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Forex Forum Archive for 08/27/2004

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GER ad 22:08 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 21:54 GMT,
Don't worry Jim "Tried Tested Trusted" will open on Sunday like all other more or less with 1.2010 ...
Have a nice weekend.

Bruxville Jim 21:54 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Tried Tested Trusted... lol
Let's see what Sunday open brings...

Bruxville Jim 21:40 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
FWIW: Just took at look at my platform:
euro 1.1969/72!!!
franc 1.2777/81!!!
eur/fr 1.5295/98!!!
cable ok 1.7909/12
jpy 109.72/75
cad 1.3130/34
platform closed already 39 mins ago, but prices were still moving, stopped for a while now.

Chicago JMI 21:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
RWP MH 20:56 GMT August 27, 2004
I think we'll see 1.2250-1.2300 in the next week or two.

RWP MH 20:56 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Can any body tell, how is euro short in short term? I mean can it go to the 1.1700 region?

Bon Tom 20:52 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 19:00 GMT August 27, 2004:This year it will be the year of yen and ur levels we can see @4Q2004or @1Q2005

Bruxville Jim 20:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
What a day!
GEP// You paid a couple of pips to cut your weekend risk... Forget them... Enjoy the w/e... See you on the other side!

Dallas GEP 20:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
well that was a mistake, USD/CAD shorts after my platform closes!!! Figures!!! lol

Dallas GEP 20:02 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Closed usd/cad shorts -6 pips didn't want to leave them open. GBP/USD longs left open. C u Sunday.

atl no 19:29 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
tes

ithaca sjm 19:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
short $/Yen 109.62 short $/cad 1.3136

FloridA vv 19:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
OK calling it a day still long Usd/Cad, short Eur/Usd and just heavy loaded Usd/Jpy longs
Gt to everyone

QC Swap 19:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Just shorted USD/CAD and Long GBP/USD

FloridA vv 19:00 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 18:47 GMT August 27, 2004

Sir, what is the time frame when you mention long term ??/


I know exactly what u know. for me long term would be the end of 2005, Hope will see u here by that time

FloridA vv 18:56 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Ger I know you from this forum for abt 2 years. Like your posts. Lookss like u can do day trading which is a Science .
I'm pure man like to jump into position when its on the top and watch my money melt down. But still alive
GT

Dallas GEP 18:52 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
VV, could be but long term to me tho is tommorrow!!!! I am a horrible position trader !!! Daytrading is my thing. LOL

Goes (NL) B747 18:52 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 18:47 GMT August 27, 2004

Sir, what is the time frame when you mention long term ??/
you mayve right if long term is 200-250 years, but I guess that I will not be able to tell you that you were right :-)

gt

FloridA vv 18:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Dallas appreciate yor comments
We still have tomorrow ;))

FloridA vv 18:47 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
well well well

I dont want to be looking very exited, but it seems to me that we are at the beginning of the Yen end. charts pointing eur/Jpy 150. Gbp/Jpy 222. Usd/Jpy 132.long term
Please correct me if I'm wrong

Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Closed usd/chf shorts @ +30

Dallas GEP 18:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
on offense = no offense!! LOL

Dallas GEP 18:40 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
VV, on offense but if it sees 1.3150 or higher today , I would be pretty surprised.

QC Swap 18:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:20

I'm coming in GBP/USD @1.7890 if reached.

FloridA vv 18:25 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
By the closing we have to see Usd/Jpy move to 110.

Dallas GEP 18:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Longed GBP/USD at market...30 pip stop, 50 PIP TP

FloridA vv 18:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I love my Caddy.
Will it hit 1.32??

QC Swap 18:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:09 GMT

I know pretty predictable my levels. I too have a short on Usd/Chf. Its running out of steam.

wisconsin tim 18:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 18:11 GMT August 27, 2004
sure ;)

Los Angeles ss 18:11 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Anyone thinik GBP will break 1.7900 by the session's end?

Dallas GEP 18:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Well that.s the ideal level SWAP..but I didn't think we would see it. TP on usd/chf short term is 1.2790 IF it gets thru 1.2820

Charlotte, North Carolina svi 18:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Hi all

Dallas GEP 17:58 GMT August 27, 2004

What is ur tp on $chf?... Thanks

QC Swap 18:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:58 GMT

I like to go short USD/CAD too but at around 1.3150-55 level

Livingston nh 18:04 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Raven - for your files - I am now long USD/CAD at 1.3134 (21 da mva break-up)

Dallas GEP 17:58 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
took USD/CAD short @ 1.3135, already have usd/chf short working.

Livingston nh 17:52 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Well for all G'span fans out there today's speech was another example of "who, me?" from the Master of Illusion - in case he has forgotten he headed a Social Security Reform Commission (aptly named the Greenspan Commission) that "fixed" Social Security 20 years ago - as with most tax "reforms" it came with higher taxes -- anybody that thinks CPI isn't a problem (transitory in G'span speak) take note - CPI is higher than when he took charge in '87

Have a good week-end all


Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
For the eur/usd pair support and option barrier has held off the bears well for now. I believe that should be all there is for this week as we come to the last lap of the month. Traders will be jockeying for position before the NFP data comes out next Friday. Until then I don’t think we will make any serious moves to break the main support or resistance. I hope everyone has a good and safe weekend. See you on the other side. GL GT

Zurich Rain 17:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Swap:Thanks. Looks nice for the moment, am in it too.

QC Swap 17:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
TP 1.2800. but I'll close it before the close for today. whichever comes first.

Msc Eqwis 17:04 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
/QC Swap 16:56
What is your target,pls?

Zurich Rain 17:03 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Swap: what is your target

Zurich Rain 16:59 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Tim: Close with profit and relaxe over the weekend

QC Swap 16:56 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Shorted Usd/Chf 1.2840

Sydney gvm 16:55 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Tim if you have never held a position over a weekend why start now - take profits and go find a wave

wisconsin tim 16:51 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
well looks like I was totally premature getting out of positions again.

? -> would there be any reason to hold a short eur/usd position going into the weekend if entry was @ 2051 (I rarely hold o-n and have never had a position o-wend)

tia,

tim

Nanjing bl 16:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
What will happen if the eur/usd break 1.2000 today ? Keep going down ? But today is too short. Any idea ? Thanks.

Sydney gvm 16:44 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Martin - understand the climate attitude - I was in Byron last weekend - Paradise found. After Tokyo for 10 years Sydney dont feel like the big smoke but I guess its relative. Cheers

Gold Coast martin 16:40 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 16:36 GMT August 27, 2004
I do get down to the big smoke occasionally ..originally from melbourne but weather here more conducive to my trading ....next time i do i will let you know...thanks for the thought......g.t

Sydney gvm 16:36 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Martin - do you ever venture down to Sydney - would enjoy a beer with you if you do. My office is next door to some serious import/export into China lads who would enjoy a chat

NYC PCM 16:34 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
stopped out - win one - lose one. I'm done with looking for the bottom. Have a great wekend all.

