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Forex Forum Archive for 08/24/2004

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Cairo Amgad 23:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Good morning

Although GBP, EUR falls for 3 consective days implies a correction day , i am still shorting themr till 4hour macd give a buy signal (stochastic and RSI are no longer valid signals)

GL GT

Ldn 23:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Russian authorities aren't ruling out terrorism in dual plane crashes; planes, carrying more than 100 people, took off from same airport in Moscow, CNN reports. 1st plane was carrying 54 passengers, crew of 8 when it crashed in Tula region near village of Buchalki; 2nd was carrying 44 people when it crashed near Rostov. Both planes Tupolev Tu jets, standard medium-range airliner on domestic flights in Russia

ITAR-Tass

KL KL 23:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
You're right GEP....shorting seems the better move now....I am out of my longs on gbpusd and nzdusd with a few pips loss. Sometimes hard to follow trend and make it ones friend or trying to pick bottom....

Pecs Andras 23:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 23:05 GMT August 24, 2004
Is the AUD/NDZ a short now?
What do you think?

hk ab lazy 23:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
put limit to reshort dlr/jpy again 110, 110.30

Dallas GEP 23:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
MHI----Shorting is better...TOOK ME THREE days to get out og those longs. I already said...BIAS is SHORT

hk ab 23:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nk// eur goes down step by step now...

Brooklyn mhi 23:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 22:03 GMT August 24, 2004
y did'nt you stick to your plan that shorting was better lol

By the way the landscape really changed eur.usd down 3 pound down 3.5

Gold coast Martin you must be a happy man

Pecs Andras 23:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Guys
Can somebody explain to me why Cad is so resilient to overall bullishness of USD against the rest of the dollar bloc currencies?

Brooklyn mhi 23:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Vancouver Qindex 22:59 GMT August 24, 2004
Hi how is the cruise? r u posting from your vacation. very nice
hope you enjoy!!!

Vancouver Qindex 22:59 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/US : The following is still a good reference :-

Melbourne Qindex 08:47 GMT August 18, 2004
EUR/USD : My system is still suggesting a trading range of 1.1751 - 1.2382 within Aug - Sep and the mid-point reference is 1.2067. Some of the viewers are very upset to see a range forecast of 600 pips. However my system is very easy to follow since all my projected chart points are interelated and are separated by a constant or its multiple. One can easily fine tune the trading ranges by dividing them with any integer.


Set A : ... // 1.1751* - 1.2067* - 1.2382* // ...

Set B: ... // 1.1751* - 1.1909 - 1.2067* - 1.2225 - 1.2382* // ...

Set C : ... // 1.1751* - 1.1830 - 1.1909 - 1.1988 - 1.2067* - 1.2146 - 1.2304 - 1.2382* // ...

Vancouver Qindex 22:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:47 GMT August 18, 2004
EUR/USD : My system is still suggesting a trading range of 1.1751 - 1.2382 within Aug - Sep and the mid-point reference is 1.2067. Some of the viewers are very upset to see a range forecast of 600 pips. However my system is very easy to follow since all my projected chart points are interelated and are separated by a constant or its multiple. One can easily fine tune the trading ranges by dividing them with any integer.


Set A : ... // 1.1751* - 1.2067* - 1.2382* // ...

Set B: ... // 1.1751* - 1.1909 - 1.2067* - 1.2225 - 1.2382* // ...

Set C : ... // 1.1751* - 1.1830 - 1.1909 - 1.1988 - 1.2067* - 1.2146 - 1.2304 - 1.2382* // ...

Vancouver Qindex 22:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
My websites has been updated and is freely available for anyone.

houston st 22:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

Vancouver Qindex 22:42 GMT -- thanks Q for taking the time to check in...watch out for the Mounties! safe journeys to you, sir.

Vancouver Qindex 22:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
HK ab Thank you, it seems to me that my guess is about right. Use my previous postings for reference. They should be good for 1 - 2 weeks.

Vancouver Qindex 22:43 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
My trip is fine, thank you.

hk ab lazy 22:43 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
good morning Dr. Q!

wonderful call on gold, eur, and oil.....

Vancouver Qindex 22:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The next targeting range is 1.1909 - 12067.

houston st 22:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

Q -- how's it going up there, ay?....hope your holiday has been a fun one...got time for some ranges on eur/usd? tia and good times to you.

Vancouver Qindex 22:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The next target is 1.2067.

hk ab lazy 22:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
viies// so hard to enter eur eh....

egypt 22:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

#################################
i want a free trial

Calabash TarHeel 22:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 22:05 GMT August 24, 2004
OK, thanks Ab

Gen dk 22:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab lazy 22:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
QDN goes to negative region when aud comes back so early to this .7 line again...

dlr/cad collects all the thrust to make a super rocket.

Calabash TarHeel 22:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 22:00 GMT August 24, 2004
Thanks Raven, probably need it.

hk ab lazy 22:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel, to be honest, I think BOJ will be in mission soon... don't rush...

Dallas GEP 22:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
My gbp/jpy longs I had from several days ago were closed at -7 pips (@ 196.43 on 196.50 average).

Calabash TarHeel 22:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 21:38 GMT August 24, 2004
Think you may be right, considering shorting around 77.50-- 78.00 range.
gl,gt

Va Raven 22:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Good luck, TarHeel!

KL KL 22:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Hmmm I keep seeing all major currency in retracement mode...i.e indicator telling me to long...maybe a trick for get me ?? ok long gbpusd 1.7930 looking for 60 pips above sl 20 pips below. long nzdusd .6475 looking for 40 pips above sl .6455

Va Raven 21:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
No kidding, what's going on there....? Thanks, saw it on CNN now....

Eilat Dolphin 21:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Yes, a second TU, it's confirmed that contact has been lost, 44 passangers or people on board.

Va Raven 21:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 21:49 - DJ News reported 60 on one plane, you sure there is another one (second plane) down again?

Calabash TarHeel 21:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 21:47 GMT August 24, 2004
197.10 at the moment, small positon, may get moved up another 50 pips.
Good to see you around.
Take Care

Eilat Dolphin 21:49 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
SKY New/ Just in: A Second plane with three dozens people downed around greater Moskow.

Va Raven 21:47 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel, what's the stop for that trade if you don't mind?

Eilat Dolphin 21:39 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Per Sky News: Russian plane down with some fifty four passengers. No details yet.

hk ab lazy 21:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
btw, the aud/jpy weekly looks extremely ugly... right shoulder can't pass the left shoulder.... broader shs pattern will send it to 65 area!

hk ab lazy 21:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
cad/jpy is on the cliff....

Calabash TarHeel 21:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 21:09 GMT August 24, 2004
Ok Gep, took small short from 196.60. Who knows, could go 200 pips either way.
Good Luck

hk ab lazy 21:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
but gb/jp is still where the worries are.

hk ab lazy 21:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
o o o.... after a night of exciting olympic games, the fx also made an olympic run....

dlr/cad good show coming NEXT....

aud/nzd is now in 110 pips waiting more upside move coming.
the only trouble is the gbp long, but not to worry, p/t the two dlr/jpy shorts last night at 109.50. I suspected some official interest was on there to prevent the move went too fast.

But no one wants to help the eur/jpy...

ldn//especially for you! Your gold now under your 404 entry...
aud/jpy, not to mention, 220 pips deep red in the pocket...
You cloud indicator ignored the bigger trend, together with so many news-feeding-related trade was the trouble.

I will only add gbp long when some serious fib retracement target reached in weekly chart. Hopefully around 1.78-1.77 area.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 21:25 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
The euro has a critical level at 1.1950 area...
My friend...the euro will rally for at least 60 days from there...
Might see it at 1.2250 next week...and might come back to this 1.1950...and rally again from there...
I suggest you use this level for the next 3 months

Dallas GEP 21:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Took Eur/chf long from 1.5375..target 1.5410

Dallas GEP 21:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
OK gbp/jpy has hit that 196.50/60 area.....Look for possible short from HERE

Va Raven 20:24 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
"Oh, my viies"! That's what Pope used to say......

NYC PCM 20:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Trying to refine things - the small scale cycle low should come in on Friday or Monday, and I'm leaning towards Friday.

This would imply that we'll basically sell off into the Greenspan speech on Friday, and then move up out of that low on "news".

No projections yet on how much of a bounce up we'll get out of that low, but it's not going to be a lot. All other cycles just about as bearish as it gets.

wisconsin tim 20:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Should be interesting EOW with some USD data coming out.

EUR/YEN moving to the big weekly trendline?
EURYEN Chart

LAX-LGB SNP 20:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
lastly - but USDCAD above 1.3076 targets 1.32+ esp IF 1.310x cant hold

GL TC everyone :-) have fun

LAX-LGB SNP 19:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
also AUDUSD is testing 0.7016-48
GBPCHF stuck between 2.2763-2.2824 ... expecting a decent move on either side before the weekend

LAX-LGB SNP 19:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GEP - right on !
there's an old weekly TL coming off 06/30 & 01/05 @ 197.25 right now ... personally i'd like to see price close past this resistance this month before attempting a long for 200 again

Dallas GEP 19:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Longs first to 196.50/60 I mean of course

Dallas GEP 19:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
SNP, actually downside support is VERY strong at 195.10/20 area. I suspect we will get some longs to 195.50/60 and THAT would be excellent short down to a try at that support

LAX-LGB SNP 19:39 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
22:06 GMT August 23, 2004
... eurjpy has broken past TL coming off Jun28 and resting on secondary TL coming off Apr5 - downside is as wide as 130
gbpjpy is resting above TL coming off Mar31 and Jun24 - downside doesn't stop till 195

last leg is the hardest - catching this falling knife will not just cut off a few fingers but also chop off your toes ;-)

Tallinn viies 19:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
correction of mistakes: day high of course 1,2166 not 1,2065/70.

