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Forex Forum Archive for 01/10/2007

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RIC fxq 23:52 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
wyborg grey wolf 23:37

?????? Feb FOMC meeting?

wyborg grey wolf 23:37 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
RIC i mean Federal reserv

RIC fxq 23:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
wyborg grey wolf 23:12 GMT

there IS a possibility but beyond Feb meeting which was your original ?????.

Gen dk 23:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

wyborg grey wolf 23:12 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
RIC It is common opinion It is time to rise up rate to 5.5

RIC fxq 22:55 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
wyborg grey wolf 22:41

listen/read what various fed speakers have to say, week in week out, as long as data stays decent they will not cut and unless inlfation spikes, will not hike - also check fed fund futures going out.

not rocket science

wyborg grey wolf 22:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I thing changing will happen why not?

RIC fxq 22:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
wyborg grey wolf 22:30

can but won't

Atlanta South 22:31 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Dr Q// Tks for 22:27 & have a great day.

wyborg grey wolf 22:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Can next meeting FED January 30 change the rate?

Melbourne Qindex 22:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Atlanta South 22:18 GMT - EUR/USD : The market will vibrate around [1.2937]* with an expected magnitude of 1.2921 - 1.2952 during early period of Asian session.

warsaw TOMi 22:18 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh, hope u right, don' wannalooseonthis one..

Atlanta South 22:18 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Dr. Q//
When time allows would you give your views on e/$ for the
next 24 hrs? Last date you stated 1.2920 was up next & we are near that level now. I too see 1.2920-30 as levels to watch. Tks for your always informative & helpful views.

teh 22:15 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
you may jest, but lets see

Alaska Moon 22:11 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
RIC fxq 22:07 GMT January 10, 2007
======
He entertained me with his "PIE in the sky" post'' LOL

RIC fxq 22:07 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Alaska Moon 21:44 GMT

or possible out around Uranus

Gdansk Polish Wax 22:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
warsaw TOMi 21:54 GMT January 10, 2007
Warsaw Santa 21:46 GMT January 10, 2007

why men import Russian wives?

Como Perrie 22:01 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
difficult days to trade...

so far http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/5262120.stm

Joburg Africa 22:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
OTTAWA mjw 21:43 GMT January 10, 2007
any views on cable go to 9280 and bounce .,, any ones guess thks

I agree on the cable 9280 bounce.......and what on earth is a bearded virgin??..and don't tell me it's a BOJ :)

warsaw TOMi 21:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Warsaw Santa 21:46 GMT January 10, 2007

heh.oh yeah, now I'm clear.. lol..

btw,seen my fellow bond trader on tv today, he became seym deputy, speaking about candidate for the head of NBP.. LoL

GVI john 21:49 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
from GVI...

No key data are due from Japan on Thursday. During that session both the outcome of the BOE (12:00 GMT - - 07:00 EST) and the ECB (12:45 GMT - - 07:45 EST) meetings will be announced. In both cases rates are likely to be held steady. The session will also see U.K. November industrial/manufacturing output data.

At 13:30 GMT (08:30 EST) initial jobless claims are seen +325,000 vs +320,000 in the previous period. At 15:30 GMT (10:30 EST), weekly natural gas inventories will be released. At 19:00 GMT (14:00 EST), the December treasury surplus is due.

OTTAWA mjw 21:48 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
i think its bum------idaho

Warsaw Santa 21:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
warsaw TOMi 21:32 GMT January 10, 2007
He is asking for directions on how to get to the South Pole and then North Pole....from one pole to another...if you know what i mean....lol..

Alaska Moon 21:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 21:33 GMT January 10, 2007
What is your location, please...

OTTAWA mjw 21:43 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
any views on cable go to 9280 and bounce .,, any ones guess thks,

tel aviv arvi. 21:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 21:33 GMT January 10, 2007
Dont forget to buy the 72 bearded virgins ....if you want them for free contact us and we can send you to a place where they are provided for free..and please recommend our service to as many of your colleagues as you can...

RIC fxq 21:37 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
rotflmfao

teh 21:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I would borrow YEN to do a lot of things, besides margin trading. I would buy my GOLD bullion when it falls to 540, Gold now at 609. (by the way, Marc Faber uttered 480 Gold)

a few contracts of oil when it falls to 47, Oil now at 54 (God is fair, HE gives you a warm winter WITH a cold Spring), also Brother H*** wants to use low Oil to bankrupt Ahmadinejadd, Chavez and may be Putin as well.

Nay, no Euros or Sterling for me,

May be buy a house in Sausilito,

Another one in Hawaii.
Or may be some Copper, Orange Juice (note El Nino is coming)

Also to donate some gains to the Melinda Gates foundation. They are doing a great job !!!!

warsaw TOMi 21:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Gdansk Polish Wax 21:30 GMT January 10, 2007

don't quite get it.. can u explain..?

LKWD JJ 21:31 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
with people shorting $Y with stops from here to 120+ a little push and well be there. stops feed the sharks , and mkt likes big figs ie: 10,15,20

LKWD JJ 21:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Mtl JP 20:38 GMT January 10, 2007
BoJ = Bail-outer of Jerks
=================
bunch of jerks

warsaw TOMi 21:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ok,it made me believe..

long usdyen 11966, stop 11919.

Madrid mm 21:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Rates Decision -

I have a consensus of no change for both the BOE and ECB tommorow.

Does everybody agree with that too ?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 21:16 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I hope the nurse does not forget the medicine today LOL. GT

Miami OMIL (/;-> 21:14 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Hello everyone short-mid term view: eur/usd pair is in dangerous territory the support I talked about before is being tested. It is still sell on failed rallies for the short term view but the mid term correction can become bigger if these key supports are taken out IMHO. Peace and GT

Amsterdam X-Dealer 21:13 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 21:06 GMT January 10, 2007

you still owe me money for 1'500 LSD pills

Syd 21:12 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 20:58 GMT good morning ,are you still aiming for 76 area on aud many thanks

teh 21:06 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I always remember what an old teacher said, you trade the strongest currency against the weakest.
So who is the WEAKEST of them all ?

