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Forex Forum Archive for 08/13/2004

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Dallas GEP 23:31 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Anyone had current price on GBP/JPY please???

Sydney gvm 21:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Can someone tell me where September Gas Oil on IPE closed - thanks in advance

perrie como 21:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
nice olimpyc openings.....compliments greece


btw could be nice market openings next week too, but It takes another round on commodities and dollar to move stocks and bonds sharply

have a nice long w/e I ll go trekking

HK [email protected] 20:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Looks like the technical foundation for gold to have a swift move to 445$/Oz has been established...Needs only a spark to send it up.

Gen dk 20:13 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 20:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
As one of my platform closes I left gbp/jpy shorts OPEN from 203.90. Usd.cad longs and gbp/chf longs were also left open.

Ldn 20:01 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD pulled back sharply Friday, stung by a surge in the US trade deficit to its widest level ever. The shocking expansion in June's trade gap, far greater than economists had forecast, re-awakened worries over structural weaknesses that face the greenback. Other data, including softer-than-expected wholesale inflation and consumer sentiment data, also burdened USD. reuters.
See you all next week ;-)

London 19:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Gold futures on the Comex division of the New York
Mercantile Exchange rallied over $4.50 per ounce Friday on fund and dealer buying spurred by the pronounced decline in the U.S. dollar.Dealers agreed that gold's bias had been rising in recent days anyway as the historically high price of oil poses a threat to global economic growth and the commencement of the Olympic Games in Greece raises terrorism concerns. As a result, sources agree that further U.S. dollar attrition could spur Dec gold futures higher stillover the coming days, targeting the $403, $405 and $407-$408 levels initially. "We're definitely in a bullish mood right now but there's congestion overhead that leads me to think the upside is limited above $410," said a floor dealer with a U.S. commission house. "But we wouldn't be surprised if we get a few dollars higher from here over the next few days," he added.
reuters.

GER ad 19:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Lond USD/CAD at 1.3080 for the next week.
Have a nice weekend.

boston mpd004 19:24 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
correction eur/jpy...sorry

boston mpd004 19:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
like dallas says, couldn't help myself, short gbp/jpy @ 136.92....tight stop

boston mpd004 19:14 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Barhain/within 10 pips// Thanks for posting your site, but, I had already gone there a few days ago and printed everything out. I thought there was another form of the site. But, I'm still confused about the range that you suggested this early morning and the prices that you post on the site. But, I'm a quick study and I guess by paying closer attention in the weeks to follow, I'll catch on. No need right now to explain the differances, I'll get it piece by piece as I go. Thanks, good luck, good trading.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:59 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/
Sure

CA Clouy 18:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:46 GMT August 13, 2004
I am an expert in telling where currencies are not going...rather then going...

Hehe. do u feel short eur/usd order @ 1.2370, s/l 1.2400, t/p 1.2350 ok? TIA. GL & GT

boston mpd004 18:48 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain/within ten pips// is it possible that I may get your web site in order to visit also? tia

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 18:25 GMT August 13, 2004 ///
I am an expert in telling where currencies are not going...rather then going...
I Know!!... little strange

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:44 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
if export the site to excel...
and chart it...will be very clear

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
any of those levels are possible (time with it)
they don't stay there very long...
the levels in site are where they can not be...rather then where they are going

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:36 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 18:25 GMT August 13, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:12 GMT
Next week more like the euro is down

may i plz know how do u get this trend direction? everywhere is talking about .2400 eur because of the weak usd data. TIA.

///
not much diffrence if your'e going for 1.5 fig
Stratifed levels on that 50 points would good
say an order every 15 pips...and increase the lots with levels

CA Clouy 18:34 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain//here is an excerpt from ur site:
Sun-Aug-15 05:00 PM 1.2639
are u suggesting eur/usd is going up to that high? even 1.35+? This probably a stupid question though.
TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Both CA And Boston...I really appreciate it.
10*Spread is just a crude estimation of what the levels can offset with in a natural way..
I don't use stops...they always hit...so
It's just a thing I recommend...cause people ask for stops

CA Clouy 18:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:12 GMT
Next week more like the euro is down

may i plz know how do u get this trend direction? everywhere is talking about .2400 eur because of the weak usd data. TIA.

boston mpd004 18:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
bahrain/within // jst was looking at your ranges @ 04:31 gmt and checking the days ranges, most of the ones I checked were really amazing. gl gt

houston st 18:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
crude making new highs: $46.45 and climbing.

CA Clouy 18:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain//Not a problem. I am trying my best to learn, not earn now. I just visited ur website, a cool one, for traders. :).
still waiting the 30min chart stoch form a lower top on eur/usd to short around 1.2360ish. but too many usd bearish views now. Last time learnt from GEP that charts sometimes are not accurate, at least in s-term.
can i plz know the reason why u put s/l as spread*10? TIA.
GL & GT.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:15 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Oh well...not bad week I guess

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Generally..Use these
Next week more like the euro is down
Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2369 1.2021
USDJPY 112.02 108.77
GBPUSD 1.8622 1.8156
USDCHF 1.2701 1.2300
EURCHF 1.5446 1.5264
AUDUSD 0.7255 0.6992
USDCAD 1.3292 1.2964
NZDUSD 0.6644 0.6378
EURGBP 0.6734 0.6609
EURJPY 137.6898 133.5534
GBPJPY 206.0510 200.0717
CHFJPY 89.6624 86.7991
GBPCHF 2.3254 2.2752
EURAUD 1.7475 1.7005
EURCAD 1.6327 1.5929
AUDCAD 0.9496 0.9203
AUDJPY 79.9151 77.4775

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:09 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 17:47 GMT August 13, 2004 ///
Sorry about Your S/L for yen..

Bruxville Jim 17:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Guys, stop ignoring the Opening Ceremony, OK? Next one will take 4yrs to come (btw maybe we'll then already trade the next host's currency:))

CA Clouy 17:47 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
FYI, and for example:
Option barriers are not proving as influential in [EUR/USD]'s run higher with both the 1.2350 and 1.2370 structures knocked out and sights turning to 1.2400. Further Usd declines are unanimously expected though with very weak data eating into prior Fed tightening calls and this combined with the underlying US deficit worries possibly enough to relight the stalled Usd downtrend.

CA Clouy 17:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT August 13
Thx GEP. it's good to know u will stay around.
Yes, last couple of weeks, friday retracement didn't happen till the very next monday. I just visited some sites, and comments of bearish usd all around. but I am still into either eur/usd short or usd/jpy long. me bad

GL & GT.

Bangkok bkk 17:34 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: Strong Downside Support

Fundamental point of view:
As crude oil continued to lead the market moves. Japan imported almost all its oil consumption. It is expected that high oil price will affect the economic performance. Plus weaker than expected Q2 GDP(release this morning) also hurt JPY. Market concerned that may be weaken further as oil surged higher recently.

Positional Trade: LONG @ current price 110.75 , Stop loss at 110.35 , Target order at 112.00

LA fxnew 17:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP:
DO you see gbp/usd 1.8460 as its top for the rest of next week? Or it will hit 1.87xx ??

Thanks

Surabaya Medallion 17:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Whoa, what a day. I am glad that I am not selling Euro at 1.227. :) With today bad datas, only CPI stands in the way before the next NFP. Looking forward for for 1.24 at Asian session on Monday.

Dallas GEP 17:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Actually I am here for a couple more hours probably. USD/CAD has a tendancy to be one of the pairs that retrace MORE compared to some of the others as weekend closes approach. With that in mind If 1.3080 holds we could see a close around 1.3120/30. Last few times I have predicted some retracements it DID NOT happen on Friday but DID early on Sunday Euro 1.2320-1.2340 area should be it's close

Global-View Research 17:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dollar Perspective...Some Lists (FXA)

It is no mystery that I have been a dollar bear through much of the last two years (no not from the highs of 2002, but not far from them). Why am I still bearish? Especially why after issuing a buy recommendation several months back at 1.27 in the euro? Stubborn? Misled? Misunderstood? Wrong? None of the above. I believe...is all. Markets are not subject to scientific laws entirely and maybe not mainly. They (valuations) exist as a collective expression of the beliefs of participants. And in the current quarter of an infinite match or game, the collective whole is pretty divided in its beliefs. An insufficient number feel committed to a lower or higher dollar, while the majority are noncommittal. It smacks of a reasonable equilibrium. Euro/dollar at 1.20-1.24 is more or less a level where markets see fair valuation. Equally one could argue that dollar/yen has found an equilibrium range in the 105-115 area. There is no case right now for a major miss-pricing in these two major exchange rates. Hence it makes sense to trade the range until conditions change sufficiently to shift collective psychology. Equilibriums are temporal. Today's fair value can quickly be tomorrow's miss-pricing. Which brings me to two more questions - what conditions can change and why do they favor a weaker dollar...eventually? See full story in our new reseacrh section CLICK HERE

Wien GD 17:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP: would you agree that we could see some (USD) reversals (profit taking) now ... f.e. USD/JPY or USD/CAD ... I consider to long some USD pairs ... too early?

