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Forex Forum Archive for 01/15/2008

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USA Zeus 23:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Stockholm za 23:53 GMT January 15, 2008

None requested. With such non-conclusive postings about the EUR/USD you have "...beaten out the quality of the board..." as you would so casually say.

Good trades.

Stockholm za 23:53 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

USA Zeus 23:46
I have NO intention or Desire to argue / debate or have/play any Cyber-war-Games with you, so I will suggest you save the energy for the bashment crew..
Happy trades to you ..

USA Zeus 23:52 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Added USD/JPY longs 106.60

Syd 23:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Australian consumer confidence appears to be slipping due to tighter household finances, talk of U.S. recession. Westpac-MI consumer sentiment index falls 8.3% in January from December. Decline largely due to rises in banks' lending rates though Westpac notes consumers also wary about strong possibility of 25bp RBA rate hike in February, plus talk of global economic slowdown. Suggests consumers may already be limiting spending ahead of possible RBA tightening in February; inflationary pressures likely to still be too strong for RBA to remain on hold. RBA rate decision due Feb. 5.
Westpac

USA Zeus 23:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Stockholm za 23:45 GMT January 15, 2008

In other words you have no clue atm.

Stockholm za 23:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

London NYAM >>
We have a potential classic double top formation at the moment with the November high.
The 1d/50P tracker put`s a rev.triger on daily close with 1,4743. Which could target the supply line from 2006 which comes in at 1,4393 at the moment. To eliminate the trend.
Daily close above 1,4893 is needed for re-evaluation.
Sited is real money stops all the way under this weeks open…
Correlation between EUR/GBP, EURUSD & GBP/USD should be monitored for clarity..
Happy trade to you ..

USA BAY 23:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

Just stepping out for a while, will look at the charts again. Thanks a lot for the warning.

London NYAM 23:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
BAY//I dont think 210 is the end of the story for the cross. USDJPY still has potential to test 106.xx and 105.50 but i think its getting over-done. I odnt trade nzdjpy but i would be wary of stayng short this pair much longer.

USA BAY 23:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

Since we broke the 210.xx which is quite a resistance for gbp/jpy, dont you think higher than 21o.xx looks difficult for it.. Nyam I dont know if you trade the nzd/jpy seems like wave c in on now and could see it going to 7x.xx region.

Syd 23:32 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
AORD All Ordinaries 5,902.50 6:30PM ET 117.30 (1.95%)

recovering from the early lows of open at 150 down

USA BAY 23:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

The problem with eur/gbp Nyam, there is no history of high to refer now, so i dont know what is the resistance for it. Any idea from you part.

London NYAM 23:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
BAY// check out the 4hr chart GBPJPY i doubt we breal 208. glgt

USA BAY 23:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

I wanted to short it at 7600 but too slow, will try to short a bit higher. Just looking at gbp/jpy, looks like 205 soon.

Wellington, N.Z. 23:20 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

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London NYAM 23:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
BAY//no didnt post as i didnt post an entry as it would have stirred the back-seat posters. out at .7546 looking for a re-entry around @.7570 and add at @.7590. This still has a way to go imo. You short?

USA BAY 23:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

Hi Nyam, are you short eur/gbp? A pip for your thoughts here. Tia

London NYAM 23:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
so wheres the crack za?

Stockholm za 22:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

Teck. watch...
Critical level for EUR/USD at the moment, if it fall through the crack it is going to hit various quantities/magnitude of stoplost which will create an unhealthy scenario…

Gen dk 22:22 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

dc CB 22:16 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NPR's All Things Considered just did a segment in gold...interviewing Ira Epstein - Chicago futures broker

USA Zeus 22:16 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Another big chunk taken on EUR/JPY 157.94

USA Zeus 22:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Seems like many will have to sell gold to make margins elsewhere.

Auckland JJ 22:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Thanks syd, i have short position opened at .7900, guess i will take profit and wait and see.

Syd 22:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
JJ thought it would hold 78 will have to wait till market opens asia for complete view

Geneva 22:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
The market is heavy long euro, this time it can goes very fast down!

Auckland JJ 22:06 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Syd can you give me next support level for the NZ/US, or where do you see it heading from here .7745. Thanks.

Geneva 22:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bye Euro!


Italy cuts growth forecast amid fears of slowdown

By Guy Dinmore in Rome

Published: January 15 2008 17:17 - Last updated: January 15 2008 17:17

The Bank of Italy on Tuesday slashed its 2008 GDP growth forecast for Italy, citing a worsening global outlook dominated by the US sub-prime crisis and rising raw material costs.

In cutting its growth projection to 1.0 per cent from 1.7 per cent, the central bank’s latest quarterly bulletin also warned amidst the uncertainty of the danger of a more serious slowdown in Italy and other developed economies.

EDITOR’S CHOICE
Waste wars trash Naples’ image - Jan-15Deadline set over Naples rubbish - Jan-09Rubbish protest seals off Naples suburb - Jan-07Sardinia’s farmers fend off the sharks - Dec-04Italy’s GDP is expected to have grown around 1.8 per cent in 2007 and the government is preparing to cut its own growth forecast for this year in line with the Bank of Italy’s projection, a government official said.

Italy began to feel the full impact of the global slowdown late in the fourth quarter of 2007, the Bank of Italy said, warning of a ”concrete risk that credit conditions for firms and families may undergo a significant tightening”.

Some independent analysts estimate that Italy’s GDP growth rate slowed to close to zero in the final quarter of 2007

Geneva 22:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 22:00 GMT January 15, 2008

Lets see if gravity will take euro/usd to 1.41 this quater? Euro/jpy say yes!

USA Zeus 22:01 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Ouch! $20 bios vaporized on Intel's announcement....that's a lot of chicken, rubber or otherwise- unless the market is not real of course. LOL

St. Annaland Bob 22:00 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Geneva 21:58 GMT January 15, 2008

gravity had to print 09015 this week, and did so

St. Annaland Bob 21:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 21:51 GMT January 15, 2008

what ever you say, making money has not same impact on all people ... peace

Geneva 21:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 21:57 GMT January 15, 2008

I think long term AUD/CAD should be at 1.00

Syd 21:57 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Westpac currency strategists expect AUD/USD to rally back to 0.9400 in 1H on widening interest rate differentials, still robust global economic growth ex-U.S. However, weaker U.S. growth likely to threaten global economic outlook in 2H, will hamper AUD/USD push to parity. Recommends buying AUD/USD on dips in 1Q, sell pair as U.S. growth threatens global growth or as AUD/USD moves much beyond 0.94. dow jones

St. Annaland Bob 21:57 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Geneva 21:52 GMT January 15, 2008

hello my friend ... he is not there, he is in the middle east now - or not? ... seriously, simple logic and risk management will do great for the coming months ;-) ... look at AUD/CAD ... gravity always takes it's toll !

