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Forex Forum Archive for 02/1/2005

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Dallas Mauricio 23:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Anyone with thoughts on the gbp/usd range for this asian session?

Austin rb 23:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Templar
Those with more than one have played around with and usually use same number have seen and used three bur not four. I am using the charting package from censored*m*censored from it tech

Caribbean! Rafe... 23:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I have a problem I have been trying to solve since this afternoon with no success! it is totally frustrating.

I am trying to display live data feed into tradestation prosuite2000i

I am getting the error "no data available for selected date range"

can someone tell me what i am doing wrong? help is appreciated.

TIA

London Templar 23:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 23:52 GMT February 1, 2005
Anyone with thoughts on the eur/usd range for this asian session?

EURUSD: Ranges continue as 1.3000 holds. We would still look to play the range for now, buying dips around 1.3010-20 for an eventual short squeeze over 1.3100. Various data and events later this week are awaited to change the picture significantly. The range is Asia is likely to be 1.3030-1.3060. (Singapore spot desk)

Los Angeles ss 23:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Anyone with thoughts on the eur/usd range for this asian session?

London Templar 23:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Austin rb 23:46 GMT February 1, 2005

Thanks Austin - which charting package do u use? I am using tradermade but am not sure how to fill in the paramerters.

It ask me to enter the parameters but there are as many as 4 possible parameters.

Can you help? Or doesn anyone know?

Austin rb 23:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Templar
I have used the adx dmi for some time and standard default is 14 I like to use 9 with my other indicators find 14 tends to be slow except for the most dramatic of moves

Gen dk 23:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

melbourne farmacia 23:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rio K 23:29 GMT - possible range 1.8720 - 1.8940..GT

London Templar 23:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Could someone tell me when using the DMI with the ADX or ADXR within a 60 min chart for EURUSD what would be the appropriate values to enter for the parameters?

TIA

Rio K 23:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
farmacia, thanks for the reminder....looks like the next 12 hrs is down...what do you think?

Livingston nh 23:27 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
After the Fed minutes of December meeting were released early for the first time the market focused on the concern of some participants about inflationary implications of remaining below neutral -- following the release the Fed rushed speakers into the breach to advise that "inflation was well contained" - do they remove the "balanced" language or the "measured pace" promise from the statement tomorrow? I think the balance goes first and the language will confirm growth but raise the prospect of inflation -- given the yield compression the Fed needs to send a clear message before raising at a 50 bps rate so a change in the language is critical especially with the new Minutes Release schedule // G'span's pet indicator, Productivity, will be released Thurs and is likely to be under 2% but there will be immediate comment about faulty GDP stat - we'll see

melbourne farmacia 23:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Odds suggest Gbp prints 2 figures Wednesday after two compressed daily periods.. fwiw

Syd 23:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
full article on FF

Syd 23:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
http://news.ft.com/censored/s/6fbf49aa-7497-11d9-a769-00000e2511c8.html

Syd 23:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Unions threaten Blair bid to keep Labour united
trouble at mill lad"By threatening industrial action, the unions are defying a warning against any strikes over pensions from Ian McCartney, Labour party chairman and a member of Mr Blair's cabinet, set out in a letter last month.

HKK Kim 23:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thank you much Rio and Andras. Sorry for asking questions here as I didnt know. Before I shut up for good, Rio Q or you: As per your last statement, if my trades are closed after 24 hours, I would use ADX on a daily correct? Thanks

Rio K 23:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Also as Gold Coast Martin states, it will take the month of feb to establish direction from here. Chart seems to say this too. Dollar has been falling steady for some time, needs to correct and consolidate some to settle things out.

Rio K 22:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Kim, ADX is a great indicator. trending is really relative to the timeframe of chart. The real trend is US dollar down. Anything happening in near future is merely an oscillation as nothing goes straight up or down.

Also you should direct questions to the help forum as we don't want to annoy the real pros that grace this board. And they are happy to help there.

Auckland 22:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras 22:26 ... I know and exponentials are my best frends but i'm using bit more sensitive (shorter periods)

HKK Kim 22:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rio K 22:23 GMT February 1, 2005
Thanks. How is ADX on a daily for finding trending or non-trending market any ideas?

wellington am 22:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Talking about moving averages and indicators, anyone ever used Jurik's
"http://www.jurikres.com/catalog/ms_ama.htm#top">JMA
?

Los Angeles ss 22:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
RBA leaves rates unchanged.

Pecs Andras 22:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Auckland 22:22 GMT February 1, 2005
SMA is fine but EMA is better because it is more sensitive to more recent data I guess

Rio K 22:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Kim, look channels and ranges

Auckland 22:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras ... are you talking about SMA or EMA...
GL/GT

Rio K 22:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
10/20 cross, 20/50 confirms continuation, 50/100 confirms continuation, 100/200 confirms continuation..you know if a strong trend is strarting because MAs will spread apart from each other in direction of new trend...pattern emerges in 1 hr chart, same pattern will emerge on 2 hr chart, then 4 hr, and on and on- confirming continuation...when a signal fails to confirm-think of exiting position

HKK Kim 22:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks a lot all you guys. But I was wondering not How to find a down or uptrend, but to find if market is trending or non-trending(ranging). Anyway of finding that out on a daily chart? thanks

Pecs Andras 22:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Just read somwhere recently that big banks and fund watch the 20 and the 50 MAs on the dailies. Of course RIO is right, the shorter timeframes can give you earlier entry/exit points

Pecs Andras 22:16 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
KIM
Say the 20 day MA cross the 50 day MA from below. That is the first sign of an uptrend. When both cross the 200, then it is a real uptrend, so a buy, though as I said it may be a bit late, unless it is a strong and long lasting uptrend, like what EUR did from 2003 faall. Same applies to a downtrend, when the shorter MAs cross teh longer ones from above.

Rio K 22:15 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
moving averages are for every timeframe. if you're watching dailies, the 4 and 8 hr chart gives an early heads-up

Austin rb 22:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
HKK
Should qualify have been in a short eur/usd since Jan 3 the gbp I trade on 30 min charts because of the increased volatility

Pecs Andras 22:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
KIM
I forgot to mention that these are for the dail chart and the moving averages are dailies

HKK Kim 22:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras 22:03 GMT February 1, 2005
Confirmation when: 20 crosses MA 200 or 50 crosses 200? thanks.

Mattel USA 22:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Our company just rec'd word froma US gov't official that one of our GI Joe action figures is being held 'hostage' in Iraq.

We are saddened by this unfortunate turn of events and will work endlessly to see that the action fiigure is released unharmed.

Pecs Andras 22:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
HKK Kim 21:47 GMT February 1, 2005
Many teachnicians say that the simplest was to indentifie a trend is to use 3 MAS: 20, 50 and 200. The first sign is when the 2 shorter ones cross. Then you should be alerted but not sure yet. Once the 200 is also crossed, that is a clear trend. trouble is that if it is not an impulsive move, it is too late to enter, because you have missed a lot. That is the main problem with simple but lagging indicator.

Pecs Andras 22:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
wellington am 21:38 GMT February 1, 2005
Thanks for your comment.
My main problem is that I do NOT have only 2 things:
enough money and enough patiance LOL
That makes me a bad trader, right?

Austin rb 21:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
HKK
My indicators have been daily down since Jan 3

London. 21:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
WASHINGTON (AP)--Drop In US Troop Levels In Iraq May Come Within Weeks. The first visible move toward reducing the U.S. military force in Iraq could come as soon as March. That's when thousands of soldiers and Marines whose tours were extended prior to the election are due to go home.

HKK Kim 21:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Austin rb 21:53 GMT February 1, 2005
I used ADX primarily. Well austin, what would you say the current eurusd and gbpusd market is...trending or non-trending? thanks for taking the initiative.

Sydney 21:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
While local economists expect RBA not to to hike rates this morning, market pricing suggests there's at least some chance of a move, say NAB strategists

Austin rb 21:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
HKK
I am assuming you have traded other vehicles in the past if so what indicators did you use to check a trending market . If you have not traded before start with a basic technical analysis book or two. John Murphy's books are excellent and his latest talks a lot about world markets and influence . If you are not sure if a market is trending which can be relative based on your trading style do not partake

London. 21:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
BAGHDAD (AP)--Terrorists on Web Site Claim US Soldier Kidnapped
US Military: No US Soldier Reported Missing In Iraq
photo displayed shows figure in the photo appeared stiff and expressionless, and the photo's authenticity couldn't be confirmed

Liam Cusack, of the toy manufacturer Dragon Models USA, inc., said the image of the soldier portrayed in the photo bore a striking resemblance to a military action figure made by the company.

Los Angeles ss 21:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
b747 -- does eur/usd follow aud/usd always? I would think that it would.

HKK Kim 21:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I have a really basic question. How does one find out of the market is trending or non-treding on a daily chart let's say. is there any sure shot way of knowing that the market has started to trend or still in non-trending mode? I am having a hard time finding out.

anyone willing to help?

GOES B747 21:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
"Los Angeles ss 21:34 GMT February 1, 2005
Anyone with thoughts on eur/usd?"

thoughts are many, range and FOMC are only one; curAussie will tell within six hours if USD or the opposition will sink while some will sing.

gt

wellington am 21:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras 21:17 GMT February 1, 2005
Interest in these commodty currencies, of which of course the kiwi is one, appears primarily driven by yield seekers. As the US keeps its rates low and only now just starting to get them back up to a "normalized rate" (what ever that means), countries with tight monetary disciplines are getting their currencies buoyed. And it helps that in the case of the kiwi and ozzy, we're nice Western style, English speaking countries, with liquid and easily accessible currency markets.

Of course when/if Greenspan lets US' rates increase to reflect their true inflationary situation, the party will be over - and far cleverer people than me are debating when and if that will happen. Check out the writings of Bill Grossman from Pimco www.pimco.com - he seems to be the authority on this.

In the meantime, build shorts, or sell CALLs, and be patient I guess.


London. 21:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Indexes (As of 21:36 GMT)

CAC 40 3,939.18 +25.49
DJIA 10,551.94 +62.00
FTSE 100 4,906.20 +53.90
Nasdaq 2,068.70 +6.29
Nikkei 225 11,387.59 +67.01
NYSE 7,146.21 +56.38

Rio K 21:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
B747, MA (10,20,50,100,200) on same chart

Excellent!! I've been using the exact same MAs
Thanks and gt

Roumeli anka 21:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras ... I dont think so... Goldman Sachs Commodity Index is up all the month of Jan

Los Angeles ss 21:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Anyone with thoughts on eur/usd?

GOES B747 21:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rio K 20:33 GMT February 1, 2005 // good evening, MA (10,20,50,100,200) on same chart ... still new to this way, but if you will like also future calls then let me know and I will provide more details.

btw, FXTrek was the tool to generate the call.

gt

knoxville dan-k 21:18 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
lots of laughs, typing to fast that was 103.90 usd/jpy

knoxville dan-k 21:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
109.90ish=104.90ish sorry

Pecs Andras 21:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Roumeli anka 20:59 GMT February 1, 2005
Thanks, I do appreciate bc's posts.
But haven't the commodities been declining in the past few weeks? And AUD is still stuck to a relatively high level.

knoxville dan-k 21:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw, the parabolic sar, had a short sell signal on the 15min, @109.90ish, and is approching another cross to exit, however any exit prior to this up coming cross imho, would have been excellent trade total pips that were high confidence was 35, now while i have been typing a long cross just appeared @ 103.72 just watch and see, however what im reading is the DMI and the eur/usd are not confirming this move glgt

knoxville dan-k 21:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
also go online and look up these indicators and learn how and why they work -- educational

knoxville dan-k 21:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman, put up the DMI indicators, and the parabolic indicators, then change the settings on your charts and go back into history and look at the crosses, those usually are your entry and, or , exit points, try them on the 5,15,30,1,2,4,daily, weekly monthly etc charts see which one you like and follow the crosses use the dmi to confirm the parabolic and use the eur/usd, and usd/jpy to confirm the other they work in bothe directions, vary rarely have they not confirmed the others direction, hope this helps,

however you must be the one to decide when to pull the trigger or not i can post my entrys and exits but i do not want to call anyone into or out of a trade glgt

Roumeli anka 20:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Andras...


shanghai bc 01:55 GMT January 28, 2005

It is the perception that counts in the market..As long as the commodities keep rising,Aussie stox are the ones to buy and Aud is the currency to hold..Aussies are sitting on a continent sized mountain of commodities..China is unlikely to slow down much this year either with 8-9% GDP forecast for the year of rooster..China needs all the commodities from Australia just to keep going..Buy till all the roosters come home to roost..

