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Forex Forum Archive for 01/05/2009

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Mtl JP 23:59 GMT January 5, 2009
worst slowdown since the Great Depression.

Greedings Syd! "worst" is good but not good enough yet: market' s doing what it is supposed to do (purging he inefficient allocators), but the would-be do-gooders 0bama and Co appear to be trying to prevent that, with a lot of effort and what they call "money". Why they want to prolong and spread the pain of the purging process is well, predictable. Why they don' t want to let it happen rapidly is maybe best rationalized by going back in history and examine what gave the Fed its rise: a socio-economic crisis. Nothing like a crisis for power consolidation and power grab.

Syd 23:10 GMT January 5, 2009
worst slowdown since the Great Depression.
Reply   
Australia to Asia, Europe to the United States, the message on Wednesday in the latest economic reports was clear: manufacturing continued to slump LINK
Company debt: a big problem in the coming year
LINK

US will emerge as undisputed top dog in 2009
Interest rates near zero across the G10 bloc will prevent a replay of the Great Depression, but they will not pull us quickly out of the doldrums, writes Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.
LINK

Syd 21:50 GMT January 5, 2009
Waterford Wedgwood collapses over debt pile
Reply   
LINK

Lahore FM 20:52 GMT January 5, 2009
gbpusd sell small

correction
Lahore FM 20:50 GMT January 5, 2009
gbpusd sell small: Reply
Sell gbpusd
Entry: 1.4690 Target: 1.4755 bid Stop: 1.4520

small short gbpusd entered 1.4690 for 1.4520.stops and t/p placed.

Lahore FM 20:50 GMT January 5, 2009
gbpusd sell small
Reply   
Sell gbpusd
Entry: 1.5690 Target: 1.5755 bid Stop: 1.5520

small short gbpusd entered 1.5690 for 1.5520.stops and t/p placed.

GVI Forex john 20:43 GMT January 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click for Complete Chart Points

5-Jan-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3600

93.20

1.1087

1.4722

1.1894

High

1.3960

93.56

1.1113

1.4738

1.2224

Low

1.3546

91.80

1.0715

1.4430

1.1870

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3890

91.46

1.0609

1.4436

1.2127

10 day

1.3944

91.05

1.0636

1.4527

1.2144

20 day

1.3817

90.68

1.0966

1.4703

1.2212

50 day

1.3175

94.01

1.1461

1.4969

1.2261

100 day

1.3628

99.51

1.1278

1.6308

1.1619

200 day

1.4613

102.52

1.0781

1.7957

1.0892

Hillegom Purk 19:19 GMT January 5, 2009
eur/gbp

Well the black hole is almost 200 pips deep now. Strange that such holes show themselve upfront. Ozmond gets all the credits for that, he learned me just to trade back, see my previous post.
When we are at 8868 there will be a free zone!

Lahore FM 18:21 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

long eurcad 1.6179.

GENEVA DS 18:00 GMT January 5, 2009
BLOW OFF REVERSAL

I Guess 50 pct....

makassar alimin 17:58 GMT January 5, 2009
BLOW OFF REVERSAL

when you have from 2.11 to 1.43, one would expect some sort of bounce in the making....

GENEVA DS 17:52 GMT January 5, 2009
BLOW OFF REVERSAL
Reply   
GBP
Entry: 14615 Target: 18000 Stop: 14300

STG looks like it has turned around agst continentals and USD... a typical BLOW-OFF chart has turned exactly with the turn of the year.... huge potential... VERY LOW RISK ,,, all interest rate cuts priced in I guess... good trades to all

Lahore FM 17:19 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Buy eurgbp
Entry: 0.9260 Target: 0.9900 Stop: 0.9200

went long eurgbp now at 0.9260,2nd long in play.

chicago fjvad 16:28 GMT January 5, 2009
y
Reply   
EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.347.

