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Forex Forum Archive for 10/14/2007

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Sydney ACC 23:18 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Aussie dollar to hit 91 US cents today

Sydney ACC 23:17 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Sydney GE 22:24 GMT October 14, 2007
You may have point there on reflection. RBNZ intervened for the first time on 11th June when the TWI was 74.1 and the rate 0.7613.
From my perspective though I still think intervention unlikely, but must be kept in mind.
The recent move reflects USD weakness rather than any intrinsic kiwi strength. Back then AUD/NZD was 1.1075 and NZD/JPY 92.38 whereas now they are at 1.1700 and 91.37 respectively.

Syd .. 23:16 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Rio Tinto Analistafx 23:14 its seems they think so but this week will be choppy not much data out till the CPI next week

Rio Tinto Analistafx 23:14 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Syd .. 23:06 GMT October 14, 2007

Syd that means that for Westpac AUD/USD had reach to the top around 0.9060/0.9070 area?
Is that right?

Syd .. 23:06 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
AUD/USD retreats 20 points from recent 23-year high on reduced expectations of 25bp RBA hike in November as Australian election campaign commences, says Westpac senior currency strategist Robert Rennie; adds U.S. data have been predominantly above expectations, reducing prospects of further Fed rate cuts. "Rogue low" 3Q NZ CPI earlier today prompting expectations Australian 3Q CPI due Oct. 24 could be also be low. "There's going to be turbulence and there's going to be airpockets, and I think we hit a bit of an airpocket this morning." AUD last at 0.9043

Syd .. 23:01 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Australia's ruling Liberal-National coalition faces strong chance of defeat in Nov. 24 federal election, latest Newspoll published in the Australian newspaper shows. Main opposition Labor party maintains 12-point lead on two-party preferred basis of 56% vs 44% for coalition in poll taken Oct. 12-15 steady on previous poll Sept. 28-30; if repeated on election day Labor will win office in landslide victory. Analysts say election poses inflation, rate hike risk as both sides roll out generous spending packages in bid to win voter support

Syd .. 22:30 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Room For Another PBOC Rate Hike This Year - HSBC

Sydney GE 22:24 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Sydney ACC 22:18 GMT October 14, 2007
thanks ACC what was the TWI when they first intervened??

Sydney ACC 22:18 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Little chance of RBNZ intervention with Kiwi at current levels.
Kiwi TWI on 24th July reached high of 76.9 and NZD/USD rate 0.8064 whereas current level 72.4 and rate of 0.7736.

Syd .. 22:12 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Sydney GE Hi, many were pushing the Aud-Kiwi up hoping for a stronger number on the CPI today but were disappointed
, its quite a drop from the expected and the usual buyers in early trying to trigger stops

NZD/USD falls sharply after NZ's 3Q CPI data, last 0.7734 vs 0.7788 immediately before report released; 3Q CPI printed at +0.5% vs 2Q, below market expectations for 0.8% on-quarter rise, leading to on-year CPI number of 1.8% vs consensus 2.1%. Though core inflation measures remain elevated, weaker headline numbers likely seen by market as providing some relief for RBNZ, lessening chance it will have to consider another rate hike in near term, providing breathing room to continue on-hold stance, watch data for signs of slowdown in domestic demand.

Napoli DC 22:09 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
also placed short AUDUSD 0,9085

Napoli DC 22:02 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
placed USDCAD long order 0,968 if gets there
going to sleep, will see tomorrow
gn & gt

denver jake 22:00 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
bought another kiwi at 7735. 1st target is 7825

Rio Tinto Analistafx 21:57 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
NZD is falling. Pay atention to the neighbour AUD...

Sydney GE 21:55 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Syd .. 21:45 GMT October 14, 2007
Would be a good time for RBNZ to intervene, give the NZD a nidge given those numbers.

Syd .. 21:45 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
NZ 3Q Consumer Price Index +0.5% Vs 2Q; Consensus +0.8%

Syd .. 21:24 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Turkey fears send oil to record high

Syd .. 19:52 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Assassins plot to kill Putin in Iran: Interfax

Syd .. 19:48 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
MOSCOW (AP)--Russian President Vladimir Putin has been told about a plot to assassinate him during a visit to Iran this week, a Kremlin spokeswoman said Sunday.

The spokeswoman, who spoke on customary condition of anonymity, refused further comment.

Interfax news agency, citing a source in Russia's special services, said suicide terrorists had been trained to carry out the assassination.

The Iranian Foreign Ministry called reports of the alleged plot "totally unfounded", Itar-Tass news agency reported Sunday.

