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Forex Forum Archive for 06/15/2004

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Brisbane L 23:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
VIX risk index now at neutral levels of 0.0; on monthly basis, stocks outperformed bonds in past month, VIX remains at low reading,financial stocks underperforming utilities, indicating lower risk-taking appetite among equity investors, with high yielders' spreads over Treasurys widened marginally results point to short-term positive EUR/CHF SNB to be on hold this week possible rebound EUR/CHF to 1.53 with possible 1.5450 further out.
reuters.

Hong Kong Qindex 23:14 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


Miami OMIL (/;-> 23:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello just checking to see how the natives are behaving now LOL. The 1.2170-80 resistance was not taken but I have an existing bullish channel for the eur/usd upper T/L at around 1.2190 and lower T/L around 1.2070 for now. I don’t have a sell signal for this pair yet but the intraday indicators are in O/B territory and the % favor a pull back for now. I will be back later with more details. GL GT

Dallas GEP 23:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
What probably happened earlier on USD/CAD spike was a LARGE buy order was taken spiking the pair. After that though there was no follow thru with so in those cases if the other pairs are not follwing suit, it is probably best short term to close your possie if the spike is in the direction of your possie, USD/CAD spiked to around 1.3706 and then never got back to that level. 1.3710 is a decent reistance level anyway BUT it mayt very well get back up there above 1.3700 baring the GBP not going NUTS!!! 1.3680 is a VERY good LONG level anyway FWIW.

Bruxville Jim 22:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Max McKegg (TRL):
"Having rallied well over the past several weeks, Euro has probably now resumed its Downtrend, finding formidable resistance about 1.2150/1.2200 for the next sell-off toward Key 1.1780/1.1765 support (see Daily Chart below) enroute to the 1.1200 level over coming weeks."

Pals, you should take this guy's view into account... At least to know what others might do.

But now - good night, stops tight;)

Dallas GEP 22:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thnaks FXDH, tell you what I am tired of screwing with this so I took profit on USD/CAD long @ +23PIPS and took profit on EUR/USD shorts @ +5 pips. I DO NOT TRUST the GBP..it is bullish and while other pairs have tried to go usd bullish CABLE has made a very feeble attempt. Back in LATER Asia.

JHB JW 22:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Geb,
i would like to speak to you outside the forun,how do i do it?

Brisbane L 22:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Clifford Bennett FX Max sees Euro at 135 and the Aud and Kiwi at the beginning of a bull trend at the bottom of the bear trend here. says US rates will not be rising too far too fast ..FWIW

nyc fxdh 22:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
nice cad trade dallas

Caribbean! Rafe... 22:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
thanks for the responses, Seems to be that yahoo mail is the only thing giving a problem, i can visit everything else, my yahoo calendar adressbook etc.. when i visit their log in site it accepts the user name and password signs me in and in the little box on the home page (mail calendar addressbook etc..) but when i click on the mail link I am directed to a blank page.

i have been using them since 1997-98 and i never once had problems with their service, now i hear that they are offering 2GB storage space for premium users.

wonder what sucky hotmail is going to do............... they must be pulling LINKS out of their heads!! LOL

Dallas GEP 22:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NICE spike on usd/cad!!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 21:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 21:11 GMT June 15, 2004///
I appreciate that...
AUDCAD 0.9599 0.9274
is what I have...
Thanks

Stockholm za 21:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB >> ..... lol.......Happy trades,,,

Dallas GEP 21:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NICE JFB, Need to watch usd/chf guys, it breaks 1.2500 and euro/usd should start to short down

Chambery FR JFB 21:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Good evening :-)
Got a sell signal so booking profit here on both long euros from 1.2005 & 1.1968, +151/+188 bpips, and goind short @1.2061 traded :-) Happy trades all, good night :-)

Bruxville Jim 21:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 20:29 GMT
Seems the pair has no chance of overcoming 0.9600/10, so it might be a good idea to take shorts with stops above the figure.

USA Biscuit Boy 21:07 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim...sorry for late reply was under strict orders to get a copy of 50 First Dates from the video store.

My probable weekly range for eur/usd this week is 1.1850 - 1.2240. We are approaching the top of this range now so I will sell there. Moreover my range for usd/jpy is 108.96-111.64 (close to the bottom) and for eur/jpy is 130.29-134.64 (plenty of room to fall). Thus odds are good eur/usd will top out in the 1.22 handle for this week given these likely sets of ranges and I think a goodish chance we can see that 1.1850 before too long.

My gbp/usd limit order filled at 30. Looking to sell aud/usd at 0.7030 now. GL and GT.

Memphis Charles 21:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I paid Yahoo about $30 or so for 25 megs. of email storage. I logged into my account this morning to discover that because I was a premium user I now have a 2 Gig. mailbox.

houston st 20:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
This could have been part of the problem: Blackout Hits Major Websites.

A domain name outage Tuesday morning left many popular Web sites such as Yahoo, Google, Microsoft.com and Apple.com temporarily inaccessible, according to a Web research company.

For just more than two hours--from 5:30 a.m. to 7:45 a.m. PDT--many of the world's most popular sites suffered from widespread outages, according to Keynote Systems, which compiles statistics related to Web surfing. On a typical day, the top 40 sites measured by Keynote rarely dip below 99 percent availability. On Tuesday, however, Keynote saw availability drop to 81 percent.

from Drudgereport.com

LA ARTOFYEN 20:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Rafe, yes.......Think some virus hit a few web sites and yahoo was one of em...they also added 100 mb to all their free user accounts to keep up with googles so prob another reason why so slow and unreliable today....gl

Mfld JM 20:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Now to think of it, I haven't had a problem with Yahoo mail for 8 years - until today. That's pretty impressive!

Mfld JM 20:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:47
I was having trouble earlier - I think it was due to upgrades. OK now.

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
anybody having problems accessing yahoo mail today since this morning?

GL.

Brisbane L 20:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NEWS: Terminal 1 At JFK Airport Evacuated

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 20:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim//
What U think of Aus/Cad at this point??
Thanks..

Dallas GEP 20:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Stop on usd/cad short is now 1.3660 (below today's low). Eur/USD stop is still 1.2180

ny amc 20:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
figures my stop was at 133.21

Bruxville Jim 20:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 19:58 GMT 133.16/21

Bruxville Jim 19:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy, could you elaborate a bit more on 'if we desire before too long'? What is the necessary condition for it to occur?

ny amc 19:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
can someone tell me the high in eur/jpy in the last hour

USA Biscuit Boy 19:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GG I believe we will have the opportunity to buy eur/usd sub 1.19 if we desire before too long. GL and GT.

NY GG 19:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
jKT dIABLO, I'm only speculating that 1.2350 will be hit before it turns down again. I'm very sure that if the Fed raises rates by .5% at the end of the month then it will mark the beginning of a new and prolonged strengthening in the dollar across the board particularly in with the Euro and the Yen. Cable, I believe will be the exception to the rule.


jkt diablo 19:09 GMT June 15, 2004
NY GG - I'm with you this time, man! :-)
After I saw $ lost over 1000 pips against cable in just a short time a few weeks ago, I already lost confidence in buying $ and I think last week's just a correction phase for euro and cable before progressing to a higher level again.

Too bad I didn't have the chance to buy cheap euros below 2000. We might not see that again in the next couple of weeks, especially if the Fed fails to convince the market that they will definitely hike the rate at the end of this month.

jkt diablo 19:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Time to rest now. See you tomorrow guys!

ICT ML 19:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
have a hunch we might see 1.8425 again before any real attempt to take it back down is made. This after getting stopped out of a long position taken at 1.8152 in London time...and now I see 1.8300 has printed, thought 1.8275 should cap it if it was a true short opportunity...been trading like crap lately.

USA Biscuit Boy 19:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi Bahrain :) I won't quibble with 20 pips! AUD/NZD will have to move back up a bit to get this pair above 0.7000. Let's see what the locals do in Asia. Gold helped out today as well.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 19:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
AUDUSD 0.7010 0.6766 ----> Extremly close to yours---> got to be right...:)

USA Biscuit Boy 19:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Kiwi is approaching my 0.6440 target. AUD/NZD getting hammered. Will enter a short aud/usd position at 0.7030 if seen.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 19:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Just shorted NZ target .62..

Dallas GEP 19:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Now have stop on usd/cad long @ 1.3675

Aden PK 19:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
MNI CABLE TECHS: RES 4: $1.8435 Daily high 11 June RES 3: $1.8320 61.8% of $1.8045 to $1.8485 RES 2: $1.8270 50.0% of $1.8045 to $1.8485 RES 1: $1.8240 5-day moving average

This I am quoting from Market news Intl

jkt diablo 19:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NY GG - I'm with you this time, man! :-)
After I saw $ lost over 1000 pips against cable in just a short time a few weeks ago, I already lost confidence in buying $ and I think last week's just a correction phase for euro and cable before progressing to a higher level again.

Too bad I didn't have the chance to buy cheap euros below 2000. We might not see that again in the next couple of weeks, especially if the Fed fails to convince the market that they will definitely hike the rate at the end of this month.

Aden PK 19:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Deutsche Bank today mentioned in its analyses, in cable break of 1.8340 will be sufficient to confirm uptrend up to 1.8775

Aden PK 19:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Shorted Euro/Dlr 1.2164 stop 1.2174 bid still feel 1.2165-70 strong resistance. Also shorted Gbp/USd 1.8316 stop 1.8345 bid feel again 1.8340 is a strong resistance.

jkt diablo 19:02 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 18:51 GMT June 15, 2004
Diablo my likely trading range for gbp/usd this week was 1.7900 - 1.8436 so there could well be more upside but with Oilman protecting his stops at 60 I won't risk it hehe.

LOL :-) Yeah, I almost forgot he's the big guy protecting 8360 there.

Zorro, as you can see now, 2150 resistance for euro has been broken and it opens the way up to 2200. If I recall corectly, I already mentioned about buying euro and cable on dips yesterday here, but I guess no one was listening :-)

Dollar looks weak across the board now so be careful about keeping $ this week.

Dallas GEP 19:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
OK, I don't want any crap over this because STOP is pretty tight regradless Changed euro/usd stop to 1.2180

NY GG 18:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Euro 1.2350 by Friday or next Wednesday the latest. I'm very sure of this. If anyone wants to quote me next week when it fails to get there fine. I'll also give you your money back, hey, I can't get any fairer than that!

Dallas GEP 18:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Shorted EUR/USD @ 1.2157 with 1.2175 stop, TP @ 1.2127

USA Biscuit Boy 18:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Diablo my likely trading range for gbp/usd this week was 1.7900 - 1.8436 so there could well be more upside but with Oilman protecting his stops at 60 I won't risk it hehe.