Close all your EUR and STERLING trades,

long Dollar YEN at 119.50
stoploss 118
Target 140

If Soros can break BoE so can we break BoY.
Go baby go, go baby go, be part of history

Hihihorray !!!!

Melbourne Qindex 21:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
AUD/JPY : Heading Towards 92.45.

wyborg grey wolf 21:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I mean euro dollar rate

warsaw TOMi 21:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Gdansk Polish Wax 20:51 GMT January 10, 2007

welcome on board seaside man.
any views that I might follow?..
gl/gt

Melbourne Qindex 20:59 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/AUD :Heading Towards 2.5043.

Melbourne Qindex 20:58 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/AUD : The market will penetrate throgh [1.6603] and then head for 1.6433.

wyborg grey wolf 20:56 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
what about euro? will it rase?

Joburg Africa 20:55 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Bit Of Jibberish

Gdansk Polish Wax 20:51 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
warsaw TOMi 20:50 GMT January 10, 2007
Bid On Jen

make sure your trades are not like your spelling

warsaw TOMi 20:50 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Bid On Jen

wyborg grey wolf 20:48 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
will be raised ECB rate tomorrow?

Akihabara King 20:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Bank of Jokers?

Cannes Oil man 20:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Anycase, E$ , not breaking down so far, stopping right on 1.2935..and now the Japanese will be faced with E$ right there..Buy it here , or send it stumbling (With at the same time a break of 120 $/Y , and 1.25 $chf)...
Should be an interesting asian trading session.

Joburg Africa 20:39 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Thanks Bahrain, I'm a newbie

Mtl JP 20:38 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
BoJ = Bail-outer of Jerks

nyc 20:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
banging on "usd" jerks

Bahrain Bahrain1 20:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
JoBurg Africa 20:27 GMT January 10, 2007
May I ask what is "BOJ"

Bank of Japan

Sydney ACC 20:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 20:04 GMT January 10, 2007
On 14th April 2006 USD/JPY was 118.72, on 16th May it was 109.66, over the space of alittle more than one month it moved 7.6%. Without retracement sufficient move to destroy the interest differential for a couple of years.

Tokyo 20:31 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
JoBurg Africa 20:27 GMT January 10, 2007
May I ask what is "BOJ"

Banging Out Jerks

JoBurg Africa 20:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
May I ask what is "BOJ"

warsaw TOMi 20:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
nyc bas 20:17 GMT January 10, 2007

yeah..me too.. LoL, eh..

nyc bas 20:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
easy money eh? i'm in. lol .

Cannes Oil man 20:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
In a few days the BOJ is going to hike their rates...Something the market has not seen in quite awhile...
The market is supposily already "pricing" this..

Be wary of the $/Y...It hasn't moved for real in a long time, the market underlying is about to change (BOJ hiking rates)..
it could keep going up...but it could do the usual trick (a 2K pips down move for 10 sessions)..
careful , careful..

Syd 20:11 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 20:04 GMT very true

warsaw TOMi 20:10 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Oil man, it might as well break up with no stopping up to 13500 first target..

LKWD JJ 20:10 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
a bit of somber news. tom cauflin gets contract extension. [email protected]#$%

RIC fxq 20:08 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 20:04 GMT

yup, that monsterously powerful recovery in Japan is justgoing to steamroller USD.

whatever

Cannes Oil man 20:04 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Basically what this guy is showing is that we are near term a monstruous downmove...When the mass sees $/Y as the "easy carry" , "money in the bank" , well ...It starts moving and fast..

Cannes Oil man 20:01 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
$/Y , the "easy carry" :

In 1983 $/Y was at 260..
It dropped to 122..Then it made a new "high" at 150...Followed another downmove 92.
Another new "high" to 142..
Another drop to 106....Then it went to 135...Where it dropped 104...And now it went to 119...where will it goes this time...60 or lower..

warsaw TOMi 19:58 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I wud personally ideally opt for €/$ to bounce back to somewhere 1.31 lvl

OTTAWA mjw 19:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
i had a ? in the help forum on carry trades ,boy teh really helped my understanding on that .... not

St. Annaland Bob 19:43 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
BOJ and JPY were responsible few times during the past for the creation of the better REAL ESTATE buying chances in Hong Kong and few other places in Asia (JPY loans are a trap for anyone who is not a Japanese and/or genuine BOJ preferred customer). counting on bank of Japan is like mother mouses takes a snake as babysitter for her baby mouses.

FW CS 19:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
TEH
All I have to say to that is look at a 1998 $/Yen charts and that would have went horribly wrong. $/Yen fell from 135 to 116 in like 72 hours. That carry only works if $/Yen stays the same or if it goes up. No such thing as a free lunch

St. Annaland Bob 19:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   


out 100% of 1-2-3 and get rich plans, 99.99999999999999999% ended as total bankruptcy. teh, what's so special about your plan?

does teh stand for Teheran?

lugano fc 19:28 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:32 GMT January 10, 2007

??
...be sure mate that at 1 point the BoJ will sell these jpy bought in the past....to take profit!! :-)

...only they have to do is to sell the lot :-) in 1h!!!!!
think about the market if it can absorbe it all in one (ofcourse in the worst case scenario...)

if you are so rich.....why take stress in forex??

warsaw TOMi 19:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ok,thanks..

Makassar was the dominant trading/pao center of eastern Indonesia
found it 8-)

Makassar Alimin 19:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
warsaw TOMi 19:20 GMT January 10, 2007

i am flat on that pair at the moment, got my target reached this morning at 1.9350 from 1.9431 and since then flat...should have been lower by now but i think something is brewing...not sure, not clear, staying aside for a while can do wonders

Madrid mm 19:23 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
a fresh reminder
"In the events leading up to the Great Depression, many investors used very large margin positions ../... However, when the depression hit, these investors worsened their overall financial situations, because not only did they lose everything they owned, they also owed large amounts of money. Because lending institutions could not get any money back from investors, many banks had to declare bankruptcy. In order to prevent such events from occurring again, the Securities and Exchange Commission made regulations that prevent investors from taking large positions on margin."-www.investopedia.com

warsaw TOMi 19:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
makassar,where is the next cable target please?

