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Forex Forum Archive for 09/13/2004

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Gen dk 23:51 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 23:01 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
closed dlr/chf short for ..... ah... 10 pips!

GOES B747 22:33 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ok, I am going to do some other things..:-)

http://www.autoweek.nl/download/multimedia/bmw/m5-3.mp3

listen to the new BMW M5; the list above !!!
good trading and may this car will be yours !!!

gt :-)

GOES B747 22:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London chippie 21:54 GMT September 13, 2004

lol, ING is very close to me; even got some accounts with them :-)

the point is that I am not full time FX trader, I still have a company to run; so when I see chance to catch CCY movement of 2.5%-5% with 2-3 weeks; I just go for that.

gt

London chippie 21:54 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
b747 -- why not go long usd/jpy an short when you feel the time is right? you need deep pockets to keep adding to a losing postion .......remember nick leeson?

GOES B747 21:43 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 21:16 GMT September 13, 2004

thank U !!!


gt :-)

GOES B747 21:41 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London chippie 21:30 GMT September 13, 2004

thank you for your view, looks with ground,

I prefer/consider to keep the short and to add @ 110.42/78/111.14/111.40....just to kepp short postion alive.

when it will break below the 108.90; I think that I will smile abit; but it will go over 112.50/86...it will be a must to use some backup plan.

gt :-)

London chippie 21:30 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
b747 -- short usd/jpy --average 110.06 stop 110.40 target 109.65 for now

GOES B747 21:25 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London chippie 21:17 GMT September 13, 2004

thank you, are you JPY bullish??

gt :-)

London chippie 21:17 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
B747 -- you read this --re usd /jpy ???http://www.global-view.com/beta/research/index.html?nid=899

Rivonia PipPirate 21:16 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
g/y:
196.81/198.62/196.42/197.71

Budapest Daniel 21:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
sorry the previous was eur/jpy :-D



196.84/198.62/196.38/197.69

GOES B747 21:14 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
thank you Daniel; but I actually asked for GBP.JPY.

can you help?

Budapest Daniel 21:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
134.32/135.08/134.13/134.97

GOES B747 21:07 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
do somebody feels to help; I need Monday OPEN/HIGH/LOW/CLOSE for GBP/JPY.

thanks in advance & gt

GOES B747 21:05 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Left with USD/JPY shorts; averaged @ 110.10, any ideas for this position?

gt :-)

wisconsin tim 21:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Well closing half the euro.yen shorts here for just on the +ve side of BE.

Heading to the pub for steak fry and MNF and will be well into a six pack before kickoff.
When, what should have been last year's NFC Championship game, will be played out on Monday night 9 months later.

london d 20:38 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
yes daniel and thats why its back here.

Global-View 20:35 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
More on the budget deficit:

(from GVI): GVI john 20:04 GMT September 13, 2004
Cumino-- My source projects a FY2004 gap of $405-415bln gap after a September (tax payment month) surplus vs. $374 bln in FY2003. I frankly do not follow it. I ll continue to try to confirm.

Budapest Daniel 20:31 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
135 has already been passed about 2 hours ago

london d 19:59 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
car company.....

london d 19:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Very large offers above 135 in eurjpy

Dammam A 19:19 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Global-View Thanks
Seems no effect on Forex!!!

Global-View 19:10 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
(from GVI) GVI john 19:09 GMT September 13, 2004
YTD (11mos) budget deficit -$437bln, up $36 bln for this point last year.

Global-View 18:48 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
(from GVI) Provo John 18:05 GMT September 13, 2004
US Govt deficit $41.14 bln (below forecast I think). What is the total YTD?

Dammam A 18:42 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello people
Is Monthly Budget Statement today?

Budapest Daniel 18:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
seems like there is absolutely no effect after today's data release (if there were any thus far)

Gold Coast martin 18:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish 17:52 GMT September 13, 2004
"loose....or win......"...should add to previous post............

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:53 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
see you later my friends !!

Chicago Irish 17:52 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Well Martin a schizophrenic trader should be long and short :-
)

Gold Coast martin 17:49 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Confucius say "forex trader with schizophrenic personality cannot loose"........

KW fxstu 17:45 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden//
Which trading platform you are using? Your posts are very impressive...

KW fxstu 17:43 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Yes. Daniel... You are obsolutely right. It could be better if GV follows the other forums, like posts are linked to usernames logged in...

Budapest Daniel 17:32 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
I knew the post were not from you. It would be great to have fix names that can't be used by others like on other forums...

