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Forex Forum Archive for 09/29/2004

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Dallas GEP 23:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
OK RE: USD/CAD.....well bias is down HOWEVER I still think it is a decent play long from say 1.2685 ASK with a 1.2660 stop. THEN TP around 1.2715/20 it WILL BREAK down probably on ONE of these trips down IF aussie is NOT shorting at the time so beware.

San Francisco gth 23:52 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I didn't know there was a Forex broker in San Francisco, www.sncinvestment.com. Cool.

Brisbane L 23:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin NAB have turned quite bearish Aud say AUD likely to struggle , headwind becoming evident: interest rate differentials expected to converge, leading indicators of global growth weakening, robust industrial metal prices susceptible to downside push. NAB says AUD topside "unlikely to give way in the short term". AUD tested key support at 0.7130 overnight, and "this is the first step for the AUD on the way down." any thoughts you would like to add ?

Dallas GEP 23:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
K great....taking a small break now to take FAM to eat. Be back shortly

SanFrancisco TG 23:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
G - get my email from Jay, lets do some damage now.

SanFrancisco TG 23:43 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Have exact same for turbulence 137.20. Either blows uphill or pulls back.

Dallas GEP 23:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
YEP and Eur/jpy turbulence around 137.20 as well IMO

Philadelphia caba 23:36 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 23:30 GMT September 29, 2004
Thanks GAP, I'm short on EUR/GBP and intraday short on EUR/USD. Thinking ad long GBP/USD.

SanFrancisco TG 23:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I am also long $yen and think it starts potentially running into turbulence entering 111.20+.

SanFrancisco TG 23:33 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GEP - Concur across the board. Pivitol levels now. Patience and sure entry I suppose will pay off.

Dallas GEP 23:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
caba....I don'y think EUR/USD will have that much range but I think it tops at 1.2340/50 BUT if it breaks that then I can't see it going much higher than 1.2390

Philadelphia caba 23:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Good evening GEP, may I ask you on your view EUR/$ and EUR/GBP? Thanks.

Dallas GEP 23:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
TG...I think EUR/JPY is MORE likely to short DOWN

we have these trades developing....
GBP/USD buy @ 1.7985
eur/jpy BUY 136.55
EUR/CHF BUY 1.5515
gbp/jpy BUY 199.50
GBP/CHF BUY 2.2650
EUR/GBP SELL 6850
FAVORED TRADE GBP PAIRS
MOST OF THESE STILL REQUIRE FURTHER CONSOLIDATION TO CONFIRM


Brisbane L 23:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP your probably correct , cant see anyone taking on a large position ahead of next week, infact quite the opposite would look to sell if managed to breach 72 for an initial move lower after this weekend flurry

SanFrancisco TG 23:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Whats your call on EurYen? I've got a nice long but seriously considering bailing and loading heavy for the downside from 137. Whats your bet?

Dallas GEP 23:18 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Well as far as a bouce goes RE: AUD/USD I can't see it getting much higher than 7185/90 IF that

Brisbane L 23:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
CBA see the aud higher toward 72 , giving importers chance to lockin a better rate , but will be heading towards 66 thereafter

Gen dk 23:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London 23:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD TECHS: Daily Studies Favor Shorts On A Bounce IFR

Rye, NY et 22:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 22:46 GMT September 29, 2004
I can't forecast what the EUR/JPY is going to do over the next few hours--however, since April, there has been a strong correlation between: Oil>>the Nikkei>>JPY. As Crude has been rising, the Yen has fallen (ie. Eur/Jpy, up). Money coming out of Japanese stocks--higher oil eats into profits, etc... You can check the correlation on this chart:http://www.futuresource.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=NK1%21&o=CL1%. Click: "Get Chart". GL/GT

Syd 22:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
NZ's Adj Dwelling Consents In August -19.4% Vs Year Ago
Dwelling Consents In August -4.8% Vs July

SanFrancisco TG 22:46 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Ok lets get a consensus. Everyone give your opinion. EurYen fails near 137 and drops or keeps going? What you think?

Sydney EM 22:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Australian government bond prices slip at open after U.S. Treasurys down overnight after oil lower and the GDP increased at 3.3% annual rate in 2Q

SanFrancisco TG 22:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Yup I'm still not short, but really watching the figure for a failure. If not fine, the long stays.

wisconsin tim 22:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
i don't know about TG but that daily hammer might ring it's death knell =)

houston ken 22:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
SAN TG what will make you to short euro yen? pls explain why

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 22:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks RYE.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 22:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks RYE.

Brisbane L 22:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Goofy just get the feeling market is waiting for the USD to fall ,mega negative news especially coming up to the G7 talk of devaluation.
agree with NY et but we may not get as high as we think before something turns it

SanFrancisco TG 22:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Sell EurYen in 136.90 +/- looks like some decent risk/reward.

Rye, NY et 22:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 21:47 GMT September 29, 2004
Here's a partial answer to your question...My view, at least, on the Euro is this: According to the method I use, the breakout needs to move to the upside. I'm looking for 1.2620-50 over the next two weeks. The correction low is "confirmed" (according to the language of my system); the recent high is not. After that, (not a very popular view, I'm sure) a sharp deepening of the correction--by about ten cents.........All, of course, IMVHO....GL/GT

Chicago Goofy 22:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 22:00 GMT September 29, 2004

Why you say that? I found the only factor on bear dollar is from Eur/Dlr.....and it was trying to break serveral times.

Ldn 22:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
The World Bank said Wednesday that soaring oil prices and the occupation and reconstruction of Iraq have helped double Middle Eastern economic growth over the last two years
AP

Brisbane L 22:00 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Market seems to be censored bent that the USD will drop like a stone - cautious we are not being led into a trap by the big boys

Pecs Andras 21:54 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Illinois DB 21:52 GMT September 29, 2004
Very good point

Illinois DB 21:52 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
TG why don't you stick to fx BEFORE you post your political propaganda instead of AFTER?

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 21:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Ok coming back to EUR/$, what's the personal view of everyone? I shared mine...

TIA:-)

Brisbane L 21:46 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Its a toss of a coin who will win the Election here in Australia next week , with some big bets being put on.

Pecs Andras 21:43 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
TG
Sure, this is not the place for political discussion. I just could not resist to respond, since I am Hungarian and have first hand experience.

SanFrancisco TG 21:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Pecs - There is much more in the result and the root, I've studied the facts indepth. POL I suppose if you wish to continue.

I'm sticking to fx now.

Pecs Andras 21:36 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 21:22 GMT September 29, 2004
You must be kidding, my friend. Soros a Leninist?? As a Hungarian born US citizen he had a key role in helping many former Soviet satellite states to get rid of the communist system and switch to democracy. And for that he used his own money, several hundred million dollars (some of which he must have made in forex, btw).

SanFrancisco TG 21:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Soros is a comedy. Its like a Leninist telling the world who the US president should be.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 21:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Soros brought out a full page ad showcasing why not to elect bush...i think one should read before jumping to conclusions. Russia is 2nd largest exporter of OIL,just for info. purposes.

Technically, for 3 days lows have been getting higher on eurusd but 1.2349 capped the top on 29 sept,2004 and in this case, the highs didnt get higher, range is narrowing so breakout would be huge spike wherever it goes.

TIA:-)

SanFrancisco TG 21:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Ldn - Yes, completely, especially considering the root of his support.

Syd 21:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
NEW YORK, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Billionaire philanthropist and speculator George Soros said on Wednesday he expected the dollar to remain stable because foreign investors remain willing to keep buying the currency despite record U.S. current account deficits."There's a fundamental imbalance in our payments and now in our budget, but there are people on the other side who are very happy to hold dollars. So again I don't see any immediate, major moves in that," he said on an interview to business cable channel CNBC.
"We currency speculators are more likely to die of boredom," Soros said.
For more than a year Soros has at times admitted to short-selling the dollar in currency markets, but when asked whether he still had a short position, Soros declined to comment !!

