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Forex Forum Archive for 08/12/2004

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Beijing Laowen 23:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, IMO, 0.6736 should contain the upmove of eur/gbp for a while. It would retrace back to at least 0.6710 before breaking up the upper barrier ard. 0.6730~0.6740. However, taking 0.6736 as a S/L might be a little dangerous because it is to close to the resistence line.

Dallas GEP 23:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
You know I was thinking if your country IS oil producing, WHY wouldn't you still want to IMPORT ALL your oil. That why when THEIRS runs out

censored short eur/jpy @ 136.45

houston st 23:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
JAPAN"S Q2 GDP posts 0.4% q/q and an annualised 1.7% real growth. Both figures below mkt expectations of 1.0% q/q and annualised 4.1-4.2% growth respectively. Private consumption up 0.6% q/q, below expectation of 1.0% q/q. CAPEX flat q/q, below expectation of 2.0% q/q rise. (MNI)

london Paul 23:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
gdp data, sorry just latre in seeing news!

houston st 23:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
*DJ Japan Apr-Jun Nominal GDP -0.3% On Qtr;Annualized -1.3%(DJ)

nyc jk 23:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, what is the source of those oil figures for UK? thanks

houston st 23:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
*DJ Japan Apr-Jun Real GDP Up 0.4% On Qtr;Mkt Expected +1.0%(DJ)

london Paul 23:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
whats happeneing in dlr yen???

Jakarta r4v3n 23:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
thank's dallas

Dallas GEP 23:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jakarta....YES there is. GBP just annouced they are NOW importing more oil than they are exporting and that was GBP negative.

Dallas GEP 23:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well Swap....I am not short USD/CAD but we ARE short a couple of DEFESEMEN down here. We need a couple of large RUSSIAN boys please. BUT a short CAD I think might work with 3360 stop.

sar jf 23:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab was alot of int to buy cad over last 2 weeks for several reasons which have been fixed - problem was mkt sold off prior and once done we got this heavy profit take buying - so u have to judge mkt position as well when factoring it all in

Jakarta r4v3n 23:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
is there any correlation between the price of oil and the british pound??? tia

Dallas GEP 23:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Laowen....RE: eur/gbp What are the chances we see a break of that 6735 area????

Quebec Swap 23:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I'm short Usd/Cad again. anyone else?

Sydney EM 23:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
FWIW .. Economists expect quarterly GDP data for the April-June period, which the Cabinet Office will issue at 8:50 a.m. local time Friday or 2350 GMT Thursday, will show Japan's balanced economic pickup continued last quarter. Real GDP is expected to have grown 1.0% in April-June from the previous quarter, or 4.2% in annualized terms

Beijing Laowen 23:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab, was your limit to sell eur/gbp @0.6720 filled? I feel it maybe go up a bit more.

Dallas GEP 23:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
OK flat on everything NOW> Shoiuld have taken GBP/JPY long @ 201.95 probably

KL KL 23:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Cover short gbpusd -8 pips fro 1.8222 (#&*#%), eurusd +45 pips fro 1.2267 and audusd +22 pips from .7152...next time need to watch like hawk that pound gorilla....oh well all cash up again and looking again

Dallas GEP 23:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Just now closed eur/gbp at BE. Pair DOES have upward bias.

slv sam 23:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 23:03 GMT August 12/
horrible? right word but for wrong conclusion imo! plz compare now with 12/13 March this year?. really horrible!!GT

Dallas GEP 23:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
YEah AB it is in retreat now tho...Got some short at 6716 and thought THAT was a good entry!!

Dallas GEP 23:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
MHI....NZD I think now fundamentally MAY move AGAINST it's technicals and go long against all pairs. That's why I closed my SHORT at +2 EVEN tho the downward sloping MACD indicates a SELL on Rallies mode.

hk ab 23:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
geez, eurgbp did GO to .6720 and pass it....

hk ab 23:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
dlr/jpy daily is horrible.
could go well towards 112, even 114.xx before someone's anticipated 107......

Sydney 22:55 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD excellent chart many thanks

hk ab 22:55 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I am afraid that you will be "scared" out on your 200 pips averse move before your so called "500 pips" move come, unfortunately..

Have a nice day, contra-man. I got the sunshine waiting for me.

hk ab 22:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ah pak.....
being confident is good but over confident / bragging is no good at all.
I see m/t dlr/jpy is a SELL too but levels and T.A. are important.
Do the right things at the right time.......

hk dad 22:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 06:03 GMT August 12, 2004
dollar going down the tube with dollaryen heading down to 107 again.
good morning hk ab aba, dollaryen is a sell on bounce, what more can I say? it's obvious that your daddy's trade expectation and yours are different. you are happy with 50 pips contras while daddy goes for the 500 pip trends. haha

Bruxville Jim 22:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 22:40 GMT // THANKS.

Wien GD 22:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USD-Index ... at http://www.netdania.com/ChartApplet.asp
Instuments ... last choice

Sydney 22:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy would appreciate it also $USD index if you could post it..

wisconsin tim 21:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
possible ranges in upcoming sessions will update later

HI RNG LO RNG
EUR/USD 1.2307 1.2191
GBP/USD 1.8304 1.8142
USD/JPY 111.38 110.24
USD/CAD 1.3377 1.3247
AUD/USD 0.7183 0.7095
USD/CHF 1.2629 1.2487
EUR/JPY 136.31 135.15
EUR/AUD 1.7238 1.7068
GBP/JPY 202.71 201.23
EUR/GBP 0.6740 0.6694

Brooklyn mhi 21:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
If Macd on 1/2 hour is turned up and 2 hour its tuned down which is the direction "buying on dips or selling in rallies" look @ nzd. You inpir very much appreciated.

Quebec Swap 21:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone short Usd/Cad?

London e 21:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
lol Jim. I got my stop out taken now.

Dallas GEP 21:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim, .6738 Target 6680

Bruxville Jim 21:35 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BBoy, could you please drop me the link where you watch the dollar-index? I only have one not very handy chart from futuresource.com...

USA Biscuit Boy 21:18 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi Jim. Just keep an eye on the 50 ma for the dollar index. If the dollar can't make a move back above here it has plenty of room to fall. Then we can hold for a possible range break or take profit and reverse. Action either way.

Bruxville Jim 21:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, where do you have your stop? Above 0.6735 or so? and tgt?

USA Biscuit Boy 21:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well Dallas if it doesn't break 0.6736 it only has one place to go mate......down lol. Nice place to enter if you are bearish on the pair.

Bruxville Jim 21:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BBoy, I'd like to see 25/26, could acquire some shorts over there...

Dallas GEP 21:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
If charts MEAN anything, 30 minutes will tell you EUR/GBP SHOULD short. Unless I have just lost the ability to read charts I dunno!!! That's the tough thing about Eur/GBP. a little unpredictable when it comes to chart foloowing!! LOL

USA Biscuit Boy 20:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Eur/usd climbing back post Greenspan. Expecting 1.25/26 in coming weeks. Kiwi also looking very strong with another rate hike in the works and excellent fundamentals. Wouldnt be concerned about kiwi reaching parity with aud....RBA will be hiking again soon enough. GL and GT.

Dallas GEP 20:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
WEll Jim, my FIRST great dream a brunette with an ungodly body did cost me more than a million dollars!!! LOL

London e 20:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Good night!

Bruxville Jim 20:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London E// Good night, stops tight;))

Bruxville Jim 20:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Even if it goes down, it will take your stop out:))
OK, if you leave it there and go to bed, you may dream all night that $chf plummets to 1.22 and you wake up rich. Noone can evaluate how much is a great dream worth anyway, it may be worth a million, who knows:-)

London e 20:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
How much money does it take to move the market say 5 pips? ... anyway Im still in for the moment anyway ... lol

Bruxville Jim 20:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
they don't chase (I also trade with them), but market does... Sorry for devoting so much attention to your pips:)

London e 20:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
You think USD/CHF is definately going up from here?

Bruxville Jim 20:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GRAB THOSE PIPS!!!:)

London e 20:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
C'M'C are really good and I never think they chase stops. Sometimes I have had my stops just touched and position stays in, and thats with 3-4 pip spreads.

London e 20:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 20:30 GMT August 12, 2004
Now its only 2 pips so not much in it. I can lose two pips for a low chance of more profit...

Bruxville Jim 20:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London e 20:28 GMT // Better take your pips now, anyway they'll eat your stop... lol.

London e 20:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
"London e 15:58 GMT August 12, 2004
Sold USD/CHF 1.2583 with 15 pip stop. Medium size. Good trades." //

Stop moved to 1.2567. +16. Good night.

Surabaya Medallion 20:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Beside this article says that Taiwan diversify some reserve into Euro.

http://www.fxstreet.com/nou/noticies/afx/noticia.asp?pv_noticia=MTFH93887_2004-08-12_19-48-15_N12552906

London Si 20:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Jim
Eventhough the euro interest rates wont be increased for quite a while I think next year at least.
Does anyone see the euro @ .71/72 this year or sooner ?

Surabaya Medallion 20:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I thought someone here already says that Euro is shining whenever Oil is above $45. And The EUR/JPY is helping Yen at least not going over 136 for too long. Anyway still Long Euro from 1.2130. (Enter 2 days before Friday NFP).

Bruxville Jim 20:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Fundamental reason for that might be the fact that UK is at the very end of rate hike cycle while ECB hasn't even started the cycle yet. Lots of room for rate differential to contract...

London Si 20:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi Anyone got any ideas why the euro has been so strong against the GBP and what is the short term target
Thanks

Dallas GEP 20:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim, I will agree....who would have thought lately that EURO would be STRONGER than the POUND!!! LOL

leeds jb 20:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
when does the jap gdp get posted, is it 23.50 tonight? tia.

Bruxville Jim 20:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, have to say, EUR/GBP looks very strong recent days. But a corrective run into 0.6700 is possible.

Spotforex NY 19:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Iraq as Olympic champs...that would be even a bigger shock than Greece winning the Euro Cup last Month.....


but one never knows,.......

Dallas GEP 19:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
WEll Jim, to be perfectly honest, they don't want to be there, the Iraqi's don't want them to be there. So everyone is in agreement!!! A liberation force unfortunately alwys turns out to be an occupational force if the exiting political structure is destroyed which it certainly was. I am not sure WTF the US was thinking to tell you the truth. Military planning was extraoridnary. Reconstruction planning apparrently was on a "day to day" very casual basis.

ON the currency side...Eur/GBP has hit was is suppose to be HARD resistance @ .6720. GBP/JPY pressing down towards it's most recent lows in the 201.80 area.

Bruxville Jim 19:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
4:2 finally

Bruxville Jim 18:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, maybe the Iraqi team is made up from US troops? Plenty of them in that country, maybe a bunch already become citizens...

Dallas GEP 18:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim.....Chart prices are alwsys BID prices of course..but when I say I have an order waiting at 201.90 THAT is the ASK price so for me gbp/jpy will have to hit 201.80 BID because I have 10 pip spread

Goes (NL) B747 18:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 18:44 GMT August 12, 2004

and for fun, I will take tomorrow @ 14:20 HRS HKT some HSBC stocks for 18 days

gt

Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
3-2 IRAQ (very very fast team) .....Euro finding some support at 1.2240

Goes (NL) B747 18:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:38 GMT August 12, 2004

good evening Gep,

during the last 48-72 HRS we took similar trades (EUR/USD USD/CAD & USD/JPY)...all closed through autopilot with very positive results.

regarding your a.m. GBP/JPY call; make sure it is only to steal a chicken otherwise your account will get full of ripped bones :-)

gt

hk ab 18:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
747//it sounds like a massive repatriation and it's started with gold already...... GL and GT. and Iwill keep an eye on that 6th Sept.

