Forex Forum Archive for 09/14/2004

Geneva DC 22:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I can't liqudate my cad/$ short!
of course you can!
just call their desk

Toronto sj 22:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Lugano f. 20:42 GMT September 14, 2004
GGCCII
Just talk to them. They said it will be back in about an hour.
:-<<

I can't liqudate my cad/$ short!

Panama City Beach, FL Chris 22:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Thanks guys...

Mad CAB 22:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Panama City Beach, FL Chris 21:44 GMT September 14, 2004
Ret.Sal -0.3%
GL/GT

wellington am 22:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Panama City Beach, FL Chris 21:44 GMT September 14, 2004

http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRUSCalendar.htm
http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRIntCalendar.htm

GER ad 21:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD,
Closed 1/2 position at 1.2937 and moved S/L for the rest at cost.

Panama City Beach, FL Chris 21:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> Thanks for the support. Looks like the hurricane is going straight into Mobile Bay, should be another Opal for us. Good day for the EUR|USD intra-day. I watch the 15min bars. I know the retail sales were lower than expected, anyone have an actual number? I look at the yahoo briefing economic calnedar but the numbers aren't there. I'll be watching the London open Wednesday morning and I'll be shutting down things Wed night for the storm. The house is boarded up and I feel like I'm in a tomb right now. Good luck to anyone else in Ivan's path.

Good Trades To All

ICT ML 21:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Still not seeing anything that makes me want to dance this week. Almost sold $CAD again at 1.3000 but thought the bouncing was not quite over and passed on it. Hope I didn't blow a good entry for the rest of the week for 1.2675 tgt.

Calabash TarHeel 21:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin
Hello Martin
I sent Jay a request for your e-mail addy, haven't heard anything yet. You?
Tia

Gold Coast martin 21:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 20:27 GMT September 14, 2004
Always....

Lugano f. 20:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   

tks for reply.
didnt asked, have my stops there...lukely!
nice eve to all...

QC Swap 20:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Closed my USD/CAD longs. have a good evening folks.

wisconsin tim 20:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
did you try their tech support

bahrain gd 20:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
lugano,
g c c iii site is still down. as per their reply: it is under some upgradation maint.

Lugano f. 20:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
TO sj 18:32 GMT September 14, 2004
Anybody using censored? Is their site down?

Thanks



still down?anybody have news about it?
bye

slv sam 20:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 15:35 GMT September 14, 2004
sold euro at 1.2285 as a short term trade for 50 pips s/l 1.2310.GT

closed for 40pips profit!GT

Brisbane L 20:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin have you been up all night ?

Gold Coast martin 18:50 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   


TO sj 18:46 GMT September 14, 2004
IF they dont soon..i hope they have hurricane insurance..they going to need it....

TO sj 18:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 18:41 GMT September 14, 2004

Thanks a lot. Hope they'll be back soon.

Dublin Flip 18:43 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ROFL - very good cumino.
Yeah I think there are a few scratching their heads and using the up to 1.27 then down to 1.05 type calls. One of them has to be right -LOL
I have enough trouble calling one direction occaisionally and these yet guys manage a few. They're very good-LOL

Gold Coast martin 18:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
TO sj 18:33 GMT September 14, 2004
Yes the platform is down..hope not too long...hope ivan didnt blow them away like the oil platforms....

pd cumino 18:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
To say the true Flip some speak regard to what they represent. For example regard to JPM only technical guys are (rather) bullish USD and moreover in a month or so view, because are calling EUR very high in the long term.
The same could be said for other banks. By calling simultaneusly higher and lower all these banks are very unlucky when currencies are so flat. :)

TO sj 18:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I mean GGCCII

TO sj 18:32 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Anybody using censored? Is their site down?

Thanks

Dublin Flip 18:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
FYG, JP Morgan, Citi and Merrills have been saying the same thing as MSI. We've a few who think of themselves as being against the consensus currently.

prague viktor 18:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
this is from Morgan Stanly(The dollar is likely to surprise most investors. We have just completed our quarterly forecast revision and reaffirm our out-of-consensus structural USD view. The dominant view in the market remains overwhelmingly USD bearish short- and medium-term, but we believe the USD index has bottomed, and will gradually reassert itself in the quarters ahead, particularly against GBP, AUD, EUR, and JPY.

GER ad 17:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Long USD/CAD at 1.2917

Van jv 16:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L ///thanks, appreciate reminding election

Dallas GEP 16:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Closed GBP/USD shorts @ 1.7986 from 1.8006

QC Swap 16:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Long some USD/CAD. I am a little late for EUR/USD short. I'll wait and see for better prices.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
friends..let me say "see you later"
have a nice trade.
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

london ab 16:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
iraq. bloomberg: http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000039&sid=asFK.vOLlqHc&refer=columnist_derosa

The Dinar will open on Forex and float
From what has been publicly revealed, the plan is for the dinar to be a freely floating currency

a peg to the dollar? 1us$= 1460 IQD that is forcast to change to 1US$=900 IQD. Rich in natural comms. the dinar was .31 to 1 IQD during sanctions and 3.25US$=1 dinar. how can they open when the rate is so week. speculators would break the peg. Any thoughts on this new issue????

wisconsin tim 16:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
exiting all eur/jpy shorts

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:07 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:04 GMT September 14, 2004
yes, you are right.

paris jb 16:06 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ok done for today

good day in fact, another proof to do not going heavy lol

my long cable was a great trade but stoped out

so it's amazing to c market doing what we want and ending loosing instead winning,

I think only in trading we can do this lol

have a nice evening all

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 15:34 GMT September 14, 2004
sure I totally agree with yours.

Dallas GEP 16:04 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
To the newbies out there, please don't assume they are any of us here REALLY know for sure where this pricing action will take us. We make educated guesses based on vastly diffrent systems and indicators which at times will fail I assure you.

Los Angeles ss 16:03 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Thank you raden mas.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
warning !! gbp/usd if down fast to 1.7985, mabe move up fast too.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd for short term chart make broadening type. ussually is difficult trade in this type. full speculation., but for middle..clear about the message 1.8079-86 as the top. I think form there will get crash in selling action.

Gen dk 15:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd is good and normally in my TA system down fast until 1.2263, and ussually move up fast too. very good caused by low 1.2263. be carefull !! eur/usd ussually after get low then make new high.

LA fxnew 15:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
lets watch cable test high again !

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:51 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 15:42 GMT September 14, 2004
you are welcome. I am happy if you got profit.

Dallas GEP 15:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
OK.....I know you guys have talked about this...but there DOES seem to be some confirmation with this price action that 1.2300 defenders can at this time hold off the euro bulls. That also means GBP probably doesn't have ALOT a chance at this time to go much longer than it already has. USD/CAD should START to long also along with usd/chf

eur lg 15:43 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
HK guys, you seem to have good insight into eur/jpy. Do you have any thoughts on timing of a selloff in the crosss?

