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Forex Forum Archive for 07/07/2004

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Brsibane L 23:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Employment data AUStralia 01.30GMT.

nyc jk 23:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit boy - you still short EUR and AUD?

USA Biscuit Boy 23:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sold gbp/jpy at 201.28.

hb Stefan 23:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hello, sorry for interupting ur conversation, I am a newbie and I have some q's. where can I find good info to get knowlegeable about the forex market? How would u compare the stock market with forex as far as risk and rewards? thanks in advance for helping me!!!

PC Beach, FL Chris 22:54 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on where the EUR/USD may be headed overnight?? Short since this morning and I've got a whole pip on my side right now. Yawn

Good Trades To All

Barcelona Tony 22:51 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ICT and LAX .. needless to say that I thank you for your info very much

LAX-LGB SNP 22:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 22:07 GMT July 7, 2004
not tried it personally so let me know if its any good

ICT ML 22:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Tony, I think I printed one off at the CFTC site last year. It listed every FCM and their financial status.

If not there it was the NFA site.

perrie como 22:10 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Kenneth Lay Biography
Forbes - 5 minutes ago
BORN: 1942 in Tyrone, Mo. His father, Omer, tried selling farm equipment and working in a feed store, but became a Baptist minister after bankruptcy forced the family to seek refuge with relatives.
Former Enron Chairman Indicted WXIX

Barcelona Tony 22:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone,

does anyone know the web where one could see broker's (online brokers) capitalization??? thanks in advance

Gold Coast Jeb 22:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGP SNP
thanks for info had s/l at 1.2386
guess i'm out

LAX-LGB SNP 21:59 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
jeb
1.2390 ask

Beijing Laowen 21:58 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Usd/Jpy looks about to dive. Closed all long usd/jpy from 108.50 @108.64.

gold coast jeb 21:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
can anyone give me the high for the Euro inthe past 6 hours please?
having problem with my chart server.
regards
Jeb

perrie como 21:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
VP candidate Edwards has strong views on free trade, which could impact manufacturing/retail sectors

perrie como 21:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Announcement of Edwards as running mate did little to move markets in morning trading but may have some bearing on HMO sector.

nyc jk 21:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Fair enough Jim. just FYI info and that of others, Post is not exactly renowned for their top financial reporting. Wall St. Journal, NY Times, yes. cheers.

Bruxville Jim 21:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 21:17 GMT // That was a citation from ocfernews. Dunno about the newspaper, but the argument of Payrolls methodology is open.

Caribbean! Rafe... 21:26 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I was right last night about the direction, but got stopped out too quick.. tight stops are a killer.


Caribbean! Rafe... 00:13 GMT July 7, 2004
EUR-BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:09 GMT July 7, 2004
EUR almost ready for a buy

CHF almost ready for a sell.

this could change as time wears on will keep updating

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:08 GMT July 7, 2004
GBP i just got a buy signal.. sorry could not announce it earlier as just logged on for a while.

USA Biscuit Boy 21:23 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Texas Hero why sell? You were in the drivers seat!

Minnesota U-genius 21:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Aussie seems to be overbought,
Looking at dayly chart it's right on 61.8% retracement from february's high, any thoughts? GL/GT

Texas Hero for the Day 21:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sold Euro at and bought them at 1.2262 today. Gosh I'm good.

nyc jk 21:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 20:10 GMT July 7, 2004
In his latest column, John Crudele the influential financial journalist of NY Post..............

Influential financial journalist of NY Post????? Do they even have a financial section? Thought it was just Page 6 gossip and Sports.........

USA Biscuit Boy 21:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi AG. Missed my entry on dollaryen by 15 pips oh well. Aussie will either move up to test 0.73 or down first......search me.....I think Bush may have put in an order for some good economic data so that may play a role tomorrow.....got my short cable order filled so pleased with that.

perrie como 21:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
yen to strenghten next again...guess here are many yet looking up into may highs, but does not seems so sound deal....

btw do not buy anything about those liars poker players...they probably never traded money just else stories....

CAIRO AG 20:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
BB// Hi... hope all is going ok with you as well as ur system...

Any thoughts on Aussie from here?
Thanks & GL

Tallinn viies 20:23 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
CS - Im with you.
last 3 years have made money just like that. piece of cake.
yes of course first 7 years went over the rocks.
who wants to try?

NYC CS 20:16 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Making money in FX is dead simple. All you have to do is buy low and sell high.

Tallinn viies 20:14 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 15:56 - you mean short euro? actually Im short already. after big interbank bouyz wanted to take out the cheated DNT, first at 1,2350, then 1,2375 and so and so on...
now I think those guys really need to take couple of steps back. lets say my expectation is that we see 1,2275 before 1,2425. imho

USA Biscuit Boy 20:14 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
LA newfxx 19:47 GMT July 7, 2004

That is all well and good but how does this help anyone else. Unless you where then and there in that winning betting sequence the opportunity has already passed. That is not to say there are not plenty of winning sequences available right now to take advantage of but unfortunately there are even more losing ones. You don't really hear about the losing ones....

Bruxville Jim 20:10 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
In his latest column, John Crudele the influential financial journalist of NY Post, points out that while Fed funds rates increased, the latest mortgage rates have actually declined. Why? Crudele argues that US economy is weaker than it appears to be. He notes that BLS arrived at its 112,000 new payroll estimate by, “adding 182,000 jobs that it assumes — but can't prove — are being created by newly formed small companies that can't be surveyed. Work out the numbers, “ he continues. “If growth was 112,000 jobs and the Labor Department assumed 182,000 were being created by these invisible new businesses then real jobs actually declined by 70,000. “

Porto Azarento 20:04 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
i have a similar story about my first steps in forex. see at my blog www.clubeinvest.com/azarento.
i began with 30 dollars and in 34 days i finish with 458 dollars
i made it online!

DETroit 20:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
sounds Lucky! LOL

LA newfxx 19:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
well ...

I know a person has $20000 and turned out to be $45000 in a month.

Sound reasonable.

GER ad 19:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
For all interested!

Do you know how can you make in forex a small fortune?
No...
It is simple; begin forex trading with a large one!

pd cumino 19:32 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
huntington beach adrian fo 15:24 GMT July 7, 2004
Yes it is possible. I'm in fx market since many years. It is plenty of people who had 5.000USD and then 1 million in few weeks. Or, wait a moment, perhaps they were those with 1 million that then became 5000 in few weeks. Sorry, I don't remeber well.