Bruxville Jim 18:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:38 GMT // sorry, do you mean 201.90+spread? ("all prices are bid prices on charts" or smth like that was what you said in the morning...)

Dallas GEP 18:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Iraq and Portugal playing Soccer in Olympics right now
2-2 Score 2nd period

Portugal MAN 1 man down RED CARDED

Goes (NL) B747 18:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 18:38 GMT August 12, 2004

Soros could kill the queen (GBP), none could even to sneeze on JPY.....right ???

collapse or not, JPY is most undervalued CCY during the last 5 years...right ???

gt

Dallas GEP 18:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Took 6716 Eur/GBP short. Have a BUY order on GBP/JPY @ 201.90

Bruxville Jim 18:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 18:34 GMT// well I can't find a better word for a 20 big-figure decrease in GBP/JPY rate... (re: collapse)

Bruxville Jim 18:35 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
just kidding. thanks for your calls, let's see later if their catch the direction...

Goes (NL) B747 18:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 18:30 GMT August 12, 2004

why to see my call as a collapse ???
maybe correction will describe better ???

what ever Japan build is because of selling products worldwide and not because of deficit; right ???

now, wait until 06/SEP/2004 to tell me that I am wrong; if you cannot wait than you have the green light to keep on biting me :-)

gt

Bruxville Jim 18:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
B747 - re oil, Japs must have found fresh world's largest oil deposits right below their skyscrapers that will be enough to drive world's oil price into negative territory and let Japs survive till all oil consumers are turned into nuclear consumers...:-D
no, they are to find these later, in 2-3 weeks time...:-)
well, rather reveal it then, must have found already, telling only their Dutch friends so far...(-:

Goes (NL) B747 18:18 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 18:07 GMT August 12, 2004

sorry, I cannot.
tomorrow will be logic only the day after tomorrow.

gt

Goes (NL) B747 18:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 18:11 GMT August 12, 2004

very good, you are on the right direction.
If Japan knew @ 1940 about Einstein, than they never joined to Germany during WWII.

gt

Bruxville Jim 18:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 17:59 GMT // Well, what is the reason for this timing? And what can serve as an excuse for such a collapse? Oil at 5$/barrel maybe :-)

Dallas GEP 18:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well SOB, too quick a close cost me AT LEAST 10 pips on eur/jpy

Goes (NL) B747 18:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR:USD: EUR needs some little positive USD data to start shaking hands and replace their home @ 1.1750/- area.

to get maximal picture, make the Mini Cabrio test...please check the cost of this completly brand new model in USA and in other parts of the world...I just remind you that balance sheets of the manufacturer are in EUR.
I have the feeling that the Bavarian guys know something that we will see very soon :-)


gt

prague viktor 18:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 17:47 GMT August 12, 2004:Good day,please can u give me a logical reason for this moveG/L

hk ab 18:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
747, eur/usd .875 in 5 years....

Bruxville Jim 18:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
re: $yen - could add that daily macd is to make a bearish cross - for the third time since Feb 2004. And guess what - the previous two were followed by some 5 big-figures bear run...

Goes (NL) B747 18:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 17:56 GMT August 12, 2004

'types' responsible for the 5year planning


gt

Goes (NL) B747 17:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 17:53 GMT August 12, 2004

good evening,

that was my call, @ 06/SEP/2004 you will tell me if I am right or wrong - you can tell me @ 15/AUG/2009 is I was right or wrong about the other part.

gt

hk ab 17:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
think then, it will hit .6720 easily after I enter,just kidding.

hk ab 17:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
geez, I take .6715 now.

hk ab 17:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
747, and aud/jpy?

hk ab 17:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
747, what "types" of Nihon san you met?

hk ab 17:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
TJ// you may need to pull out your weekly chart and examines it carefully, GL and GT.

Bruxville Jim 17:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
B747// Are they gonna reveal all their strength in 2-3 weeks? What for?

saloniko 2004 nk 17:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab

Once GBP/J Balloon burst, will be Gr888..and the then we will sing ...Euro shake ya a$$..

imo
GL..and try let the winn pos..run
nk

GA TJ 17:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 17:40 GMT August 12, 2004

And the EURJPY commitment would be........

As best I can tell from my stuff which happens to resemble a can of worms would be to BOD at this point. GBPUSD which is another can of worms may be a SOR upwards of 1.8275 or higher.
Sure would be nice if a big ol fish came by and ate all those worms.

Goes (NL) B747 17:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
spent most of the day with people from the land of the rising sun; enjoyed the time while getting first source information about how the system really works regarding the main issues within the industrialized world (pension and inflation).

Everybody agreed the Japan wants and makes what ever they can to keep their strength secret shshshshshshshshshshshsh……….!!!!!

The following is about 2-3 weeks ahead:
USD/JPY @ 105-106
EUR/JPY @ 124-126
GBP/JPY @ 180-185

The following is about some years ahead:
USD/JPY @ 80/-
EUR/JPY @ 70/-
GBP/JPY @ 105/-

gt


Riga RIA 17:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim , yes.....

wisconsin tim 17:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 15:49 GMT August 12, 2004
selling EUR/JPY 136.05 stops above 136.60 tp below 135.00

closed half here at 135.67
exiting EUR/GBP @ .6716 -5

hk ab 17:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy is like a v. nice big hydrogen balloon...either blast or fly.

London Si 17:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi All

Where do you link the Eur vs GBP will be in the short to medium term, and why the recent upward trend of the euro against the GBP

Thanks for your thoughts

Dallas GEP 17:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I don't know why not. TJ may have right idea. MARKET is VERY unsettled at this time.

Bruxville Jim 17:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA 17:33 GMT // 6.25 even with a 50bp cut?

hk ab 17:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
nk// that's the lower band... but would be outside the pennant, I thought.

Riga RIA 17:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USDZAR sharply jump today after US invest name buying very big amnt n stops done over 6.25/35...Few offers at 6/45/46 capp move...Seems we cud see capp now ahead 6.50 n short prefer for return to 6.25.....GL

saloniko 2004 nk 17:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab

Think we are moving to 132.90-133..

in the best 130*[email protected]

nk

GA TJ 17:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT August 12, 2004

Not sure here but I would say that a scared, quivering guy standing at the Alter has more committent than these markets. 4 trades today, all winners with avg win 11 pips. Yippppppiiieeeeeeee.

Gen dk 17:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 17:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
nk, two lots on this boat now.

hk ab 17:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk dad/hk ah pak,
don't forget your twenty cents on dlr/jpy tomorrow :D
I will wait for you.

saloniko 2004 nk 17:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Gep

why not?

nk

Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well I took +10 on eur/jpy shorts from 135.95. Doesn't seem to want to break down right now anyway.

hk ab 17:22 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp takes so long to reach .6720
but I think this patience is needed.
might even push the limit to .6725.

Calabash TarHeel 17:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Oil man

Wondering if you have any view on gbp/jpy at current price.

Tia, Good trades

houston st 17:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Oily -- problem is there's never an 8 year old around when you need one....gl/gt.

Calabash TarHeel 17:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 17:10 GMT August 12, 2004

Well said, indeed!

UAE Oil man 17:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
A mathematician has as much chance as a 4 year old in this business..which doesn't mean either will succeed/loose.
Psychology,music and chess are a good points to learn about for trading.
I remember seeing that few years ago, 3 contestants were taken, a fundamental, a techie, and a 8 year old kid.
They were given virtual amounts to play with.
it was then shown the 8 year old was loosing less money than the other 2(in fact the 3 were loosing in the end)..while the technie made more than the fundie...

Spotforex NY 17:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
as Dennis Gartman puts in his newsletter

'simplicity breeds elogance'

That is how I developed my trading decisions......

hk ab 17:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
that stop could be taken real fast by some eur/chf buyers, gl.

Bruxville Jim 17:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ok, bahrain, let's leave the model alone, but please give a time-frame so that one can check its validity...

Spotforex NY 17:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
from GVI

Chicago Irish 16:44 GMT August 12, 2004
Reuters saying explosion was domestic terrorism.........probably ETA

Spotforex NY 16:36 GMT August 12, 2004
MADRID (AP)--A minor explosion rattled a park in the northern Spanish city of Santander on Thursday, the Interior Ministry said.
A ministry official said there were no immediate reports of injuries.
The device was planted in a bush in a park in downtown Santander.

wisconsin tim 17:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
2 explosions in Spain - ETA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:56 GMT August 12, 2004
Maybe you could explain why you're getting this at first...

///
Two choices...
Fly out...get a confrence room for a week...maybe I can finish explaining the model..or
I make a video...Just doing that...
Jim this stuff is not easy to explain...took me 4 years to develope it...equations that are a yard long...(In the screen)
I am sorry I can't do that
Even Some Economics Professors out at the university say that this is too complex to understand...

London e 16:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London e 15:58 GMT August 12, 2004
Sold USD/CHF 1.2583 with 15 pip stop. Medium size. Good trades. //
Move stop to break even. Stop at 1.2583.


Bruxville Jim 16:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Maybe you could explain why you're getting this at first...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:52 GMT August 12, 2004
Bahrain, so you really meant Aussie there?

Yes...Binary

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
The most bearish of all 17 pairs I analyse...Aussie
Just seems funny
Not so or as much for NZ


???
// Any comments anyone as to why I am getting this?? Tech Analysis?

Bruxville Jim 16:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, so you really meant Aussie there?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 16:32 GMT August 12, 2004
Bahrain, you're deadly bearish on Aussie:)) or was it Kiwi...

///
The most bearish of all 17 pairs I analyse...Aussie
Just seems funny
Not so or as much for NZ

hk ab 16:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
filled 2nd entry eur/chf 1.5375.

Bruxville Jim 16:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab// aha, 0.67:)

Bruxville Jim 16:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, you're deadly bearish on Aussie:)) or was it Kiwi...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD might see .6650
Trade w/ Care

hk ab 16:22 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim// Nope, 6720, not 6620.
but eur/jpy 136 was filled.

Calabash TarHeel 16:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw-Will take a small $/cad short @ 1.3350 if seen.

gl,gt

Cuper 16:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks. I am shorting it, but don't feel comfortable.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:15 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Cad dudes...I am shorting slowly here 1.3345 +/- 10 Pips

NYC PCM 16:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
stopped out of 1/2 my short

London e 16:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I think USD/JPY is a sell. But not doing it myself. Already short dollar against swissfranc.

GER ad 16:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/CAD at 1.6309

chester wb 16:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
farmacia--sold cable @1.8295-- a little late-- covered @1.8219. trying to decide if it is worth longing here back up to about 8260/80

Bruxville Jim 16:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab, did your 6620 order get filled?

Cuper 16:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Any one has some ideas on usd/jpy for now, please. Thanks.

hk ab 16:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad will get its cold from crosses.
look for your fib from 1.4 to 1.3060 b4 you reverse to short.

hk ab 16:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
just like dlr/cad painting the double bottom around 1.3060.

hk ab 16:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
possible nzd daily double top at .66 area....

hk ab 16:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my eur/gbp is at .6720, not .6715.

hk ab 16:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel, I think aud/jpy short at 79.50 is a v. gd entry.

