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Forex Forum Archive for 08/18/2004

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Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Finland did it work with you?
Jim I will now post another set of orders...
Copy paste into the a new sheet...Might have to use Data Text to columns to seprate the numbers...
copy those new ones at the same place and then run macro again...
5 minutes...

hk ab 23:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
no, I promise nk I will post on Fri. take a rest today. I can't listen to "USD-bearish" advertisement daily.

Bruxville Jim 23:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// I'm Latvian not German, fwiw...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:53 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Jimmy...U there Man?
He might have his coffee soon..
Jim?...Where is Jim?

Bruxville Jim 23:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// Don't worry, I did it! Entered those orders by macro.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Ohhhhhhhh...God...
Hey Jim...
I am might log out soon...
Hey Ab be nice today...I had a hard week...please!!
Thanks

hk ab 23:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I have got up for an hr already ;)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
In the control Panel...change to English USA...
Language and Reginonal setting

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
In the control Panel...change to English USA...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 23:26 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Dude we have get this soon before HK Ab wakes up...
sort of...U know

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 23:26 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Cause of the "," intead of "." as a decimal
//
Thanks Finland....Heyhey...LOL

helsinki JAK 23:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
the problem i find is with the decimals.
This is great work you did

Bruxville Jim 23:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// Why German?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
is there any americans in the room? or is the file working with anyone?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 23:11 GMT August 18, 2004
are U german?
Might wanna go to control Panel then change "," to a "."
You are german right?

helsinki JAK 23:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I`m stuck with those many decimals.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:19 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 23:14 GMT August 18, 2004
Bahrain, maybe you have a similar macro for c-m-c prgram MarketMaker as well?

No I never wrote the code for that..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Maybe Format cells...Number and choose 4 for decimals...
I am doing with your file from here...
I am sure it's the speed of PC...

Bruxville Jim 23:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, maybe you have a similar macro for c-m-c prgram MarketMaker as well?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Might the speed of Your PC...
Anyways...
Can Go to Macro then edit the file...
I am sure it's the aplication.wait Now+/60/60/24
Change all those to 2...it's the seconds

Bruxville Jim 23:11 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Macro tries to enter prices with a "." as decimal mark...
Only "," are accepted by FX Trading Station.
And "," are seen in Excel as well...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 23:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hmm
It should do it..
OK What is error message?

Bruxville Jim 22:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
"," will just change the way the cells are displayed but won't really change the content - content is 10+ digit numbers...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
It should do it anyways...
OK...
Make them 5 decimals ..
Just cover them and use "," then increase to 5 decimals

Bruxville Jim 22:53 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Yeah, got them enabled, but the s/ware failed to enter the orders - order price has too many numbers after comma...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 21:59 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Usally I Post those...after NY Open for mondays...other days it's around 5 hours before.

tokyo nyan 22:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
syd 22:29 GMT thank you vm!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Yeah...Have Enable the Macro...
Might have to go Tools Macro Security and choose Medium
I think You never used Macros in Excel in that PC.

Bruxville Jim 22:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
It says 'macros were disabled'...
Guess I need to get them back enabled to run the show?

Bruxville Jim 22:42 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
bahrain, what to click?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:39 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 22:36 GMT August 18, 2004
bahrain, yes I'm starting to check it out... Took a demo account there...

OK
Have both Excel and Demo Open
Then Just click that $ Thingy
if Mini or Regular...just choose

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I think he did...
Hey Jim..Where are You Man?

Bruxville Jim 22:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
bahrain, yes I'm starting to check it out... Took a demo account there...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Did You chicken out?

syd 22:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
tokyo nyan yes... 134.94/99

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Open a demo with the brokers U can try it right now..

Wien GD 22:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hi GEP or QIndex: mediumterm usdjpy probably is still heading down ... what do you expect in the short term? Retracement to ??? to load up new usdjpy shorts?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Just FTPed the file...
Just download it and Save it
www.geocities.com/kalzayani/Jim.xls

Melbourne Qindex 22:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 14:31 GMT - Thank you.

tokyo nyan 22:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hi good morning
My Rueters screen shows Eur/Jpy has collapsed to low-133"s from 134.70 NY lows. that"s wrong, isn"t it???
Usd/JPY is not moving at all.....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
Just copy the code into Excel
Go to Macros...Write any name...create
take U to vba...
Paste there
Go to the sheet of the MYdailyOrders (Pasted from the page into cell A4)
Run the macro
It will do the whole thing in 2 minutes

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 21:54 GMT August 18, 2004
BAHRAIN, This LAST daily orders you posted. This is WEDS list right??? And it appears so far we haven't hit ANY of the entry points yet correct??? Or if we have WHICH ones have been taken (orders that is)

///
I knew U were gonna ask that...LOL
The ones I Put Monday and tues...have gone through...
GBP...Eur/yen (2 of them),,,two chf/yen...+2 gp/yen
Nothing from todays...all 34*3 orders=102...now I have 90 pending orders...average 27 pips for order..
I will post stops for the orders...(Might find them rediclous)

Bruxville Jim 22:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, what spread do you mean for those stops? 3 pips vs. 5 pips is not a big difference, but a 30 vs 50 pips stop is...
P.S. - your post re: software codes is too much for me at this time of the day (1:04 AM here in Latvia)...

Dallas GEP 21:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain.....I see your stop loss is 10 x spread on these orders is that correct????

Dallas GEP 21:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
BAHRAIN, This LAST daily orders you posted. This is WEDS list right??? And it appears so far we haven't hit ANY of the entry points yet correct??? Or if we have WHICH ones have been taken (orders that is)

Dallas GEP 21:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Exactly WHEN each time of day will these be posted BAHRAIN???? (daily orders)???

Dallas GEP 21:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Well BAHRAIN, boring is QUITE OK if we make money. I see now the TP on you chart, WHEN you enter those orders do you give them a 25 PIP STOP also????

Bruxville Jim 21:39 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// 150 pips daily, it is 6 trades per day (if ALL are successful, otherwise even more) with your 25 pips profit targets... Somewhat doubt six orders are hit every day, cos they seem quite far away from market...
Re: 200 Day forecast - interesting to see smth like that. Although short/long range becomes exceptionally large as you move along time axis...
Maybe you have a 200-week forecast as well in your armory? That would be a valuable thing to be tested in the long run...
Thanks for your efforts, keep up the good work;)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:39 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Mon-Dec-27 05:00 PM 1.3606 1.1833 1.3093 1.2343
Tue-Dec-28 05:00 PM 1.3618 1.1834 1.3103 1.2349
Wed-Dec-29 05:00 PM 1.3631 1.1847 1.3116 1.2358
Thu-Dec-30 05:00 PM 1.3626 1.1864 1.3123 1.2371
Fri-Dec-31 05:00 PM 1.3626 1.1892 1.3129 1.2388

Maybe I should save for x-mas

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 21:31 GMT August 18, 2004
BAHRAIN, tell the boys and girls EXACTLY how to use your chart in terms of entries stops and limits.///
It's in index page...

GEP...what do U think as to this method of trading so far?
Nice but I think slightly Boring.

Dallas GEP 21:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
BAHRAIN, tell the boys and girls EXACTLY how to use your chart in terms of entries stops and limits.

Livingston nh 21:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
yeah - count on that EUR breaking 1.24

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 21:23 GMT August 18, 2004
$1500 --- that is 150 pips daily?

That is awesome.

How many lots did you enter each time?

1 for each order
I even wrote code to make fast...take the levels and enters them

Ldn 21:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EURO/USD - Advance to Continue
by Max McKegg
The Euro's recovery persists and with support now at 1.2290/1.2250, Euro probably rallies beyond the 1.2460 resistance level onto 1.2600, enroute to 1.2900 over coming weeks

LA fxnew 21:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
$1500 --- that is 150 pips daily?

That is awesome.

How many lots did you enter each time?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EurNext200Days.htm
Looks like has more to in the next 200 days

Bruxville Jim 21:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
swap, there are brokers out there that pay positive rollovers on carry trades even for mini-accounts. Or you can try to change the maximum leverage at your present broker (have heard of some that start PAYING rollovers only if your set leverage is at least 1:50 (for 1:200 they deduct the negative rollover no matter what your trade direction is (essentially they steal 2xrollover on carry trades), and for 1:100 they charge 0 for carry trades (steal only one rollover payment)). Take care.

Quebec Swap 21:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, ICT ML

Yeah. I should open a regular account.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I Post that page Monday Tues and Wed....make the all the orders..keeps them till friday...then erase them the rest...
34 Orders...Monday..keep till friday...another 34 tues orders and keep till friday...so on...erase the rest friday early

nyc jk 21:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ML - ouch!

hope you had a good time off, will send you an email. cheers

Philadelphia caba 21:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/JPY 134.90 s/l 135.25 tp 134.45

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
If U use this page
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/MyDailyOrders.htm
U should make 40% on the Margin..if kept for three days
with a 1:200 Margin...expect to use a maximum 5% of Your margin used...
about 1,500 $ a day for a Regular account

ICT ML 21:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 20:59 GMT August 18, 2004
swap - you are long GBP/USD right? you should earn some nice rollover points!....

Haha JK...in the "real World" that is true.....but not in "miniforex land"....where you PAY the rollover no matter what your position is!


I see I take some time off and now $CAD finally printed 1.3000 after I gave up on it.

Bruxville Jim 21:02 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Swap // You should leave for a broker that pays you interest on carry trades not keeps it and requires additional payment...

nyc jk 20:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
swap - you are long GBP/USD right? you should earn some nice rollover points!

Philadelphia caba 20:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Good evening! Anyone short EUR/JPY?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 20:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 20:47 GMT August 18, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips - is a long from current levels to that 1.2385 shorting zone in your menu?