Syd 20:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Audit exposes billion-dollar corruption scandal in China PRINT FRIENDLY EMAIL STORY
The World Today - Tuesday, 1 February , 2005 12:10:00
Reporter: John Taylor
KAREN PERCY: A rare insight today into a touchy subject in a notoriously secret nation: corruption in China. Official sources say that more than 40 officers in one of China's poorest provinces, have been implicated in a billion-dollar corruption scandal.
China's Xinhua newsagency says that an official audit in the northern western province of Gansu found that large amounts of state money, meant for infrastructure projects and public compensation, has been diverted or embezzled.
It's the latest in a string of corruption cases this year, many of which have been made public.
John Taylor reports from Beijing.
JOHN TAYLOR: China's Gansu Province is among the poorest in the country. Yet, in a place that needs every cent of state funds, an audit has found that more than $1 billion has been misappropriated, diverted or embezzled. So far, 44 officials have been caught. Money for needed infrastructure projects, and even compensation for evicted homeowners, has just gone. We're a month into 2005 and already a handful of huge corruption cases has been exposed.A Vice-Mayor of an eastern city has been jailed for taking bribes, a Director of a major highway construction company has been arrested after the disappearance of about $50 million, and $120 million is believed to have gone missing from the Bank of China, along with two Senior Officials.Yan Sun is a writer on corruption in China, and an Associate Professor of Political Science at the City University of New York. She says corruption is thought to be rampant, and popular sayings reveal how widespread the Chinese public believe it to be.YAN SUN: So one folk saying for example, says that if the party executes every official for corruption it's overdoing it a little bit, but if it's going to execute every other official for corruption it will be just right. So, I think it's somewhat accurate measure of probably how widespread the problem is.

full interview on financial forum.-->


London Templar 20:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pecs Andras 20:50 GMT February 1, 2005

I think u have hit the nail on the head. The AUD problems are more distant and the market is totally focused on the US in the immediate term. The problems of the AUD economy will come in the frame in the mid term. If you are aware of the problems i would suggest u start taking on some fundementa strategies now (small in size) to get you into the game.

Van jv 20:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
assume still int. rate differential...+ resources for China &

Pecs Andras 20:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
sorry: Syd'S link...

Pecs Andras 20:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Guys
i have asked this question already today but nobody cared to answer. I repeat now: Why is it that the Aussie is not hurt by bad news? Australia CA problems are and will be worse than those of the US, as Syd's ling, among other, points out. And AUD just would not move lower. I wonder why...

London Templar 20:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Looking to sell Eurusd at 1.3065 with a 10 pip stop to take us through 1.2980 tomorrow morning..

Any thoughts..?

Syd 20:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

The current account deficit could be as large as 7 per cent of gross domestic product this year after the trade deficit rose to $7.4 billion for the three months to December, 12 per cent bigger than the previous record.
Time to push deficit panic button

Rio K 20:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GOES B747 17:49 GMT February 1, 2005
"fwiw & imo €/$ will print 1.3040/50 during next 75mins"

Excellent call!! may I ask how you arrived at that, what indicators or hints?

Wisconsin Peter Jack 20:31 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thank you London, saw it.

Amman wfakhoury 20:31 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Knoxville
thks alot...but with using all theses indicators,
can you give us a signal for sure trade,

London Templar 20:28 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Wisconsin Peter Jack 20:25 GMT February 1, 2005

Please see my correction above my origional posting.

Wisconsin Peter Jack 20:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar 20:16 GMT February 1, 2005
higher highs and lower lows and trending hmmm...
anyway, on the daily, last 3 bars have had lower highs and today's finish would make it almost a good lower low case,so short-term i would say trending and downwards and however on the weekly, lower lows and lower highs for 3 bars were broken by a higher high and higher low for the week of 24 jan,2005. 1.8941 should be a key level for watching for mid-term reversal of current bearishness. Any observation of anyone else welcome to help me get more clarity. thanks

knoxville dan-k 20:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman, may i suggest using as many indicators as you have access to and formulate a stratagy of your own, personally i use the parabolic sar, in combination to the +dmi, -dmi, adx and track on multi screens using chart settings varying from 5 min, up to monthly, and cross refrence with opposing ccy's example usd/jpy vs eur/usd, they seem to move in opposing directions and fairly equally, good luck and good trading,

and paper trade using variable indicators a few others may be the cci, the rsi, the fx trend, macd, stoks, and their are many more but to many can be info overload

Amman wfakhoury 20:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Jakarta
thks alot
but I want Bahrain to tell that he can gives a signal for succeful trade.

London Templar 20:16 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar 20:15 GMT February 1, 2005
cable is in a trend in the mid term on a 60 min chart - the last 1 month has produced higher highs and lower lows on the 60 mins

correction higher highs and higher lows

London Templar 20:15 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
cable is in a trend in the mid term on a 60 min chart - the last 1 month has produced higher highs and lower lows on the 60 mins

Wisconsin Peter Jack 20:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
How many here would say we are in a trending GBPUSD market and what is the timeframe you are looking at when you say its trending? Input would be appreciated. Thanks.

Jakarta r4v3n 20:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
well, i did get a lot of trading input from "bahrain within 10 pips"....thank's for your posting Bahrain

Amman wfakhoury 19:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Hi ,
may I ask this question.
how many one can give signal for an accurate
or successful trade ,from this forum

GOES B747 19:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin 18:56 GMT

thanks ... AUD/USD looks for 20% range during 2005; will make or break some players.

gt


Eilat Dolphin 19:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
In a very Foreign and Strage Land
Two pillars strait like Justice herself
Were standing watch,
Guarding the deliberations of

The Chevaliers de l'Ordre de YE$conda.


(hi John!)

Wisconsin Peter Jack 19:44 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Good luck for a new day of trading on wednesday people.

Boulder DAT 19:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Got it. Thanks guys.

Global-View 19:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

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GVI john 19:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DAT- Jan 31 and Feb 1 are for 2006. Use the GVI CB and holiday calendar in the right frame. Its easier to read.

NYC 19:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Most FOMC are one day meetings on Tuesdays. This one is a 2-day meeting with decision at 19:15gmt Wednesday.

San Diego bobl 19:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
As a matter of fact...fwiw...
like the usd/jpy here and taking some @ 103.64 ...

Los Angeles ss 19:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DAT -- they noted 1/31-2/1 as the 2006 meeting dates, next year.

Boulder DAT 19:35 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
SS Thanks. But, when is the meeting. The calendar says two different dates. They note below the calendar that there is a two day meeting. Jan 31 and Feb 1. Yet above they state Feb 1/2. I was under the impression that the results were coming out today from this meeting.

San Diego bobl 19:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Took a little break...
however, came back and saw a couple low risk opportunities;
Sold aud/usd @ .7746 (this is add...play it like adder;shorter lease)

Bought usd/chf @ 1.1914 (had this one early for one profit out and a flat, now like it again at these levels)

Eilat Dolphin 19:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
martin/ You ride the camel "zen" like, "live and let live", ecological, even Laurencelike. Let the animal some freedom. A bit like you do with the E/$naconda, the we are buddies spiel.

Now if you wan't (need) to check the democratic level in Lybia for exemple, don't worry, my friend:

KHADDAFI GREEN BOOK IS HERE TO GUIDE US!

(FOUR hundred millions copies, sir. Beat that! (2nd after Mao Redthing which beat eight hundred millls).

On page two, third paragraph of that Great Green Book (ten thousand words long) he states.

""This book is the definitive book on democracy.""

After that how can it be hard to ride a camel democratically.

Los Angeles ss 19:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Any thoughts on eur/usd retracement over next few hours?

Los Angeles ss 19:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
dat -- announcement comes on second day of meeting when meeting is finished.

Boulder DAT 19:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I was pretty sure that we were going to have an FOMC meeting today with an anouncement. But, there seems to be a contradiction at the Federal Reserve web site.

FOMC Calendar

gold coast martin 19:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
...and i expect an profound answer as per usual....

gold coast martin 19:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 19:05 GMT February 1, 2005
hey dolph.....i never understood how you can ride a camel democratically?......do you have one camel for every 10 arabs?..(in reference to your post in the political forum).......

Eilat Dolphin 19:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Quietus/ Drop WHAT ?

Gothenburg Quietus 19:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ROMA MARC ANTHONY a man needs to know when to get out of a "position" ;) dude! haha let's just drop it.

London CO 19:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks a lot.

Eilat Dolphin 19:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
MARC ANTONY/ If we don't do "acta fabula est", game over kind off, we are going to be kicked by...
aïe.

Coming to Egypt soon?

Gothenburg Quietus 19:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin yes I noticed ;) kinda funny, works with spanish as well (don't know france)

Quien Es Tu? :P

I believe EUR/USD might be able to drop to ~1.3015
Don't hold me to that though :P

London CO 19:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Any view how fa down the EUR/USD can go.

Eilat Dolphin 19:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Quietus/ My question was not ethymological, it was to inform you of what Frenchmen would hear as you present yourself... ;^)

ROMA MARC ANTHONY 19:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gothenburg Quietus 18:58 GMT February 1, 2005
Forget about it, if the euro is able to get through the 1.3048 resistance it may very well get up to 1.3066

But I like the 1.3056 resistance more :P

Quietus; Latin for resting, sleeping, undisturbed / neutral / quiet, calm
SOMETHING LIKE:COITUS INTERUPTUS......LOL.....


Haifa ac 19:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
NYC CS 18:49 GMT// Oy Vey. I can bite myself. THanks!!

gold coast martin 18:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
OOOPS..FWIW...forgot...added NZD [email protected]

Gothenburg Quietus 18:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Forget about it, if the euro is able to get through the 1.3048 resistance it may very well get up to 1.3066

But I like the 1.3056 resistance more :P

Quietus; Latin for resting, sleeping, undisturbed / neutral / quiet, calm

gold coast martin 18:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GOES B747 18:50 GMT February 1, 2005
The last 2 added positions have been,,,,,i use the 7761 as resistance..anuthing below that [email protected] is a short for me....medium to long term.. g/t

Gothenburg Quietus 18:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 18:51 GMT February 1, 2005

Personally I doubt the euro will go past the 1.3056, if it goes there I will be getting myself into a sell position.

Eilat Dolphin 18:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Quietus / Qui-es-tu ? (Who are you ?)

Eilat Dolphin 18:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
If this 4H candel doesn't fade out, she'll throw some new light to the E chart.

Attractive.

Gothenburg Quietus 18:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
It's within limits.

The USD is weakening after sustained high level, the majors seem to be rising. Might go back to normal soon, or not!

GOES B747 18:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin, good evening to you; is your AUD/USD short calls based on break below 0.7740 level?

gt

NYC CS 18:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Haifa - 2 day meeting...no announcement until tomorrow

Eilat Dolphin 18:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Why is the E muscular, suddenly?

auckland newbie 18:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
any thoughts on cad/usd today
?

Eilat Dolphin 18:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bobl/ On behalf of powers I have been entrusted,
I present Thee with the Title of

""Grand amiral de L'Océane Amazone.""

E/$naconda



(psst, yes, it's me here, Dolphin. I think he gave it to you because you show him where to feed, among a few others here... May be one day, he'll enoble you. There are Titles in the water waiting to land- and they should come with princesses (normal ? Right! But its only rumors. Today...)

chgo JB 18:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
meetint bagan today... but announcement not until tomorrow...

Haifa ac 18:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Is FOMC announcement in one hour supposed to be a surprise?!

Eilat Dolphin 18:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Templar/ Hi! Could someone with your type of financial math/vision, show us, paint us a Gauss graphic representing the RISK in a X10 fx exposure E/$ with aim of 1% per day, comprising
-aleatory entrance
-stop at -50p.
-profit as you think.
! ??? !

CB may BE ?

GOES B747 18:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
closed EUR/USD long for 21pips

gt all

gold coast martin 18:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ALSO SHORT EURO.,,,,,13038.....t/p [email protected]

gold coast martin 18:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw...As per my last cable post........adding 18827 short gbp....t/p 18764.....stop 18877......t/p2..18613....g/t

ALSO ADDING aud [email protected]

Eilat Dolphin 18:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bobl/ 17:21/ Intresting reading.

