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Forex Forum Archive for 10/29/2007

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Gen dk 23:59 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

USA BAY 23:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
MELBOURNE QINDEX,

DR Q, Thanks for the analysis on aud/cad. Appreciate it.

Global-View Research 23:52 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Federal Reserve: 4 Scenarios for Wednesday

Bon Air VA Dennis 23:31 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Moon, reverse the #'s and that me (67) and in the business since the same year - 1967 - seen a bit in that time

lol

London C 22:47 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Just listening to the news here ... '' experts'' are calling for 2 rate cuts here .. 25 pionts this year & 50 next year ....in short - apparently the common folk on the street are in so much debt that any change in interest rates are really effecting their disposable income ( mortgage payments + debt repayment).

more here ---
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/10/08/ntax108.xml

hows this going to effect the economy ??? still feel like buying some pounds?????

LJ BK 22:27 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Maribor 15:46 GMT October 29, 2007

This doesn't tell much because majority of orders are to sell higher and buy lower.. check other pairs, always same story. My guess is that loonie will be an early bird and at this levels it seems a very good mid term bargain to me.

London NYAM 22:11 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Oh DS you do know how to 'stir it up' as bob would say. No need to insult people who have as radical an opposing view as you. Peace and love.

Melbourne Qindex 22:08 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
AUD/CAD :: The current expected trading range from the weekly cycle is 0.8670 - 0.8858. The mid-point reference of 0.8670 - 0.8858 is 0.8764.

FW CS 22:06 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
GENEVA DS 21:13 GMT October 29, 2007
How about the next 100 pips? Or where to set maxiumum stop on downside if wrong? Long term trends are fine but may not help someone make money

Alaska Moon 22:02 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Yes, Dennis......
It is surprising how many different ways a person can make/lose money in this business... I use to tell the new guys... Maybe on different time frames....everyone is correct !!
I am 76 years old, a relative new forex trader..just 4 years...
but I have been around the block a few times !!! LOL
Maybe during these slow times, Jay/John will not kick us off of here !!! LOL
Moon

bris 22:00 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
GENEVA DS 21:41 GMT October 29, 2007
soon they will start selling books about coming crash in these assets......

And because you are not a market self made millionnaire you will still be posting here like everyone here ......

Bon Air VA Dennis 21:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Alaska Moon 21:44 GMT

you, like me, are an old-timer and have seen all these things before. the argument that this time is different jsut doesn't wash with me as I keep going back to that old trading saw about "Sell, sell" and the traders broker responding "To whom, to whom?"

AZUSA 4x-ed 21:52 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Stockholm za 19:02 GMT October 29, 2007
Like the idea and it seems to fit the technical picture. Any thoughts on how GBPCHF will play out?

Alaska Moon 21:44 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
GENEVA DS 21:36 GMT October 29, 2007
=======
I have often wondered ????? In the case of US/CAD....
After the reverse and starting to fall, just when do the contrarians stop following the "trend" and become agressive again ???
"In this world there are NO answers....just questions."
Moon

Philadelphia Caba 21:44 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
DS, almost everything I read over past w/e and today is still very $ bearish..where you got your 'ALL PLANET'..? here on the forum?? lol..

GENEVA DS 21:41 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
most speculators want to be the first ones knowing about trend change... Like Prechter, Marc Faber etc.... they are telling since 3000 in DOW JONES that turn is imminent... (BTW they saw the crash in 87...) but since then they are making their bucks with selling books and newsletters telling about the coming crash... same will probably happen to TOP CRYERS in EURUSD and GOLD and OIL now... soon they will start selling books about coming crash in these assets... gl

GENEVA DS 21:36 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
EURUSD and OIL and GOLD are at the same point now, than USDCAD around 1.1300 when the , PLANET, was telling here it is a buy... now USDCAD is 0.95 and still going to 0.70 as mentioned earlier... the contrarians have just found some new game boys to counter play... gl

Alaska Moon 21:33 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Well....We have to admit...some traders like to call the "trend" their enemy and enjoy waging a battle against it !!! LOL
Moon

Philadelphia Caba 21:29 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
GENEVA DS 21:13 GMT October 29, 2007
got the feeling here that whole planet is about to think EURUSD and GBPUSD and GOLD and OIL is to correct to downside now...

doesn't seems like that to me .....
btw, r u from this planet..? gt/gl!

