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Forex Forum Archive for 09/06/2004

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Syd 23:52 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Bid Tone On Early Asia

Dallas GEP 23:49 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
YES Caba, I am, it basically hasn't gone anywhere yet!!! LOL

Syd 23:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Few details but another earthquake has shaken central Japan, may cause some concern as comes just days after 2 powerful quakes injured 43 people; 2 offshore quakes on Sunday shook Osaka, Tokyo, Kyoto with aftershocks felt yesterday. "A series of magnitude 5 aftershocks could continue up to the next 10 days.

Ltn th 23:34 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Link to APEC ministers statement. Needs a lot of reading between the lines but may be worth the trouble. Related to China and possible trend change on apec currencies paired to USD?

Philadelphia caba 23:30 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 23:25 GMT September 6, 2004
Hi GEP, are you still long $/JPY?

Global-View 23:29 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
We have discouraged broker discussions on our Forex Forum so it stays clear for market oriented updates. As you can tell, it has served us well in our 7+ years of being in operation as there are no forums like ours anywhere that we have seen. So, broker names are in our censored risk to discourage such talk and leave the forums free for those who are looking for market/trading flow..

Dallas GEP 23:25 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
B747 I am online now but not for long LOL

Ltn th 23:20 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
chippie// I havent taken trouble to look at source, but if I emember right the ads are linked to as gif or other files on other directories on GV's site. Hence they arnt censored.
On a mozilla browser some of these ads freeze the system and have to be censored this end.

Arlington Spen 23:19 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on this perfect rectangle in USD/CHF 1-hour and 2-hour bar charts? Rectangles are usually reversals, if memory serves.

Syd 23:12 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
censored write in (censored)

Syd 23:11 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
there you go...
Daily FX
Weekly Analysis of the Majors: Trade or Fade?

http://biz.yahoo.com/censored/040906/1094500518_62268_1.html

london chippie 23:07 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
still trying to figure out why F*X*C*M is cencored ---- its advertised to the left of my screen ..with 3 other brokers???!!!

Ltn th 22:50 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Syd 21:39 GMT // Missing Link.
GV unfortunately censores certain words or expletives.
If people try to open your link then replace the word censored in the url address with f*x*c*m minus the *'s it works.
Thanks for the link.

London 22:26 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
FED"S GRAMLICH in a recent interview sounded a little worried about the impact of oil on growth and general economic recovery prospects in a recent Speaking to Beckner of Market News, he said the recent spike in crude prices could have a "lingering impact" on consumption and investment, but any potential inflationary pressure from this source would be dealt with as effectively as possible by the Fed. Despite the pull-back to around $42-44/bbl from a high near $50 in mid August, Gramlich notes the threat of 'significant adverse effects" on business investment and consumer spending due to uncertainty. Hitherto the impact has been modest, but this is partly due to the fact that the Fed stated its clear intention to keep inflationary pressures stemming from oil under control, he added.
market news.

paris jb 22:10 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
10x caba, very strange indeed

sold gbp /$ with tight stop here

sell limit $/jpy at 11045 too

GL GT

have a nice dream

bye

Philadelphia caba 22:08 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
On Friday I placed orders both way. Sell & buy together.

Philadelphia caba 22:05 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 21:58 GMT September 6, 2004
Philadelphia caba 21:49 GMT

Hi, I have mini account.

paris jb 21:58 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia caba 21:49 GMT

hi mate

do u have 100k acc or mini acc?

Syd 21:56 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
China's citizens set for a punt on mystical metal