Gold Coast martin 16:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 16:11 GMT August 27, 2004
Still up gvm...well,DOWN ,,is the key word from here until end of december with a few retracements in between...all fundamentals point to a bleak future for the euro for the remainder for the year..Should the chinese bring their currency into the market then we will have another currency of choice with the euro as 3rd in the pecking order...more bleak news for euro....For the next week look for a 12010 opening on monday with a 11850 closing by end of trading ny tuesday....for aud look for 7010 opening monday with a 6965 closing at end of ny trading tuesday......as i have posted i am in the process of evaluating the effect of the slowing of the chinese economy(hard or soft landing) and its effect on the coomodity demand from australia as this factor i believe will be a major factor on the value of the aussie well into next year ....g/t

NYC PCM 16:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
rio - sorry +10pts will put me just under the Prior Day Low.

NYC PCM 16:25 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Rio

Keep in mind I'm trading the EUR/USD futures mkt. I'll take +10pts profit on 1/2 my position and bring the rest to a BE stop, then wait and see for 2nd target.

That's if I don't get stopped out - not a super high probability trade.

Sydney gvm 16:24 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
check the dailies on EUR-USD - if 117.59 breaks; its open season IMO

Dubai 16:22 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Can anyone tell me about USD/JPY up or down ?

Rio 16:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
NYC, can I ask your target and limit? Thanks

Sydney gvm 16:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
10 pips - agreed its tough - Iam just a bit sick of Elliot 'X' waves so I have to go with my gut on this one - I have always liked your calls on an ongoing basis but we have taken out a very old 120.60 support imho

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
NYC What do U think?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sydney///
It's a tough TA this time I think...Although I think the level you spoke will happen (1.1750)...
if You check the daily chart from april 20 till now
Elliot wave is clearly seen...
From that I see that we're at the 4th wave
although it's a tough call...I think one more up to 1.2330 then down to 1.18 some place...
Although I think Yur call for the eur next week is good...it's just a tough call this time

NYC PCM 16:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Long again.

Sydney gvm 16:11 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Martin - are you up still? Good calls on pretty much everything mate - well done - where to from here?

Calabash TarHeel 16:08 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 15:57 GMT August 27, 2004

Thanks jk, now I know. With the sales of Jack Daniels doing very well, maybe it works nationwide.
Have a great weekend.
Happy Trades

Oakland daimyo 16:08 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
No worries Jay-- I'm finished w/ two way conversation. My apologies.

Oakland daimyo 16:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk-- check your mail

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 16:03 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I guess U right...
1.2130 was 10 hours ago
I don't know..I think you are right NYC
Maybe cause I am Long...
Cheers

Sydney gvm 15:59 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
targets for next week

117.85 Euro
132 Swissy

check the daily MACDs - man have they rolled over

nyc jk 15:57 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 14:18 GMT August 27, 2004
Van jv 14:09 GMT August 27, 2004
13:45 U of Mich. ---anybody interested or care or knows?

If I am not wrong this is a survey of UM students. During my college days my only economic concern was the price of beer.
Happy Trades

Tarheel - the survey is conducted by the University of Michigan, but not of their students, it is of households in the US and is constructed to be representative of all American households (ex Hawaii and Alaska). Their website is http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/main.php if you care to see the full details about the survey. cheers

Sydney gvm 15:54 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
119.75 sounds like a good close for the week.

10 pips ...long and wrong???

NYC PCM 15:53 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
bahrain

Any reason for believing that we can rally all the way back up there? Seems like a bit of a tall order to me, even if we have put in a temporary low.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 15:49 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
1.2114 sound a like a good close for the week

Los Angeles ss 15:47 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia -- on the town looking for Raden, enjoy his comments. Will be on the town celebrating tonight with todays trades.

melbourne farmacia 15:46 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 15:36 GMT August 27, 2004
Having a night on the town mate.

NYC PCM 15:37 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

The reasons for my last long are still in force so will look for another long, again probably just tos scalp on a day trade.

Los Angeles ss 15:36 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
raden mas, whereever can you be??

NYC PCM 15:35 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD Took a 10 point scalp on that long. Out now

FloridA vv 15:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Winning friends and arguments at the same time may require higher level of intelligence

Let me shake your hand bro

hong kong nt 15:28 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
AB -- It is not difficult to win an argument. Winning friends and arguments at the same time may require higher level of intelligence. Have a nice weekend...

cluj cristi 15:23 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
jpy/usd:on 8h;4h chart,possible double bottom.

Nanjing bl 15:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Livingston, Thanks.

Livingston nh 15:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Nanjing - the EUR/USD had an outside day yesterday (up) and another outside day (down so far) today so another up day would be positive (and the reverse of the two neg outside days a coupla weeks ago) - 21 da sma could break above 55 da ema on an upmove (positive) // BUT only l/t avg support left is at 1.2020 (233 da EMA) where it bounced off in early August - and a close around this level would be negative on a weekly chart // on balance I would say 1.2020 is a critical level for today's close

Plovdiv Gotin 15:14 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I think US control all these things.

Calabash TarHeel 15:14 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 15:06 GMT August 27, 2004
Hello Martin
Will do in that range. Closed that one to free up some margin. I was premature at .7048, Happy to get +8, put that margin back in play. Did get a good fill on another nzd short, three working now.
Take Care, Happy Trades

Oakland daimyo 15:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Nanjing bl 14:55 GMT August 27, 2004
yes this could lead to much lower levels if the neckline breaks, as this would be the 3rd knock on that door. However, 1.2030 is major trendline support so we could see bounce here higher before selling upticks starts again. Careful w/ momentum plays as dealers have been using the "slingshot" quite effectively lately. Also, liquidity is low so it might be difficult to take such a major support area. Having said all this, I remain Euro bear but looking for better levels to sell into. I have covered all my shorts and now flat. This mkt is difficult to guage when big money players are on vacation. Today is Friday so anything goes, maybe surprise shakeout before trading higher. Consistent profits (no matter how small) is the name of the game. Don't swing for the fences, make base hits. Trying a sell at current levels might take Barry Bonds muscle. Remember bc and others accumulating everything under 1.20. For how long, I have no idea, but would believe they will re-think & end of Sept (3rd qtr). I posted earlier this month that positon traders should wait until Oct. Quick- hit trades exploiting lopsided order books remains strat for now. GT & GL Keep posting. Ask questions, it's the only way to learn.

ICT ML 15:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 14:41 GMT August 27, 2004
not meant to offend anyone here, but if you haven't caught on JK....there is a new "ASIAN SUPERIORITY" complex gaining strength in many areas........all good ideas apparently came from ASIA back in 5,000,000 BC, "Biggest Asian Sharks" rule the forex market.....ASIANS control the oil, gold, commodity markets, etc....

Now there is nothing wrong with nationalistic pride, I am all for it. But reality has to fit in the equation somewhere, and the reality is Greenspan pretty much rules the forex markets, and will until he is replaced. Then his successor will rule the market.

That is until the Yen, Won, Bhat, Ruppee, Yuan etc.......replace the U$D as the worlds reserve currency.

Tallinn viies 15:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
as oil is falling again we may see 1,1975 already today fwiw

GER ad 15:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY,
out at 131.89
We may see a new low (131.60/65) before some rebound by close today.