Pivot: 1.347
Our preference: Long positions above 1.347 with targets @ 1.37 & 1.373 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.347 look for further downside with 1.338 & 1.33 as targets.
Comments: the 30-min RSI is oversold & the pair is expected to bounce off a tentative bearish channel lower boundary.

Lahore FM 16:28 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.1900 Target: 1.3000 Stop: later

went long at 1.1900.looking for the said target.

Lahore FM 16:26 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

12/19/2008 09:14:33 FM Lahore 52
Correction** usdcad post

12/18/2008 13:50:19 FM Lahore 19
went long usdcad 1.1938 for 1.3000.
--
half out at 1.2320**.stops to entry on the rest.
--
stopped at 1.1938 on remainder long for net gain of +382 pips

Hong Kong Qindex 16:21 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The market momentum is strong when it is able to trade above the weekly cycle pivot center at 93.96. In the mean time it is vibrating around the 5-day cycle projected chart point at 92.80 with an expected magnitude of 93.79 - 91.81. A projected resistant range is 93.79 ... 94.79. The corresponding trading range from the 5-day cycle congested area is 91.24 - 94.64. As shown in the Directional Indicator, the market momentum is strong when it is able to trade above 93.63 in New York closing.

Lahore FM 16:19 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Sell
Entry: 0.7150 Target: 0.6800 Stop: 0.7260

sold audusd once more at 0.7150.

Amsterdam Purk 16:16 GMT January 5, 2009
eur/gbp
Reply   
Well, it seems like the 9401 is taken, but can be sure after cloggy closing. And as said before, i have one big hole down there to 8868.... chirp

Hong Kong Qindex 16:00 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : It is likely that we have have seen the daily high already. The upside targeting points are 1.4575 - 1.4587. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below a significant level at 1.4435 - 1.4445. The monthly cycle congested area indicates that the market has a tendency to trade below 1.4435 (1.3671 - 1.4435). The monthly cycle pivot centers are psositioning at 1.3767 - 1.4120 - 1.4435.

GVI Forex Blog 15:58 GMT January 5, 2009
FXA
Reply   
From our blog:

Been Down So Long Looks Like Up From Here.

HK Kevin 15:47 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 08:30 GMT, take care. Following the 20 big figure rally of EUR in Dec 2008. The next pair with most upside may be AUS & CAD. EUR/AUD short is very risky.
Currently, I am stting on positions of stop sell EUR, long USD/JPY and EUR/JPY.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:44 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Heading Towards 1.3436


The 22-day cycle charts suggests that the odds are in favor of maintaining a short position when the market is trading below 1.3670. It is likely that the markey will tackle the lower barrier of the cycle at 1.3318 // 1.3436 laster in the week. The corresponding position in the congested area is 1.3335. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is under pressure when it is below 1.3813. The current expected trading range is 1.3445 - 1.3813.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:22 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy USD/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : Buying Zone = 1.1005 - 1.1022, Selling Zone = 1.1506 - 1.1616.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:13 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy USD/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : Daily Cycle Analysis


The market has a tendency to trade between 1.1005 - 1.1172. The initial upside targeting point is 1.1339. The odds are in favor of maintaining a long position when the market is trading above the weekly cycle projected chart point at 1.1022. A projected resistant level is expected at 1.1502 - 1.1506. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is positive when it is above monthly cycle pivot center at 1.0904.

London HC 15:12 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud

Amman. At least he trades with a stop so his results can be measured as opposed to some (hint!) who make trade calls without stops.

Amsterdam Purk 15:08 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud

Being scarcastic are we?

Amman wfakhoury 15:05 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud
Reply   
Lahore FM 09:46 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud result call: Reply
added a third long euruad 1.9221
======
pls adv what next after we reached -650 pips

Hong Kong Qindex 15:03 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

isr jweb 14:04 GMT - Thank you for your kind words

Hong Kong Qindex 15:02 GMT January 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy USD/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : The odds are in favor of taking a long position at 1.1005 - 1.1022. Short term targeting points are 1.1172 - 1.1339.