Geneva 21:52 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 21:46 GMT January 15, 2008

As long as Bush is there, nothing any more is the same. The good news is it is the last year, but as long he is there he keep doing dammges.

USA Zeus 21:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 21:46 GMT January 15, 2008

Sorry to hear the poultry business has been on the down tick post holiday season. Keep your head high. Even rubber chickens will bounce.


Happy Day!

Maribor 21:50 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Short term targets may be 1,9568 and 1,4714(in a day); USDJPY dive may stop at 101,2(approx. one week).

London NYAM 21:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bob//How do you figure that? Winter is about death whether of dreams or of real tangible 'things' and summer is about growth and romance ie dreams...so how sdid you manage to invert the themes?

St. Annaland Bob 21:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
why? ... because real things never get broken in winter time and stormy days, and markets are not and never been real - right? ... summer time fits better to break some dreams ... fwiw

St. Annaland Bob 21:43 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
with the current sentiment, even rates @ 1% will manage to take markets up ... maybe it's going to turn into a long time in cage for bears, maybe ;-)

austin mw 21:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
next stop for NASDAQ 2300

USA Zeus 21:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
dc CB 21:35 GMT January 15, 2008

Quite the fear factor kicking in it seems.

austin gw 21:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
OK, thanks mw. I'm off for remainder of the day so I'll check tonight. Thanks again. gw

austin mw 21:36 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
austin gw 21:23 GMT January 15, 2008
gw, I sent email to GV

dc CB 21:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
fyi. INTC report has killed the futures reopen.
Dow down -90
ESH -10
NQH -35

isr jweb 21:29 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
this is quite clear. campo didnt like what he saw today. carry trade looks really bad for now..

USA Zeus 21:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bought some more E/J 158.02 with some bigger size.

austin gw 21:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
austin mw

I'd like to get your email addy from Jay if you don't mind. Want to ask you a quick Q. ~~ thanks, gdub

USA Zeus 21:18 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM- Keeping 913.70 Comex shorts for a major move. Will add higher if seen. Otherwise am scalping these nice swings.

GL GT!

saopaulo cg 21:17 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
intel is already down 10 percent in the after market ,missing results

lkwd jj 21:16 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
they were selling SWISS CHEESE !! 10918 was my entry. lowest it has gone is 04 bid. above pivot at 42 and it will hit 110.

austin mw 21:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 21:14 GMT January 15, 2008
you would be the one to know

USA Zeus 21:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
lkwd jj 21:12 GMT January 15, 2008

Must be crowded at the soup kitchen.

lkwd jj 21:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
how quickly they disappeared! with euro falling on its face after posting new high for the current move, have to like chances for a usd for at least a test of 145 again. imho

USA Zeus 21:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Added some e/j 15823.

NYAM- Good luck mate!

London NYAM 21:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
uh that was 26 bid. Anybody there?

London NYAM 21:06 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
last buy in gbpusd long 1.9622

London NYAM 21:01 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
jj//PSYCHE!!
Zeus im buying gold now mate.

Syd 20:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
AUD falls more than 1.5 US cents in U.S. trade on escalating risk aversion after further Citi writedowns, poor retail data. ICAP chief economist Matthew Johnson says AUD/USD likely to find support around previous resistance level of 0.8860-70. Notes high-yielding AUD is a "bellwether" for risk in current environment, still slave to U.S. economic, equities developments, with growing evidence U.S. property woes are spilling over into broader economy. But AUD "could rally very quickly if volatility dies down" Dow Jones

lkwd jj 20:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
PAR 18:07 GMT January 15, 2008
PPT getting ready to defend 12500 Dow support
----------------------
HURRAY! THEYRE HERE!!

London NYAM 20:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Makassar Alimin 19:35// yes as long as 1.0124 holds.

London zoo Chimpie the hedger 20:29 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Mtl JP 20:25 GMT January 15, 2008

always look at pink tutu of life

Mtl JP 20:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Chimpie the hedger, altho I admire your ambition to try to climb the corporate finance ladder, from a human' s point of view, you are symbioticaly useful only as long as you do not question any trade orders you are given to execute. Only thusly you are relatively safe from the volatily of said human's emotions. And no pink tutu is going to help you :-( . I d pass on Chief 20:05 offer.. maybe live longer.

London zoo Chimpie the hedger 20:19 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

Mtl JP 20:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Chimpie the hedger 19:48 / without human rights, maybe safer to stay in a cage and chomp on a banana. Were your hedge fund to make a loss you could get shot and pushed out the 57th floor window by an emotionally enraged human.

Animal Farm Chief 20:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Pink tutu is good enough. Youv'e got it!

Makassar Alimin 20:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
guys gone crazy here, hope that is not 2008 new year's resolution ;)

London zoo Chimpie the hedger 19:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Animal Farm Chief 19:55 GMT January 15, 2008

with a pink tutu and if not good enough then properly train me

Animal Farm Chief 19:55 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Yip Chimpie I might have something for you. But first tell me how you hedge a spot position.

bilbao pedro 19:53 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
will we see a market rally here====))))?????

London zoo Chimpie the hedger 19:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

I just become available to run a fund, any offers?

Gen dk 19:36 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Makassar Alimin 19:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, if you are still around, is this still considered wave 4 for usdcad? looks very indecisive and tricky

bilbao pedro 19:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
what a day!!!!

USA Zeus 19:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Keeping the theme to sell gold on all rallies.

USA Zeus 19:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 17:43 GMT January 15, 2008
Zeus, are you still USDJPY bull?

Yes


dc CB 19:22 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
"Guess who's helping Bank of America pay for its $4.1 billion purchase of Countrywide Financial? Answer: The taxpayers of the United States.
That's because if all goes as planned, Bank of America, which is solidly profitable, will be able to offset part of its own taxable income with the losses Countrywide ran up before being acquired."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/14/AR2008011402584_pf.html

Wellington, N.Z. 19:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   



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London NYAM 18:50 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
mm//looked like the wave i thought was comming got sucked into the undertow. waiting to see equities bounce into the close but...looks like its not done looking for base i guess.

madrid mm 18:43 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
where waveman ?

Big waves coming in ?

8-)

London NYAM 18:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
And so the squeeze begins....

PAR 18:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
PPT getting ready to defend 12500 Dow support .

London NYAM 18:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor//Zeus is busy collecting his Gold short money...nice call.

PAR 18:01 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Why beg sovereign funds to invest a few billions while at the same time Bernanke encourages massive capital outflows.
Best analysis I have read today.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120034472718689251.html

Maribor 17:43 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Zeus, are you still USDJPY bull?