China was planning to allow individuals to speculate on the price of gold through the Shanghai Gold Exchange in a bid to boost trade, the governor of the central bank, Zhou Xiaochuan, said. The government wanted to encourage more trade in gold as an investment, rather than restricting it to hedging against price movements by suppliers and buyers, Mr Zhou told delegates at the London Bullion Market Association conference in Shanghai. "The most important thing we heard from the Chinese ... is that they're going to let citizens trade gold," said Dennis Gartman, the editor of a Virginia-based a financial newsletter, Gartman Letter. "China is one of the few societies where gold still has a mystical quality for its citizens, and if you make trading available to them, you're going to add to demand," he said. Deregulating the market could triple China's annual demand for gold to about 600tonnes, the World Gold Council said in a report released on Sunday.Allowing individuals to trade on the Shanghai Gold Exchange would be the first step towards further market opening, exchange chairman Shen Xiangrong said. Futures trading and foreign participation were likely to follow.The timetable for introducing the changes to gold trading was "complicated", Mr Shen said.
Plans to introduce foreign participants would not happen until after the future contract begins trading.Gold traded on the exchange in the first seven months of this year rose 37per cent to 154tonnes, MrShen said. By value, trade rose 57per cent to 18.25billion yuan ($3.2billion), up 57per cent. With about 12trillion yuan of domestic savings held by Chinese citizens, there was potential for domestic consumption to rise, Mr Shen said.The World Gold Council based its target on the surge in demand following similar deregulation in the Indian market, though it cautioned the comparison might be misleading.India, the world's biggest consumer of gold, used 431 tonnes of the metal last year, according to the council. Consumption was 260 tonnes in the first half of this year - up 10per cent by volume from a year earlier.Retail investors in China can now buy gold bullion through their commercial banks, which determine the price. Allowing them access to the exchange using authorised brokers would increase transparency and boost liquidity, Mr Shen said.The central bank's Mr Zhou said regulators were studying introducing a gold futures contract.This year, the government has approved cotton and fuel oil futures - bringing to nine the number of available contracts. The Chinese Securities Regulatory Commission aims to introduce corn futures in Dalian this year. A previous attempt to open up futures trading ended with the government shutting all butthree exchanges and scrapping more than 50 contracts
AFR.

Philadelphia caba 21:49 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 21:35 GMT September 6, 2004
Dallas GEP 18:00 GMT, Philadelphia caba 18:22 GMT September 6

hi,

sorry was out,

well caba it's interesting, coz i used same plateform and i had not a fill, they just canceled order,

Good evening, on Friday I left sell order @1.2120 with s/l @1.2170 at about 6:30 AM before went out. I've closed position when back @1.2056 +64 pips. Order filled exactly. So..interesting..

London 21:48 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bush Leads Kerry 52 Percent to 45 Percent in CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll
U.S. President George W. Bush leads Democratic challenger John Kerry by 52 percent to 45 percent, according to a poll among likely voters after the Republican National Convention last week, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll. The result is within the poll's error margin.
bloomberg.

Syd 21:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Weekly Analysis of the Majors: Trade or Fade?
As this week progresses we also face event risk with Friday's Trade Balance figures. Last month' s number of -$55Bn drove the dollar down 200 points. This month the market is psychologically prepared for -$51.5Bn but should the number print worse we could easily see EUR/USD at 1.2350 again. Why would the number be worse? Oil. As Michael Woolfolk of BONY points out the average price of oil in June was $38/bbl, in July it was $42/bbl but in August the average hit $45/bbl. These huge jumps in price may have material effects on the Trade Balance numbers and dollar strength at the beginning of the week may turn to dollar weakness by the end.

paris jb 21:35 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:00 GMT, Philadelphia caba 18:22 GMT September 6

hi,

sorry was out,

well caba it's interesting, coz i used same plateform and i had not a fill, they just canceled order,

Gep great call i didnt c it but 12150 was intraday support and

stop sell euro at 12142 was great indeed

GOES B747 21:03 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
good evening,

GEP, are you online?

gt

Bahrain newbie 20:35 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I tried to view the page too but got the same message. BTW I am in Bahrain too.

Toronto EDP 20:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain 10 pips.....

Specifically said....

You are not authorized to view this page
You might not have permission to view this directory or page using the credentials you supplied.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you believe you should be able to view this directory or page, please try to contact the Web site by using any e-mail address or phone number that may be listed on the www.msnusers.com home page.

You can click Search to look for information on the Internet.

HTTP Error 403 - Forbidden
Internet Explorer

Toronto EDP 20:29 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain 10 pips....tried this link http://www.msnusers.com/KhalidFree/Documents/Future%20Chart%20Preview.xls
but all I got was a message saying something about not being authorized to view it !

GA TJ 20:25 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:54 GMT September 6, 2004
Could someone pls check out this file...
http://www.msnusers.com/KhalidFree/Documents/Future%20Chart%20Preview.xls

Bahrain, I would like to take a look. But not on MSN.

athens kos44 20:23 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hi.. All the day i see that eurusd has a small range. I think that from 1.2090 is a good point for short with target to 1.200 seams 1.1970.