CA Clouy 17:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP, i guess u'r going to be off soon. may i plz have ur view on shorting eur/usd @.2360ish? TIA.
GL & GT

Gen dk 16:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 16:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GD Thanks, it is very hard to follow me because I myself never know where the censored I am going so we will both up being lost

LOL

CA Clouy 16:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thx u Jim. That range backup the selling idea. :) The strange thing is that, eur/jpy bounced back from 137.00 barrier, but eur/usd was not affected much. Ppl still have no faith in usd? views are appreciated.

UAE Oil man 16:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Nice one , cumino, so the curves get deformed..I'll have to look at that!

Wien GD 16:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hi, where is Gold Martin? ... me remembers of his bullish USD talks - did I miss something?
Quite happy I prefered to listen to my guts (:)

That's one of the most important trading rules I've learned: Never, never follow your wishes, your imaginations ... never never prefer a stock or a currency or a commodity or a direction they should go ... never!

Simply follow the markets ... the charts ... and (copied from another board):
"Trade like a mercanary guerrilla. We must fight on the winning side and be willing to change sides readily when one side has gained the upper hand."

For sure that's one reason why f.e. GEP is a very successful trader ... I never have heard of him, that he prefers one currency ... did you? ... he simply follows the meat ... either way.

GEP thx ... have learned a lot from you ... follow your trading style since about a year ... and I'm indeed going to be profitable!
Within currencies and stocks.
Thx!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

pd cumino 16:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Too much difficult for me IGROK, I'm a poor mind. Only I know thet interventions reduce imp. vol. expected, and that the equilibrium point near the opposite interests cannot be maintained. This opens some option strategies. I NEVER lost during 30 years. GL.

London e 16:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bought USD/CHF 1.2387. Not comfortable with this. Out at breakeven. Good weekend to you all.

houston st 16:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
crude $46.30 high; $46.20 current...to coin a phrase from a trader on GVI, "mind your risk."

Dallas GEP 16:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bought usd/cad at 1.3080...stop 1.3060...1.3120

London e 16:37 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bought USD/CHF 1.2387.

L.A. Igrok 16:29 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 16:12 GMT August 13, 2004///

Also makes sense. But overall the point of view mostly depends on the position size. It seems nice to be able to rob a virtual dealer out of a few bucks stealing them from his own pocket on behalf of BoJ. On the opposite at the same time it could become a real pain in the neck if and when you need to place a trade in the real market under such circumstances.

Bruxville Jim 16:26 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 16:11 GMT // 1.2170-1.2370 DNT...

Bangkok bkk 16:13 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD
First Long order filled @ 1.3100 (1/2 position) ....... ;)

pd cumino 16:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Viva la difference IGROK!! At least 30% of the reasons I trade FX is just because there are CBs sometimes involved.

CA Clouy 16:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Anyone thinking about short eur @.2350ish?
1. 30min chart gives a slightly bearish signal
2. 1.2360 held, Dr. Q's 1.2357 handle.
3. possible correction after a big amount jump on this pair.
4. ... no idea. :-)
any view is appreciated.
GL & GT

vancouver PB 16:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
going in the weekend on Friday the 13th....

awe....

the only thing you need to know about me is:

I LIKE MY WOMEN LIKE I LIKE MY HIGHBALLS....

LOADED WITH SCOTCH AND AGED 16 YEARS.

Calcutta Vikram 16:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the insight, Igrok.
Will be in touch with you via e-mail.

Have just taken a "counter" Short in Cable with a very narrow Stop Loss, while retaining my Long from 1.8231.

Cheers all, Good Night and good weekend. Will see if I can catch the Oympic Opening Ceremony.

L.A. Igrok 15:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Vikram/// I don't think it is more difficult to trade the market nowadays than it used to be 7-10 or even 5 years ago. The market is a bit different post DM and since the euro introduction but for as long as the volatility stays at present levels there shouldn't be a problem. The only times I hate are those when CBs get involved on a big scale or if there are some liquidity problems. I'm also looking forward to start trading yuan. There should be a lot fun if they let it go.

melbourne farmacia 15:49 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
lnd 15:34 GMT August 13, 2004
Fibo stuff.....See Archive @ Nov 03 ... GT

Rivonia PipPirate 15:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
$/cad 07/11/04 poss ranges:

Daily: R1/S1(13325-13113) R2/S2(13351-13086)

What goes up must come down
Spinnin' wheel got to go 'round
Talkin' 'bout your troubles it's a cryin' sin
Ride a painted pony let the spinnin' wheel spin
Someone wanna change the CD, it's like a stuck record

Calcutta Vikram 15:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
That post was for .....lnd 15:34

Calcutta Vikram 15:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ind....I was just going to write to you when my Net crashed...
You HAVE to go through the grind - at least 2-3 years - before the market starts smiling on you. Take the analogy of ANY sportsman/ athlete and you'll understand what I am saying.

Spend more time on Trading Tactics/ Techniques than on Technical Indicators and maybe you'll get there faster. Cheers

UAE Oil man 15:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Yes volatility, a directional move..

lnd 15:34 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 15:04 GMT: where can i learn about swing cycle?

ps thank you all for your replies. this is a very useful forum especialy for new traders like myself who hope not to be a part of the churning process and make it into the oldie camp. gl and gt to all.

NY Raider19 15:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
LTCM were great vol sellers.

hong kong nt 15:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
...getting expensive to send letters by mail...

Goes (NL) B747 15:31 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:24 GMT August 13, 2004


first, thank you !!!

GBP/JPY is big time short; the only issue I am not sure about is when the free fall will start, so I backup all GBP/JPY short positions with 1:8 leverage - yes 1:8 leverage.
when the free fall will start within the next 10days I will move to 1:20-40 leverage; I hope my tactic sharing would help you to plan your tradings better (even if maybe you do not agree with me).

gt

London e 15:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 15:20 GMT August 13, 2004
Newbie question. What is VOLS? Some kind of volatility derivative or something? Thanks

Dallas GEP 15:24 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
NL timeframe on gbp/jpy possie is usually less than 2 hours TP is 203.40 and stop is 204.39.....Could go much lower than that if GBP shorts today

Melbourne Qindex 15:20 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 15:20 GMT August 13, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 1.2153* // 1.2179 - 1.2204 - 1.2230 - 1.2255* - 1.2281 - 1.2306 - 1.2332 // 1.2357* ...

UAE Oil man 15:20 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
The people who made real money those last few months, are the VOLS sellers..meanwhile market milks the rests.

Goes (NL) B747 15:19 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
"Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT August 13, 2004
GBP/JPY short 203.90"

good afternoon Gep,

what you placed as t/p & s/l and what is the time frame for this trade ???


tia & gt

Dallas GEP 15:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
JF I don't have no more e/y short!!!!

L.A. Igrok 15:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
There is a probability to see some serious short covering on the buck before the end of the day. However, given the fact that lately all the Fridays' closings used to be at the very extrimes of the day's trend, this probability is not so great. But still the buck looks oversold to me at these levels and all the targets have been met.

USA Biscuit Boy 15:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Dollar unable to reclaim ground above dollar index 50 day ma.....heading for a test of 87 in coming weeks IMO. But soft US data probably temporary and limited to July. As Oilman said Greenspan sticking to a medium term view of hiking rates and not concerned about 2 soft months. 87 may be a good place to start building long dollar positions unless of course we continue to see soft data in the coming months then stick with the trend and Greenspan can back pedal (highly unlikely IMO).

sarasota jf 15:05 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
gep - in keeping with my flexibility strategy i had to flip my cad chart back over again - hope yr euryen ends up doing the same - gt

Ldn 15:04 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR US Investment name aggressive buying against the dollar

melbourne farmacia 15:04 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
lnd 14:50 GMT August 13, 2004
Timing is a big factor... ie: waited days to start buying Gbp again once the swing cycle completed ( as posted few hours ago ) GT

UAE Oil man 15:04 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
March 9 high 1.2460, end july high 1.2464..Nor much in terms of price movements for the moment (in eur$)...
Still good time to hit and run, while the ranging last.