USA BAY 21:14 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA ZEUS,

Mind explaning your reason for Dollar roaring, I cant see it roaring till end and 1st quarter of 2008. tia

GENEVA DS 21:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
got the feeling here that whole planet is about to think EURUSD and GBPUSD and GOLD and OIL is to correct to downside now... Market behaviour is telling PARABOLIC RISE TO START.... targets short term ( 3Month) ... EURUSD 1.5900, GBPUSD 2.2750, OIL 138 GOLD 1075 USD.... UFFF... and May be AUSSIE for all Bears down there is AUDUSD 1,10 !!! so lets make some bucks there.... let us be contrarian of all these contrarians.... but let us be flexible in case everything goes wrong... i.e.. EUR USD breaks below 14100... then it will be over for a moment.... gt

USA Zeus 20:57 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Nice to see the AskJeeves themes here lately.
Well smth (besides my book) tells me the USD is about to come roaring back. Let's see.

Happy Trades!

USA BAY 20:06 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex,

Dr Q, any idea where aud/cad is heading to. tia

PAR 19:58 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Kampo aiming for stops in USDJPY above 115.00 as BOJ may lower Japanese growth forecasts due to slowing US economy and indicate possible japanese rate cut .

Melbourne Qindex 19:58 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USD/CAD: Heading Towards 0.9492

The distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart indicates that the market is heading towards 0.9492. The projected series of the monthly cycle suggests that the market may challenge the lower barrier at 0.9130 // 0.9202.

London NYAM 19:47 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
BUD PS 18:50 GMT//lowered sto on that to under .9473. i dont see Cad able to sustain these levels for now. But hey if the institutions agree great! .9475 will be tough and the dollar is way oversold.

Maribor 19:41 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
NYC NYC3 18:15 GMT October 29, 2007
CME futures is tiny does it even matter?

That is what I consider good question and would invite others to comment...

My reasoning is that CME is one of the places where naked risk(unhedged positions) of some good big players can be seen. I guess other places for unhedged risk are MM, where MM take opposite positions against retail investors and hold them when they can not sell them further with immidiate profit. Third big place for unhedged risk are central banks. Majority of (institutional) players I guess are not allowed to take naked risk.

As CME open (unhedged) positions are relatively low, I guess they can only be compared with daily turnover taking into account that (according to some data) open position among fx (bank) participants last only 10 mins...With that in mind, it seems possible that 2 trillion(?) USD fx daily turnover translates in relatively low open unhedged positions.

Anybody?

PAR 19:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FOMC meetings are fantastic for stocks . Stocks go up in anticipation of the fed and discount rate cut . Stocks go up after the fed and discount rate are cut . And finally stocks go up when the minutes of the meeting are published. Life can be simple .

Stockholm za 19:02 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
re............
GBP/USD >> eyes on the zones….. spikes good to go….. 2,0666 needed if the brake out is real to clear the traps…
Happy trades….

beirut 19:00 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
sell gbp now target 2.0560 stop loss 50 pips

yt tomi 18:56 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
A man has been placed on the sex offenders’ register after being caught trying to have sex with a bicycle.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/10/26/nsex126.xml&CMP=ILC-mostviewedbox

jkt rick 18:52 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
cheney says strategic oil supply is not intended for bringing price of oil down. and why would the oil tycoon want lower oil prices? he says hes happy with federal reserve, dollar is moving in the right direction, thats because most of his money is in canadian dollars. the problem is with the us politicial system if they paid a salary of $75-100 million dollars rather then a measly 150k- 300k a year, politicians might work for the country than for themselves.

BUD PS 18:50 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 14:39 GMT October 29, 2007
that was a big switch on USDCAD! just went long half size at .9589 add at .9556 stop at .9544.

getting a lift w/ you on this one...
_http://www.pfxglobal.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=639

USA Zeus 18:47 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Van jv 18:34 GMT October 29, 2007
jv- Thx and same to you as well. Was stopped out earlier on oil so sending out fresh troops for another attempt.

cheers!

madrid mm 18:46 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 18:40 GMT October 29, 2007
Alaska Moon 18:38 GMT October 29, 2007

8-(o

London NYAM 18:40 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 18:35//spoken from someone living in Spain to soemone living in Alaska. Very amusing!

