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Forex Forum Archive for 01/24/2009

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Syd 22:34 GMT January 24, 2009
Berlin Takes Al-Qaeda Video Threat Seriously - Ministry
Reply   
BERLIN (AFP)--Berlin is seriously taking an Internet threat by presumed Al-Qaeda militants warning of imminent attacks on three German cities, the interior ministry said Saturday.
"This video confirms our belief that jihadist propaganda against Germany has taken a new dimension," the ministry said in a statement, referring to a clip posted on YouTube.
"In these types of documents, Germany is explicitly threatened, in the German language," it said.
In the video message aired last week, the militants said Germans were "gullible and naive" if they thought they could "escape unscathed when they are the third occupation force in Afghanistan."
"We are going to send an army into your cities, in particular Berlin, Cologne and Bremen," they said, cited by the German weekly Focus magazine.
"Germany and four other countries will have problems beginning in February 2009," the militants said in the video, which was pulled from the Web site Jan. 12.
While a spokesman for German criminal police, BKA, said the exact origin of the video had not been identified, Focus magazine reported that it featured German converts to Islam.
Berlin announced when the threat was aired that it considered the video authentic, later identifying one of the militants as Moroccan-born Bekkay Harrach.
The German government said it was increasingly worried about terror attacks after a Jan. 17 suicide bombing outside its Kabul embassy which killed two Afghans and wounded U.S. and German nationals.




Jerusalem ML 18:55 GMT January 24, 2009
My BET in February
Reply   
EUR
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi all

My bet for the month of February-

Buy CHF against $- Tgt 1.07
Euro/usd - tgt 1.35
Gpb - tgt 1.43
usd/cad- tgt 1.15

10 year bond down 10% in value, higher yields.
GT

GENEVA DS 13:06 GMT January 24, 2009
USD/YEN

HK/RF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Do apologize to you RF.... it was not a doom forecast , only a thought of ourself for this weekend... If you want to buy JPY at 91.50 , it still fits with our forecast... we will do it as well then, personally we feel , that we are NOT all long jpy yet.... just hearing here from our sources, that major banks have still RECORD-amounts of JPY-credits in their customer accounts... this does not bode well for a downmove in JPY ANYTIME soon... but would be nice if it rises over 90.50... On the SNB side... do not get carried away too much by Hildebrand... He is NOT setting the rates EURCHF.... EURCHF was 10 years ago at the inception already 1.4300.... since then, the average inflation in EURO-countries was several percentages higher each year than here in our land, which means that a rate EURCHF of 1.3500 ish will be VERY realistic, before SNB will be REALLY worried... lets wait and see and hopefully we all will make money with anything, which comes out.... and IF WE DO,,,,, lets not forget to give away some , for people ,WHO really need it and cannot make it so easy than you and me.... good weekend

NYC NYT 10:49 GMT January 24, 2009
euro
Reply   
Once a Boon, Euro Now Burdens Some Nations

GVI Forex Blog 10:37 GMT January 24, 2009
USD
Reply   
From our blog:

US Dollar: 3 Big Threats

GVI Forex Jay 10:34 GMT January 24, 2009
Access Issues
Reply   
For those who had trouble accessing our site yesterday, our apologies as it was an issue beyond our control and not related to server performance.

What happened is our hosting company decided it was important to migrate our servers to a new IP address. This is a process where the new address is sent to ISPs across the globe and in the interim, you lose access until your ISP records the new address so you can access the site.

This was an unusual circumstance and one that had to be undertaken for technical reasons. One again, our apologies for the rare interruption.

Hong Kong Qindex 07:51 GMT January 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell Gold
Entry: 902.4 - 906.3 Target: 853 Stop: 916.0

Gold : Daily Cycle Analysis

Expected Range : 853 - 911.3

Normal Lower Limits : 701.5* - 749.0 - 778.2
Lower Mid-Point Reference : 775.3* - 810.1 - 841.8
Weekly Cycle Pivot Centers : (849.1*) - (871.2) - (905.4)
Upper Mid-Point Reference : 922.9* - 932.3 - 969.1
Normal Upper Limits : 993.4 - 996.7* - 1032.7

Daily Cycle Projected Series (898.3) : ... 839.6 - 849.1* - 858.7 - 863.4 // 868.2* - 873.0 - 877.7 - 882.5 - 887.3* - 892.0 - [896.8] - 901.6 - 906.3* - 911.1 - 915.9 - 920.7 - 925.4* // 930.2 - 935.0 - 944.5* - 954.0 ...

Daily Cycle Congested Area : 798.7 - 831.4 - 864.1 - (896.8 - 929.5) - 962.2 - 994.9

Suggested Trade : Sell 1/3 - 1/2 in the first entry point
Entry Points : 902.4 - 906.3
Target(s) : 853
Stop(s) and Reverse : 916.0

Upside Targeting Points : 922.9 - 934.8

Downside Targeting Points : 837.9 - 855.6

Remarks : The market has a tendency to trade within 869.9 - 911.9. Significant levels are positioning at ... 842.9 - 849.7 - 853.0 // 869.9 - 878.0 - 879.8 - 883.8 - 895.7 - 902.4 - 911.3 - 911.9 // 918.7 - 924.1 - 929.9 ....

HK [email protected] 04:56 GMT January 24, 2009
USD/YEN
Reply   
GENEVA DS 18:25 GMT January 23, 2009
BLACK SWAN 2009: Reply
USDJPY
Entry: 89 Target: 50 Stop: 90

........................................................................................

When I read this kind of doomsday post, I think about waiting to buy yen at 91 to 91.5.

Regarding the fact that the whole Spec. world is overloaded long-Yen, it is time to be cautious.

SNB and the BOJ gave already a small blow to the Spec. this week, so it is time to be more careful.

What happened at 88 Y.day is the best proof to my thought.

Syd 04:49 GMT January 24, 2009
Barclays loses nearly half its value in a week as funds take flight
Reply   
Barclays is fast losing the confidence of big City institutions following the remorseless plunge in its share price over the past fortnight.

One of Barclays' biggest shareholders told the Mail that pension and insurance funds were scrambling to dump their holdings in the bank. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/money/article-1127074
/Barclays-loses-nearly-half-value-week-funds-flight.html

 




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