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Forex Forum Archive for 01/10/2008

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tokyo ginko 23:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
How about Messr Fukui ?

USA Skeptic 23:29 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
za, you have it spot on. Msr T is delusion and Mr B is on some sort of drugs. Lose/Lose situation for all

moscow mike 23:04 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Geneva DS 22:54 GMT January 10, 2008
gbpusd to fall massively to 1.4000 before the expected rise and correction... all the best to all
--------------
I do respect your long term impact on FF. But your post reminds me some thoughts like....
"I can return anytime within coming 20 years and say:
I told you so!"

Please, dear friend, be more specific

Minneapolis DRS2 23:00 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Geneva DS 22:54 GMT January 10, 2008

GBP/USD? 1.4000?

Norway e.s 22:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Smal short EUR/GBP 7547 plan to ad higer

dc CB 22:56 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
The Man with the Tan

Stockholm za 22:55 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   

Noted….
After months of negotiations amongst them selves, the CB`s still end up playing a tom and jerry game today, showing that they will have to take the theory pack to the drawing board…
Global economy at risk…..

Geneva DS 22:54 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbpusd to fall massively to 1.4000 before the expected rise and correction... all the best to all

ABHA FXS 22:26 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Short AUDCAD 0.9035 Stop 0.9095 T 0.8600/0.8577

lkwd jj 21:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Bears Exceed Bulls by Most in 17 Years, Investor Poll Says

By Elizabeth Stanton

Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) -- The number of individual investors who are bearish on U.S. equities exceeds those who are bullish by the most since November 1990, a signal to some investors that stocks may be poised to rebound.

In the week ended yesterday, about 59 percent of investors polled by the American Association of Individual Investors said they were bearish, expecting stocks to fall over the next six months. That was the highest since October 1990 and almost double the 32 percent average over the past five years.

Fewer than 20 percent of respondents were bullish, the smallest since April 2005. The 39 percentage point gap between the bears and the bulls was the largest since the week ended Nov. 16, 1990, after a 19.9 percent tumble in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index from July to October that year. The index climbed almost 14 percent during the first quarter of 1991 as the recession that began in July ended.

``It's telling you everybody's very nervous, but it's also telling you there's a huge amount of cash on the sidelines which if you can take a long-term view, even a medium-term view, is very positive,'' said Elizabeth Dater, chief investment officer at AG Asset Management, which oversees $3 billion in New York. ``That money will be available to come into the market.''

The Chicago-based AAII, which has 170,000 members, allows each member to vote once a week in its sentiment survey, said John Bajkowski, a financial analyst at the association. It typically receives 100 to 200 responses, he said.

The margin by which bears outnumber bulls or vice versa ``is normally a contrarian indicator when it reaches a level of extreme,'' Bajkowski said. ``How much more bearish can people become as far as their actions are concerned?''

Money Market Funds Grow

Assets in U.S. money-market funds increased by $61.3 billion during the week ended Jan. 8, the sixth-largest increase on record, to an all-time high of $3.15 trillion, according to iMoneyNet, a Westborough, Massachusetts-based firm that has tracked the funds since 1998. The S&P 500 fell to a nine-month low on Jan. 8, closing more than 10 percent below its Oct. 9 record for the second time.

Wall Street firms including Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch predict a recession this year, as falling home values and rising energy prices curb consumer spending, while losses for Wall Street firms and investors on securities backed by mortgages in default make credit less available to companies.

The percentage of AAII respondents who are bearish has exceeded those who are bullish by more than 33 percentage points only three other times since 1990 -- in October 1992, February 2003 and July 2006. In the 12 months that followed those periods, the S&P 500 rose 14 percent, 35 percent and 24 percent, respectively.

``When it's this extreme it's worked well in the past,'' said Paul Muoio, managing director in futures sales at Citigroup Inc. in New York. ``These are average individual investors and they are super-bearish. What it means in reality is they're underinvested in stocks.''

NY Trader 21:16 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Are we going to see an intervention from RBNZ, if Nzd/Usd crosses 0.7900---Any thoughts?

GL/GT

USA Zeus 20:46 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
bilbao pedro 20:02 GMT January 10, 2008

A pattern of high probability for a nice burst. Hope you got those pips!

GL GT! :-)

Auckland JJ 20:43 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
How far can the EUR/US go on todays news? will it crack the 1.5 this time?

USA Zeus 20:39 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
dc CB 20:29 GMT January 10, 2008

Yes they did because of his poor ethics. His PPs is perty good however.

Funny thing was in the early 90's I went and took a case of his books and used them as targets on the firing range. Later, after his little "issue" I realized that the one copy of his book that I thought I kept was missing so had to buy one back at a premium. LOL

Moscow MT4EA 20:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
I have writed the MT4 script for visualisation of closed deals
It read the statement and show closed transactions on the chart. http://forum.mql4.com/10100 . This link - to post in english, previous - to post in russia.

dc CB 20:29 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 19:41 GMT January 10, 2008
Nice Curtis Arnold

funny you mention him. the CFTC went after him for fraud.

Maribor 20:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Caba, EURGBP is very close to yearly top as is GBPCHF close to yearly low.

Maribor 20:21 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
EURCHF turn level done at 1,629, going up again; long term (many months) target still down around ~1,45.

Moscow MT4EA 20:17 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
I have writed the MT4 script for visualisation of closed deals
It read the statement and show closed transactions on the chart. http://forum.mql4.com/ru/10164
Today I have opened next positions:
BUY AUDJPY - 97.38 and BUY NZDJPY - 85.39

Lahore FM 20:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Los Angeles - bernie 18:49 GMT January 10, 2008
yes we can surely do with some prayers.thanks for your kind words Bernie!

Philadelphia Caba 20:09 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 19:54 GMT January 10, 2008
can u be more specific, please? tia!

Lahore FM 20:05 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
NYC TH 19:35 GMT January 10, 2008

NYC TH,guess till elections are out of the way things won't go back to normal.all the very best to you in NYC.

long gbpjpy looks good.

bilbao pedro 20:02 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Zeus, explain me pls what is that signal you mentioned on GBPUSD???

USA Zeus 19:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
dc CB 19:57 GMT January 10, 2008

If smth happens with real finance reports he may lose the sunlight and become the Pink Panther along with Skilling.

dc CB 19:57 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
fyi. Stox are now all about the Man with the Tan of the Year.