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:24 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
this post is not from me.huuu...hu...bad habit.
"Indonesia solo Raden mas 17:19 GMT September 13, 2004
See how Euro/usd Listening me.Now dange r to keep long position. Better see now!
Careful if USD/YEN break 110 and if crash to 109 , may see 108 tomorrow morning breakfast.
Its very danger to be long .
Sell ! Sell!I am full confidence, I made 500 pips last wek. SO obey me"
I hope gv delete that post.

Indonesia solo Raden mas 17:19 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
See how Euro/usd Listening me.Now dange r to keep long position. Better see now!
Careful if USD/YEN break 110 and if crash to 109 , may see 108 tomorrow morning breakfast.
Its very danger to be long .
Sell ! Sell!I am full confidence, I made 500 pips last wek. SO obey me

prague viktor 17:17 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden how do u see the euro in the next48h

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
gold
after broke 404.50, thinking about 407.56
better focuse on buy. wait lower level for buy.

Toronto EDP 16:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Wisconsin...thanks tim some wise words, good advice and guidance there. Will check the archives.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:54 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
gold.
have touched 404.50
sell level.

Sofia Alex 16:52 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas

Tks for help GL>

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:48 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Sofia Alex 16:43 GMT September 13, 2004
eur/jpy.
better exit your buy if touch 135.11. maybe that number is top

cairo ksh 16:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd seem in favor of short at the moment,risky though

isn;t treasury today at 2 p.m eastern ? will that have any effect ?

wisconsin tim 16:44 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
toronto, if you mean by S/T anything less than an hour chart, I learned long ago to not trade off those signals. There are some that can do it and I am not one of em and it cost me big time $.

if by ST, you mean 4hr to daily charts for a day long position, I use a combination of things DMI, a smothed RSI, Trix, previous candle lengths, fibs, this forum, and the levels I post nightly.

basically it's finding out what works for you as an individual. look at archive for my EURYEN chart from last night that is basically what got me in EUR/YEN short this morning. Although now that it looks like it might be pressing above 135 ... maybe ken was right and it's a little too bullish right now to try and pick a top but the r/r seemed ok to me this morning.

Sofia Alex 16:43 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Any view on eurjpy ? Tks

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:41 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd
be carefull when touch 1.2271. maybe move down from there.

QC Swap 16:39 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Short Eur/Usd now at present levels.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:39 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco tg 16:26 GMT September 13, 2004
ok. np
thanks...always say thanks. you are all my friends. all are great.
we want to get profit together here.

SanFrancisco tg 16:26 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas, just so there is no confusion, my post addressed to you regarding Sterling was not meant as a combative comment, but only to add my perspective to yours.

Dallas GEP 16:26 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Sell level on GBP/USD is aroung 1.7995 now. 1.7965 is key pivot level.

paris jb 16:25 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
well seems euro grimping slowely

trying to end the day in green territory

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:24 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
cut your selling gbp/usd now,caused by 1.7965 be shown. wait entry level again for action.

Dallas GEP 16:18 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
I wouldn't be too hung up on proper english, anyway. Half the time we don't know what we are saying to ourselves in the US anyway. I think we all do remarkedly well especially those that english is not their first language. Money, family, happiness, sex are all universal anyway. So wth, if someone has trouble with understanding a post just ask.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
in my TA gbp/usd before 8 minutes from now will get selling pressure. sell now(1.7960) with stp if show1.7965

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London Sindhujarg 16:09 GMT September 13, 2004
I understand sir.
thanks. don't be seriously with that. ok?
I want to be my self always.
once more..thanks.

Toronto EDP 16:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim..wud appreciate a comment on what you consider to be a good indicator for S/T ? ...and thanks for your informative posts.

SanFrancisco tg 16:11 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
If the batman protester on the Buckingham Palace ledge slips buy Sterling at 1.7920.

London Sindhujarg 16:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:24 GMT September 13, 2004
just be your own self raden...as long as your trades are understood pal,all's well.

foxy fox,you,gep,ICT are all great.we all can learn a lot from you all.

keep it coming...my view on eursd is -ve to neutral for this week.

Dallas GEP 15:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Thnaks ST.

As far as GBP goes, we could see another bounce up from 1.7930 area. What is happening is EUR/GBP is exerting it's influence.

SanFrancisco tg 15:32 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden - mmm mmm, not for me. I'm not selling Gbp unless it is closer to 8000 today. Good day.

GOES B747 15:28 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
imo & fwiw;

take a look at JAPAN stocks trading @ wall-street.
going long JPY looks not too risky for now; today's gain in NIKKEI + WALLSTREET + tomorrow's data = JPY gain.

market providing good prices top long JPY at the moment.

gt :-)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:27 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
friends !!
sell gbp/usd when touch 1.7975 !!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:24 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London Sindhujarg 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004
Lasta masta.
next time I prefer write my view like this :
sell now at... !!!!
buy now at ... !!!
sell when touch ... !!!
buy when touch ...!!!
price is under counting down !!
...is the top
... is the bottom
etc..etc.. LOL
no compromise view.
thanks you for your support. :-)

QC Swap 15:23 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Good day people.