Tallinn viies 19:28 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Geneva DC 16:00 GMT - thnks for help.
good to see some people have studied math and use statistics

Tallinn viies 19:25 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
got fill at 1,2069. square now. it was quick I must say.
close near the low of the day gives more room to test lower levels tommorow.
as I said earlier today staring to buy euros soon.1,1990-1,2025 area looks intresting at the moment.
major stop buy level where bears must rethink is todays high 1,2065/70 level.
plan to sell small part at 1,2115/20 area, next near 1,2135/45 area. lets hope it works.
good night all, cu tommorow

Tallinn viies 19:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 15:35 GMT - hi mate. dont you remember? you were also there with pope :)

keep up your good work.
your trading inputs are invaluable.

GER ad 19:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY,
out at 132.33

vancouver PB 19:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
are there any indice traders in here?

GA TJ 18:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 18:42 GMT August 24, 2004

ML, you got mail.

GER ad 18:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 18:41,
If 131.70 will not hold we are going maybe an other 100 pips lower. I am already long from 132.06 with a tight S/L for a 30-40 pips bounce. (S/L already moved at cost).

London e 18:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I just longed GBP/USD for a retrace.

San Diego bobl 18:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd...
buying on US close with 43 pip s/l...short term system signal.

ICT ML 18:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 18:16 GMT August 24, 2004
I think it will be useful in trending moves this fall. I am working on a "project" to determine the average intraday pullbacks in trending/swing moves on gbp-usd and then eur-usd. With the statistics on how big the pullbacks typically are, hopefully we can also decide on the ideal trailing stop level for the platform in question:->

Could free up a lot of time for fishing and golf...LOL

slv sam 18:41 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 18:36/
I would like to buy at 131 before Europe tomorrow! and if 129 seen this week, it will be gold chance to be rich!!!GT

Chicago JMI 18:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 18:29 GMT August 24, 2004

Time to start buying then. ;)

GER ad 18:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 18:28,
Maybe tonite (131.70/80 could be tested)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 18:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I am off now.
bye..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 18:29 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
okay.. sellers still dominant in gbp/usd.

slv sam 18:28 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I can not see better opportunity than to start accumulating e/y for autumn target of 1.40+ imho.GT

Pecs Andras 18:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tony
Thanks, I am already negotiating it and they are very professional. They admit it was a false spike and are willing to correct it.

GA TJ 18:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andras 18:18 GMT August 24, 2004
Ditto, Nothing else moved so it probably Electronic Flatulance or Human Cerebral Flatulance.

San Francisco gth 18:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hello everyone, my first time here. i'll say something insightful later.

Barcelona Tony 18:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Andras, have a charting software that did the same spike. Not sure wtf THAT WAS

Pecs Andras 18:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Guys
About 5 minutes ago there was a 200 pip spike on NDZ/USD on my platform up to 6687
Anybody seen the same on their platform?

GA TJ 18:16 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
My platform just implemented a Trailing Stop feature. It works like this.
For Example:

You buy GBP/USD at 1.8241, and place a stop at 1.8231, with the trailing-stop feature set at 50 pips. If and when the GBP/USD rate goes to 1.8291, your stop-loss order will automatically move to 1.8281. This would lock in a profit of 40 pips. The stop loss order would move up continually every time the GBP/USD rate increases by 50 pips.

After setting your Trailing Stop rate, you can adjust it at a later time by left clicking in the Open Positions window under the column labeled Until Tr. Stop Move. A Stop Order window will come up, you can adjust the rate selected next to Rate Min. Move, and hit the Change button. You will then see the setting updated in the Open Positions Window.


Does anyone hae experience using this type of traing stop? If so would you share your experiences? Typically my Trail for a long posi would be to take the Highest High of the trade - X Pips. X varies depending on the pair.

athens l0ss 18:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
where those brilliant traders of this forum has gone?

Gen dk 17:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

NYC PCM 17:54 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

So still moving hard down nto the minor cyclical low of August 30th. Another 200 Points to go I think.

After that a bit of a bounce and then onwards into the major cyclical low around mid-Novemeber.

Gold, I suspect, will follow a similiar pattern.

Dallas GEP 17:54 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Closed usd/chf shorts for +25 pips

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 15:12 GMT August 24, 2004
Thanks for the reply I am always curious like yourself and trying to get better when ever possible. GL GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nice profit make me health of my phsicology/mentality today.
especially in gbp/usd and eur/usd, also usd/chf.
let's attack gbp/usd with selling pressure.
I think enough gbp/usd reaction from 1.7889 to go 1.7935(maximal 1.7945). still no buy patern.
sell now !!!
let's see.

Gen dk 17:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

athens l0ss 17:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Friends great chance when GBP/CHF break 2.2958 resistance then a chance of buy GBP and target 2.3400 ................

Barcelona Tony 17:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
is the jumping the euro?Ώ it is jumping to 1.04, yes .. LOL .. no offense mate, just kidding ...

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 17:30 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tony..

Here is Rodes and here the jumping..(We say in our country)


I will Let this post to rememper it..


Nick the Greek!

nk*!*




Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:30 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
athens l0ss 17:18 GMT August 24, 2004
long term trade will go 2.1846 as the bottom , but for short term will go 2.2740 (bottom).
I hope this view can help you.
Sell gbp/chf

prague viktor 17:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Oil man,good day no one know thisgbp/jyp like u ,is it now good level to long it for 100-200 pips or its better to wait to the 195,3 thx mate .G/L

athens l0ss 17:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Hi all
any view on GBP/CHF i HAVE BOUGHT IT 2.2986 aiming to collect profit on reaching 2.3100! any comments friends?

bucharest dan 17:16 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
thanks, razvan

Cairo Amgad 17:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Eur and GBP undert selling till tomorow US data. US data will be bad and they will be sent to new high levels.

GL GT

Barcelona Tony 17:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hi mate, the 4 and the 0 are in the worng place : 40 = 04

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 17:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tony ..

Might to BC pocket but im sure not to urs..LOL!!!


nk

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
yes.. I have got important message from this case of gbp/usd movement. thanks.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
okay...
after got 1.7890..now I thinking about 1.7824 as the start level.

Barcelona Tony 17:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
mmmmm saloniko must be looking for his euros .. where did they go??

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd
although price under selling emotion now.. I predict about 1.9250 - 1.93xx. From 1.7904 maybe for 5 weeks from now gbp/usd will get buying so emotion..start from 1.7904, but if show you 1.7890 scenario about 1.92xx better thinking start from level 1.7820.
contra.... !!!

Bucharest Razvan 17:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
TJ:
I'm looking at the big trendline on eur/usd from march 2002 low and sept 2003 low, and i see that today is the strongest penetration of it ever. it's been under attack at the beginning of the month, but the candles (daily) were.. lacking courage, so to speak.. it just hovered within 100 pips (which is a blip when talking about a multi-year t/l, imho) and shot back up. Not this time, it seems. We have 3 days dominated by really determined sellers. But then again, if I was to defend a level, I'd defend 1.20. I'd have much more going my way then.. all things considered, i'm looking at 1.20 to break sometime soon. Price moves down to shut off selling, however, so we just have to see where we'll find balance in this move..

salve dan.. contact jay (thanks jay!) for my hotmail email address (also my msn handle) if you wanna chat.. :)

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 17:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

Barcelona Tony 16:44 GMT August 24, 2004

Im here frd and i will give u an advice..

That one who lough loudness @ the end might be not u..;)

Have a nice month..;)
nk


Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
1.7904 is the key answer about talking 1.9250-1.93xx of gbp/usd
possible go there from 1.7904 !!!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd welcome to 0.7013..be carefull when at there !!
maybe chart will wake up.

Dallas GEP 17:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
1.2746 short on usd/chf 30 pip stop....1.2700 TP....warning this is selling against some strong BUY candles

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 16:42 GMT August 24, 2004
you have seen the buying reaction from there...LOL

Bucharest Razvan 16:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
lol

GVI Jay 16:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jk (and others). Please cut it out. You made your point and no reason to pile it on.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 16:42 GMT August 24, 2004
be carefull with 1.7904.!!
maybe pullback .that's level is weekly resistant.

GA TJ 16:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Bucharest Razvan 16:36 GMT August 24, 2004
I am still holding Long Swissy from last Friday morning. You are right this thing has had a healthy move over the last few days. Maybe a little to healthy. But my daily stuff still has plenty of room on the top side. I think I posted a while ago about the potential double bottom in the 1.2150/1.2200 area. Confirmation lies in the 1.3150/1.3200 area. Three days does not make a trend but it looks like it might try for that number. Thats 400 pips away. Am considering letting this posi do its thing and see what happens. IF nad that is a big if, it gets to 1.3150 then all bets are off as it could very well fall and fall into a range market. Thats the big picture I am looking at.

bucharest dan 16:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hi, I just saw someone from romania, salve razvan

Barcelona Tony 16:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
coo-coooo Salonikoooo , Zorroooo where are you??? LOL!!!!!!

Los Angeles ss 16:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- where do you see cable from the 1.7920 level?

Dallas GEP 16:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Razvan how about this: "WHEN IN DOUBT, AVERAGE IT OUT" (that's a JOKE BTW!!! LOL)

omaha ez 16:41 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
The REAL currency ... gold whacked today 400 fed target in play ?.. gbp/yen AAA as usual.. only cross U have to watch.. IMO

Gold Coast martin 16:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Referring to my post of the 31st of july we are a seeing a faster of the downward bias in august than the previous 2 months...so bottom line is if aud can break 7020 convincingly its good night aud for the rest of the year...57 looks more and more visible...should euro break and stay below 11980 its also good night for rest of 2004 with 110 looking visible by years end..the resistance levels for both pairs below these levels are not significant....good trades....