WSJ reports Bank of America (BAC) is in advanced talks to acquire struggling Countrywide Financial (CFC)

Maribor 19:54 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
AUD turning point done at 0,8944(timeframe ~2 weeks). EURGBP, GBPCHF very close or already turning long term( many months), now 0,7545 and 2,164. As long term points tolerance is greater than for short term.

USA Zeus 19:45 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Can use Toby Crabel style signal on GBP/USD

USA Zeus 19:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Nice Curtis Arnold style symetrical triangle on GBP/USD coil before the rapid rise.

NYC TH 19:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Lahore, Nice to see you back on this forum. Hope things are getting better in Pakistan.

Btw, I've moved so I'm not Charlotte TH anymore....now I'm NYC TH.

london 19:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Haifa ac 18:32 GMT January 10, 2008
If Ben is printing money and accomodating--why are bonds dropping? any explanation?!

Paper is Paper!!
gt's

dc CB 19:09 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BONDX Bond Watch: Chopper Bernanke

Bernanke, aside from letting the text of his speech out way, way early (perhaps front-running a more inflation wary Hoenig), seems to be trying to talk stocks off the ledge, appeasing them with outright talk of aggressive rate action, while hitting the long bonds on heated inflation worries. The fact that Bernanke actually said out loud, in front of people, that the Fed was standing ready to "provide insurance" was a cry of uncle, whereas, on the flip-side, KC's Hoenig walk a more inflation wary line. Speculation was that Bernanke's early text release was a "manipulative" move engineered to hit the wires ahead of a TIPs auction as well as a perhaps more hawkish Hoenig was meant to overshadow other news, or help to bury it anyway. That leaves a bad taste in the markets' collective mouth, so the initial jubilation in equities & slump in longer maturity bonds may be easily offset.

madrid mm 19:08 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Peat, you meant the Hunt brothers maybe

"The Hunt Brothers and the Silver Bubble
Brian Trumbore
President/Editor, StocksandNews.com

In 1973, the Hunt family of Texas, possibly the richest family in America at the time, decided to buy precious metals as a hedge against inflation. Gold could not be held by private citizens at that time, so the Hunts began to buy silver in enormous quantity.

In 1979 the sons of patriarch H.L. Hunt, Nelson Bunker and William Herbert, together with some wealthy Arabs, formed a silver pool. In a short period of time they had amassed more than 200 million ounces of silver, equivalent to half the world's deliverable supply.
../.. "

http://www.buyandhold.com/bh/en/education/history/2000/
hunt_bros.html

Van jv 18:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Haifa ac ----perhaps low confidence and some dumping?--where is hiding inflation?

Los Angeles - bernie 18:49 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Lahore --- good to hear your voice. many in california think deeply about your country --- send best wishes.

Auckland peat 18:44 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
silver hit a new high as well
(may have been higher before 1995 - my charts only go back that far - there was that business in the 70's of course)

PAR 18:42 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Maybe US treasury bond yields just too low with the costs of the war. 3.8 % not exactly a nice yield on 10 year .

Lahore FM 18:39 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
LA BFL 18:23 GMT January 10, 2008
yes all well.thanx!

Haifa ac 18:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR 18:37 GMT January //Bonds have been rallying with gold past few months

today something changed. Not sure what.

PAR 18:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Haifa / Maybe because gold is approaching $ 1000 rather quickly .

madrid mm 18:34 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
The Fed's Message Is Getting Lost in Translation: Caroline Baum

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aj6jxtubr.jQ&refer=home

Haifa ac 18:32 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
If Ben is printing money and accomodating--why are bonds dropping? any explanation?!

madrid mm 18:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
am i correct to say new historical high GOLD spot ?
thx in advance

LA BFL 18:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
hi fm,

hope you are fine there.

madrid mm 18:22 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR 17:35 GMT January 10, 2008
And i am from planet tapas where ISP breaks down when i least need it

LOL

madrid mm 18:20 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Arggggggggggggggrrrrrrrrrr Don t you just love it...Just when the market is going one way, my isp breaks down

8-)

dc CB 18:17 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Last paragphs in speach

"....However, in light of recent changes in the outlook for and the risks to growth, additional policy easing may well be necessary. The Committee will, of course, be carefully evaluating incoming information bearing on the economic outlook. Based on that evaluation, and consistent with our dual mandate, we stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks.

Financial and economic conditions can change quickly. Consequently, the Committee must remain exceptionally alert and flexible, prepared to act in a decisive and timely manner and, in particular, to counter any adverse dynamics that might threaten economic or financial stability."

dc CB 18:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
13:05 Bernanke's speech on the economy begins.
hahaha

PAR 18:06 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Euro sharply higher against Yen and Yuan .

USA Zeus 17:58 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
NYC MP 17:52 GMT January 10, 2008

I'm an old battle tested sage but please don't use this as a dating or pickup site. Am happily married and hedged for the GBP/USD rise.

Happy Day!

dc CB 17:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market spikes into positive territory after Bernanke statements come across Bloomberg. Currently, the major indices are off their highs, but remain in the green.

Bernanke said additional policy easing may well be necessary, and that the Fed stands ready to take "substantive additional action." These headlines hit before Bernanke's scheduled speech at 1:00 ET. The comments are likely from a prepared text, pre-released to Bloomberg.

USA Zeus 17:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 17:37 GMT January 10, 2008

Not proud at all NYAM. Just is what it is. I only refer to it as an existing while taking add'l actions on same pair just like you or any other so the various strategy plays are understood and lord knows if not everything is mentioned how the hound dogs like to chew on it here.

Lahore FM 17:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BOE,was unchanged as per expectation,at least mine.gbpusd likely rises heron for 2.01.

--

NS,yes i am all well but my country isn't!

London NYAM 17:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Zeus, I can understand you are proud. I did not mean let go of the trade position, I meant let go of the pride just a teensy weensy bit maybe. Then again I guess that would'nt be you and that may be quite boring.
Very disapointed to have missed USDCAD by 2 pips. EURGBP is tempting sell again so i sold a bit here .7545 stop above .7566
cheerio.

USA Zeus 17:36 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Added core short gold 896.00

PAR 17:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Despite globalisation Bernanke and Trichet seem to live on different planets. Bernanke is from Venus . Trichet is from Mars . Lol.