It looks like Usd/Cad has lost some steam.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:19 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
"London Sindhujarg 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:08 GMT September 13, 2004
I love the way you always make your statements like an ongoing movie.. danger...e careful...hurry...warning...etc. etc.

thanks raden, you make the forum lively and of course your analysis is pretty good too. keep it up mate"

We (me and all my friends) laugh together when I inform them your post to me. my friends give me comment : raden...you must go to English course.! and I answerd them :" yes..you are right..but numbers is general code and sell or buy and numbers are easy to be understand". LOL

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 13:37 GMT September 13, 20
I inform you ,caused by show me 1.7946 that's mean will going to below 1.7925 but not so far. ideally get 1.7914-09.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 13:37 GMT September 13, 2004
sorry..got bussy just now.
actually I want to inform you before that 1.8007 is the top..but forgot.. sorry,
focuse on 1.7909 or 1.7871

London 15:07 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Michael Moskow says he still favors following a gradualistic path of raising interest rates, a modest pace of interest rate hikes allows the Fed to gain knowledge about the actual path the economy is taking and how activity is reacting to the changes in rates. If we are wrong in our assessments, it's easier to reverse it.
Chicago Tribune


Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London Sindhujarg 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004
LOL. that's caused by my bad English. :-) only that words that I know. LOL..LOL

NY 15:01 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Please can anyone tell me about USD/CHF?

NY 14:57 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
about USD/CHF ?

hk ab 14:57 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
London, shorted dlr/chf 1.2598 here.

LA fxnew 14:53 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
hi gep:
your target for usd/jpy still valid?

TIA

London 14:28 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Federal Reserve Governor Susan Bies said Sunday the central bank , but isn't facing overwhelming pressure to raise rate
"In the long run, we need to get the short-term interest rate above the rate of inflation," Bies said. She said there was no urgency in pushing rates up, as "we're not hitting on all cylinders yet, and I think that gives us time."

KW fxstu 14:24 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP //
I appreciate your posts 4 fxnew.
Can you plz give the target of cable for the remaining day
Thanx

Calabash TarHeel 14:04 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:54 GMT September 13, 2004
You are so right about The Heels looking weak, looks like another long year lies ahead, actually another two years Imo. I would think your Horns should have a good year. Rams Club really screwed up, not matching Brown's offer from Texas.
I don't see any trades I'm interested in at the moment. My short on gbp/jpy missed the fill by 12 pips.
Looks like rain for the rest of the week, so I'm getting outside for the rest of the day.
Good Luck, Take Care.

houston st 14:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- I wanted to compliment you on probably the best trade I've seen you make in awhile, when you got out of your usd/chf short on Friday...I'm sure you didn't want to but it was the smart thing to do...good trades to you this week.

Dallas GEP 14:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Cowboys pass defense VERY suspect and Minnesota probably has the BEST passing offense around. Bill Parcells will go BALLISTIC this morning on the boys in regards to the penalties and the brain dead coverage schemes.

On the currency side, Aussie shorts in play now

melbourne farmacia 14:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Australians 'kidnapped' in Iraq

Dallas GEP 13:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
1.3010 would be good short on USD/CAD however. 1.2640 as well (short) on usd/chf

wisconsin tim 13:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, that's what happens when Michigan gets tossed by the golden domers =) ... upset by the 'boys inability to crank on the vikes

Dallas GEP 13:54 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Your Tarheels were a little weak this weekend. TEXAS squeaked by are still ranked 7, I don't get it.

BTW, I don't see any great entries on ANY pair at this time

Dallas GEP 13:51 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW....my view is that it will short...I think the high for today has already printed

LA fxnew 13:37 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
gep and raden:

what is ur view on cable pls?

Thanks

Calabash TarHeel 13:27 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Imho & fwiw (probably nothing): If Hurricane Ivan continues it slow drift to the west, possibility of some oil rigs in the gulf being shut down for a day or too seems high.
gl,gt

GER ad 13:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 16:36 GMT September 9, 2004
Long AUD/CAD at 0.8833
……..
Again I closed a great position for only few pips (now 0.9045). F…

Gen dk 13:06 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GOES B747 13:05 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD below 1.7940 = GBP/JPY under 197/-


gt :-)

Dallas GEP 12:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW....109.65

GOES B747 12:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
JPY: going through make of break stage.


gt :-)

LA fxnew 12:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
geP:
what is your target on usd/jpy?