Good luck to all

dc fxq 19:27 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
For international data:

http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRIntCalendar.htm

for US data:

http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRUSCalendar.htm
both are excllent.

Also

www.forex analytics has, by permission, duplicated these reports on one page at:


http://forexanalytics.com/calendar.html

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 19:07 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas...Pls
Or Jim..
Thanks

NY Raider19 19:06 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Free Reign //// Those that have been discussing the free reign of the markets may also find my comments on the Help Forum regarding the free range of the markets; 21:53 GMT September 5, 2004. I would appreciate more feedback on there if people have comments, thx

austin rf 19:00 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Can someone recommend a great web page for worldwide economic data releases? I am new to the forex game and am learning how important it is to follow the releases closely.

Thanks for any help!

dc fxq 19:00 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
"Your comments are appreciated."

Can't comment since I refuse to have anything to do with MS ".net" sgin ins but I am sure others will.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:55 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Your comments are appreciated.
Thanks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 18:54 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Could someone pls check out this file...
http://www.msnusers.com/KhalidFree/Documents/Future%20Chart%20Preview.xls

this is my I think How traders should trade (Parameterized)
You Choose the Time Fram
You choose the risk Level
The Workbook Updates the live data every 20 minutes.
Comapries Your levels to the mkt and tells what to do..
for 17 pairs till next monday..

Philadelphia caba 18:22 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:17 GMT September 6, 2004
I am not sure whether or not you saw it JB, but prior to NFP release I had suggested a sell order at 1.2140 on EUR/USD with stop @ 1.2170. Well one of the guys tried that (@ 1.2130 I might add and he got filled and made 67 pips on it). So the platform providers DEFINITELY are working stops and limits differently

I did it with f*x*c*m.

Dallas GEP 18:17 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I am not sure whether or not you saw it JB, but prior to NFP release I had suggested a sell order at 1.2140 on EUR/USD with stop @ 1.2170. Well one of the guys tried that (@ 1.2130 I might add and he got filled and made 67 pips on it). So the platform providers DEFINITELY are working stops and limits differently

Dallas GEP 18:12 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
JB, what should have happened would be your limit sell order should have been filled at first available price..not sure what that was exactly...but you definitely should have been filled!!!

Dallas GEP 18:10 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I meant GNP numbers

paris jb 18:09 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:00 GMT

hi mate,

well it's normal ta have some slippage in abnormal conditions but F X C ... just canceled a stop sell order coz market gaped through it !!!!!!, well market bounced back and stayed at this level 4 dam minutes and despite this broker refused to repair mistake and execute the order, they definitly exagerate, but it seems we live in a fake world with honest people like dynasors r disappearing, look what is hapening in IRak a thousands of ton of petrol r stolen evry day by non official people, some war mafia or something like that

paris jb 18:00 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 17:20 GMT

well they used to be, recently they dont honored their order,
last friday they didnt execute my stop sell euro at 12142 entered before NFP , i checked out my 1 min chart and I found they had 4 minutes chance to filled my order 8:31 till 8:35, they just canceled my order and when i asked why they told me "market gaped through"!!!!! , i never c or heared that a GTC order is canceled coz of a market gap!!!

also we c more often at this firm the famous spike they have,

I think they will lose a lot of their credibility if they maintain their recent policy

GL GT

Dallas GEP 18:00 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Well MOST of the US based platform providers have come out with similiar statements that they WILL NOT honor stops or limits in ABNORMAL business conitions. This would include but NOT limited to NFP, Greenspan speeches, GBP, and Trade Deficit numbers. It IS howver more likely that STOPS will be slipped less than LIMITS.

Best course is to NOT trade around these EVENTS BUT if you do trade the non-USD based pairs are MUCH safer.

FloridA vv 17:42 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
http://www.newsru.com/

Baghdad F.. russian look at tis page and I'm sure u will change your screen name cuz I hate baghdad, I hate islam "fundamentalism" and I hate when u dont tell the truth.

Vancouver BC WLV 17:36 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Rome Alex: I had a problem with the co. you're trading with; they don't honor stoploss when there's a gapped up or down. It will be ignored and you'd suffer catastrophic losses or your entire acct wiped out.

bahdad Bolshevik 17:26 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
F/X/C/M always- its a bucket shop like many others

FloridA vv 17:24 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahdad are u f .. russian?