Gold Coast martin 15:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 14:50 GMT August 27, 2004
If we see 7055-60 on the aud suggest to short it as as day trade to see 7020 by end of tonite or if you want to keep it for 3 days a target of 6945....g/t

wisconsin tim 15:04 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Exiting all trades and going flat into a fine golfing weekend (hopefully)
Website updated

Friday's, it seems, are notoriously nasty posting days, let's all play nice

well have a good weekend all.

NYC PCM 15:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Well I'm long on a day trade.

Right in my time target for a low and signifcant divergnces at the low today.

Nanjing bl 14:55 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD has broken the 1.2050 support, which has been tested several times in the past few days, and now it walks below the it. If the 1.2050 resistance could hold, and if the pair go further down to breach the 1.2000, which seems to be a neckline of a shoulder-head-shoulder formation on daily chart, does this mean a way further down of the pair will be there ? Any ideas ? Thanks.

Calabash TarHeel 14:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Closed aud/$ short .7048 @ .7040

Mtl JP 14:46 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
jv 14:33 / c HELP forum

Calabash TarHeel 14:44 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 14:32 GMT August 27, 2004
Every trader has their moments of glory and despair...everyone gets a shot at the spotlight...be nice to each other and constructive not destructive...good trades to all...
Well said. In this market there will always be bulls/bears winners/losers. There is more than one frequent poster here, I admit it gets on my nerves at times, but far better to skip over them and maintain focus on trades.
Happy Trades

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 14:41 GMT August 27, 2004
ab - meaningless???
///
He was grounded last week too...(By Jay)...
Hey Jay...Jay!!

nyc jk 14:41 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
ab - meaningless???

let me give you a little lesson, if I may borrow from GVI. here is how a seasoned pro talks about the testimony of Alan Greenspan (the most influential central banker in the world), trying to tie it in with a view on market positioning, etc:

Dublin Flip 14:11 GMT August 27, 2004
We have spent three days effectively 1.2050/1.2090 and there has been plenty of speculation AG would be dollar positive. I wonder if many have been sitting short expecting a "freebie" from the Fed Chairman. Seems after trying to buy 1.2080 for three days the market now wants to short 1.2040

Here is how an utter wanker fills up this space with rubbish on the same topic:

hk ab 14:03 GMT August 27, 2004
Alimin// It's an illusion that the strength came from Greenie

QC Swap 14:35 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Eur/Usd should make another run toward 1.2030 today. Perhaps then I shall go long for small pips

Van jv 14:33 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Mtl JP 14:13
jv 14:09 / 95.9, water under bridge by now
Thanks JP, indeed...where to find data as reported ?, Tia, GD

Taiwan JJF 14:33 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Any ideas on the AUD/USD, seems to be dropping?

Gold Coast martin 14:32 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Every trader has their moments of glory and despair...everyone gets a shot at the spotlight...be nice to each other and constructive not destructive...good trades to all...

Prague Jv 14:32 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Range from usd/jpy is shifting to eur/usd and eur/jpy + usd /jpy ready to go up . B ready .

NYC PCM 14:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I mean Prior

NYC PCM 14:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Let's see if this low can hold. Better still let's see if we can get above Priro Day Low and have that hold.

hk ab 14:30 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
QDN reaching 12.... will see 1.19xx soon, no doubt.
vv//mind what words you put in my mouth. I have forwarded all the stuff to gvi and don't want to bother with some bloody but meaningless trade's view here.
GL....

Los Angeles ss 14:28 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Where oh where is Raden Mas this morning???

Sydney Alimin 14:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
mind the language please, can't you guys be nice to each other?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
----->
This means Implies

Prague JV 14:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Thanks to this forum , I never stop learning new thinks .. Thank you

FloridA vv 14:23 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 14:19 GMT August 27, 2004
jk//if you have a problem --> Jay.


AB Thats u who has the problem. I dont know what u ment but this sign -----> means 'dick' F...ck U gota learn emoticons

GER ad 14:23 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 131.73 tight S/L

Bruxville Jim 14:22 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
"[13:17 EUR/JPY: Hedge Fund Selling Keeps Pressure On Cross] San Francisco, August 27th: Heavy selling by hedge funds is keeping pressure on EUR/JPY this morning though a solid bid at 132.03 and the week"s lows continues to stall a break of 132.00. Large stops remain under 132.00 with 130.00 still the medium term target for current EUR/JPY weakness."

nyc jk 14:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
ab, been wrong on many trades before , will be wrong on many in future. think of my EUR trade like the GBP long you have from 1.82.........yeah I have a big problem with your incessant blogging on this forum, it takes away from the quality contributors here. I already spoke to Jay about it. perhaps you should read your email from him and pay attention.

Oakland daimyo 14:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk---Not scared just smart. Things are good on this end. I rode this EUR/USD dump from 1.2350, 1.2280, 1.2099-----took profits too soon on all but am quite happy about results. Looking forward to next month, this mkt has been difficult to trade. Quick hit trades have been working better than holding positions.

Van jv 14:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
U.S. consumer sentiment improved as August progressed, beating analysts' forecasts and surpassing an earlier gauge of the nation's spending mood, according to a new index released Friday.

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for August rose to 95.9, compared with preliminary estimates which put the key index at 94.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
My System just bought Chf/Yen...85.5..?Funny

Calabash TarHeel 14:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 14:09 GMT August 27, 2004
13:45 U of Mich. ---anybody interested or care or knows?

If I am not wrong this is a survey of UM students. During my college days my only economic concern was the price of beer.
Happy Trades

NYC PCM 14:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD

Well we're right in my time window now for that minor low. So I'm looking for good divergences to go long off now.

Goes (NL) B747 14:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: the current battle goes between 1.1750-1.2250 and 1.2000-1.2500 as SEP/04 playground

gt

Sydney Alimin 14:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
according to my chart, euro is sitting at the 23.6 fib level from feb's high to april's low, a bounce here perhaps?

nyc jk 14:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I think it's more like a blog, jv.......

hk ab 14:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
eur destination 1.1935.....

FloridA vv 14:14 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 14:03 GMT August 27, 2004
I think the word "long" for dlr/jpy should be in the fridge till Dec....


Well its up to u. Anyway somebody has to be on the opposit side of the trade.
I'm long from 109.30 wil add every 50 pips up to 133.
GT

hk ab 14:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
planning new dlr/jpy shorts.

Mtl JP 14:13 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
jv 14:09 / 95.9, water under bridge by now

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
From 1.2350 falls to 1.2050----> No one mentioned his name....
Now few pips...and everyone is saying something

Like saying "Oh Man...there was crash...12 People died..."Plus"..one more person...
Everyone wants to know that one person...
The rest...Oh well

hk ab 14:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Hope to collect the big fall in eur/aud soon.

Sydney Alimin 14:10 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
guys, regardless of what happens today, next week will be a new battlefield, new month..it is september..get ready for action

nyc jk 14:10 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
haha, wasn't trying to scare you away Daimyo! hope you been faring well.

Van jv 14:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
13:45 U of Mich. ---anybody interested or care or knows?