THanks

Belgrad KZ 12:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
What about USD/CANADIAN $ now? I think, it should go to 1,3000-1,3015! Your opinion appreciated! TIA

Toronto YV 12:35 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
CANADA Q2 LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY rose 0.1% as output and hours grew at a similar pace. This is less than the consensus estimate of a 0.6% rise.

Gen dk 12:28 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 12:28 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
That looks very good to me YIPPiE

NYC YIPPEE 12:24 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
FWIW buying eurusd at 29 s/l 09 target 1.2380.

wisconsin tim 12:23 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
shorting EUR/JPY here with stop above 135.10 INIT TP 133.63

Dallas GEP 12:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
KL, eur/gbp influence

Dallas GEP 12:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Took USD/JPY short @ 110.26

IST Sez 12:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
KL,
UK Out put prices and house prices higher than expected rates.GL

GOES B747 11:54 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
adding more shorts GBP/JPY + USD/JPY
s/l as posted earlier..


gt :-)

KL KL 11:51 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Any idea why euro falling pound going up?? What news out ??anyone tia!!

Sydney Alimin 11:49 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
hi guys, any view on usd/jpy for short term trading? is it still ranging?

Gen dk 11:32 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 11:29 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Closed e/p shorts

prague viktor 11:26 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Filip,agree with u it must be on the mkt ,but its seems to bethe CBs dont like to give the free way of working ,look to the Fed how start to talk about the usd such kind of talk it wasnt befor is that meaning the fed start a passive intervention ?g/l

Dublin Flip 11:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
BTW because I don't believe in interventionist policies I don't think that GWB Snow or anyone should really be effecting currency policies - let the market decide. I was just drawing attention to the divergence between public posturing and reality.

Dublin Flip 11:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
The RMB float talk from US is just political BS that goes with the election season. Manufacturers and Workers groups want to know why there has been no results from all the public posturing with Asia from Junior and Co.
It's worth remembering $jpy was 114 when Bill dropped off the keys to George. The average $jpy over the course of this presidency (200weeks) is 118.40. So much for looking after US business in the face of unfair currency regimes....

prague viktor 11:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
i hope so mate,or it will be very big shock to the mkt its true for mr Bush it will be a very good sup.in his reelction,we must wait to the G7 meeting g/t

Gold Coast martin 10:53 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 10:36 GMT September 13, 2004
all the talk is from the american side as a renbimbi to market is very advantageous to them because of their high trading deficit with china...china knows this and since it will be more detrimental to their economy for an early introduction, they are just diplomatically agreeing to take action to rectify their currency and counter-act american pressure....g/t

GOES B747 10:45 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
good afternoon,

GBP/JPY: short @ 198.07
USD/JPY: short @ 110.02

s/l @ 198.65 & 110.30
t/p @ shshshshshshhsshsh...


gt :-)

prague viktor 10:36 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
martin,thanks but as i heard maybe it will be in few weeks Im not sure from this informatin but that is the talk now here do u have idea about that timing thx G/T

Dallas GEP 10:35 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys,,,,,Eur/gbp is barely holding on. .6700's will be seen soon. Target on my shorts is .6780 area

Gold Coast martin 10:25 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004
While China has made willing gestures to appease the world markets in relation to its currency a full implementation of the renbimbi to market is at least 3-4 years away...earlier implementation would be a disaster to a country that is undergoing an"INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION"...While gradual implementation will have a a -ve on the usd it will be unnoticeable when world wide economic fundamentals... are taken into account..Where it will have a distinct affect is the euro as the renbimbi will become the second currency pf choice....that is in the long term....in the short to medium term no affect on the yankee dollar as the process of market introduction of the renbimbi will be slow....G/T

London Sindhujarg 10:20 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
was wondering oil man the crazy crackpot...miss his funny views.anywhere here earning in excess of 2000 pips monthly consistently and interested in managing account let me know.

prague viktor 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Martin China has made a decision to release the yuan from its dollar peg ,how it will be the impact on the usd ,and on the euro thx.

London Sindhujarg 10:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:08 GMT September 13, 2004
I love the way you always make your statements like an ongoing movie.. danger...e careful...hurry...warning...etc. etc.

thanks raden, you make the forum lively and of course your analysis is pretty good too. keep it up mate

London 10:11 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC would appreciate your opinion on Martins view as you are directly in the line of fire there thanks

eur lg 10:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
thanks Martin........very solid.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd have made sell signal to remobe target not at 1.2208 but 1.2203. be carefull !!!