NY RP 19:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:28 GMT January 10, 2007
Agreed that this carry trade has been in effect for some time now. Hearing it more and more from retail traders gives me the feeling it is closer to ending then going. Just my thoughts. Tops and bottom are not events they are processes. Good luck.

Makassar Alimin 19:12 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:32 GMT January 10, 2007

wow, that sounds very easy indeed, let's hit it...big guys are doing it so they all must be right, everyone is making easy money, everyone is happy

Makassar Alimin 19:11 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:32 GMT January 10, 2007

wow, that sounds very easy indeed, let's hit it...big guys are doing it so they all must be right, everyone is making easy money, everyone is happy

The Netherlands Purk 19:09 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
In the meantime, usd/jpy does the same thing as yesterday only 20 pips higher... makes you think... high 11975 low 11916... i was counting on 11980-90 today. Range did not reach that far, so we have to close near these levels, than tomorrow we can see the 120....
e/j did 20 pips in a few moments, so we might see 155 again.. I will reshort somewhere above the 155...

Madrid mm 19:09 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
fwiw

Mtl JP 18:38 GMT January 10, 2007

well i guess all bets are off, 8-) but he has a point !!!!

It reminds me the market crashes - from a tulip craze to a dotcom bubble.

Some win, many lose.
Again and again , timing is everything.

Philadelphia Caba 19:03 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:32 GMT January 10, 2007

lol, teh ...sounds very goooood!
you wrote this from your big yacht or bigger mansion somewhere in Caribbean using satellite connection to your laptop, right?... you were so smart that you borrowed jpy and bought big and big gbp and euro at last year low, right? so you just become billionare becouse you closed all last monday with huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuge profit, right? and now you want another yacht or the biggest mansion in the world, so borrowing yen again and buying $ at 119, right?
yammy, yammy..sounds so gooooood!

Mtl JP 18:38 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I am thinking in terms of chances of dlryen around 111, for example

Mtl JP 18:36 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh / can you elaborate the the other side of the coin please, namely the "almost RISK FREE" part. thks !

Sydney ACC 18:36 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
teh 18:28 GMT January 10, 2007
Bloomberg reported yesterday that an Anglo-American body representing the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, SEC and FSA have been interviewing banks with regard to credit margins applied to hedge funds.
If the authorities are concerned about the level of carry trades, in FX, commodities or other markets the margins banks apply to their loans is the main area where they can try to control indirectly the volumes dealt.

warsaw TOMi 18:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Syd 17:43 GMT January 10, 2007

well, in this case, I wouldn't dare tu support the line in the sand with my monies..
square €ur 38, as well with cable..
gl/gt

teh 18:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Mark my words, there is only one such opportunity in 5 yrs, everything is falling, gold,oil and ready credit is just a call away, and a riskfree borrowing. Low YEN interest to buy commodites at their multiyr low.

If you miss this quarter, you miss your lifetime chance to be a Millionaire (Billionaire for a rare few).

teh 18:28 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Goto your bank, ask to take a loan in JPY.
Borrow 119,000 YEN for 1 month, 0.3% interest per annum or 30Yen/mth

Take up a contract Short YEN Long USD at 119
wait for one month,
close your position at 125 (140 possible by yr end),
Gain= 600,000 YEN

Profit Margin = 20,000 %

That is why Carry Trade is the most lucrative trade and why Wall Street makes Billions in Bonus.

If you short 100 Contracts, you make 60 mio YEN or 480,000 USD within a month.
Your cost is only 3000 Yen.

Imagine, BoJ does not hike for the next 9 months (first hike only in Oct 07), you are guaranteed a almost RISK FREE investment.

Ask you BANKER today. You canbe richer than your banker in a month time.

Smart monies have been doing this for many years. If all the MEGAFUNDs are selling Yen, even BoJ does not have enough foreign reserve to buy back their Yen.

BoJ would start to activate its agreements with other Asia CBs, and start borrowing USD from other CBs, like Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Malaysia etc.

Then the Asia countries would be drained of their dollar reserves.
Then the weakest of them would be next, e.g. Korea, Thailand, Malaysia.

When Yen reaches 140, all Asia currencies would scramble to buy USD, see who sells their local currencies faster.

The Netherlands Purk 18:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Tomorrow it is time to watch the e/j again. Will see what can come up with...

The Netherlands Purk 18:23 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
manchester 17:15 GMT January 10, 2007

How did you guess. We dont do great this season, but we have Jaap Stam now as you know....

houston st 18:08 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   

NYC 17:56 GMT -- 50% 1.2485-1.3365=1.2925...1.618% of 1.2975-1.3050 rise=1.2930...gl/gt.

London 18:04 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Fed's Concern Still Inflation Risk Fed's Moskow
'Predominant Concern' Still Inflation Risk

NYC 17:56 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
SYd. Any iedea where it gets 1.2930 from as a key level?

Syd 17:43 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD is slipping toward key support at 1.2930, which Barclays Capital says "is the line in the sand to determine if the '06 uptrend survives." A daily close below here signals the rate has already topped out and is heading back toward 1.23, it adds

warsaw TOMi 17:39 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
see,most of forum want to sell usd/jpy, well better do it in heavy sizes, cos i need €urusd to go up , cheers and welcome.

gl/gt 8-)

manchester 17:15 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
purk, thanks. tell me the football team u support so i can call u by all the players. ajax? will short around 11967

The Netherlands Purk 17:06 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
manchester 16:33 GMT January 10, 2007

It depends on where it is closing Ryan, yesterday the close was around 11937. I like the e/j here, it helped usd/jpy getting lower, and it helped my short that i took at 15505....
So despite e/u getting lower the usd/jpy retreated, in short words: it is a bit confusing untill we know closingprice i am afraid....

warsaw TOMi 17:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
and long €/$ 2936..

warsaw TOMi 16:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
testing the market, long gbp/$ 9330.

