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Forex Forum Archive for 08/17/2004

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CA Clouy 23:59 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:56 GMT
Dr. Q. are u suggesting that usd/jpy will come back 110+ in short-term? I am abit confused with ur last post. sorry. and thank u again.

Melbourne Qindex 23:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 23:48 GMT - USD/JPY : I don't like anything below 109.99.

Melbourne Qindex 23:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 23:42 GMT - I am going to take a cruise to Alaska, travelling around the Canadian Rockies, then visit friends and relatives in Vancouver, Toronto, Colorado and Hawaii.

Spr Noods 23:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
to be the trendsetter was the Euryen it broke the 136.10
but I still think the X goes higher
much much higher the driver I wud feel is really a rally on the Euros rather than the Yen

CA Clouy 23:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q and GEP, may i plz know ur views on usd/jpy plz? My long possie is still in and wondering whether I should cut -25 pips and run, or wait for it to reverse. TIA.

Spr Noods 23:47 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi GEP well the stops at those 10ish are easier to be filled
the high being a 02
Im sure many would like to sell if we see the 35 tripped
in reality the movement might be a 2 way horse again
given the talk of expiries tonite bunched around current levels
gl

Gen dk 23:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney gvm 23:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thks Q - where are you going on holiday? I am off to Byron this weekend - hope its sunny

Melbourne Qindex 23:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 23:38 GMT - EUR/USD : This one is still range bound and my bias is down.

Sydney gvm 23:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Morning Dr Q - any thoughts on EUR/USD thru next 24 hours? My system is short and caught - wonder what worst case damage is going to be? TIA

LAX-LGB SNP 23:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EURCHF is near 1.5370 but can't expect EUR to lose much till she breaks below 1.5326
USDCAD is marginally above 1.3070 but still below last week's 1.3117-1.3083 so looks evenly matched so prefer to focus on AUDUSD which is below 0.7170 and looking to aim for 0.7124
USDJPY has moved much too fast below 110.57-110.72 to warrant any entries now

also USDCHF is not too far from 1.2489 so expecting USD to gain before weekend

with reference to 01:24 GMT August 17, 2004
GBPUSD below 1.8422 ought to find support near 1.8207
GBPCHF staying below 2.2824-45 targets 2.2695 and perhaps 2.2530
GBPJPY below 203.63-204 targets rising 4-hrly TL @ 202.20 with a possible overshoot to the high 201's
EURGBP below 0.6714 might provide GBP with some redemption but looks unlikely right now
USDCAD below 1.3117-1.3083 aims for 1.2950 but a close above might go for 1.3294-1.3324
EURUSD below 1.2378-1.2359 might go for 1.2265

GL TC everyone :-) have fun

Los Angeles ss 23:34 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
LA -- I use 10 and 20 period EMA's, works good for me.

Dallas GEP 23:33 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NOODYG my gal, going to do a little stop shopping at 110.35???? Where does the party end????

L.A. 23:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
i am looking to perfect a EMA cross over method on a 5 or 15 min chart. Do u guys have any ideas on which two frames would work better then others? Thanks for any ideas

J

Spr Noods 23:28 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
picking up stops 110.15 and 110.35

Melbourne Qindex 23:22 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
houston st 23:17 GMT - This is my last week and have 3 more days to go.

Beijing Laowen 23:20 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY's downwards resting target might be around 195.xx.

houston st 23:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:10 GMT -- that's just about my s/l range....ha...I'll keep it on my radar today...hope you are well....aren't you on holiday soon? much luck to you.

Dallas GEP 23:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I do not disagree necessarily with OINDEX's assessment. I am certainly NOT the technician he is but I think the upper ranges of the yen pairs will occurr in Asia and the LOWER ranges of yen pairs will be seen in LATE Asia or London. This however could go either way so I would get my 30-40 pips and GET out!!!!

Brisbane L 23:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
A newswire report suggesting that OPEC is about to raise its
target range for the basket of crude from $22-$28 a barrel to $28-$35 lifted oil overnight this may put a halt to the rally in the Yen. also that Paris Debt thing - Value for tomorrow 20th August , Paris Debt Payments are due $1.272 bln with interest of $1bln of which 75.5% is in Euros and only 8% in Yen and these currencies will have to be purchase . FWIW.

Melbourne Qindex 23:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
houston st 23:05 GMT - GBP/JPY : In general the market rhythm of this pair is 300 - 600 pips.

Dallas GEP 23:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I meant SHOULD NOT trade it!!!!

Melbourne Qindex 23:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 22:59 GMT - USD/JPY will move around 109.10 - 110.88.

Dallas GEP 23:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
nOTE: the absolute most dangerous pair to trade when it is between ranges is GBP/JPY. DO NOT take this pair unless you are at the exteme ends of it's ranges. In fact I would reccomend that most traders should trade it at all.

houston st 23:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:45 GMT -- I remember the last time I sold gbp./jpy....it went up about 200 pips....lol....good trades to you.

Va Raven 23:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Firm gold, high oil, tight range fx trading, this market is due to a sizable move directionally or not.

Va Raven 22:59 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Qindex 22:45 - That's an outright call, Qindex, where should usd/jpy be during the same period of time frame?

Dallas GEP 22:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
tecchnically Eur/jpy support is at 135.50 and first target on longs shoulod be aroung 136.00

Philadelphia caba 22:53 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
To Dallas GEP: OK lately Asia has been reacting COUNTER to what US has done. IF that holds true to form then all YEN pairs could long. But WTF do I know??? LOL My target on usd/jpy longs is 110.40 still.
Your view on EUR/JPY? Thanks.

Melbourne Qindex 22:45 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : We should see the trading range 199.19 - 199.88 within 24 hours!

usa 22:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
can somebody post what time each forex market opens (eastern time)

usa 22:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I'm short a little eur/usd... if we get 2360 or so I will short more... provided macd is looking ok

Dallas GEP 22:35 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
OK lately Asia has been reacting COUNTER to what US has done. IF that holds true to form then all YEN pairs could long. But WTF do I know??? LOL My target on usd/jpy longs is 110.40 still.

Syd 22:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
egypt c look to the right column below (home) you will find quite a lot of good info

Brisbane L 22:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY do you now anything about the Paris club Debt , hearing something related to Euro demand overnight around the figure

egypt c 22:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
i want a good chat room for learning forex and anaylsis

egypt c 22:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
what about gbp usd i want to enter long @ 1.8245
i want advice
[email protected]

Wien GD 22:06 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
L: hi, agree on that ... therefore it's one of my longterm holdings ... although: Kiwi may have to have a deeper correction before finding fresh momentum to attempt a break above 0.6700 ...

London chippie 22:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
wein =--- any comment on the eur/gbp ??? :) TIA

Brisbane L 21:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD good morning, NZD seems to be well supported throughout any views on it

Wien GD 21:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Swap: I don't touch GPP today ... maybe tomorrow:
GBP came under pressure on all fronts today as the RICS
data overnight revived fears that the MPC minutes will be dovish when released tomorrow morning. The BOE looks to have successfully cooled the UK housing market and soaring oil prices will likely help the Bank slow the economy absent
significant further rate hikes. M&A-related selling helped weigh on the pair as well, with RBS receiving Fed approval to acquire Ohio-based Charter One Financial for $10.5 bln. Hedge funds were also actively unwinding GBP/JPY positions today, one of the great carry trades of recent times.
1.8250/60 is good Cable support on dips with 1.8260 the 61.8% retracement of the 1.8135/1.8465 rally and 1.8250 a former swing point. Rallies are seen limited to the 1.8300 area near-term with 1.8350 further resistance on rallies. A break of
1.8250/60 opens the way for a full retracement to 1.8135. A 9-0 vote for the August rate hike is expected to be confirmed by tomorrow"s minutes, but what the MPC has to say about the future is much more important than its vote. IFR
----
For me to short USD/JPY is the better bet; if it goes the other way I'll add another short somewhere at 110.80 ... also take a look at the hourly or 4 hourly chart ... it tells the way JPY will go. Already posted that yesterday at 110.40
---->
Broad-based JPY cross selling has dominated the last 24
hours with reports of repatriation flows ahead of the fiscal half year end.
AUD/JPY and CAD/JPY interest to sell was reported overnight with GBP/JPY selling kicking in into London dealings. GBP/JPY has breached the uptrend channel support that has held since July 5th around 201.50/60 to trade to 201.00. EUR/JPY triggered stops at 136.00 but fell short of triggering the stops under 135.50 with stops seen as low as 135.40. CHF/JPY and NZD/JPY were also under pressure. USD/JPY had opened up at 110.50 but fell immediately on the negative CPI result. Losses stalled at 109.94, just ahead of a plethora of stops that
begin at 109.80. Stops are reported at 109.70 & 109.60 as well with option- related stops under 109.50. Bids are now seen ahead of 109.00 and just ahead of the base of the Ichimoku cloud at 108.95.
Offers are now at 110.20 with more expected at 110.50. The bias remains bearish particularly since JPY failed to ease despite a record high close in oil prices. Also IFR

Brisbane L 21:25 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The selling overnight of Aud/Yen said to be maturing A$850 mln uridashi issue due next week

Quebec Swap 21:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Short Usd/Cad 1.3070
Long Gbp/Usd 1.8285
basicly I got in at present levels.