Ldn 21:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
With Soros now becoming political instead of unbias he has lost credibilty. JIMHO

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 21:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Long Lower Shadow candlestick pattern on yesterday's candle: normal move now should be bullish and we can have a spike today upwards, though i wished we saw 1.2250 before my other target 1.2400. let's see

TIA:-)

Ldn 20:59 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil Falls as U.S. Supplies Rise, Concern Over Nigerian Output Eases Crude oil fell for the first time in two weeks after the Energy Department reported an unexpected increase in U.S. stockpiles and concern eased that Nigerian rebels would attack oil facilities. bloomberg

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 20:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
...and top of that just heard that some authorities saying that OIL was not in shortage. George Soros is on CNBC right now talking of George Bush LOL.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 20:46 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd moved down big today,oil corrected a bit, nigerian situation seems less hostile than 24 hours back, yet eur/usd moved almost nothing as much it was expected?

any comments anyone? i still wanted to see that 1.2250 pullback before any moved up.

TIA:-)

jkt-aye 20:28 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I'm not good on funnymental stuff. Could anyone enlighten me abt the effect of next US data (NAPM/ISM) ? Forecast seem to me it doesn't support $$. Expecting a rebound (ie GBP) from OMIL's level ? Thx

Miami OMIL (/;-> 20:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 18:40 GMT September 29, 2004
ML, GEP still grinding it out guys? It is refreshing to see you post your losses as most of the times we only see the winners around here and I also know of many of your winners too. Keep up the good work. GL GT

Sydney EM 20:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Business confidence in New Zealand slipped further into negative territory in September. net 20.8% of respondents in September said they expected business conditions to deteriorate over the next year, up from 14.9% in August, according to the National Bank of New Zealand Business Outlook survey.The Reserve Bank has raised interest rates five times this year to take the Official Cash Rate to 6.25%, and is universally expected to lift rates again next month. Interest rate hikes this year may finally be starting to bite," the National Bank said. "Pricing intentions have declined for the first time in six months."
NZP

Miami OMIL (/;-> 20:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Bad day for cable as the dip was pretty deep. Key support for the bulls was taken out and bounced of support 1.7950-60 (1hr 250ma) and retracement number (1.7950-55). Intraday indicators are in O/S but no signs of stopping here for the bears either. Mid term indicators are turning bearish now but we are still trading in the range dictated by the summer. Bottom T/L for now is 1.7840-50 and it is sell on rallies mode now for intraday positions. I have a target of 1.7900-7880 area for now. Eur/usd needs a dose of the same medicine but was held up by the move on the crosses ( eur/gbp ) holding it in check for most of the day around the 1.2290-80 support. Intraday indicators look heavy but are still bullish. Mid term indicators are still bullish and running out of time. Eur/usd is still in the range and therefore it should be treated that way. Next support is around the 1.2250-60 area for now and resistance stays the same as commented before IMHO. GL GT

ICT ML 20:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP...yeah but I am thinking GBP had the kiss of death again with the data. Of course I am talking med term stuff mostly anymore though.

I have a loose theory on $CAD from here. It goes like this:

Known fact that most CCY Fund managers are not making $$$ this year. And they are looking for that "Magic ticket" to get them into positive territory. THey are looking at $Cad now, making new lows, etc......and thinking "Thats the ticket"...........because the next real projected med term tgt is 1.16XX area from here.

So they will all start piling on like phirana on a bleeding cow. Some will wait for a bounce , some will do the trend follwing thing and add on breaks of the new low.

The sad thing is they should have been on this train with us the entire time because this has been the easiest trade all year and we have made $$$ this year.

The risk is that they pile in and then there is another short squeeze to put a farther hurt on them.

Just some thoughts I've had lately.

Dallas GEP 19:50 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Marc, we all need to be protected from ourselves at times!!! LOL. OK Potentially GBP/CHF is a GREAT long if it doesn't break. Caution on this pair tho just like GBP/JPY. As I said earlier I WOULDn'T put it past usd/cad to SHORT thru 1.2675 this time around ESPECIALLY if AUSSIE doesn't stop longing

JPY pairs DUE to go long, jus don't know whether it will be from HERE or LOWER. Euro's range is tighter than GBP's. No REAL GOOD entries right NOW IMO besides POSSIBLY eur/gbp short and gbp/chf long (if it doesn't break)

ICT ML 19:11 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks JV........sometimes I need to be protected from myself!!

Now the reason I originally went short gbp-jpy was I looked at cable and $Y. They appeared to be ripe for intraday pullbacks to 1.8060 and 110.80. So I looked at Gbp-Jpy and said....well if cable and $Y pullback 50-75 pips then gbp-jpy should do 100-150 pips.

But what happened is that cable and $Y went higher yet instead of selling off. I should have just stopped out the trade but I decided in my mind it was an "intervention" and flipped it long when it crossed 202. Then when it stalled out, I thougt "Oil is still up there, as long as oil stays up there I am in good shape. I thought it might pull back to 201.40 where it would really get bid up andt take off for 204..... I was wrong.

Illinois DB 19:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:57 GMT September 29, 2004
SAFEST pairs to trade generally IMO would be EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP especially with data annoucements pending. Daily ranges on both RARELY will exceed 60-70 pips. So EVEN if you guess wrong and get caught in the middle of the range, it is MUCH easier to get back at least to your entry. Plus eur/gbp is 18.00 a pip.

wisconsin tim 16:01 GMT September 29, 2004
GEP that's twice you posted that safer "60-70 pips in EUR/GBP"
In $$ terms that 60-70 pip swing is 120-140 pips in "regular" non-safe pairs

Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT September 29, 2004
Tim....you generally take LESS lots in eur/gbp possies than in say euro...at least I do.



GEP I don't think that's the point. Any eur/yyy lot is going to be worth £100,000 no matter what the other ccy is,
and you can trade a small number of contracts in any other pair too. And since for instance one pip in any xxx/gbp pair is currently equal to about 1.8 pips in any xxx/usd, that 60-70 pip range in eur/gbp will be the same percent of the lot value as almost 120 pips in eur/usd.


btw, I was in all the way on the cad trade, thanks for your tips.

Van jv 18:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   

ICT ML 18:40/////Many thanks for your comments-one of the examples how to contribute

ICT ML 18:40 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Well we went totally flat in Ldn session today when the UK data came out. If I remember right, that was the exact same type data that in March killed me while I was long GBP against everything too.

Hard to see eur-gbp heading lower now when cable started collasping but euro stayed at the highs... got out with a 25 pip loss on that one. Our 4 hr swing signals said the down swing from .6860 was over after it broke .6810 and there is room to run farther up so I would not short it again myself any time soon. The same on cable, the 4 hr swing signals say it was a sell at 1.8030. I don't know that I'd sell it down here though.

The $CAD hit our medium term target and bounced a bit. Think we could see a bounce now to 1.2800 or 1.2850 to draw in new sellers. But if it breaks lower we'll sell it again.

We took a loss on some Aud $shorts too. The $Y overall was good except for a decision to buy break of 111.50 which we ended up eating that trade but overall it was a good run.

And here is the main thing to think about. THe above trades were part of a well though out plan and were overall a good success. But we took two inpulse trades on gbp-jpy that turned into little disasters, because we didn't have a plan to get in or out and were flopping in the wind on them.

So make a plan and stick to it.