Stockholm za 19:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
censored ---- censored ---- censored ----

YESS........ Big brother is ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ :::::

censored ---- censored ---- censored ----

Mtl JP 19:00 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles 18:52 / are your fees paid up front ? Could I put a lien on your house for that IRR ?

LAX-LGB SNP 18:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
seems like happy hour has started rather early on the east coast today ;-)

Moscow Karpov 18:30 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Kasparov is cheating.

NY Gary Kasparov 18:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
You think it's tough to play against that Fisher fella, come try a game against me!

NJ Bobby Fischer 18:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I buy EUROS...next!

LAX-LGB SNP 18:19 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
huntington beach adrian fo 15:24 GMT July 7, 2004

Nothing is impossible in fx.
To achieve a highly suspect 800 percent growth, your friend has used a very high percentage of equity with nothing less than 1:100 leverage. Sure you can do the same but how many are prepared to risk that much $$$ on a mid to long-term basis ? Besides I'm surprised the broker hasnt screwed him with stop-runs already ;-)

Fx is anything but easy or else we'd all be billionaires already ;-) Think of Fx as a chess game with Bobby Fischer - everything is against you from day one, profits are important but its more essential that you conserve capital

KL KL 18:18 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 18:08 GMT July 7, 2004, you r right I just move cable short sl 30 pips at 1.8581...thanks..

Bruxville Jim 18:08 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 17:54 GMT // You should be selling ahead of a very important level to use a 20p stop on Cable. 20 pips are too few for cable's normal volatility.

perrie como 17:58 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
this was printed by cbs interviewing censored...seems they fishing trough forums :)

Fed interest-rate forecasts drew focus away from the upcoming
Japanese elections, uncertainty for which had pressured the home currency.
"Falling confidence [in the strength of the U.S. economic recovery] has boosted
both the euro and the pound, and with little economic data due from release by
the U.S. today, the current levels may well be sustained in the near term," said
Paul Jackson, senior foreign exchange dealer with censored Group in London.

KL KL 17:54 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
After such move cable & eur will need to retrace before moving higher...short both here at 1.8551 & 1.2371 with 20 pips stop above.... looking at 40-60 + pips below...lets see

clonakilty glenn 17:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   

Hi Jim
All quiet - Waiting for cable to find that valley of yours...give it a push would you?

Bruxville Jim 17:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
anybody online?

hk jc 16:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hi, any news about the yen?tiu

Van jv 16:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
slower US growth scenario , declining S&P and declining USD is a prescription for US "troubles" due to declining Cap. inflows---can or will Plunge Prot. Team save the situation before it reaches point of no return???

Cairo Amgad 16:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:25 GMT July 7, 2004
thank you, i always get learning from people here and that save me alot of money.

hb adrian fo 16:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Ger ,
I've been doing stock trading for a while now and know that most softwares are not worth it.This forex thing sounded too good to be true for me and that why I needed an informed opinion.I was let to believe that forex is much much easier than stock trading and much more rewarding...but I guess everything comes down to the amount of knowledge one has.
thanks once again for your reply
Adrian..a newbie

Stockholm za 16:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
fwiw... €/$ Testing the expansion gate on weak momentum, looking for the swing on a given slingshort..
Happy safe trades....

Bruxville Jim 16:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Cairo Amgad 16:20 GMT // I will appreciate it if you use 'appreciate' instead of 'appritiate';)) Good luck with your trade, but Cable has climbed up a mountain recently and may find a deep valley ahead of it.

GER ad 16:22 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hb adrian fo 15:55 GMT July 7, 2004
plus ...he told me that .in order to do this,I need to buy a 3000 usd software

Adrian,
This is a very hard and difficult business. Don’t pay any 3000 USD for software (maybe he made his 400K by selling software...) on the other side there are broker that offer accounts with 200:1 leverage (I don't recommend to work with more than 25:1) and if you bought for a week 1000K GBP/USD (you need < 9050 USD) at 1.8030 now you have > 53000 profit...
But no software can tell you something like this!
If you want to give a try open first a demo account, GL.

Cairo Amgad 16:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
A trading idea, i would appritiate your comments.

GBP/USD;
the major resistance level is 1.8610/20 after which we have 1.8750/60 Hence 1.8620 is good point to buy;

Buy 2 positions at 1.8620
S/L 1.8577(-43pip)
T/P 1.8740(+120pip) and 1.8830(+210pip)
I use TLS 35pip

Thank you for your comments. GL, GT

India chilli_chick 16:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
When the money is stuck in losing possies, and nothing left to click on their platforms, overconfident newbies get into this behavior.
The problem is ,they cant accept losses and trade without stops.
The markets are unpredictable for even the best.

hos 16:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
u see in 15 days euro will cross1.3000 and then see who is stupid
ppl keep on shortin euros and speculators will make it a + position every day

melbourne farmacia 16:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 15:57 GMT July 7, 2004
Euro rallies... small specs jump in..... market makers hit euro 3 figures down once again.... = minor cycle day this friday. GT

OK SZ 16:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I know a group of people who paid 3k for that froex made easy crap..it's just a moving average program.those are all a scam and bring people into this business thinking they are all gonna get rich by following these colors..trading is not that easy..why would these guys need to sell this crap if they can make a fortune by trading it???

Bruxville Jim 16:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Jay. Stupid posts, e.g. 'will euro cross the 1.3000 level ??' are certainly market related, but aren't THEY a waste of space here? Sorry in advance for asking this...

Beijing Laowen 16:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
OK SZ 15:58 GMT July 7, 2004 //

Did you have any experience with any automatic trading system?

hb adrian fo 15:58 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
sorry guys..I thought this was a forum like many others where ppl can get good info and not get the foot for not being informed in this area.Sorry for wasting your time
Adrian

OK SZ 15:58 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
sounds like he is using forex made easy..red light , green light..what a joke

hk ab lazy 15:57 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
now we see the same type of divergence on eur/gbp and eur/usd when eur was at 1.29.....

hk ab lazy 15:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
viies, will u enter now in such situation?

hb adrian fo 15:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
plus ...he told me that .in order to do this,I need to buy a 3000 usd software

Global-View 15:53 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
We are removing the prior posts that are non-market related and please stop wasting space here with it.

hos 15:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
will euro cross the 1.3000 level ??