Watch the rocket oil exhaust and you will grin.

eur lg 16:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Having said that any usd gain could be short lived as later we see Micigan Confidence number. I think there's huge room to disappoint here. There will be good volatility tomorrow.

London e 15:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Sold USD/CHF 1.2583 with 15 pip stop. Medium size. Good trades.

eur lg 15:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
In my mind trade number should come better than expected. Should be good for usd, but would be prudent to look at the breakdown of direction imports and exports are going.

On another note we had 2 central banks cut rates unexpectedly today, Korea went 25 bps and South Africa a stunning 50 bps when the mkt was pricing in further tightenings !!!!!!!!! Beware more suprises tomorrow.

NYC PCM 15:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Euro short signal validated. Added back to my position. Still looking for Prior Day Low as initial target.

Coventry Ledge 15:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
The US trade Balance due out tomorrow, is expected -$47.5bln from a previous -$46bln, if this was the case would this be bad for the dollar?

cairo Amgad 15:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 15:45 GMT August 12, 2004

For tomorow 1.8263, next week 1.8503

GL GT

wisconsin tim 15:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
selling EUR/JPY 136.05 stops above 136.60 tp below 135.00

Belgrad KZ 15:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
On USD/CAD here comes the 50 DMA. I think it will be very hard it to be broken now! IMO

Calabash TarHeel 15:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab
Hello ab, do you have any plan for aud/jpy. Took one small short @ .7950. Are you looking to add to eur/jpy short and if so what level.

Oil man, taking your word here, shorted eur/gbp .6715

Good Luck, Good Trades to All

Sydney Alimin 15:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
what's ur target for that gbp long cairo,amgad?

cairo Amgad 15:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Buy GBP at 1.8198 (bid), add spread

GL GT

cairo Amgad 15:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hello;
nice move for GBP/USD this week but unfortunally it is end by touching weekly trendline from 1.7480 to 1.8089. Buy GBP at 1.8198 is good apportunity for friday correction where everyone will buy Take profit

GT GL

melbourne farmacia 15:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
chester wb - If playing the system, cover @ 1.8217 as projected target from sell off point... netting @ 130 pips etc

Bruxville Jim 15:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PC Beach, FL Chris 15:27 GMT // Notice that retail sales came out better than expected (when accounting for Jun revision/two month sum), although the headline created initial frustration...

NYC PCM 15:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PC beach FL

Maybe. We had a ton of data hit at 8.30am this morning, Import and Export prices, Retail Sales, inventories and Intial claims.

Who knows what the reaction was to exactly! All emotion anyway.

GVI john 15:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GVI biweekly FOREX survey results:

CLICK HERE

Dallas GEP 15:31 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jim, AUD/CAD short stopped out at BE

NYC PCM 15:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Euro short signal re-set. Needs another 3 or 4 pts drop to validate

London e 15:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD. Out +15 pips.

PC Beach, FL Chris 15:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I was preparing for TS Bonnie last night and had to catch up on some sleep. That spike/reversal in the EUR/USD..was that the effect of the initial claims report release, being lower than expected???

Good Trades To All

NYC PCM 15:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Short signal got invalidated but could re-set pretty easily

Sydney Alimin 15:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
i dont think gbp can go up past 1.8260 today, but just in case i'll put some limit sell order there...need a rest now...see you all tomorrow

hk ab 15:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I fully agree with bc and Noody today.

1.2170-1.23 range till Athens Olympic finishes?

NYC PCM 15:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
anothr short signal building here on euro. can't go much higher though and will validate if it drops another few pts

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I think gbp/usd from now until 2 hours will get taking profit action soon.

wisconsin tim 15:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP Daily 200EMA has held as resistance since beginning of year

We also are at the top of a weekly descending triangle

Selling EUR/GBP 6712 stops above 6760 tp below 6600

Daily and Weekly Charts

hk ab 15:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ok, enough contra on "hk ah pak".

close dlr/jpy for another 60 pips for today.

London e 15:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 15:05 GMT August 12, 2004
You are right. I'll only post system trades from now on.

Im trailing stop - no specific target.

Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
WEll Ledge , I didn't reverse yet, I am flat on EUR/USD but I am still short eur/jpy from 135.95

Bruxville Jim 15:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London e 15:01 GMT // If you're just playing around at the moment, maybe don't post all your trades here... lol.

hk ab 15:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
33 maybe 6650 is no good.

Ekaterinburg FB 15:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London e - What about you'r target for GBP Long
I'm prefer Daily Range 1.84-1.82 with upward bios
I'm long too
GL & GT

hk ab 15:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
next entry 6620, 30 pips stop for the two shorts.

Coventry Ledge 15:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP me to, i've reversed and i am now long from 1.2230

hk ab 15:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
That cad manipulators shift his interest to nzd.....

Bruxville Jim 15:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP, are you still short aud/cad?

London e 15:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I bought once got stopped at break even. Bought again lost 15 pips. Now bought again with 10 pip stop due to a cleaner conviction. I should have made it clearer. Im trading really SMALL here. Not system trades.

NYC PCM 15:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
but looking to add back on this rise if I get the signal

NYC PCM 15:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
grabbed a bit of profit on that last euro low. this is taking a tiresomely long time to go the rest of the way down.

Dallas GEP 14:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Took profits on EUR/USD shorts

UAE Oil man 14:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
How many times you bought that gbp/$??
Do you add or get stopped?.thanks for clarification.

London e 14:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bought GBP/[email protected] 1.8203 stop 10 pips @ 1.8193. My last trade today. Except to exchange this weeks profits from my trading account to my current account. Good trades all

hk ab 14:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
sigh, looks my eur/chf 1.5375 miss.

hk ab 14:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
oilman, as your fans, place one limit at .6720.

UAE Oil man 14:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Eur/Gbp good sell at this area 6710-20.
GL.

Gen dk 14:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

saratoga sam 14:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
For you pivoters GBP Weekly pivot is 1.8189 and first weekly support is 1.8187.

hk ab 14:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hey, eur/jpy pumped a little more to fill my limit plz.

hk ab 14:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hey, eur/jpy pumped a little more to fill my limit plz.

Sydney Alimin 14:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
gbp is sold off well..very nice in under 4 hours

hk ab 14:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
close dlr/cad longs from 1.3140, 1.3205 @ 1.3295

Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Raton, pretty brash comment from someone who is about to give up 5K.

Tallinn viies 14:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I thnk we may see brent crude at 42,50 within next 24 hours.

Dallas GEP 14:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Clouy, what the charts DON'T tell you is where there are pools of buyers and sellers. There are ALOT of sellers around 136.10.

Boca Raton 14:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:04 GMT August 12, 2004
1.2991 long on GBP/chf

Is this one worth doubling up on pal?

hk ab 14:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
place limit eur/jpy short 136.30.

Haifa ac 14:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
vancouver PB 14:19 GMT August 12, 2004
Last night I was watching that latest flare up in Iraq.
Then a hue smile came over my face, $45.00 oil.
And I went long again at 43.5.//

Can I use you as contrary indicator, or are you a good trader?!

hk ab 14:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
viies// I think oil simulates the situation of the Nasdog few years ago and STILL many people don't know how to spell the word "exhaustion".

Bruxville Jim 14:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT // -20 ex.spread?

Tallinn viies 14:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 14:36 GMT - yep. there is no fear at all on the oil markets right now.
indicates good correction is due soon...

Bruxville Jim 14:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
martin// I meant Kiwi was weathering the storm in the market surprisingly well...

Dallas GEP 14:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
NM, stopped out at -20. Looking to possibly reneter.

London e 14:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/USD 1.8225 [email protected]

LondonJoe 14:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd cross will get to 1.07/1.06 handle and the alarm bells will start ringing at the RBNZ then and maybe they wontbe so hawkish on monetary policy. I feel we fail there and target back to 1.12/1.14 region. the next RBNZ meet is on the 8th sept annd the market has 25bp hike almost fully priced into the NZD yield curve.. this will bring the nzd 100bp over aud differentials..

hk ab 14:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
v bad many are now anticipating the oil rocket to hit 50 soon...

ldn// do you think Aussies need to buy oil from S.A. or Canada?

GOLD COAST MARTIN 14:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BRUXVILLE...That question was asked of me on this forum 5 months ago..my answer was...when aussies start to have shhep for girlfriend like the kiwis then we will see parity..the answer is NO...Great economic barriers do not permit it....g/t...back to trading and no more posting from me...cheers....

Kaunas NM 14:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:04 GMT August 12, 2004
1.2991 long on GBP/chf

did you stop out or still holding?

hk ab 14:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
long time no trade on kiwi already.

hk ab 14:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
short little bit at .6590.

CA Clouy 14:31 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:17 GMT August 12
GEP, did ur eur/jpy short order consider the 30min stoch? It seemed in a rally in s-term. TIA. GL & GT

Bruxville Jim 14:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Kiwi looks like targeting parity...:)

GOLD COAST MARTIN 14:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
HK ..AB...I keep saying that the kiwi is at very high artificially boosted levels that were created only out of other currency weaknesses and it will not be long (maybe 3-4 days )before we see substantial shedding..no doubt that at 65-66 levels The rbnz will have to act maybe only to salvage some value from its exports to australia since australia is its biggest trading partner...If the RBNZ dont perforn a hatchet job on the kiwi the aussie will .....g/t

London e 14:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London e 14:23 GMT August 12, 2004
Bought VERY small GBP/USD here at 1.8227. //
Stop at 1.8227. Not a serious trade.

hk ab 14:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
jf//no worry and thanks v. much.

hk ab 14:23 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
martin, any m/t view on aud/nzd?
wonder if RBNZ will yell again at 1.06.

London e 14:23 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bought VERY small GBP/USD here at 1.8227.

sarasota jf 14:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ab busy today chat in asia later - gl

Dallas GEP 14:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW, chart prices are always BID prices SO if you are going SHORT, your TP and STOPS are based on ASK prices. SO you have to add the spread to the BID price to get what you will be OUT at.

Gen dk 14:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

NYC PCM 14:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
another short signal on euro here. If it validates by dropping a gain then I'm adding to short position with Prior Day Low as minimum profit target.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 14:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
HK,,AB..As i said to you earlier in the day..that hk dad was really a C9.. So a contrarian reaction was expected..have a good trip....trade some HKD for MJ and join BC at the nudist beach!....g/t

London e 14:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
"London e 12:41 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CHF re-bought at 1.2520. Stop now back up at 1.235. Not sure about target if not stopped out..." //
I got stopped out 1.2570. Should have kept the 1.2785 target. Good trades all

Kaunas NM 14:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP

How is your gbp/chf long doing?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Buying Cable at 1.8150 area

hk ab 14:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hm.. eur/gbp amazingly breaks .67..worth noting.

jf//just a qns. you mentioned that dlr/cad can be traded in better manner two weeks later. Do you see the coming trend up/down? TIA.

vancouver PB 14:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Last night I was watching that latest flare up in Iraq.

Then a hue smile came over my face, $45.00 oil.

And I went long again at 43.5.


hk ab 14:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ah pak, first my order limit of dlr/jpy hit at 110.50 and now, if 112 is seen.... interesting.

Dallas GEP 14:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy SHORT off an order 135.95.

Melbourne Qindex 14:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:27 GMT August 11, 2004
USD/JPY : The current expected trading ranges from my weekly cycle is 110.46 - 111.60. This is in agreement with the daily cycle which suggests a trading range of 110.38 - 111.61. Basically it is a range market.

hk ab 14:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
close short aud here with the profit needed for tomorrow trip :D
close intraday dlr/chf long soon as well.

hk ab 14:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
That "hk dad/hk ah pak" acted as a v. fine contrarian indicator on dlr/jpy again! THANKS!

as expected, 112.