Long from 1.2274 (Lowest Up to date)...
1.2385 Highest for next five hours onwards)

Quebec Swap 20:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
And I'm still holding to my long Gbp/Usd. Rollover is going to be costly.
Next move should be when retail #'s come out.

usa 20:53 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
eur/chf looking good short.... called at 55 earlier

Livingston nh 20:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
thanx - and we shall see

Bruxville Jim 20:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips - is a long from current levels to that 1.2385 shorting zone in your menu?

lLdn 20:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh
Dont agree, they point out "Why would you buy USD ?" in a stagnant market why hold a costly position you may as well be earning as many are with stops

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 20:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
What do U guys think?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 20:38 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I guess it was playing teh range in this
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD15.htm
Maybe short around 1.2385 in next few hours is OK

Livingston nh 20:35 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
lLdn 20:28 GMT August 18, 2004 --- FYG aussie 21 da mva broke below 55 - so we need to consider a posssible breakdown // so much talk about commodity currency should give pause

lLdn 20:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Aussie was dragged lower in sympathy with the losses in
European currencies as weak longs surrendered their positions. A fall to the
session low at 0.7131 was rebuffed by buying from a pair of Aussie names, and
the currency's reluctance to slide lower left the market susceptible to a short
covering rally. Buyers on the move higher featured a pair of US names and a
French one. Aussie rose sharply off the session low at 0.7131 to test 0.7160.
Traders ended up asking why they were buying dollars in the first place. The
0.7100/0.7200 range should eventually be resolved with an upside push, as the
underpinnings for AUD/USD are unlikely to be reversed. The option barriers at
0.7200 and 0.7220 should be too tempting to pass up.
From IFR also lastest view

Livingston nh 20:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Short AUD - sub 69 is a reasonable spot

Bruxville Jim 20:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Note: Flash Player needed for the clip...

Bruxville Jim 20:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
E// Loonie ($/C$) as well... (on 15min maybe easier to notice)
Tgt around 1.2990, tasty stops below the figure turn out to be threatened...

See Oil Man's Shark Clip:
http://forex-music.port5.com/

London e 20:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF head and shoulders on hourly?

Bruxville Jim 20:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD getting increasingly cheap...

usa 19:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
i'm bored... anyone else trading eur/chf?

Chicago YM 19:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
afternoon all

USA Biscuit Boy 18:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Dollar index still meandering randomly well below 50 day ma. Guess we need some strong data either way for for more action on that one. As expected yen and eur/gbp providing a nice sideshow until then with some nice range breaks. Till the next set of surprise data......GL and GT.

usa 18:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
short eur/chf

Livingston nh 17:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Seems to me cable has gotten about as much benefit as possible from rate hikes - the 200 da mva is the target - the EUR/GBP looks to be moving towards .6850 level despite the rate differential since November and there are limits to how far MPC can take its rate above ECB

On Friday's move the EUR /USD has successfully moved above it's averages (21, 55EMA and 200da) so first support looks to be 1.2250 -- but any breakdown in cable will drag the EUR along, albeit slowly

Bruxville Jim 17:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Viies, what will you do if the high is actually taken out?

ALEXANDRIA TS 17:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
VIEES// MAY i ask you where should u place ur stop on that euro short?
Thanks

Tallinn viies 17:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
close today under 1,2360 will move me to the sellers camp.
heavy seller (it means I use quite large leverage) as long as weekly high not taken out. targhet 1,2130.
fwiw
cu after NYC close

nyc jk 17:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
thanks, tim. I also use excel for some testing, so just curious how you were doing it , cheers.

Surabaya Medallion 17:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
After all in the short term it is an Anti-USD movement before next NFP report.

malang kyai profit 17:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
i agree, swap. But wait for lower place. GL Swap

Surabaya Medallion 17:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
This JPY move is odd while oil is 47 although people here already anticipate the JPY buyback near September. I think we had better wait until 108.8 before taking Long USD position.

Quebec Swap 16:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Usd/Jpy looks good for a long at present levels.

malang kyai profit 16:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ok, i'm open short gbp/usd @ 1.8245 AT 1.8180/1.8150 SL 1.8190. GL !!!!

wisconsin tim 16:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 16:49 GMT August 18, 2004
tim - what software you using to run the tests? thanks

I wish I had software to run tests. Using excel hence the easy to test for parameters (1.entrance price, which will be above Low initially 2. Low for the day, to see if stops hit and 3. Close of day, profit level if stops not hit)

Van jv 16:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT August 18, 2004
Well I will second that. You can make money in a grinder's market but from a daytrader's standpoint, you have to determine whether or not it is worth your time/////well said,,,,and with low capital , if at all surviving , the return may be less than collecting bottles in hours ruing nerves......
this forum++ may become addiction......................

Quebec Swap 16:50 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Malang Kyai Profit 16:40 GMT

Did you get your Gbp/Usd short filled?

I'm long 1.8250 and feeling the pain.

nyc jk 16:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
tim - what software you using to run the tests? thanks

wisconsin tim 16:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
weekend R/R talk - well I did an initial easy test about our talks this last weekend and basically proved my premise wrong at least initially =)

Results Here

interesting points: 37% profitable system bested returns from a 55% profitable system

Test run from EURUSD long positions from Dec 2001 to present
Closed at close of day or stop point (in 55% system always closed at end of day)
traded same lot size each trade
With a 10k account you could easily trade 1 to 4 lots

helsinki JAK 16:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
watch out for a retest to 1.2285 on Eur again . this level is the 50% fib retracement from 1.2175 last friday`s low to 1.2397.

if we break 1.2280 we head down to meet 1.2260 and slowly to 1.2220

1.2260 will stand as todays support

Malang Kyai Profit 16:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ready for short gbp/usd @1.8245 for target 1.8180 SL 1.8290. GL

Antwerp Tom 16:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Cyborg, i have low bid @ 1.2283 15:19 GMT (would be 1.2286 offered) GL GT

Plovdiv Gotin 16:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
or 109.55

Plovdiv Gotin 16:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
109.35

usa 16:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
if you don't know where to place a stop.. I wouldn't trade it at all

Nicosia Cyborg 16:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Can anybody give me the euro low last round? was 2285 offered ?

ny hh 16:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
any one help me iwant to buy $yen here but i dont know where to put the stop? tia

LAX-LGB SNP 16:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
London firewire 15:52 GMT
very nice
i esp like the way they start twitching @ (-)2 and below

Spotforex NY 15:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ahhh tought markets to trade?

as the former NY city weatherman Tex Antoine said in his last broadcast....

'if resistance is futile, sit back and enjoy it.'

Dallas GEP 15:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
OK guys.....if we are going to break out of these ranges...the yen pairs will be the ones that will intiate that. Watch usd/jpy particularly closely....it has the potential to go 111+ easily although technically one could say there is really no way it should do that. Do I expect for this to happen??? NOT REALLY, but it wouldn't surprise me at all. those 1.2270 EURO/USD stops in this scenario will be eaten up IF that happens of course (usd/jpy 111+)

London firewire 15:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
http://www.andyfoulds.co.uk/amusement/economists.htm

perrie como 15:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nice one GVM...

okidoki done 4 now...gotta walk myself, since the dog's on vacation :)

stay well

NYC PCM 15:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
all a bit too messy for me now. quitting for rest of day.

Have fun, make money all.

Sydney gvm 15:35 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hey Gold Coast - think you are right - wind down thru Thursday-Friday into late Friday avo flight to Byron for the w/e

Next week is a whole new trade....

Good luck/Good trading

London ADK 15:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
London firewire 15:22 - As long as never loose your sense of humour. GL and GT to you

GOLD COAST MARTIN 15:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GOLD COAST MARTIN 08:11 GMT August 17, 2004
Sydney gvm 07:50 GMT August 17, 2004
As posted yesterday Euro to revert back to trading range of 12225-12285 by end of week ..for today only look for tight trading range of 1235-12285...g/t

Time to start thinking betond this week and this trading range ...good trades....

saloniko 2004 nk 15:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ab..

was a joke..
I think u get it...(and i like ur posts)

smile;)
nk

Sydney gvm 15:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 14:49 GMT August 18, 2004

Very funny statement and a major crock o' ......

As if they EVER give a hoot about slip

censored, they live on it

NYC PCM 15:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Won 4 shorts in a row now hitting these retraces on Eur. and they keep on coming!

London firewire 15:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
London ADK 15:15 GMT August 18, 2004
firewire - Thanks for the info, but those are the kind of stories you can tell your wife or your cat.

Now my wife has left me. :-( Ill have to try my cat.

hk ab 15:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nk// I promise you that was the last one and I will post on Fri.

hk ab 15:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:23 GMT August 17, 2004
First poison is the NON-Farm payrolls and all the herd sell chf 300 pips.
Second poison is the trade deficit and the 2nd group herds sell chf 200 pips.
Now, ALL the herds thought -0.1 cpi will kill the USD and dreaming for a "fly".....

OOPS, all halt!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
When every one thinks that Dow is a sell ---->Got to be a buy
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/DOW.htm
Long term...Notice Nov 2004

hk ab 15:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nk// watch out some "one way" shows in sept though, play safe ;).

perrie como 15:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
S&P might touch 1100 next days...but another reversal might be promted for friday or later...

nice japanese strenght across the board...still waitin the lower figure...It seems might even be somewhere +/- NY closing as the Nikkei is flying again

g/l

London ADK 15:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
firewire - Thanks for the info, but those are the kind of stories you can tell your wife or your cat.

saloniko 2004 nk 15:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

ab
silence pls cos once E/J go to my last post target i will winn a beer frome a friend..lol

nk

London firewire 15:11 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Im fully short USD as much as my margin will carry.

....ahhh margin call.

Va Raven 15:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
CC, just kidding, see your point anyway....
ADK, more or less in the same camp .....

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Well I will second that. You can make money in a grinder's market but from a daytrader's standpoint, you have to determine whether or not it is worth your time. In that last 14 hours or so I have take 3 separte usd/jpy possies TWO longs and ONE short with a NET pip result of 11 pips. To be frank that is NOT worth my time. We are just NOW getting some possible range breaks. LATER

hk ab 15:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody// Great call on the eur support, looks like that's a huge DNT again.
stop sell limit under your mentioned 60/70.
remove the long oda.

wisconsin tim 15:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

1.2273 is the lower lo of my range (see last night's post)
since 2001 taking a long if this level is hit would net an average 45 pips by close tonight (range of gain +2 to +199) not taking into account any stops

average sample period is LT up

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:03 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
U r so right on that. Was lured into gbp/usd & usd/jpy yesterday, and lost 34 pips totally. sux.
Thanks... :)

Bahrain//thank you. I visited the page. May i plz assume that u feel 1.2274 will be printed today soon? TIA.
Yeah...till maybe NY close

Calabash TarHeel 15:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 14:51 GMT August 18, 2004
Spotforex - energy conservation taking hold here in US? - a 1% reduction in gasoline demand for a 26% price hike - $7.20 a gal. should equal a 10% reduction in demand

fwiw: Wait on hybrid autos 6 wks to 6 months. GM has about 90/100 days inventory of SUV's compared to normal 14/16 days.