Budapest Daniel 15:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
forgot to say THANK YOU VERY MUCH for Raden!! You're a priceless bro'

Brisbane L 15:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Van jv with the election in 2-3 weeks cant see aud over 71 (I may be totally wrong) to much uncertainty

Budapest Daniel 15:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I'm short gbp/usd. filled at 1.8029 and hope to get down to 1.7980...

slv sam 15:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
BOJ hands? anyway..it serves my last trade!!

Dallas GEP 15:38 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden, great call on Pound, my friend.

Los Angeles ss 15:37 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- where do you see GBP/USD going from here (1.8010)?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:37 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
gbp/jpy after touch 197.42-52, now is toll free to get 196.56.

hong kong nt 15:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:11 GMT September 14, 2004
hk ab 13:19 GMT August 17, 2004
bkk//my post yesterday...
US has a flu, europe will have the cold.
If US dies, europe is in the censored already.
ISM, other index are still above 50 while ZEW is diving hard now.

True for another month now.....horrible.
Let's see when ZEW is at single digit (just kidding). But seems 1x.xx is not far away with eur being fooled with the eur/jpy.


WHY NOT FOCUS ON THOSE FACTORS WHICH ARE MORE COMPATIBLE WITH YOUR TRADING TIME FRAME?

slv sam 15:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
sold euro at 1.2285 as a short term trade for 50 pips s/l 1.2310.GT

Van jv 15:34 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas//////Thanks for Ur comments....AUD mid term/this month/ expect .72 -if fundamentals not intervene---any opinion

HK Kevin 15:34 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Also long USD/CAD at 1.2919, s/l under 1.2877, t/p 1.3010.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
to usd/cad players.
in my system , usd/cad chart is on the area that give possibility move up fast from here,. with target still 1.3027.

Bribane L 15:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
According to IFR Aussie also has options 7070 Wednesday and 7050 Thursday. so may find it hard from here , suppose it depends on Euro

paris jb 15:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP seems cable is on false break not cad lol

Gen dk 15:29 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GOES B747 15:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 15:26 GMT September 14, 2004

which one of them?

gt

Dallas GEP 15:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
OK hard support on usd/cad at 1.2900,,,,1,2920 also but THAT could be a false break,,,,,I dunno

hk ab 15:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
747, when's your option expired?

Helsinki iw 15:25 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Like that trade GEP, Canada is going to get it tonite. But Iīm talking WCH, hahah.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:25 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
There is talk of a plain vanilla option rolling off at the NY cut tomorrow at 1.2300 with another large strike expiring on Thursday and a large one at 1.2320 too (IFR). This may be what is holding up the show for the bulls at this time IMHO. GL GT

GOES B747 15:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:19 GMT September 14, 2004

noted, I like your reply.
cheers !!!

gt

GOES B747 15:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:19 GMT September 14, 2004

noted, I like your reply.
cheers !!!

gt

Budapest Daniel 15:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
now time to go down for gbp/usd :)

Dallas GEP 15:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Longed usd/cad @ 1.2930

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:19 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
still any chance if follow buy aud/usd now to get 0.7065 with stp if show 0.7031

Dallas GEP 15:19 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
B747, Well COMPS are a hellll of alot different than a friend paying for your meal....If he orders FIRST and gets a hamburger, I wouldn't then order a steak and lobster!!!

slv sam 15:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
This time if euro will not take 1.23/20 I am selling it for short term.GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Babuyan Isl MGW 15:08 GMT September 14, 2004
gbp/usd focus on 1.8025

GOES B747 15:14 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT September 14, 2004

I will never ask you "would you like order something"

gt :-)

paris jb 15:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
at what precise time is london fixing plz??

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
If I look aud/usd chart ideally get selling pressure from 0.7037, but that level have been broken until 0.7042 , that's mean will go to 0.7065 as the Top. better plan selling in two place 0.7035 and 0.7065 if shown.
maybe gbp/usd still enough energy for up, also eur/usd too (1.2322 = TOP)

Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
B747....yep I agree...but they didn't know THEY were going to have to pay for it!!! LOL

NY Raider19 15:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Rochester 14:53 GMT, In your search, you may want to confirm whether a firm is an Introducing Broker (IB) for another and what that implies...

Babuyan Isl MGW 15:08 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:57 GMT September 14, 2004

Whats your view on gbp/usd now? thanks.

GOES B747 15:03 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
FYI: I called here to buy DOX.N @ 20.40/50 few days ago, I am cashing out with 10% net/net.

it may go up more, but I see negative market (mobile phones are SELL and DOX.N bills it); so I will step out and will keep post regarding future purchases (if any).

gt

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I have been through some inconveniences but we are still alive and kicking on this side of the world. Hope you are doing well also. GT

Gen dk 15:00 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:57 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd..please stay..wait eur/usd and gbp/usd and usd/chf get ideal start. !!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd have done at 0.7037.

nyc jk 14:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
very prescient, OMIL. and speaking of turbulent waters, hope you are making out ok through all the hurricanes?

GOES B747 14:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gep, the fight is not @ GBP/USD fields // the war is at places when JPY tries to control the FX markets.
imo, their tools (JPY) are so cheap to hold over night that the guys can really make and break us.

btw, what ever you get for free is very expensive on the price list :-)


gt

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
about gold.
ideally price move high but not so far from 407.50, and then reversal, maybe from 407.90

LA fxnew 14:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
raden is that 18025 or 18056??
thanks

Rochester 14:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Hi all,

I'm new to FX and I've been doin my homework, looking for various FX firms. I've heard from others that the FX world can be kind of shady as its not regulated and I want to find a reputable firm. In my search, I came across a new platform, and was wondering if anyone knew anything about this firm and/or about the platform? Any help is much appreciated!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf when touch 1.2530..maybe that number is bottom.
be carefull. !!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 14:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   

nyc jk 14:28 GMT September 14, 2004
When I made this statement I was not sure how turbulent the waters were going to be as the market is suffering a lack of correct balance for a trend at this time. How quickly the market forgets the dollar started getting stronger partially because of intervention remarks by the BOE and that may be part of the X factor (this factor can come into play later on) that surrounds this Bermuda triangle that we have endured through much of this year IMHO. GL GT

Miami OMIL 19:12 GMT February 3, 2004
We also have to be aware of the intervention that could happen if the euro continues to get stronger against the dollar. These will be interesting times for the forex community I hope everyone is careful because I feel we are headed for waters a bit more turbulent than I am use to IMHO. (/;-> GL GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:50 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hey friends..
be carefull with gbp/usd when touch 1.80256..maybe thta level is top.
danger for hold your buy, caused by aud/usd have touched near 0.7037

paris jb 14:50 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
well cable and euro trying to breakout , but enough time to do it today?

Dallas GEP 14:45 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
B747, last time I was in Vegas, we had a 400 dollar bottle of SAKI (on them of course) and the BAD thing about it is that I couldn't tell it from the cheap stuff!!!

censored of a fight on GBP....1.7990's are trying to hold off the shorters....don't THINK they can but we will see

nyc jk 14:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
gvm - well losses are dissapointing to anyone, but 10% is a manageable number. if you have always followed trend following strategy, I suspect you had a very nice year last year. I remember our conversation, perhaps we can take it up on the political forum though if you want to further discuss, I think Jay will be most unpleased if we get into a big debate about that here!

paris jb 14:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 14:28 GMT

may i ask how many years u r arround??