Rome Alex 17:23 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Florida vv ... archive ... searching for your name??

FloridA vv 17:20 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Go to archive and u find. now I can say they ripped me off for 170 pips on stop losses, so watch out.
F/X/C/M always kept its promice to execute ur s/l whatever market movement were.
GT
Though I liked So/lutions possibility to trade opposite at the same currency pair

bahdad Bolshevik 17:16 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
KW fxstu 16:43 GMT

i hate communists and their censorship , lets try again

m()g()f=o=r=ex

GOES B747 17:15 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
JHB CDB 14:58 GMT September 6, 2004

no; took sunny day away :-)

gt

bahdad Bolshevik 17:14 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
KW fxstu 16:43 GMT


try censored , solid firm , avoid censored its a bucket shop

Rome Alex 17:14 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 16:47 GMT KW fxstu 16:43 GMT .... I'm with FX-S-Olut-ions at the moment ... What problems did you have with them??? PLease let me know thanks!!!

FloridA vv 16:56 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
OK, my last post for today gotta go do some things.
But I love my caddy, the longer it stays @ this level 1.2960 - 1. 2990 the higher it is gona make this week hope it will poke 1.33 finally.
GT

FloridA vv 16:47 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Try F/X/C/M never tuch Solutions they still ur money

KW fxstu 16:43 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hi friends! can anybody suggest the best online forex dealers!, I tried with "censored online trading" and "FX-Solutions". I find problems with them. Is there any better than them???

FloridA vv 16:25 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
toronto( Dr Unken Kat

1.2964 is a major support, dayly MASD still pointing down, but stoch. 8-3-3 has finished its cycle and has to head up right now, I expect it has to make a quik run to 1.3050 tonight. later it depends if it stays above that level for at least 12 hours (for the next session)
GT

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 16:16 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
perfect cad long?

take a look at dayly ; momentum and macd are showing different scenario but who knows , its better to wait duringg this divergence periods

FloridA vv 16:02 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Also perfect long in Usd/Cad right now s/l 1.2940

FloridA vv 15:57 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Looks like Usd/Jpy is going to make another leg up. Reinstated longs @ 110.09 s/l below 109.50
GT

Sydney Alimin 15:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
here we go back to the old euro 1.2090-1.2110 resistant level :)

Dallas GEP 15:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Took GBP/USD short @ 1.7800..target 1.7750

CAIRO AG 15:35 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
FLORIDA

CAIRO AG 15:29 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
VV// Hope that next coming one pass quickly while ALL our friends here from MIAMI and FLOREIDA are safe and in good shape....

WISH U ALL THE BEST.

GL & GT

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Glad to see you are OK VV.

FloridA vv 15:18 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hey people!!!
Nice to get power back.
If somebody interested how is it goinng right here with Frances, telling u everything is OK. Had power down for 18 hours, some trees are down some roofs are gone but in general its OK no major losses due to a high level of organization and early warning.
But there is another one is coming and is gona be here next weekeng. That one, according to the name, "Ivan" is gona be as crazy and roothless as any guy down there in Russia with the same name. Thats a joke
But if serious, We' ve got our sand soil soaked with the water allready, that means more trees will be down and more roofs gone. But that's the price you have to pay to live in Florida.

Trading: profit stopped from Usd/Jpy. still short Eur/Usd and heavy load now with longs Usd/Cad.
GT to all.

Dallas GEP 15:14 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Well basically, if we are going to turn USD bullish it could be here on both EUR/USD and GBP/usd. GBP/USD will have moree range downward at this time

JHB CDB 14:58 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747

Have you gone short on the EUR/USD ?? Do you expect a drop shortly?

Philadelphia caba 14:37 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:31 GMT September 6, 2004
Thanks GEP, I'm just leaving for a few hours so set TP 110.50.

Dallas GEP 14:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Well Caba, I as you know take same day trades, so I would hope to see my target no longer than a couple of hours into Asia` BUT there is some thinking that we could see usd gains BEFORE then.

Philadelphia caba 14:27 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:52 GMT September 6, 2004
Longed usd/jpy @ 110.08 looking for 110.50

Good morning! May I ask you what is your time frame for this long? Thanks.

CAIRO AG 14:19 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Victor// OIL MAN is OFFLINE NOW.... just thought of telling u...