Gold Coast martin 10:06 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
One important thing to add...China has been receiving large foreign capital flows which in turn it lends to businesses of a high risk nature...in turn the debt is sold in the form of bonds to foreigners.....the biggest buyers of chinese bonds have been europeans...i leave the rest to your imagination....g/t

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:06 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
still not yet thinking buy for aud/usd.
ideally touch 0.6990 early before go down.

paris jb 10:05 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor

I m pure technical mate, just watsh calendar to mange my position and profit from volatility after numbers

sorry cant help

Dublin Flip 10:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
As a comparison of 5year returns...
Nasdaq Down 62%
S+P Down 25%
Dax Down 44%
Ftse Down 35%
Nikkei Down 62%
and
ASX ...... up 29%

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
hello. about gbp/usd
gbp/usd have touched twice 1.7989, I suspect chart remove low target not at 1.7909 but 1.7904.
first target low is 1.7955 as first indication.

Gold Coast martin 09:59 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
eur lg 09:41 GMT September 13, 2004
The Chinese government currently is trying to tighten the lending and also removing some of the incentives that foreign companies enjoyed previously in their capital investment to china...all in an effort to slow the phenomanal growth...if you want to quantify this i gues the chinese dont want annual growth of 10%...5%-6.5% seems like their target..add to this the pressure of the US to bring the renbimbi to market and declining worldwide demand for "chinese " produced luxury items and this points to a landing between "soft" and "hard"...one thing for certain ...there will be less demand for commodities which in turn will effect commodity currencies....this contrived slowing of growth may in turn also affect the demand for oil which may influence the oil price in the weeks-months to come down to the 32-36 level...Chinas slowdown may be good for world economy as it will restore equilibrium and currency stability in the months to come... g/t

Dublin Flip 09:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
For those who aren't aware the Aussie stock market is up over 9% YTD - the world best performer on any yardstick from 1year to 5year performance....

prague viktor 09:54 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Paris merci,do u think it will be lower or higher from the last tim -76,6it was .

Dublin Flip 09:52 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Lg despite Hang Seng rallying impressively rallying lately (but not as impressive as the Australian All Ords -LOL) China's stock market is lower by 30% over the past three months.
See CHINA SE SHANG 180 A SHR

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:49 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
shorted aus/jpy

paris jb 09:44 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
prague there is 13Sep 18:00 USD Trsy Statement ET

Gen dk 09:44 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

eur lg 09:41 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Martin small question: Do you have any thoughts on the discrepancy between the China slowdown you mention and the recent Hang Seng performance (up) ? The 2 don't seem to go hand in hand, or is because the slowdown is believed that of "soft landing" ?

tia

paris jb 09:40 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
zzzzzzzzzzzzz, monday still light action

prague viktor 09:39 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
paris any foracast for the USD Monthly Budget Statement..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:25 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
shorted cable

Gold Coast martin 09:20 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Sorry that should read..6978///not 68...

Gold Coast martin 09:17 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th 08:59 GMT September 13, 2004
As you may recall last week i going against my medium to long term view posted that the aud would level out at 6867 and would rally to 70.25-30..while the bottom was seen the upper level did not eventuate by friday,,,,this is due to the commencement of a cycle of slowing in commodoty currencies due to Chinas imminent slowdown ..this is reflecting my posts on the chinese slowdown of 4 weeks ago.....currently look for the aud to trade between 6915-6879 until the next round of US data releases .....g/t

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:14 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Curren High Low Trend
EURUSD 1.2310 1.2001
USDJPY 110.36 108.98
GBPUSD 1.7985 1.7713 Sell
USDCHF 1.2792 1.2495 Sell
EURCHF 1.5435 1.5301
AUDUSD 0.7019 0.6828 Sell
USDCAD 1.3192 1.2737 Sell
NZDUSD 0.6572 0.6445
EURGBP 0.6886 0.6728 Buy
EURJPY 135.11 131.54
GBPJPY 197.11 194.44 Sell
CHFJPY 87.73 85.67 Buy
GBPCHF 2.2847 2.2290 Sell
EURAUD 1.7916 1.7168 Buy
EURCAD 1.5981 1.5529 Sell
AUDCAD 0.9252 0.8702 Sell
AUDJPY 76.76 75.11 Sell

New York City pws 09:07 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
For Cable trade..currently looking for a test of new intra day highs on the heels of solid PPI and housing data..followed by a possible retracment to approx 7960-50 level..at this point with what is in place, I doubt we test the lower 7900's...the pound is showing resilience to dollar stregnth, and looks to only need slight weakness to push further up...looking for the US session to boost the pound past Fridays high of 1.8025. Nothing on the calendar for today going fwd that should push us significantly lower...GT all.

paris jb 09:07 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dammam A 08:51 GMT

CAD Labor Productivity Q/Q (2Q) 12:30 0.6% 0.4%
USD Monthly Budget Statement (AUG) 18:00


gmt time

Ltn th 08:59 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
AUD didnt get down as far as I would have liked. Where is Martin when you need him?

