1,2350. A retracement to 1,2000-50 is still possible and we believe this would be a buying opportunity. The W pattern we have been talking about for a while now is almost completed, but we would like to see some further consolidation around 1,2250 (1,21-1,24).

Data out today:

UK industrial production April expected 0.4% 08.30 GMT
UK manufacturing production April expected 0.5% 08.30 GMT
US wholesales inventories April expected 0.5% 11.00 GMT

Gold at 389.50, with WTI July at 36.95

***JPY***
USD/JPY (109,00). The pair kept hedging lower on confirmation of economic recovery in Japan (Japan's Q1 GDP upward revision overnight). Logically, this break of 109.00-50 should send the market down to 106,50 with intermediary supports at 108 and 107,30, 109,50 should now act as a strong resistance and sell opportunity if seen again.
EUR/JPY currently 133,30, sharply retraced lower on stop sells once 134,50 was broken. Next support at 133 before stronger zone around 132.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8370), was left almost unaffected by broad USD recovery against other majors. Support at 1,8300-30 still holding. However the daily chart is looking bad and a break of 1,8300 could send the pair down to 1,8030 very fast. On the upsides, 1.8480 is still looking strong. We'll be staying sidelined and wait for situation to clear up.
EUR/GBP (0,6665). We remain neutral for the time being.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Bahrain Within 10 pips 06:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004
Working?...
if Not Just use the Pivot sheet and times (NY)...with Your Curr Selection..

Mumbai Mitali 06:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
JPY has a very strong support at this region. Moreover hourly, 4 houlrly and Daily stochastics are oversold. Hence Dollar should go up again to 110.30 levels.
Any Comments on the same are welcome !

Saihat 06:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
jpy may go to 108.10 or 107.54

UAE Oil man 06:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Well Mark 108.80 was my weekly target....

Bahrain Within 10 pips 06:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
select the chart and and change the chart type
or
Make another by selecting the Pivot and just click the chart button...
Might have to change the looks

Bah BAHRAIN1 06:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain with in 10 pips/// I download it mate, but got blank charts?

Minnesota Mark 06:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
$/Yen Finally, after a month of waiting it goes under 109. Couple weeks late as far as I'm concerned.
OILMAN - And thoughts as to how much of a push down this will be before it takes a breather, and any guess as to what that retracement should be before the next leg down to 106?

(Look into that crystal ball...)

clonakilty glenn 06:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain within 10 pips
Went to look at your URL - it says the site has been deactivated?

china qq 06:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hi..everyone.. any good comments for cable.. and it's very important data come out after later 2 hours? ... what's the direction lead?

NYC pws 06:22 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have estimates, plays, or game plans on the GBP Industrial Production number? Looks like the market is looking for .4% increase mom from a .0% previous.

UAE Oil man 06:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Until that breaks in Cable it's a great long as
still looking for a few weekly bars in that direction.

UAE Oil man 06:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
For cable 1.8310 is quite important,under that would trigger profit taking to 1.8180.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
if anyone downloaded this
http://www.geocities.com/tinyguru/Giveaway15.xls
and need some explaination...
Please do post

Saihat 05:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
eurusd---usdchf---weekly
1.2397--- 1.2682
1.2049--- 1.2270

eur---chf---daliy
1.2410--- 1.2488
1.2190--- 1.2264

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Eur from 1.2150 somewhere will bounce like no other
maybe 3.5 figures

UAE Oil man 05:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Ab,Before thinking of longing the $/CAD need to see a weekly close ABOVE 1.3630...under everything is still a good short.

Gold Coast martin 05:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
HK..AB...TOLD YOU TO GET THAT DOUBLE BOTTOM CONDITION LOOKED AT WHEN YOU WENT TO THE DOCTORS LAST WEEK ...LOL...g/t

Bah BAHRAIN1 05:52 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain within 10 pips/// Yes made some profit on the EURGBP +21 pips Thanks 4 asking.

Oil Man/// My good friend, how is things mate?
What u think 4 today pls??

Sby - Indonesia CentralMan 05:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Where are you going Euro????

UAE Oil man 05:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
One view across the board, does look like the english camel is still the best one around.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah BAHRAIN1 05:38 GMT June 9, 2004,
Hi how are you?
EUR/STG is been nice to you...
try this
http://www.geocities.com/tinyguru/Giveaway15.xls
if you have MS-excel
at the chart sheet just change the currency U like.