Alaska Moon 18:38 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
LOL !!!

madrid mm 18:35 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Alaska Moon 18:19 GMT October 29, 2007

that is the price you pay when you live in hot place !!! 8-)

Alaska Moon 18:35 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
NYC NYC3 18:26 GMT October 29, 2007
====
I just have to laugh......I have heard or read "gloom and doom"
for so many years that now I am in the "cry wolf" syndrome...
LOL
It is probable not fair for me to think about real estate woes, which I know really do exist in a lot of areas. Here in my area there appeares to be no change in real estate...Homes just continue to increase in value each year.....
I am intelligent enough to know....looking at one area does not change the woes of others.....
Good Luck..
Moon

Van jv 18:34 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 18:29
Hope you will make it with all shorts/so do I hope with mine small only/--seems Ur pocket is deep enough

madrid mm 18:34 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
I can easily imagine senor O'neal sayingto the board " Can i have that in Euro please gentlemen ? "
8-)

USA Zeus 18:29 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Fresh crude oil shorts 93.68

NYC NYC3 18:26 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
alaska, i think it goes to the question of
do conditions make mkts or do mkts make conditions?

strung out EURO buyers NEED to think the US is in recession, the mkt makes them want to think so.

This is why we are on the cusp of a major reversal.

London NYAM 18:24 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
NYC NYC3 18:18//yeah always. currently mostrlikely count is a c-wave correction targeting 115.30-60. failure occurs at 114.27

PAR 18:20 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
If O Neal spent his $ 159 million bonus before Christmas the shopping season could be up for a nice start . Unfortunately I never got paid for loosing money, but it seems the more you loose the bigger the bonusses.

Alaska Moon 18:19 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
HK [email protected] 18:09 GMT October 29, 2007
========
There may be some areas of the USA that are in recession, but it SURE is not where I live...We have had the normal
inflation of cost of living .
Good Luck...
Moon

NYC NYC3 18:18 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
anyone want to takea crack a a YEN elliot count?

NYC NYC3 18:15 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
the CME doesn't divide investors for the COT, The CFTC defines the categories.

CME futures is tiny does it even matter?

Maribor 18:14 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
HK [email protected] 18:09 GMT October 29, 2007

Economists find out that few percent(~2-5%) of wealth created by rising prices of equity(stock and immobilien) go to comsumption.

NYC NYC3 18:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
In theory higher stk mkt valuations make people "feel" richer and they spend more. In reality its not like joe6pac, sells hie GOOG to buya new sofa. he doesn't own GOOG.

housing is drowning, rightly so, but the rest of the US economy is plugging along.

madrid mm 18:12 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
PAR 18:03 GMT October 29, 2007

more so for as Merrill Lynch & Co.'s Stan O'Neal ...
I wish i was a banker !!! 8-)

HK [email protected] 18:12 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
All time yen above 114.65 115.20 is still a target s/l 114.45

madrid mm 18:10 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
PAR 17:04 GMT October 29, 2007

8-) who needs paper anymore anyway when a lot of transactions are done through plastic and off balance sheet ..!!!! 8-)

Maribor 18:10 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Bon Air VA Dennis 17:51 GMT October 29, 2007

I think CME divide big investors whether they hedge their positions some way(commercials) or have naked positions(are taking risk), labeled as non-commercials.

Question before was not the name given to any class of investors, but conclusions regarding exchange rate(if any) out of positioning of particular class of investors.

HK [email protected] 18:09 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
PAR 18:03 GMT October 29, 2007

I can understand the side of the bonusses of those close to wall street plate, but how can higher stock market boost consumer spending, if the people have no money to end the month. America is in recession. Maybe if the stock market will make a big correction no one will spend anything.

PAR 18:03 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
New all time lows on US dollar wil mean new all time highs on Us stock markets, which is good for Wall Street bonusses , will boost consumer spending and help the Us housing market .

Bon Air VA Dennis 17:51 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Maribor 17:17 GMT

I believe institutions are considered "non commercials" in that they are not "producers" and it would be more appropriate in forex and interest rates to call the categories "professional" and "non-professional - ie. retail" traders.

London NYAM 17:48 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
zeus joined you on a short at 2.0629 (under a fib cluster). 2.0777 may be to deep a s/l for me though. good luck.

Geronimo/I think if you are going to tally pips you may want to consider two factors: 1. Risk adjusted for position sizing and 2. Ratio ajdusted for currency pip to usd values. A pip in Eur GBP is more than 3 times as valuable as a pip in Usdjpy for instance.

