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Forex Forum Archive for 07/09/2004

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Riga RIA 21:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ALL nice weekend...GL

Riga RIA 21:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
pRAGUE ; VIKTOR ; THX FOR INFO GL

ICT ML 20:52 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Ormond BeachFL AG 18:39 GMT July 9, 2004

has zero to do with terrorism , purely a technical view of the market. Have a good weekend, we'll discuss the market Sunday evening again.

prague viktor 20:36 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA:thx mate,and BTW,cnb sold 95 mil.euro in the last 8 weeks,and they must sell to the year end 300mil.more,and with another rate hike so I agree with u G/T

Riga RIA 20:28 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
GBPCAD need break 2,4600 strong sppt zone for return to 2,48-50 tgt , downside key sppt 2,4350..GL

Riga RIA 20:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
very good ress zone we can see ard 32,00-32,10- hear abt german offers there n more ahead 32,50, likely hold 32,50-30,50 med term range

Riga RIA 20:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Prague, viktor-- I expect 30,50-25

prague viktor 20:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA 20:12 GMT July 9, 2004:what is ur mid term tgt for the czk 30,5 or do u see it to the year end 32,5

Gen dk 20:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GER ad 20:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Short Cabel at 1.8614
Have a nice weekend.

Riga RIA 20:12 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Still wait EURCZK break 31,40-38 sppt yone to return to 31,25 tgt area....Also usdcad find good sppt ard 1,3150-40 but talk abt good offers ahead 1,32-1,3220 ..:GL

Ormond BeachFL AG 20:07 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hi, I had placed a limit order which should be tiggered as i see from the ticker above that the pair is trading is still on and has crossed my barrier. Now, will I be filled even if my fx platform is closed for the day? Thanks.

Riga RIA 20:06 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi London , nice to see u agn , yes was away ... Expectap0,7250 i return to 0,7050 near time, main driver-- GBPAUD n AUDNZD there...GL

London 19:47 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA hi , long time no see, whats your view on the aud

quito_ecuador_valdez 19:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Just for the record, Omil and the rest of the regular professionals who post here, MANY sincere thanks for taking your time to help others. It's what makes the world go 'round.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:43 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Well I guess I have caused enough trouble here LOL. 1.2370-60 held for eur/usd pair and intraday indicators are turning bullish but it is late and if nothing happened before nothing will happen now so we will see how this paint dries next week. ;-) I hope everyone has a good and safe weekend see you on the other side. GL GT

Gen dk 18:41 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dublin CK 18:40 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Have a fun and safe one, thanks for all the input this week, entertaining and educational as always.

Kind Rgds,

CK

Ormond BeachFL AG 18:39 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ML, i see your point. But we can't be held hostage every weekend! Also, why do you think the terroist act limited to US soil? It could easily happen in other country as well. Just a thought. gl :)

ICT ML 18:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
gbp-usd started breaking out of this flag in my techs at 11:00 this morning, but really hard to jump in this late on a Friday......wouldn't be short now IMHO.

Sydney Alimin 18:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
the least usd bulls want to hear this weekend is terrorists' attack which would send eur and gbp to heaven next week (they are already on course of going higher without it), but then there are plenty of important data to consider next week too
enough for me this week....calling the day off now...see you all next week..have a nice weekend

quito_ecuador_valdez 18:07 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
thanks nyc...baghdad has big explosion and Egyptian cabinet resigned...news from sky news moments ago...looks like the rags are getting in a few more surprizes before the w/e. Maybe we should let them just kill each other off, go in afterwards and make a Las Vegas out of it...one dessert is the same as the next..LOL

nyc jk 17:49 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
valdez, the "real" market trades til 5 on Fridays (although obviously it gets real quiet before that time). the futures market closes at 3 , and I guess the platforms have varying times they close?

Sydney Alimin 17:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
nice rallies by usd bears on late friday, setting the tone for next week?

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I read recently where the NY session ends at 3:00 PM EST on Friday, I thought it was 4PM. Just wondering..making up some learning material...wanna be right on this.

sf cc 17:09 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim - Since it's a slow friday... Netherlands is pretty diverse by European standards.. I don't make the assumption that a poster from there has to be dutch. That's why I ask... just to better understand language issues sometimes.

quito_ecuador_valdez 17:06 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Yea Biscuit...a weird week but in light of the big 3 yr picture, right in line. Hope you made out OK this week, I got whalloped with that infamous 1.2290 short. No matter, I have twice that in Euros so overall I'm fine. GL GT Gw/e. Tks 4 all your input...will check your site in a bit for next week's table.

Ormond BeachFL AG 17:02 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd, triple top at 1.8584 area. Let the porfit taking begin!. gl, gt

hong kong nt 16:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:45 GMT -- unfortunately or fortunately, my dad can't master the concept of "short sell" well enough and he didn't sell euro towards 1.30 in Q1. Previous generation tend to be much conservative and use x2/x3 gearing only...

Bruxville Jim 16:45 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 16:37 GMT // Sorry for asking this, but didn't your father accidently sell E$ at 1.29 in Q1 2004? Good luck to him. lol.

Sydney Alimin 16:44 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
nice gbp uptrend

hong kong nt 16:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sometimes, simple is beauty. My dad bought AUD at .50 in Q3 2001, 50% margin. Cover half position at 0.75 and let the profit run for the rest...

Bruxville Jim 16:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
For those interested in E, here is what they say:

RES 4: $1.2540 high March 1
RES 3: $1.2480 61.8% retracement of $1.2929 tо $1.1760
RES 2: $1.2460 high March 9
RES 1: $1.2435 high March 18
Current price: $1.2398
SUP 1: $1.2350 5-day МА
SUP 2: $1.2330 support line from June 30
SUP 3: $1.2285 resistance from June 15 now support
SUP 4: $1.2265 low July 6
(Евро/доллар. Технический взгляд)

melbourne farmacia 16:35 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Jim - i'm alluding to those dudes looking for 200 retracement pips... not intraday pip picking dudes who should not be still holding pip bags after selling @ the 1.8550 piping level some hours ago...

Riga RIA 16:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
EURNOK expect further rise to 8.50/52 agn , but very nervous now noksek ..eursek think cud fall to 9.15/13 agn, very strong ress ahead 9.2050..GL

USA Biscuit Boy 16:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 15:48 GMT July 9, 2004

Hi mate. No I meant at the time eur/usd was in the middle of my weekly probable range 1.2133-1.2512. Still is lol! What a tight week.