Dallas GEP 18:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
C ya Raden

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 18:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
see u tomorrow my friends..
I must go home now.
bye.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:46 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sorry.. I mean 0.6855 (not 0.6865)..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 17:45 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd given good sell signal for second time after not passed 0.7135 when at
in my experience ussually will be right if like that.
target minimal .7097 or .7057..

eur/gbp in my system "must" get corection soon although have broken 0.6851 until 0.6865. no problem about that.if still go higher, you can add sell possie, but I get pesimis will go higher. I am on the Eur bear for eur/gbp now..

wellington am 17:41 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Udine Cael 17:31 GMT September 29, 2004

Cael, if .6865 breaks, mood turns bullish.

Udine Cael 17:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
wellington am 17:24 GMT // ...?

next target 0.6875/85

Dallas GEP 17:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
You guys know I was most recently usd/cad LONG and I made money at it BUT my view now is USD/cad could very welll break that 1.2675 bottom and go short to maybe 1.2630 area. One supporting factor would be that AUSSIE IMO will PROBABLY long.

wellington am 17:24 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
shorted EURGBP 0.6850 - stop just above recent highs.

dailys turning bearish.

Helsinki iw 17:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Never mind

Udine Cael 17:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
EUR/$ - about to make new highs soon.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:07 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I don't...but I think aussie short..now is dangerous
Better short next day around .7220
But again I am not sure...if I was in your shoes I would not short it

dc CB 17:02 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Austin rb

sorry did not read your time frame
on my chart S***XO, I have a spike at 13:14gmt but only to 18058. only spike above 18080 was just after that release

Helsinki iw 16:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Experiencing some computer probs here. Sorry to be a pain in the axx, but can somebody please post good levels in EUR/USD. USD/JPY and EUR/SEK? Thank you much.

CAIRO AG 16:53 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
bAHRAIN=== well said.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:45 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
if it does happen...it's the last rally...then it PT on thurs..next week 1.7650 area

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
usa 16:30 GMT September 29, 2004 //
I was talking cable...there might be another peak around 10:00 PM NY...
I don't know if it will happen

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:40 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
shorted eur/chf..here...PT 1.5420

Bandung Asti 16:33 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Intraday gbp/usd resistance at 1.7990 and 1.8015 with and support at 1.7943 and 1.7923...gl/gt !

usa 16:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
why 12 hours bahrain? I'm short AUD now btw since .57

Ldn 16:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Funds Futures see 88% chance of Nov Fed Hike rts.

Austin rb 16:23 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
CB
That was 45 minutes after that release and it was all in one minute candle

Dallas GEP 16:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Closed rest of CAD longs. Square on usd/cad now. ONLY eur/gbp short open now

Ldn 16:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Crude In NY Drops On Unexpected Storage Build

dc CB 16:18 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Austin rb
the spike was caused by the release of the US GDP at 8:30ET

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ok.. good.
eur/gbp have touched 0.6851
I want to know now.. do the sellers really sell now?..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
most like the best short sell for euro is in 12 hours

Austin rb 16:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
MA
thanks I got stopped out of my short and it was in one minute candle and no news at that time that I am aware of. Is this kind of spike common was it stop hunting or something else

CAIRO AG 16:13 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
After the pullback of Aussie from its low on the 4h charts i think it will long target 0.7200... (stop just below the low).

Also, i just longed cable, stop just below the low.

Kaunas NM 16:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT September 29, 2004

then i guess it's not so safe :P

wisconsin tim 16:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP, thanks for the elaboration
gts

Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Tim....you generally take LESS lots in eur/gbp possies than in say euro...at least I do.

Dallas GEP 16:06 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Furthermore:

GBP/USD most likely to trade against technicals
AUD/USD SLOW moving then moves in spurts
AUD/JPY DIRECTLY influences AUD/USD ..same direction..one of Asin player's favorite pairs
USD/CAD Trades in opposite direction of AUD/USD generally, alsos tends to move by itself at times as well
GBP/JPY Riskiest of ALL the pairs....can be equity killer or maker
EUR/CHF Very methodical..usually 2-3 day trade
EUR/GBP Small range but safe generally

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:04 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
maybe Cable in 12 hrs reaches 1.81 at the best

ATL MA 16:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Austin
I"ve got Cable spiking to 1.8090 at the time you mentioned

GOES B747 16:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Gep, I am long GBP/JPY from 195.10; start to hesitate about the 204.60 target - any ideas with you?

gt

wisconsin tim 16:01 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP that's twice you posted that safer "60-70 pips in EUR/GBP"
In $$ terms that 60-70 pip swing is 120-140 pips in "regular" non-safe pairs

gts

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:59 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
who want to sell gold?
target is 406.40..

Austin rb 15:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
would appreciate knowing if anyones charts had a large spike in gbp/usd up at 9:15 edt 13:15 gmt

Dallas GEP 15:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
SAFEST pairs to trade generally IMO would be EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP especially with data annoucements pending. Daily ranges on both RARELY will exceed 60-70 pips. So EVEN if you guess wrong and get caught in the middle of the range, it is MUCH easier to get back at least to your entry. Plus eur/gbp is 18.00 a pip.

GOES B747 15:56 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
YES, 'garbage' time in basketball is equal to 'sweepers' time in FX trading.


gt

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:54 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 15:45 GMT September 29, 2004
extra bonus until 1.2240. LOL :-)

GOES B747 15:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
it looks some traders try cyanide before actual use :-)

gt

wisconsin tim 15:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
also, there is UK data tonight (i think) which could render this all moot ST =)

wisconsin tim 15:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Msc Eqwis ... just posting a caution flag/contra opinion to the people posting gbp long calls.

If you go by traditional TA measuring we could see 400-1000 pips lower long term depending. I don't know if that jives with a fundamental viewpoint which should be the driver long term I would assume.

gold coast martin 15:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 15:45 GMT September 29, 2004
Correct ..all euro will be doing in the next 4 hours is formality ...taking stops out...g/t

GOES B747 15:45 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
if the calls for EUR/USD printing 1.2250 are true; it means 'sweepers' get extra-special bonus as the normal bonus is @ 1.2285

let's see what EUR bulls can do

gt

Dallas GEP 15:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Took 3/4's of my total lots OUT on usd/cad longs at 1.2720. Left the last 1/4 in for trip UP as there SHOULD be if USD is a buy right now across the board.

Ldn 15:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
AUD - Model funds selling weighs

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I forgot to talk about usd/jpy.
have given nice signal for get 110.52. move from high 111.09 (have done).
lets see..

gold coast martin 15:41 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 15:34 GMT September 29, 2004
Hope you are recovering ....rest well and feel assured that 12250 is aboard the Pinta....g/t

Msc Eqwis 15:40 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 15:22 GMT
What is a possible tgt for this move,pls?

Va Raven 15:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 15:29 - You should have made it clearer since most people on FF don't really know what you were talking about - It was NYC YIPPEE who made a great trade/call on gbp/jpy last night, almost 3 big handle profits trade within a matter of hours!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:37 GMT September 29, 2004
you are in the same boat with me.
I look gbp/usd bottom at1.7957 . maybe buyers wait there..
GL/GT

Dallas GEP 15:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
WEll I am short on eur/gbp @ 6845 (half possie) for 3 reasons. ONE, I think GBP is bottoming out at 1.7950. TWO euro hasn't really made it's down move yet and THREE 6845 is a fully recoverable level EVEN if I am wrong.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
daniel.. I am ready for chat.
I am waiting you there.

London 15:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin aud if possible thanks

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:36 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I am back..
I inform you that selling alarm in eur/gbp is ringing now..
lets see.
better exit your selling gbp/usd and ready to ccy trade from it to eur/usd selling..