GL.

San Diego bobl 15:03 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ind...
dollar has made large range move today. it has been very rewarding trading with that move. however, by any standard, we are a bit long in the tooth here. i personally am adding to foreign longs (against dollar) on pullbacks. fading a move is not being present.

Calcutta Vikram 15:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Probably see 138 on Euro-Yen next week. Good reason to retain European Longs against USD

lnd 14:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
San Diego bobl 14:54. i see $ weak. so should i look to establish such trades or go against this flow?

NY Raider19 14:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Momentum or Counter //// lnd 14:50 GMT August 13, 2004, every trader is different. My most devastating strategies and tactics have been executed in counter trades. The intraday trend is my friend even almost at the end...
Analyze your trades and see which strategies and tactics are making risk-adjusted money. Also, there are some currency pairs to remain nameless that I will not touch because they trade like @(#* @%)*) @*)$#@*( @%*)$*) @$#*) %@$#)*)* for me. So keep that in mind too...

Bangkok bkk 14:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Just a thought for USD/CAD.

IMHO.......
1.3100(if see today or early next week) is a VERY good buying opportunity as USD/CAD medium term bearish trend line have broken since Thursday. This is the begining of the bullish trend signal for USD/CAD.

For medium-term player: Buy 1/2 position around 1.31 and another 1/2 around 1.2950(if see) with stop loss at 1.2850, Medium-term target 1.3800 or even 1.4000....further out.

GL. all

San Diego bobl 14:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ind...being present in the moment, and trading what is happening right now is the most rewarding imho. What happens in the future/past...can't predict and can't remember...lol...focus on what you see right now.

Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY short 203.90

CA Clouy 14:52 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD broke 1.2346 resistance and a large amount 1.2360 stops were triggered, which cleared the way to 1.2385~1.2400.

USA Biscuit Boy 14:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Dollar unable to reclaim ground above dollar index 50 day ma.....heading for a test of 87 in coming weeks IMO. But soft US data probably temporary and limited to July. As Oilman said Greenspan sticking to a medium term view of hiking rates and not concerned about 2 soft months. 87 may be a good place to start building long dollar positions unless of course we continue to see soft data in the coming months then stick with the trend and Greenspan can back pedal (highly unlikely IMO).

lnd 14:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
you old timers how about a bit of wisdom for us new timers? for example what do you guys use to decide when to work against the market or when to go with the flow? i have found this difficult with differeing resutls depending on which strategy i adopt. for example currently am unsure as to whether i should follow or not. any suggestions as to how to solve the mystery?

Melbourne Qindex 14:49 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 14:48 GMT August 13, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading ranges from my 22-day cycle are as follow :-


... 1.2168* // 1.2207 - 1.2245 - 1.2283 - 1.2321* - 1.2359 - 1.2397 - 1.2435 // 1.2473* ...

Dallas GEP 14:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Great post Raider19:

Along those same lines:

"I want to go peacefully in my sleep like my Grandpa and not like those other 3 screaming passenegers that use to ride in his car"

Calcutta Vikram 14:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hear, hear.....NY Raider 19 (Yankee of old)

Coventry Ledge 14:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello BVI, I use 3 moving averages set at fibo standard 5,13,21

NY Raider19 14:36 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
On that note ///

"It is not the critic who counts, not the man who points out how the strong man stumbled, or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena; whose face is marred by the dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs and comes short again and again; who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions and spends himself in a worthy course; who at the best, knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who, at worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly; so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who know neither victory or defeat."

THEODORE ROOSEVELT
(Paris Sorbonne,1910)

Bruxville Jim 14:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Congrats to all who ADDED a bit to your pensions, to those who didn't - congrats for RETAINING your deposit, but for those who PARTICIPATED in the game but didn't guess right - don't panic! Good luck to you all!

NYC PCM 14:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Seeing a potential Head and shoulders pattern setting up on euro chart (looking at 9mn chart).

We'll see.

BAT BVI 14:29 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hello! im new to this forum and wanted to ask veteran traders on their moving average parameters. if you have a good combination of parameters, i would be happy to know. thanks! goodluck to all!

Calcutta Vikram 14:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ldn.....many thanks, but can't say if I deserve that adjective. As regards the Igrok/ Athens debates, I was just recounting the good ol' days.

Question to Old Timers.....do yu get a feeling that Trading has become more difficult compared to 1998 and even more so compared to 1993-1995?

Belgrade Knez 14:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 14:20 GMT August 13, 2004

Thanks for the info.

Gl & GT

Melbourne Qindex 14:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 14:22 GMT August 13, 2004
EUR/USD : The current expected trading ranges from my 44-day cycle are as follow :-


... 1.2208* // 1.2253 - 1.2297 - 1.2341 // 1.2385* ...

Sydney Alimin 14:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
ok guys, have seen gbp/usd 1.8373 on my platform, liquidity and volatility are gonna vaporised soon..time to call the day...see you all next week...have a nice w/e

Bangkok bkk 14:20 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 13:01 GMT August 13, 2004
I will send you an e-mail this weekend to your yahoo address. Is it still the same?

Yes, it is.

Watch the EURO weekly closing price. If it close above 1.2345 , then we probably see the euro trade above 1.24xx next week.
However, this should be consider as a good selling opportunity(especially around 1.2450...if see) with stop loss just above 1.2540 for the medium term player. Target 1.2000..........IMHO.

GL.


Dallas GEP 14:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Now boys THAT's efficiency for you!!!! Thanks Jay

Ldn 14:16 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram hi your another great from the past... I agree with Igrok a good debate is what keeps us honest never hurt anyone.

Global-View 14:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
We will take care of it and remove those posts.

CA Clouy 14:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 14:07 GMT August 13
eur/usd: 30 min MACD still shows a strong bullish pattern, although this might change in next 30 minute line. But stoch did give o/b signal. imvho.

Calcutta Vikram 14:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Cable......there's only a 2% chance of the market exceeding 1.8430 today, but a 50-60% chance of 1.85-1.86 being seen next week. Looking to add to Long on dip.

Calcutta Vikram 14:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Absolutely, Igrok. Good to see you here again. Can I have your e-mail, please? And where can I get a copy of your book?

NYC PCM 14:07 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Opinions on Euro

I have the High of Day as hitting very significant reistance lines on multiple time frame charts, and as being divergent on almost all my charts.

So looks like we could see a major reversal back down to me.

What do you all think?

L.A. Igrok 14:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Vikram/// Doesn't matter. Personal staff is not so important. Adam is a real pro and deserves a lot of respect.
The school is fine, thanks for asking. I also made it a bit easier for myself and others and finnally put the course in the book. Works better now for everyone.

GA TJ 14:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Just closed all post data positions. I think this move is pretty much done for the day. Expecting sideways trade or possibly some retrace towards the end of the day. For those willing , there might be some opportunity to pip raid.

Dallas GEP 14:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
2.2868 in again GBP/CHF long

Ldn 14:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok agree Adam is the best, he sometimes puts a few tips on here , think he will be enjoying the Games at present. GV know more about Dave if your interested. But this game as you know can drain even the best, but its always good to see you making a guest appearance (smile)

Calcutta Vikram 13:59 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Igrok.......But, the way Adam and you used to be at each other's throats. BTW, how's your Trading School doing?

Wash DC Tempus 13:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I guess the big question remaining today is whether the market decides to pierce 1.2350. Hearing very large s/l orders above that level which could cause a sustained push above 1.2400. Think that shy of a reversal in crude prices market will have a go to those levels. Market is very short still with price action this week forcing out most longs. Stay long euro until push below 1.2285/90...

IMHO

UAE Oil man 13:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ag, is wether a very skilled surgeon, fine tuning the US economy and, we will continue on good tracks with an increased 'measured pace', or he is an old delusional (something dublin Flip seems to point at many times)..

I am opting he is highly skilled and has much more 'global-view' than most of us..and the rates will do like he said...increased at a measured pace, up and up....
After Eric clapton is god...It might turn Alan is god in the streets in NY.