MUMBAI PK 14:46 GMT January 5, 2009
BUY EURUSD
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3623 Target: 1.3715 Stop: 1.3580

AT SUPPORT

isr jweb 14:04 GMT January 5, 2009
DR Q
Reply   
I wish to take this oppertunity to congratulate Dr Q - Quindex on his usd chf call. i think it was one of the best ones ive witnessed!!!

GRACIAS

toronto Dr Unken Katt 14:04 GMT January 5, 2009
STG

it sounds almost like a sarcastic remark especially in UK
id wish , keep your home and dont allow the gangsta banx
to exterminate from it , heheh

Lahore FM 13:56 GMT January 5, 2009
STG

Cheers UK JB!!!

all the very best to you JB,a happy,healthy,spirited and prosperous new year!!

U.K. J.B. 13:52 GMT January 5, 2009
STG
Reply   
A happy and successful trading year to all. I will be looking for stg to appreciate especially against the Swiss Franc this year.Anyone who takes the time to post as Lahore FM stated it is a FREE forum , should be applauded. Make your own choices who to ignore . Lets keep the Forum friendly. Good luck for 2009 Lahore FM i must say you contribute a great deal.

Lahore FM 13:47 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 08:30 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
01/02/2009 16:47:21 FM Lahore 8
having been stopped on usdcad long 1.2193 at 1.2138.renetred long 1.2123.stops for this at a later time.
--
half of 1.2123 long usdcad out at 1.2166.stops for this paritcular log at 1.2090 now on remaining 1/2.
--
usdcad long 1.2123 remainder 1/2 stopped at 1.2090 for no loss earlier.

keeping 1/2 from 1.1830 and 1/2 from 1.2000 still in for 1.3000.

Lahore FM 13:44 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

it is a free forum and it is in the spirit of the forum that we disagree.each is responsible for his posts.

Maribor hardly ever posts trades his wide opinions help a lot of people here.there is food for fx thought in each of his posts!

toronto Dr Unken Katt 13:40 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

i shorted yday , i posted it ,

the guy maribor called for long on the other hand

Lahore FM 13:34 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

enter and post a short then Doc!

toronto Dr Unken Katt 13:33 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

doubt it , you havethe dayly studies against it

Lahore FM 13:19 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

eurgbp
Entry: 0.9360 Target: 0.9900 Stop: later

went long eurgbp now 0.9360.

East Coast Probability Player 13:12 GMT January 5, 2009
eurkable short

Not semantics if you were trading via terlephone, katt.

Napoli DC 13:06 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd

tks Purk, unfortunately i was too early..

toronto Dr Unken Katt 12:52 GMT January 5, 2009
eurkable short

its semantix dude

Maribor 12:48 GMT January 5, 2009
eur/gbp

My guess about EURGBP is that if it stops falling around 0,932 and start to rise, we might see 0,986... However, would not bet on that.

Bilad KaL 12:41 GMT January 5, 2009
whatch out for the correction
Reply   
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2246704#post2246704

Amsterdam Purk 12:38 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd

Ranges of 400 a day can be expected. So longing is possible here.

Napoli DC 12:20 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd

stop lowered by ten pips

Napoli DC 12:19 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd

ouch!

Napoli DC 12:13 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd

if lost, will re-enter around 1,352

Napoli DC 12:10 GMT January 5, 2009
EurUsd
Reply   
Buy EurUsd
Entry: 1,3625 Target: open Stop: 1,359

long Euro with tight stop

Cairo mike 11:38 GMT January 5, 2009
USD/ JPY
Reply   
good morning my friends happy trade for all
i d like to ask about USD / JPY is it can touch 9200 before go more up or go to 94.5 directelly ?
with my best thanks in advance

PAR 11:27 GMT January 5, 2009
SEC
Reply   
The S.E.C. now promises modest new measures to contain the damage that the rating agencies can do — measures that fail to address the central problem: that the raters are paid by the issuers.