Any comments?

Syd EM 20:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Warning over Spanish land grab link Not fx related but as its quiet this is scary for the unaware buyer

Syd EM 20:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Long small Aud 7134 , also Euro 123.15 with stops now at cost on both trades . will see what our open brings.

hk ab 19:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ah... still haven't waken up from all the advertisement over weeks.... GL, EM.

Syd EM 19:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
With gold closing near $406 could be in for a test of 409.90 resistance possible early as Wednesday rally toward $420.80
after possibly.

hk ab 19:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
finally, the aud/jpy is green in 4 pips after the Chinese gals gymnastics.

SLC TJ 18:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY - my feelings too. I'd like to see some good old fashioned good sportsmanship with no-nonsense hard work and humility. There are some NBA players like that and it would be nice if they were the ones that were the stars or role models. But, enough. Thanks and good trades!

hk ab 18:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
so hard to get pass aud/jpy 78.65 now.... don't even talk about something above the cloud 79.50......

Spotforex NY 18:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
TJ -

I am just so against this "dream team' concept with the US mens B-ball team.....A bunch of show boats.....who will be shown the door in Athens....

I like the game before 'pros' came to the games.....

SLC TJ 18:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 18:26 - Thanks NY. I meant the 18:07 basketball comment, but I do appreciate your explanation of the questionable data. GT :-)

Spotforex NY 18:32 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
from a bond market commentary...

' The Lovin' Spoonful sang, "Do You Believe in Magic?" Wall Street occasionally proves that you should, often doing it quite visibly during expiration weeks. But if you accept the definition of magic as "an illusory feat," be very careful with your investment activity when the performance is in progress!...Given the souring of overall sentiment on more than one front in recent weeks, it is not easy now to recall just how ebullient the vast majority of Wall Street analysts were as this year was kicking off. Euphoria ran at nothing short of rampant levels. Thus, juxtapose the stock market's actual performance and those expectations and you wind up with results qualifying as "highly disappointing." At least in my opinion you do.

saloniko 2004 nk 18:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ab..

Will see ;)

For the time enjoy with this..

www.nytimes.com/2004/08/17/sports/olympics/17rhoden.html?ex=1093406400&en=23f8eb648a908c35&ei=5040&partner=MOREOVER

nk

Spotforex NY 18:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
TJ....the US stocks climbed higher as a result of a 'tame' inflation front...but the credibility of the accuracy of the data is under question, especially as oil is again making new highs.....

SLC TJ 18:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 18:07 - Sorry, I probably didn't follow your intent, but I'm trying to understand what you meant by that statement.

hk ab 18:12 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
nk// something wrong with nzd/jpy too ;)

Spotforex NY 18:12 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
dow is flirting with a negative day after probing above 10k in the post CPI environment......

from GVI - Spotforex NY 14:35 GMT August 17, 2004
from my bond guy in regards to the CPI numbers...

"...Inflation data coming out of the Labor Department have reflected the fruits of a major effort during the 1990s to understate the numbers!"


Spotforex NY 18:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
US mens basketball team better watch their back....the loss won't be the only thing they feel........

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 18:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thorpe is swimmucho too, but one is no warrior in relay

hk ab 18:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
you guys buy the currency of the winning team ;)

saloniko 2004 nk 17:59 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

Somthing goes wrong with GBP/J and USD/J...

Ohh God help me and pls @ ur free time help and Dream Team tonight..

Just a holiday joke!
nk

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 17:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
US win! Phelps is swimmacho! ))

KL KL 17:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Suprise that gold up USD showing some strength...I have a hunch oil will do a quick rush to 50 and then down. Anyway market a bit flat now in those middle line needing a stick to tip it over....gl gt. OK time to watch 4*200 men swim.....

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 17:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I mean USD jump if US team wins 4*200 relay. )

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 17:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi buddies!

hk ab Gold fly? or fly on the wall? :)) lol

Cherrios

Hong Kong Ahe 17:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ab 17:11 GMT, who are those early birds?

hk ab 17:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
place limit to long gbp 1.8235 o/n.

hk ab 17:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The dive on jpy and gbp might tell us oil top is close, jimvho.

San Diego Devi 17:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy,

I personally like MACD very much . I use it along with price, daily pivots (S/R) and donchian channels and/or envelopes along with multiple time frames. What you are looking for is simply high probability trades which result in consistently profitable trades over say 20-30 trades. So, if you have a sample size of 20 to 30 trades, you can evaluate any given set of indicators under different market conditions. This will give you a good measure of consistency. Most new people I know of, do not have the patience to go through and document 20 trades or so, so they end up chasing all indicators. When one comes full circle, then you realize there is no such thing as a 100% method and you settle for the indicators that are simple and obvious to you.

I will be more than happy to share with you nuances of MACD that I have observed because I have lived in it day in and out. This is just one of the ways to decipher it. It is difficult to show without pictures, so if youa re interested, send me an e-mail through Jay and I will share what I know with you.

usa 17:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
macd is a lagging indicator, however, alot of times you can predict when it will cross by looking at the momemtum... this does get tricky and takes practice. note. even if you have to wait for the macd to cross without the prediction it still remains profitable in trending markets

hk ab 17:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
some early birds exit nzd hedge, watch oil.

hk ab 17:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
any more "cloudy" signal on aud/jpy now?

For ldn sake, long aud/jpy here 78.65 tight stop 78.35.

perrie como 17:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
also waiting Eur/Jpy to drop between 133.50 and 132...

c u next days!!!

gotta go olympics in side markets

bi

perrie como 16:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
regarding Usd/Jpy think might easily drop towards 109 within a day or two

USA Biscuit Boy 16:53 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Yes Irish the new models are due to hit the floor early next month altho corvette lovers will have to wait a while longer for the much anticipated new C6 as the corvette plant shut down for 1 month this year. Can't wait!

CA Clouy 16:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Another question is: since MACD is a lagging indicator, sometimes the turn has already been missed when the signal is print on the Right side chart, especially for intra-day trading. How to solve this problem w/o references from other side-line indicators? TIA.

CA Clouy 16:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks to u guys for ur reply. I just started and trade in a mini account. I bought some books, and try to follow Dr. Elder's triple screen method. I was told that one indicator may be not enough. I guess I'd better find some courses to take. GL & GT

Chicago Irish 16:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit boy:That's because the "new car year" begins in August in the US.

perrie como 16:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
think I ve already mentioned It here, but worth to underline that Central banks, Big investments and other globally sizeble, have added from 2001 to 2003 included some 8.5 trillions of USDs to slow the bubble...now we reackoning defoults on higher commodities and interest rates, but It could be as next weeks as next year ...personally I think about a classic summer-style "neo-crash" to happen, maybe september (funny just coined this neo-crash, forgive me)..but due to elections and other casualties there is side appearantly, but guess the big names are near to have completed a lot of p-folio cleaning-ups, so be ready for ....guess a stronger yen

usa 16:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
i have found the stochastic to be less reliable in my experience. That is not to say that I am always right. No trader is always right. If you are just getting started.. try not getting confused by using too many signals... everyone uses different signals and become "experts" at reading them.. I recommend finding one that works for you. Good Luck

USA Biscuit Boy 16:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
My favorite economic indicator is the line at my local starbucks and the tip jar when I get up front. Mother in law is a car salesperson at a Chevy dealer also very informative. June and July very slow......August gathering steam. People are starting to whip out $20 bills at starbucks instead of a handful of change. First 2 weeks in August the dealership sold more cars than June and July combined and the used lot is very low on stock now.

perrie como 16:35 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ca clouly ...in side markets oscillators might help on a short term basis, there are several options as no one is following the same, even Central Banks do mixing approaches..
however if big trends arises you'll get cought in your stops, and this depends on the amounts you ve set at risk and the so famous cash positions Buffet, Gross and others have mentioned during last months

CA Clouy 16:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
usa 16:27 GMT August 17, 2
usd// have u considered stochastic? I saw a bullish signal given from hourly chart. sorry for the questions, just want to learn from experts. TIA. GL & GT

usa 16:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
there wasn't a cross.. just going with trend... if it crosses up I will go long... using standard macd

perrie como 16:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
talking tickets guess inflation is more correlated to the densitiy of consumers

as seen around these days on news:

One of Greenspan’s favorite economic indicators is the price of scrap steel. His obsession with scrap steel prices began during his years as a private sector economist. Generally speaking, scrap steel prices are a reflection of consumer and capital spending - that is, if scrap steel prices are rising sharply it implies improving demand in the US manufacturing sector which translates into improvements in the overall economy. However, although this is one of Greenspan’s favorite indicators, the accuracy of scrap steel prices in predicting economic activity remains in question. Increased demand from countries like China has also squeezed supply, prompting an acceleration in the price of scrap steel that may be completely unrelated to US demand

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:25 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Funny...I get the dow to be a sell till thursay...while Nasdaq is a buy from wed..
This is funny...dow will not be higher then 9870 by thursday (This week)

Ldn 16:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
US Military Unmanned US Spy Plane Has Crashed In Iraq

CA Clouy 16:22 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
usa 16:18 GMT August 17

usa, may i plz know ur settings? I read the hourly MACD on eur/usd, but couldn't find a strong cross with down trend signal. TIA. GL & GT

perrie como 16:19 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP agree, I am also preferring the universities basketball, more fun, more classic rules, nice public and above all cheaper tickets :))

Dallas GEP 16:19 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Well it is pretty obvious there is some support for EURO that is NOT as readily apparent in GBP at this time as eur/gbp longs are indicating. BUT if Euro does break it's support the effect will be dramatic. But in order for the break to occurr all the crosses will need to HELP IMO

Syd 16:18 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gold Chart

usa 16:18 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I trade using the MACD hourly... if it crosses positive I will go long... right now it points to shorting.. This works best in a trending market. GBP weakness helps to point in the direction

Sydney Alimin 16:18 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
the way i see this, if gold starts to go down, euro will follow ...all IMHO

Va Raven 16:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the explanation, tim.