Maribor 17:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
PAR 17:05 GMT January 15, 2008
Heavy BOJ intervention expected in USDJPY and EURJPY.
-------------------
Would only delay inevitable 90(76) and 129(stucture on EURJPY point even to 82,4 low), respectively. OK, buying time also cost money and is sometimes welcomed.

USA Zeus 17:32 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Ahh yes a day of paradise for sure. Much more to come. The week is young. More to come.

lkwd jj 17:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
watching 109.29(todays open) level in chf.if above would be reversal after making new lows.

saopaulo cg 17:21 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
BOJ in eurjpy ?????

PAR 17:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Heavy BOJ intervention expected in USDJPY and EURJPY.

London NYAM 17:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Alimin//Its been a long day anyway.
Looking at S&P we may have reached todays low. That will turn USDJPY (which actually led the move IMO). The trading day may get even more interesting if the late shorts cant get out.

Makassar Alimin 17:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, I am out of gbpusd long, not feeling comfortable
was expecting 200 hourly ema to provide support but it closed below it...
will be back tomorrow, see you all

Gen dk 16:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London NYAM 16:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Purk//Its a good day for trading ones buns off. Cant post all trades it would be silly you are right.
Second long GBPUSD 1.9662.

The Netherlands Purk 16:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 14:53 GMT January 15, 2008

Always here NYAM.
I am trading my b... of to get more out of my 14740 shorts e/u that i took because i was greedy. Also longing usd/jpy and closed all gbp longs.
Can not put entries of course because that is too late, but as soon as e/g turned i was there...
Carry on please...
Good calls ZEUS for longing gbp, now watch usd/jpy the coming days...

Makassar Alimin 16:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
audusd is sick or something? usd is fast approaching intraday resistance, expecting a retreat towards close today, if not we are in for something bigger

London NYAM 16:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 09:51 GMT January 15, 2008
Subject:
long GBPCHF 2.1420 stop 2.133x

t/p on half at 2.1505

Gen dk 16:36 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London NYAM 16:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Alimin//Yes I prefer stop for the lot under 1.9589 but yes we shall see if we get some updraft. If it is a wave 3 or wave c it should be a nice ride once it starts and breaks the highs again. glgt

Stockholm za 16:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

It`s known as a Technical Ambush….
EUR/USD The 1m 25 delta risk reversal is 0.05 EUR puts. Vs last week 0.25 put.

Makassar Alimin 16:32 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
it is there now NYAM, small long 1.9678, stop under 1.9630
depending how other pairs close, might consider SAR later

tokyo ginko 16:28 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
added more shorts for eur/usd

HK Kevin 16:28 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Intraday short EUR t/p is 1.4810.

HK Kevin 16:26 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
EUR/USD has formed an outside reverse bar at the 8-hr and 4-hr chart with t/p at 1.4710/20. Lower my stop loss to b/e.

London NYAM 16:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1ST Back in long 1.9679

madrid mm 16:19 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Hasselt Red
thx

Canada NN 16:16 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
toronto df 16:14 GMT January 15, 2008
i am longing too @ 1.97

Hasselt Red 16:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
eurusd daily pp at 14858 , dynamic pp higher at 14895

Gen dk 16:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

toronto df 16:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 16:09 GMT January 15, 2008

From 1.9660

madrid mm 16:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
tokyo ginko 16:10 GMT January 15, 2008

thx, i guess this is due to a different time frame but close enough to my taste

8-)

Maribor 16:11 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USDCHF long term: pair does not fit good in my theories, however long term target seems to be in 0,8-0,9 range. That target may be consistent with current EURCHF downtrend.

tokyo ginko 16:10 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
mine is slightly lower 1.4840-50 levels

Canada NN 16:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long time no see, anyone is long GBP/USD?

madrid mm 16:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
just checking , has anybody else has the daily PP on euro/usd at 1.4854 ???

8-) i don t want to be alone at this lvl

madrid mm 16:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 15:46 GMT January 15, 2008

no worries. i do not know if you are right or wrong, but i like it !!!

But i might not be alive to see it

8-) Everybody has his own system

Gen dk 16:01 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Makassar Alimin 16:00 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 15:53 GMT January 15, 2008

this recent drop from euro and aud make it more complicated NYAM

tokyo ginko 15:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
dont think Kevin trade based on luck

London NYAM 15:53 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Alimin// that was a big b wave i think hitting 1.9738 so 1.9668-77 should be doable. The high skew up of the b (if this is a flat) usually implies th eunderlying trend is strong. If we triangulate we may be waiting a while for the final move down to go long.

NY Rob 15:52 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
well done Kevin, your timing was right, luck favours your side as I am stopped out at entry, will watch today's low and where we close

Maribor 15:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:45 GMT January 15, 2008

BC is great master...I think current fall of USDJPY from 124 shall end around 90 in next 2-3 years.

Maribor 15:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
MM, I am doing it for myself as it helps me identify current trends and differentiate between trends and corrections. When I am through most pairs, I think I will understand better what is going on now. Without large picture I make too many mistakes.

HK Kevin 15:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 15:37 GMT, shanghai bc have mentioned 110-115 range for this year.

HK Kevin 15:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 15:37 GMT, shanghai bc have mentioned 110-115 range for this level.

Maribor 15:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Time and place to reload EURUSD around 1,4875-80.

madrid mm 15:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor

I like your style.

how about centuries ? Or never ?

Don t get me wrong, you might be right

8-)

saopaulo cg 15:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
euro can't profit from usd weakness, looks like no one wants to buy and keep it above 1.49. Nevertheless, it is better to short the euro against the pound. Target 7250. If not short the euro against the yen.IMHO

Maribor 15:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USDJPY long term: first long term target is 90,2 and final target is 76. May take years.

HK Kevin 15:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
AUD is approaching critical intraday support at 8945. Closed 1/2 of my short AUD/JPY from 97.10 here at 95.61.

madrid mm 15:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Everyone Loves Yen in Subprime World of Slowing U.S. (Update3)

By Liz Capo McCormick and Stanley White

Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The poorer the prospects for the U.S. economy, the more attractive Japan's yen is to Alan Eisner.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601213&sid=avBcBVC1hWR4&refer=home

USA Zeus 15:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 15:22 GMT January 15, 2008
Let's see what gifts are offered.

Best of Trades as always.

USA Zeus 15:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 15:10 GMT January 15, 2008

Forgot to add that this is also a great point for Swing Traders to keep for the swing higher.

London NYAM 15:22 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Im in agreement with you Z. I would like to see 919 print before shorting but you may be already there should 906.76 break again. gl

USA Zeus 15:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 15:10 GMT January 15, 2008
Long Crude oil 91.43

Exited 91.75 for $420/contract

USA Zeus 15:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 15:12 GMT January 15, 2008

Should say latest. Will add higher if seen.