But this should come as no surprise, for the S.E.C. itself is plagued by similarly wacky incentives. Indeed, one of the great social benefits of the Madoff scandal may be to finally reveal the S.E.C. for what it has become.

Created to protect investors from financial predators, the commission has somehow evolved into a mechanism for protecting financial predators with political clout from investors. (The task it has performed most diligently during this crisis has been to question, intimidate and impose rules on short-sellers — the only market players who have a financial incentive to expose fraud and abuse.)

The instinct to avoid short-term political heat is part of the problem; anything the S.E.C. does to roil the markets, or reduce the share price of any given company, also roils the careers of the people who run the S.E.C. Thus it seldom penalizes serious corporate and management malfeasance — out of some misguided notion that to do so would cause stock prices to fall, shareholders to suffer and confidence to be undermined. Preserving confidence, even when that confidence is false, has been near the top of the S.E.C.’s agenda.

IT’S not hard to see why the S.E.C. behaves as it does. If you work for the enforcement division of the S.E.C. you probably know in the back of your mind, and in the front too, that if you maintain good relations with Wall Street you might soon be paid huge sums of money to be employed by it.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/04/opinion/04lewiseinhorn.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&ref=opinion

Amsterdam Purk 10:57 GMT January 5, 2009
eur/gbp
Reply   
Ah yes, 9401 was there, now see if we can get more of that!
Cheers

The Clog

GVI Forex john 10:47 GMT January 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis
Reply   

Click for Complete Chart Points

2-Jan-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3855

92.21

1.0840

1.4472

1.2140

High

1.4050

92.40

1.0845

1.4793

1.2274

Low

1.3840

90.72

1.0615

1.4377

1.2068

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3967

90.95

1.0540

1.4441

1.2177

10 day

1.3978

90.74

1.0653

1.4552

1.2173

20 day

1.3784

90.67

1.1031

1.4716

1.2244

50 day

1.3154

94.03

1.1478

1.4986

1.2281

100 day

1.3639

99.69

1.1280

1.6349

1.1606

200 day

1.4624

102.55

1.0777

1.7984

1.0884

Lahore FM 09:46 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud result call

added a third long euruad 1.9221.

Amman wfakhoury 09:44 GMT January 5, 2009
euraud result call
Reply   
Lahore FM 08:28 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
added another long euruad 1.9320
====
just to remind you we are -340pips till now

makassar alimin 09:20 GMT January 5, 2009
usdcad
Reply   
very erratic move this loonie is showing, short term trade might be good risk reward for going long 1.2138 stop 50 under

Hillegom Purk 09:19 GMT January 5, 2009
eur versus gbp
Reply   
I think that the 9401 is the great barrier reef near Ozmond.
Lets see if it can break. If not back to 96.... FYC still there.

eur/usd: loo to the patterns end of years when e/u went from 1,1640 all the way to 1,60. You will see reverse patterns. Nice! Ozmonds pattern thingy is working. Just trade your way back to 11640 and let it break.

Lahore FM 09:13 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

12/31/2008 12:02:13 FM Lahore 19
correction*

Lahore FM 12:01 GMT December 31, 2008
Trade Ideas: Reply
12/30/2008 12:13:43 FM Lahore 3
sold 1.4170.stops later.
--
half out 1.3980* for plus 190,rest later,stops to entry.
--
closed remainder of 1.4170 short eurusd now at 1.3692 for +478 in all.

Lahore FM 09:05 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

GMH,yes manage client money!small can be anything down to 1/5th of a full sized position for any given account.

Paris GMH 08:55 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM - just to clarify are you a private trader or are you managing client money ?? When you say small can you give some idea as to the size small equals ?/ I hope ou dont mind the questions ??

Lahore FM 08:46 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

01/02/2009 18:20:45 FM Lahore 7
added usdcad long small 1.2094.
--
closed 1.2178 for +86.

