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Forex Forum Archive for 04/30/2007

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Melbourne Qindex 23:57 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD : The following is still valid in Asian session

Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT April 30, 2007
EUR/USD (Daily Cycle) : Trading Reference


... 1.3592 - 1.3605 // 1.3618* - 1.3631 - 1.3644 - 1.3657* - 1.3670 - 1.3683* // 1.3696 - 1.3709 ...


Significant levels are marked with *.
censored

USA Zeus 23:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
LT USD/CAD to 1.20, 1.30, 1.40, 1.50+
USD/JPY 125, 150, 175, 200+

USA Zeus 23:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
LT can sell GBP/USD building a position at 2.00 then 2.01, 2.02, 2.03, 2.04 if seen. Can hold for 1.85 then 1.75, 1.5 and below...

Mtl JP 23:50 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Like the Roman god Janus with two faces — one looking forward, one back — and master of beginnings and endings: Subprime lending crisis - Defaults on US subprime mortgages have caused market mayhem around the world - FT

Contained eh, or contained my arse ? party time !

USA Zeus 23:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Also still anticipating EUR/USD to tap 1.3777

USA Zeus 23:44 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Anticipating EUR/USD to strike magnets 1.3277, 1.2777, 1.2277 by Jan 1 2008.

USA BAY 23:37 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA ZEUS,

Care to explain a bit more on the paradise. Thanks

Syd 23:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Australia April Performance Of Mfg Index -0.7 Pts Vs March
Australia's manufacturing sector recorded slower growth in April, a performance gauge produced by an industry group published Tuesday shows.

The Australian Industry Group-PricewaterhouseCoopers Australian Performance of Manufacturing Index fell 0.7 points in April from March to 51.7.

Though weaker, the result is still above the 50.00 level separating expansion from contraction.

The softer reading was due to sluggish production growth which slowed to its weakest since May 2006.

Concerns about further rises in interest rates, a stronger Australian dollar and consumer spending saw growth in new orders and supplier deliveries fall for a second consecutive month, the survey found.

Employment growth recovered slightly after a modest decline in March.

Ai Group Chief Executive Heather Ridout said although cost and consumer price pressures eased in the month, manufacturers remain concerned about the strength of the Australian dollar.

The stronger exchange rate led to the first fall in exports in ten months, the survey found.

USA Zeus 23:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Looks like all signs point to another day in paradise here.
GL GT!

London NYAM 22:36 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd//Construction contracts are already being prepared for building works next year. It willl take 3-4 years of preperation. Hey i could be wrong of course.
gnight really really

Syd 22:30 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 22:18 2012 a long way off

London NYAM 22:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd// The london heavy uk market will maintain its composure because the underlying construction oriented economy will be redirected to many projects inclusing massive infrastructure overhauling and preps for the games in 2012. So a correction i believe will slough off the by-to-let market it will soon be recovered at advantadious prices to a mass of people still out-priced by the market waiting for a chance to get in. The economy can shrug it off.
JP//yeap i am told that if i want to get the best price i should tell him direction becuase we are essentially in the same team and the trader is not interested in profiting from my trade as he already recieves a commission of 3/3.

Gen dk 22:16 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

texasbp 22:08 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
viies:

whats your view on euro pls?

thanks'

Syd 21:53 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
London NYAM 21:34 GMT yes I agree what your saying the same goes for New York but the rest of the country are feeling the pinch now, I lived through most of the UK recessions , know the pain it can cause to the normal man in the street , their home is their castle and pension

LINK

LINK

Mtl JP 21:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NYAM your dealer gives u a quote only "after insisting i give direction". Do I understand you correctly ?

London NYAM 21:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
JP i wasnt suggesting that you or anyone on the forum was unhelpful at all. I meant that i have to manually call an institution and get their in house trader to give me a quote after insisting i give direction as if not to is a failure of trust on my part. So not wanting to rock the elationship of our company with theirs i have to eat really bad prices.
Anyway when i get the go ahead to change platforms i will certainly see what gv has to offer.

London NYAM 21:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
and finaly before bed-time:
still holdiing long cable from 1.9938 with stop profit set above cost. I expect a further correction to stall around 1.9975 wih limited risk to 1.9965 and a further resumption of the up trend. Should it fail then a wider sideways correction is likely extending range trading for two to 5 trading days.
gnight

Tallinn viies 21:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
GS comment:
Price action today worried more technicians about trends then much else. The equity market had a nasty technical flip-flop. The DJIA printed a new record high intraday and then closes down 0.5%. This has been linked to simple profit-taking as the DJIA is up 5% on the month. Selling was broad-based and only 2 sectors weathered the ugly selling. The NASDAQ finished down 1.2%. What does this selling mean for FX or bonds? The core PCE was benign enough to encourage the view that the FED will ease in 2007 as the economy stalls. The key link to a FED ease remains unemployment so pencil in the Wednesday ADP, tomorrow’s ISM employment and, of course, fear the Friday May 4 Non-Farm Payrolls. Fear seemed to beat out greed in other markets as well today – which started with the mess in Turkey thanks to the military reminding the government of its power and its interest in a secular (non-religious) government. The FX market saw a 5% divot in the TRY and the rates blew up 1%. But we close back from the USD highs (1.3650 from 1.39) and the rest of the EM world didn’t budge – though it started to get ugly into our close thanks to illiquidity. May 1 holiday is respected in most of the world except US and a few other hold-outs. The rate moves in the US didn’t do as much damage to the USD as some would expect but many link that correlation break to the wait for decisions from the RBA, BOE, ECB and others. China reserve rate move over the weekend is viewed as a precursor to another rate hike later. So the fact that commodities went down makes some sense – and that the USD held was more a risk cut story than anything good from the US data today – with the ChiPMI lower than expected, the inflation rate lower and the view of the world still holding that the US slows and the rest of the world does better. Hard to be a USD bull in such a place – but the fear of position liquidation continued to nag. Greed was shown clearly in the less worn trades today – CAD particularly. That may be the story to follow in May. The fear of May 2006 redux hangs like aging beef – waiting for the butcher. That only ensures that history won’t repeat itself – but it may well rhyme and it won’t be a funny limerick. The worries are well-known: 1) Trade issues with China; 2) Geopolitical fallout from Iraq; 3) The political risks in France, Turkey and the US as others as they face elections; 4) Policy mistakes from central bankers as they hike too much and kill global growth; 5) Inflation as the natural outcome of higher oil and too much money in the global system; 6) Credit over extension leading to significant systemic hits to financial institutions as the punch bowl gets withdrawn from the party –witness LBO press, equities and other push into alternative investments; 7) Demographics –world faces a much older population in Europe, US and Japan and younger in the emerging world –how will the services, wealth and growth ahead be rationalized under the present global systems. May could be a very big month to watch.

GVI john 21:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Daily Forex Charts...
EUR/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF GBP/USD EUR/GBP EUR/JPY
EUR/CHF AUD/USD GBP/JPY GBP/CHF USD/CAD CHF/JPY

Access accurate and free GVI


04/30/07							
	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY
1900GMT	1.3651	119.53	1.2076	1.9994	1.1088	0.6828	163.08
High	1.3679	119.76	1.2105	2.0031	1.1196	0.6836	163.15
Low	1.3589	119.15	1.203	1.9842	1.105	0.6819	162.41
							
Simple mva	 						
5 day 	1.3632	119.22	1.2014	1.9913	1.1133	0.6804	161.56
10 day	1.3607	119.04	1.2026	1.9941	1.1188	0.6786	161.06
20 day 	1.3517	119.08	1.2085	1.9826	1.1315	0.6785	160.16
50 day 	1.3349	118.41	1.2131	1.9600	1.1509	0.6774	157.26
100 day	1.3200	119.14	1.2221	1.9565	1.1587	0.6712	156.59
200 day	1.2999	118.08	1.2284	1.9226	1.1409	0.6725	152.93

Mtl JP 21:37 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NYAM 21:02 / not sure what toolbox you bring that "hasnt helped me personnaly at all"; forum has savvy traders w/industry knowhow, maybe someone will volunteer to chat u up, else concider talk w/g-v gatekeeprs for suggestion.