GOES B747 14:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
side effect of saki...must read DEBT

gt

Sydney gvm 14:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
farmacia - yep - and when a client gives you money to risk - whaddya do - place the trade...

- all said and done I really do appreciate this forum - doesnt always help me make money but definetely helps me keep focused.

GOES B747 14:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
they could enjoy so much saki with thay money :-)

gt

Jakarta Cakradara 14:38 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
The U.S Currency may drop this week, the U.S trade deficit shrank to $50.1 billion.
The dollar may also weaken as sales at U.S retailers.

Sydney gvm 14:38 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Thks nyc jk

Think the last time we chatted I was ranting about the rights of terrorists. Still feel we must talk with at least try to talk with these people.

My fund at -10% YTD so what the censored do I know

I s'pose at least I havent lost all my client funds

...have a better one

melbourne farmacia 14:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 14:18 GMT September 14, 2004
The big game... between the so called "Asian Interest" one end & The Fed top side..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 14:35 GMT September 14, 2004
//
Sound very much right!!
chf seems very strong

GOES B747 14:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
the normal movie is running, when US deficit comes out; the proud largest doubt holder shows to support the USD.

deficit up = USD/JPY up

gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
MKT Might Get Volitile these days..."Chf"

Jakarta Cakradara 14:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR BUY @ [ 1.2245 ], Tgt ; [ 1.2321 ], Stp Loss [ 1.2187 ]
R1 : 1.2312 Strg (10 Sep High)
S1 : 1.2222 Strg (13 Sep Low)

nyc jk 14:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
gvm - definitely one of the more difficult periods for trend following forex funds in recent memory. there's an article on ft.com today you may find interesting , titled "Year of misery for hedge funds focusing on forex" cheers.

Gen dk 14:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 14:21 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Maybe B747,,,,, went short GBP/USD at 1.8008 stop ABOVE today's high, TP @ 1.7970

Sydney gvm 14:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Are the ranges we have had to trade in the last 6 months; as a trend follower; not the most difficult you have encountered in the last 15 years - or am I just getting too old for all this stuff?

北京 14:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP-JPY-CHANGQIKANHAO

GOES B747 14:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gep, your call for 109.30 for USD/JPY means that EUR/USD will put 1.2320 as support within 8HRS; looks too difficult for me :-)

gt

Gold Coast martin 14:15 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 14:12 GMT September 14, 2004
Before my time flip{..euro going south for winter!}...like NEIL YOUNG said.."this one is for you!"....lol

GOES B747 14:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD is the key at the moment for GBP/JPY; looks USD cannot hold below 1.8000

gt

Dublin Flip 14:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Martin that's three dinosaurs and bona fide legend (Neil Young)-LOL

Sydney gvm 14:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast - spent the last weekend in your hometown with my 85 year old parents - they were doing the winter bird thing from NZ - 'My house is a very very very nice house....'
I'll shut up now

Dallas GEP 14:06 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Well I have no possies now other than eur/chf shorts. I think I will take gbp/jpy long @ 196.60 if seem which it MIGHT not be

Sydney gvm 14:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Had a good long lunch with another CTA today and we got all philosophical about the lives we lead - its weird - up a couple hundred points on a position/couple of % month to date and ya feel like talking like Gandhi - down a couple and ya feel like the CIA is watching and listening - paranoia plus...this has gotta be the most intense approach to life anyone has ever imagined - dont ya think?

GOES B747 14:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
thanks for your opinion GEP.
btw, what is your current position with GBP/JPY?

gt

Gold Coast martin 14:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 13:58 GMT September 14, 2004
LOL...arent they 4 dinasaurs?....good trades .....

Sydney gvm 13:58 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Thks GEP - guess I should go brew some strong coffee and put some Crosby Stills Nash & Young on the stereo - its gonna be a long night

Sydney gvm 13:56 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
My system just got long yen futures at the top - censored - should I hold - or should I dump?

Dallas GEP 13:56 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GVM...109.30 is probable. 109.00 possible but no more IMO

Sydney gvm 13:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Apologies - should read 'Dallas'

Dallas GEP 13:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
B747, well not a bad idea. 196.50 would need to be stop IMO

paris jb 13:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
another failure test of 7990 and 2270

Sydney gvm 13:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallis GEP - view on $/yen - thanks mate

HK [email protected] 13:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Seems the whole world wants to get at 1.2245. Too obvious!!!

Dallas GEP 13:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
YEP JB, IF SEEN is the key. I am not sure it will be now but I will try and get 1.2045 ask

paris jb 13:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:58

yes good entry arround 40 if seen, Talline : cable should break 7990 first and euro 2370

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 13:48 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
it didnt top the fridays high ,has bounced off the BB, on 4hr macd has crossed , cable also has ,

GOES B747 13:48 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP,

would taking GBP/JPY and GBP/JPY longs is good for the moment?

gt

HK [email protected] 13:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Can't see a reason why the USD will not devaluate. Looks like a classic case B-4 a move to Eur-1.2330/50 range.
Per observation on the Eur/Usd chart, once price will reach that domain a move to 1.30 vicinity before election will be more probable. So what can stabilize the USD in face of such ugly figures? Likely a major exit from USD may commence b-4 the elections as no one likes to be caught while others will out ahead.

Tallinn viies 13:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
wouldnt be suprised to see 1,24

Dallas GEP 13:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
A eur/usd long around 1.2240 could work with target around 1.2285 with stop below today's LOW

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 13:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Tallin -Viees - wher e do you see euro in the next few dayz
the resist diagonal hasnt been violated , im targeting 2030 , what do you think

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Sorry That was Todd...emailed me for DDE Help in VBA
Sorry Tim

wisconsin tim 13:30 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
bahrain, ask jay for my email ... what 1/2 hr download

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:29 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim ///
The 1/2 Hr Download is Problem is OK Now?

GOES B747 13:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
one more point (not for day trading): truly Japanesse name buys real American name (i.e. Sony/MGM) through it's US arm.
SONY is posting in JPY...USD/JPY below 104/- = 100's of millions books profit for SONY; think about it.
as most of us know; SONY is very active in FX trading markets.

gt

hk ab 13:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/jpy exhausted so fast? disappointing...

wisconsin tim 13:25 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
adding to eur/jpy shorts here

Gen dk 13:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GOES B747 13:21 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 13:17 GMT September 14, 2004

we go is OK, will we arrive there?
take care, breakers and makers are very active.

gt

Dallas GEP 13:20 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Well, have some eur/chf shorts from 1.5440

hk ab 13:20 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
747, starting from last Thur eur/jpy manipulation, I think they will have their hands off till 2 more days later. Mighty group.