UAE Oil man 05:47 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GBPJPY 200.80 support broken, next one at 197.30..With a few in between but nothing major.

Ldn 05:44 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bottom picking eh, three times very messy

UAE Oil man 05:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Well, we'll call you Ms. bottom soon Ab.

UAE Oil man 05:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
$/Yen slidding..

Paving the way for a new high in E$ during the week?.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 05:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
after picking bottom twice on aud at around .69 line, I think I should long only after a new uptrend signal emerges... picking bottom 3 times is not a good sign.

Bah BAHRAIN1 05:38 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi frnds... S/l done on the long EURYEN -45 pips.
But still think its a buy...will buy again waiting for confirmtaion.

Bahrain with in 10 pips/// How r u mate, hope all fine,

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:32 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
SG Jay 05:28 GMT June 9, 2004,
.68 today is highly unlikely...might play hold for today and next day..

SG Jay 05:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Any one has any views on AUS/USD , do you think we will see 0.70 today or will we see .68 .

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Yes...It's good I guess...
They change the laws sometimes...
It works best with my Automatic trading system...(Sort of coded it for thier platform...VBA)...
I think the best deal is with
C
M
S
-
Forex

nyc sa 05:20 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I know them r u satisfied with their dealings ?

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NYC...That worked..
I guess the programers are not korean...LOL

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
NYC
F
X
C
M

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:14 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Plateform...I guess these forum doesnot let words like that be posted....They replace it with that word..

Chambery FR JFB 05:13 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 05:00 GMT June 9, 2004
Thanks! Bonne chance to you too :-)

nyc sa 05:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain ,what is censored ?

Bahrain Within 10 pips 05:06 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I wish censored Would have a trailing stop..

hk dong 05:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
brought usd/jpy 109.09, BOD 108.49
target 112, 114, 118 stop below 107.50

Saihat 05:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
weekly..there are more than one system........and each system has more than one option

EURUSD USDCHF GBPUSD AUDUSD USDCAD USDJPY
1.2397 1.2682 1.8596 0.7345 1.3850 113.5400
1.2049 1.2270 1.8170 0.6677 1.3354 107.5400

Gold Coast martin 05:00 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
CHAMBERRY FR....have given jay new email address with instructions to provide it to you...Hope your Euro positions work for you ....bon chance....

Ldn 04:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
opton today NY
AUD 0.6815(lge)
AUD 0.6900(lge)
AUD 0.6950-65 (lge)
AUD 0.7000(lge).
EUR 1.1900, 70
JPY 110.50(lge).

Bahrain Within 10 pips 04:54 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa 04:43 GMT June 9, 2004
I think You're right...
Might buy at your level...
Thanks NYC

Chambery FR JFB 04:51 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Morning all :-)
No time to post last night (storm)...s/l hit on euro long @1.2275 +75 pips. Got another buy signal @1.2260 traded and another one right now @1.2236 (traded as well :-)
Happy trades :-)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:50 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
With the T/L under pressure in the eur/usd pair for the time being I see retracement number left to conquer is the 1.2210-15 area. Support is around 1.2190-2200, 1.2150-60 and 1.2135-45. I am looking for 1.2100-2090 area to print but the ideal target would be 1.2070-60 area IMHO. GL GT

nyc sa 04:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
bahrain , GBP/jpy looks like it is about to break 200 next stop 1.98 wouldn't buy at this level .

Bahrain Within 10 pips 04:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Buying STG/Yen Soon...maybe at 200.14

Saihat 04:23 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
are these from last week close-high-low-open or from current price

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
gold is not a good indicator for the coming 2 months....

but I am still highly interested in buy dips for the coming DIP.

Bahrain Within 10 pips 04:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Saihat,
these should be OK in general
Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2572 1.2017
USDJPY 113.34 108.12
GBPUSD 1.8830 1.7956
USDCHF 1.2705 1.2083
EURCHF 1.5378 1.5060
AUDUSD 0.7137 0.6761
USDCAD 1.3764 1.3265
NZDUSD 0.6378 0.6034
EURGBP 0.6789 0.6572
EURJPY 139.67 132.61
GBPJPY 208.91 198.15
CHFJPY 91.68 87.03
GBPCHF 2.3195 2.2350
EURAUD 1.8087 1.7269
EURCAD 1.7013 1.6267
AUDCAD 0.9649 0.9158
AUDJPY 79.11 74.24

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I just look forward bc's dlr/jpy 100 mark target!