Plovdiv Gotin 15:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Above 1.2450/57 euro will target...1.2545/50.

HK Kevin 15:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
huntington beach adrian fo 15:24 GMT, please introduce yur frined to me.
Bought small USD/JPY at 108.28 with tight stop.

hos 15:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
do anyone has any idea how will euro behave above 1.2450

ny 15:41 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
sooner or later yen is gonna go weak against usd cos thts their policy for now 110 is the resistance once it crosses tht it will get to 112

kop 15:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
if gold breaks 407.10 then it will rally and resistance is at418 if thts crossed then target 431

NYCNYCNYC 15:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ddoes anyone here have a longer term view of the USD/yen?

TIA

gold coast jeb 15:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Huntington Beach
Ask your freind if he is useing his own (real) money or only DEMO Trading
regards
Jeb

chicago cal 15:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
huntington beach:

i'm not trying to brag because it's no big deal; for example, i have a trade going right now that's up 150%, but it's leveraged 100:1; $ can be made and lost quickly in these markets

Plovdiv Gotin 15:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Cal/What about 1.8575/82/88?

Hong Kong Qindex 15:35 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

chicago cal 15:31 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
next R level on cable is 1.8605 above there would be considered bullish still maybe to 1.8745 or higher

Goes (NL) B747 15:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
huntington beach adrian fo 15:24 GMT July 7, 2004

Yes, you can make a fortune if you are the one that sell the pips :)


gl & gt

chicago cal 15:28 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
yea, it's very possible to have that kind of success in these highly leveraged markets on the other hand if one does not know what they are doing an account can go from 400k to 50k just as fast or faster

Aden PK 15:26 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Short Aud/Usd @ .7230 stop loss .7255 bid target .7200 initially, as trade is against the trend,

Looking to go long on healthy correction if seen @.7120 stop loss .7040 target .7400 first

huntington beach adrian fo 15:24 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hello all,
I've just heard ab forex and currency exchange yesterday from a friend of mine.He told me that he started 3 month ago and already made 400k(started w/5oK)Now,my question:is that really possible ,is this currency exchange thing something people don't know about but can bring you a fortune in such a short period of time (provided that u know what you are doing)?
thank you guys!

London 15:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
there are mega options related stops in the euro all the way from 1.25 up.

Nottingham 15:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
B747, the next 20/30 pips is usually anyone's guess...I have no notable order info bang on current levels so can't help you there...first stops I have noted are positioned under 2350 and I gather will create enough momentum to fill the gap, so possibly it's a level for you to look at...on the topside just about everybody has a different view so nailing significant supply is tricky and could be anywhere 2400 upwards to be honest...higher up things are clearer for both euro and cable but that is no help to you so I won't go into that...gl gt

Goes (NL) B747 15:00 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 14:55 GMT July 7, 2004

cheers mate :)

honnestly, this is my last short EUR/USD position but it is bit too latge for the current trading (good lesson for the future!)

but I really need opinion from you guys, I really got lost with this position.

gt

hk ab lazy 14:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Jim// If it can goes from 398--> 390 and now 401, it means it can also run a 10 dlrs move again tomorrow.... px is now exaggerated 'cos of the summer thin volume.

Bruxville Jim 14:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:53 GMT // But I need euro at 1.2130 before 1.2510 to cover my shorts:))

Bruxville Jim 14:53 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold is back into favour again (above 401 as opposed to 389 24hrs ago).

Goes (NL) B747 14:53 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 14:44 GMT July 7, 2004


I need EUR/USD @ 1.2335/- before touching 1.2385, your opinion please


gt

Rivonia PipPirate 14:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
You can call me maidensass_israndy, but on 4th July I drempt these figures, when I awoke i quickly wrote them down:

Rivonia PipPirate 13:34 GMT July 5, 2004
Euro poss ranges:
Weekly: R1/S1(12393-12143) R2/S2(12516-12026)
Daily: R1/S1(12336-12186) R2/S2(12382-12138)

Porto PJT 14:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 14:46 , thank you, gt.

Global-View 14:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
We have a Help Forum for non-market related topics. Feel free to use it.

Van jv 14:49 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Waiting for? Maybe tomorrows
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CDT - Initial Claims-Weekly
2:00 PM CDT - Consumer Credit(May)
3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply

London Leon 14:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I am a green hand.

I wonder why forex does not use PVT(price and volume trend)and MFI(money flow index) as an indicator?

Thank you.

Stockholm za 14:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT 13:26 >>> Sorry for the late re...
Base on Gann teory..... lol if you like ...
from the ~8544 low we have achive a 330`(degree) movement on this up move with ~8918 to complete the cycle inside this squear . Failure to push through the longer term top linewill send us back down the road. The key angles comes in at ~8836-8789-8743 & 8696 for a half cycle pullback with the full range 360` at ~8510..
it is holding well so far above my ema 5 which is good sine of strength.
From murry point of view we have :-
8906-range top
8858-strength test
8810-pivot
8762-inner range top
8714-M pivot
8666-inner range bottom
8618-pivot
8570-weakness test
8523- range bottom
From me :-8919 topside take out – 8759 downside takeout
A spike in ema 8 & close under ema5 will send me short for now..
Happy trades to you ....
ps.. you can do the opposit for i am just a conterian index.

Bruxville Jim 14:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Ndola AP 14:41 GMT // The reason is corruption. At least the perception of vast corruption there. Also distance matters. Do you come from Zambia?

Nottingham 14:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
sorry B747, after all that I didn't answer your q...I think the early session gap can be filled as this wasn't quite achieved earlier in the day...I think that theory can stand whilst it stays below that reaction high...gl gt

Ndola AP 14:41 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
why don't the western countries want to invest big in africa to be specific Zambia. I see a lot of petential in that country!

Bruxville Jim 14:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:32 GMT // The amount of dollars paid by buyers of gold is equal to the amount of dollars received by sellers of it. Hope this answers your question.

Goes (NL) B747 14:32 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
as XAU is traded in USD only, it means that USD is a must to enter a trade.

How it comes that USD goes down when everybody need USD?


gl & gt

Nottingham 14:32 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:24 GMT

it's a tried and trusted pattern that often occurs when something's been stuck in a tight range all session...a quick spike up/down is then followed by a reversal back to range is often followed by move in opposite direction...if still no joy the original move is only back on once reaction high/low is taken out (so at least it clears up one side of the argument)...gl gt

PC Beach, FL Chris 14:31 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Is there a news event that the EUR is waiting on that I'm not aware of??? Been short for the past few hourzzzzzzz.