Syd 16:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gold $403.30 and looking good

CA Clouy 16:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Just long usd/jpy 110.08, s/l 109.75. any view on this pair is appreciated. GL & GT

Dallas GEP 16:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Como...you mean the BAD DREAM TEAM!!! LOL To be honest it doesn't bother me to see those primadonnas get beat!!!

perrie como 16:12 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
if oil to hold this week
will add more japanese yens while letting away more dollars negative economic data more to come

stay well in this snoozy summer

btw later on It's Greece against the Dream Team

bibi

Va Raven 16:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Where is your stop for the trade, usa, if you don't mind?

wisconsin tim 16:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
raven - yes, they are just projections based on historical RSI change of the H/L/C and using RSI to project the next day's prices.

For example, since 2001 across the 8 majors these levels have held (collectively) the close ~60% of the time.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
usa 16:06 GMT August 17, 2004 //
Good Man!!

Syd 16:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
oil is higher by 1% and moving higher seems to be probably affecting equities

usa 16:06 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
sold eur/usd at 1.2328

Sydney Alimin 16:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gold is up and usd is up? hmm...

Va Raven 16:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim - You mean cable will be closed today in the range of 1.8316-1.8471?
Thanks Oilman.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EURGBP 0.6725 0.6697
Wis..
I Like this one

wisconsin tim 15:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Todays Closing price ranges
EURUSD 1.2419 1.2318
GBPUSD 1.8471 1.8316
USDCHF 1.2460 1.2328
USDJPY 110.95 109.80
AUDUSD 0.7225 0.7153
EURJPY 137.17 135.86
EURGBP 0.6725 0.6697
USDCAD 1.3108 1.2982

Syd 15:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
a bit of useless infoCENTRAL BANK KEEPS U.S. DOLLAR AFLOAT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Carefull Nasdaq Puts...there should be another rally wed to thurs...NDX Might hit 1,400 buy weekend

Sydney Alimin 15:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
how about gbp/jpy long to 202?

Dallas GEP 15:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Got some usd/jpy longs at a various levels now. Most recent is 109.95. TP level is 110.50 on all. Tenative stop is 109.75 ( will move under certain conditions)

Dublin Flip 15:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The NZ official cash rate (I assume you are refering to)
RBNZ ocr

Syd 15:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sin Sam thanks also

Syd 15:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
London e yes this seemed to be a dead cat bounce early in the week , bounce within a bear market .

Beijing Laowen 15:39 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, thanks for your patience. However, I think Eur/Gbp, if breaking up 0.6750 , is still potential to 0.6800. Your analysis I guess was based on its not being able to up break the resistence ard. 0.6750.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:39 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Next Buy Level for dow...9250

wisconsin tim 15:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
closed aud/usd short

long eur/usd and eur/jpy

UAE Oil man 15:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 15:24 GMT August 17, 2004

Ah..It could be both depending on which side of the fence, one is sitting..looks somewhat bearish though closing under 1.8330.

Sin Sam 15:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Syd,

Dows at +9.07 now... day high 10,023.86

Cheers

eur lg 15:35 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
To answer a few questions as of this moment dow still up but barely. Caution getting to bearish jpy crosses as sept crude regains 46.00. Sold more eur gbp at 6743. Its got to come down sooner or later.

Nice evening all.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:32 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 15:26 GMT August 17, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips //

Mate, you haven't answered my question yet. What is your reason to see eur/gbp soon @ 0.6550? Thanks.

///
I thought I did Laowen...
This a very slow Instru...
For a slow one like this to go up this fast..(Last Month)...it's bound to drop... VaR...this the maximum it can do within this much time.

Va Raven 15:32 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks NH, saw report that some sizable options cad call 1.28 went through today.

London e 15:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Syd 15:29 GMT August 17, 2004
Ive gone short the S+P today and its starting to fall again.

Paris 15:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on where EUR/JPY is going? At 135.51 going down...

Syd 15:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Has anyone free live bourse charts

Is the Dow still up ?

Austin rb 15:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain
May I ask what the c columns are

Beijing Laowen 15:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips //

Mate, you haven't answered my question yet. What is your reason to see eur/gbp soon @ 0.6550? Thanks.

Livingston nh 15:24 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Raven - re: Cad - yeah I've got a fresh view but the censor program would likely blow-up // will add on a break above 21 da sma (55 and 200 da around 1.33 are big resistance) - only positive I have is MACD is higher than last time Usd/Cad was down here // energy seems pretty supportive of CAD

Va Raven 15:24 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Oilman, "conclusive" means a clear sign or the end of the game?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:20 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas,
Hoping You saw that..
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/MyDailyOrders.htm
GBP/JPY...Missed by a few..Oh Well

UAE Oil man 15:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gbp/$ retraced most of the gains from the friday trade.

Last week the same configuration happened with euro following a bit later..

I guess watching 1.2270 on euro$ should be conclusive.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Went up too fast in little time

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd better cut switch now to get 1.8221caused by break 1.8278 .although BEP

hk ab 15:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I saw the rate went to 7.x% in 2000-2001....anyone can confirm it?

Beijing Laowen 15:12 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:10 GMT August 17, 2004 //

Mate, what is the reason you expect eur/gbp will get to 0.65 area? GL and GT

Va Raven 15:12 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NH, any fresh view on usd/cad?

Dallas GEP 15:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Laowen, No I don't have it yet. I was going to see if I could get a 6750

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 15:05 GMT August 17, 2004
Shorted EUR/GBP @0.6745. GEP, you got your EUR/GBP now?

Good Man!!
I think you should wait to .6550 area for PT

hk ab 15:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ldn// you lost your temper too early, the week is still LONG...

GOLD COAST MARTIN 15:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
HK.AB AND LDN..Why dont you two guys actually work together and co-operate..you may increase your profits consistently.....g.t

Beijing Laowen 15:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
REgret get off the gbp/jpy shorting train too early...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 15:03 GMT August 17, 2004 ///
Sorry man..I don't why this happens...
I been getting about 80 hits today..
I am not sure why..
GBPUSD 1.8569 1.8193

Ldn 15:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab you should get your facts straight before shooting off your mouth you idiot fool

hk ab 15:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
someone told me that 1.5 year ago... maybe I got it wrong from him, need to check it up.

Beijing Laowen 15:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Shorted EUR/GBP @0.6745. GEP, you got your EUR/GBP now?

london 15:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab..

nz ocr has never been above 6.5 pct.

Gen dk 15:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Los Angeles ss 15:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Within 10 Pips -- No sorry, I'm just getting blank columns. Must have something set wrong.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
yes.. gbp/usd have touched 1.8278, potential to get 1.8333 again, but if show us 1.8260 better cut swicth to get 1.8221

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
LA
Try this
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/MyDailyOrders.htm

hk ab 15:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ldn// a kind advice for you AGAIN.

yields IS NOT the ONLY dominant factor on fx.

When OCR of nzd is at 7.0% few years ago, nzd was traded under 0.5.....

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad will up to get 1.3134 (minimal) ,extreme top at 1.3174
buy !!

hk ab 14:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
as bloody as usual.

hk ab 14:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
a cross road for those stalE long above 79.00 aud/jpy....

Los Angeles ss 14:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- Thank you.

Within 10 pips -- can't get the figures column to load on the web page. Interested in GBP.USD Thanks.

slv sam 14:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
short $/y at 110.10 target 108.60 s/l 110.60

Dallas GEP 14:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Longed usd/jpy

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:53 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 14:47 GMT August 17, 2004
1.8278 is important level, maybe buyers action from there.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I only predict eur/usd 1.2282 and gbp/usd can touch 1.8221 caused by cross eur/gbp that still have space to get higher at 0.6774 or 0.6799 as the top. I think to hope gbp/usd up better wait eur/gbp get that level.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 14:47 GMT August 17, 2004 //
www.geocities.com/kalzayani

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys

Los Angeles ss 14:47 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
raden mas -- what do you mean by careful if it touches 1.8278 -- does that mean it will go down from there, or that it might bounce and go up from there???? Thanks.

Sydney Alimin 14:47 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q, is gold lagging here? Where do you see it go till end of this week?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:44 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd if show us 1.8260, that's eman 1.8221 will be touched. be carefull when touch 1.8278

Bangkok bkk 14:44 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: long exited at break-even 1.2330

hk ab 14:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
all cats and dogs long jpy crosses now running.....

Syd 14:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh true but doubt they will oblige only give us the dripping off their noses

hk ab 14:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
747 story prevail first?