USA Zeus 17:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD rise to commence on hedge now.

London Mamun 17:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
closed gold at 890 and silver at 16
sold snp at 1419

KL FS 17:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
one last note, i think audusd should trade close to last year's high by end of the month, still not too late to buy

USA Zeus 17:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BTW isr jweb....core trades are not day trades.
Building for a reversal in "trend"
Cheers

USA Zeus 17:28 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 17:23 GMT January 10, 2008

I can't let it go until b/e or some 50 figs lower.
I love it when they say I am trading against the "trend" whatever that means....social trend perhaps. If so then success is more certain. I shorted it when so many took obligation to make me out to be some dangerous trader who trades against what they saw looking backwards. Now they tell me the "down trend" started there or some point lower. LOL

isr jweb 17:28 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
the boys are back!

dc CB 17:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
in Forex, this would be labeled Intervention. lol

NYC jr 17:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
dc bits of sandwich all over the screens!

dc CB 17:25 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
well well well. Seems the game today is an Earlier Than Announced appearance of Ben, during NY lunch.

USA Zeus 17:24 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Building core short gold now SAR from core long.

Added short 893.20

KL FS 17:24 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
usd has little support, audusd on pullback is also a strong buy, the only place to buy usd could be gbp, but that could change also in a snap, off now

London NYAM 17:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Zeus//You know how you got irritated by everyone bringing up that USDCAD trade-gone-wrong-song. Well you know its starting to sound like the GBPUSD trade-gone-right-song. Kudos for sticking wit it for so long but will you let it go already?

USA Zeus 17:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Hit it -
Short Comex gold 892.20

USA Zeus 17:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
isr jweb 16:52 GMT January 10, 2008

Sauce is sauce- with, for or against historical hindsight patterns. What is booked is booked. Very saucy success record!


BTW- Still core short GBP/USD 2.1113. If you took this trade then you too would be the hot sauce plantation owner but that is not a day trade as such that you were thirsting for.

Cheers!

moscow mike 17:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
moscow mike 15:07 GMT January 10, 2008
e/u seems to be a low risk opp using prev top as stop...
------

exited b/e

PAR 17:17 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Anticipated activity of PPT supporting USDJPY in NY before japanese housewive yen selling in Tokyo.

The Netherlands Purk 17:13 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Starting to build up shorts in e/u.
14688 is something is see in the a.. of Tonto.

KL FS 17:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
usdchf looks heavy, short if 1.1068 seen, good chance for target 1.09xx for weekly close, stop 1.1120

isr jweb 17:08 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
zeus... see... Dr q any idea on usd/chf - or is it just following the eur/usd pattern? thanks

isr jweb 16:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
DR q thank you for your accurate calls on gbp/usd - they helped!

JAK BOND 16:54 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Dr Q

Can you kindly share your view for the eurusd ?
Still not stop out from short last time ?

TIA

isr jweb 16:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
zeus - beware of the sauce, if your going against trends take money when you can and wait for another oppertunity - usually better...

Hong Kong Qindex 16:48 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London ADK 16:45 GMT - Cheers!

London ADK 16:47 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
I am also being told there are massive stops below that 2.15 area.

London ADK 16:45 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Thx Dr Q & happy new year. Timely predictions as usual. I was just looking at that.

USA Zeus 16:45 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 16:44 GMT January 10, 2008

Excuse me- sorry wrong forum.

USA Zeus 16:44 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Subject: SOCIAL SECURITY AND WHO ARE THE CULPRITS!


Franklin Roosevelt, a Democrat, introduced the Social Security (FICA)
Program. He promised:

1.) That participation in the Program would be completely voluntary,

2.) That the participants would only have to pay 1% of the first $ 1,400 of
their annual incomes into the Program,

3.) That the money the participants elected to put into the Program would
be deductible from their income for tax purposes each year,

4.) That the money the participants put into the independent "Trust Fund"
rather than into the General operating fund, and therefore, would only be
used to fund the Social Security Retirement Program, and no other
Government program, and,

5.) That the annuity payments to the retirees would never be taxed as
income

------------------------------------------------------------

Since many of us have paid into FICA for years and are now receiving a
Social Security check every month -- and then finding that we are getting
taxed on 85% of the money we paid to the Federal government to "put away"
-- you may be interested in the following:
------------------------------------------------------------

Q: Which Political Party took Social Security from the independent "Trust
Fund" and put it into th General fund so that Congress could spend it?
A: I t was Lyndon Johnson and the democratically controlled House and
Senate.
------------------------------------------------------------
Q: Which Political Party eliminated the income tax deduction for Social
Security (FICA) withholding?

A: The Democratic Party.
------------------------------------------------------------
Q: Which Political Party started taxing Social Security annuities????
A: The Democratic Party, with Al Gore casting the "tie-breaking" deciding
vote as Pr esident of the Senate, while he was Vice President of the US .

------------------------------------------------------------

Q: Which Political Party decided to start giving annuity payments to
immigrants?

A: That's right! Jimmy Carter! And the Democratic Party of course!
Immigrants moved into this country, and at age 65, Democratic Party gave
these payments to them, even though they never paid a dime into it!
------------------------------------------------------------

Then, after doing all this lying and thieving and violating of the original
contract (FICA), the Democrats turn around and tell you that the
Republicans want to take your Social Security away!

And the worst part about it is uninformed citizens believe it!

Hong Kong Qindex 16:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/CHF : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 2.1395.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:33 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/CHF : Heading Towards 2.1443

dc CB 16:32 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Mtl JP 15:36 GMT January 10, 2008
dc CB 15:23 /

it's supposed to be about the economic outlook. the last time he spoke and basically said - tough times ahead - the market tanked. if he clues toward a 50bp rate cut, in his effort to be transparent, we may rally. also at the same time 1:00, Hoenig is speaking in Kansas City on....the economic outlook. If it does rally, I'm sure Trader in Chief Paulson will have his boys add to the momentum. he's trained the shorts to keep looking over their shoulder.

crap shoot, just play the technicals inside the ranges. next 2 weeks are huge in terms of earning reports. that's what will move the markets. Bush will probably give everyone in the country $500 when he gives the State of the Union on the 28th(?) But todays retail reports and credit card co reports are showing that the "consumer" is out-O-cash, so that 500 will go directly to the Visa bill.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 16:17 GMT - Thank you for your kind words. This week's closing for GBP/USD is importance.