Many posts are interesting these past hours, Gentlemen, thanks.

gold coast martin 18:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk david 18:16 GMT February 1, 2005
That is where the market is positioning itself before FOMC....in anticipation of a stronger dollar.....The minutes of the meeting are crucial rather than the rate itself.....if "measured pace" is retained the dollar bias may be neutral..if removed the dollar which is unlikely ,the move upwards may be extreme....in any event rather than the FOMC which the market has priced in already,the february japanese repatriation will have more impact on the dollar than anything else...towards a strong bias......g/t

San Diego bobl 18:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk david...
fwiw...it's hard to hang your hat on anything through end of this week. Bottom line, we have FOMC joke...xxx...meeting, and then we have CAD unemployment and US non-farm payrolls for month on Friday. Lots of strikes with size around 1.2400-1.2500. Chart has gotten very active intraday, and hasn't said a thing daily for the past few sessions.

If you look in archives, you will see that I started buying usd/cad long 1.2090's and offered first outs 1.2141. As per my posts all along, I take some off and let em ride. I still hold average long @ 1.2150 area and will attempt to keep a good to better piece of that going forward. We will probably find out what kind of trade that long is by the end of trading Friday.

chgo JB 18:18 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Austin -- you would need to set up an account with a futures broker...

Austin rb 18:18 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
From my past opyions experience you know what max losses would be when you purchase

chgo JB 18:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
adding my opinion, I think there is a better than 50% chance that the Fed may remove their "measured response" verbiage from the meeting notes... this may in fact be interpreted as Dollar supportive... but remains to be seen

Austin rb 18:16 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
chgo
what companies or dealers sell these options

bkk david 18:16 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast
After fed meeting tomorrow , you think usd will be stronger more ????

chgo JB 18:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Chicago Mercantile Exchange

Austin rb 18:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
chgo
whwere do I find info on options on currency futures thanks

LAhore RK 18:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
San Diego bobl Thnx

San Diego bobl 18:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
usd/jpy...
again...fwiw...I think you have the support/resistance levels nailed; from 1/14 to present that is the story. All these charts getting very pleasing to the eye.

Any frustrated traders out there may take solice in knowing that sooner or later we make a move, and the later it is, the better the probable move. Cat and mouse game till then...IMHO.

San Diego bobl 18:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
And eur/usd...
all attacks at 31 have been sold since mid-jan and almost same can be said of hold of 1.30. I love this chart...it is setting up for something worthwhile. In the mean time buying support and selling resistance not a bad play. Even looks smart looking back...lol. Anyway, I have sold rallies myself, but do not have big opinion of which way we break out...don't care, but sure will play it!

chgo JB 18:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Austin rb -- you could purchase options on currency futures

gold coast martin 18:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk david 18:03 GMT February 1, 2005
BOB is the man for that.....g/t

San Diego bobl 18:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
LAhore ...
eur/yen...134.70 very technically defined point; it is today's first level of support and exactly a real body 50% fib number from the 1/27 lows to today's high. With all the buying taking place between the even and 20 it would be difficult to imagine a 70 entry for the rest of US session however.

Austin rb 18:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Are there standard options on curency thru cboe in USA or is the only way to go spot forex any comments appreciated. Lets say you thought nzd going down next three months could you purchase put option at a given strike...Thanks

bkk david 18:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast
how do you think about usdcad now and tomorow ?

LAhore RK 17:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Now for euro yen 13470 is strong chart point any view would be of great help
and any view on euro and yen for short term mine is same as early in the mornning
LAhore RK 07:15 GMT February 1, 2005
HI forum members

Any view on the short swings on the yen and euro
13010 and 13105 are strong chart points for the euro and 104.07 and 10287 are the strong charts pints for the yen
for the day -- any commment would be of the great help

San Diego bobl 17:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pip raiders of lost usd/cad could grab 25 here for real short term raid...lol.
gl/gt

GOES B747 17:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
closed USD/JPY short for 31pips

gt all

GOES B747 17:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw & imo

€/$ will print 1.3040/50 during next 75mins

gt all

Surabaya Medallion 17:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Perhaps Bold Target but I set my position like this since the downward movement is limited for now.

CHF 1.17xx (Support at 1.2)

JPY 102.xx (Support at 104.4)

EUR 1.31xx (Support at 1.296)

IN 48 HOURS

Los Angeles ss 17:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Bobl -- thanks for your thoughts.

gold coast martin 17:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
San Diego bobl 17:33 GMT February 1, 2005
lol,,bob ..i am sure i said 12465...

San Diego bobl 17:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
filled while posting

San Diego bobl 17:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
usd/cad...
bidding 53 for ones i sold at 2433 today

Dallas GEP 17:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Ok what we just saw happen on usd/cad happens ALL the time with that pair an overrun SHORT to 1.2364. USD/CAD showed a couple of days ago that there is an underlying WEAKNESS in that pair presently so prefferred direction IMO is ALWAYS short at this time IMO because there is less risk involved.

San Diego bobl 17:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
LA ss...
thank you.
It is a very good thing to have a defined strategy that you stick to and you follow your own rules. It sounds like you do that. One mention I would make...IF your system or method is working for you over time, then I would refrain from being ...
right or wrong in the market. Right/wrong too emotional. I believe you can make very educated trading decisions that have worked out more times than not, and have it NOT work this time or that, and yet it was the correct trading action. Just my thoughts. If I felt wrong every time I lost money in a trade I'd be (more of a) mess (than I am...) LOL

knoxville dan-k 17:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
oh yea -- we called ourselves daytraders !! :))

seoul kkk 17:28 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
My strategy was also ?% daily in the last century. But it didn't work. In this century instead, I rest about 15 trading days per month or just day trading at best, but try to make as much profit as possible in the other 5 days. That works better for me.

knoxville dan-k 17:27 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
at one point a trade team i was with was going to get together and open a coffee shopp for traders :)) you would sit on a commode, and the waiter's would serve you, internet connections at every seat in the house with phone plugs also, no reason to leave your moniter that way a sudden candle down or up would not hurt you to bad----roflmao, gl gt

Los Angeles ss 17:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Martin / Bobl -- enjoy reading your posts and methodology. I am a short term trader,using 10/20 ma's, as the meet and diverge, selling bounces off the ma's in a downtrend, visa versa uptrends -- I pay attention to stair stepping. Important for me to catch the trend at the start of it, easier to identify if I made a wrong move.

Rockford BDR 17:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
January was my first month! I'm trading demo still for Febuary then I switch to real money in March. I've always kept an eye on your trade calls and have noticed your success. I appreciate your post.
Thanks

knoxville dan-k 17:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
well ive been trading since 1994, and it is possible to make 80% and more in a single day ive made 1000% in a day before, its just not the usual,

p.s. and you can loose 80% and more in a day as well, -- remember enron, wcom, sdli, jdsu, and the list goes on

gl gt

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
nyc jk 17:21 GMT February 1, 2005
Sure there is the Help Forum that is where I am hanging out. LOL (;->

London Misha 17:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
jk - I think I'd like to join you there...

nyc jk 17:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
is there another forum for people who make less than 300% returns a year? feel a bit out of place on this super experts forum.......

San Diego bobl 17:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Agree Martin...
Daytrading a little bit and playing levels working positions keeps you sharp and focused, however that is a tough way to make a buck. Position trades with conviction and definition are the way to make the real money, as you well know.

fwiw...
I often post a trade and a target level that is very short term and only 30-40 pips. I post that way because of what I see in market profile for levels of activity, and they represent reasonable levels for stops and limits. One thing I encourage in here is getting the "free trade" with a first out that becomes a "cushion" to trade. If you make 35 pips, and move a stop 35 pips under entry, then you have a free trade for a bigger result possibility. If you take 30-40 pips, then b/e the rest, then you have locked small profit, and have free trade riding. I take all trades I post, however, I manage trades in many different ways depending on market character. Also, and this is very important, but only considered and applied by professionals it seems because they learn the truth in trading...the less you trade, the better. Period. I much prefer to take and work positions than any short term stuff. Just in here it is better suited to put up small winners and losers to assist the most traders.

Amman wfakhoury 17:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rockford BDR
Re you reaching your traget 20% every month

Rockford BDR 17:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Ok
I shoot for 1% a day and it gives me 20% a month. Thats why I was confused about the 80%.
Thanks

Amman wfakhoury 17:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rockford BDR
My strategy in trading to get only 1% a day,
even if I can get more.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 17:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
usd/cad from 2378.
enough low.

Indonesia-solo Raden Mas 17:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
to usd/cad players
I think usd/cad chart now is on the oversold level
better exit your sell position here now. I am worry usd/cad move up again to get 2469 as the top level.
lets see..

gold coast martin 17:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
BOB.....Direction and target still correct ...lagging order execution distorts timeframe....the cure for that is position trading and not day trading,,,to maximise return...g/t

Rockford BDR 17:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman
Could you explain that for me? I'm not getting that

San Diego bobl 17:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GCM...
yes...they sure love to game this level; I still would like to see the lows of today hold up. Maybe gonna gun some stops under lows and then move it up.

Amman wfakhoury 17:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar
I am trading on real accounts....It is possible mathmatically to earn 80% monthly as Mr Martin said ,my strategy to earn
only 1% a day.

gold coast martin 17:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
SAN DIEGO BOB.....caddie execution order lag.....should still be ok....

gold coast martin 16:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:51 GMT February 1, 2005
GEP.....Bottom line,,,February needs to be a month of patience,,,,as this will be best weapon against a less ranging market...nice to see you are exercising some!!!!..g/t

Dallas GEP 16:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Great point JF, the other day for example we were range trading between about 1.3046 and 1.3020 fairly consistently. In fact I believe we may have made 4-5 runs w/i that range. A HEAVY possie with 10 pip stops works well there keeping in mind that your LAST possie taken will probably be a loser but at a 10 pip loss compared to say a 75-80 pip gain on those 3-4 runs and that heavy possie can bring great benefit.

Rio K 16:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:32

Thanks..great advice..learned lastnight about what you say about not taking positions midrange. I did my first exercise in pivot point analysis with a little backtesting and was amazed at how s/r levels
were such bounce points. I realized that I shorted euro right on a pivot point

I appreciate all the knowledge shared by those of exp and will try to post less and learn more

Thanks again to not only GEP, but everyone.

paramus,nj jf 16:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
unfortunately its got more to do with the "hot" and "cold" cycle = personally you can achieve results well above average by using leverage in your favor. ie the days you identify a range precisely use high leverage while on days the mkt is not responding to your expectation using very low leverage. if you are unable to critique yourself then you are in the wrong game. the majority of my time is spent looking for the higher probability levels to use- and realising sometimes square is a posn - gt-

Los Angeles ss 16:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
What is generally the best pair to trade during the asian session, the one with most movement?

GOES B747 16:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw; long EUR/USD between 17:50-18:10 GMT for move of 10pips above 50SMA on 1HR 2day chart.

gt all

Spotforex NY 16:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
In my early days - my former boss would lecture the desk on 'survival'.....

His analogy was that of a soldier.....You can be the Best darn soldier and miss all sorts of bullets and mines...but it only takes ONE shot to the head to end it all.....

same goes in trading (particularly with extreme leverage)- one bad trade IS that bullet. Make sure it does NOT have your name on it!!!


Happy hunting all!!!!


spot

GENEVA FHR 16:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Halifax i agree that 80% per month is impossible the fact is you should not coumpound this result. I think with the leverage you can have these days and starting with Euro 100'000 doing 100'000 a month is quite achievable.But of course i mean not increasing you position but still trading the same amount each month.I can tell you by experience that trading for instance the bund market this is a result not out of reach.Of course that means working every day 11 hours.

Spotforex NY 16:35 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
re: winning percentage

'successful' commodity trades typical have about a 30 pct 'win' ratio....

The magic to success relies on the ability to let profits run and cut losses early.....

so risk management is the key to longevity.

Find your style and go with it!!!!!

Dallas GEP 16:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Friends if the effort put forth to trade is not worth the results then simply don't trade. Nothing wrong with that whatsoever. This week for instance results have been modest to say the least so I will probably NOT trade until I see larger swings from high to lows or until market gets out of it's stop hunt mode that we have seen for last few days. If trading take profits VERY early. YES, you may miss part of the run but at least you will not give back all your profits and more on a swing against your possie. Try also NOT to take possies that are mid-range. (don't chase them in other words). I might suggest also that possie sizes be adjusted to SMALLER than normal. Standing by myself. GL GT

Toronto EDP 16:31 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:21 GMT February 1, 2005
Gold coast martin
I am doing 15-20 trades a day
only 2-3 negative

So 80% of your trades are successful but what does this translate to in percentage return on your account per month ?

London Templar 16:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Halifax CB 16:26 GMT February 1, 2005

Trillionarire nigierans hmmmmm LMAO HAHAHAHA

CT Mike 16:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:24 // i guess so...

London Templar 16:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:24 GMT February

Legend - Are you trading for real or paper?