Melbourne Qindex 14:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad KZ 14:06 GMT - You can take profit but don't try to reverse your position.

UAE Oil man 14:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Milk'em dry , Hit and run.

Your best bet in this summer trading.

Chicago YM 14:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
numbers please

Mtl JP 14:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PCM.. perhaps you missed the GUIDELINES FOR THE FOREX FORUM when you were registering. Note particularly #5, not too brainy, is it ?

1 - The forums are meant to be places where traders from around the globe can relay information and ideas. Their purpose is to GENERATE TRADING IDEAS.

2 - Please include location (initials are optional) when posting a message. Only one identity is permitted.

3 - These are not "chat rooms". They are forums that are directed to all viewers. Please direct updates to the general forum and avoid 2-way chats.

4 - Any form of direct or indirect advertising is not permitted without permission.

5 - To protect the privacy of participants, posting email addresses is not permitted. From time to time, the webmaster may, in its sole discretion, act as an intermediary to pass messages between contributors. Profanity or disruptive behavior on the forums is not permitted.

6 - Personal attacks on individual participants are not permitted. Readers are encouraged to respect the ideas of those who have been kind enough to contribute to the forum and treat one another with civility and respect. Discussions of brokers are not permitted.

Chicago YM 14:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
morning all

Belgrad KZ 14:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q should I take profit and reverse the long USD/CAD position around 1,3300-1,3320? TIA u are great!

Melbourne Qindex 14:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 11:10 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CHF : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 1.2484 // 1.2545 - 1.2605 - 1.2666 - 1.2727 // 1.2788 ...

Melbourne Qindex 14:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:16 GMT August 12, 2004
GBP/USD : My 5-day cycle charts suggest that the market is going to consolidate between 1.8263 - 1.8326 initially in Asian session. The odds are good that it will tackle the quantized level at 1.8200. If the market momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 1.8200, The supporting strength of 1.8074 - 1.8137 will be tested.


... 1.7984 ... // 1.8074* - 1.8137 - 1.8200 - 1.8263 - 1.8326* // ... 1.8483 ...

melbourne farmacia 14:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
QC WC 12:54 GMT August 12, 2004
No bias from me... just trade signals.... Gbp sold off from 50% fibo as suggested to wb many hours ago... if she got legs maybe 1.8200 ish.. or maybe not.. GT

Melbourne Qindex 14:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:54 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CAD : The current expected trading ranges from my 5-day cycle are as follow :-

... 1.3192* // 1.3219 - 1.3245 - 1.3272 // 1.3298* ...

Melbourne Qindex 07:52 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CAD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... // 1.3193 - 1.3224 - 1.3255* - 1.3287 - 1.3318 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:47 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CAD : After consolidation between 1.3245 - 1.3256 in the Asian session, the odds are good that the market will takle a projected barrier at 1.3298 - 1.3319.

cairns Aussie 14:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jay ..you are correct sorry about that..can I have PCM email address

Coventry Ledge 14:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I'm looking to go long eur/usd @ 1.2200ish

Tallinn viies 14:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
low from yesterday held at first test. if 1,2215/20 gone we have new target on radar.
1,2195/00 nothing, DNT option strike at 1,2170 first!

GOLD COAST MARTIN 13:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BOCA RATON...we have crossed swords before...if you dont have anything constructive to say dont say anything.....i mean that in a constructive way....g/t

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Eur/GBP..nice short now

Pecs Andras 13:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Guys
How long is the kiwi going to stay that strong?

Pecs Andras 13:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I see what you mean
Tha was really a bad place for the stop this time, but it is too late now

GVI Jay 13:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PCM, you are relatively new here and suggest keeping your posts market oriented. We are not a chat room.

Boca Raton 13:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Like tripling up on a bad position.

NYC PCM 13:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
anyway short Euro again from drop back below Prior Day High. Looks like it's got a ways doen to go. Looking to add to position

NYC PCM 13:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
cairns

Wife and I are actually visiting Cairns (well flying into and then vacationing on Reef in Ocotber).

Dallas GEP 13:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Yeah Andras I am but what is aggravating is when you do something you know is dumb yet you do it anyway.

cairns Aussie 13:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM / Ledge. .would have to agree, Gods little green acre here..still nice to go back and have a warm beer every now and then. lol, gl gt

LA fxnew 13:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
gep:
i have a question ..
if on the chart it showed 1.8320 for gbp... I had a stop on 1.8325 .. does it mean it hit my stop?


TIA

Coventry Ledge 13:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I got it PCM, the cockney cry baby pointed out to Jay that we are are in breach of regualtions

NYC PCM 13:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Global view - so I can send you my Email and you'll send it on to other members I specify?

Pecs Andras 13:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:44 GMT August 12, 2004
ÍThat was really bad luck
But you are back in your money arent you?

boston mpd004 13:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas/ I got stopped out too at 2294 and did the same, re-entered and picked up +34. GL GT

NYC PCM 13:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
what's going on here? the post with my Email has disapeared too

Is there some rule about not posting Email adresses on this forum?

Global-View 13:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
No email address are permitted (we are not a message board). You can contact us as a conduit.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Kaunas NM 13:36 GMT August 12, 2004
Any views on chf/jpy?

//
CHFJPY 88.5714 87.2086

Dallas GEP 13:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I can't beleieve I run that tight a stop on the first eur.usd short I had before data came out. That was dumb. They ate my stop and I had to reenter

Coventry Ledge 13:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Cairns Aussie, I agree with PCM you are definately in the right place

Coventry Ledge 13:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
just an observation, should'nt nosey nob heads mind there own business, it's my personal email address, JOBS WORTH

NYC PCM 13:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Cairns aussie - wow it's a small world here!!!! Looks like you ended up in the best place - barrier reef etc

GENEVA FHR 13:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
South African Central Bank cuts rates by 50pts

Kaunas NM 13:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Any views on chf/jpy?

Global-View 13:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn pm. Point taken.

cairns Aussie 13:31 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Coventry Ledge....I was born there too, Kenilworth castle snow sleds, Kersley picking Conkers, ring rd, memories...

NYC PCM 13:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Coventry - Henry wasn't fun! I'll drop you an email

Ldn pm 13:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Jay...an observation......shouldn't comments regarding specific companies research capabilities, or not as the case may be, be treated in the same way as you handle brokers i.e censored....in order to avoid individual preferences !

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I think AUD is a sell for some time

NYC PCM 13:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Coventry Ledge

Cool. I was born on Primrose Hill Street. Family moved to Kenilworth later, but I went to school at Henry VIII. Benn in NYC now for 16 years.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:15 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:10 GMT August 12, 2004
YEP By all means like that one Wait to enter short or SHORT now BAHRAIN??
//
if can go in with slowly +/- 12 pips from the level..would be great
Otherwise just the level...Plenty of time...
:)

Coventry Ledge 13:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM, yes, I'm from there and lived most my life here, I lived in Chicago last year but I'm back in sunny Coventry...lol

Dallas GEP 13:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
YEP By all means like that one Wait to enter short or SHORT now BAHRAIN??

London e 13:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
long USD/CHF position. Moved stop to 1.2551. Going to lunch, had no food yet today. Good trades all.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:04 GMT August 12, 2004
//
EURAUD 1.7179 1.6966
may I suggest?

ct david 13:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd, where is the bottom, anyone?

Tor Pumpkin 13:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
there are some solid offers in usdcad at 1.3280 so i might wait until we pay our way through those odas before getting in.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD 1.3325 1.3183

Dallas GEP 13:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
1.2991 long on GBP/chf

NYC PCM 13:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Coventry. Say are you really in Coventry UK? I grew up there.

GA TJ 12:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Has anyone looked at USDCAD?

Consider a Buy on Goose above 1.3270 if it breaks. Seems that 1.3260 for the past 24 hrs has been an effective ceiling. If it breaks it could go for a few pips. Got to be nimble on that one.

QC WC 12:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, how would you evaluate GBP move? More downside or upside?

hawai xyz 12:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
which is the best site for latest news on majors??

London e 12:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 12:47 GMT August 12, 2004
In my opinion a good trade. We may close Fridays gap now. Im targeting 1.2685, but also trailing stop.

Coventry Ledge 12:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
short euro from 1.2284 need to see a clean of 1.2260 for a run at figure

ct david 12:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
the nzd just seem so reluctant to go down, so strong and bullish

hk ab 12:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Clouy... guess you have exp < 1 year.

GA TJ 12:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Just for craps and grins entered a Swissy buy order at 1.2560. Maybe there will be a muted but slow move from this data. Thinking about other orders now.

NYC PCM 12:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
On sidelines now. At zero for day.............. Not a spot to short for my system. If anything could get a long signal. We'll see.

hk ab 12:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
eur stopped by bc at 1.23 :)

KL KL 12:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Short eurusd 1.2267 sl 20 above, gbpusd 1.8222 sl 30 above, audusd at .7152 sl 15 above....well see how it goes and see the result 4 hours later....need a break...gl

CA Clouy 12:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
US data is not as good as expected. However, the market didn't respond it as fiercely as last friday. $ was going up in 15 post-data minutes. me got confused. :-)

Sydney Alimin 12:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
to me it looks like another preparation for big friday's move

Tor Pumpkin 12:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Retail Sales 0.7/0.2 headline/core respectively.
Revisions to June were good. Headline from -1.1 to -0.5, core from -0.2 to +0.3

houston st 12:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
US RETAIL SALES FOR JULY were up 0.7%, with sales ex-auto up 0.2%. Expectations were for gains of 1.1% and 0.4%, respectively, so this is a bit disappointing. However, June sales were revised to -0.5% from -1.1%, so the sting is not so bad. Ex-auto sales for June were revised to up 0.3% from down 0.2%. Core sales, ex-auto and gasoline, rose 0.3%, same as in June. Building material sales fell 1.1%, gasoline sales fell 0.5% (both sensitive to prices), while sporting goods sales rose 1.3%, furniture sales up 1.1%. These latter two categories, representing discretionary sales, are in pretty good shape. So while the trend in sales is still worrying (most three month averages continue to fall), there are signs that sales are stabilizing. (MNI)

Dallas GEP 12:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Went back in SHORT again on Euro @ 1.2272

bombay a 12:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
what was us rretail sales data???????

London e 12:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Stop at 1.2535

GOLD COAST MARTIN 12:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Too much data for market to digest and react instantly..watch for a gradual euro descend in next hour as market reacts..g/t

Nairobi TN 12:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Anyone wih the US figs?

London e 12:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF re-bought at 1.2520. Stop now back up at 1.235. Not sure about target if not stopped out...

GA TJ 12:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hmmm My stuff is in contradictory mode. Was hoping that this mornings numbers would clear that up. Initial reaction would indicate that thats not going to happen anytime soon. Such is trading.

London ADK 12:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 12:35 GMT August 12 - Be careful what you wish for

ct david 12:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
no $ selloff yet on bad retail data, seems market is not in a hurry to dump $.

Mtl JP 12:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP / some's stops are others entries..
I like your sence of apparent humour.

Melbourne Qindex 12:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:55 GMT August 12, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from my monthly cycle is 1.2187 - 1.2318 and the mid-point reference is 1.2253.


... // 1.2187 - 1.2253 - 1.2318 // ...