USA Zeus 15:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 15:12 GMT January 15, 2008
Building shorts. We're at the last add-on level now.

London NYAM 15:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Zeus still holding your gold shorts? The button may have fallen off.

USA Zeus 15:10 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Long Crude oil 91.43

London NYAM 15:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
mm and gv//Then he missed out on a great range-trading day.
Alimin// I seriously doubt GBPUSD will probe the lows again 1.9621/34 is my last buy in I will be very happy if any monster traders take it there. ;)

USA Zeus 15:06 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Crude oil @ 91.59 is looking cheap.

madrid mm 14:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Waveman, Purk could be surfing "cerebraly" in 1 of these wonderful cafe in Holland smoking some green "tea" (?!?!)
8-)

Makassar Alimin 14:57 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 14:53 GMT January 15, 2008

well said NYAM, will play small on this entry if hit, still cautious and some SARs could be prepared later as this rally could be use by bigger players to enter and gun at much lower levels

London gv 14:57 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 14:53 GMT January 15, 2008
He still " supermarket shopping" in Amsterdam....he likes to take his time and look for " bargains"..lol

madrid mm 14:56 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
I wanna get my Sour and Sweet pipitos plse

8-)

madrid mm 14:55 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NY Rob 14:05 GMT January 15, 2008
stay calm,

Rob , i am calm but still confused

8-)

madrid mm 14:54 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
I am still confused ....

LOL

8-)

PAR if Spanish gvmnt says so , then we are safe LOL

London NYAM 14:53 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Alimin ill be happy with a 1/3 possi back in atound 1.9680/85. Always a risk when you are pretty sure you have got the underlying direction right and get out too soon... Still better with pips in the pocket as Purk would say. Where the censored is he anyway?

Makassar Alimin 14:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, looking for entry at 1.9650-70 with stop under 1.9630 for the time being

London NYAM 14:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
t/p on final third 1.9723 GBPUSD from this am 1.9556. Looking for a pull back now to re-enter.

KL FS 14:43 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
out of usdcad short for nothing, reason is that this is too slow given usd has been tanking in other pairs and crude is going down

USA Zeus 14:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Makassar Alimin 14:23 GMT January 15, 2008

Thanks for the kind words and many congrats to you as well.

Cheers! :-)

NY Rob 14:33 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:25 GMT January 15, 2008

good luck Kevin, I am following the simple rule if it keeps making new highs, then it is still going higher, still the easier way to make money is BOD

London NYAM 14:29 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Looks like we go dipping again in USDJPY. Nice trading day!

PAR 14:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Yearly PPI not promising.
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=3b33b600-0382-42db-8926-37313a949019

bilbao pedro 14:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Out -32pipson my short usdgbp....
Thanks PAR...in any event thereare suchgreat yields on prefered all over the place....

austin mw 14:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bilbao pedro 12:25 GMT January 15, 2008
bilbao, those preferreds done in private placement
not for the public to own.

HK Kevin 14:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NY Rob 14:12 GMT, I am breaking my rule for short EUR at 1.49 level, but not bad for betting 30 pips. No impressive upmove following the bad US retail data may hint sth.

slv sam 14:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
very safe to buy euro here...dealers want to beat the magic number 1.50!GT

Makassar Alimin 14:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
congrats Zeus, well done on that gbpusd trade

PAR 14:22 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bilbao / dont have the symbol for those perferred shares yielding 9 % . Sorry.

USA Zeus 14:20 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 05:24 GMT January 15, 2008
Let's see if we can't get GBP/USD daily range to 150-200+ piptitos.


Fantastic!

USA Zeus 14:18 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 13:23 GMT January 15, 2008
USA Zeus 07:18 GMT January 15, 2008
No question. Buy again for super cheap opp at GBP/USD going higher.

USA Zeus 06:48 GMT January 15, 2008
No question. No need to wait for 15 mins past a break of 1.96. Buy GBP/USD now for higher and make more. 1.9575

____________________________________________________

First exit taken @ 1.9693 taken for some ultra spicy pips....Hope you got all those pips!
____________________________________________________
Okay. 1.9735 taken on the second day trade gift. Hope you crushed it too!


PAR 14:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Spain government, low probability of more ECB Rate hikes .

NY Rob 14:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 14:09 GMT January 15, 2008

it will Kevin, patience required, once eurgbp resumes north...

HK Kevin 14:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Small short EUR at 1.4904. Still hold short USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY.

HK Kevin 14:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
If EUR is really strong, it should trade above 1.50 now.

USA Zeus 14:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Ahh yes- Wisdomtrader Sven to the rescue once again! LOL

Stockholm za 14:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

Tracker status...tek.
GBP/USD Has just enter the zone, all spikes is given RR on VAT.
Scenario elimination at 1,9774 given.
BlackBox Lockdown..
Happy trades…

NY Rob 14:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
stay calm, as long as today's low in place, euro will see above 1.50 fairly soon, it is unstoppable

bilbao pedro 14:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
TODAY its Black TUESDAY.....(Although it should be better be called RED Tuesday)
PAR what is the 9% yield symbol for those preffered?

bilbao pedro 14:00 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
youguys...i don´t see 1 reason to buy here USDJPPY...i may be wrong but they are notgoing to intervene at these levels....maybe 104'103 levels....

USA Zeus 13:56 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Yes alarms triggered. Initiate plan to buy USD/JPY 106.72 and EUR/JPY 158.94

bilbao pedro 13:55 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
shorted GBPUSD at 1.9701 tp 1.9575 .....
short eurusd 1.4889 stop 1.4920for short squeeze
Dont get fooled by suckers rally!!!

tokyo ginko 13:50 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bgt usd/jpy 106.80

KL FS 13:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
short usdcad again 1.0160, same stop loss for both entries

USA Zeus 13:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 14:48 GMT January 10, 2008
USA Zeus 14:11 GMT January 10, 2008

Scalpers take gains now or already. Others may keep it for a swing trade.

____________________________________________________

Okay Swing traders...Clear for gains at your leisure.

Cheers!

London NYAM 13:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
im buying into these numbers. I think this may be a decent oportunity. Added to USDJPY longs 106.70 and 106.55 (if seen) and added some S&P longs as well as GBPJPY at 210.70 and 210.42. Call me crazy I know.

PAR 13:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Again talk of FED cutting rates today after these bad numbers .

St. Annaland Bob 13:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
good day ... it will be very difficult to find GOLD buyers above $855 if will not go below $840 and then above $920 ... fwiw

KL FS 13:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
whatever the data could be, euro is painting a very bullish picture!

USA Zeus 13:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:18 GMT January 15, 2008
No question. Buy again for super cheap opp at GBP/USD going higher.