EU ZORRO 18:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Toronto sj 18:41 GMT June 15, 2004
How is the chance that EUR/USD break 1.2150-60 today? It's been tested couple times.

...couple times!?!?....3 hours is nothing....

...chance for today break 1.2150/60.....only 33.,3%....

jkt diablo 18:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Okay, here we go...

USA Biscuit Boy, looks like your target profit is getting near :-)

Van jv 18:42 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan confused me....perhaps/probably he may understand inflation danger ....and global markets to handle deficits....still he should be reminded

"Has something fundamental happened to the U.S. economy and, by extension, U.S. banking, that enables us to disregard all the time-tested criteria of imbalance and economic danger?" Greenspan asked.

Answering his own question, the Fed chairman said, "Regrettably, the answer is no. The free lunch has still to be invented

Toronto sj 18:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
How is the chance that EUR/USD break 1.2150-60 today? It's been tested couple times.

Thanks, GL and GT.

jkt diablo 18:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
From what I've seen, cable had already built good support @ 8050 yesterday as well as euro @ 1950. For cable, there's no strong resistance till 8440/80, so if my estimation is correct this time, it's very possible the market will trade between 8050 - 8500 for the rest of this week. If 8050's broken, that'd trigger further losses to 7950 -> 7600. On the other side, if it can penetrate thru 8440, nothing will stop it from reaching 8500 and then 8600. Let's see tomorrow for a clearer direction. GL & GT!

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 18:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
see you later friends,,
thanks for all today

USA Biscuit Boy 18:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
LMAO Spotforex :)

MK I bought gbp/usd at same level but I will try for 1.8330. I would love to buy usd/jpy around 108.60/70 area. Maybe I am asking too much?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
MK/
USDJPY 112.13 108.49 is what I got for entry...so



BEIRUT MK 18:25 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
close long gbpusd from 1.8155 at 1.8280

long usdjpy at 109.40 target 111
stop 108.45

Spotforex NY 18:23 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I did not see my site listed?????

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 18:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004
ah Oil Man.
I think everyone know that longterm analysis more easy than short term. why?

WASH DC SRQ 18:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Try a search for "best forex signals" on www.yahoo.com and you shall see one of the best forex trainers I know of.
Rest you decide!

hope it helps!

Dallas GEP 18:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I said this earlier Today and I was wrong thanks to GREENIE but we may have seen highs for both EURO and GBP for THIS us session. Could anticipate some USD buying (squaring out) and THEN possibly some dollar SELLING on dips later in ASIA

Dublin CK 18:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bellevue AT 18:03 GMT June 15, 2004

Try this its very good,

http://www.stideas.com/Technical%20Analysis.htm

Also all the excellent research links Jay, John and there team provide.

Rgds,

CK

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello Guys... :)
Got AUDCAD close to short at around 0.9596 Target 0.9272
So..

)toronto( Dr Unken Katt 18:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
try www.elliotwaves.com

USA Biscuit Boy 18:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hey thanks NH...cheers :)!!!

Found this from Greenspans speech:

REMARK (15/06/04) (Reuters) Risk management at core of Fed policy making, must be prepared to deal with a wide range of events, including low but disturbing possibility of another significant terrorist attack.

The Fed pricing in a friggin terrorist attack.....what a time we live in!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Bellevue AT 18:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys

A newbie asking for advice regarding a GOOD Forex (online) training course. I am looking for PRACTICAL and not general/theoretical knowledge you find everywhere on the net. I would like a well structured course backed by a good reputation in the market for the course provider!

Thank you for your help. I think knowledge is extremely necessary in this VERY risky market.

Andrew

Minnesota Mark 17:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 17:34 GMT June 15, 2004 -- If that happens we would be more apt to see 106.5 107 area.

Oilman -- Well, after sweating out the past week I managed not to panic and held onto those options.. So far so good.

UAE Oil man 17:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ah raden now you're talking, that analysis looks much better than the 1 minute ones..

Bruxville Jim 17:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Oh CENSORED, game ended 1:2! Happiness was so close;)) Still, Germany and Holland will see where the real men live;-)

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 17:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
this looks like euro recovery will open long on the next
break 2120 or so

earth 17:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
2:1 czech. censored straight

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004
Sir..if I look weekly chart gbp/usd good pattern to get 1.7685(minor).ideal target bottom is at 1.6623.
I must delete target in my view gbp/usd above 1.8500.
1.8500 is basis analysis to talking about 1.6623.
If match with your analysis you can sell more for this.

UAE Oil man 17:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
No diablo, stops haven't moved 1.8360.

jkt diablo 17:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 16:57 GMT June 15, 2004
It's funny, last time you said that raden, price was at 1.75 and it went to 1.84...makes me want to remove my 1.8430.

Hi Oil man, wow I thought you already took profit from that secondary short position when it dropped to 1.8050 yesterday. So do you still intend to keep it even if cable rise further to 8350 tomorrow? Anyway, I think it's still easier to exit a profitable position than a losing position.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:40 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004
thanks for your reply.

jkt diablo 17:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Looks like we're going to see dollar falling fast this week. Cable and euro are now heading north again.

I'm still long cable @ 8130 and moving stop from 8000 to entry now. Target profit is 8500 or higher. Will probably add more position if 8350 is seen tomorrow, but don't want to be too greedy either. With the recent rate hike, cable seems to have more fuel to rise faster than euro. So if you want to ride the faster train, ride cable :-)

Bruxville Jim 17:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
[16:48 USD/JPY: Greenspan Warns Against Excessive USD Buys From CB"s] San Francisco, June 15th: Greenspan is on the tape warning against excessive USD
purchases from foreign central banks. The comments are a real blow to the Asian central banks, namely Japan, China, Taiwan, S. Korea and HK who continue to hold
the largest reserves in the world.
Not surprisingly, the comments have pushed USD/JPY clearly through the 109.50 level, triggering the 109.40 stops and trades at 109.38/44 currently. A push to
109.25 and the relevant option strikes is seen. In addition to the comments, US bond yields remain at session lows now at 4.692%, adding to the bearish tone for
USD/JPY. A break of 109.20, the low from June 10th & 11th, targets 108.65, the June 9th low. Large stops are expected below 108.60. --
[email protected]/rd

Bruxville Jim 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
1:1 of course...

UAE Oil man 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Alright Raden, I don't look at minute charts..

But i guess one can find many "long term" trends that last up to 30 minutes in there..

Well good luck to you then.

Bruxville Jim 17:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Czech scored a goal (1:0), but the game is still great;) Czechs probably will manage to get a point from this match. Happy trades whatsoever, guys;) LATVIA RULLZZ!!!!!

Chambery FR JFB 17:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
G'evening all :-)
Za, I'll print your post and look at it later, no time right now... Moving my s/l just under 1.2100 for I am leaving again for a few hours...Happy trades!

Livingston nh 17:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy - see Fin forum re: my earlier comment on "core CPI"

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:20 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 16:57 GMT June 15, 2004
thanks for your post.
I am sorry for not continue/update my post.
I mean first phase/minor cyclic based on 1 minutes chart.
will make me surprise if from 1 minutes chart can predict 1.75xx until 1.84xx .anyone here forcast 900 pips from 1 minutes chart?.
Mr.. please copy my view about your talk just now. I forgot and will clarification.
I think everytime/everyday we must update the strategy in trade.
thanks.

Dallas GEP 17:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
longed USD/CAD at 1.3680 with 30 PIP stop and TP

Bruxville Jim 17:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
IST Sez 17:09 GMT
There are lots of dangerous moments all the time near Latvian gates, but we are keeping up the pace. We are still 1:0 ahead. LATVIA RULLZZ!!!!!!! Still more than 30 mins to play. Good luck, everyone;)

Dallas GEP 17:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
One of the hardest things in my view in these situations is to try to determine for I.e. if NEW buyers will be coming in on DIPS on the euro and IF NY eur/usd buyers will take profits and SELL eur/usd prior to NY close. My guess would be YES and YES.

IST Sez 17:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:51 GMT June 15, 2004
any change on the score ?

NY GG 17:02 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Well folks, I'm keeping to my assertion that the Euro is in the process of drawing a big M on the daily charts. So don't be surprised to see 1.2350 again in the coming trading sessions. Then, if my theory holds true a reaction to where we are right now, and then back up to 1.2350 again. Then I feel we will sell off sharply below 1.18


NY GG 20:30 GMT June 11, 2004
Trading mainly using TA, I would argue that the Euro is another one of its formations i.e. with the completion of the big daily W formation from April 1 to June 7, we have now, I feel, entered the big M formation on the daily chart. Now, if this is the case then we can expect the Euro to head back up next week to complete the formation.

I just don't believe the markets at present are being driven by fundamentals. Sure, the employment stats, GDP figures and account deficits are important, but these *numbers* are only good for a day or so. They seem to have little impact on the general direction of the market for a mostly positional trader as myself.

UAE Oil man 16:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:48 GMT June 15, 2004

It's funny, last time you said that raden, price was at 1.75 and it went to 1.84...makes me want to remove my 1.8430.

Dublin CK 16:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 15:19 GMT June 15, 2004 & Dr Q - Thank you for taking the time to respond to my question. My mind would have never phathomed that the C9 were housewives hunkered down in shops, trading FX. In saying that my late grandmother was a demon when it came to investing in shares and backing horses in the Grand National. She had an uncanny knack of picking winners from reading the form guide within newspapers.

Porto PJT 16:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 16:39 GMT , fortunatly you dont trade only euros....and not only this week.....

Dallas GEP, yes, stop around that level

Bruxville Jim 16:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
To Global-View - excuse me for off-topic post. Although football is definitely a topic these days;))))

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
warning !!
in my sytem give info first phase(minor cyclic) have given sell signal f0r gbp/usd.

Bruxville Jim 16:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
YESSS!!!! LATVIA SCORES AGAINST CZECH REPUBLIC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1:0!!!!!!!!!!!!! Maris Verpakovskis rulzzzzzz!

Dallas GEP 16:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
You know a man's methods IMO are irelevant. And just because I might not be successful using someone else's style doesn't negate the fact that HE has found success with it. If throwing darts at a dart board or looking up to the heavens looking for divine guidance are what works for you, GO FOR IT. It's RESULTS that count all the rest is B.S.

Van jv 16:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
seems that he's changing his mind......"global markets are big enough to handle deficits."....?l// So, all is......

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
sorry for my bad language and bad attitude in my view.
just share opinion and hope can help us here.