Bruxville Jim 16:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
sf cc 16:27 GMT // Obviously, (NL) stands for The Netherlands A.K.A. Holland.

Riga RIA 16:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, man ari, paldies

sf cc 16:27 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 - The mud phrase wasn't meant to be insulting. May I know your nationality, pls? Comment was meant to be more flexible when it comes to trading FX.

Bruxville Jim 16:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA 16:18 GMT // It's fun to meet someone from my hometown here. Lai Tev veicas;)

Bruxville Jim 16:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Miri-MAL //
RES 4: Y109.75 - daily high July 6
RES 3: Y109.30 - resistance line from May 18
RES 2: Y109.15 - base of Ichimoku cloud
RES 1: Y108.60 - 50.0% retracement оf Y109.20 to Y107.94
Current price: Y108.25
SUP 1: Y107.90 - daily low July 1
SUP 2: Y107.65 - support line from March 31
SUP 3: Y107.00 - reversal low June 24
SUP 4: Y106.20 - 76.4% of Y103.50 to Y114.90
(adapted from a Russian forex site. lol)

Riga RIA 16:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Think AUDNZD also cannot move higher than 1.1030/50 now , expect range hold 1.1050/1.095

Riga RIA 16:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Think AUDNZD also cannot move higher than 1.1030/50 now , expect range hold 1.1050/1.095

Riga RIA 16:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, Bruxville Jim

Riga RIA 16:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxell, yes

Riga RIA 16:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
usdmxn cud drop below 11.50 but dont expect below 11.46/45 at mom

Bruxville Jim 16:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA 16:14 GMT // You mean you are from Riga?

Nottingham 16:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Miri-MAL Saga 16:11 GMT

don't know where you're long from but you might be ok as usdsgp seems to be putting up a fight now...potential for these two (jpy+sgp) to move sharply early next week and it could, given the right circumstances, spill over into cont majors too...gl gt

Sheffield SH 16:15 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 16:10 GMT July 9, 2004

Thanks Nottingham, your information is very useful.

GER ad 16:15 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Miri-MAL Saga 16:11,
Go to help forum ...

Riga RIA 16:14 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
usdzar bounce off 6.05 to 6.11 after gbpzar buying but I expect further zar strength below 6.00..GBPZAR cud capp ahead 11.35/40...GL

Miri-MAL Saga 16:11 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sorry & it looks like I offended the rules of this forum with my very first msg. Any insight into USD/JPY ? I am long on this.

Nottingham 16:10 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
cable...8570-8600 supply probably good till IMM close...they have been selling this range all week...as far as I can gather (you can usually triangulate the truth if given three lies) they have been looking to cover around 8450 which means those positions may still be in place in the majority so stops sure to be sitting somewhere above the 8600 level...gl gt

Bruxville Jim 16:09 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 16:05 GMT // Fair point. Narrow ranges tend to explode soon. The good thing about this is that there are only two possible directions of explosion!

Goes (NL) B747 16:08 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
sf cc 15:56 GMT July 9, 2004

True, VW without the sales in China would have huge problem.
The entry of US car makers/brands into China is the Win-Win formula for part of the US deficit,

Europe managed (the last 50 years) to enter into markets that most of them today are in a civil war (Africa for example).

anyway, each one of us will see what he wants to see and mud comments are too low for an answer.


gt

Vilnius georgas 16:08 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
funny thing , wendsday , bought nzd/usd @ 0.6492 with target 0.6589 .there was soo many times , when price was ticking a couples pips below my target, and is unable to brake it. I gues someone is watching my trades all the time.lol gl too all , have a fantastic weekand

quito_ecuador_valdez 16:08 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
yes volitility lessening but it's trending up in the last couple hours...could mean a break out too. You never know in day trading and pip raiding.

Livingston nh 16:07 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
For this Afternoon's entertainment - watch for a swissy close above 1.23 (above last Friday's low), above 1.2320 (an outside day) or even 1.2340 (an up week) // not targets or wishes just some levels to watch

Good W/e to alll

Sydney Alimin 16:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
trading range is narrower and narrower, looks like volatility is gonna evaporate soon, almost time to call the day off

Bruxville Jim 16:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 15:50 GMT // Top pip pickers have booked a nice amount of pips by keeping selling above 1.8550:))

sf cc 15:56 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 15:33 - You did know what Volkswagen sells the most cars in China, yeah? Don't let your personal bias color how you process information too much. We can't help but be biased in some way or other.. just don't get too stick-in-the-mud.

DXB Maldine 15:52 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 15:50 GMT July 9, 2004
Where do you see the cable headed?

melbourne farmacia 15:50 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Weekly close above 1.8500 Gbp might be problematic for top pip pickers....

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Top o' the morn to you Biscuit! I gather from your statement that the eur/usd chart is in the middle of your range that you're using something like a 6 month chart..am I correct?TKS amigo.

Goes (NL) B747 15:33 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
lnd 15:21 GMT July 9, 2004

no problem, I beleive that China and India will spend their income from recent years within US bussinesses and EU will stay aside.
The US deficit got actually nothing to do with USD/EUR but well with USD/JPY but the investments of Japs. within USA are a hostage and it is very clear that Japan (later also China and India) will make sure the defict will be gone.

EUR is a call of a dream that looks moving into a nightmare for the people who should enjoy it (the first 12 + UK), they people who benefit from the EUR at the current rate are not people from the core 12 countries (50/50 chance that maybe Ireland).

gt

gt

Bruxville Jim 15:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm za 15:24 GMT // You can trade the range and add to your wealth apart from broker's...

Miri-MAL Saga 15:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
What I posted about 10 mins ago was on display for few secs ans gone. What did I do wrong? Pl make me do post things correctly.

Miri-MAL Saga 15:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
What I posted about 10 mins ago was on display for few secs ans gone. What did I do wrong? Pl make me do post things correctly.

chicago ls 15:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
bombay--nymex trading halt till 1530 gmt. fire drill.

Stockholm za 15:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
The sum of all spec…money acting on any given instrument, only have the ability to move it within a range of > 100 base points within a given time span, which in the end only contribute to uninfluenced noise and broker’s wealth……
-- The train master(s) took a day off today ---- fwiw..

Miami OMIL (/;->¤¤¤¤¤¤ You is a trouble maker !!!……….lol
Happy WE to every censored ..