London NYAM 21:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd// Great report ...but a housig correction seems certainly to be in the offing but one must also look at the reional effects too. London bears most of the so-called overvaluation but it also has more than all the other cities a massive wealth base constantly infused at the higher end by wealthy, largly foreign buyers. It is still londonistan and will warp the rest of property around it. This spillage excess will doubtless hurt consumption andbuilding short term but structurally london is different. It can absorb much of the damage as long as its position as financila center remains strong and the global fiancial economy remains on an even keel.
It will not, a wager, be as catastrophic as it is expected to be. imvho

Syd 21:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
ABN Amro Report
ABN is making absolutely clear that UK housing market will crash with a much greater bang than the US. ABN's full-length House Truths report
LINK

Syd 21:11 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Rip-off Britain back with a vengeance
The Middle-Classes Are Revolting

London NYAM 21:02 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
JP// The cut throut aspect is understandable, i suppose but so in my face. My boss won't allow a transition to online trading paltform as he is old school and wants to retain bank-relationship links. He has a point, but when every single trade i get is 8 pips off the bid (basically 5 pips off the spread) i start to really get irritated. Then again, maybe the GV ticker and the dailyfx rates are off...but every time?! Of course the bank manager is oblivious and is sure their in-house trader is giving a good rate and my screen isnt the market yada yada, but how stupid do they think I am. So i went to another institution to see about using them and they gave me this: 5 pip spread with 5 pip in and 5 pip out commission(maybe 4/4 if i trade a full lot at least 5 times a week. So that was even worse.
I will just have to eat it until i can run my book up and change some minds.
So in any case, my spreads certainly havent shrank. Economist this week has a great article on liquidity measurements and how the spread shrinkage is one guage. There is a lot of excess money out there. New environment from the one i left butit hasnt helped me personnaly at all. Good trading to you.

LKWD JJ 20:59 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
dont the oil companies know that they need to get those refineries up and running as soon as possible? they dont give a sh!t cuz they have us by the cahones!!!

LKWD JJ 20:57 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
thats the point. it doesnt stay in the pizza parlors pocket either as it goes towards the taxes and big oil.

Mtl JP 20:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
LKWD JJ 20:28/ someone's expense = elses' income. what is a pizza delvry driver to do ?

Syd 20:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
BHP Billiton has warned that the Australian mining industry could be threatened by the workplace policies of the Australian Labor Party. On 30 April 2007, BHP supported the concerns of other groups about Labor's intention to abolish Australian Workplace Agreements. The company said that direct relationships with employees had improved productivity and benefited all parties, while Labor's policies could have a negative impact on the expansion of the industry
Financial review

Norway e.s 20:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Maby a stupid qestion,but why the big diferent in value date at diferent peers,and at exatly what hoer gmt they chainge date?

houston st 20:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   

JJ -- from Friday...sadly, it applies again today...June07 becomes the front-month RBOB gasoline contract now, and it has some catching up to do...stay tuned...gl/gt.

houston st 18:43 GMT April 27, 2007
front-month mogas +647...prepare the women and children for bad news....gl/gt.

LKWD JJ 20:28 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
i understand why were @ 1.91 in the mkt . its the rest thats puzzling. the govt/states should step in and cut the taxes before the whole economy tanks. alot of goods are delivered and the freight charges reflect the higher gas prices . from fuel charges to delivered costs (ie pizza shops or others that deliver their goods to customer) it becomes an added expense that will take an even bigger bite out of our wallets.

New Albany mb 20:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
as far as usd/cad is concerned, it has been a short ever since it broke below 1.1700 on march 20-there has been very little retracement- the best and easiest way to have traded is short-otherwise you are fighting the trend

USA Zeus 20:19 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Atlanta South 20:04 GMT April 30, 2007

Southy- Thx for the kind words. In any group in society there are always the black sheep. They get MOODy at their own shortfall and personal frustrations. Hence, they look for a target then vent any imaginary thought as a form of satisfaction for their own inadiquacies. We've seen it here a thousand times.

Anyway, good to see you here. Looks like the markets are really about to boil(over).
GT as always! :-)

LKWD JJ 20:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
if only this usd buying would spread to jpy or chf alot of others here might make some money as well.

Atlanta South 20:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Speaking of switching....there are some that are constantly
switching from one indicator to the next in search of that
all elusive Holy Grail of Trading that by the way doesn't
exist....For me I would rather be accused of switching names
than those indicators. Hey ZEUS, your spot on, so keep the
post coming my friend.

houston st 20:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   

JJ -- all the planets seem to be lining up for higher prices...so many factors are contributing to the situation, but in a nutshell, a late winter caused refineries to produce heating oil past their normal timeframe, and w/ all the refinery hiccups here and abroad (for imports), we are at nearly all-time lows in number of days gasoline in storage (posted on GVI last week....I'll post those in the Futures Forum today)...plenty of crude at the Cushing, OK tank farm, but refineries are unable to catch up w/ mogas production for now...last week's decline in refinery runs didn't help, and although imports did pick up slightly, they are having their own refinery problems as well...I've been touting record gasoline prices for '07 since late last year, and so far its right on schedule....organized sponsorship by fundys also adding to the mix, as they smell blood in the water as well...my two-cents is a plan by state/fed governments mandating flex-hours (4-day work weeks) or the promotion of conservation would go a long way to cutting back our gasoline demand, but perhaps thats asking too much of these administrations where the lobbyists rule the roost, imho....I live close to refinery row here in south texas, but w/ state/local taxes added on we pay more then the more rural areas that are hundreds of miles away...gl/gt.

Auckland peat 20:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
It seems necessary to have an opinion on CAD in this forum heheh. So, heres mine! Now that it hit 1.1050 (as Dr Q said it would 100 pips higher, and my fib levels agreed) I think retracement to 1.1350 is required. But it hasnt actually given the buy signal yet. could have some lower days yet and then must go above the high of the lowest day.

USA Zeus 19:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 19:30 GMT April 30, 2007
I guess MacMOOD is having her time of the month!

Ldn Mahmood 19:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth Randall El 19:50 GMT
:) okay good night.

LKWD JJ 19:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
HOUSTON ST what is wrong with our gov and states? 80 cents above mkt for a gallon of gas here in nj. 2.75 offbrands , majors 2.83-2.89. and those are below mkt avg cuz the refineries are in nj( we have to live with the offensive odors)!!!

Perth Randall El 19:50 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ldn Mahmood 19:45 GMT April 30, 2007
What? Is this bloke CT Cris/London Phil?
Zeus was right- now go to bed.

USA Zeus 19:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ldn Mahmood 19:45 GMT April 30, 2007
Oh so touchy.
LMAO!!

dc CB 19:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
wildcard for USD/CAD could be US equity performance going forward with attendant worry about Canada's trading partner, but energy/resources remain the driving force as witnessed by the recent numbers. Tomorrows IPPI and RMPI to give further clues.

Window dressing in Stox done and being torn down for new theme...the old saw "sell in May and go away" reverberating thru the minds of traders. imho

Ldn Mahmood 19:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 19:33 GMT
We know your "the real fake" hence your switching of
identities from Las Vegas Jon to USA Zeus and to make
matters worse each identity praising the another. Oh
the vanity. I guess you also post under Perth Randall El.

LKWD JJ 19:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
POLICE!!! STOP THOSE 2 MEN!!

USA Zeus 19:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ldn Mahmood 19:25 GMT April 30, 2007

Oh so touchy. Only sold some on the rise as I build the blocks for the last 2 weeks. Will be sure to dedicate future gains to you.
Not a hot shot but am encouraged by folks like you who sit back and take pathetic nincompoop cheap shots with nothing to say but "Oh you think you so good with your fake real time postings" LMAO!

Happy Day!

The Netherlands Purk 19:30 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well Machmood, you have said it all, but not in so many words: you admire the guy!

Gen dk 19:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn Mahmood 19:25 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 18:58 GMT
Oh so touchy!! You come across pretending to be this big hot
shot trader, announcing how you're going to build a usd/cad
position - only to exit at the slightest chance (considering your ficticious average prices). You've been trying to pull off
this usd/cad for a month, failing ever time. Better to say nothing than look STUPID (your ameteurish calls). You're not fooling anyone with your BS.

jkt-aye 19:10 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Zeus, not send the invitation yet ? lol

USA Zeus 19:03 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ok- Tower tall and straight. Now the fun begins. Randy might have some choice words for that one little fella when USD/CAD hits 1.13.