)toronto( Dr Unken Katt 16:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 16:39 GMT June 15, 2004
Porto PJT 16:27 GMT June 15, 2004

...all my euros trades were taken back at break-even.

so no need to talk about r/r..

ohhhh what a shame

lets talk about it :-]

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:40 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Wash DC SRQ 16:19 GMT June 15, 2004
thanks.
just my little view/my opinion :-)

LAX-LGB SNP 16:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 16:30 GMT June 15, 2004
always nice to meet another happy camper

it'd be nice if mkt tests the mid-1.22 region before the weekend and falls back to may's opening levels before month end coz that would give us the shooting star/hanging man monthly and i plan to go whichever way the mkt goes in the first week of July ... hopefully to Dr. Q's 1.15x

off now for driver duty - like the mkt, the big boss cannot be questioned :-)

Genoa nic 16:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
First obvious hurdle

UAE Oil man 16:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT 16:27 GMT June 15, 2004

...all my euros trades were taken back at break-even.

so no need to talk about r/r..

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:19 GMT June 15, 2004
LOL.I think not like that apple.
wind buying will reverse.

Genoa nic 16:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
What it seem clear to me looking at 10 yr and bunds stiff on highs is that the “50bp hike party” is running away as quickly as possible after Greenspan. Volumes are high and the market is still heavily short IMO the repricing had just begun. Barring a reversal by close, it could be an evening star confirming a double top in 10 yr yields. Euro to test 1.2350 later on the week, IMO. First obvious right here at 1.2150 (200 ma on the hourly an 50% Fibo.)

UAE Oil man 16:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I m not sure "greenie" is killing the USD (if one can kill a currency that is.), it does look like market is just trying to find footage, with everyone on lookout, as most people who have tried to establish long-medium term positions have seen them stopped (near entries at best) or in negatives,so market is very nervous, and every word from our oracle (Greenspan) market rolls in one direction then the next..Choppy indeed!

melbourne farmacia 16:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 16:11 GMT June 15, 2004
The Aud/Usd hourly MACD Div has formed well thus far.... odds are good for 0.70 at least IMO. GT

Dallas GEP 16:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
PJT, That could work with @ 1.2175 stop possibly

Stockholm za 16:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP >> Yes .. For I am not a 5min chart prof. Nor a 10/20-pip scalper..
Happy trades… I am out of it……….

chicago cal 16:28 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
yea really! football time

Porto PJT 16:27 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Short eur/usd here, really dont see euro strong across the board......
In terms of traders Oil Man do trades with good r/r so he can loose 6 in 10 and still assure nice profits.Nice when he post because we can learn more with traders like him.

CT DB 16:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
earth 16:18
what kind of new age crap is that? like the market works on consensus!
Gl & Gt

SLC TJ 16:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 16:03 You're right revdax, there are only two sides to the market. But you know at least as well as I do that very often on numbers announcements there is a lot of whipsawing that can happen. I can't understand the issue of trying to pretend there was nothing to what Gep was saying and that's why I made a comment. GT

Dallas GEP 16:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Well back to more useful things. These levels COULD be reverse levels (no guarantees of course NEVER are), USD/CAD @ 1.3620 (possible long), USD/CHF @ 1,2480 or 1,2440, 1.2160 on Euro/USD, 1.8310 on GBP/USD LOOK for these levels to be approached in US session.

GREENY is killing the dollar

Sydney Alimin 16:25 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
be careful with those eur/usd and gbp/usd shorts, bulls are not over yet, let's see how well the bears can defend...enough for today, gotta watch some soccer matches now

LHR B747 16:25 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Quito-Valdez: Hello crazy<>smart man, are you around?

chicago cal 16:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
these markets have been extremely predictable lately, not dangerous at all (buy at S and sell at R) simple as that; risk 30 pips go for 120-150

Bruxville Jim 16:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Guys, do you see an inverse s-h-s in euro hourly? It is not perfect, but seems it is there.

Bruxville Jim 16:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas - Are apples gonna fall one more time (in 10 seconds this time)?;)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Well I see the natives are getting restless here. The match is much more tense than expected Oil Man LOL. I am out of here for now. GL GT

Wash DC SRQ 16:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Mind keeping drama out of your trades Raden Mas,have been watching you for close to 1 year now.thanks,no offence meant.

LAX-LGB SNP 16:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ZA
i trust we both rem that 'nice' EURUSD monthly chart ;-)
GL GT !

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd, now is on the counting down to reverse.
9...8..7...6...bang !!
sorry for this.

Stockholm za 16:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
To GV/FF: -
Maybe it is time to censored your self for better achievements..
censored ed!ots ………

UAE Oil man 16:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Well done Mr Kat..Cheers.

Boca Raton 16:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Just look at your own archives 2 weeks ago in the CAD. Is this disciplined advice for NEWBIES?

USA Biscuit Boy 16:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004
Re: Greenspans inflation comment.....is this becase core inflation is still very very low? Im thinking the recent blips in CPI have come from temporary oil price increases and not consumer demand. Someone posted earlier core inflation is not what counts yet other analysts say core inflation is indeed the figure that counts. Can anyone help clear this up??? Cheers :)

nyc fxdh 16:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
dallas gep
I agree dallas... I read your posts and even if I dont agree they set my trading mind thinking...Thanks

Cairns Aussie 16:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot on,well said Dallas...

UAE Oil man 16:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bought $/Yen 109.57.

dallas gep 16:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I agree dallas....read your post and even if I dont agree they set my tradeing mind thinking...Thanks

Miami OMIL (/;-> 16:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 16:02 GMT June 15, 2004
The game is not over yet the Camel kickers might put a good defense stand here and score a winning goal in the end of regulation IMHO LOL.

Dallas GEP 16:07 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
OK Raton....That's what I thought. It always amazes me how some of you CRITICS are never wrong about anything. Typical BS.....Why don't YOU post up some suggestions unless the fear of being held accountable for your views is too intimidating for you????. I NEVER claimed to be an expert about ANYTHING BTW, just for the record.

lnd 16:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 16:02 GMT. grow up you TWERP. why dont you post something useful?

Newcastle GH 16:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Good call earlier on the Aud buy! Overshot the target by a light year! Wish I had taken it, and thanks for the other info! You have some knowledge on AUD! I just know how to spend it!

hk revdax 16:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Time to go to bed with my c9 and the time to close out shorts of $/JY is at mkt close. Nite...

San Diego bobl 16:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad...
stopped out on remainder...part of original position @ 136.87...at least was free trade on third from there

hk revdax 16:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
SLC TJ 15:47 //There are only 2 sides to the mkt no matter how many announcements are there in a day.

Antwerp Tom 16:02 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Pip Pirate, jimbos' Bruxville Banking Bronkos just scored (E/$) against the UAE Oil mans Camel kickers...

hk revdax 16:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NYC CS 15:57 //That is exactly how it sounds in the southern Chinese dialect.

LHR B747 15:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: stepped down, -120pips in total per this pair
JPY: I hope will pay back better


Totak: +178pips
I am out until tomorrow, to rearrange tactics :)

GT

Gen dk 15:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan is definitely not helping the dollar right now down playing the inflation concerns. Next resistance for eur/usd is 1.2150-60, 1.2170-80 and 1.2200-05. GL GT

EU ZORRO 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   

....my stop @ 1,2030....(today low)...

Boca Raton 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, no point. You come off here as such a master preaching to the NEWBIES, yet I really can't get a grip on your risk or lack of risk management techniques. Angus made a good point 2 weeks ago on your moving your Canada stops. I am still wondering.

NYC CS 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax - why are they called c9?

Van jv 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
greenspan/CNN/ --Inflation not serious concern in the period ahead???? Is this the reason for the EUR present rally??

B.A. BOCA 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
cable making that nice straight fib run i mentioned earlier, might not make bad short around the 61.8 fib....GL

Hong Kong Qindex 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : 388

San Diego bobl 15:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
euro/usd...
added back what i took off yesterday june 10 resistance...successfully trading above now with 121.70 looking like next stop

Dallas GEP 15:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
OK Raton, so what EXACTLY is your point???

EU ZORRO 15:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello all...!!!!

....IMO...after 1,2150 test, EURO will test 1.2250 this week...

...to the followers....move your stops to breakeven....

Hong Kong Qindex 15:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 02:22 GMT June 13, 2004
AUD/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The key quantised level of my weekly cycle is located at 0.6925. The pattern of my weekly cycle frequency chart suggests that the market has a tendency to trade below 0.6788 - 0.6971..........................................................

NY Raider19 15:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
"The Job-Loss Recovery" gotta love it!

Boca Raton 15:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, just like in DOLLAR CANADA the other day?

Dallas GEP 15:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ross Perot was once asked if he invested alot of his money in the stock market and his remark was "NO, I never understood why it goes down or up, and how value is established"

Quite frankly, I readily admit there are times I don't have a clue as to why a ccy longs or shorts, all we have is theories and observations. We try to establish relationships that give us maybe some insights but it is all very subjective in my view.

SLC TJ 15:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Genoa nic 15:40 LOL That from Mark Twain was great. But on a day with several announcements and Mr. Greenspan speaking with no clear implications, it does get even more dangerous than normal. GT

NY Mr smith 15:42 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:35 GMT June 15, 2004
hello..
about gbp/usd when at 1.8250
I think is normal if gbp/usd give reaction of buying emotion from 1.8080 area, but don't forget caused by low 1.8045 area give info that gbp/usd still will make new low (ideal 1.7946 as the bottom). Now is on the swing type and now is on the ideal start to continue move down to respone sell signal moderate.
I suggest start action for sell with average strategy until 1.8299 (maximal if shown). stp objective at 1.8415.
I think now is enough.
let's see

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:36 GMT June 15, 2004
I suggest to exit your buy possie for gbp/usd and try cut reverse. !!!!

Genoa nic 15:40 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Raton :
well known thoughts by Mark Twain on dangerous markets : "October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks . The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February"

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I suggest to exit your buy possie for gbp/usd and try cut reverse. !!!!

