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Forex Forum Archive for 01/17/2008

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Gen dk 23:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tokyo ginko 23:29 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
add short eur/usd 1.4630 GT all

Karachi ForexMaster 23:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Sell USD/JPY seems like a good trade.

St. Annaland Bob 23:12 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA 22:59 GMT January 17, 2008

hey, that's a good idea. thanks!

London NYAM 23:03 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA 22:59// im in stiches. oh wait thats gas. so so tired horse beaten dead dying and lying in a ditch waiting for a funeral that never comes. please come up with some new funnies. ha ha very ha ha. yawn. bed time thanks.

USA 22:59 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Yes Bob...now you can buy your chinese rubber chickens gold-plated,,,,

St. Annaland Bob 22:54 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Historical day!

London NYAM 22:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
jj//lol. its been a very interesting day indeed. glad you got out at that level though mate. ill try and hold up the optimists side of the market until ny tomorrow. :)

GVI john 22:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
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lkwd jj 22:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 17:34 GMT January 17, 2008
jj//think its got a pretty decent chance of climbing 50 from here
-------------------
well, at least we got censored close to 50!! wrong handle though!!! partial credit where its due.
its been a rough and tough day. only holding long swissy now.

lkwd jj 22:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 17:34 GMT January 17, 2008
jj//think its got a pretty decent chance of climbing 50 from here
-------------------
well, at least we got censored close to 50!! wrong handle though!!! partial credit where its due.
its been a rough and tough day. only holding long swissy now.

London NYAM 22:16 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
oh wait, its down to nine, guess they are listening.

London NYAM 22:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
10 pip spread on my provider ^^^^ for gbpjpy. what a crock.

Syd 21:58 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Dow Jones] NZ's November retail sales up sharply, rising well above market expectations, led by record gasoline sales, strong automobile retailing; outcome may be viewed with some trepidation by RBNZ as it faces several inflation headwinds, with 4Q data out yesterday showing annual CPI breaching central bank's 1%-3% target range. Statistics NZ says seasonally adjusted sales up 2% on-month vs October's 0.6% drop, expected +0.7% - biggest monthly rise in 8 months; core sales also up 0.9% vs expected +0.6%. Fuel sales up 9% - biggest rise since data series started in 1995. In core category, supermarket and grocery foods were up, while appliances sales also posted partial recovery. Data unlikely to alter widespread expectations of a no-change verdict at next week's rate review; but central bank will stay alert to any further upside surprises on consumption as it battles to bring inflation under control

Maribor 21:58 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA Zeus 21:16 GMT January 17, 2008

Agree that Mer and Citi are below long term turning point. Should be good to accumulate at these levels...

Wellington, N.Z. 21:51 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
*** Today’s FX Featured Trade ***



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Syd 21:47 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NZD/USD Rises After NZ's Nov Retail Sales
NZ's Adj Nov Retail Sales +2% Vs Oct; Consensus +0.7% dj

warsaw TOMi 21:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ok repacked

London NYAM 21:30 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
maybe its the shorts?
im still content to be long. asia my try and run it down some more but they run the risk that a rebound tomorrow leaves them smacked again. 1320-30 is a strong support and as someone else cleverly noted (rob i believe) there is non confirmation (so far) from usdyen and yen crosses. thats what smells to me and it smells pretty good.

warsaw TOMi 21:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ajaj u were right NYAM,shorts may be in play, sthg smells.

SG Harry 21:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Euro objective met, squaring my euro short....take care all.

USA Zeus 21:16 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
And limits on mother Merrill filled earlier @ 48.32. Add'l traps set lower and selling puts there and on Citigroup for some freebies.

tchau

USA Zeus 21:14 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
SnP 500 futures off 37 pts smooth as butter.

London NYAM 20:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
lkwd jj//...and like the sun though the clouds after a rain storm...suddenly things look cheap.

warsaw TOMi 20:52 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
and long ej 15636 again sl 15620 tight.

London NYAM 20:50 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
TOMi didnt say that. Just saw you had really tight stops. :)
Im happy buying around here too.

lkwd jj 20:50 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
where is the ppt? is it in their contract to be called only once in a week?

warsaw TOMi 20:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
oh NYAM, looks like shorts in play then..

ok long uj 10666 sl 10655 tight

USA Zeus 20:46 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Just peeking in for a mom...Purk called it (B laugh off) to a Texas T, gold has dropped as promised and brokers are now telling the mules to sell financials i.e. the biggest Citigroup

Who are they NOW selling it to......Zeus of course for some big fat juicy gains later.

Cheers- Z out.

London NYAM 20:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
tight stops tomi!

warsaw TOMi 20:41 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
longs in play again?
ok long eurjpy 15656 sl 15633
long gj 21010 sl 20980
targets todays highs.

gl/gt

US SW 20:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
so much for that trade

Bodrum OEE 20:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London

NYAM, hello friend

good night

Bodrum OEE 20:23 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bodrum OEE 14:55 GMT August 13, 2007

My apologies, this is my last one (that I could have posted with the previous)

*none of these remarks are meant to state "I told you so". I was contemplating at the time at most"

Regards

London NYAM 20:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
posting issue bought gbpjpy 210.67 small add below stop under 209.40


hi bodrum!

Bodrum OEE 20:04 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bodrum OEE 05:26 GMT September 5, 2007


Meanwhile should there be any time convenient:

Tomaso Albinoni - Oboe Concerto in D Minor - movement II

(source: Facebook music player)

------------------------------------------------------------

Hello NYAM, good to see you as always

:)

best wishes to you all

US SW 19:54 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
LONG CAN / JPY to 106

SG Harry 19:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
To Malaysia puteraku73 19:14 GMT January 17, 2008:

Yes, if this break holds then you should see a move to 1.4630ish. Put a stop above 1.4700.

It should be a decent play with regards to risk/reward.

Good Luck

Maribor 19:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Crude long term top 130.

Maribor 19:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Crude nice on the way to turn level 88,9... Citi already reached long term turn level(25,4 USD).

I mean - commodities lead currencies, so tommorow EURUSD up.