Ldn 15:36 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA thanks for the input

Eilat Dolphin 15:34 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Martin/ Same Atlantic, same Ridge, same depth (12250), same boat, same volta... and lots of lemon juice.

wisconsin tim 15:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Raven >>>>> it was a great call too bad I didn't have the cahones at the time to listen, also great calls last night from TG on this side
=)

wisconsin tim 15:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP ... i don't know if I'd say that about EUR/GBP kinda looks 50/50 to me ... depends what the flavor of the day is and it's definately sell GBP today

Eur/GBP to GBP/usd chart

slv sam 15:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
e/$ at 1.2290 is worth buying for 50 pips s/l 1.2270 imho.GT

Toronto EDP 15:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Having exceeded the R3 level, does anyone feel the EUR/GBP pair can swing down as far as the S3 zone or is S1 more realistic all things considered ? ...and thanks for all the contributed EUR/GBP comments.

Jakarta Wibawa_Id 15:24 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
hmmm..my positions have stoped out in STP.

I ll see if any chance to catch another Buy level, -30 pts EUR, -40 pts GBP. But this price is around 200 MA in Hourly chart. I m still on Bear for dollar in the grand cycle.
GL

wisconsin tim 15:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
to anyone thinking about longing GBP/USD here's a chart I posted last night here you might want to look at.
I don't see any daily support coming in for awhile (1.7800's) and we are below both SHS formations. FWIW

gt's

gbpusd

Dallas GEP 15:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
For you EUR/GBP players. You may have noticed that EUR/USD has much more of an effect on EUR/GBP than GBP/USD does. This 6840/50 level DOES to me also look like a good short.

gold coast martin 15:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 10:35 GMT September 28, 2004
Good evening......
While yen is trading above 10950 a break of above 12385 will not be seen...g/t

Avove post still applies for october......good trades for all....

ATL MA 15:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I haven't been in this forum since Eur was at .9400! Glad to see everything up and running...a few improvements too. Looking at some Eur/usd comments. Market is awful long Eur/usd...40-60 looks like a brick wall. I've heard of some signs of manipulation, a lot of option protection also. With the rising lows day after day, I'm looking for a significant move. A break to the downside could get ugly really quickly, especially with the market looking really long. I've also heard that the same people that are buying are the ones selling the rallies. I never make a post without saying where I am putting my money. I'm short at 1.2330. There are signs to suggest the market could go either way, but since 1.24 got rejected last time, I've planned to short another failure. I'm sticking to the plan...after all, that's what keeps me alive in this freakin market. Good luck folks...and if you aren't reasonably sure about eur/usd right now, stand aside....tricky spot we're in here.

slv sam 15:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 07:49 GMT September 28, 2004
sold aud/yen at 79.82 target 78.50 s/l 80.40.GT

target may be achieved today or tomorrow!.GT

Dallas GEP 15:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Tarheel, hope you made some nice money on those eur/jpy shorts

U.K. J.B. 15:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 10:35 GMT September 29, 2004
U.K. J.B. 10:20 GMT September 28, 2004
Looking for a decent r/r trade sold cable 1.8140 as i have some reasonable res. up here and feel eur/gbp supp. at current levels 50 & 62 % fib. ret. just a short term trade i will be looking to square all positions ahead of the G7 meeting.

take 50 % profit here run the bal. bring stop down to entry level GL

Position now closed 1.7990

nyc jk 11 :38
Many thanks for your comment- keep up the good work

ldn rd 10:50
I hope you don't think i would be stupid enough to follow someone else's analysis

Livingston nh 15:02 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Yield on 10 yr US treasuries starting to rise today on a number of factors - BoE may be on hold or done and BoC may lag the Fed which is pretty much on automatic pilot // Fed Funds may be above ECB by 50 bps by end of Q1 // maybe the G7** can help dollar bears but why?

Calabash TarHeel 14:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: It seems there is a good potential for crude to begin a slow pullback towards the $40 range. Could put some pressure on yen shorts, especially eur/jpy. Imvho.
Off to the beach.
Happy Trades

Jakarta Wibawa_Id 14:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Good Day everyone!

Well done, Rademas!! It was so beautiful ur view.

This market is (on the minor circle) is irregular correction in the wave analysis. I prefer to Buy GBP now (1.8010) with STP 1.7970, T/P 1.8065 - 1.8080 area.

Also for Eur/$ Buy at 1.2325 with STP 1.2195, T/P 1.2360 - 1.2385 area.
GL

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
my opinion only like this:
eur/usd will down soon, caused by eur/jpy is run now and then be supported by move down of eur/gbp.
the conclusion is eur/usd down and gbp/usd difficult to move down (or up)..
enough for today.
see u later..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
averaging strategy in eur/gbp is good now, maximal get 0.6852. in my TA system have given message that no energy for up now. corection will come soon..

Budapest Daniel 14:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sold eur/gbp @ 0.6840

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
pls focuse in bottom target for usd/cad at 1.2639. buy there !!..

usa 14:32 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sold AUD/USD here .. stop macd hourly cross

London 14:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips
accident waiting to happen mores the pity

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF might be a a buy here

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
London 14:19 GMT September 29, 2004
Barker saidUK housing market has likely reached a turning point. She said a house-price collapse was unlikely, but didn't rule out the possibility.
Very true...I analysed the ftse index for realestate...property..
The drop might start from sept this year

cary nc mdr 14:23 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd rebound?

London 14:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Barker saidUK housing market has likely reached a turning point. She said a house-price collapse was unlikely, but didn't rule out the possibility

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:18 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Msc Eqwis 14:12 GMT September 29, 2004
sorry..I get difficult answer about that caused by different of trade style strategy. I prefer in averaging strategy (focuse in certainly number target)..

London 14:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. interest rates are nearing their peak, Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Kate Barker said Wednesday

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
also gold have get 414.20. this level was waited for a long time as weekly chart top target. I am worry big selling will come in gold after touched that number..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:13 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sorry for my often posting here, caused by so many good signal that I looked.
I remind you that eur/jpy have given sell signal to get 135.80..
sell !!

Msc Eqwis 14:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:04 GMT
What is your stop,pls?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:11 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I am worry with eur/usd possible move down caused by eur/gbp down sharply after touched 0.6842..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Maybe some correction in GBP at 1.7990

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:04 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
buy gbp/usd at 1.7997 !! I am worry that number is bottom..
dont forget with stp !!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:04 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
yes !!!! 1.8006 done exactly.
you got that Anti Raden.
really mind up..

houston acs 13:53 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Raden!
I'm also USD bull right now.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:53 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sell when touch 0.6842 in eur/gbp !!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:51 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 13:48 GMT September 29, 2004
Bahrain, I don't see the reason why you prefer to keep in touch with me on this forum instead of replying my emails?

//
Just faster Dan

LA fxnew 13:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
anyone played cable?
whats ur view pls thanks

Budapest Daniel 13:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, I don't see the reason why you prefer to keep in touch with me on this forum instead of replying my emails?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Toronto YV 13:44 GMT September 29, 2004
thanks for your corection. I mean eur/gbp graph.. :-)
but eur/jpy also like that..
eur/jpy target is 134.11 (bottom)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U guys noticed been peacefull in this forum for some time..now
2 to 5 last Trading days.
Wonder why...

BEIRUT MK 13:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
i think 1.2300 is well supported up to now

Dallas MD 13:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
If anybody is using CCOOEESSffXX I'll appreciate any feedback on performance. TIA

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
houston acs 13:22 GMT September 29, 2004
please thinking about eur/jpy too about 0.6677 (bottom).
maybe from this reason, we can thinking about oil price will down sharply to delete the worries about crisis. no !!
and then dow jones index grow together with Nikkei.. and we can smile from that :-)..
be carefull now eur/jpy chart have made reversal pattern and ready to move down and have given sell signal..
I am in bull usd..

Toronto YV 13:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Mas , try not to mess up with graph at least eur/jpy 136.66 for now .