Good Trades To All

Calabash TarHeel 14:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
tampa lw 13:55 GMT July 7, 2004
fwiw. I was long from 1.2280 last night, gave up and closed at 1.2285 a little while ago. Gold has moved up too much for me to stay long $ right now. Just imvho.
Good Luck, Good Trades

Bruxville Jim 14:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
You mean the post about oil prices? The argument goes, however, whether dearer oil will force Fed to hike sooner.

Goes (NL) B747 14:24 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 14:20 GMT July 7, 2004

how much this means in pips, how many pips EUR/USD + GBP/USD will go down?


gl & gt

Bruxville Jim 14:24 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 14:13 GMT // What should I search for?

Nottingham 14:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
cable + euro...both have just made false upside breaks...snap to downside could be around the corner...gl gt

Genoa nic 14:19 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ab, next tomorrow: http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/Current/

melbourne farmacia 14:18 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk - u trailing yesterdays positions now mate ? would be nice to print 1.8603... might need some retrace first back to 1.8465... or maybe not..up she ticks

hk ab lazy 14:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
anyone got update on last month US M3 info? TIA.

hk ab lazy 14:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Jim// Take a look on the archive on Dr.Q's argument. Tks.

Bruxville Jim 14:10 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 14:05 GMT // Not necessarily so - high oil prices slow economy in themselves, so Fed might choose to pause on pushing brakes to avoid a recession. Am I wrong?

Bruxville Jim 14:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
tampa lw 13:55 GMT // While 1.2330/50 holds for euro, don't expect a significant rally in Usd/chf.

hk ab lazy 14:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, if this oil keeps moving up seems we will see another hike next Fed.

tampa lw 13:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I am long on the usd/chf from last night. my fill was 2290 but it don't seem to be doing anything. anyone have any thoughts. thanks

Goes (NL) B747 13:54 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
what is the reason that Italy's downgrade did not took EUR down against all CCYS?


gt

Bruxville Jim 13:49 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
NY,NY GFX_PWS 13:42 GMT // Concerning Cable - selling marginal highs and covering at 30-50 pips retracements still seems a valid (and profitable enough so far) strategy.

Montréal Taro 13:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
wroclaw TG, Bruxville Jim

Thank you

hk ab lazy 13:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
martin// I like your phrase "no man land".

hk ab lazy 13:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Will fund sellers come in all of a sudden again?.... interesting.... if it can come up so fast from 391 to 400 again, it must be from some "special" buying.

wroclaw TG 13:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Montreal Taro Polish Zloty

Best T

Bruxville Jim 13:43 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Montréal Taro 13:42 GMT // Polish Zloty

NY,NY GFX_PWS 13:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
anyone looking at cable shorts at the current level..it looks to be leveling off for a move downward.

Montréal Taro 13:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
wroclaw TG 13:37 GMT July 7, 2004
What means PLN

hk ab lazy 13:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Kevin good for you.

HK Kevin 13:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, stop profit orders for both long usd/jpy and eur/jpy were filled this morning. However, my strategies still valid.

Porto PJT 13:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 13:32 GMT , we are broking daily channels, and no inversion so far, a possible new range is on the cards, personaly intend to wait, or maybe a small carry trade, till i see the light.
Like ML have mentioned, i didnt see yet no money to catch from the floor.......gt.

Goes (NL) B747 13:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:31 GMT July 7, 2004


http://www.ansa.it/fdg02/200407071505156796/200407071505156796.html


gt

wroclaw TG 13:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi Any PLN traders in here ?

GL to @ll

Tom

hk ab lazy 13:33 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I think there're implications on these gold moves.....

Goes (NL) B747 13:32 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD @ 1.1750 never looked so far, we are on top of range and according to many people around here this is bottom of range 1.2350-1.2950


gt

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:31 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes Your call about Italy rating from where it ?? TIA

Porto PJT 13:26 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za , your view on chf/jpy, considering the short side.TIA.

hk ab lazy 13:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
looks likely hker.

Beijing Laowen 13:23 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
I am flexible as long as I am on the trading station. The limkit and stop orders are for the case I was off.

BTW, I have been playing this games for ard. 4 years,an amateur.

Nottingham 13:23 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
usdcad...no matter whether it holds or fails, a stop hunt under 3180 is surely inevitable either way, is the line one operator is taking...gl gt

Rivonia PipPirate 13:22 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 13:03 Next yeatr we may see your new handle:
hk ab Hei Ling Chau-1 year for lazyness13:03 GMT July 7, 2005

Beijing Laowen 13:21 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
B747, Sorry for my typo, the possie I took yesterday was @ 108.99.

Goes (NL) B747 13:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 13:17 GMT July 7, 2004
`
good luck!!!
may I ask how long you do FX trading?

gt

Beijing Laowen 13:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
B747, I took a long @ 109.16 and closed it @109.41 this China morning. My S/l for that possie was 108.72. I opened a new long @ 108.55 this morning and just now another lot. Two lots of longs are with s/l @ 108.00.

hong kong nt 13:14 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
AB -- "Something happens and looks like I will be refrained from seeing all of you next year." -- did Judge Yo Urwive order you to serve 1 year's imprisonment?

Goes (NL) B747 13:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Italy's credit rate downgraded

worth 2.5%-3% EUR decline in fair value calculation


gl & gt

Goes (NL) B747 13:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 13:03 GMT July 7, 2004

did you actually took this position to cover yesterday's entry?
is your goal is to +/- breakeven?

gl & gt

slv sam 13:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm/
price action.

hk ab lazy 13:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
nt//Sorry for the late reply.

I was so busy recently and couldn't online often. Look like I need to be more hardworking and professional :D.

Hope that I can contact you next week. Something happens and looks like I will be refrained from seeing all of you next year.

Beijing Laowen 13:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 12:56 GMT July 7, 2004 //

In the long run I believe in Usd/Jpy above 110. But in the short term,I will be cautious to be enough flexible to close my position. It is still probable to go down as low as 107 area or even 105.50.