SLC TJ 15:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Well, I knew exactly what he meant by dangerous trading. i.e. whipsaws and false breaks. Thanks for the reminder and heads-up Gep. GT

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hello..
about gbp/usd when at 1.8250
I think is normal if gbp/usd give reaction of buying emotion from 1.8080 area, but don't forget caused by low 1.8045 area give info that gbp/usd still will make new low (ideal 1.7946 as the bottom). Now is on the swing type and now is on the ideal start to continue move down to respone sell signal moderate.
I suggest start action for sell with average strategy until 1.8299 (maximal if shown). stp objective at 1.8415.
I think now is enough.
let's see

Dallas GEP 15:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Raton.....Dangerous trading means diffrent things of course to diffrerent traders but to ME, it means that probabilities are about equal for a CCY to long as it it is to short. So in that environment, it is probably better NOT to trade. It also means to ME that the market is volatile enough to take out your stops and then to reverse back and go the original direction of your possie. So in order to STAY in those possies WIDER stops MAY be required and that inherently is more risk or dangeorous. For example I had a 1.2135 stop on my Eur/USD short. NORMALLY 1,2125 would have been enough but because of the volatility of the markiet I felt a wider stop was necessary ( it was.....1.2127 ASK printed),

hk revdax 15:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dangerous trading means one could lose by trading, while safe trading takes place when the account is finally closed.

Boca Raton 15:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas what exactly does "dangerous trading" mean? Does dangerous trading mean its time to start moving stop orders again?

Hong Kong Qindex 15:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 13:54 GMT June 14, 2004
EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : ............................. The distribution profile of my weekly cycle charts indicate that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.1922 - 1.2196...............................................

Global-View GVI 15:20 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan's prepared remarks LINK

hk revdax 15:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 15:14 //The label c9 is given to those house wives that cluster around in fx shops trading fx here in Hong Kong and Macau. Their trading behavior constitutes excellent contrarian indication. The famous low-tech Macau indicator makes its observation on the behavior of these c9s and produces its predictions. By the way, there are also many c9-likes in this forum.

Cairns Aussie 15:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ooops... no mention of interest rates in speech

Cairns Aussie 15:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
text from Greenspan speech ..Quote ..CNBC say's no mention from interest rates from Mr G

Hong Kong Qindex 15:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dublin CK 15:14 GMT - C9 : It is only a general sentiment of ladies in Hong Kong.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
FWIW tune to Bloomberg.com TV they have the proceedings live now.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 15:11 GMT June 15, 2004
Not yet in a few minutes

Dublin CK 15:14 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Do the C9 have a website?

Hong Kong Qindex 15:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT - If you are doing position trading, any level is fine. Take a look on the location of my USD/JPY weekly cycle key quantized level.

hk revdax 15:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia //I think your cycle analysis is immune to any kind of events taking place all around.

melbourne farmacia 15:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Greeny on the hill yet ?

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
So Q, basically then SHORTS are favored near your 109.94 number, correct????

Hong Kong Qindex 15:07 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : The projected supporting strength of 382 is very impressive today.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:07 GMT June 11, 2004
Spot Gold (Weekly Cycle) : This would cover next week.

The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located 382. The lower barrier of my weekly cycle is expected at 372.6 // 377.3 and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 377.3 - 391.5. Speculative selling pressure will increase if the market can penetrate through 382. The key quantized level of my monthly cycle is positioning at 371.2.


... 372.6 // 377.3 - (382.0) - 386.8 - 391.5 // ...

hk revdax 15:07 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:04 GMT //Dangerous trading for whom? The longs or the shorts? Or both? Does that mean no one should be long or short?

hk revdax 15:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin//The low of $/JY today is 109.98, which is only 4 pips away from Q's mathematicized number of 109.94. Do you think the law of math would comply with Q's prediction?

Hong Kong Qindex 15:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT - USD/JPY : I have to rely on the signals from my 44-day cycle reference.

Dallas GEP 15:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Let me repeat: DANGEROUS TRADING!!!! YEN is being bought across the board.

Stockholm za 14:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
JFB >>> sorry for the late re..
As see from the weekend charts the ~12200 gate is still in control of the short-term game
With a direct range of ~12600 – 11930 on the swing at the moment.. The true value range comes in at ~12740-11650 inside the triangle. There are some gaps to be fill as you can see the ~12020 & 12470.
As long as we are trading above the 11930 we will be cycling with the fundamentals to fill the topside gaps to establish trade. Note of the ~11810 – 11650 & 11460 one touch running the trend for the down side..
Some other key spike are the ~11740 – 11860 – 12100 – 12390 –2480 & the 12560 bands.
There is a 5 to 10 days filling capacity…
On a long term scale the 11770 value gives poc with full range down to the key bullish support band ~11110/40..
Happy trades as always..
ps...Math. Mean = the traditional pivot

Normandy Nick 14:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
sell action on Dow and Gold, buy signal on chf
I go for a short on pound at 1.8180

hk revdax 14:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin//By looking at how annoying the c9s who are long $/JY today, I would agree with you that those who could hold onto their margin accounts without insulting each other's mothers will be OK tomorrow. Having said that, i would not want to go long $/JY tomorrow myself. i would just do nothing until c9s produce another clear signal.

hk revdax 14:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin//c9s behavior constitutes very accurate indicator.

HK Kevin 14:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Good evening, Qindex. Took prodit of my short EUR/JPY from 133.88 at 133.04.
HK Revadx, C9 may win tomorrow for long USD/JPY.

Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Q, if I may ask, you have been favoring shorts on USD/JPY....AT what point in time does your sentiment change to favoring LONGS?????

Hong Kong Qindex 14:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:43 GMT - You are right! I just came back from a movie, The Dreamers. USD/JPY : The short term target is the key quantized level (the super magnet) of my weekly cycle.

Gen dk 14:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

USA Biscuit Boy 14:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Looks like euro has softened up a bit now and dollar softest of them all. Dollaryen can still reach 108's this week so has plenty of room to fall in that department. I would be tempted to sell aud/usd at 0.6930 but I still think we can march all the way back to 0.7000/30 and kiwi to 0.64 this week. I think Greenspan can give his "measured pace" another flog especially with oil coming off and core inflation very tame for now. LMAO if we don't even get a hike this month.

HK Kevin 14:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax, may be Qindex is watching us.

HK Kevin 14:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK revdax, I aleady took profit at ~110.30 but keep Qindex's level 109.94 in mind as possible today's low.
Lower my t/p for short EUR/JPY to 132.88 with a trailing stop

Dallas GEP 14:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ok In a general sense, Greenspan doesn't usually give USD a boost so one could possibly anticipate some dollar bearishness

Global-View 14:40 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ida, please email us. We sent you an email and it got bounced back.

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Closed eur/usd shorts @ 1.2075

hk revdax 14:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin //Qindex is sleeping sweetly with his c9 at this moment. Why not tell me what you think will be the downside target of $/JY today before close? TIA

Nottingham 14:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
cable...still below 100 day sma...pair always at risk to losses while this remains to be the case...gl gt

UAE Oil man 14:32 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Stops to entry on 1.2110.

Gl.

HK Kevin 14:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc, If you are around. I would like to seek your expertise advice on the impact of possible rate rise by People Bank of China on YEN. Many thanks in advance.
EUR/JPY approaches my t/p 133.25.

Global-View 14:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
We discourage broker talk to leave the forum free for trading flow. This has been a long time rule and it has worked well as you can tell.

San Diego bobl 14:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
anything over canada...
not rocket science, or sexy...but canada continues to be weak sister in international community; why fight it? basically, anything over is working...
i still hold euro and usd over canada...low risk with breakout moves not far away. who knows if the b/o's go or flip...but seems worth a shot. especially after being able to scale out of some with nice numbers in last 24 hours.

other than that...lots of slop out there imho.

best wishes

Plovdiv Gotin 14:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
in 45 minutes

OK SZ 14:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
11am est

Nottingham 14:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP, end June is a whisker over 25bps, having been over 30bps earlier in the week...however markets are still pricing in over 80bps from current levels by the time we hit the 4th quarter...gl gt

Pecs Andras 14:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Guys
What time is Greenspan due to speak? TIA

HK Kevin 14:14 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, have you took profit on long Aussie?

Sydney gvm 14:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP how about something simple like Oil up - Gold up - Dollar down. Bond rally short covering on initial relief reaction being 'maybe back to 25bp' after CPI. Rally towards DrQs magnet on 10 years then down again I would suggest

quito_valdez at yahoo 14:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
chart behaving like I mentioned yesterday..a sort of horizontal "Z" pattern, this time separated by a little 1 hour space between the whipsaw peaks and valley. Such is news day.

"In Afghanistan this week, out numbered coalition rebels on horseback defeated Taliban forces armed with tanks. Experts say the victory is just like the story: David and Goliath: but with of course David's friend, the Stealth Bomber." Tina Fey on Saturday Night Live's "Weekend Update"

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP maybe Greenspan will shed some light on the matter later on today.

Boca Raton 14:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I read that this morning too.

Dallas GEP 14:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
IMO 50 basis points WAS priced in PRIOR to CPI annoucement and THEN market reacted USD negatively to announcement but THEN pullbacks occurr based on some MIXED interpretations regarding interest rates and with Michigan Sentimet being USD positive we had small USD rally.

Quite frankly the market doesn't know WTF to do now so my advice would be to fall back on the technicals.

LHR B747 14:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 13:59 GMT: TICS + MICH. = reason for the ride to 1.1930


IMO & GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 13:47 GMT June 15, 2004
Your comments sir never offended me and hopefully none was given. GL GT

Van jv 13:59 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
TIC/Treasury Int.Capital Flow..../76.2....was good as well. why so little attention is given to this number ?

Bruxville Jim 13:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 13:54 GMT

That was unexpected:)) Brilliant:-D

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 13:54 GMT June 15, 2004
Hahaha good one I can almost picture that game in my mind. I can’t wait for the second leg of this match.

nyc jk 13:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
lol PipPirate!

Dallas GEP 13:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Cable for last 4-5 hours seems more bullish than Euro. Cable having problms with that 1.8215/20 area

WARNING!!!!! Dangerous trading!!!

UAE Oil man 13:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 13:54 GMT June 15, 2004

Lol..Fantastic post!:)

ny amc 13:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami..............Yes and Thanks

Rivonia PipPirate 13:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Todays football commentary:
jimbos' Bruxville Banking Bronkos beat log leaders UAE Oil mans Camel kickers in a surprise victory today. The score 2 - 1 to the young upstart team. Asked for comment Jimbo said "It was as forcast, moving the 12600 goal post is legal in this game", while a disgruntled UAE Oil man said " Two of my key players were ill after drinking my last case of Chateau Mouton Rothchild '63 last nite, and his players were not booked for foul play".

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
AMC when I post information that I have read I will usually put the name of the source as to give credit were credit is due. At the end of the comments I will put the abbreviation of the source. This time I put TMG, which stands for Thompson Market Global. I hope that helps

Dallas GEP 13:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
95.2 vs. 90 for michigan Sentiment. Much better than expected. Quite possble we have see highs for euro and pound today and lows for usd/chf

Toronto YV 13:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UMICH JUNE CONSUMER SENTIMENT 95.2 S. 90.2

dc fxq 13:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UMICH JUNE CONSUMER SENTIMENT 95.2 S. 90.2 -- SOURCE

CBS MArketwatch

Global-View GVI 13:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GVI 13:48 GMT June 15, 2004
95.2

GVI 13:46 GMT June 15, 2004
U of M due now...