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
FFXXCCMM Platform working?
aha...OK Just slow MKT...
Sometimes I get confused

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
houston acs 13:22 GMT September 29, 2004
Sell more eur/usd now. I look eur/jpy will down so far form now to get 0.6770 or little below this (first bottom) and 0.6741 or little below this and then rebound from that numbers. Minimal target of eur/usd is 1.2260..
now eur/jpy is 0.6828

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:34 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Eur/GBP...might be a sell here

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:33 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 13:25 GMT September 29, 2004
LOL.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
dan...???

swidnica profi-forex 13:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
long eur/usd 1,2325 sl 1,2300 tp open

Toronto EDP 13:28 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone have any views on EUR/GBP pair as to direction from here and what might have triggered this last run up ? In other words what are triggers to weaken GBP against the EUR ?

Dallas GEP 13:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Raden, it is hard for agitators to agitate when they are consistently wrong. WHo THEN will listen to them anyway??? LOL

houston acs 13:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas
I'm glad that you're back in the forum.
What's your view on the Eur/USD?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
usa/
I think so too for aussie

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:18 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
someone that who use ID Indonesia-Solo Anti Raden Mas is bussy now in count her/his loss. LOL, but I hope he have exit when touch my number 1.8090. LOL..
where are you boy?

GOES B747 13:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
markets are HOT but the tongs did not get melt, YET...
melting point looks closer; take care.

gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Cad Might rally now

NY GG 13:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
The usd$ index currently at 88.10 and at the the bottom of the daily ascending triangle is ripe for a minor correction to 89. So that anti dollar bets are just squeezing out those last pips before a reversal begins with the euro, cable and yen. The cad$ will also join ranks after the economic news is out of the way this week. Tricky market to play at the moment!

Dallas GEP 13:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
More cad longs were added at 1.2684. So some at 1.2684, 1.2706 and 1.2715.

usa 13:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
yea i covered too..profit is profit.....AUD looks weaker than EUR actually

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I think the euro might slide down for a while

Van jv 13:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
The so-called price deflator for personal consumption expenditures, a measure of inflation preferred by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, would be between 0.5 percent and 1.1 percent higher each year since 1987 without accounting for quality adjustments and substitution biases, according to Pimco calculations, Gross wrote in a monthly commentary published on the Newport Beach, California-based Pimco's Web site.

`Cash Them In'

If investors bought bonds on a ``benign outlook for inflation, they had better cash some of them in, especially at today's 4 percent yield for 10-year Treasuries,'' Gross said.

``My sense is that the CPI is really 1 percent higher than official figures.''

...Bloomberg

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:05 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
usa 13:00 GMT September 29, 2004
//
Hi I covered...but short again maybe after NY close

Dallas GEP 13:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
1.2675 is a double bottom on USD/CAD. Anyone's guess of course but I think that will hold for the time being. Getting small USD bull surge after the usd bear run

Chicago Goofy 13:02 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Hope USD/YEN could sit above 111.00 and dollar bearish abate when Chicago morning comes.

BEIRUT MK 13:00 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
put stop on eurusd at 1.2290

usa 13:00 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
morning guys.. hey bahrain.. still short usd/yen? I'm watching EUR for possible short later

BEIRUT MK 12:59 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
long audusd at 0.7175 target 0.7230 stop 0.7140

BEIRUT MK 12:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
short usdchf at 1.2574 target 1.2515 stop 1.2625

GOES B747 12:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
it looks like some people expected US GDP to at China levels; positive US news made markets to get rid of USD

recent data moves full weight towards US deficit; out of the sudden 5%-20% drop in USD against other CCYS looks logic.

gt

BEIRUT MK 12:50 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
long eurusd at 1.2330 target 1.2390

GOES B747 12:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
*** correction ***

closed USD/CHF longs @ 1.2601 for 15 +15pips
too USD bearish markets for me at the moment.

gt

GOES B747 12:43 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
closed CHF/USD longs

gt

Dallas MD 12:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Good Day, Evening Traders. Got off to a late start. Any current views on Cable? TIA

Mauricio

worcester js 12:41 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
can anyone reccomend a good fx course

Livingston nh 12:40 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Some mov avg congestion on USD/CHF at 1.2620-25 // since CAD can't tear itself away from 1.27 the swissy may be the directional leader if it breaks above 1.2625 (or if rejected) so CHF, GBP, EUR and AUD may be the order

Pta Lud 12:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks antwerp!! Bit better than expected, but Q3 and Q4 will show oil implications and only then will we see what the US economy is up to!

Antwerp Tom 12:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Viies, thanks hope we get there GL GT

Antwerp Tom 12:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
gdp 3.3

Tallinn viies 12:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Antwerp Tom 12:07 GMT - would like to buy near 1,2280/90 level

Pta Lud 12:34 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
What did the GDP come out to.

Athens 12:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Sfx 11:56, dates (dayily graph going back to 2002)

Antwerp Tom 12:28 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
B747, G7 will have to produce something that is Bush/Snow positive (they'll pressure them into it one way or another), so am inclined to short $ before G7 GT

GOES B747 12:24 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Tom, somehow I do not see the Europeans giving a hand to reduce US deficit; they will cause glabal mess.

gt

Antwerp Tom 12:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
B747, i am already happy with 1.2280 and consider 1.2240 nice € long entry level

KL KL 12:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
moved sl to 136.60...BE from earlier long...funny game this

GOES B747 12:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Tom,

are u looking for 1.2230/40 ??

gt

Antwerp Tom 12:14 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Doei B747, $ long (average 1.2311) GL GT

GOES B747 12:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
hoi buurman;

any running positions with you?

tia & gt

Antwerp Tom 12:07 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Viies, sometimes i think my platform has frozen but it's just that nothing is happening with sleepy €/$. Do you expect any action this afternoon post GDP figures? GL GT

KL KL 12:06 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Try again long euryen 136.5 sl 10 below....looking for 137.++ then SAR ...dangerous play. Looks like Gold will help out tonight or bomb out tonight. Compare to oil , gold is of little use to move the billions of people and give power...just a thought.....

Tallinn viies 11:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw 11:51 GMT - thnks. I have seen those comments also. but lately everybody so bullish, even our local tv news said that only direction is up. bit scary to be long right now.

Singapore Sfx 11:56 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi Athens, Hope you're well. Cud I ask what the x-axis on that graph represents pls ? Thanks.

Helsinki iw 11:56 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, the first point a bit garbled, should read US inv at 29y
lows with 5 weeks of hurricane season to go.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:52 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Oil...By the way has a Long term south trend..
by June 2005...will range 32 to 42

Helsinki iw 11:51 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
viies, trading call from a major investment player this am:
Oil price bull...a reminder on the macro call:
* Storm disruptions->US invents * Only modest releases in US Strat Petrol Reserve (3m)...won't be used as political tool ahead of Nov election
* Sporadic disprtns in Iraq to cont...Nigeria probs escalating
* China & India demand surged...> OPEC forecast...spare capacity not been invested to match this
* OPEC spare capacity now 1m bpd...doesnt cover any potential supply disruption...never mind multi disrptns
* Non-OPEC prod growth undermined by decline rate probs & under- investment
* $40 oil only hits GDP -40bp...not big at this pt in cycle

Athens 11:50 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Why I was so much expecting GBP/JPY to comr drastically down from Tyesday's levels: GBP/JPY Trendways Daily Inicator graph by closing time Tuesday. And let me add that the closing levels were already much lower than morning highs.

I also mentioned yesterday that EUR/JPY was entering my short term O/B zone at 137.45 which added to due Yen correction across the board, particularly v. GBP given that I also gave GBP/$ 1.8160-70 as a resistance level.

Bottom line, even if trading only USD pairs, always keep an eye on the crosses.