GOLD COAST MARTIN 14:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY 10950 area is BOJ revised area for august september.....be careful,,,,,g/t

hk ab 14:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
just cared about your suggestion this morning to long aud/jpy 79.40 and now diving hardco-re.

UAE Oil man 14:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
200.10 and 198.30.

Livingston nh 14:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Syd - probably right but I'd rather know their positions than their opinions // long term econ projections (and the FOREX consequences) are more hazardous than sky diving w/o a 'chute

Kaunas 14:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Where is the support for GBP/JPY?

Syd 14:34 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh they must be using their fund has a model or know something we dont ?

hk ab 14:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
oil runs exhausted?

hk ab 14:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
eur takes a breather today from its cousin eur/gbp. but eur/jpy is dying hard.

Livingston nh 14:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Syd - IMHO- trade weighted averages and J-curves are economic myths - what about about two years of 4.5% econ growth rather than a depreciation in USD? what about a 3% Funds rate next year with ECB at 2%?

Makati Obelix 14:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q, great call on your GBP/Yen range. Will miss you posts during your vacation.

hk ab 14:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
and unfortunately, you never pay attention to the overvalue situation of eur and chf VS usd.

hk ab 14:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
and unfortunately, you never pay attention to the overvalue situation of eur and chf VS usd.

hk ab 14:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ldn// the T.A could be more objectives if the site is free of daily rubbish "copy and paste" campagne...

This aud/jpy dive might be a false dive before a strong rally in Sept, BUT right now, no one knows the REAL direction.

nice topping out at this 79.50 line for so many days.

Syd 14:21 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Interesting view from Goldman.

"The U.S. dollar has a lot further to fall," says Bill Dudley. "The dollar is still quite high--more than 10% above its real trade-weighted average during the 1990s. If one assumes that the U.S. current account deficit will ultimately need to shrink to around 3% of GDP, this requires either a U.S. recession (with continued foreign growth) or a sharp further decline in the dollar on a trade-weighted basis. Depending on one's assumptions...the dollar decline required is at least 10% and possibly as much as 30%."
Goldman Sachs'

hk ab 14:21 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The strong japanese cloud turns out to be a graveyard?

nyc jk 14:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hey Oil Man, I see the UAE just won their first Olympic medal ever, congrats!

Austin rb 14:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
could anyone tell me where to get info on censored forex trading for USA resident

Bangkok bkk 14:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 14:05 GMT

If you don't like it, just ignore it .... Ok?

"everyone is entitled to their own opinions"

I don't wanna waste my time bashing you this time around....Ok?

PEACE :)

CA Clouy 14:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 14:06 GMT
Thx tim for your daily range info. That rocks! I look forward to ur post every trading night. :-) GL & GT.

houston st 14:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
San Diego bobl 14:07 GMT -- what did that beach house la costa you? :) good trades today.

CA Clouy 14:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd limit out @.2342, +22pips. Can somebody teach me a bit about setting t/p? TIA. GL & GT

San Diego bobl 14:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I am in La Costa...ex has beach house in La Jolla...LOL.

wisconsin tim 14:06 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
lowering stops to BE, tp @ 7130

wisconsin tim 20:32 GMT August 16, 2004
....

Shorting AUD stops above .7230

Bangkok bkk 14:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 14:00 GMT

ab// No, I didn't .
What does he/she say about this?

UAE Oil man 14:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The 'fellowship of the asian shark' ..sounds like we're only missing a hobbit and a magical dollar bill which copies itself and prints itself more everyday ..a lot of imagination in this market but still something which is part of truth/lies..
Summer is about to end and there's probably a new direction coming soon, calls from will come from all sides, and some will be in the right direction, some inventing 'friends in high places', other incredible systems (which revolutionize all past systems offcourse),other claim 'insider fx knowledge' (ready to be sold offcourse)and life continues...Chop chop ..chop chop..
Funny there still are so much fools ready to listen to the same old fictions..

GER ad 14:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/GBP at 0.6737

Bangkok bkk 14:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:54 GMT August 17, 2004

ab// I have other business that I need to take care because it was in the beginning, .....have no times to stay in touch with the market all days. I do trade occasionally.



hk ab 14:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk// did you read B747 jpy crosses view few days ago?

CA Clouy 13:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
San Diego bobl 13:48 GMT August 17
1. support position from the broker. .2280, 50% accuracy.
2. 30 min stoch gave a buy signal.

but usd seemed strong against eur, gbp today. GL>

Bangkok bkk 13:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 13:50 GMT

Ok.

hk ab 13:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk//btw, why did youleave gvi for so long? ;)
I miss those SOLID info rather than the tonnes (tongues) of "copy and paste" advertisements everyDAY.

San Diego 13:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
What part of San DIego are you from bobl?

London e 13:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Buy GBP/USD @ 1.8330. Stop 15 pips

Bangkok bkk 13:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 13:48 GMT

If there aren't anything wrong , I will post this story.

Anyway, take with grain of salt.

GL.

Belgrade Knez 13:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   

bkk

Please check your mail.

Thanks.

hk ab 13:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
QDN up again.... now 9!

San Diego bobl 13:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Clouy...
Impossible to know your method for this choice, however I see some logic in support here from 8/06-8/10. On the other hand, the spread is pretty wide here and some other conflicts apparent, i.e. recent failures to follow through on impulse moves in that direction. Technical toss-up imho.

Beijing Laowen 13:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk/ very curious the direction of the Asian sharks trading Eur/Usd next Monday...GL GT

USA Biscuit Boy 13:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: 1.23+ Bullish
1.2180-1.23 Neutral
Below 1.2180 Bearish

Bangkok bkk 13:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:43 GMT August 17, 2004
bkk//are they only interested in eur only?

No, NOT ONLY EURO.

EURO , CHF and GBP

Syd 13:45 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
European CB rumoured on bid, with Asian Banks

GER ad 13:45 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Long Cable at 1.8324 tight S/L

hk ab 13:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk//are they only interested in eur only?

CA Clouy 13:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Long eur/usd @ 1.2320, s/l: 1.2280. Any view is appreciated.

Bangkok bkk 13:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ab// The fellowship of the Asian sharks is coming.......on Monday next week (if there aren't anything wrong)

GL.

GER ad 13:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CHF cross indicated this morning a higher Dollar against the European but why is the JPY the strong one I don't know (maybe the Yen cross is still too high). The data is IMHO benign (all already priced in..). Maybe a long Cable in low 30 (1.8330) is still interesting for today. GT & GL.

Syd 13:35 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
It appears that Fund Managers are bearish of a Kerry win and are lowering their forecasts.

Bangkok bkk 13:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:27 GMT

That's sound like a good idea. However, I do not trade cross currency....need to do some research before I can trade that pair.

USA Biscuit Boy 13:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I think the CPI and housing data is a mixed bag hence the mixed reactions. Interesting show now is if eur/gbp can make a topside breakout and yen strengthening across the board.

hk ab 13:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk// May I recommend you short eur/aud for the coming months?

Tallinn viies 13:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:23 - In my opinion it is beacuse my short euro put at 1,2280 expires today ?

Dallas GEP 13:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Closed eur/cad at profit

Bangkok bkk 13:25 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:19 GMT

ab// My view is Fundamental in the EU is not that great if compare to the US. Especially during the high oil price crisis.

hk ab 13:24 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hey, where's the Japanese cloud now? STRONG signal to long aud/jpy this morning?
maybe pain first b4 the real flight.....

hk ab 13:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
First poison is the NON-Farm payrolls and all the herd sell chf 300 pips.
Second poison is the trade deficit and the 2nd group herds sell chf 200 pips.
Now, ALL the herds thought -0.1 cpi will kill the USD and dreaming for a "fly".....

OOPS, all halt!

austin rb 13:22 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Do not understand why dollar is up with the data today maybe someone could offer opinion

Bangkok bkk 13:21 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:15 GMT

ab// Yes, I will.
Still operate with 30/40 points stop loss above or
below the entry level.
Safety belt is needed.

hk ab 13:19 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
bkk//my post yesterday...

US has a flu, europe will have the cold.
If US dies, europe is in the censored already.

ISM, other index are still above 50 while ZEW is diving hard now.

San Diego bobl 13:18 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
sold eur/jpy 136.10

Syd 13:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY thanks for that

Spotforex NY 13:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Redbook is in the red

down 0.6 pct in week ending Aug 14th

NYC MSG 13:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NYC YS:
What other types of problems have you had with them?

hk ab 13:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
right now, it's still at 7.5, so watch out bkk. Esp. when eur/jpy gravity still exists.

Syd 13:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Has anyone got the Redbook prices.?

GVI Jay 13:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Anyone having broker problems contact us and we will see if we can help resolve them. We have done it in the past and it is more effective than debating it on the forum.

hk ab 13:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 12:56 GMT August 17, 2004

bkk//thanks, I like your two ways T.A. analysis. G.T.

I was just aware that so many "funnymentalists" view on USD sentiment.... (most of them are ONE way though).

QDN was at 9 this morning.

lon ram 13:14 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in July, the first decline in eight months, as shoppers paid less for gasoline, clothing and transportation, a government report showed.