London NYAM 16:21 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
tomi stopped out at 1.0135 still wants to go up reselling at previously mentioned level.

Maribor 16:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
EURGBP already above long term turn level, which was ~0,744, possible extension is 0,767.

moscow mike 16:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 16:14 GMT January 10, 2008
Nice strike Zeus, waves are getting bigger and bigger as anticipated ;)

GL & GT

Philadelphia Caba 16:17 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Qindex, re: eur/chf & eur/gbp ..your targets has been reached...great calls! many thanks for posting here..gt!

USA Zeus 16:14 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 15:47 GMT January 10, 2008
Short COMEX gold 886.50



USA Zeus 15:47 GMT January 10, 2008
Short COMEX gold 886.50


isr jweb-

Let's stack and rack the endless hot sauce real time day trading success-

Spicy traders can take the $2.50 gain and cover.

Other time frames are different.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:57 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD : Trading Reference


... 1.9411 - 1.9455 - 1.9499* // 1.9543 - [1.9587] - 1.9631 // 1.9675* - 1.9719 - 1.9763 ...

Maribor 15:57 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Long term turn level GBPCHF ~2,145.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD : The market is positive If It can close above 1.9647 in the New York session. On the other hand the market is under pressure when it closes below 1.9533.

PAR 15:48 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke dovish , Trichet hawkish. But good cooperation in giving liquidity to banks .

USA Zeus 15:47 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Short COMEX gold 886.50

madrid mm 15:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Gold trader must be strong from the heart !!
8-)

Hong Kong Qindex 15:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD : The daily cycle congested area is projected at 1.9475 - 1.9673.

Mtl JP 15:36 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
dc CB 15:23 / think he say anything trade-able ? if y, how ?

Canada NN 15:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:19 GMT January 10, 2008
rise a bit then fall... already back to 1.9558

dc CB 15:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
fyi
Ben Bernanke will speak at 1:00PM EST.

warsaw TOMi 15:20 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 14:25 GMT January 10, 2008

am also short 10133, may I know your appx target please?
appreciated

HK Kevin 15:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
EUR above 1.4740, what a surprise to everyone

Amman wfakhoury 15:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 15:07 GMT January 10, 2008
and what bingo means ?

moscow mike 15:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
e/u seems to be a low risk opp using prev top as stop...

Canada NN 15:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:04 GMT January 10, 2008
you already bingo!

PAR 15:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Euro rising against Yen and Yuan after super Hawkish Trichet. Good for the Chinese trade surplus .

Amman wfakhoury 15:04 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbp.usd..
=======
be aware of the fall after a little more rise.

Canada NN 14:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 14:27 GMT January 10, 2008
you shorted GBP, i justed followed USA Zeus to long GBP. At first, I think if GBP no interest rate cut, must up a bit because the falling is price in for the rate cut. But finally, even BOE doesn't cut, GBP still drop... too disappointed. All currencies are up except GBP. You see current EUR? 1.4750!

USA Zeus 14:48 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 14:11 GMT January 10, 2008

Scalpers take gains now or already. Others may keep it for a swing trade.

Cheers!

Maribor 14:47 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Errata: NZD stop 0,7785, but will reconsider selling again later if stop is triggered.

USA Zeus 14:46 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
austin mw 14:45 GMT January 10, 2008

Come to Papa.

austin mw 14:45 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Zeus, enough already. Either say something of relevance
or have mom drop you off at your day school.

USA Zeus 14:44 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 14:11 GMT January 10, 2008

Now...Spicy pips are yours if you buy GBP/USD now 1.9558 (bid)


Just to let you know that 60 pips were yours from my perfect and precise call.

USA Zeus 14:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
isr jweb-

habanero peppers!

Day trade success keeps stacking. Thanks for the inspiration!

JAK BOND 14:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
NYAM

Thanks for the info

London NYAM 14:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
shorted first half 1.9585 stops above 1.9630 adding at 1.9610.
Whats the matter NN, still have absolutely nothing useful to contribute?

USA Zeus 14:26 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 14:11 GMT January 10, 2008

Hot sauce!

London NYAM 14:25 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
JAK BOND 13:55// Limit was triggered. have second above at @1.0150. Stops above that.

Stockholm za 14:23 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   

Canada NN 13:51 GMT >>
They cannot raise = already price in…. 100%
Keeping it on hold = stalling for time.. ( already price in )….51%
They must cut at some time = already price in …100%
Probability for long term gain is in a bear trend..
Happy trades..

PAR 14:20 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Trichet will only lower rates if an european bank goes down and neither Bundesbank nor ECB prepared to pay the bill . This could rather happen sooner than later.

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2008/01/10/10065/the-pain-in-spain-will-fall-mainly-on-the-south-med-coast/

USA Zeus 14:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Ahh yes well the overly criticized GBP/USD scalp, swing trades were perfect.

Now...Spicy pips are yours if you buy GBP/USD now 1.9558 (bid)

Maribor 14:09 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Trade with good R/R: sell NZD at market(now 0,775), stop 0,778, T/P 0,7635.

Como Perrie 14:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
eurusd has to drop somewhere 1.45 over the days ahead most likely

Maribor 14:03 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USDJPY low expected at ~109,04(some stop hunting and it will under 109).

JAK BOND 13:55 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
NYAM

Your sell limit for usdcad at 1.130/40 region still valid?

Canada NN 13:51 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
sigh... what happen to GBP? no interest cut still can't boost up GBP? how come fall that much suddenly

Hong Kong Qindex 13:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD : Thhe market is going to tackle 1.9486 - 1.9526

madrid mm 13:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Y ?

London NYAM 13:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
mm//I think we see higher perhps much higher if my take on S&p is right but 110.40/50 area is the tough overhead resistance. Break that and I believe we go straight on to 111.30. Don't ask me why. ;)

madrid mm 13:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Central Banks-Interest Rates
USD 4.25% EUR4.00% JPY0.50% GBP5.50%
CHF 2.75% CAD 4.25% AUD6.75% NZD8.25

madrid mm 13:16 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
veman= Waveman

madrid mm 13:15 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
veman, our 110 usd/yen target was it, wasn t it ?
8-(0

So much whiplash in this choppy, sideways market.