Tallinn viies 11:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
MNI:
Wire reports that OPEC President Purnomo Yusgiantoro said he has received a letter from the US Energy Department informing OPEC that it has tapped the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) -- releasing 2.5 mln bpd.
fwiw
comments?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
my thanks to GV. take in action fast for that .....person.
:-)

Bahrain Without 10 Pips 11:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
i Demand My 10 Pips Back...Please!!!

nyc jk 11:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 10:35 GMT September 29, 2004

nice trade, J.B.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I hope you are remember about my reminding of yesterday about gbp/usd at 1.8057. today have done exactly after many people here blamed me yesterday. :-)
Thanks Daniel !!..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Maybe 25% to Oprah...1% to Madona

Barcelona Tony 11:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
lost u Greg

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
hello !!
lets prove it that 1.8006 is waiting in South.
move from high 1.8075 or 1.8090..
SELL !!!..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
good evening everybody !!!

Honolulu ck1 11:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Or do you think it`ll have no affect on the market?

Honolulu ck1 11:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
By any chance..... does anyone think that the upcoming news of the unveiling of final US Q2 GDP, will bring adverse affects to the dollar?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:14 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
For those that got the email..the equations will change levels as time (From Your PC (NY))...changes
can check by changing the date

EU ZORRO 10:59 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   

...I think SALONIKO nk got mail....!!!!

Ldn RD 10:50 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 10:35 GMT // Looks familiar - LOL

GBP-USD *** UPDATING *** Pulling back from the top of the 2 week bull channel and has also broken the base of the 6 day wedge formation. Entering a congested support zone now between 1.8080-1.8010 ahead of the bull channel base at 1.7990. In the meantime, resistance from the 1.8135 area is anticipated to deal with any rallies. Trade Wise: We took an earlier 50% profit on our 1.8140 short at 1.8115 with stops on the balance now lowered to breakeven, thus ensuring a small profit even if stopped now.

Honolulu ck1 10:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Today"s key US event risk is the 12:30GMT unveiling of
final Q2 GDP, with an upward revision of the annualized number to 3.0-3.1%, from
2.8%, forecast.
A larger-than-expected upward revision could further depress cable towards
1.8033 (Monday"s intra-week low). Lower support is pegged at 1.8000/05.
1.8056 marks the session low-to-date, with the level plumbed since the
10:00GMT unveiling of a much worse-than-expected CBI survey. The CBI"s September
retail sales balance plummeted to minus 9, from +2 in August, having been
forecast to rise to +15. The dire number lessens pressure on the MPC to deliver
another 25bp base rate hike in November.
Stops were tripped sub-1.8080 en route to 1.8056, and the level now provides
resistance. 1.8091 (early Europe low), 1.8115 (Asian session low), 1.8135 (Asian
session high), and 1.8161 (yesterday"s high), represent upper obstacles.
Looking ahead to tomorrow (Thursday): the Nationwide"s September housing
market survey will be published at 06:00GMT.

Honolulu ck1 10:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Morning to you too!

Chicago YM 10:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
morning all

U.K. J.B. 10:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 10:20 GMT September 28, 2004
Looking for a decent r/r trade sold cable 1.8140 as i have some reasonable res. up here and feel eur/gbp supp. at current levels 50 & 62 % fib. ret. just a short term trade i will be looking to square all positions ahead of the G7 meeting.

take 50 % profit here run the bal. bring stop down to entry level GL

Ldn 10:24 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Fears of recession from oil may well be overdone, given that the International Monetary Fund estimates that a $5/bbl rise in the price of crude reduced global gross domestic product by only 0.2% relative to baseline.
Monica Fan, global head foreign exchange RBC Capital Markets

London 10:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
UK retail sales slumped in Sep a balance of -9 of retailers reporting higher sales vs +2 in Aug, CBI report. first negative balance since -13 in March '03. "Results suggest more meaningful slowdown now taking place. Sales now "below normal".

Dallas GEP 10:05 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Longed some usd/cad @ 1.2706

hk ab 10:04 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
next point to buy gbp 1.8030.

London 10:02 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
PAR
you cant pigeon hole the financial markets that way - the ordinary joe in the street doesnt speculate on oil,gold or fx he may take a punt on equities.

apologise to those called joe

PAR 09:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
London/ Too low interest rates = too much money= too much speculation = too high commodity prices = economic slowdown but high stock market= Greenspan the friend of the hedge funds - LTCM remembered

London 09:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. consumers fell September due to housing market showed rapidly cooling off faster than anticipated. GfK Martin Hamblin survey Wednesday, headline index consumer confidence fell -7, from -5 August. forecast -6.

hk ab 09:51 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Florida must be chilled with the dlr/cad at 1.27.....

Toronto YV 09:49 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks,B747.

Barcelona Tony 09:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Greg, u around???

London 09:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
PAR if truth has it 50% of the rise is due to people like us speculating, same as with the ccys. $2 billion a day doesnt trade on business transactions !!

Gen dk 09:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GOES B747 09:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
FWIW:

"The Swiss KOF is released at 0.97 against 1.00 expected. The figure is disappointing, since last month's revision has also been lowered to 0.97 from 0.98. "

GT

PAR 09:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
European politicians and ECB bankers have been predicting lower oil prices for the last five years and De Palacio continues. Can we not spent european taxpayers money at something more sensible ?

London 09:33 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
PAR be prepared for a correction back to $45 at least

Toronto YV 09:32 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
U.K. CONSUMER CONF. IN SEPT. FALLS TO -7 FROM -5: GFK.
What is the SwissKoF number?

London 09:32 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy may have expanded at a 3 percent annual pace from April through June, faster than previously estimated, according to a survey of economists before today's report from the Commerce Department.

London ADK 09:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
PAR - Are you a preacher in your free time

PAR 09:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
OPEC is a cartel aimed at profit maximalisation, so we should not trust their actions on the oil market.

Syd 09:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Economist David Hale of the Chicago-based Hale Advisers warned there could be repercussions for Australia if Latham pulls out of Iraq immediately after the election. "He will generate headlines here which could portray Australia as embracing anti-Americanism," said Hale. "As with the French two years ago, this could produce ill will toward the country and have an adverse impact on business." In an apparent abandonment of Labor's policy of paying for all its plans via cuts elsewhere, the party said measures announced today would slice A$1.26 billion off the budget. abc


NYC 09:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Euro express about to leave. Last calls, all aboard.

GOES B747 09:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
good morning,

when there is no wind, turn on the motor to make the vessel to sail.

gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:00 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I think I will leave the major sell for most at the asian session thurs

PAR 08:59 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
High UK current account deficit leads to higher UK interest rates lead to higher GBP. Long GBP at 1.8080 looking for 1.8200 after very strong and much better than expected CBI retail sales survey in one hour.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:54 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Oil Might correct from 49 (Lunch for NY) to 52 thurs

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:43 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I Think Ftse will rally from 4560 till next week's friday

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ftse
4,697.50 4,479.75

Ldn 08:36 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
UK current account deficit widens GBP6.4B in 2Q frm revised GBP5.5B 1Q. Consensus forecast GBP5.4B. falling investment income from overseas, down to GBP6B from GBP7.5B.

Ldn 08:34 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
KL KL only fx. sorry

Gen dk 08:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I am Getting this 10:30 PM alot...
anything at that time?

KL KL 08:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Ldn you shorting dax and ftse...any view on the indexes??tia

Ldn 08:23 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Oil $49.75 giving support to yen in Europe

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Eur/Chf...Might be sell here ...for 40 pips

Budapest Daniel 08:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Guys can anyone pls. explain why the market moves usually the false direction first after the data releases?

hk ab 08:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
rebuy gbp 1.81

Budapest Daniel 08:15 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
thanks for your view bahrain.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:14 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I have two peaks for GBP for today
one at 12.30 pm
another at 9:30 PM
NY
Right now it have a bottom minimum
I think It will go up again

Budapest Daniel 08:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
any opinion on gbp/usd after the data release?

