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Forex Forum Archive for 01/11/2009

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Syd 23:42 GMT January 11, 2009
DJ EUR/JPY Set To Weaken This Week - Westpac
Reply   
ECB meeting Thursday dominating sentiment for EUR, which will likely soften further in days ahead, says Westpac FX strategist Jonathan Cavenagh. Says even if ECB cuts expected 50 bps, market reaction could be jittery. "The euro gets sold if they do cut, the euro gets sold if they don't cut," as traders' reactions will be split between eroding yield advantage and risk of worsening recession. EUR/USD last 1.3424 from 1.3438 early Asia. Says EUR/JPY will dip to 118.00, last 120.91.

Lahore FM 22:35 GMT January 11, 2009
eur/aud

yes as long as jpy is strong it will likely keep edging towards 2.0000.

Scottsdale 22:26 GMT January 11, 2009
eur/aud

THX...it gapped up considerably

Lahore FM 22:21 GMT January 11, 2009
eur/aud

1.9290 currently!

Mtl JP 22:14 GMT January 11, 2009
wrath of the clueless
Reply   
Popular Internet Financial Pundit Arrested In South Korea - January 08, 2009 - - money.cnn.com

SEOUL (AFP)--South Korean prosecution authorities said Thursday they had arrested a popular Internet pundit on charges of spreading "groundless" allegations that the country's currency, the won, was imperiled.

The Internet user, under the alias "Minerva," caused a stir in recent months with more than 200 postings about the country's financial crunch and the global economic crisis.

A prosecutor said Minerva - who was rumored to be a retired financial market worker - is in fact a 30-year-old jobless man who only learned about foreign exchange markets through self-education. .... truncated

Syd 22:13 GMT January 11, 2009
OZ
Reply   
COFFEE shops, small clothing stores and car dealerships face the biggest threat of going under as a deteriorating economy leads to more job losses, Mark Ganz of independent research house IbisWorld has warned D&B chief executive Christine Christian said business activity would remain depressed and that corporate investment would fall further this year
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/
story/0,28124,24899115-36418,00.html

Syd 22:05 GMT January 11, 2009
Japanese Selling To Likely Weigh AUD/JPY - BNZ
Reply   
Selling from Japanese accounts may push AUD/JPY lower in Asia, as pessimism returns to dominate sentiment, says Bank of New Zealand FX Strategist Danica Hampton. "A string of bad data last week has nipped that New Year's optimism in the bud." Equity markets will be key driver, hurting high yield currencies and helping USD and JPY. "If you look at the data last week, it's pretty terrible, so people will come back this week and decide the world is a pretty gloomy place again." AUD/JPY last 63.095, may test 59.50, then 58.50 in days ahead, she says.DJ

Head of German Federal Labour Office Weise: in worst case scenario unemployment could rise to 4M from current 3.1M in 2009
- Comments came in a radio interview, in which Weise noted some economists believe German GDP will contract 3% to 4% this year, though that does not take into account the €50B stimulus package that is expected to be authorized on Monday. Weise also cautioned that unemployment could 'get substantially worse if the economy takes a catastrophic turn.'

Scottsdale 21:49 GMT January 11, 2009
eur/aud
Reply   
Could someone please give me a LIVE price on eur/aud ?????

Syd 20:14 GMT January 11, 2009
DJ Germany's 2009 Deficit Could Reach 3.5% Of GDP - Report
Reply   
DJ-Germany's public sector budget deficit could reach 3.5% of gross domestic product in 2009, reports Handelsblatt in an advance of its Monday edition, citing calculations of the CDU party, a member of governing coalition, seen by the newspaper. This would be a breach of the European Union's budget deficit limit of 3% of GDP. Forecasts for 2010 predict the deficit could climb as high as 4.5% of GDP, Handelsblatt reports.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:11 GMT January 11, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell HSI
Entry: Current Target: 11546 Stop: 15300

Hang Seng Index
: Weekly Cycle Analysis


The weekly cycle pivot centers are located at 13154 - 13508 - 15146. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 13154. The initial weekly cycle downside targeting points are 11785 - 11546 - 12375(3 projected profiles are used in my system).

Global-view Careers 13:18 GMT January 11, 2009
Careers
Reply   
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Amman wfakhoury 09:56 GMT January 11, 2009
Mix calls
Reply   
gpb.usd closed 15169 and heading twd 15210.
eur.usd closed 13431 and heading twd 13530
eur.jpy closed 121.60 heading twd 12250.
eur.gbp closed .8851 heading twd .8910

Hong Kong Qindex 07:49 GMT January 11, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/GBP
Entry: Current Target: 0.8662 Stop: 0.9100

EUR/GBP: The bias is on the downside when the market is below 0.8989. A projected resistant level has been established at 0.8897. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy. The initial downside targeting points from the daily cycle are 0.8642 – 0.8711 – 0.8748. The expected trading range from the Directional Indicator and the Normal Lower Limits is 0.8579 – 0.9030. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the current expected trading range is 0.8354 – 0.8898. During early period of next week the market will consolidate within the weekly cycle pivot centers at 0.8694 – 0.8884 – 0.8986. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 0.8694.


Monthly cycle charts of all major currencies have been updated and are freely available in my website. The monthly cycle congested area shares the same center with the monthly cycle projected series. The upper and lower barrier of the projected series are corresponding to number 3 and number 5 position of the congested area. In the case of EUR/GBP, the number 2 position of the congested area is corresponding to the normal end of the projected series at 0.8898* … 0.9170. The number 1 position of the monthly cycle congested area at 0.8004 is corresponding to 0.7810* - 0.8082 of the monthly cycle projected series.

 




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