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
fwiw, just posted a moment ago on gvi:

Mtl JP 17:16 GMT October 29, 2007
buddy just pointed out that CAD/$ rate of 1.05 = $/CAD rate of .9524. CAD/$ 1.05 c(sh)ould initially hold

London Geronimo140 17:18 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Long usd/cad 0.9536 bid for 0.9582 stop 0.9521

Maribor 17:17 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
BUD PS 16:24 GMT October 29, 2007

"Institutional investors are still net short the USD/CAD"(pfxglobal) - well, COT data shows that "non-commercials" are net short USDCAD, so "institutional investors" are "non-commercials" according to COT...unfortunately small speculators are not aligned to non-commercials, as data on two retail platforms shows retail investors are approx 60% net long USDCAD.

Where did you get that retail investors have similar positioning as "institutional investors"?

USA Zeus 17:17 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Final short allocation in on GBP/USD 2.0631
Stop 2.0777
Happy Day!

Lahore FM 17:10 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
certainly an interesting start for FOMC week.hope it gets even more so.jpy likely to take still some more heat.

PAR 17:04 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Hearing Fed is looking for cheaper paper to print Us dollar notes. Paper is getting too expensive compared to the nominal value .Lol.

London Geronimo140 16:40 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Short eur/jpy at 165.31 for 164.53 stop 165.57 bid

BUD PS 16:24 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Maribor 16:17 GMT October 29, 2007

afraid you gather it wrong on USD/CAD -- look at the institutionals and compare it to the USD/CAD chart. guess one of the rare occasion retail went hand in hand w/ institutionals...
_http://www.pfxglobal.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=639

HK [email protected] 16:20 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Yen likely to move to 115.20

FW CS 16:19 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
retail postioning as in specs usually wrong whcih is why 90% of them do not last too long in this business

Maribor 16:17 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
BUD PS 16:07 GMT October 29, 2007

It is not the size of positions, it is where to take money. USDCAD positioning was reliable for exchange rate development...but it is not always.

BUD PS 16:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 16:10 GMT October 29, 2007

let's wait for wednesday's play ;) most expects an 'automatic' 25bps, rest 50bps. what if they lower by 25bps only? I guess we would see some pick up in usd

Bon Air VA Dennis 16:12 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
BUD PS 16:07 GMT

perhaps but then there are those who have made a issue of the "Japanese Housewives" as a mkt driving force and people believed it and several people post comments on retail short positions on various platforms and that seems to foster some EUR positive thinking among "analysts"

St. Annaland Bob 16:10 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   

currently, USD is an orphan

BUD PS 16:07 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Maribor 15:46 GMT October 29, 2007

how much does retail account out of the total volume? 2-3%? I don't think following retail will take you thru...

Maribor 15:46 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
AUDUSD retail positioning(on Oan..) shows customers are net long and want to buy more at lower prices. That seems like perfect conditions for (abruptly) lower exchange rate...unfortunate on EURUSD and EURGBP they are short...

London NYAM 15:22 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Good theory USA Z. It may be early though we shall see.
Lowering my second limit order at .9556 (missed by one pip) to .9531 and adding one at .9500 lowering my stop to .9469 for the lot.

USA Zeus 14:48 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Well right or wrong here is the theory- USD is likely to strengthen on the heels of the FOMC announcement. If they don't cut then WOW. If they do cut then there are multiple interpretations of the meaning and posturing of vocabulary. So, USD has been weaker but there is a major risk of possible strengthening which means perhaps the USD strengthens into a more neutral risk stance going in. Then again it is only an opinion and I put my money where my mouth is- right or wrong. We'll soon see.

Happy Day!

London NYAM 14:39 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
that was a big switch on USDCAD! just went long half size at .9589 add at .9556 stop at .9544.

London NYAM 14:18 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USDCAD gave me a buy signal at .9618. targeting .9690-.9720
Should be good for all dollar longs

HK Kevin 14:07 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM & Plovdiv Gotin, many thanks.

London NYAM 13:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
kev:
13:16
Please note that today's high bid in EURUSD is 1.4438. Prices and Trade shows a wrong price due to a misfeed.