Quebec Swap 13:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have a currency they particulary like to trade?

Or do you guys just pick and choose a cross whenever a good ratio to profit exists.

L.A. Igrok 13:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 13:48 GMT August 13, 2004

Adam is a man. A real dinasaur of the market. It's a pity that Dave has retired. I saw him last time a couple of years back in London. We had a good drink then and he looked great. Also too young for quitting trading.

GA TJ 13:55 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Orlando Mickey 13:53 GMT August 13, 2004
Why don't you go sit on the Disney Castle Tower. And rotate. Might help you think better.

CA Clouy 13:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
FYI:
[MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT] The headline sentiment series came in at 94.0 vs a prior 96.7 and a median estimate of 96.5. Very likely, this reflects news of weaker job growth in July, as well as the real effect of a cooler pace of growth.

GEP, any view on eur/usd and usd/jpy? TIA.
GL & GT.

NY Raider19 13:52 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
There are many that post occasionally, check in from time to time, or are on GVI, or monitor.
For example, for me, I must have my own view to have conviction so that is why I do not post anlaysis/trades. And I back into FX after forays into other areas of financial trading for several years.

GER ad 13:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/USD at 1.2340 tight S/L

Ldn 13:49 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Univ Michigan Mid-Aug Sentiment Said 94.0; July 96.7

houston st 13:49 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
u of m said 94.0...

give 'em heck Dallas...

Ldn 13:48 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok Athens still on his website Trendways .. Dave retired .. although not of your class been here since 97..Good luck to you.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 13:37 GMT August 13, 2004
the other side is for cable to go down to 1.8370 at least///
Right with that!!

L.A. Igrok 13:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
NY Raider19 13:32 GMT August 13, 2004

Hi Yankee. Long time no see. Glad to hear from another old timer. Seems to me that I became already the oldest participant on the forum. Also wonder where are some of the great guys like Athens, Dave and others? Do they still post here or I'm just not lucky enough to catch up with their postings?

Sydney Alimin 13:37 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
the other side is for cable to go down to 1.8370 at least

NY Raider19 13:37 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Special Forces //// Dallas GEP, do you mind e-mailing me re this. Later/weekend when day is done. thx

Dallas GEP 13:36 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
It might Andras. DEBATABLE for sure

Sydney Alimin 13:36 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
cable could still go up to test 1.8450 maybe if michigan number permits it

ldn 13:35 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
U Mich Aug Sentiment Due 9:45 EDT; Seen 97.5

Pecs Andras 13:35 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Guys
Will the Michigan number matter much now?

Dallas GEP 13:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Stop Running:

In Special Forces, the job of a sniper specialist is to prevent the advancement of a force past his assigned area. The stategy for this is relatively simple , you take out a target that is very visible to the others on the opposing force and you keep on doing this systematically until it forces the retreat of the survivng force to a safer area.

FX releveance is last night 136.62 was taken out in plain site of all the specs and it resulting in more buying and when the second target of 136.80 was taken other others bailed out and we got a temp spurt to 137.00. AT that point in time, THEN we had the NEW sellers come and drive the prices DOWN.

TO SJ 13:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I guess today's party is over. USD/CAD still in the range.

Mtl JP 13:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
13:45GMT - University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Market: 97.2 vs 96.7 last

NY Raider19 13:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hey L.A. Igrok, this is former NY Yankee from wayyyyy back. I do not post trades now, just look for/share trading tools information. Good to see your post.

Sydney Alimin 13:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
michigan in under 15 minutes....ready guys?

Singapore Sfx 13:31 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Jim - ok mate .. so mich in a few mins .. heads or tails ?

Bruxville Jim 13:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 13:21 GMT // C'mon, the result of this trade depended pretty much on data that came out... It might have theoretically come out the other way around.
Don't worry, I didn't open a possie in the other direction, was in by my order to the downside that was triggered after data came out;)

UAE Oil man 13:26 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I like long near here $(110.55) against the yen with stops just under 110.27.
GL.

Dublin Flip 13:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Mickey (or anyone for that mate) why do you care what someone else does or doesn't do with their trades and/or stops???? Very strange. Trading is about finding something in yourself not proving something to someone else.

Singapore Sfx 13:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   

Great call, Igrok !

London e 13:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I think GBP/USD is a sell at 1.8440 if seen today.

Ldn 13:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 09:14 GMT August 13, 2004
1.2405 seems like a legit target for swissy today.


Great Call

Melbourne Qindex 13:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 12:26 GMT August 13, 2004
USD/CHF : As shown in my 22-day cycle the frequency numbers of 1.2555 and 1.2813 are the same. This would indicate that the market can easily move between this two quantized levels with ease.


Quantized Levels of 22-Day Cycle


... 1.2297* // 1.2426 - 1.2555* - 1.2684 - 1.2813* - 1.2942 // 1.3071 ...

Dallas GEP 13:16 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Orlando, you are one spineless POS. The stop on the EUR/YEN was removed to allow for a spurt whcih any good trader will do. The reports I send ANOTHER GEP nansayer will confirm that (at a cost to him of 5K) and you will excuse me if I didn't have time to post that FIRST here before doing it which indeed WOULD have stopped me out. Tell me your location and I will be happy to come discuss it with you personally. LOL

wisconsin tim 13:13 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
never step in front of a runaway train especially on Fridays.

closed my long eur/yen from last night for loss gonna go to the beach

London e 13:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Would any of you be selling GBP/USD if it goes a bit higher? Thanks.

perrie como 13:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
trade def minutes

The department said exports fell 4.3 percent to $92.8 billion in June, the biggest decline since September 2001 and the weakest performance since February.

At the same time, imports climbed 3.3 percent to an all-time high of $148.6 billion, partly reflecting a run-up in oil prices.

Crude oil prices hit $33.76 a barrel, according to the department's measure, the highest price since March 1982. The quantity of crude imported also rose to a record level.

Belgrade Knez 13:01 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 12:58 GMT August 13, 2004

I will send you an e-mail this weekend to your yahoo address. Is it still the same?

Melbourne Qindex 13:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
London e 12:59 GMT - You are welcome.

London e 12:59 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 12:53 GMT August 13, 2004
Excellent analysis. Thanks a lot.

Bangkok bkk 12:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 12:53 GMT August 13, 2004

No, I don't have it.
I logout a long ago.

Dallas GEP 12:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
1.2846 long on gbp/chf stop @ 1.2830 target possible 100+ pips

UAE Oil man 12:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Short euro against the $ at 1.2310 stops 33 points.

London e 12:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ive taken profit on short USD/CHF @1.2467. It might well go lower but Im just being safe now.

Belgrade Knez 12:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 12:45 GMT August 13, 2004

Bkk, do you have Yahoo messenger? I have contacted you and used your yahoo e-mail address.

Melbourne Qindex 12:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:01 GMT August 8, 2004
USD/CHF (Weekly Cycle) : The critical point of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2380 and the key quantized level is positioning at 1.2716. The distribution profile of my weekly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.2380 - 1.2783. A barrier is located at 1.2447 - 1.2455 and it may block any further downward movement of the market. Initially the market is going to consolidate around the quantized level at 1.2514 with an expected magnitude of 1.2447 - 1.2582. The pattern of my weekly cycle frequency chart indicates that a strong momentum is required to carry the market from 1.2649 - 1.2783 as suggested by the difference in the frequency numbers between this two projected chart points. The lower barrier is located at 1.2380 // 12447. The upper barrier is expected at 1.2851 // 1.2918. The market rhythm of my weekly cycle is represented by 135 pips and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.2246 - 1.2918. (Suggestion : Maintain a long position if the market is trading above 1.2380).

Weekly Cycle Quantized Levels

... 1.2246* ... 1.2380* // 1.2447 - 1.2514* - 1.2582 - 1.2649* - (1.2716) - 1.2783* - 1.2851 // 1.2918* ...


Bangkok bkk 12:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 12:39 GMT

Hi, Knez............nice to see you here too.

GL.

London e 12:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
"London e 07:01 GMT August 13, 2004
Sold USD/CHF @ 1.2611 [email protected]" //
Stop moved to 1.2502. Target still 1.2410. Have a good weekend traders.