CA Clouy 15:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 14:55 GMT August 18, 2004
keeps "grinding down in direction of tend "grinding up" those who've been lured in counter trend.

U r so right on that. Was lured into gbp/usd & usd/jpy yesterday, and lost 34 pips totally. sux.

Bahrain//thank you. I visited the page. May i plz assume that u feel 1.2274 will be printed today soon? TIA.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Just bought Aus/Yen as well 78.26 PT with 30 pips

NYC PCM 14:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Tough market to trade today without a great deal of confidence in trend.

It's what we call a "grinder" - every move in direction of trend is followed by a violent and deep retracement move, constantly luring in traders against the trend. then it keeps "grinding down in direction of tend "grinding up" those who've been lured in counter trend.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 14:49 GMT August 18, 2004
Bahrain//did you get ur long entry 1.2274 from the support Fibonacci number 1.2273, the immediate support? TIA. //
No...Just got it from
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD15.htm
check the time NY 3:30 PM today

Livingston nh 14:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex - energy conservation taking hold here in US? - a 1% reduction in gasoline demand for a 26% price hike - $7.20 a gal. should equal a 10% reduction in demand // good thing there is no inflation, eh?

Spotforex NY 14:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I guess some of the FCMs are on the defensive after the past few 'volatile' data releases....

I just received this from a broker I do have have an account with at all...

"Most traders will always have their stops, limits, and entry orders filled at the prices they specify. Only a very small portion of the time, less than 1/10 of 1% of the time, will XXXXX be unable to fill these orders at the price specified due to extreme market conditions. XXXXX has access to more major banks and market liquidity than other brokers. This ensures that we can provide you with the best prices and execution even when the market is turbulent."

CA Clouy 14:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain//did you get ur long entry 1.2274 from the support Fibonacci number 1.2273, the immediate support? TIA.

NYC PCM 14:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
bahrain

When you say "nasty stuff" you mean bad for Euro?

that's the way I see it. either the US economy is going to start generating better #'s or else there will be bad news out of euro zone.

fundamentals follow technicals in my view

Gen dk 14:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 14:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
above 10,000 again.

Gen dk 14:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

NYC PCM 14:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Re-entry attempt inot range failed. that's it for that trading range in my view. We've got a down trend.

and I belive it's a resumption of the downtrend from all time high in february

hk ab 14:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, too early to say so...
shshshshshsh

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NYC...
Excel
Guys check friday with the dates...chart it from Excel
Some Nasty stuff will happen
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD15.htm

GER ad 14:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Got stopped yesterday with my long Cable (-25 pips) and short Eur/GBP (-14 pips).
The Oil story may push USD/JPY a little higher looking to buy 109.55 with tight S/L

Sydney Alimin 14:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ok euro 1.23 finally gone together with its good friend gold

hk ab 14:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
definitely not somethign near 1.23.

hk ab 14:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Raven// It's about integrity. I hate anti-nation type reports everyday, that's said.

back to trade.

Look forward to buy some eur and risk 1.2243.

NYC PCM 14:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
bahrain

What kind of system do you use to generate time and price?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
1.2274 is good for long

Gen dk 14:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NYC
I think this should cover eur
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD15.htm

Spotforex NY 14:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
oil Inventories down....

but some positive spin...


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Year-on-year U.S. gasoline demand fell in July for the first time in more than 12 months, as high retail prices continued to weigh on consumption, the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said Wednesday.
Pump prices did inch down during the month, but still ran 26% higher than in the same month last year, contributing to the 1% drop in gasoline demand, the API said.
The drop confirms that roaring U.S. gasoline demand has stalled out this summer and highlighted one of the few risks to the relentless bull market for oil: That high prices may prove their own undoing by hurting consumers, economic growth and, ultimately, oil demand.
More than one out of every 10 barrels of oil produced in the world is consumed as gasoline in the U.S. Strong demand for the fuel, along with soaring demand in China, has pushed suppliers to the limit and has helped underpin the 50% rise in oil prices over the past year.
To be sure, demand remains strong. Overall U.S. oil demand rose 1.7% in July, as deliveries of jet fuel, diesel fuel and home heating oil rose, the API said. U.S. refiners produced record amounts of gasoline, diesel and heating oil in July, with overall refinery inputs up 2% from last year.
Gasoline imports rose 16% from July 2003 to 1.1 million barrels a day, the second-highest monthly level ever, the API said.

wisconsin tim 14:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, Nice call on the GBP/JPY last night sold at the low of the day and survived until this morning.

LAX-LGB SNP 14:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
selling GBP worked well over the last 24/48 hrs ;-)
but shorts seem to be covering GBPCHF ahead of 2.2695 while GBPUSD ought to bounce ahead of rising line near 1.8185

lets see if USDCHF can close above 1.2489 & USDJPY can stay above rising daily line

Va Raven 14:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
What's the issue here, Mrs. AB?

hk ab 14:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
how many dlrs s/l have you prepared for this call? 10?

hk ab 14:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 01:07 GMT August 18, 2004
hk ab especially for you

Ichimoku Kinkoh technical charts have sent strong buy signal fo gold its staged bullish crossover (conversion line crosses base line from below) above Ichimoku cloud, which today is at 389.86-396.92 gold last quoted at 404.00/404.50


ldn// being fooled once is enough.... btw, thanks for the nice contra-indicator, usually never missed.

NYC PCM 14:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Now comes the re-test. It's going to try and get back inside the prior day range and multi day consolidation range.

If it succeeds then.............we're back in the range

If it gets rejected, then...........that's pretty bearish - confims the downside break.

Bangkok bkk 14:17 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:14 GMT

Unlikely to see USD/CHF above 1.2535 today..............IMVHO.

Gen dk 14:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
CAUSED BY OUT OF THAT DANGER BAND, USD/CHF POTENTIAL GO TO 1.2535 AS THE TOP.

Bangkok bkk 14:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Long here @ 1.2300
USD/CHF: Short here @ 1.2500

cairo Amgad 14:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP under 1.8200 will hit a lot of Stop orders, it will accellerate its fall, be carful my friends.
S1: 1.8185 S2: 1.8135 S3:1.8080

GL GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
SELL MORE USD/CHF NOW WITH STP 1.2507 IF SHOWN (BID NUMBER).

Quebec Swap 14:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Still holding Gbp/Usd with the pain. If there isn't any follow through lower, likely possibility that it should bounce.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
HALLO !!
USD/CHF GOT 1.2498
DANGER BAND : 1.2498 - 1.2503.

London e 14:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/USD @ 1.8215. Stop @ 1.82.

slv sam 14:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 14:55 GMT August 17, 2004
short $/y at 110.10 target 108.60 s/l 110.60

hoping my target met by w/e.GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 13:51 GMT August 18, 2004
please deposit buy gbp/usd now for first possie and second possie at 1.8190, stop loss at 1.8123 for long term trade with target profit at 1.8431

cairo Amgad 13:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
SEll GBP, under 1.8250

GL GT

houston st 13:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Q....it's on my radar screen.

London e 13:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sell USD/CHF 1.2486. Stop 15 pips.

hk ab 13:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q one question.
Is eur/jpy sold off by Japs just like gold sold by Japs? TIA.

Los Angeles ss 13:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- where do you see the low for GBPUSD?

Melbourne Qindex 13:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
houston st 13:44 GMT - I am still looking forward to see EUR/JPY at 134.28.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
also eur/usd when touch resistant number at 1.2280 in this hour (low of oscilation).

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
London e 13:40 GMT August 18, 2004
USD/CHF next target for today 1.2405. Then up again.

///1.2556 maybe

Gen dk 13:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
friends!!
be carefull for usd/chf when touch 1.2503, top of oscilation

Melbourne Qindex 13:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 13:24 GMT - Thank you for your kind words. EUR/USD : It is still under pressure from EUR/JPY.

houston st 13:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Q -- any more calls like that one and we may let you leave a day early for your holiday! thanks for your postings and good trades.

Melbourne Qindex 13:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 13:18 GMT - Thank you for your compliment.

London e 13:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF next target for today 1.2405. Then up again.

NYC PCM 13:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Bit of a bull bear fight here at Prior day low, which is also the low of this multi day consoidation. Definetly a key transition zone

Sydney Alimin 13:38 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
gold is still up, euro 1.23 will hold...need some help from gold if it is to go down

hk ab 13:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Last hope for aud/jpy bull 77.35 must not be broken.

hk ab 13:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Indeed, this "fast-rich" phenomenone is not healthy to Chinese too. Look at HK and Japan for enough lessons.

Va Raven 13:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, Mrs. AB.

hk ab 13:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Raven//wrong sex.

hk ab 13:32 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, better focus on bigger time frame levels at this moment when summer is near the end.

If 1.2250 not cleanly taken out, Chinese accounts will come back again.

Martin//I feel sympathy on those distasteful comments on your from ldn....

Brisbane L//My view on Chinese slowdown. Yes, It will not be a halt but if you are living in China, you will know that the order from the MASTER will be OBEYED, if not, the master will send out more orders.

A slowdown in demands is ENOUGH to kill the commodities. If I am a buyer, why shouldn't I push it as low as possible first? Simple mkt psychology.

Va Raven 13:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Mrs. AB as usual.

nyc jk 13:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
who put the drugs in ab's coffee today?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
chf/yen,gbp and eur/yen
all buys now

Sydney Alimin 13:24 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
once euro 1.23 gone, we will see Qindex's 1.2264 soon
nice calls Dr Q, as usual! i like your gbp/jpy call too!

hk ab 13:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
you will get better repsected if your "copy and pasted" news are equipped with some constructive calls. Your anti-American tone is not my cup of tea.

gvm//sorry, I don't see any relationship between my trading exp with you. Don't need to mention ldn.