Oakland daimyo 14:08 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 14:05 GMT August 27, 2004

Remember what you told me last week about 2 or more forum members. We're being watched. That's why I've been quiet lately. GT

hk ab 14:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
lower low....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 14:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Notice Hour Chart for eur..
It keeps hiting this level for 3 times now

nyc jk 14:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
stopped on the EUR long, guess Greenspan going to be walking around for a bit still Bahrain lol.

yeah must be an illusion, no one pays attention to Greenspan

hk ab 14:03 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Alimin// It's an illusion that the strength came from Greenie... It came from the jap pals...

hk ab 14:03 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I think the word "long" for dlr/jpy should be in the fridge till Dec....

Sydney Alimin 14:03 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
man, what more usd strength can greenie provide there?

hk ab 14:02 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
shrot from .6545-.6585 average 6565 for 8 lots.

FloridA vv 14:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Finally Usd/Cad will catch up with the others.
Breake and close above 1.3140 signals 1.33 next week

AB I wouldn't count on 108.xx in Usd/Jpy. Now it's a good level to go long, up to the end of the year
GT.

Goes (NL) B747 13:59 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Russia blames terrorism as a reason for one crash, not yet about the other plane.

hk ab 13:58 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
what's more needed?
A word...."avalanche"....

Chicago YM 13:57 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
morning all

hk ab 13:57 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 05:31 GMT August 27, 2004
Before some people become too thrilled on this downmove of USd, did they check the yen crosses?

Another disaster coming.....and people never learn from history (even few days ago)....

bkk//probably another boring range of majors but a strong move in jpy.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:55 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Eur/JPY...131.5 today is a buy for 100 Points

hk ab 13:51 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
747// any hidden message in your gb/jp view? TIA.
nice move on eur/jpy, dlr/jpy.....
I expect a possibility of 108.xx soon.
eur/jpy first see 129.xx then, decide next direction. If it follow's bc's and nk's path, next number is 147, if it follows 747, next number to eye with is 126.

GL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:46 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Inclined to go long for an upward retrace trade (day trade only).
///
Same here NYC...
I will buy it at around 1.2020 to 1.1950 Monday---tues..
Might see next week to be slow...this week was volitile...so

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Greenie speaks in 15 Minutes...for three hours..
Come on greenie You can do it!!

NYC PCM 13:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
bahrain

EUR/USD

I suspect that you're right and we've put in our short term low yesterday.

Inclined to go long for an upward retrace trade (day trade only).

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:41 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Seems Greenie Might get the Bicycle...if 150 points I will give him..Mountain type...

nyc jk 13:40 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain - better buy him a zimmer instead, he's getting up there :)

derbi ss 13:39 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hi all
hi bahrain
when will bE greenspan talk?

ICT ML 13:38 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bucharest Razvan 12:42 GMT August 27, 2004

Dead on Razvan...........happens to me all the time.....targets hit, and I think.....looks like I can get "a bit more" out of this.....and then I give up 50 pips trying to grab that extra 25.....

One of my worse trading demons within.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:37 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
anyone here traded Volitlity?
You can Trade it...No Need for Physical Direction...only Direction of Variation

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:35 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Might sound like corruption for INFo

Goes (NL) B747 13:35 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 13:28 GMT August 27, 2004

good afternoon to you,

looks like BOORING to me, same view with you ???

tia & gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:33 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Euro Gives me 100 Pointer today ----> I'll buy greenie a new bicycle...(Green color)

Sydney Alimin 13:28 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
any view on michigan, anyone? or perhaps market will focus more on greenspan's talk

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
NYC/
Thanks

surabaya arek surabaya ye 13:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
no respons for US data ????? or wait again ???

nyc jk 13:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
cheers Bahrain, hope those fancy math formulas of yours are right!

ny amc 13:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
HK...AB.............nice call on eurjpy the last 2 days

ny hh 13:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
about +50 pips lol

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 13:16 GMT August 27, 2004
long EUR 1.2075, stop at 40 looking for 1.2170/80

///
Roger that NYC!!

Bruxville Jim 13:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Goes // Bet you did trade it then... How many pips did you collect from that 4'000p sweet move?

ny hh 13:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
yes i did trade gbpjpy great fall in 1998 why?

nyc jk 13:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
long EUR 1.2075, stop at 40 looking for 1.2170/80

Goes (NL) B747 13:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon,

is anyone in this forum traded GBP/JPY during OCT/1998 ???


tia & gt

Goes (NL) B747 13:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon,

is anyone in this forum traded GBP/JPY during OCR/1998 ???


tia & gt


Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Buying euro between 40 and 60

Pecs Andras 13:11 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 13:10 GMT August 27, 2004
Michigan sentiment index 13:45 GMT

GER ad 13:10 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
If EUR/JPY is not breaking strongly 132 - EUR/USD will close higher IMHO

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:10 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Come'on Greenie finish Up Man!!
Gotta go play pool every friday...(The same every week)

Ldn 13:10 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
More US Data ?? what time is it please. tia

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 13:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Wanna Know what spanny gonna say?

Answer this: What would make the equity MKT Go down by greenie's speech...Dow from Current level?


That's Right!!

Tln viies 12:49 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
if euro will close at this level today, then weekly stochastic crosses lower. usually it moves cross at least couple hundres points. fwiw

Rio 12:48 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I believe Greenspan speach will send the eur lower, my problem is to determine HOW lower that will be. Any comments?

GA TJ 12:48 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bucharest Razvan 12:42 GMT August 27, 2004
I think every trader has at some point. Its that Fear and Greed thing. It usually happens to me after a healthy loss (got to make it back) or after a healthy profit (feeling cocky). Its just part mental aspect of trading. It needs as much work as Tech skills. At least for me.

Bucharest Razvan 12:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
finally out of monday's 1.2250 short on trailing stop @ 1.2100, and this was the only position I had open this week. Funny thing, my initial target when I entered the possie was 1.2050, but when reached 2 days ago, a 'feeling' made me keep riding it.. it cost me 50 pips.. not the first time this happens, which makes me wonder if anyone else here ever made an accurate initial analysis, only to screw it up on a 'feeling' afterwards.. To me personally, feelings and hunches are starting to cost more than they earn.. I'll have a policy against them from now on :)

anyway, i'm out. have a great weekend all!

Rio 12:37 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Thanks all!

Tallinn viies 12:36 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
good day.
euro failed to move higher. only very optimistic person can see formed base for the push higher.
pessimistic person like me say: "resting here to test 1,1950 soon and SERIOUSLY".
sell order at 1,2129 and 1,2174.
previous days had to plan to buy euros near 1,1950-1,2000 area. no plan to buy at the mom. as dynamic occilators have moved away from oversold area...
gl n happy hunting

Pecs Andras 12:35 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
GDP revised lower to 2.8%
Price index 3.2

new york city 12:34 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
2.8 on est2.7 headline
1.6 on est1.3 consumption
3.2 on est3.2 deflator

Makati Obelix 12:34 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
GDP 2.8%
Chain Deflator 3.2%
In-line with market expectation

Bruxville Jim 12:34 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Rio // [12:31 US ECON: Q2 GDP Revised Lower to 2.8% ] Boston, Aug 27--Second quarter growth was revised lower with the deterioration in net exports the biggest contributor to the fall. GDP rose at a 2.8% annual rate in the second quarter compared to the 3.0% pace earlier reported and a 4.5% rate in the first quarter. The PCE price index rose 3.2% versus the 3.3% earlier reported.