Livingston nh 12:41 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trade deficit was a surprise (but wrong way) - this is much more than an oil problem now

Belgrade Knez 12:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 12:30 GMT August 13, 2004

Long time no see. I have sent you a message through Yahoo messenger. Thought you haven't got it. (my ex. handle was HKT ps)

GL & GT

perrie como 12:38 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Asset Mix Took Toll on United's Pension Fund

United Airlines, which is likely to default on its pension
plans, invested its portfolio in junk bonds, technology and
a mining company in Ghana.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/13/business/13pension.html?th

GENEVA FHR 12:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trade deficit 55.82

perrie como 12:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Issing of the European Central Bank says that it is an “overhang of liquidity.” We can be more blunt and call it for what it is: a gross excess of hot money.

Consider that in the three years since late 2000, when the authorities started to combat the bursting of the stock market bubble, we estimate that the amount of money and credit in the world’s biggest economies (US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Britain, the Euro-11, India, China, Korea, Indonesia and Thailand) has risen by a whopping 50%. In numerical terms, a rough calculation will make this increase just close to $8.5 trillion.

Bangkok bkk 12:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD
A sustained break below 1.2175 would be an indication to go short again. As long as the market stays above 1.2200 we should see 1.2400 some time soon............IMHO

GL.

melbourne farmacia 12:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
KL KL - that said.. closed 90 % at 35.. now stop B/E .

Melbourne Qindex 12:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


melbourne farmacia 12:15 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
KL KL - in Gbp & euro.. trailing .... next period DJIA...week of 16 August as per email.

wisconsin tim 12:14 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD tested LO range of 1.2177 now looks like it it's gonna test HI range of 1.2293 but it's Friday the 13th + data

PC Beach, FL Chris 12:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
What's moving the EUR/USD right now?? Any thoughts...pre PPI jitters mayhaps...

Good Trades To All

UAE Oil man 12:07 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello,

With a bit of luck in the world of coin flipping the eur/gbp will adjust down this friday.

PPI is the right now surely the most important number for the FED..keep eyes open.

GL.

Bruxville Jim 12:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
perrie como 12:00 GMT // Great poetry...

Bruxville Jim 12:03 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Swap// Just don't forget about stops... 12.30 gmt is a significant event risk for $/C$...

KL KL 12:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, any possie on gbpusd, eurusd at the moment?? What about turn date on dow and asx...TIA

Livingston nh 12:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin - FWIW- modest surprise of the day may be a smaller trade deficit (slower sales and weaker inventories + higher exports??) -- 43.5 bio guess

Calcutta Vikram 12:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sydney.....Haven't looked at that, Mate, can't say, sorry. Just in the beginning stages of getting my hands dirty with the Funnymentals. Still have a lot of ground to cover.

With old timers like LA Igrok and Haifa ac coming back to the Forum, hopefully "happy days" will also come back to the market

perrie como 12:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
People create and destroy capital. Finding the former kind in this environment is like trying to find a drop of whisky in the Niagara Falls.

The rise in the popularity of hedge funds and funds of funds
has resulted in large and violent changes in the prices of
securities and so of currencies. Yet, these price distortions do not change the intrinsic worth of businesses—they merely change the price of their securities.

We hope for growth. Growth has become the mantra of our
time. Everything has to grow. Citibank has to grow. Where has
this idea come from? What is the moral imperative to growth?
And why must we grow at all costs? We hope that our stock
holdings grow. And those who mismanage the companies in
which we invest want to make us happy so they do anything for the price of stock to go up. And if the price of stock goes up we are happy because we are growing. It is twisted nonsense.

We have lost our understanding of risk. We are more fearful of
not keeping up with the Dow Jones average rather than of the
disasters and frauds that take place around us and we further
insist that government should do something about this instead of taking responsibility for ourselves. We are sinking in laws but we resort to constant legislation to cure all ills.

Quebec Swap 11:48 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Still holding Usd/Cad short. anyone else?

Gen dk 11:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 11:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 11:28 GMT August 13, 2004

how about us trade balance? is it gonna be worse given high oil price?

Haifa ac 11:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 10:40 GMT August 13, 2004
"Some unpaid technical debts."//
LOL. Sounds like Lee Van Cliff (the "BAD") in "the Good, the Bad and the Ugly."

Swidnica/Poland profi-forex 11:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
13.08.2004 (4:23am US Time)


TODAY`S DATA:
05:00 EUR - GBP q/q (Q2 Prelim)POPRZ.0.6% PRZEWID.0.6%

08:30 USD PPI m/m (Jul) POPRZ. -0.3% PRZEWID. 0.2%

08:30 USD PPI y/y (Jul) POPRZ. 4.0% PRZEWID. 4.2%

08:30 USD PPI Core m/m (Jul) POPRZ. 1.8% PRZEWID. 1.8%

08:30 USD PPI Core y/y (Jul) POPRZ. 0.4% PRZEWID. 0.5%

08:30 USD Trade Balance (Jun) POPRZ. -$46.0b PRZEWID. -$47.0b

08:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments m/m (Jun)POPRZ. 1.1%PRZEWID. 0.5%

08:30 CAD Trade Balance (Jun)POPRZ. C$5.2 PRZEWID. C$5.5

09:50 USD UMich Consumer Confidence (Aug Prelim) )POPRZ. 96.7 PRZEWID. 97.2




USD/JPY (CURRENT LEVEL 111.87) - DURING JAPANESE SESION WORST THEN EXPECTED JAPANESE DATA + VERY HIGH BRENT PRICES WEAKED JPY TO 112.07 REGION. POSITIVE SCENARIO FOR BULLS WILL BE TODAY`S CLOSE ABOVE 112.45. IF IT NOT HAPPEND WE STILL HAVE POSIBILITY TO FALLS TO 110.00 AND LATER TO 107.00 REGION.

EUR/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2199) - THIS PAIR TESTED YESTERDAY 1.2300 REGION. THIS RESISTANCE HOLD. NOW WE ARE TESTING SUPPORT AT 1.2170/1.2200. ON THIS REGION WE HAVE CHANCE TO FALLS AND TO RISES (50/50). TODAY`S CLOSE DEPEND ON US DATA AND WARRIED ABOUT TERRORISM ATTACK ON THE WEEKEND. SCENARIO: WEAK US DATA + WARRIED ABOUT TERRORISM ATTACK + HIGH BRENT PRICES = EUR/USD ABOVE 1.2350.

USD/CHF (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2585) - THIS PAIR IS STILL BELOW 1.2640 REGION. SO EUR/CHF IS BEARISH NOW AND IF EUR/USD SUPPORTS HOLDS WE SHOULD SEE ON USD/CHF BREAK 1.2490 SUPPORT IN A FEW DAYS.

GBP/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.8156) - GBP IS VERY WEAK THATS WHY WE COULD SEE TEST 1.8080 AND EVEN 1.8000 REGION. ONLY BREAKING RESISTANCE AT 1.8360/90 WILL CHANGE NEGATIVE IMAGE FOR GBP.

PAR 11:38 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Cable higher on the normal friday uk bank take over stories ?

melbourne farmacia 11:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw - Gbp/usd's completed a nice swing cycle from 1.8463 - 1.8130.. GT

Calcutta Vikram 11:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
FWIW......The Michigan Sentiment Index is still in negative territory (below 100) although it has recovered from the low of 77.6 seen in March 2003 (after it fell from the 112 high of Jan 2000). So, unless there's a HUGE upswing in Sentiment (difficult, given last week's poor Payrolls data and the less than expected rise in Retail Sales yesterday), it is unlikely to have much of a positive impact on the Dollar. Expectation today is 98.0 as against 96.7 last month.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 11:14 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 11:08 GMT August 13, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread)

What difference does make it make?..........for profits!!

Sydney Alimin 11:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
guys, today is friday the 13th :) stay alert, market is gonna be tricky to trade,
any comments on the upcoming data? would be nice to have some thoughts about the possible outcomes and related arguments

Sydney Alimin 11:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread)

which one do you think will get hit first for gbp/usd? 1.8380 or 1.8060?