Hong Kong Ahe 16:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
lkwd jj 16:35 GMT, current spot rate is 1.2944 EUR to 1 USD. You need to check your banker.

ldn jp 16:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:55 GMT January 10, 2007
Melbourne Qindex 23:03 GMT January 8, 2007
Melbourne Qindex 23:22 GMT January 8, 2007

Excellent work as always QINDEX....much appreciated.

lkwd jj 16:35 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
anybody know how much to convert 550k in e$ to usd? bank fees etc.

manchester 16:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
purk, what do you think of $/Y now? 11967 is holding now.

lugano fc 16:16 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
the swiss is under pressure via crosses....loosing the safe heaven appeal and also low interest.....also heard that national bank is happy with a chf more softer maybie only a eurchf 1.62 will wake some calls from them but i doubt it will help...nor that they really want to streghten again

Cannes Oil man 16:09 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Obviously the $CHF has a problem..
It's back to where it was nearly while e$ made a move down..Does not want to go up...it's looking to go down..So far not helped to do so by euro though.

lugano fc 16:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
cannes oilman

and if going up was preceding all other currencies....then hopefully will do the same to the downside ;-)
still keeping my short usd with stops just near the lows seen before....

EU theEUROqueen 16:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
trading the range 1,28**-1,31**

Cannes Oil man 15:57 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
lugano fc 15:41 GMT January 10, 2007

Seems to be forming a daily double top so far.

Makassar Alimin 15:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
despite the dollar bullishness atmosphere at the moment, something is disturbing friends, why the hesitation in a lot of pairs?
usdjpy should have been 120+ by now same to usdchf like oilman mentioned should have been 1.25...hmm i think better wait to see clearer picture..if already in profitable trades just stay with it and trail the stop

lugano fc 15:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
interesting to see... cad didnt follow....

Cannes Oil man 15:40 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Anyways long 1.9335 GBP$.

Hong Kong Ahe 15:39 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EURUSD 100 and 200 day moving average are 1.2878 and 1.2769 respectively. Worth to take note of these figures. Good trade to all.

Syd 15:28 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD is slipping toward key support at 1.2930, which Barclays Capital says "is the line in the sand to determine if the '06 uptrend survives." A daily close below here signals the rate has already topped out and is heading back toward 1.23, it adds.

Madrid mm 15:23 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
hk ab 15:21 GMT January 10, 2007

call me brave or stupid , but i am lol 8-)

small though !!!

Madrid mm 15:22 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 15:02 GMT January 10, 2007
../.. pattern is disturbed.
Isnt this exiting?

we all are disturbed Purky !! lol 8-)

as exciting as watching paint dry in a foggy day in Madrid
lol

hk ab 15:21 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman, not to offend but finally no one long eur.....
indeed, this euro move is quite "manipulated" as bc mentioned.

Madrid mm 15:19 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
a quick reminder fwiw

Many traders, from the individual speculator to the large fund will focus on the large round figures or round numbers when applying their analysis to the FX-market for a number of reasons. Option traders tend to select these price levels whether their exercising American, European, or Exotic options, as well as the placement of protective stop orders.
Click here

Cannes Oil man 15:16 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Well , e$ looking to crack..
Not going to try longing here...Guess we test friday lows.

The Netherlands Purk 15:10 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I just hope that CT Cris did not fall into shorting the usd/jpy,

The Netherlands Purk 15:07 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
From last gains minus loss i have managed to get my hands on some material that writes about lows and highs. If lows or highs are searched for a few times, it calls for a break. If i hold such material next to the usd/jpy, it is time to see a new high.... On the other hand this is the market....
I am still a shorter near 11990, because i think that downside has far more potential that up...

The Netherlands Purk 15:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Okkie 11968 and now 11988. we have one more leg to go, we will know in one hour if we see a new high in u/j. e/j looks like it does not want to pass the highs of today, but well day is not over yet, and we have seen movements in e/j all the time during the last months, but pattern is disturbed.
Isnt this exiting?

GVI john 15:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Forex Survey Analysis courtesy Cumino...
CLICK TO VIEW

manchester 15:01 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
purk, okay yen is getting steamrolled by the dollar so cancelled my orders. looking to short just below 12000 only as we know it will come back down in asia trading

Makassar Alimin 15:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
as mentioned earlier, once 119 holds, usdjpy could turn and go up to 119.70, although i didnt take advantage of this, now it is up to the troops to keep firing to beyond 120 or not, they have the chance now...take it or leave it and shoot it down

hk ab 14:59 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
only ONE reason is good enough to buy usd, the sentiment in gvi......but am flat.

GVI john 14:59 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
In the latest monthly sentiment survey of professional forex dealers by global-view.com, the leading forex discussion website, sentiment for the USD against the EUR has improved. The three-month ahead mean forecast for EUR/USD was 1.3033 from 1.3391 a month earlier. The EURUSD spot price at the mid-point (January 8 close) of when the survey was being conducted was 1.3019.

The GVI-Cumino Euro bull index (Range 0-100; 0 = most bearish, 100 = most bullish, 50 = neutral) was about steady in the EUR/USD at 54 from 58 previously. The GVI-Cumino index uses a theoretical neutral option strategy to measure the intensity and direction of individual trader sentiment from price levels at the time when forecasts were made.

The USD/JPY mean dollar forecast improved to 115.47 from 113.27 one month ago. The USD/JPY spot rate at the mid-point of when the survey was being conducted was 118.73. The GVI-Cumino dollar bull index remained USD bearish. It was 27 after 28.

Traders expect the price of crude oil (WTI) to close at $59.81 in three-months time from the current spot vs. the previous $61.37 estimate.

In a special question, participants where they expected U.S. Fed Funds (now 5.25%) to close 2Q07. Exactly 50% expect no change, while 26% expect it to decline to 5.00% and 19% expect funds at 5.50%. 5% saw more than one 25bp move.