Melbourne Qindex 09:57 GMT August 12, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 1.2156* - 1.2172 - 1.2188 // 1.2204 - 1.2220 - 1.2236 - 1.2252 - 1.2268 // 1.2284* ...

NYC PCM 12:35 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
got stopped out on the run just before news.....................phew. Be on the trade.

Dallas GEP 12:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well that was quick 1.2292 stop was DONE

slv sam 12:30 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:38 GMT August 12, 2004
small short $/y at 110.77 target 110.30 s/l 110.90.GT

-13 pips! but still believe we will see $/y at below 110 if not 2day...2moro!.GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
These levels are OK till friday
EURUSD 1.2305 1.2152
USDJPY 111.6458 110.2389
GBPUSD 1.8412 1.8208
USDCHF 1.2709 1.2533
EURCHF 1.5451 1.5377
AUDUSD 0.7211 0.7108
USDCAD 1.3325 1.3183
NZDUSD 0.6608 0.6505
EURGBP 0.6706 0.6650
EURJPY 136.5027 134.6956
GBPJPY 204.3105 201.7783
CHFJPY 88.5714 87.3231
GBPCHF 2.3195 2.2983
EURAUD 1.7179 1.6966
EURCAD 1.6280 1.6102
AUDCAD 0.9542 0.9420
AUDJPY 79.8661 78.8696

Dallas GEP 12:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Shorted euro 1.2271. Can't help myself!!! LOL target 1.2230 stop 1.2292

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD will make a show 0.7190 very dangerous

Sydney Alimin 12:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
what's this latest move? cleaning up stops before the real move?

GOLD COAST MARTIN 12:18 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
CT,,,,DAVID...nzd has not yet peaked but anything with 66+ would be a good level right now at this stage....g/t

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Charlotte, North Carolina svi 11:38 GMT August 12, 2004
kiwi is on the way to catch 0.6648 as the top.

London e 12:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
"London e 08:50 GMT August 12, 2004
Long USD/CHF @ 1.2550 [email protected] [email protected]" //
Removing target, in case of good news. But trailing stop, probably moved to breakeven before 12:30GMT.

Bruxville Jim 12:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
while a break to the upside will target 1.2350+ (might not reach target though)
Potentially the last upturn to load the final portion of shorts...
Great oppt to short if seen.

Tallinn viies 12:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 12:04 GMT - thnks, now I see.
I tend use channels only when they jump to my face, not looking for them. just using to take profits when they are too obvious to ignore

NYC PCM 12:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Took an initial profit on Euro short. Holding remainder with BE stop to play the 8.30am news.

Bruxville Jim 12:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
potentially targeting 1.2160 tonight if > 1.2275 or so not seen.

Bruxville Jim 12:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
viies// Aug 9;11 lows, Aug 10;12 current highs, these lines are parallel.

Melbourne Qindex 12:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Just follow the flow!

Tallinn viies 12:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 11:56 GMT - we have lower low and lower high on daily chart. daily stochastic crossed down from overbought levels....
its down I can tell. cant see downchannel Im afraid

Johannesburg CD 12:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Sell Euro/$ 2260

Dallas GEP 12:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Closed GBP shorts +18 Want to be out prior to data

Antwerp Tom 11:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Viies, summer conditions => minor becomes major

NYC PCM 11:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
anecdotal info for what it's worth.

Retail sales for July in 1/2 hour. My wife owns a store and July sales were way up

ct david 11:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
martin, seems to me the kiwi has not yet peaked. aud/nzd still under heavy pressure and i think that's preventing nzd from falling. any thoughts?

Bruxville Jim 11:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 11:54 GMT // Hourly downward channel?

Antwerp Tom 11:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Too much data coming out. Unless we get some spectacular figures, everybody will interpret to his/her liking and movement prior to figure release will continue imho, i.e. € grinding higher.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:55 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Charlotte, North Carolina svi 11:38 GMT August 12, 2004
sorry my friend, I don't have kiwi chart.
once..sorry..

Tallinn viies 11:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 11:44 GMT - cant see any reason why minor data could change my technical picture

NYC PCM 11:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Morning.
Short Euro here. Need it to move down a little before reports and give me some profit margin. If that happens will hold short thru reports expecting a significant move down.

slv sam 11:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
looks like too many traders are shorting euro!....so may be difficult to see it below 1.2240 today imo.GT

Antwerp Tom 11:44 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi Viies, good to hear from you. You say this regardless of us data 14:30 GMT? GT

Tallinn viies 11:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
good day
by my plan 1,2270/75 will conatin this move up and prices may move down to 1,2190/1,2200 area before NYC close

Global-View 11:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
LAST CALL: If you are a "reasonably" experienced trader and would like to participate in our bi-weekly forex survey, send an email to [email protected] This is not meant to be a slight to our general membership but we are limiting participation as we develop this survey. We will consider a general survey after we build a history in this one.

Bruxville Jim 11:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ad, did I mention e/y?

Charlotte, North Carolina svi 11:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:29 GMT August 12, 2004

any info on kiwi?
Thnks gl & gt

Coventry Ledge 11:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Good Afternoon GER ad, how are you? I'm flat my long euro and short swissie positions ahead of the data, if the data is positive for the dollar i will look to go long eur/usd at around 1.2200 for a move to 1.2290

Bruxville Jim 11:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 11:28 GMT // Exactly, there are ranges all around, but this one's been trending for 10 trading days. Interesting at least... gl.

perrie como 11:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
in my opinion gold will not go into a selling mode, unltill FED sourges higher that 3 pct....

g/l

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD
Level sell : Level Buy :
1.2362 stop loss 1.2380 1.2165 stop loss 1.2145
1.2416 stop loss 1.2430 1.2115 stop loss 1.2060
1.2254 stop loss 1.2305 1.2080 stop loss 1.2055
1.2285 stop loss 1.2305
GBP/USD
Level sell : Level buy :
1.8593 stop loss 1.8625 1.8280 stop loss 1.8260
1.8493 stop loss 1.8515 1.8225 stop loss 1.8200
1.8333-44 stop loss 1.8350 1.8272 stop loss 1.8260
AUD/USD
Level sell : Level Buy :
0.7159 stop loss 0.7170 0.7100 stop loss 0.7085
0.7248 stop loss 0.7260 0.7040 stop loss 0.7000
0.7357 stop loss 0.7375 0.7142 stop loss 0.7120
USD/JPY
Level Sell : Level Buy :
111.88 stop loss 112.00 109.62 stop loss 109.50
110.90 stop loss 111.25
111.14 stop loss 111.25
USD/CHF
Level Sell : Level buy :
1.2669 stop loss 1.2735 1.2416 stop loss 1.2400
1.2715 stop loss 1.2735 1.2560 stop loss 1.2505
1.2669 stop loss 1.2650 1.2540 stop loss 1.2505
LOCO
Level sell : Level Buy :
401.80 stop loss 403.00 391.70 stop loss 389.00
402.70 stop loss 403.00

GER ad 11:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 11:19 GMT
- trend is your friend...
What for a trend? Tuesday you could make money by buying EUR/JPY, Wednesday by selling EUR/JPY and Thursday by buying again EUR/JPY... Look for me more like range trading. GT & GL.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
Gold
after broke suport level at 395.60 and show me 392.80, that's mean price will go to get suport at 391.70 before move up to get level 401.90. Be carefull when price is on the area 401,70 - 402.80 because able to invite selling action. If today move down to get level 391.70-390.40, thats mean high possibility price can move up strong and fast.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
usd/chf
like my view yesterday, price still on the osilation move from level 1.2633 -1.2564-1.2540. The fact is level 1.2636 be broken as the signal to get 1.2669 and now price will move down to look for bottom target ideal at 1.2562 before go higher 1.2669 as the top level before move down again to get target 1.2416. Confirmation to get target 1.2416 or 1.2362 is if show me 1.2505.

perrie como 11:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ref: quito_ecuador_valdez 10:10 GMT August 12, 2004

not so trustable source as saudies are going to finish their reserves, presently covering missing iraqis and yukos sellings, in around 1-2 weeks...

then the game is goin to get tough, maybe bush to authorize alaskan, maybe oil at 60

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
usd/jpy
The current pattern price will move to catch top level at 111.88 and from that level price is danger to move down again, caused by 109.62 not yet be get. Now price will go lower level to get 109.62 and if move up early to get 110.90 will get selling attack. High possibility graph will get respone with buying attack when at 109.62 for shoting level 111.88

LA fxnew 11:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
raden mas:
what is your scenario for gbp/usd?

TIA

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
aud/usd
The current pattern show me price will go to get 0.7248 or 0.7357. Today the graph loose the chance to make target low 0.7040 after found support ideal at 0.7105.now the graph is on the support at 0.7142 and is on the way to broke critical level 0.7178 as the sign to get 0.7248. From level 0.7105, price have possibility move up to shoot level 0.7248 or 0.7357

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:23 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
gbp/usd
the last pattern show me price still on the railway to get minimal level 1.8493 or extreme high 1.8592. Like my view before(yesterday) from area 1.8333 price will get resistant. Today graph loose the chance to get low ideal at 1.8210 although yesterday price broke level 1.8272 as the sign to get low 1.8210 ,so hope to get 1.8210 become not objective hoping level today. Up move from level 1.8272 will get battle when price in area 1.8333.

Sydney Alimin 11:22 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
is today gonna be positive for euro? it seems to be holding well up there ready for continuation...or is this just driven by the terror news?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
my scenario.
eur/usd
Now price is on the level 1.2233 and have high potential tomove up fast to get 1.2254-66 and able to move down again from there. Ideally price will move to get low at 1.2167 (ideal bottom before go to 1.2362 or 1.2416 as the top of middle term). If the fact price be break 1.2167 and show you 1.2150, that's mean prce will go to 1.2080 today. If this scenario come, then price will move very fast from level 1.2080.

Bruxville Jim 11:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 11:09 GMT - trend is your friend...

Melbourne Qindex 11:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Spr Noods 11:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
wow it get more complicated than that! for sure
u actually trade the X?

Plovdiv Gotin 11:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
There is DDE file you need it.

Ldn 11:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
(AP)The complementarity of China's and Australia's economies seems certain to push both nations almost all the way to start negotiating a free trade agreement, officials said Thursday. Two-way Australia-China trade in 2003 totaled A$23.33 billion, with Australian exports to China valued at A$9.08 billion, chiefly comprising raw or lightly processed farm, mineral and energy products. China imported raw materials to the value of around US$100 billion last year so there is a lot of room for expansion of Australian exports
Mark Qiu, vice president of China National Offshore Oil Corp., all but pledged at the conference that Australia would be a favored supply source to meet a massive increase in demand for liquefied natural gas in China. Australia is strong in primary industries, especially citing dairy, and also in the tertiary sector of the economy, such as education, professions, finance and the like. China of course has a massive manufacturing sector. "If China and Australia can't work out an FTA then I don't know which other countries can do it"

Bruxville Jim 11:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/NZD looking like a hot-potato for a week already... cooking fresh lows every day...:)

Slovenia Adel 10:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Thanks plovdiv, I'll give it a try

melbourne farmacia 10:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:29 GMT August 12, 2004
farmacia// you mentioned that 10th Aug was the cycle day for aud and gbp...

Good for very short term only: ie current temp high/low printed on that day - 0.7102 & 1.8418..

Anyway very disturbed today regarding world affairs...

slv sam 10:38 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
small short $/y at 110.77 target 110.30 s/l 110.90.GT

Roumeli anka 10:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
thanks

Melbourne Qindex 10:22 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Roumeli anka 10:20 GMT - Gold : It is possible.