DXB Maldine 15:22 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
bombay a 15:18 GMT July 9, 2004
If you r short at 407/8 hold and lets see the metal come to 97/98 soon GL GT

lnd 15:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:59 GMT. (missed a 'd' from the ln post earlier). anyway was not trying to be rude with earlier post.

i can understand what you are looking at but for me the US c/a deficit is the main factor. we might see euro negative factors but these are nothing in comparison to the US deficit. the US cannot maintain the trend of taking some 60/65% of the worlds savings. china/india and even japan have a real potential of diverting investors away from investing in the US.

euro/$ at 1.07 is cheap and in 2-3 years time 1.24 would have also be seen as cheap while 1.07 would have seen as silly. gl and gt to yourself.

bombay a 15:18 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
any idea whats happening in metal futures , no quotes for llast 20 mins

Bruxville Jim 15:15 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
BB, pls check your mailbox;)

st. pete islander 15:14 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
jf .... Well, that will be a change. Knew you were up in the big city for some time ... Good luck on the move.

sarasota jf 15:11 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
st pete - used to all the time now maybe move to tokyo soon

Goes (NL) B747 15:10 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 14:53 GMT July 9, 2004

why @ 1.0800/-????
there are speculators paying 1.2400+++!!!

I moved into USD @ 1.2700-1.2900 with own cap 1:1 leveraged funds...

sarasota jf 15:07 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
DXB Maldine 15:03 GMT July 9, 2004
your posn gl/gt

st. pete islander 15:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
jf, do you get home to Sarasota very often?

DXB Maldine 15:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
sarasota jf 14:58 GMT July 9, 2004
You saying I should hedge?

Goes (NL) B747 14:59 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ln 14:48 GMT July 9, 2004

for example, Germany before covering the debts for united Germany must pay for the new comers into the EU 'economy'.

Take a moment and talk to some Germans, you will realize what a speculation going out of hand means - US and British forces leaving Germany very soon worth German cities/towns on edge of breakdown.

Starting from 15/SEP/2004 the price for this CCY movement will pop from the EU numbers regarding this 2nd-3rd QTR.
The silence of people with a job but without work within the EU will come out very soon.

gt

sarasota jf 14:58 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
DXB Maldine 14:55 GMT July 9, 2004
one person just bought 50 another 22 and will be another 20 in a minute or 2

DXB Maldine 14:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Can anyone explain to me why the cable is holding so well? Was expecting it to crash. Still holding my short. GL !

GER ad 14:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:46 GMT July 9, 2004
EUR/USD do not worth more than 1.0700/- at this moment,

Goes,
Do you have any EUR to sell?
I will pay you 1.08 USD "at this moment" and you make 100 pips "profit".. LOL!

USA Biscuit Boy 14:50 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
biscuitfx at hotmail. Shoot me an email there buddy :)

Bruxville Jim 14:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ok, let's move to help.

ln 14:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 14:46 GMT. Think this market has gone to your head. What are you talking about. If you are going to talk your book then why not do it in a 'sensible' manner?

Bruxville Jim 14:47 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit Boy, may I get your email from Jay?

USA Biscuit Boy 14:46 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Jim lets move over to the help forum before ppl get their panties in a twist.

Goes (NL) B747 14:46 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD do not worth more than 1.0700/- at this moment, like every speculation also the current bulls got time limit.
With US recovery much in tact than the US.
EUR below parity is on cards for the next 12-18 months as real value.

US economy is much stronger than EZ economy, the current developments are making US economy only to widen this gap.
I do not try to predict EUR/xxx rates but I enjoy watching the speculators making fake to go over real.

becareful EUR bulls, you bet your money on illusion - take some of the profits and visit the EUR countries and than take the long EUR position again only if you trust the economies that make this CCY.


gt

Global-View 14:45 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Jim, check your email

USA Biscuit Boy 14:42 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi Jim no they don't. Good luck finding one that does without shafting you somewhere else.

GER ad 14:42 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY,
We may visit today 133.40/50 and close over 134 IMHO

Bruxville Jim 14:38 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
BiscuitBoy, tell me - does o&a honor entry and exit orders (I mean do they fill them at the exact price specified)? Didn't find any such notion in their website... tia. Recently having troubles with my broker...

Sydney Alimin 14:35 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
looks like euro 1.2370 is gonna hold today unless we have a quick 20 pips down from here IMHO

USA Biscuit Boy 14:33 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bugger closed my gbp/jpy short way too early!

Bruxville Jim 14:30 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Stops below 134.00. E/Y might set direction for euro today. Also watch $/cad for signs of power of dollar bears (1.3185/90).

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:30 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
JK the only thing I can provoke now is a good shot of tequila followed by a cool beer in this summer fiasco we have LOL.

Tom watch the 1.2370-60 if it holds then the bulls will have another shot at the resistance I mentioned.

sarasota jf 14:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
its because the smart people are all lowering their golf handicaps and the diehards are watching paint dry !

Antwerp Tom 14:27 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi OMIL, the $ short ghosts have gone to sleep or play with the coconuts, the long ghosts will soon awaken...

lnd 14:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
does anyone know any good jokes? if there is anyone who wants to have a chat in a non-english language go right ahead. think its better to watch something than just sit here waiting for something to happen.

let me start the ball rolling.
bonjour...

nyc jk 14:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
cmon Omil, why don't you stir things up a bit. post some political messages, say how you sold GBP at the exact high overnight or something to provoke the masses!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:23 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I can hear the crickets here not even a good fight I mean discussion. Hey not even the cheap commercials we get on Fridays. This is truly a ghost town LOL.

Antwerp Tom 14:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Viies, it's now or never

Tallinn viies 13:34 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
fwiw

New Asian Bird Flu Outbreak Poses Risk To Humans -UN Grp
BANGKOK (AP)--New outbreaks of bird flu in Asia pose a serious threat to human health, a U.N.
agency said Friday, as scientists warned that the virus infecting poultry stocks was mutating
quickly and could be transmitted from person-to-person.

Avian influenza reappeared this month in China, Thailand and Vietnam - so far only in chickens.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd has held the 1.2360-70 pretty good so far as the intraday indicators unwind and make room for another stab at the 1.2430-40, 1.2475-85 resistance IMHO. Summer winds are in the air and the market can be pretty cruel with traders looking for a good move on this pair to follow. GL GT

Livingston nh 13:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
If there is a turn coming up I think the swissy goes first (it led this rally) - cable is next and liable to take the biggest hit, EUR to follow - AUD and CAD charts still show some momentum but AUD might fail at the 200 day level (7245?) -- CAD seems vulnerable to "no rate hike"

Goes (NL) B747 13:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
London HC 13:12 GMT July 9, 2004

last X-mas was not so quiest in the FX markets...right?


gt

London HC 13:12 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
This market seems to have had it for the week, feels like Christmas Eve.