Malaysia puteraku73 19:14 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
SG Harry 19:11 GMT January 17, 2008

You mean back to 1.4500?

SG Harry 19:11 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Euro broke the triangle to the downside. There should be at least 40-50 point move downward from this, without any other material information coming in.

London Gooner 18:55 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ewavers might be looking for a 3-3-5 on EURUSD 4H chart from 1.4825 high. Implying a 5 wave drop from 1.4922.
This is a bullish set up which keeps the pair in trend so fibo extensions may come in handy.

The 4H chart does not yet show 5 clear waves down, the 1H does from 1.4922. I'd wait in case we have another sharp sub 1.4590 fall and get in at around 1.4515 area.
Bull target at around 1.5160. A sharp drop caused by eurgbp
revisiting .07330/50 area of support would not surprise me.
There is a case for a buy entry and may be large spike low of some
sort.

Makassar Alimin 18:52 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
havent heard much about US problems spreading into Europe, is it really just US and UK?

madrid mm 18:33 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Forex Top Movers-

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For example as of Jan 17, 18:15 GMT-
the CADJPY Pair has moved -776Pips = -7.45% over the last month

NYC NYC 3 18:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
opines on yen carry types?
have teh vulnerable been forced out? or reames to go ?

TIA

London NYAM 18:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Has the makings of a dead cat bounce...cut longs at 211.33

SG Harry 18:02 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Heads up on the Euro:

We have retraced to the 38.2 pct fibo lvl from move of 1.4921-1.4589 and we are coming to a point on an ascending triangle, so it appears that a breakout is imminent.

Watch for a break below 1.4680 or for a break above 1.4700.

Good Luck

HK Kevin 17:53 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Hong Kong Ahe 17:41 GMT, many thanks. Good night

PAR 17:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
I think american people are smart and creative enough to create a new economic expansion without the help of the Bush government or a depressive making Fed banker. Look at what happened to Japan .

Hong Kong Ahe 17:41 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:48 GMT - Hi Kevin, the tone is bearish for carry trading as more lost reported by Big Boys on Subprime. AUDJPY is capped by 95.50. Someone (reported by my platform that it may be subprime name, LOL, actually I dont know who they are. If they are carry traders, their scenario is not in good state as I perceived. ) is guarding the AUDJPY at level 94.00. Anyway, IMO, sell on rally especially timeframe now to 06:00 EST. Carry traders may fight back as they expect Friday Fed may cut rate. If position is not good, better stay out. For NZDUSD, if breaking 0.7630, it may go to test 200DMA as it is forming a round top of 0.7900. GLGT.

London NYAM 17:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
if 106.81 holds and sap has bottomed already...

London NYAM 17:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
jj//think its got a pretty decent chance of climbing 50 from here

lkwd jj 17:30 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
nyam i cut my long $Y at the figure.

Makassar Alimin 17:29 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 17:23 GMT January 17, 2008

agree NYAM, odds are in favour of expecting bounce from here s/t

London NYAM 17:23 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
S&P slide may be ending around here. another possible dip left but its momentum (surprisingly ) seems to be hinting that it is in a final wave-structure. 1339 should hold.

PAR 17:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke really seems to be in favor of an interventionist Us government . More government , more regulated markets etc .

madrid mm 17:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
dc CB 17:00 GMT January 17, 2008

thx

HK Kevin 17:06 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Closed half short Cable position at 1.9732

London NYAM 17:05 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
sorry that was 210.96 and add at 210.4x-5x

London NYAM 17:03 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
long 1/2 g/j 211.96 add at 110.4x-5x stop 210.0x

dc CB 17:00 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
madrid mm 16:44 GMT January 17, 2008
Is Bennie still talking ?

30 more minutes...streaming on web

http://www.cspan.org/Radio/web/schedule.asp?Cat=TV&Code=CSR

London Gooner 16:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London Gooner 09:27 GMT January 17, 2008
Subject:
Possible cup and handle on GBPUSD 4H chart.
If completes upside break should occur sharply up.
-

Now we have the cup form. A flatish/down easing of hourly
would be a handle. We know where price would go under this
pattern. The longs will cash in on correction.

HK Kevin 16:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 16:20 GMT, one more thing. If Cable don't trade below 1.9690 today again, I will close short Cable position near NY close or tomorrow's Asian morning.

HK Kevin 16:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Hong Kong Ahe, if you are around. Kindly advise me on AUD, NZD and its Yen crosss when you have time.

HK Kevin 16:45 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 16:20 GMT, my only concern is to enter in the right direction of every trade. As the trade period is only several days, interest differential is of least important to me.

madrid mm 16:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
i guess everything is relative.... Old cliche i know

8-)

Is Bennie still talking ?

London NYAM 16:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
stop 1.9767 bid target 1.9735 ask - more of a scalp than a trade as i am concerned about the interest costs.

London NYAM 16:36 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Agree with the Kevster sold GBPUSD 1.9768
mm//No its the 'Rainbow Connection.' ;) These guys must really deserve it right. Umm well if they dont get paid they might go to another bank and lose money there instead...Im so glad I never went the wall-street route. What a bunch of nonsense.

London DG 16:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
With all that money you would think they would invest in sub-prime i hear it's on the cheap...

madrid mm 16:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
waveman, corporate bankers for PREZ !!!

You have gr8 connection....

It is called the Waves Connection LOL
8-)

London NYAM 16:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
15B To be paid in ML bonuses this year. K'ching. 39B Wallstreet bonuses reported to be paid out so far. [Source A Swiss Banker friend]

madrid mm 16:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
I am starting to miss our gr8 "friend" Monsieur Yves Mersch ..

8-)

has anyone got his direct line to ask him to say something plse ?

8-)

YVR MAXXIM 16:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ST OP ge LOSS t iT AKA SOLVEntDUCATE YOURSELFS

NY Rob 16:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
after battered since the start of the year, stox 'should' start rebounding some, early clue could be jpy pairs all hold lows, might position for this tomorrow and next two weeks, gl

Makassar Alimin 16:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
took profit on half at 1.0272, stops raised to entry now for possibly more tomorrow

Makassar Alimin 11:41 GMT January 17, 2008
Subject:
bought usdcad 1.0230, stop under today's low

London NYAM 16:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
You cannot be serious.