I might add - your returns sound very impressive and you are certainly doing well if that is the case. However if you are paper trading, beaware the feelings of greed and fear play a big role in the world of a trader (not trying to lecture you), so keep in mind if you move from paper to the real thing, you will probabll prefer to bank then to risk.

Budapest Daniel 16:27 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
wfakhoury have had a lot of great calls so to speak at the recent past which could lead me to think he's reasonably good at trading.

Halifax CB 16:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:58 GMT February 1, 2005
spotforex.
my question is upon an offer came here in this forum
this morning from a nigerian guy...whom gurantee 80%
return profit per month.

It's not possible, at least on any contiuing basis. A monthly rate of return of 80% means that each year, you would basically increase your capital by a factor of 1000 (actually a bit more, but let's allow for some losses + taxes). Start with 1000 USD, in one year, you'll be worth a million, in two, a billion, in 3, a trillion. Four to five years you'd own just about everything on the planet. But because you owned everything, everybody would just ignore your supposed ownership rights, which would leave you actually in control of nothing. So you are worse off than when you started....BTW - know any trillionaire Nigerians? I don't.....

praga jan 16:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
what you consider a reasonable ammonunt of pips that can be made monthly?thank you!

Amman wfakhoury 16:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
CT mike
good to hear that

gold coast martin 16:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:21 GMT February 1, 2005
I really hope you do even 1/4 of 80% per month....you will be the envy of this forum.....good luck with the future.....

GOES B747 16:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw; no reason for USD/JPY to have wider than 70pips range for today ... therefore, some/few pips (20-30) ride through shorts will add money to your account balance.

gt all

madrid cvd 16:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
still has is 80% of trading capital maybe
new form of return
:-=)

Amman wfakhoury 16:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold coast martin
I am doing 15-20 trades a day
only 2-3 negative

madrid cvd 16:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
to wait is not a waste of time

Inuit proverb

if i remember well yesterday was a big or several buyers euro-us at 1.30
correct me if i am wrong

CT Mike 16:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury// You should check nigerian guy real time DEMO acct. I did. At begining of Jan. $50000, at the end $49000... 80% ???????

Spotforex NY 16:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gothenburg Quietus 16:13

NO position IS a position.......lots of traders fail to realize that.

There are three sides to the market
- Long
- Short
- and on the sidelines

Keep your head up...you'll find your groove again.

spot

madrid cvd 16:16 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gothenburg Quietus 16:13 GMT February 1, 2005

the trend is your friend

Gothenburg Quietus 16:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar yes ;)
I've been doing such bad deals I can't trust myself anymore, I think I will just observe the market and see if I can interpret it right.

madrid cvd 16:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
imho euro-usd 1.30 lvl holding so far

London steamer 16:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Barhain
Still short the eur/jpy?

London Templar 16:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gothenburg Quietus 16:09 GMT February 1, 2005
I want to buy a sell position USD/JPY, but the market is scaring me right now.

Feeling scared... Dont do anything... Best bit of advice

Gothenburg Quietus 16:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I want to buy a sell position USD/JPY, but the market is scaring me right now.

Surabaya Medallion 16:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
When will the FOMC start their meeting?

London Templar 16:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:01 GMT February 1, 2005


Mate you posted a fair question.

But from now on I dub theee

"Amman The LEGEND"

Rise Sir Legend!

GT!

gold coast martin 16:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:01 GMT February 1, 2005
Mathematically possible.....realistically over a long period of time,observing proper perimeters IMPOSSIBLE.....G/T

London Templar 16:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Spotforex NY 16:02 GMT February 1, 2005

Very funny - But VERY TRUE!!

Nigeran Scams!!hhahahaha

madrid cvd 16:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ther is an old saying
if it is to good to be true, then it is !!
fwiw

madrid cvd 16:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ther is an old saying
if it is to good to be true, then it is !!
fwiw

Spotforex NY 16:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Nigerian......??? Stop right there!!!!!

That region is synonymous with scams....

Nigeria has a law iknown as 419 scams. Just google Nigerian scams and read on.....

Amman wfakhoury 16:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold coast martin

I am just asking you..if that possible mathmatically

London Templar 16:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:50 GMT February 1, 2005

If you can make 80% per month every month you need to be known as the Dollar King!

Returns of 80% are possible not month on month. Realisticaly u need to understand how much your stop loss strategy is prepared run and what your own sharpe ratio of returns are at I suggest you work out your Std.Dev of your todate returns anualise them.
Sharpe = (R - Rf)/Std.Dev

If you get something over 1.8 you can feel a little more certain that your risk per unit of retun is good. But remember sometimes you win... and sometimes you dont!

Vienna Joker 16:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
consistantly you can only reach such a performance with an automatic trading system

madrid cvd 15:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw
we have some rpound numbers at the moment
euro-us 1.30. us-yen 104 and gbp-us 1.88

:-?

Amman wfakhoury 15:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
spotforex.
my question is upon an offer came here in this forum
this morning from a nigerian guy...whom gurantee 80%
return profit per month.

gold coast martin 15:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:50 GMT February 1, 2005
If you do 80% a month averaged over 1-2 years and trade with proper management perimeters what can i say?...you are a legend!!!!...

Spotforex NY 15:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
One may show the account that is up 80 pct...but neglect to show the 20+ accounts that were bone dried to achieve that 'wonderful' result/performance.

Always question what seems too good to be true....

Spotforex NY 15:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:50

80 pct per month?????

consistantly???? What are the drawdown conditions...leverage use????

Some may clain such stats...but I would question if it is the SAME trading account month after month...and NOT selected accounts.....

Overall - such performance highly doubtful.....

chgo JB 15:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
out of my euro shorts on that last spike lower... methinks we need to see a probe for stops below the 1.3 figure, then a bounce higher to initiate new shorts...

Amman wfakhoury 15:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin
may I ask you a question.
what is the average profit can be obtained
from forex trading.
do you think 80% per month is a kind of imagination

gold coast martin 15:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
TEMPLAR......EURO isgrinding down to sub 130 levels....still believe before FOMC.....Which in turn will make sure that the 12982 level is well and truelly breached....patience......g/t


London Templar 15:44 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin

Mate - Any thoughts I am still short long term for a move down in the EURUSD. Think its gonna happen soon?? Or are we all waiting for the FOMC?

Any thoughts?

Vienna Joker 15:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
eur/usd still loks supported above 1,3000 but the market could take both nervous shorts and longs out of the market before possibly committing one way or the other on tomorrow's FOMC announcement

jkt-aye 15:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
many thanks SD

San Diego bobl 15:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
jkt-aye...
on usd/jpy; like the long side of this pair; sold my short term position from yesterday that bought at 10331-35 area and out today @ 98. Will reload if we pull back enough.

usd/cad...failure??? still like the long term prospects there; only sold a little for FOMC prudence. Not sure how the usd/cad could look much better technically, but that's just me.

gl/gt

Goa 15:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Well, which way is Eur/usd going, up or down?

madrid cvd 15:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gbp-usd stuck at 1.88 at the moment

slv sam 15:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
buying euro here at 1.3017 may be attractive within 24 hours! $/cad (failure) giving us clear signal where us$ is heading!

jkt-aye 15:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
SD bobl ... are you bias on down move for us/jy ?

Bahrain within 10 pips 15:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Now Need a trail stop for the Trail stop
for cable

Bahrain within 10 pips 15:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
next three hours People will the isp thinkin Internet conection is out

madrid cvd 15:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
thnk u

San Diego bobl 15:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
for what it's worth

madrid cvd 15:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw ????

San Diego bobl 15:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
fwiw...
yesterday's long usd/jpy play sold today 103.9800

San Diego bobl 15:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
First out of half of usd/chf achieved at 44...b/e stop on second half now

Tallinn viies 15:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
time to leave office for today...
cu tom, have a nice one.

1,2870 target within 48 hours. bi

London. 15:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ISM manufacturing, though a bit below expecations, continues to show growth in overall sector, mfg employment, and production. Meanwhile, construction spending jumped in Dec. Both should bode well for helping the dollar to hold on to its modest gains

melbourne DC (2nite) 15:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
shanghai bc 13:15 GMT February 1, 2005
BC thanks for the opinion. apologies for this delay.
Its useful info. all the best .

London Templar 15:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Time to take a trip up to 1.3065 after the ISM - any thoughts?

San Diego bobl 15:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
selling a small amount of usd/cad here...want to leg out higher and will if i can, however want to not be full size going into fed announcement although that probably will spur things along

London Templar 15:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Capital Economics out again stating that the UK property market will decline 20% over 3 years!!

Rio K 14:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
it already bounced between these 2 averages 5 or so times as other MAs drop

London Templar 14:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tallinn viies 14:45 GMT February 1, 2005

Sorry mate I dont follow...?

Rio K 14:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
cable sitting on 200hr ema, probably needs to retest 100ema(1.8825) at least once more before big decline - have a sell order there..will not chase

Tallinn viies 14:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar 14:37 - 8,9% shows revcospot

San Diego bobl 14:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
ISM to come out in about 15 min.

Tallinn viies 14:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GENEVA FHR 14:36 GMT - this is not only for hadge funds. also to corporates!

London Templar 14:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GENEVA FHR 14:36 GMT February 1, 2005

Thats right but for the time being only to a select few - Campbell* - Tudor* - Aspect*

Bahrain within 10 pips 14:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
QQQQ taking a dive from 37.7

London Templar 14:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tallinn viies 14:36 GMT February 1, 2005

What Vol are you using?

GENEVA FHR 14:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EBS is now offering his platform to hedge funds through prime brokerage.

London Templar 14:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Looking to sell EURUSD again at 1.3031 - with a 10 pip stop.

take profit at 1.3010

Tallinn viies 14:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
trade of the month....
during the last 3 years february has been very silent month.
if I compare last 3 years, average open/close difference is 0,51%. 6 average difference is 1,18%.
if to sell ATM straddle today with expiry 28/02, they give you close to 240-250 points.
how does it look?
of course there are risks. maximum difference has been 3,1%.
thoughts?

London Templar 14:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gothenburg Quietus 14:29 GMT February 1, 2005

Lucky....

London Templar 14:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tallinn viies 14:25 GMT February 1, 2005

I really dont think EBS has taken a greater share from others per se. Its more likely that many of the CTA's and hedge funds are now more likely to trade eurx then dollarx as we have seen in recent moneth the euro has become a strong competitor to the dollar as a result many corporates need to balance their year end balance sheets in the appropriate currency and also hedge them selves against an appreciating euro. As for CTA's/real money/hedge funds they do not have access to the EBS execution system only are able to see the prices from the banks. so for them to get some action to benefit their own investors they need to trade on the most liquid platform.

Overall if you looked globally at the flow of money you woould see that there isnt that much increase in M2 money flow to have an impact on the share of the market.

As for EUR/GBP I believe on EBS in London time it trades at 1pip wide and US its 3pips wide.

hk ab 14:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
dlr/jpy will have the longest way to go compared with others.

Quebec Swap 14:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hey fellas, anyone long Eur/Usd?

Bahrain within 10 pips 14:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
cable might do this stunt
Long 1.8790 up to 1.8830
down to 1.8775 then up to 1.8875
multi-D Trading..GT

Livingston nh 14:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Cable couldn't sustain a break above the 55 da ema but has been supported since last week at the declining 21 da sma (which penetrated 55 da last wk) so a break of 187.73 (21 da) may see a test of 185.25// swissy has been able to hold above the 89 ema and the 21 da sma is rising thru 55 ema and should be support // EUR/USD has been bounded by the 55 and 89 ema but declining 21 da sma has broken thru 55 ema - first time since the tangled spaghetti (technical term) of the averages in late summer -- so a test of 129.20 ??

Gothenburg Quietus 14:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar
Dude where you just lucky or have you got amazing skills knowing that 1.3007 would be about the lowest at the time? ;)

Tallinn viies 14:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar 14:21 - ok, thnks. you say EBS took additional share from others?
btw when I worked for the bank eurgbp spread wa 0,5 pips

Bkk (Bne) Cad 14:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
BAM euro/cad
Night all

London Templar 14:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tallinn viies 14:10 GMT February 1, 2005

The ref to the EBS system is this. EBS creates the largest liquidity pool for severl currencies - mainly the EURX. Whereas D2 will trade all the others (cable). The point about volume is the total amount of $ flow going through its order entry system in a 24 hour period.

This is not to say all currencies it quotes for are liquid. For example cable can be quoted on EBS but it is as much as 5pips wide in the interbank market whereas on Reuters D2 its 1 pip wide.