USA Zeus 18:59 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
uload = unload

USA Zeus 18:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Was a really big allocation there Mahmood. So plenty to uload. This +28 at 1.1094 is for you!

The Netherlands Purk 18:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Closed 2 positions here in Loonie. Guess NN kept me waiting for a long time, he must have slipped over a Parrot food thing...

USA Zeus 18:43 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ok Bob, Took a little more for Phil's sock collection...+24
Happy Day!

USA Zeus 18:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well Bob, slow to take off the heat now. Just enough so Phil doesn't laugh his balls off with his twin. Took some gains at 1.1086 for +20. Always say Mahmood should let his trades speak unlike his DICK LESS rants.

USA BAY 17:49 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
OK, as i mentioned last week, strong possibility of usd/cad 1.09xx.

Halifax CB 17:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
BTW - since it's a little slow - I use it just for charting & developing, since it's free, has a relatively reliable server with extensive history for backtesting, and a large support community. Have to brush up on my Russian (haha, it's been 35 years....) though to get the best stuff....

HK Kevin 17:37 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
My previous post should read "short eur/jpy 163.12 covered at 162.56 this Asian morning."

HK Kevin 17:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
It looks fx trading has never been so difficult. My last Fri long dlr poitions ended up with this unpredictable results:
short eur/jpY 166.12 covered at 162.56 this Asian morning.
short Aussies 0.8304 stop out at b/e
short EUR 1.3668 still hold half with stop above 1.37 (hlaf closed at 1.3628)

Halifax CB 17:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 17:27 GMT April 30, 2007
Will do :)

USA Zeus 17:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Halifax CB 17:18 GMT April 30, 2007

CB- Thx. I don't use that platty so wondered if you wouldn't mind tossing a bone when time pemits so we can match up an entry to an exit.
GT! :-)

Como Perrie 17:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Eventually, I believe, current attempts to understand the mind by analogy with man-made computers that can perform superbly some of the same external tasks as conscious beings will be recognized as a gigantic waste of time.
Thomas Nagel

Global-View 17:19 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
lkwd jj 16:17 GMT April 30, 2007 - we rely on our members to help police the forum and if you oir anyoone else sees something objectionable, contact us immediately and we will review and if necessary respond. This is your forum as well and we allow it to self-police but rest assured are always hovering behind the scenes keeping things in order.

Halifax CB 17:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 17:02 GMT April 30, 2007
I enter them whenever the signal crosses the upper yellow dashed line. The only reson I mentioned these is that technically I shoud wait now to close till they get back over the lower one, but it's boring & I have other things to do. If you like, I'll be happy tp send you the software I use for the charts..

Como Perrie 17:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
The essence of philosophy is that a man should so live that his happiness shall depend as little as possible on external things.
Epictetus

USA Zeus 17:10 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Sofia mik 17:06 GMT April 30, 2007

milk- Thx for your thoughts. I remember last year at about this same time when this pair was roughly at 1.0950 then went to approx 1.1850.

GT!

Sofia mik 17:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus: re uscad
I remember a 2ys ago this pair.Iwaiting 1.30/31
gt to you end go long usdcad

USA Zeus 17:02 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Congrats CB! You close a lot of shorts here. If you don't mind, please post when you enter a position as well. TIA

Halifax CB 16:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well, I just closed my short $CADs assuming that it will trade sideways for a bit

USA Zeus 16:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well Phil- Let's see if we can add lower (much lower) now that the heat is off- or will we just laugh our balls off all the way to the bank?

Happy Day!

Como Perrie 16:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
If you wish to be a writer, write.
Epictetus

Ldn Mahmood 16:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 15:42 GMT
All that risk for 6 pips? Bad, bad strategy.
Its a good thing you're trading micro lots. hehehe

Kaunas DP 16:49 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
1.3586 vs 1.3686 - I bet we kill 1.3586 first and then lets see much deeper EUR/USD correction on the downside: SHORTED 1.3661 SL 1.3686 TP open

fairfield JC 16:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
dc CB 16:04 GMT April 30, 2007

Does this chart of the COT for the Loonie mean that a reversal is coming? meaning commitments of traders is shifting to long positions?

Zeus......Are you still in the long CAD positions that you have had for the past few weeks I think starting at like 1.14? or did you get out and back in again today......to rebuild and complete your masterpiece/

USA Zeus 16:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perhaps just when “they” knew it all along and the boisterous eagerness to teach a lesson reached an apex, “they” became the ultimate students.- Zeus

Mtl JP 16:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Makassar Alimin 16:27, u raise a good point: just talked with a fundy buddy: some might have thought Friday would be book closing day, but calendar month-end falls on Moday. Need to keep books looking good, for a bunch of reasons, why take risks ? After 5pm NYT, book starts fresh with a two week possi-building, after that back to profit/book protection monthly cycle mode.

Van jv 16:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
CBs may not accept uncontrolled USD decline as ouflow of capital from US would be a disaster and sh...all over......
will they succeed /mostly they do.....?
playing contra carry trades

hk ab 16:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
must be the MIB..... :D

lkwd jj 16:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
should read

lkwd jj 16:24 GMT April 30, 2007
may of 1981 last time cable closed above 2.00 @2.0360 just in case anyone was interested. in 1981 cable fell 60 cents from 240-180 in 4 months. mother of all shorts?


sorry but mouse moved on me.

Makassar Alimin 16:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
looks like some efforts preventing cable from closing above 2 this month

ldn 6screens 16:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
lkwd jj 16:17 GMT April 30, 2007
Political Forum is my 1st choice

lkwd jj 16:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 16:24 GMT April 30, 2007
lkwd jj 16:17 GMT April 30, 2007
============================
heres one EBS (everyones bull s**t)

Como Perrie 16:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
The main goal of the future is to stop violence. The world is addicted to it.
Bill Cosby

The past is a ghost, the future a dream, and all we ever have is now.
Bill Cosby

lkwd jj 16:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
may of 1981 last time cablt in casee closed above 2.00 @2.0360 jus anyone was interested. in 1981 cable fell 60 cents from 240-180 in 4 months. mother of all shorts?

madrid mm 16:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
lkwd jj 16:17 GMT April 30, 2007

I am trying . But it is difficult !!!! 8-)

hk ab 16:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
bob//you too

madrid mm 16:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
A lot of places on holiday tomorow
Labor Day - French German Italian and some other Markets Closed. Liquidity might dry up.

UK Alex 16:20 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
dc CB 16:04 GMT April 30, 2007
Thanks.

jkt-aye 16:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
leave the goose behind ... +17.

lkwd jj 16:17 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
i think imho gvi should open a forum for personal attacks and insults to stop wasting space here. need a name any suggestions?

USA Zeus 16:16 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
My favorite part of this forum comes from those who profess history as a reason for the future.
This 100% perfect reflection of the past usually comes at just the wrong time for the future...Zeus

Mtl JP 16:14 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NYAM 16:02, money is a whore buziness. No matter the perfume she is wearing, she is ALWAYS ready to cut throat.

I made this observation over the weekend, fwiw:

Mtl JP 15:01 GMT April 28, 2007
I want to higlight two comments from last week:

"all of us CB ankers worry that risk spreads appear to be very narrow" - Boc Dodge in his conference on the 26th

BOE Says Low Debt Premiums Pose Risk to Stability - Bloomberg 26th

"An increase in risk-taking at the same time as a possible fall in the quality of risk assessment [has] increased the vulnerability of the financial system as a whole."


Always, always know your exits and the costs of going thru them.

Como Perrie 16:11 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
I don't know the key to success, but the key to failure is trying to please everybody.
Bill Cosby

St. Annaland Bob 16:07 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
AB ... top and happy trades for you!

CT Cris 16:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth Randall El 14:56 GMT April 30, 2007
usd.cad
=========
1.13 is coming

===
donkey or liar ,may be both.

St. Annaland Bob 16:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USDCAD long closed for +1 @ 11079

dc CB 16:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
UK Alex 14:48 GMT April 30, 2007
Maybe shorting the loonie is not such a good idea.