Canada NN 16:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:19 GMT January 17, 2008
need to pay interest, not a good idea

HK Kevin 16:19 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Canada NN 16:00 GMT, this is a mid-term trade and plan to hold for several days or more. Stop above last week's high 1.9826, but will evaluate tomorrow.

lkwd jj 16:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
nyam 100ma on 1 hr chart keeping the lid on things now.

KL FS 16:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
seen enough of today's action, still good, eurjpy is gaining some grounds although still not switching to higher gear, was expecting 158.50 but anyway it is up
if things go according to plan 159 tomorrow is still very much within reach, it should not really go down under 157 anymore, good luck guys, see you tomorrow

slv sam 16:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
slv sam 10:31 GMT January 15, 2008
gbp first station 1.98 and final station at 2.00.GT

I think 1st station done.GT

London NYAM 16:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
lkwd jj 16:08//Well printing above your first fig wil probably open up 109.30

Canada NN 16:16 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:48 GMT January 17, 2008
sorry, it was a false break.

Maribor 16:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
PAR 15:55 GMT January 17, 2008

Puntuation is on maybe, I suppose...

lkwd jj 16:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
correction 109.62.

lkwd jj 16:08 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
nyam we need a print in $Y above 107.90 to trigger triple top as per p&f 4hr chart. looks possible with higher lows .

London NYAM 16:08 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
np. Spot.

London DG 16:06 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HI NYAM, Sorry to be a pain but when you quote the S&P, is that the daily or the future i.e. MAR future? Thx

Canada NN 16:00 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:48 GMT January 17, 2008
Congratulation! GBP suddenly drops 20pips from 1.9780

USA Skeptic 15:59 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Geez ADK, I thought it meant no wanking.

madrid mm 15:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
What Does Goldman Know That We Don't?: Michael Lewis

Jan. 17 (Bloomberg) -- In retrospect, the most intriguing subplot in the collapse of the subprime mortgage market has been not the size of the losses but their distribution.

Click here!

8-)

PAR 15:55 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke encouraging deficit spending . Increase budget deficit now , maybe payback llater.

Maribor 15:55 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
slv sam 14:32 GMT January 17, 2008

I find final target for cable around 2,2. We have been close at 2,116 adn I do not think that fullfiled long term slid criteria; slide down so far can be classified as correction and we have great opportunity to close history of GBP rising against USD(it has been 1,03 in 1985), otherwise it will take additional time.

lkwd jj 15:49 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
nyam as shanghai bc says buying a dropping $Y can be like catching falling knives. as 20 ma on daily is still going down , maybe shouda waited. will add to shoulda coulda woulda file of trades...

HK Kevin 15:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Last trade of the day, just sold Cable 1.9780.

London DG 15:46 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Went Long as well DIJA 12406 held on stops, finger crossed

US SW 15:43 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
LONG EUR/JPY and LONG CAD JPY

Makassar Alimin 15:41 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke says: Moral hazard not a major concern for Fed, so Fed is immoral?! ;)

London NYAM 15:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
jj//Up for grabs either way right now. GBPJPY hasnt violated the critical level of 210.65. And an argument for USDJPY holding above its lows means it may be basing. But GBPJPY looks almost like it corrected in 5 waves rather than 3 so too risky for me. S&P needs to clear 1370.75 to help the mood and its not playing friendly (yet anyway).

NY Rob 15:29 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
since jpy pairs are still well above respected lows and we have new low in Dow, trying long DJI 12401 now with 50 points stop

Control Tower Bob Greifeld 15:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 12:24 GMT January 17, 2008
eur.jpy
====
movement in one way direction.

direction to down.



Up Dn Up.......one way until the next...one s/l until the next. Keep trying son. You'll get it.

London DG 15:27 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/london/7194086.stm
Plain crash, Scotland yard say nothing to do with terrorism

lkwd jj 15:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
nyam looks like the sell @10750 was better than the buying @ 10720 .!!!

KL FS 15:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
bloody Trichet, now have to do it all over again, well, might just call it a day..let's see what we can do tomorrow

London NYAM 15:19 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
15:03
*BERNANKE REPEATS READY `TO TAKE SUBSTANTIVE ADDITIONAL ACTION', *BERNANKE SAYS FISCAL STIMULUS `COULD BE HELPFUL IN PRINCIPLE'

3 Mins after that horrible Philly index.
Markets saying "Show me the money Ben"

London NYAM 15:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Sorry server error didnt allow me to log back in and claim exit on possie so i wont say where but im out and have cleared out all limits. Potential here to go either way for a while Equities and dollar yen really want to rise but we shall see. GLGT

KL FS 15:11 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
what's Trichet doing, grr! propel this eurjpy up will ya! ;) praying now not to see under 157

Gen dk 15:05 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London NYAM 14:38 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Long again 211.67 1/4 pos with adds until final stop 210.6x

KL FS 14:36 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
slv sam 14:32 GMT January 17, 2008

yes sure, why not....after falling from 2.11, this is the area now where one would bet for mid term bottom or close to one anyway, it is up up and up from now, and finally one day we will see above 2.12 sam

London NYAM 14:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
oUT OD G/J scalp 211.78 for 18hairy-spicy pips

USA Skeptic 14:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
mw, what is the benefit of cutting rates when only bankers will gain? Recent history says after banks profits have been squeezed and rates are cut consumer lending spreads widen and there is no economic stimulus from simply fattening the greedy baker pigs

slv sam 14:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
any 1 agrees with me gbp will make new high against usd
>2.12 within 2008?GT

London NYAM 14:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
bye grumpy.
:)

Como Perrie 14:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
taking a pause.. I'll be back after those speeches of no particular interest to me... blah blah blah and some intraday stops to kill here and there, not in the mood for such today

bibi

HK Kevin 14:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Como Perrie 14:09 GMT, patience is my name. Bagged some pips in short NZD and nice proffts for a fast short Cable trade earlier. With EUR/GBP found intraday bottom at 0.7410, I prefer to buy EUR instead of GBP.
AUD and NZD are still my favour to short, but now wait for better and higher level.