For complete detailed survey results including history see:
CLICK TO VIEW

RIC fxq 14:58 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ldn jas 14:45 GMT

primary reason is JPY weakness across the board. expecations of a rate hike lessened and if seen a "one shot" proposition.

hk ab 14:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
THe deficit became much lower for sure due to the crashing of crude.

The Netherlands Purk 14:53 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ldn jas 14:45 GMT January 10, 2007

Only thing we can come up with is that eur/usd goes down, and usd/jpy is the leader for e/j and beasty boy....

NYC 14:53 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ab. Small, fish, big fish, up and down the food chain

hk ab 14:50 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I think many small fishes are eaten now. So, GVI became all of a sudden quiet....
exit most positions.

ldn jas 14:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 14:38 GMT January 10, 2007
I can't understand why the usd/jpy, eur/jpy and gbp/jpy are all moving up at the moment............

Gen dk 14:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 14:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
yen is toyed again.....

The Netherlands Purk 14:38 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Just like yesterday the usd/jpy is on the edge of a new break, i say break up. 11916 low for today makes 11996 for me high with possible 120 to stop out a few people. e/j is a bit disappointing, it has no direction and follows any upmove again.

hk ab 14:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
IT could be the time gold and curr. delink.....

hk ab 14:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
PAR wonder if you have bought any e/j or u/j....

Gen dk 14:31 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 14:29 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Japanese yen looking so bad on charts that even an unexpected interest hike by BOJ is unlikely to support the yen.

Cannes Oil man 14:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Problem E$ looks very sick too..However $CHF (and CHF against most) does not want to go lower it seems..
It might be protected , but it's definitely holding back..
Anything that does not want to move the way it "should" when it has it's chances, means most of the times it will go the other way...And for the last 2 days $CHF "Should" have gone to 1.25..

Gen dk 14:07 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Cannes Oil man 14:06 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Aye $CHF definitely has a flue..

Cannes Oil man 14:04 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Note the 1.29..We're close , give or take 50 pips on both sides of course.

hk ab 14:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
close eur shorts here. they are showing the euro is tending up now.

lugano fc 14:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
only 1 reason.....little bit poor.....

i just see plenty of divergences (rsi, macd,...)that let me know that downside is limited....new lows are not confirmed from indicators

sold usdchf other limit to sell at 2455 bought eurusd and gbpusd

Cannes Oil man 14:01 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
hong kong seek 13:48 GMT January 10, 2007
Range market for e$..

1.29--1.32.
So for gold 590-640.
gl gt

hk ab 14:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
seek, sometimes, it's easy to track the main direction from local bank quotes. They usualy put themselves into a very safe manner.

hk ab 13:58 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
close "below"

hk ab 13:55 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
if euro close 1.3 today, 1 reason IS very good enough.

The Netherlands Purk 13:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EDWIN, if we play the range, than indeed top should be around 11980-90, but i guess if we make it to there the 120 will be taken out because there will be many stops there...

manchester 13:52 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
purk, good call on $/yen. short orders now at 11986 now with s/l 12010

lugano fc 13:49 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
hk ab 13:38 GMT January 10, 2007
yes for today. But there are too many good reasons to long usd now......


can i have your so many good reasons??

hong kong seek 13:48 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Oil man --may i know yr view on gold and eur ? i think both short-term are under pressure ..gl and gt

Cali mmm 13:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Oilman, any target for USD/CHF today? TKS.

hk ab 13:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
e/u short s/l 1.2999......

Cannes Oil man 13:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
No purk, see e$ as long still.

$CHF is definitely SICK.

The Netherlands Purk 13:40 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Think Oily boily will be shorting the eur/usd now i guess instead of longing it.
usd/jpy did not break 11916 so we are on our way to break 11946 than. 11968-11987 after that.
Martin from the goldcoast called for 128 in e/u. Again, if we make that AND usd/jpy is a follower we might see 121....

hk ab 13:38 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
yes for today. But there are too many good reasons to long usd now......

hong kong seek 13:35 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
AB--yr target on eur is 1.2888 ?

hk ab 13:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
1.2888 here we go.

Philadelphia Caba 13:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
-58.2B

Gen dk 13:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Mumbai SAS 13:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Good Day Everyone ..... Long time since i posted here or actually visited to check the posts and comments .... Dont see Lahore FM, USA Zeus and Mumbai NS today ... hope you guys are doing well .... nyways back to the trading i would favour the short side of euro under 1.3030 - 1.3050 levels break of this would change the picture .... so might want to try a small short with a stop over th above mentioned levels .... GL GT

hk ab 12:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
short more euro.... the 1.3 handle makes it unachievable....

GVI john 12:42 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   

PAR 12:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Due to exploding Sony batteries US trade deficit with Japan may show some narrowing .

AZUSA 4X-ed 11:59 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Thanks GVI! Let's hope that extra $12.4 billion in November non-mortgage consumer credit is not a factor in this Trade Balance release.

The Netherlands Purk 11:55 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Oxford 10:52 GMT January 10, 2007

PLOL

Global-View Research 11:42 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Day Ahead
US – November trade data is due and it will be interesting to see whether the sharp narrowing seen last month (to the lowest level since August 2005) has been sustained. With oil prices remaining soft for most of November there is a good chance of this happening and if so it would be a supportive development for the USD. Weekly mortgage applications data is also due although after recent gross volatility it will take a run of weak or strong numbers in coming weeks for the market to have confidence in taking a view on what is happening.

Canada – Canadian trade data is due and the CAD will be sensitive to weak or strong export data. With some key commodity prices remaining weak this is a delicate time for the CAD and exports have fallen in each of the past two months. However, last week’s stronger than expected employment report was a positive development for the CAD and today could be key in determining whether USD-CAD can gain sufficient momentum to break through short-term resistance at 1.1800 (which would leave risk up to 1.1975-1.2000). The short-term market is already very long of USD-CAD, so any positive CAD news could see some corrective activity. Below 1.1715 would leave risk down to 1.1600-25. ... See full Mellon FX Daily report

Cannes Oil man 11:39 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Sig : Long e$ 1.2976 stops 1.2968 ..Was sleeping , however this might make a e$ day.
Plus $chf is obviously very tired...wants to make a 100-200 dip...
gl gt

Auckland trotter 11:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Oxford 10:52 GMT January 10, 2007
“normally by humans the mouth sucks and not the language they try to speak, enjoy sucking with your mouth.”