Tallinn viies 12:38 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 12:19 GMT - this rumour came exactly to the market when big boyz wanted to download their cargo a bit
seems to me

hk ab lazy 12:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:20 GMT July 9, 2004
see, still not loud enough.

hk ab 07:17 GMT July 9, 2004
Now, time for people screaming "what happened?"............



This will happen one more time tonight.....
Let's see.

Bruxville Jim 12:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
35/40 shouldn't just give it up anyway. It served well at the beginning of 2004, and was confirmed yesterday. lol

Nottingham 12:23 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
viies...also fills gap...gl gt

Tallinn viies 12:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 12:16 GMT - 50 is level where many trying to take profits and some stops under.
25 or this is dynamic comes from my indicators. fwiw

Bruxville Jim 12:19 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
"There is speculation that a US name has this week been working a very large buy order--E16bn is its peak size estimate, with the name in question rumoured to have been a buyer circa 1.2350 both yesterday and Wednesday."

Bruxville Jim 12:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 12:07 GMT // What about 1.2350 and 1.2335/40? Just brush them away?

lnd 12:13 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 12:08 GMT. look at japan forex reserves for clues.

Livingston nh 12:08 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
the Fed reported that foreign holdings at the Fed increased by 10 bio last week - this is the largest increase in many weeks and follows drawdowns in back to back weeks in early June

Tallinn viies 12:07 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
intraday top is on place. seems so.

now 1,2325 target

Tallinn viies 12:04 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
now or never!

lnd 12:04 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Cairo Amgad. you might be right but i am saving my pips for a better fight. either wait until 1.2330 breaks or 1.2425 breaks. but will keep my pips at current level.
gl & gt to yourself.
ps that man with that scary grin is back.

Bruxville Jim 11:56 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
From news headlines:

"Expiry-wise, a 1.2405 option rolls off at today"s NY cut (14:00GMT), alongside the previously mentioned large 1.2400, with the cumulative size of the strikes estimated at half-a-yard. These could help prevent spot straying too far from 1.2400 pre-expiry."

Goes (NL) B747 11:51 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 11:45 GMT July 9, 2004

it is not about losing, it is the manner.
you are right, working is a vacation when compared to FX trading.

gt

Bruxville Jim 11:45 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 11:39 GMT // Is that's the way you penalize yourself for losing a couple of pips this week? Have a good time in your vacation anyway!

Cairo Amgad 11:43 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I have EUR/USD at 1.2387;

Buy for 1.2450 S/L 1.2348 (risk: -39, Reward: +63)
Sell for 1.2038 S/L 1.2485 (risk: -98 Reward :+339)
which way to choose????????????

I am short EUR/USD at 1.2387 (now) S/L 1.2485

GL/GT

Nottingham 11:40 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad kz 11:30

numbers not bad really after US shockers, but also not far away enough from expectations to make an impact...I think uptick to 7.3% is being written but a similar result next month will have a greater influence imo...gl gt

Goes (NL) B747 11:39 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 11:37 GMT July 9, 2004

no trading for me during the next three weeks or more, I have to get into the right trading mood again.

mixing work and FX trading is not good for me, so I will go sideline.

all the best to you!

Sydney Alimin 11:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
B747: yeah, fox sounds good! is there any us data coming out tonight? good trading to you too!

Goes (NL) B747 11:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 11:03 GMT July 9, 2004

good afternoon to you
if no bull or bear than you take a fox :)
when the bulls and bears fight, the fox wins their losses.

good trading mate!

Belgrad kz 11:30 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 10:54 GMT July 9, 2004
What u say now, when the data are already out? What will be the direction. I think the figures are not good, but market seems to think the opposite. TIA

dc fxq 11:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
11:04 CAN ECON: Employmt Rises 24.7K, As Expted; Headline Rises 0.1%

Sydney Alimin 11:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
slv sam: can i choose different animal? no bulls and no bears for me :)

Nottingham 10:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
canadian employment...market looks for +40k and 7.2%...20k either side of consensus should move usdcad half a figure...gl gt

Cairo Amgad 10:47 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I have GBP/USD at 1.8520;

Buy for 1.8610 S/L 1.8472 (risk: 50, Reward: +90)
Sell for 1.7993 S/L 1.8620 (risk: 100 Reward :+527)
which way to choose????????????

I am short GBP/USD at 1.8577 S/L 1.8627

GL/GT

slv sam 10:38 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 10:21 GMT /
:) sure...and are you bullish or bearish euro?GT

NEW YORK TOm 10:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
its the overnight interest fee where they screw you. lol

Stockholm za 10:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...............
RE:- "Stockholm za 10:53 GMT July 4, 2004"

Global-View.com -- Forum rule # 8.

Happy trades.......

Sofia ChessPlayer 10:27 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK TOm 10:04 GMT July 9, 2004
Brokers always benefit from spread in fair game!

Nottingham 10:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
pretty much the size of it

Vilnius 10:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
so they bet that i will fail and will take my money just by watching me "play" ?

Nottingham 10:23 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
correct

Vilnius 10:22 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham 10:09 GMT July 9, 2004

What do you mean "run a book on your account" ? You mean they dont execute my orders?

Sydney Alimin 10:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
slv sam: depends what session you look at the forum :) at some particular time, most are bullish to get to 1.25 or even beyond :)
dont trust what you see/read...when the price moves up, u will see all bulls are talking to each other, when price moves down u will see the opposite

NEW YORK TOm 10:14 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Nottingham.

interesting... thnx for the info, will research further.

slv sam 10:11 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
most on this forum are selling euro or want to sell 1.245 or 1.25...etc.. this situation reminds me second week Nov all the way to early January last year..when we had 12% euro continued appreciation!GT

Nottingham 10:09 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK TOm 10:00 GMT>>>most online simply run a book on your positions and are no different to your local turf accountant! If minimum trade is less than 100k, chances are they're a bookrunner...gl gt

NEW YORK TOm 10:04 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
enlighten me please.

NEW YORK TOm 10:00 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
i just dont see how brokers benefit from a failing account.

NEW YORK TOm 09:59 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
the market. not the brokers...

Calabash TarHeel 09:57 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK TOm 09:54 GMT July 9, 2004
what do online brokers gain if you loose all your money?

Who do you think got all your money!