The 0.1 percent decrease in the consumer price index compares with a 0.3 percent increase in June, the Labor Department said in Washington. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.1 percent, same as the month before

Riga RIA 13:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EURHUF dropped from 248 to 246.80 after German name selling but I dont expect now break thru 246.50 , think we cud hold 246.50/248.50..........EURPLN today quiet after crazy friday, expect holds abv 4.4250 n return to 4.4500 agn....GL

Tor Pumpkin 13:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
that should be criminal. In the interbank market, cable moved from the 1.8380 area (just before the data) straight up to 1.8438.

nyc jk 13:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
that is total bulls*t YS, in fact that borders on criminality. what did they say when you called them?

Spotforex NY 13:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
If one thinks that their broker is not playing fair..then send a note to the CFTC with an explaination. Have the regulators watch them a bit closer....

www.cftc.gov

Los Angeles ss 13:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Richie -- their brokers tell me their dealing rates are input manually by their rate personnel based on numerous interbank feeds. Maybe someone just read the feeds wrong. Would have been nice to have entered a long a that point, huh?

NYC YS 13:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NYC

Yes they stopped me out at 8317, never traded there. FX see M

Bangkok bkk 13:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Just long @ 1.2330 , Stop 1.2300 , T/P 1.2450

NYC YS 13:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
London Richie

All 3 traders in my office got stopped out. BS we have had alot of problems with them

Sa Vereeniging 13:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
There was no downward spike, possibly running stops on their clients. I cannot think of another explanation

London Richie 13:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss / thanks. pretty ridiculous i think..

Melbourne Qindex 13:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT August 17, 2004
GBP/USD : My daily cycle charts suggest that the market is going to trade between 1.8299 - 1.8361 initially. The mid-point reference between 1.8299 - 1.8422 is 1.8361.

eur lg 13:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bot back short eur jpy..........now if this eur gbp would just roll over.

Melbourne Qindex 13:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : The next target is 134.28.


Melbourne Qindex 09:16 GMT August 17, 2004
EUR/JPY : I like to see 135.81 to be printed in 24 hours.

Livingston nh 13:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
By the Fed's Sept meeting this CPI (and PPI) report will be long forgotten - the August energy figures will be up around 8% and the gasoline prices will be rising in Sept. - the Fed needs to get to at least a neutral rate before it begins to factor any inflation into its moves (hence the hope for "transitory" factors)

Sydney Alimin 13:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
guys, is there a way for me to know data release schedule one week ahead instead of knowing it on the weekend such as the one provided by forexnews?

London RIchie 13:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NYC YS / did you get stopped out? CRAP

Los Angeles ss 13:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Richie -- got that on my censored.com as well, down to 83.13. I called them, they confirmed it as a quick downward spike. Wish I had been more awake, my E=signal charts just shot straight up.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
on the way now.

bahrain gd 12:59 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
nyc,ys: Looks all brokers r behaving & sucking same way.censored also is executing order after the price is crossing 20~30 minutes before.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
clear confirmation of gbp/usd to get low 1.8297 is when show me 1.8345.

cairo Amgad 12:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
large option player plus profit taking cause EUR and GBP to slide

NYC YS 12:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
London Richie, all 3 people in my office had big problems trying to contact them now.

Sydney Alimin 12:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
maybe a good idea to look at gold price movement guys

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
welcome for usd/chf for oscilation to 1.2503

San Diego bobl 12:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
This is about as good as it gets for opportunity to get hacked into submission. Another day of good starts finding breaks and back again to nowhere. Not much to fall in love with out there...like being the only sober guy in back street bar at 2:00 am...ouch!

Syd EM 12:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Looks like Fed (Greenspan) will think twice about rate hike inSeptember with all the negatives in the way at present . Weak Empire State survey , Hurricane Charley , CPI , etc etc etc. if he wants to keep happy campers.

Bangkok bkk 12:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 12:41 GMT August 17, 2004

ab// That's because of EUR/USD still a little bit overbought if you take a look at 4hrs chart. Lack of MOMENTUM so far....for today.

As long as the euro stay above 1.2280/1.2300 , it will rise above 1.2400 sooner than later................IMHO

London Richie 12:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hi, did anyone get a large downward spike on FXC.m after the news?

NYC YS 12:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have problems with censored after the CPI report. They traded down to 1.8320 for GBP,never traded at that price. looking for new broker any suggestions

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
up move from 1.2340 is enough also gbp from 1.8360 is enough too.
for now ideally eur/usd move down to catch 1.2282 (bottom) and gbp/usd catch 1.8297 (bottom).
I suggest to hold sell usd, and wait good level to add poisition selling ussd.

cairo Amgad 12:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
we return back to the moment before data where market is trading and have no direction; but i prefer $ bearish side since Housing has negative impact on interest rate.

GL GT

CA Clouy 12:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
FYI:[SUBDUED US CPI PRINTS] leaves the dollar on the defensive as depicted by its post data losses versus its major rivals. Eur/Usd has jumped to a 1.2390 high as US interest rate futures rally on the muted inflation data. Good size offers are noted in the 1.2380/1.2400 region from an Asian CB and a US bank, which should serve to limit gains initially in Eur/Usd but overall the figures will weigh against the dollar.

London e 12:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Out at breakeven

GA TJ 12:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Lets start the conspiracy theory. Who wants to keep this thing in a tight range? Who has the most to lose if it makes a run one way or the other? Its more than likely large option players but I wonder who?

Ldn Viewer 12:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
stavanger risktaker 12:46 - Paid for news feeds , was only first part of story ... GL mate

London e 12:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/USD

PAR 12:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Weaker dollar seems not to posing any inflationary risk.

LA ARTOFYEN 12:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
London, Bank Of China on top at 1.2400 as he continues to play both sides of it. Apperntly taking some back ahed of 1.2320 now. I guess size does matter after all!

Melbourne Qindex 12:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:28 GMT August 16, 2004
Weekly Cycle : The current expected trading ranges are as follow :-


EUR/USD : 1.2278 - 1.2329* - 1.2380
..............................................................

stavanger risktaker 12:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Ldn, where do U find that sort of info?

Ldn Viewer 12:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The initial drive in [EUR/USD] was to the topside but this was stopped in its tracks by large German and ACB offers from 1.2380, thought to run up to 1.2400.

These must be large and market is long .. seems IMVHO

nyc jk 12:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
TJ - I really don't know what they are either, but a few of the hk folks seem to talk about them all the time. I was just joking

Sydney M 12:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 09:08 GMT August 5, 2004
"QDC".. Quacking Duck Contrarian theory:
market participants tends to make the most noises at/near market EXTREMES..
like all traditional chart indicators, the Ducks tends to lag behind the market & are behind the curve cheerleaders at/near market EXTREMES..
guage the 'Quacking Duck Noises' QDN level & fade the noisy Ducks..

QDN noise sources;
advisory/guru services
banks/brokers
forums & news sources

QDN composite index:
0-3 dead market, great time for snooze or top/bottom suntaning
4-6 market in consolidation (great market for 'I can turn on a dime' pikers)
7-8 Fade alert
9-10 Fade! Fate! Fay
gauging the Quacking Duck Noise level is highly discretionary & takes a bit of practice.. but over time, it could a rewarding effort for the patient practitioner..fwiw
Cheerios..

hk ab 12:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
eur should close above 1.24 and aud above .72 + chf under 1.24 right now, isn't it with this FIRST negative cpi? as someone's wishful thinking?

GA TJ 12:40 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hmmm. Seems the market does not know what to do with those numbers. Indication of more tight range maybe?

eur lg 12:39 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
For lack of anything better to do sold eur jpy at 40 and eur gbp at 15. Just not impressed by the eur.

GA TJ 12:34 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 12:01 GMT August 17, 2004
hk mom - don't pay attention to any analysts from now on. all trading decisions should be based on what the C9 and the quacking ducks are doing........

OK I am confused or suffering from a lack of coffee or just plain dillsuional. What the heck is CC9 and the quacking ducks?

Ldn 12:33 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
US July CPI Shows First Decline Since Nov '03

FloridA vv 12:33 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Wow.... thanx friends

Johannesburg Merlin 12:32 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Only kidding Florida, let's watch this market...

Ldn ;-) 12:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
US July Consumer Prices -0.1%; Consensus +0.1%

Johannesburg Merlin 12:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
and please don't ask me what Switzerland is...

GER ad 12:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/CHf,
out at 1.5367

FloridA vv 12:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
No, hurricanes wiped them all out
Just wana make sure that UBS http://www.ubs.com/
and UBS in Kazakhstan are the same

Johannesburg Merlin 12:28 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Jeepers Creepers Florida; UBS (UNITED BANK OF SWITZERLAND), Citibank and Deutsche are the three largest FX banks IN THE WORLD, by far.

Helllloooo?

sarasota jf 12:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
vv - you are in the wrong forum - try help and maybe www.ubs.com might give you a tiny bit of info u need

Tallinn viies 12:25 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
vv - do you have tv and papers there in Fl?

Almaty ABA 12:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
We trade through UBS!