London NYAM 13:01 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Some houly Fib clusters: 1.9491/510 then 1.9450/61

Hasselt Red 12:56 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 12:41 GMT January 10

appreciate it, made some good money on this one but didn't go without a near-heartattack experience.... :-)

London NYAM 12:56 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Kapricorn. Its a great clue giver but puzzles have lots of clues and sometimes the main clue is the one from the central puzzle itself. GBPUSD is on its final leg down and has agreater chance of breaking to Purks areas then going above 1.97. BUT once its complete look to lock in longs for a decent recovery.

The Netherlands Purk 12:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Well now cable poised to go down.... lets see if it can do the up trick again. 19542 broken and we see 19460.

Sofia Kaprikorn 12:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
i think EUR/GBP holds a key for understanding some major moves as I see today mostly the moves came form EURGBP than from the majors EUR & GBP pairs..

London NYAM 12:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Hasselt Red 12:31//since 1.9707 has remained intact, the tests now will be to the lows and the usual fib supports (and MAs i guess) so pretty good chance we drop below the recent lows (say 65/35).

Hasselt Red 12:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
hello everybody, does anyone else agree gbpusd is headed for 19550? thnx in advance

madrid mm 12:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR, if Trichet is " Don Quixote " , who could be Sancho Pancha ?

LOL

Mtl JP 12:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR - yesty Sarkozy proposed companies pay a third of profits to employees

London NYAM 12:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Out of G/J long from this am 214.55 at 215.56. Eye out for a drop to re-enter or a break.

PAR 12:25 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Trichet like " Don Quixote " will continue his crusade against inflation and wage hikes while at the same trying to shore up the solvency of struggling european banks thru massive injections of money into the banking system .

Sofia Kaprikorn 12:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
at least on 2h timeframe gbpjpy broke the resistance line fo a short term down channel..

another pattern I would like a bit of feedback - is tha bottoming daily chart of GBPJPY...

a series of candles that show indecision - with a classic Doji in the middle..

Sofia Kaprikorn 12:09 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbpjpy starts to move..
if it assumes leadership it can drag the usdjpy and e/j along the top of the consolidation channels they were confined to in recent days..

isr jweb 12:08 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
caba be aware - - -

Philadelphia Caba 12:03 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
added eur/gbp short..

PAR 12:01 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BOE unchanged at 5.5%

madrid mm 11:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Alright Her majesty LOVERS !
Start up your engines

Vroum Vroum

8-)

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BoE coming out with its rate setting on top of the hour

isr jweb 11:41 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
just an eerie feeling that the big boys are not in play yet.

London NYAM 11:36 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Purk//nice call for the top at 1.9650 GBPUSD.

London NYAM 11:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
With some pull back likely i suspect we see another move of similar exuberance comming possibly friday or monday (S&P). Such a move will have to contend with tough resistance at 1426-30 then 1434.44 swing low then the tl resistance at around 1450. My bet is that the t/l will hold and we make another move lower in a wedge formation. Way too soon to say but it gives me a background to trade the fx (ie USDJPY). There is room for the carry to get some tail wind from both components of the cross.

Hong Kong Qindex 11:21 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/AUD : The market is going to tackle the range at 2.1999 - 2.2059.

Amman wfakhoury 11:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Sofia Kaprikorn 11:00 GMT January 10, 2008
=====
this is to inform you that gbp.usd may touch the levels 19690 and 19510.

Syd 11:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
EUR/JPY creeps slowly sideways, however any rallies should be seen as excellent selling opportunities for a big medium-term move lower, says Mizuho Corporate Bank's Nicole Elliott. For a strategy she favors selling at market, adding at 162.50 with a stop above 164.15, adding to shorts below 160.00, to target 159.00 ahead of 158.00.

PAR 11:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Banking problems shifting from liquidity to solvency .
http://online.wsj.com/page/credit_markets.html?mod=2_0031

isr jweb 11:05 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
sofia, for me it looks like a small consilidation - but i am not one of the better informed...

Sofia Kaprikorn 11:00 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
what we can make of the relatively strong reaction in EUR/GBP?

interest rate arbitrage play - if it can be used as an early indicator the market looks for a relatively higher yielding GBPUSD compared to EURUSD...

this must be ECB no rate cut but bias away from hawkishness - while firm decision for rate hold from BOE..

please for the better informed members - will appreciate greatly your opinions on the different scenarios!

Amman wfakhoury 10:55 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 17:12 GMT January 9, 2008
Subject:
gbp.usd still has momentum to decline till 19540

======
just to remind you that I mentioned the exact level for the reverse of gbp.usd.

isr jweb 10:51 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
would start longing soon eur/gbp maybe 0.7450-60 range

Vancouver Rick 10:51 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Does censored have live customer support 24 hours a day from Sunday to Friday like other FX brokers? I appreciate your answer to this question.

Maribor 10:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
wfakhoury, I am not missing...

London NYAM 10:49 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 00:50 GMT January 10, 2008
Subject:
London NYAM 15:32 GMT January 9, 2008
how was your GBP long? not much mometum to up

My apologies for the late reply but I thought I would allow the ,arket to answer for me. xox

Amman wfakhoury 10:48 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 10:24 GMT January 10, 2008
====
hope you are not missing the nice rise.of gbp.usd

Maribor 10:43 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
NZD top ~0,7775.

PAR 10:39 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
UK looking at indirect nationalisation of Northern Rock. Maybe Brown already networking for a future job in banking . Lol

http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSL104962620080110

Sofia Kaprikorn 10:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
pro - side guys?

sorry to bother but anyone has an opinion on decoupling of carry pairs (A/J, G/J, E/J) with stocks?

PAR 10:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
For German banks eu competition rules dont apply.
http://www.forbes.com/markets/feeds/afx/2008/01/09/afx4510146.html

Maribor 10:24 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Well, I made too many mistakes lately so I will be more reserved about posting my (too ofter wrong) levels.

Amman wfakhoury 10:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 10:14 GMT January 10, 2008
====
we all have the same chart...but our readings are diffrent
just post your view and lets see.

having in mind that I mentioned the movement will be in vibration model...

Maribor 10:14 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:07 GMT January 10, 2008
--------
it will rise to 19690 level thendecline again.