NYC PCM 13:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Quindex

Interesting. I used to run a 44 day cycle too, but recemnt;ly adjusted to a 36 day cycle. You using calender or trading days?

hk ab 13:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ldn// Are you prepared with 200 pips s/l on your aud/jpy Japanese cloud call?

Who's aggorant now?

With my glimpse luck, I exited your call GREEN.....

A lie is a a lie even it's REPEATED 100 times daily.... thanks for sending QDN to 10.

Let's wait for the good show prepared by Dr. Q, Martin and 747.

Va Raven 13:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Well done, Qindex!
I love that kind of forecast, outright and straight, no B/S!

Dallas GEP 13:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Lost last set of usd/jpy longs I had @ 109.85 at -15 pips

Global-View 13:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:45 GMT August 17, 2004
GBP/JPY : We should see the trading range 199.19 - 199.88 within 24 hours!

Va Raven 13:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
gbp/jpy is surely heading to the zone Qindex mapped out last night and within his time frame too.....You can't expect anything better than that kind of forecast on the forum, yes?

Melbourne Qindex 13:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:31 GMT August 18, 2004
USD/CHF : Current expected trading ranges from my 44-day cycle are (1.2387)* - 1.2510 - 1.2633*.

Quebec Swap 13:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
So I'm going through some pain on GBP/USD.

Swidnica/Poland profi-forex 13:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
18.08.2004 (04:10am US Time)

USD/JPY (CURRENT LEVEL 109.84 ) - SUPPORT AT 110.30 DIDN`T HOLD THATS WHY COURSE FALL BELOW 110.00. THE NEAREST SUPPORT 109.70, WHEN WE BREAK THIS REGION, WE COULD SEE 109.10/45. WEAK BRENET HELP JPY.

EUR/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2324) – AT THIS MOMENT WE HAVE RANGE: 1.2315 – 1.2385. WE DON`T EXCLUDE TEST 1.2280/1.2300 REGION, BUT ON THE END OF THE WEEK WE SHOULD BREAK 1.2385 REGION.

USD/CHF (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2452 ) - SUPPORT AT 1.2370, RESISTANCE 1.2480 – 1.2500. WE EXPECT TO BREAK ABOVE-MENTIONED SUPPORT LATER THIS WEEK ABD FALL TOWARDS 1.2300. WATCH MARKET CAREFULLY.


GBP/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.8273) – GBP TESTED SUPPORT AT 1.8240/60. NOW WE CANNOT EXLUDE FALL TO 1.8220 AND EVEN 1.8180. ONLY RISE ABOVE 1.8405 REGION WILL PERMIT TO RISE TO 1.8450 AND EVEN 1.8550.

Los Angeles ss 13:00 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Raden. I'm short from 1.8277. What low today do you think?

Gen dk 13:00 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 12:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:45 GMT August 17, 2004
GBP/JPY : We should see the trading range 199.19 - 199.88 within 24 hours!

Sydney Alimin 12:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew: i hope you shorted gbp before mate... if you did, good on you and enjoy the profit

SanFrancisco tg 12:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Just longer term thoughts ...Iraq says assault on Najaf hours away. I'm factoring in some initial unsettled conditions after a bit of uproar from terror sympathizers but then re-settled conditions after it gets pummeled too. Times have changed.

Standard/Poors strategist says after an election markets typically gain 13% if an incumbent holds office and decline 3% if a new party takes office due to uncertainty.

Euro economy being hurt less by high oil than US economy and no end in sight other than some retracements in price so far. Some are expecting possible liquidity surge in the US or continued restrained rates.

perrie como 12:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dealers said the release of a monthly oil market report from OPEC coincided with the price spike in the futures.

OPEC raised project for 2004 world oil demand by 0.28 million barrels/day to 81.18 mb/d, resulting in an estimated annual difference of around 27.17 mb/d, the report said.
It also expects non-OPEC supply to increase by 0.14 mb/d to
54.01 mb/d.

houston st 12:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 12:18 GMT -- was commuting...back online...crude currently $47.10 (+.35)...high this session $47.13....products/nat gas up across the board as well.

Melbourne Qindex 12:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 01:04 GMT August 18, 2004
GBP/USD : The distribution profile of my daily cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.8184 - 1.8306 initially.


... 1.8062 // 1.8123 - 1.8184 - 1.8245 - 1.8306 // 1.8367 ...

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles..
be carefull when gbp/usd touch 1.8220/21, maybe pullback

perrie como 12:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Not agreeing much on the following Mr. Edward, geo-religion are different from geo-politics to me

Likewise, while some say that the two major powers in the region, Iran and Turkey, would see an anarchical Iraq as an opportunity to expand their influence, that seems unlikely. Rather, a divided Iraq would be a base from which those countries' enemies - especially dissident Kurds - would be able to operate with impunity.

Helsinki iw 12:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GEP, traders are like olympians? Do you mean Balcoholics?
Just kidding, on a slow day.

perrie como 12:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
there's an interesting Iraqi scenario planned by Monsieur Luttwak too

Time to Quit Iraq (Sort Of)
By EDWARD LUTTWAK
The threat of an abrupt U.S. withdrawal from Iraq might
bring the players in the region in line.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/18/opinion/18luttwak.html?th

Dallas GEP 12:35 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I was thinking traders are just like olympians sometimes, we for whatever reason lose concentration at times and perform at at level much less than we are capable of. When markets are slower like this, it is MUCH easier to lose concentration and focus so perhaps we can help each other in this regard.

perrie como 12:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Regarding the upcoming new Jobless Claims the market still deserves to have a clue, suggesting to read the following:

Financial Firms Hasten Their Move to Outsourcing
By SARITHA RAI
A myriad of financial institutions including banks, mutual
funds, insurance companies, investment firms and
credit-card companies are sending work to overseas
locations.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/18/business/worldbusiness/18india.html?th

Dallas GEP 12:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
That Carly Patterson is lives and trains about 35 miles from me. Her sub-par perfromance really is what prevented the US for capturing GOLD last night. She is young tho so she wil bounce back I amk sure. The Romanians were AWESOME and derserved to win. All the other teams had at least one major fault and the Russian Bronze was a big surprise.

Warsaw Grosias 12:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Anybody watching PLN? What are your opinions?

helsinki JAK 12:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I agree . we have support for CHF just bellow 1.2370 . if we fail to break this level we might as well say bye bye to this down move and look forward for a test of 1,2600 by next week thursday

ny amc 12:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
houston.st..........you awake

London 12:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
If USD/CHF does not go below 1.2375 this week, next week it will be bullish.

Quebec Swap 12:17 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
A break of 1.8300 first more likely than 1.8250
No US data to help on any push.

Quebec Swap 12:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Still holding my long Gbp/Usd.
My Usd/Cad hit my TP overnight.

Los Angeles ss 12:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
raden mas -- and this morning?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss
yes I am here.
yeterday I warning about 1.8246 as a bottom after broke 1.8277

helsinki JAK 12:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP >>> 1.8250 >>>> 1.8195 >>>> 1.8140
EUR >>> 1.1325 >>>> 1.2280 >>> 1.2220
CHF >>> 1.2480 >>>> 1.2540 >>> 1.260
JPY >>> 110.15 >>> 110.50 >>> 111.50

Chicago YM 12:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
morning

Los Angeles ss 12:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- you there??

Dallas GEP 12:00 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
To be honest I was rooting for Greece to win that game. The arrogance of your typical NBA player is sickening.

chennai 11:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
where is gbp heading from here...1.8255?

saloniko 2004 nk 11:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..

First congratulation to USTeam for the winn vs the Greek team..(Basketball..)
BUT the old Dream Team was really a Dream!

Anyway..
E/J good ods for 155 long term i think but frome 129.88 maybe!

Have a nice day!
nk

Los Angeles ss 11:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- what direction on GBP from these levels -- at 1.8259?? And what significance that it touched 1.8246???

Thanks.

Rom IRG 11:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ROM rok 11:43 GMT August 18, 2004 //
Thanks a lot!

Dallas GEP 11:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Martin, well right now because of ranging I would be happy with 110.10 or 110.15. That assumes that EURO does not break DOWN which of course would provide more range to the upside

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hello everybody..good evening !!!
gbp have touched 1.8246

van Gecko 11:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
yo Drop..:) too far back, but how about this from the recent 1.38 ?

"06:31 GMT June 16, 2004
$Cad on verge of confirming a L/T dead Goose bounce.. targets for short marching M/T Goose flyers are 1.34->1.30..
its fashionable to be a 'Son Of Beatrice' $Goose flyer again..
have a nice flight to 1.28.."


so sorry if you're long & wrong..
Cheerios..

ROM rok 11:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Rom IRG 11:18 GMT August 18, 2004
ROM rok 10:15 GMT August 18, 2004 //
What was your solution for the rom situation pls?
I have found only one CpunctMpunctCpunct

Dublin Flip 11:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Drop , if you need to go back to 2002 to find a bad call by the Van Gecko it sounds like he's right more often than not-LOL There isn't one person who hasn't made a wrong call.(yours truely excluded of course-LOL)

GOLD COAST MARTIN 11:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
DALLAS GEP....Just out of curiosity....what is your target for your yen long of 10975?..i have a similar position..g/t

Dallas GEP 11:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
MArket literally put me to sleep!!!

sarasota jf 11:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Aud Drop 11:27 GMT August 18, 2004
u shudnt be so hard on traders - take aim at a few economists its not like they got close to the last jobs number

Melbourne Qindex 11:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad KZ 11:25 GMT - USD/CAD : It should be ready to move a little bit higher.

Aud Drop 11:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
van Gecko 08:09 GMT August 18, 2004
the usd/cad market is long & wrong.. there's a mountain of silent quacking duck stops below 1.30..
signs of 'cold_feet_titist' spreading in the $Gooser bull camps after 3 consecutive weeks of rejection up at 1.33..
Cheerios..