GL & GT

prague viktor 13:51 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Oil man,G.day how do u see the cable mate? where is the best level to long it @1,75 ?! ,and do u see it in 8 weeks time @1,65-1,67 level thx

Gold Coast martin 13:40 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
HK....DEAR MOM.....wait a little bit on the aud before you buy it as you will get very good entry levels close to the 31st of december.....g/t...cold ghost....

GA TJ 13:24 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hmm I find watching the the weather radar of Frances more exicting than watching the charts. How bad is that? If I don't succomb to apathy I will look at buying USDJPY around 109.80. Sell Cable in the 178.20 area. I believe King Tut's EKG has more action then the Swissy chart. Took a brief stroll the the Crosses. That was very unproductive.

If anyone sees something of interest would you let me know!!!

Syd 13:08 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
should say prior RBA

Syd 13:08 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk mom aussie may get back to 70 in the next two day prior hike , but wait off buying just yet more downside first JIMHO

UAE Oil man 13:06 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hello,

Gbj/jpy should not go under 194.50 area (or hit 189.xx), therefore it might be a good buy around those levels with takeoff near 194.50 area for 1, 2 weeks and around 200 T/P.

GL.

Dallas GEP 12:58 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I am already long usd/jpy but better entry point is 109.95, You could probably run a 20 pip stop on this one

Dallas GEP 12:57 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
GBP good short @ 1.7800, You would THINK usd.cad would be good buy but be CAREFUL trend is SHORT

Dallas GEP 12:52 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Longed usd/jpy @ 110.08 looking for 110.50

Spr Noods 12:32 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
#Operation Total Silence# ? Guess everyone is in a bit of zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 12:00 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
AB
U there?...What's the level for cable man?
Com'n I know U are there....
I Know U didn't go away AB...

hk mom 11:53 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
syd and ldn, will aud still have a chance to move above .7220 again? There are so many bullish factors in the pair, aren't there? I read your posts everyday and I am planning to buy lower now.

lisbon ggg 11:14 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
SHORT kiwi at this level is an attractive opportunity

wellington am 11:03 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 11:01 GMT September 6, 2004

Thx. Agree it's safer to stay on the short side longer term.

GL & GT yourself.

GOES B747 11:01 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
wellington am 10:48 GMT September 6, 2004

your opinion/view is welcome and noted.
seems we see GBP/JPY going to different prices from here, I do see price action moving GBP/JPY towards 185/- and below.


gt

wellington am 10:58 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 10:52 GMT September 6, 2004

So I take it you're bearish on cable and perhaps ozzy/kiwi too? Not much room for a final run up??

GOES B747 10:52 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I do consider the following trade:

short EUR/USD @ market
SAR @ 1.2073 (if seen) for 40-50pips
t/p @ 1.2005-1.2010

tia for you feedback & gt


wellington am 10:48 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Goes (NL) B747 10:42 GMT September 6, 2004
Hi Goes,

Thx for your reply. 204/05 target is upper range of last two rallies. If cyclical USD strength, then at least a 50% retracement to 199/200 range would seem likely.

Goes (NL) B747 10:42 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
wellington am 10:37 GMT September 6, 2004

good afternoon,

looking on the same data/charts; but from here is looks like GBP/JPY is set to go below 185/-

which point in the charts made you to see 204-205 as the next target?

gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 10:40 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Anyone downloaded it?
http://www.msnusers.com/KhalidFree/Documents/Future%20Chart%20Preview.xls

wellington am 10:37 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Im looking at this GBPJPY chart. Looks set for a move back up, perhaps even to 204/5. Any thoughts?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 10:34 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
I think Wed would be a entry...
MKT today till then might be a waste of time.
Guys I did an Excel file http://www.msnusers.com/KhalidFree/Documents/Future%20Chart%20Preview.xls
as part of this project

sort of has levels to next monday (17 Pairs)
+ Trader changes risk
+ Trader changes time fram (Hours)
Live data comaprision to do the trade
check it out!!

wellington am 10:28 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Going long aud/usd from .6915 target .6965. Possible upside .71+

If you're looking for a distraction that will improve your trading (well ...), check out yahoo checkers:

http://games.yahoo.com/ck

eur lg 10:28 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Mr G testifies wednesday 10:30 am ET in front of the House Budget Committee. He is expected to addressnews on back to school retail sales strength, labor market recovery, and inflation.

If recent history is any indication he will be talking growth big picture.