Syd 08:45 GMT January 5, 2009
Milan Threat Hits EUR
Reply   
EUR gets hit by a report in the Daily Telegraph that Milan is considering legal action against a group of lenders who were helping it manage EUR1.7B of bonds. Italian authorities could be sitting on as much as EUR35B of liabilities relating to bonds they took out in the 1990s. RBC Capital Markets said the exposure, which could turn into Italy's biggest financial scandal since the Parmalat fraud, has already knocked 100 pips off the EUR. EUR/USD now at 1.3694, having opened at 1.3904.

Lahore FM 08:30 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

01/02/2009 16:47:21 FM Lahore 8
having been stopped on usdcad long 1.2193 at 1.2138.renetred long 1.2123.stops for this at a later time.
--
half of 1.2123 long usdcad out at 1.2166.stops for this paritcular log at 1.2090 now on remaining 1/2.

Lahore FM 08:28 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

added another long euruad 1.9320.

Lahore FM 08:26 GMT January 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Buy euraud
Entry: 1.9408 Target: open Stop: later

went long euruad 1.9408.

Maribor 07:31 GMT January 5, 2009
eurkable short

First, there is no pair EURcable...cable is the name for GBPUSD pair.

Second, it is nice to see there is interes for longing EURGBP, however longer term target area is 0,76 and below. Target levels for GBPCHF are 2,1 and 2,25...may take time...

Syd 07:10 GMT January 5, 2009
Growth In Private Cars, Motorbikes Slows In China - Govt
Reply   
BEIJING (AFP)--Growth in privately owned cars and motorcycles slowed markedly in China last year, the government said Monday, in yet another sign of the impact of the global crisis on the world's fourth-largest economy.

SG Awesome Trader 05:48 GMT January 5, 2009
eurkable short

Fundamentally, EUR is stronger than GBP. Shorting EUR/GBP is risky. I will Long when this pair is on dip. 8-Jan is the BOE interest rate announcement. Trade with care.

GT/GL.

toronto Dr Unken Katt 03:12 GMT January 5, 2009
eurkable short
Reply   


Sell eur-cabel
Entry: Target: 9500 Stop:

there s big short on eurcable i assume the tp of 9000

what do u think folks?

dc CB 02:20 GMT January 5, 2009
US Bonds
Reply   
Barrons' cover

Happy New Year all. bytheway.

Get Out Now!

Syd 01:05 GMT January 5, 2009
Aussie Econ May Not Grow At All In '09 - Citi
Reply   
Australia's economy will likely contract slightly over the 12 months to mid 2009, and may register GDP growth of zero in 2009, with a pick-up to 2.5% in 2010, says Citi Economist Stephen Halmarick. "With both 4Q 08 and 1Q 09 expected to show negative quarters for GDP growth, this will fulfil the technical definition of recession, even though it should be milder than in the major economies." Adds consumer demand has already weakened, businesses may follow suit; "the next leg of the slowdown will be a large drop in business investment."

Syd 00:59 GMT January 5, 2009
Italian bond scandal could ensnare banks
Reply   
Several high-profile banks, including Deutsche Bank and UBS, could be caught up in lawsuits over lending agreements with Italian local governments. According to some estimates, Italian authorities could be sitting on €35bn (£33bn) of liabilities relating to bonds they took out in the 1990s, which could turn into Italy's biggest financial scandal since the Parmalat fraud.

link

Maribor 00:35 GMT January 5, 2009
WSJ: Obama Eyes $310 Billion Tax Cut

Almost all countries want to issue bonds next year...but it does not seem like there will be enough buyers for all that bonds...it is possible central banks will buy important part of these bonds...so inflation(first ot be seen in commodities) will go up...so will AUD, NZD and CAD go up...

Syd 00:14 GMT January 5, 2009
WSJ: Obama Eyes $310 Billion Tax Cut
Reply   
President-elect Barack Obama and congressional Democrats are crafting a plan to offer as much as $310 billion of tax cuts to individuals and businesses, a move aimed at attracting Republican support for an economic-stimulus package and prodding companies to create jobs.

 




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Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

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