Sydney gvm 13:02 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
slv sam ... whats your yen call based on?

slv sam 12:57 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
$/y could reach 111 and e/y 137 within days..IMO!GT

Goes (NL) B747 12:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 12:40 GMT July 7, 2004


good luck, you really beleive in USD/JPY @ 110/- still this week


gt

Goes (NL) B747 12:51 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 12:40 GMT July 7, 2004


good luck, you really beleive in USD/JPY @ 110/- still week


gt

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Looks like Delta Airlines joins AA in financial pits..read here...even after employees concede to 30% wage cut.

Beijing Laowen 12:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
108.03 bid is a key point for usd/jpy today. This pair's low of today was 108.26, think 108.03 is still effective.

Hong Kong Qindex 12:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Beijing Laowen 12:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bought another lot usd/jpy @108.55 with s/l @108.00.

Nottingham 12:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
canadian building permits due shortly

nyc jk 12:21 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ahh now it becomes clear....amc - sure get it through Jay and I will try to help cheers

ny amc 12:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
nyc.jk i am an idiot. I put your initials in because i was asking you if I could get your email from jay . I am sorry. I have a question regarding hedge funds that i was hoping you could answer

nyc jk 12:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Flip - hadn't heard that one before....thanks though you just turned me off from the occasional cigar I smoke....lol

Jay - that 12.04 post is not me!??!!

Dublin Flip 12:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
oops
smoking a cigar is ....

Dublin Flip 12:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Well jk You know the old one about cigars???
Soming a cigar is often called "sucking the c... of capitalism" -LOL

nyc jk 12:04 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
can I get your email from Jay . i have a question regarding hedge funds

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Well, as Valdez wipes egg off his face (and his eur/usd short) after the mkt took a hike up last night instead of the intended down, he says with a grin as he wipes off his chin, that's tradin'. I figured like others as well that I could get in just one more nice short before the general longish bullish trend took some traction upwards, but nooooooo... The 3 yr. chart says EUR/USD will climb to stratospheric heights...so this is no surprize. No matter, I have a sizable amount of Euros stashed in a long term CD from the 1.24 days, much more than was my recent loser short, so I'm fine overall no matter what the mkt does.

nyc jk 12:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ac - if Bill Clinton is involved it involves cigars...

Dublin Flip 12:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
possibly but I doubt it ac.
a colloqualism for sex. bonking and shagging are other possible words.-LOL

Kaunas 12:00 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac 11:57 GMT July 7, 2004

i believe its british slang for seksual intercourse :P

Haifa ac 11:57 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 11:09 GMT July 7, 2004
Howard had been nobbing //What's nobbing? Does it involve cigars?!

Genoa nic 11:49 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ZA, from my daily now 100 is 1.2151 and 200 1.2157. From GV research yesterday 07/06 100 at 1.2157 and 200 1.2155. Happy trades to you

Stockholm za 11:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Genoa nic >>> “that 100/200 cross which occurred today on my chart”
Re :- Cairo MDR 09:00 GMT July 7, 2004>>>>
I have no idea what you are talking about..
On MY 1-day chart :-
Sma 200 = ~1,2280
Sma 100 = ~1,2068
Sma 50 = ~1,2150
Happy trades & all the best ….

melbourne farmacia 11:33 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
gvm - dog censored's more interesting than howard.... bring on september..

Genoa nic 11:16 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ZA, yes obviously various mas for different time frames related to price action. the cross 100/200 seems a lagging indicator to me. The upward slope of the 50 poised to upcross again (and the 20/50 cross on 06/04) is much more indicative to me of present market action. However, having regained again the band above the 100 ma with the big candle post NFP is a good sign just to invalidate, or at least to freeze that bearish that 100/200 cross which occurred today on my chart. (Mas are simple, I think you are talking about Emas). The point IMO on a daily perspective is : price close to mas on various time frames means markets not overbought nor oversold. On my chart on EURO we have 20,50,100 and 200 simple in 50 pips in the band 1,21/1,2150. As long as we are trading above this area to me odds are for a strong leg up in the making

Dublin Flip 11:16 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
The biggest influence in Australia is that Packer and Murdoch are returning to the conservative roots in their dottage.
Five minutes after the US election (a Blair expulsion before would be very Bush -ve) watch the British press go after Blair.

Rivonia PipPirate 11:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 10:40 Touche'. Unlucky trades to you (still head/tail) :-)

Vilnius georgas 11:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
guys ,I can't believe, usd/chf is just 130 pips from january' lows, we need only one spike and we will have a new 9 years low.

Dublin Flip 11:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Howard had been nobbing a member of staff for years. It why Janet wouldn't have them moving into Canberra when he bacame prime minister. Everyone has skeletons in the closet when egos are involved.

hong kong nt 11:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
AB -- free2org gtg b4 Q go?

Sydney gvm 11:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
farmacia : Howard doesnt have enough of a personality to have a drinking problem does he?

Kaunas NM 11:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Todays low for CAD is exactly 61.8% retracement from 1.2680 - 1.4000 rally....
I expet some rebound from here.

melbourne farmacia 11:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 10:50 GMT July 7, 2004
and Howard has a major drinking problem... quote gov staff member...

Brisbane L 10:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Agree with your view about Latham think his ex wife will no doubt get her revenge now the opportunity has presented itself - he just cant help himself he's volatile we just need a few more broken arms .. but still see it as a negative for the Aud until the election resolved .

perrie como 10:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
do not think that aussi politicas might have such an positive impact on aussie long term....am med term technically bearish here, but would not buy us dollars as well ...so stayin out here

Gold Coast martin 10:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
BRISBANE L...CORRECTION..the last 4 words should read "..not be a market mover"...sorry typo...