PAR 14:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Where is Trichet ? Too much Rosé ?

austin mw 14:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA Skeptic 13:24 GMT January 17, 2008
Why not cut rates? Greenspan cut 100 bps in january 2001 after having just raised 50bps in sept/oct. 2000.

London NYAM 14:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
try a scalp short g/j 211.96 stop 212.mm

Como Perrie 14:15 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
took off 2x current spike as per speaches ahead..yet core long might be adding again lower

Como Perrie 14:11 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ECB was said earliery this week not to cut rates before late this year.

The Netherlands Purk 14:10 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 13:50 GMT January 17, 2008

Indeed they are NYAM, indeed they are!

Como Perrie 14:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 13:56 GMT January 17, 2008

It might be yet kinda strange side to up maybe


ps am 3x already there looking for sizeable area of buy orders around 14720-30 to higher

sofia kaprikorn 14:07 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
btw - what fits a stoxx rebound might be the USDCHF reversal yesterday off the NOv 21 low ~~1.09...

this puts credibility to rebound in EURCHF & GBPCHF crosses..

sofia kaprikorn 14:04 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Makassar Alimin ..........

tnx for your view!

looks PAR is on track - - seems like after yesterday JPM and Wells Fargo beat estimates .. the worse is done and maybe we will see some bottom picking ----
which translates in risk apetite = shorting the Yen (long USDJPY)
I'm happy I saw today's low at 106 .80 held - - this makes yesterday Tweezer Bottom (close=open) and a possible reversal in USDJPY...

KL FS 14:04 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
hopefully now Trichet does not spoil the party, I certainly dont want to see under 157 anymore before seeing 158.50

London DG 13:59 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, HAHA ;-)) splendid

London NYAM 13:58 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London DG 13:57//fun huh? :)

KL FS 13:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
here we go, keep shorting jpy, carry resumes :) eurjpy 158.50 let's go!

London DG 13:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Thx PAR, NYAM Great call again! Took some at 209.71 and just took 189 ticks, like you say money in the bag. Thanks!

HK Kevin 13:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Como, join you at 1.4661 for a short ride to 1.4740, stop below 1.4640.

HK Kevin 13:55 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Como, join you at 1.4661 for a short ride to 1.4740, stop below 1.4740

PAR 13:51 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London/ BOJ,Kampo and new carries being put on to buy Us shares .

London NYAM 13:50 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
out of long g/j from 209.66 here at 211.56. Probably too early but Purks, I mean, pips in the pocket.

Como Perrie 13:49 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA Skeptic 13:39 GMT January 17,

the usd gaines towards the euro are mostly couse of US bonds help buying in recent weeks... so to curb risks for 1.50

London DG 13:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
why is the yen suddenly getting battered?

FW CS 13:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Oops wrong forum. last comment. But $/Yen looks like a good short term long below 107 - I agree with Zeus

FW CS 13:46 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Tonbrige AL
I am already long from much lower levels but I think 875 area is a good point to start scaling into longs for position traders.

Como Perrie 13:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
very distant stops as woudl be adding again for the time being...

The Netherlands Purk 13:44 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 12:23 GMT January 17, 2008

Closed the usd/jpy already, so much for possie trade

Como Perrie 13:40 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
fwiw bought small eurusd around here...going to see how develops further, might be a temporary low at least if not a base for levels around 1.48 to 14840

USA Skeptic 13:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
oh, you mean like it will only go higher in the EU and UK but fall in the US? You must joking.

London NYAM 13:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
On the other hand, it wasnt a disaster. Need more terrifying stuff to get someone already scared constantlky for months to get a new scare.

Como Perrie 13:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
not really good for the USD the housing datas which fell some near to 15 pct

HK Kevin 13:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Cable approaches 1.97 level again, but this time isn't a good sell. The pair may rise slowly to 1.98 level, think 1.9820 can hold further upmove.

Como Perrie 13:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Maybe they knwo CPI might relax some next quarters. At least I guess so, but this is another story...

Malaysia puteraku73 13:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Waiting 4 eur/jpy at low level to place order

KL FS 13:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
gbpusd is a good buy later if can rest above 1.97 IMHO for 1.99 target

USA Skeptic 13:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
must cut rates, must rates - with CPI higher in US than Europe?

Como Perrie 13:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke must cut rates. It's just we watching if he has guts to go for 3/4... It might be imvho

KL FS 13:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
this eurjpy is frustrating returning to entry price, still stick to the plan, as long as low around 156.30 holds, then eventually base will form and it will go up

Como Perrie 13:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
So we do have US building permits and Housing Starts which will be sought by the market if of any exceptionality. Then the same time the jobless claims. Then Trichet and Bernanke. Guess not the best day for daytrading at least in the earliest US session. So staying mostly flat. Letting some odas to sell usdcad 1.0150

St. Annaland Bob 13:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   

call your broker, then call the media ... politicians 2008

Gen dk 13:16 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Makassar Alimin 12:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
euro is expected to play 1.4720-1.4650 range for the rest of today, I dont expect it to be under 1.4650 again, unless eurjpy breaks the low

Gen dk 12:40 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

isr jweb 12:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
maribor. i think that aud is playing vs cad, when cad goesdown aud goes up and vice versa. aud usd is mainly yen correlated and market swings. (my thoughts)

USA Skeptic 12:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
PAR, neither, on Jan 30 not before

Gen dk 12:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 12:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Merrill write down $ 14.1 BILLION .

Amman wfakhoury 12:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
eur.jpy
====
movement in one way direction.

direction to down.

The Netherlands Purk 12:23 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Starting to buy usd/jpy again. Start small, better spreads...
Position trade, hahahahaahah, sorry

PAR 12:22 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Will Bernanke cut rates before his testimony or after ?