Bruxville Jim 11:05 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hey, WHERE did Yinzi's Chinese (Japanese?) post go?
At least LEAVE the English part of it... lol.
P.S. Is it so easy to delete posts? You just click on them maybe? :)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 11:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I still think this is OK
Currency
EURUSD 1.2370 1.2128
USDJPY 111.9573 109.8027
GBPUSD 1.8380 1.8060
USDCHF 1.2697 1.2423
EURCHF 1.5445 1.5327
AUDUSD 0.7226 0.7062
USDCAD 1.3422 1.3198
NZDUSD 0.6664 0.6498
EURGBP 0.6763 0.6677
EURJPY 137.2461 134.4339
GBPJPY 204.0007 200.0993
CHFJPY 89.1961 87.2639
GBPCHF 2.3051 2.2719
EURAUD 1.7293 1.6975
EURCAD 1.6442 1.6164
AUDCAD 0.9606 0.9412
AUDJPY 79.9988 78.4412

Bruxville Jim 10:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, yes I usually sleep at nights, unless there are important Japanese data coming out;)
My local time is GMT+3

Bruxville Jim 10:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Yinzi @Singapore// What does the hieroglyph-star mean in your language? I better don't ask about the others, will never remember any one of them anyway...:)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 10:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 09:40 GMT August 13, 2004
///
U ever sleep?

Bruxville Jim 10:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok // A gap?

New Delhi akverma 10:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Excellent creation.Thank You

well done

Sydney Alimin 10:44 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
wow gbp has gone down so much, truly amazing, i'll cancel my limit sell at 1.8260, dont think i will see it before data...better go with the flow after data

L.A. Igrok 10:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 09:40 GMT August 13, 2004

Some unpaid technical debts.

Gen dk 10:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

gaza Ibiza 10:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Divergence on eur usd and usd chf warning that euro weakness is not purely dollar strength eur bid on the euro gbp and eur jpy take that fwiw!

lnd 09:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
just for info. i am flat. dont want to get involved at this point looking to get back in on monday once the data and weekend are out of the way. i like $/chf short but the stop would have to be bigger to justify the prospect of higher intraday volatility.

Bruxville Jim 09:41 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
london e, c'mon, 1.22 is an even greater target for shorts:)

Bruxville Jim 09:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 09:14 GMT // Let me doubt that. Are there any tangible reasons? Any inside info??? lol

London e 09:34 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
[email protected] should read [email protected]

London e 09:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 09:14 GMT August 13, 2004
Good target. USD/CHF short. [email protected] [email protected] OCO.

lnd 09:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 09:14 GMT. do you think it is worth shorting here?

L.A. Igrok 09:14 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
1.2405 seems like a legit target for swissy today.

ln 09:13 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 08:57 GMT. if you really want to help us out why dont you go and become a 'cyber daddy' on some other forum. i am sure that there is more constructive work for you elsewhere. why dont you help a charity or something? just shoo...

London e 09:10 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
"London e 07:01 GMT August 13, 2004
Sold USD/CHF @ 1.2611 [email protected]" //
Stop moved to break even at 1.2611. I don't think much is going to happen today. I think data will be an opportunity to buy/sell on a spike, whichever way the spike goes first. I will sell USD/CHF in small at 1.2685 with 15 pip stop.

Gen dk 09:04 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 09:03 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Euro-Zone GDP Grew 0.5% In 2Q 2004, +2.0% Vs 2Q '03
forecast At +0.3%

hong kong nt 08:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong people need peace to amount fortune..

hk dad 08:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
my 03:45 GMT was for hk ab. who I am does not matter, just think of me as your cyber daddy in GV. LOL
I don't claim to be better, provocative sarcasm does not earn respect.
dad

. 08:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
.

ln 08:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 03:45 GMT. if you think you are better than where is the history on your trades? exactly...

Melbourne Qindex 08:07 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : 392.90 : 393.40

Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT August 13, 2004
Spot Gold : I would assume a trading range of 380.4 - 398 for the next few trading sessions. The mid-point reference of 380.4 - 398 is 389.2.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 07:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Just Updated
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/
For Next week's Levels
Wanted to include GBP/HKD...
Never works...for an "Odd" reason

Ldn 07:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 03:45 GMT August 6, 2004

Just curious was this your first post , or your first post under that name If so thinkyou should give someone like Ahe a little more respect , I have been here on and off since 1997 so know Ahe well.

Orlando Mickey 07:35 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 06:52 GMT August 13, 2004
Closed all E/Y shorts at 136.35

Dallas GEP 00:05 GMT August 13, 2004
136.92 stops now on eur/jpy shorts


GEP - Hi in EUR/JPY much higher thant 136.92, 136.99 on Reuters dealing, higher over components. You must be trading with a broker here in the Magic Kingdom to be taking profits at 136.35.

Hong Kong Ahe 07:35 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 07:04 GMT - What's yr problem? looking to my archive, now GVI only kept 2003. My last post was to HK ab. Not to you. You need help or not?

eur lg 07:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thoughts
- Should continue to be be a volatile day for the usd with the potentially conflicting data later today.
- 1.2170 has to be respected as touted as significant barrier level.
- I want to re buy eur jpy somewhere between 135.60-135.90. Yen moves will continue to be prompted by oil, nasdaq, and fears of competitive currency devals.
- No clear view on the eur/usd. Although I want to buy the usd I'm not comfortable with the corrective way the usd struggles to fill the price gap from last fridays nfp number, and eur strength against the crosses.
- Happy to be short eur/gbp from these levels. Look for .6650ish hopefully. GBP bearish curve flattening hopefully ending soon, which should help support gbp.

hk jn 07:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips


gbpchf now 2.2900, are u talking about another pair? thks

Dallas GEP 07:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CLOUY, GOOD for you The MOST important thing to know is whAT your risk tolerance is and STICK with it!!!!

CA Clouy 07:15 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 07:07 GMT August 13
GEP. I just closed with -5 pips, for 112.10 has been cleared and a s/l above 112.46 is higher than the risk that I can take. 30 min charts gave a strong bearish divergence in my view, but I was scared out. me bad... :-( Thank you again.
GL & GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 07:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 07:07 GMT August 13, 2004 //
GBP/CHF...1.2830
??? --------->1.3030

Dallas GEP 07:07 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CLOUY I would hold usd/jpy short You may need 112.50 stop tho TECHS are in your favor

Coventry Ledge 07:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Clouy..... I'm long usd/jpy from 111.77, initial target 112.61

LAX-LGB SNP 07:05 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
networking query on the HF ... TIA everyone :-)

p.s.
usdchf looks headed for 1.2840
usdcad closing above 1.3294-1.3324 has further upside potential
gbpusd closing below 1.8207 risks a bounce ahead of 1.8086

hk dad 07:04 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk ahe 06:16 for some one who had been here since 98, your archive have nothing for anyone to follow except an obvious "getting all work up on a bounce" piker temperment as demonstrated by your 05:03 GMT post.
yes, one fool exhibiting signs of 精神分裂症 is already enough to be here. have a nice day.

London e 07:01 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sold USD/CHF @ 1.2611 [email protected]

CA Clouy 07:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi GEP, may i share ur view on usd/jpy in s-term? I'm thinking of closing my short possie at BE 111.84. Should I wait a bit longer for possible pips, or just out for safety. TIA.
GL & GT.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 06:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Guys GBP/CHF is extremaly bullish

Dallas GEP 06:52 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Closed all E/Y shorts at 136.35

Melbourne Qindex 06:48 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:39 GMT August 8, 2004
EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The critical level of my weekly cycle is located at 1.2252 - 1.2366. The key quantized level is positioning at 1.2137. The distribution profile of my weekly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.2137 - 1.2366. A projected supporting point is expected at 1.2023. The lower barrier of my weekly cycle is positioning at 1.2023 // 1.2080. The upper barrier is located at 1.2481 // 1.2539. The market rhythm is represented by 115 pips and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.2023 - 1.2596. (Suggestion : Maintain a short position if the market is trading below 1.2481 ).


Weekly Cycle Quantized Levels

... 1.2023* // 1.2080 - (1.2137)* - 1.2195 - 1.2252* - 1.2309 - 1.2366* - 1.2424 - 1.2481* // 1.2539 - 1.2596* ...


Ldn 06:48 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
European players triggers stops below 1.22 euro

eur lg 06:46 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Exited long eur/jpy at 136.50, no other reason than fear of heights. Will look for a better time and level to re-enter. In the meantime sold eur gbp at .6717.

Tallinn viies 06:38 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!
time to cover some of the short position.
took back half at 1,2189.
target at 1,2120/25 and alarm bell at 1,2310/20

Ldn 06:33 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Brooklyn mhi looks like Dollar strong across the board ( both ) buy low sell high ,only safe way to go

Surabaya Medallion 06:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Plan to buy Jpn on Monday if it is stil 112. This is Friday after all. :)

Brooklyn mhi 06:26 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:17 GMT August 13, 2004
By the way r u position trader? and where is your stop?