Nottingham 09:57 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
cable...8450 is expected to provide support...an educated guess would suggest sellers from 8570-8600 zone may cover part of their position at the level...gl gt

Plovdiv Gotin 09:56 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Somebody has expiriance with synthesisbank. Demo is very well but.TIA.

NEW YORK TOm 09:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
what do online brokers gain if you loose all your money?

Indonesia solo Raden mas 09:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Odessa GM 09:36
I dont follow elliot waves.
I have my own system.

Nottingham 09:51 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
London Bob 09:34 GMT

If you can't play football, it doesn't matter what boots you have on, you still can't play...online jokers could offer zero spread and still clean out most folk...concentrate on service/added benefits...gl gt

Sydney Alimin 09:40 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
London Bob: soon it will happen hopefully :) let them compete, we will gain the benefit

Rivonia PipPirate 09:39 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
HK Yuah 09:25 GMT July 9, 2004
Anyone know where are Shangai BC?? He is in Shangai. HTH

Odessa GM 09:36 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Good day!
To Raden_mas: in your opinion on EUR incorrect wave B develops???

Brisbane L 09:36 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
A large German bank selling EUR/USD from 1.2393 down to 1.2388 and EUR/JPY down to 134.48 down to 134.30

London Bob 09:34 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Morning,
All brokers now, with 3 pip spread.
Why not 0,5 spread in all pairs?

perrie como 09:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
think bc shd be long as from some 1.20-1.18 as far have understood his prints here...he is not a sht termer..

sht term capped 1.24 1.2360 which is no big deal...main trend is up aiming for 1.2450 presently but personally waiting some 1.27 next week

g/l all

Gen dk 09:30 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 09:30 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
he is buying euro under 1.2 :)

perrie como 09:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
tks ldn ..I see what you mean..as far my school is more conservative..flows/funamentals/int. rates + techies and self dev sys med term...am using It more as a neutral or risk hedgin indicator ...one way or the other guess we will see eur/usd around 1.3 b4 anything big could happen next months...inlfations looming so mkts cd react differently as during 90's...do not see USD as safe haven anymore

HK Yuah 09:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Anyone know where are Shangai BC??
He is buying euros near 1.2380 or he is selling euros above 1.24?

lnd 09:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
perrie como 08:34 GMT. US favours status quo. The ships are there to maintain this and is a big game of poker between powers. But can understand why you would not want to believe forecasts. If you see any prices move on the back of this concern would not mind a heads up as I want to fade it as it has been profitable in the past for me. gl and gt to youself.

HK Byron 09:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
nt, count me in! :)

Moskow 09:02 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
the reliable forex historical data is here

Tallinn viies 08:57 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 08:46 - lets hope all the best :)
anyway, if it doesnt work out this way, I made plans for next week to sell more near 1,2450-1,25 area. two-three times more. just to get them back at 1,2300-1,2350 area.
sounds stupid right?
anyway this 124501,2500 is really huge I think

hong kong nt 08:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
** TO ALL HK FELLOW TRADERS **

AS OUR RESPECTABLE DR QINDEX IS LEAVING HK THIS SUNDAY, WE WILL ORGANISE A DINNER GATHERING TOMORROW NIGHT FOR FAREWELL. INTERESTED PARTIES, PLS LEAVE A NOTE (W/CONTACT#) AT [email protected]

hk jn 08:49 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
AB, good call on usdjpy

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 08:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Martinako,

Whatever u say..
What i was always saying..(its ur pocket)


Going to swimm under the sunn..

Stay calm
nk

Antwerp Tom 08:46 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Good morning Viies, am with you, have my tp at 1.2355 GL

Gen dk 08:38 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 08:35 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!

seems today Im getting back my euro short (1,2364). will look at it very closly near 1,2355 area...
till then crossing fingers :)

perrie como 08:34 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ldn tks for you opinion...but will watch closely what goes on as not buying political forecasts as even the bigger where wrong ...see financial forum....a never seen so big US fleet was displaced between china and taiwan last weeks...

IST Sez 08:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
UK Trade deficit:4,62 bln

lnd 08:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
perrie como 08:27 GMT. china will not do anything to disturb balance before 2008 games.

perrie como 08:27 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
"SERIOUSLY CONCERNED"


On Thursday, Jiang told Rice China would "not sit back and watch and do nothing if the Taiwan authorities cling obstinately to their push for Taiwan independence and if foreign forces meddle and support" the island.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=574&ncid=721&e=1&u=/nm/20040709/wl_nm/china_usa_rice_dc

Nottingham 08:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
uk trade due shortly...has potential to be market moving...gl gt

Gold Coast martin 08:22 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
SALONIKO...NK.....it is not as critical as 110....have a good week end.

Calabash TarHeel 08:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 08:09 GMT July 9, 2004
Yeah, this is beach time, spend a few hrs there everyday unless it's raining. Hot and humid here, that beach breeze feels so good. Trading pretty much runs on autopilot this time of the year. Truth is, I do much better when I'm asleep or away from my desk.

saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 08:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

Euro ..1.2450 is not so critical as 1.2650

For sure its the first rock,with the Bigger above 1.25 but again the important will be 1.2650

Have a nice weekend..

nk

perrie como 08:14 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
But there's the rub. Most measures of private equity flows show little sign
that the international investment community is about to hop on the U.S.
recovery bandwagon. "In short, foreign investors have shown very little
interest in the U.S. recovery to date," Bank of New York's Mellor said,
referring to his own bank's internal portfolio flow data.
Economists at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein, meanwhile, said that although
June mutual fund numbers from Italy hint at some rebound in the appetite for
U.S. equities that first appeared in Germany and U.K. numbers in May, they are
nothing compared to the flows seen during the U.S. equity market bubble.
"Euro-zone mutual fund data, therefore, do not give an indication the dollar
will receive much more of a helping hand from euro-zone-U.S. equity flows in
coming months," they state.
For the dollar, all this will only add to the negative sentiment that is
already building as the market worries about the U.S. economy.
American Express's Grice noted that second quarter-growth is already expected
to have fallen back as far as 3% from 4% in the first quarter and that retail
sales data next week will help confirm the trend.
According to HSBC, total sales are expected to have fallen by as much as 1%
in June, largely because of poor auto sales. But even with auto sales excluded,
sales are expected to have been flat on the month, compared with May's 0.7%
increase when autos were excluded, or 1.2% rise when they were included.
With little positive news to distract the dollar in the meantime and fears of
terrorist attacks once again on the rise the dollar is finding itself under
pressure early in Europe Friday.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:12 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
One more thing I know I have said it before I will say it again look out for the whipsaws it is summer time and one of the toughest times to trade IMO. GL GT

st. pete islander 08:09 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel .... lots of "almosts" but nothing doing so far. Summer is great for sailing and the beach ... not here. Hang in there, though. It will get better. Someone sure lit up the eur/chf, I will say that. Still able to sit up and take food and drink. :o)