Makassar Alimin 12:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
quite nice euro rebound, might extend to 1.4720 if momentum traders come in

philadelphia caba 12:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
looking to try small eur/chf if yest. low hold..

London NYAM 12:12 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Caba//
12:02
Equities: Merril Lynch reporting 4Q earnings: 4Q PER SHARE LOSS of $12.01. *MERRILL LYNCH FICC HAS WRITEDOWNS $11.5B IN 4Q
12:04
*MERRILL 4Q REVENUE NEGATIVE $8.2 BLN; EST. NEGATIVE $715.7 MLN
12:11

philadelphia caba 12:11 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 12:06
Merrill Lynch earnings data? and more sub prime write downs..?

London NYAM 12:08 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Gave my first third back at 210.10 holding the second.

Makassar Alimin 12:07 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Kaprikorn, i am looking for stoxx to hold its ground today as well, if no more new lows this week, then I think we are going to rebound some for the rest of this month until FOMC, in light of this, also expecting jpy to weaken a little bit, could be wrong of course...

London NYAM 12:06 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Limit on second add hit at 209.66. Near miss on stop so far for 1st possie. ML is in bad shape. Bad news behind us or an excuse to sell everything?

Gen dk 12:05 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sofia kaprikorn 12:04 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
usdjpy testing today's low around 106.85...
looks it can't hold - so more down side there..

next Support is 106 low..

London NYAM 11:49 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
trying another one at the much reduced price of 210.29 1/3 pos add 1/3 at 209.6x-7x and 209.1x-2x stops under 209.50, under 209.00.

Makassar Alimin 11:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
short audusd 0.8850 as well, think it is visiting 0.86 near term, above 0.8950 violates this

Makassar Alimin 11:41 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
bought usdcad 1.0230, stop under today's low

PAR 11:40 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Madrid/ I ll drink a fino sherry on that . Lol.

Makassar Alimin 11:40 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
took profit on cable long at 1.9670, might go up further but price action looks tricky at the moment

London Gooner 11:38 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 11:21 GMT January 17, 2008

May be option 1: Hold for 3 months, option 2: Hold for 6 months
3rd is hike ...

Not been serious here, clearly though intricate vocals start coming
out to make things a bit tougher.

Eur/Gbp should be a good buy if restes 7350 area on downside
for 7900 as position trade.

London NYAM 11:36 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
mm/Literally LOL. That was good.

madrid mm 11:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Yves mersch is on fire... Being the Central bank Gvnor of Luxembourg, a well known state for secrecy , he must be calling his broker before the news hit the wires, and make Loads of money

8-)

Waveman, the non official version, and following PAR observation, the 3 options were , for the ECB meetings,
1st option
-Red wine
2nd option
-White Wine
3rd option not discussed
-Rose

8-)

PAR 11:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Mersch is a back seat rider . Has no influence . Weber more important . Trichet to lazy to change his text or opinion in one week despite whatever market turmoil , starts to ressemble Fukui .

Sydney GE 11:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
slv sam 11:09 GMT January 17, 2008

nice call

London NYAM 11:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Thanks DC and Spot//Interesting that EURUSD didnt get anything out of that...

Spotforex NY 11:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
options are hike rates or hold...no rate cut discussed...same as trichet post ECB press conf on jan 10th

Melbourne DC 11:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 11:21 GMT January 17, 2008
cut . old trichet press comment .

London NYAM 11:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
11:18
ECB's Mersch out again - saying ECB discussed two rate options - third interest rate option not discussed.
------
Anyone care to interprate what that means. I cant access the "Mr Euro's" comments. What options? What is the dreaded third option?

London NYAM 11:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
stopped out on GBPJPY 210.89 from 211.40.

slv sam 11:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
quick visit for euro to 1.4670 within 4 hours is a strong possibility!GT

sofia kaprikorn 11:06 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
someone please confirm:

DJIA & S&P500 - both made Doji on Dailies with opening Gaps....

based on today's session we might see Morning star patterns..

London DG 11:02 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM, MUMBAi Thx

Maribor 10:59 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
AUDCAD: long term target is ~0,8.
AUDUSD: long term target is 0,57, void if trades above 0,94.

Mumbai NS 10:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM/ A close abv 211.85 by tom shuld bring into light what u are saying imho gud luck glgt

St. Annaland Bob 10:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 10:46 GMT January 17, 2008

LOL ... for sure, not the looking for pips case here ... just a trading idea that needs to go on charts ... but who knows, maybe you will get enough posting experience of winners here and will show widest horizons at the political forum and voila, BC has a replacement ... cannot be right? ... let's let BC to remain the MEGA mentor and guru, and we play our risk calculation risks with our demo accounts ;) ... BC, no harm meant but only respect shown (my way)

London NYAM 10:53 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
DG//Im taking a small gamble that this current move is actually the first wave of a much larger C wave about to start. Its one of those longshot trades but if it happens then it could subdivide to 214.50 and 216.50. Its has to stay above 211.00 to stand a reasonable chance.

London NYAM 10:46 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 10:28//Bob. I am really not that great a chartist. I got some right so it seems that way. Last night I was a little toasted and talking guru-crap. Really, Id rather i wasnt responsible for your losses in crude. :) But if you want a hack view, send through your mail.

London DG 10:45 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Hi NYAM,

Could i ask where you would be looking to get out of your 211.40 GBP?JPY ? Thanks

Control Tower Bob Greifeld 10:33 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:26 GMT January 17, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:18 GMT January 17, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:08 GMT January 17, 2008
find its way then trade
===========
EUR/JPY
=======

buy if breaks level 157.50 tp 157.90-159.30
sell if breaks 15620 tp 15580 15500.
sell if breaks and reverse the level 157.10

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart.

movement in one way direction.
======
bought after confirmation at 157.30 s/l 157.05 inorder to change position.


///////////////------------------------------
Please son. Keep trying. S/L hurt egos in one way direction.

