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Forex Forum Archive for 09/22/2004

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SanFrancisco TG 23:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
js - Levels are made to be broken. Forget it. Name a price that is absolute. There is none. Throw that method in the trash and learn other things. My humble opinion.

worcester js 23:53 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone use peter bains pivot points?

SanFrancisco TG 23:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
The nail in the coffin .. Even Schroeder has publically called for abolishing the EU economic restrictions in favor of a flexible free market system, realizing his mistake. He has been on television with dire warnings should such not be implemented.

I would like nothing better than to see the EU join progress and get people to work.

SanFrancisco TG 23:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Here is the comical part of Steve Roach. He's been calling for US economic demise since 2000. The US has set 40 year economic records in the mean time. He is a well known leftist mouthpiece. The ECB forecast just this week has called for expansion, and even in spiraling EZ positive economic data is surfacing.

Just a couple of thoughts.

China may be cooling from its red hot expansion, but the wave of investment and steel orders are clearly expansionary.

The US survived its most profound economic shock in modern history since the year 2000 recession inhereted from the late 1990's and the devestation of 911.

US receipts have increased since 2002, spending is already slowing, thus the budget deficit is poised for reduction.

Japan is recording economic data confirming the end of its 10 year period of weakness.

Roach wants socialists running things. Socialists are responsible for Germany's 10% unemployment and France's 10% unemployment. Compared to the 4% of Japan and 5% of the US, he isn't making any sense.

Purely politically motivated and to be ignored.

Honolulu ck1 23:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
heres an old article but still very interesting..... it kinda long so bear with me...

From Al Jazeera, as they run their news free from governmental ideas (US bullying), a news corporation I beg you to consider listening to:

US dollar may devalue further

Thursday 16 September 2004, 21:56 Makka Time, 18:56 GMT

The greenback has already fallen 20% against major currencies.

The dollar is likely to be devalued to deal with the booming trade deficit in the United States, raising the prospect of global financial instability.

The UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) published a report on Thursday indicating the dollar`s 20% devaluation against major currencies had so far failed to provide "much of a stimulus" to the US economy.

The deficit was forecast to grow further in 2004, while the impact of expansionary monetary policy in the US will be limited by the inflationary impact of rising oil prices, according to UNCTAD.

"The large trade deficit of the United States is likely at some point to be tackled through exchange rate movements, through a devaluation of the dollar," said Carlos Fortin, deputy secretary general of UNCTAD.

That would "produce immediately exchange rate instability and generally financial instability," he told journalists, warning of a further knock-on impact on global trade with a potential rise in protectionism.

Predictions

Fortin predicted that a devaluation would prompt Asian countries to withdraw their capital from US money markets and to buy assets in other denominations, notably the euro.

"There is very serious cause for concern about the sustainability of the situation," he added.

"The large trade deficit of the United States is likely at some point to be tackled through exchange rate movements, through a devaluation of the dollar"

(Carlos Fortin is an UNCTAD deputy chief)

UNCTAD globalisation expert Heiner Flassbeck said there was a danger that European countries would then be tempted to drive down the value of the euro in order to compete with the dollar.

"Then the only way out would be falling back to protectionist measures. The discussion will definitely come up in the United States," he said.

Factors

Apart from the world`s traditional reliance on the US as a motor of growth despite the rising US deficit, UNCTAD`s report also blamed high oil prices and large disparities in demand for dampening optimism.

Until recently, European countries would have seen a brisker growth in demand that would have reduced the gap with the US economy and improved the chances of reducing the US deficit "without a major depreciation", Flassbeck added.

"I think the time now is over. Sooner or later it is going to happen." UNCTAD estimated that the US current account deficit would reach about six to seven per cent of gross domestic product this year.

The US has been pressing China to float its currency and allow a rise in the yuan and relieve some of the US trade deficit.

But Flassbeck urged China not to float the yuan and "not to give in to international pressure because the result would be totally uncontrollable".

(Gorwell notes: News today that China is invited to the next G7 meeting, whatever that means? To stand a chance in November 2nd elections, Bush needs to show the US economy is prosperous. Trichet today flagged he`d be happy to se an "orderly" reserve currency change to EUR. US corporations took a nosedive on earnings forcasts )

Honolulu ck1 23:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
open to all comments..... you can tear me a new one if you wish...

Honolulu ck1 23:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sorry dallas.... i disagree.... have you ever been to japan... meet the people... seen the culture..... They are workaholics and brainiacs... They have things in place IMHO to put a stop to any big trades... if it starts to get volitale... look for the short.

ICT ML 23:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sorry that should read sold $CAD from 1.2875 not 2975

Syd 23:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Stephen Roach, chief economist at Morgan Stanley, talks with Bloomberg's Stephen Engle in Hong Kong about the outlook for the global economy, his assessment of the Chinese and U.S. economies and Federal Reserve monetary policy. They speak at the Fourth Annual Asia Forbes Global CEO Conference.

Morgan Stanley's Roach: Global Economy, U.S., China and Fed ( Listen to interview)

ICT ML 23:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well per our plans last week are are short Eur-GBP from a very uncomfortable past few days at .6795 tgt .6700, Long Usd-Jpy from 109.85 tgt 115 which looks much better now than it did the other day, and sold $Cad at 1.2975 for tgt 1.2800 then 1.2675.

Only one I am concerned about is the Eur-Gbp right now, didn't see it going as high as it went the other day but kept it anyway. If I bail on any of them it will be this one.

Dallas GEP 23:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE is absolutely correct IMO, SOON we willl start to have nice movements unlike we have seen at least THIS summer. This probably will involve some pairs breaking out of their ranges and it is important to have stops in place and to not aggressively average (yes this is me talking!!!) LOL

Dallas GEP 23:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
NO assurances that it will of course but shorting point for EUR/USD is around 1.2270, GBP/USD 1.7950.

Dallas GEP 23:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
IMO, I think we could look for all the yen pairs to go long including of course usd/jpy, eur/jpy and gbp/jpy. With Asia being out tho the affect may not be dramatic. USD/JPY has some resistance at 111.05, eur/jpy 135.75 and gbp/jpy 198.60

houston st 23:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
reminder - THURSDAY September 23, 2004
JPN--Holiday- Autumnal Equinox....good trades.

Honolulu ck1 23:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
So Yippee... your definately going long. usd/jpy???

Madrid CAB 23:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks a lot YIPPEE
GL/GT

Mad CAB 23:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sorry
Syd 23:06 GMT September 22, 2004
Thanks

NYC YIPPEE 23:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Yes Jap holiday Monday and today.

NYC YIPPEE 23:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
When you are zzzzzzzzz'ing...
That's when the market will move. The triangles in EURUSD and USDJPY will be broken, and vol's will explode !

Bring it to your Daddy !

Honolulu ck1 23:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
LOL...... close... just kidding... heres some news....

The
JPY continues to suffer against all currencies. It is being weighed down by
concerns that economic growth is slowing in Japan, a stubbornly high oil price
and a five day losing streak in the Nikkei index. The USD/JPY closed Wednesday"s
session above the top of the cloud at 110.50 for the first time since August 13.
The top of the cloud comes in today around 110.45 and should offer some support
on the day. Key trendline resistance that is drawn from the May 14 high around
114.85 remains intact. The trendline descends to around 110.80 today and a break
above would add to the bullish case. The final technical barrier in front of
112.00 is the 61.8 fibo of the 112.50/108.75 move at 111.05. This resistance
level is enhanced by talk of an option barrier at 111.00.
Some analysts feel that today will be very quiet due to the Tokyo h9oliday while
others feel that it could be volatile. If Japanese exporters and investors leave
standing orders in the market today it is likely to be a quiet one. The USD/JPY
trades 110.56/61

Madrid CAB 23:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
It's a holiday in Japan? September 23 Autumnal Equinox.
TIA

SanFrancisco TG 23:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Amazing collassal price action. Is Asia broke?

Honolulu ck1 23:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
yep...... looks like it....

Dallas GEP 23:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well this asia session will be BORING tthen

Honolulu ck1 23:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks for the post dallas.....

FWIW... i just took a XXXXX position at 110.58. I got scolding one time when i said what i was doing... but if you really want to know....

Syd 23:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Japan Autumn Equinox Day
Markets, banks, businesses and government offices close.

Dallas BIBLE 23:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well censored....I always thought they opened just NOW and the Aussies were open ONE hour earlier.

Sydney 23:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
NZ's Current Account Deficit Widens In 2Q

Singapore Sfx 23:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, Asia's been open for a while now ... cant blame you for not noticing tho !

Dallas BIBLE 22:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Asia is open in 2 minutes

Dallas BIBLE 22:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY can be tricky but if it doesn't clear 135.70 then it will be an excellent short. However, if 135.70 breaks then 136's will be seen VERY soon.

Ldn 22:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hk mom put stops in at BE for safety as you are already long higher JIMHO

Honolulu ck1 22:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
by the way anyone.... what time does the asian market opens... (est please)

Honolulu ck1 22:53 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks stockholm.... I think..... umm... any thoughts though...

Like should I not use charts lower than 1hr to base my trades on???

Stockholm AGuy 22:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1 22:46 GMT: 'Anyone... any comments on the usd/jpy......'

"It's dead, Jim."

We are in the Twilight Zone. Null hypothesis is random walk around the flatline until Asian open.

hk mom 22:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
good, I caught aud at 0.7035 yesterday, thanks God.
Let the run start, right? Ldn,Thanks.

chicago joe 22:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
FloridA vv 22:11 GMT September 22, 2004
What Henry you are talking abt???
That was my post abt Cad
That Fricken pair gave me a lot of pain should get something out of it(at least experience) LOL
GT

Yeah hoping to say good bye to the cad and euro one last time.

Honolulu ck1 22:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
'Anyone... any comments on the usd/jpy......

Syd 22:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Technical Pattern Bullish For AUD
Westpac

Honolulu ck1 22:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hey henry.. I can't find the article whats it about and can you copy and past it...... thanks in advance.

Honolulu ck1 22:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone else seeing the neck line on usd/yen about to be broken? or is it just me

London ADK 22:32 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I go to (in and out) the casino sometimes,... sometimes it works

ck1 - read this one on hte help forum. Gaza Ibiza 09:54 GMT September 23, 2003

Honolulu ck1 22:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
no worries henry.... I don't think I know any better.... but then again.. I do work with someone that does...

Va Raven 22:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Henry, Sexy indeed!

usa 22:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ta is where its at... learn trend lines and and fibonni's ..eventually you will lose your money if you don't have a system... never trade on emotion... Iknow... easier said than done

London Henry 22:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1 21:37
Best don't take any lead from me. I have done trading for a consderable time but still I don't know myself sometimes why I'm doing things. I just go in or go out when I feel like it and sometimes it works.

Syd 22:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Australia's central bank RBA to release semiannual financial review 0000 GMT

Dallas BIBLE 22:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Good point Cumino!!! JUST KIDDING!!!!

FloridA vv 22:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
What Henry you are talking abt???
That was my post abt Cad
That Fricken pair gave me a lot of pain should get something out of it(at least experience) LOL
GT

Syd 22:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Copper Gains, Extending Rally to 5-Month High on China's Demand LINK

Copper prices in New York rose, extending gains to a five-month high, amid a rally in China, the world's biggest buyer of the metal used in homes, cars and appliances.

Honolulu ck1 22:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I see Henry..... Makes sense.... sounds like you're a pilot.. lol

Honolulu ck1 21:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hey LDN... do you know Henry??? Anyway.. any comments on what he had to say on the cad/usd

"Cad is very interesting now cuz it is very close to a multiple year resistance @ 1.27 Question is if it would make the same qwik jump for 600 pips as it was in January this year??
"

Budapest Daniel 21:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Good bye for all of you and thaks for your thoughts, views. It is going to be midnight soon here in Budapest.