Sydney Alimin 08:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
was that tweezer top on 4-hr eur/usd chart?hmm...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I said I would be back with my retracement numbers so I am back. As long as 1.2425 holds the top for eur/usd here are the retracement numbers for today 1.2360-65, 1.2340-45 and 1.2325-30 and BTW an intraday short signal is coming up fast on my system. This will be a contra intraday as for now the trend is still BULLISH for this pair. So it is buy on dips mode unless you like the contra trades too IMHO. GL GT

Calabash TarHeel 08:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004
Hello islander, good to see that you are still kicking. Hope you have had a good week. Been kinda slow for me, market hasn't cared to fill most of my orders. I'm with you, on BL capture, need it just before election. See anything worthwhile in this market?

Goes (NL) B747 08:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004

7.4% less sales while prices were 1.4% lower and oil prices at all times high!!!

ECB is busy with dinner and gala...remind me the French saying "if there is no bread, they will eat cakes"

Hong Kong Qindex 07:59 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:55 GMT - Funds are heavy buyers abd sellers for the last few days.

hk ab 07:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q, thanks for your impt info, but who did the dirty job to push gold to 407? maybe they did the illusion themselves.

PAR 07:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ECB selling EURO ?

Hong Kong Qindex 07:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 07:53 GMT - I will leave on Sunday evening.

hk ab 07:55 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia// Hats off.

Noody// Now they are withdrawing some from the ATM.

Dublin Flip 07:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
well let's hope they find him soon.
this out from the NY times later today....
Bin Laden Is Said to Be Organizing for a U.S. Attack

Hong Kong Qindex 07:54 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:50 GMT - Japanese investors are heavy sellers in the gold market for the last 2 days.

Cairo Amgad 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hello everyone;
I am not sure if we can reach those levels but if they appear today then they are real signals for $ strength.

EUR/USD under 1.2338 is bearish(SELL
GBP/USD under 1.8519 is bearish(SELL)
USD/JPY over 109.13 is bullish(BUY)
USD/CHF over 1.2320 is bullish(BUY)
USD/CAD over 1.3233 is bullish(BUY)

GL,GT

hk ab 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
B747, they may only alert the "high" value of eur when the drop is 74%.... 7.4% is too "small" to be recognized.

hong kong nt 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
DR QINDEX -- HK chapter would like to organise a dinner gathering. When will you leave HK?

NEW YORK TOm 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
BL...probably not. Hussein seems to be the bush trump card.

st. pete islander 07:53 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel, it has to be a rumor ... George said not to pick him up before October. gt

Goes (NL) B747 07:52 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
good morning,

Dutch retail sales 7.4% down....and EUR goes up!!!
The Dutch are paying the EU to make the lives of the new comers easier...7.4% is real tough number, try to imagine same number is USA


gt

hk ab 07:50 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I am raising the "question".

prague viktor 07:48 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:39 GMT July 9, 2004:are u sure mate??

Calabash TarHeel 07:43 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:39 GMT July 9, 2004
BL caught?

Again? Not on CNN
Good Luck, Good Trades

MONACO OGA 07:43 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 09/07
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2400), 40 pips higher than yesterday opening. USD kept a weak tone across the board, despite some good US employment figures (initial jobless claims down 39.000). Long USD positions are still being unwinded by traders dampering their expectations of future US agressive rate hikes. Concerns of terror attacks on US soil resurfaced after Homeland security issued a warning of Al Quaeda strikes aimed at disrupting November's presidential elections. EUR/USD knocked out 1,24 options (high 1,2407) before ending the day around 1,2390. There seems to be a nice buying interest located around 1,2350-70 for the time being. Overnight a new intermediate high of 1,2425 was printed. Our short term view has not changed, we believe 1,2400-50 will provide enough resistance on the upsides, and now that the market has gone long, we will be looking to build up short positions. On the medium term, we need to adjust the upper barier of our expected range, 1,2450 is likely to provide resistance chartwise, so we still believe the market will hover inside 1,1750-1,2450 for some time.

Data out today:

UK trade balance May expected -4,5Bio 08.30 GMT
US wholesale inventory May expected 0,5 14.00 GMT

Gold at 406,00, with WTI August at 40,25, both up on the back of terror attacks renewed fears.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (108,30). The pair retraced from 109,15 yesterday and reached our 108 supportive zone overnight. NIKKEY regained some ground (+0.89%) and helped JPY appreciate against USD. Traders are still cautious ahead of sunday parliamentary election. We still like to build up long positions around 108 supportive zone for a retracement to 109,00 and 109,60 resistances before 110, a level we have been calling since last week. The big picture is unchanged with the pair hovering inside 107-112.
EUR/JPY currently 134,30. The cross is consolidating inside 133,50-135,00.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8540), consolidated inside 1,8460-1,8580 yesterday in a choppy market. 1,80-1,85 range prevailing since the end of May looks to be giving way to a new 1,8250-1,8650 range. We still believe playing the range remains a valid strategy so we'll be looking to sell rallies today. Support for the day at 1,8460 with resistance above 1,8580.
EUR/GBP (0,6685). The cross seems well supported at 0,6660 while selling interest is appearing ahead of 0,6700. We remain neutral for the time being as long as we stay inside 0,6640-0,6730.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Indonesia solo Raden mas 07:42 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK TOm 07:36
I am currency anal ist.I dont trade,but only forecast with my system for my suscribers and friends.My advice is to short euro now.

Ldn 07:42 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Funny how he's always caught on a Friday...

hk ab 07:39 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
BL caught?

Indonesia solo Raden mas 07:38 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
AUD will reach .66,long term. better sell now.

NEW YORK TOm 07:36 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia solo radenmas.

Are you short eur/$?