PAR 10:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Deutsche Bank and casino .

http://money.cnn.com/2008/01/17/real_estate/nevada_foreclosure.ap/?postversion=2008011703

St. Annaland Bob 10:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 10:19 GMT January 17, 2008

have that trading idea which needs a charts technician, if you feel to then ask Mr. Jay Meisler for my email address and we may bring something out of it. good trades! ... btw, was very impressed from the tight stop used with GBP/JPY ... I guess that was a fluke ;)

sofia kaprikorn 10:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin .......

very good observations!

HK Kevin 10:23 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
The spike of USD/JPY earlier still unable to surpass yesterday's high. An early sign that unwinding of Yen crosses position hasl not finished yet.

PAR 10:21 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120052342794195537.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Como Perrie 10:20 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Its from monday talks between traders circulating about a 3/4 cut, now am seeing some on news around too.. Guess the less options the more likely another exceptional cut... else collpase of stock markets which is apparently in no one interestests at current, but an option not to discard...so we have seen lotsa complex option plays during last days rendering the whole picture bit foggy ...this at least as I see It

bibi now

London NYAM 10:19 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 09:38//Not very far on my provider. Have to use kitco.com charts for longer periods.

USA Skeptic 10:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
it is certainly comforting to know you EU "insiders" have the inside track on Fed policy, I'll bet Greg Ip and John Berry are in constant envy of you and wish they had your souces inside the Fed

London NYAM 10:15 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trying a long 1/3 pos 211.40 stop under 210.90

Como Perrie 10:10 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
which number please...the net inflows I was into if you refer to

Bucharest sith 10:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
rate cut 50bps mandatory

USA Skeptic 10:07 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Perrie,why? Did you not see the numbers yesterday?

PAR 10:06 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bernanke and Trichet live on different planets .

Bernanke from Venus is pro lower interest rates and pro fiscal stimulus even as Us unemployment is very low by historical standards.

Trichet from Mars ( even being French ) is contra lower interest rates and contra fiscal stimulus while european unemployment ( excluding government and european bureaucrat employment) unemployment is sky high.

Only european banks can reckon on Trichets unconditional support . Even if because of their mistakes they need $ half a trillion .

Como Perrie 10:05 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
would Bernanke reaffirm a 3/4 int. rate cut today

Gen dk 10:03 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK Kevin 09:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Paris Hilton 09:35 GMT, I may be wrong, would cover the open position if can't close below 1.9680 at the existing bar of 4-hr chart.
Reagrding EUR/JPY, stay sidelined after covering all short position from 162.30. Van Gecko may be right for calling a bottom. IMHO, it is much safe to buy if it trade above 158.60 today

Bucharest sith 09:41 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
eur/usd soon to resume rally

PAR 09:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hr91fdmF8T1JPrfKpKDCX5LxA6VgD8U6VT3O0

St. Annaland Bob 09:38 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM// how far into the past you can watch crude and gold charts?

Paris Hilton 09:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
HK Kevin 09:31 GMT January 17, 2008
No more GBP rise? Squared EUR/JPY 157.36

London NYAM 09:33 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Thanks BAY.
Bob//Yes i occasionally trade Gold and S&P contracts but rarely crude and sugar.

HK Kevin 09:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
With EUR/GBP before 0.7410 key support, time to sell GBP again. Just sold at 1.9714, today stop above 1.9826.

London Gooner 09:27 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Possible cup and handle on GBPUSD 4H chart.
If completes upside break should occur sharply up.

Malaysia puteraku73 09:25 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Close eur/jpy at 157.40..

St. Annaland Bob 09:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM// do you trade commodities (especially metals and crude)?

USA BAY 09:24 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM

YIPPEE NYAM, CONGRATS

London NYAM 09:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Thanks NS and Paris. Tomi nice job. Always keep some just in case the market wants to give you more than you expect. [Broke that rule.;)]

warsaw TOMi 09:08 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
yeah, squared 1/4 long eurjpy 15757, sl moved to 15720 for rest.
well done boyzzz

Mumbai NS 09:07 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
NYAM very gud trades cheers glgt

Gen dk 09:07 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Paris Hilton 08:57 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:26 GMT January 17, 2008
Guy, we are making money now! Cheers!

Paris Hilton 08:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
London NYAM 08:45 GMT January 17, 2008
Guy, good job!

St. Annaland Bob 08:55 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA 08:47 GMT January 17, 2008

what your comments has to do with my EUR/USD trading view, please clarify - tia ... I do trade currencies and do not qualify to teach anything, sorry for that!

Maribor 08:54 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
No stops below 1,495...all possibilities open.

USA 08:47 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 08:34 GMT January 17, 2008
Happy days Bob.....why dont you teach Paris Hilton the same trick you do with the rubber chickens.....grab them by the ankles and make a wish....lol.....

London NYAM 08:45 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
closed all longs gbpjpy and usdjpy from last night 107.67 and 211.70.

St. Annaland Bob 08:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   

if 14580 will not get taken, then +14900 will print again this month with high chances for prints above 15000 ... so, happy trades!

St. Annaland Bob 08:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   

good morning ... breaking below 14580 ensures prints below 14430 still this month ... kind if gravity trade ... good trades

Paris Hilton 08:30 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Malaysia puteraku73 07:43 GMT January 17, 2008
The shape of EUR is not very good. Watch out.

LA AI 08:11 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
longed EUR/JPY @157.20 with s/l @156.91.
1/4 sold @157.32 and 1/4 sold @157.39.
1/4 limit @157.49 and 1/4 @157.59 with stop moved to @157.06 for even money.

Maribor 08:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
EURUSD target may be 1,4516 or lower.

Maribor 07:59 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Out of EURUSD long with little loss. Guess stops at 1,459 may be triggered before(if) up. Whatever.

warsaw TOMi 07:47 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
what a company
square 1/2 of long eurjpy at 15720 and shift sl to 15680 for zero sum.

gl/gt

PAR 07:47 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Darlling wants to push the perception that Northern Rock is a European problem while no other run on a bank occurred in Europe.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUKL163591220080117

Malaysia puteraku73 07:43 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Bought eur/jpy at 157.10

Paris Hilton 07:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
long EUR/JPY 157.10, target 158

Paris Hilton 07:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:26 GMT January 17, 2008
157.05!

warsaw TOMi 07:37 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
ok, took a chance of long eurjpy 15700 sl 15666
targeting 15800.