London Henry 21:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1 21:37

You see, with my job I'm travelling NAWA (North Africa & Western Asia) 50% of my time. I do not always have access to the platform, so pip trading is not an option for me.
If I'm home, strategies change. Nothing is simple.
GL>

FloridA vv 21:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 21:46 GMT September 22, 2004
there's no shame
No there is not - absolutely. But only if you have a system of indicators - signals, tested and proven to be valid for at least a couple of years. Then turn off your PC and go to Rome or somwhere else for a couple of monnths

Ldn 21:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Canadian dollar hits 8-month high
OTTAWA - The Canadian dollar briefly trading above the 78-cent US level Wednesday for the first time since mid-January as traders bet that Canadian interest rates would continue to rise and remain higher than U.S. rates The loonie later slipped back and closed at 77.89 cents US, up 0.15 cents US. It traded as high as 78.03 cents US just before the noon hour.
Most economists are convinced the Bank of Canada will increase its key interest rate again when it holds its next policy setting meeting Oct. 19. Many also say another rate hike is likely in December. Dodge says more rate hikes to come
That would widen the spread between Canadian and U.S. rates and make Canadian bonds more attractive to foreign investors. On Monday, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge indicated that more interest rate hikes were coming.
Several banks say the loonie is poised for a much bigger rise in the longer term. Last week, economists at the National Bank forecast that the Canadian dollar would rise to 85 cents US by next year. Scotia Capital economists in their September foreign exchange outlook forecast an 82-cent US loonie by the fourth quarter of 2005. TD Economics is predicting the Canadian dollar will be worth 86 cents US by 2006. And RBC Capital Markets is forecasting an 80-cent US dollar by the first quarter of 2005
market news.

wisconsin tim 21:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sorry ... it was for daniel

Honolulu ck1 21:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nevermind i think i got it....

Va Raven 21:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Always place stop at the same time you put on a trade, especially nowdays and long dollar.

Honolulu ck1 21:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hey tim... who was that message for?

Honolulu ck1 21:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
wow twenty years... any advice... are you an individual trader? I'm contemplating this idea of taking a paycheck every two weeks... how do you guys do it.... do you just keep rolling over your funds... or do you cash out every now and then..... now that Ive asked it... I think its a pretty silly question..... lol hahaha

usa 21:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thinking of adding EUR short to my GBP

wisconsin tim 21:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
there's no shame in getting out of a position early if your view has changed. Or put your limits in and turn off CPU to see what happened in the morning so you won't be having misgivings/second thoughts.

FloridA vv 21:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
In 4 hours you may get it .
I mean when Tokyo opens it usually a sell,...........
But who kknows?

Budapest Daniel 21:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
FloridA: My "last" hope is a slight correction from here...

Honolulu ck1 21:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
BTW..FWIW.. (I like that) I'm with you... in at 1.2820

London Henry 21:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
22.30

Dont't know, gut, 20 years of forward buying, options. Still learning myself on spot.

Honolulu ck1 21:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
oh I get it... sorry... if you knew me you'd chalk it up to my new found love and enthusiasm for the forex markets. I'll try to keep "most" of my comments to myself..... lol thanks for bringing it to my attention...

FloridA vv 21:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 21:28 GMT September 22, 2004
FloridA, I'm playing on the other side :)

Sorry we are on different trains then. I'm long from 109.70 which was very easy to jump in.
GT

Honolulu ck1 21:32 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hey Henry.... by the way. what time is it there.. 8:30. 9:30

London Henry 21:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1

Just my own opinion. I always say, market forces work best on free advice. IT IS SO CHEAP, BECAUSE NOBODY WANT'S IT

GL>2a

Budapest Daniel 21:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
FloridA, I'm playing on the other side :)

Honolulu ck1 21:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
lol..... crap... hahahah... so why did you go long... just curious.. still learning.

London Henry 21:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
honolulu: For what it's worth

Honolulu ck1 21:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
does anyone know what the fwiw is... thanks

FloridA vv 21:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 20:54 GMT:
"Guys what is your view on the usd/jpy? Is it going to fly higher in the next 12-24 hours?"


If you play long, place your stops @ 110.25 now. I want to believe that finally we are out of that rannge from august 16. But we need to make it over 111. and stay there for a couple of sessions to confirm a bull market.
GT

Budapest Daniel 21:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for your views guys. I hope the s/l @ 110.75 won't be executed. I still hope I can get at least 10 pips from this tomorrow mourning(expected about 50+ earlier but it seems to be impossible as of now).

Honolulu ck1 21:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
real quick.. what is the fwiw???

QC Swap 21:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 20:54 GMT

USD/JPY will probably do some retracement over that time period before a surge higher.

London Henry 21:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
FWIW. went long USDCAD 1.2823.
GT&GL

Stockholm AGuy 21:14 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 20:54 GMT:
"Guys what is your view on the usd/jpy? Is it going to fly higher in the next 12-24 hours?"

My take: upside capped by heavy resistance from first half of August. Downside discouraged by very negative close on US stock markets, which is likely to be reflected by Japanese stock market opening -> no net inflow of USD being turned into JPY to buy Japanese stocks tonight, at least until the Nikkei shows some convincing upside. So for the time being, tight range. If you are bullish Japanese stocks, expect to see USD/JPY return to its daily seesaw (up in European/US hours, down in Asian hours).

FloridA vv 21:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
We need now a confirmation of a short Eur/Usd which could be shown in a qwik sold out from 1.2280 level, where SMA 50 guards a top and a good resistance level from october 10 and 14 still in play. If this is the case then Eur/Usd may test 1.750 and if broken 1.400 very soon.

Cad is very interesting now cuz it is very close to a multiple year resistance @ 1.27 Question is if it would make the same qwik jump for 600 pips as it was in January this year??
GT

wisconsin tim 21:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well that ain't too bad ...

hourly has been turned down the only thing that bothers me (and my long E/$ btw) is the consolidation here is looking more like a bull flag/pennant for $/jpy and bear for the E/$. Personally, I wouldn't hold it much above 65-75 area but still not much risk on your end to try and pick a top to see if still in range

IMVHO

Honolulu ck1 21:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hey cab.... was that message for me..... sorry, didnt mean to fool anyone..... i really dont write the news I just share it. GL and GT to you to.

QC Swap 21:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1 21:02 GMT

Actually I'd rather go long USD/CAD at present levels

Budapest Daniel 21:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tim: 110.51

Mad CAB 21:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt 18:51 GMT September 22, 2004
Thank U for the article. It's a plaisure find posts like yours.
Thanks again and GL/GT 2 U

Syd 21:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Honolulu ck1 is that IFR ??

Honolulu ck1 21:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just wondering..... any thoughts..... I figure if it can bust that 1.2820 barrier, its gonna break

Honolulu ck1 21:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD extended its slide today, breeching support at
1.2845 and slipping as low as 1.2815. Sky high oil prices, widening interest
rate differentials in favor of the Loonie and rising government revenues north
of the border underpinned the Loonie. Buying of CAD on the crosses was
supportive as well as CAD/JPY briefly broke major resistance at 86.15/20 before
stalling.
Yesterday"s late comments from Goodale on rising government tax revenues got
lots of attention in the press today, but most in the market don"t make much of
it since health care costs will likely absorb much of the windfall. Macro
accounts are growing very comfortable with their long CAD positions, especially
as interest rate differentials continue to widen in favor of the Loonie owing to
the hawkish tone from the BOC. 10-year spreads closed at 55 bp today, the
highest in six months.
Options defense is rumored ahead of 1.2800 and the market is very long of CAD. A
shake out is always a possibility.

Honolulu ck1 21:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone trading usd/cad?!? short

wisconsin tim 21:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, just wondering what was your entry?

Budapest Daniel 20:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Guys what is your view on the usd/jpy? Is it going to fly higher in the next 12-24 hours? I'm really confused now. I've a short position on this pair since 4 hrs but it hasn't moved since then... :-/

Chicago Goofy 20:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
but I still believe this must be a registered name forum!!!!

Budapest Daniel 20:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Rio CV, totally agree on that!

Chicago Goofy 20:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
No-fixed-name-registered forum, especially fx forum could distinguish the guru from others if guru post.

For users, this increses their ability to see through forum and maybe markets

FloridA vv 20:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just sold Eur/Usd.Hope will meet you @ 1.2130 soon

Suffered with longs Usd/Cad. But returned all on longs usd/Jpy.
Should have noved stops in Usd/Cad below 1.2750
GT

Mahatma Gandhi 20:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.

chicago joe 20:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
the cad is such a rip off now imo against the $.

Barcelona Tony 20:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
just another point ... I see 6 different banners here so I deduct there are 6 brokerages paying and keeping this alive .. I used to see more (namely censored, censored ...) but they're gone now.. it's not my business but for sure I wouldn't like my business to keep loosing credibility and dropping earnings (loosing partners/sponsors/clients/whatever) ... fwiw, just my 2 cents ...

Rio CV 20:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
to the FORUM MODERATOR,

PLEASE you need to stop the improper and the posting, change the settings in a way to allow only the registered person to post under his real nickname!!

This WAS the best Forex Forum, it is not anymore.

London Henry 20:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Va Raven 20:20 GMT September 22, 2004

No,No raven, I just do it for my protection. With the information overflow I just just have to protect my gut felling from the obvious crap. GSOH still works splendidly. GT2all

PS: sold EURJPY at 135. 54 but am used to position going the wrong way as soon as done

Barcelona Tony 20:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
While we are not asked to register a nickname ... this mess will continue ... wouold be good anyway that this forum returned to "quality posting" form those who have enough knowledge and experience for that .... lots of very very good posters are out of this forum .... doesn't that mean anything?

Syd 20:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just a thought, why is it only Indonesia-solo Raden Mas who has the fake. no other ?

FloridA vv 20:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
In all times and in all countries people (stupid ones) wanted to believe that there is somebody moving something on the skyes thats why there is thounder. and there is somebody who knows everything and gives it free to everybody.

My point is: Ruden Solo am freccken duommen copf who covers up his real intention, if there is some, by his broken english and simple stupidity or stupid simplisity - thats your choice,,, and garbages the space of this forum -- is a FRICK.
But Emaising <:0 !!!! how many people here still hope that some guys named Indonesia Solo-Molo Raden Mas Bus Al Buhabar willl save them from a margin call. NO WAY people. Play your way. If Raden, "Doctor Q????" Choreck-Morek ets... could make money in this business, they would have never asked you to pay for subscrption. You would have never seen them here. (Correction Raden dont ask you to pay for his service, but he innsists to give him a call on his E-mail. Thats a start.

Va Raven 20:20 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Then you have lost your sense of humor...Raden is trying to convince you that this forex business is not as serious as you all thought, it can be as a joke as he is.
That's my conclusion.

London Henry 20:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Yes tired of BS.

Budapest Daniel 20:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
why USD/JPY is that stubborn now? :(

Va Raven 20:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
London Henry 20:06 - That means you are tired?

SD tht 20:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
he he, this Raden thing is funny, reminds me of the day p hijacked the board with his Ducascopy charts.

CAIRO AG 20:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Martin/ Gold Coast...: So, after getting where u thought, where to go from here?

GL & GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 20:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Any TA Thinks Chf/Yen is a sell here? till about 86

London Henry 20:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
re: raden
I have a day job and travel extensively, therefore just lurk but always trade live.
I have stopped readig radens posts at all for months. Draw jour own conclusion. GL>

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 20:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc Joel 20:01 GMT September 22, 2004
yes ..right.
cu later my friends..

nyc Joel 20:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden
The best way to clear up this situation is by simply writing
dollar up,dollar down and give a target.

nyc jk 20:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
alrite Raden, will try to think up a new name for you then!

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 19:39 GMT September 22, 2004
LOL. maybe we must ready with new ID about van raden, raden passengers, out sider of raden, raden gv, raden global, raden view etc.. LOL. that's not good..
I have specific code in my view. email me if you want via GV.
this is normal, this is free forum like most of people thinking here (except me)..