Gen dk 13:53 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Plovdiv Gotin 13:50 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
HK Kevin 13:43 GMT October 29, 2007
1.4438

Global-View 13:43 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
rag (and others) - please post a recognizable location - there is no excuse not to as you only have to do it once then click save in the template

HK Kevin 13:43 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
dear all, what is the high of EUR today, why I see 1.4476 at censored?

rag bar 13:40 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
censored98 = i*m*g98

rag bar 13:35 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
a short eur/usd at 1.4436 was not a bad idea...

http://censored98.imageshack.us/censored98/7894/screenhunter05oct291529wi1.jpg

London Geronimo140 13:33 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 12:58 GMT October 29, 2007
the number is the pips I made since I started posting last thursday.It's the product gain+loss and I always take 5 points off to include the largest spread , so that's really 140 pips(checkable through the archives of that forum of course), actually 150 with the last trade but nevermind.I'm doing this 'cause I believe I have a relevant system and want to share it. Plus, posting on such a forum make me think twice before acting. It's stimulating.
There is no particular event left for today, so I'm off. I'll have an other look at 4 pm london time.
Cheers mate, and thank you all for your support.

London Geronimo140 13:33 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 12:58 GMT October 29, 2007
the number is the pips I made since I started posting last thursday.It's the product gain+loss and I always take 5 points off to include the largest spread , so that's really 140 pips(checkable through the archives of that forum of course), actually 150 with the last trade but nevermind.I'm doing this 'cause I believe I have a relevant system and want to share it. Plus, posting on such a forum make me think twice before acting. It's stimulating.
There is no particular event left for today, so I'm off. I'll have an other look at 4 pm london time.
Cheers mate, and thank you all for your support.

BUD PS 13:27 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London Geronimo // not bad, scalper ;-)

Plovdiv Gotin 13:03 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London Geronimo140 12:54 GMT October 29, 2007
close eur/usd short at .86
Good for U mate.

London NYAM 12:58 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London Geronimo140// Congrats on your contra profits. May I ask the reasoning behind your different handle numbers?

melbourne DC 12:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
ECB
monetary policy ... remain hawkish . wants one more hike .
Exchange rates ... US should be serious re what it says ie strong usd.
opinion only .

London Geronimo140 12:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
close eur/usd short at .86

London Geronimo110 12:50 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
close usd/chf long at .57

Mumbai NS 12:23 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Aussy has very quietly fallen and it's close today will have huge messages gl gt

London Geronimo65 12:20 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
euro short target has changed , 1.4378 bid instead of 1.4364 initially, stop at breakeven
Usd/chf stop loss at .30 bid

GVI john 12:07 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
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Rio Tinto Analistafx 11:39 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
KL KL 11:09 GMT October 29, 2007
wow...lets see

KL "lets see" its not a good advisor to trade. You must be more confident when trading more sure about what you are trading.
Lahore FM finally "yours" 2.0600 target in gbpusd
GT & GL

Gen dk 11:38 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Mumbai NS 11:28 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FM forgot to add agree with ur current directional call

isr jweb 11:19 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
lahore fm. your sign is here on gbp/jpy to go in now or wait for a dip?

thanqs

London NYAM 11:18 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Stopped out of my short 2.0611.
decent selling profit taking on EURGBP helping drive this cable run through 2.0600. 2.0630-60 now on the table unless 2.0580 breaks.

KL KL 11:09 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
wow...added again short 2.0612 sl 2.0622...lets see

KL KL 11:07 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
ok in short gbpusd 2.0602 sl 2.0612....lets see


its about time to do a bit of ninja swift attack

Mumbai NS 11:07 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FM 240 don't u think sounds stretched gl gt

Lahore FM 11:02 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai NS 10:59 GMT October 29, 2007
lolzzzzz.....

Mumbai NS 10:59 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FM thik hai sahab archives hi dekhta hoon phir ty gl gt

Lahore FM 10:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai NS 10:22 GMT October 29, 2007
NS dear,view is exactly as is happening.do check archives if you like.

London NYAM 10:36 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
looks like a decent breakout on USDJPY should take us to 115.50-80

Mumbai NS 10:22 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FM gud day what is ur view there mate gl gt

Lahore FM 10:17 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
usdjpy and jpy crosses doing their little trick.

London NYAM 10:17 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
shorted USDGBP 2.0584 s/l 2.0611 target 2.0540 then possbly 2.0470
Fib cluster at 2.0595 to 2.0610 break and next custer s betweenn 2.0630 and 2.0660 with strength on the lower boundry.