I posted this last week saying looking like they are switching sides. Here is this week's...same comment.

http://www.freecotcharts.com/cot_charts/CD.PNG

London NYAM 16:02 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Mtl JP 15:52// The way that stops are getting gunned these days (I dont remember it being this cut throat when I was trading 5 years ago), Im still leaving room for the 1.9950 barrier but it would seriously dent the thesis that another new high is in the offing for cable. FWIW. gt

St. Annaland Bob 15:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
nj jf 15:55 GMT April 30, 2007

agree with you ... USDCAD has few very healthy figures to go down during the coming 60-90 days ... but here, it seems it looks towards the place it may print the MAY/07 highs during the very beginning of MAY/07 ... happy trades

nj jf 15:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
im not referring to 1.1050 im referring to
1.14 1.13 1.12 1.11 so hopefully the thing snaps back to 1.1250 w/o causing the ultimate pain.

BUD Petr 15:53 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EURUSD long @ 1.3670?

Mtl JP 15:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NYAM 15:41 / I d concur: bias is UP unless <1.9870/60 close

hk ab 15:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
RAden, your level are still very very sharp!

USA Zeus 15:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well silly as it is- took some heat off at a magical 1.1077 for +11 teenies.

USA Zeus 15:46 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
hk ab 15:44 GMT April 30, 2007
1 pip spread? Not hardly.

hk ab 15:44 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeus, your bank must be offering you 1 pip spread on cad.....
btw, you meant you took off the extended positions off the tables or overal builing?

Gen dk 15:43 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

USA Zeus 15:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well Mr Randall, Phil.

Laughing my balls off and took the over-extended allocation off the table at 1.1072 for +6 teenies.

The great Murcielago never quits.
Building is tall and strong.

London NYAM 15:41 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Cable shouldnt penetrate 1.9965-85 region. If it does then I may have to alter wave couunt. As it is its still on ocurse for above 2.01 area. I think.

The Netherlands Purk 15:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Alan Alda? Wasnt that the guy from Mash 4077?
Like that series, tey are still on playing the replays and stuff here...

Bangkok bkk 15:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Also long USD/CHF @ 1.2050 target 1.2110 - 120

Como Perrie 15:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
After a while I started to think of that as an image of something that went a lot deeper than the dead dog, which is you can't bring back anything to life.
Alan Alda

Bangkok bkk 15:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
ab// There are many people want to buy USD against the JPY just below 119.35 this week.....

IMHO.

---------------------------------
hk ab 15:24 GMT April 30, 2007
bkk// insider news?

Perth Randall El 15:30 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Phil- Sorry. Forgot to mention that I was not side taking either.
cheers

Perth Randall El 15:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Phil- Just an observation...
I think Zeus and others will be laughing their ballz off at your untimely comment.

london phil 15:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
just an observation randall no side taking

hk ab 15:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
bkk// insider news?

Bangkok bkk 15:23 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USD/JPY next stop => 120.35 - 45

Perth Randall El 15:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
london phil 15:06 GMT April 30, 2007
So are you the donkey he always talks about?
The better half of the twin-headed azz?

Bangkok bkk 15:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USD/JPY buy now @ 119.35

Maribor 15:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Seems like final push to kill all speculators found on wrong side. How much is needed? 300-500 pips? Big majority of speculators are short EURUSD, GBPUSD and long USDCAD. Majority must lose to pay for MM expenses...

London NYAM 15:20 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Looking like dollar bulls are stepping aside.

Mtl JP 15:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
nj jf 15:14 / generaly, learning process is inversely proportional to the cost (pain) factor

hk ab 15:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
jf//hello. still working in the same place?
this dlr/cad 5 dma rule has played for a long 3 weeks now. unless it breaks, otherwise, a convincing reversal is not in place yet.

USA Zeus 15:17 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ever just feel it when the market reaches a pain/complacency threshold?

nj jf 15:14 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
i am sure some people are going to learn a lesson in the cad, i hope its a cheap one

London NYAM 15:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
houston st// Thanks so much. Ive always felt a little sad i couldnt post links properly. gl gt

hk ab 15:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
whoa..... we have carry trade in full mode again.... look at eur/chf....

UK Alex 15:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
U.S. dollar slumps and this time it's different

houston st 15:09 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   

NYAM 15:04 GMT -- put link instructions in the Help Forum...good trades.

Indonesia-solo Raden_Mas 15:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
warning for usd/cad abourt low 1.1053.
ready for battle here with buy possie for tgt 1.1166.

london phil 15:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
has this forum gone short cad crazy im sure criss is sitting back laughing his socks off at this fallling knife cacthing frenzy

St. Annaland Bob 15:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
roughly, USDCAD 11025 = EURUSD 13680

USA Zeus 15:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
New cost 1.10666 (Will be the beast of CAD)
Stop set 1.0916

London NYAM 15:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
U.S. dollar slumps and this time it's different
Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:05PM EDT:

http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersEdge/idUSN2758680320070427?censored=042707_1712_INVESTING_comment_n_analysis

sorry i have tried to figure out how to paste links but failed repeatedly.

USA Zeus 15:04 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
F it! With comments like that decided to go past allocation and add more 1.1055. Double down!!!

jkt-aye 15:03 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
join the cad camp again. gtgl

St. Annaland Bob 15:00 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
1.1078 it is

Mtl JP 14:58 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
CB 14:53 / market, from time to time, dispences max pain to max players; currently the only thing red is the blood spurting out of patriotic missile launchers

St. Annaland Bob 14:57 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
anyway, USDCAD will print during MAY/07 120 pips above this month's low (6 hrs. to go) even without entering a reversal mode and I hope my 111078 will not be more than 120 pips from that price ... bottom line is getting money for holding it ... we will see ... happy trades!

Perth Randall El 14:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
usd.cad
=========
1.13 is coming

USA Zeus 14:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USD/CAD stop set 1.0929. Will lighten on positive pops if seen

hk ab 14:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeus, any target and stops in mind?

Halifax CB 14:53 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
FWIW, the loonie is red lining it on my chart, hasn't happened for awhile.

The Netherlands Purk 14:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Last loonie possie in place now
Watch the bounce....

USA Zeus 14:52 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USD/CAD building construction final cost = 1.1079

St. Annaland Bob 14:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeus, I hope your chips will not break the table

USA Zeus 14:50 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Zeus all in USD/CAD 1.1068

Halifax CB 14:50 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Or mahalanobis distance, pick yer poison...

UK Alex 14:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Maybe shorting the loonie is not such a good idea.
The CAD has been recently boosted by a marked unwinding of record, short positions since early January and in view of the positive factors cited above (along with a positive outlook for commodities due to steady Chinese demand), there is ample scope for speculators to build long positions.

Halifax CB 14:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Mtl JP 14:31 GMT April 30, 2007
Variance against a consistent measure - in this case the RMS distances between my 2 dashed yellow lines and the solid one :)


London NYAM 14:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Cble liable to meet resistance at the 1.9980-85 level but the b-d trendline of the descending triangle broke nicely. Holding for above 2.0000 behaviour.

Now I understand the term loon. Theres loon fever out on the forum today. Good luck.

The Netherlands Purk 14:46 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Do i detect some nervousness in here?
140 pip move in loonie not unattractive at the moment...

Mtl JP 14:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
dlrcad proximity radar starting to glow 1.1025/15.

hk ab 14:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeus how much ammun have you left?
please launch more to keep the stop safe.

St. Annaland Bob 14:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
with you Zeus @ 11078 ... but I am sure it will be last comes in and first goes out ... happy trade

USA Zeus 14:40 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Plowing in. Added 1.1078's

hk ab 14:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
in now 1.1086

USA Zeus 14:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Added some USD/CAD 1.1086's

St. Annaland Bob 14:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   

wish I was the broker taking the trades from AB-ZEUS & PURK camps ... he does not cares where the market goes ;)

hk ab 14:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
30 pips stop

USA Zeus 14:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Picked up some 1.1090's

The Netherlands Purk 14:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
There we go. Took 2/3 loonie 110875 sell.

Mtl JP 14:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
CB 14:02, define volatility, lol

hk ab 14:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
limit placed at 1.1087. to long loon.

NYC 14:19 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeua, serious question. Are you making any money trading the falling knife or is this strategy designed to keep scrambling until you eventually catch the turn?