GER ad 19:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dammam A and chicago joe,
Thanks

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 19:38 GMT September 22, 2004
I have repied your post.
thanks.
I hope we are get something eachother from that..
once..welcome..

nyc jk 19:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ok Raden, frankly though I am just confused by all your posts/imposter posts/imposter anti Raden posts/your anti Raden posts. it just ends up making things a big mess.

Budapest Daniel 19:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden check your mail again pls.

Dammam A 19:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ger ad ./...I think that;s written by "Gold Coast martin"

chicago joe 19:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 19:21 GMT September 22, 2004
Somebody remember who posted yesterday evening when EUR/USD was 1.2330 that today we will close near 1.2245. I can’t find now this post is too old.

Who else? Mr. Martin from the gold coast, the eternal dollar bull.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 18:50 GMT September 22, 2004
I hope we are not in missunderstanding.
GV is right, but know from whom Anti raden mas be posted (by IP address)..
forget it about that idiot posting. this is normal in our life and small problem.. ok? :-)

Budapest Daniel 19:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Seems like you didn't get it. I've sent you an immediately response to your mail but seems my free email addy didn't send out the message... As nearly always nowadays. :-/ Trying to send you another one from my home account...

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:27 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 19:25 GMT September 22, 2004
ok. i will check.
actually I wait your reply about my say hello to you yesterday.
welcome..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Most of my friends here know about my specific code in my view to clartify in posting from me or not.
GV is right I avoid the confuse , then I use "anti raden" =/(different with) Anti Raden Mas..

Budapest Daniel 19:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden, how often do you check your emails? I've sent you a response.

GER ad 19:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Somebody remember who posted yesterday evening when EUR/USD was 1.2330 that today we will close near 1.2245. I can’t find now this post is too old.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 19:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Global-View 18:47 GMT September 22, 2004
I have to clarify this.
I have checked archieve and show the message Anti raden Mas (from whom I dont know and gv know that from whom) and not be deleted. I know just now when I checked arhieve and then I copy and paste here to show you all and dont want to use my ID for this idiot opinion.
sorry..

NY Sofia 19:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I have been using this one for a long time now and their Auto. Trade software profitably - Exclusively Listed on FXstreet FX news page GenuineFX

Barcelona Tony 19:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
off topic here .... Greg, I'm back online, msn

Global-View Survey 19:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

We are conducting our bi-weekly forex survey and if you are a "reasonably" experienced trader and would like to participate, send an email to [email protected] This is not meant to be a slight to our general membership but we are limiting participation as we develop this survey. We will consider a general survey after we build a history in this one.

nyc jk 19:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
lol fxq, I like the way you think!

dc fxq 19:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 18:50 GMT & Global-View 18:47 GMT


Either voted off the island OR Trumped "your fired".

Cape Town 18:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw, ex commentary on Economist article back in late June 2004 comparing EU and USA //// If you look at per capita rather than total GDP growth, and leave away Eastern Germany, the Eurozone’s growth exactly matches that of the USA (2.1%). Furthermore, the USA and EU countries measure GDP itself differently - if you factor in hedonic price indexing (HPI), various spending counted as investment in the USA and expenses in the EU, you’ll find the Eurozone ahead. (The article also notes that the EU and the USA uses different measures of productivity - the above article refers to a study that, using identical measures and adjusting for economic cycles, the Eurozone productivity growth was higher.) Needless to say jobless statistics also use rather different assumptions.

pd cumino 18:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT September 22, 2004
USD currently is a buy on dips NOT a sell on rallies.
One should at least say IMO. Or change his name into Dallas Bible.

GER ad 18:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Global-View 18:47 GMT ,
In this case do we have a new Jackel and Hide?

wisconsin tim 18:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
how long did that take to scan

wisconsin tim 18:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
doh

hong kong nt 18:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Reminiscence of a stock operator -- Jesse Livermore, free pdf download

http://www.stock-market-seminars.com/downloads/reminiscences-of-jesse-livermore.pdf

nyc jk 18:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anti raden is Raden Mas? now I have seen it all. like there isn't enough space wasted here under one alias. time for a vote off the island I think........

Global-View 18:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Anti Raden is also Raden Mas and suggest he sticks to his normal name to avoid confusion.

Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Anti Raden, this is the EXACT same post you did yesterday and eur shorted over 100 pips. NO WAY your scenario will play out at this time. USD currently is a buy on dips NOT a sell on rallies.

anti raden 18:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia ANTI Raden Mas 05:29 GMT September 22, 2004
friends..eur/usd will go up.
better buy with stp.
target minimal 1.2464
today will get big acceleration in that up move.
sorry.. I can not give reason in this view. just share..

Texas gangbanggur.. I still wait you to get the point of you.
please give your opinion here whenever you ready if you can than love someone. my baby?

Van jv 18:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ken---Real rates still neg. ---

houston ken 18:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i think that the fed will soon stop increasing fund rates soon .so position traders are sell dollar

SanFrancisco TG 18:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Victor - USD weakness has been an overdue rebalancing of prior artificial and damaging overheating.

prague viktor 18:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG:yeah mate and now tell me why the USD is going down is it a political game?IMO the real price must be about 1,15-1,17 and it will be fear for EU and USA

Miami OMIL (/;-> 18:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 17:57 GMT September 22, 2004
That was an interesting piece of info to read thanks for sharing. Have a good week. GL GT

SanFrancisco TG 17:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Snapshot of world economy for everyone -

Europe vs. America: Germany edges out Arkansas in per capita GDP. The Wall Street Journal Opinion Journal ^ | June 19, 2004 | Editorial

The growing split between the U.S. and Europe has been much in the news, mostly on foreign policy. But less well understood is the gap in economic growth and standards of living. Now comes a European report that puts the American advantage in surprisingly stark relief.

The study, "The EU vs. USA," was done by a pair of economists--Fredrik Bergstrom and Robert Gidehag--for the Swedish think tank Timbro. It found that if Europe were part of the U.S., only tiny Luxembourg could rival the richest of the 50 American states in gross domestic product per capita. Most European countries would rank below the U.S. average, as the chart below shows.

The authors admit that man doesn't live by GDP alone, and that this measure misses output in the "black" economy, which is significant in Europe's high-tax states. GDP also overlooks "the value of leisure or a good environment" or the way prosperity is spread across a society.

But a rising tide still lifts all boats, and U.S. GDP per capita was a whopping 32% higher than the EU average in 2000, and the gap hasn't closed since. It is so wide that if the U.S. economy had frozen in place at 2000 levels while Europe grew, the Continent would still require years to catch up. Ireland, which has lower tax burdens and fewer regulations than the rest of the EU, would be the first but only by 2005. Switzerland, not a member of the EU, and Britain would get there by 2010. But Germany and Spain would need until 2015, while Italy, Sweden and Portugal would have to wait until 2022.

QC Swap 17:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
houston ken 17:27 GMT

Well, i no longer intend to get as many pips as I did on my initial entry. You are absolutely right AUD/JPY looks very bullish. I have a total average short position @77.98. Ideally I'd get out @77.60 about. but I doubt it now, so slightly higher than that I'd take it.

houston ken 17:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
maimi oil this the second wave and it retraces the first wave i think that euro will take off from here

Chicago DL 17:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A B...The best moves are during the London session 8am-4pmGMT I like to be at my desk for 6.45am, There are a number of ways to trade currencies, but the most popular is SPOT, the meaning gets a little technical, but basically meaning that trades are settled within two banking days

houston ken 17:27 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
QC Swap how may pips do think you are going to get on aud yen short? the way i see it this pair is on a strong trend i rather wait on a pull back and go long it is very bullish

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
As I feared the bull rush did not have enough steam to follow through yesterday and the bears took advantage and pushed the price down to the important support (1.2200-20) for the eur/usd pair. This has been a sacred area for the bulls and the bears for a while now. I don’t think the bears are through with this move yet and if 1.2220-2200 is taken then we could see the key support taken out. For now the resistance (1.2260-70, 1.2290-2300) will be what use to be support. Intraday indicators are still bearish, mid-term indicators are bullish and long-term indicators are bullish also IMHO. GL GT

Chicago Irish 17:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma :Suggest you go to the help forum and search the archives

Tacoma A B 17:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
when are the busiest times for the forex? What is spot?

Van jv 17:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Time not to ask-busy trading times
and there is help forum

Mtl JP 17:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Irish 17:04 / indeed: the nips at the butt are its way to remind the old ones of humility, humblness and who is da BOSS. Don't heed... and it goes for the juggular.

Chicago Irish 17:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
JP:And sometimes knaws on the bones of the old too !

Chicago DL 17:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A B.....I dont want to jinx my possie

QC Swap 17:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Added more short AUD/JPY

Chicago DL 17:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A B...You'll see that TA works so well with Forex, well most of the time...lol

Mtl JP 17:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
it => its

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A B 16:56 / IF there ever was a place for tech chartists, spot is it. Caveat emptor: spot likes to eat it young.

Tacoma A B 16:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Chicago: I hear ya, I'm a smallcap stock trader, and over the last 18 hours or so have just become enthrawled with this forex market. So I'm just trying to learn everything I can as fast as possible.
Can one get by just using stock charting patterns and looking at historical support and resistance?

Chicago DL 16:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A B....Patience my friend

Tacoma A B 16:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thank you usa, can you tell me a good place to get fib retracements down for these forex, and what charts should I apply them to? Minute, hour, day? Thanks

usa 16:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
tacoma: if you have specific questions I can always to give you my 2 cents.... I would advise that you learn everything you can about trend lines and fib retracements.. then move on to macd and divergence

wisconsin tim 16:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma A B check the archives for this forum and before you plink 5k for a course search the course name in the archives on this forum and on the help forum.

wisconsin tim 16:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
chicago dl,

I know a little about candles ... But here is a candle play I was looking at maybe you could shed some light on it.

if the daily close gets down around yesterday's open on the EUR/GBP isn't that a bearish reversal pattern?

Tacoma A B 16:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Chicago, the bullish candle you're talking about is that green one right before the red one that is currently being made, right?

Chicago DL 16:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I'm confident with all my trades, however I always expect the unexpected whilst in a position, this is a good candlestick which I like to trade.

Tacoma A B 16:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just some advice that doesn't include spending five K on an online course

Tacoma A B 16:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I don't get it. I don't get anything yet. I need some help out here, anyone mind lending me a hand?

Honolulu ck1 16:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
LMAO

houston ken 16:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
if you are buying euro here pls stand up

Honolulu ck1 16:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hey DL you said youare long on the eur/usd???

how sure are you???

Honolulu ck1 16:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
cool... thanks

usa 16:27 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
honolulu: generally my stop is when the macd crosses back against me on the hourly chart

Chicago DL 16:27 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Bullish Hammer on the 2hr and 4hr EUR/USD chart, I'm long to test previous highs

worcester js 16:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
or can anyone suggest a course for me?

worcester js 16:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone have any experience or success with peter bains pivot points?

Honolulu ck1 16:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well at least you can recoup some losses.... here it comes back down!

Barcelona Tony 16:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
gep, msn

Ldn 16:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Asian CB bid interest at 1.2230

Honolulu ck1 16:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sorry to hear that dallas.... I just got out of a long gpb position and was wondering if I should jump back in and go short.... thanks for the info.... by the way, did that sound crazy to you..... oh well

Tacom A B 16:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hey, I'm new here, I have alot of time to learn on my hands. Can anyone tell me where they learned, or what methods they use in hopes that I can give it a go out here. Thanks in advance

Dallas GEP 16:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
The GBP short from 1.7900 I have sucksss. I should have waited for that 1.7950 level. Oh well WTF!!!