Rio 12:32 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
news?????

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:17 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 08:45 GMT August 27, 2004
Once again BC I appreciate everything you do for the forum. I hope you have a great weekend and thank you. GT

Dublin Flip 12:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
CM 09Oct has been the most widley touted Election date since Howard took the lead in the polls. 03 Oct is NRL grand final day so that weekend was one of the "off limits" weekends promised by Howard. Given the opposition has a pile of ammunition for when parliment resumes it's highly likely 09 Oct will be the date and the Government can thereby avoid further scruitiny via the Parlimentary Question time.

Sydney CM 12:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Election Talk hots up as PM heads to Canberra from AAP

Australian Prime Minister John Howard plans to spend a rare weekend in the national capital, intensifying speculation that he is about to call an election date for the first or second weekend of October.

"I am going to Canberra (this weekend)," Mr Howard told ABC radio in Hobart on Friday. "I really don't have anything to add to that."

Mr Howard spends most weekends at his Sydney home.

The election is traditionally launched with a prime ministerial visit to Yarralumla, the governor-general's residence in Canberra.

Calling an election this weekend - most likely for October 2 or October 9 - would spare federal parliament having to sit next week, as is currently planned.

Mr Howard said on Friday that he was doing nothing to encourage the election speculation.

"I haven't encouraged speculation about a particular date. When I finally resolve when I believe the election should be, I will go and see the governor-general and advise him for a dissolution."

Bruxville Jim 12:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
RIA, thnks.

Riga RIA 11:54 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
I expect reach main med term tgt 9.10/095 before reversing but now very overosold there...also main attention to NOKSEK now.....think we will try buy dips now ard 9.12 for 9.20 tgt, stop below 9.095.......EURNOK jump to 8.3750 after massive stops done over 8.35......NOKSEK also very sharply dropp.......GL

new york city pws 11:49 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
US GDP Figures...

weaker external demand and the widened trade deficit figures from June should weigh on the headline number..consensus est for 2.7 on 3.0 QOQ. Upward revisions in retail sales figures reflecting good consumer spending as well as upward revisions in consumer spending and construction data should give a boost the the consumption component...est. 1.3 on 1.0...watch the price deflator closely as uncle al and company favor these readings for a gauge on the economy and in rate decisions..consensus is flat here 3.2 on 3.2...good trades all.

Bruxville Jim 11:47 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
RIA, do you have a clue regarding EUR/SEK? Where should it reverse its recent downtrend? Iepriekš paldies.

Livingston nh 11:44 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
fwiw - Fed reported 12 bio increase in foreign CB holdings last week - approx 30 bio increase in last month

Riga RIA 11:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
USDZAR cud hold 6.55/75 at mom,, sellers ahead 6.68/74 now stops abv 6.75 n bids ahead 6.60.....GL

Nairobi, Kenya Jk 11:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Anyone got the US GDP data, due at 12.30? TIA

Riga RIA 11:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim, ludzu, mate..GL

Livingston nh 11:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
fwiw

Bruxville Jim 11:36 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Riga RIA // thanks, mate. GL.

Riga RIA 11:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EURCZK reach 31.94 yesterday after stops triggering abv 31.80/90, also heard abt good US names buying but local names selling ahead 31.90...very large stops remain abv 32.00,,,,We cud hold 31.95.65 now.....GL

Riga RIA 11:29 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
PLN dipped to six week low after 50bps hike on Wednesday - with uncertainty spreading through the market as to future moves.usdpln n eurpln jumped from 3.6350 to 3.7300 n 4.4450 to 4.505.....US funds main buyers there...Today postions covering ahead w/e but expect we cud hoold very very choppy ranges 3.63/73 n 4.43/4.50 at mom, buy dips both prefer...GL

Riga RIA 11:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Hungary - Justice Ministry confirmed the current government will stay in power for 30 days - with full rights - with the new PM candidate Ferenc Gyurcsany expected to take his office after 26th September..Expect hold 248/252 EURHUF now..GL

Swidnica/Poland profi-forex 11:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
27.08.2004

USD/JPY (CURRENT LEVEL 109.47) - AFTER JAPANESE DATA AND LOWER OIL PRICES USD/JPY BROKEN SUPPORT AT 109.60 AND TESTED 109.00 REGION. NOW WE HAVE BOUNCE TOWARDS 109.60 AHEAD US DATA AND A.GREENSPAN SPEACH. TECHNICAL: BREAK 109.00 WILL OPEN THE WAY TO FALLS TOWARDS 108.00, BUT BREAK 110.40/60 WILL PUSH THIS PAIR HIGHER EVEN TO 112.50 AGAIN.

EUR/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2095) - WORST THAN EXPECTED US WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS EUR TESTED AGAIN 1.2115/25 REGION AND NEXT RISIES WAS STOPPED THERE. TODAY MORNING AFTER TRADERS CLOSED THEIR SHORT POSITIONS ABOVE-MENTIONED RESISTANCE WAS TESTED ONE MORE TIME. SUPPORT AT 1.2040/60. WE THINK BEFORE US DATA AND A.GREENSPAN SPEACH WE COULD STAY IN 1.2060/1.2120 RANGE. NEXT DIRECTION DEPEND ON TRADER`S INTERPRETATION TODAY`S INFORMATIONS. IF WE BREAK SUPPORT NEXT TARGET IS 1.1950 BUT IF RESISTANCE WILL BE BRAKE NEXT TARGET IS 1.2180/1.2200 REGION.

USD/CHF (CURRENT LEVEL 1.2731) - STRONG RESISTANCE 1.2780 AND 1.2840, SUPPORTS 1.2720 AND 1.2690. NEXT DIRECTION DEPEND ON TRADER`S INTERPRETATION TODAY`S INFORMATIONS.

GBP/USD (CURRENT LEVEL 1.8010) -STRONG SUPPORT 1.7880/1.7900, STRONG RESISTANCE 1.8015/30. WAITING ON DATA FROM UK GBP TESTED ABOVE-MENTIONED RESISTANCE. NEXT DIRECTION DEPEND ON TRADER`S INTERPRETATION TODAY`S INFORMATIONS.

Bruxville Jim 11:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
ab // ok, I'll ask straight - what leverage do you use for each increment of short? Sorry for asking if that's confidential...