Indonesia solo radenmas 07:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
You will see EURO/USD touching 1.20 by tuesday night.
Get ready for it.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
AUDCAD 15 minutes 0.9591 0.9474
AUDJPY 15 minutes 78.7229 77.8493
AUDUSD 15 minutes 0.7277 0.7135
CHFJPY 15 minutes 88.8007 88.0102
EURAUD 15 minutes 1.7236 1.7046
EURCAD 15 minutes 1.6383 1.6295
EURCHF 15 minutes 1.5203 1.5162
EURGBP 15 minutes 0.6695 0.6650
EURJPY 15 minutes 134.8693 133.6624
EURUSD 15 minutes 1.2432 1.2287
GBPCHF 15 minutes 2.2812 2.2676
GBPJPY 15 minutes 202.1477 199.9607
GBPUSD 15 minutes 1.8640 1.8411
NZDUSD 15 minutes 0.6601 0.6491
USDCAD 15 minutes 1.3290 1.3152
USDCHF 15 minutes 1.2358 1.2212
USDJPY 15 minutes 109.3062 107.7681

NEW YORK TOm 07:24 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   

hk ab 07:05 GMT July 9, 2004.

why then is the $/jpy surging?

hk ab 07:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:05 GMT July 9, 2004

I meant dlr/jpy surging.

hk ab 07:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
see, still not loud enough.

NEW YORK TOm 07:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
what happened!!!!

hk ab 07:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Now, time for people screaming "what happened?"............

la goldclosed 07:14 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
closed my long $/yen from 1.2230 @1.2262 for 32 pips.
you can still make money going long $$$.
many ways to make money in this market.

hk ab 07:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I think what's going to happen is huge surge in yen which at a certain extent will hurt dlr/jpy badly.

Let's see. Still busy

Ina co'z 06:34 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Yes Raden Mas..
I also awake to take the opportunity of reversal trend. thanks n good luck !

London 06:29 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas you view on aud also plse

Ina co'z 06:26 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Intraday support for cable 1.8515 , eur/$ 1.2395. gl..!

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:25 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
hello all.
please check my view archieve yesterday.
eur/usd ready free fall now...all pairs are on the reversal timing. CU..

NEW YORK TOm 06:11 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
is now a good time to short eur/$, aud/$ or gbp/$.

Plovdiv Gotin 06:09 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Cable resistence :1.8582/88...1.8608.Acc.to my system.

Ina co'z 06:00 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Hello all !...

*Resistance for cable @ 1.8630...Support @ 1.8450/20

*Index dollar support @ 87.00-86.83....

IMO..gl/gt...!

Syd EM 05:59 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
(National Daily Asahi Shimbun )
Koizumi's Liberal Democratic Party running neck and neck with the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan.
The survey, carried out Tuesday and Wednesday, showed LDP support in the proportional representation section of the election up four percentage points from a week earlier at 24%. DPJ support was up three points at 25%, with 29% of voters still undecided.
Analysts said the yen would likely benefit further next week if the LDP manages to hold most of the 51 seats it has up for re-election. The party, which controls the more powerful Lower House, will remain in power regardless of Sunday's result. Dealers said the run of yen selling this week - which saw the Japanese unit sink against the dollar even as other currencies surged against the struggling U.S. unit - may have been overdone.

"This could be taken as a sign that the dollar will have a lot of room to fall against the yen once uncertainty surrounding the election has dissipated,

Ldn 05:49 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Reuters
Dollar falls more than one yen from day's high
Friday July 9, 1:29 am ET


TOKYO, July 9 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than one yen on the day against the Japanese currency on Friday, pressured by gains in Japanese stocks.
In late Tokyo trading the U.S. currency hit a low of 107.92 yen (JPY=). The dollar eased despite repositioning by many traders concerned about the outcome of Japanese upper house elections at the weekend.



HK [email protected] 05:23 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 04:21 GMT July 9, 2004

Wonder If there are some JUICY financial scandals coming up in the U.S.

Syd EM 05:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Euro Bulls pushing higher with daily tools pushing into overbought territory with good chance of stalling upmove and setting shortterm corrective pullback with strong support 122.63.

4Cast analysis news

Hong Kong Qindex 05:20 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Projected Barriers of 3-Month Projection


... // 1.2379 - 1.2388 - 1.2406 - 1.2417 // 1.2425 ...


Syd EM 05:16 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Aud daily studies overbought with caution to be exercised support 7180 ahead of 7125 a deeper reaction below 7113.
4cast analysis news

Vilnius 05:06 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Large, vanilla [EUR/USD] 1.2400 option expiry at the NY
cut.

how could that affect euruds pair? push it below 1.2400?

Ldn 05:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Large stops said to below 108 dlr/yen

ICT ML 04:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NY,NY GFX_PWS 03:31 GMT July 9, 2004

Thankyou for that post
....see guys, I am not alone in my concerns. My constant screaming "watch Putins Russia"...regarding Oil, currencies, stock values, etc......on the pol forum is meant to wake people up. I have good contacts for my info,...Very good contacts. If more people were aware of what is taking place, they would be scared out of their minds. The Glasnost and perestroika events are ending as planned, and the new phase has begun. But the capitilists are still sleeping the sweet dream of peace...just as planned.

Notice how none of this makes it into the major media...not even Drudge reports on it.

This is news to keep an eye on if trading currencies, gold or Crude Oil.

Syd EM 04:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Washington alerts on possibility of pre-U.S. election terror attacks on U.S. soil - would hurt AUD. acting a barometer of global growth would fall as post Sept. 11 attacks AUD/CHF dropped 13% in a little more than a week, making it biggest losing cross among major FX after tragedy .

Something for the Mega Bulls to consider at present

NY,NY GFX_PWS 04:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
I have calls in on 8650 / 60 top before a real retracment..I am not sure that it will get there at this point..as we are already at new highs..has to give in at some point..fundamentally there is not much in place to pull cable down too hard at this point. We have UK trade balance tonight...if that comes in much worse than expected we could have some selling pressure on cable [-4.4B est (mom) on -4656 prev]...1.8450 is the next major level under 1.85..I would not load the boat just yet with shorts bc if we test the upper portion of 85 we could see those formentioned levels..GTall

Ormond BeachFL AG 04:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NY, did you mean 1.8550/60? GL/GT

NY,NY GFX_PWS 03:32 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
1.8650 / 65 should drag more bears out of the woods..short with causion at the current levels. gl/gt

NY,NY GFX_PWS 03:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
The Ruble is rarely a part of our daily focus, but ongoing events in Russia may precipitate a crisis with serious implications for the major currencies. Russia is having a run on the banks. According to Moscow Times fully 10% of all household savings have been taken out of the system in the past 8 weeks. After 3 bank failures in 3 months, Alfa Bank – the nations largest private bank is now caught in an unrelenting run on its deposits. Alfa is part of well-capitalized conglomerate Alfa Group with interests in telecommunications. So far the management has made good on its promise to honor withdrawals. However, should the crisis accelerate and Alfa fail, the whole Russian economy could be sent into a tailspin. The most important fallout from such a scenario is the possible disruption of Russia’s number one industry – oil. Already rattled by Putin’s attempts to bankrupt Yukos - Russia’s largest oil company with daily production greater than Lybia - the oil markets could spike prices to $50 per barrel.