Ldn 16:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hk ab bitching again

Dallas GEP 16:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well I have now Aussie short from .7060, I am not thrilled about it tho. Seems we have soome Aussie bulls around. Stop is @ .7090 and TP is at 7030

hk ab 16:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
How couldn't I thank some of the totally-biased news-flow supplied from you everyday?
And a s/t top often seen after your 'attendence'.

sh sh sh trades....

hk ab 16:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn//Not your worry and I never deny it.
Thanks for your contra-indicator though.....

Guess many newbies bled again on your flood. Good trades.

Honolulu ck1 16:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks for the response usa.... are you currently in a position and if so .......what stops have you placed on it....

Dallas GEP 16:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well to be it = Well to me!!!!

Roumeli anka 16:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Intraday chart. The anticipated e-wave needs more work here

http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=26610&u=contrarian&a=contrarian's&id=497

Dallas GEP 16:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well to be it using the old hindsight, it seems pretty obvious we had some larger players on what SHOULD have been at least neutral USD news re: interest rates DRIVE the markets long AGAINST the dollar YESTERDAY taking out diffrent levels of stops along the way stopping around 1.2350. Since then of course we have had retracements. Also of note that if operators can't take you out on your stops they have no chance to make the spread on a new possie so of course it is to their advantage as well when this volatility occurrs.

Roumeli anka 16:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Goog evening... my scenario for gbpusd. Those charts are from last evening, not updated but you can see my point.
Daily chart
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=26609&u=contrarian&a=contrarian's&id=497

Ldn 16:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hk ab still hold 1.82 long GBP?

usa 16:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I have GBP short... I trade off the hourly chart using 5 minute charts to tell me when to enter. I look for divergence on MACD and look at FIB Retracement... Trend is down and we are in retracement range for reversal... hence my short..... hope this helps

Vancouver Paddyboy 15:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello all,

I've just got back into FXtrading. Hoping for some good trades and some good luck. And I wish it all to you all.

Looks like we just broke $48.00 oil again so it will be interesting to see what up with the FX.

Good luck to all

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 15:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

My personal opinion is that to be EuroBull is not a sydrome..for the time being as long there is a silence for that..

1.2250-1.2222 could be a base for the last shot...for the first Ring Bell..
Sure always in my opinion voodoo or not the final Ring Bell could be heard months away for the green Ship reverse ..

ZORRO
soon Gian Mario will visit u @ ur stand..

GL
nk

Ldn 15:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Crude Surges Up More Than $1,Tops $48 In NY

hk ab 15:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:40 GMT September 22, 2004
With you, London, EM, syd altogether, QDN @gvi rush to +10 marks....
hats off with the ducks.


Martin// Nice quack calls. Now we can have some "retracement" to buy some eur...
those boj sans work too hard lately.

Honolulu ck1 15:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just outta curiosity... did or does anyone have gpb/usd short if so whats your reasoning.... and your limits... if you don't mind sharing...

knoxville dan-k 15:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
and one other thing he would need to do, is to be able to talk in straight fwd sentences that make sense rather than riddles that take months to figure out-lol

London 15:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hunt for Fed successor

Wanted: Brilliant economist. Must be politically savvy, trusted by Wall Street, a strong leader and consensus builder, cool in a crisis, able to calm world markets with a few words

The Washington Post

Honolulu ck1 15:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i totally got out @ 179.50 (+35 pip)

usa 15:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sold GBP 1.7949

nyc jk 15:32 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sold half of long GBP position at 1.7944, will let rest run for now.

Dublin Flip 15:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
that was a few days ago though guys. And it appears to be a p..sed off employee and not OBL's riders of the Apocalypse...

madrid val 15:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tks GVI

Global-View 15:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
From GVI:

LA Mel 14:59 GMT September 22, 2004
A POTENTIALLY explosive device has been found in the cargo bay of a jet at Sydney airport - and accidentally carried into the passenger terminal.

Virgin
Mystery ... Virgin staff played down the find / AAP
An initial NSW Police report has concluded the substance was thermite, a chemical used in grenades. It was found wrapped in a cardboard toilet roll tube with a firework sparkler attached as a 30-second fuse.

Honolulu ck1 15:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks for the info nyc... as you can see... its strating to make a slight jump....

RIGA RIA 15:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thx Viktor very helpful, hope so, I keep my good short.....GL

madrid val 15:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Looks like theres a rumour abot a plane clash? any news? TIA

nyc jk 15:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ck1 - on the face of it, should be bearish for EUR/GBP so yes maybe some support to GBP on it, perhaps that is partially why that cross has come under some pressure today. as with all these M&A deals though, even if it occurs, the methods of financing, timing and size of any fx flows typically are difficult to know without the right contacts though. cheers

prague viktor 15:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ria Im looking to czk @30,2-29,8 on the 1Q 2005 @that time they must sell telekom by 50-58 billions ( czk),but now I need the 30,7 to 10/01 do u think we can see it G/L

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 15:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 14:56 GMT September 22, 2004
sorry about last view and make you confuse..
I mean please open 1 minutes chart ( 1 minute = 1 candle) and be compressed and draw my levels that I have posted first today especially usd/chf chart or others. I hope you get something how is my levels work. thats my clarify..
thanks for your input..

Honolulu ck1 14:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks nyc.... any comments on a possible merger... that would be good for the gpb.... wouldn't?

nyc jk 14:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ck1 - I was in the midst of typing as you posted, thanks and gl.

Honolulu ck1 14:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hey thanks mdp..... also this news for the cable....

FRANKFURT (AFX) - Deutsche Bank AG may be interested in acquiring Lloyds TSB Group PLC, WirtschaftsWoche weekly magazine said in an article to be published tomorrow, without naming its sources.

A rumor circulated the market mid-August that Deutsche and the UK bank were planning a merger of equals.

boston mpd004 14:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
honolulu/ck1// nice to see you here, GL GT

Los Angeles ss 14:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ck1--thanks for info.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 14:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
just share the opinion..
I look eur/usd have given nice pattern will drill to make new low at 1.2111 or 1.2079 (still valid). firs target minor is 1.2144..
I hope will be right..

Honolulu ck1 14:53 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I have about the same stops ny.... the news i just posted... like I said.. nothing major.....

nyc jk 14:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ck1 - I am long GBP, looking for at least a run to 1.7950, possibly back over 1.80. which news are you referring to?

Honolulu ck1 14:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
UK clearer demand has helped cable to further push the envelope of
its recovery from an intra-day low of 1.7875, with the three-digit Dow loss
lending support.
Resistance is located at 1.7952 (Asian session low), 1.7986 (Asian session
high), and 1.8010/20 (offers within the latter window capped the pair early
Europe).

Los Angeles ss 14:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ck1-- what is the news out on GBP/USD??

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 14:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
for short term trade.
sell gbp/usd at 1.7915 for target 1.7887..
see candle 5 minutes! is very ideal high after touch 1.7922 just now..

Honolulu ck1 14:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone started going long on the news of gpb/usd? Nothing major.... just wondering what everyone thought

worcester js 14:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone use peter bains pivot points?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
if any would like to have a Future chart of euro..
ask Jay for my email. ...:)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tod are U there?

FloridA vv 14:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Big volume long orders established @1.2240 through 1.2210
Dealers say

RIGA RIA 14:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Finding some investment bank sell interest on approach to $1.2260, a trader says.

wisconsin tim 14:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
went long e/$ stop below 30 tp up aways

RIGA RIA 14:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Getting a lift through the $1.2250 on US name demand, traders say, with one suggesting the trade may be linked to cross appetite.mkt talk

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 14:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf is not ideal if not yet touch 1.2656-1.2665 before get 1.2697 as the top.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 14:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 13:35 GMT September 22, 2004
yes.
you can sell gbp/usd when touch 1.7928 just now and sell eur/usd when touch 1.2257 just now
target is 1.2212 and 1.7863..

GOES B747 14:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
15 minutes are gone, good luck to all.

gt

Gothenburg XON 14:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
... Sorry, I ment support...

GOES B747 14:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw;

Japan is looking for tighter cooparation with S-Korea; some mergers/takeovers among JAP/KOR big names are to hit the wires.
Japan wants to enjoy/share the better agreements that Korea have regarding oil supply.

gt

Gothenburg XON 14:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well, did that little resistance @ 1,2230 on EUR/USD hold ?
Or will it try this level a 4:th time ?

houston st 14:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

well, I don't know about NZ, but in TX they practice safe sex by marking all the animals that kick....gl/gt.

GOES B747 14:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Goofy 14:07 GMT September 22, 2004

I am sharing my positions and trades; not my wishes.
as a forecast; break below 108.75/85 will trigger immidiate fall to 107/- area and even below.
my t/p @ 109.75..amd re-enter afetr 16HRS with the postions that I will find right.

gt

Paris ib 14:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
U.S. stocks getting belted and STILL the USD holds up. The little USD sell off post Fed hike was just a great opportunity to buy USDs. All those dollar bears out there can drag out the tired old story about the external deficit or even that Europe is gonna hike soon (it's not) but sooner or later they are going to have to cover their dollar shorts. Higher short term rates are helping hold the dollar, and should continue to do so. Question: how long before those carry trades get cut. Answer: not long.

knoxville dan-k 14:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
none of my sheep, oh i mean girlfriends lie, unless you ask them a question - rofl

Chicago Goofy 14:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 14:03 GMT September 22, 2004

B747 May I know how expensive it will be in next few days? Thanks

nyc jk 14:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
lol kiwi

QC Swap 14:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Still holding AUD/JPY short.

chc kiwi 14:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Those sheep are liars

GOES B747 14:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
the next 15 minutes are the last chance to have cheap JPY for the next 7-10 intraday sessions.

gt

CHC kiwi 14:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
The worst thing about australia? The water goes around it

nyc jk 14:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
what is the New Zealander's girlfriends name?
Baaaaaaaaaaaaarbara.

Gold Coast martin 13:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
just to break the monotony.....What do you call a new zealander with a lot of girlfriends?
....A shepherd.....
g/t

shanghai bc 13:55 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

Kiwi fruit was introduced into Newzealand by a Chinese migrant there..It is called a monky-peach in China..

Livingston nh 13:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanx guys but notwithstanding the denomination and flavors is there any fundamentals or deals keeping the CAD so strong (charts show no sign of a break in the trend)

SanFrancisco TG 13:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
If Germany installs the basis of the economic reforms Schroeder is now pushing for which fly in the face of the EU restrictions there will be a resounding economic benefit. I think this is a pivitol issue for the next 5 years for the eurozone. US jobs are growing, small business is growing, receipts are increasing and deficit is to lessen, latin american countries are seeing some growth, asia looking good, china will only moderately slow down and investment/growth is going to grow. The EZ is the lag.

Eastbourne PJ 13:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A kiwi doesn't mean "dumb bird". The Kiwi is a bird, a flightless bird which is native to New Zealand. Apart from New Zealander's before affectionately refered to as Kiwi's, there is also a Kiwi fruit which are Chinese like goosebury's and taste nice too.

dc fxq 13:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
stand corrected! I knew I had something to do with the depiction of a loon on either bill or coin. thanks mtl and rivonia

NY Raider19 13:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Investment Professionals and the Management of Outside Life /// On the Help Forum for when your day is done or you are sure you have time and interest to comment. TIA

Mtl JP 13:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
fxq 13:41 / no more cad$1 bill. just coin.. lowest paper fiat is a cad$5. fwiw

Rivonia PipPirate 13:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
A Canadian one dollar coin is gold in colour. It is often called a loonie as a nickname, because it has a picture of a bird called a loon on it.
The two dollar coin is Canada's newest coin. It has two colours. The outside colour is silver and the inside colour is gold. There is a picture of a polar bear on the two dollar coin. A toonie is nickname of the two dollar coin

dc fxq 13:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
the loon is featured on the reverse side ( if memory serves correctly ) of the CDN $1 bill.