---------

According to 15 min chart? Hourly chart gives different answer...Just wondering if we have similar idea about market movement...

Mumbai NS 10:10 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Some posts are like check also mine mate also mine cheers!

madrid mm 10:09 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
thank you all
8-)

Amman wfakhoury 10:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:37 GMT January 10, 2008
GBP/USD
=======
BUY if breaks level 19600 tp 19690-19800.
Sell if breaks level 19560 tp 19510 19440.

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart above or below the said levels.

movement will be in vibration model.

====================
it will rise to 19690 level thendecline again.
act accordingly

Auckland peat 10:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
thats in CETime
and re NOK
The market is
looking for an increase in CPI from 1.5%
(YoY) in November to 2.1% in December.

Sofia Kaprikorn 10:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
More risk averse markets may not have boosted the Yen to any degree, but are seeing favoritism for the Swiss Franc. Indeed Chf/Yen has crossed above the confluence of several key moving averages through 98.40-60 and looks set to challenge a minimum 99.30, but more likely levels just above 100.00. Most recently the Franc has received a boost from Eur/Chf stop loss selling below 1.6340 with Usd/Chf also sharply lower today. Looking ahead of the picture of recession fears, credit problems and perhaps a CB struggle against stagflation, is all favouring the Chf in terms of its prior safe have tag. For a change this would also suit the CB as it struggles to contain inflation, with a weak Chf a particular frustration for the CB. As for Eur/Chf, the 2008 low is 1.6324, with key tech support 1.6300 (23/27 Nov 07 lows). // IGM


mm - gr8 sense of humor mate!

Auckland peat 10:05 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
• 10:00 Consumer Prices, NOK
• 13:00 Rate Announcement from BoE,
GBP
• 13:45 Rate Announcement from ECB,
EUR
• 14:30 ECB Press Conference, EUR
• 14:30 Jobless Claims, USD
• 19:00 Fed’s Bernanke speaks about
Economic Forecasts, USD

Sofia Kaprikorn 10:04 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Maribor //
yeah - since no cuts expected from ECB & BOE - then EUR and GBP interesr differential just continues to support the flow out of USD and into higher yielding currencies?

madrid mm 10:02 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR , this is a photo for you, JC trichet looking for his bottle of wine
http://www.daylife.com/photo/0dG72YB7Q6aGg/Jean_Claude

8-)

Maribor 10:02 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Big boyz buying back cable they sold last day in december?

madrid mm 09:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
thx Philadelphia Caba, but i was wondering if any news came out ...would you know ?
thx

Also isn t Norway announcing today, i seem to have read it somewhere but can not find it ...I am getting old 8-))))

London ADK 09:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR - I have to give it to you,...you are funny.

PAR 09:56 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Hawkish Trichet is big fan of the carry trades when drinking wine at G7 meetings , and thats all he will say about it . Lol.

Philadelphia Caba 09:55 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
madrid mm 09:53
eur/chf?

madrid mm 09:53 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
did i miss something on usd/chf ?

Sofia Kaprikorn 09:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBPJPY & EURJPY 4-hour charts show range / consolidation..

EURJPY certainly a bullish leader... once they break out of congestion we might see some tredning I guess..

the previous High / resistance around 161.65 is the breakout level - anyone care to confirm this thesis?

isr jweb 09:42 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
lahore fm. update that u are ok. pls

Philadelphia Caba 09:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
UK ECON: Nov Trade Deficit GBP 7.377bn. Higher-Than-Expected It was forecast at GBP 7.2bn. October"s UK trade deficit has also been upwardly revised to GBP 7.352bn.

PAR 09:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Looking for lower than expected Uk trade deficit as lower GBP should stiimulate exports and reduce imports. This will be a positive for UK economy .

London NYAM 09:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Bay//e/g; Hi there. Yes i still beleieve we are possibly near a top. Big day for the pair so tough call. maybe wait for the news...
Purk/yes should be volotile. Not sure that GBP wants to drop from here, but it is on the cards.

Bannanaland Tonto 09:05 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 08:58 GMT January 10, 2008
Here is am ...you didnt loose me...i am at Bobs animal farm and he is teaching me how to ride...so when you find me i will get to be the Lone Ranger and you Tonto.....

The Netherlands Purk 08:58 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbp/usd poised to drop. Ranger looks at 19588-19388 as a possible range or 19480-19680. There is something about that 19660 thingy.
e/u : 14696-14587 or 14640-14740.
But beware of the moves being moved in time. Yesterday gave a late drop followed by a bounce in both pairs which where tradable. It is Thursday so i expect large ranges and fast movements.

Perth B.R. 08:44 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Thanks for the tips and encouragement everyone :)

I look forward to hanging around on the forum for a while and learning, hopefully creating my own system that works.

Tallinn viies 08:40 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
next one saying:
Asian central bank sold more than one yard dollars, also says one bank sold 170 million euros but eurusd went higher as Asian central bank on counterparty bid...


is it really so small market in Singapore? 170 million euros?

madrid mm 08:39 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Tallinn viies

it is me 100M there, another 100m Here, a few 100M this way

8-)

Sydney ACC 08:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Syd 08:21 GMT January 10, 2008
Thank you my friend same to you. I hope you have been enjoying the lovely weather we have been having. Much better than the roasting Melbourne has been experiencing.
Spent numerous days on the beaches at Maroubra and Coogee with the kids. Never been as brown as I am now.
However the markets are starting to beckon me back.

madrid mm 08:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Perth, this is 4 u

Can You Handle the Truth? Click here!

Tallinn viies 08:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
good morning,
DJ news in front of me:
Rumor Asian central bank selling USD/JPY around 110,10, buying EUR/USD on dips from 1,4650 to 1,4680 today. Fund (of unspecified nationality) sold EUR 100 million abouve 1,4675 say Singapore dealer.

is it a joke? 100 million???

madrid mm 08:36 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
...and beware of the japanese housewives !!!!
And
if you hear
1/ that KAMPO is buying, buy everything
2/ that a Chinese official says we are diversifying our FX reserve, sell everything

8-(0

Rule No 3, have a system that fits you

madrid mm 08:27 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Perth B.R.