Brooklyn mhi 06:24 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 06:17 GMT August 13, 2004
Martin Definitly Waiting for him this is just the beginning.

Ldn 06:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Brooklyn mhi maybe got to wait and see :-)

Hong Kong Ahe 06:16 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 05:51 GMT - I have been here since 1998. One fool is already enough to be here. Dont follow me, otherwise you will be bankrupt one day. Good trades to you. Cheers.

LA fxnew 06:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Anybody with gbp/usd opinion?

Thanks

USA 06:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD

Brooklyn mhi 05:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ldn ;-) 05:45 GMT August 13, 2004
Look Like its Martin Time to make Money :-)

CA Clouy 05:56 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain//Is that the range of s/l u always use for ur intra-days? May i plz know the reason behind it? also what's ur t/p in s-term for the short possie? Thanks in advance.
GL & GT

hk dad 05:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Ahe 05:03 GMT August 13, 2004 what's going on here? hk "ah moi" day in GV? LOL
dollaryen bounce a few pips and you want to be "hk bla bla II" now? one hk bla bla fool in GV is enough.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 05:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA
S/L = 10*Spread

Ldn ;-) 05:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD continues retreat, falls below 0.7100 says 0.7085-0.7115 is buy opportunity as risks for pair remain tilted to upside; prices to re-challenge 0.7175-7195 resistance, Westpac technical analyst

CA Clouy 05:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// I did @111.84, a bit too early, the time when the charts gave a selling signal, from my view. seemed not good enuf. :-). May i know ur s/l, plz? TIA.
GL & GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA
I did that...so

CA Clouy 05:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:18 GMT
Bahrain, then I suppose it's a good selling entry of usd/jpy right now, based upon the range? TIA.

melbourne farmacia 05:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Iraq info

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
CA
Yes

CA Clouy 05:17 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:31 GMT
Just being curious, Bahrain, are those the ranges for today's session? TIA

CA Clouy 05:12 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY has rewrote session high above last Fri's post-payroll high of 111.90. Meanwhile, news of Iraq cleric Sadr being injured has added to a bid tone of Usd/Jpy. A tug of war between profit taking/exporter selling and general JPY selling is now seen around 112.00.

brisbane sunstate 05:07 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 05:01 GMT

Iraq's Sadr said wounded in U.S. attack
Fri 13 August, 2004 05:16

NAJAF, Iraq (Reuters) - Radical Iraq cleric Moqtada al-Sadr has been wounded in the U.S. bombardment of the holy city of Najaf, but his exact condition remained unknown, two spokesmen for Sadr say.

"Sayyed Moqtada was wounded in American bombing. He suffered three injuries to his body. We don't know his exact condition or to where he was taken," spokesman Ahmad al-Shinabi told Reuters on Friday. Another spokesman confirmed the report.

There was no independent confirmation.

Hong Kong Ahe 05:03 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 14:14 GMT August 12, 2004 That "hk dad/hk ah pak" acted as a v. fine contrarian indicator on dlr/jpy again! THANKS! as expected, 112. // Your Ah pak index hit the target. Good trades.

wisconsin tim 05:01 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
anyone else heard this ->

Meanwhile, news of Iraq cleric Sadr being injured has added to a bid tone of Usd/Jpy

KL KL 04:59 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Looks like E/Y going for 138....waiting waiting. I hate gbpusd this one is a killer currency....now it has gone down ... Just itchy to short something now...patience.....wait..its Friday.....

wisconsin tim 04:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
bought EUR/JPY 136.84 tp 137.50 sl below 136.24

houston ken 04:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
too many shorts on gdp yen big squeeze going on

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I think 0.5780-85 AUD/EUR represents good value s/t for a quick buy. I think Europe will correct this eur strength and AUD/USD should hold first up around 0.7060-70. IMHO of course

hk jn 04:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, u mean yen or usdyen?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:32 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Yen is a sell here and many others

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:31 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Currency
EURUSD 1.2337 1.2095
USDJPY 111.9764 109.8236
GBPUSD 1.8456 1.8134
USDCHF 1.2748 1.2474
EURCHF 1.5466 1.5348
AUDUSD 0.7232 0.7068
USDCAD 1.3356 1.3134
NZDUSD 0.6630 0.6464
EURGBP 0.6718 0.6632
EURJPY 136.9049 134.0951
GBPJPY 204.8813 200.9587
CHFJPY 88.8549 86.9251
GBPCHF 2.3240 2.2904
EURAUD 1.7233 1.6915
EURCAD 1.6319 1.6041
AUDCAD 0.9567 0.9373
AUDJPY 80.0813 78.5187

UAE Oil man 04:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Gbp/jpy has closed for the last 5 weeks around 204.
Still bullish bias as long as it doesn't close under 202 tommorrow.

NY Raider19 04:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Fast News /// thx for the input Mfld JM... Of note, I am somewhat familiar w/ most inclusive packages out there. I would say that so far, I am most impressed the bank that likes to play the saxophone in terms of comprehensiveness at speed metrics...
But I am also looking for any of the big boy media boys out there that offer a straight comprehensive real-time wire without all of the fluff and all of the price. A minute to think about who I am talking about and most could come up with the short list of the usual suspects.
"The whole world is about three drinks behind." Humphrey Bogart

CA Clouy 04:23 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Charts show a bullish pattern for gbp/usd. Any one may kindly give the immediate support of gbp/usd below 1.8200? TIA.

CA Clouy 04:09 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Closed eur/jpy short @136.57 + 15 pips. Was scared by the bullish views on yen pairs. Any input on those are appreciated.
GL & GT

Mfld JM 03:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
NY Raider19 02:54 GMT August 13, 2004
Fast News /// Who has the fastest FX-focused newswire service at a decent cost?

Raider -
Check out F X S_O_L_U_T_I_O_N_S. They have a FX news service that seems to be instant(When major news comes out, you see it about a second before the prices go crazy). Hope this helps.

nyc Joel 03:49 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ken
Why play areound with a petro - play ??

houston ken 03:37 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
please can anyone comment on gpd yen is the trend going to be short lived?

Melbourne Qindex 03:29 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:29 GMT August 13, 2004
AUD/USD : The congested area of my 5-day cycle i projected at 0.6956 - 0.7172 and the mid-point reference is 0.7064.


... 0.6956* // 0.6983 - 0.7010 - 0.7037 - 0.7064* - 0.7091 - 0.7118 - 0.7145 // 0.7172* ...

Dallas GEP 03:21 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
LOL jf, YEP lately E/Y has been quite a challenge!!!

Melbourne Qindex 03:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:08 GMT August 13, 2004
EUR/JPY : The current expected trading range from my monthly cycle charts is 135.29 - 137.74 and the mid-point reference is 136.52 which is also a quantized level in my 3-month projection profile.


... // 135.29 - 136.52 - 137.74 // ...

Sydney EM 02:57 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
RBA could hike rates as early as December to 5.5%. Improving growth likely to stretch spare capacity in economy, point way to wage pressures which already emerging. Policy still mildly accomodative, so there's case to continue back to neutral (UBS)

houston st 02:55 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
evacuation order given according to Drudge...

wisconsin tim 02:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
need to get a monitor swivel =-)

NY Raider19 02:54 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Fast News /// Who has the fastest FX-focused newswire service at a decent cost?
By fast I am talking about differentials of definitely under 10-15 seconds. By decent cost I am talking about a fee that is not in the range of a full-blown financial tool such as a Bloomie terminal, because otherwise one could just get that.
If not obvious enough, I am directly looking for an global economic datat release solution...
I posted this on the Help Forum, but there where no ideas. TIA

sar jf 02:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
gep u may need to turn yr euryen chart upside down just like i did to my cad one - makes more sense that way

Dallas GEP 02:41 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Eur/yen short target is 136.10

UAE Oil man 02:24 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
so we therefore should stay above 109.68-110.38 for some time, and should start accelarating once 113.40 is closed over on a weekly basis..also something to watch is the 115.00 support (which became a resistance, as it's around the average for long term longs (1 year and over).

UAE Oil man 02:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
bearish yen against more or less anything in the coming months (even weeks)..while $/yen makes it's way to 126..