By the way all I bought my EURUSD short back at 1.3007. Looking to move highe before selling again.

Dallas Mauricio 14:18 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thank you very much.

San Diego bobl 14:00 GMT February 1, 2005
eur/usd sell @ 1.3021 targets first out @ 1.2191/ 2nd @ 1.2967/ last out to be determined . s/l is 1.3063 today

usd/chf buy @ 1.1912 targets first out @ 1.1944 for half size. Will have b/e stop from there with target to be determined.
s/l is 1.1886

gl/gt

San Diego bobl 14:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I expect some of these tails and shadows to get eaten up today...will post theory on that later...busy working now.

However, I am adding gpb/usd short here 1.8800

San Diego bobl 14:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Roger that...

gold coast martin 14:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
San Diego bobl 14:07 GMT February 1, 2005
Got something on CAD.......Message me.....

Tallinn viies 14:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
guys I have a question regarding liquidity....
MNI again writes about liquidity issues (that it is misssing as I understood).
the other day saw articel where EBS comments that january 2005 has biggest volume ever....

what does it actually means? many small trades ?

San Diego bobl 14:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
....exit of funds will commence with traditional japanese repatriation that commences in feb.and ends before 31st of march......lot os jap funds have gone into New zealand purely on rate differentials....however specs. will want to exit at the time of their choice rather than a forced exit....

San Diego bobl 14:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thank you for this...I find it extremely knowledgeable and really makes sense. Funds learning that the early outs beats the heck out of "forced exits"...have comments to share later on FOMC and current market technicals...

thanks again MR. Martin!

LDN LDN 14:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Daily FX
Euro Pound Part Ways

hk ab 14:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
small order buy limit 1.2905 eur. Good night.

Gen dk 14:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

gold coast martin 14:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
San Diego bobl 13:51 GMT February 1, 2005
FOMC statement is crucial to a broad -based dollar rally.of specific importance to the kiwi will also be the exit of flows that has already bloated the little kiwi....exit of funds will commence with traditional japanese repatriation that commences in feb.and ends before 31st of march......lot os jap funds have gone into New zealand purely on rate differentials....however specs. will want to exit at the time of their choice rather than a forced exit....the scars of early last year are still in their minds.....when aussie went to 67 and kiwi to 63(approx) levels..g/t

San Diego bobl 14:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
eur/usd sell @ 1.3021 targets first out @ 1.2191/ 2nd @ 1.2967/ last out to be determined . s/l is 1.3063 today

usd/chf buy @ 1.1912 targets first out @ 1.1944 for half size. Will have b/e stop from there with target to be determined.
s/l is 1.1886

gl/gt

Gothenburg Quietus 13:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I expect dollar to drop

San Diego bobl 13:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
been very busy...one moment please

Dallas Mauricio 13:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Previous posting.

San Diego bobl 13:32 GMT February 1, 2005
FWIW...
I am selling eur/usd @ 1.3021
I am buying usd/chf @ 1.1912

will post targets and s/l's in a moment

Dallas Mauricio 13:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I was hoping to see your follow-up. TIA.

Dallas Mauricio 13:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I don't know.
ny 13:50 GMT February 1, 2005
where is dallas gep ?????


San Diego bobl 13:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
NZD/USD... Kiwi hold soft tone despite fresh issuance.
..."the decline is linked to a firmer dollar and ignores fresh issuance today that highlights the yield appeal of the currency. GECC has increaased its current FEB 2010 NZ$issue by NZ$150mln taking the total issue now to $NA900mil. Lead managers were Deutsche Bacnk and RBC Capital Markets. The yield spread of NZ bonds over US ten years was 189 basis pts and holding the hightest levels since NOV. ....
"the outlook for the higher yielding currency remains firmly tied to the statement that comes from the FOMC tomorrow and whether they are hawkish on the US rate outlook."
thomson and co.

ny 13:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
where is dallas gep ?????

sydney gvm 13:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
shanghai bc 13:15 GMT February 1, 2005

Re: 20% annual returns - can be done - if one is happy to risk 30-40% drawdowns and monthly volatility of +10% - just dont tknow too many clients/account owners that can live thru such big drawdowns/volatility

knoxville dan-k 13:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
go to africa get in the real game, that multi ton elephant is waiting on you to shoot first, then your little gun wont seem like much when he turns with his big tusks charging u at full steam, thats live
put money in account and the lions and tigers and bears will all be waiting on you,
my first year trading i turned 30k into 75k, and closed year with busted account!! lol
research 98% of the time, pull trigger on elephant 2% and good luck!!

Gold Coast RC 13:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
B747 tks for the reply

London Iain 13:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
wow, i'm struggling to contain my excitement with this market. Calm before the storm? Maybe. Either way, i'm still of the opinion that this problem is caused by a very unclear wave juncture i.e. it really could go either way and a good couple of cents could follow pretty quickly.
i'm long small cable from the figure. It's a hunch. r/r is good, though with a stop at 55 and tp above 1.9000.

GOES B747 13:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold Coast RC 13:29 // EUR/JPY may go over 140.50 the same period with 48% chance for the sceneraio.

gt

San Diego bobl 13:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
FWIW...
I am selling eur/usd @ 1.3021
I am buying usd/chf @ 1.1912

will post targets and s/l's in a moment

GOES B747 13:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold Coast RC 13:29 // fwiw, current range is 133-138.50; both will touch before 15/APR/2005

gt

gold coast martin 13:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
london hina 13:23 GMT February 1, 2005
LLOK FOR 18825-35 after which 18785 should be seen again followed by 18716.....18716 is a 3 day play though.....g/t

Gold Coast RC 13:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Any views on eur/yen
I love how this forum goes of on tangents

london hina 13:28 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
i run a demo account for one week
50k account moved to 137k

London Iain 13:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
knoxville dan-k 13:12 GMT February 1, 2005

Too true. These guys should try wiping out a few hundred thousand usd on a demo account. Doesn't hurt a bit. Do the same with your (or your company's money) and see if you feel the same..

london hina 13:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin 12:53 GMT February 1, 20
any clear views on cable pliz

shanghai bc 13:15 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

2NIGHT -- If you have a proven track record of 20%+ compound returns for the last 10 years with decent amount,say, at least over 1 Dollar account,any bank or fund will welcome you with open arms..If you can pull 30%+ compound returns for the same period ,you belong to the elite class of forex traders..I have not met many such real traders so far unfortunately..

Haifa ac 13:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow Beluga 12:40 GMT //I know you are rich. I buy your caviar in tons. It is MY MONEY that made you rich!

knoxville dan-k 13:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
THE DIFFERENCE, BY DAN-K

well before i write a novel -lol, ill say this,
if you say you went big game hunting and had a full rack of trophys to display thats impressive, however when everyone finds out that you shot them at a zoo, well u see where im going.-- in the real african busch the big game animals might make a trophy out of you ,
same in forex-- demo vs, trading live. ROFL :))

Moscow Vasya 13:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Vegas - I think you very rich man to behave like that. How many millions does it take to move a market over 5 pips on a selected currency pair? And how many followers shoud that useless indicator pick to supply a good feed?

gold coast martin 13:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Las vegas Zeus 13:04 GMT February 1, 2005
Stay on the crap tables in vegas pal..and dont mention my name in vain....i have trouble communicating with stupidity........thats all from me now......

Las vegas Zeus 13:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow Vasya 12:55 GMT February 1, 2005

Why do you say no reliable strategy? I'm not the one begging for a public display of systems. My strategy is extremely reliable and quite simple:

Rule #1 Use any worthless indicator/ price envelope to enter market
Rule #2 Preserve capital
Rule #3 Preserve capital
Rule #4 See Rule #2-3

Risk management is > 90% of the game.

Martin- Thanks but need to stay in Siberia G/L G/T

melbourne DC (2nite) 13:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Shanghai BC
As a matter of interest, what would be the level of long run returns you refer to / have in mind ? All the best.

Moscow Vasya 12:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Beluga - I dont know your amounts, but looks like you trade billions. Your result is probably good, anyway that means you have experience but no reliable strategy. If i succeed i would have no need in someone's investmens. usd300 is pretty enough for start-up.

gold coast martin 12:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow Beluga 12:52 GMT February 1, 2005
Offer still stands.....

Moscow Beluga 12:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Correction- That was 351.231% last year.

shanghai bc 12:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

JACK -- You will encounter Samuel of Lagos if you stay in this forum for a while..He is a con-man from Lagos in fact..My guess is that many newbies take forex as a fast road to rich..It is not..Leveraged forex is the fastest road to ruins for most newbies in fact..Well run forex operation is just like any other business like farming or manufacturing..Even the long-term return rate is more or less the same..

Budapest Daniel 12:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
My account(small one) worth 150% more than in the beginning of this year. I guess I can increase it 50% every month...


Just kidding

GOES B747 12:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow Vasya 12:33 GMT // try [email protected]

good luck

Moscow Vasya 12:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
No i just testing demo over last half year - and maybe i resently found a good stra - i doubled account over last week with 10 deals - only half were winning, imho it was not because of the flat on the market but due to this stra. Anyway the time will show up what it worth

gold coast martin 12:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   


Moscow Beluga 12:40 GMT February 1, 2005
Since you are so succesful ,if you can provide proof of your results over a period of at least 2 years i will employ you personally for my fund...and get you a visa out of russki land.....so that you can show all us amateurs on this board how to play forex.....Jay has my email address...g/t

GOES B747 12:44 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
shanghai bc 12:38 GMT // had the feeling that you hook such a request to God, not to Samuel from Lagos :-)

cheers

Pecs Andras 12:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow Beluga 12:40 GMT February 1, 2005
Tha is really nice !! GL

CT Mike 12:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moskow Vasya vali otcuda...

Wisconsin Peter Jack 12:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Shanghai BC
who's this logos?

Moscow Beluga 12:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
My account increased by 351,231% last year. The only valuable advice is to put in 10 stressful years and 1000's of hours of your own research to understand what works and doesn't. After all as you can see on this board everything and nothing works/doesn't work- It's all in your head!

shanghai bc 12:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

Sanuel of Lagos is the one to contact if someone is interested in 10 fold profit each year..

Moscow Vasya 12:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I have no frustration - i only waiting 1.3020 in couple an hours to buy EUR/USD

Pecs Andras 12:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Vasya
Are U one of those guys?

hkk Kim 12:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Moscow vasya
That is too big, dont know if anyone did that. did you on a real account LOL?

Moscow Vasya 12:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I only interested in opinion of a person who at least 10 times increased his deposit over last year

Moscow Poo Pee 12:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
oye! oye! frustration is the first sign of a loser ;-)

Moscow Vasya 12:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
People - since winning strategies accumulate money and loosers come and go, we have in fact that marked is moved by winners, and all they have similar behavour, and each loser lose on its own. So why dont winners make their strategies public - is that never open community of "those who khow"? And what would market be look like if all the winning alhorithms become open?

Wisconsin Peter Jack 12:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
not until 884x or arounds is posted imho. good luck people.

GOES B747 12:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
good afternoon,

closed GBP/USD and GBP/JPY longs ... seems GBP will follow AUD soon.

gt

Wisconsin Peter Jack 12:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Allright. That long gbpusd went off well. am flat currently. good luck people.

ldn 11:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Terrorist Threat To London "Extremely High" -Police Chief

Eilat Dolphin 11:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Bond/ Ulysses in a casino playing marbles, or chasing Helen, again ?

Budapest Daniel 11:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Riga Jim: I don't mind advertising at all here, but sometimes there are ppl. who advertise lets say 10 times per day... I dunno why...

Bahrain within 10 pips 11:23 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
aussie long MKT

Gen dk 11:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Global-View 11:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Riga, contact us by email

Riga Jim 11:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GV, I posted right after the ad, but nevertheless you deleted my post. Never mind.

Riga Jim 11:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GV, I posted right after the ad, but nevertheless you deleted my post. Never mind.

EU ZORRO 11:18 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Hi Spotforex...!!!

...While 1,2950/1,3150 stay intact (on a daily close) we are safe to make some cheap pips...

..regarding G7....expect nothing new from then now...

Tallinn viies 11:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
James Bond - translate pls. what about the 1,488sh?

Eilat Dolphin 11:15 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
James Bond 007/ Literary stuff is family assets till both the author and 70 years have passed. ;^)

Tallinn viies 11:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
life is like a box of choclate, you never know what you can get...

Global-View 11:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Riga, Jim - we have nothing to do with that site and are using a new deterrent by autromatically changing that site's link to deter them from spamming our site. One of our rules are no unauthorized promotions to keep our site from becoming an ad board and leaving it free for market flow so we sometimes err on the sid eof caution by removing anything that looks like an unauthorized promotion.