HKG SK 08:55 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Time to buy Dollar now 1.2250 looks to break soon when Europe become fully operative hope to see 1.2180 at least.

Dammam A 08:51 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Any data to be released to be at the moment?
Thanks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:45 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 07:56 GMT September 13, 2004
bahrain, looks nice a nice call on gbp/jpy so far. I have a short entry in at mid 197.20's which doesn't look like it's gonna fill today///
walla...LOL

Gen dk 08:43 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:42 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dammam A 08:08 GMT September 13, 2004
still not yet clear to continue going up.
still valid to hope 1.7909.

hk ab 08:40 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
I don't mind on your "joke" indeed.....I will test it out soon when I make up my mind to short USD. :D

hk ab 08:39 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
nt//One wild card on eur/jpy is that we are now on the 2nd week of repatriation month.....

One more thing is eurgbp may play wild game when Mr. Brown got spotted....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:38 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Short GBp/Yen at this level
and Cable at 1.7984

hk ab 08:38 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
nt// Sorry for the late reply, recently, not v. enthusiastic in this biz.

For eur/jpy, I think those manipulator will not let go so early.
Normally, they can lift this up for a few days till another roof reached. I would say, at least 5 trading days.
Buy dips....

KW fxstu 08:23 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dammam A 08:20 GMT September 13, 2004
I appreciate your post...
Thanx.

Dammam A 08:20 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
KW fxstu
Cable's not istable this time

KW fxstu 08:17 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Dammam A 08:08 GMT September 13, 2004
I too agree wuth your statement...

Dammam A 08:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas
Isn't cable going to the other direction?
Thank you

wisconsin tim 07:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
bahrain, looks nice a nice call on gbp/jpy so far. I have a short entry in at mid 197.20's which doesn't look like it's gonna fill today

Budapest Daniel 07:55 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Can anyone tell me how are things with the EUR/AUD currency pair now? Is it bearish in the short term?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:44 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
sell again gbp/usd now when at 1.7942 and cut reverse when touch 1.7909

houston ken 07:37 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
from personal opinion trading on sundays makes no sense

Moskow 07:29 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   

Reliable forex historical data
for trading system verification and precise technical analysis
Intraday data are presented since 1997

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:27 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
in my analisis, eur/usd seem ready go down from 1.2252 level.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:19 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad.
very nice bottom if touch 1.2894-90

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd
0.6935, but major is at 0.6919. be carefull when chart touch these numbers..very interesting with what will hapen from there.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:51 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad
have done exactly at 1.2845 and then up (see my archieve!)
now will go to 1.3027 (top)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:45 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf, go to 1.2656, maybe so many usd sellers wait this level for action.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:41 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
also eur/usd about 1.2208.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:39 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
but be carefull when gbp/usd touch 1.7909, maybe buyers wait there.

DAK TK 06:37 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Stockholm.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:37 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
are ready gbp/usd will go to 1.7909 ?
better sell now.

DAK TK 06:36 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Never Mind... WPI= Wholesale Price Index...

Ldn 06:35 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Large vanilla [AUD/USD] 0.6975 and 0.7050 option expiries
today.
USD/JPY] stops below 109.30, 109.00. Option barriers at
108.90, 108.80, 108.50, defensive bids ahead, stops below, both massive

Stockholm AGuy 06:34 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
DAK TK 06:29 GMT: WPI = Wholesale Price Index. Inflation gauge.

paris jb 06:33 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
LAS 06:11 GMT

10920 is a tough support followed by 109,so if u trade for 30 pip it may good call, if not it's an anticipated 10920 break trade , my experience say anticipation often dont work and beter to sell the break

GL GT

DAK TK 06:29 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone here know anything about a German data called "WPI" data? TIA for any related info.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:16 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks SNP I am glad you are ok buddy. GT

LAX-LGB SNP 06:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
there's a below <--- what am i saying ? this summer heat has fried my brain !
OMIL glad to hear ya're ok !

p.s.
£/CHF looks worth buying ahead of 2.2573-84
£/¥ looking good as long as 195.92-196.82 holds
but hard to commit if Gold cannot stay above 401.50-402.23

st. pete islander 06:15 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
I know this is a strange request, but if there is anyone with experience with the old Trade Station program, would you take a look in the Help board? Thanks in advance.

Ldn 06:13 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR ECON: Germany Aug WPI +0.6% m/m, +4.2% y/y, Very Strong

LAS 06:11 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
i shorted usd/yen at 109.52 ... anyone like that call?