London 07:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GBP GDP
GBP GDP (YoY)
GBP Current Account (BP) (2Q) 8:30 -5.5B -5.3B
GBP M4 Money Supply (MoM) (AUG F) 8:30 1.00%
GBP M4 Money Supply (YoY) (AUG F) 8:30 8.80%
GBP M4 Sterling Lending (BP) (AUG F) 8:30 15.2B
GBP Net Consumer Credit 8:30 1.9B 1.8B
GBP Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings 8:30 8.0B 8.6B
GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey 9:30 -5
CHF KOF Swiss Leading Indicator (SEP) 9:30 1 0.98
GBP CBI Distributive Trades Report 10:00
EUR CPI (NIC w/tobac) (MoM) (SEP) 10:30 0.20%0.20%
EUR CPI (NIC w/tobac) (YoY) (SEP) 10:30 2.30% 2.30%
USD MBA Mortgage Applications (SEP 24) 11:00 1.80%
USD GDP Annualized (2Q F) 12:30 3.00% 2.80%
USD Personal Consumption (2Q F) 12:30 1.60%
USD GDP Price Deflator (2Q F) 12:30 3.20% 3.20%

Melbourne Qindex 07:52 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

gold coast miko 07:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
how do you contact Jay. I am a newbie to the forum ( 6 weeks )

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:42 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
if You like the excel Equations for the last post...ask Jay for email

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Maybe OK for Intraday trading
Max Level Min Level
EURUSD 1.2374 1.2249
USDJPY 111.8846 110.8536
GBPUSD 1.8190 1.8042
USDCHF 1.2663 1.2526
EURCHF 1.5548 1.5472
AUDUSD 0.7212 0.7101
USDCAD 1.2796 1.2668
NZDUSD 0.6724 0.6629
EURGBP 0.6813 0.6769
EURJPY 137.8762 136.2606
GBPJPY 202.9241 200.5704
CHFJPY 88.8970 87.8050
GBPCHF 2.2922 2.2738
EURAUD 1.7304 1.7091
EURCAD 1.5767 1.5578
AUDCAD 0.9189 0.9024
AUDJPY 80.3626 78.9607

Syd 07:38 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
At a time when Australia's current account deficit is bulging at 5.7% of economic output, the continued affection of skittish foreign investors remains paramount.
Yet both major political parties are peddling policies that could test the faith of international fund managers, economists say.

Was emailed the article from a trader friend in NY, interesting for Aud traders have posted the remainder of article on the (Political Forum.) too long for FF.

Dallas GEP 07:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Goofy, It has longed 50 pips since I closed my shorts, I knew 200.80 would be probable bounce THAT's why I closed it.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys

Chicago Goofy 07:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Gep, Why you close G/Y? What makes u do that? I found this pair is heading to south with greater probability than any other pair`s.

Chicago Goofy 07:24 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
After USD/YEN get a new high this week, it is time to buy yen against all.

Also have a thought, If G7 event doesnt make dollar weaker, next Monday might long dollar against CAD.

Dallas GEP 07:14 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
RE: usd/jpy there is a 20 period MA at 111.00 so THAT may actually be a VERY good long from there with a 30 pip stop

LAX-LGB SNP 07:08 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
adding €/¥ longs here and breaking even on £/Ys ... aiming for 137.5+ & 202.3+ initially

KL KL 07:06 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Long eurjpy 136.77...and SAR above 137.++...same story like yesterday....too obvious to short and magic hands at play...sl 10 pips below. Oil still an issue...may top today or this week...the longer it stays above 49-50 the more dangerous it becomes!!gl gt

Sydney Ge11Ja 06:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 06:37 GMT September 29, 2004

thanks for sharing the views, personally I thought usd.yen had the chance to dip lot lower and as such eur/usd, aud/usd and stg/usd would be higher by now.. in agreement on the yen crosses moving lower just the straight usd pairs benefiting more than they have. gold up here makes me think these tight ranges we have had for a while will break to the upside but maybe not today!

the market has been trying to buy usd for a while now and yet there doesnt seem to be a sign of that following through

anyway thanks again

prague mark 06:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
will silver get to 6.8 in 24h or top is reached - TIA

Chicago Goofy 06:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Since all pairs are pointing to the north, then the game is again which pair will drop faster. I calculate the support level for the all pairs and give some scenarios. The conclusion is.......no breakout today..

Range: 4hr Daily
Eur/Yen 135.71 136.29
Eur/Drl 1.2284 1.2291
GBP/USD 1.8079 1.8049
GBP/Yen 201.04 200.13
Usd/Yen 110.99 110.88

Scenario generated:
G/Y goes up to 201.62, GBP/USD down to 1.8078, Eur/Yen up to 137.32, Eur/USD down to 1.2291. USD/YEN end up with 111.70

Downside on usd/yen look at Eur/Yen, breakthrough 136.29 might finish usd/yen`s north march.

Dallas GEP 06:37 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GE11JA, my view much earlier was all yen pairs would move at least 40-50 pips short essentislly before Londom Close, GBP/JPY already has done over 70 pips, eur/jpy about 30 pips and usd/jpy about 25 pips. GBP/jpy bounced off support at 200.80 for now, BUT i still think eur/jpy may be good for 136.60 and usd/jpy for 110.80 Those pairs right now are boucing off support levels as well

KW FXSTU 06:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GoodvMorning All...

Sydney Ge11Ja 06:29 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 06:22 GMT September 29, 2004

very good calls today, do you see the yen crosses moving much further?

Dallas GEP 06:22 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Closed gbp/jpy shorts at profit` USD/CAD longs still working

LAX-LGB SNP 05:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 22:27 GMT September 28, 2004
was referring to $cad daily

ICT ML 23:05 GMT September 28, 2004
true that ... only a close above 1.30+ this month could stem the sales flows

Sydney EM 05:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
NZ Business Confidence recovery in optimism after slump in March appeared to have come to a halt in August, general business sentiment edging down 2% to -14.9% amid uncertainty over global growth prospects, high oil prices and the strengthening NZD. Confidence is unlikely to have improved in Sept, with stronger NZD suggesting pessimism will either be flat or risk to deteriorate further

Tacoma A B 04:33 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
HK mom:
fwiw, I'm in too on basis of the break of the 8/5 moving average on 4 hour chart. Hasn't been able to break in nine days, which is a long time on a four hour chart. That and double bottom from months ago are hopefully signaling a change in the direction here for the rest of this week.

Syd 04:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
The impressive rally in base metals through September has left the market overbought, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital which pointed to a forthcoming correction. "The consistent pattern is that the rallies are extremely over-extended and the risk is that a snap back occurs in October," Barclays' technical analysts said in a report independent from the bank's fundamental analysis. With respect to aluminum, the "extreme overbought conditions" warn of a retreat to $1,650 a metric ton before the year end.
While they recommended buying nickel as recently as two weeks ago, Barclays technical analysts said it is now time to lock in profits. Barclays economic brief

Commodity currencies may be topping also for now, just a thought.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 04:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd still in no man’s land as it fails to fall any further but does not take the resistance out either. The range I talked about before is still active for now. I thought that gbp/usd might have made a dip by now but % favor that resistance at 1.8140-50 will hold for now with intraday indicators still in O/B area. Mid term indicators are getting into O/B and long-term indicators are turning bullish. Support will be 8100-10, 8070-80, 8030-50 and 8000-10 for now. First set of retracement numbers is 8110-15, 8080-85, 8050-55, and 8025-30. Second set of retracement numbers is 8065-70, 8000-05, 7950-55 and 7900-05. For intraday traders it is still buy on dips mode until some of the key supports are taken out IMHO. GL GT

Syd 04:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY offers cap AUD/USD

mumbai Goldman 04:06 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Takan is due thrusday 2350 gmt
expected 23 from 22 in june, highest reading since 1991

London 04:04 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Japan's Auto Production Rises 2.5% On Year In August

London 04:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Japan's Auto Exports Rise 3.8% On Year In August

KL KL 03:58 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have news on the Japan Tankan survey?? What was the outcome?