Geneva DC 16:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
1.2000 to 1.2100 = intermediate soft landing area, as to the level: GEP it (e.g. scale)

GVI Jay 16:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
And more pearls of wisdom from BC for a longer-term view:

Chicago Irish 16:36 GMT August 24, 2004
Well Jay I also think this is worth posting from BC
shanghai bc 12:57 GMT August 22, 2004

NT 06:37 -- Oil may correct for short-term towards 40-45 region..But medium to long term,Oil and the commodities are in mega bull market based on real demand growth from China and India,40% of the whole humanity..Oil and Commodity markets should concentrate more on demand growth side which is a real driving force in these markets..There are too many short-term specs from time to time which needs to be cleaned out but the underlying conditions in these markets are fundamentally bullish..Either China and India's modernization drive collapses or Oil is used up opening a new chapter to another era in the end..Whichever comes first,the Oil and the commodities are to ride once in our life time mega-bull-ride for years to come ..Forex market or even stock markets look like the market for retired folks in their 80's when compared to Oil and Commodity markets these days..

Dallas GEP 16:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tom,,, NO I don't...I probably am in the minority

Bucharest Razvan 16:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
still holding 1.2250 short from yesterday and boy am I glad to do so.. still, floating profit is NO profit.. i WAS targeting 1.20 this week, but it's too abrupt a fall to feel right.. trailing stop every 50 pips.

GEP: i just remembered, you never emailed me whatever you wanted printed on the t-shirt i promised you i'll wear while riding my bike for a whole weekend in bucharest! ;)

Gen dk 16:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf welcome to 1.2885 ..top
eur/usd welcome to 1.2010 or 1.1960 ..bottom

Roumeli anka 16:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I remember Mel Q 1.2067 as a "super magnet" or something like that. The mid point of his 1.2382-1.1751 range. Good point for a bounce.

Global-View 16:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
From GVI and worth repeating here:

zurich mik 16:32 GMT August 24, 2004
raven, this is what explains the current movements for me:

shanghai bc 01:31 GMT August 12, 2004

Not many big players around in Euro market in summer market recently..So, selling around 1.23 and buying around 1.22 by Asian players were enough to kick around Euro for a few days..Things may change if Oil drops and Eur/Jpy drops too as a side-show, dragging down Eur/usd..Usd/Jpy may drop too as a side-effect..Forex market has turned into Oil derivatives market recently

Bon Tom 16:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Gep,I have buy [email protected],2010 do u think we can see it in the next 24h..

melbourne farmacia 16:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
QC Swap - yeah picked up some usd/jpy @ 117.40 Sept 03 .. thinking if yen dumps BOJ would help me out.... first sight of BOJ 106.30 ... it's your money mate.. GL

nyc jk 16:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
swap - I happen to think it is good advice to follow. certainly there are different approaches out there that make money, but I think the point is adding to a losing position for the sole purpose of improving your average is probably not a good idea. gl

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:29 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gold, 396-395 on my radar.

Gen dk 16:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 16:25 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
DC, that's not what I said or meant. I said it wasn't NECESSARILY true. I am not getting into this now. More important things here LIKE euro and gbp breaking low

Geneva DC 16:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dalas GEP
we got your message: so there is a well known picture of Dallas GEP sitting in his office, under a sign that says "Winners average losers in FX"
interesting

Dallas GEP 16:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Well TJ, you don't collect ANY until you close. Been as much as 30 chickens up.

QC Swap 16:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Yeah, there's a divergence between what people think/believe about dollar-cost-averaging.

That raises a question. Does anyone on this forum Dollar-cost-average? I'd like to hear your stories? if they have worked for you or not.

Dallas GEP 16:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Never mind guys, that was a joke. And yes , I agree I am wrong 100% of the time. LOL

GA TJ 16:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GEP, How many of those LA (Lower Alabama) Yard Birds have you collected? My entry was not the best. It hit my number 1.3005 and bounced. Was expecting it to go thru by 10/20 pips or so. Will add to the posi on a break of yesterdays high. OR get stopped out at B/E which ever happens first.

nyc jk 16:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
well speaking as someone who used to work at a bank that executed some of his fx business, I can guarantee you are 100% wrong on that first point GEP. I won't bother with your second.

Boca Raton 16:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I have executed $1.5 billion dollars for Jones one day in Mark/Paris. Shows how little you know.

Van Revdax 16:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Today's risky/whisky special//Sell $/CHF, risking today's Hi.

Dallas GEP 16:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Paul Tudor Jones wasn't an FX trader!!! I don't think that statement is necessarily true.

Gen dk 16:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Egypt.....Overall bias is short BUT that possie is probably good for 30-40 pips IF GBP doesn't break down hard.

nyc jk 16:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
dc - excellent explanation and post.

swap - there is a well known picture of Paul Tudor Jones sitting in his office, under a sign that says "Losers average losers." just something to consider

QC Swap 16:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
went more long Eur/Usd just below 1.2100 to lower average out what my losing pos.

egypt 16:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
what is your opinion
long gbp jpy @109.50
[email protected] 109.00
[email protected]

Geneva DC 16:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
van don
Bollinger Bands (BB) and 2 x Standard Deviation boundaries assume a normal distribution of the data.
Currency prices are NOT normally distributed but display a leptokurtic (fat-tailed) distribution. If they were they would never leave the Bollinger Band confines by much. But they do of course, on a sharp breakout.

In a sideways market hourly ranges might be nearly normally distributed and BB might be used for range trading. An hourly 100 point eur HILO would NOT be contained in a normally distributed data set, but be in the "fat tail" on each side of the bell-shaped distribution curve.

BB are a good tool, but during a breakout they will NOT contain prices.

Dallas GEP 15:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
It seems to me, eur/usd will bounce from 1.2085 and GBP/usd from 1.7910. CHICKEN counting contest still in play on some cad/usd longs (some stopped out at BE)

egypt 15:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
what about usd jpy now
caqn i enter short now

Va Raven 15:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 15:12 - Which hospital?

st. pete islander 15:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
houston st 13:58 GMT August 24, 2004

Sorry, st .... stepped away for a bite. Nothing earth shaking other than to say that it is still a summer market and I should have taken all of August off. :o) gt

Gen dk 15:26 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Van jv 15:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD----------Seems that GBP support zone 1.81 /which hoped would hold/ ---turned into neckline/ daily/ with potential 1.75---this tech. # 1.75 seems rather unrealistic..??

wisconsin tim 15:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Moving stops to BE on GBP/USD short, not entering new trades

See web page

gt's

Tallinn viies 15:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL - 7-8 years ago I attended at seminar called "trading psychology". there I met an Indian guy from Miami (seriously, not joking). Was rookie trader ready to absorb anything, more like a swamp. ready to take/accept everything what older/wiser guys said.
and this guy said that he have used his new Teletrac tradestation for optimizing bollinger band parameters. and he have found that 13 days moving average work best for trending markets. so, I came back to europe and put this parameter to my system and using it ever since. it sounds stupid but it serves me well :)

Tallinn viies 15:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
oolrite
leaving for today,
as hourly stochstic crossed higher with bullish divergence I moved my resell order to 1,2184 .
see after nyc close.

QC Swap 15:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Still holding onto my Eur/Usd long. This sudden rise in Euro seems a bit premature. I'll wait to get in at lower levels to average out lower.

GER ad 14:43 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
With JPY and CAD brakes this Dollar rally may end soon.

Global-View 14:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

If you are a "reasonably" experienced trader and would like to participate in our bi-weekly forex survey, send an email to [email protected] This is not meant to be a slight to our general membership but we are limiting participation as we develop this survey. We will consider a general survey after we build a history in this one.

Spr Noods 14:24 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I presume 1.7975 is 61.8 Fibo too cheers

London chippie 14:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
thanks HK !! baged 21 chickens (haha).....thats enough for now! and thank you GEP 4 those words of wisdom!! ---Dallas GEP 13:29 GMT August 24, 2004
AB, well if we wanted to play safe we wouldn't be trading FX!!!!

Spr Noods 14:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Pak Mas
I recall ur sharp view on Aussie b4 collapse
Shall monitor your Stg view terimakasih

am short from good levels

also heard some "beli" from Sth Asian name

Riga RIA 14:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
USDZAR expect holds abv 6.55 n break soon over 6.70 to 6.80 tgt...GL

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ready gbp/usd down again !! difficult to go above 1.7977 again.

Riga RIA 14:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Better than expected retail sales boosted PLN yesterday - with the data firming up the expectation of another rate hike.

EUR/PLN strengthened to 4.426 - 4.433 from 4.4646.Local buyers push EURPLN back to 4.4380, expect hold 4.42/4/45 now there- more attention to USDPLN.....EURHUF drop to 249 after failure 252.50, take long at 249.20 for 255 tgt , expect hold 248/252 now...GL

Riga RIA 14:19 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Better than expected retail sales boosted PLN yesterday - with the data firming up the expectation of another rate hike.

EUR/PLN strengthened to 4.426 - 4.433 from 4.4646.Local buyers push EURPLN back to 4.4380, expect hold 4.42/4/45 now there- more attention to USDPLN.....EURHUF drop to 249 after failure 252.50, take long at 249.20 for 255 tgt , expect hold 248/252 now...GL

Spr Noods 14:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GEP never use the term "chickens" esp in HK
Gets u into a lot of fun but the same time trouble

Sydney Alimin 14:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gold just made an olympic gold medal dive again?

Spr Noods 14:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
1.2095 was traded? so b4 or after this?

Riga RIA 14:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
. Rumour that an Asian central bank are bidding at 1.2100.