Saihat 04:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10
hi,
what about weekly...thanks

Ldn 04:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

JPY fallen below support at 109.40-109.50 targets May 31 low 109.06 below 109.06 would turn bias clearly toward downside , good chance for fall below 106 by end of this month once it becomes firmly capped at 109.00.

Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi head dealer Takeshi Iba

Bahrain Within 10 pips 04:00 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bah Bahrain1 02:02 GMT June 9, 2004
I did buy Eur/Yen...Eur/CHF

Bahrain Within 10 pips 03:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
GM All..
Just ran the system for those that wanna use the levels..
EURUSD 1.2392 1.2204
USDJPY 110.64 108.79
GBPUSD 1.8499 1.827
USDCHF 1.2455 1.2292
EURCHF Extreme Buy 1.5279 1.5162
AUDUSD 0.7117 0.6935
USDCAD 1.3528 1.3359
NZDUSD 0.6392 0.6197
EURGBP 0.672 0.6656
EURJPY Extreme Buy 136.30 133.64
GBPJPY Strong Buy 203.60 199.96
CHFJPY Buy 89.35 87.86
GBPCHF 2.2862 2.2621
EURAUD 1.7631 1.7358
EURCAD 1.6679 1.6417
AUDCAD 0.9587 0.9322
AUDJPY Buy 78.28 75.88

USA Biscuit Boy 03:55 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Bought more eur/usd at 1.2224.

Ldn 03:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Edging Below Multiple Support Levels
ifr

NYC GlobalFX pws 03:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading EURUSD and CABLE looking for moves down in both EURUSD seems to have broken the uptrend on the hourly and could be heading down towards a big figure trade at 1.2200.

CABLE I am looking at a move down also possibly testing support at 1.8330..a sharp drop if the Industrial Production number comes in way below expectations, which is possible.

These are my views at this point, but they are not all that strong..with US rate hikes possibly moving faster than the market has priced in..we might be looking at dollar weakness near term..anyone have an opinion on these views and levels I have mentioned? Good Trades All.

Kamensk Andy 03:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
BC - so old good tactic to sell chf and buy eur near near 20 dma? Close my eur longs since 1.20 yesterday - thanks to your inputs earlier, just trying to became midtermer...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 03:30 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LA3, I think farmacia means break to uptrend.

LA saint3 03:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
farmacia:

you said gbp movement was similar to october before break out... break out to the uptrend or downtrend?


Thanks

shanghai bc 03:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

ANDY -- Good morning..I am surprised Dollar did not manage to bounce much so far..Expecting Dollar to bounce back towards Usd/Chf 1.2500-1.2550 region, only to be sold off again..Dollar may eventually fall off USD Index 85 floor..All the moves along the long-term trend after Dollar bounce set new Dollar lows in the past ..Good trades..

OK SZ 03:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
looks like a break below 12220 will bring in 12180 with 12136 following that..flat still..gl, gt

LAX-LGB SNP 03:03 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
might be catching a falling knife but i favour buying gbp and eur ahead of weekly/monthly levels

Kamensk Andy 02:46 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
BC - if you are around...Good morning. Where do you expect this dollar bounce will over and eur start its up move again? Gold is not impressive today - is it still good indicator for midterm? Good trades to you..

Singapore Sfx 02:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Revdax .