The implication is that you digest what you inhale, be it on what level you receive it at.
The interpretation of this information is subject to, in the case of humans, their own individual psychological aspects and personal ‘filters’.

Which is a major aspect to trading the FX market.

Cannes Oil man 11:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Looks like today will be a euro day.

Cannes Oil man 11:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
No didn't change view much , ab ..regarding $:Y..
However got stopped yesterday , licking my wounds a few days , and starting over.

Oxford 10:52 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 10:36 GMT January 10, 2007
and my english [email protected]

normally by humans the mouth sucks and not the language they try to speak, enjoy sucking with your mouth.

Auckland trotter 10:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I have read many times the arguments between fundamentals and technicals aspects to trading. The ‘technicals’ say that the market will absorb the fundamentals, therefore, the technical indicators will prevail.

I see this is true to the extent that the market will react on consensus expected fundamentals ahead of the release time. But times have changed, and major fundamental release times do not have the same influence on the market as they used to.

Don’t ignore the fundamentals - just beware that their influence has changed. This market session is an example.

Any discussion I look forward to on the help forum.

The Netherlands Purk 10:36 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
and my english [email protected]

The Netherlands Purk 10:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
manchester 10:29 GMT January 10, 2007

As long as e/u goes up, usd/jpy will go down. We need to break 11916. If not we break 11916 we break 11946...
Break in my book is down to 11890 and lower...

Melbourne Qindex 10:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/GBP : A projected resistant level has been established at [0.6731]*. the market will tackle the barrier at 0.6628 // 0.6695*.

manchester 10:29 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
purk, if your there what do you reckon about $/JPY now?

Gen dk 09:50 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 09:11 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Auckland trotter 09:07 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Expected fundamentals due out:

GBP visible trade balance gives a down consensus figure GMT 9:30.
USD trade balance gives a down consensus figure GMT 13:30.

The EUR/USD appears to be going against these fundamental figures and continuing with its down trend.


Overall pressure I see is down for the EUR/USD - ref my post yesterday, but will bounce trades on short term indicators for now.

Once the UK market settles down we might see the direction of the market. But, given the recent state of the market, I have tight margins.

lugano fc 08:36 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
thanks quidex
wait to see if you post some news on eurgbp.

Vilnius 08:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
sell gbp/chf 2.4130 stop 2.4265, target 2.4020

PAR 08:33 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Problem with US trade deficit is that more than 50% of deficit is with asian countries which currencies keep dropping against the dollar while the dollar drops against european countries while that trade is more or less fairly balanced.

Syd 08:29 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Sydney ACC 08:19 GMT just watching squawkeurope with Fat Prophets on saying that the housing market was safe and the US isnt , think he is looking up his a...se

Madrid mm 08:21 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Patience is 1 rule of this game 8-)

Madrid mm 08:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Market Focus-Wednesday-Gains in oil or petroleum inventories could push oil prices down further.

PAR 08:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Japan Nikkei finished sharply lower on further capital outflows out of Japan , this will weaken yen further over the coming weeks to 125.00. Buying yen = harakirri . Lol.

Sydney ACC 08:19 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
New buy-to-let investors face profit crunch

New property investors in the buy to let market face signifcant cash flow deficiencies.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/01/10/cnhomes10.xml

Syd 08:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
U.K. Pound May Drop as Consumer Confidence Slips to 2-Year Low
Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) -- The pound may fall against the euro, snapping a two-day winning run, after a survey showed confidence among U.K. consumers fell in December to match a two-year low.

The pound has fallen against the euro for the last two months on speculation the U.K.'s interest-rate advantage over the euro region will narrow this year. The BOE last month kept its repurchase rate at 5 percent as the European Central Bank raised its benchmark for the sixth time in a year, to 3.5 percent.

Melbourne Qindex 08:15 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/CHF : A barrier is located at 2.4152.

Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/CHF : Heading Towards 2.4232.

Madrid mm 08:13 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
-USD starts the day on firmer grounds, with stoploss selling in EUR/USD from large UK clearers, US invs houses, momentum funds, triggering stops below 1.2970 to fresh 6-wk lows of 1.2954, but still holding above the key 1.2950 barriers, despite repeated selling.
-EUR/USD recovered off lows, on talks of Asian, Chinese, French an d Europeans buying, helped by FT article ECB Trichet may signal an earlier Feb hike. Offers still 1.30 handle capping for now.
-EUR/JPY lower, weighed by Japanese trust selling, funds, weighed by expectation of JPY repatriation linked to EUR14b France coupons+ redemption this coming Friday January 12 and about EUR19b, mainly from Italy, some from Netherlands on Jan 15.
-USD/JPY still capped by huge 119.50-120 offers, with Japan trust banks good sellers, capping topside, and pushing it lower. Talks of huge 1-year 109 USD put, 120.50 k-o, amount almost 1bln traded. To see good offers above 120.
-GBP weighed by funds sales and the fall in UK Nationwide consumer confidence, and dragged by EUR sales, falling to lows of 1.9343, and weighed by GBP/JPY sales as well.
-AUD hit day lows of 0.7789 from 0.7795-00, on wider than expected Australia trade gap. Both Aussie and Cad weighed by softer commodities, with commodities CRB index falling to almost 2 year lows of 286.69.
USD/SEK stops hit above 7,03-7.04 to 6-week highs 7.0475/25 on Swiss, Europeans buying, while EUR/SEK hit 2-m highs of 9.1390, topside capped by profit-taking offers.
-NZD under pressure today despite Uridashi.
-Nikkei and JGBs:Nikkei -295pts at 1.71% at 1,6242, while JGBs higher on reports BoJ will not hike on Jan 18, 10-yr +0.02% at 1.750%.
-Asian FX ranges: USD/JPY 119.14/119.49, EUR/USD 1.2954/1.3006, GBP/USD 1.9343/1.9401, USD/CHF 1.2409/1.2446, AUD/USD 0.7789/0.7813, NZD/USD 0.6898/0.6928.

hk ab 08:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
short some euro.
too much pressure.