Dallas GEP 02:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
I think we can almost count on it.

Calabash TarHeel 02:03 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I don't know, but it looks like the eur/jpy might be running out of steam. Hope so.

Take Care

NYC youyou 01:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
OIL MAN, what's your game in yens¿?

UAE Oil man 01:51 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Also watch 6746 which comes as the weekly 50 EMA, which should offer good resistance to any more upside from here.

Dallas GEP 01:50 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Well Tarheel I got some @ 135.95 that was waiting order and got sucked up when news broke. THEN I added @ 136.44 anticipating that 136.50 would hold so there we are. Looks like we are getting failure around this 136.80/85 area

UAE Oil man 01:45 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Eur/gbp 6741 should not break.

Sydney Alimin 01:40 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
gbp looks pretty sick at the moment, maybe i won't be able to see my 1.8260 filled anymore today, off now..will come back prior to data or earlier

GER ad 01:34 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CAD,
out at 1.6294

Calabash TarHeel 01:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:22 GMT August 13, 2004
Don't feel that you are alone. I was and still am short eur/jpy 136.50 aud/jpy .7950 and gbp/jpy 203.50 kicked in. When I came back to my monitor, thought my platform had gone insane.

Calabash TarHeel 01:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Oil man. Think I'll be fine with this one. Way of life here.
You Take Care

Dallas GEP 01:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Tarheel, the storm down there is nothing like the vortex I stirred up trying to get to my notebook when these yen pairs starting longing. EVERYTHING got sucked up in my path

UAE Oil man 01:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Rain?rain is party time!.

UAE Oil man 01:19 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Ya and good luck to you too tarheel!

Mla Evan 01:19 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
For me, would rather trade Usd/yen instead taking profit near 111.90 and reversing a few.

Calabash TarHeel 01:18 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks St. I'm far enough up the coast to not have any real wind to be concerned about. Expect bad thunder storms, lot of rain, some flooding. We'll be fine up here for the time being.
The bad part is that they are just getting started.
Take Care Yourself.

HKG SK 01:16 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Sell Euro/Yen Now Now Now, You won't get any better price than it is now.

Dallas GEP 01:16 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Clouy, YEN pairs no doubt look bullish. I would wait to see next 30 minute candle close before deciding on a FRESH entry

Mla Evan 01:13 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Euro/yen, wait till near 137.25 as feel Usd/yen still have some room upside.

CA Clouy 01:09 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP, r u still holding the eur/jpy short from 135.95? Do you feel it a good entry for selling now @ 136.70? TIA. GL & GT.

Bruxville Jim 01:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Oil man, are you suffering from flashbacks? Who are you talking to?

houston st 01:06 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 00:42 GMT -- we could use a little of that rain now, so send a little our way...seriously, looks like you are right in the path too, so be safe...hope it runs out of steam before it gets to you.

Pete -- if your reading this then turn the monitor off and seek shelter immediately! good luck to you pal...

UAE Oil man 00:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Good luck Islander then.

Bruxville Jim 00:58 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Seems bulls are gonna win the current candle...

Bruxville Jim 00:53 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
[00:27 Nikkei Off Close To 2%, JGBs Rally On Back Of Weak Q2 GDP] Tokyo, Aug 13. The Nikkei is currently down 1.9% to 10,819 following the much weaker-than- expected Q2 GDP which showed only paltry growth of 0.4% Q/Q and 1.7% annualized. Expectations were for +0.4% and +4.1%, respectively, with talk overnight of even better growth. JGBs have seen a commensurate rally.

Dallas GEP 00:43 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
That depends IMO...If you are trying to determine WHETHER to get out or enter or ADD some candles ARE more important than others

wisconsin tim 00:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
updated ranges:

EUR/USD 1.2293 1.2177
GBP/USD 1.8301 1.8139
USD/JPY 112.12 110.96
USD/CAD 1.3381 1.3251
AUD/USD 0.7168 0.7080
USD/CHF 1.2646 1.2504
EUR/JPY 137.05 135.87
EUR/AUD 1.7251 1.7081
GBP/JPY 203.96 202.46
EUR/GBP 0.6735 0.6689

Calabash TarHeel 00:42 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw. Hurricane Charley is about 24 hrs out. Appears that it is aiming at Tampa, St. Pete, Ft Myers Fla. area. Expected to come in as catagory 3 hurricane.
So if you know anyone in that area, you might want to wish them good luck.

Sydney Alimin 00:41 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
any opinions on cable? are we going up to 1.831.84 handle tonight or down to 1.81/1.80 handle? personally i have had a limit sell order waiting since last night at 1.8260 but not so sure now if i should leave it there

Sydney Alimin 00:39 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP: i just think that every candles are important :)

Dallas GEP 00:35 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
OK next candle VERY important as well...shorters want close at 136.58 or lower...Longers want close 136.65 or higher. Otherwise more time needed. EUR/JPY

houston ken 00:31 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
hey what happened to yen i just came back from dinner ?

UAE Oil man 00:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
You forgot the eurjpy too harry.

Dallas GEP 00:30 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY CANDLE closed at 135.59

london 00:29 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Richard Jerram, chief economist at Macquarie Securities says "the overall flow of macro indicators show the economy is in great shape." Expects growth to slow slightly; adds latest GDP figures unusable, show prices fell 3.0% annualized last quarter, which didn't happen and says don't take too much notice of latest Japan GDP numbers, which follow good-quarter, bad-quarter pattern reuters

Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT August 13, 2004
Spot Gold : I would assume a trading range of 380.4 - 398 for the next few trading sessions. The mid-point reference of 380.4 - 398 is 389.2.

Harry Hindsight 00:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Yeah fellas, I'm with you, bought some $/JPY 110.75 and popped it out at 111.73, sorry didn't have time to post the trades.

boston mpd004 00:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
bruxville/jim //congrats on nice trade

Sydney EM 00:27 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Oil prices $60/bbl to seriously jeopardize U.S. economic recovery WSJ.com poll cant see it getting there though hopefully not.

wisconsin tim 00:26 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
137.95-138.25 area is my next EUR/YEN short spot for the weekly triangle downleg (hopefully)

Dallas GEP 00:25 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
NEXT 30 minute candle close is CRITICAL on EUR/JPY IF IT CLOSES at 136.50 or LOWER SHORTS will probably be in PLAY 5 more minutes. A close at 136.65 or lower and it will be MARGINAL

wisconsin tim 00:24 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
closed EUR/YEN long will reload for 138 later

KL KL 00:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 00:14 GMT August 13, 2004 , I hope you right cos I am waiting BIG time there to hammer it down...If Japan is in trouble...I cannot imagine Euro doing any better.!!!

Bruxville Jim 00:22 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
boston mpd004 00:15 GMT // it's ok, helps stay awake...
btw +50 pips for me on $/yen - it's just fun to open possie on Japanese data - just put orders on both sides... lol.

boston mpd004 00:15 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
that was really unfair of me to post my + points without posting my entries. Will not happen again. I was busy at the time of entry. again, sorry about post.

Brooklyn mhi 00:15 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 00:10 GMT August 13, 2004
nikkei dropped 200 points look like no intervention was necessary

wisconsin tim 00:14 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
if EUR/YEN can sustain above 136.60 longs will be targeting 138.00+

Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Today is Friday and it is the expiration day for my weekly cycle.The following is still valid.


Melbourne Qindex 00:21 GMT August 10, 2004
USD/CAD : As shown in my weekly cycle charts the market is vibrating around the quantized level at 1.3141 with an expected magnitude of 1.3110 - 1.3172. The market will head for the barrier at 1.3203 - 1.3217. If the market is strong enough to penetrate through the projected resistance at 1.3217, the upper barrier at 1.3361 // 1.3392 is going to be challenged later this week.

KL KL 00:10 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
Brooklyn mhi , Poor GDP figure + maybe BOJ intervention....

boston mpd004 00:10 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
closed out eur/jpy +71

Bruxville Jim 00:08 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
mhi// had some poor japanese data out at 23.50 gmt...

Dallas GEP 00:05 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
136.92 stops now on eur/jpy shorts

Brooklyn mhi 00:02 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
What happened to usd/jpy???
I leave for only 1 hour

wisconsin tim 00:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
long EUR/YEN

Dallas GEP 00:00 GMT August 13, 2004 Reply   
136.86 stop on eur/jpy shorts VERY HEAVY

 




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Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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