SanFrancisco TG 03:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Gbpyen looking better, so euryen looking better at the target

Melbourne Qindex 03:45 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 03:30 GMT - Good afternoon! You got mail too.

sgp sp 03:30 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Good morning Dr Q,

Welcome back...:)

You got mail....gl & gt 2 u

SanFrancisco TG 03:18 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Ok euryen flattening at the moment at the taget (95-85). Gbpyen not yet doing same yet so bottom for asia is suspect for me right now.

hk ab 03:13 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ML//Today is the last day of repatriation.

Syd 03:13 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
hk mom good call on aud so far

hk mom 03:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
short usd/cad 1.2710, I think the train has begun.

Calabash TarHeel 02:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Gep, are you short gbp/jpy?

Melbourne Qindex 02:55 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

ICT ML 02:54 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Well this damnned gbp-jpy has just mocked me non-stop this week...I sell it climbs...I buy it crashes....hope this is not a sign of things to come.

wisconsin tim 02:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 9/29/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
9/28/2004 AUDUSD 0.7217 0.7144 0.7231 0.7110
9/28/2004 EURGBP 0.6812 0.6775 0.6820 0.6768
9/28/2004 EURUSD 1.2367 1.2281 1.2396 1.2250
9/28/2004 EURYEN 137.89 136.69 138.49 136.29
9/28/2004 GBPUSD 1.8201 1.8067 1.8212 1.8040
9/28/2004 GBPYEN 202.96 201.02 203.58 200.65
9/28/2004 NDZUSD 0.6730 0.6665 0.6737 0.6640
9/28/2004 USDCAD 1.2746 1.2641 1.2793 1.2624
9/28/2004 USDCHF 1.2640 1.2557 1.2666 1.2510
9/28/2004 USDYEN 111.77 111.00 112.12 110.95

Dallas GEP 02:46 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
No Tarheel, BUT we are building a spare for when he does!!! LOL

Calabash TarHeel 02:40 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP
Hello Gep. Has your son blown his engine yet?

SanFrancisco TG 02:39 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Only a heads up, we're at the 95 area I projected, so this is pivitol for further downside or return up (give room for 85)

Sydney Ge11Ja 02:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Comment just out from Feds Hoenig - "current account may worsen as growth continues"

Dallas GEP 02:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Well FXNEW like everything else I expect a range trade of 1.8160 to maybe 1.8080

LA fxnew 02:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
HI GEP:
whats ur view on cable tonight?

SanFrancisco TG 02:13 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for the "in the spotlight" call there G.

I will be paying much attention to 135.40 if it gets there for continuation or bounce, and if I'm awake of course.

hg 02:11 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
test

Dallas GEP 02:07 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
TG well yes, I would say in next 12 hours

SanFrancisco TG 02:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GEP - You looking for 136.50 in Europe?

Dallas GEP 01:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
201.62 on gbp/jpy I mean

Dallas GEP 01:56 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
One more note: I would look for the YEN pairs to generally go shorter tonight than what they are currently maybe as much as 40-50 pips. Currrently usd/jpy trades @ 111.21, gbp/jpy @ 210.62 and Eur/JPY @ 136.99

SanFrancisco TG 01:53 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
ah thats better , euryen under the figure

cary nc mdr 01:48 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
newb ? whats cable?

LA fxnew 01:47 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
market is so thin ..
any view on cable guys?

Dallas GEP 01:44 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
A Word about Range Trading: Range trading can be VERY profitable as long as ranges hold. The problem lately has been there appears to be a danger in that ranges may be ready to break OUT.

For instance: USD/CAD bias is short...not much doubt about it BUT one can make good money by taking longs from 1.2700 area and shorts from 1.2770 area AS LONG AS RANGES hold. So relatively tight stops would be in order here on both ends of the range. Remember that the LAST trade you take when range trading will probably be the loser. It is very helpful if price action is relatively fast but that certainly IS NOT the case the last few days. Obviously MOST of the action on the pairs is driven by YEN plays so they will have greater range.

Sydney EM 01:43 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Australia August trade deficitA$1.93 billion, exports flat, imports down 5%; import data run counter to signs of strong domestic demand could feed talk of soft patch in economy especially with exports showing no bounce. Export rise needed to sustain growth in 2005. December 3-year bonds up after data
abc

London 01:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
High oil prices not as great a threat to U.S. economy as they once would have been, due to increased use of alternate energy sources Fed's Bies

cary nc mdr 01:31 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Really i was watching I thought the total would end up being around 90-100 the way they were going.

wisconsin tim 01:28 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
over/under 50 - 55 depending where the book had money ... done at halftime

cary nc mdr 01:26 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
What was the over/under?

wisconsin tim 01:23 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
well the packers got beat by da bears at home

i wouldda had better luck taking the over in the indy/packer game than most of my trades this week. my wife, who hates me gambling on football (if she only knew what this was =) kept saying ... "you're an idiot why didn't you take the over"

SanFrancisco TG 01:20 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Be careful with my ideas though, 49ers were shut out out for the first time since 77 this weekend :)

SanFrancisco TG 01:16 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
tim - was hoping to see 136.95-85 but not enough impetus in asia tonight it seems. Gotta do it before Europe and look small because that session could always turn around and give me that low figure or lower.

wisconsin tim 01:12 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
tg, pick up buy or sell on the e/y? tia

Syd 01:11 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Australian Treasurer Peter Costello on Wednesday cited rising global oil prices as a key test for the domestic economy, along with the ongoing threat of terrorism
Costello Perth radio station 6PR

SanFrancisco TG 01:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Might be last chance for romance to pick up euryen near the figure coming up.

Spotforex NY 01:09 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
please note that I am subject to the Van Gecko 'quacking' theory.....

The market has a way of humbling one.....

Sydney EM 01:03 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY great thanks for that

Spotforex NY 00:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
from GVI

Spotforex NY 00:40 GMT September 29, 2004
thanks ST

probably one more flush below 1.2240 to scatter the weak euro bulls......

I would like the opportunity to buy euros there (stop below 1.2190)

wisconsin tim 00:57 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
long $/cad again on bounce of hourly indicator posted earlier today ... stop 2700 tp 2750+

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 00:50 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Well, I would rather see a 1.2250 first and then of course i am expecting 1.2400 as i posted earlier this week.

TIA:-)

Spotforex NY 00:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
from GVI

Spotforex NY 15:20 GMT September 21, 2004
FWIW...I am getting some buy signals in the metals..

- gold on today's NY close
- copper was yesterday on NY close

Spotforex NY 00:35 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
I have been turning positive on many metals...and see inklings that the weaker dollar/stronger metal trend of mid 2002may re-emerge.

Aussy does look constructive above .71

Sydney EM 00:27 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY are you also positive Aud

Spotforex NY 00:25 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...I see european ccy acellerating against the dollar very soon.........

gotta buy euros above 1.2390...and one should see 1.2550 quite fast. I would only risk about 50 pips on it view....but my models are saying this move is very likely.....

but we have to get to 1.2390 first......

Melbourne Qindex 00:21 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
houston st 00:10 GMT - I have just posted my daily cycle analysis on EUR/USD.

EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Melbourne Qindex 00:19 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Gen dk 00:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney 00:17 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   
any view on Aud/Yen

houston st 00:10 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   

Q -- if you don't mind me inquiring, your thoughts on eur/usd please...tia.

houston st 00:06 GMT September 29, 2004 Reply   

Q -- welcome back...good trades to you.

 




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