EU ZORRO 11:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tallinn viies...

...crises of identity?...maybe....
...for me, no clear direction for long term here....break of my levels will tell me where we going next session....should make profits...
Good luck..

SanFrancisco Analyst 11:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Sorry, meant $chf in prior post.

James Bond 007 11:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Good Morning...

Tallinn viies 10:58 GMT February 1, 2005

imho was protecting post not to see 1.4888 on euro/$ in days ahead if u trust monthly chart so much..lol

007

SanFrancisco Analyst 11:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Upside session cycle likely running out of juice finally near 1915 so likely entering short any time.

Spotforex NY 11:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EU ZORRO 10:02

I concur with your 1.2900 level.....

You are a nimble man these days.

regards,

spot


any G7 thoughts????

Tallinn viies 10:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EU ZORRO 10:02 - crises of identity?
as far as I remember you have been buy euro man :)
hahah
good to know, what else I can say

Riga Jim 10:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GV, is a great free forex history data a competitor to you or what? I wanted to post valuable links here to give an alternative to paid history data. And now you erased them...

Bahrain within 10 pips 10:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Dan Try Maxthon Browser..in tucows

London Templar 10:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
that was in eurusd

London Templar 10:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
selling here 1.3030 for a move to the figure. Buying back half at the figure to pay for stop.

Lots of pressure coming through.

Riga Jim 10:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Daniel - do you think I am advertising???

I guess you are too much of a capitalist:)

Budapest Daniel 10:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Advertisings keep increasing recently... its getting annoying IMO

gold coast martin 10:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
FWIW...There is a fairly high propability that the eur/jpy may do one of its famous tanking moves to 13465 dragging the yen with it to 10328-32 levels again and euro mildly affected to the 13058-65.......i will confirm in 120 minutes......in the event of such a temporary scenario short the euro and long the yen at the lower levels....g/t to all....

Gothenburg Antonio 10:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Think the GBP will be reaching the 1.8860 level today?

Reykjavik Imperious 10:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks a lot for your posts gold coast. I've been a silent reader
on this board for a few months and find your posts valuable. Please keep them coming even though you'll get snide remarks from people looking for instant gratification.
Cheers

gold coast martin 10:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin 06:28 GMT January 31, 2005
gold coast martin 03:23 GMT January 29, 2005
Good afternoon...
Closing thoughts for the week.....
... look for euro to top out to not more than 13055-58 and challenge again the 12982 level....it may not breach it as we are entering a period of consolidation(3-4 days) BUT the daily highs will get lower in the next a few days putting a squeeze on the 12982 and 12914 levels.....

GBP....look for A 18869 top with a first target of 18785 .... if breached followed by 18716....
YEN...has an interesting pattern ....look for 10331-35 as a low from which a 10398-10410 will be reached...

Above post still applies...FWIW..as with the yen long @10398,have also partially taken profit from GBP shorts @18787,,,,Still looking for 18716 for gbp and 10328-36 for yen

As far as euro is concerned above trading pattern still applies....g/t

Gothenburg Antonio 10:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Possibly break the 104 level, if not big correction

Bahrain within 10 pips 10:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Major drop in USD/JPY Coming up

Gothenburg Antonio 10:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
i want to buy GBP/USD? Will it to some recovery after this little fall or just continue

Hong Kong Qindex 10:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : It has tiggered a positive note in system, so wait and see how it goes today.

ldn 10:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR ECON: December Unemployment Rate 8.9% From 8.8% November

Hong Kong Qindex 10:06 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar 09:59 GMT - EUR/USD : I would assume a range bound today.

Gothenburg Antonio 10:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GBP/USD?

Mirpur A.K 10:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I need a Forum at this address


MIAN MUHAMMAD ROAD
QUAID-AZAM CHOWK
AYUB PLAZA ROOM NO 22
MIRPUR AZAD KASHMIR
PAKISTAN

EU ZORRO 10:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

...IMO.....buy @ 1,30 with stop/reverse below 1,2950 and sell @ 1,31 with stop/reverse @ 1,3150 is go for this month....

Bahrain within 10 pips 10:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
eur/GBP..short mkt

Sydney E.M. 10:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
If Fed sticks to script as expected on Wed, the USD may well ease a little but any reaction will be will be limited ahead of G7, says Bear Stearns. However, it adds, a hawkish Fed would send USD soaring, even though chances of that appear slim just now
DJ

London Templar 09:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 09:57 GMT February 1, 2005

So range bound then?

Bahrain within 10 pips 09:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Longing cable after us close

Hong Kong Qindex 09:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EU ZORRO 09:55 GMT - Good morning! EUR/USD is running in an orderly technical manner.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market is basically vibrating around the quantized level at 1.3044 with an expected magnitude of +/- 25 pips for the time being.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market is basically vibrating around the quantized level ayt 1.3044 with an expected magnitude of +/- 25 pips.

EU ZORRO 09:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Morning all...!!!!

..Dr. Quindex...good to know we are seeing the some range for Euro...good luck

Rockford BDR 09:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
LOL. I have to quit watching the Bloomberg channel. A guy just sat there for 10 mins double talking his way around the uk data. By the time he was done I should have longed 10 100k lots of GBP. Then the cable drops 20 pips.

Bahrain within 10 pips 09:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Short eur/yen Target 134.4

Pecs Andras 09:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Guys
Why is it that Aussie is never heart by bad news?

London. 09:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
BAGHDAD (AP)--Iraq's interim president said Tuesday that some of the 170,000 U.S. and other foreign troops could be out of Iraq after the end of this year.

amman R.G 09:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Reykjavik Imperious 09:47 GMT February 1, 2005
UK PMI 51.8

thx alot

Pecs Andras 09:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman RG.
[09:30 UK ECON: Jan Mfg PMI 51.8, Much Worse-Than-Forecast

Hong Kong Qindex 09:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : Speculative buying interest will increase if the market can overcome the projected resistant barrier at 1.3065 // 1.3094.

Reykjavik Imperious 09:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
UK PMI 51.8

amman R.G 09:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
good mor. all ...............

what was the U.K PMI plz

thx

Wisconsin Peter Jack 09:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
That eurusd short worked out well, closing now.gbpusd seems to be arriving near my buy zone, so would buy around 878x areas if seen else shall stay aside. good luck people.

slv sam 09:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
slv sam 14:41 GMT January 31, 2005
minimum target for euro/$ today or tomorrow is 1.3125 imho..1.39 within Feb..GT

today I am more sure as cad started to strengthen!GT

Sing Suri 09:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
perrie como 09:05 GMT February 1, 2005
FWIW- in its purest form of analysis, what we saw in the euro/dollar monthly chart is technically called as a "THREE LINE STRIKE" and is not necessarily a beginning of a bear trend. For sake of clarity, the textbook definition of such a formation goes like this:
This pattern is formed by three adjacent white long candlesticks followed by a black candlestick driving prices back to the point where they were at the beginning of the pattern. If there was a strong bullish trend before the pattern, then it should continue" GT

perrie como 09:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
To Singapore (and others)
to keep inflation low and attract foreigners buying bonds the FED funds for the current year have to show rates between 4 to 5 pct.

g/l this is all from me for the upcoming period

Gen dk 09:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

perrie como 09:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Also for Candlesticks lovers the monthly Eur/Usd chart has confirmed an engulfing bearish pattern, showing an established bearish trend for the first time after 3 years.

g/l

auckland cb 09:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
thank you sing, this query was my first post as an observer on here for the last week, it is very enjoyable hearing everyones input from all over the world & very educational too of course, much appreciated all...

perrie como 09:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
CHINA PRESS: The People's Bank of China (PBoC) says the establishment of a market-oriented interest rate system is a gradual process and it will steadily promote the process step-by-step, the China Securities Journal reported

CHINA GDP: Expected to slow to 8.5 the current year.
(So as mostly all global Gdp's now focusing on interest rates spreads, current account defiits and other main fundamental indicators)

London Iain 09:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
mng all. was off with a bug last couple of days last week and spent yesterday catching up.

On reflection, the usd market seems fairly straight forward. Taking cable and eurusd, whatever happens in the short term, I reckon we're still going above 1.900 and 1.33 in a correction before collapsing to new lows beneath the recent ones - towards 1.87 and 1.25.

Thereafter, we should be well posistioned to head to new highs.

I feel the problem in the very short term is that there are two equally compelling counts. First is that we just go straight higher. 2nd is that we go to marginal new lows before reversing higher ie. either way we go higher. However, this indecision has caused a stalemate for the past couple of weeks. It should be resolved fairly soon, but for the timebeing i'm neutral waiting for the market to show it's hand. I'll be trading very short term moves using indicators (stochs, ma's etc) and forgetting more medium term trend positioning for the timebeing.

Singapore FH 09:01 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
perrie como 08:50 GMT February 1, 2005

Bias is for dollar strenght since the Fundamental data error on Trade between Canada and US, is forcing the FED for sharp interest rate hikes turning the interest spread after some year in favour of the USD.***

i wudn't expect that 50% (or "sharp") hikes just on that, concering GDP releases are all backward looking and thus far PCE-core has remained in their lower desired range. Lest productivity slows and wages dramatically raise dont seem any reason to scare the bond market.

Sing Suri 08:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Auckland CB - yes, imho, short term scenario sees a dollar index bounce, aussie weakening and kiwi following suit. And gold has some more downside in the immediate future. GT

Sing Suri 08:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
London Templar - i actually used it in an unconventional abbreviated form perhaps - sorry for the confusion. GT

auckland cb 08:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
thank you suri, so your earlier comment at 6:14 GMT is hinting at the u.s. $ becoming stronger against the nz or aud $ based on the reuters dollar index info & your intuition/experience, is that more or less correct.
(in the short term scenario)

Hong Kong Qindex 08:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 08:51 GMT February 1, 2005
EUR/USD :


... 1.2964 // 1.2975 - 1.2987 - 1.2998 // 1.3010 - 1.3022 - 1.3033 - 1.3045 - 1.3057 - 1.3068 // 1.3080 - 1.3091 - 1.3103 ...

perrie como 08:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Eur/Usd technical overview for the weekly start.

The overal normal range is now set between
1.3140 and 1.2920.

Bias is for dollar strenght since the Fundamental data error on Trade between Canada and US, is forcing the FED for sharp interest rate hikes turning the interest spread after some year in favour of the USD.

There might be upward squeezes if the market is capable to overcome the resistance cited above, but 1.32-1.33 levels are hard to overcome.

On the other side if the market goes trough 1.2920 medium trend confirmation for 1.27/1.28 initial smaller supports will start to be sought by markets.

Regarding deficits and fundamentals there are huge problems all-over europe and japan as well, all with negative numbers sharply growing.

London Templar 08:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Sing Suri 08:48 GMT February 1, 2005

Sorry to be ignorant i thought the dollar index was DLX?

London Templar 08:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hi guys doesnt look there was too much a move to the upside in the dollar overnight.

I think I am gonna sit on my hands today and wait and see. When in doubt... watch!

Sing Suri 08:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
AUCKLAND - Dolx - i meant the dollar index - for reuter users the code is =usd and i guess you know it is a broad indicator of dollar's strength against a basket of currencies.

auckland cb 08:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I just wish to know what Dolx is please ?

Dolx still looks good for a short term rally to 85.75, on break above 83.91. GT

auckland newbie 08:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
sorry been a long day

auckland newbie 08:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
any thoughts on the eur dropping to 1.2980 tonight ?

Sing Suri 08:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
FWIW- euro should end this downmove ideally at 1.2980. GT

gold coast martin 08:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
FWIW...T/P @10398 been first target of yen long ....t/p [email protected]/t

...Why does everything happen while BOBL is ASLEEP?...may be a leading indicator.....g/t

wellington am 08:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hk ab 07:54 GMT February 1, 2005
ab, thx for your call on EUR/CHF. I've been playing this pair nicely from the short side for some time, and this latest move does seem to have some inertia to it.

are you basing this on anything more than technicals?