LAX-LGB SNP 06:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Beijing SAS 03:02 GMT September 13, 2004
sorry but I do not know of a €uro Index
however the ECB website has published the nominal effective exchange rates of the euro as calculated by them. They are based on weighted averages of bilateral euro exchange rates against 23 major trading partners of the euro area.
There's a below entitled 'Weights in the EER-23 indices based on different reference periods' @ this link

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:01 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   

To GV :
I hope GV delete my post at 05.52 GMT. not good looking.
Thanks.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:00 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Usd/Jpy
Level Sell :
109.74
110.54
111.15
111.36
112.24
112.24
112.76
113.36
Level Buy :
109.47
108.52
108.27
Aud/usd
Level Sell :
0.6994
0.7062
0.7151
Level Buy :
0.6895
0.6935
0.6919
Gold
Level Sell :
404.50
407.40
410.20
Level Buy :
399.15
397.87


GL GT


Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 05:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning, guys!
Tell me, pls, Asian low in EURUSD. TIA

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:57 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/usd
Level Sell :
1.8076
1.8140
1.8237
1.8253
1.8321
1.8346
Level Buy :
1.7904
1.7868
1.7811
Usd/Chf
Level Sell :
1.2614
1.2656
1.2688
1.2703
1.2743
Level buy :
1.2459
1.2530
1.2379
1.2322
1.2231

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd
Level Sell :
1.2322
1.2379
1.2459
Level buy :
1.2231
1.2208
1.2171
1.2105

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:52 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
13-Sep-04

Level Sell Level Buy
Eur/usd 1.2322 1.2231
1.2379 1.2208
1.2459 1.2171
1.2105

GBP/usd 1.8076 1.7904
1.8140 1.7868
1.8237 1.7811
1.8253
1.8321
1.8346

Usd/Chf 1.2614 1.2459
1.2656 1.2530
1.2688 1.2379
1.2703 1.2322
1.2743 1.2231

Usd/Jpy 109.74 109.47
110.54 108.52
111.15 108.27
111.36
112.24
112.24
112.76
113.36

0.6994 0.6895
AUD/Usd 0.7062 0.6935
0.7151 0.6919

Gold 404.50 399.15
407.40 397.87
410.20


Yustin Andi

st. pete islander 05:46 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ML .... Yeah, the old salts down in the islands have been preaching that for the last three years. They say it is the cycle. I suspect we will see some vast damage to the new population centers near the water over the next few years.

I'm not excited about anything thus far. I'm looking for an end to the summer blahs and a return to some kind of "normal". So, for now, just a few simple and small buy on dips in the Euro and a quick click when it balks. gt. Oh, and you've got mail. TTFN

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:34 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Ausie
Shroting around .7012

ICT ML 05:34 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Islander.........the scientists and farmers almanac (according to a cousin) are saying we exited a relatively calm hurricane weather pattern that lasted 30 years in 1989....and are in the beginning of a new "normal" cycle of frequent violent storms......with the difference being now all the development in areas that grew in the "calm" period will get hammered repeatedly for the next 20 years..........

I hope they were all smoking dope when they came up with that thesis..........

Trading wise we covered our mid-term $CAD shorts @ 1.2895 Friday. Looks like it could bounce around a bit before heading to 1.2675 and from there probably bouncing hard if the monthly charts stay the way they are. If it fails, then a calculatd move to 1.1600 $CAD is the first medium term target we found.

Haven't sen anything else yet that makes me want to dance this week so I will be lurking until the water clears a bit ;->

Syd EM 05:05 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
According to IFR......AUD is technically highly oversold and a
strong close tonight will trigger bullish signals

Ldn 05:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Fears Tehran could build five nuclear bombs
The Telegraph, London

st. pete islander 04:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ML ... Glad to see you on. We in FL have had the feeling equal to that of a dart board goalie, if you catch my drift. Ivan is a few hours away from beginning a turn more to the northwest and then on to the north ... but that should keep the southern half of the state out of the main mess. Northern Gulf coast is in trouble, however. It will be a nasty one when it hits. gl

hong kong nt 04:56 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
AB -- what's your view on EUR/JPY this week?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:45 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ML I am hanging in there a couple of technical problems, some inconveniences but the family is fine. I hope you are right about Ivan and it does not make a nasty turn like Charlie did. Not that I wish it upon anybody else but I think we have had our share of hurricanes for the next decade LOL. GT