Goes (NL) B747 14:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY 193.20/- is the next target; with x days (not xx).

gt all

Spr Noods 14:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Bozo clowning with 1.7830-40 on Her Majesty
Tomorrow when the ringmaster screams?

GER ad 14:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 13:51 ,
Don't blame me this time, my trade is 33 pips on the money right now. I closed 1/2 at 1.58 and for the rest S/L moved at cost.

liverpool J 14:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
What is meant when they say take only 15 pips a day (in the Forex market) and call it a day. Surely you will have a losing streak where you make 0 that day?

Dallas GEP 14:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I would be happy with 30 chickens to tell you the truth

hk ab lazy 14:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
last one before leaving.....

Japanese are doing a lot of trades lately...Dr. Q has already kindly told us that they sold gold.
forexabcd: After gold, they must sell those long terms trade in carry-trades for Profit take..
forexabcd: It seems to my some gv members have overlooked their effect on fx.
forexabcd: these people are crazy. Their style of trading is: Control the direction of the mkt, not the levels.

london chippie 14:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
how many chickens we holding out for ???? got 16 already

hk ab lazy 14:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jk// quiet trades, have a good day and I am off screen now.

hk ab lazy 14:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gep// long cad every 5 pips down since 1.3039....

nyc jk 14:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab - $/cad is just back up to your entry level, dont count your chickens before they have hatched :)

hk ab lazy 14:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
if dlr/chf fails 1.2735, I would sell though.

Dallas GEP 14:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Not many chicken yet, AB, 7 to be exact!!! LOL

eur lg 14:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Just a feeling but to me it seems the quality/impact of the usd buying is weaker today than its been the last couple days. For me this does not suggest to jump in and sell usd but rather better protect if you have usd longs. Truth be known future direction (ie 1.1950 or return to 1.2300) will come with 1. the data later this week and 2. Fed speak come Friday. Having said that we know that the Fed will be cheering the economy on as best they can. Risk is if the data comes bad they suffer big time credibility gap.

Dallas GEP 14:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I see no one is bitching now, HUH??? LOL

Gen dk 14:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab lazy 14:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gep, how many chicken have you stolen on dlrcad?

As said, too many groups look for slaughter under 1.3.....

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd welcome 1.7904 or 1.7824 as the major bottom caused by broken of major resistant 1.7993.

houston st 14:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

US July existing home sales down 2.9% to 6.72 mln rate. (DJ)

hk ab lazy 14:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Keep an eye on yen crosses, they are the majors.

houston st 13:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

PETE -- welcome back...give us your fresh perspective on this goofy market...good trades.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd have changed from first rail to second rail.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
VIIES looks like you are doing well in these summer conditions. I was wondering what time frame you look at the BB to make your calculations if you don’t mind me asking. TIA

hk ab lazy 13:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
short eur/gbp .6740.

Calabash TarHeel 13:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander
G'Morning to you. All is well here. Really feel for those south of you. Had a small taste in 89. Waiting to see what the last wave to cime off the cape does in the coming week.
Trading, have two nzd/$ shorts working. Debating about adding another on a decent bounce if seen.
Heading to the beach soon. Have a great day.

GA TJ 13:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
It would not surprise me to see that the range has already been made for EURUSD thru NY close. Typically happens after large moves the day before.

hk ab lazy 13:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
shshshsh....

close gbp long for 2 pips...

GA TJ 13:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GEP, Then we will all blame AD if we lose on this trade. AD I hope yoiu are correct or you will have a large group of pissed off wolves nipping at your backside. LOL

Dallas GEP 13:49 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
TJ, ok just blame me, that;s fine, LOL Everybody else does!! LOL Actually, eur.cad is the contollring factor it seems Once it stops shorting, usd/cad should as well. I think AD was correct eur/cad SHOULD long from 1.5760 area

Tallinn viies 13:48 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
van don 13:30 GMT - sorry mate I dont understand what are saying.

average monthly move (hilo amplitude) is near 400 points per month during last 4 years (if I remember correctly.
I think last month it was 470 pip or so. nothing special.
usual summer markets where "sharks" want to test stops. one-side-other-side-one side-other side. business as usual.

I was saying bollinger band mid rate level crucial for testing extremes. at the moment downside as long as mid rate contains. cant move too far out of the band as it it statistically impossible at some stage .fwiw

hk ab lazy 13:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
so many groups looking for 1.3......

hk ab lazy 13:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
RF// news get too old.....

of course, big names can make use of this to kill lots of weak positions.

GA TJ 13:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:39 GMT August 24, 2004

Who's the leader of this wagon train?. got to have somebody to blame if the trade goes bad. Because I don't make bad trades on my own. LOL
Waiting for it to punch thru the 1.3005 area and turn back before entering.

Calabash TarHeel 13:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ, I'm not sure 1.30 will hold on the cad. I'm staying out to see if 1.2960/80 comes into play.
Good Luck

Sydney Alimin 13:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
where is B747, the stealing chicken master? :)

Dallas GEP 13:39 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
TJ, this ain't my chichen wagon!!! LOL.

HK [email protected] 13:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
WATCH FOR THE SHOW!!! If something will go wrong it willnot be supportive for the USD ! It's really a poker game.

NAJAF, Iraq (Reuters) - Iraqi security forces moved to within 400 yards of a holy shrine in Najaf on Tuesday, just hours after the government warned Shi'ite rebels inside they would be killed if they did not surrender.

"God willing, we'll be moving in tonight," a commander of one unit told Reuters, adding that around 500 Iraqi troops had been deployed to the area around the Imam Ali mosque, the first time government forces have entered the battle zone.

The advance was carried out by 50 servicemen and came after U.S. helicopters fired missiles and strafed militia positions in a cemetery that adjoins the mosque, where most of the Mehdi Army loyal to radical cleric Moqtada al-Sadr have holed up during a bloody three-week rebellion in the southern city.

A U.S. soldier guided the men in. They were shot at by Mehdi militiamen and returned fire.

"We are in the last hours. This evening, Iraqi forces will reach the doors of the shrine and control it and appeal to the Mehdi Army to throw down their weapons," Defense Minister Hazim al-Shalaan said at a U.S. army base outside Najaf.

"If they do not, we will wipe them out."

hk ab lazy 13:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
the pic of dlr/cad is similar to the nzd few days ago...

Dallas GEP 13:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
One more thing about Bollinger Bands. IF they are NOT running parallel to the graph...in other words say angling UP at 30-45 degree angles, THAT is a bullish sign or vice versa For instance, look at GBP/JPY 1 hour....the bottom bollinger band is angled DOWN at 40 degree angle or so so THAT is a BEARISH sign. Even tho price action is at or near bottom bollinger band

hk ab lazy 13:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jk// that's why play SAFE... :D

nyc jk 13:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
careful folks, that chicken wagon is en route to the slaughterhouse sub 1.30

GA TJ 13:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:31 GMT August 24, 2004
Am waiting for that goofy bird to take a bit of a header to 1.3005 area before I join your wagon train. Dive loonie dive!

hk ab lazy 13:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
wagon last call....

Dallas GEP 13:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
OK AD.....I was thinking 1.5780 but I will try lower level instead

Dallas GEP 13:31 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
OK I joined the stealing chickens wagon LONGED usd/cad. Eur/cad longs could work also

van don 13:30 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 12:06 GMT
I appreciate your explanation re the BB's. But I guess I didn't learn anything new, and that's probably just my failing to grasp it! While one might argue that the large moves over the last few weeks and days were 95% contained by the BB's, and that as price moved 150 pips or so down the inside wall of the Bollinger yesterday, that that slide was "conained", I sure wouldn't want to bet my shirt against a huge breakout with a 30 pip stop for example.

BB's have their usefulness of course but every trader needs more than one tool in his kit, because all indicators will fail fairly frequently. Thanks.

GER ad 13:30 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:18 ,
I will try at 1.5760/70.

Dallas GEP 13:29 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
AB, well if we wanted to play safe we wouldn't be trading FX!!!!

hk ab lazy 13:26 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
play safe though, gep.

st. pete islander 13:24 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
G'Morning, TarHeel. Just getting my head back into it. Small short in the Euro when London came to work. Most of this will be decided in September, IMVHO. High and dry so far. Terrible mess 100 miles south. Hope you are well. gt & gl

Dallas GEP 13:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Well AB, we are stealing chickens and heading NORTH correct???

hk ab lazy 13:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
steal chicken dlr/cad 1.3038.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Islander not 100% up to speed but trying to get the engines fired up for September. I hope you are doing well buddy. I still expect a bounce from eur/usd from here to unwind the intraday indicators. I believe there is no clear control as of yet on the eur/usd pair until the break out occurs which would make the month of September a good month to trade IMHO. GL GT

hk ab lazy 13:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ic, farmacia

Dallas GEP 13:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
AD, I think you are absolutely correct in your assessment. GREAT suggestion. Where would you long eur/cad from???

melbourne farmacia 13:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab - i'm not buying gbp yet.. more downside work to be done first.. IMO

Calabash TarHeel 13:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Islander
Great to see you and Omil out and about again. Looks as if we will be high and dry for the next 10 days or so. If you've had time to trade, hope they are going your way.

Take Care

st. pete islander 13:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning, OMIL .... glad to see you back at the helm. gt

Sydney Alimin 13:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
what a start for the week eh? plenty more action to come on thursday and friday....man, uncle greenie is in da house again this friday...he can beat any data just by saying few sentences

hk ab lazy 13:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
short some more dlr/jpy 109.90. IF price can't go above 110.30 tomorrow, many will liquidate...