Dallas GEP 13:19 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
OK, one COULD assume we have had HIGH printed now at least for US session on EURO and GBP. It that assumption is valid, then range trading still in effect IMO between LOWS we already have and HIGHS just printed with news release

Tallinn viies 13:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I cant undersatnd how those US numbers always come so bad??
anyway, dont weant to be at euro short right now.
covered now

Sydney gvm 13:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
B747 - we go there

GOES B747 13:15 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
what 1.2300 and 109 have in common?

gt

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:15 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad is very interesting when touch 1.2972. move up from there to finish at 1.3027 or 1.3051

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd stiill valid to hope 0.7037, move from low 0.6997

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
also usd/chf can move down fast when touch 1.2585-98

hk ab 13:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:19 GMT August 17, 2004
bkk//my post yesterday...
US has a flu, europe will have the cold.
If US dies, europe is in the censored already.
ISM, other index are still above 50 while ZEW is diving hard now.


True for another month now.....horrible.
Let's see when ZEW is at single digit (just kidding). But seems 1x.xx is not far away with eur being fooled with the eur/jpy.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
also eur/usd when touch 1.2258-53, maybe move up fast from there. be carefull !!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:08 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
be carefull gbp/usd when at 1.7980-75, maybe move up fast.

slv sam 13:08 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
it is important fight between ud$ bulls and bears going on now imho!! aside but watching closely!GT

Chicago Irish 13:07 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Yup:Give people enough rope (aka leverage) and they will hang themselves.

wisconsin tim 13:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
yep ... i agree, losses are always someone else's fault

Antwerp Tom 13:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
i was probably the only one warming up...LOL

paris jb 13:04 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:58

yes GEP, but they give u the capability to have 1:200 leverage, u need a lot of discipline to respect the rule

in fact "they" know that we cant be always disiplined and

they let us playing heavy to be stoped out

but as i said earlier that is the given of trading problems and we should "faire avec"

GL GT

Gen dk 13:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tw tpe 13:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
anybody. jpy highafter data. trader got my long usd/yen done at 109.47.

Dammam A 12:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD,USD/CGF,USD/JPY & USD/CHF ...to where r they going?Any one plz.

paris jb 12:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
NYC 12:49 GMT

sure NYC that is the way : shark, broker playing always the best side,ECB BOJ interventions, platteform freezing etc........ all of this r the given of the problem and we should stomak all these contraints and make money,

my problem is my job wich is in OPTIMISATION, and in trading we can not optimize...
10x

GL GT

Dallas GEP 12:58 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Well ideally the MAX position size of any ONE possie should be no greater than 10% of equity. The MAX one should have counting ALL possies is 20% of equity. And this is MUCH more aggressive than most. Some use 3% and 5% for example using dame scenario

Antwerp Tom 12:57 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Warming up to take 1.23...imho

nyc jk 12:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
jb - wouldn't put it past the broker to unethically trip a margin call, but if you are within a matter of pips of getting margin calls all the time then you are trading too big position size relative to the size of your account. either post a bigger deposit , or trade a smaller position size . cheers

paris jb 12:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 12:46 GMT

they r all almost the same, they earn enough money in spread in and out, so I think playing fair is not too much to ask

but I m responsable too , i should play only size that could stomack the knee jerk without having margin call or delete all my buy stop or sell stop orders before numbers,

GL GT

Dallas GEP 12:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
YEP possible TOM, for sure

NYC 12:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
jb. Maybe you should evaluate your trading strategy rather than blaming it on someone else. (P.S. I am not a broker).

Antwerp Tom 12:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP, it could also just have been some profit taking, closing positions right after initial spike imho GL GT

GOES B747 12:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 12:42 GMT September 14, 2004

sorry to hear that, but when we sign the paperwork to open the account we provide them the right to do that.
they are there to make money, and we are the customers.

do you think that other broker did not the same?

gt

Budapest Daniel 12:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
cable is flying instead of eur/usd... what a pity

paris jb 12:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 12:36 GMT

well for traders and weak hand shark r their own broker in most case, my broker made it again, he used knee jerk to likidate my long cable on margin call !!!! executed my buy stop order and immediatly liquidated it on knee jerk drop !!!

professional in taking our money

Budapest Daniel 12:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
this eur/usd is ridiculous now.

Makati Obelix 12:39 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
MGW of Babuyan Is. IMO, its bad for $ as deficit worsen.

Dallas GEP 12:38 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I would be careful about selling USD on this news because as you notice USD got intially sold off with news but THEN market used it as opportunity to buy more USD/ Logic would dictate some MORE USD selling but will logic prevail??? I would wait 30 minutes at least to let things settle.

GOES B747 12:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
sharks are stronger than any data; find a shark and follow him.

gt

Babuyan Isl MGW 12:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Makati

Is that good for USD or bad?

Makati Obelix 12:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
US Current Account widens to $166B

wellington am 12:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Oil up, poor retail sales, bearish continuation pattern - anyone else picking a DOWn night for the DOW?

GOES B747 12:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
imo,

SONY-MGM deal: if true, we are facing a historic moment that may bring SONY out as the Microsoft of the digital consumer electronics.

when flat-screen, home-cinema, A/V products are considered (we are just before the massive-global UP move for this products); they will pay the 2.9B in full before 2007.


gt :-)

Budapest Daniel 12:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Ger, how much pips loss do you allow for yourself?

GER ad 12:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY,
out at 134.50 (-7 pips)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:06 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Aud/usd will go 0.7037 ..top
but ideally move from low 0.6980.

I am flat now.see you later

Dublin Flip 12:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES (where is that BTW???) B747, Housing prices like any asset are driven by credit creation and money liquidty i.e. the ol "too much money chasing too few assets" rule. Currently we have plenty of liquidity thanks to central banks massive escalation of money supply over the past decade. Even so, French real estate is up only 68% over the past 7 years which is less than 8% per year compounding, Italy 62% (7% per year), germany is a -3% (i.e. less than 30% below trend). This after a protracted early ninties recession so if you went back to 1989 and used 15 years the asset growth would be far less as yearly percentage . It's hardly off the charts asset inflation we are talking. Things may well come lower but even by your pessimistic correlation to inflation a pull back of 15/25% (to your mean) is small potatoes and therefore risk is topside still.
I hope you are right and that things don't go too crazy in the future as that would put themselves at risk when there are enough risks to the system with an aging and work-shy demograhpic. A bubble isn’t when things go up. It’s when the prices have no relation to reality.

Best of luck in the week ahead

GER ad 12:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
DATA,
The market have own dynamic for the moment, most of the data will be under the expectations (right now). I think that will be not a bad play to go against the exaggerations moves AFTER the data. GT & GL

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:04 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
sell again gbp/jpy when touch 197.47-197.53. maybe sellers wait there.

Babuyan Isl MGW 12:03 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
test

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:02 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I look gbp/usd move down from 1.7967 to 1.7920 before shoot up.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
after broke 1.2628, ideally usd/chf move down from 1.2650/56.
so eur/usd I thinking about possibility 1.2208

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
OES B747 11:20 GMT September 14, 2004
I think about 199.17 - 199.72 - 200.88

Dallas GEP 11:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
OK Raden, Thanks I was just wondering about that RE: data

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 11:09 GMT September 14, 2004
about US data, I think still good for sell usd, my system say the same.

Dallas GEP 11:50 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
YEP....