Sydney Alimin 10:21 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
what's the agenda for AG's speech on wed?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 10:19 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
U are right!!
I think a couple days.

Lisbon ggg 10:11 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain I will wait till that ugly sidways end ..

Syd 10:06 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
German Industrial Orders Jul +3.0% Vs Consensus +1.0%

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 10:03 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
shorting chf at 1.28 area for 200 points

London 09:54 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
BAGHDAD (AP)--A car bomb exploded on the outskirts of Fallujah Monday and there were reports of U.S. casualties, a U.S. military official said.

Further details weren't immediately available.

Lisbon ggg 09:45 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hi friends ..how your tradings on friday I were on of losers but simply due to my PC problems hope to overcome my loss today or few coming days.
SHORT nzd/usd now at 76.26 Target 75.50 stop loss 7654
cheers

melbourne farmacia 09:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
MrHuckFin 08:35 GMT September 6, 2004
IMO Buying Gbp/Usd dips down to 1.7600 looks good for the next 10 odd figure run. Break under 1.7600 negates setup. GT

Beijing Laowen 09:26 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 09:17 GMT September 6, 2004 //
Yes

hk ab 09:17 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Laowen//thanks but some jap sans doesn't want to see too low yen crosses.

Beijing Laowen 09:15 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 08:31 GMT September 6, 2004 //
Big German and US names kept selling USD/JPY from 110.5x down to 110.2x.

Gen dk 09:04 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 08:54 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
MrHuckFin 08:51 GMT September 6, 2004 ///
an Option is good for these times...selling a put strik 1.74 for 4 months

MrHuckFin 08:51 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain: I guess I was just looking for some one to agree with me (not sure how good a tactic that is) but I kind of was feeling like a lone voice in the wilderness, good to see I wasn't the only one.:-)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 08:45 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
MrHuckFin/
U are reading my thoughts almost excatly.
The last one rally will be very strong next 3 months.
Don't short this cable for that long.
Looks like a raging bull...scary

MrHuckFin 08:35 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain: I've long been of the opinion that GBP/USD should still be long and if history is of an use then it should at least give one mighty push to the high 1.9000's before taking a HUGE drop again, but right now I must admit the GBP is a little hard to read, I've been trading it for quite a few years now and right now I just can't tell what her next move is. Any thoughts?

hk ab 08:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
The invisible hand on yen crosses are strong.
See ya later.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 08:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
ab what was your entry if I may pls?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 08:28 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
ab u long cable?
if you are and take some pain for a day or two...You will be rich man

hk ab 08:26 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
yes, a losing cable long. But not to worry much at this point yet.

Sofia Milen 08:17 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hi mates/Some ideas about USD/CHF? TIA.

GOES B747 07:33 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 06:18 GMT September 6, 2004

means that FED will increase at the same rate/step...?
what you think about long USD/JPY for 40-50pips from here (109.95-110.05) for the day?


tia & gt

Prague JV 07:33 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Despite scaling a fresh intra-day peak of 1.7779 since the European
open, as the continent absorbs the news that Citigroup is ready to join the
bidding war for Cazenove (Observer), cable"s big-picture story remains one of
loss consolidation to Friday"s post-NFP 15-week low of 1.7740.
1.7410 (technical head and shoulders projected target) remains an outer target
for bears, with the 1.8130 neckline of that head and shoulders formation having
yielded a fortnight ago.

prague mark 07:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:14 GMT September 6, 2004

1,82 long CABLE? - TIA

Moskow 07:16 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   

Reliable history data
for trading system verification and precise technical analysis
Intraday data are presented since 1997

hk ab 07:14 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Isn't it just a pure Jap-Chinese fight on eur?

10 pips// I don't have much interest in posting now. Part of it is some disappointment observed.

jk// you might be interested to knowing that I am still holding on that 1.82 long 1 lot.
I will add 1.7740 if seen for another lot and then, will hold and sit on my nzd shorts and dlrcad longs. eur/jpy shorts are held too.

hk ab 07:08 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
nothing goes away from japs.....
at least till Sept finishes.