Gold Coast martin 10:41 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
BRISBANE L...yes i have....although it seems it will be a non-event as far as the market goes ..Latham seems to be reverting to his old volatile self and is heading for self-destruction before the election...while Howard is retaining a conservative low key profile...australian voters traditionally go for the tried and tested ....In the event of an absolute shock and a Latham victory the aussie will react negatively due to labours still strained relations with the US in relation to their previous held views on IRAQ...A Howard victory will be a short term positive for the aussie but will be a market mover...g/t

Stockholm za 10:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Genoa nic >> If you are not a long term / positional trader it can be very miss-leading to look at only two MA by it self. & Especially with out the price relation…
eg:- on( MY) charts .. the 100 cross the 200 down on the 17-may and have been under since. however there is not much daily count of price closing under the 100 since 27-May in relationship to above. Note that price bounce of the 100 on the 29-Jun. And went straight through the 200 and is keep closing above it since then..
now Whiles you are concentrating on the 100&200, the faster averages eg:- the 50 day has cross back ( up ) the same 100 on the 25-Jun. Putting the 100 out of focus.
MA being lagging is best used in relation to/with the present price value.. with focus on not just two but a complete series…

lnd 09:39 GMT >>> ???? … You are confuse…
And if you cannot trade without this/any forum, shows that you have plenty homework to do….
Rivonia PipPirate 09:50 GMT >> that should read :-
”when Shanghai bc tells YOU so.”
Lucky trades = Head / Tail…… lol
hk 09:29 GMT >>> ………LOL
Melb mpfx >>> it’s all good……
Nottingham >> Yes … I think with the right correlation & insight it`s the closest we can get..
Thanks & happy trades to all…

perrie como 10:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
seen yesterday that sinclair site...interesting forecasts for aug 15, 2004...gold 480 and us dollar sharp drop....funny as was joking months ago with some fund friends about a summer market crash barbecue

Brisbane L 10:32 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin Hi have you factored the election in Aus in your calculations

Gold Coast martin 10:26 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
LONDON..key tech levels have been breached but key fundamentals have not....before you make such a statement be a bit more patient....g/t

perrie como 10:24 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
just to remind ..am not talking usually extremeley short time frames...It could fit into next week...but there are chances for speed if f.ex. s&p is going to target 1070-1020, now in negative trend...think the 0.25 fed increase was far from what the market needs

perrie como 10:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
seems the eur/usd evolution as detected yesterday is going to develop much higher than upper 1.24...
presently turning targets up into 1.27 area

London 10:12 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin..

totally disagree with your statement that the market is in no mans land with no clear direction.

dollar has resumed its bear trend and is breaking key tech levels on a daily basis...this is the most directional trending market we have had for about 3 months.

Ldn 10:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
HK ab, seems you have got the answer to your question last month
Shanghai BC or Gold Coast Martin which one is correct !!

GENEVA FHR 10:02 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
German Manufacturing order + 1.6%

Rivonia PipPirate 09:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Za..when Shanghai bc tells us so. Lucky trades.

Gen dk 09:49 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hong Kong Qindex 09:43 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

ln 09:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
heard blair is going to send brown off to iraq on a special task to find those WMD.

Dublin Flip 09:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
why would tony blair's exit be bad for cable??
It would mean Brown is in charge. He's been the power behind the throne for a long time either way. If Blair is ultimately seen as electoral anathema installing Brown would mean sound economic policies to continue.

lnd 09:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
za...your question is akin to asking when do i buy and sell. if we had a perfect answer to this we would not be on this forum. although the tech indicators can provide an indication they are not great when a trend develops. gl & gt.

Polokwane SA 09:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 09:02 GMT July 7, 2004
Thanks for your reply.
gl,gt

Sydney gvm 09:36 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
heard Blair on the radio this morning - he sounded as punchy, arrogant and ill informed as ever I thought

Sydney gvm 09:35 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ldn 09:12 GMT July 7, 2004 gimme a break mate - not that tired old rumour doing the rounds again - every time Sterling is bid it resurfaces - ah well the City aint really renowned for its imagination...

Melb mpfx 09:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
za // Convergence / Divergence between price and rsi on charts 4hr and above.

hk 09:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
za when the contra fish specs are wiped out

Nottingham 09:27 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
NY,NY GFX_PWS 09:23 GMT>>>I'm expecting some supply to appear 18570-18600...gl gt

NY,NY GFX_PWS 09:23 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
resistance on cable? looking at 1.8550 as the next level..30 on the 5m5d

Nottingham 09:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
za...supply and demand

ldn 09:12 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Talk Blair Almost Quit Last Week

Genoa nic 09:11 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ZA 8.52,
NOT educated answer, maybe point of discussion. Assuming that classical oscillators ( RSI, stochs ETC) are working only in ranging markets, IMO the distance of prices (in percentage) from various moving averages on a daily chart works better. Right now 20,50,100,200 mas are very close among each other and few pips away from prices too in almost every daily chart on the majors. So markets are not overbought nor oversold , maybe ripe for a major move. To me the clear break of the 100 ma on Euro/$, given we are roughly in the middle of the year, is particularly significant, but on moving averages I’m waiting for your educated answer!

Sydney gvm 09:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
MDR - pretty easy for you to make up your own mind on that question - go back and look at previous crosses or even better backtest it on XL spreadsheet or Omega Trade station

Brisbane L 09:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Anyone got a view on the aud seems to have broken out higher

Gold Coast martin 09:02 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Polokwane SA 07:34 GMT July 7, 2004
Still here friend...my post of 3 days ago regarding aud ,euro and nzd still applies...market at the moment is in no mans land with no direction...tonites ny session should provide a path for euro ,usd and nzd.....be patient,dont open new positions until towards end of ny session...g/t

Cairo MDR 09:00 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
The 100MA had crossed down the 200MA on euro daily chart,
does this has any signficance.

Hong Kong 08:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD break 12340,EURUSD next target is 12530.
12340 about (12930 +11750) / 2
12530 about (12930-11750) * 2 / 3 + 11750

Calabash TarHeel 08:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ONLY educated response are welcome

Rules me out.
gl,gt

Stockholm za 08:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   

Q :- Realistically – How do one measure over-bought/over-sold .. in the FX market ?
ONLY educated response are welcome....
Happy trades.......

Calabash TarHeel 08:39 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
No, imho at 1.2280 the $/chf is just moving into o/s range. Wait to see if it looks there will be any real $ bounce before doing anything else.

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 08:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel
are u selling eur$?

Calabash TarHeel 08:27 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bought some $/Chf 1.2280 s/l below 1.2240 t/p 1.2330
gl,gt

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 08:21 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
any comment on tp 0n $/cad. sold $cad @ 1.3272

Nottingham 08:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 08:03 GMT

event risks aside, it has capacity for a maximum of around 1.25 before a bout of multiday profit taking sets in, so I wouldn't want to chase it up here...there is a barrier at 2380 which was defended on the earlier rally and a second defense may help Q's level mark close to the top for a second time...gl gt

Tallinn viies 08:16 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
went short on the eurusd at 1,2364 fwiw
target 1,2235/45. stop at 1,2424

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 08:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel
4th was good... too much food & beer and lots of f-wars. love the 4th. good to hear u had a good 4th

Calabash TarHeel 08:10 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Charlotte,North Carolina SVI
All is good here. Took several days off for the 4th. Picked up some pips on the Aud and Cad yesterday. Watching and waiting now, try to raid for a few more pips sometime today Hope your 4th was good.