QC Swap 11:48 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Closed out my USD/CAD short. I don't want to be caught when econ. #'s come out.

Barcelona Tony 11:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
MSN Y! I meant

Barcelona Tony 11:43 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP good morning, are you available??

Gen dk 11:38 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Budapest Daniel 11:30 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
dear moderator, thank you for helping me....

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
to usd/cad players.
clear signal to get 1.2972, maybe buyers action there.
still have chance for sell to get that number.

GOES B747 11:20 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas

GBP/JPY: today range will be 250-300pips wide, now we got only 100pips range.

what are your plans regarding GBP/JPY to face the range of 250-300pips forecasted range?

tia & gt

Los Angeles ss 11:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
thanks Raden.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 11:12 GMT September 14, 2004
please plan buy again if touch 1.7920.

Los Angeles ss 11:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- bottom for GBP/USD?

Dallas GEP 11:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden, how does you system allow for data?? For instance in less than an hour and a half we have some big US data annoucements. Technically these look like reversal points BUT if data is good then we will have usd breaks.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:08 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
about gbp/jpy.
caused by broken of 197.07 (buying respone from here is finished) ,now I got number is at 197.56 as the bottom.

Budapest Daniel 10:57 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
what about buying eur/jpy now? is it possible to go bullish today?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Also to Philadhelpia caba.
have a nice you
Philadelphia caba 17:16 GMT September 9, 2004
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:07 GMT September 9, 2004

eur/gbp chart seem still difficult to get 0.6850.
action sell now for deposit possie.

Hi, what do you mean "deposit possie"? Thanks.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:07 GMT September 9, 2004
eur/gbp chart seem still difficult to get 0.6850.
action sell now for deposit possie.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:02 GMT September 9, 2004
eur/gbp still any space to get 0.6856
logic if eur/usd still difficult to drop and let gbp/usd drop early.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I am happy to Sofia Alex.
Have a nice you.
ndonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:48 GMT September 13, 2004
Sofia Alex 16:43 GMT September 13, 2004
eur/jpy.
better exit your buy if touch 135.11. maybe that number is top

GOES B747 10:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip:

it is very clear that you are not among the people who 'print a ticket' upon arrival to their work.

GDP + 2% = Inflation (long run average) // any increase in housing prices above this level is the correction/retracement.
life always bring us back to the hard facts; you cannot pay more you than you got (but well to buy for more than you got).

consider buying real estate in CH, in your standards is the cheapest there !!!

Los Angeles ss 10:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas--please clarify your last post on GBP -- what do you see as the bottom in the next hour or so? Thanks/.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 10:33 GMT September 14, 2004
I think have get ideal when touch 17952, also eur/usd when touch 1.2235, also usd/chf after touched 1.2627.
all are on the key level/danger level. good for try to reverse.

QC Swap 10:37 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Still holding Usd/Cad short though.

QC Swap 10:34 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Got rid of my Eur/Usd short

LA fxnew 10:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
raden:
where do u see the bottom for cable? and its target for today?

Thanks

Dublin Flip 10:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
apologies for my sunny disposition. It's the only sun I get-LOL

Cape Town 10:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Since launching our global house-price indicators in 2002 we have focused on OECD countries, but in our latest quarterly update we have added China, Hong Kong, Singapore and South Africa. Home prices are rising at double-digit rates in 11 of our 20 countries. LINK

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf.
see my archieve about 1.2627.
have a nice you

Dublin Flip 10:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Well I hope we get the weather you're hoping for mate. I just think European real estate has been so cheap for so long people tend to get all paranoid when prices actually go up. Like here, they come of a very low base so comparing price rises is a bit like comparing growth rates of children with ages varying 1 to 12 years old-LOL

As JC Trichet says in US everyone is overly optimistic and aren't aware of the risks whereas in Europe the opposite is more the case.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
finally gbp/jpy got 197.07, also eur/usd, gbp/usd.
have a nice you.

GOES B747 10:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 10:12 GMT September 14, 2004

when income and GDP compared, then EUR lands housing markets will crash first.



gt :-)

Dublin Flip 10:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
or the US I should have added....

Dublin Flip 10:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Guys if you think european housing market is a bubble I suggest you need to get out more-LOL
Ireland maybe but it's also got the only population growth and young demographic in the OECD and is a really a unique situation. Spain has had some housing price acceleration but the rest are not even in the Global top ten of countries at risk of housing bubbles. Bottom line is everyone in Europe is closer to retirement age than young turks taking out their first mortgage. Europe may have plenty of problems but from what I see Paris and Munich Real Estate is an absolute bargain compared to here, UK or Asia.

sar jf 10:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
as a comment for some people who maybe finding trading a bit tough but still enjoy financial markets - there are a number of other careers other than trading to pursue until you gain the knowledge to better participate in something that not everyone will become good at. I always say to people in over ten years ive only seen three people make money year in year out - the rest have highs and lows and the lows win whether its one day or 12 months - so i hope people can preserve their capital until they have the tools necessary to reward them for the amount of time they are spending trading. gl

London chippie 10:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
europe m --you have a target in mind ...1.5250???????

GOES B747 09:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=businessNews&storyID=6228794

pay attention to the Smith Barney part


gt :-)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 08:26 GMT September 14, 2004
Bahrain, are you planning on going long EURAUD @ 1.7504?///
Small Update on levels

EURUSD 1.2469 1.2041
USDJPY 111.68 108.35
GBPUSD 1.8273 1.7657
USDCHF 1.2845 1.2325
EURCHF 1.5541 1.5307
AUDUSD 0.7131 0.6789
USDCAD 1.3181 1.2843
NZDUSD 0.6747 0.6389
EURGBP 0.6885 0.6753
EURJPY 137.06 132.63
GBPJPY 200.64 194.69
CHFJPY 88.99 85.74
GBPCHF 2.2869 2.2349
EURAUD 1.7836 1.7356
EURCAD 1.6159 1.5733
AUDCAD 0.9209 0.8903
AUDJPY 77.83 75.32

KW fxstu 09:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
is it possible for CABLE to touch 1.7930 ???

Gen dk 09:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 09:37 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ZEW inflation is bigger problem than growth.

GOES B747 09:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Iraqi POLICEMEN demonstrate against the prime minister as they beleive that he does not enough to protect them.

anyway, many people in this forum said that Iraq is no more an issue in FX trading.

gt :-)

europe m 09:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
sorry that was filled at 39.

europe m 09:30 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
short eurchf at 40..got filled!
bye

London 09:29 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Saboteurs Blow Up N Iraq Multiple Oil Pipe Junction - US
may affect oil price NY open ?

sg tw 09:29 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
antbody game enuf to buy chf here

GOES B747 09:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 09:27 GMT September 14, 2004

German banks love to hot BUBA (and also other kinds of them) officials in luxury hotels; where is the surprise?

gt :-)

Ldn 09:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
German bank was said to have sold EUR/USD in good size just before release of ZEW

GOES B747 09:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
PAR 09:22 GMT September 14, 2004

fwiw,

ECB taking rates up will mean for ++100 million people in EUR countries a crash in the huosing markets; income is not going up and people are tight to the cent with the monthly payments.