Wits MR 06:49 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew
Feel the cable will retrace first towards the 850 level, im looking to short it aroubd those levels coz its defenately looking to drop further from here. Dont feel cofortable doing it here, but if have capital sell the rallies.

prague mark 06:27 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 06:25 GMT September 6, 2004
ab:

if that is true; then it is good to long gbp/usd...


can u explain pls. - TIA

LA fxnew 06:25 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
ab:

if that is true; then it is good to long gbp/usd...

hk ab 06:18 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
747// I hear a whisper of .5% hike for the coming BOC this Wednesday.

Syd 06:16 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Housing demand may be on the rise again after a hiatus of half a year, bringing with it significant pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates. According to an average of Australia's four biggest banks, finance for housing is expected to show a strong rise of around 7.5% in July from June, a huge surge at a time when the central bank is hoping for a rapid decline, economists said Monday. Controlling around 80% of Australia's mortgage market, the forecasts of the "big four" banks on housing are closely watched, especially when they are well above the broader market consensus The four banks are Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, ANZ and Westpac. Michael Blythe, chief economist at Commonwealth Bank, is forecasting a rise in lending of 9.0% in July, saying market fundamentals are ripe for a renewed surge in housing investment. At 5.25%, official interest rates remain low and house prices have been falling since the start of 2004, creating a "buyer's market," he said. Government incentives for first-home buyers and multi-decade lows in unemployment are buoying consumer confidence, while real wages growth remains firm. "What you have got is a powerful set of factors that in normal times would have people thinking that housing is on the up," Blythe said. Tony Pearson, senior economist at National Australia Bank, said the central bank will be watching Wednesday's data extremely closely. NAB is also forecasting a rise in housing finance of 9.0% in July. If that pace of growth continues, it will be a "red rag" to the Reserve Bank, he said.
The sting of interest rate hikes at the end of 2003 has come out of the housing market and there is a risk now that investors will view price falls as a signal to buy again, he said.
"The fact is lending hasn't been decelerating...and to have a rebound is not good from the RBA's point of view. It is another factor that we do need more interest rate rises," Pearson said. Reserve Bank board members will meet on Tuesday, but no move to push up interest rates is expected. Economists expect the central bank will wait until after the federal election on Oct. 9 before considering a hike. If the rise in housing finance is as dramatic as predicted by the major banks, the Reserve Bank will be disappointed, said Stephen Walters, chief economist at JP Morgan. The Reserve Bank has made it clear it wants the pace of lending growth to drop by around 50%, so any acceleration will bring it closer to a hike. "If a couple of the big banks are right and it comes in at 9.0%, the RBA is going to hate that...they'll choke on their lunch if that happens," Walters said.

rts



GOES B747 05:52 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 05:24 GMT September 6, 2004

good morning,



there is green light from me regarding the email address, just contact Jay about it.

gt

Hyd Maldine 05:26 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
LA
GBP short at 1.7765
JPY Long at 110.20
GL

hk ab 05:24 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
747//was it just a s/t correction you are selling the USD or for the rest of the month? TIA.
btw, I haven't received your email address. thanks for that too.

Syd 04:35 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
AUD/NZD possible correction once the expectations RBNZ rate move out of the way Aud/Usd's a bit overstretched weakness possible adjusted.

London 03:58 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Iraqi Min: Report Of Saddam Deputy's Capture 'Baseless'

LA fxnew 03:44 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
what a quiet market!

Anyone can predict gbp/usd and usd/jpy?


Thanks

SG mai 02:57 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
My strategy now:
Short eurusd: 1.2070 for
Stop loss: 1.2140
TP: 1.2020

Syd 02:21 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Australian housing sector shows signs of renewed strength that could concern RBA, says Tony Pearson, senior economist at NAB. NAB expects 9% rise in July housing finance (data out Wednesday). If strength confirmed and continues in August, it will be "red rag" to RBA to hike rates
rts

Syd 02:03 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
TOKYO (AP)--Strong aftershocks rattled western Japan early Monday after two powerful earthquakes the evening before injured 38 people. The two offshore quakes Sunday - the first with a magnitude of 6.9 followed by a 7.3-magnitude temblor five hours later - were felt most strongly in sparsely populated areas in southwestern Wakayama prefecture (state), about 450 kilometers (280 miles) west of Tokyo. They also shook the major cities of Osaka, Kyoto and Nagoya, and caused buildings to sway in Tokyo. The National Police Agency said 38 people were hurt, including three people with broken bones. Most were injured in the second, more powerful quake. Aftershocks continued to rattle the region early Monday, including a magnitude-5.7 tremor, according to the Meteorological Agency. No damage or injuries were immediately reported. "A series of magnitude-5 aftershocks could continue up to the next 10 days. They could cause tsunami waves, and I urge people to evacuate to higher ground," public broadcaster NHK quoted Yoshinobu Tsuji, assistant professor at the University of Tokyo's Earthquake Research Institute, as saying Monday.
Tsunami - waves triggered by seismic activity - as high as 90 centimeters (3 feet) were recorded along the Pacific Coast Sunday, though the Meteorological Agency lifted its tsunami warnings early Monday.