Minnesota Mark 02:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Not to gloat tooooo much but...
Minnesota Mark 14:16 GMT May 4, 2004
Old "Bubbles" Greenspan has been digging himself a hole now for a few years. Now they have waited while the economy has chugged along. In order to get the interest rates back to a "norm" 4.5-5% they are going to have to take the risk of shutting off consumer spending or wait and let inflation run rampant. It will be interesting to see which way they pick. I doubt we will see a .25% increase, will be at least .50% and sooner than people may think.

hk revdax 02:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
SFX//FWIIW...my truly low tech Macau indicator favors _buying_ $/JY today.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, gold is running v. fast. I suspect Nikkei will get a ultra-boost.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
yen cross can reach all the expected target this month soon...
aud/jpy 74, eur/jpy 128-130

Bah Bahrain1 02:12 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Buying EURYEN here with stop at 133.40 GL

Hong Kong Qindex 02:10 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below the key quantized level of my daily cycle at 108.92.

melbourne farmacia 02:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Gbp/Usd - still within the range.. would like to see another test of 1.8330 support. Very similiar pattern as in October 03 before the breakout IMO. GT

Hong Kong Qindex 02:07 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 01:56 GMT - The uncertainty is high, so sell dollar yen which is the one I can trust at this moment.

USA Biscuit Boy 02:05 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
sydney balmain 01:53 GMT June 9, 2004

It would be mildly dollar bullish for the short term as 25bp rate hike already priced in. Problem is higher interest rates would be very bad for the false recovery over here. The Fed will wait as long as possible until it has no choice. The jobs just aren't being created as they should even with the cooked figures.

GA TJ 02:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
For anyone that has not seen the FT arcticle concerning Uncle Al's statement about rates......

http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1086445507843&p=1012571727085

Bah Bahrain1 02:02 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi frnds, Good morng to u all, Any one buying EUR$ and EURYEN here......your view pls??? GL>.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 01:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
oilman, willing to turn your cad ship north again?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 01:56 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q, fast down, fast up...... can't avoid what is forthcoming (inflation)...

sydney balmain 01:53 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
with ppi out thurs.. if it comes out above exp. the risk is very usd bullish.

USA Biscuit Boy 01:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan said the Fed would do what is necessary to fight inflation.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
I have a feeling that Uncle Al is sending a clear message to the market that he is willing to increase the rate by 0.5% or even higher if necessary. Keep an eye on the 10-Yr Bond.

south beach 01:39 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Will eur/USA resume it upward movement? It seems to have lost its drive.

SG Jay 01:35 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ab
what did greenspan say ?

hk revdax 01:34 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz //The Macau indicator is luke-warm. It is my do-nothing day. Yes, would sell $ if I had to choose one side.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 01:11 GMT - The preference of trading is depended on the expected trading magnitude.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 01:31 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan used his wild card in this fx-uno (eur).....

Hong Kong Qindex 01:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 01:11 GMT - All of them are pretty good.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:25 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 01:24 GMT June 9, 2004
USD/JPY : The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 108.92. The upper barrier is positioning at 109.87 // 110.34 and the lower barrier is expected at 107.49 // 107.97. The daily cycle normal trading range is 108.44 - 110.34.


107.49* - 107.97 // 108.44* - 108.92 - 109.39* - 109.87 // 110.34 ...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 01:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, then, how's your inexpensive but v. efficient Macau indicator pointing?

I guess it suggest us to sell USD still.

Saihat 01:24 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
AUD

it may works this week ,if

sold at .7185

bot at .6870

stop 50 pips...target 100 pips

Gen dk 01:18 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Singapore Sfx 01:17 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Revdax - p.s. Wud prefer to do it once we've taken out 1.2240 and/or 1.2415 usdchf clean tho..

LA saint3 01:16 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi Farmacia:

Can I ask your view on gbp/usd pls?

Thanks

Singapore Sfx 01:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Good day REvdax - My high tech indicator, (otherwise known as a 10 cent coin) landed on its side today. But just looking at its crosses and influenced by my view of some of the other pairs, I'd rather sell.

KL KL 01:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, wondering your preference on trading index, gold, currency, stock....which in your opinion have trace your magnets better??

SG Jay 01:01 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
whats your view on usd/aus

hk revdax 00:59 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
SFX//Kindly look into your high tech indicators today and see if Euro is still a buy. TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 00:58 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 00:58 GMT June 9, 2004
Spot Gold : The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 389.6. The upper barrier is positioning at 392.1 // 394.6 and the lower barrier is expected at 384.6 // 387.1. The odds are in favour to sell on rallies.


... 384.6 // 387.1 - 389.6 - 392.1 // 394.6 ...