Roumeli anka 10:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex ... may I have your thought on gold? U thing it can reach 392 by the end of week?

Plovdiv Gotin 10:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
See metaquotes.com/net

Slovenia Adel 10:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
censored = the quotes of censored platform od directly from the site

Slovenia Adel 10:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys, does anyone know how can I bring censored quotes and maybe other info to excel? I would like to try and create an automated system(not based on technical indicators).
Thanks to all

Sydney E 10:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hope all there are ok

A state of emergency was declared for all of Florida today, state has faced such a potentially messy plight in almost 98 years.

quito_ecuador_valdez 10:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
This piece of NEWS may be of geopolitical interest as well as THIS and THIS oil quip.

London 10:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
AP)--Nearly 5,000 sympathizers of radical Iraqi cleric Muqtada al-Sadr took to the streets of Basra Thursday demanding that U.S. troops withdraw from Najaf where a major offensive is taking place to crush al-Sadr's militia. Wednesday, al-Sadr loyalists in Basra had threatened to blow up the oil pipelines and port infrastructure there if coalition forces launched a major attack in Najaf. A similar threat Monday caused oil officials to briefly stop pumping from the southern oil wells.

Melbourne Qindex 09:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

quito_ecuador_valdez 09:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
eur lg 09:39 GMT//
GEP and other regulars on this forum are simply masters at the art of day trading forex and my hat goes off to them and am ssuper thankful for their advice and posts. Overall however you'll find that position forex traders survive and profit far beyond what the day traders do. The figure varies but some 90 odd percent of those who enter day trading forex fail for varous reasons. I'm a position trader as well and love my niche. Many position traders on this forum also day trade as well.

Ldn 09:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
S&P: Yukos Watch Neg After Default Notice

Lugano franco 09:49 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
como

also thinking cd will go up hopefully to 50 as next speculators target (and i will try to sell then...) today, now stop reached, i only try to make a fast profit ... i would try to by only sub 44 at 43.30/50 for long.

perrie como 09:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
par .. ref euro inflation...they have simply to act as that, they are nobrainers ol' careers

Gen dk 09:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 09:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
With european inflation at around 2.5% real wages in europ are declining and that together with incredibly high taxes is hurting consumer spending. European countries exceed their 3% budget deficit targets , ECB can not keep inflation below its 2 % target. Why we need all those incompetent institutions. ?

eur lg 09:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
I agree GEP. For trading there should be opportunities to get in and out and in again. I tend not to be too good at the shorter term and speak more from a longer term (2 weeks) positioning instead of trading perspective.

perrie como 09:35 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ref: Lugano franco 09:20

the crude oil CL market is not behaving technically...suggest to buy dips (lotsa smaller amounts) for next round of negative data. The data line could be different going as from other oil companies burdens to the market realizing the production is connected to rafinery problems, which are extremely costly and presently no companies are planning new plants able to work shortly....guess this stuff cd explode sharply higher before trying to stabilize....

g/l

Dallas GEP 09:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
LG I do like eur/jpy long from 135.20 but I like it short from 135,60 and even better from 135.80 with 136.00 stops. 136.50 will be very very difficukt to clear IMO,

Melbourne Qindex 09:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:54 GMT August 12, 2004
USD/CAD : The current expected trading ranges from my 5-day cycle are as follow :-

... 1.3192* // 1.3219 - 1.3245 - 1.3272 // 1.3298* ...

eur lg 09:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Despite yesterdays price action I still like long eur/jpy
- Koreans cut rates today. Could be first sign of panic in asia in response to high oil prices.
- Asian economies are most into manipulating their currencies, thus favor asian currency weakness to pick up the slack.
- Speaking of which oil prices come in higher today again.
- Mkt looking for high retail sales number later today so room to disappoint and eur/usd goes higher.
- Just a matter of time before resitance in mid 136's goes.

Dallas GEP 09:23 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
12-Aug 8:30 AM 7-Aug Initial Claims 338K 340K 336K
12-Aug 8:30 AM Jul Retail Sales +1.2% +1.2% -1.1%
12-Aug 8:30 AM Jul Ret Sls Ex Auto +0.3% +0.4% -0.2%
12-Aug 8:30 AM Jul Import Prices +0.4% -0.2%
12-Aug 8:30 AM Jun Bus Inventories +0.6% +0.4%

Times are EST

Dallas GEP 09:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Tremedous amount of data out in a little over three hours

Lugano franco 09:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
what about crude? thinking to work a sell limit @44.93/95 with stop loss 45.09...possible 3 or 4 consecutive day of top at these level....looking for target around 44.50

Lugano f. 09:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
sorry short 1.5390 stop 1.5415 target 1.5340/45

Bruxville Jim 09:07 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
[07:21 GMT Aug 12th] [EUR/CHF] Offers currently seen 1.5400-1.5415.

1.5399 stop is odd...

slv sam 09:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
closed my short $/y at 110.49 57 pips profits.
longed GBP/us$ at 1.8330 for 60 pips s/l 1.8295.GT

Lugano franco 08:57 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
shorted eur/chf as well @.5370 stop .5399 target .5340/45

Dallas GEP 08:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Shorted GBP/USD @ 1.8330 This may be just a tad early but 1.8360 stop should hold. target 1.8280

Lugano franco 08:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
short eur/usd 1.2270 stop 1.2326 looking for 1.2230/40

London e 08:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Long USD/CHF @ 1.2550 [email protected] [email protected]

Dallas GEP 08:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Well last trade stopped out at 1.2575 ealier (usd/chf long) No way for that to work with break of 1,2240 like I mentioned. GBP holding that 1.8330 line for now. E/Y setting up for nice short as well.

Shorted NZD/USD @ .6580 lookking for .6540.

Gen dk 08:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bruxville Jim 08:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Moskow=advertising robot. Jay&John - is this free-ad space?

Swidnica/Poland profi-forex 08:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
12.08.2004 (2:23am US Time)


TODAY`S US DATA:
08:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 7)PREV. 336k FOR. 340k

08:30 Advance Retail Sales m/m (Jul) PREV.-1.1% FOR. 1.1%

08:30 Retail Sales ex Autos (Jul) PREV. -0.2% FOR. 0.4%

08:30 Import Price Index m/m (Jul) PREV. -0.2% FOR. 0.4%

10:00 Business Inventories (Jun) PREV. 0.4% FOR. 0.5%

14:00 FOMC Meeting Minutes


USD/JPY (CURRENT LEVEL 110.63) - YESTERDAY`S UNSUCCESSFUL TEST 111.40 REGION WEAKED USD NEARLY BY 100 PIPS BROKEN SUPPORT AT 110.70 REGION. MINIMUM DURING JAPANESE SESION - 110.48. NOW WE HAVE BACK TO 110.70/90.THE NEAREST SUPPORT 110.40.

EUR/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2235) - SUPPORT AT 1.2200 HOLD. UNTILL US DATA WE HAVE RANGE 1.2220 - 1.2270. IN OUR OPINION NEXT DIRECTION DEPEND ON ABOVE-MENTIONED US DATA.

USD/CHF (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2580) - RESISTANCES - 1.2630/50 AND 1.2670/1.2700. SUPPORTS - 1.2570, 1.2530 1.2490. IT SEEM LIKE MARKET WAIT FOR TODA`S US DATA.

GBP/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.8307) - SUPPORT 1.8245 AND 1.8200, RESISTANCES - 1.8350 AND 1.8400.

Ldn 08:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Anti-Al-Sadr Army Offensive Starts In Najaf
NAJAF, Iraq (AP)--The sound of heavy gunbattles resonated throughout the holy city of Najaf Thursday, as U.S. forces battled militia loyal to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.


London e 08:20 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Have a stop and reverse to buy USD/CHF at 1.2550 ([email protected]). Trailed stop on short to 1.2575 in case 50 not reached.

Melbourne Qindex 08:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad KZ 08:06 GMT - USD/CAD : It should be okay.

Belgrad KZ 08:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:55 GMT August 12, 2004
Dr.Q I suppose the odds are in favor of taking long positions on USD/CAD. Am I right? I`m long now 1,3225, looking for above 1,33 or at least 3270-80! I would like to see your comments guys. TIA

PAR 08:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ECB still dreaming about price stability while eurpean consumers see prices shooting up. Makes no sense to publish reports which do not reflect reality.

Melbourne Qindex 07:55 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bruxville Jim 07:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
houston ken 07:50 GMT // Want a trend? See GBP/NZD hourly chart... Cheers.

houston ken 07:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
this forex is not working out well the trends are not lasting what is going on?

Coventry Ledge 07:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning, initial target for eur/usd is 1.2290 and for the Swissie 1.2528, will probably book profits ahead of the US data

Goes (NL) B747 07:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:40 GMT August 12, 2004

try 123456789....:-)

gt

slv sam 07:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
LONG CHF: Olympics 2004 security risk....new terrorist threats against USA to coincide with Sep/11....out of control Irak situation....all make CHF the best and safest ccy for short+miduim term...imho.GT

hk ab 07:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 07:29 GMT August 12, 2004

These were known when aud at around 0.51.....

check the 2002 history and you will find that there was a 10 years deal made.

sell aud again now at .7157.

hk ab 07:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
dlr/jpy looks locked...

Ldn 07:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
(AP)Australia In Ideal Spot To Gain From China's Demand

A key Chinese energy executive said Wednesday that Australian liquefied natural gas producers will be favored to meet rampant Chinese demand growth for the fuel. Mark Qiu, chief financial officer and vice president of China National Offshore Oil Corp., said the huge investment and associated risk in LNG means a long-term commitment is needed from both sides to underpin the trade. "Hence we call LNG a relationship commodity," Qiu told an Australian-China trade conference. Given China's surging demand for energy generally, and LNG in particular, there will always be a need to maintain secure and reliable supplies, he said. Australia's North West Shelf joint venture will supply China's first LNG importing terminal in Guangdong province with about 3.3 million metric tons of LNG a year from 2006. Discussion with the partners in the Gorgon gas field offshore northwest Australia in relation to supplying LNG to the US$1.7 billion Zhejiang project is "currently ongoing and there will be more," he said. China's surging economy means it already is the world's second largest energy market, with imports of Australian coal and crude oil, and other commodities such as aluminum and iron ore, having jumped sharply over the past year, he said. These trends put Australia in an ideal position to benefit from China's energy demand growth, he said. He noted that China is potentially accessible to a wide range of oil and gas supplies from many key geographic areas. A recently completed A$2.7 billion expansion lifted the venture's annual capacity to 11.7 million tons. Approval for a further A$1.6 billion expansion up to 16 million tons could be given in the first half of next year, a Woodside spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires in July.



Ldn 07:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
(AP)Australia In Ideal Spot To Gain From China's Demand

A key Chinese energy executive said Wednesday that Australian liquefied natural gas producers will be favored to meet rampant Chinese demand growth for the fuel. Mark Qiu, chief financial officer and vice president of China National Offshore Oil Corp., said the huge investment and associated risk in LNG means a long-term commitment is needed from both sides to underpin the trade. "Hence we call LNG a relationship commodity," Qiu told an Australian-China trade conference. Given China's surging demand for energy generally, and LNG in particular, there will always be a need to maintain secure and reliable supplies, he said. Australia's North West Shelf joint venture will supply China's first LNG importing terminal in Guangdong province with about 3.3 million metric tons of LNG a year from 2006. Discussion with the partners in the Gorgon gas field offshore northwest Australia in relation to supplying LNG to the US$1.7 billion Zhejiang project is "currently ongoing and there will be more," he said. China's surging economy means it already is the world's second largest energy market, with imports of Australian coal and crude oil, and other commodities such as aluminum and iron ore, having jumped sharply over the past year, he said. These trends put Australia in an ideal position to benefit from China's energy demand growth, he said. He noted that China is potentially accessible to a wide range of oil and gas supplies from many key geographic areas. A recently completed A$2.7 billion expansion lifted the venture's annual capacity to 11.7 million tons. Approval for a further A$1.6 billion expansion up to 16 million tons could be given in the first half of next year, a Woodside spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires in July.