Calabash TarHeel 01:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 01:18 GMT September 6, 2004
I don't think Miami got it too bad, imagine elec., phone and cable will be out for a day or two at least. Ivan is moving fast, should have good idea by Fri. where he is headed. If he doesn't turn by the Virgin Isles, Omil may need to get ready again.
Just happy that it was no worse than it was.
Get a good nights sleep, imagine you need one.

Syd 01:32 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
The total number of job advertisements in Australian newspapers and on the Internet hit a new high in August, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., which compiles the figures, said Monday. The number of newspaper ads rose 4.0% in August from July, and rose 6.2% from a year earlier, while the number of Internet job advertisements rose 4.1% in August from July to a record high, and rose 47.9% on August last year. The total number of job advertisements in newspapers and the Internet was up 4.1% in August and up 38.3% on-year, and also hit its highest level ever.
The rebound in newspaper and Internet job advertising in August is consistent with our expectation that the pace of job hiring will accelerate in the second half of the year in response to the recent rebound in economic activity," said Karen Pringle, chief economist at ANZ Bank. "We also continue to believe there is an element of pent-up labor demand in the Australian economy as leading indicators of the job market have consistently pointed to stronger employment gains than have been delivered," she said.
reuters

Syd 01:29 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   

Apec ministers say China may cut yuan free from dollar...

st. pete islander 01:18 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Hello TarHeel .... We are just fine. A bit of wind and rain but nothing too bad. As long as it is only things and stuff and not people .... we can handle the mess. Not over yet but shouldn't be much worse than it has been. The east side of the state is a different matter, however. Thus, I am worried about OMIL. Hope he is alright. Stay dry .... we only have Ivan to worry about now. gl & gt

Syd 01:17 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
NZ trade deficit seen revised to a larger -NZ$389m in July vs -NZ$373m previously, on the back of a downwards revision to July exports, which fell 8.3% to NZ$2.47bn, around NZ$16m less than estimated previously.
nzp

Syd 01:17 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
NZ trade deficit seen revised to a larger -NZ$389m in July vs -NZ$373m previously, on the back of a downwards revision to July exports, which fell 8.3% to NZ$2.47bn, around NZ$16m less than estimated previously.
nzp

Calabash TarHeel 01:11 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 01:05 GMT September 6, 2004
Hello Islander. Glad to know you are OK!

st. pete islander 01:05 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Good evening .... has anyone heard from OMIL? Would like to know that he made out okay with Frances.

Gen dk 00:49 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 00:47 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) good luck

Bahrain Within 10 Pips (S/L = 10*Spread) 00:39 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Syd 00:31 GMT September 6, 2004 //
Just placed Orders to long NZ at 1.6380 area PT 0.6680

Syd 00:37 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
HOME LENDING BOOM PROMPTS INTEREST RATE SPECULATION

Just as the home lending boom appeared to have ended, banks have reported a surprise surge in loan approvals. Major banks have reported a one-tenth jump in home loan approvals in July the biggest rise in more than a decade.. The figures are expected to make an interest rate rise more likely, putting both major parties under renewed pressure over their election spending promises. .

Australia could be about to gain access to an export market of an extra half a billion people. Trade ministers from the Association of South-East Asian Nations have voted in favour of launching formal free trade negotiations with Australia, as well as Japan, South Korea, and New Zealand.

skynews

Syd 00:32 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Concern also on the cross rate of the Aud/NZD negative for NewZealand exports.

Syd 00:31 GMT September 6, 2004 Reply   
Bancorp says last week's comments by RBNZ, that New Zealand's housing market cooling, may indicate central bank close to ending its tightening bias. Says, while markets pricing in 25-bps rate hike this Thursday, NZD/USD could be undermined if RBNZ decides current rates sufficient to stem inflationary pressures
reuters.

 




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