Lahore FM 09:58 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 09:55 GMT October 29, 2007
thanx mm.one can always re-learn that.

madrid mm 09:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
The action of trading can be extremely emotional if you let it....

Remember, not every trade is a winner. We all have losses and always will. There are 4 outcomes to a trade:
1) Small Loss
2) Big Loss
3) Small Gain
4) Big Gain

As you can see, all we have to do is eliminate #2 and we are happy to live with the other three. Hope this was helpful. 8-)

London NYAM 09:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London Geronimo65 09:11// I noticed your call and was checking against my system for a minor top and it looked exactly right to me. Didnt post as i didnt see any point in cheerleading. Keep up the good posts they helped me to see something too.

madrid mm 09:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
it looks like the USD/YEn is holding quite well so far +/- 114 lvl.....It feels "strange" to me...8-)

The calm b4 the storm maybe ?!?! 8-)

Bris 09:36 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
jkt rick 08:53 GMT October 29, 2007

What are your views on the aud/usd rocket ???
Thanks

Lahore FM 09:33 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
GENEVA DS 09:29 GMT October 29, 2007
yep DS,i agree!we shall all work to maintain the freedom of speech on this wonderful forum.no need to pick bones,hair split or find fault.after all if need be one can use the proverbial pinch of salt with any number of posts.good trades!

GENEVA DS 09:29 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   

LAHORE... Congrats.... and c here my remarks....
GENEVA DS 12:21 GMT October 28, 2007
quito_ecuador_valdez 00:00 GMT October 27, 2007
Alaska Moon 19:43 GMT October 26, 2007


Hi guys
was quite surprised to read these comments about talking the book. As far as I know, we are all free to write and do not first to ask somebody else if we are allowed to.... It is wonderful in this forum to have people, WHO HAVE THE GUTS to speak about their positions. We all then have to learn, which information suits our trading style, because VERY OBVIOUSLY not all are speaking from the same time frame and that is SUPER... And if you think , one writer is specifically always completely wrong, then take ADVANTAGE of that one and use it as your barometer... I think , we all had to learn in our careers , what we can use for good and what we can use for contrarian... I think , this is the WHOLE SECRET about this wonderful profession ...SPECULATOR.... continue to have fun reading good and bad comments in this forum... I LIKE IT !!! Thanks to the creators of it... and keep going.. wonderful W/E

Mumbai NS 09:28 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
There is always opportunity to trade with or against the trend in any market and one shuld remain calm and humble in words and deeds even if we donot agree ...peace gt

Lahore FM 09:24 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
UK Eddie 09:02 GMT October 29, 2007
Eddie,why shud you bother with Geronimo's posts.he has broken no norms and after all it is a free forum.this also includes freedom'not to read' the posts that one does not want to.gtgl!

London Geronimo65 09:11 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
UK Eddie 09:02 GMT October 29, 2007
! Rubbish hey? my stop are tight, there are no special news today concerning chf( good environnement for a retracement), and I've made 65 points since I started posting on thursday(you can check the archives if you have nothing else to do).(The counter is next to Geronimo.)I had a short eur/jpy which the 30 pips target has been missed by 3 points. Nobody is forced to follow my call. I just believe my system is good enough to share my view.
my calls are making 35 pips right now.
Be cool man.

GENEVA DS 09:09 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
looks to me as we are entering !!! now in a PARABOLIC phase with EURUSD and GBPUSD and GOLD and OIL..., probably good timing to buy 2 week calls and puts... on all... as the turn will probably not happen here, where the whole contrarian crowd wants to have it... EUR USD can go very quickly to 1.5100 before eventually returning to close the gaps around 13800 ish... good luck to u all..

UK Eddie 09:02 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
London Geronimo85 08:13 GMT October 29, 2007

Stop posting rubbish here

pls try to encourage beginners

if yu are longing U/chf keep to yurself.

Gen dk 08:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

jkt rick 08:53 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
hv been short euro 1.436, 1.437, 1.440, 1.4420 average shorts at 1.4388
have short orders every 20 pips with stop losses above 1.5090

BUD PS 08:14 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
indonesia 07:56 GMT October 29, 2007

I'm long (half lot) from 2.0520, want to add another on break of 2.0585

London Geronimo85 08:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Long usd/chf at 1.1610 for 1.1660 stop 1.1588 bid

indonesia 07:56 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
how abaout GBP/usd for the day

London Geronimo65 07:51 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Short eur/usd at 1.4427 for 1.4364 , stop at 1.4440 bid

Calcutta Vikram 07:43 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Blore RKG 07:29 / Thanks and No Problem. I will mail you from my other E-mail ID.