GOES B747 13:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:36 GMT September 22, 2004

for the averaging/supporting shorts @ 110.80
for the position/range trade @ 111.60

I will adjust before US session close; let's see how markets roll.

gt

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 13:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
2 Goes I'm short USDJPY. Where is UR sl? TIA

Los Angeles ss 13:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- didn't understand your last post re: GBP. Please clarify -- do you still hold your downside view on this?

Mtl JP 13:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nh / early part of this week to buy dips on anticipated retrace were not exactly stellar. Maybe sell pops tactique will work better. I use hourly and daily to set levels. fwiw.

RIGA RIA 13:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Talk usdcad bids remain at 1.2830/25...

knoxville dan-k 13:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
just for fun,
u gotta wonder why they call it the loonie, and the nzd the kiwi = kiwi means dumb bird, and loonie, well that one is self explanatory lol, gl gt maby hard to figure out a dumb bird, and a loon

Livingston nh 13:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
CAD continues to confound me - had thought yesterday CAD would lead the parade correcting the Post Fed spike - any info or thoughts on the strength of the loonie would be appreciated

Barcelona Tony 13:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GEP???

GOES B747 13:20 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Morgan Stankey: what was their USD forecast?

tia & gt

SanFrancisco TG 13:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas 13:10 - What in the name of Moby Dick are you talking about? First, you do not specify what we are supposed to see by looking at a simple one minute chart, and second trading in a one minute time frame is virtual suicide for foreign exchange trading.

Please specify what it is I am supposed to look at, because simply looking at a one min chart is going to tell me zero.

Thank you.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
P and L at times like these is exactly like high trublance weather while you're on that Aircraft...Up and Down...Up an...

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
just share..
please open 1 minutes chart usd/chf today and notice my level2 that I give you before. you will know something that able to use in your trade. is that your money if done?

GOES B747 13:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY: averaging shorts towards 110.50, for t/p @ 109.75

gt :-)

nyc jk 13:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
long GBP 1.7899, stop 69 tp open at moment

Livingston nh 13:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Mtl JP - financial forum re:yours 11:46

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 13:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nice for eur/usd and gbp/usd today..
have a nice you..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Yep...
"Trader's Food" Extra ...Buy 5 get 1 free Plus get a 16 oz nine lives Cat Food on Us..
Wall-Mart "We care"

Los Angeles ss 13:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- do you still hold your short view for GBP as earlier said? Thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
"Trader's Food" Extra for times like these

worcester js 12:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i am usuing peter bains pivot point has anyone used this or can anyone reccomend something for me?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Might even some food companies launch a new "Trader's Food"
many relax type things in there + Some Prozac (Mild)

Cairo MDR 12:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
very strong point for euro, if brokerm we will see 2125 by the end of the week

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
They have no problem what so ever to keep wait off them....Man U work with this Your metablism goes with P/L all the time...Perfect correlation

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
U guys noticed that traders often get up from the seat and make a couple of turns around them selves...then back to the seat again!!

Jakarta Wibawa_Id 12:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone!
I see a good chance for Buying Eur/$ at current reate with STP 1.2215, T/p 1.2270
GL!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
aha...
That's why traders don't buy rocking chairs...
and Milk shake...
now I know

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sell eur/usd now when at 1.2235 with stp if show you 1.2249 for target 1.2212 or little lower. chart will go there..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I don't Like when My P/L does some belly dancing...Not Good

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sell gbp/usd now with stop loss if show you 1.7908 (bid number) for target 1.7862..
chart will go there, precise at 1.7862 and then up or little break low from 1.7962 (maybe arround 1.7845 - 1.7850) and then up to get corection before get lower at 1.7772..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
shaky to the point my monitor is shaking with it...Man!

Sydney Alimin 12:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well that's it for usd/yen adventure :) stopped out

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:13 GMT September 22, 2004
I mean really heavy not to write something here especially my analysis and comment everytime about capital flow. very interesting to me that topic.. :-)

RIGA RIA 12:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, good luck, very choppy pairs......EURPLN expect test main key sppt zone 4.2950 with possible break lower to daily tgt 4.2500..Talk abt good offers from UK ard 4.33/4.34 n large stops over 4.35..EURHUF rangebound but I expect tgt 244.50 near time.....GL

prague viktor 12:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
RIGA RIA: thx mate,Im treading now the CZK-pln-huf there was a good move in the last 2-3weeks G/L.

knoxville dan-k 12:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
only been back for a bit , what am i seeing in the $ jpy, and eur usd, opnions, targets, on these pairs? look over bought, and over sold imho

Tallinn viies 12:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dow Jones:
DJ China Forex Policy, Oil Seen To Top G7 Agenda -Kyodo

fwiw
seems promising :)

Dallas GEP 12:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden, what are you talking about friend???

RIGA RIA 12:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
EURNOK expect retest 8.37/3550 soon, we shud recovery also htru NOKSEK now-- no doubt impact to EURSEK also-- there expect back to 9.075 ress zone n NOKSEK jump over 1.0800 to 1.0825 tgt...GL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Might Long euro at NY Afternoon session Friday
still short

Toronto YV 12:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
RIA,Pumpkin thanks .

RIGA RIA 12:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, hi, hope u are fine...Think yes, now expect 31.65/31.35 , talk abt good offers abv 31.50/53.......EURCZK..GL

Tor Pumpkin 12:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Norwegian cb kept rates unchanged as widely expected. Economy shows signs of growth. the cb is not as dovish as the market had expected--slightly NOK positive.

prague viktor 12:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
RIGA RIA :this 30,7 its still out of range for now G/L

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 12:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
friends.. I am sorry.
really heavy to say good bye here.
:-)

RIGA RIA 12:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
NORGES BANK: Signs Norway growth may be higher than projected,Statement does not say whether the Board considered an alternative to unchanged rates,Low inflation implies Norway should not be front runner in raising rates.





Sydney Alimin 12:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well done Gold Coast Martin, that was a great call on euro....silence is indeed golden for you today, let the market do the job

Toronto YV 12:05 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anybody pls what is the NB(NOK) announcement?

RIGA RIA 12:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
NORGESBANK: Leaves deposit rate unchanged at 1.75%, as expected

Dallas GEP 12:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sell cable 1.7910/1.7935/1.7850 for those intrested in more EXACT entries for GBP shorts (suggested).

Syd 12:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Cross AUD/JPY and AUD/CAD supports the bullish outlook on AUD/USD 7170 -7350 expected. AUD/NZD sustained break above 1.0650signals potential turning point to move higher

RIGA RIA 11:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
usdzar continue hold choppy range abv 6.40 sppt, talk good French name buying dips ard 6.42/39 , but large sell order from a UK clearer, with additional sales from a major Swiss name ahead 6.50/6.53, more offers ahead 6.55...Expect capp ard 6.55 today...GL

Sydney Alimin 11:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well done usd/jpy...stops at today's high now, it cannot go up there anymore or else that means a break to the upside of this usd/jpy range

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
cable yen small short

Dallas GEP 11:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Shorted gbp/usd @ 1.7900....half normal possie

QC Swap 11:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Short AUD/JPY at present levels. 77.85

GER ad 11:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Short CAD/JPY at 85.99

Dallas GEP 11:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Andras. Critics, I don't mind. Vindictiveness, I DO mind because it is cowardly. But that's not my problem anyway, you KNOW what I mean. THX again.

Mtl JP 11:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nh 01:52 / Thx for that reminder. What is interesting are the "virtually inevitable that shocks will result in some combination of higher inflation and higher unemployment for a time." I am eyeballing that relationship myself. From this chart, it would appear that ccies follow bonds contemporarily. And bonds follow crude... which raises the Q of when crude prices become self correcting as economy slows and demand for crude follows dragging crude back down (and causes FED to take a break with its hikes binge in persuit of neutrality). Not sure I would necesserily want to extend that logique to oil up -> dump bonds -> buy u$d tho. :-)

Pecs Andras 11:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
BTW GEP
COngrats to your EUR short trades. I think this trade was a clear answer to some guy criticizing you.

Dallas GEP 11:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well Andras, I don't think it will have alot of range. +30 pips and out would be my suggestion

Dallas GEP 11:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ALIMIN!!!

Pecs Andras 11:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I am also in aussi short from 61.
What is your target on this one?

Sydney Alimin 11:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy looks bad now, perhaps this is the break to the upside? will wait a bit more in case it is a false break, need it to fall under 110.60 again quickly

Dallas GEP 11:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Closed rest of eur/usd shorts, eur/gbp shorts closed at TP. Aussie shorts from .7060 still working.

London 11:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dhahran A for now

Sydney gvm 11:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Any hint of CB (Nippon?) working this market in this European session ?

Dhahran A 11:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
London .... but $ got stronger !!!

Eilat Dolphin 11:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin/ That was a very clean eurusd call you had from last night... Congrats!

Sydney Alimin 11:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well this is quite a show, almost all of yesterday's move in euro is cancelled....took some usd/jpy short 110.57 looking for some quick pips

London 11:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
LAKE HARMONY, Pa. (AP)--Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge said terrorists have given a "clear indication of intent" to disrupt U.S. elections in November, although security officials haven't been able to pinpoint the source of the threat.

Tallinn viies 11:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
bought at 1,2241.
next level to buy stands at 1,2215
fwiw
target 1,2345/50 now within 48 hours

Sydney Alimin 11:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP: thx for the call on eur/gbp short few hours ago, i took it and brought some nice profit home, cheers mate...good trades

Sydney Alimin 11:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i can feel euro bulls' hands are itchy now getting ready to jump in as soon as 1.224x prints, are we gonna get there or straight bounce from here or even worse go down to 1.2210

ny jf 11:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
daniel - wasnt my point right nor wrong - jst if u put 100 views 20 times a day - they become noise

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Some Aus/JPY short here

Dhahran A 11:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Crazy market ... who's playing with it?

Varna/BG PDP 11:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
There was a censored word in my last Q. .. it was the abreviation of "censored"

Varna/BG PDP 11:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Is this censored specific forum ?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
This is Kung Fu MKT Right now

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Small short yen here

Global-View Research 10:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
FOMC Upgrades Growth, Jobs But Downgrades Inflation (FXA)

FOMC statement today upgraded its assessment of growth and employment but downgraded its assessment of inflation. Clearly the long end of the bond market welcomed the statement by rallying. Meanwhile the dollar, which was weak much of the day versus most currencies except the yen, fell noticeably, even breaking a key euro/dollar trend line from the high in February near 1.2300.... See full update in our Research Section: CLICK HERE

Gold Coast martin 10:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 10:43 GMT September 22, 2004
Daniel market interpretation is in the eyes of the beholder...perservere with it and you will succeed..best of luck....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:44 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys... :)

Budapest Daniel 10:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
It's funny that the ANTI Raden's predictions failed. He predicted the eur/usd will go straight up above 1.24 which is not the case as of now... Seems Raden's predictions came true (1.2270)....

Gold Coast martin 10:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast martin 20:48 GMT September 21, 2004
Ldn Robert 20:32 GMT September 21, 2004
Between retracement and the yen crosses, the euros level is at 12240 by end of ny session tomorrow...aud still has some upside to 7068 resistance level after which it is back to 6998...same timeframe.......g/t

Above post applies for today..g/t

Syd 10:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
CITIGROUP IS BEING closely watched for any indication that the forced closure of the financial giant's private-banking operations in Japan will affect other units.
wsj

GOES B747 10:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
took USD/JPY short
target @ 109.95

gt :-)

Ldn 10:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies cheers nice to on were on the same train today

boston mpd004 10:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
closed E/$ short +42

paris jb 10:23 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
good day,

why this chopiness today? any news?