They (i.e. ECB) knows that; looks like a time bomb !!!

gt :-)

New York City pws 09:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
1.7950 feels like it might be the bottom of the cable move down..big support level on the hourly chart..UK fundamentals support a move up from here.

Ldn 09:25 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Looking Good As High Yielders Push Ahead IFR

GER ad 09:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 134.57 tight S/L

GOES B747 09:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 09:20 GMT September 14, 200

3 more HRS; if EU and US data will be opposite; today may bring +++150pips ranges against EUR & GBP.


gt :-)

PAR 09:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ZEW expects ECB to raise interest rates to contain escalating inflation..

paris jb 09:20 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
euro and cable fading the numbers, bullish sign, bears be careful

eur lg 09:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Accompanying comment

ZEW says growth drive from german domestic demand not yet in sight

eur lg 09:15 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
German ZEW 38.4 vs 45.3 august
Euro zone 44.7 vs 52.0 august

not so good.

Syd 09:14 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Data Leak Rumours

Tallinn viies 09:14 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hkg ark 09:12 - yesterday one ECB guy said that they are on alert if inflation ticks up.

ZEW numbers could show clearly no way they gonna hike rates anytime soon.
sell euro on upticks

London chippie 09:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Rumours about the ZEW release being leaked early are now abounding
round the market but the pre-data sell off looks to have found bids at 1.2245 to
stall the move lower..........ifr .....

hkg ark 09:12 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
what was ZEW , good or bad

GOES B747 09:04 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
wait with going short USD/JPY as ZEW data may bring nicer shorting entries.

gt :-)

GOES B747 09:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ZEW just made EUR/USD a SELL !!!

gt

Budapest Daniel 08:55 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden, I knew about that after the numbers you've written :)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd will go to 2246..bottom

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:51 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
clear signal about usd/cad will go to 1.2972 (bottom)
Maine QMC 08:23 GMT September 14, 2004
minor trade will go to 1.7952.

GOES B747 08:51 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: 110.00-110.15 are nice shorting points (if seen).


gt :-)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
also gbp/jpy not yet touch 197.07

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:48 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
remind you about gbp/usd although have show us 1.7958, but not yet touch 1.7952. from 1.7980 ideal to move down again to catch that level (1.7952)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
http://www.netdania.com/QuoteList.asp
Indon try this

GOES B747 08:46 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
London chippie 08:42 GMT September 14, 2004

short minded...but closed yesterday's shorts with satisfaction (not big as from GBP/JPY shorts) :-)


gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:45 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 08:26 GMT September 14, 2004
Bahrain, are you planning on going long EURAUD @ 1.7504?///

Back in 10 Minutes.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:45 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 08:05 GMT September 14, 2004
sorry.. I dont have eur/cad chart.

London chippie 08:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
b747 --you still short?

Gen dk 08:39 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London chippie 08:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
b747--yep --closed usd/jyp short @ 109.72 .... money in the bank.!!

New York City pws 08:34 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
cpi .3 1.3 mom and yoy
rpi .3 and 3.2 mom and yoy
rpi x .3 and 2.2 mom and yoy

all in line

hkg ark 08:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
any news out in u.k

Budapest Daniel 08:26 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, are you planning on going long EURAUD @ 1.7504?

Maine QMC 08:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas, your view on cable now is much appreciated. thanks. gl

Budapest Daniel 08:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden, thanks for your opinion.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:21 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 08:05 GMT September 14, 2004
if 1.3027 not yet be touched early, you can buy at 1.2972 or 1.2933, but if break 1.3027 better wait at 1.3051 for sell. I think so many sellers wait at 1.3051 for action. if not maybe loose the train . or get danger situation if againts there with buy their buy orders.

GOES B747 08:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
good morning all;

London chippie; are you on line?

gt :-)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
auto system levels...without the fear element..LOL
Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2393 1.2031
USDJPY 111.32 108.00
GBPUSD 1.8114 1.7602
USDCHF 1.2824 1.2404
EURCHF 1.5498 1.5314
AUDUSD 0.7013 0.6743
USDCAD 1.3052 1.2716
NZDUSD 0.6655 0.6389
EURGBP 0.6902 0.6770
EURJPY 136.03 131.85
GBPJPY 198.81 192.89
CHFJPY 88.33 85.45
GBPCHF 2.2786 2.2266
EURAUD 1.7982 1.7504
EURCAD 1.5946 1.5522
AUDCAD 0.9014 0.8710
AUDJPY 76.68 74.18

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I am Back to the auto system...
Seems to work ok without the pressure of this MKT.
it just sold eurcad
May it will screw up again.

Budapest Daniel 08:05 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden, whats your view on USD/CAD? Do you think it will go down and if yes then what levels will it touch in your opinion ?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:03 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 05:51 GMT September 14, 2004 ///
Sorry man about GBP/JPY yesrday..
I Lost big on that too.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
sell again gbp/jpy !!
still any chance
about usd/cad I was happy when touch 1.3022 and then rebound. check my archieve about usd/cad.. have a nice to usd/cad players.

London 07:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
London finds offers at 1.2280 backed up to 1.2300
again with stops now seen building above at 1.2310 also
Rumors Washington consultant eyeing more Asia central bank
buying of EUR for reserves.

London 07:25 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Talk of UK clearers were behind the buying GBP under 1.7970 this mrng Asia session

Tallinn viies 07:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Geneva DC 07:00 GMT - you never know.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
KW fxstu 07:11 GMT September 14, 2004
usd/chf will go to 1.2532 or 1.2483/
ideally move from high 1.2583

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ideally gbp/usd gotlow corection at 1.7952 before shoot up again.
sell with stp if show you above 1.8018.

KW fxstu 07:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas

where USD/CHF is going?? just now i buy @ 1.2570?

London Sindhujarg 07:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Geneva DC
You still. I htought you had lost all you had, LOL! gl for london susu.

Geneva DC 07:00 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Tallin, see you in London soon?
http://www.easyjet.com/en/where/TLL.html

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:58 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
for get corection chance.
gbp/jpy
sell again at 197.82 for TP 197.07

Syd EM 06:35 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
One out of two Australian manufacturing companies having difficulty in obtaining skilled labor, finds Australian Industry Group survey. Report also identifies national shortage of up to 21,000 skilled positions. Will likely reinforce expectations Australia's tight jobs market will probably contribute to an interest rate rise later this year.
reuters

Sydney 06:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt appreciate your view on the Aud thanks

New York City pws 06:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
cable take...looking at a range bound market going into CPI, RPI at 930 BST and German ZEW at 10 BST CPI and RPI are looking for nice (mom) increases..personally i am looking for a slight surprise to the downside...going into this mornings US current account data..i think we may see some buy the rumor sell the news action..as whisper numbers are up in the -160Bn over consensus of -158-159. If we get a good print on the US data which includes retail sales I think we see a strong sell off in the pound. Technically we are at the top of the neck line in the H&S pattern on the daily..any pound negative news should send us back down into the 1.79-1.78 range. GT all.