Cbj Jake 14:10 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ah you have to be on the jpy 1min to appreciate "the fun" that's been going on. Must go! lol

The Netherlands Purk 14:07 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Took 1/3 possie in loonie at 11099 sell price or whatever they call it.
Will add err 2 more...
We will get a nice chance when e/u starts the at the clock tick up...

St. Annaland Bob 14:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
my two cents about USDCAD wonders how close to the 11025 it will go before the rise towards 11275 ... break down there may suggest good business for the florists to the kind of funeral USD will experience ... happy trades

Halifax CB 14:02 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
jp - sounds good, one worry is the volatility is picking up. Must be Zeus' fault :)

USA Zeus 14:00 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Current USD/CAD cost 1.1103. Was hoping for a deeper drop. Let's see...

The Netherlands Purk 14:00 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Wel in about an hour we will know if e/u breaks the 13680, that will take all usd pairs with it.

Loonie will get more shots i guess under 11090.
Chances for more than 20 pips on a long.
I will be ready...

Halifax CB 14:00 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Bob - too bad they don't all look like that :(

Mtl JP 13:59 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
CB13:33 / loon's max speed is 96Km/hr, stalls at 95Km/hr. close under sep 28 low (1.1090) would bode for another 150psi

Halifax CB 13:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth - sure, but when?

madrid mm 13:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
I am buying some DNT Box options CAD @ 1.1040 until tom 2am......

Perth Randall El 13:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
usd.cad
============
1.13 is coming

St. Annaland Bob 13:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Halifax CB 13:51 GMT April 30, 2007

beautiful, day trading never looked easier

madrid mm 13:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
So the NYSE buys in Europe, the NASDAQ is in a tug of w ar with LSE and now.......
April 30 (Bloomberg) -- Deutsche Boerse AG, operator of the Frankfurt stock exchange, said it plans to buy International Securities Exchange Holdings Inc., the second-largest U.S. options market, for about $2.8 billion in cash.

The price amounts to $67.50 per ISE share, said Deutsche Boerse, part-owner of the Eurex AG derivatives market, in a statement to the Frankfurt stock market today. That's a 48 percent premium to ISE's closing price of $45.72 on April 27.

8-)

Halifax CB 13:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Current 1 hour $CAD chart (prior to NAPM) LINK NAPM looks like stagflation is setting in.....

madrid mm 13:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Definition
The National Association of Purchasing Management - Chicago compiles a survey and a composite diffusion index of business conditions in the Chicago area. Manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms are both surveyed, but until recently, market players have believed that the survey primarily covers the manufacturing sector. Readings above 50 percent indicate an expanding business sector. The NAPM - Chicago is considered a leading indicator of the ISM manufacturing index.

Bloomberg

madrid mm 13:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
FWIW
madrid mm 10:20 GMT April 30, 2007
regarding CAD, FWIW

Canada Outgrows China as Newest Market for Worldwide Borrowers

By Doug Alexander

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- From Reykjavik to Wellington, the queue in Toronto is making Canada the fastest-growing market for international borrowers. Not even China's burgeoning bond sales can keep up with the pace of foreign debt being issued in Canadian dollars.

madrid mm 13:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
next numbers coming -

NAPM-Chicago
9:45ET

Construction Spending
10:00ET

Halifax CB 13:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Jus a little note on USDCAD (since I'm in sell and hold mode for my 20 pips a day) - when it takes a dive like this it usually (not always) carries on of two or three hours before establishing a local bottom.

St. Annaland Bob 13:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Zeus, it will long towards the 11275 but I wonder when ... happy trades

USA Zeus 13:30 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Will spread this out a bit. Picked off some 1.1094's (offer)

St. Annaland Bob 13:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 13:23 GMT April 30, 2007

let's ask CRIS !!!

USA Zeus 13:23 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well Bob, looks like USD/CAD will get a shot into the 1.10's for more loading.

Ldn Mahmood 13:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 13:05 GMT
One of these days you're going to get usd/cad right.

Halifax CB 13:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Alex - everyone and his dog is putting out recession warnings. Unless, of course, they work for the gov't :)

Tel Aviv is 13:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
thanks LONDON

St. Annaland Bob 13:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Tel Aviv is 12:42 GMT April 30, 2007

unfortunately, depends who is the broker ;) ... for your reference:

USD-JPY in %:

Daily: 5.38-0.76
3M: 5.35-073
6M: 5.37-0.78

UK Alex 13:09 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Amsterdam Jacson 13:06 GMT April 30, 2007
US of course.

Amsterdam Jacson 13:06 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
UK Alex 13:05 GMT April 30, 2007

for US or UK?

USA Zeus 13:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
New Ave magical USD/CAD possie cost = 1.1124

UK Alex 13:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Ian Shepherdson of High Frequency Economics has just put out a recession warning.

London NYAM 12:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Tel Aviv: Should be about 180pips

USA Zeus 12:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USD/CAD 1.1100 (offer) Rocket added.

Tel Aviv is 12:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Can someone help in this!!!
how many points is the forward USD YEN for Sept 14, 2007?

hk ab 12:41 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
JP//Dark and deep dlr/cad under 1.1100....

The Netherlands Purk 12:41 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Well pattern in loonie intact and the 11131 was no problem to break.
Guess 11091-95 should get s a bounce, or not...

Perth Randall El 12:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth Randall El 06:45 GMT April 30, 2007
Nice chance to sell GBP.usd as it binges b4 it pukes to 1.9900

Perth Randall El 06:31 GMT April 30, 2007
eur.usd
===========
1.3600 is coming.

Perth Randall El 01:31 GMT April 30, 2007
gbp.usd
==========
1.9900 is coming


==============================================
EXACTLY as I said.

Tel Aviv is 12:36 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Can someone tell me how many points is the forward USD YEN for Sept 14, 2007?

hk ab 12:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
zeus, did you launch more rockets? :D

UK Alex 12:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
DJ * Canada Feb GDP +0.4% From Jan

UK Alex 12:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - U.S. consumer spending grew 0.3% in March while inflation pressures eased, the Commerce Department said Monday. Consumer spending growth was the weakest since last October. Personal income rose 0.7% in March for the second straight month. Economists were expecting spending to rise 0.5% in March, with income up 0.6%, according to a MarketWatch survey. Core inflation was flat in March. The core personal consumption index is up 2.1% in the past 12 months, down from a 2.4% rise in February. It remains above the Fed's 2.0% ceiling. Adjusted for inflation, consumer spending fell 0.2% in March, the largest drop since September 2005,

tokyo ginko 12:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
buy usd/cad here for medium term position.

GVI john 12:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Daily Forex Charts...
EUR/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF GBP/USD EUR/GBP EUR/JPY
EUR/CHF AUD/USD GBP/JPY GBP/CHF USD/CAD CHF/JPY

Access accurate and free GVI


	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD	AUD/USD	EUR/JPY
1900GMT	1.3641	119.64	1.2065	1.9967	1.1156	0.8301	163.20
High	1.3683	119.77	1.2108	2.0044	1.1227	0.8338	163.25
Low	1.3586	118.88	1.2005	1.9867	1.1131	0.8239	162.23
04/27/2007							
Simple mva	basis =>	04/27/2007					
5 day 	1.3616	119.03	1.2063	1.9981	1.1193	0.8300	162.07
10 day	1.3597	119.06	1.2072	1.9997	1.1236	0.8326	161.75
20 day 	1.3502	119.00	1.2131	1.9867	1.1362	0.8269	160.61
50 day 	1.3338	118.41	1.2179	1.9651	1.1549	0.8060	157.92
100 day	1.3190	119.16	1.2271	1.9619	1.1627	0.7941	157.16
200 day	1.2998	118.10	1.2328	1.9293	1.1449	0.7789	153.51

GVI john 12:03 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
GVI Calendar of selected key economic data, central bank meetings, etc....

madrid mm 11:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
fwiw, last day of the month so might get "flip floping a bit".