Tallinn viies 10:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
good day all.
euro is still buy for me.
left order to add at 1,2245. even those levels here not bad. target within next 24 hours 1,2375.
good luck

Cairo MDR 10:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sep 22 6:00AM FRENCH BUDGET Govt sees 2005 public sector deficit 2.9 pct of GDP UPDATE

(updating with further budget forecasts, breakdown of spending plans)

PARIS (AFX) - The government expects France's public sector deficit to fall to 2.9 pct of GDP in 2005, under the ceiling required by the Maastricht treaty, according to the draft budget for 2005. The document confirmed last night's announcement that the budget is based on estimated GDP growth in 2005 of 2.5 pct, unchanged from the estimate for 2004 growth, and on inflation of 1.8 pct. The 2004 public sector deficit is still expected to breach the stability and growth pact for the third year running at 3.6 pct of GDP. Overall spending is projected at 288.45 bln eur, up from 283.69 bln this year on net receipts of 242.95 bln, producing a budget deficit of 44.93 bln, narrowing from the 55.08 projected for 2004. Total GDP is seen at 1.698 trln eur, up from 1.627 bln in 2004. Economists agreed the government was certain to forecast a public sector deficit of 3.0 pct of GDP or lower after reassurances from ministers over recent weeks. They questioned however whether this reflects a shift in structural spending or if it is thanks to the one-off windfall the government will receive from Electricite de France and Gaz de France in return for taking over the groups' pension funds schemes post-privatisation. The government confirmed yesterday the government will receive a minimum of 7 bln eur from the scheme in 2005, equivalent to 0.4 pct of GDP. Economists say the windfall could potentially rise to 16 bln eur, depending on how much of EDF/GDF's top-up insurance schemes are outsourced to the state. Finance minister Nicolas Sarkozy will hold a news conference scheduled for 2.00 pm today after presenting the budget to both cabinet and parliament. According to the draft budget, consumer spending is expected to rise 2.4 pct in 2005, unchanged from the estimate for 2004, running slightly ahead of consumer purchasing power, projected to rise 2.2 pct, after a projected 1.5 pct rise this year. Exports are expected to rise 6.3 pct after anticipated growth of 4.5 pct in 2004 and imports are seen up 6.7 pct slowing from a 7.1 pct jump in 2004. By department, France expects spending on civil affairs to rise 1.6 pct to 246.03 bln eur and that on defence to increase 2.1 pct to 42.42 bln. Overall spending will increase 1.7 pct, in line with the government's pledge to freeze spending in real terms, after taking inflation into account. [email protected] mrg/wf

Sydney gvm 10:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
PAR 08:25 GMT September 22, 2004

Hey Par didnt think anyone else lloked at Gas Oil, its a lovely wee trending market when it gets going. Long from 371 currently - do you trade it?

van Gecko 09:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
everytime the the Majors rise vs the Dollar, "Shorty_titist" seems to run rampant in Fx'land..
don't know why so many prefer to be know as Mr. Shortie on this dollar plunging leg.. a potential great market for "Fx Pip'less En-largement" spam mails?
Cheerios..

KL KL 09:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
out of eurusd short at 1.2298 , gbpusd short hit sl so a few pips loss...hate that gbpusd...next time wider sl....

tk jf 09:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
as i said no offence raden - however sometimes a trader will listen to others, network and share their view - its not necessary that your view is the only one - if you look at yr archive you will perhaps see what i mean - and yes yr one view to sell gbp was correct today - well done - gt

London 09:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
G7 next big thing on the horizon.
The deficit in the U.S current account,a record $166.2 billion in the second quarter, or a whopping 5.7% of gross domestic product .The huge deficit itself is negative for the dollar, and sentiment toward the currency could be further undermined if the market believes Washington wants to narrow the gap by letting the dollar drop to boost U.S. exports. The deficit is shaping up as a key topic for the G7 ministers. America's G7 partners have called attention to the U.S. current-account deficit as one of the key global imbalances that must be addressed, and said they hope to hear what the U.S. plans to do. G7 meeting will likely be how to finance the U.S. current-account deficit The Dollar will remain on guard against any remarks from senior G7 officials suggesting an implicit endorsement of a weak-dollar policy some believes the dollar may fall to Y108.00 after the G7 meeting.
reuters



Ldn 09:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Trichet Predicts Gradual Adoption Of Euro As Reserve
Wants To Avoid "Brutal" Move To Euro As Reserve

Dallas GEP 09:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Order on aussie short at .7060 was taken while I was away. HALF my euro shorts were closed at BE...The rest I am holding for profit.

Syd 09:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR daily Stochastics have turned positive move toward 1.2385-1.2405 coming sessions s/l 1.2275, target 1.2450.

hk ab 09:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Lord of the ring econ stories....

Honolulu ck1 09:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I think we've just seen the bottom for tonight of the gpb/usd.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 09:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
the result of trade is profit, and the result analisis is prove the number/level that can able to help traders. which are better?
the answer follow our eachselves mind.
GOOD BYE !!!!

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 09:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
tok jf 08:59 GMT September 22, 2004
like you too. I am trader too.
I wait in front of my monitors everyday and most of my time.
for what except for trade..?
you are same with me or we get question...trader or analyst is better? trading or analisis is more difficult?
we have the answer for eachselves.
btw..thanks for your input.

gold coast miko 09:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
RADEN MAS where do you think the bottom of the GBP/USD is to night, as we have hit the 50% retracement from yesterdays jump up to 1.800. Also I would like to say to you Raden. Dont get hurt by thoughtless comments like those from taxas gangbangur, AKA brain donor.

tok jf 08:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
raden - no offence but u dont trde -- only - paper trade
its v hard to take u seriously - and even a broken watch is right twice a day

Honolulu ck1 08:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone going gbp short... and then long?

Ldn 08:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
German July Mfg Orders Revised Up To Adj +3.1%M-M - Buba

shanghai cc 08:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden I been watching this forum for a few weeks I would say that with the volume you've posted your bound to get one by way of basic probability Bit like spinning a dice to trade

Paris ib 08:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
PAR. And the FED then is what? Fed funds are 1.75%, inflation is 2.7%. I mean the Fed Funds is still below the Euro rate and the Eurozone doesn't have a massive external deficit to fund. Are all the Central Bankers of this world asleep at the wheel?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:49 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ina co'z 08:48 GMT September 22, 2004
thanks my friend..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
to everybody who notice no point from my view.
you got profit from my view just now ?
yes.. I agree with UK J.B qualified . not quantitative view.
where are you Texas gangbanggur ? no view from you since yesterday. wake up man !!
but..maybe you got profit from my view just now ( I hope),or maybe get loss againts me like yesterday?, but you said different always.
bye..
sorry about this comment.. really I got hurt about yesterday. if you are me..what did you feel?

Ina co'z 08:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:00 GMT September 22, 2004

GOOD CALL my Friend...keep your work RADEN..i know who you are...:-)) !

Ldn 08:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Trichet Says New Data Confirms Economic Recovery
Recovery Will Become "Broadly Based" In 2005-Predicts 1.6% To 2.2% GDP Growth This Year

PAR 08:25 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
With crude oil above $ 47 and gasoil above $ 400 , Trichet is loosing all credibilty by saying he is vigilant on inflation. He is sleeping or blind.

Gen dk 08:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 08:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sell gbp/usd here 1.7968 with stp if show you bid number 1.7978 for target 1.7929..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 07:53 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Copenhagen Livermore 07:00 GMT September 22, 2004

thanks
I hope like that..
many badminton players in Denmark.lets play badminton with Indonesian. LOL

London 07:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
ECB President Trichet's comments to the European Parliament from 0830 GMT. are likely to echo those expressed at the last ECB press conference, and by a number of policymakers since then, reflecting a tightening bias

Paris ib 07:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney. Household sector debt levels in the U.S. have reached record levels as a percentage of disposable income. But the Federal Deficit is no walk in the park either. So pretty much debt in the USA is big news all round. The question is: which sector is the one which will buckle under. The answer, I think, is the private sector in response to higher interest levels. The public sector doesn't seem to have the motivation or, indeed, the flexibility. So it could be a classic case of crowding out (via higher interest rates) with the world's 'consumer of last resort' hitting the wall. Won't be good for the U.S. or world economy, but it won't mean the Fed Funds goes down either. In fact a Fed Funds rate of 4% is not out of the question. One thing though, it will be supportive for the dollar and it will encourage foreign capital inflows.

LIS Montanha 07:37 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Moskow, I believe GV is not fond of people peddling their wares here but anyway:

Such prefiltered data is mostly useless for someone who wants to trade. If he trades in real-time he cannot filter in the same way as the data provider has filtered and therefore the data he would he using for trading would be hugely different. The only solution is to take exactly the data as it is provided by one's own data provider, filter it and use it for backtesting and use exactly that filter too in real-time.

I have spent ages on exactly this problem. Some data feeds are so crappy that even the best filtering doesn't help. I can only highly recommend to put a lot of energy into solving this problem by oneself and not rely on some third party so one knows exactly what is going on.

Syd 07:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Aussie touched high of 7059, taking out option stops at 7055 and heard more stops are placed above 7060-63 handle. A strong upmoves keep FX mkt in check, chance to gun for stops looks to be the play with next target eyed at 7080. AUD was given further support, accentuated by AUD/JPY purchased out of Jpn and offshore names. Mkt target 7100 n-term ahead of next objective of 7150. Sell strength is no longer in play in the high yielders, players now turning to buy-on-dip type for the aforementioned target.

censored

Budapest Daniel 07:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Thank you

Copenhagen Livermore 07:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Daniel: OK.

Budapest Daniel 07:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Yes it seems like... Can you please try to send me an email to [email protected] please?

Copenhagen Livermore 07:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Obelix: No. But you have to admit when you are wrong and take your loss.

Copenhagen Livermore 07:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
What was this? Forrbidden to mention brokers?

Copenhagen Livermore 07:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Daniel
Try censored, censored or censored.

Makati Obelix 07:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Livermore, do you expect him to make good calls every single time?

Budapest Daniel 07:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone else use forex.com's traderdeck? I cannot log-in now because of Bandwidth Limit Exceeded message in the browser. Does anyone know a more reliable company whose application will not f... up every day and there is also a possibility to open a small account?

sorry for the negative commercial, but thats getting ridiculous

Copenhagen Livermore 07:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas - I hope you were fake, because your calls was very bad - to tell the truth. Do you agree?

Copenhagen Livermore 06:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GMT: Do you have the number for Japan's Trade Balance earlier today?

Ldn 06:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
French Aug Consumer Spending Above +0.4% Forecast

Copenhagen Livermore 06:32 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas - was you real or fake yesterday?

hk mom 06:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I will average down and buy at 0.7035 again.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 06:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy
Level Sell :
110.49
110.63
111.15
111.36
Level buy :
109.80

usd/chf
Level Sell :
1.2929
1.2648
1.2656
1.2697
1.2810
1.2834
1.2965
Level buy :
1.2531
1.2468
1.2442
gold
Level sell :
407.94
Level buy :
404.60
402.70
396.70

raden fake maybe still sleep today..

Copenhagen Livermore 06:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney: Both

Sydney Ge11Ja 06:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Paris ib 06:04 GMT September 22, 2004

Is debt in the US mainly private or govt?

Copenhagen Livermore 06:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas: Are you real or fake today?

KL KL 06:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
chicago joe, normally I play hit and run and since this is retracement, I am looking to just double the sl figure...if it goes beyond that, it is a bonus...it normally happens You are right to buy the dips and don't forget to sell rally. My problem is that I don't know what level to buy on dip in this range bound market...dip can sometimes turn to huge fall!!..so play in the middle is best and accumulate pips!!