Blore RKG 07:29 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram - thanks for that post on GVI - i havent been able to reach you by mail. I should thank Jay for his help as i also tried to get it from him (which was the same i have in my list). Would you pls mind sending a test mail.

sorry for bringing this up here - could not think of another way.

tia

HK [email protected] 07:13 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
I am still holding to my previous view about yen that.............

HK [email protected] 00:43 GMT October 19, 2007
Good morning all!!!

USD/YEN: By this time chances have increased for yen to target the [112,112.50] band.

I really don't find yet a reason to discard it.

Lahore FM 06:57 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
nothing can match the stealth of jpy.

Hong Kong BL 06:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 06:47 GMT October 29, 2007
A couple left to go- short GBP/USD 2.0576

Hi, Zeus/ shorting the GBP/USD for short term ?
what's your take profit target for today?
Good trading.

jkt rick 06:54 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
keep selling euros all the way to 1.50, the rally is great but the drop is always faster then the rally

USA Zeus 06:47 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
A couple left to go- short GBP/USD 2.0576

Bodrum OEE 06:47 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Bodrum OEE 06:28 GMT October 29, 2007
AZUSA 4x-ed 06:22 GMT October 29, 2007

not a major move, in fact a very minor one, yet was consuming.

good week to you all

madrid mm 06:46 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
* US VP Dick Cheney, in CNBC, says US Strategic Petroleum Reserve should be used for oil supply disruptions and not to try to lower oil prices. US believes in strong USD. Fed is doing a good job. Adjustment of USD based on market is exactly what's happening.

* US Treasury Sec Henry Paulson: strong USD in US interest, should be based on mkt forces. China needs to move faster on CNY, India should accelerate economic liberalisation.

* Saudi CB Governor: there is no change in Gulf Arab FX policy. Finmins will decide on 2010 deadline for monetary union.

* IMF Rodgrigo Rato says Gulf Arab states must follow monetary policy that is consistent with their currency peg to the USD. No need to drop currency pegs to the USD.

* IMF Rato says consequences of global credit crunch not fully seen yet, will be felt more in 2008. Recent moves in FX "in line with fundamentals". CNY, Asian FX should reflect mkt forces better.

* Gold hit fresh 28-yr highs $794.40.

* Oil new all tim highs $93.20.

* PBoC set USD/CNY mid rate a new low of 7.4718.

* NZ trade deficit for Sept at NZD554m, vs 800m expected.

* WSJ: Merrill Lynch's CEO Stan O'Neal's resignation is expected to be announced as early as today.

* UK Hometrack house prices slow to +4.4%y/y in October, to its weakest in more than a year since Sept 06.

* Anglo-Swiss miner Xstrata offers AUD3.1b for Australia's Jubilee. While Canada's Northgate offers AUD278m for Aust's Peseverance.

* Changes in Time effective over the weekend. 1) Australia Clocks go forward 1 hour, Sydney now GMT+11 hours. 2) Continental Europe Clocks go back by 1 hour, new time now GMT+1. 3) UK clocks go back by 1 hour too, new time is GMT now. 4) US and Canada clocks will go back by 1 hour this Sun, Nov 4, with NY Time returning to GMT -5.

* Clocks may change, but still no change to weak USD, as EUR hit fresh all time highs of 1.4426, breaching 1.44 barriers as Australia comes in 1hr earlier. USD INDEX new lows 76.8242/ Cross/JPY carry trades in demand on fresh >$6-7bln worth of toushin this week, though some focus on possible JPY repatriation on back of Italy/Spanish eurozone $8.56bln coupons + EUR26.74bln redemption this week, with Spain's EUR13.79bln on Oct 31, Wednesday and Italy's EUR21.57bln on Nov 1, Thursday- but given the firm Cross/JPY, impact may be minimal.

* USD/JPY higher on Cross/JPY, but weighed by Japanese exporters offers 114.50/115, while talks Kampo bids 113.80. Talks of huge 114.25 expiry today, NY 10 am cut.

* AUD stars again breaking 0.92 to fresh 23-yr high 0.9246 on JPY carry trades, higher oil, gold, M+A, A$3.1b Xstrata - Jubilee. AUD/JPY hit 2-wk highs of 105.50, NZD/JPY hit 1-wk highs 881.0, helped by narrower deficit. CAD at new 33-yr highs of 0.9582.