Should this script pan out, GBP and CAD as net oil exporters, would be the prime beneficiaries while JPY as a huge oil importer would suffer the most. Although Russia is a major energy supplier to Europe, most analysts believe that a Ruble crisis will be actually EUR bullish as panicked Russians convert their funds to euros. At present, the Russian situation appears contained but as we approach the seasonal summer doldrums in the FX market, the turmoil in Moscow bears further watching.

nyc sa 02:46 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Hi all ,any views about euro/yen ? seems there is indecision , is this run about to reverse ?

nyc jk 02:45 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
thanks farmacia gl

melbourne farmacia 02:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 01:39 GMT July 9, 2004
Yeah missing 1.8465 was a bugger, I'm doing a uk bob at the moment with some carry trades, so missed intraday trade only.
So far cable's stayed within my bullish voodoo line ( under 1.8500 we might see 1.8400 again ).
Think cable needs to test 1.8603 today some time.... maybe during london trade etc... regarding entry... don't know just yet... 1.8490 was good a number of hours ago ( ie touch voodoo support and bounced ).

nyc jk 01:41 GMT July 9, 2004
I'm just working step by step, ie 1.8603 break for 1.8689 etc.. that said i'm looking for some reversal soon. Will keep you posted. GT

HK [email protected] 02:28 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Before signing out, I want to remind a post I placed on Jul-6, at that time when Euro was 1.23--

Still it may come true:(as of now 33% true o.k)

HK [email protected] 00:19 GMT July 6, 2004
It seems that up to weekend euro may add another 300-points
But needs to break 1.2385/95 first

Ldn 02:22 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
RBA likely welcomed Australia's latest housing finance report, to remain on hold for foreseeable future
RBC senior economist Su-Lin Ong

USA Biscuit Boy 02:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Closed short gbp/jpy at 201.15. This 201 level a tough nut to crack!!!

Caribbean! Rafe... 02:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
GBP is an crazy pair... one minute it's -9 then after 2 minutes it's +13.

Ltn th 02:21 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ABS has private housing finance down 2.6% for may(1%expected). April adjusted up by .3% to .3% fall.

HK [email protected] 02:15 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   

HK [email protected] 15:01 GMT July 8, 2004

407.6-407.9 is an obvious res. for gold.
Daily chart looks ugly for the bulls.

That target and Res. is not an exhaustive one. So if it breaks (chances are there)one has to change his view to gold bull.

I think what I suggested days ago that this trend will lead to 445-455 range.
##############################
Now that this level was actually breached, the medium trader may hold to their longs for around 420, after which the GREAT challenge will be at about 434...the line connecting Jan-6 and Apr-1 highs. Above that.... the bullion banks will run after those whom took gold loans from them. Thus expect some class action in the markets for the near future. GL/GT

Caribbean! Rafe... 02:11 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Laowen// could not help having a loop here...if we go short then the sharks would eventually go long, which is why i said initially every man and his dog are long euros. not really overbought but it's a way of saying majority are longing it atm 1/3 of people are longing this pair in my radar screen up until this point..

Beijing Laowen 01:58 GMT July 9, 2004
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:51 GMT July 9, 2004 //

I think it is in today's sentiment, to short eur/usd might be a right decision. It is Friday again, and sharks love going against the sheep.

la gold 02:08 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
asia on its own will not forge new highs without retracing
before europe comes in. At least most of the time they dont, unless
today will be one of those exception days.

nyc jk 02:02 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
should be "overly long"

nyc jk 01:58 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Rafe - I don't get the sense the market is over long (from evidence other than this forum). Also, review the posts on this forum , it was a top pickers convention earlier today, if that is any indication of the market, we still have a ways to go on upside.

Beijing Laowen 01:58 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:51 GMT July 9, 2004 //

I think it is in today's sentiment, to short eur/usd might be a right decision. It is Friday again, and sharks love going against the sheep.

la gold 01:57 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
long $/chf @1.2230, I dont think it go mutch lower during
asian session. g/l, g/t. support is here and @ the figure.

nyc jk 01:56 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
thanks st , gl to both of us then on the EUR! will leave you alone on the JPY, you seem to do well at that ccy, gotta admit though my track record is poor in it so I trade it very selectively these days...

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 01:56 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
well u can try short when you see 2480

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:51 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
i thought yesterday euro would short like censored hence i sold was and stopped out.

today i think every man and his dog are long euros.

houston st 01:50 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
jk--yes, I've got to follow my own recommendations..can't be left behind..I'm also waiting for the yen rubber-band to be hurled back the other direction...that should be good for a few hundred pips..good luck.

nyc jk 01:46 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
haha thanks st...so far so good...like the slow and steady climb, you have any on board?

houston st 01:45 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
jk--looks like eur/usd taking the first big step towards your vacation fund...good trades.

nyc jk 01:41 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
lol Farmacia.....or in his piggy bank as he says!
what do you see for topside lvls on the GBP from here.

I love it when all the Aussie banks put out bearish AUD recommendations in a bull market, makes me confident in my long position. only one I have seen bullish is Westpac, the rest calling for correction etc.

ICT ML 01:39 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 01:35 GMT July 9, 2004

LOL....uncle bob is due a visit soon isn't he.

Pretty uncanny, you and I had the exact same trade in mind last night, both off by a few pips. What you going to try tonight?

Ldn 01:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD At Risk From Oil, Russia -NAB

HK [email protected] 01:37 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
The forces acting to devalue the $$$ are simply of titanic magnitude.

melbourne farmacia 01:35 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 18:26 GMT July 8, 2004
uk bob should pop up soon with 10 figures in his back pocket..

ldn 01:31 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Australian May Housing Finance -2.6% Vs -1.0% Consensus

ny amc 01:05 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
NY....thanks

nyc jk 01:04 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
those are Bloomberg charts amc

ny amc 00:22 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Saratoga..Sam >>>> what charting service are those cad charts from ??

LA newfxx 00:17 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
amc:
nice and quick profit you got there.

Right now market is very thin.

Gen dk 00:03 GMT July 9, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

 




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