Spr Spr 12:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GVI !

egypt hi 12:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
i want a good sites which offered recommendation

egypt hi 12:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
i want a good sites which offered recommendation

hk mom 12:05 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
No worry, I have full confidence on ldn that aud will crush .72 by Wed then .7250 by weekend.

nyc jk 12:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hk mom - don't pay attention to any analysts from now on. all trading decisions should be based on what the C9 and the quacking ducks are doing........

hk Grandma 12:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Well I'm still long $jpy from 112.00 (at least I didn't pay the high -whew) but I figure I'll make it all back going long oil today-LOL

hk mom 11:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
OMG, I got aud long at .7198 and eur long @ 1.2385.... 'cos somebody said, aud will crush .7250 soon, so many analysts said SO....

FloridA vv 11:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Almaty ABA 10:53 GMT August 17, 2004
Of course we DO HAVE forex!!!


Are you alowed to have accounts with international or foreign banks, or you just play via your locals?

GER ad 11:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/CHF at 1.5372

Livingston nh 11:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
FWIW - beware the Spin Doctors on today's US figures (CPI and then 45 min later Ind Prod) / maybe the next analyst talk will be about Cable "head and shoulders" and no rate hike by MPC

Dublin Flip 11:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Yes Daimyo you are right. Whether it be the market or anything else, you either carry a decent proportion of humilty or you have it thrust upon you unwillingly "(and often painfully -LOL)
Be lucky....

Almaty ABA 10:53 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Of course we DO HAVE forex!!!

GOLD COAST MARTIN 10:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The market seems to be'"Factoring in"" the modest change in the CPI numbers..data may be non-mover when released..g/t

Almaty ABA 10:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
How much you were expecting payrolls for July? 200K or 250K, maybe 300!? Maybe you beleived the expectations of outstanding economists that trade balance would be 46.5-47 billion, but I don't believe them, I bought EUR 2 minutes before the news, and the same happened with nonfarm payrolls data. I know that statistics show unexpected results, everything is possible, but its unlikely. That's why I am saying that the market is bearish on USD

Oakland daimyo 10:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Staying humble Flip. This mkt has a funny way of humbiling those who start to believe their own press. this year has been decent. looking to ramp up into the New Year.

Oakland daimyo 10:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Under 1.2333 and it's lights out for EUR/USD bulls. Trap will be set. Level shift to 1.22 before re-group. This is aggressive and should be kept in mind. This is August after all.

Dublin Flip 10:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
No worries Daiymo.
I've noticed you've been a bit lower on the profile yourself lately. So how have things been or have you been having a bit of holidays??

FloridA vv 10:47 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hey do people have Forex in Almaty?

Oakland daimyo 10:47 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Flip. Nice to see you on this side.

Dublin Flip 10:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Remember CPI is a monthly number (i.e. 1/12). It's for july.
June was 0.3. Anything above 0.3 means crudelyb extraporlated to above 3.6%. A 0.5% result is highly unlikely and would mean the twin fears of weakening growth and explosive inflation, i.e. "stagflation".

Expectations are 0.2 and 0.1 for core

Almaty ABA 10:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
CPI above 0.5% could boost sales, I do agree, but it all depends on numbers!

Oakland daimyo 10:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Almaty ABA 10:13 GMT August 17, 2004
EUR/USD is capped for today. Pre US #'s could see nice stop hunt.

Oakland daimyo 10:28 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Loading the boat. I hope specs can swim. EUR/USD sell campaign is slow work but same results. Watch for the level shift. Channel Failure in place. GT & GL

Almaty ABA 10:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I expect lower CPI, negative for USD rate hike in September!

Almaty ABA 10:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hello everybody, what are your expectations regarding today's CPI data, shall we test 1.2450 on EUR/USD? What is the probability?

GER ad 10:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP,
I will short 0.6735/40 if seen.

Beijing Laowen 09:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GEP, Eur/GBP seems potential to test 0.68 before retracing. IMHO.

Swidnica/Poland profi-forex 09:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
17.08.2004 (5:08am US Time)

TODAY`S DATA:

03:15 CHF – PPI m/m (Jul) prev. -0.3% for. 0.2%

05:00 EUR – Industrial Production m/m (Jun) prev. 0.7% for. -0.7%

05:00 DEM – ZEW Survey Econ. Sentiment (Aug) prev. 48.4 for. 48.0

05:00 DEM – ZEW Survey Current Situation (Aug) prev. -69.3 for. -69.0

08:30 USD – CPI m/m (Jul) prev. 0.3% for. 0.2%

08:30 USD – CPI Core m/m (Jul) prev. 0.1% for. 0.2%

08:30 USD – CPI y/y prev. 3.3%

08:30 USD – CPI Core y/y (Jul) prev. 1.9% for. 1.8%

08:30 USD – Housing Starts (Jul) prev. 1.924k for. 1.900k

08:30 USD – Building Permits (Jul) prev. 1.945k for. 1.950k

15:15 USD – Industrial Production m/m (Jul) prev. -0.3% for. 0.5%


USD/JPY (CURRENT LEVEL 110.49) - BULLS FIGHT AT 110.30. IF THIS REGION HOLDS WE SHOULD SEE BOUNCE TO 111.00 OR EVEN 111.40. LATER THIS WEEK WE EXPECT FALL BELOW 110.00.


EUR/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2340) – YESTERDAY`S CLOSE ABOVE 1.2350 SUGGEST POSIBILITY TO TEST 1.2500 REGION. STRONG RESISTANCE AT 1.2380/90, SUPPORT AT 1.2315.

USD/CHF (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2431) – SUPPORT AT 1.2370, RESISTANCE 1.2480 – 1.2500. WE EXPECT TO BREAK ABOVE-MENTIONED SUPPORT LATER THIS WEEK AND FALL TOWARDS 1.2300. WATCH MARKET CAREFULLY.

GBP/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.8373) – RISE TOWARDS 1.8550 AND FALL NEAR 1.8250 IS LIKE 50/50 IN A FEW DAYS. WATCH MARKET CAREFULLY. STAND ASIDE.

Dallas GEP 09:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
WEll BAHRAIN I have had short waiting at 6735 but that may indeed be too high

Syd EM 09:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips cheers

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 09:46 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 09:41 GMT August 17, 2004 ///
Recommeding EUR/GBP...short around here for about 6 days Possi..PT .6540...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 09:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney EM 09:35 GMT August 17, 2004 //
Cad...sound about right
www.geocities.com/kalzayani

Dallas GEP 09:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Order in for 1.6095 long on Eur/Cad

Sydney EM 09:35 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ABN Amro say they see CAD support between 1.3000-1.3050 and expected it to move towards 1.28 over the next month

Gen dk 09:34 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Prague JV 09:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Qindex . What will come first ? 135.81 or 110.75 ? Thnks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:18 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Oakland daimyo 09:08 GMT August 17, 2004
no problem sir, that's normal. :-) GL GT

Melbourne Qindex 09:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : I like to see 135.81 to be printed in 24 hours.

Oakland daimyo 09:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD shorts
1st tgt 1.2310
2nd tgt 1.2272

Oakland daimyo 09:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:58 GMT August 17, 2004
I'm on the other side of you today. GL & GT to you. Holding EUR/USD shorts from last night 1.2367 capped.

Belgrade Knez 09:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 09:04 GMT August 17, 2004

ZEW 45.3 vs 48.4

Sydney Rosebery 09:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ZEW dropped to 45.4

Ldn Viewer 09:06 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
45.3 ZEW ..

Pecs Andras 09:06 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
09:00 EUR ECON: German August ZEW Expectations 45.3 Vs 48.3 In July]

[09:00 EUR ECON: Eurozone Industrial Production- June - 0.4%Mth +2.7%Yr]

Sydney gvm 09:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Euro figures anyone?TIA

pd cumino 08:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Any opinion on AUD NZD?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
my little analysis.
I think eur/usd will move up soon.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
enough for eur/usd when at 1.2340.
start level !!!

Gen dk 08:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Helsinki iw 08:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin, don´t worry, you know the old saying in motorsports:"if you want to win, take a Finn".

Not lately though.

Lord There 08:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
OK , Your wish wil be done . GL

Eilat Dolphin 08:45 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Oh Lord why don't you give me
Huge waves to ride
My fxriends all have wings
And I only got fins

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd confirm buy signal to get 1.8403 soon. selling attack maybe come from there.

广东 08:36 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
**神秘点的探索**8月17日--(茵子)
一、8月17日的神秘点是:
序 货 币 可能低点 可能高点 天图趋势 操作参考 预测本周高低点
0 美元指数 87.50 88.70 空 87.00 / 88.80
1 欧元/美元 1.2280 1.2450 多 1.2300多 1.2270/ 1.2500
2 英磅/美元 1.8330 1.8600 多 1.8350多 1.8280 / 1.8700
3 澳元/美元 0.7100 0.7200 多 0.7100多 0.7060 / 0.7280
4 瑞朗/美元 1.2300 1.2540 空 1.2520多朗 1.2220/ 1.2600
5 加元/美元 1.3000 1.3200 空 1.3200多加 1.2800 / 1.3250
6 日元/美元 109.90 111.50 多 111.50多日 109.40 / 112.00
今天关注:21:15前最好平仓,以防风险。
17:00 德国 8月份ZEW经济景气指数 前值48.4;市场影响★★★
17:00 欧元区 6月份工业生产 前值0.7%/月,3.9%/年;市场影响★★
20:30 美国 7月份消费者物价指数 前值0.3%/月,3.3%/年;市场预测0.2%/月;市场影响★★
21:15 美国 7月份工业生产 前值-0.3%;市场预测0.5%;市场影响★★★

以上数据仅供参考,风险自负!但一定要定好自己认为能承受的止损位!