USA Zeus 06:48 GMT January 15, 2008
No question. No need to wait for 15 mins past a break of 1.96. Buy GBP/USD now for higher and make more. 1.9575

____________________________________________________

First exit taken @ 1.9693 taken for some ultra spicy pips....Hope you got all those pips!

London NYAM 13:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
limit hit while out to get sushi GBPUSD 1/3 1.9696 t/p bought back GBPJPY 211.56
Pedro// That was then this is now. I got stopped out and sometimes when i get stopped out i leave a pair alone for a while.

Amman wfakhoury 13:19 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:39 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:38 GMT January 15, 2008
GBP/USD
=======
buy if breaks level 19600 tp 19650-19690.
sell if breaks level 19535 tp 19490-19450

break should be confirmed by closing 3bars 5 mins chart under or above the said level.
movement will be in big ziczac pattern.
======
first tp at 19650 was taken....heading twd 19690
=======
second take profit @ 19690 taken

NY Rob 13:12 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
all positions are in nice comfortable zone, brought stop to entry on long eurusd and short usdcad

bilbao pedro 13:06 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM,didn´t you like short EURCAD ytdy????

London NYAM 12:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
jweb//everything against CAD is starting to look good. :)

isr jweb 12:56 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
aud cad looks good.

Makassar Alimin 12:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
PAR 12:39 GMT January 15, 2008

window-dressing and delaying the obvious perhaps?

PAR 12:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Citi . As far as I understand it $18 billion in write down and $ 7.5 billion in provisions . Why not write down $ 25.5 billion ?

isr jweb 12:33 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
gold looks like a good buy now.

bilbao pedro 12:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
PAR,which is the symbol for those 9% prefered stock?

KL FS 12:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
another signal to go long audusd, but i will wait to see if we can close above 0.9 today..an ugly picture we have for usd index

madrid mm 12:18 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
thank you sweet Mamasita for SWF

8-)

madrid mm 12:17 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Citigroup Reports Record Loss on $18 Billion Subprime Writedown

By Bradley Keoun

Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc. posted the biggest loss in the U.S. bank's 196-year history as surging defaults on home loans forced it to write down the value of subprime-mortgage investments by $18 billion.

The fourth-quarter net loss of $9.83 billion, or $1.99 a share, compared with a profit of $5.1 billion, or $1.03, a year earlier, the biggest U.S. bank said today in a statement. New York-based Citigroup also cut its dividend by 41 percent and said it will receive $14.5 billion from outside investors to shore up depleted capital.

PAR 12:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120033233846488789.html

madrid mm 12:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Tallinn viies, neither ....and both of them

8-) just follow KAMPO !!! and what Chinese officials say !!!

LOL

madrid mm 12:11 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bharuch Mr. patel

Very simple , don t lose your capital and use the "learn" link on top of this page
8-)

Chicago yen2trade 12:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading news right now I think is more volatile than usual.

KL FS 12:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
not sure if the signal is a good one, but short usdcad here 1.0141, stop loss 1.0173 for 1.0080

Tallinn viies 12:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
citi results or retail number. which will affect more? thats the question

Chicago yen2trade 12:04 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
There is an abundance of information on the web about learning to trade in the FOREX marketplace. Do your homework and do a google search. In the meantime, look for an outsourced call center job.

tokyo ginko 12:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Rule 1, be prepared to risk 1/3 of your capital for foreign currency losses

Bharuch Mr. 12:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
I am Himanshu Patel from INDIA. I want to know about Forex Market and want to earn money from this. Please suggest me how i can earn money?

PAR 11:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Merrill paying 9% on preferred shares Mizuho is buying . Makes Japanese housewives jealous .

sofia kaprikorn 11:55 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
tnx to market!

got out at 160.40 for 38
- market taught me e few lessons today and I'm just happy that I was a diligent student and fought to get back the previous losses. good trading all!!

Makassar Alimin 11:47 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
lovely, gbpusd limit got hit at 1.9671
all flat, waiting for data now ...

philadelphia caba 11:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bought eur/chf at 1.6224, s/l below 1.6180, t/p open now..

GVI john 11:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Updated Daily Chart Points...
GVI Technical Chart Points. Or look under "Tools" in navigation bar on top for "Chart Points".


Updated Daily Forex Charts...
EUR/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF GBP/USD EUR/GBP EUR/JPY
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isr jweb 11:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
caba i dont keep things too long, not at these levels, i like going in for trends, a few days at the max.. dont trust greed at all..

philadelphia caba 11:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
it's still very expensive to keep it till end year though..

philadelphia caba 11:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
thanks..good luck!

isr jweb 11:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
CABA. not yet, maybe at abit lower.. since gbp is crying for some correction. but basically i have heard calls for 0.8 at the end of the year...

sofia kaprikorn 11:29 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1127 GMT [Dow Jones] Risk aversion ticks down a little, according to the latest index from UBS. This fell to 1.63 from 1.68 on Monday. "Weaker asset market volatility continues to help a recovery in market sentiment," the bank says.

..........
ok so the EURJPY made a reversing candle (tweezer bottom) on 2H charts - with risk apetite on the rise it looks long side favorable -
long 160.02

London NYAM 11:28 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
T/p half GBPJPY long from 210.10 here at 211.82

hk ab 11:28 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
the pix movement looks to me someone long large gb/jp after dlr/jpy hit 107.20-40 psycho level.

philadelphia caba 11:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
isr jweb 10:55 GMT January 11, 2008
just wondering, if u buying this dip...gt!

London NYAM 11:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
pedro//
London NYAM 07:48 GMT January 15, 2008
long gbpusd (again as r/r seems good) 1.9557 stop 1.948x.


t/p for 1/3 i forgot to cancel hence it was an accidental t/p not a new short. I see us trying for 1.9700.20 barrier today.

my first t/p area for Eurcad was just on the 1.5 fig but I was stopped out of that trade and did not re-enter.

bilbao pedro 11:10 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM,is that GBPUSD your idea to sell it????
Another thing....what didu say target on EURCAD????

London NYAM 11:07 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
SOLD 1/3 GBPUSD (ACCIDENTALY) 1.9656

Paris Hilton 11:00 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:56 GMT January 15, 2008
Thanks baby!

PAR 11:00 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Not only ZEW is declining.

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/story?id=4133095&page=1

London gv 10:58 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:56 GMT January 15, 2008
She understands that very well...lol

Amman wfakhoury 10:56 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Paris Hilton 10:49 GMT January 15, 2008
====
up..down...up down

London NYAM 10:55 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Don 10:40//Thats kind of why i try to avoid funnymental causal reasoning. You are absolutely right and so am I.
mm//Confusion is a state mostly found just before resumption of new large wave movements (I believe). I think we are almost out of the chop(confusion) and about to enter the smooth moves(change in sentiment).