Hong Kong Qindex 00:49 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 00:43 GMT - qindex dot com

Brisbane L 00:48 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Westpac/Melbourne Institute Australia consumer sentiment index falls 1.1% in June vs May

houston st 00:45 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

Hong Kong Qindex 00:42 GMT--thanks..will keep that in mind today..gt/gl.

ny amc 00:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Qindex what is your website address

Hong Kong Qindex 00:43 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 00:40 GMT - You are welcome.

Hong Kong Qindex 00:42 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
houston st 00:40 GMT - My previous daily cycle will cover the Asian session.

Hong Kong Qindex 00:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 20:40 GMT - You are welcome.

Dublin CK 00:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex - A million thanks once again.

houston st 00:40 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   

QINDEX--good morning..hope you are well..are your levels still valid today? I'm on sideline tonite watching the whipsaw action..good trades.

Ldn 00:38 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Slips Back Below 0.7000, Stops Under 0.6985 Eyed

Hong Kong Qindex 00:37 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 00:26 GMT - Thank you for your kind words.

Hong Kong Qindex 00:35 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 00:30 GMT June 9, 2004
Crude Oil (July) : The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 36.92. The lower barrier is expected at 34.55 // 35.34 and the upper barrier is positioning at 37.71 // 38.50.


... 33.76* - 34.55 // 35.34* - 36.13 - 36.92* - 37.71 // 38.50* ...

Crude-Oil : Pulling Back to 37.45
Wednesday June 2, 2004 - 04:41:21 GMT
QIndex - www.global-view.com/beta/qindexguide.html

Crude Oil (3-Month Projection) : The critical point of my 3-month projection profile is located at 42.19. The pattern of the probability chart suggests that the market has a tendency to trade between 39.03 - 45.35. The key quantized level is positioning at 37.45. The lower barrier is expected at 32.71 // 34.29. The upper barrier is located at 46.93 // 48.51. If the market retreats and trades below the key quantized level at 37.45, crude-oil has a good potential to penetrate through the lower barrier at 32.71 and the market will head for 29.55. In the mean time the market is going to vibrate around the critical point at 42.19 with an expected magnitude of 40.61 - 43.77.


... 29.55* ... 32.71* // 34.29 - 35.87* - (37.45) - 39.03* - 40.61 - 42.19* - 43.77 - 45.35* - 46.93 // 48.51* ...

Oakland Daimyo 00:29 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Forum will not let me put space between the columns for some reason. Sorry if hard to read.

Oakland Daimyo 00:28 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Sorry for format, let's try again:


USD/JPY EUR/JPY
112.02 136.76
110.87 136.63
110.29 135.20
110.13 135.13
110.08 135.08
109.85 134.40
109.71 --------
-------- 133.99
109.44 133.41
109.17 132.98
109.15 132.40
108.7O
107.78

Singapore Sfx 00:26 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Nice calls yday, Qindex - Cheers.

Oakland Daimyo 00:21 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nzd 0.59 double bottom 22:50 GMT June 8, 2004

GT to you. Selling upticks is still favored strategy for the time being. Note: my levels represent Fractal/Fibo combinations, cyclic EMA’s, chart patterns, and P&F intraday triggers (10 x 3)
Key levels for
USD/JPY and EUR/JPY
112.02 136.76
110.87 136.63
110.29 135.20
110.13 135.13
110.08 135.08
109.85 134.40
109.71 --------
-------- 133.99
109.44 133.41
109.17 132.98
109.15 132.40
108.7O
107.78
Depending on how much size you need to layer into you can sell upper #'s, stop above next level at least. I expect sellers @ upper #'s and buyers @ lower #s. Watch these levels, as they will give clues to mkts behavior/energy and probable next move.

Hong Kong Qindex 00:11 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Nikkei-225 (June) : The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 11523. The lower barrier is positioning at 11294 // 11370 and the upper barrier is expected at 11675 // 11827. Initially the market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 11523 with an expected magnitude of 11446 - 11599 for the time being.


... 11218* - 11294 // 11370* - 11446 - 11523* - 11599 - 11675 // ...


Brisbane L 00:09 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
S&P Affirms AAA/A-1+ Currency Ratings On Australia

nyc sa 00:08 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia , if u r still around what's ur view on cable plz ?thnx .

melbourne farmacia 00:04 GMT June 9, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 22:58 GMT June 8, 2004
Cheers mate - will try them out.
ps - cable never disappoints me....

 




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