UAE Oil man 13:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
)toronto( Dr Unken Katt 13:45 GMT June 15, 2004

Thanks ..I do not use fibo's and am doing fine..

But thanks, I think you were trying to help!.

GL to you.

Bruxville Jim 13:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami Omil - accept my apologies, body.

Vilnius 13:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:43 GMT June 15, 2004

heh.
50bp hike was pretty much priced in last week.

Moscow Vasya 13:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
People - when conducting research on currency trading, I faced the necessity to regard refinancial rates of central banks, and found this info. But I also need to know how much addintional money state issues (during a year) while having certain refinancial rate. Where can I find such an info? Pls help...

houston st 13:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   

Dallas GEP 13:43 GMT -- this is after one of the "guests" said right after the numbers came out that now the 50 bps was "off of the table" due to the cpi number...go figure.

)toronto( Dr Unken Katt 13:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 13:28 GMT June 15, 2004
Got stopped on E$ shorts at entry.
Took new ones at 1.2110 stops 46

hey oilman , this s/l of urs seems to like 38%fibo of the last move dude , im looking to short from 2149 or so
--

ny amc 13:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami...Omil.....where do you find such information out?

Dallas GEP 13:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Took Eur/usd short @ 1.2103 with 1.2135 stop CNBC annouced there was a 85% chcnce now of a 50 basis poits rare increase. Not sure where they get that based on CPI numbers but obviously there are mixed views. Michigan SENTIMENT in 2 miinutes

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:42 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 13:38 GMT June 15, 2004
The range is my suggestion mate and actually the DNT is 1.1950-2490 expiring on mid July as I posted before.

Bruxville Jim 13:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:34 GMT
The DNT option's legs are 1.1950-1.2400, pal. Or is there another one?

ny amc 13:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE...OIL MAN.....I did not receive anything in my email?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
JF thanks, I had 2120-30 as resistance but you have a better view of the picture. I am flat right now, as I never bought off the bounce from 1.2030. The talk of the DNT option might have this pair ranging from 1.1950 to 1.2200 for a while now IMHO.

Mtl JP 13:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Nemo / 15:00GMT Greenspan testifies at Senate Nomination Hearing

Antwerp Tom 13:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Nemo, think 15 GMT

UAE Oil man 13:32 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ya Amc i replied this morning.

ny amc 13:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE...OIL MAN..........Did you receive my email the other day?

San Diego bobl 13:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
euro/cad...
nibbling into this pair; still has work to do however small early entry to focus and add on confirmation >1.6660...may want to wait for >than the half to start

B.A. BOCA 13:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
cable needs to break the next fibo 50% (around 8250) to target 83...should be a fairly straight trip if overcome. but watch out for profit taking.. Gl

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
When will speak Mr. Greenspen?? TIA

UAE Oil man 13:28 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Got stopped on E$ shorts at entry.
Took new ones at 1.2110 stops 46
--
jim,Out of the 2 trades, one is stopped, the other one has not yet hit profit target..Profits are profits when they are booked.

Later.

Bruxville Jim 13:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 13:15 GMT - Seems that you don't really know, but that's ok.

Anyone buying Cad/jpy ahead of 80.00?

Gen dk 13:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Nottingham 13:23 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
cable...8225/30 key...gl gt

HK Kevin 13:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab , took profit of short USD/JPY from ~111.20 at 110.34. Still hold the short EUR/JPY.

nyc jk 13:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ok Jim, although I guess one only knows in hindsight though if their stops are in the right place.......
where is Bruxville by the way?

sarasota jf 13:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
omil hope you got out on the new high - eurusd will need to clear 40 from here to get any more momentum

Antwerp Tom 13:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Jim, from reading Omil i think you better lock in yr profit earlier (2120) if you entered the trade...

Antwerp Tom 13:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Jim, I guess it's around the 1000 postal area...

Bruxville Jim 13:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 13:00 GMT
The bank is located not far from there. But not in Bruxville.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Actually JK I thought that was a trade you made stuck my foot in my mouth again. The best thing to have is your own plan and get ideas from these recommendations but as the saying goes plan your work and work your plan.

Bruxville Jim 13:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 13:00 GMT
Do you know where Bruxville is?

San Diego bobl 13:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad....
very nice run last night with 100 pips easy to take and put in flat for rest...no new signals this morning for me, however may still work up, so have raised stops 137.17.

euro/usd...
holding half with b/e stop; 1-2hr chart resistance here; pattern in limbo at the moment; nothing new to do...just waiting

Bruxville Jim 13:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 13:01 GMT
I said in advance - mind their targets, stops can be adjsuted according to your own taste. Btw, you can reenter trades when you see a need. In the long run, a pretty amount of pips can be collected using their recommendations. ;-)

U.K. J.B. 13:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Tics data much higher than expected at $76,2 b/n

nyc jk 13:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, you have a good point! just not sure why trade recommendations that have yielded 20 pips (assuming the EUR doesn't go lower and he gets stopped on that too) are getting a replay...........

Livingston nh 13:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Jim - you can short the EUR on the charts - but as far as the Fed goes depends on how much weight you put on interest rates in FX

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
From GVI Forum

TIC data $76.2 bln

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
JK head above water is always good news in my book LOL.

Gen dk 13:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
US TICS data???

nyc jk 13:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hmm well -40 pips after getting stopped on the CHF, up about 60 pips on the EUR for a net of +20 pips....not bad, not exactly great either though........

Antwerp Tom 13:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Jim, is yr local bank located in Bruxville?

Bruxville Jim 13:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 12:59 GMT
So you advise us to short euro?

Livingston nh 12:59 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
From today's CPI release - "During the first five months of 2004, the CPI-U rose at a 5.1 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). This compares with an increase of 1.9 percent for all of 2003."

The Fed will panic with numbers like this - the core inflation rate is meaningless -- tomorrow the Beige Book is released and if the anecdotal evidence of price increases is in there "measured" will be as obsolete as "patient"

Bruxville Jim 12:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
--- Bruxville Jim 07:34 GMT June 15, 2004
Recommendation from my local bank (seriously):
Buy E$ @1.2040 for 1.2130, stop 1.2000.
Swissie: Sell @1.2580 for 1.2455, stop 1.2620.
Cheers. ---

Well, not bad so far;)

LHR B747 12:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
*** COrrection ***

Antwerp Tom 12:50 GMT: maybe just for that fact, if damage will be too big than Republicans will NOT get into the white house for 12 years.


GT

LHR B747 12:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 12:50 GMT: maybe just for that fact, if damage will be too big than Republicans will get into the white house for 12 years.


GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
So far 1.2120-30 is holding now for eur/usd.

Antwerp Tom 12:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Duisenberg would, not Greenie

Gen dk 12:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Antwerp Tom 12:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
B747, don't forget it's an election year, I doubt they'd go for 50 bp and thus create some panic in the markets.

LHR B747 12:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
All crystal balls (also some facts) showing at least .50% rate rise, inflation rates are higher than pre 911.


GT

Gold Coast martin 12:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
same pattern as last night...data release..dollar down..end of data dollar downward movement......capitalise on it...g/t

hk ab 12:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
closed half at .6875.

USA Biscuit Boy 12:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
London rp 11:30 GMT June 15, 2004

I agree the the aussie economy is soft at the moment but the NZ economy is going great guns with 50bp in hikes expected this year to come. Keep an eye on aud/nzd.....already broken key support.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 12:39 GMT June 15, 2004
Nothing technical about it just a gut feeling again as long as 1.2120 holds this move is not going anywhere IMO.
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business conditions index held
steady at 30.2 in June. GL GT

hk ab 12:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
trail aud long now at .6943 and let all things run.

Sydney Alimin 12:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
1.2150 should cap euro with all the data, only greenspan can move the market further or can reverse its course IMHO

LHR B747 12:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
"US May CPI Gain Was Highest Since Jan 2001"


GT

Antwerp Tom 12:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Omil, why would it be false?

Ldn Viewer 12:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
CPI .6% , little higher , Core .2% as expected and the key to weaker USD here in reaction .. note Treasuries down 0.06% already ... all the 50 bp punters now wait for Mr G ...

LHR B747 12:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD did not go over Asia high

GT

BEIRUT MK 12:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
gbpusd: move stop loss to 1.8090
still target 1.8300

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
CPI +0.6%, core +0.2%

mex sjs 12:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
6/15/2004 8:31:00 AM US May CPI m/m + 0.6% (exp 0.5%, prev 0.2%) US May core CPI m/m +0.2% (exp 0.2%, prev 0.3%)

USA Biscuit Boy 12:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
US May CPI m/m + 0.6% (exp 0.5%, prev 0.2%) US May core CPI m/m +0.2% (exp 0.2%, prev 0.3%)

Nottingham 12:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
cpi as expected on core, marginally higher on headline but market was expecting more after Fed jawboning recently, so dollar kneejerk sell-off...next is TIC and this flows data has in the past had a strong effect on dollar direction>>>market expectations here are for a decline to $45/50bn...gl gt

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I have a feeling that this bullish move for eur/usd is a false move IMO.

Kaunas 12:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone can post the numbers?

bne cad 12:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
grrrrr....the blast off took my stop :(

ny amc 12:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Amazing how some of these FCM's can just freeze there platforms for a minute or 2 and then Boom all of a sudden there is a 50 pip difference in what you see.

melbourne farmacia 12:28 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax - there's 2 much red wine covering the ball tonight.

ab - watching hourly macd div on aus/usd

Normandy Nick 12:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
it looks like the market expects to short the dollar. euro, pound and chf are respectively above and below the 50 ema on 5 minutes chart....

Normandy Nick 12:14 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
possies on chf and euro closed around b/e. 4 statitics + Greenspan speech = crazy session. Still short on pound, double reverse at 1.8196.
May the trend be with you....

Tallinn viies 12:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 12:07 - explosion in Basra

Sydney gvm 12:07 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
energy complex recovering somewhat in pre-market - any news driving this ? TIA

hk revdax 12:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia //please take a look at your crytal ball and see if we have seen the top of $/JY for today.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 12:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, GL and GT!

melbourne farmacia 11:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:06 GMT June 15, 2004
Evening AB - no aud/usd trades so far today, maybe next week.... been out buying real estate today... got 60 days until settlement...so need a few more pips this week... hehe GT

nyc jk 11:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Kiev trader 11:46 GMT June 15, 2004

they should increase the price to allow for an advertising budget so you won't waste everyone's time spamming this good forum here.