USA Don 10:54 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Citi FX also suggests short GBP, since GBP is likely to be the weakest G10 currencies in 2008.

Paris Hilton 10:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:45 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:38 GMT January 15, 2008
Hmm... what is ziczac motion? Do you mind to tell me, gentleman?

sofia kaprikorn 10:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1041 GMT [Dow Jones] Royal Bank of Scotland issues a technical buy alert for cable. Bank says buy at 1.9625 for a target of 2.0025 with a protective stop at 1.9525. Cable now at 1.9640.

just for info..

Amman wfakhoury 10:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:38 GMT January 15, 2008
GBP/USD
======
pls note the big ziczac motion
19596-19547
19547-19645
19645-19604
19604-19657

madrid mm 10:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
i am so confused between the Spicy "girls" pips, the waves a,b,c etc , the support and resistance being broken day after day,
Kampo and BoJ probable intervention, Housewives risking life savings, cuting rates, increasing rates, watching closely the market, fighting inflation, huge losses and writedown all over the world
LOL

“Confusion is a word we have invented for an order which is not yet understood”

Henry Miller

8-)
ps - where is that bottle of Rioja Ribeiro 8-)

USA Don 10:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 10:28 GMT January 15, 2008 ,
agree with you. But remember US and UK also have the same problem, inflation and recession. If US can't bother inflation anymore, why not UK? What I think is now not much govt will concern inflation if their economy has problem. They cannot rise interest rate even the inflation is huge. To save economy is the 1st piority. If US has problem, you all also have problem. Decoupling? no way.

Amman wfakhoury 10:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:38 GMT January 15, 2008
GBP/USD
=======
buy if breaks level 19600 tp 19650-19690.
sell if breaks level 19535 tp 19490-19450

break should be confirmed by closing 3bars 5 mins chart under or above the said level.
movement will be in big ziczac pattern.
======
first tp at 19650 was taken....heading twd 19690 .

NY Rob 10:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
i guess we have seen euro's bottom for today but we have not seen its high, plenty of US data release later to propel it higher IMHO

PAR 10:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Like BOJ has problems raising rates,so BOE has problems cutting rates . Japanese rates at 0.50% is pure manipulation and insane as japanese economic performance of the last 5 years is showing . Uk rates are too high because BOE is trying to support GBP with the EMU fiasco in mind .

Makassar Alimin 10:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
t/p half gbp long at 1.9641, stop at BE for rest, off for some dinner, back later

slv sam 10:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
gbp first station 1.98 and final station at 2.00.GT

London NYAM 10:28 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Don 10:14//I try to avoid fundamentals in justifying moves as I beleieve you can argue very reasonably for two sides of anything. But, the inflation in the UK is turning into a big nightmare. With cables move already exhibiting similar size to the Black wednesday effect, it would be dangerous for the BOE to cut too much too quickly (indeed if at all in the next meeting).
On an aside, if Trichet wanted to really show some inventiveness, a surprise cut from him would pound the Euro back to levels that would stimulate exports again and possibly turn the tide on the stagnating internal demand. He would censored off a lot of traders but he would likely be doing the right thing as inflation in the Euro zone is fast becomeing the least of his worries.

sofia kaprikorn 10:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
and GBPUSD is testing the hourly Resistance at 1.9650.. held 2 times but if now broken should offer 50 - 100 pips up..

sofia kaprikorn 10:25 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
smtg with EURJPY and the falling EU and UK stoxx is not right ... maybe the strength in EUR is still holding but the break of the support line should bring it lower...

it is hanging there contrary to the laws of gravity and should fall out of its own weight..

Maribor 10:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Don, first target is 1,9765 as 1,9635 is no barrier any more.

London NYAM 10:19 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USDCAD looks to have completed or just about completed a wave 4 (bullish wedge to non e-wavers). Sshould target 1.0220/80 zone.

USA Don 10:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
People who are longing GBP are very positive. But I think 1.9750 will cap the upside. back above 2.00? no way.

Makassar Alimin 10:04 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bought gbpusd 1.9610 for daytrading, looking for 1.9670 at least
stop 1.9578

London NYAM 10:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 09:57//Yes on a longer time frame it looks like we are in wave c and could get there indeed. Im looking for a s/t pull back to 2.16/17 area if the bottom holds otherwise i will re-enter below again.

PAR 09:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Rising gold prices are excellent news for USA as contrary to most european central banks which sold gold at very low levels the us central bank wisely kept its gold reserves and is now reaping the benefits .

madrid mm 09:59 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
kampo at work maybe ....Indirectly 8-)

Merrill Lynch to Raise $1.2 Billion From Mizuho, People Say

By Takahiko Hyuga

Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Merrill Lynch & Co., the U.S. brokerage battered by subprime mortgage losses, may raise about $1.2 billion by selling preferred shares to Mizuho Financial Group Inc., people with knowledge of the matter said.

Maribor 09:57 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, as I am GBPCHF bull, it has some unfinished business at 2,125.

Maribor 09:54 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Don, that weak curreny has to visit ~2,2 area somewhere in the future...there it will become weak and may fall down the cliff.

philadelphia caba 09:53 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
what was EBS high, pls? very important for me...many thanks!

St. Annaland Bob 09:52 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
madrid mm 09:47 GMT January 15, 2008

amazing, means you could sell @ 19647 ... interesting to check what was EBS high

London NYAM 09:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long GBPCHF 2.1420 stop 2.133x

USA Don 09:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
all the people who long GBP after CPI is losing now. This is a false signal. Don't try to long weak currency

Maribor 09:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1,9635 done, may see 1,9581 before up.

madrid mm 09:47 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1.9649, 2pips spread

8-)

St. Annaland Bob 09:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
philadelphia caba 09:42 GMT January 15, 2008

19643 (zero spread)

Auckland peat 09:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
I had 1.9649

empoli ab 09:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
UK Dec. CPI +2.1% y/y slightly above 2.0% consensus. RPI inflation in line with expectations at 4.0%. -

philadelphia caba 09:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
what was high for gbp/usd, pls?

NY Rob 09:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
bought euro 1.4850 stop 1.4813, looking for retest of high if not higher

LA BFL 09:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
any data for UK CPI?

TIA

PAR 09:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
German ZEW expected to show some improvement from last months very low levels . Booming east european economies helping Germans economy.

Washington MRM 09:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bought GBP/JPY @ 211.28 after the inflation data from the U.K. Thinking that it should help to support the pound throughout the morning, despite the disappointing news from Tesco. Looking for 214.00 in the coming sessions.

austin gw 09:35 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus - I got hit a bit by getting in too early, but it all worked out in the end. Nice forward vision my friend.

gdub

Gen dk 09:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 09:31 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
I miss the days when oilman gives us 1000 pips trade advice....

hk ab 09:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
enlarging leverage?....hahaha.....jimvho, it's suicidal...