Hong Kong Qindex 08:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 07:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hk ab hi , not totally bullish Dollar, only for the first part of 05 at the moment ,but hopefully it may be a good correction .
The thing concerns with this mega bearish dollar mood and with Gates & Buffett making noises ,you have to wonder if something could be pulled out of the hat in the US

hk ab 07:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I am also anticipating a 2nd wave of eur/chf to commence soon too.(1st one from 1.43 to 1.55)

Sydney E.M. 07:53 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Deficit weakens dollar


LINK

Maybe the Aussie is a little overvalued given the performance of the export market and the very wide trade deficit that keeps coming month after month."

hk ab 07:52 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I am thinking about buying eurdlr with the Chinese names at 1.2905. but it's hard to fig. stops.

knoxville dan-k 07:51 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
to the tune of (knocking on heavens door) usdjpy knocking on 104

hk ab 07:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd//That's the point. If Fed hikes and ECB doesn't hike and so do the rest of the world. Wouldn't buying usd is a carry? (of course except kiwi and aussie).

knoxville dan-k 07:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
yea, and i went contrarian to the usdjpy, at 103.88 humm

malta rustler 07:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
eur/usd 'bout to snorkel

Syd 07:44 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hk ab hearing today hike at every meeting this year until 4% at end of year

hk ab 07:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Carry-trade tones end?

bc//If Fed hikes frequently, could the "cheap-usd" policy still maintains?

knoxville dan-k 07:29 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
usd/jpy looks like 104 trying to get taken out, hummm

hk ab 07:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
jf// Do you see a major double bottom made already in dlr/jpy weekly chart?

LAhore RK 07:15 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
HI forum members

Any view on the short swings on the yen and euro
13010 and 13105 are strong chart points for the euro and 104.07 and 10287 are the strong charts pints for the yen
for the day -- any commment would be of the great help

london, herts jr 07:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I once had a cheque cashing operation (serious)..you would not believe the scams nigerian customers tried.....80% annual return is nothing.....suggest they try and make it 1000% then they'd be up with real traders.

knoxville dan-k 07:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
CAD, some of those can be well lets say semi-legit, govt, officials that want out of the country, or countries in bad areas can get their hands on monies conficated by the goverments where someone wealthy has died and left no benificiarys, and they can send it overseas and some do, they split it up with someone that has a name similiar to the person that died, and claim them as heirs to it, but be careful -- usually if it sounds to good to be true, well it is. however a friend of mine in south africa told me this really goes on all the time.

Singapore FH 07:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
you guys are gonna love this then: www.419eater.com

Some english gentleman striking back at those scam artists..hilarious.

bkk cad 07:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
One time I got a lovely email from the wife of a retired Baptist minister in Africa who had apparently inherited $100,000 000 0000 and wanted to donate it to help some orphanages in the ASEAN region. I don’t know how that lovely old lady got my email address; she even knew that I was a missionary here in Thailand. So I emailed her back and asked her if she could just send me one billion at a time. LOL!
( I guess the scammer just got carried away with the zeros, so covetous!)

ac: LOL

gold coast martin 07:03 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
...or 200% for that matter...lol.....

knoxville dan-k 07:02 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
well not to get complicated but simply put stop your loosers and let your winners run, stop=max pain level for account -- ROFL !! gl gt

Haifa ac 07:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk Lazarus 06:54 GMT February 1, 2005
Haifa: Can you throw us a crumb? //No. But if you can catch a Houmous....

gold coast martin 06:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Haifa ac 06:48 GMT February 1, 2005
Clever AC.....Sometimes the market needs to remind all of us that consistent 80% and 145% returns averaged over a 12 month period or longer are figments of peoples imagination.....hence the 90% loss and 10% winning ratio amongst the trading fraternity.....g/t

bkk Lazarus 06:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Haifa: Can you throw us a crumb?

Tehran Forex2006 06:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Bahrain,
sorry,i did not understand you

knoxville dan-k 06:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
make that ten trades as you trade them, post entry when you enter, and exits when you exit, not past trades, current trades that we can chart and see while they are going

bkk cad 06:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Within 10 pips: Goodluck, I can't see it trading below yesterday's low imho

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Tehran,
Try Syntax

CORREL(array1,array2)

Array1 is a cell range of values.

Array2 is a second cell range of values

In Excel

Los Angeles bernie 06:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
la fxt

Please post ten trades here, we will judge accuracy.

This forum represents a wonderful opportunity for you to attract customers based upon your public success.

all the best.

Haifa ac 06:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
london, herts jr 06:39 GMT February 1, 2005
la fxt is a young guy (computer man) from Nigeria//
How come so many stings come out of Nigeria? Must be a clever country.

Amman wfakhoury 06:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
la fxt
I am making 200% per month,so you want me loose
145% if trade with you

knoxville dan-k 06:47 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
maby he should trade all our accounts

knoxville dan-k 06:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Bahrain, i was kidding, didnt thing anyone would really do the math, but at 80% thats about like working for a penny a day and doubling it every day for a month, lol wind up with millions, and i have worked that one out before, gl gt

Tehran Forex2006 06:45 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
is there any idea about correlation between pairs and taking profit with it,in this forum?

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Just 100 point or less for GBP/YEn
Longing it again today at 194.5 for todays high
Just side trading with this

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
wealth in 50 days= 5,802,635,025,810
from 1$ ======>
Bill Gates ...watch out!!

bkk cad 06:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
within 10 pips: re 1.27, It would not surprise me. There is still an engulfing candle on the monthly. What is your target for GBP/YEN? TIA

london, herts jr 06:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
la fxt is a young guy (computer man) from Nigeria...made contact with him.....At the end of the day if one has a margin acc with broker you can make 100pc if able to trade 40 times margin...in a good month...

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Wealth=2^n
if doubling
if making 80 a day
=(1.8)^n
n= days

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks and welcomed LA.. :)

knoxville dan-k 06:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
well lets see if u made 80$ on the 100 thats 80% and if you did that for only 4 yrs how much money would you have? now that is really the question of being profichent, profits ==== ?80%
or kinda like working for a penny a day for 48days if you doubled it @80% per day -- hummmm

Sing Suri 06:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold consolidating but structure looks weak and a fall thru 418 to target 406 looks imminent. Dolx still looks good for a short term rally to 85.75, on break above 83.91. GT

Amman wfakhoury 06:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
singapore
really I am asking about the kind of guarantee,
no problem about how much the profit,but Iam
asking about the loss.

Los Angeles ss 06:08 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
10 pips perfect call on eur.usd, thanks.

Singapore FH 06:04 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Amman, it probalby means he has seen G*d or has mastered the secret of time-travel

Bahrain within 10 pips 06:00 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
GBP/Yen...short

Los Angeles ss 05:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
That's eur/usd......

Los Angeles ss 05:58 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I think dur/usd is in this general high (except for spikes)since the NY session on 1/27 -- might be some good resistance to short so jumping in.

Amman wfakhoury 05:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
La fxt
what you mean by guarantee 80%

Bahrain within 10 pips 05:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
euro 1.3070..grey area...might short there for the day
and pick up at 1.2970

Helsinki iw 05:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Morning, price action overnight re-inforces my view that the euro may have bottomed for the medium term. Just as a warning, if the strong buying yesterday below 1,30 was option protection, then that man will be a seller soon. But overall still looking for a break of 1.3155/65 which would strenghten my conviction. Now off to Commuter Lane, have a good one all.

hk ab 05:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
eur/chf passes 1.55.... let's see if it's a real pass or not.

hk ab 05:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Though still busy with some other business..........

But can't see any reason why not trying a long of dlr/jpy for a few months on weekly and monthly chart.

Bahrain within 10 pips 05:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
cad...might see at 1.2250
could a major rally in euro next week from 1.27 area..could be a month rally

Bahrain within 10 pips 05:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gm all
I think Over all ..Keep buying Euro..cable...till friday..max...Cable should drop from 1.8950 friday...into next next week
Just be carefull wed trading

Hong Kong Qindex 05:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : When the market is trading above 1.3065, place a trailing stop 2-3 pips below 1.3051. Follow the same manner when the market is trading above 1.3080, shift the stop 2-3 pips below 1.3065.


... // 1.3037 - 1.3051 - 1.3065 - 1.3080 - 1.3094 - 1.3109 - 1.3123 // 1.3138 - 1.3152 ...

Hong Kong Qindex 05:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : One can consider a stop around 1.3035 for a long position.

Hong Kong Qindex 05:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : When the market is trading above 1.3044 which is the mid-point reference of 1.2975 - 1.3113, 1.3044 would become a good entry level. 1.3051 - 1.3053 is good for agressive day trader.

Hong Kong Qindex 05:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : When the market is trading above 1.3044 which is the mid-point reference of 1.2975 - 1.3113, 1.3044 would become a good entry level. 1.3053 is godd for agressive day trader.


Hong Kong Qindex 04:04 GMT February 1, 2005
EUR/USD (Adjusted) : I would assume 1.2975 is a significant low and the medium term target is 1.3113.


... // 1.2975* - 1.2992 - 1.3010 - 1.3027 - (1.3044) - 1.3061 - 1.3079 - 1.3096 - 1.3113* // ...


The quantized levels can be expanded in the following manner :-


... // 1.2975* - 1.2984 - 1.2992 - 1.3001 - 1.3010 - 1.3018 - 1.3027 - 1.3035 - (1.3044) - 1.3053 - 1.3061 - 1.3070 - 1.3079 - 1.3087 - 1.096 - 1.3104 - 1.3113* // ...


As long as the market is trading between 1.2950 - 1.3150, I would assume a range trading.

melbourne farmacia 05:17 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Aud currently supported by trend line fwiw.

Hong Kong Qindex 05:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
It was interesting yesterday. US funds were sellers in spot gold, at least 300,000 - 400,000 troy oz in Asian session. They continued their actions in Comex. EUR/USD was supported by buying interest from market makers around 1.2975.

bkk cad 05:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Rustler: If the geese retreat below 1.2300 to peck and feed at stops, they will fly again for the dike (also weekly is making ascending wedge). But, (when 1.2450 is broken) euro/cad is going to go crazy.

Hong Kong Qindex 05:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk (bne) cad 04:50 GMT & Jacksonville LR 04:59 GMT

Thank you for your kind words.

Jacksonville LR 04:59 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
bkk (bne) cad 04:50 GMT February 1, 2005

Ditto That. Thanks Dr. Q.!

Syd 04:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Australia New Home Sales -17.3% In Dec Vs Nov - Survey
Sales of new homes in Australia slid sharply in December as buyers took a break from the real estate market
New home sales fell 17.3% in the final month of 2004 from November, but sales in the fourth quarter were still solid and only 6.0% lower than in the third quarter, association senior economist Harley Dale said.

He noted that a decline of 20.5% in sales of private detached houses was responsible for the overall drop in December.

He said multi-unit sales bucked the trend in December, rising 6.6%, but were still down 22% on a year earlier.

"December was, at face value, a much weaker month, but the quarter overall wasn't alarmingly soft," Dale said in a statement.

"In a buyer's market there generally remains quite a high level of interest and we continue to see a robust level of sales taking place," he said.

The association's new home sales survey is compiled from a sample of Australia's largest 100 residential builders.

The survey's findings follow the release of data Monday showing lending for housing rose 1.1% in December from November.
Housing Industry Association

bkk (bne) cad 04:50 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I've been watching Qindex for 10 years and he is one of the best. People should be paying to see his posts jimhv

bkk cad 04:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Candlesticks on AUD Weekly: oh the humanity! An intra-trend morning star with the first candle body ending an upside Taski formation....MEANING??? if AUD does not get .7800 this week, you can throw all your books on candlestick analysis in the trash can! and go back to trading trend lines and moving averages.

Los Angeles ss 04:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks Q, appreciate all the work you do on the Forum boards.

Hong Kong Qindex 04:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 04:26 GMT - If you followed and compared the market movement and my projected ranges one would find that my projected ranges had been shifted. My bias is from down to up when the market can traded above the previous Asian session's high around 1.3033. Therefore the short term strategy should change from sell on rallies to buy on dips. 1.3027 is a good entry level. The market is going to vibrate around 1.3044 with an expected magnitude of 1.3018 - 1.3070. I guess we can see the level at 1.3079 before the New York session.

bkk cad 04:35 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Just look at euro/yen to know where euro is going tonight.

bkk cad 04:33 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Cable will be supported by GBP/YEN over the next few days, but it may make a technical move toward 1.8800 first where the smarter longs await filling. imho.

Hong Kong Qindex 04:30 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
LA fxnew 04:22 GMT - If you can access to my page I will run an analysis on GBP/USD and post the short term target in my page. Otherwise I will comment on EUR/USD only this week.

Los Angeles ss 04:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Q -- regarding your analysis of EURO/USD, do you think it will tackle the lower figure sooner that the higher end of your stated range. Thanks.

LA fxnew 04:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Mr Qindex;

whats your view on cable pls?
thanks'

Hong Kong Qindex 04:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : the market is going to tackle the level at 1.3084 - 1.3087 and the current expected trading range is 1.3018 - 1.3084 from my weekly cycle analysis.