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd has hit the support 1.2085-95 with a small bounce. Retracement numbers have changed at this time to 1.2160-65, 2205-15, 2240-45, 2270-75 and 2315-20 with intraday indicators trying to turn lower even in their O/S conditions. GL GT

GER ad 13:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
IMHO is less risk to long GBP, EUR, ... against CAD at 2.3450, 1.58... instead to long now against the USD. GT & GL

QB Swap 13:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Well feeling more pain now. still holding to Eur/Usd long. I'll probably average out later, but only after economic news.

Sydney Alimin 13:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
thinking of buying some gbp here too....

hk ab lazy 13:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
btw, thanks jf on eur advice.

hk ab lazy 12:59 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
buy some gbp 1.7976.

hk ab lazy 12:56 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
farmarcia, are you still holding the gb long? or u haven't taken it?

hk ab lazy 12:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
martin// I am happy enough with the aud/nzd long 1.0755 already....
over-trade is no good.
Time for a short break.

Gold Coast martin 12:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 12:44 GMT August 24, 2004
HK...a 6530 short today will seem like a great short by thursday..g/t

hk ab lazy 12:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
all those hedges exited.....

dlr/cad longs look promising.

IS it a fight between the bears/bulls on eur/jpy, aud/jpy, chf/jpy rather?

hk ab lazy 12:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd longs look nice.

Tallinn viies 12:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ok, we saw what NYC people think about euro today.
left take profit order to 1,2069. if filled plan to resell at 1,2150/60 level. if lower plan to start buying euros from 1,2020 to 1,1990 level for the move back 1,2210/20.
fwiw

slv sam 12:49 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
e/$ still within a range since early March. I expect the break outside the range to happen next month (Sep.).GT

DAK Tk 12:49 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:38 GMT August 24, 2004

Much appreciate your comments regarding Stgyen. Thanks.

hk ab lazy 12:48 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
closed eur short at 1.2105.
good enough.

Sydney Alimin 12:47 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
perfect day! gold also down...now will see where we close...a retracement is due for gbp i think, maybe tomorrow

london chippie 12:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
closed short gbp/usd @1.7955........money in the bank where it belongs !!!! GL & GT all!

Lndn Frnd 12:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
pls whre to place stop on chf short from 1.2685

hk ab lazy 12:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jf//my eur short is from 1.2160..

now trailed.
grabbed my dlr/chf long profit already for intra-day.

Hoping my dlr/jpy short could be filled.

hk ab lazy 12:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
martin// looks like a lot of spect on nzd has run....

sarasota jf 12:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
s/l ab - u cant sell at low levels must sell rally to around 30 - alot of shorts in this market at moment

hk ab lazy 12:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jf// just curious to ask if you have seen some movement on dlr/jpy suspicious?

hk m 12:41 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
when (?) is usdjpy going to follow suit?

Gold Coast martin 12:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Next barrier for euro breach is 12080....for aud 7045 if it stays above 7080...this fall is ahead of my systems timeframe...at this rate we may get to projected 12020 and 7020 by thursday instead of end of trading friday....thats after a slight retracement.....nzd still a good short at current levels...g/t

Dallas GEP 12:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
RE: GBP/JPY has a quirk in that approximately every 60 pips you find resistance and support points. For example 198.19 was resistance and if you noticed it shorted down initially to 197.60 and bounced but then went back thru 197.60 and most likely will see 197.00 area with potential bounce from there, This is why it also is a good idea to TP on 50-60 pips. This is also why it takes pretty wide stops to keep possie in, While this pair can be VERY profitable, it is probably one of the most dangerous pairs on the board. Some of us refer to it (improperly, I am sure!!!) as a racehorse due to it's movements, Generally you do not and can not ride it for long. Overall BIAS is short. MOST should NOT trade this pair. If you do use smaller lot sizes to allow for wider stops. AT times it technically is unchartable.

hk ab lazy 12:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
revdax, macau never miss.

hk ab lazy 12:31 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
closed the chf for 65 pips, let the eur short run.

pd cumino 12:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR USD. There are substantial differences between now and the previous Jul 19 EUR drop from highs. While option market was more or less the same, apart a little more flattening, margin pos. and also the less reliable IMM were different, though they were long. Now are quite large, even after yesterday, and you have to go to DEC 03 to see something similar. The other interesting fact (at least for me, not sure for many) was that medium termers were rather short than long at that time, when they were compared to their average, and indeed they provided in the following days/weeks a good demand, during all the EUR drop. Now on the contrary they are caught already long, and in relative terms very long. Not pain for now at these levels, and perhaps there will not be, but who knows later, should EUR dip furtherly.
Another difference was in economic sentiment, either general US e.s. or US/Europe. At that time it was more optimistic on US, thus eventual good news were taken in a softer manner, now are in very pessimistic mode, thus should be more sensible to good US surprises.
Other measures, credit, liquidity, and risk aversion are similar to that time. Either 10 or 2 spreads aren’t too much different.

Finally regard to another argument JPY margin pos are very short. Last time I saw those levels was at beginning of March. (Those pos. aren’t usually well reflected by IMM). FWIW.

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 12:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony 10:38 GMT August 24, 2004

Where were u @ 0.88 to give us ur Lights??(LOL!)

Anyway
Market is here and GL..

Looking to Go Long again..
*!*nk*!*


Tallinn viies 12:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 10:36 - not yet. 1,2166 high so far

Tallinn viies 12:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 10:23 GMT - hard to tell because I wouldnt short here if this would be my only position. Im short from last week and as I covered half yesterday, I want to establish it again near my last traded level.
I have near 200 points in my back pocket to survive...

Tallinn viies 12:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
pd cumino 09:57 GMT - seems august mess has got you

Dublin Flip 12:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
"Win" is a funny word to use in advertising investment/trading advice.
I guess if uncle Al likens FX to coin-tossing maybe it's closer to the truth though-LOL

Tallinn viies 12:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
van don 09:42 GMT - bollinger bands calculated by using a standard deviation either side of the moving average. basically 2 standard deviations statistically contains 95% of price action.

bollinger bands are sometimes very usefull tools. if price moves from one extreme above or below mid average then it will most likely test other extreme. also rule that if price close outside the band it is most likely will move the price in the same direction as long as moving average not penetrated again. so, yesterday we fell under middle average of the bollinger band and immideatley rush toward lower band.

most likely you have heard about normal distribution at school. at some stage statistic says with probability 99,0% or 99,9% probability that prices will stay in certain range. thats why I said euro cant fall too far below bollinger band. it is just staistically almost impossible.

DAK TK 12:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Any GBP/JPY views? TIA

Sofia EC 12:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Welcome to our forex forecasting and trade recommendation service ! It will help you to win money on the Forex market. Join the group and receive FREE daily forex forecasts for USD, EUR, GBP, CHF and JPY. Click here:
http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/Daily_Forex_Forecasts/

Sydney Alimin 11:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
looks like some euro buying going on here?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad (1.3039)
1.3039 - 1.2927 - 1.3161 - 1.3082 - 1.3302 - ?
nice if we draw this ride.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ok, aud/usd have get 0.7079 and now give buying reaction.
seen price follow first railway scenario.

Ldn 11:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Long aud 7085 s/l at cost

GER ad 11:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY long,
closed 1/2 at 133.37 and moved S/L for the rest at cost.

egypt 11:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
i want more site recommenditation plz

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM 10:06 GMT August 24, 2004
thanks for your share.
I will think about your number and will be aplicated to my forcast sytem.
once more ..thanks

Gaza Ibiza 11:31 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Egypt, athens is one of the contributers here runs an quality service...trendways.com his site check it out ...

egypt 11:28 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
is there any one deal with a good site for recommendadtion
i want a good site plz

Sofia rocco 11:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
usd index is again near 89.40/90.00 resistance zone. Seems that 87/90 range will continue before going to low 80's

QC Swap 11:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Still holding on to my long EUR/USD

GER ad 11:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 133.12 S/L under 132.75

ROM rok 11:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
BAT BVI 10:36 GMT August 24, 2004
The rules of this forum don`t allow me to blame a sponsor. But..believe me ... try another one .

malang kyai profit 11:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I'm ready for buy gbp/usd @ 1.8070 for 1.8140 SL 1.8020.

Ldn 10:58 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Large sell order of EUR500M from one European bank goes through EUR/USD

BAT BVI 10:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ROM rok 10:48 GMT August 24, 2004
BAT BVI 10:36 GMT August 24, 2004
Nope!Definitely no...

Why is that Sir? what problem did you have with them? i am thinking of opening an account with them this week.

ROM rok 10:48 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
BAT BVI 10:36 GMT August 24, 2004
Nope!Definitely no...

christchurch cam 10:45 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
BAT BVI re: censored - they have slipped my entry stops (hugely a few times, esp at NFP release) and the platform is slow - can use either windows and/or web based. tax free though... can try a mini for USD500

Barcelona Tony 10:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
saloniko nk .... 1.2140 on daily colsing or intraday? haha ... we hit 1.2117 overnight plus that bullish divergence in usd/cad (daily) targeting 1.33+++++++++++++ makes me think your 1.40 should be read : 1.10 guess you mistyped there mate ... same applies to EU Zorro ...

hk ab lazy 10:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
trailed the dlr/chf long from 1.2670.

BAT BVI 10:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Is there anyone here trading with G C I financial? Is it a good company? i need your comments. thnx

hk ab lazy 10:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
viies// did you catch your eur short entry?

live long c9 index.....

ldn//welcome back with your persistent effort on news...

Ldn 10:33 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
The reversal in oil prices isn't necessarily bad news for commodity currencies. Goldman Sachs points out they're not all equally sensitive to oil and shifts in interest rate expectations play a big part. With commodity currency central banks set to preserve a tightening bias, the likes of NZD, AUD and CAD should be underpinned against falling oil prices
AP.

Sydney Alimin 10:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 08:51 GMT August 24, 2004

may i ask where will you put your stop loss for the second euro short portion of yours at 1.2169?