Ldn 11:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Whilst its quiet a bit of useless information

Daily FX
Flowing from America
Weak eco data from Japan tonight but no one seems to care as the pair probes the 109 handle before bouncing back to 109.50. Jobless rate (4.9% vs. 4.6% expected), workers household spending (-2.5% vs. 2.3% expected) and Tokyo CPI (-0.1% vs. 0.0%) all print worse than market consensus as evidence grows that Japan's 2nd quarter slowdown may be more serious than many analysts believe. Much like their American counterparts Japanese companies started to hire more part-time workers, providing them with far less benefits which in turn depresses wages, restrains spending and leads to persistent deflation. We've argued for a long time that US faces the same set of problems and believe that Japan's present will be US's future except in much worse form
Tonight however, the dealer's attention is on capital flows as the most recent Reuters Asset Allocation survey suggests that Japanese institutional investors are looking to pare their weightings of U.S. bonds, preferring instead Japanese domestic instruments. According to the release the weighting of U.S. bonds was cut to 30.4% - the lowest since the inception of the survey, while domestic (Japanese) stocks were upped to 24.3%, the highest since September '95. Yesterday Dennis Gartman noted that the latest US 2 year auction was 44% bought by "indirect bidders" namely foreign central banks. He wrote, "The dollar bears have asked 'What if the foreign buyers boycott? What then?' Our response is simply, 'Well that has not happened thus far, so we'll not worry about it now:'". The market seems to be saying that the time to worry is indeed right now. Given the US's atrocious Current Account deficit and sagging equity markets, an outflow of foreign capital will be devastating for the dollar negating any benefit of an upturn in the economy as the world starts to fear America's ever growing balance sheet problems.

Bruxville Jim 11:11 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
surabaya surabaya // Commands will come 12.30 & 14.00 GMT. LOL

surabaya arek surabaya ye 11:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
any command for GBP/USD ???

Bruxville Jim 11:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
ab // I just wonder - don't you underleverage if the price reverses quickly (in this case from 0.6545) in your favor and overleverage in case it rises sharply against you?

Ldn 11:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew slower US economy bearish Dollar

hk ab lazy 11:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
btw, nice move in eur/aud.
t/p channel bottom in daily.

Dallas MD 11:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Morning All

hk ab lazy 11:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
a v. nice dinner waiting for me tonight.
note eur/gbp and eur/chf moves....

hk ab lazy 11:02 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Jim//why not.

LA fxnew 11:02 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Ldn:

what does your statement imply?
Dollar is strong or weak?

Thanks

GVI Jay 10:55 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
GVI Jay 10:08 GMT August 26, 2004
Note,

August 27 Chairman Alan Greenspan
Symposium Topic: "Global Demographic Change: Economic Impacts and Policy Challenges"
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming
10:00 a.m.

Bruxville Jim 10:51 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Msc// 14 GMT

NYC PCM 10:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Does anybody know what time Greenspan is talking today? Or if the speech is released in advance and if so at what time?

Ldn 10:48 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
There is speculation of a larger-than-expected downward revision to US Q2 GDP--a cut to 2.8%, from an advance 3.0%, is the consensus forecast, and talk that Greenspan will not be as hawkish as previously anticipated. The Michigan
Sentiment index is expected at 94.0, unchanged from the preliminary reading.

Msc Eqwis 10:48 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Anybody know Greenspan's time today, pls?

Bruxville Jim 10:41 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab lazy 10:38 GMT // Are you still selling the Kiwi-girl every 5 pips?

hk ab lazy 10:38 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy after a brief 131.xx, now next maybe 129.xx
usd is v. resilient to chf.

new york city pw 10:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
morning traders..looking to buy breaks in the euro and pound..looks like the dollar is holding up progress..looking for some weakness in the dollar index for affirmation of stregnth...baring in line US GDP reading..i like another test of the highs here. good trades all.

NYC PCM 10:04 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Morning All

EUR/USD

Well we're still in an ambiguous area for me. Righ on the target area for that minor cycle low. Might have already made it yesterday, might have some more to go.

So only scalp type trades for me until the picture clears.

hk ab lazy 09:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
closed dlr/chf for 36 pips.
let's see what can happen on dlr/jpy.

Hong Kong Ahe 09:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
bc 08:45 GMT....before many forex traders die of boredom../ bc, I love your description vm. ;O)

hk ab lazy 09:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
filled short dlr/jpy 109.66.

Sydney Alimin 09:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab, still holding your usd/jpy long?

LA fxnew 09:04 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
UK data didnt have any impact and waiting for US data?

Come on move up!!!

Gen dk 09:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

shanghai bc 08:45 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

OMIL,ST 06:31 -- Good afternoon..This summer market has to end soon before many forex traders die of boredom..Still in the buying mode for anything around and below Eur/usd 1.20 and Aud/usd .70 and Usd/Jpy 110..Good trades.

KL KL 08:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
OK out of Short gbpusd 1.8005 + 20 pips and eurusd 1.2114 + 30 pips... sorry no guts today ..hit and run take profit !!

syd 08:42 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
UK ECON: Q2 GDP Unrevised +0.9% q/q, +3.7% y/y, As Expected

Goes (NL) B747 08:41 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
good morning,

everybody trade GBP and no one had comments regarding the GDP data.


gt

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:32 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Caused by broken of key level 0.7064, mean price will get 0.7013 and that level have been get, but that level seem minor if we see weekly pattern that wil go to bottom target 0.6940 before oscilation to get target 0.7485 again, but if 0.6940 be broken and show me 0.6920, mean oscilation to 0.7485 will be false. On the way to shoot low band 0.6945 -06037 will meet resistant at 0.6993. Be carefull with level 0.6993 because able to invite buyers. If 0.6929 be broken, mean big scale selling reaction will come to get area 0.6800 -0.6771. Now price is on the ready start to go down again from level 0.7064.
Level sell : Level Buy :
0.7119 stop loss 0.7130 (major) 0.6993 stop loss 0.6980 (major)
0.7149 stop loss 0.7180 (major) 0.6945 stop loss 0.6920 (major)
0.7153 stop loss 0.7180 (major) 0.6937 stop loss 0.6920 (major)
0.7064 stop loss 0.7080 (major) 0.6800 stop loss 0.6750 (major)
0.6771 stop loss 0.6750 (major)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Like my view yesterday that up move target is on the area 1.8034 -1.8050 -1.8139 and 1.8034 have be get, High possibility from that area will get selling pressure to catch 1.7953 again as the bottom target. Key level 1.7993 have be broken although only to 1.7889. This mean is a message that price will get ne low 1.7824 as the bottom target although be blocked by 1.7866. Be predicted big scale buying reaction will come when touch 1.7866 or 1.7824 to get 1.8361. From level 1.7866 if show me 1.7855 mean welcome to 1.7824. For long term trade, key level is 1.7755, and if this level be broken, oscilation for weekly pattern will get 1.7305.
Level sell : Level buy :
1.8034 stop loss 1.8060(minor) 1.7866 stop loss 1.7855 (major)
1.8050 stop loss 1.8060(major) 1.7824 stop loss 1.7800 (major)
1.8084 stop loss 1.8095(major) 1.7755 stop loss 1.7735 (major)
1.8122 stop loss 1.8139(major) 1.7953 stop loss 1.7935 (major)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:23 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
The last pattern show me that eur/usd will get 1.2175 – 1.2193 – 1.2213 as the oscilation target resistant for testing 1.2182. Down trend pattern seen will get 1.2010 as the low target still valid to be hoped and if that level be broken, mean weekly oscilation will get 1.1705 although seen resistant at 1.1960. Be carefull when price is on the range 1.2175 – 1.2213, because that area is very danger that able to invite selling reaction to shoot 1.2010 or etreme bottom 1.1960.
Level sell : Level Buy :
1.2113 stop loss 1.2130 (major) 1.2010 stop loss 1.1995 (major)
1.2193 stop loss 1.2230 (major) 1.1960 stop loss 1.1940 (major)
1.2213 stop loss 1.2230 (major) 1.1934 stop loss 1.1925 (major)
1.2282 stop loss 1.2300 (extreme) 1.2086 stop loss 1.2060 (minor)

LA fxnew 08:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hi raden ,
what is your view on gbp/usd then?