You clearly have forgotten your painful forecast on dlr/cad FLY above 1.6 in 2002.... turn out to be a censored searching game to 1.3.......

Belgrad KZ 11:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q do u have opinion about my favorite $ - tha canadian? TIA

Odessa GM 11:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Found already. In 17-30, if who is interestingly.:)

Melbourne Qindex 11:19 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 10:50 GMT - Hi, The odds are good that we have seen the high on EUR/USD and Spot Gold. Anyway we have to wait and see how it goes for the next few trading sessions.

Belgrad KZ 11:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread)
My friend your profit targets are around 30 pips and the SL=10*spread. I think it`s not good from r/r point of view. Am I right or I`m mistaken? TIA

Rom IRG 11:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ROM rok 10:15 GMT August 18, 2004 //
What was your solution for the rom situation pls?
I'm using censored but was wondering if there isn't any better way, especially for us.
Thanks!

ldn 11:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
US:Rocket Attack Kills 5 Civilians In N Iraqi City Mosul

NYC PCM 11:11 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain

What method ar eyou using to generate those times and #'s?

stavanger risktaker 11:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
thanks G

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 11:03 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 10:50 GMT August 18, 2004 ///
I think You're right!!!
www.geocities.com/kalzayani

NYC PCM 10:50 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne

Don't know if you saw my post last nigth about cycles.

Haven't had a chance to look at your entire site yet, but I'm using the following cycle lenghts for EUR/USD (should add that I'm trading the currency futures mkt and not cash mkt).

anyway using 288 day, 144 day, 72, day.......etc cycles. From what I se we peaked on 18 day at high yesterday. 288 and 144 are hard down 72 and 36 up.

I think we hit the top yessterday and are now heading down into a nest o cycle lows (288 and below) around November 12th.

I betting we don't go higher than yesterdays high cos that was the trendline from the 2/18 high and I don't see us breaking that with the larger cycles pointing down.

Haifa ac 10:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 09:49 GMT August 18, 2004
a good market thinker//
Even a better biker

He is famous for traveling the backside of China and short Resrorts hotel. The telegrams chased him in every hotel. Finally he got tired and cabled back: "COVER ALL RESORTS!"


Odessa GM 10:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Good day, guys!
Do not prompt does information on the inventories of oil in the USA go out in what time? Thanks.

Rom IRG 10:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ROM rok 10:15 GMT August 18, 2004 //
I was hoping so.
Poti sa-mi scrii te rog la [email protected]?
Poate mai aflam cate ceva.
Thanks!

ROM rok 10:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Rom IRG 09:55 GMT August 18, 2004
Nope! Phew...

Wash DC Observor 10:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 10:16 GMT

Haven't you noticed - it's high summer. Continent is in slumber mode.

Rom IRG 10:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ROM rok 10:15 GMT August 18, 2004 //
Hi. Are we talking about WBS?

eur lg 10:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Mr Risk Taker, my 2 cents worth on tomorrows numbers are
1- Claims should come lower due to the hurricane and people staying home to watch the olympics.
2- Leading Indicators don't really matter
3. Philly fed should come lower than very strong previous months. While mkt expects this (a low number) maybe there's potential for upside suprise. Watch for sensitivity to the prices and employment components.
Thus net net in theory usd should strengthen a bit.

Having side this I think you have the right idea to sell usd on strength ala Max.

LA fxnew 10:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
market doesnt move at all...
Nobody trades fx anymore ? ^)^

GT

ROM rok 10:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Rom IRG 09:55 GMT August 18, 2004
ask jay my email address . cred ca am o solutie adaptata conditiilor din ro

Melbourne Qindex 10:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUD/USD : Daily Cycle Charts

Rom IRG 09:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 09:46 GMT August 18, 2004 //
Thanks, it looks good. GL & GT

Dublin Flip 09:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks. Yes he sure is. One of my particular faves...
Have good night noods...

Bangkok bkk 09:50 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 09:45 GMT August 18, 2004

Knez// Ok, I see.
I will be back and check my mail in 30 minutes. So please wait.

Syd 09:50 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
stavanger risktaker thanks for that

Spr Noods 09:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
a good market thinker
exiting my Dlryen longs now
good evening all

Plovdiv Gotin 09:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ROM/synthesisbank.com

Dublin Flip 09:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noods what was the "Jim rogers" comment about???

stavanger risktaker 09:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hello everybloody. Dont U think the numbers releases tomorrow will sink the USD and give Max McK... here a feather in his hat?
http://www.forexnews.com/
The plan is to wait for a dip today and make the bet around 1,2270-80 EUR/USD.

Belgrade Knez 09:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   

bkk

Please check you mail. I just add your name on my yahoo messenger list.

Rom IRG 09:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 09:37 GMT August 18, 2004 //
Thanks, but the adress doesn't seem to work?

Sydney Alimin 09:38 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 09:31 GMT August 18, 2004
yes, i guess fear and greed are the two poisoning our minds that aren't poisoning theirs...it is very true in my case though LOL and so we need lots of luck to neutralise the poisons :) good luck to you mate

Plovdiv Gotin 09:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Rom/see sythesis.com

Spr Noods 09:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Jim Rogers!

Gen dk 09:32 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 09:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin have you heard of Axle Rudolf a good analyst , he has never traded , he is very accurate , I just find it strange they have never been tempted and cant believe they have never tried just for the censored of it - I suppose you can stay detached with no position totally .

Rom IRG 09:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Can you pls post some names of the best dealers to work with, from your experience? Much obliged, GL & GT.

Sydney Alimin 09:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 09:18 GMT August 18, 2004

trading below 1.83 gbp is a sell, stop loss above 1.8350
i think it is targetting the neckline around 1.8080 area...all IMHO

LA fxnew 09:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hi alimin,

what is your view on gbp/usd?

Thanks

Sydney Alimin 09:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 09:10 GMT August 18, 2004
Maybe it is the extra psychological burden of pressing the execution button that makes the difference...as they said: easier talked than done

Melbourne Qindex 09:15 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 09:12 GMT - I do not follow the tradional pattern analysis, so I have no idea.

Melbourne Qindex 09:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
eur lg 09:11 GMT - Good on you, cheers!

Sydney Alimin 09:12 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q: if euro can reach 1.228+ in the next 24 hours, do you agree that it could open the path to complete the SHS formation on daily and subsequent decline?

Ldn pm 09:12 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 0910 - more than that - most analysts have NEVER traded !!

eur lg 09:11 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I would also like to take the oppotunity to say I'm a huge fan of the ranges you post Dr Q.

Ldn 09:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LA funny you should say that , most great analysts say they never actually trade

LA 09:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ever notice when someone offers trading signals they have a great history but when they start trading it the results just suck?

Melbourne Qindex 09:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Platinum has lossed almost 30 USD already.

eur lg 09:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Todays drop in platinum might just support that gold view.

Haifa ac 09:03 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:01 GMT August 18, 2004
Haifa ac 08:45 GMT - Good evening! I wish I could print paper money.// Who doesn't?!

PAR 09:03 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EMU data. Inflation lower than expected but european consumers paying higher prices.

Melbourne Qindex 09:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac 08:45 GMT - Good evening! I wish I could print paper money.

Melbourne Qindex 08:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : It is likely that the market may refuse to go any higher and made an about turn just in front of 1.24. I have a feeling that spot gold may peak and will follow the movement of EUR/USD for the time being.

Gen dk 08:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 08:46 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : My system is still suggesting a trading range of 1.1751 - 1.2382 within Aug - Sep and the mid-point reference is 1.2067. Some of the viewers are very upset to see a range forecast of 600 pips. However my system is very easy to follow since all my projected chart points are interelated and are separated by a constant or its multiple. One can easily fine tune the trading ranges by dividing them with any integer.


Set A : ... // 1.1751* - 1.2067* - 1.2382* // ...

Set B: ... // 1.1751* - 1.1909 - 1.2067* - 1.2225 - 1.2382* // ...

Set C : ... // 1.1751* - 1.1830 - 1.1909 - 1.1988 - 1.2067* - 1.2146 - 1.2304 - 1.2382* // ...


Haifa ac 08:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:18 GMT // LOL. Love your style. Almost like you are in the printing business.

london 08:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
cold ghost.....i am looking at things from an angle i perceive to be compelling...thats the name of this game.

if you dont like it, dont read it.


ps....more china demand for foreign currency coming...bloomberg story just released china will allow insurance companies to invest 80 pct of assets in offshore bonds, bills and mm products (not stocks)

Syd EM 08:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab may I ask how long have you been trading ? I realize you have been asked this many time by certain people

ldn 08:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
UK ECON: MPC Minutes Reveal 9-0 Vote for 25bp Hike on Aug 5

Melbourne Qindex 08:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney bl 08:23 GMT - EUR/GBP : It is range bound for the time being between 0.6711 - 0.6767.

Sydney bl 08:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
thanks Dr Qindex

Brisbane L 08:32 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
london, I have watched many studies on China and with the vast country that it is even if the authorities try to restrain certain areas growth will continue regardless , its truly amazing ,people imagine the old china with cycles and rice paddies , but the reality is closer to New York or Singapore. Cadillacs are now been produced and sold because of the nouvau riche

Melbourne Qindex 08:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney bl 08:23 GMT - EUR/GBP : It is range boune for the time being between 0.6711 - 0.6767.

gold coast cold ghost 08:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
i mean be balanced. look at both sides. like martin.

gold coast cold ghost 08:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ldn. as martin said in his 08.05, please dont look at things selectively. martin doesnt like it when you only look at things one way. and neither does anybody else. please change by NY friday.

PAR 08:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Expect downward revision of EMU inflation figures due to falling crude oil prices. ECB has been predicting lower oil prices since it started its economic studies .Maybe time to use another econometric model ?

london 08:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
agree brisbane..the china story is just beginning.

whilst the govt might look to slow growth mildly, there is no way they will be slamming on the brakes....think of the impact on their socio economic well being if theat was the case...china needs big growth to employ its human resources.