Melbourne Qindex 08:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/JPY : the current expected trading range is


... 229.64 // 230.71 - 231.78 // 232.86 ...

Syd 07:49 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
The USD/ZAR trades at 7.3141, with ZAR weakening amid negative sentiment towards emerging market currencies, says a trader. Says ZAR also weakened along with the dollar's advance on the euro. Expects ZAR to remain under pressure Wednesday.

hk ab 07:48 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
1.2990-1.3 simulated 1.3090-1.31 last week.

hk ab 07:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
martin, are you around to comment on the current situation?

Vilnius 07:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Athens MK
Thank You Sir.

Melbourne Qindex 07:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
USD/CHF : the current expected trading range is 1.2404 - 1.2470 - 1.2536

Athens MK 07:43 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oops... disregard the % on the previous post.... Did not have my coffe yet but the targets are still valid.. :)

Athens MK 07:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Good morning.....

GBP/$ dropped overnight to the 50% (1.9750-1.9260) before bouncing this morning. As long as the 61.8% line (1.9329) remains intact longs from 1.92+ remain in play.

Daily charts still show signs of basing and trendline at 1.9260 remains intact.

First target at 1.9430 was hit yesterday. Second target at 1.9514 still waiting to be touched.

NY R19 07:29 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
..

hk ab 06:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I respect view from oilman on this e/j 154.50 life / death....

Syd 06:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD has nearly recouped losses as early downward momentum insufficient to reach rumored stop-loss sell orders around 1.2950, players take quick EUR profits while waiting for European players to enter markets, says senior customer trader at major Japan bank; tips 1.2960-1.300 range for now, though says pair may yet break below 1.2900 later in global day with players very likely to again take aim at those sell-stops.

CT Cris 06:40 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
gbp.usd in buy mood , will reach 19436.

CT Cris 06:02 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
usd.jpy is planning to go down.

Makassar Alimin 05:53 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
usdjpy if hold this 119 level in the next 4 hours or so, could start turning around and hit 119.70 later, i prefer this scenario..if 119 doesnt hold then back to test 118.50

Syd 05:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
WSJ: Commerzbank's NY Branch To Halt Iran Dlr Clearings
Financial Forum article

Melbourne Qindex 05:37 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/JPY : After penetrating through 230.71, the market is expected to move further down to 230.03 - 230.17.

Sydney ge11ja 05:34 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
anyone have an insight in to AUD/USD, seems quite well bid here?

Melbourne Qindex 05:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD : Heading Towards 1.2920.

Calcutta Vikram 04:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Dollar-Yen moved back up to 119.56 yesterday after having found Support in the 117.98-118.11 region over Friday-Monday. As such, the overall upmove from the 114.43 Low of 05-Dec is still in force. Countervailing that is a strong/ imporant Trend Resistance in the 119.50-70 region on a line joining the Highs at 121.35(Dec-05) and 119.91 (Oct-06).

The next few days could see the market ranging between 119.70 and 118.70-50 as the market currently lacks the conviction to stage either a bullish break above 119.70 or a major fall below 118.50, which could trigger a decline towards 117.00 and lower.

Sydney ge11ja 04:41 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
and if it doesnt stay above 154.50??

Melbourne Qindex 04:14 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD : It has a potential to move lower today.


... 1.2873* - 1.2889 // 1.2905* - 1.2921 - [1.2937]* - 1.2952 - 1.2968* // 1.2984 - 1.3000* ....

hk ab 04:03 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman, I supposed you have changed your view on dlr/jpy.
Do you think the 115.xx goal will be delayed to Feb?

Cannes Oil man 03:45 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Aus Stu 02h58 GMT January 10, 2007

Well said, further more , if EY stays above 154.50 before European open, it might make a new high during the day (aka 155.5+)..
Fangs not teeth , huge , sharp fangs.

Cannes Oil man 03:42 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
It is never safe.

Rye,NY et 03:17 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Yes. But, there is another one @ 1.2822 (today)...GL/GT

AZUSA 4X-ed 03:10 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Is it safe to say that EUR$ broke the 'channel down' trend line (from early December)?

Syd 03:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Chinese Farmer Contracts Bird Flu-Report

Aus Stu 02:58 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Hi all, shorted u/j here 119.36 s/l @ 119.60, rejection @ 119.67 & double top 119.49/51 along with long gravestone last hour look pretty certain(?) in my book, but have been stopped twice on shorts in the last 24hrs, so see what happens at the s/t bull t/line. Shorted e/j from it's second bounce on 155.00, firm rebound off 61.8% of 158.00 - 153.65 looks good but have 20 pip trail as I don't trust the fker one little bit, has got nasty big teeth this one.
gt

Melbourne Qindex 02:55 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBP/USD : the following is still valid :-

Melbourne Qindex 23:03 GMT January 8, 2007
GBP/USD : The market is going to consolidate further around [1.9337]* with an expected magnitude of 1.9255 - 1.9418 before testing the supporting strength of 1.9173 or retracing back to 1.9500.

Melbourne Qindex 23:22 GMT January 8, 2007
GBP/USD : the market is still under pressure when it is trading below [1.9409]* - [1.9412]*.

Melbourne Qindex 02:51 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD : The following is still valid in the Asian session :-


Melbourne Qindex 05:24 GMT January 9, 2007
EUR/USD : the market is still under pressure when it is trading below 1.3057. The downside targeting range is 1.2892 - 1.2896, once the market can penetrate through 1.2973.