THanks

eur lg 08:21 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
thks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hallo..
be carefull with eur/usd when at 1.2086, maybe from there price wake up again.,1.2086 is ideal bottom.

hk ab 08:17 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
dlr/jpy on my radar.. hopefully, 109.66

hk ab 08:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
China time zone.

hk ab 08:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
heavy on nzd and cad now. minor, chf and gbp.
eur/aud is still fine.

eur lg 08:15 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sorry ab which move, and what time zone does CMT refer to pls ?

London 08:14 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
LATEST Traces of explosives found at Russian air crash site - Itar-Tass report. More soon BBC

hk ab 08:08 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, this move starts at 16:00 CMT.

KL KL 08:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
OK Short gbpusd 1.8005 sl 15 above and short eurusd 1.2114 sl 15 above ..close position 1.5 hours before GDP figures..gl gt
btw hk ab, farmacia what possie are you in

Gold Coast martin 07:59 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
The URIDASHI PIPELINE is proving a great market mover for the NZD...artificial boost up and realistic market move down...all in the space of hours and days..a pip haven for day traders....g/t

hk ab 07:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
put eur limit buy 1.2005? or 1.2055.

hk ab 07:45 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
dlrjpy so stable here means it could be a deep short later....
wait for a retracement? maybe 109.60 if everything is normal.

ICT ML 07:37 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Looks to be a dull session until NY I guess. Have a bunch of contradicting signals so I am out of here until then.

GBP-JPY kind of looks bid to me, maybe 198 area target. $CHF is trying to give one heck of a move continuation sign to the upside, but I don't buy it yet. GBP-USD looks bid still but is trying to give as sell sign, same with EUR_USD. EUR-GBP looks like a sell but not from these levels in my book.

I wouldn't swear by any of these observations at this time. Maybe in a few hours things become clear.

syd 07:23 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab no problem, all the best think we should all now make peace life too short

Moskow 07:22 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

Reliable history data
for trading system verification and precise technical analysis
Intraday data are presented since 1997

hk ab 07:18 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
syd//If there's a misunderstanding between us at here. I would like to take this chance to make it up. Thanks.

Ltn th 07:14 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
CM// There is a fair chance little jonny is just playing mind games with the opposition, to get them to shoot their wads and bore the pants off the electorate. I note that one RBA lobbyist suggested today that with the possibility an april election they could consider a september interest rate rise.

syd 07:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab excellent well done GL

hk ab 07:12 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
for european currencies, apart from the gbp long 1.82, now opened chf 1.27

Syd EM 07:11 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sydney CM
posted earlier , also heard on CNBC -Asia possibly a positive Aud as RBA may move earlier !!

Syd EM 22:18 GMT August 26, 2004
Chris Caton, chief economist at BT Financial Group and a former Treasury official, said the Reserve Bank Australia could move after its next board meeting on September 7 rather than risk waiting until after an election, which may be as late as April.In a research note to clients yesterday, Dr Caton raised the "non-trivial possibility" of a September rate rise. The bank may "be tempted to take the medicine early" rather than wait around for an election that could be held eight months from now. Economists have largely assumed that the bank would not raise rates before an election. But in an interview with the author Stephen Bell, the Reserve Bank's
governor, Ian Macfarlane, said: "If there was a really strong case to do something we would always do it regardless."
BTFG.

hk ab 07:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
syd//so got a lot now.

Dublin Flip 07:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
There has been speculation that this week would see howard call an election for quite a while given Sat 9th oct would be the first available date after the footy finals

hk ab 07:09 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
syd//p/t and reloading starting .6545 for every 5 pips.

Sydney CM 07:05 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Have been told possibility of australian election being called this w/e ....apparently reported on sky news......any truth???

ISL JAM 07:00 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 06:54 GMT August 27, 2004

Hello Bahrain, im curious with your 10 pips (s/l = 10* Spread). What does it mean? tnx. gl

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 06:54 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Yen at 108.8 some place sounds OK

m 06:33 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Will the gdp for uk cause a sudden price spike, and well anybody be trading it using a stop sell/stop buy combination.

houston st 06:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

BC -- good morning....hope your Friday has been profitable so far...perhaps we'll see a more lively market as the day progresses and some of the ranges get extended...good weekend to you.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Good to see your comments BC any advice you have is always appreciated. I hope you are doing well. GT

shanghai bc 06:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

CHINA/YINZI 05:37--It is against forum rule to post your web site,e-mail address or QQ address..You are overstaying the host's welcome here with your advert..And it is a rule too to post the name of the city where you are located..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 06:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Eur Might go back to 1.2020 from 1.2170 some place...I covered My euro and ordered again at 1.2020

Syd EM 06:16 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD Looking To Break Higher, Stops Eyed Above 1.2135 IFR today

Syd EM 06:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Bangkok bkk spot on with your prediction good trades

syd 05:46 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hk ab where are your stops on your short Kiwi from yesterday? tia
or have you t/p

Rom IRG 05:38 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
What time frame and to what levels do you expect the jpy move, ab? Thanks!

china 05:37 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

"Hereunder are forecasted highs and lows and suggested buy and sell points for Aug 27h, 2004 based on the trends observed on daily charts.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Currency Forecated Lows Forecasted Highs Suggested buy and sell points Suggested Stops Forecasted lows and highs of this week

0 DINIW 89.06 90.00 88.50 / 90.12
1 RUD/USD 1.2010 1.2220 sell 1.2190 1.2240 1.2000/ 1.2280
2 GBP/USD 1.7800 1.8130 sell 1.8090 1.8140 1.7700/ 1.8180
3 AUD/USD 0.7000 0.7120 sell 0.7100 0.7150 0.6900/ 0.7150
4 USD/CHF 1.2620 1.2850 sell 1.2630 1.2580 1.2600/ 1.2850
5 USD/CAD 1.3000 1.3120 sell 1.3010 1.2950 1.2950 /1.3100
6 USD/JPY 109.00 110.30 sell 110.30 110.80 109.00/ 111.00

his information is for reference only. Please keep in mind that you and you alone are responsible for your own trades and for the maintenance of stop loss entries at levels you can afford. In order to help preserve trading capital, it is suggested that when prices move in your favour by 30 points, you change your stop to a breakeven position.
My QQ number is : 30963505,. Please feel free to contact me.
Good luck to everybody!!
E-mail: [email protected]
http://www.678678.com/bbs/index.asp
Yours sincerely,
Yinzi







hk ab 05:31 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Before some people become too thrilled on this downmove of USd, did they check the yen crosses?