Chicago Goofy 06:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Irish, Thanks for ur remind.
I was just making up this lesson in my forex knowledge.
http://www.senderberl.com/japanyen.htm

tok jf 06:06 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
raden do you think you can narrow down a little

Paris ib 06:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
U.S. CPI inflation is 2.7% Y/Y Fed Funds at 1.75% - the Fed has said policy is still accommodative (well guys real rates are STILL NEGATIVE so the Fed Funds could go up to 3.0 - 3.5 % without being considered tight) and some market players are suggesting that the Fed will stop at 2.0%. Don't know what drugs they are using but they must be good. Looks like we get 0.25 raises from here on in with a VERY CONSERVATIVE target set at 3.0%, although a case can be made for higher rates. It might kill the economy, but someone has got to do something about the debt bubble in America and the Government certainly isn't doing anything to get demand in control and reduce America's external funding requirement (not doing anything actually being a translation for running off in the opposite direction). The market still lives in a parallel universe where everyone pretends the Fed is NOT saying what it is saying.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 06:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd
risk management with stp 10 pips below or above each levels
Level sell :
0.7050
0.7118
0.7138
0.7200
0.7236
Level buy :
0.7003
0.6976
0.6951
0.6925
0.6907
0.6883
good luck

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 06:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GBp/usd
risk management 10 ips from each levels.
Level Sell :
1.8036
1.8055
1.8134
Level Buy :
1.7928
1.7895
1.7898
1.7862
1.7838
1.7772
1.7734
1.7694
good luck..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 05:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd
I hope you use risk management with stp 10 pips from my numbers level here. I hope you can survive and feel my levels is usable for you.
Level Sell :
1.2351
1.2379
1.2390
1.2442
1.2468
Level buy :
1.2259
1.2235
1.2212
1.2192
Good luck..

chicago joe 05:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
KL any targets? I hear buy euro on any dips though.

KL KL 05:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
short eur usd 1.2316 sl 15 above, also gbpusd 1.7968, sl 20 above...lets see how it goes in London and NY session..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 05:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 05:35 GMT September 22, 2004
you are exactly.
I hope like with what you are thinking. ok?..
I hope too about my view aud with my risk management suggest just now will answer your quality reminding. be noted..

U.K. J.B. 05:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden mas

QUALITY- NOT QUANTITY- Re postings, just a small piece of advice to you.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 05:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
sell aud/usd now at 0.7048 with stp if show you 0.7067..
nice chance..

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 05:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 05:15 GMT September 22, 2004
totally agree with you.
if like that. he/she no have time again to write here something although only one words..bussy in making a lot money.

Indonesia ANTI Raden Mas 05:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
friends..eur/usd will go up.
better buy with stp.
target minimal 1.2464
today will get big acceleration in that up move.
sorry.. I can not give reason in this view. just share..

Texas gangbanggur.. I still wait you to get the point of you.
please give your opinion here whenever you ready if you can than love someone. my baby?

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 05:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
friends..eur/usd will go down so far.
better sell with stp if show you bid number at 1.2258.
target minimal 1.2259..
today will get big acceleration in that down move.
sorry.. I can not give reason in this view. just share..

Texas gangbanggur.. I still wait you to get the point of you.
please give your opinion here soon if you can than blame someone. babby run?

U.K. J.B. 05:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Re systems i don't recommend any. Think about it ,if someone has a fantastic money making device are they really going to share it/charge $250 a month. I think not. They will form a nice 2 year track record keep it quiet and then approach the hedge fund community for a serious sponser.

Remarket today, now the dust has settled feel doll/cad good r/r buy for a move back to 1.3050 cable a sell anything below 1.8050 and eur/yen a sell for a move back to 133.25

Happy trading......

Ldn 05:14 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hk mom ;-)

hk mom 05:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

Gold Coast martin 03:08 GMT September 22, 2004
Good morning..lesson for the day:'silence is golden" and 'quacking ducks today,dead ducks tommorow"

hmmm sorry to hear that,
the forum will miss your endless aussie bear quackings.


hk ab 01:40 GMT September 22, 2004

now that the forum's number one dollar bull may be a dead duck you may not have to keep playing the role of a second fiddle dollar bull duck in gv.

Ldn 05:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Full Article.
Fed Now Focuses on How Fast, How Far for Rates: John M. Berry

Va Raven 05:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
That was the piece supporting the move earlier today after FOMC..... He reads the same way as market does about the "rates outlook". More market reaction to be seen in teh next 24 hours. FWIW

Ldn 05:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Berry: Growth Prospects Not As "Rosy" As Thought - Bloomberg

Chicago Irish 05:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Goofy:Their last action targetted Usd/Jpy and Eur/Jpy.

Chicago Goofy 04:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi, anyone can explain what BOJ/MOF(MOF to instruct, BOJ to implement) manipulation exactly is?

Is the target a single pair movement ($/Yen) through different pairs control?

anyone can give me fundamenatal reason or source links on the need of intervention? up for exporter annual report?

Thanks, This is a question around me as long as $/yen tight trading have been.

I really appreciate your answers.

Ina co'z 04:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello all..!

Wave C on 4hr charts gbp/usd..target resistance 1.8063..., swing pattern looks like at 1.7910. but if were right 4hrs candle will make star bull formation...still waiting wheres level of 4hrs candle will be closed...IMO
any opinions please...? TIA..gl/gt..!

Syd 04:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
(AP) While US$49.94 billion worth of mergers and acquisitions have already been announced in Australia in the first half of 2004, the good times are expected to continue for some time yet, with further consolidation expected in the property and infrastructure markets. And if the federal election next month results in a change of government, the media industry is also likely to come under the spotlight, said Kevin Skelton, chairman of investment banking at Merrill Lynch & Co.'s (MER) Australian unit. The buoyancy is to continue because people want to grow the revenue line, and the way to grow the revenue line is to continue to make acquisitions Interest rates are still at a low level, and equities at a high level, so cost of capital is quite low for companies at the moment, which is conducive for acquisitions .He is particularly upbeat about the Australian property sector, which has been the busiest sector this year following a flurry of activity, with the biggest deal being the three-way A$27 billion merger of the Westfield Group (WDC.AU) companies. We can expect that sector to continue to be busy, and we expect the infrastructure sector to also be very very busy.According to Thompson Financial's recent M&A advisory table, some US$18.19 billion worth of deals in Australia were completed in the first half of 2004.

Chicago Irish 04:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Tim.........Pretty simple,BOJ in stealth mode again.

hk ab 04:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp looks like a big joke now.

hk ab 04:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Just a few words to note: dlr bulls/bears watch eurchf 1.55 again for hints....

wisconsin tim 04:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
who writes this stuff for the platforms ... they have been harping on the "unbelievable" for the last weeks

We again face the situation that is not explainable. Why should the [EUR/YEN] go higher again when the Dlr weakness is the main theme in the market? The overnight actions are very much alike the scene manipulated by the Japan's MOF's interventions in the past. Some forcible power is lending support to the [DLR/YEN] and Yen crosses. Momentum accounts are featured as the buyer of the cross overnight (so what?). Dlr/Yen's 109.50 firmness is just unnatural. Technical players would favor the Eur/Yen picture that has overcome the previous peak. Some structures could be around 135.50.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 04:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
good morning to all !!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well we finally broke through the range and we are headed for greener pastures (NOT). Before we start thinking that this is it let me remind you of the past 4 months and the infamous breakouts leaving many hanging by the neck. We are still in the range but a promising move by the bulls was made and now it is up to the bears to live up to the challenge. It is now buy on dips for intraday positions for eur/usd pair but with caution. Today’s retracement numbers are 1.2295-2300, 1.2260-65, 2230-35 and 2205-10 if the 1.2350 area is not broken. Support is found now at 1.2300-10, 1.2260-70, 1.2200-20, 1.2180-70 and 1.2140-50 the key support is 1.2180-70 for now. Next resistance that should be tested if 1.2350 is taken is 1.2390-2400. Key resistance is still around the 1.2460-80 area and as I said before if that is taken 1.2650 and eventually the top for this year COULD be tested IMHO. Martin “silence is golden” very well said as it gets congested in the forum it is tough to spot the good information these days. GL GT

London 03:41 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
euro next resistance at 1.2387

tk jf 03:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
think impt not to shrt eur too early - let mkt exhaust itself first and when trend change to sell rallies return will be better - $chf shud move slightly before the others thats where axe is too grind at moment shud give away the next shorter term movement- eurgbp 6900 is large fund t/p level

wisconsin tim 03:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 02:08 GMT September 22, 2004
... -- watch retracements

=P

Gold Coast martin 03:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 03:13 GMT September 22, 2004
By all means...Ask Jay for it....
Also reading all the posts after the data i cannot find 2 key words:1..RETRACEMENT...2 FALSE START(We had plenty of these in the last 6 months}...let these 2 words form major part of your strategy when entering positions today.....g/t

Calabash TarHeel 03:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello Martin
Good things comes to he who waits.
Still like to get your e-mail if ok with you.
Good Trades

Gold Coast martin 03:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Good morning..lesson for the day:'silence is golden" and 'quacking ducks today,dead ducks tommorow"...good trades to all.....

SanFrancisco TG 03:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I would like to suggest not paying attention to 5 min time frames because you cant really guage the flows and they do not reflect fundamental conditions. I would also like to suggest that stocks/currencies do not always move in tandem.

Ldn 02:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
An opinion on direction
Dollar Direction - For this Week 22 september 2004

LINK

nyc tony 02:59 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
warsaw/

imho the best way to learn to trade is to do it. analysis techniques are necessary but nothing compares to exp. open a demo or mini acct to understand how the market moves. gl gt

Singapore Sfx 02:57 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
js - for now , i am wondering what i am doing .. but with ref to what you said you do - if you put in an oda both sides, then why do you read the news ticker at all ?

wisconsin tim 02:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
I think Global-view is working on a recommending reading section ... I don't know if they have it finished yet though.

worcester js 02:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
what broker do you use

Warsaw 02:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi, I'd like to start investing in FX market. Could you recommend me some books that will help me to understand this market and will teach me how to trade. TIA. My email: [email protected]

worcester js 02:51 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
what do you do?

worcester js 02:50 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
well before a fundamental announcement comes out i put 2 if/then orders in 1 long and 1 short both 20pips from the current rate

Syd 02:47 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Kiwi breaks key resistance

Singapore Sfx 02:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
cool - so once you get the news and understand its implication for price movement , how do you decide where to enter and what price to exit ?

worcester js 02:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
news ticker

Singapore Sfx 02:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
js - do you read the news ticker and the newspapers / news sources ? or do you look at prices on a screen ? or both ?

Honolulu ck1 02:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
yep gpb long

worcester js 02:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone expecting anything from the pound tomorrow morning?

worcester js 02:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
what do you feel is better technical analysis or fundamental

worcester 02:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
has anyone tried peter bains pivot point system? if not what systems do you reccomend?

nyc jk 02:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Raton, let me guess, said investor saw his/her account balance blown to bits after a bout of doubling/tripling of losers?

Dallas GEP 02:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
For more useful things, eur/gbp provides a pretty nice opportunity here around the 6855-6860 area. One could short HERE with about a 25 pip stop and target at least 6820 IMO. If EURO breaks EXTEMELY long then 6880/90 is possible but not very probable. At 18.00 a pip it is is worth almost twice as much as eur/usd and it will not make wild swings. General range is 40-50 pips per day. it does move very slowly so as far daytrading in that regard it is less than ideal. It generally has some topside resistance due to the fact the ECU does NOT like for it's levels to go much beyond this 6860-6880 area. GBP/USD has LESS of a pull on eur/gbp than eur/usd does.

Sydney Alimin 02:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i only remember few sessions ago when viies called for going long euro into 1.23 target, hats off to you again viies if you are still watching this forum...well done

would appreciate if you would share some ideas as to what do you think will be appropriate for trading euro now that your target has been reached

MInnesota Mark 02:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Get my email from Jay if ya want, I'm up by 8 just on the other side of the river.

wisconsin tim 02:22 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
LOL i don't even know where I live 90 border

wisconsin tim 02:21 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
94 mark ... this week will be one of those weeks when I actually cheer for da bares

MInnesota Mark 02:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
94 border 36 border or 8 border Tim?