GVI Jay 10:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast. Could you contact me pls. Tks

Philadelphia caba 10:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
NYC PCM , thanks, expecting tp at 1.2045, using 1:2 r-r ratio but don't know if s/l at 1.2180 will be enought for up correction..sorry about english, originally from Czech rep.

Gold Coast martin 10:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...For traders that have missed on shorting nzd at 67-66 levels the current level of 6550-6560 still represents good value for a short....g/t

NYC PCM 10:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia

that depends entirely on your time frame and profit objectives.

NYC PCM 10:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia solo

Whilst not a trader of the gold mkt I see us as projecting down to around 354 from here in a wave 3 down from the april high (having just completed a corrective wave up).

Philadelphia caba 10:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
good morning! short EUR/USD but have no idea where set s/l for today...please help, thanks.

eur lg 10:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
While its always possible moves like we've seen in eur/usd the last couple days leaves the market in a "hung" position, perhaps its noteworthy that the moves both days were initiated in the european trading session. These flows appear to be largely absent today (at least for the moment).

Syd 10:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
OIL $45.80

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:59 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Los angeles, ss
gbp/usd now still not yet clear to buy, better sell and cut switch when touch 1.7993.
I must off now.
bye..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Gold (made when at 406.25)
Up move pattern to get target 419.60 is on the wedge pattern to get correction soon. Probability correction to get 395.50 for daily candle formation is objective now. Level 395.50 is the danger level because very ideal to invite buyres in action to get 419.60 except 419.60 be touched early. If 419.60 be touched early, that’s mean 395.50 is not important number and easy to pass.

Railway scenario :
406.50 – 409.60 – 407.00 – 417.55 – 415.20 – 419.60 - ?

pd cumino 09:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
At a first glance here seems that the very important points in EUR USD are for now: 1,2225,1,2200,1,2185,1,2177,1,2170,1,2160,1,2150,1,2140,
1,2130,1,2122,1,2090,1,2080.
I'm a little anxious because lack 1.2210, 1.2110 and 1.2100.


NYC PCM 09:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
EYR/USD

Beginning to get some divergence with these fractional new highs

nyc jk 09:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nyc nyc 08:55 GMT August 24, 2004
the most frequent user of "QDN" is also the most frequent posting quacking duck on the forum. it's like the old poker saying, if you've been in the poker game for 15 minutes and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy! gl

van don 09:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Tallin viies 07:00 GMT. "...for now we near lower bollinger band, which of course doesn't matter, euro can't move lower...can't move too far under bollinger".

I'm hoping to discover some real gem of wisdom behind these words which I haven't seen anyone else comment on yet. Can you tell us what's different between the boll. bands today and yesterday when price blew through the bands quite comfortably and forcefully? I ask because I can use a little more education re this particular indicator. TIA

hk ab 09:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
adjust dlr/jpy short limit to 110.25 see ya all ny later.

PAR 09:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
European interest rates are too low leading to replacing labor by capital. En plus since european consumers hate to buy on credit they have to save more because of too low interest rates and most of the european pension funds are in trouble due to too low interest rates.Unfortunately european burocrats and central bankers do not need to save for their lavish pension plans paid by european tax payers so they do not understand the mechanism of compound interest rates.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy (made when 109.79)
Price pattern have signed will go to get first layer top target at 110.24. If that level be broken and show you 110.30, this case mean give us message that chart will go to second layer top at 110.66 (minor).Middle pattern to catch 110.89 still objective until now. Shoot distance maximal high from lately pattern is 111.15 as the top extreme. Down pattern to get 109.35 seen have little time now.But if 109.35 be touched ,high probability price will wake up to go higher so fast. Daily candle pattern still be capped on the oscilation target from 109.09 till 110.89, but to go 110.89 will meet strong resistant at 110.24.
Railway scenario :
1. 109.79 – 110.24 – 109.21 – 110.66 – 110.89 – 110.52 - ?
2. 109.79 – 109.37 – 110.24 – 109.65 – 110.66 – 110.89 – 110.52-?

egypt 09:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
eur jpy
oversold on it

Syd 09:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Iraq Min: Najaf Crisis To Be Resolved By Dawn Wed - CNN

Los Angeles ss 09:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
How do you see gbp at this level? Thanks for your input.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 09:00 GMT August 24, 2004
yes, I am here.
what happen?

hk ab 09:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud short limit around 1.7180

hk ab 09:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
next move should be a eur/xxx show more than eur/usd...

hk ab 09:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
SFX//Maybe, T.A. is for fine tunning and Psycho is the major direction, GT.

egypt 09:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
gen dk
what this indicators
i want the site of this indicators
iwant to subcribe plz

NYC PCM 09:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Morning All

EUR/USD

Just got a wake up alarm as we hit 1.2160. Loking for a divergence to get short on somehwere up here.

saloniko 2004 nk 09:06 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
My last post mean that :

Might is not Good idea to trust so soon $"s


nk

saloniko 2004 nk 09:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
saloniko 2004 nk...1.40+++ 11:32 GMT July 20, 2004
Good Morning..


Euro : as long we stay above 1.2140/50 ..i like it..
$/CHF ...as long is under 1.27++ ..i like it for under 1.20

GL..
GT..
By
nk

Singapore Sfx 09:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab - Whats the diff between tech analysis and trying to understand the psychology of the market ? tia

Los Angeles ss 09:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
raden mas, are you still there?

hk ab 08:59 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nyc//This indicator is well used by Revdax, respected and cheap......

T.A. is read but psychology of mkt is also important. GL.
I don't mind.

nyc nyc 08:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ok ab , i think you use the forum like a blog site and usually provide a running commentary of proceedings. i like your posts when you post a logic to them but usually you just post a thot or a effort at making the c9's or whatever you call them look stupid. straight enuff ?

hk ab 08:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
btw, aud breaks .71 earlier than I expected.

Tallinn viies 08:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Ldn guys have been trying for 2 hours already. euro still cant reach even my first sell level..
good sell interest must still preveil.
order still stands at 1,2169

hk ab 08:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nyc//say it straight plz.

hk ab 08:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
jf// I only have taken dlr/chf long, dlr/cad long, aud/nzd long and gb long at the moment.....

It's really something about very very sophisticated psychology... I hear many voices saying chf will retrace today....

nyc nyc 08:49 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab , do u learn anything from the forum ever ??

Gen dk 08:47 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

berkeley jp 08:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I am looking for historical forex data in 5 or ten minute charts for at least the last 6 months. Does anyone know where I can get this online for free? Thanks

sar jf 08:43 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab - u dont have to make it all in one day

hk ab 08:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
saw some c9 short dlrchf...
place dlr/chf long limit 1.2670.

egypt 08:31 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
good luck mr las

LAS 08:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
seemed to me uptrend might be turning... 15 min uptrend broken 2 bars ago. macd shows major divergence so to me thought it was a good trade. i am just gettting back into trading so i am after 20 pips. hope i get it :) good luck to everyone here

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:26 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Aud/usd
made when price 0.7097
Until now price pattern still capped in the oscilation move from 0.7061-0.7145 or 0.7162. When price move on that oscilation way seen resistant at 0.7179 and potential to invite buying reaction from there when price on the way to get 0.7061. If price move out of that oscilation and show you 0.7050 that’s mean high possibility price will go to 0.7013 as the bottom target intraday and make chart will go to finish weekly pattern with target low band at 0.6940. If the fact 0.6940 be touched, that’s mean weekly oscilation give high probability go to the top target at 0.7486. Low target oscilation is 0.6940 will be objective with age only 89 weeks from now. For now high probability price will go to top weekly target 0.7486 early.
Railway scenario :
1. 0.7097 – 0.7079 – 0.7162 – 0.7064 - ?
2. 0.7097 – 0.7064 – 0.7162 - ?
3. 0.7097 – 0.7013 – 0.7112 -?

hk ab 08:24 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy deep trouble, important support needed to be guarded..

buy some contra? hm...

hk ab 08:24 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
if not shorting dlr/jpy, eur/jpy could be an even better choice.

egypt 08:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hi las
i think usd jpy is uptrend
Strategy: Buy at 109.80 Target 110.90 Stop at 109.60

hk ab 08:14 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
eur/aud will retrace a good level to ignite the dive......

LAS 08:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I just shorted the usd/yen at 109.82... any comments on it??? i am a fairly short term trader. thanks for any input anyone gives

hk ab 07:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
nt// thanks. will you long gold?

All the clouds are clear? IF that's the case, feel sympathy on ldn....

eur lg 07:56 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
As Fed takes on the role of head cheerleader, position adjustment makes life difficult for those holding a fundemntal view. Oil eases, stocks short cover, bonds come off, and everyone thinking the usd is a fundamentally weak currency is given lesson in complacency is not a good thing.

From current levels I'd be tempted to think that without 24 hour follow through of usd strength, these levels (1.2050-1.2150) look attractive to medium term usd bears, and asian central banks that were sellers from above.

hk ab 07:53 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Revdax// I just wonder how DID you figure the blast. mind to share?

Don't tell me C9's index ;)

hk ab 07:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Kevin//welcome back to this fx-roller coaster....
At this moment, japs dominate all the moves!

GL and GT.

ac// Good job and calm mind ;)

Syd 07:51 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Yard+ 110.00 Expiry NY

egypt 07:46 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
can i short eur usd @2200
and i think the trend is downtrend

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hello...
I am still bussy to type aud/usd view
be carefull when touch 0.7079 !!thinking about 0.7148 and 0.7162 as the target top.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:40 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf
made when at 1.2700
caused by broken of top target 1.2603, high probability price will go up to get 1.2741 as the major top target. From 1.2741 Forcasted price pattern will get selling action soon for corection to get target 1.2514. On the way to get corection target at 1.2514 will get resistant at 1.2607 or 1.2565 again. Price pattern movement seen on the danger pattern to get selling attack.The conclusion that the price pattern will get corection soon.
1. 1.2700 – 1.2741 - 1.2616 – 1.2665 – 1.2577 - ?
2. 1.2700 – 1.2607 – 1.2741 – 1.2469 – 1.2557 – 1.2413 - ?