Another disaster coming.....and people never learn from history (even few days ago)....

bkk//probably another boring range of majors but a strong move in jpy.

Bangkok bkk 05:07 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Today, USD sell-off is imminent!!

Those who bought USD against other major pairs(including Australiasian pairs) since Monday(NY session) - Wednesday have already booked some profits.

GL & GT

Syd EM 05:00 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Japanese buying saw NZD/JPY climb from 0.7120 to
0.7170 on the session, with resistance at 0.7200/10 key for next week, massive uridashi interest this week appears to have caught the market a little short

Singapore Sfx 04:55 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
good stuff .. tks farmacia.

melbourne farmacia 04:53 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sfx - seeing possible squeeze up to 1.8050/60 by US Session... under 1.7970 might negate...

Brooklyn mhi 04:51 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
NZD/USD

On the 4 hourly I see a bearish flag developing from low 8/25/04 .6452, 8/26/04 .6482
High .6540 (8/25/04) hi 8/26/04 .6550 hi 8/27/04 .6566 I am just not sure if this good signal

syd 04:49 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   

randen mas is this your site ?
Tanunchai Jumnongpukdee

Singapore Sfx 04:36 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
farmacia, cbl thots pls ? .. tks mate

melbourne farmacia 04:30 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Looks like IFR's euro stop under threat.....

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:25 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
With intraday indicators unwinding for eur/usd the traders jockey for position for the rest of the month for what promises to be a good month of September after the summer thin markets have passed through another year. Intraday indicators are bullish, mid-term indicators are bearish with a hint of turning bullish and long-term indicators are still bullish. The bears will have to make a move soon and take out this support or the bulls will move the price up. Good US data tomorrow might help break through the tough support we will have to wait and see. Retracement numbers are 1.2120-25, 2170-75, 2210-15 and 2250-55. Resistance numbers are 1.2140-50, 2190-2210 and 2240-50. Support is found at 1.2080-90 T/L around 1.2050-60 and main support for now is at 1.1970-80. Pivot numbers are 1.2210, 2165, 2131, (2086), 2052, 2007 and 1973. For me the turning point for the bulls would be the break of the resistance at 1.2240-50. Intraday to mid-term is still sell on rallies but I would wait for the data to get a clear picture of where it is heading for now and long term is still buy on dips it all depends on the time frame the trade is taken IMHO. GL GT

Syd EM 03:29 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Heavy Japanese Demand Spurs Talk Of More Issuance IFR reports today

Bribane L 03:26 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Terrorists crashed planes: official

Bribane L 03:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
hearing that market said to be short AUD bidding higher in early trading in Asia , it seems players trying to reduce oversold positions ahead of the weekend FWIW

Prague JV 02:50 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Oil men / agree . it has been in the pot for some time , the chicken should be cooked

UAE Oil man 02:48 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Tommorrow is a potential super combo gap day..

wisconsin tim 02:39 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
tomorrow projections

Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
8/26/2004 AUDUSD 0.7075 0.6999 0.7107 0.6955
8/26/2004 EURGBP 0.6765 0.6723 0.6757 0.6702
8/26/2004 EURUSD 1.2148 1.2051 1.2153 1.1983
8/26/2004 EURYEN 133.31 132.04 133.53 131.62
8/26/2004 GBPUSD 1.8017 1.7846 1.8034 1.7818
8/26/2004 GBPYEN 197.67 195.55 198.53 195.13
8/26/2004 NDZUSD 0.6559 0.6469 0.6583 0.6438
8/26/2004 USDCAD 1.3115 1.3021 1.3194 1.3004
8/26/2004 USDCHF 1.2785 1.2670 1.2850 1.2663
8/26/2004 USDYEN 110.12 109.20 110.66 108.97

Check out the new site ... many things still missing

ISL JAM 02:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
thanks all for the input. il take note. it seems that im on the wrong side! LOL

San Diego Devi 01:57 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
ISL JAM,

EUR/USD, the direction now (Intraday) is up (long), , Resistances @ 1.2152, pull back and go up to possibly 1.2220, if it holds, then 1.2260 -1.2270 area IMHO.

Sydney Alimin 01:56 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
perhaps gdp data later today will send euro to 1.2150-1.22 area and greenspan might provide the move opposite back to 1.2120-1.2090 area..all IMHO

HK [email protected] 01:45 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Euro will likely touch soon 1.2120, with a good chance to 1.2150 today.

So one can try the following trade if will reach. Buy at 1.2090 s/l 1.2060 to 1.2150.

Syd EM. 01:40 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Japan..July Employment, Spending Data Weaker Than Expected
Jul Jobless 4.9%, 4.6% Eyed, Jobs-Applicants Up, 0.83..
Aug Tokyo Area Core CPI -0.2% y/y, Jul Nat"l -0.2%

Syd EM 01:32 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
M&A news, in Friday's NZ press, Australian Gas Light is
looking to sell out of its $NZD1 bln stake in New Zealand's NGC

ISL JAM 01:28 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Correction:

Hello all! Any views on EUR/USD pls? im short at 1.2110. im very careful bcoz it hasn't moved lower for the past 4hrs. Inputs pls. thanks. :)

ISL JAM 01:27 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Hello all! Any views on EUR/USD pls? im short at 1.2110. im very careful bcoz it has moved lower for the past 4hrs. Inputs pls. thanks. :)

Calabash TarHeel 01:24 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia caba 01:06 GMT August 27, 2004
At the moment am wondering that myself. .7045 was support that became minor resistance, so I had thought anyway. May be rethinking soon. Time will tell.

gl,gt

ny dm 01:22 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
fyg looks like ny market went home short aud because of all the sellling they did in there time zone. stops are at .7070 and up to .7090 i hear

HK [email protected] 01:20 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
GOLD!
Two independent computations I made, are pointing to a target of 424.6 +-0.1$. Good reference for medium time trading. That level may form a temporary top.

I will abandon this view if gold will break below 400$

ny dm 01:17 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
aussie being brought up for the ride as the japanese and investment bank buy kiwi . the kiwi demand seems to be coming from japanse demand. the have issued kiwi denominated iradashi bonds.

Philadelphia caba 01:06 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 00:51 GMT August 27, 2004

thanks, what TA using?

Ldn 00:53 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Investment banks supporting Aud in Asia trade

Calabash TarHeel 00:51 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia caba 00:43 GMT August 27, 2004
Good Evening to you. Haven't decided on s/l yet. If it moves to around .7090 will decide whether to sell again or close it out. T/p open at this time.

Good Trades

Philadelphia caba 00:43 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 00:25 GMT August 27, 2004
Sold some aud/$ > .7048


Good evening, may I ask you what's your s/l and t/p? Thanks.

Calabash TarHeel 00:25 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
Sold some aud/$ > .7048

LA fxnew 00:19 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
anyone shorted yen?

THanks

NYC TS 00:01 GMT August 27, 2004 Reply   
So no real spike in Japan's July CPI but yen is still trading firm. If we do not see any fixing demands to buy usd jpy, it should come off to retest NY low.

 




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