Expect the unexpected as always.

madrid mm 11:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd 11:40 GMT April 30, 2007

LOL

Syd 11:40 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 11:31 GMT April they take the word laundering
money to a different level :-))))

madrid mm 11:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd, just 4 u -
HSBC Sells London Base to Metrovacesa for U.K. Record
By Simon Packard

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- The London headquarters of HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's largest bank by market value, was bought by Spanish real estate company Metrovacesa SA for 1.09 billion pounds ($2.2 billion), a record for a U.K. building.

no doubt it is in borrowed money. lol

London NYAM 11:19 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Current "Fertile fallacy" apparently growing in timbre argues (Professor Jeramy Seigal Insught Colum FT April 26th) that, among other factors, the world economy has become less volaitle. A kind of 'liquidity age' has dawned. This helps to underpin stock values and minimize corrections. Risk is dead, long live risk.

Syd 11:15 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Dirty money exploits housing boom Dirty money exploits housing boom

Future generations 'will pay for high house prices'
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6600931.stm

Dallas GEP 11:11 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Took profit on GBP longs at 1.9945

benin city 10:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Am taking about order flow data in forex. The order flow are buy and sell intiated orders by hedge funds, banks etc. They are done on a daily bases and even hourly bases too. please if any one has this information, he should help out.

Brisbane JAF 10:55 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Haha Madrid. Didn't know this was a chat-up site. Ohh and reverse my last statement

madrid mm 10:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Brisbane JAF 10:29 GMT April 30, 2007

r u married ? do u still live with your parents ? any kids ?
Eye color please . height , weight and shoe size asap
8-)

madrid mm 10:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
benin city 10:39 GMT April 30, 2007

be more specific please

madrid mm 10:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Brisbane JAF 10:29 GMT April 30, 2007

welcome on board. Many different people in here 8-)

NY RP 10:41 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Stagflation is the name of the game. Slower growth and rising inflation. This is bearish for the US Dollar and very bullish for Gold looking forward. Gold can and probably will become a choice of currency as most fiat currencies are inflated away. Gold is going higher for obvious reasons and will excelerate becuase of the weaker dollar. The dollar is weaker for obvious reasons and will excelerate because of the stronger gold price. Good luck and buy gold, next stop 730 to 740 area. Dollar index headed towards .7500 and then probably lower.

benin city 10:39 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Hello everybody. Pls does anyone knows about order flow data and where I can get this datas daily. I am ernestly in need of this information. Anyone with this information should pls help me out. Thanks.

The Netherlands Purk 10:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Best trades last week where for the swissy, a pair than is closely watched. That 11980ish is a nice level to watch. Seems like a bottom can ne formed there. But just play the range as with any pair and stay ot by doubt but whammy if you dont think and just do and follow the plan.

I am watching this guy Randy A closely, strange calls butt accurate....

Brisbane JAF 10:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Hi guys new to the board, 5 yr trader. Sitting back and listening. Hope to contribute something worthwhile later. Cautiously bearish dollar medium term...complete bull long term. Happy trading

Gen dk 10:25 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Brisbane JAF 10:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Test mess

madrid mm 10:20 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
regarding CAD, FWIW

Canada Outgrows China as Newest Market for Worldwide Borrowers

By Doug Alexander

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- From Reykjavik to Wellington, the queue in Toronto is making Canada the fastest-growing market for international borrowers. Not even China's burgeoning bond sales can keep up with the pace of foreign debt being issued in Canadian dollars.

Canada's supremacy as the capital market of choice for companies as diverse as New Zealand's Telecom Corp. and Iceland's Kaupthing Bank hf has a lot to do with the Ottawa- based government's obsession with balanced budgets, some of the lowest interest rates available anywhere, a sinking currency against the euro and a 2-year-old law that lets pension funds own as much foreign debt as they want without a tax penalty.

The Netherlands Purk 09:48 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 23:49 GMT April 29, 2007
USA Zeus 16:54 GMT April 27, 2007
Looks like GBP/USD might drop (more).

Drop are Dutch sweets, not sure what you mean....

Loonie: 11131-11121 to watch...

Syd 09:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Manchester st 09:22 GMT not quite not quite but spent a lot of time in Southern Europe during 80s in property and found them quite something else , with their taxes on taxes you need a road map to find your way around.

Global-View Gendk Special 09:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
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West Ham oldgroyne 09:28 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Manchester st 09:22 GMT April 30, 2007
Syd is really Delboy in disguise!

madrid mm 09:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd 09:18 GMT April 30, 2007
lol

I guess so ..... Corruption comes in all shape and size !!

Anyway, back to FX, the 1.21 USd-chf is holding so far

Manchester st 09:22 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd 09:18 GMT April 30, 2007
you sound like you have been around the block a bit Syd....something like Arthur Daily..lol

Syd 09:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 09:13 GMT :-))) I recall taking fifty pounds down to the local council to get things passed back the mid eighties , planning permission etc, etc, money definitly talks over there .

madrid mm 09:15 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai Deepak 09:12 GMT April 30, 2007

let me know if the link works as it is a long one


Click here

madrid mm 09:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd 09:10 GMT April 30, 2007

if you continue, you will make me look bad 8-) I will need to change my city in thi Forum 8-)

Mumbai Deepak 09:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm

If you can post a link for the E-Equivalents from the CME, it would be great. I am dealing in FX Options for last 5 years and that was my source for knowledge. ;-)

USDCHF has a trendline Support on the monthly chart at 1.20-1.1980, when one joins the lows of Dec-04 and Dec-06. A break below targets 1.1880. The 2007 Low so far for USDCHF has been 1.1994. Also told there are large option KO below 1.20, so should 1.20 break on a daily close, we can have a downward spiral.

I am a long term trader and hold positions for months. My Fav Quote is:

"No matter how great the talent or effort, some things just take time: you can't produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant." - Warren Buffett


madrid mm 09:12 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Syd 09:08 GMT April 30, 2007

I agree !!!! LOL did you know that Spain is the Euro country with most of the 500 Euros bank notes in circulation. ? 8-) Companies here are well known to have not only one PnL book but 3 or 5 ..... Enron might have been an amateur comparatively . 8-)

Syd 09:10 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Definitly worth a read, and that was last year, god know what they have got up to by now.
http://www.citymayors.com/politics/spain_corruption.html

Spanish judges investigate more
cases of corrupt local government
By Daniel González Herrera, Spain Editor
4 December 2006: According to Berlin-based Transparency International, Spain is among the more corrupt countries in the European Union. In its 2006 international survey the organisation put Spain in 23rd place. The well-known Marbella case, involving the mayor and other local government officers, is only the tip of the iceberg and at the root of it all is urban development fraud.

Syd 09:08 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 08:40 GMT
Credit evaluations for mortgage applicants are often methodically carried out using tax returns.


Its a joke , the property buying system, is as corrupt in Spain as it is in Portugal ,which I have had first hand experience for many years with hidden taxes and the twisted Council Offices, take a look at the website which is old but says it all.

http://www.citymayors.com/politics/spain_corruption.html

Sydney ACC 09:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
madrid mm 08:40 GMT April 30, 2007
The last paragraph says it all - "they are up to thgeir necks in debt."

Melbourne Qindex 08:57 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
GBP/USD (Weekly Cycle) : Trading Reference

... 1.9838 - 1.9885 - 1.9933* - [2.0028] ...

QC JUANZP1 08:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
1.3590 probably the eurusd low today. its nice to long there but after the eur cpi and confidence data.

Dallas GEP 08:49 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
long gbp here target 1.9950

madrid mm 08:40 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
SYD if you are around, this is a good summary of Spanish property market TheEconiomist

madrid mm 08:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
fwiw 1.21 usd-chf has not be broken ince 23rd of this month....

madrid mm 08:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
The euro zone's economies - Strength to strength - From The Economist print edition
Good times in the euro area, and getting better stillClick here

hk ab 08:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
dlrcad seems crucial here.

madrid mm 08:25 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai Deepak 08:13 GMT April 30, 2007
ifi may add, i regitered to the E-Equivalents from the CME, free again, and it is great tool to add to our "armoury" 8-)

madrid mm 08:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai Deepak 08:13 GMT April 30, 2007

Pleasure .
You are better than me !!! 76% Here 8-) Options got me LOL

Absoutelys this is a "friendly"course to help traders to get a better undertanding what the CME can offer and it has no real value per se. However, a VERY GOOD SOURCE of help and information IMHO.

madrid mm 08:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
bloomberg-currenciesClick here

The yen and the carry trade-Out with a whimper-Japanese individuals take up where the foreign carry traders left offThe Economist

Mumbai Deepak 08:13 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Madrid mm....