Maribor 09:30 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Don, it is going down long term, but have to check how many stops are at 1,4993(possibly 1,50xx).

USA Don 09:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 09:15 GMT January 15, 2008
EUR up? No! It is turning around. Be careful.

USA Don 09:21 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 09:15 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 09:04 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 08:37 GMT January 15, 2008
only 16pips t/p? really spicy pips! what a greedy!!!

Amman wfakhoury 09:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 09:04 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 08:37 GMT January 15, 2008
20 spicy pips if we short eur.jpy now 159.58

========
short another at 159.87

position 159.87 exited 159.71 for 16 pips

Maribor 09:15 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
1,484 done, now up.

Norway e.s 09:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Close short eur/gbp from 7600 at 7574

Amman wfakhoury 09:04 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 08:37 GMT January 15, 2008
20 spicy pips if we short eur.jpy now 159.58

========
short another at 159.87

Amman wfakhoury 08:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
hk ab 08:38 GMT January 15, 2008
people might call it spicy if the pips is 200.....
=====
just enlarg your order into 10 lots. like me

tokyo ginko 08:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
ask PAR, (i am sure he is behind it)

Gen dk 08:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Amman wfakhoury 08:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Bank of France Plays the Carry Trade?
Market News International reported today that the Bank of France netted 1.6 Billion Euros selling 105 tonnes of gold last year. The proceeds from the gold sales were invested in currencies which yield more.

The report goes on to say that the central bank governor Christian Noyer said, "We don't speculate on the price of gold"

Maribor 08:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
hk ab 08:39 GMT January 15, 2008
One might try gold if u really want some spicy pips.....
-----------

That is not really useful...

NY rule 08:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
to HK ab,

whats your short and medium view on EUR/jpy plz?
Thank you

Amman wfakhoury 08:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
hk ab 08:39 GMT January 15, 2008
One might try gold if u really want some spicy pips.....
=======
bank of france change 1.6 billion euro from trading gold into forex trade.

hk ab 08:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
One might try gold if u really want some spicy pips.....

hk ab 08:38 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
people might call it spicy if the pips is 200.....

Amman wfakhoury 08:37 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
20 spicy pips if we short eur.jpy now 159.58

Maribor 08:27 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Maribor 22:26 GMT January 14, 2008
Subject:
EURUSD - expect 1,484 printed.
----------------

Waiting, but on the way...as cable nicely on its way to first target 1,9635, later 1,9765 und up, EURUSD should follow...or EURGBP will dive.

Amman wfakhoury 08:20 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Finnmark Thor 08:13 GMT January 15, 2008
=====
call not traded...as it did not reach 210.70..the decline was too fast.

London NYAM 08:14 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long shot number 2 gbpjpy 210.10 and t/p other short usdjpy 107.39 and reversed to long (stop under 106.8x)

Finnmark Thor 08:13 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 08:08 GMT January 15, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 08:05 GMT January 15, 2008
20 spicy pips if you short gbp.jpy 210.70.

I don't know who you trade thru but I have 3 different data sources last time I saw 210.70 was over 30 minutes ago

Amman wfakhoury 08:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 08:05 GMT January 15, 2008
20 spicy pips if you short gbp.jpy 210.70.

========
wow..it was too fast.

Amman wfakhoury 08:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
20 spicy pips if you short gbp.jpy 210.70.

Gen dk 08:03 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sofia kaprikorn 07:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
however USDJPY looking very bearish on Daily with target well below 107.. so maybe the trendline break in the leader EURJPY cross will be followed by all tech funds and will be reinforced..

any views on that?

London NYAM 07:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long gbpusd (again as r/r seems good) 1.9557 stop 1.948x.

Sofia kaprikorn 07:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
EURJPY -- 159.90 low was right off support trend line on Daily...
so it is there make or break I suppose...

London NYAM 07:45 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long gbpjpy 210.30 (adding more 209.50 209.80 if seen) stop under 208.xx

Amman wfakhoury 07:43 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:34 GMT January 15, 2008
20 spicy pips if we short eur.jpy @160.15...sell another if rise
=====
exited @ 159.90..25 spicy pips..hope taken by all of you.

London NYAM 07:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
t/p on half short usdjpy from 108.16 here at 107.65

Amman wfakhoury 07:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
20 spicy pips if we short eur.jpy @160.15...sell another if rise

Syd 07:26 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Tesco Exec: UK Interest Rates Need To Come Down Quickly

USA Zeus 07:22 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Time is close to initiate strategy to sell yen and buy USD and EUR. Take it on the triggers when they hit. GLGT

USA Zeus 07:18 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
No question. Buy again for super cheap opp at GBP/USD going higher.

madrid mm 06:50 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
oooops 1.4800......

madrid mm 06:50 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   

euro/usd , 1.44800 or 1.50 today and to infinity and beyond ?

Or both ?


8-)

USA Zeus 06:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
No question. No need to wait for 15 mins past a break of 1.96. Buy GBP/USD now for higher and make more. 1.9575

madrid mm 06:48 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
have gr8 everyone.

Remember, trading is not principaly about how much money you COULD POSSIBLY MAKE, but more about HOW MUCH ARE YOU READY TO LOSE

8-)

madrid mm 06:44 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
WSJ: Citigroup is expected to announce a sizable dividend cut, cash infusion of at least $10b and write-down of as much as $20b as part of its Q4 results (due at 1130GMT) A 50% reduction would save Citigroup more than $5b a year.

The investors include the GIC, which would be the largest investor; the Kuwait Investment Authority; and Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal.

WSJ: The Chinese government's apparent rejection of a planned multibillion-dollar investment in Citigroup by state-owned China Development Bank suggests there may be limits to Beijing's status as a cash source for Western banks eager to plug holes in their balance sheets.

Vague rumours of large US Investment bank huge $25-30b write-downs triggered Asian stocks selloff.

NKS: Mizuho Corporate Bank is in the final stage of negotiations to purchase preferred shares in Merrill Lynch & Co. for about Y140b ($1.3b) by the end of the month, at the request of the US firm, it was learned Tuesday.

BoJ Governor Toshihiko Fukui says Japan economic growth is slowing due to the housing slump.

Econs Min Prof Hiroko Ota says that oil and food prices are taking their toll on consumer.

NKS: BoJ will issue minutes for each board meeting that discusses the semiannual economic outlook report, rather than bunching together content from separate meetings.

NZ Herald: Investors in NZ-listed bond have their interest payments suspended after fall-out from the US credit crisis.

No escape from "write-down" word and the fear of the "R" word for the US economy and the drag associated as Asian stocks, and USD/JPY, Cross/JPY came under pressure in late session on vague rumours of huge $30bln US investment bank write-down - not unlikely though, but enough to push Nikkei below key 14K.