祝大家好运!
yinzi QQ:30963505 E-mail: [email protected]
2004年8月17

Information of Aug 17h, 2004
NO Currency Low point possible High point possible Trend of daily graph Reference for operation The lowest and highest point of this week’s forecast.
0 DINIW 87.50 88.70 Down 87.00 / 88.80
1 RUD/USD 1.2280 1.2450 Up Buy at 1.2300 1.2270/ 1.2500
2 GBP/USD 1.8330 1.8600 Up Buy at 1.8350 1.8280 / 1.8700
3 AUD/USD 0.7100 0.7200 Up Buy at 0.7100 0.7060 / 0.7280
4 USD/CHF 1.2300 1.2540 Down Buy atCHF 1.2520 1.2220/ 1.2600
5 USD/CAD 1.3000 1.3200 Down Buyat CAD1.3220 1.2800 / 1.3250
6 USD/JPY 109.90 111.50 Down Buy at JPY 111.50 109.40 / 112.00


This chart is only for reference. Please be resposible with your own operation. Be sure to set a lowest cut point that you can afford!
In order to prevent lose, after you buy it, when the price increases by 30 points, you can set the lowest cut point to the price you buy. This operation is just for reference. You can do your own operation.
My QQ number is : 30963505,. Please feel free to contact me.
Good luck to everybody!!
E-mail: [email protected]
Yours sincerely,
Yinzi

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd short term have made buy signal.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd is on the danger level after touch 1.2348. I don;t admire if 1.2348 is start level for up.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:15 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ina co'z 08:13 GMT August 17, 2004
yes..your "panjat pinang" make me afraid with "1288" ..still open sell one.. I hope the oil can make they fall.

crawley thn 08:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
howdee partners....indian rupee against the lithuain lit is a good short

Ina co'z 08:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Raden...ya...hope like "panjat pinang"..LOL..!..

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd hope to 8400 again

GOLD COAST MARTIN 08:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 07:50 GMT August 17, 2004
Aposted yesterday Euro to revert back to trading range of 12225-12285 by end of week ..for today only look for tight trading range of 1235-12285...g/t

eur lg 08:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Covered usd/jpy short from 110.81 yesterday at 110.38 this mng..........

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
KAUNAS DP 08:02 GMT August 17, 2004
LOL..LOL

KAUNAS DP 08:02 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:01 GMT August 17, 2004

in case london boys are selling, only NY might become support team, however still sleeping...:)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd is onn the important level now. really!!

houston st 07:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
fyi, crude currently $45.86 (-.19) in Access trading session overnight...heating oil -33; unleaded -37; nat gas +2...back for NY.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ina co'z 07:52 GMT August 17, 2004
thanks.
I still remember about chart gbp/usd long term 1.93xx
really?

Melbourne Qindex 07:56 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD and GBP/USD are under pressure from thier respective Yen Crosses, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY.

Ldn 07:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Large Car Bomb Explodes In Central Baghdad - Interior Ministry

Ina co'z 07:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hello Raden...Great for independent day today...:-)

Whats you have today for the markets ?....thx...and good luck for you...!

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd..it's time
be carefull

Ldn 07:51 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 9a.m GMT

Sydney gvm 07:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast - do you still hold your Euro move back to mid 122s view. Patterns in Sept Euro futs are looking like a sell if highs of Friday not taken out today

MONACO OGA 07:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin, yes very much thank you. Its nice to be back when the market is still quiet. I understand that autumn will be hectic as usual...good luck++

Belgrade Knez 07:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   

Anyone have European ZEW survey which was out at 7am GMT, please?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:41 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
hello Co_z how are you?
I feel walking in your rail way today.

Eilat Dolphin 07:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Olivier/ Hi! I trust you enjoyed your vacation?

Ina co'z 07:33 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hello all...!

my little opinions for index dollar
- resistance at 88.20---88.50/75
- support at 87.50---86.20/00---84.00
...IMO...gl/gt...

MONACO OGA 07:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 17/08
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2360), same level as yesterday opening. The USD recovered after US Treasury's report pointed to enough foreing investments to offset the growing current account deficit (71.8 Bio USD against 60 expected in June). Some buying interest seems to be located around 1,2315 while 1,2370-80 is currently feeling offered. Closing in NY was around 1,2350. Overnight, the pair hovered in a tight range (1,2350-70). EUR's rally seems to be exhausting ahead of last month's 1,2460 resistance and we are looking for a top to form around 1,2400. However 1,2310 and 1,2280 should provide some support today especially if the E-12 industrial production and the german ZEW data later this morning are better than expected. Our range trading strategy since last spring is still valid for the time being, with a 1,1950-1,2525 range.

Data out today:

E-12 Ind production M/M June expected -0.8 09.00 GMT
GER ZEW sentiment index expected 48 09.00 GMT
US CPI July expected 0,1 12.30 GMT
US housing starts July expected 1900K 12.30 GMT
US building permits July expected 1950K 12.30 GMT
US industrial production expected 96.2 13.15 GMT
US capacity utilisation expected 60.0 13.15 GMT

Gold at 402,50, with WTI Sept at 45,86

***JPY***
USD/JPY (110,35). A triangle is developping inside 109,75-112,50 since the geginning of the month.The pair is currently looking offered and we'll be looking for a test of 110 and 109,75 supports later on. For the time being, we stick to our medium term strategy, 112,00-50 resistance level is still in place, with the pair hovering inside 107-112. Only a daily (weekly) close above 112 would open way to critical 115 pivotal point.
EUR/JPY currently 136,50, stable and looking to form a top around 137.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8400), retracing from 1,8470 yesterday but looking supported at 1.8375. The GBP is currently in the middle of its trading range (1,81-1,8750), but 1,8475 intermediary resistance seems to be pretty strong so we would advise to sell in front of this level.
EUR/GBP (0,6720), looking to test and break upside resistance (0,6725) for a rally to 0,6770. Unless 0,6680 gets offered, we will remain slightly bullish.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Moskow 07:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   

Reliable history data
for trading system verification and precise technical analysis
Intraday data are presented since 1997

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I got conclusion many sellers wait at 0.6771 or 0.6799 for sell eur/gb. I sugrgest keep buying eur than gbp.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
be carefull with gbp/usd when touch 1.8377 or 1.8360, maybe move up from there. or 1.8297 (extreme for today).

Ldn 07:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
U.S. CPI forecasts +0.2% in CPI +0.5% in output , if lower may extend euro above 1.24 and push Dollar lower across the board. FWIW.

Bangkok bkk 06:52 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: Exited long @ 110.40

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:39 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
my little view :
eur/usd
sell level : 1.2499 - 1.2416 - 1.2612 (extreme)
buy level : 1.2282 - 1.2237 - 1.2340
gbp/usd
sell level : 1.8520 - 1.8590 - 1.8618
buy level : 1.8297 - 1.8246 - 1.8369
aud/usd
sell level : 0.7237 - 0.7248 - 0.7276 - 0.7340
buy level : 0.7145 - 0.7125
usd/jpy
sell level : 110.68 - 110.98 - 113.44
buy level : 109.62 - 109.37 (major)
usd/chf
sell level : 1.2643 - 1.2535 - 1.2603 - 1.2503 - 1.2449
buy level : 1.2369 - 1.2280 - 1.2237 - 1.2221
gold
sell level : 402.80 - 405.30
buy level : 396.00 - 397.00

Ldn 06:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Terror risk weighs on US economy
Terrorism has become the biggest threat to the US economy, overtaking weak jobs growth, according to a survey.
The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) said 40% of its members cited terrorism as the number one threat, up from 19% six months ago.



http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/3571882.stm

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
singapore wong edan 05:58 GMT August 17, 2004
Nb: Raden_mas pls contact me via japri
sorry.. what's is "via japri" ?
To sydney Alimin
"Merdeka juga!!!"
"banyak balap karung dan lomba makan krupuk nich" mean is many funny competition in my independen day today.


Bangkok bkk 06:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Short-Term View

It is expected that EUR/USD may consolidate between 1.2290 - 1.2410 range for a while ...or until Wednesday US trading session. After last weeks trade gap, the dollar has afforded itself much technical damage and so it seems the euro will target 1.2450-1.2480 by the end of the week.

Trading Strategy: 1) Take SHORT around 1.2390-410 if high achieves first(Today only) , with target 1.2300/320
2) Take LONG around 1.2280-1.2300 if low price achieves first , with target 1.2450.

GL. all




Sydney Alimin 06:25 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:21 GMT August 17, 2004

merdeka! :)
what's the strategy for euro today?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:21 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
singapore wong edan 05:58 GMT August 17, 2004
hey... where I can found you? wong gello ?

Dallas GEP 06:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
I am sorry guys I didn;t realize I was ruining the Olympic coverage by annoucing results. I will not do so in the future, Sorry again

singapore wong edan 05:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Good evening all,

Any specials comment for eur/usd for europe trading?