Thanks a lot for that CME course link. I did it and secured 92% :)
That gives only theory knowledge though, and does NOT make any one a better trader.
I really appreciate your efforts, and hope that you continue in this way.

Bangladesh Wenel 08:07 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Hi guys. I'm still on my eur/usd shorts from 1,3645 S/L 1,3700
T/P 1,3400-,3450. Will add more if the daily candle closes <1,3550. GL and have a good day

Gen dk 07:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 07:51 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD : the market is retreating and tests the weekly cycle lower barrier at 1.3546 // 1.3590. Barriers are located at 1.3589 // 1.3598* and 1.3559 // 1.3578*. the current expected trading ranges from my weekly cycle are as follow :-


... 1.3546 // 1.3590* - 1.3649 - 1.3678 - 1.3707* - [1.3765] ...

Melbourne Qindex 07:47 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/GBP : The market retreats from the barrier 0.6824 // 0.6838. The current expected trading ranges are as follow :-

... 0.6787* - 0.6796 - 0.6805 - 0.6824* // 0.6838 ...

madrid mm 07:43 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
TRY ----currency symbol for Turkey, New Lira

madrid mm 07:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Turkish Markets Plunge on Army Intervention in Poll (Update2)

By Ayla Jean Yackley and Steve Bryant

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- Turkey's lira headed for its biggest drop in 11 months and bonds and stocks also slumped after the military threatened to block the government's presidential candidate because of his Islamist past.

The lira fell 3.1 percent, trading at 1.377 to the dollar at 10:10 a.m. in Istanbul. Yields on lira-denominated government debt maturing in February 2009 rose 92 basis points to 19.24 percent, according to data on Bloomberg from ABN Amro Holding NV. The benchmark stock index slumped 6.6 percent.

Bodrum OEE 07:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
...flash...Turkey.....

The constitutional court is to decide on the fate of presidential elections tomorrow morning (if not earlier).

My expectation is the cancellation of election altogether and new parliament elections to take place.

I would like to stress a couple of points that can make a difference.

The Turkish secularity is a leading one in the world. The founder of the republic Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's revolutions are well rooted.

When headscarf (turban) was an issue in Turkey and banned in schools and government offices (staff to wear them) our European friends treated the issue as a move against personal freedom. Only to find out in years that it is more used as a political symbol (and in many cases by oppressed women).

Secondly the institutional mechanisms are in function.

Third, democracy in Turkey is in advance. However on the grounds of secularity. We are not accordingly, let me put it this way, pond (naive) democrats.

People elected Adolf Hitler.

When necessary iron punch should be there.

This is how Turkey's armed forces should be viewed .

Their statement read: " we are a side in this debate"...

An instititution of honor of proud people.

The ruling Muslim democrats meanwhile are increasingly acting responsibly to diffuse tensions.

Do not take the refusal of Abdullah Gul (a civilized and skilled gentleman who happened to have a past in fundamentalist circles that he and prime minister Recep T. Erdogan parted ways four years ago) to step down as a candidate, a counter attack that will heighten stress. It is politically correct to do so from the perspective of party's elector base (controlled largely by the leader of the parliament Bulent Arinc who refusing to support a non-controversial candidate, showed yet again that he is a liability for AKP)

When court decides all will accept it. So will markets which can see a sharp recovery on Turkish lira

Monitoring Turkey may prove to be useful, nonetheless.

I wish all of you well.


Bodrum OEE 07:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Pittsburgh wjs 22:14 GMT April 29, 2007

Very kind of you. Thank you very much.

Perth Randall El 07:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
moscow mike 07:23 GMT April 30, 2007
Thank you Mr Mike. I hope that the cable binge then purge to 1.9900 will be just as exact for you.

Ok- I go to sheer some sheep now. bibi

Gen dk 07:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 07:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Forex Focus: BOJ May Yet Provide More Support For Yen
LONDON The yen may yet get more support from Bank of Japan rate hike expectations than anticipated.

Although the immediate inflation outlook remains weaker than forecast, price pressures are still expected to rise later on - increasing the chance that Japanese rates eventually rise more than the market is discounting.

"Given that the Bank of Japan's assessment of monetary policy is a long-term target and based on (its) assessment of the output gap, we remain of the view that euroyen interest rate futures, which have discounted only 25 basis points of Bank of Japan rate hikes this year, are underestimating the risks that the bank will hike rates by another 50-75 basis points cumulatively over the rest of this year," said Monica Fan, global head of foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London.

AZUSA 4x-ed 07:25 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
tokyo ginko 06:44 GMT April 30, 2007 || Strange what people will say just to have that drink with you... lol

moscow mike 07:23 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth Randall El 06:31 GMT April 30, 2007
eur.usd
===========
1.3600 is coming.
-----------

Great call, Randall. Keep it up. Clear. Exact.

hawthorne, ca thetrendmyfrenz 07:21 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
euro drop... not sure about this week but my tagert is a 500 - 700 pt drop within next few weeks, hope u are right about this week

Como Perrie 06:59 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
tokyo ginko 06:44 GMT April 30, 2007
let alone dreaming hobby traders

Como Perrie 06:57 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Morn

Istanbul stock exchange currently down more than 8 pct on opening

Perth Randall El 06:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Nice chance to sell GBP.usd as it binges b4 it pukes to 1.9900

tokyo ginko 06:44 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
if eur drops by 500 pts (which i would like to see), u will have a free drink + food with me for a week

London NYAM 06:43 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Long cable now at 1.9936

Sofia Kaprikorn 06:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Lahore FM 06:35 //
appreciate ur note!

fx magician SE-asia 06:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
to the respected traders on this site,

euro will decline 500 points this week.

Lahore FM 06:35 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Sofia Kaprikorn 06:30 GMT April 30, 2007
Kapri eurusd is in better shape than most but retail data out of germany released a while back will weigh on it.

Syd 06:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
FRANKFURT German retail sales unexpectedly fell in March, down 0.7% on the month, against expectations of an increase, Federal Statistics Office data showed Monday.

Retail sales rose 0.5% on the year when adjusted for seasonal factors.

The consensus forecast of 17economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires was a 0.8%rise on the month.

Specialty food and mail-order sales were the main drivers of the monthly decline that follows a monthly increase of 1.0% in February.

On the year, retail sales fell 1.6% in February.

Perth Randall El 06:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
eur.usd
===========
1.3600 is coming.

Sofia Kaprikorn 06:30 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
hello - I see EURUSD is in slightly uptrending channel consolidation - Support on the bottom channel line at 1.3601..

Lahore FM 06:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
as mentioned friday 1.1182 is usd bull threshold.after this we are in usd bullish phase.though one can still witness jpy crosses unwind.

madrid mm 06:14 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Highlights

PBoC hikes banks reserve requirement ratio hike by 0.50% on Sunday, April 29, to 11%, effective May 15.

PBoC sets CNY mid rate at new highs of 7.7055.

US Treasury Dep Sec Robert Kimmitt declines comments on weakness of USD, says China needs to move faster on CNY

ECB President Jean Claude Trichet says ECB, Euro are not to blame for lack of job creation as claimed by French politicians- Journal du Dimanche.

Italian PM Romano Prodi, says the strong euro is hurting European exporters who are suffering.

San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen sees potential risks to the global economy on back of US economic downturn.

WSJ: Faced with the rare combination of an expanding economy and weak consumer prices, the BoJ may consider a highly unusual monetary-policy step later this year: boosting interest rates even if prices are actually falling.

UK Hometrack house price inflation rose to 6.8% on the year in April, a fresh 4-year high since June 2003.

UK Thinktank NIESR says the BoE should raise interest rates by 50bps this quarter to guard against a wage-driven boost to inflation.

NZ PM Helen Clark says NZ may form a parliamentary committee on monetary policy - BBG, as rising Kiwi and interest rates have hit manufacturers/ exporters.

Turkish Government has strongly criticised Army threat to intervene in politics.

Focus in holiday thinned Golden Week trading on Monday is on Rising CNY, Rising China stocks and Rising PBoC reserve ratio.