Los Angeles ss 07:35 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Raden Mas.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:34 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd
made when 1.2144
caused by broken of key band 1.2182-1.2176, price seen will go to 1.2121-1.2115 as the low target daily candle formation. Be predicted from area 1.2121-1.2115 buying actin will come from there to get target 1.2240-1.2297 in this week. Ideally price touch early 1.2121-1.2115 before corection come. Forcast of buying action will touch 1.2280-1.2297. Be carefull when price touch 1.2280 that's mean probability selling action will show from that level.
Forcasted railway scenario :
1. 1.2144 – 1.2173 – 1.2121 – 1.2225/55 -?
2. 1.2144 – 1.2199 – 1.2121 – 1.2280 - ?
3. 1.2144 – 1.2121/15 – 1.2185 -1.2160 – 1.2208 - ?

melbourne farmacia 07:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 07:16 GMT August 24, 2004
No idea as yet for Gbp - would like to buy sub 1.8000...
Euro - chop chop stop run once again..
Aud - not going to comment on this.. GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:28 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 07:13 GMT August 24, 2004
Made when 1.8059
caused by broken of level 1.8104, that's mean chart will go to 1.7993 as the major bottom from TA. Be predicted when price stay/touch 1.7993 buying reaction will come so emotional to shoot middle term target 1.8365 as the top. But if 1.7993 be broken, high probability price will catch 1.7824 as the major bottom. Predicted movement of GBp/usd have given buy signal to trigger buying action , to catch corection target. On the way to shoot 1.8365, price pattern will meet resistant at 1.8201 and 1.8299.
Railway scenario
1. 1.8059 – 1.7993 – 1.8159 – 1.8095 – 1.8201 – 1.8099 – 1.8299 –1.8180 - 1.8365-?
2. 1.8059 – 1.7993 – 1.8201 – 1.8365/77 - ?
3. 1.8059 – 1.7993 – 1.8201 – 1.8497 - ?
4. 1.8059 – 1.8159 – 1.7993 – 1.8090 – 1.8159 - ?

china 07:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
"Hereunder are forecasted highs and lows and suggested buy and sell points for Aug 24h, 2004 based on the trends observed on daily charts.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Currency Forecated Lows Forecasted Highs Suggested buy and sell points Suggested Stops Forecasted lows and highs of this week

0 DINIW 88.50 89.40 87.00 / 90.12
1 RUD/USD 1.2080 1.2260 sell 1.2260 1.2195 1.2220/ 1.2450
2 GBP/USD 1.7950 1.8200 sell 1.8180 1.8220 1.7950/ 1.8280
3 AUD/USD 0.7055 0.7200 sell 0.7190 0.7230 0.7050/ 0.7220
4 USD/CHF 1.2600 1.2740 sell 1.2600 1.2550 1.2550/ 1.2800
5 USD/CAD 1.3000 1.3100 1.2820 / 1.3100
6 USD/JPY 109.20 110.50 sell 110.50 110.90 109.00/ 111.00

his information is for reference only. Please keep in mind that you and you alone are responsible for your own trades and for the maintenance of stop loss entries at levels you can afford. In order to help preserve trading capital, it is suggested that when prices move in your favour by 30 points, you change your stop to a breakeven position.
My QQ number is : 30963505,. Please feel free to contact me.
Good luck to everybody!!
E-mail: [email protected]
http://www.678678.com/bbs/index.asp
Yours sincerely,
Yinzi







KL KL 07:16 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia, when you say something good do you mean going up or down for gbp? Got some during the AUg 16 period but chicken out after Aug 17....there is a lot of dis-connect at the moment with almost everything...that means big boys are playing us Poor. How about Eur and aud....all looks a bit bearish to me yet the carry trade is something I cannot discount....rather dangerous trading this few days!!
gl gt

Los Angeles ss 07:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- your thoughs on GBP at this point?

hong kong nt 07:11 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
AB -- for today, i guess, as long as XAU>405, EUR>1.210...

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hello.. good morning !!
hello Indonesia Solo Raden Mas Cloning !!!

Spr Noods 07:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
a good piece? at least I think so

London MJM 01:32 GMT August 24, 2004
Shanghai bc // I have been reading yr posts on China and you are obviously bullish. Everybody is expecting a strong re-activation of chinese imports in September-October. Look at the BDI shipping index, etc. This seems to be in contradiction with other indicators. Korea & Taiwan exports are getting sluggish. US GDP is correcting down fm 1st to 2nd quarter. What keeps US floating in its comsumption exhuberance is the buying of US bonds by private investors and central banks, buffering an USD devaluation. The US is close to a 5.1% of GDP in indebtness, if I recall, just before the crash of 1987, the US had abt 3,7%?
If the US starts seriously raising interest rates, which wld cool down oil prices & their housing bubble, it should automatically cool down the chinese economy.Do you agree?

melbourne farmacia 07:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 06:39 GMT August 24, 2004
Odds suggest we see something good wednesday for Gbp... don't have DJIA figures with me.. Did u buy within my 16 Aug period ? and one account sold & holding last friday... intraday holding from spike low. GT


Tallinn viies 07:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!
hows life? surviving :)
good, lets continue from where we stoped.
SELLING euros on every uptick is still my best idea for today.
although yesterdays move lower was a bit quicker what was expected and for now we near lower bollinger band. which of course doesnt matter euro cant move lower :)
todays target to keep bulls in pain is 1,2060/70 area.
maximum low today I can see is 1,2010/20 because it cant move too far under bollinger.
anyway, selling near 1,2165/75 area would be reachable. if we dont reach that then of course orders must be brought lower. lets see.
first order to add short positins stands at 1,2169 right now.
good luck

London 06:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
You mis-understood me Spr. My question was what piece here you like. Which piece captures the market better? It cant be that tuff to choose one .

Spr Noods 06:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I tell you its flake U tell me whats so good? Ldn
Each level is always Asian at the bid or on the offer?
1.2120-10 is the 61.8% Fibonacci...this "journalist" is smart enough to make it pitched as a bid
Fact is we see stops building up on the downside
U need to be a Ripley to believe these guys all the time

Spr Noods 06:44 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I tell you its flake U tell me whats so good? Ldn
Each level is always Asian at the bid or on the offer?
1.2120-10 is the 61.8% Fibonacci...this "journalist" is smart enough to make it pitched as a bid
Fact is we see stops building up on the downside
U need to be a Ripley to believe these guys all the time

KL KL 06:39 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia, G'DAY...any news on turn date for gbpusd and the dow?? What are you possie now. tia

HK Byron 06:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab// yes, dlrjpy... i have different image in my chart, may be talk with you later in YIM...

Bangkok bkk 06:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab// Yes, I agree with you on this:
"Some crosses movement will bring us prettier level to sell eur".

Let 's hope we could get a very attractive level to sell euro.

For now, I still holding short gbp/usd and long usd/jpy since yesterday NY session.

melbourne farmacia 06:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab - Lots of daily fluff cycles... but nothing to worry about until next week... big picture is more important.

London 06:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, that was was Spr.

London 06:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
So what in your opinion is a good piece ?

Haifa ac 06:16 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
London MJM 01:32 GMT August 24, 2004
Shanghai bc // "...The US is close to a 5.1% of GDP in indebtness, if I recall, just before the crash of 1987, the US had abt 3,7%?"...//
I usully gloss over such nonesense writings, but this time I will make an exception
1987 was a CRASH? Are you out of your mind? have you looked at the yearly chart--it was a HIGHER HIGH-HIGHER LOW and HIGHER CLOSE. The 1987 WASHOUT was the SIGNAL FOR THE BIGGEST BULL MARKET IN THE HISTORY OF MANKIND and the market made sure that AS FEW AS POSSIBLE DUMB TRADER JOIN AT THE BOTTOM!
Dow jones since 1982 (reagan productivity revolution) NEVER MADE A LOWER LOW on the YEARLYCHART for 18 years.

According to you if we are in a similar phase like 19887-that means we are in front of another 13 year of VERTICAL MOVE in EQUITIES.

BETTER THINK BEFORE YOU WRITE!


HK Kevin 06:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, how is your trading? I just came back from a long summer holiday last Sat.

Spr Noods 06:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Cuper but really what's so good about the piece?

hk ab 05:31 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
byron// the dlr/jpy move is way overdue....so it's with my strong conviction on the south....unless 115 breaks.

hk ab 05:29 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
martin// nice calls on aud and nzd.
I caught some long aud/nzd on your view. Thanks.

hk ab 05:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
wow, so much flip and turn moving this morning during my busy meeting.
bkk// yes! but I would prefer to sell a bit higher and I concur to Martin's view. Some crosses movement will bring us prettier level to sell eur.

My added long cad was so scary... "news-sensitive currency".

Byron//Are you refering to dlr/jpy?
farmacia//Have your worked on eur next cycle day done? THANKS!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 05:15 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I hope you are right about that Martin it would be a nice spot to reload the short position and the first retracement number on eur/usd as I am looking for 1.2050 as the next limit. GL GT

Cuper 05:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Martin, Thanks a lot for your nice explanation.