Tallinn viies 06:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
good day all.
after prefering euro longs positions, finally days are there where sell side looks attractive again.
SOLD euros at 1,2276.
stop at 1,2317.
target 1,2210/15
good day all

hong kong nt 06:24 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 03:36 -- at present, i prefer to do hit and run at 13160/80...

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 05:17 GMT September 14, 2004
you can sell gbp/jpy to get 197.07 and try cut reverse there for your first entry before averaging. hope not loose the train.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd :
Top : 2322 – 2353 – 2383 – 2465
Bottom : 2246 – 2235 – 2208 – 2169 – 2108

GBP/usd:
Top : 8076 – 8140 – 8237 – 8253 – 8269 – 8321 – 8346
Bottom : 8952 – 7920 – 7889 – 7872 – 7815

Usd/CHF :
Top : 2627 – 2650 – 2686
Bottom : 2483 – 2465 – 2434 – 2353 – 2531

Usd/JPY :
Top : 110.54 – 111.15 – 111.36 – 112.15 – 112.24
Bottom : 109.74 – 109.62 - 108.52 – 108.27

Aud/Usd :
Top : 7037 – 7063 – 7089 – 7138 – 7151- 7188 – 7199
Bottom : 6974 – 6955 – 6924

Gold :
Top : 407.40 – 410.27 – 414.00 – 415.18 – 417.60
Bottom : 402.00 – 399.90

Raden Mas

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 05:17 GMT September 14, 2004
thanks.
since 198.68 get corection and until now still not yet finish that corection. ideally corection will be finished at 196.56 - 196.16 but minor target corection is at 197.07
better confidence about target top : 199.17 - 199.72 - 200.88 (when touch these levels will get selling pressure again)
entry level buy : 197.07 averaging strategy 196.56 - 196.44 - 196.16 - 195.57. (if touch these levels will get buying pressure).
please focuse on buy and placement buy oreders in my levels are good/safe.

wisconsin tim 05:51 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
well, gbp/usd has failed to close yet above 1.8012 the last 3 days which I have as resistance based solely on the 6/30 low ... looking to short at 1.8040-60 (if seen) stops above 1.8086 depending on data and strength of moves (ie. i am not entering unattended) instead of going long at my 1.8037 projection level

LAX-LGB SNP 05:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
2 weeks into this month & AUD$ cannot go past 0.7016-31 while EURJPY has stayed above 133.47-68 ;-)

Syd EM. 05:40 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Asia session AUD/YEN was supported by Uridashi demand

London 05:34 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Ireland: NAB launches €1.6bn sale of Irish banks

ICT ML 05:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 04:42 GMT September 14, 2004
i would almost agree with you there. But I think the U$D is being supported "gently" until after the elections myself for the simple reason that in Politics, the opposition will take another headline of "Dollar hits ANOTHER new all time low" and run with it to the uninformed masses. Most folks are patriotic about their $$$$ and that type of headline believe it or not would be a big negative for the President. While it would be a positiive, it would be portrayed as a negative in the press. ......I can see it now,,,,"JFK2- for 220 odd years THIS country has pursued a STRONG Dollar Policy, and in just 3 and one half years THIS President has allowed the Dollar....YOUR Dollar to become WEAK in the eyes of the rest of the world"......which would all be a bunch of BS...but who is going to call him on it? Not Dan Rather.

I think they'll keep the U$D out of the headlines until after the elections. Which means more of this range stuff we are all now just wishing would go away.

just my 2 cents there and I could be dead wrong.

wisconsin tim 05:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
well gbp/yen never got to the 50% fib (199.19) from the 204+ to 193.63 down leg. might be a good short here with a stop above 197.88 but you would be going against what i think is a "strong" upleg

wisconsin tim 05:18 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ok, actually finished levels =)

Projections for 9/14/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
9/13/2004 AUDUSD 0.7004 0.6928 0.7007 0.6905
9/13/2004 EURGBP 0.6847 0.6807 0.6856 0.6780
9/13/2004 EURUSD 1.2318 1.2224 1.2338 1.2183
9/13/2004 EURYEN 135.67 134.49 135.57 133.70
9/13/2004 GBPUSD 1.8037 1.7900 1.8060 1.7872
9/13/2004 GBPYEN 198.68 196.92 199.17 195.63
9/13/2004 NDZUSD 0.6628 0.6550 0.6621 0.6516
9/13/2004 USDCAD 1.3059 1.2961 1.3054 1.2834
9/13/2004 USDCHF 1.2623 1.2530 1.2663 1.2505
9/13/2004 USDYEN 110.50 109.63 110.70 109.00

Los Angeles ss 05:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- good morning. Do you have any view on GBP/JPY? Thanks.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:16 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
hello my friends !!
I hope good day for you all here.

GOES B747 05:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
13 Sep 2004 23:28 GMT // Japan confirms 12th mad cow case


is that a reason to short JPY?
tia for yr opinions/views.

gt :-)

Sydney Alimin 05:06 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 04:59 GMT September 14, 2004

thanks for that, much appreciated

Syd 05:03 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Technically, the daily stochastic studies on the AUD/USD, AUD/JPY and the EUR/AUD all suggest that the AUD is oversold and point to an upward correction in coming sessions. There is a raft of economic data tonight, which should determine the next move in the USD, but should the U.S. retail sales release fail to meet the flat market expectations, the high yielders could regain their popularity and the oversold AUD technicals unwind.
some view of IFR

wisconsin tim 05:01 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
i know it's a long way out but re-adding shorts eur/jpy at 194.15 will be shooting for 193.60's initially

Los Angeles ss 04:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Japan Ind output unchanged, debt -48.9% bankruptcies -18.2% y/y

Syd EM 04:52 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin it is always wise to know the thoughts of others when trading FWIW as in a good game of Chess

Sydney Alimin 04:43 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
anyone got the japan data?

HK [email protected] 04:42 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
My impression is that the U.S administration will not wait for the election to let the USD go to where it has to...down.
A process of gradual devaluation may begin within few days marked by letting the USDX go below 88 . with long term target of 0.74-0.75
Seems that any further delay may cause an uncontrolled devaluation of the USD .
That moment the president enjoys a significant support, so a gradual drop in the USD before election will not dent his chances . Devaluation will not show weakness, but a serious attempt to deal the Def. problem.
On the other side the last trade Def. numbers are still hanging dark on the market, and with silence from the U.S.
the market may take a too volatile action.

Gold Coast martin 04:37 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Syd EM 03:59 GMT September 14, 2004
While it is good to know the views of bank analysts westpac are the same bank that had and have the aussie at 68 level for the last 2 months in their client newsletter.....by all means read the info but do not necessary follow it....only you can decide what is the best trade for you.....good luck

wisconsin tim 04:30 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
orlando, search 4xmadeeasy in the archives on here and on the help forum. Trust me, you would be better off losing the 4k in the market developing your own trading system than giving it to these charletons

wisconsin tim 04:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
a couple more good weeks and maybe I can put a bid on this

Orlando 04:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Why do you say that? They say if we don't like the software , they will refund the amount.