Gold Coast martin 11:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GENTLEMEN...Like last night the aud at 6840 is providing an excellent entry level with terger at least 6890..trade it ..small fish is sweet...g/l

London rp 11:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
martin is spot on..the short term techs can do what they like, the medium term picture for aud and nzd is poor, on basic fundamentals...ie the 3 main factors that drove it to 80c are no longer in play..... namely the carry trade is totally shot to bits as fed commences rate hike cycle, japanese buying has totally dried up (uridashi issuance fallen materially) and will become net sellers due to redemptions, and chinese buying of commodities and metals has slowed.

Gold Coast martin 11:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HAIFA..AC...just an australian expression for not looking good..

Haifa ac 11:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 11:03 GMT June 15, 2004
"..fundamentally"stuffed"//
hmmm... I thought that term was reserved for Britanny Spears.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 11:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
a true inverse shs?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 11:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad breaks of 1.38 is not a good sign.

Perth pm 11:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello, I have a question regarding real estate in japan in the "help section" if anyone with a bit of spare time and knowledge could give me his or her thoughts it would be appreciated. Thank you & GT, GL.

LHR B747 11:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Another TICS forecast:

"USD may gain on the US Treasury International Capital flow figure for Apr at 1300 GMT as strong inflows would imply only limited aversion to potential capital losses on the back of higher US ylds, suggests BarCap. Mar fig showed net foreign purchases of US securities at $82.3B, with purchases of Tsy bonds and notes at $27.6B; agencies at $1.1B; corporates at $29.1B and equities at -$13.5B. Net foreign purchases of domestic and foreign securities from US residents was $78.6B"

I love this business :)

GT

Gold Coast martin 11:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
HAIFA..c..Your technicals are correct ...the aud however is fundamentally"stuffed" like the kiwi...so at the moment its downward potential is mre than "limited"...g/t

Haifa ac 11:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 10:16 GMT June 15, 2004
ab, 6770 is key...below there and it's adios...// No. The monthly 21 MA is sitting 100 points below--we are in 4th month decline from a "V" top. THis is Only a reaction.
I am not saying long here--but the downward potential is limited.

LHR B747 10:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 10:56 GMT: Let's hope it will remain a joke...!!!


GT

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 10:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
LHR what is % of reliability of this forecast? :) lol

LHR B747 10:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
From Ukraine (Caylon securities):

"Calyon expects US TICS capital flows (1300 GMT) will likely dip to around $50B in Apr from $75B in Mar. The biggest fall will likely come in Tsy inflows, which normal accounts for 50% of total flows. Lack of Asian official demand is likely to be the key driver behind falling flows and EUR/USD should capitalise on this and test 1.2175 this wk."


GT

Tallinn viies 10:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 10:17 - negative suprise may move the market. positive doesnt give addtional power I guess

Hong Kong Qindex 10:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : The mid-point reference of 0.6767 - 0.6846 is 0.6806.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks all the pals.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
kicked in .6805.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:06 GMT - It is still good for another 4 - 5 weeks. Anyway a stop is always required.

Gold Coast martin 10:21 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
NOTTY...you are very correct ....should aud break 6780 resistance barrier {i expect it to before or after the data} it is see you at the south pole with the kiwi...g/t

sarasota jf 10:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
audusd talk of gd stop at 6790 - us bnk pushing for it now

LHR B747 10:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Is US TICS is a market mover?


GT

Nottingham 10:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ab, 6770 is key...below there and it's adios...gl gt

Gen dk 10:14 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:13 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
seems my aud limit will be hit soon.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, in terms of your 44day cycle, can we say the levels will be good for the coming 44 days?

Farmacia, how are you doing today?
Pick aud?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 10:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
small long chf 1.2605.

van Gecko 09:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
too bad you wasn't here last week, but fwiw you can still take a look at the Jap dailies from last wednesday and wish you had gone long against the crowd.
hk dong 07:38 GMT June 9, 2004
usd/jpy & all jpy crosses are at great 1:5 r/r buy levels
risk 50 pips for 250 pips

Bruxville Jim 09:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk dong - what kind of great r/r opportunity was there last week?

hk dong 09:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
jim, the great r/r opportunity was last week, however, if you can risk a 1 figure money stop you can buy on a break & daily close above 134.50 & 202.50

Bruxville Jim 09:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk dong - preferably as few as possible. If the potential gain is 300 pips, I don't mind risking 100, and often I reestablish my position (after stops are executed) at an even better price. So what are your recommendations?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Think Greensy party tonight will be spotted on more than CPI even.

Singapore Sfx 09:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks viies.

hk dong 09:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
jim, how much can you afford to lose?

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, I had the major nzd shorts at .6270 and .63.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:32 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
as a matter of fact, if aud can survive .6800 again in daily chart, it will only have one way to go for making a double bottom.

HK Kevin 09:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:24, I already got small position at 6816, but hourly bars still not looking good, try to escape near 6830 or stop out

Hong Kong Qindex 09:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : The market is vibrating around the 382 (the super magnet).

Hong Kong Qindex 08:07 GMT June 11, 2004
Spot Gold (Weekly Cycle) : This would cover next week.

The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located 382. The lower barrier of my weekly cycle is expected at 372.6 // 377.3 and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 377.3 - 391.5. Speculative selling pressure will increase if the market can penetrate through 382. The key quantized level of my monthly cycle is positioning at 371.2.


... 372.6 // 377.3 - (382.0) - 386.8 - 391.5 // ...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
pick small bottom limit at .6805.

Tallinn viies 09:27 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 09:19 - no, Im sorry.
as I said it was there yesterday. piece of news nothing more but idea is that basically we cant compare two numbers...
sort of comparing pigs with cows :)

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, I am struggling to whether pick the 3rd bottom on aud at .6800....

Geez, not made up my mind yet.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 09:23 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
viies, I believe that method is not only used for 5 years and must be followed for many years already, isn't it? TIA.

Singapore Sfx 09:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   

viies 09:11 - Hi mate, do you have a time ref for that story pls ? Thanks.

Tallinn viies 09:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
in my view it is very big chance today that CPI number will suprise us all. most likely higher than median 0,4%.

in light of that I cant see euro higher than 1,2110/20 level. target 1,1910/15

Gold Coast martin 09:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
good evening...ONCE NZD breaches 62 level it is good bye little bird ...will go to south pole with a 59 at the end of it...g/t

Bruxville Jim 09:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk dong - and what are the stop levels for those targets?

hk dong 09:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
eur/jap & gbp/jap are longs for 136 & 204

Tallinn viies 09:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:18 - yesterday there was story on reuters that US job reports are structurly different from Euroland jobs report. basically they dont count hidden jobless...

if USA could put their reporting to Euroland way then their numbers would show 9,7% jobless rate
fwiw

Bruxville Jim 09:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk dong - do you have any suggestions what to do with Eur/Jpy and Gbp/jpy?

Bruxville Jim 09:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 08:48 GMT
Well, last week their recommendations made some 300 pips in total in several trades on Cable;). And their targets are very often reached, although stops might be disputable. By the way, the 1.2620 level is not the required stop, you can adjust it according to the spread given by your dealer.

Brisbane L 09:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex many thanks hopefully may see that today
th lower level :-)

Hong Kong Qindex 08:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 08:49 GMT - AUD/USD : My 44-cycle reference suggests that 0.6767 - 0.6846 is a good entry level to accumulate long positions.

hk dong 08:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim antacid could sooths recurring gut indigestions but good r/r trading opportunties only come once in a blue moon.
those usd/jap & crosses contras from last week are good for 200 plus pips across the borad so far.

UAE Oil man 08:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Back in a few hours,

Later everyone.

Brisbane L 08:49 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex hello, can you confirm your aud view

UAE Oil man 08:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 07:34 GMT June 15, 2004

There you go Jim,already they are out of $chf, let's see if their E$ follows.

Bruxville Jim 08:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - but what about the timing of 1.20? any expectations?

Hong Kong Qindex 08:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond (June) : The frequency chart of my monthly cycle indicates that there is a big gap in frequency number between 107^27 and 109^21. This would suggest that 107^27 is a good projected supporting point. The market closed at 108^16 in the last session.


10-Yr Bond : Projected Support at 107^27
Monday May 31, 2004 - 06:17:26 GMT
QIndex - www.global-view.com/beta/qindexguide.html

10-Yr Bond (Monthly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my monthly cycle is positioning at 111^14 (location of super magnet) and the critical level is located at 109^21 (neutral position). Initially the market is likely to vibrate around the critical level at 109^21 with an expected magnitude of 108^24 - 110^17. The market will head for the key quantized level at 111^14 if it can overcome the projected resistant point at 110^17. A projected supporting point is positioning at 107^17 as indicated by the difference in the frequency number between 107^27 - 109^21. The lower barrier of my monthly cycle charts is expected at 106^02 // 106^31 and the upper barrier is located at 112^11 - 113^07. The odds are in favour of taking long position on dips as suggested by the distribution profile of my monthly cycle probability chart.

... 106^02* // 106^31 - 107^27* - 108^24 - 109^21* - 110^17 - (111^14)* - 112^11 // 113^07 ...


10-Yr
Bond : Monthly Cycle Charts


Bruxville Jim 08:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
to hk ab - let's leave jpy & boj alone. that's a special story. well, the fundamental reason for such a move in Aud/Nzd might be that 'funny mentals' of nz stop improving. still think that 1.08 can be easily reached - up to now there has only been some consolidation of losses.

Ldn Viewer 08:30 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Normandy Nick 08:22 - ok - Just make sure you take the profit when its offered and then take the train north = you will win both sides .. GL mat

Hong Kong Qindex 08:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The current expected trading ranges from my weekly cycle is 1.2013* - 1.2059 - 1.2104*.

Normandy Nick 08:22 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ok, I long on dollar up to the neck now!

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I seldom trade funnymentals.

If that's the case, dlr/jpy should be around 100.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Could a weak USD help to reduce that number?

I really don't think so. However, weak USD has already got back all the lost jobs since 911 (if those numbers are true).

Bruxville Jim 08:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:12 GMT
When do you expect 1.20 to be achieved? 2004? 2005? And - what could be the fundamental reason for such a reversal? TIA.