Sydney bl 08:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dr Qindex good afternoon, any comment on EUR/GBP thanks

Melbourne Qindex 08:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : I like 1.2264 to be printed within 24 hours.

Brisbane L 08:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GOLD COAST MARTIN you are entitled to your opinion, but the fact that their infrastucture is lacking doesnt mean that everything will be halted. As said before this is just the beginning and China is a force to be reckoned with , I really dont think the Majority in the West realize - its a rebirth of a Nation .

GOLD COAST MARTIN 08:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 08:08 GMT August 18, 2004
As usual your comments very well researched and respected...i guess time will tell...good trades...

GOLD COAST MARTIN 08:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   


Brisbane L 08:02 GMT August 18, 2004
Not at all ..what i am saying is that the record commodities exports to china are coming to end due to a decrease in demand and chinas cooling economy which the government is giving a helping hand...g/t

van Gecko 08:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
the usd/cad market is long & wrong.. there's a mountain of silent quacking duck stops below 1.30..
signs of 'cold_feet_titist' spreading in the $Gooser bull camps after 3 consecutive weeks of rejection up at 1.33..
Cheerios..


Dublin Flip 08:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
No worries...
The reason I asked was because I had conincidently been reading this and saw something about reserves actually not having been built up (at the suppply side) somewhere.

BHP Billiton 2nd-Half Net Doubles on Commodity Prices

I read somewhere, the biggest hinderence to China appears to be their electricty system. They simply haven't got the grid infrastructure to handle the demand.
anyway be lucky all

Brisbane L 08:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
perrie como my pleasure

Ldn 08:06 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Commodity prices may stay high
Aug 18 16:27
Dow
Citing synchronised world growth, China's strong demand growth and relatively low inventory levels, BHP Billiton said today the current high commodity prices could be maintained.
"These factors suggest that commodity prices could be sustained at higher levels than experienced in recent years," BHP said, as it released its full- year financial results.
The world's biggest mining company said earnings before exceptional items rose 83 per cent to $US3.51 billion ($4.9 billion) from US$1.92 billion a year ago. Its net profit rose 78 per cent to $US3.38 billion from $US1.90 billion a year earlier. The result for the year to June 30 was an Australian corporate record.Despite its optimistic outlook, BHP warned that "stronger commodity prices will in turn act as an inducement to new supply, which should bring supply and demand fundamentals back towards balance over the medium term"."China's economy is expected to ease modestly from current near double-digit growth rates" as a result of the Chinese government-initiated steps to control excessive growth in certain sectors, BHP added."However, given that the government remains committed to reform, infrastructure provision and economic growth, China is expected to remain a large and sustainable consumer of raw materials and resources in coming years."As in any economic cycle, we expect the rate of growth will vary from period to period, although we do not see this altering the course of long-term growth and development."The Melbourne-based company also said it expected solid demand growth for metals in the US, through its US metals distribution business, despite recent "disappointing" economic reports."Raw material demand in Europe has continued to increase as economic activity has picked up," it also said.BHP said it was "well placed" to boost production capacity for many commodities that were in short supply. "Many of these expansions can be brought to market quickly and at low cost and will be profitable not only in today's strong demand environment but throughout the economic cycle," the company said."We will also continue to look opportunistically at acquisitions where these fit our business strategy and add value to the BHP Billiton Group," BHP added.
AFR

GOLD COAST MARTIN 08:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
london 07:59 GMT August 18, 2004
martin..just saw your commodity comments..#
I fou have access to the whole statement read all of it and dont be selective in your information....BTW..BHP BILLITON share price did decline ....g/t
..thats it no more taking space from me today....

perrie como 08:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L interesting postings about those international debts flows. Tks

Brisbane L 08:02 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin, are you saying that China will no longer be purchasing commodities from Australia and that their growth is coming to a standstill

london 07:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
martin..just saw your commodity comments..#



bhp chief exec said that china commodity demand growth strong, room to move up for iron ore prices, they are spending 4 billion dollars on investment in copper mines, oil fields and goodness knows what else to maintain profit growth..#

hardly sounds like they think demand for their commodities is about to wane does it?

GOLD COAST MARTIN 07:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
LDN..I do not wish to argue the point take it as you wish....at your peril...enough posts from me today....

london 07:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
the perennial aud bear is back from the gold coast..!!!!

commodities show no sign of peaking to me...

overlay a chart of copper prices, with reported copper stocks and the aud, very interesting..

copper stocks / resrves are at a multi month low, copper price broken 4 month highs ...meanwhile nice anecdote in the aus press today on locally mined coal supply and prices.


so, martin, what makes u say commodities prices have peaked?

perrie como 07:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
just a small exerpt from an interesting fundamental study (source OECD)

“I can get no remedy against this consumption of the
purse: borrowing only lingers and lingers it out, but the
disease is incurable” - William Shakespeare

1. Introduction

In 2003 U.S. national saving amounted only to 13 ˝ per cent of GDP. This was the lowest rate in
U.S. history since the Great Depression and also one of the weakest among OECD countries. Following a
relatively brief period of a rising saving rate over the mid-1990s, it started to decline during the
penultimate years of the investment boom and this continued during the subsequent investment slump. The
weakening of national saving has been associated with a parallel shift of the current account, with the
deficit reaching 5 per cent of GDP, a level widely seen as unsustainable.
In this context, commentators and policy makers outside the U.S. have been increasingly worried
about a “structural” lack of saving in America, with potentially adverse consequences for capital
accumulation OECD-wide. A major source of concern in the short run is a steep back-up of long-term
interest rates crowding out private investment at a premature stage of the recovery. From a longer-term
perspective too, the substantial fall of U.S. national saving is not seen as an optimal response to the
acceleration in total factor productivity and potential output that the American economy has enjoyed since
the mid-1990s. It is often felt that the U.S. investment boom has led to a costly diversion of foreign saving
with detrimental consequences on potential growth outside America. What would have been needed
instead is a stronger contribution from U.S. domestic saving to the financing of the investment surge.

http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/53/57/33604019.pdf

Coventry Ledge 07:55 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
long eur/usd from 1.2321 initial target @1.2385 i will flat another failure to break previous highs, tight stop @1.2295

GOLD COAST MARTIN 07:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 07:45 GMT August 18, 2004
I had some info regarding forward commodity orders from 1month ago to china...today they were cancelled as they were going to be in surplus if were executed and delivered....these were from large commodity houses...plus the warning of BHP that commodity demand is waning more or less has confirmes this....This can be a major forex fundamental for commodity currencies...g/t

Tallinn viies 07:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
´rumoured sell order on the eurusd market, aprrox 2 bio euros from middle east
fwiw

GOLD COAST MARTIN 07:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Syd 07:44 GMT August 18, 2004
NO!!!

NYC YS 07:47 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
For those who were here yesterday, F X See Them had given me credit for the trade they @##@ yesterday

Dublin Flip 07:45 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Martin is there some news on commodities out or just a feeling that they've topped out????

Syd 07:44 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GOLD COAST MARTIN
are you and Gold Coast fxi one of the same

GOLD COAST MARTIN 07:42 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
,,,That should read:peak of commodities gone....g/t

GOLD COAST MARTIN 07:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Peak of commodity currencies has gone...commodity currencies beware.....

Melbourne Qindex 07:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : This is still valid :-


Melbourne Qindex 13:02 GMT August 17, 2004
EUR/JPY : The next target is 134.28.


Melbourne Qindex 09:16 GMT August 17, 2004
EUR/JPY : I like to see 135.81 to be printed in 24 hours.

Melbourne Qindex 07:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


Beijing Laowen 07:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 06:40 GMT August 18, 2004 //
Thank you very much. I had some experience with the nearal network AI system many years ago. This kind of system works wonderful. BTW, what's your Robot's view on Eur/Gbp? Thanks.

perrie come 07:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
lovely morning...not so hot today and yen is opening in strenght...waiting 109 today or tom

good fishing

Brisbane L 07:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Japanese newspaper has reported that the government is mulling the possibility of halving one of its key income tax rate cuts. That cut is currently worth Y3.3 trillion, so half of that amount would be equivalent to 0.3% of gross domestic product

Shanghai BC do you see this as a Yen negative ? appreciate any view you may have.

Coventry Ledge 07:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
looking to go long the euro @1.2310/20

Belgrade Knez 07:17 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 07:14 GMT August 18, 2004

Thanks.

Bangkok bkk 07:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 07:07 GMT

Knez// Ok, I have got it.

Due to I have an appointment today, so I will be back and reply your e-mail later during NY session.

Thanks anyway.

GL.

Belgrade Knez 07:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk 07:05 GMT August 18, 2004

Just sent it 10min ago to your yahoo address.

Thanks.

Bangkok bkk 07:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez 06:57 GMT August 18, 2004

Knez// I did not see any mails from you today ......You my try to send it again.

GL.

MONACO OGA 07:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 18/08
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2360), same level as yesterday opening. The USD recovered after a weaker US CPI for July sent the pair to 1,2390 before retracing to 1,2308. Core CPI rose by 0,1% m/m showing that some inflationary pressure remains in the US economy. Traders believe in another 25 bp rate hike in September. Some buying interest seems to be located around 1,2310 while 1,2380-90 still feels offered. Closing in NY was around 1,2350. Overnight, the pair rebounded from 1,2330 to current levels. Our intraday strategy remains the same as yesterday: EUR's rally seems to be exhausting ahead of last month's 1,2460 resistance and we'll be looking to sell ahead of 1,2400 for 1,2310 and 1,2280 targets. Our range trading strategy since last spring is still valid for the time being, with a 1,1950-1,2525 range.