Lovely city by the way 8-)

Syd 08:21 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Sydney ACC 07:55 happy new year to you :-))

madrid mm 08:21 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Perth B.R. 07:50 GMT January 10, 2008

you can it is a free forum , but don t blame anybody !!!
LOL

-rule No 1 take complete responsability

buy buy buy buy buy
sell sell sell sell sell

After a few weeks of watching "closely" this forum, either you become a gr8 trader and immensly rich or you lose everything and become immensly poor

rule No 2 - buying and selling pairs is the easy part, being profitable is another story. Work hard at learning


8-)

Mumbai NS 08:15 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
FM i mean't by news the blast in Lahore hope u r fine mate glgt

London sv 08:13 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Finnmark Thor 08:08 GMT January 10, 2008
Another disciple from Bobs rubber chicken handling college...

Perth B.R. 08:10 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Thanks Thor and ACC, I'm watching what everyone else says on the demo account...

I'm still young! Hopefully theres time for me to learn the ways!

Finnmark Thor 08:08 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Perth B.R

Be very careful with what you read here. There is some good advice here and a lot to stay away from. You will have to learn to trade on your own and not to follow others blindly. start with a demo or start very small so you can refund, because odd's are you will need to, sorry. Right now today we have a higher level of B.S. here than usual here, sad to say.

USA Zeus 08:06 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Well back to the basics after the spicy GBP/USD call. It will be rising MT as mentioned earlier.

USD/JPY up up and away!!!!

USA Zeus 08:01 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:59 GMT January 10, 2008

Not hardly guy but you can double your gains by following the USD/JPY call. LOL

Mumbai NS 08:00 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
FM hope u r fine after this news .....

Sofia Kaprikorn 08:00 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
yeah all smart guys here long gbp/jpy..

very good hope my G/J longs from 215.33 and E/J form 161.43 also get afloat ..

gl & gt all!

Amman wfakhoury 07:59 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:49 GMT January 10, 2008
USA Zeus 07:38 GMT January 10, 2008
Buy GBP/USD NOW 1.9560 for QUICK SPICY PIPS


I mean SELL where bid was to confirm USD push
Apologies!


====
17 quick spicy and hot pips were taken.
pls zues give us more and more...just take inf from my signals.

Sydney ACC 07:55 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Perth B.R. 07:50 GMT January 10, 2008
Absolutely not.
Foreign exchange dealing is one of the most exacting tasks I know.
Notwithstanding you will get some good suggestions on this site, you will also get some very bad ones as well.
You are risking your money, you must be confident therefore you have a good chance of adding to it or the very least keeping what you already have.
To determine the reliable contributors use the Archive tool and determine those whose advice you can rely on with some conviction.

Perth B.R. 07:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
I've just started learning about trading forex, would it be a wise thing to just follow the advice given here?

Thanks

USA Zeus 07:49 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:38 GMT January 10, 2008
Buy GBP/USD NOW 1.9560 for QUICK SPICY PIPS


I mean SELL where bid was to confirm USD push
Apologies!

USA Zeus 07:45 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BUY USD/JPY NOW!!

USA Zeus 07:38 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Buy GBP/USD NOW 1.9560 for QUICK SPICY PIPS

Amman wfakhoury 07:20 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbp.usd broke sell level.

LA AI 07:19 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:37 GMT January 10, 2008
GBP/USD
=======
BUY if breaks level 19600 tp 19690-19800.
Sell if breaks level 19560 tp 19510 19440.

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart above or below the said levels.

============================================

Is it confirmed now or wait 5 more minutes for another bar?

USA Zeus 07:18 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
HK [email protected] 07:07 GMT January 10, 2008

So he is there for a shoot the duck or hide and seek exercise?

HK [email protected] 07:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Bush visit to the Palestinian authority territory is posing a serious risk to the markets if something goes wrong.
It is clear that all terror organizations in that area are after him, while he enters their nest.


PAR 07:02 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Have funny impression that Kampo is selling Japanese shares in a continued effort to weaken the yen, while Toyota overseas sales gained more than 10%, One of Trichets and Europes problem is that the Yen and the Yuan while appreciating modestly against the USD keep declining against the EURO as do all dollar pegged currencies. So Trichets problem is a USD problem but he doesnt dare to say so .

madrid mm 07:02 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
have a gr8 FX jedi

8-)

madrid mm 07:00 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BoJ Dep Governor Toshiro Muto says downside risks for the global economy is heightening, Japanese economy positive cycle is weakening temporarily, but remains intact. BoJ will make policy decision cautiously. And will gradually adjust rates from current low levels.

Muto says there is no need to change BoJ's basic stance. Sees no imminent risk of inflatoin, CPI rise largely due to oil rise.

WSJ: Citigroup and Merrill Lynch recently raised billions of dollars from outside investors. Now, they are in discussions to get additional infusions of capital from investors, primarily foreign governments. Merrill is expected to get $3-4b, much of it from a Middle East Government investment fund. Citi could get as much as $10b, likely all from foreign governments.

Tony Blair is joining one of the Wall Street's best-known banks in what the former prime minister told the FT would be the first of a series of positions he expects to take in the private sector.Mr Blair, who stepped down as prime minister last year, is to become a part-time adviser to JPMorgan.

OPEC Pres Chakib Khelil says closely following US economic "crisis" which might bring decline in world economy, which will about decline in demand for oil.- Reuters.

Japan FX reserves, second largest in the world, is nearing the key $1trln mark, at new highs of $973.365b.

Australia Nov trade deficit narrows to AUD2.25b, vs AUD2.6b expected.

Day of Central Bank watching, as BoJ Dep Gov Muto speaks before 1200GMT BoE MPC decision, 1245/1330GMT ECB, and Fed Chair Bernanke at 1800GMT on monetary policy and economy for impact on US Treasuries markets and also stock markets, USD.

USD/JPY pushed above 110 in late NY as stocks recover to fresh 1-wk high 110.13. Japanese custodian, agricultural, regional mega-city banks were big buyers today at fixing again, set at 110.13, for importers, investors, with some demand seen linked to today's UST 10-yr $8bln auction.

The strong waves of buying, helped cleared huge offers at 110.00-10, b4 running into good Swiss, UK clearers, N Asian, China, Taiwan accounts, funds sales there, pushing it to 109.63 lows. Bids at 109.50-60 still, but huge offers 110.30-50, as Japanese exporters are looking to sell on rallies toward highs 110, while importers, pension funds buying.