Are they scam company ? is anyone got burnt before by global tech? Let me know. Please advise.

Thanks

John

wisconsin tim 04:23 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
orlando, stop pmt on the check or credit card immediately. they are crap and that is what you will be left with if you don't

wisconsin tim 04:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
ps ... anyone watching my levels on the website or here they won't be posted until the beverages I have consumed tonight have made their course through my body (most likely too late to use as a trade initiator.)

Orlando 04:22 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Hi,

I am new to forex. I just bought a software 4xmade easy (4xmadeeasy.com)for 4000 usd. I just wanted to get your expert opinions on this software and possibility of making money in forex exchange.

If you have any suggestion on which broker is good and i should use? and also about live feed stats. If you can provide me some inputs , it would be of great help to me. Thank you.

John

wisconsin tim 04:20 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
can i get a ... wooot wooot

yes you can't cap a better day than today ...

packers kick tail, the rest of my shorts eur/jpy get a free ride (moved to BE ... 194.93), and my fantasy FB team caps a perfect week with 3 TD's from ahman green and 4 tds from mcnabb to win the title this week.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:17 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
The outlook for eur/usd is about the same as yesterday as the market positions itself for a move. I will add one more resistance area (1.2390-2400) since I missed putting it on my last comments. Support held yesterday at the 1.2210-20 area for another push by the bulls. It has been months since we started this tug of war between the bears and the bulls. Lets see if the bulls can pull this one off. At this point I am not sure when or where it will break but it has to some day IMHO. GL GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:08 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Panama City Beach, FL Chris 03:27 GMT September 14, 2004
I hope the best for you Chris and others that might be affected by the hurricane. I know is not easy since I have had some experience with them lately being in the southeast coast of Florida. GL GT

Syd EM 03:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
breach of aussie 7015 level would "ignite rally," with upside potential to 0.7065, then 0.7150 any move towards 0.6880/0.6900 viewed as a buy.
Westpac technical report
FWIW

Rio 03:48 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
My prayers for all my fellow traders and friends in Florida!

hk jn 03:44 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
KL, sorry, less than 100 tickets in excess

hk jn 03:43 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
KL, ballot count finished, only less than 100 extra tickets, not heard missing boxes. and some minor mistakes, I dont think the election as bad as you might thought

KL KL 03:36 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Hk ab, nt...looks like HK also have some election turmoil...have they finish counting and how many ballot box went missing?? I think now is the time to short the Hang Seng...what you think?? TIA

Panama City Beach, FL Chris 03:27 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
I've been busy preparing for hurricane Ivan here. Why the ho-humness in the EURUSD?? Is there a report due that I'm unaware of? Mandatory evacuations at 11am tomorrow where I am. Wish me luck

Good Trading To All

hk ab 03:15 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Final words before I leave the screen till NY. Don't overlook the turmoil from an election.
If a true big rally is at the front, why should we risk? especially with this crazy kangaroo.

hk ab 03:13 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
nt// to tell you the truth, I prefer gbp recently. But since my appetite lost a lot in gvi, I prefer not to mention too much here. Just trade myself and do my job. That's simple.

hk ab 03:11 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
nt// aud/jpy looks becoming mature now.
bc offered generous help on that 76.30.

Qns: Will Japs still be interested in Uradishi??? or more in Nikkei?

tg// Great post. Hope many of the readers understand why I hold against view from London's overwhelming anti-US news flooding. Trading doesn't necessarily holding any emotion. At times, they are disasters.

Syd 03:09 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Australia's 2Q housing starts data, August business survey, support view pace of growth has stepped up a gear as impact of Government's fiscal easing filters through economy, offsetting modest slowing in housing activity, says censored economist Adam Donaldson. Adds RBA's made it clear interest rates will rise if this growth spurt engenders inflationary pressures

hong kong nt 03:07 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
AB -- did you accumulate AUD below .69 line?

Mtl JP 02:59 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
tg 02:28/ www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2005/sheets/hist01z3.xls

Syd 02:53 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD Above 1.2335 Targets 1.2685 -HSBC

Toronto BudgetBoi 02:41 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Interesting Article;

Speeches ignore impending U.S. debt disaster
No mention of fiscal gap estimated as high as $72 trillion

Speeches ignore impending U.S. debt disaster

SanFrancisco tg 02:31 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Good night. I've had my fun few minutes of squishing punks with nothing to say about trading and everything to say about anarchy.

Toronto WeatherBoi 02:29 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Killer wall of water hits Caymans

http://thescotsman.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=1077682004

SanFrancisco tg 02:28 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
JP - Your post tells me very plainly you are not an educated trader, but are limited to a simple socialist/anarchist political propoganda artist. If you were a professional trader, you would know very clearly the information I posted is fact, not "assertion".

Mtl JP 02:14 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
tg 01:45 / plz post a source link to your assertions so that I can judge who is purveying truth and who fertilizer. tia

SanFrancisco tg 01:54 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja - I truly thank you. My best wishes to you.

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:49 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco tg 01:45 GMT September 14, 2004

Good post

SanFrancisco tg 01:45 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
London - Your anarchy is fascinating. The reality is the August the US fiscal budget deficit of $41.1 bln is $35.5 bln smaller than a year ago. The deficit has also shrunk for 3 of the last 5 months at a ratio of almost 4 to 1. US receipts have gained throughout 2003 and 2004 without exception.

Second, expenditure to ensure Iraq is a free nation is pivitol to drive a spike into the terror element which already came very close to totally destroying the very financial markets you trade, and brought the global economy to a standstill. If you wish to see financial markets evaporate, just keep protesting and see what is left after New York and the global economy becomes victim to a more horrible attack.

Syd 01:39 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Australia reacceleration of growth continued in August, according to NAB's August business survey. Business conditions index up 1 point to 16 index points, a level consistent with annual growth in domestic demand of 6.0%, NAB says. "Continued domestic and global strength, and still-strong housing credit, all point to the need for tighter monetary policy," it adds. NAB tips a 25 bps hike before Christmas
ABC

Syd EM 00:47 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
Market Talk China is looking to up the Euro proportion of its FX reserves

London 00:33 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
US deficit at record $US437bn
AP
With one month to go in America's 2004 federal budget year, the US government recorded a deficit of $US436.9 billion ($629.13 billion) thus far, the Treasury Department reported today. That's 9 per cent higher than the $US400.5 billion shortfall for the corresponding period last year.From October 1, 2003, through August, spending totalled $US2.11 trillion, up 5.9 per cent from the same period a year ago. Revenue came to $US1.67 trillion - a 5.2 per cent increase from a year ago. The Congressional Budget Office is forecasting a $US422 billion budget deficit for this budget year. That would be a record in dollar terms

London 00:10 GMT September 14, 2004 Reply   
WASHINGTON (AP)--The Bush administration wants to spend more Iraqi reconstruction money than planned to bolster security, speed economic recovery and forgive some of that country's debt, according to documents it sent to Congress on Monday. Overall, the administration wants permission to shift $3.46 billion of the $18.4 billion that Congress provided last fall to rebuild Iraq.