Data out today:

EMU CPI Y/Y July expected 2,4 09.00 GMT
EMU TB Eurostat June expected 7,0 09.00 GMT

Gold at 403,50, with WTI Sept at 46,80

***JPY***
USD/JPY (109,80). We are still inside the 109,75-112,50 triangle.The pair is currently standing on its 109,75 support and we'll be looking for a rebound to 110,80. Our medium term strategy is still valid as long as we stay inside 107-112. Only a daily (weekly) close above 112 would open way to critical 115 pivotal point.
EUR/JPY currently 135,65, currently neutral. Support around 135 and resistance ahead of 137.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8275), was the big mover yesterday dropping from 1,8420 to 1,8260. GBP was under selling pressure after a decreasing RICS house price reiterated fears that BOE is likely to halt its restrictive monetary policy for a while. The GBP is looking offered but unlike yesterday we don't feel confortable selling at current levels. Resistances at 1,8350 and 1,8410 while support zone kicks in above 1,8200.
EUR/GBP (0,6755), enroute to 0,6770 as expected yesterday. We remain slightly bullish.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

Spr Noods 06:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
nay it meant if u screw up selling lows buying highs that thing on the door yeah on the way OUT

Belgrade Knez 06:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   

bkk

Please check your mail.

Thanks.
GL & GT

Haifa ac 06:53 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Handle (not the Composer)

Once upon a time there was Richard Paul on a show called "Carter county". He used a phrase that became a catch: "HANDLE IT! Handle IT!"
Since then they call a full point in commodities a HANDLE.

SS HK 06:53 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
What do GL & GT mean? Good Luck & Good Trade?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 06:51 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Just Updated
MyDailyOrders
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/

Melbourne Qindex 06:43 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:21 GMT August 18, 2004
USD/JPY : The current expected trading ranges from my 44-day cycle are 109.23 - 109.84 - 110.45*.

Melbourne Qindex 06:42 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 06:39 GMT - EUR/USD : No change in my view, bias on the downside.

Spr Noods 06:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
thanks no panic really I dont see 5 big figures on the downside
give it time 110.45 or 110.60 is back on meantime recosted
out of misery only if 109.40 goes

Bangkok bkk 06:40 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Laowen 06:10 GMT August 18, 2004
bkk, so far your Robot System has been working very well on Eur/Usd this week. I am curious what system it is. GL and GT
-------------------------------------------------

Laowen// It is a technical analysis software program that specializes in the development of Neural Network Trading Models based on historical data.

GL and GT to you too.

Sydney Alimin 06:39 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, any bias on euro at the moment?TIA

L.A. 06:38 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hey hafia... what is a handle? thanks :)

Haifa ac 06:35 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 06:29 GMT // THanks
We are sitting on a precipice here. The weekly chart is on an APEX and a break from here either way will be a LARGE MOVE. I'd say 5 handles at least.

Spr Noods 06:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hi Haifa half dead a few pips more Im flat for day

Belgrade Knez 06:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 05:52 GMT August 18, 2004

BC your comments on current euro/usd situation will be very much appreciated, please.
Thank you.

GL & GT

L.A. 06:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
shorting eur/usd now... any comments?

Melbourne Qindex 06:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
tnk rakesh 06:22 GMT - Kitco dot com is good.

Melbourne Qindex 06:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : 110.45 is the extreme end of my expected trading range. Anyway speculative selling should increase when the market is trading below 109.84.

tnk rakesh 06:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   


HELP FORUM
Post A Message [auto-refresh | no refresh] Archive




guys i need information of gold trading sites cudanyone suggest me..thanks...

hello frds...
can anyone tell me abt a gold forum and ppl who trades gold i want some info on gold trading..ur inputs will be highly appreciated..thx rakesh

Melbourne Qindex 06:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Haifa ac 06:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 02:22 GMT August 18, 2004
We take all bets
seeya at 110.45//
Still valid?

Beijing Laowen 06:10 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
bkk, so far your Robot System has been working very well on Eur/Usd this week. I am curious what system it is. GL and GT

eur lg 06:08 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
If recent patterns hold this should be a good buying opportunity for eur/jpy. Lower yields in the US (eur supportive), higher oil (yen negative).

shanghai bc 05:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   

GUNGDONG/YANZI -- Good afternoon..We are not allowed to post in foreign languages here..Only English is allowed here..It is the forum rule..You can post your analysis in many Chinese forex sites in Chinese language..Cheers.

广东 05:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
**神秘点的探索**8月18日--(茵子)
一、8月18日的神秘点是:
序 货 币 可能低点 可能高点 天图趋势 操作参考 预测本周高低点
0 美元指数 87.50 88.70 空 87.00 / 88.80
1 欧元/美元 1.2280 1.2450 多 1.2300多 1.2270/ 1.2500
2 英磅/美元 1.8200 1.8350 多 1.8210多 1.8280 / 1.8700
3 澳元/美元 0.7100 0.7200 多 0.7100多 0.7060 / 0.7280
4 瑞朗/美元 1.2300 1.2540 空 1.2500多朗 1.2220/ 1.2600
5 加元/美元 1.3000 1.3120 空 1.3110多加 1.2800 / 1.3250
6 日元/美元 109.40 110.60 多 110.50多日 109.40 / 112.00
今天无重要数据公布。

以上数据仅供参考,风险自负!但一定要定好自己认为能承受的止损位!


祝大家好运!
yinzi QQ:30963505 E-mail: [email protected]
2004年8月18

Information of Aug 18h, 2004
NO Currency Low point possible High point possible Trend of daily graph Reference for operation The lowest and highest point of this week’s forecast.
0 DINIW 87.50 88.70 Down 87.00 / 88.80
1 RUD/USD 1.2280 1.2450 Up Buy at 1.2300 1.2270/ 1.2500
2 GBP/USD 1.8200 1.8350 Up Buy at 1.8210 1.8280 / 1.8700
3 AUD/USD 0.7100 0.7200 Up Buy at 0.7100 0.7060 / 0.7280
4 USD/CHF 1.2300 1.2540 Down Buy atCHF 1.2500 1.2220/ 1.2600
5 USD/CAD 1.3000 1.3120 Down Buyat CAD1.3110 1.2800 / 1.3250
6 USD/JPY 109.40 110.60 Down Buy at JPY 110.50 109.40 / 112.00


This chart is only for reference. Please be resposible with your own operation. Be sure to set a lowest cut point that you can afford!
In order to prevent lose, after you buy it, when the price increases by 30 points, you can set the lowest cut point to the price you buy. This operation is just for reference. You can do your own operation.
My QQ number is : 30963505,. Please feel free to contact me.
Good luck to everybody!!
E-mail: [email protected]
Yours sincerely,
Yinzi

Bangkok bkk 05:17 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
IMHO on EUR/USD for today:

It is a very good opportunity to take LONG position today, if we see EUR/USD dips lower to around 1.2290-1.2315 as refer to my previous post on Sunday:

Robot trading system for EUR/USD: Very Short-Term View (Day trade / Intraday trade)

The euro rallied 200 pips last Friday as the trend of weak data from the US continues. It is expected that EUR/USD will retest 1.2385/400 resistance zone early this week, and then fell to the level of 1.2300/1.2325 support zone to consolidate. Towards MID-WEEK it is expected to become firm to the level of 1.2350 and by week end is expected to rally to the level of 1.2450 – 1.2480

Trading Strategy:

1) Take short during rise to 1.2380/400 on MONDAY(only) and cover during correction to 1.2310/330

2) Good time to take long position during correction to 1.2310/330 before the end of the week and cover during rally to 1.2450/480 by the end of the week.

Note: For Intraday trade / Day trade

1.Always operate with 30-40 points stop loss above or
below the entry level.

2. Always, in a day, make it a point either to take long if
low price achieves first or to take short if high price
achieves first.

GL.all


Ldn 04:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
M & A -Australia's NAB Close To Decision On UK Business - CEO

Ldn 04:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
oz deanobravo Nice to see you back

Dallas GEP 04:32 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
got order now to buy more usd/jpy AT 109.85

Brisbane L 04:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Very quiet today. Reading about new AUD uridashi aimed at Japan retail investors coming soon to support AUD/JPY according to Tokyo dealers, Japan brokerages plan to offer uridashi from Aug. 23

oz deanobravo 04:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hi folks, anybody have any thoughts on this euro usd, I'm looking for a longer term view. Looking at daily charts we are resting on a fifty % fibo, break here gives potential back to 1.20 . The charts look to be forming right shoulder of H&S pattern....(i know....it has been a while) heheh

Spr Noods 04:28 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
good work nimble!
picking some oz stops 0.7180

Dallas GEP 04:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Closed usd/jpy shorts @ +7 I have no patience for this!!! BAck in London

Sydney Alimin 03:34 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:27 GMT August 18, 2004

yup, perhaps it is better to wait and see now, early next week looks like technical play again as there isn't any us data release
be back after lunch....gl mate

L.A. 03:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
can someone help u figure out how to use RSI with a cross-over EMA on a 5 and 15 min chart. Thanks to all that reply

Singapore Sfx 03:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
none alimin - watching the world go by, me ..

Sydney Alimin 03:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:21 GMT August 18, 2004

how about you? any plan so far?

Moscow Vasya 03:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Singapur: I think one should probably be bearish on eur when eur/chf flattens

Sydney Alimin 03:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:21 GMT August 18, 2004

i am neither bullish nor bearish at this time mate, will need to see more
i will follow GEP in and out quick or B747's stealing chicken plan

hk ab 03:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
gvm// you want a start like them? cool, watch then.

Sydney Alimin 03:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab: yup, i think he is just giving away his stops all this time if he trades

Ldn 03:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hes all mouth

Chicago 03:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Newbie here, just have a question about the initial news stored in my system. I wonder what duration It would cover. and why i update my system to XXX.XXX.XXX.14, all news from today lost, where can I get back them.

Thanks

Singapore Sfx 03:21 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
was just asking if u bullish or bearish here , alimin ..

Sydney gvm 03:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - who appointed you judge and jury - settle down mate

Sydney Alimin 03:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:14 GMT August 18, 2004

when euro was in 1.20 region i said as long as 1.2090-1.2110 holds i was bearish, above 1.2125 till 1.2250 i was ready to play the range and above 1.2250 would rethink my strategy....hope that refresh your memory :)

hk ab 03:17 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
is b747 still here?

hk ab 03:16 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
and two weeks ago, he was bullish too....
unfortunately, he needed to change his view every 10 days....

Noody// got all those "leong cha".

Singapore Sfx 03:14 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Alimin - i seem to remember that you were bearish too euro a week or two ago. are you still bearish ?