Sydney gvm 08:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham - any thoughts on Euro performance since stop running earlier? It ran into Qindex's level at 123.68 - all looks a bit too easy if thats it in terms of upside. My system is long from 122.4 from friday so I am biased on the upside. TIA

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 07:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel yes yes yes,so good to be up, working on some .net project. been a while.... hope all is well with u & fam.... what u got cooking this early?

Nottingham 07:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
cable...8451 now acts as support

melbourne farmacia...gap to fill then let's see from there
clonakilty glenn...certainly was inspiration from Feb high for example...often if you have chance to deliberate, it's probably not wise to go ahead and follow break

gl gt

Polokwane SA 07:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin
Where are you ? I am missing your posts on the AUD and NZD.

Calabash TarHeel 07:26 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Charlotte,North Carolina SVI
Good Morning, you're up early.

Tallinn viies 07:21 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!
eurusd is trying really hard to break to new trading range but seems again this time no success.
higher bollinger keeps upside contained. selling euros here over 1,2350 isnt bad idea at all. personally would wait for 1,2370-90 area to sell heavily and stop over 1,2425-45.
imho
gl

Shanghai beyonding_destiny 07:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
GL,GT

Shanghai beyonding_destiny 07:20 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hey, all...long time no c...just moved to shanghai

melbourne farmacia 07:12 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 06:15 GMT July 7, 2004
Agree with your thoughts........ & fwiw.. euro just touched projected target ( 1.2372 ) from 1.2265 rebound point.. ( fibo based ) usually good place to sell into for some pips....

chester wb - combo of tools.

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 07:11 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
good day all, any body has comment on gbp/Yen?
thnks..gl,gt

MONACO OGA 07:08 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 07/07
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2350), 30 pips higher than yesterday opening. USD kept a weak tone across the board, due to disappointing US non manufacturing ISM and revision of expectations of future US agressive monetary tightening. EUR/USD seems to be well supported around 1,2270 . Overnight 1,2350 defense was tested and taken (high 1,2371). Our short term view has not changed, we believe 1,2350-70 will provide enough resistance on the upsides, and now that the market has gone long, we will be looking to sell 1,2360-70 with a stop at 1,2380 again today for a retracement to at least 1,2300. Support still at 1,2280. Othe medium term, we need to adjust the upper barier of our expected range, however we feel confident that 1,2350-1,2450 will offer formidable resistance chartwise, so we still believe the market will hover inside 1,1750-1,2400 for some time.

Data out today:

Ger manufacturing orders May expected -0.5% 10.00 GMT

Gold at 395,50, with WTI August at 39,48.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (108,70). The pair retraced from 109,40 level yesterday on general USD weakness (low 108,42 overnight). Another bad NIKKEY performance kept JPY from appreciating too much and traders are still cautious ahead of sunday parliamentary election. We still like to build up long positions around 108 supportive zone for a retracement to 109,60 resistance before 110, a level we have been calling since last week. The big picture is unchanged with the pair hovering inside 107-112.
EUR/JPY currently 134,20. The cross is consolidating inside 133,50-135,00.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8470), following EUR/USD price action closely. 1,80-1,85 has been containing the market since the end of May, and we still believe playing the range remains a valid strategy so we'll be looking to sell rallies today. Support for the day at 1,8420 with resistance above 1,8480.
EUR/GBP (0,6685), reflecting GBP's strenght. The cross traded at 0,6665 where support emerged. We remain neutral for the time being as long as we stay inside 0,6640-0,6730.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

manila stubbs 07:06 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:53 GMT July 7, 2004
even better!

Brisbane L 07:05 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Airport been evacuated

Medallion Surabaya 07:04 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim

Must've learned it from his magic class tutor, Mr A.Gr

clonakilty glenn 07:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   

nottingham 6:15 - good call notty - interesting observation

hk ab 06:53 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
gbp/jpy could be 240 rather if 120 seend.

Belgrad KZ 06:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:25 GMT July 7, 2004
I don`t see a key day reversal on my charts! Pls explain

U.K. J.B. 06:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 03:16 GMT July 6, 2004
Sold doll/yen 109.62 Euro/yen looks toppish around t/l res. 134.89. All this political uncertainty giving us nice r/r trading opportunity.

Profit taken....

Ldn 06:51 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
BoE Has Dented U.K. Homeowner Confidence - Nationwide

manila stubbs 06:49 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
if $jpy 120 by year end, euryen 145-150, audyen 95, and gbpyen 215? that would be absolutely beautiful!

Surabaya Medallion 06:48 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Grammar mistakes. Type this on PDA. Still long JPY from 108.87 from the beginning of this week. Anyway I think it is still amazing for JPY to hold around 109 after Oil and Nikkei onslaught. Let's see when Oil price got back to around 36. I think this week equilibrium is 109 if the oil doesn't drop.

Bruxville Jim 06:44 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
'Mr.Yen' - BoJ/MoF have invented a brand new intervention tool:))

Surabaya Medallion 06:36 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Lol. There is no way JPY could be at 120 or EUR at 1.10 except U.S could somehow show proof that the deficit could be reduced or perhaps if Kerry wins the election. Even JPY intervation has failed to stop upward movement from Jan-March this year and Yen had still stubbornly sit around 105.

Beijing Laowen 06:29 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ab, I believe in $/jpy @ 120 on this year end of begining of the next year. However, I do not see Eur/Usd that high. Think the high of multi years has been seen above 1.29.

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 06:28 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ex- Mr. Yen... never forgot JPY drops after his words )))) lol

hk ab 06:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad yesterday key day reversal.

hk ab 06:22 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
dlr/jpy 120, eur 1.4, nk= 168......possible?

hk ab 06:21 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Sakakibara........
Mr. Yen.....

Pecs Andras 06:17 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Morning everybody
Isnt there something strange about taking out a strong barrier at 6AM GMT, when Asia is closing and London is not yet open?

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 06:16 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Our guru Sakakibara estimate USDJPY near 120 end 2004 JP news ag.