Calcutta Vikram 07:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
victor ramasammy....LOL

On Dollar-Yen......the 111.50-112.00 region might be good for selling, IF we reach there within next Friday. Question.....is such a reading asinine seeing that it has almost nil-value in the immediate "here and now"?

saloniko 2004 nk 07:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BC...

Nice pic...
But not too fresh..lol

nk

Rivonia PipPirate 07:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 06:54 Hi, just go where the trade winds blow me.
gbp/$ 08/12/04 poss ranges:
Weekly: R1/S1(18509-18140) R2/S2(18704-17968)
Daily: R1/S1(18427-18171) R2/S2(18482-18115)

in the sauna y/day, chatting to some guys from Mombai, asked if Vikram=victor ramsammy, they said NO vikram is a name:-)gl

saloniko 2004 nk 07:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning...

Ldn 06:59 GMT August 12, 2004
I suggest all here to come and enjoy OLYMPICS 2004 ATHENS..

Will be the the most cool period...without stress under the Sunn.. imo

Still ON short side GBP/J , USD/J, E/J

nk



hk ab 07:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
someone s/l rolled.

hk ab 07:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
some interest in aud/nzd. but seems dlr/jpy could be even better.

Ldn 06:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
FEARS OVER TERROR STRIKE The biggest security operation the world has seen since the 9/11 terror attacks is under way in Athens. skynews.

Calcutta Vikram 06:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Or possibly, the Cable "opportunity" is just a delusion....with 60-70 pips available at best....that, with an equal amount of risk.

Wien GD 06:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Martin ... "my system is calling for the resumption of usd strength ny traiding friday"

Friday PPI numbers ... high oil price ... wouldn't bet on that ... indeed I'm preparing to the opposite.

Calcutta Vikram 06:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PipPirate......you shall certainly live a 1000 years and more. Was just thinking of you. These be ideal waters for you, Me Hearty? Or you play for bigger bounty?

Think we have a decent 100 pip profit opportunity in buying Cable near here, with Stop below 1.8250

hk ab......Salutations.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 06:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
HK..I sense that even the C9S are getting restless....lol

Rivonia PipPirate 06:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
$/chf 08/11/04 poss ranges:

Daily: R1/S1(12650-12524) R2/S2(12714-12461)

$/chf 08/12/04 poss ranges:

Daily: R1/S1(12676-12550) R2/S2(12740-12487)

Ahoy Vikram.

hk ab 06:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ah pak sending confidence to see dlr/jpy 112.....interesting.
don't rush, don't rush and do it QUIETLY.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 06:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
HK..AB..time waits for no man..go on your vacation ,be happy ...the market will still be here when you comeback....g/t

hk dad 06:46 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
you're welcome son, or is it daugther? now, if you could cut down on those ab aba outbrusts, your dady will give you more freebies.

hk ab 06:43 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
will limit at 1.2555 hit?

hk ab 06:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Revdax//if you could recall, dlr/chf dropping suspiciously usually turns out to a major attack.

Ldn 06:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bin Laden hints major assassination
http://www.washtimes.com/national/20040811-123531-3824r.htm

hk ab 06:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
another one waiting at 1.5375 for eur/chf.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 06:33 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ct david 06:23 GMT August 12, 2004
N speciific catalyst but a combination of USD strength,a weakening of its cousin the aussie and summer volatility...g/t

hk ab 06:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Quack Down Noise.....

farmacia// you mentioned that 10th Aug was the cycle day for aud and gbp...

So, you supposed they have marked the top already?

Brooklyn mhi 06:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:00 GMT August 12, 2004
don't mind other posts too much, adding QDN levels on aud.

Whar "QDN" levels? ty

hk ab 06:26 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
sth wrong with aud today though, take care. I would exit and see what's going on.

U.K. J.B. 06:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Bottom line is P+L Hopefully the former. Does not matter how u achieve it day trading, short term , medium term long term
Everyone has their own style of trading, i know mine...

GOLD COAST MARTIN 06:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Brooklyn mhi 06:05 GMT August 12, 2004
While the momentum did began it has stalled..momentarily due the markets ''doubting THOMAS"" syndrome where the euro longers need more convincing in order to adjust their positions..this is inevitable...my system is calling for the resumption of usd strength ny traiding friday...one thing i stress is that the time frame given by my system is not specifically accurate to the tdading hour or the session that it predicts...it is not a black box....g/t

hk ab 06:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Forget to thanks "hk dad" as he always generally give contrarian view on dlr/jpy....

112 soon?

limit 110.45 wasn't hit last night, PITY.
now oda is at 110.50.

ct david 06:23 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
thanks martin, although i have to say the picture you've painted seems a bit unrealistic, kiwi already tested supported last night at .6480, you are saying it does down there today and then back up to only 30 points higher than current price on friday and monday then sell off from there? What is the catalyst? Seems too choppy and volatile for the nzd. But of course u could be right. GT

hk ab 06:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:11 GMT August 12, 2004

climbs the wall, falls like a river.
When the string of unwelcome data came, they can't immediately cut their rates with like 1-2% pace.
And 0.8% increase seems to me could be within a statistical error range.

Sometimes when you look at those eurozone data, things like 0.1%, 0.2%.... You may not aware the difference between 3.8/4.0 but you may care about +0.1/-0.1......
Lord of the rings working behind....

Calcutta Vikram 06:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
If I were a Range Trader
-----------------------
If I were a Range Trader
I'd never have to Stop my Loss
a biddy-biddy-biddy-biddy-bum
I'd never have to work hard
If I were a RANGE TRADER!!

(sung to the tune of "If I were a Rich Man")
Disclaimer (lest I set off a storm in a teacup)......the above is with all respect and deepest admiration for Range Traders

U.K. J.B. 06:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Goldcoastmartin

This day trading to much like hard work and you eventually miss the bigger picture

Brooklyn mhi 06:16 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:06 GMT August 12, 2004
Imho I only see dollar strength. oil in the sky. (much more that 4 weeks ago) elections getting closer bad numbers out of US economy, War in in Iraq and Dollar stronger that 4 wweks ago. This tells me Dollar "strong", BOE of England raised, and cable just not picking up.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 06:14 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
CT DAVID...let me stress that while i have supported the USD for the past 7 months i will be the first to cut the relationship when my system tells me to ... despite the overall downward bias there is always a trade is within a trade whether long or short...Should you wish to long nzd short term a good level would be 6475 with a target of 6585..before KIWI starts to fall over the cliff towards a medium term level of 6350 and long term 59...timeframe for the short term NZD long is entry:end of fridays ny session..exit:end of ny session tuesday....should you want day trade, long euro at bottom end of my trading range of 1225 or better 1210 if you can get it with target of 12280-90....g/t

U.K. J.B. 06:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
London Paul 00:01
Thank you for your response , i went to bed after i posted so just noticed your reply. I would not dispute that but i tend to look at daily/weekly charts, for me they give me a better picture. We have a nice channel res. on the weekly 1.6225/1.5825 range. I managed to get a nice move from 1.64 down to 1.62 which i posted on the forum, did not expect the final push to 1.5800 though.

Ldn 06:11 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
And little people helping the Kiwi FWIW..Retail Sales data out today sparked further debate on an October rate hike by the RBNZ. Q2 retail sales came in at +0.8% from Q1, higher than the expected 0.2%. June Adjusted Retail Sales came in at +1.3% against May, consensus was at +0.5%. Some analysts believed it was now a 60% chance that another 25 basis point rise in October would happen. It is universally accepted by market observers that the RBNZ will raise rates 25 basis points on September 9th to
6.25%.

Ldn 06:06 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Brooklyn mhi I feel the Aud will firm short term 72.50-73.50 , as long as we see weakness across the board with the Dollar , from there feel it will pull back to 65-68,time frame is 4 weeks further out see (1-3 yrs the euro/usd 140 !! Commodities are in a bullish mode for some time to come and the Aud will benefit. The years of Asia crisis are over (especially with the recovery on its way in Japan (not to mention China) But I have no crystal ball .

slv sam 06:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
good morning/evening!
chf is ready to show us its muscle...are we going to see sub 1.53 e/chf anf sub 1.25 in $/chf by Friday Asia? GT

Brooklyn mhi 06:05 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Sorry to be a pest but what happened !!??
'' Expect the rate of accelation of the euro and aud that i posted on the 31st of july, to commence tonite and the first port of call is for the euro and aud to give back the pips that it gained last friday....g.t
Am still waiting

hk ab 06:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
limit 1.5400 long eur/chf.

hk dad 06:03 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
dollar going down the tube with dollaryen heading down to 107 again.

CA Clouy 06:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GOLD COAST MARTIN 05:58 GMT August 12

Martin, can you also give the range for usd/jpy and usd/chf, plz? TIA.

hk ab 06:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
poor german data?

hk ab 06:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
don't mind other posts too much, adding QDN levels on aud.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 05:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
HK...AB..market direction will resume by commencement of ny trading friday after all forthcoming DATA is released and digested...While the rate hike provided a resumption to the downward bias of the euro, the market needs more concrete evidence in order to descend further...There are still euro longers who are in denial and refuse to change direction and as a result they are still holding long positions that are holding up the train....the market cannot stay directionless for much longer and seek refuge in very tight trading ranges...for today and early tommorrow expect my post of 3 days ago to still apply...market to trade between 12225-12285...g/t

hk ab 05:54 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Vikram.... DTM currency.. neew accronym.

ct david 05:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
mhi, he seem to be just the opposite of martin, except martin actually gives u predictions on price movements. If martin could tell us when to long aud or nzd, that would be better.

Spr Noods 05:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
depends on whether you can think the Chinese 1.2170 DNT would be defended with vigor?
perhaps you can look at Dlryen a bit triangular ie range?

Calcutta Vikram 05:47 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Fresh, "from the mint" view.....
Euro continues to remain in a "Don't Trade Me" mood. A 75-100 point move on either side of the current rate is possible today, with no reliable way of figuring out which way the cookie will crumble. Note that the 200-MA on the 4-hourly is at 1.2236 and on the Daily is at 1.2228. The market seems to be in equilibrium, with no drivers moving it in the immediate context.

This can be an ideal time for expert range traders. Cheers.

CA Clouy 05:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ne one here considering eur/usd short @.2240, around yesterday high? any input is welcomed. GL & GT

Brooklyn mhi 05:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 05:36 GMT August 12, 2004
You r so bullish on aud/usd and $bearish that you will nonly post any bullish that appearson aud/usd

Singapore Sfx 05:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
sorry mate .. 7159 was bid and given - thats been the high.

hk ab 05:40 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
martin// after the hike, how long do you think we need to wait before big move resumes?

Singapore Sfx 05:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
mhi .... interbank 7159 paid .. 7158 bid the high.