JPY carry trade, EUR, GBP, CAD, NZD up, could rise on firmer US stocks as Merrill could extend rise on CEO exit, extending the 5.83% gains on Friday, further boosted by Microsoft.

Nikkei +208.03pts or 1.26^ at 16,713.66. JGBs firmer, 10-yr yield -0.015% at 1.600%.

Gold prices hit fresh 28-yr highs on weaker oil, higher oil.

Crude oil hit new highs on Mexico outages.

madrid mm 06:44 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Hello anf GM FX forumer ! 8-)

Bodrum OEE 06:28 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
AZUSA 06:22 GMT October 29, 2007

4x-ed

very kind of you as always. I was a bit involved (in a media acquisition project) lately. I look forward to posting again, yet in a more structured way (i hope).

all my best

kind regards

AZUSA 4x-ed 06:22 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Bodrum OEE 06:14 GMT October 29, 2007
Just fine OEE, thank you... missed your updates last week. Hope you'll keep us posted!

Kind regards

Bodrum OEE 06:14 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA

4x-ed
Zeus

I hope all is well on your side.

best wishes

AZUSA 4x-ed 06:11 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Interesting point since we're still talking subprime: "A swift cleanup of bank balance sheets is important, as the risk that slowing growth into next year will catch up with corporations that were taken private. If consumption slows amidst rising negative housing wealth effects, sales and cash-flows could easily be hurt at these highly leveraged corporations; those holding their debt could be hurt by rising delinquencies and defaults. In the worst case, we could have turmoil in the corporate debt universe similar to this year’s subprime meltdown."

Happy hunting!

USA Zeus 06:06 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Short GBP/USD 2.0560

Halifax CB 05:14 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Syd .. 04:53 GMT October 29, 2007
Has Paulson ever defined exactly what a strong dollar is? (Personally, I think they are as happy to see it falling as I am - since in the long run it's good for US primary industries, but unlike me, they can't say so :)

USA Zeus 05:02 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
More gold shorts @ 797.50. Would add once more before setting a stop on this one.

tchau

Syd .. 04:53 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
US Tsy Paulson: China Should Let Yuan Strengthen Faster
US Tsy Paulson Repeats Strong Dollar In US Interest
US Tsy Paulson: Strong Rupee Hasn't Hurt India Econ

USA Zeus 03:31 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Added more gold shorts @ 796.30

toronto Dr Unken Katt 03:27 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
well you know cableyena ,she can reach any level in a couple dayz
its my hypo-thesis , dayly stox still hav e plenty of room up

Hong Kong YH 03:09 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
toronto Dr Unken Katt 03:05 GMT October 29, 2007

your entry is very far. you think GBP/JPY can go to that level?

toronto Dr Unken Katt 03:05 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
cableyen will be short at 23830

FW CS 02:55 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 02:49 GMT October 29, 2007
Many thanks and always good luck. lets both make money!

USA Zeus 02:49 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
FW CS 02:29 GMT October 29, 2007

CS- Thx for the mighty compliment and views. All respect.
Tossed a coin and said the FOMC will cut rates. Market may have a zig-zag see-saw interpretation of what it means- either worse anticipation on the horizon or stimulus for growth or both but at different times. Adding earns season should be a good time to rock and roll in the markets. Then as this period dies down the LT cycle reversal for the mighty buck may be in play. Let's see...
GT!

USA Zeus 02:45 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Added gold shorts 794.60

FW CS 02:29 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 02:23 GMT October 29, 2007
O might Zeus, though our economic views differ night and day I respect you as a trader and for the fact you post your entries and exits. Most of the time they are excellent entries. Can't win them all :(
Perhaps you can peer out of your heights from Olympus thru your oracle and see what the Fed will do this Wednesday

Hong Kong YH 02:26 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
california 01:30 GMT October 29, 2007

seem attractive to short GBP/JPY, I am planning too

USA Zeus 02:23 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
Stopped out on crude shorts.

california 01:30 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
anybodys thinking of short GBP/JPY?

california 01:30 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
anybodys thinking of short GBP/JPY?

USA Zeus 00:15 GMT October 29, 2007 Reply   
AZUSA 4x-ed 23:41 GMT October 28, 2007
Brilliant Professor!

 




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