Ldn Viewer 08:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Over all still see a weaker USD - suits the politicians over there in US - a 20% weaker dollar is technically a 20% smaller deficit and they're cynical enough to hang on to that

nyc gfx_pws 08:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone want to talk about a play on the UK CPI# coming out? I am looking for a strong number 1.8 - 2.0 yoy and .5 - .9 mom for a good spot to buy cable. To the downside under .3 mom and 1.3 and down for a good short spot. I dont anticipate a big move on the heels of US CPI coming this morning but we could have a quick hit. any thoughts? good trades.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd stops will be under 1.08 and targeting 1.2.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 08:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex// Aud .697 or 679?

Bruxville Jim 08:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - were you the one buying Aud/Nzd yesterday? What is your stop level & profit target?

Brisbane Ldn 08:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
BoE Gov Warns UK House Prices May Tumble

Bruxville Jim 08:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk dong 07:58 GMT June 15, 2004
I have a gut feel that we'll have a retest of 1.78+ before heading downwards in Eur/Aud.

UAE Oil man 08:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 07:55 GMT June 15, 2004

Yes, I have opposite views, i posted my E$ positons few posts ago.

Gen dk 07:59 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk dong 07:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
more great 1:5 r/r contra opportunties here, buy AUD/USD & sell EUR/AUD, sell USD/CAD
risk 50 pips for 250+ pips

Hong Kong Qindex 07:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : I would not be surprised if the market decides to tackle 0.0.6971.

Bruxville Jim 07:55 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Oil man - I rather try to treat this as a friendly advice from an experienced tehnician. They do not have the market power to hunt for the proposed stops. Do you have an opposite view on euro today?

Bruxville Jim 07:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Oil man - I rather try to treat this as a friendly advice from an experienced tehnician. They do not have the market power to hunt for the proposed stops. Do you have an opposite view on euro today?

Normandy Nick 07:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   

sell order filled on euro, reverse at 1.2103 bid
sell order on pound at 1.8113 bid buy at 1.8110
chf sell at 1.2498 buy 1.26 bid
I hope they won't be contradictions in the datas today, otherwise it will be an acrobatic rock and roll session
GL/GD

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy.....
potential bottom for furnishing the shs pattern? now at the right shoulder.

Bruxville Jim 07:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hope you'll understand the puzzle. Sorry for the mess.

UAE Oil man 07:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 07:34 GMT June 15, 2004

You can make good money on banks recommendations,
Their stops is targets ,their profit target is your stops..has a better chance of working in the long run..unless it's a major bank ,Like Deutsche or UBS, HSBC and so forth..Where most of their guys know what they are doing ..

Bruxville Jim 07:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
LHR B747 07:39 GMT
Well, not me, but my local bank. As far as I understand, their forecasts a inflation data piece today might ruin euro's prospects.re based solely on technical analysis, so a marvellous But their stop is quite tight.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Martin's short.... cool.

3rd time of this bottom being tested for aud.

If gold is not ready, all majors need to take a break.

Today special seems to be dlr/chf.

Are all mkt players waiting for the Greensy party? a 0.75% hike?

LHR B747 07:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 07:34 GMT//
Normandy Nick 07:26 GMT//

One of you will be right @ 16:00 GMT :)


GT

Bruxville Jim 07:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
To HK AB - Cable/Yen IS a tool, actually a rewarding one;)

Bruxville Jim 07:34 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Recommendation from my local bank (seriously):
Buy E$ @1.2040 for 1.2130, stop 1.2000.
Swissie: Sell @1.2580 for 1.2455, stop 1.2620.
Cheers.

Normandy Nick 07:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
sell order on euro at 1.2045 for 1.2010 then 1.1970

UAE Oil man 07:23 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ha, then you should only speak about $/Yen and Euro$..Everything else is cross...

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:20 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
oilman, a pal here has mentioned already gbp/jpy is not a tool.
only, dlr/jpy and eur/jpy.

UAE Oil man 07:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ab, how come everytime Eurojap goes up you call for "hoax' and "manipulation"..If gbpjpy goes to 300-400 you going to call for a conspiracy?

UAE Oil man 07:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 07:01 GMT June 15, 2004

Good morning Islander, for sure anything that makes us laugh is worth it.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
seems cad/jpy will soon crack the 80 handle soon.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:10 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
periodic idiotic turmoil.....

BEIRUT MK 07:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
close short gbpjpy from 201.05 at 200.80
close long usdchf from 1.2440 at 1.2560

now bought gbpusd at 1.8155 target 1.8300 stop 1.7980
will add at 1.8070 if seen.

UAE Oil man 07:02 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
First remark ..missing the capital letter on the "Oil" man
Secondly "GL/GT" something i have never posted.

But a "signature i have seen on a poster.

Dallas GEP 07:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Took profits on 1.2089 eur/usd shorts @ 1.2063 (+26). Appears to be a STRONG buyer at 1.2050 for now. Will rest for a couple of hours will be back

MONACO OGA 07:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 15/06
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2060), 100 pips higher than on Monday opening. The market rebounded on 1,1954 as expected with reported Middle East buying activity. Yesterday's data showed a predictable deterioration of US April trade balance, which gave enough momentum for the market to push the pair up to 1,2080. Overnight the market consolidated above 1,2050, briefly testing 1,2100. The big picture hasn't changed since yesterday, we still believe the market will hover inside 1,1750-1,2350 for some time. For today, we will favour any pullback to build long positions (ideally 1,2020) while on the topside 1,2120 looks to be offering some resistance.

Data out today:

UK CPI May expected 0.4% 08.30 GMT
US CPI May expected 0.5% 12.30 GMT
US core CPI May expected 0.2% 12.30 GMT
US business inventories April expected 0.4% 12.30 GMT
US empire manufacturing June expected 30.5 12.30 GMT
US Univ Michigan confidence June expected 90.8 13.50 GMT
US FED's Mr Greenspan talks at 14.00 GMT

Gold at 383.00, with WTI July at 37.43

***JPY***
USD/JPY (110,70). The pair is consolidating above 110,50 support level as expected (high/low 111.45/110.65) but losing some ground overnight on expectations that further spike in JGB yelds might be JPY positive. Nexrt resistance appears above 111.50 while 110.00-50 should now act as strong support zone.
EUR/JPY currently 133.50, triggered our 134 target and almost reached 134,50 but retreated to current levels overnight. 132,75 should now act as a supportive zone while 134,50 should cap the market for today.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8140), dipped down to 1.8050 yesterday before stabilizing around current level. 1,80-1,83 should contain price action for the coming trading days. We'll be staying sidelined again today although the pair looks vulnerable on the downside.
EUR/GBP (0,6645) kept its retracement to the upsides yesterday, briefly touching 0,6660. On the upsides, 0,6680-0,6700 should contain the rally while a retracement to 0,6620 looks possible today. We remain neutral for the time being as it is too soon to determine if the cross is forming a bottom at 0,6550.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

st. pete islander 07:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 06:58 GMT June 15, 2004

G'morning Oily .... didn't sound like you at all. But funny, as you say. gt

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 07:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Revdax and oilman. I don't like the feeling of bottom picking in aud.

UAE Oil man 06:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
UAE oil man 20:53 GMT June 14, 2004

That wasnt me by the way .....But it's a funny post so why not?..

UAE Oil man 06:53 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Ab,

Current positions:
1.8430 GBP/$ shorts,
1.3468 $cad long
1.2080 Short E$.
And some Ozi from 6971 which i have called "Martin's short".

hk revdax 06:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz//There is a high probability that the c9 will be wrong today but will be right again tomorrow. Those c9 that have enough margin in their accounts have developed immunity to the influence of Macau indicator while those that don't will feel a bit annoyed today.

hk revdax 06:47 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz//Yes, c9 seem to be following that direction. Mind you, sometimes they are quite right.., and more so than many professional analysts...LOL

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
The dlr/cad inverse shs in weekly and daily.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 06:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Revdax, u meant c9 are longing dlr/jpy?

I am shorting the hack eur/jpy out, BIG HOAX.

hk revdax 06:32 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 04:12 //That is what Macau indicator says today.

HK Kevin 06:27 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Long small ugly Aussie at 6816 with tight stop

Dallas GEP 06:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Took profits @ 1.2570 on USD/CHF longs from 1.2545/

st. pete islander 06:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Good morning World ... Let's play nice today. GEP, it's about time you got back to work! :o)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP I agree I got out of the eur/usd long position with profit and will enter again at a bounce off the support (1.2040) or will enter short position at a break of 1.2020-10 area. With the data later on today we shall see where the market takes us. Now I will set my traps and recharge the batteries for the battle ahead of us. GL GT

Dallas GEP 05:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Tool Eur/JPY longs out at -6 PIPS, I think eur/usd will short and jpy so far has been Longed against other currencies

Van jv 05:48 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Gold linked to bond...stock valuation
www.mineweb.net/sections/gold_silver/requiredyield.htm

Brisbane L 05:44 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Australia's trade balance has been heavy drag on GDP but that could reverse as early as 2Q. Net exports could add 0.5 ppt to GDP, ending run of 11 quarters where trade balance has weakened growth. Net exports carved 1.3 ppts off GDP in 1Q. Rebalancing of growth likely smooth with any 2H slowdown likely modest

NAB economist Richard Grace.

Brisbane L 05:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips oky doky

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 05:23 GMT June 15, 2004 //
3 Figures

NY Raider19 05:32 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Fed's Poole /// Speech on Free Trade. Although this may be a relative side matter given all of the other events/speeches today, does anyone know when this is scheduled? TIA

Brisbane L 05:23 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips on the Euro/Aud where would you recommend shorting and what are you looking for t/P thanks

Ina mr.co'z 05:19 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hi all !
looks like cable will going to support 1.8018-1.7983 ! IMO
gl/gt !...

Sir "Q" i love your Super Magnet...:) , keep doing Master !

Gold Coast martin 05:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
SYD...BALMAIN....euro will fall out of bed by end of ny session tonite...patience is needed.... euro at the 121 level is currently fundamentally over-valued..a truer level is 11870-119.one thing that has been a walking timebomb waiting to explode,is the nzd/usd pair....expecting big correction this week to the 5950 level...g/t///

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q...GM..
Does the levels below sound good to you?
Your comments are appreciated.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:05 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Best choice...
Eur/AUS--> short

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:04 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GM ALL
Confidence 84%
Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2181 1.1894
USDJPY 111.54 108.77
GBPUSD 1.8429 1.8001
USDCHF 1.2736 1.2387
EURCHF 1.5200 1.5024
AUDUSD 0.6999 0.6812
USDCAD 1.3795 1.3515
NZDUSD 0.6362 0.6181
EURGBP 0.6670 0.6549
EURJPY 134.46 130.79
GBPJPY 203.48 197.75
CHFJPY 88.90 86.47
GBPCHF 2.3094 2.2634
EURAUD 1.7636 1.7198
EURCAD 1.6653 1.6247
AUDCAD 0.9550 0.9318
AUDJPY 77.25 74.75

sydney balmain 04:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
gday martin... got out of short aussie last night on the spike for beer money and wanted to sell @ 0.6926 but because limit short euro had no bullets left...ahhh. very frustrating 24hrs. patiently now waiting for euro to fall out of bed. by the way ya grisha.