ICT ML 04:40 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
OMIL my friend, glad to see you are okay. Was wondering about you for awhile there. Ivan is nasty, the C-130 guys that fly into them said its the nastiest they have ever seen. I think Florida will be spared this one though but wouldn't bet on it.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:36 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello I hope everyone is doing well. I have been off of a while dealing with hurricanes but so far no casualties and that is always good. I am looking at the eur/usd pair, as intraday indicators are in O/B territory and turning bearish, mid-term indicators are bullish and long-term indicators remain bullish for the time being. For intraday plays it is buy on dips for this pair. Resistance is now at 1.2310-20 (top T/L), 2330-40, 2475-85, and 2640-50. Support is 1.2250-60, 2210-20, 2180-90, 2150-60 and 2120-30 for now with the bottom T/L just under the last support. Retracement if 1.2310 holds is 1.2245-50, 2200-05, 2165-70 and 2130-35. Pivot is 1.2428, 2368, 2316, (2256), 2204, 2144 and 2092. We are still dealing inside the infamous pennant and summer range. I thought that by now we would of broken either way from this range but that has not happen yet. FWIW I am in a long position and looking for 1.2340 to print soon but the upper T/L has held off any bullish moves as the market decides on where it really wants to go IMHO. GL GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:31 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Short more cable here

Ina co'z 04:16 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Sorry i means 134.70 for resistance.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:14 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/YEN Order almost there... (197.15)

Ina co'z 04:14 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
IMO... eur/jpy : support at 133.70 and resistance 133.90 for intaraday. gl/gt..!

Ina co'z 04:07 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello Raden..how are you to day ?
hope to day is good start for get Money..., pam2.. !!!..:-))

Beijing Laowen 04:01 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 03:58 GMT September 13, 2004 //

You are the most diligent nice player here, whom I have observed for a long time. Welcome!

wisconsin tim 03:59 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
yeah, i see that ...

won't do anything tonight with it but I still think in the 134.70-80's might be a good try to snag a top for this pair for a push down to at least 133.60's which would be the 1st fib of the up move 131.55 - 134.91 (assuming 134.91 remains the top)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 03:58 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
hello everybody !!
hello mr_co_z !!

houston ken 03:43 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
on your chart dont you see that dmi + is about to cross over showing bullish

houston ken 03:41 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
dont short tim , you will be trading against a trend

wisconsin tim 03:38 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
just wondering ... was thinking of a short if we can get a little higher with a stop above 135

EUR/YEN chart

houston ken 03:28 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
dailychart is trending up so any oversold is a buy like 4 hr chart indicates

Ina co'z 03:27 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   

Hello All...Good Morning...!

wisconsin tim 03:23 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ken, hourly,daily ... little more info would be helpful. personally i see it smack dab in the the middle of a daily triangle from may. just wondering thanks

houston ken 03:20 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
tim the charts and indicators are indicating so

Beijing SAS 03:02 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB $NP ,

Is there a EURO Index available similar to the U.S. Dollar Index ?

wisconsin tim 02:57 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ken, why do you say EUR/YEN is bullish?

houston ken 02:53 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
euro yen is very bullish

wisconsin tim 02:22 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
fxnew,
In a nutshell, I use break higher of close r1 to buy and lower of close s1 to sell. But it is not a "blackbox" system and I will trade in accordance of where I think we are in the ST trend.

for example: i might not take a long eur/usd position at 1.2317 since it is closing in on the range ceiling. I take all signals immediately after a major data announcement as these have been the most reliable. I also implement ST trend directions to fade short at close R1 and long at close S1. BTW, I only trade signals that happen in early NY now since they are more "reliable".

Dallas GEP 02:03 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
YEP Toni. I am

Ltn th 01:42 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
ANZ sentiment survey shows market highly polarised so that "any move outside range 7000 to 6780 likely to show vigorous extension"

Global-View Research Section 01:38 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Daily Forecast for U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen September 13th 2004... CLICK HERE to see the report

LA fxnew 01:36 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
tim ;;
how to read your post?
s1 r1 close?
Thanks

wisconsin tim 01:09 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
9/10/2004 AUDUSD 0.6985 0.6905 0.7017 0.6828
9/10/2004 EURGBP 0.6851 0.6808 0.6873 0.6809
9/10/2004 EURUSD 1.2317 1.2216 1.2366 1.2154
9/10/2004 EURYEN 135.10 133.93 135.40 133.68
9/10/2004 GBPUSD 1.8032 1.7885 1.8077 1.7795
9/10/2004 GBPYEN 197.78 196.00 197.76 195.46
9/10/2004 NDZUSD 0.6585 0.6509 0.6639 0.6468
9/10/2004 USDCAD 1.2948 1.2852 1.2959 1.2778
9/10/2004 USDCHF 1.2629 1.2529 1.2675 1.2465

HK SC 01:04 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
I think the slow start reflects market uncertainty.

LA fxnew 00:53 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
everybody is still on vacation?

Barcelona Tony 00:10 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
GEP U AROUND?

Syd 00:08 GMT September 13, 2004 Reply   
China Aug Imports Up 35.6% On Year To US$46.91 Billion, Aug Exports Up 37.5% On Year To US$51.4 Billion, August Trade Surplus At US$4.49 Billion

 




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