Melbourne Qindex 05:35 GMT January 9, 2007
EUR/USD : The moving daily targeting range is 1.2894 - 1.3072.

Melbourne Qindex 05:37 GMT January 9, 2007
EUR/USD : The current expected trading ranges are 1.2894 - 1.2970 - 1.3047.

Melbourne Qindex 02:49 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
USD/CHF : The next target is 1.2502.


Melbourne Qindex 11:37 GMT January 9, 2007
USD/CHF : The market momentum is strong when it can trade above 1.2414.

Melbourne Qindex 02:43 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
lugano fc 14:47 GMT January 9, 2007
to Melbourne Qindex

hi doc, 231.81 touched on gbpjpy...any view if this could be a top or still room?

do you also follow eurgbp? your view there?

thanks a lot for any suggestion

=======================================

GBP/JPY : The market is expected to work on the barrier of 227.04 // 231.81*, see the trading reference of GBP/JPY's page in my website. The mid-point reference of 2227.04 // 231.81* is 229.43.

EUR/GBP : We have to wait and see how it goes after the Asian session.

KL KL 02:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
ab

Very confident with short Gold now 612.3 sl 614...all round dead cat bounce in Aussie Gold stocks...so ninja in ...will add if 613.2 seen and move sl to 615....of course all probability and imvho...use sl to be humble ...gl gt

Makassar Alimin 02:00 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
warsaw TOMi 22:15 GMT January 9, 2007

1.1820 area could be considered

as for where makassar is located, google it or use wikipedia u can find lots of info about the city

Makassar Alimin 01:54 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
woke up to see gbpusd t/p reached 1.9350 bagged +80 pips with low on platform 1.9349 so far, cheers oilman :)
flat on the pair for now, will see from here although i can see some more downside 4-8 hours from now

still running usdcad possie, stop still survives

off for few hours, c u later guys

Springdale, AR U.S.A. B.D.H. 01:51 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Thank you so much for your valued opinion!!

Cannes Oil man 01:49 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Springdale, AR U.S.A. B.D.H. 01:44 GMT January 10, 2007

Yes looks fine atm..Fact if it closes above 2.41 this week , it will be a great Buy on dip for 2.56.

Springdale, AR U.S.A. B.D.H. 01:44 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes Oil man - Do you think 2.39 is a good long entry price for the GBP/CHF? Thanks.

Cannes Oil man 01:32 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Waiting for 2.39 GBPCHF first, ab.

hk ab 01:24 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman, do you retry dlr/cad?

Cannes Oil man 01:22 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
What i think goes like this :

E$ finds a bottom , $/Y starts dipping ...No breaks either side..Range.

Cannes Oil man 01:21 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
OTTAWA mjw 01:05 GMT January 10, 2007

No i see $chf gains as limited..
don't expect much upside for $CHF, right now..

hk ab 01:20 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
nk, if you are around, can you elaborate further on dlrcad? million thanks.

NY MMM 01:16 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
hi anyone .. whats the target for cable for tomorrow's news?

TIA

hk ab 01:09 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
this attack is targeting USD sellers, not yen sellers....

hk ab 01:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
tonight trade number too good?

OTTAWA mjw 01:05 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman do you see $chf testing the 2460 area thks for your input

OTTAWA mjw 01:01 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman can you give out your blog site address ? thks...

Cannes Oil man 00:57 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Looks like it's holding for the night, time for a few scalps..

Cannes Oil man 00:52 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
I m still short GBPCHF ..Have 2.4107 as the top of range for 2.39...So we should see 2.39 from here..
CHF liquidation ?..Been a long time.

Cannes Oil man 00:48 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Posted the charts on my blog of GBP.

In anycase I will wait for 1.9285 to attempt a long.
gl gt

hk ab 00:47 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
mjw//'cos of KAMPO and BOJ.....

OTTAWA mjw 00:46 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
i have a dumb ? why hasnt the $yen move with the chf.. thks

Syd 00:42 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD drops to 1.2960 on EBS, lowest since 1.2944 marked on Nov. 24, as selling by U.S., Europe hedge funds triggers stop-loss sell orders in 1.2990-1.2970 area in thin market, says senior trader at major Japan bank; "sellers were mostly European and U.S. players". Tips support at 1.2930 for rest of Asia time, resistance 1.3000

Cannes Oil man 00:38 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
USA BAY:
My signal was 1.9432 short , not here..However it could keep going...Though the area should be supportive.

Syd 00:36 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD to test support; recovery yesterday stalled on resumption of moderate USD gains, underpinned by reference to recent solid economic data, also improved confidence from lower oil prices. Overall outlook remains bearish after break of major support levels. Data focus today U.S. November trade balance. Daily chart indicators negative, Dow Jones technical analysis shows; pair's breach of 1.2972 (yesterday's low) now targets 1.2925 (50% retracement of 1.2484 to 1.3367 advance).

hk ab 00:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
oilman, admire your top call on e/j and u/j yesterday.

NY R19 00:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBPUSD //// I have 1.9340, but after watching last 18-24HR sans last 30 min, low confidence in price action.

USA BAY 00:30 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes OilMan,

Do you think both cable and euro a sell now. THANKS

hk ab 00:29 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
nt, the mkt seems to chase all the numbers you post on gvi, dlr/chf 1.2410, what's next?

hk ab 00:28 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
interesting to see how japs breaks the floor on e/j and the support from Middle East on euro.....1.2888.........

Cannes Oil man 00:27 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Bay:
Under 19347...Will retest last week lows.

NY R19 00:25 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
FX Players //// Seems like the tone of the day every day since Friday has been set in Asia markets.

NY R19 00:24 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
GBPUSD //// Cable, what an a#@ in the last 18HR. @!#$ you cable, tough call here now as there could be EURUSD defenders... last 18HR???? sucked.

USA BAY 00:23 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
Cannes Oilman,

What is next for cable ?? Thanks

Cannes Oil man 00:22 GMT January 10, 2007 Reply   
The Awaited test of 1.9347 is here (gbp$).

 




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