Maribor 07:35 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
EURJPY going to 156,7 or further.

Amman wfakhoury 07:26 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:18 GMT January 17, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:08 GMT January 17, 2008
find its way then trade
===========
EUR/JPY
=======

buy if breaks level 157.50 tp 157.90-159.30
sell if breaks 15620 tp 15580 15500.
sell if breaks and reverse the level 157.10

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart.

movement in one way direction.
======
bought after confirmation at 157.30 s/l 157.05 inorder to change position.

Wellington, N.Z. 07:16 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   


*** Today’s FX Featured Trade ***

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madrid mm 07:15 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Ahead today,

-ECB President Trichet and EU monetary affairs commissioner Almunia are scheduled to speak in Frankfurt at 1400 GMT.

-Fed Chairman Bernanke will testify on the economic outlook before the House Joint Economic Committee at 1500 GMT. Cleveland Fed President Pianalto, Dallas Fed President Fisher, and Atlanta Fed President Lockhart are also scheduled to speak Today.

Maribor 07:14 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Helicopter Ben says he can support adding(increasing) demand (from budget deficit) to alter demand/supply balance despite 4,1% inflation. Prices change according to demand/supply balance and will get additional boost. Priorities clearly changed. Maybe that is the way to go to save our world(anybody watching HEROS series on TV) from debt burden. After some years with high inflation, you simply denominate, par example 1000 USD = 1 new USD.

LA AI 07:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Paris Hilton 07:09 GMT January 17, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:39 GMT January 17, 2008
Malaysia puteraku73 06:37 GMT January 17, 2008
Did you 2 start your position?

=========================================

Maybe somebody outthere trying to give tough time to wfak...

Como Perrie 07:12 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Today's Bernanke Speech, whispers of Amero ?

Paris Hilton 07:09 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:39 GMT January 17, 2008
Malaysia puteraku73 06:37 GMT January 17, 2008
Did you 2 start your position?

madrid mm 07:05 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
have a gr8 day

8-)

madrid mm 06:56 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
* NYT: Fed Chair Ben Bernanke has told lawmakers that he can support short-term tax cuts or spending measures to stimulate the economy, even if they increase the budget deficit, as long as the measures are quick and temporary.

* The Fed's willingness to give a nod to fiscal stimulus is important, both because many lawmakers will not support action without the chairman's blessing, and because the double dose of stimulus that the Fed and Congress are considering must be carefully calibrated.

* WSJ: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is expected to offer his support for an economic-stimulus package in his testimony today before Congress. (1500GMT in Washington)

* ECB Pres Jean-Claude Trichet: higher inflation due to oil, commodities,food prices, second round effects must be avoided.

* WSJ: Grip on Freddie, Fannie May Ease Policy Shift Reflects Firms' Importance Amid Housing Woes. The Bush administration appears to be softening its regulatory grip on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reflecting a growing reliance on the companies to provide money for home mortgages as other investors retreat.

* WSJ: Dimon May Be Huntin. J.P. Morgan CEO 'Open' to Deals In the Credit-Crunched Jungle. It's time to pounce for J.P. Morgan Chase James Dimon and other top bosses of financial companies that have avoided a serious battering from the credit crunch. Mr. Dimon has long coveted institutions like Atlanta's SunTrust Banks Inc. and Washington Mutual Inc. of Seattle.

* Mr. Dimon might even be tempted to take a hard look at firms such as Morgan Stanley and Bear Stearns.

* Another nervous day, though Greenback starts on a firmer note, after EUR selloff on back of ECB Mersch comments yesterday. Greenback, and Cross/JPY, JPY carry trades seen a tad supported on hopes a "combo" of fiscal stimulus (talks $100-120bln) + Fed rate cuts monetary stimulus will boost the slowing economy.

* News that JP Morgan is looking for deals and also loser grip on Fannie Mae and Freddic Mac also seen helping sentiment, with focus on soothing comments tonight from Fed Chair Ben Bernanke - for his assessment of the economy and whether he will "rule" out a US recession, eye rate cut quantums.

* USD/JPY rose initially in early trading on back of US investments houses buying to 107.35-40, before Japanese investors, banks sold them down toward fixing of 107.13 - with some suggestions flows could be linked to JPY repatriation ahead of FY07/08 end in March - though seem a tad early.

USD/JPY rose on back of Japan, asset managers buying to 107.25-30, then again as stock markets turned down, led by China after PBoC reserve ratio hike to 15% yest.

It rebounded again as both Nikkei and Topix stage strong rebound. USD/JPY offers from exporters at 107.40-60, but stoploss building above 107.60, next key 108, with huge stoploss on break, could open way for test of 110 handle.

EUR finding support at 1.4630-50, offers 1.47, supported now on back of EUR/JPY buying as Cross/JPY all looking firmer, helped by improved sentiment ahead of Fed Bernanke.

Cable range bound, bids at 1.96, with EUR/GBP lower after steep dive from near all time highs, with Cable edging up as GBP/JPY extends recovery from 206.95 lows.

AUD edging back up to day highs again on back of AUD/JPY buying interest, after losing its jobs inspired gains but talks real demand at 0.8780 lows.

Kiwi supported earlier on firmer CPI, NZD/JPY now firmer at 82.65-70, supported ahead of >NZD1bln worth of 5 Uridashi issues next week.

USD/CHF off its all time lows 1.0838 yest, now firmer at 1.1006-10, and EUR/CHF back up at 1.6135-40, form yesterday's 10-month lows of 1.6085, with focus on Feb 27 UBS shareholders meet on CHF13b Cash injection from GIC/ ME investors.

All eyes on Fed Bernanke/ ECB Trichet, US stocks.

Nikkei recovers to close firmer, +2.07% or +278.94pts at 13,873.45 JGBs lower, 10-yr yield +0.020% at 1,400%.

Crude a tad soft below $91 at $90.93.

Gold looking soft after fall from highs, $881.50/ 882.30.