USD/JPY extends losses to 107.70 on fresh waves of sales from Japan mega-city banks, and large French, Europeans houses, down from earlier 107.80 hit as US invs houses, funds sold large. The stocks reversed earlier positive sentiment on news that GIC/ KIA will pump cash into Citigroup as it releases its Q4 tonight.

USD/JPY, EUR/JPY also weighed by huge sales from regular Japanese custodian, agricultural, mega-city banks linked to the huge Eurozone coupons and redemption these 2 days, with Asian accounts, China amongst good sellers from 108.10-20.

EUR bids at 1.4850, helped by weak USD sentiment, though a touch weighed by EUR/JPY sales ahead of Eurozone bond coupons. Eye any sovereign, China, M.E demand, focus on the 1.4925 level and all time highs of 1.4966, rumoured huge triggers at 1.5000.

GBP weighed by record high EUR/GBP hit all time highs 0.7613, and GBP/JPY dipping near 1 yr 6 month lows. AUD steady near 2-m highs above key 0.9000, with real money demand, funds still buying on dips. USD/CHF, EUR/CHF sold by good Asian names, funds, with USD/CHF having hit all time lows of 1.0886 yest, eye cash injection into UBS.

Nikkei closes below key 14,000 for first time since Nov 2005, -0.98% or -138.16ptws at 13,972.63. JGBs lower, 10-yr +0.005% at 1.425%.

Crude oil at $94.17.

Gold at $909.30/30, off all time highs $914.00.

Amman wfakhoury 06:38 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
GBP/USD
=======
buy if breaks level 19600 tp 19650-19690.
sell if breaks level 19535 tp 19490-19450

break should be confirmed by closing 3bars 5 mins chart under or above the said level.
movement will be in big ziczac pattern.

Syd 06:36 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Is London losing its lustre?
It may be hard to sympathise with the super-rich as they pack their Louis Vuitton and arrange new visas for their Filipina maids, but London would be worse off without them and Britain would be left reeling.

The capital accounted for 20 per cent of the UK's economic growth in the past decade and it makes a net contribution to the country's finances of £18 billion a year.

Geordie Greig, editor of Tatler, warns that if London ceases to be the best address in the world it could be a disaster. He cites a worst-case scenario in which each member of a family could be liable for tax.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/portal/main.jhtml?xml=/portal/2008/01/15/ftlondon115.xml

madrid mm 06:32 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Hello and GM FX jedi from planet earth

5-)

Wellington, N.Z. 05:49 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   


*** Today’s Favoured Trade is: GBP/USD ***


Max McKegg’s FX Trading Forecasts for TUESDAY-JANUARY 15th:

To Request a Trial of Max’s FX Service:

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USA Zeus 05:24 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Let's see if we can't get GBP/USD daily range to 150-200+ piptitos.

KL FS 05:16 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
if audusd stabilise above 0.9 for few more sessions then it is ready for a move much higher, will reassess view only under 0.88, cheers guys

USA Zeus 05:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Yes I agree. With the coiled energy building GBP/USD is still favored higher. Can use 2 day low for stop and if hit then re-enter on 2-day high. Otherwise it looks like a tasty treat is developing early this week for some big feasts later. Also. EUR/JPY and USD/JPY still look delicious for a move higher. Gold is a big hat sell on rally peaks. EUR/USD is poison for most now.

C U after the flows are flowing.

Cheers!

Makassar Alimin 04:42 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Zeus, what would be the stop loss if one is to go long gbpusd at this 1.95 level? obvious one for me would be the low two day's ago but maybe you have other consideration to share?

target 1.98 is the nearest one as far as I can see

Wellington, N.Z. 04:05 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Max McKegg’s FX Trading Forecasts for TUESDAY-JANUARY 15th:

To Request a Trial of Max’s FX Service:

Click here

Mumbai NS 03:41 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Hi mrng all abt time to reverse gears on gbpusd on the short term and so in eurusd gud luck to all gud trades glgt

HK [email protected] 03:34 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 02:23 GMT January 15, 2008

ALMIGHTY ZEUS!!!

Must say, that with your excellent calls for yen and gold since the end of last week, you may have sent some of your devotees to the FREE-SOUP-HOUSES in freezing January,

Syd 03:21 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Does anyone have a target for the Aud near term ?

cebu city cc 03:19 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
very good forum site..

MVC-IA-USA JC 02:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 02:23 GMT January 15, 2008

When is the EUR going to collapse you think? I missed the GBP fall which I had been waiting for like yourself cause I was traveling, no excuses but I am curious what your ETA is for the EUR tumble? Thanks mighty Zeus

Sofia kaprikorn 02:29 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
yes GBPUSD in upmode for sure..

USA Zeus 02:23 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Yep- Yen and gold are overbought, and GBP is oversold etc

Sofia kaprikorn 01:46 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
sorry reversed to short the GBPNZD at 2.4747 -- cuz it is going to sink still a long way - misread the chart...

1. NZDUSD is in uptrend heled by Asia markets surge following wall st. up close
2. Gold is in upmode
3. Interest differential is favourable for NZD

Gen dk 01:40 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sofia kaprikorn 01:39 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
long GBPNZD 2.4790 - for a ST correction on 4hour chart - for 20 MA at 2.4965

daily looks like Engulfind pattern but actually in contrary form where the engulfing candle is in the opposite color... so kinda wrong signal..

US SW 00:51 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
looks like the EUR/JPY is head back to >160

Norway e.s 00:09 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
Left order to add short er/gbp 0,7622 going to sleep.
gl/gt

Syd 00:08 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
U.K. borrowers are being squeezed as lenders hike the cost of credit far above the Bank of England's main interest rate. One in 50 adults failed to make a payment on a personal loan in the six months to Dec. 21, 2007, an indication that personal finances are feeling the strain from higher borrowing costs, it said.

U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said recently that he hoped financial institutions would pass on the benefit of lower BoE interest rates to their consumers.

The BoE cut rates to 5.5% from 5.75% in December but left them unchanged at the first Monetary Policy Meeting of this year last Thursday. It is widely expected to cut rates again in the coming months.

MoneyExpert.com said the global credit crunch had prompted lenders to get tougher on loan applications with some firms such as GE Money and Leeds Building Society pulling out of the unsecured market entirely.

The cost of credit is rising dramatically regardless of how much is being borrowed, it said.

The latest BoE data showed consumer appetite for debt was steady in November but the outlook for the housing market remained weak as mortgage approvals sank to a 36-month low.
MoneyExpert.com

US SW 00:02 GMT January 15, 2008 Reply   
EUR/JPY sitting at critical piviot point...sitting around 160.95 above 161.30 I expect it to test 162+ level IMO...

 




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