Putin is to travel to Tehran on Monday night from Germany after meetings with Chancellor Angela Merkel.

During his visit to Iran, Putin is to meet with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and attend Tuesday's summit of Caspian Sea nations.

He will be the first Kremlin leader to travel to Iran since Josef Stalin attended a 1943 wartime summit with the U.K.'s Winston Churchill and President Franklin Roosevelt.

Officials have reported uncovering at least two other plots to kill Putin on foreign trips since he became president in 2000.

Ukrainian security officials said they foiled an attempt to kill Putin during a summit in Yalta in August 2000. And in 2001, Russian security officials said a plot to assassinate Putin earlier that year in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, had been uncovered by the Azeri special services.

Russian officials linked both alleged plots to Chechen separatists. Putin had sent troops back into the southern Russian republic to crush resistance to Moscow's rule.

Syd .. 19:41 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Australian PM Calls Federal Election For Nov 24

Van Wilfred 15:34 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
RF, here is a free site,

HK [email protected] 14:32 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   

Geneva DS 16:56 GMT October 13, 2007

That Mahendra who considers himself a prophet, has previously made so many mistakes, just to become the laughing stock of those who read his posts, until with great anger he closed his weekly free observations posts to the public and began demanding subsciption fees for his ex-free nonsense. Imagine not only that we read his nonsense (called prophecy) for free ,but to pay for it too? Oh no!!!!!!!!!

Just calling himself a prophet from exotic India, does not make him so exotic.

I think that N.Y. City is more exotic than Delhi and Bombay.

So you can find there and all over the USA exotic people whom sometimes will post here too for why pay for Far Eastern mysterious views heheheeeeee.

St. Pete Islander 14:01 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 08:09 GMT October 13, 2007

Good, glad to hear it. I got back on the bicycle about a month ago. If you get a chance, come up on the chatter box tomorrow.
Cheers & gt.

Melbourne Qindex 13:38 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
EUR/GBP : Resistance at 0.6991

Daily Directional Indicator : 0.6949* - 0.6966 - (0.6971) - - 0.6978 - (0.6979) - 0.6981*

Daily Cycle Pivot Center :  0.6966 - 0.6978

3-Day Cycle Pivot Center : 0.6949* - 0.6981*

Weekly Cycle Pivot Center (Nov) : (0.6971) - (0.6979)

Remarks (Nov Contract) : The market momentum is strong when it is above 0.6981*. On the other side speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 0.6949. The current expected trading ranges from the weekly cycle are 0.6902 // 0.6912* - 0.6922 - 0.6932 - 0.6941 - 0.6951* - 0.6961 - [0.6971] - 0.6981 - 0.6991* - 0.7000 - 0.7010 .

Upside Targeting Points : 0.6993 and 0.7006

Downside Targeting Points : 0.6905 and 0.6934

Melbourne Qindex 13:14 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
EUR/GBP : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is under pressure when it is below the monthly cycle pivot center at 0.7058. If the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the lower barrier of the projected series at 0.6934 // 0.6956, the next targeting point at 0.6867 is likely to be challenged.

Mtl JP 12:15 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
USA BAY - s/t : in view of hourly support at 9720 having held, favour selling pops to 9750 and 9790 as selling opps for new 97 attack
little longer than s/t: daily close under 9750 bodes for bias towards 9650

cadyen: close above 121 targets 122


Geneva 10:13 / there may not be any cad$ in 30 years. Or usd...

Geneva 10:13 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Its took 30 years for the usd/cad to move fro 0.95 to 1.60, its came back all the way just in few years..... we call it MANIPULATION! tHE MOTHER OF.....!

I think we need now 30 years to go back to 1.60.


Melbourne JD 07:15 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
Within in the next month or two, anyone got views on how high the AUD/USD will get to. Is .9500 a reasonable estimate considering AUS strong economy and America in uncertain financial crises.

Prague viktor 04:51 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
G/D oil man..ur euros call was a great u think its a good time to take profit ?? or we still on the beging of a new long way.TIA G/W

Miami AL 00:02 GMT October 14, 2007 Reply   
DS interesting levels you pick out. random or monthly ?
CADJPY April 1990 1.3749 high and 1.5028 the Oct 1978 low
I additionally assume you to be some sort of elliot waver in which case the question is where's your stop?
I can give an argument for 1.26 but anything else for the moment is pie in the sky. fwiw I would have a stop at 1.19 ro go short and additionally would try a short at 1.2415 where the April/July range would equal the Aug to present range


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