Ldn 05:36 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD concern over the rate of growth in the U.S. economy in coming months and thus the pace
of Fed rate hikes brings the high yielders back into focus. There is also the belief that the summer holiday season, combined with the Olympics will produce a fortnight of USD range trading, which also benefits the high yielding currencies
as a short-term haven. A Strategy of buying dips is favored. The employment release was slightly less than the 27.5K forecast, at 21.6K, with the unemployment rate at 5.7% from 5.6%, but the leading indicators all point to strong employment growth through the balance of the year.
IFR

Brooklyn mhi 05:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx
Could you please
tell me the high ask in aud/usd tonight 4:45gmt -5:30 gmt

Singapore Sfx 05:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
mike - congratulations mate ... unfortunately - been lots of minutes like that tho ...

yvr mike 05:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 05:02 // Wow, that was me! I'm famous - woohoo!

Sin Sam 05:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Rye NY,

This is a really good article for reference. Looking forward to more posts with such content.

Cheers mate.... :)


Singapore Sfx 05:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
compare that with this -

in the minute just gone .. 0459 gmt ..
ONE, repeat ONE deal took place globally , on EBS ... zzzzzzzzzzz

Singapore Sfx 04:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Rye, NY et - Thanks for that post.

Rye, NY et 04:45 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   

Here: (from the Financial Times)...

FX trading volumes hit record on data
By Jennifer Hughes in New York
Published: August 11 2004 20:08 | Last updated: August 11 2004 20:08
The dollar's wild gyrations on Friday following US jobs data resulted in record dealing volumes as billions of dollars changed hands in a single minute.
EBS, the interbank spot dealing platform that dominates trading in the leading currency pairs, said it saw a record 1,088 deals in the 60 seconds following the release. This was more than 10 times the levels normally seen at that time of day.
The unexpectedly weak payrolls report took traders by surprise and sent the euro 2 cents higher against the dollar in as many minutes an extremely rare occurence.
The deals on EBS in that minute were worth $3.9bn, according to the broker, which sees average daily volume worth about $100bn.
“I'm amazed that anyone would put prices in [deal] such volumes at that time,” said Chris Furness, senior currencies strategist at 4Cast economic consultancy, who said trading in large volumes at such a volatile time could be “career suicide”.
Traders reported a rare “gapping” in the price where bid/offer spreads no longer overlap at that time.
“Prices just disappeared from the screens. It's difficult to see how that much volume did go through,” said one spot trader who declined to be named.

The previous record on EBS was more than 900 deals in a minute on June 3 2002.









Rye, NY et 04:41 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Last Friday

chester wb 04:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
farmacia--sounds good-thanks

melbourne farmacia 03:59 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
chester wb - re: email... based on Gbp/Usd now... from 1.8463 - 1.8242... spread fibo levels etc.. If cable's sold off big time from one of those points... input data via calculator link... & aim for projection targets etc... GT

Ina co'z 03:56 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hello al...!

Got resistance for aud/usd at 0.7240/50...IMO..gl/gt...

Melbourne Qindex 03:48 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

CA Clouy 03:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GEP// u learnt FX trading by yourself? Do you feel it's important to take courses? or can survive with self-reading books?
BTW, 30 min Stoch usd/chf shows the bottom of each wave are lower and lower, from yesterday till now, which corresponds the price flow, no divergence in other words. Did you count this when u started to long the pair? TIA.
GL & GT

Dallas GEP 03:32 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Clouy, NEITHER Dual degreed in Accounting and Information Systems

houston st 03:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 02:34 GMT -- we have a atmospheric trough that is keeping the bad stuff away for now, otherwise production platforms and Mt. Belvieu would be shut down and oil would go to $50... we could actually use some rain at the moment and I hope to see some by this weekend...summer trading lull here in my shop, but like any trader I'm always looking for opportunity...perhaps BC could be persuaded to give us his thoughts now that NFP and FOMC have come and gone....good trades to you and I hope you weather all the storms headed your way.

CA Clouy 03:21 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 03:17 GMT August 12
Your reply is appreciated. Are you major in finance or ur simply a MBA? :)

Dallas GEP 03:19 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW, uncertain athis time if not 1.8330 THEN probably 1.8360.

Dallas GEP 03:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
YEP much earlier at 1.3257 and also AUD/CAD at .9470

chester wb 03:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
gep-did you short cad ?

Ldn 03:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
PONTIAC, Mich. (AP)--A letter containing white powder and a message claiming it was anthrax showed up in the mayor's mail Wednesday, prompting authorities to lock down city offices and send people to a hospital for decontamination.

LA fxnew 03:12 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Hi GEP:

Do you see 1.8330 as top for today?
Thanks

Brisbane L 03:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
The Shanghai Gold Exchange, China's sole gold exchange, plans to launch deferred trading for 99.95% purity gold bullion on a trial basis Monday, an exchange official said Thursday.

Dallas GEP 03:00 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Clouy, the MACD is generally the MOST important indicator. When it is going DOWN, that indicates a SELL on Rallies strategy When it is going UP that idicates a BUY on DIPS strategy. The reason I use 30 minute timeframes is that I beleieve it works the BEST for me from a daytrading standpoint.

hk ab 02:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, if it closes above 81, the weekly broad SHS will be vanished...
harder guess then.

CA Clouy 02:50 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 02:42 GMT August 12
Thx a lot GEP. I'll put this trade into my demo and study the charts. Besides macd and stochastic, any other charts u favor?

It's really nice of you to spend ur trading time to reply my questions. People like you make this forum great.
GL & GT

Dallas GEP 02:42 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Clouy, session to session continuations can often occur. Look at 30 minute timeframe. IF usd/chf DOESN't Break DOWN, technically it is a VERY good long. Assumptions made: eur/usd tops near 1.2240. Stochs oversold. It is NOT tho in my mind PERFECTLY clear. I give it maybe a 70% chance from this level. Range will be tight howvever IMO

Brisbane L 02:37 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
NZ's June Guest Nights +15% On Year; Rising Trend
Statistics New Zealand said the underlying trend in guest nights has been increasing since June 1998.
The Otago region recorded the largest absolute increase of 44,000 nights, or 27%, followed by Canterbury, up 42,000 nights, or 19%, and Auckland, up 42,000 nights, or 13%.
NZpress

Lord of the Rings may be ??? amazing

Calabash TarHeel 02:34 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
houston st 02:24 GMT August 12, 2004

Hello st, tropical storm Bonnie was supposed to drop by, give you a hug and kiss, however being a fickle female she has changed her mind.
Trust all is well with you.

Take Care

CA Clouy 02:29 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Evening GEP. Hourly chart and 30 min charts show that usd/chf are still going to drop a bit, though stochastic gives a strong o/s. Can i please know the reason u put ur long @ this .2598? TIA.
GL & GT

melbourne farmacia 02:28 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:53 GMT August 12, 2004
I need to open another bottle of red..... finish it.. then maybe u see Aud/Jpy 80.....hehe

Montréal Taro 02:27 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BC - Hopefully you'll have pictures of the victims as well!!

houston st 02:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BC -- hope they have strong hearts...thanks for the photo.

Melbourne Qindex 02:17 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 02:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
LOOKS LIKE Cheech and Chong

shanghai bc 02:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   

ST -- Good morning.. A picture of two life guard on the newly opened Chinese nude beach..

Dallas GEP 02:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Went ahead and took usd/chf long from 1.2598, sTOP 1.2575 AND tp 1.2630

Ldn 02:09 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc thank you BC :-) AB lets put it this way BC is at the eye of the storm and can see all

hk ab 02:08 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
bc// but under Mr. Wen order, won't the 2nd leg be much delayed till next year? your view appreciated.

GOLD COAST MARTIN 02:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
When there is no fluid market flow ""the uridashi phenomenon"" appears to upstart the aud.....g/t

houston st 02:04 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
BC--good morning....surprised to see you here with China's first nude beach opening today...market seems quieter than normal today, and that's the naked truth! good trades to you... :)

shanghai bc 02:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   

AB -- Good morning..It is "Uridashi"..Literally means "bargain"..In any case,Japanese withdraw money from Australia and invest in China..And then,Chinese bring the same money plus more of their own money to Australia..It is as simple as that..Time lag is the only issue here..

TARO -- Good morning..Please do so via GVI..

hk ab 02:02 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
ldn// do you think thy have confidence to long above 80?...

needs conviction....

Sydney 02:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Australia jobs data a little softer than expectations but "neither here nor there", economist at ANZ. Says monthly data is volatile, "at the margin it could take the pressure off the RBA for an early interest rate rise but there is still plenty of anecdotal evidence of skill shortages and upward pressure on wages out there." RBA to still regard labor market as tight and posing threat of rising wages growth despite slight rise in jobless rate in July, Westpac economist Andrew Hanlan. Month's labor force report showing strong 21,600 rise in jobs is "solid result," he says, noting jobless rate has been below 6.0% for long time. Weakness in full-time jobs just a correction from strength last month, he says.
AP.

Ldn 01:58 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hk ab dont think they were talking about today !!
but coming ;-)

hk ab 01:53 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
hey, where are those "uridishi" talk this morning? aud/jpy dumping under 79 again.

hk ab 01:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
bc// Good morning.

Montréal Taro 01:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc
May I aske Jay for your email ?

KL KL 01:39 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Now waiting for tonight some US economic figure.....all cashed up and waiting to pounce...playing the index for the time being 10-20 pips here and there.....all currency seems in line dance now so better not get involved now..

shanghai bc 01:31 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   

Not many big players around in Euro market in summer market recently..So, selling around 1.23 and buying around 1.22 by Asian players were enough to kick around Euro for a few days..Things may change if Oil drops and Eur/Jpy drops too as a side-show, dragging down Eur/usd..Usd/Jpy may drop too as a side-effect..Forex market has turned into Oil derivatives market recently..Fwiw..

Dallas GEP 01:24 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
OK now have a buy order waiting on usd/chf @ 1.2595 with stop @ 1.2575 and TP @ 1.2630

Dallas GEP 01:13 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Mixed signals regrading dollar strength. Seem in London and US, main thrust was sell usd on rallies. USD/CAD relatively high compared to usd/chf so not much help in indicating whta the dollar might do in Asia. 1.2230 and 1.8320 would have been EXCELLENT sell levels earlier. NOW it may be debatable.

Dallas GEP 00:52 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
RE: eur/jpy I would be kind of surprised to see e/y much below 135.00 today. Could happen but looks to be baseing around 135.10

Spotforex NY 00:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
China's July Consumer Prices Rise 5.3%, Biggest Gain in 7 Years

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) -- China's consumer prices rose last month at their fastest pace in more than seven years as food costs surged, making it harder for the central bank to avoid raising interest rates.

Ldn 00:51 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
FOREX POINTS: Is the Patient Dead?
You would think it looking at FX price action for the past 10 hours one can easily come to that conclusion

Ldn 00:25 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
US budget deficit soars in July
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/3557044.stm

Brisbane L 00:10 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
Click to listen ..FxMax's Bennett: Fed Decision, Dollar Outlook, Treasuries Listen
Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Clifford Bennett, chief strategist at FxMax, talks with Bloomberg's Bernard Lo from Sydney about the decision by the Federal Reserve's policy-setting Federal Open market Committee to raise the benchmark interest rate a quarter-point to 1.5 percent, the outlook for the dollar and Treasuries.
LINK

London Paul 00:01 GMT August 12, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 21:16 GMT August 11, 2004: Yr Eur/Can seems to be bouncing on the hrly uptrend line, could see a push higher assuming it continues to hold here, to test 1.6220-30 level

 




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