Funds, Specs sold USD/JPY, Cross/JPY in early Sydney trade after the surprise PBoC move to hike reserve requirement ratio by 0.5% to 11% on Sunday, on fears that China stocks may take a beating, triggering risk aversion and unwinding of short JPY carry trades.

USD/JPY dipped to 119.15 lows from Friday NY close of 119.61, while EUR/JPY hit 162.45 from 163.29 - the all time highs on Friday.

Market players then covered the short Cross/JPY positions and bought back EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD from lows as the Shanghai stocks opened up and maintain its gains, even making new highs of 3834.065, up almost 2% or 75pts, despite the moves by PBoC to rein in liquidity.

USD/JPY edge back up to 119.54-55, but hearing talks of good options related offers and exporters selling interest b4 key 120.

EUR back up after falling earlier on EUR/JPY sales, but good options related offers ahead of 1.3700 capping after EUR hit all time highs of 1.3682 on Friday. Bids at 1.36 lows, some weak stoploss on break of 1.3580.

GBP/USD weighed earlier on GBP/JPY sales., but supported on back of strong UK Hometrack data, and NIESR calls for 50bps BoE hike. Real money, European demand at 1.99 lows, while offers now coming in at 2.00 handle, focus on Russian/ M.E., Asian interest.

AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY back up after earlier sell-off, but some focus on the high Kiwi hurting exporters, with reports that NZ Govt is looking to set up parliamentary committee on monetary policy.

Nikkei and JGBs closed for Golden Week holidays in Japan.

Asian FX range: USD/JPY 119.15/119.63, EUR/USD 1.3615/1.3657, GBP/USD 1.9924/1.9983, USD/CHF 1.2032/1.2066, AUD/USD 0.8258/0.8309, NZD/USD 0.7373/0.7425

tokyo ginko 06:05 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
hi all,

turkey lira weighing on eur strength, may see eur testing first support @ 1.3550

Sofia mik 06:01 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
German Retail Sales m/m -0.7% f 0.8% p 1.5

Perth Randall El 05:44 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
aud.usd
==========
.8200 is coming

CANBERRA JD 05:37 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
aud/usd will go no higher than 8318 today... My bet is for 8100 by end of the week.

madrid mm 05:36 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
FWIW , markets will probably focus most on Chicago purchasers' data, ie NAPM-Chicago @ 9:45ET, and confirmation of strengthening conditions or the opposite. But do not gorget -
Personal Income and Outlays - 8:30ET
and
Construction Spending - 10:00ET

madrid mm 05:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
GM FX JEDI, Weekly Outlook: Another Round of US Data Awaiting 8-) and more hopefuly to make the dynamics of this market work overtime !

Lahore FM 05:23 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Lahore FM 20:15 GMT April 29, 2007
the unwind begins!!!

---
some adjustments needed prior to start have already been made.

Indonesia-solo Raden_Mas 05:16 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
hi traders...
there are opportunity in aud/usd for bull now with tgt 0.8360-69 as the top tgt. sellers of aud/usd wait at that level for act.
yes, from level now around 0.8262 is the start for bull.

also gbp/usd from 1.9939 now will up till 1.9980 and if be broken mean will go till 2.0070 as he top tgt.

lets see.... , be carefull with 1.9980, maybe sellers of gbp/usd is there,.

good luck.

Red Bluff Bruno El 04:42 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Perth Randall El
The calls sometime is good but only the 8 get to make them

HK REVDAX 04:38 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Labor Day Special//Sell Eur/Yen with a stop at last Friday's Hi.

Perth Randall El 04:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
gbp.usd
===============
magic magnets
1.9754, 1.98, 1.9854, 1.99...1.9954...2.00, 2,0054, 2.01, 2.0154

Perth Randall El 04:23 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
usd.cad
=========
1.13 is coming

Syd 03:56 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Roads To Riches
Why investors are clamoring to take over America's highways, bridges, and airports—and why the public should be nervous http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_19/b4033001.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_companies


Bank caused inflation rise with rate cut in 2005, says think tank
LINK

Melbourne Qindex 03:28 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/GBP : The market is tackling the barrier at 0.6824 // 0.6838.

Melbourne Qindex 03:01 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
GBP/USD : Trading Reference


... 1.9868* - [1.9926] - 1.9983* - 2.0012 - 2.0041 - 2.0099* // 2.0142 ...


The consolidating range is 1.9926 - 1.9933 - 1.9963 - 1.9983. A projected barrier is located at 2.0023 - 2.0028.

Syd 02:45 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
China May Hike RRR By 50 BPs In Both 3Q, 4Q - ING

After already raising RRR 4 times this year for total of 200 bps of hikes, China likely to introduce 2 further 50bp RRR hikes before year end to absorb excess liquidity, with one in 3Q, and last in 4Q, ING says. Also hot money adds to PBOC's liquidity management challenge, tips China to raise benchmark lending, deposit rates by 27 bps in 4Q

Syd 02:40 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
China May Get More Hikes In RRR,Interest Rates-DB

China may get 3 more RRR increases, 2 more interest rate hikes in remainder of year, after weekend's RRR hike, Deutsche Bank says in note. "As for market implications, we think yesterday's RRR increase may not have much of an impact as it's now a regularly used policy instrument." Still, messages from CSRC on need to be alert to market risk, to crackdown on insider trading and manipulation could be more useful in reining in the overheated A-share market. Also, compared with RRR increases, a "rate hike should be a more significant negative for banks," if PBOC raises deposit rates more aggressively than lending rates

Patra alex 02:07 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Let's see if JPY makes it once again..

Syd 01:54 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Aussie March Private Sector Lending Growth Slows
Credit to Australian private sector +1.2% on-month in March vs +1.4% on-month in February. Market expected +1.1% on-month. Business sector credit +1.4% on-month, slower than February's +1.9% on-month. Slower lending growth, especially to business, follows 3 interest rate hikes in 2006 that raised cash rate to 6.25%.

Perth Randall El 01:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
gbp.usd
==========
1.9900 is coming

Perth Randall El 01:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
usd.jpy
=========
120 is coming

Perth Randall El 01:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Special EUR prediction levels-
1.3627, 1.3600, 1.3527, 1.35, 1.3427, 1.34....1.37, 1.3727, 1.38, 1.38.27, 1.39

Syd 00:34 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Australia inflation at 0.1% on-month in April, vs 0.5% on-month in March, TD Securities-Melbourne Institute gauge shows. Gauge +3.0% on-year in April, slowdown from +3.5% in March. Underlying inflation at 0.2% on-month in April vs 0.3% in March for 2.8% on-year vs March's 3.3% on-year. Monthly gauge seeks to mirror movements in CPI which is published quarterly. Slowdown in inflation comes ahead of RBA monthly board meeting tomorrow which widely expected to keep rates on hold at 6.25% as inflation pressures eased in 1Q. CPI published last week +0.1% on-month in 1Q for +2.4% on-year.

NY Ed 00:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex...your right, sorry I was not paying attention

London NYAM 00:33 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
only a break of 1.9864 s/t and 1.9817 m/t below it herald the end is nigh for cable.

Melbourne Qindex 00:32 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NY Ed 00:29 GMT - One can see that all those projected numbers are separated by a constant value.

Syd 00:31 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Australia Apr TD Inflation Gauge +0.1% Vs +0.5% In Mar
Australia April TD Inflation Gauge Up 3.0% On Year

NY Ed 00:29 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
your * items look like H L C from Friday

Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NY Ed 00:26 GMT - You can see those charts in my website, qindex dot com

Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD (Daily Cycle) : Trading Reference


... 1.3592 - 1.3605 // 1.3618* - 1.3631 - 1.3644 - 1.3657* - 1.3670 - 1.3683* // 1.3696 - 1.3709 ...


Significant levels are marked with *.

NY Ed 00:26 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Then what??? I love new stuff...

Melbourne Qindex 00:24 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
NY Ed 00:19 GMT - Good morning! I am not following the traditional chart.

NY Ed 00:19 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex ...morning..waht chart are you on hourly ?, I am looking for 1.3701 this week, and soon...YOU? gl gt

Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT April 30, 2007 Reply   
EUR/USD (Daily Cycle) : The supporting range is expected at 1.3611 - 1.3624. A projected resistant range is located at 1.3698 - 1.3702.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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