Thank's gl/gt

Nb: Raden_mas pls contact me via japri

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 05:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Generally I think..
Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2500 1.2210
USDJPY 111.81 109.14
GBPUSD 1.8569 1.8193
USDCHF 1.2567 1.2249
EURCHF 1.5404 1.5254
AUDUSD 0.7278 0.7062
USDCAD 1.3207 1.2939
NZDUSD 0.6747 0.6521
EURGBP 0.6763 0.6662
EURJPY 138.17 134.80
GBPJPY 205.56 200.70
CHFJPY 90.0662 87.7394
GBPCHF 2.3020 2.2618
EURAUD 1.7424 1.7038
EURCAD 1.6317 1.5992
AUDCAD 0.9491 0.9250
AUDJPY 80.2801 78.2586

NYC YIPPEE 05:28 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Well I missed a good buying opportunity in the low 74's..
Feel that .81/.82 is on the cards, but will look to short there.
Too much risk going long.
Danger of commodity flush, and AUD lower.

hk ab 05:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
thx, any view on aud/jpy, your expertise.

NYC YIPPEE 05:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
No..... Friday/Monday.

hk ab 05:20 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE// May I know how long would you look for 112.xx target? in 2 weeks? TIA.

Syd EM. 05:13 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
According to NABE Survey terrorism biggest threat to U.S. economy

NYC YIPPEE 05:03 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Still have short EURUSD on..

Now buying USDJPY @ 110.50. Stop 109.80 looking for 112.35.

Ldn 04:58 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
stops building above 7200 and offers between 7240/50 some analysts look for 7250/7300 some time this week with the high yield currencies benefiting from negative USD sentiment at the moment.

hk ab 04:54 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
eur bulls must be v. disappointed with the better data last night....
so, what could they look forward now? worse data everyday....

But what if a greensy SMACK before the bad data come?.... ..

Play safe.

LDN, you must be finding that "gold fly" with your feed now..

sf cc 04:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas - Just teasing you...

LA fxnew 04:50 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
HI all again ....
everybody sees gbp/usd is going down, anybody views it in the opposite direction?

TIA

sf cc 04:33 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP - Thanx, bud. You just ruined the surprise and suspence that NBC is trying to manufacture for us here on the west coast.... oh well....

hk ab 04:29 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy ..... 79.50 is a hard nut....

Ldn 04:27 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gold on solid technical footing, with cyclical indicators (pointing) up for the week with weak USD, positive technicals, plus terrorist attack concerns
Rothschild Australia

wisconsin tim 04:01 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
A [LA AIRPORT TERMINAL] was evacuated after a man slipped through security without being properly screened, AP reported. The Transportation Security Admin ordered the precautions as airport police searched for the man who had not passed properly through a security screening station i the terminal that houses American Airlines and Qantas Airway. TSA spokesman said the man did not run away from the screening station and may not have known police were looking for him.

houston st 03:38 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Unconfirmed rumor of LA AIRPORT being evacuated is making its round in some part of the market, and is attributed to Usd/Chf's dip below 1.2400 and a marginally better bid tone in Eur/Usd. Some heard that they have found bombs, while others say a man missed security screening. (MNI)

Dallas GEP 03:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Team Gymnastics Japan GOLD; USA Silver; Romania BRONZE....Well deserved GOLD for the Japanese...Incredible high bar routine

Syd 03:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Australian wages likely grew 3.7% in annual terms in the second quarter, up from 3.5% in the first quarter, according to a survey of 22 economists

Singapore Sfx 03:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:26 GMT August 17, 2004
being told ntg to it ... man missed security screening - precautionary evacuation ..

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 03:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
good morning my friends !!
today is independen day in my country. :-)

Singapore Sfx 03:22 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
anyine hear anything abt a la airport evacuation rmr ? tia

wisconsin tim 02:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ny amc,

when i say:
wisconsin tim 20:32 GMT August 16, 2004
if AUD/USD high doesn't break .7224 by close today then that should be the cap for at least the next 2 days. ...

It's based on the fact that since 2001 when the projected daily high (in this case 7224) wasn't breached by the close then it has only been breached the next day or the day following 25% of the sample times. To me, I will trade those odds because you have a predefined failure point which is well within the risk tolerance.

wisconsin tim 02:45 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
4xmadeeasy made their money the easy way
now the lawyers will make some some easy money

GA TJ 02:43 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ForexmadeEasy. Does that really surprise anyone that has even the most elementary understanding of trading. I hope they nail those bastards good.

wisconsin tim 02:42 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 01:23 GMT August 17, 2004
wisconsin...tim...........what type of ta do you use to come up with your analysis/levels. thanks

I use last days price action (H/L/C) and last days RSI on HLC with a 2 year average day to day change of rsi levels on HLC to project levels of the HLC for the next day.

Dallas GEP 02:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Yes Tony, I have heard of them. I have not tried any of their productsT

Bangkok bkk 02:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Short-term view/Intraday trade

Today’s support: - 1.8365(main), where correction may happen. Break would present 1.8340, where a correction may also be. Then 1.8296. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.8268. Continuation will give 1.8236 and 1.8211.

Today’s resistance: - 1.8446 and 1.8487(main). Break would give 1.8511, where a correction may be. Then 1.8540. Break of the latter would give 1.8567. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.8609. Continuation will bring 1.8630.

Trading Strategy: As the upside pressure continue , it's better to take SHORT during rise to around 1.8440 and cover during corection to 1.8370

GL.

Syd 02:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Australian Prime Minister John Howard maintained Tuesday he hasn't decided on an election date, while noting the ballot might not be held until early 2005. "It could be as late as March or April of next year," Howard told National Radio.

nyc tony 02:26 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
The revolutionary software makers of ForexmadeEasy are the proud defendants of a class action lawsuit. Gotta love this game

nyc tony 02:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Gep/

Ever heard of GlobalTec? They are headquartered in Dallas

Dallas GEP 02:22 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
As far as GBP/USD goes I would say range bound 1.8445 to 1.8380. Bias is to the downside IMO

Malang Tinachan 02:17 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
any prediction for gbp/Usd for asian session ???

Bangkok bkk 02:07 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: Just long again @ 110.55 , Stop 110.20 , Target 111.20

LAX-LGB SNP 02:00 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Spr
in case you cant find one
pop the english site's URL in the website convertor @ www.freetranslation.com and it'll work just as well

Spr Spr 01:57 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
anyone still have that link to the Spanish site that links Market News?

Syd EM 01:31 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Australian Wage Pressures Strongest In 10 Yrs
Conditions in Australia's labor market are the tightest seen in a decade with wage demands shooting skyward across many sectors of the economy forcing employers to adopt desperate measures to attract or keep skilled workers. Reserve Bank of Australia is right to be issuing warnings about wages growth as they are starting to see significant pressure on wages upward Australia's largest internet job site, is seeing robust conditions . Unemployment in Australia hit a 23-year low of 5.5% in May. It was last reported at 5.7% in July.
AP

LAX-LGB SNP 01:24 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GBPUSD below 1.8422 ought to find support near 1.8207
GBPCHF staying below 2.2824-45 targets 2.2695 and perhaps 2.2530
GBPJPY below 203.63-204 targets rising 4-hrly TL @ 202.20 with a possible overshoot to the high 201's
EURGBP below 0.6714 might provide GBP with some redemption but looks unlikely right now

USDCAD below 1.3117-1.3083 aims for 1.2950 but a close above might go for 1.3294-1.3324
EURUSD below 1.2378-1.2359 might go for 1.2265

ny amc 01:23 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin...tim...........what type of ta do you use to come up with your analysis/levels. thanks

wisconsin tim 01:08 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
tomorrow levels:

EUR/USD 1.2412 1.2300
GBP/USD 1.8469 1.8309
USD/JPY 110.97 109.79
USD/CAD 1.3126 1.2994
AUD/USD 0.7223 0.7143
USD/CHF 1.2474 1.2340
EUR/JPY 136.96 135.80
EUR/AUD 1.7272 1.7120
GBP/JPY 203.79 202.21
EUR/GBP 0.6737 0.6695

Gen dk 01:04 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

LA fxnew 00:55 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Hi.,,

Anybody have comment for gbp/usd?

Thanks

San Diego Devi 00:49 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ldn,

Thank you

Ldn 00:48 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
San Diego Devi 00:37 GMT
I hope this is of some help to you
LINK

San Diego Devi 00:37 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ldn,

Do u know where I can find some explanation/interpretation/basics on the usage of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo charts.

TIA

Ldn 00:30 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Australian residential mortgage-backed securities market set for another record year January-August issuance is A$35 billion vs A$40 billion for all 2003
reuters.

Melbourne Qindex 00:21 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 00:16 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Australia PM Howard tells Radio National polls might be held after Nov. 2 U.S. presidential election and could be called for "as late as March or April."
Election can be held as late as April 16 next year

Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Minnesota Mark 00:10 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
NYC YIPPEE 23:51 GMT August 16, 2004 -- I've been called worse.. Where is that bridge?

Ldn 00:09 GMT August 17, 2004 Reply   
Ichimoku Kinkoh technical charts have sent strong buy signals for AUD/JPY, CHF/JPY these signals were issued when both pairs staged bullish crossover (conversion line crosses base line from below) above their Ichimoku clouds; for AUD/JPY, cloud at 76.62-77.21; for CHF/JPY, cloud at 87.20-87.41; AUD/JPY last at 79.34. CHF/JPY at 88.98
ProSticks

 




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