Dallas GEP 04:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
If 1.2070 doesnt hld ....1.2040 will more than likely print. Watxh usd/chf for leading indicator

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
bc// considering the thin condition of summer, bc, I think the eur range might pull a bit lower to 1.15 at extreme.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
held eur/jpy
dlr/jpy not entered yet.

Gold Coast martin 04:36 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GOOD AFTERNOON......The auds expected downward trend has resumed after a brief rally(which incidentally should have been good for entry levels }..aud should trade down to the 6780-90 range by end of ny session tonite ...g/t

HK Kevin 04:35 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, still hold short USD/JPY & EUR/JPY?

Dallas GEP 04:27 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
The USD/JPY lng seems to hane been a bit premature. I expect a bounce HERE at 110.60/65 or at 110.40/45

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:26 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I believe money will go to Jap big time.....

gold is not supporting the eur strength neither.

houston st 04:18 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   

Qindex, ab, Dallas, et al...have a profitable day...good nite.

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 04:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
oilman, did you add to your eur short?

Hong Kong Qindex 04:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The odds are good to maintain a short position.

Dallas GEP 04:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Took Eur/Yen long from 133.79 .

Hong Kong Qindex 04:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : The odds for the market to close below 383 are very even today. If the market can overcome the projected resistance at 385.7, spot gold has a potential to tackle 391.9.


... // 379.5 - 382.6 - 385.7 // 388.8 - 391.9 ...

Belgrade Knez 04:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 03:56 GMT June 15, 2004

yesterday low 382.3934

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 03:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
does anyone have the day low of gold yesterday? TIa.

bahdad Bolshevik 03:28 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
euro looks like has another jump in cards up to 21200
BB meet the 200ema there
. might be good short from there , in the euro session most likely

Ldn 03:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Aussie Optons Two large options todaAUD 0.6905 & 6960

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I agree JF thanks for your comments as always.

sar jf 03:15 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ab asian holds 71/7150/7200 top and some downside 6800 for one - but direction is down - i tend to play eur/aud more than audusd this has been a good game lately - gl

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 03:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
jf// many thanks for that.
Is only the .68 option held now? all things seem to have gone.

sar jf 03:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
omil keep up the gd work and thnk someone told u yest to get off the fence - personally sometimes i play defence and offense with this mkt depends on the session asia/lon/nyk so im happy to sit on the fence several times a day ! dont have to have a posn every minute of the day! gl/gt

Dallas GEP 03:03 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
KL Pound is mixed but I would short from 1.8175 area with fairly tight stop. GBP as you know can be pretty wicked so that's wht currently I DO NOT have a possie on it. You could also try a LONG from 1.8110 area with tight stop also. I probably would not run over 30-40 pip stops on GBP at this time.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:02 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the information JF hope you are having a good week. GT

sar jf 03:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
aud think shud be lower for similiar reasons to gbp weakness imo - top of cycle, political uncertainty soon and stops are on downside not topside

Hong Kong Qindex 03:01 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 02:12 GMT - USD/JPY : My monthly cycle quantized levels are 109.94* - 110.82* - 111.70* and their respective mid-point reference are 109.94 and 111.70.

sar jf 03:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ab - we see some new highs for eurusd first before resume some downside move - $yen corp japan come to rescue of shorter term traders allowing for trading range - gl

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 03:00 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
anyone interested in eur/chf long?

placed limit at 1.5115

KL KL 02:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 02:52 GMT June 15, 2004 , welcome back GEP..any vie on gbpusd??

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
A key support for eur/usd right now is 1.2070 it is the 55ma for 5min, 20ma for 15 and 30 min and 10ma for the 1hr chart. I also have further support at 1.2040 20ma for 4hr and 55ma for daily chart IMHO. GL GT

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
does anyone know why aud and cad gets so weak?

Dallas GEP 02:52 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, until those consumer price index numbers are announced later today, I think the ranges will be limited regardless. The TENDANCY IMO would be to square out of dollar short possies prior to that data but your guess is as good as mine as to the timimg on that!!! LOL I think for now. JPY possies are SAFER than eur/usd or gbp/usd possies. I do expect during the next few sessions a test of that 1.1950 DNT option. I further think USD bears would be reluctant to stage a MAJOR push against the dollar prior to that CPI release.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
GEP my guts tell me to drop this long intraday position for eur/usd on the next available exit but my systems says to give it a chance. Discipline has to take over when feelings are not clear I will cover my (behind) and let the chips fall where they may. Some more talk of a DNT expiring on mid July at 1.1950-2490. The same firm is also bidding at this time around the 1.2050 area. GL GT (report from TGM)

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 02:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I am personally gonna short @1.2068,targetting 1.2012,stop 1.2098
TIA:-)

hk ab nz 0.59 double bottom 02:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
the joking eur/jpy must be finding the stops on the top side....

what a fun, repeating the path of gbp per oilman explained 2 days ago.

New high now marked, after fast retreat.

Dallas GEP 02:37 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thanks OMIL, the possie I have the most confidence in would be the usd/jpy long. That probably is good for 40-50 pip IMO. the USD/CHF is probably good for 30-40 pips and the eur/usd 30-40 pips.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 02:33 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
How are you GEP good to have you back. Your short eur/usd is looking better than my long for now. If 1.2100-20 holds steady then you got it in the bag LOL. GL GT

Dallas GEP 02:25 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hello Friends, just back from vacation today, Current possies are eur/usd short from 1.2089, 1.2155 stop; long usd/jpy from 110.88, stop 110.38; long usd.chf from 1.2545, stop @ 1.2480.

Brisbane L 02:17 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
BOE King says "Some Concern" On UK Unsecured Debt
Needs 40% House-Price Fall To Match 90's Woes and
Sharp Consumption Drop 1 Risk To UK Econ-Paper

UK press.

hk revdax 02:16 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex//OK...I get it. it is the vibration quantity of 0.88. Right?

hk revdax 02:12 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex//How did you get the number of 109.94 and 111.70? The two numbers adjacent to 110.82 are 109.24 and 112.40.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:57 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 01:45 GMT - USD/JPY : We have to shift our attention to the monthly cycle charts. My monthly cycle indicates that the market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 110.82 with an expected magnitude of 109-94 - 111.70 for the time being.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
sydney balmain 01:43 GMT June 15, 2004
No problem just adding your two euros worth of advice LOL. The first time test at the resistance and no luck for now support will probably be seen around 1.2040-50 area IMO. GL GT

hk revdax 01:45 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex//Today's low of $/JY is 110.82 and this is one of the probability number on your chart. What does that exactly mean? TIA

sydney balmain 01:43 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
sorry for repeating ur post omil.. typing the same comment at the same time.

sydney balmain 01:41 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
lets not get bulled up on the euro until it breaks through 1.2120. the game is not over yet for the bears. for a sustained rally there would need to be some broad based selling of usd against the majors. usd/jpy is still trading at 111.00 aussie/kiwi are also at their lows.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 01:31 GMT June 15, 2004
Thanks, but for the bulls for eur/usd pair we are not out of the bear’s woods yet. I will feel much better if we get past 1.2120 and 2160 to test 1.2180 and eventually 1.2200 with this intraday long I am holding for now.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
10-Yr Bond (September) : The closing price of the last session is 107^02 and the market will move lower today. The key quantized level of my daily cycle is located at 106^25. The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 106^17 - 107^01.

Daily Cycle Qiantized Levels

... // 106^17* - 106^21 - 106^25* - 106^29 - 107^01 // ...

Cairo Amgad 01:38 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Buy GBP/USD at 1.8148 S/L 1.8113 First target 1.8200 2nd target 1.8282. USE TLS 35

ny amc 01:31 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Miami.Omil.....nice call on the euro......too bad I was on the other end of it...oh well

Hong Kong Qindex 01:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
hk revdax 01:08 GMT : USD/JPY : Take a look in my page, the position of the weekly cycle barrier and the location of the key quantized level.

Saihat 01:29 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
eur-what i recored
monthly
1.2105- 50% open- close
1.2041-50% high - low

weekly
1.2148
1.2160

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:24 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
FWIW intraday indicators are in O/B territory for eur/usd with crosses driving this pair up for now. Once the resistance of the 1.2100-20 area is taken then we should get more buyers to push this pair for further gains. This I believe is the key for further gains on this pair for now IMHO. GL GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 01:11 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Cairo Amgad 01:06 GMT June 15, 2004
You are welcome next resistance after 1.2150-60 is 1.2180-90 but a lot of talk of stops and offers building up in the 1.2100-20 area we will see how strong they are.

hk revdax 01:09 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
What is anyone's diagnosis of $/JY today? TIA

hk revdax 01:08 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Qindex//What is your diagnosis of $/JY today? TIA

Cairo Amgad 01:06 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Thank you OMIL very much, i'll take that and may wait for 1.2182 , GL

Gen dk 00:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Cairo Amgad 00:58 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
catch the trend now or never

Miami OMIL (/;-> 00:56 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Cairo Amgad 00:50 GMT June 15, 2004
Here is what I posted earlier about this pair.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:57 GMT June 14, 2004
Moving my stops to protect profit on the eur/usd intraday long position at this time. Next resistance for eur/usd is around 1.2105-15, 1.2120-30, and 1.2150-60 IMHO. GL GT

Brisbane L 00:54 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Talk Of Large Buying Flow Going Through The Market

Cairo Amgad 00:51 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
Good bye USD/JPY 111.xx Now comes in focus 1.10xx.

Cairo Amgad 00:50 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
I think we will good bye Eur/USD 1.20xx. Now comes in focus 1.21xx. I wish to know next resistance level please.

Your help is appritiated, GL/GT

earth 00:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
is the market correcting itself in anticipation of greenspan's conference tomorrow?

earth 00:46 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
is the market correcting itself in anticipation of greenspan's conference tomorrow?

Hong Kong Qindex 00:39 GMT June 15, 2004 Reply   
)toronto( Dr Unken Katt 16:09 GMT - You are wrong! We don't use the term "sensitive area" in our system. Second of all Bollinger bands are not the same as Quantized Levels in our system. It is better for you to learn a little bit more mathematics before you try to criticize.

 




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Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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