Nottingham 06:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
fwiw...often when well documented levels are taken out minutes prior to London kick off, the said moves often reverse if London open doesn't inspire followthru action...for today, it would mean euro needs to stay below 2380 and by the top of the hour it should already be well below 2350...if it is not then that would be suggestive of something more than stop hunting...gl gt

Ldn 06:11 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Aussie heavy options-related selling likely to make a breach 72 difficult

Beijing Laowen 06:07 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Filled. Let it work. Maybe stopped out.

hk ab 06:06 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
dlrjpy stopped.

Beijing Laowen 06:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Set an order to buy usd/jpy @108.55 w/ s/l @108.00 (bid).

hk ab 06:01 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
SAR all above 1.2408

hk ab 05:55 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
add 1.2360 short.

chester wb 05:51 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
farmacia: what are you using for flow indicators? tia

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:40 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ML hope everything is ok on your side of the pond I still have the same email try again.

Ormond BeachFL AG 05:30 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi, I new here and have trading FX for few months now. So far i am having decent luck. I use censored Mini account and was wondering if anyone else here uses it and especially how they manage the trailing stops. Thanks. AG

ICT ML 05:30 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
OMIL, got a bounced email last week. Anything change?

Brisbane L 04:56 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML talk that the concern over the Japanese Prime Minister overdone

ICT ML 04:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
what is going on here...."Blue Light Special" on YEN all of a sudden?

wisconsin tim 04:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
well i use 4hr smoothed rsi system that has worked for me lately. hopefully it will get to 6710 then i can lock in 6685 and see where it goes with no worries =)

gt's

st. pete islander 04:47 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
OK .... 30 min it will be.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Islander give me 30 minutes to get on the box. Meet you there

st. pete islander 04:42 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
OMIL ..... Too true .... no hurry needed ... get on island time. gl

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
As I feared the eur/usd has been held to a slow crawling pace and only driven by the crosses that command its fate. At this time there is not much to tell about it as the intraday indicators make a halfhearted effort to turn bullish. Not much enthusiasm because the summer has started or the land mines (option barriers) that awaits the bulls. Anyway this is a good time for me to relax catch some ZZZZ and enjoy the summer ;-). Let the market take its time, no hurry here to get into a position at all. GL GT

bkk cad 04:25 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Tim: But daily has evening star, perhaps selling eur/stg above .6710 is also a good idea.

Hong Kong Qindex 04:14 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : The market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 391.4 with an expected magnitude of 388.9 - 394 for the time being.


... 386.3 // 388.9 - 391.4* - 394 // 396.6 ...

wisconsin tim 04:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
buying eur/gpb on break above 6680

melbourne farmacia 04:02 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
NY,NY GFX_PWS 02:08 GMT July 7, 2004
The way Gbp/usd's travelling, i wouldn't be surprised to see 1.8517 soon if we can print 1.8465.... any dip @ 1.8360 looks to be good buying opp ( if flow indicators support entry).GT

hk ab 03:52 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Don't disappoint us with hindsight like saying, "yeah, I bought eur 1.2309 to counter later."

hk ab 03:48 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk, buy eur now, don't you when I sell them?

hk ab 03:38 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
if u could, pls push dlr/jpy lower so that I can buy more cheap dlr/jpy.

sell eur 1.2315 half lot.

What a short squeeze but nice entry level.

hk ab 03:37 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk 02:13 GMT July 7, 2004

O really, maybe u don't aware the sharks while you are swimming in your pile of censored.

Brisbane L 02:57 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Australian RBA's McKibbin: US Rates To Rise Quickly

Hong Kong Qindex 02:43 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk 02:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
oops, I missed your question. hk ab PAY ATTENTION
I know when you & the fishes are buying we sell. LOL

NY,NY GFX_PWS 02:08 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
any takers on cable breaking 1.8500 in the european session?

Ldn Viewer 02:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
NV Newbie 01:46 - What do you need RMB for maybe we can help ...

hk ab 02:02 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
RMB basically will not be outflowed. However, I think there're many China town providing ample supply of some "dark" money everywhere.

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:50 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
walk into a chinese bank for RMB?

NV Newbie 01:48 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
reply me at http://www.piptrader.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=5&PN=1

NV Newbie 01:46 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone know where I can obtain some Chinese RMB cash?

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
AB// thanks

hk 01:45 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
LA newfxx up

hk ab 01:36 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Upon Rafe request, ok.

hk ab PAY ATTENTION TO EURJPY WEEKLY CHART 01:35 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
next doll jpy limit at 108.80.

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:35 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
AB// how are we going to be able to find your great calls in the archives if you keep on changing your initials to long sentences that cannot be remembered?

why not just use HK AB like you always did?

LA newfxx 01:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk:
whats your view on gbp/usd then?

LA newfxx 01:34 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk:
whats your view on gbp/usd then?

hk ab PAY ATTENTION TO EURJPY WEEKLY CHART 01:33 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk 01:31, u know Japanese character well?

High oil, high doll yen.

hk ab PAY ATTENTION TO EURJPY WEEKLY CHART 01:33 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
buy one more dlr/jpy at handle.

hk 01:31 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) LOL
fwiw they are the PUMP & DUMP masters, after pumping, they are now dumping.
USD/JPY's dump target is 107

hk STOP TYPING LONG ANNOYING INITALS 01:27 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   

hk ab PAY ATTENTION TO EURJPY WEEKLY CHART 01:24 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
caught aud/jpy on 78 limit. GL.

Goes (NL) B747 01:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Autopilot on with:

trades:
USD/JPY long for 110.23
EUR/USD long for 1.2325

orders:
EUR/USD short @ 1.2334

and a beauty sleep for me :)

gl & gt

Goes (NL) B747 01:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk 01:03 GMT July 7, 2004

every hill have a valey and vice versa :)

they do not just sell, they also make money - right?

hk 01:03 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Japanese Selling everything xxx/JPY!
Rafe, no problem matey. we can't get it right all the time. just don't scream next time. ok?

Brisbane L 00:59 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Japanese Sell AUD/JPY

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:33 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
hk// Okay, the joke is on me. sorry for the wrong alarm.

hk 00:30 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Rafe.. i hear ya & SOLD
LOL

Charlotte,North Carolina SVI 00:15 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
Hello all.. gl, gt

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:13 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR-BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:09 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR almost ready for a buy

CHF almost ready for a sell.

this could change as time wears on will keep updating

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:08 GMT July 7, 2004 Reply   
GBP i just got a buy signal.. sorry could not announce it earlier as just logged on for a while.

 




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