Gold Coast martin 05:01 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
..FWIW..shorting will be safer in eu/usd,aud/usd and nzd/usd pairs after wednesday....g/t

Dallas GEP 05:00 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
WEll TJ I g=have been wrong about everything else today EXCEPT usd/cad. so that figures RE: eur/aud!!! LOL

Gold Coast martin 04:54 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Good afternoon....The euro may have re-discovered its downward bias but be aware before confirming this downward trend there is one more kick in the lig=fe of the euro before descending further south...look for an upward move from 12150 to 12225 to occur by end of ny trading wednesdsay...as fars as aud and kiwi as previously posted aud after a breather at the 7115-7145 level will descend to 7020 level by end of this week..the kiwi as posted before many times will shed more than any other commodity currency in its downward path...after a brief period of trading between 6585-6620 until end of ny trading wednesday look for a descend to the 6450-6475 level by end of ny trading on friday...Should above time frames prove correct as i posted 2 months ago euro will confirm long downtrend on its way to parity or 110 by 31st of december..aud on its way to .57 by 31st of december and nzd .5150..we have all talked about it before but with the end of summer approaching the signs are starting to appear and materialise..if you are an intraday trader trade the dips as there will be a lot more of downward movement with less minimum upward correction...if you a long term position trader just dont get caught on the wrong side of the fence....good trades to all bulls and bears.....

Cuper 04:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Anyone has some comments on the news ? Thanks

Cuper 04:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Anyone has some comments on the news ? Thanks

Cuper 04:52 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   

[EUR/USD] seems to be supported by the good orders around 1.2130-20 with some players talking about Asian interests. Technical points are not reliable for this pair as the Eur/Jpy and Eur/Gbp are giving influences on the headline flows. There are some more bid interests towards 1.2100, and stops as well, but main orders are to the topside that are from long players who missed to join the overnight decline. Basically the Eur/Usd will always feel the pressures of the Eur/Jpy.

Dallas GEP 04:48 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
USD/CADS shorts limited out at BE 1.3040

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
I do not have an intraday buy signal for eur/usd yet but I am compelled to believe that the support will hold for now. Intraday indicators are finally beginning to turn now that the 1.2120-30 support has a hold on the bear progress. I have retracement numbers as long as support holds like this 1.2220-25, 2250-55 and 2280-85. Resistance now is around 1.2175-85, 2210-20, 2250-60 and 2290-2300 for now. Support is 1.2085-95, (bottom of pennant) 2030-40, and 2000-1990. The major support for now is 1.1970-80. Pivot resistance is 1.2265, 2387 and 2455. Pivot support is 2075, 2007 and 1885. It is sell on resistance failures at this time for this pair IMHO. GL GT

Chicago goofy 04:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Hi folks, Would it be a better time to long USD around 6AM today? I dont want to miss the train. Thanks

Bangkok bkk 04:08 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 02:50 GMT

ab// Confirmed, A.S. still buying USD against other MAJOR currency pairs(including Australiasian pairs) today. It started yesterday NY trading session. It is expected to continue until the end of the week.

GL.

melbourne farmacia 04:05 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Just don't be caught out Selling to low... GT

Syd 04:03 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY target 110.20 resistance, then 110.50. EUR/USD hit 1.2120 solid break below 1.2120 to pave way for test of 1.2050

HK Byron 03:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 02:50// why don't think in the other way? It's not wise to keep single view in mind...

Medellνn JD 03:38 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Que pasa cuando no me salen los graficos, que debo hacer

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
London MJM//
A major USA crash would indeed cool off the China econ in so far as their big export target (the USA) would be diminished in buying power. However China, if wise, already has diversified it's exports to a world wide consortium of clients. A bashed USA econ likely won't happen now as it would also have a rumbling effect on Europe, Taiwan, Japan and South America since they all ship to the USA. I therefore think ANYTHING and EVERYTHING would be done to prevent any USA crash, no holds barred.

The Fed has a loaded gun full of interest rate bullets and insufficient safety training. Accidents can happen. Sorry Charlie.

Calabash TarHeel 03:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Since nothing is moving, closing cad long + 2 pips, calling it a night.
Good Luck, back in the am.

hk ab 02:50 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
maybe the dlr/jpy 110.30 can't hold the next thrust.... right now, there's a stop sells under 109.80....

Calabash TarHeel 02:29 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 02:23 GMT August 24, 2004
If your still here, tool for s/r. Suggest you save it to your hard drive.

http://www.stelaronline.com/resource/pivot.htm

CA Clouy 02:23 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 01:55 GMT August 24
TarHeel//That would be great. TIA. GL & GT, and Good night.

Sydney Alimin 02:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
if cable can close below 1.81 today, it is very bearish targetting may low

Calabash TarHeel 01:55 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 01:37 GMT August 24, 2004
You might want to consider adding in some Ema's, BB's and using 4 hr and daily charts to determine potential s/r points. For Fibo figures there is a free tool on the forum and if you need, I can give you a link for a free s/r tool.
Good Luck

CA Clouy 01:37 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 01:10 GMT August 24, 2004
Thanks a lot, TJ. I read some books and have studied on MACD&slow stoch since the beginning, 'cuz lots of ppl told me they are the best. However, i've found they are not enough/right sometimes and am trying to find the remedy. Hmm, ta is hard.
GL & GT

London MJM 01:32 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc // I have been reading yr posts on China and you are obviously bullish. Everybody is expecting a strong re-activation of chinese imports in September-October. Look at the BDI shipping index, etc. This seems to be in contradiction with other indicators. Korea & Taiwan exports are getting sluggish. US GDP is correcting down fm 1st to 2nd quarter. What keeps US floating in its comsumption exhuberance is the buying of US bonds by private investors and central banks, buffering an USD devaluation. The US is close to a 5.1% of GDP in indebtness, if I recall, just before the crash of 1987, the US had abt 3,7%?
If the US starts seriously raising interest rates, which wld cool down oil prices & their housing bubble, it should automatically cool down the chinese economy.Do you agree?

wisconsin tim 01:27 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
selling USD/CAD here shooting for 1.3000->1.2955

Goes (NL) B747 01:26 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 01:18 GMT August 24, 2004

JGB 20yr data within minutes, looks like no babysitting :-)

gt

GA TJ 01:18 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
FWIW GBPJPY on my system just flashed a Sell signal. I am not going to participate because I don't fell like babysitting the thing all night.

Calabash TarHeel 01:17 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 01:10 GMT August 24, 2004
Hello TJ, I'm thinking $/cad should find pretty solid support 1.2990/3010. If not, oh well!
Good Luck

nyc jk 01:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
you $/cad buyers not putting any weight into the BOC comments that came out a little while ago?

Syd 01:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel agree got a order around that figure

Gen dk 01:12 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Calabash TarHeel 01:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
fwiw: Small long $/cad 1.3040/ s/l below 1.30 t/p open.

GA TJ 01:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
CA Clouy 00:42 GMT August 24, 2004

Something to consider on USDCAD. Draw a hor line at 1.3005 area. It was Res for a while then turned to Sup. Now do a Fibo of the latest move. The 61.8% comes in at the same general area. Trend lines and Fibo's are not my specialty. If they can be messed up I will find a way. However when you have a few of these things in the same area I will pay attention to them. For my money i will buy any strength in that area.

Calabash TarHeel 01:07 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Syd 00:59 GMT August 24, 2004
IMHO aud may be good for a 30/40 pip bounce around .7080/90.
gl,gt

Quebec Swap 01:04 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Well still holding my long EUR/USD. I suspect that 1.2130 will hold and we'll see 1.2200 before any further fall.

Syd 00:59 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin Nothing below to hold Aud from here

SF MRZ 00:57 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
anybody having trouble with forex data feeds, my has been out from on of my provider. Good thing I have backup.

CA Clouy 00:42 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hk ab//may i know whether you include MACD in ur ta system? The hourly usd/cad chart shows down trend. ima just curious and want to learn. TIA. GL & GT.

Sydney Alimin 00:41 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
well, finally aud has dropped too, gravity works :)

GA TJ 00:36 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
GEP,
Here is the Bill I told you I would send. You are recieving this because you did not offer encouragement on the EURAUD I mentioned around noon est. I said I was going to long the thing. And you provided zip, nada, zero, nill, null, squat for encourage. Its up 100 pips. You will recieve a bill for a 100 pips, due upon reciept.

LOL. sometimes I should throw caution to the wind and have faith in my system.

Goes (NL) B747 00:25 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5800223/

maybe about time to trade faster ???

gt

GA TJ 00:22 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
Just checked the charts. My Long USDCAD stop got smashed for 30 pips profit. Swissy, well what can I say. That son of a gun just doesn't want to drop. Which of course is good for my long. Don't anticipate any new positions tonight due to lack of interest and desire to watch charts.

wisconsin tim 00:21 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ranges for tomorrow

see web page for details

Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
8/23/2004 AUDUSD 0.7164 0.7087 0.7261 0.7062
8/23/2004 EURGBP 0.6739 0.6696 0.6807 0.6696
8/23/2004 EURUSD 1.2194 1.2092 1.2352 1.2074
8/23/2004 EURYEN 134.06 132.72 134.93 132.61
8/23/2004 GBPUSD 1.8153 1.7981 1.8235 1.7981
8/23/2004 GBPYEN 199.46 197.50 199.80 197.17
8/23/2004 NDZUSD 0.6666 0.6583 0.6772 0.6571
8/23/2004 USDCAD 1.3116 1.3003 1.3126 1.2919
8/23/2004 USDCHF 1.2759 1.2628 1.2782 1.2468
8/23/2004 USDYEN 110.37 109.32 110.27 108.76

hk ab 00:13 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
long cad 1.3054

hk ab 00:10 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
the dlr/jpy will be a much longer term trade to look for 104-106 target by end of Sept.

Prague JV 00:09 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
ab/ what is yourm target plz.? tia

hk ab 00:02 GMT August 24, 2004 Reply   
hopefully 110.30-50 can be reached....
if not, take 110.

 




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