Amman wfakhoury 06:46 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
EUR/JPY
=====
now @ 157.48 buy if breaks 157.50 sell if breaks 157.05 after confirmation.

madrid mm 06:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
hello and gm fx jedi

8-)

Amman wfakhoury 06:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Malaysia puteraku73 06:37 GMT January 17, 2008
Amman wfakhoury 06:18 GMT January 17, 2008
========
99.999%

Malaysia puteraku73 06:37 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:18 GMT January 17, 2008

Are you sure with your buy and sell?

Amman wfakhoury 06:18 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:08 GMT January 17, 2008
find its way then trade
===========
EUR/JPY
=======

buy if breaks level 157.50 tp 157.90-159.30
sell if breaks 15620 tp 15580 15500.
sell if breaks and reverse the level 157.10

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart.

movement in one way direction.

Amman wfakhoury 06:08 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
find its way then trade
===========
EUR/JPY
=======

buy if breaks level 157.50 tp 157.90-159.30
sell if breaks 15620 tp 15580 15500.

break should be confirmed by closing of 3 bars 5 mins chart.

movement in one way direction.

Wellington, N.Z. 05:10 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   



*** Today’s FX Featured Trade ***


Max McKegg’s FX Trading Forecasts for THURSDAY-JANUARY 17th:

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Makassar Alimin 04:53 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
try gbpusd long 1.9626, if it is going up anyway, it has to do it from here, 40 pips stop should do

KL FS 04:39 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
pickup some long eurjpy again 156.83

China Ding 03:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
USA BAY 01:53 GMT January 17, 2008
really, except GBP/USD... you are right? I didn't alert. But why? Anyway, also got 15pips now. Thanks brother.

Syd 02:42 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
March Nikkei 225 futures end morning up and may gain more in afternoon as investors feel market oversold in recent sessions, says trader. Further gains in USD/JPY also likely to spur on more buying of stock futures. Lead contract up 180 points, or 1.3%, at 13670 midday.

hk ab 02:37 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Everyone takes his/her own risk DYOD.

GL.

Syd 02:32 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   

AUD Technical analysis
The correction from last year’s high at 0.9400 is textbook stuff despite thin year-end conditions. Weak bullish momentum yet the Australian dollar is creeping steadily higher this month and looks set to up the pace a bit on a weekly close above 0.9000. The long term trend is to generalised and possibly chronic US dollar weakness so we feel the Australian dollar should rally to 0.9400/0.9500 in Q1 2008.

Buying the New Zealand dollar on Q3 2007’s vicious sell-off was one of our better ideas and we continue to feel that Kiwi can and will move higher still. Amid generalised US dollar selling we expect a re-test of Q2 1982’s high at 0.8270. Note that between 1975 and 1980 it held around parity before March 1985’s floating regime was introduced with a devaluation to 0.4400. A monthly close above 0.7800 should set off the next rally, probably sooner rather than later considering we have wasted the last three months consolidating under 0.7900. Our upside targets are 0.8500

Nicole Elliott Mizuho

Syd 02:17 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Estate agents selling the moon

ASK Francis Williams about property prices and he'll tell you they're right off the planet. He and his wife Sue claim to have raked in £4m in four years - by selling land on the moon.
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages/article.html?in_article_id=409923&in_page_id=8

KL FS 02:13 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
eurjpy is approaching buy zone again IMHO, for above 158.50 today

USA BAY 01:53 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
China Ding,

Ab said all except usd

China Ding 01:48 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
hk ab 01:28 GMT January 17, 2008
very Confident? Follow you, long GBP @ 1.9625, but no target.

hk ab 01:36 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
It is a queue. One after another, first gbp, eur, aud and other cousins follow.
In relative term. Gbp has already a large part of the job. I think the extent it to go lower relative less than others.

Also, those early birds have run already more than 1000 pips, no point to risk the profit at hands and can choose another cargo.

I would keep an eye when it would start a real rebound.

USA BAY 01:34 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
hk ab


Any reason why to buy gbp against everything?

London NYAM 01:29 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
wise move BAY no confirmation we have bttomed yet and Euities were corectively up only so far,

hk ab 01:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
buy gbp against everything..... except USD.

Syd 01:28 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
RBA To Keep Hike Bias Despite US Divergence - ANZ
[Dow Jones] Strong Australia December jobs data highlight underlying strength of local economy, "divergence in economic cycles" between Australia, U.S., says ANZ economist Riki Polygenis. Though economic weakness in U.S., ongoing turbulence in financial markets will give RBA "pause for thought", central bank likely to raise interest rate Feb. 5 on basis of solid economic fundamentals in Australia, prospect of long period of "unacceptably high" inflation going forward.

USA BAY 01:23 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
LONDON NYAM,

All the best to your trade, still looking at gbp/jpy.

London NYAM 01:00 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Doubled up longs 210.20 and 107.07.

Syd 00:47 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
March Nikkei 225 futures extending gains as brief dip under 13600 sparks string of large buy orders, some for as many as 600 contracts each, says dealer. Lead contract up 240 points, or 1.7%, at 13720.

Syd 00:31 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   

Australian Dec Employment +20,100; Consensus +20,000
Australian Dec Unemployment Rate 4.3%; Consensus 4.4%

Syd 00:10 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Australian consumer inflationary expectations rose to 4.4% in January from 4.1% in December, according to a survey by the Melbourne Institute published Thursday. The survey, which measures median inflation expectations, is a closely watched indicator of the mood among consumers toward the outlook for prices, which can affect pay demands. Increasing inflationary expectations come despite two interest rate hikes in late 2007, one served up by the Reserve Bank of Australia just ahead of a Nov. 24 federal election. "Although the interest rate hike in November curbed inflationary expectations in November and December, expectations rose again this month. Inflationary expectations have now been running over 4% since October," said Sam Tsiaplias, a research fellow with the institute.
Uncertainty regarding future inflation rates also reached a record high in January, he added.

Syd 00:01 GMT January 17, 2008 Reply   
Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations Up To 4.4% in Jan

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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