Sydney Alimin 03:12 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
just about a week ago mckegg was very bearish on euro and now he is very bullish :)

Spr Noods 03:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Moskow if u speak English I can understand you
We have academics in our shop who does modelling
and when tested to real world trading consistently return negative

In our current FX world
what China does in the majors such as Euro is more important
US funds are a contrarian indicator this year
most running off to the hills

Spr Noods 03:00 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
gl I'll get some off then head for lunch here
cheers
seeing some of the stops under 109.70 taken off
gone back to the owners those at 15 got blessed as u can imagine
market talk they were big
we only saw those in the 20-30s
beginning to feel that repatriation season ie temporal Yen strength is fading off

Moscow Vasya 02:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
I just recently found a winning strategy (by the time tested onlty on paper)- by the defenition of "winning" it should be used by many peeps. So pls tell - does someone use single currency evaluation, and currency pair correlation - as basic trade instrument?

Dallas GEP 02:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
THX NoodyG, trying to get 109.90 first and THEN I am long will see

Spr Noods 02:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
110.18 ish
story has to fold further from Euryen
might be a day where the divergence on the hourly will have this X moving again


anyway keep on buying Dlryen on dips

according to the Guru BC low risks time of course is yours and mine parameters

Spr Noods 02:50 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
some light U-buying on that

hk ab 02:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy long only worth 2 pips (cents)...

Spr Noods 02:35 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
OKLah 80/20 for Asian
Gep gets to make profits.............cheers
have a flip at GVI some very pertinent and strong Dlryen views

Spr Noods 02:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hahaha sorry GEP
btw TH just cleaned out the inbox
sry on the hassle mucking around Dlryen

LA 02:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
To Los Angeles or whoever would like to comment: do u use RSI with your EMA? I am trying to use EMA's with RSI but can't seem to get a good read on the buy crossovers in relation to RSI cause seems like a 14 period RSI seems to hang around 30-70 all the time with no dips in the extreme. Anyone have some ideas that I can use. Any help would be great. Thanks

Dallas GEP 02:26 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NOODYG we talked about this before.....first time thru it probably won't get thru...I will be back long here in about 30 minutes....why do you women alwys give mixed signals??? LOL

Los Angeles bernie 02:25 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Anyone understand how to buy a foreign currency and actually take possession? Tfhe terms "gross" and "net" confuse me.

Spr Noods 02:22 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
We take all bets
seeya at 110.45

Dallas GEP 02:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
OK I am trying @ 110.15 SHORT now on usd/jpy with target @ 109.90. This based on upper bollinger band 30 minute

Syd 02:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
A leading index of the Australian economy grew at an annualized rate of 4.0% in June, well above a long-term trend for the index of 3.4%. A coincident index, which is a broad measure of current economic activity, was 5.1% in June compared with a long-term trend of 3.8%, The indicator also remains consistent with Westpac's view that upward pressure on interest rates will continue to build, making a hike likely by December.
Westpac

Bris.th thanks I will.

Dallas GEP 02:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Took 110.11 profit on usd/jpy longs. Will reload longs if 109.80 is seen again

Bris th 02:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
syd..Shoot him an email [email protected]

Syd 02:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Bris th hi, can you give me the site Max Mckegg has a guest appearance

NYC PCM 01:57 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
sorry not "ccle" - cycle!

NYC PCM 01:56 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Eur/USD
My reading is that todays high will stand and that we are now going to trend down thru to around mid November.

this is based on what I can see from a cyclical standpoint. the 288 day ccle is pointed hard down. The 144 day ccle is also pointing down. the low on 8/4 was a nest of smaller cycle lows and we've ridden them up to here, however with the larger cycles pointing down and the 18 having crested today I don't think we get to break the trend line down from the 2/18 high.

Of course I could be hopelessly wrong!

GA TJ 01:52 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 01:13 GMT August 18, 2004
RE: USD/JPY ranges so far VERy VERY narrow. from 109.93 you could have made about +10 short and +7 long so that sucks!!!

Thats a typical trade for me lately. I'm Super Trader!!!!!! LOL
Something is going to give on USDJPY. Support in the 109.75 area or the Down line currently in the 110.25 area. Wait a minute, thats a 50 pip range. TRADE IT! All my stuff says that there is more room down for this pair.

Bris th 01:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods ..Howdy... your canada email is bouncing "max"

Spr Noods 01:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
AB take some "leong cha"

Spr Noods 01:37 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
AB take some "leong cha"

Dallas GEP 01:36 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Helllll...just pick on me....I am used to it!!! LOL

ny amc 01:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk...ab.....I for one listen and learn from your posts so please try to ignore there childlike behavior

hk ab 01:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
After a "hk dad" now, there's a "ldn"....
tired to respond idiots....enough. See ya all later.

SIN CT 01:19 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Expect SGD to appreciate.

Ldn 01:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab how long have you been trading ??

hk ab 01:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ldn// I have enough "feeds" from you. GL. I just felt sorry with the small fish.

With some of my luck, hope that I could exit aud/jpy on a spike.

Dallas GEP 01:13 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
RE: USD/JPY ranges so far VERy VERY narrow. from 109.93 you could have made about +10 short and +7 long so that sucks!!!

hk ab 01:11 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
gold pix, 403.6/404.2

hk ab 01:09 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
poor gold, you might need to dive after the aud/jpy pair.... Same fate....

ldn//your aud/jpy longs are still in DEEP s.h.it. at all now. 100 pips s/l needed? imvho?

Ldn 01:07 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab especially for you

Ichimoku Kinkoh technical charts have sent strong buy signal fo gold its staged bullish crossover (conversion line crosses base line from below) above Ichimoku cloud, which today is at 389.86-396.92 gold last quoted at 404.00/404.50

Melbourne Qindex 01:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD and AUD/USD are behaving in typical Asia countertrend way and probably want to dip towards 1.2310-20 and 0.7120-30 but overall both look set to trend higher over European summer and towards end of year. Lack of significant pull back from last Friday's rally suggests move genuine and providing base for strong rallies. Breaks of 1.2400 and 0.7200 will draw in momentum players.

Melbourne Qindex 01:01 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
houston st 00:23 GMT - Thank you and good trades.

QC WC 00:59 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Faramcia, any position on GBP? Time to buy?

Dallas GEP 00:58 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
NoodyG, I have been told the same thing RE: Osama Bin Laden from someone that supposedly should KNOW in that region so I dunno...it wouldn't surprise me at all.

Spr Noods 00:54 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi I dont even know you guys are in love with each other
Im out of this haha

AB I think the only wildcard that can be hatched is that Bush actually has Osama somewhere in Iraq Afghan
and then in the coming end of the campaign
DISPLAYS him and guess what happens to the assets markets?

other than that I think the markets are playing three stages
we get to Stage 3 and see Euros higher much much higher

sydney 00:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Spr Noods 00:29 GMT August 18, 2004
who's the HK Dad?

hk dad 08:57 GMT August 13, 2004
my 03:45 GMT was for hk ab. who I am does not matter, just think of me as your cyber daddy in GV. LOL
I don't claim to be better, provocative sarcasm does not earn respect.
dad

hk ab 00:49 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody, my only wary in Sept is the Japs wild card. Sold gold at the 400 line.....they are hiding sth?

LA 7 00:48 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody. What is the significance of 1.2260-70?

wisconsin tim 00:42 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
HI Close Lo Close Hi High Lo Low
EURUSD 1.2407 1.2313 1.2442 1.2273
GBPUSD 1.8364 1.8207 1.8490 1.8187
USDCHF 1.2490 1.2365 1.2528 1.2290
USDYEN 110.36 109.22 111.05 109.43
AUDUSD 0.7190 0.7121 0.7225 0.7093
EURYEN 136.33 135.06 137.21 135.09
EURGBP 0.6779 0.6735 0.6784 0.6696
USDCAD 1.3111 1.2994 1.3128 1.2948

hk ab 00:41 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody, tkx v. much for your view and your time.

Spr Noods 00:38 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
my fundamental reason for a hope for higher Euros rests on 1) the Fed is wrong at least perhaps the pace? 2) the Rep Convention falls on Aug 28 in NY...Swf shud rally then Euros higher too 3) all the celebrated options barriers 1.2400+ are coming to the dustbin soon so China wud rest easier and allow the Euros to go higher

of course we live in reality
buy the dips but cut them on a loss thru 1.2260-70

hk ab 00:33 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
what an early fight....
aud/jpy want to eat some stops?

Dallas GEP 00:31 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Well in that case, won't be greedy here....110.18 will be fine. LOL

hk ab 00:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody, is your strong eur view very firm?

hk ab 00:30 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Frankly, I am afraid that he doesn't show up 'cos I would not be able to catch cheap yen then.

hk ab 00:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
He liked to tease my yen view often....sigh....

hk ab 00:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
a wild swing back to 111.1111111?

Spr Noods 00:29 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
who's the HK Dad?

hk ab 00:27 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Noody, maybe the "hk dad" can help us to swing it higher a bit. Each time he said dlr/jpy dives, it goes the opposite and we can pick up some cheaper yen later.... last time he helped me to pick up some @112......(what a glimpse chance).

houston st 00:23 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:22 GMT -- have a wonderful holiday...you should see some magnificent country where you are traveling...safe journeys and happy trails!

Spr Noods 00:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
just taking out the 5 min charts u'll see a sorta double btm around the 80 and a cracker on the upside is 110.08 goes paid
a simple Fib of the 110.45-109.80 approximate sees around 110.20
good luck

hk ab 00:20 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
ldn//what's the starter of the day? .7200 stops hunts? -ve cpi drowning USD?

Now the aud/jpy long is RED again...

Dallas GEP 00:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
Adjusted TP on usd/jpy longs to 110.23

Spr Noods 00:18 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
some simple questions u shud ask yerself CA
has there been a huge fundamental reason or a big shift in sentiment
Yen open interests are at 5 month lows!
range the monkey dont sell the lows or buy the highs
not a season to break the range

Melbourne Qindex 00:05 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 23:59 GMT - USD/JPY has a good potential to go lower if it is trading below 109.99.

Melbourne Qindex 00:04 GMT August 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

 




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