EUR spiked up to high on back of agressive Asian Cbs, China, sovereign buying, with EUR further supported on back of EUR/GBP buying to all time highs 0.7509 (some places 0.7512) on US investment houses, funds buying, ahead of likely 25bps BoE Cut, no change at ECB. Good US funds, money center banks offers ahead of 1.4700 handle, but stops above.

GBP nearing NY 9-half mth lows 1.9555, but huge options at 1.9550/40. AUD jumps near 1-m highs, at 0.8854 after the narrower trade gap. Focus on US stock markets on talks of more injection into Citi, Merrill, and Bernanke comments.

Nikkei -1.45% or -211.05pts at 14,388.11. JGBs a tad firmer, 10-yr yield -0.025% at 1.440%.

Crude oil edge up after fall in NY, $95.83, +0.16.

Gold off all time highs, now at $877.30/ 878.10.

madrid mm 06:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
it'ssssssssssssssssss ECB and BoE DAY !!!!

And they are off and running !!!
-Jean Claude " Inflation fighter" Trichet is in the lead ,
-but Mervyn "NR savior" King is not far behind ,
-while Toshihiko " Lowest interest rate in the developped (?) world " Fukui is watching closely

8-)

madrid mm 06:47 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Hola senoras y senores,

Bienvenida a la vida loca 8-))))

"A person with a new idea is a crank until the idea succeeds." Mark Twain

HK [email protected] 06:46 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Let the GBP/USD sink 200pips more to about 1.930/1.9350
From there a long term rally to 2.1850 should be thought of. Stop loss at 1.9250.

Amman wfakhoury 06:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD
=======
BUY if breaks level 19600 tp 19690-19800.
Sell if breaks level 19560 tp 19510 19440.

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart above or below the said levels.

movement will be in vibration model.

LA AI 06:36 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD is bouncing around 1.9571.

USA BAY 06:10 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

I am long gbp/jpy too. Good luck. Any idea on eur/gbp. Thanks.

USA Zeus 06:07 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 04:24 GMT January 10, 2008

Yep- Another lucky day trade opp. Hope you got those hot-n-spicy pips!

Off to crush it!

London NYAM 06:01 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
long g/j 214.55

USA Zeus 05:11 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Looks more and more like Goldman got it right but timing was off.

Gold will drop.

USA Zeus 04:52 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
I love that banner ad for noobs at the top that gives a free book "FX for dumb dumbs- 10 e-z trading ideas that pay your counterparty while considering it tuition for joining the club." LOL

USA Zeus 04:24 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
More GBP/USD hot -n- spicy pips to come on phantom offer traps.

Mumbai NS 03:32 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Most of the times we think differently and that is why we have a market .....someone wants to buy the other wants to sell....largely because the perspectives owing to time frames that people trade are different .When i think from overall directional call on sterling i prefer to sell any rally close to 1.9780 and above for first target 1.9270 frm here and lower all this imho gud trades gl gt

Sofia Kaprikorn 03:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
PAR 19:15 GMT January 9, 2008
Looks like PPT getting ready to defend 12500 on Dow with some yen carry trades .

...................
hope they launch some strong bid in E/J & G/J cuz I got long at the recent highs //

G/J - long at 215.33

E/J - long at 161.42

lkwd jj 03:30 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
lkwd jj 23:11 GMT January 9, 2008
fwiw 10ma $y is just above the highs of 110.15. been pretty good indicator. same was yesterday for cable.
----------------------------------------------
so far so good in $Y.

USA BAY 03:29 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
LAHORE FM,

HI FM, hope things are well with you. Could you share your opinion on gbp/aud pls, looks like 2.21xx should hold.

Lahore FM 02:57 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
gbpusd,weekly techs favour rise to 2.0100/0200 from 1.95 fig now.it would need no change from boe to trigger this though.a cut has been well priced in at current levels so if there is no change of which there is good possibility,gbpusd would rise.

Syd 02:47 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
BOJ Muto: Euro Zone Econ Has Downside Risks

Syd 02:35 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 02:26 yes have been looking for GBP to drop since it hit its high , dont feel the market has decided yet when the USD is also ready for its big run higher but it will come and in turn a rapid fall in Gold and the likes , what a sight that will be !!

USA Zeus 02:26 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Syd 01:50 GMT January 10, 2008

Yes. GBP/USD has much much further to drop. Am looking for 50+ figures drop from the top where I'll hold those 2.1113 legendary shorts so BC can demonstrate my strategy later since he favors such action.

I wonder when people decided it was in a down trend if there is such a thing. LOL

Syd 01:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
GBP Has Further To Fall In 2008 - StanChart
Though GBP has underperformed since Northern Rock debacle last autumn, BOE started cutting rates, it's fallen less than USD's recent losses on trade-weighted basis, suggesting it still has much further to drop, says Standard Chartered senior FX strategist Robert Minikin. Despite firm labor market, says "housing market weakness looks set to weigh on U.K. consumer spending and broader economic growth throughout 2008"; adds, BOE likely to act preemptively to cut rates further, suggesting "new downside" for GBP in 2008. On technical basis, says longer-term chart is "unequivocally bearish"; GBP/USD not only broke through trend channel support, but also 55-week moving average at 1.9988, suggesting eventual retest of 200-week MA at 1.8768.

Canada NN 00:50 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 15:32 GMT January 9, 2008
how was your GBP long? not much mometum to up

Syd 00:37 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Australia's seasonally adjusted balance on trade in goods and services narrowed to a deficit of A$2.25 billion in November from a revised deficit of A$2.86 billion in October, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Thursday. The figure is lower than analysts' expectations of a deficit of A$2.5 billion. Australia recorded a deficit of A$754 million in the year-earlier period

Syd 00:31 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Australia Nov Trade Deficit A$2.25B Vs A$2.5B Consensus

moscow mike 00:08 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
Cbj Jake
Thanks for kind words, Jake. Have never thought it may help anyone LOL.

Zeus, waves become bigger and bigger and eventually they will crack many many boats.

Volatility emerges atm....

warsaw TOMi 00:05 GMT January 10, 2008 Reply   
ah yes, 11010 long target uj filled
for bull uj guidance there is still bid there, me have enough for the week.

gl/gt

 




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