SanFrancisco TG 02:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
What is fascinating to me is I keep hearing what "arrogant" people we Americans are, but it is VERY OVERWHELMINGLY people outside the US who come into this forum with hardly anything but a negative, arrogant, condemning attitude.

wisconsin tim 02:18 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
chicago -> yeah could that lifetime series be any closer. You will agree though ... at least those guys in purple lost =) I live on the border of Minn so I only had to put with 1 day of ribs

Boca Raton 02:17 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
And an investor we both know.

MInnesota Mark 02:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Don't hurt yourself gloating Irish, next week this time you will be singing a different tune.

Dallas GEP 02:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Bottom line was NO LOSS on that possie Raton...last post on this matter...You lose track of the important things....it is not how you get to your destination, the important thing is to GET THERE. I could care less whether of not you APPROVE of my methods or not. That's entirely your problem and fixation, NOT MINE.

Syd 02:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
hearing talk of a french player buying Aud/NZ view that it will rebound to 1.12-13 medium term say that in a global bond market sell off NZ will under perform due to the high level of holdings and lack of liquidity FWIW.

Chicago Irish 02:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Wisconsin Tim:Green Bay sucks! .............LOL!

SanFrancisco TG 02:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GEP - my 2 cents says 2350 is high end value for now so some pulling back in store.

wisconsin tim 02:12 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
gold coast ... have a few long aud/$ here are you still looking at ~65 to cap, you have anytime for why?

wisconsin tim 02:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
not to be rude or "preach" but can we please have at least the nights free of bickering =)

Sydney Alimin 02:09 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
for euro to tackle the downside, 1.23 has to be taken first, else a ride to 1.24++ is very possible

Boca Raton 02:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:28 GMT September 16, 2004
More gbp shorts @ 1.7896

Dallas GEP 13:29 GMT September 16, 2004
Shorted GBP @ 1.7882

Boca Raton 15:40 GMT September 16, 2004
Sterling is going to 1.8035. Dallas, are you going to sell more there? Its pretty expensive.

No harm meant, but lets keep things in perspective. Not everyone can absorb 110 expensive Sterling point my friend. If indeed you can, my hat off then.

wisconsin tim 02:08 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 9/22/2004 -- watch retracements using these to enter in todays direction

Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
9/21/2004 AUDUSD 0.7079 0.7003 0.7072 0.6957
9/21/2004 EURGBP 0.6893 0.6847 0.6892 0.6803
9/21/2004 EURUSD 1.2388 1.2284 1.2407 1.2130
9/21/2004 EURYEN 135.86 134.71 136.18 133.35
9/21/2004 GBPUSD 1.8031 1.7877 1.8058 1.7780
9/21/2004 GBPYEN 197.69 195.97 198.28 195.35
9/21/2004 NDZUSD 0.6688 0.6613 0.6681 0.6559
9/21/2004 USDCAD 1.2919 1.2811 1.2991 1.2808
9/21/2004 USDCHF 1.2586 1.2479 1.2783 1.2460
9/21/2004 USDYEN 110.04 109.27 110.46 109.36

Dallas GEP 02:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
What does ring a bell Raton is that I came out of that with NO LOSS. Those little facts for whatever reason seemed to escape you selective memory. LOL

Chicago Irish 02:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well this market could go any direction.........good luck all!

Boca Raton 02:03 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
About as feasible as Cable going to 1.8040 when you were tripled up short from horrible levels ring a bell?

SanFrancisco TG 02:01 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Asian stocks not helping $yen right now.

Syd 02:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
option 7050 taken out on Aud.

Sydney Alimin 02:00 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Roumeli anka: with current level of dollar index, does it break the triangle pattern of the chart you showed few weeks back?

Dallas GEP 01:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well Irish I was trying to come up with feasible scenarios.

Chicago Irish 01:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
GEP:You forgot potential straight shot to 1.2387 then 1.2460 then 1.2600

Livingston nh 01:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
JP - that's how inflation starts - market share becomes less important because everybody is in the same boat - prices will rise

Dallas GEP 01:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Well we got some scenarios tonight, Euro could retest that 1.2350 area. Euro could retest 1.2350 go thru and see 1.2380 and THEN short or Euro could go and test 1.24. Additionally euro COULD short from here. The KEY probably is the 1.2295-1.2305 area. IF that support GIVES then we will have SHORTS in play probably to at least back intially to 1.2240/50 area. Since we have seen GBP short much more than the euro on this retracement, it is quite possible we could see gbp longs in play AND euro shorts in play same time EUR/GBP being the culprit here (shorts that is).

If GBP shorts back down thru 1.7940/45 from here, additional pressure will be on the euro short. so IMO GBP support at 1.7940 is key also.

Livingston nh 01:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
From last wek's FOMC Gramlich speech about oil and monetary policy -- "Today the question of how to respond to oil price spikes is better understood, but the outcomes are no more pleasant. It is virtually inevitable that shocks will result in some combination of higher inflation and higher unemployment for a time. But I must stress that the worst possible outcome is not these temporary increases in inflation and unemployment. The worst possible outcome is for monetary policy makers to let inflation come loose from its moorings. " // The speech has some interesting charts and shows Fed's concern for price relationship of spot oil to future prices

Mtl JP 01:52 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
nh / earlier today: "Today it was General Mills that
said it was having a tough time keeping costs in line. The Cheerios maker said it will have a steeper-than-expected fall in profit caused by higher grain prices. Others have made similar announcements." (Reuters) fwiw.

London 01:45 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh thanks for that

Livingston nh 01:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
London - better to watch ISM reports for firms' willingness to pass on costs - CPI and PPI adjust away prices with adjustments (and "core") // Some Fed members are starting to worry more about the flow thru effect of energy prices and the Fed statement today dropped the term "transitory" so the reality of permanently higher energy is starting to seep into the Fed

hk ab 01:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
With you, London, EM, syd altogether, QDN @gvi rush to +10 marks....
hats off with the ducks.

hk ab 01:39 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
mom// Though I know your husband and you are haemothodite. Yet, I have no interest in any discussion with you yet.

Just take care your long first at 0.7220....

Take a look on the archive and see when did I flat all the positions.

hk mom 01:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

hk ab 01:16 GMT September 22, 2004

if Mr.Short in Usd/Aud hinted to you that he will be Mr. Long in aud/jpy then you must be pretending to be Mrs. Short in Aud/Usd ? LOL

hk ab 16:02 GMT September 20, 2004
oilman, short aud 7007

London 01:30 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
DBS Bank are saying that Fed finished hiking rates for rest of 2004 and expects soft patch of U.S. economy to be longer than Fed willing to admit .The drop in August PPI and soft CPI firms unwillingness to pass on higher energy cost to end users. Investments and hiring will slow so that they can stay profitable.

SanFrancisco TG 01:19 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Side note - should euro fall under enough pressure, $yen may benefit, I'm on the side after taking some very small $yen long pips earlier and factoring fundamental conditions in hours to come.

SanFrancisco TG 01:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
euryen and audyen are high on the scale so I'd be cautious about looking for pips to the upside right now in $yen, will be challenged to proceed without some pressure.

Livingston nh 01:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Yen should start to get some attention - this seems a very unusual period for the Yen as we move to the end of September -- very tight range and not the usual level of commentary about "repatriation"

hk ab 01:16 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
YIPPEE, aud/jpy was hinted by bc on 76.35 already.
Just need to keep an eye on election, that's it for anything at present. You could hardly believe which side will these wild Japs animals rush to.

Syd 01:15 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Lehman Brother say in their Weekly Report that they have entered long Asia FX currencies vs USD risk-reward favors Asian FX at this juncture, particularly with many currencies still in lower half of 2004 ranges with concerns now over hard landing in China and high oil prices seem to have diminished somewhat, market now starting to refocus on strong fundamentals and cheap currency valuations in Asia

Sydney Alimin 01:14 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 01:07 GMT September 22, 2004

thanks mate, hope you are doing well
good trades

melbourne farmacia 01:07 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin - just suggesting trading on fundamentals alone.... holding positions during 3 figure retracements etc..

Syd 01:04 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Index of job vacancies for skilled workers in Australia up 1.0% at 117.4 in September from August, 6.4% higher from year ago, Department of Employment and Workplace Relations reports. Increases recorded in 11 of 18 occupational groups measured by index. Result points to solid jobs growth
ABC

Syd 00:58 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc and good to be you GT.very GT

Global-View 00:56 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

We will be conducting our bi-weekly forex survey Wednesday and if you are a "reasonably" experienced trader and would like to participate, send an email to [email protected] This is not meant to be a slight to our general membership but we are limiting participation as we develop this survey. We will consider a general survey after we build a history in this one.

shanghai bc 00:54 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

SYD -- I am Mr.Short in Usd/Aud..Good trades.

MOM -- Good morning..Good trades.

Honolulu ck1 00:48 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
thanks Dallas! I was just wondering

Jakarta Wibawa_Id 00:46 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Dear Friends,

My view for AUD/$ still goo chance for Buying for next 0.7085, then 0.7130, pls take risk at 0.7015
Hv a nice Asian trading session & GL !

Dallas GEP 00:43 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
CK1, seems like there was a poster from OAHU, but it was some time ago.

tok jf 00:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
let me guess everyone made money today because everyone had the right posn over the announcement

Syd 00:42 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
worcester js I sincerley feel you have to have an understanding of the financial markets before attempting fx its one of the most volatile of animals out there, can wipe you out in a matter of minutes.

Honolulu ck1 00:40 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
For all you regulars.... do you know if there is anyone else on this forum from Honolulu? Just wondering

Honolulu ck1 00:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
i would sayyour sons car..... and then soon there after the Euro

Sydney Alimin 00:38 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 00:29 GMT September 22, 2004

may i ask what's the 3 figs+drawdown related too?

Dallas GEP 00:36 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
My son is outside putting nitrous on his STREET car and I am not sure whether or not this EURO will blow first (short I hope) or his engine!!! LOL

worcester js 00:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
any reccomendations?

Syd 00:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Ex-Japan vice finance minister Gyohten influencial in international finance circles says China unlikely to revalue CNY until 2006 this is when WTO terms requires it to fully open up banking sector

Js. it would be better to have an understanding of both Tech and Fund to ensure better profits.

Honolulu ck1 00:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Naturally from the very first day..... and then the next day I had a 295 pip loser. LOL

worcester js 00:35 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
what course did you take/how long have you been into it?

worcester js 00:34 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
how long did it take you?

Honolulu ck1 00:33 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
LOL. As soon as you get on the right side.. not to mention study, due dilligence, develop money mangement skills, etc...

worcester js 00:31 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
im still new at this how long do you thing itll take to strat making profits?

melbourne farmacia 00:29 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Expect 3 figure + drawdowns...

Honolulu ck1 00:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Fundmentals are good... but I truly believe you need the technicals. I Would dare to say a little more than the fund.

Syd 00:28 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
oslo oskar if that is an insult B...llocks ... if not I apologise.

oslo oskar 00:27 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
Syd 00:13 GMT September 22, 2004

the mouth of the s
south(ern hemisphere)

hk mom 00:26 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
good morning shanghai bc, I am so happy to see AUD up here.

Syd 00:11 GMT September 22, 2004
Mr. Long sounds much better then Mr. Wong, right?

worcester js 00:24 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
im thinking about just trading fundamentals
any thoughts?

Syd 00:13 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
CNBC asia are at the moment talking live Re: Greenspan conning the world with his pumped up view of the US economy

Syd 00:11 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc correct me if I am wrong , but your view do not differ that much from Mr. Long

shanghai bc 00:10 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   

SYDNEY 23:53-- Good morning..Mr.Long is Long in Aussie then
..Good to be Mr.long.

dc fxq 00:02 GMT September 22, 2004 Reply   
the actual schedule (from FRB website) is:

Nov 10, 2004 1 day
Dec 14, 2004 1 day
Feb 1/2 2005 2 day

Direct from the mouth of AG

lol

 




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