Hong Kong Qindex 04:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EUR/USD : It is always better to review the weekly cycle analysis every day.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:53 GMT January 29, 2005
EUR/USD : The location of my super magnets are located at 1.2430, 1.2953 and 1.3476.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:47 GMT January 29, 2005
EUR/USD : The neutral zone of my weekly cycle is 1.2993 - 1.3033 - 1.3074. A projected barrier is positioning at 1.3149 - 1.3154 and a projected resistant level is located at 1.3275 - 1.3280. If the market can penetrates through 1.2950, the next two downside targets are 1.2561 and 1.2822.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:42 GMT January 29, 2005
EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The distribution profile of my weekly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a tendency to trade between 1.2953 - 1.3114 initially and the mid-point reference is 1.3033.

... // 1.2953 - 1.2973 - 1.2993 - 1.3013 - (1.3033) - 1.3053 - 1.3074 - 1.3094 - 1.3114 // ...

If the market can overcome the projected barrier at 1.3114 // 1.3154, the market has a potential to tackle the upper resistant level at 1.3275 - 1.3280.


... // 1.2953 - 1.2993 - 1.3033 - 1.3074 - 1.3114 // 1.3154 - 1.3194 - 1.3234 - 1.3275 // ...

On the other and if the market can penetrate through the barrier at 1.2887 // 1.2953, EUR/USD has a good potential to resume its downward trending momentum and tackle the lower range at 1.2757 - 1.2691.

... 1.2561 - 1.2626 // 1.2691 - 1.2757 - 1.2822 - 1.2887 - {1.2953} - 1.3018 - 1.3084 - 1.3149 - 1.3214 // 1.3280 - 1.3345 ...

(Suggestion : I am bias on the downside as long as the market is trading below the barrier at 1.3214 // 1.3149. The odds are in favour of maintaining a short position if the market is trading below 1.2953).

Weekly Cycle Quantized Levels
... // {1.2430} - 1.2691 -1.2561 - 1.2822 - {1.2953} - 1.3084 - 1.3214 - 1.3345 - {1.3476} // ...

The quantized levels can be expanded in the following manner
... // {1.2430} - 1.2496 - 1.2561 - 1.2626 - 1.2691 - 1.2757 - 1.2822 - 1.2887 - {1.2953} - 1.3018 - 1.3084 - 1.3149 - 1.3214 - 1.3280 - 1.3345 - 1.3410 -{ 1.3476} // ...

Hong Kong Qindex 04:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 04:04 GMT February 1, 2005
EUR/USD (Adjusted) : I would assume 1.2975 is a significant low and the medium term target is 1.3113.


... // 1.2975* - 1.2992 - 1.3010 - 1.3027 - (1.3044) - 1.061 - 1.3079 - 1.3096 - 1.3113* // ...


The quantized levels can be expanded in the following manner :-


... // 1.2975* - 1.2984 - 1.2992 - 1.3001 - 1.3010 - 1.3018 - 1.3027 - 1.3035 - (1.3044) - 1.3053 - 1.3061 - 1.3070 - 1.3079 - 1.3087 - 1.096 - 1.3104 - 1.3113* // ...


As long as the market is trading between 1.2950 - 1.3150, I would assume a range trading.

tanuku rakesh 03:55 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
hi frds...i wud like to know of any site which gives good T.A info and any idea where do u see euro/usd and gold in near future for long term , may be say 2 /3months...ur post n view wud be highly appreciated..thx rakesh

gold coast martin 03:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
gold coast martin 03:40 GMT February 1, 2005
NZ Prime minister Clarke is stating she wants to increase home ownership and boost savings in her country...
With an official rate of 6.50%(which is the highest yielder in among the majors),her aims will certainly have a big hurdle..unless RBNZ starts to think about cutting rates....another sign of kiwi correction when RBNZ starts to tow political line..and often it does.....med to long term direction for kiwi is down....g/t

Above post from GVI may be of benefit to thise who are holding or contemplating kiwi shorts for medium to long term trades....g/t

Las vegas Zeus 03:40 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Most volatile moves in 2004 were in Feb:
Most volatile day for GBP and EUR was 2/20.
1- day ATR
EUR 1932
GBP 4320

largest 5-day ATR was 2/26
EUR 1932
GBP 2946

Los Angeles ss 03:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks Martin. Truly appreciate your detailed explanation.

Sing Suri 03:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Talking of aussie, a look at monthly charts - connecting the tops from Aug 90 thru dec 96 and now Feb 2004 ... each occassion the retracements has been substantially large. Save the recent one where in a 9 month's time, we had the price hitting the trendline again (nov high of 7940) and price has since been hovering around this level. Other lag technical indicators point to a small possibility to retest Jan high of 0.7827, but the good news for the aussie bears (i'm a confirmed one among the many) is we have had two successive hanging man formations at the top which is often interpreted as trend reversal. Longer the consolidation around within a say 0.7650-0.7800 band, higher the probabillity of a sizeable correction down, the first of the various targets coming in at 0.7280*0.7350. Am bigtime short this pair. Wil add above 0.7800 and patience is the key word in a frustrating market as this - if lucky, will have made my 2005 targets with a big bonus!! Stops will be placed only to remain within the monthly stop loss limits - GT

gold coast martin 03:20 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
SS...volatility will always exist in forex......just february is the beginning of funds positioning for long term trades and the daily aoccurence of mini-reversals and swings decreases dramatically in comparison to january...it is a month of defining mid to long term direction....when market starts to take shape towards a trend....we will still have volatility that would be cuased by data and geo-political events but the swings will not be as wild as january thus depriving day traders of opening and closing position on a day basis asregular as before....if you read my posts of the last 4 days it is more specific....g/t

Los Angeles ss 03:12 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Thanks Martin. What makes February so hard for short term trades, historically less volatility?

gold coast martin 03:11 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
SS...Everything is as per yesterdays posts..nothing has changed except it is getting harder and harder for pip raiders and day traders to make money as we enter february....g/t

Los Angeles ss 03:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Martin: Are you still calling for Euro to flirt with low 1.3000's short term now? Thanks.

chgo JB 02:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
is she toying with me?

Syd 02:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gold coast Martin, agree when aussie takes a tumble it doesnt mess about and its well long at the moment on IMM

Joke..
Economists have forecasted 9 out of the last 5 recessions.

chgo JB 02:56 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
euro seems to *just* barely catch a bid every time it appears poised to roll over on the intraday charts...

gold coast martin 02:49 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd 02:44 GMT February 1, 2005
YES syd...swings and roundabouts.... agree...the last one was from 80 to 67 and the one before on a longer term level got down to .48.....when it swings it swings and when it reverses it reverses.....g/t

Syd 02:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez I think were due a few economist jokes

Syd 02:44 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez no private trader for about 15 yrs and regarding hikes here, cant see the RBA causing a crash in the housing market with a hike just yet - economy ticking over quite well C/A due partly to a stronger economy but the Aud wont be up here forever and once it drops it will reverse - just swings and roundabouts.

gold coast martin 02:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   


quito_ecuador_valdez 02:36 GMT February 1, 2005
VALDEZ...RBA official rates are high in comparison to the rest of the world.....aussies dont want high interest retail rates ....very sensitive political.. issue in australia.....With any RBA rate hike come higher retail rates.....that can ccause a lot of problems to a country that is just coming off a property boom,record high personal debt and high debt ratio to serviceability levels....in short,right now a hike is needed by the aus.economy like a hole in the head......g/t

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:36 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
sg//That article conflicts with every article I've read, some even saying "economists" predict a rate DECREASE. There will always be some wild hair economist (gone to college too..gee whiz) who takes the counter opinion. I am not making fun of your post but the Aussies don't want any more interest rate hikes simply because it's high already...not low like the USA is/was. Explained to me by my guru who lives in Australia.

Surabaya Medallion 02:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
10.4xx is hard to crack therefore I close my USD/Yen position. And Euro/yen can only depend on Euro if it want to print 136. Right now, I open new position to Target USD/CHF for 1.17.

sg 01:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Pressure for rate hike
http://finance.news.com.au/story/0,10166,12109700-462,00.html

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd//Tks amigo. I know I am bugging you...sorry for the Q-A LOL...GT. Will keep my short then thru thick and thin...tired of kneejerks snuffing my profits. I know Marty is zeroed in on this in that his posts smack of swing and position trading exclusively at this point. Do you manage a fund or work desk?

Syd 01:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez exactly

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:19 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd..and it is expeted that no rate hike will occur...correct?

Syd 01:14 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
should not

Syd 01:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez max 7825 but should reach that unless they hike rates .

San Diego DC 01:09 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 01:07 GMT February 1, 2005

ok, thanks

Los Angeles ss 01:07 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DC - for general overview 13min, then trade off the 1-3-5. When ma's converge and separate, good chance the trend will remain there for a decent short term trade, especially charts on the london and us sessions.

San Diego DC 00:57 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 00:54 GMT February 1, 2005

What's your chart time frame?

Los Angeles ss 00:54 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DC -- I'm usually in for the short term, 10/20 ma's, macd, stochs.

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:48 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
I've got a so so possie short at 7753...looking for a better shot here...at least 7780...7737 has sustained resistance attempts 13 hours so far...

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd..like say .78xx?

San Diego DC 00:46 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 00:43 GMT February 1, 2005
DC what indicators do you work with?

2 hour chart, 60 min, 30 min and tick charts, 3 envelopes (9, 19, 45), MACD and donchian channels

Los Angeles ss 00:43 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DC what indicators do you work with?

Syd 00:42 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez think the aussie has got another top side before down due to the RBA decision amanhã manhã

San Diego DC 00:41 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 00:32 GMT February 1, 2005 ,

Re: EUR/ $ Asia session

No problem, you profit from your short position and I profit from my long position .

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:39 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Syd..so really, the news is not bad albeit a bit over the expected...likely no influence. Am I on track here?

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:38 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
tks farmacia...and tks Syd..whatcha think....aussie starts correction now or waits as martin suggested?

Syd 00:37 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Australia's seasonally adjusted balance on trade in goods and services narrowed to a deficit of A$2.37 billion in December from a deficit of A$2.66 billion in November, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday. The figure is in line with analysts' expectations of a deficit of A$2.30 billion. Australia recorded a deficit of A$2.16 billion in the year-earlier period
ABS.

Los Angeles ss 00:35 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Gep -- did I correctly give your feelings on eur/usd from earlier today?

melbourne farmacia 00:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez - my news wire's down mate.. no current aud view. GT

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:34 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
tks byd...laussie trade deficit arger than expected...aussie neg...

Syd 00:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Australia Dec Trade Deficit A$2.37B

Los Angeles ss 00:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
DC -- fwiw my feelings are same as martin and geps, it will probably go down to test the low1.3000,s during the asian or london session. Looks like it has good resistance around the 1.3055 area, so my bet for asian is that we go down some, maybe even into the 13020's. Anyway, I am in for a small short on this one now.

EU ZORRO 00:32 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

...Hi Valdez...mean...Daily close....

...I will trade the range near extrems with stop reverse above/below res/sup...

buena fortuna....!

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:31 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
where.s that aussie fellas..up or down..??

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:28 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
farmacia & martin, could you guys both post the news event when yu get it...out in 5 mins. What I want to do is to either tp on last aussie short and reenter at higher level...or keep this and ride it down if news is aussie neg.

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:26 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
AUD Trade Balance (DEC) 0:30 19:30 expected: -2250M prev:-2661M

Any predictions? Farmacia?? Martin??

San Diego DC 00:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 00:05 GMT February 1, 2005
Any views on euro/usd for the asian session?

Long

nyc sa 00:25 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Spotforex ,I am hearing $/SFR is going to see 1.05 medium term ,u r suggesting entry 19.95 , so do I take it u see it going further up before down ? what do chartists say ?

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:24 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
EU ZORRO 00:13 GMT February 1, 2005 //to what day close do you refer amigo? NY closed in the middle of your two figures. So we range trade by your system for a while? TIA

quito_ecuador_valdez 00:22 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
aussie data out in 12 minutes...what's the scoop fellas?
Feb. 1 00:30 GMT AusTrade Bal (DEC)
Feb. 1 00:30 GMT Aus Ntl Aus Bank Business Survey

Sydney 00:21 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Commodity Roundup - Gold Falls On Iraq Poll

EU ZORRO 00:13 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   

...EURO...dayclose below 1,2950 or above 1.3150 will tell us where we going this month....

Gen dk 00:10 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Los Angeles ss 00:05 GMT February 1, 2005 Reply   
Any views on euro/usd for the asian session?

 




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