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Forex Forum Archive for 12/1/2009

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:34 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Dubai still contained - for now GBP comes back with a vengeance BoJ getting creative to appease gov't

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (1 December 2009)

GVI Forex Blog 22:59 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

U.S. Dollar Falls to 15 Month Low against Basket of Major Currencies

GVI Forex Blog 22:58 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

Renewed Appetite for Risk Drives Dollar to 15-Month Low

Gen dk 22:34 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 22:24 GMT December 1, 2009
WSJ: Iran Warns It May Prosecute British Sailors
Reply   
Iran added fuel to its clashes with the international community Tuesday with a threat to prosecute five British sailors detained last week, while President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad lashed out at Russia over the censure of Tehran's nuclear program.
Russia and China joined in a resolution Friday by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, to censure Tehran for its lack of transparency and secret nuclear facility.

NYC LJ 22:17 GMT December 1, 2009
Iran
Reply   
Has anyone heard anything about Iran planning to prosecute captured British sailors?

Syd 21:59 GMT December 1, 2009
sovereign debt is back in investors' minds.
Reply   
Dubai debt concerns eased Tuesday, but now the issue of sovereign debt is back in investors' minds. Dr Linda Yueh from Oxford University and David Bloom from HSBC consider whether China could be facing debt defaults.
Including discussion on USD , EURO ,AUD , GBP & YEN

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?
video=1347310561&play=1

dc CB 21:59 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret

Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) -- “I just wrote my first reference for a gun permit,” said a friend, who told me of swearing to the good character of a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. banker who applied to the local police for a permit to buy a pistol. The banker had told this friend of mine that senior Goldman people have loaded up on firearms and are now equipped to defend themselves if there is a populist uprising against the bank

Arming Goldman With Pistols Against Public

lkwd jj 21:50 GMT December 1, 2009
fx
Reply   
gbpusd
Entry: 166.26 Target: 164.00 Stop: 166.56

1.6626 is 20ma on daily chart should be tough to get above. has failed today already.

GVI Forex Blog 21:49 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
The Canadian dollar pushed higher again on Tuesday, getting a boost from record gold and stronger oil prices, and on a renewed appetite for risk after worries over Dubai's debt waned.

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ closes higher on resources, risk-taking

PAR 21:47 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret

Superb link . Russia realised they could not win .

Obama going for change ? Yes We Can .

The more things change the more they are the same in the USA.

PAR 21:34 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret

From the darkness of the 1930 ' s Bernanke avoided the big depression and created the Magic Kingdom Stock Market Rally based on permanent Us dollar currency devaluations and free money

Scenario by Warren Buffett and produced by GS.

Keeping America Great .

Yes We Can.

Mtl JP 21:32 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret

PAR highly recommend read the link:
In a possible play on investor psychology, savvy players might or not watch 0bama's plan to escalate the war in Afghanistan TV coverage which is scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. Eastern time.

The Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show will air as scheduled: at 10 p.m.

Denver AL 21:28 GMT December 1, 2009
Videos
Reply   
for Videos click on the relevant links and then click onTuesday
EUR/USD Video
GBP/USD Video

Mtl JP 21:00 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret

PAR...

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT November 30, 2009
Strap on your Depends time: Reply

if you do not want to whizz in your shoes

The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers - Foreign Policy magazine

1. Ben Bernanke

for staving off a new Great Depression.

Chairman, federal reserve - Washington

The Zen-like chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve might not have topped the list solely for turning his superb academic career into a blueprint for action, for single-handedly reinventing the role of a central bank, or for preventing the collapse of the U.S. economy. But to have done all of these within the span of a few months is certainly one of the greatest intellectual feats of recent years. Not long ago a Princeton University professor writing paper after paper on the Great Depression, "Helicopter Ben" spent 2009 dropping hundreds of billions in bailouts seemingly from the skies, vigilantly tracking interest rates, and coordinating with counterparts across the globe. His key insight?
--
I can't .... I can't... u click the link

PAR 20:57 GMT December 1, 2009
Buffett
Reply   
Buffett is a genius . He is short dollar and long Us stocks before anybody realised that this was the perfect carry trade.

He was also an adviser to Hank Paulson and Bernanke.

Still I will try to find out where I can buy Cherry Coke in France as it seems to give a better view on the markets than my preferred French Red Wines . Lol.

Syd 20:48 GMT December 1, 2009
Benjamin Pedley from LGT Investment Management told CNBC that "the normalization process will contin
Reply   
Benjamin Pedley from LGT Investment Management told CNBC that "the normalization process will continue in February," where the RBA will increase rates by 25 basis points.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=
1347140508&play=1

PAR 20:42 GMT December 1, 2009
euro

Juncker is a back seat rider. He failed to be elected as european president losing to Belgian ( Jean Claude Vandamme look alike) Van Rompuy.

GVI Forex Jay 20:34 GMT December 1, 2009
euro
Reply   
As posted a short while ago on GVI Forex:

(EU) EU's Juncker: Euro is overvalued, Euro Zone finance ministers have discussed FX rates

PAR 20:16 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secret
Reply   
However, Ben Bernanke, for all his courage, failed to see the iceberg in front of him: in 2007 he said "the impact of the problems in the subprime markets seems likely to be contained". He denied the fact that the country was in recession waiting for the National Economic Bureau to acknowledge the recession. One year after it started. But what is more worrisome, is that in front of a $ 1,700 billion refinancing risk for commercial real estate, consumer confidence tanking and 10% unemployment, he believes that we will cut unemployment in half within two years. Responding to criticisms from foreign governments and central banks regarding financial markets, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Monday, that the issue of asset market bubbles remains one of the biggest challenges facing policy makers, though he added that he does not see anything in the U.S. markets right now that concerns him.

GVI Forex Blog 20:04 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
The EUR/GBP’s rally yesterday turned out to be just a clear-out as we had suspected. Also we saw the bearish divergence with stochastic in the 4H followed by a decline. This decline completed...

FX Times: Daily Technical Update EUR/GBP Stalking Clear-out and Reversal Signals

PAR 19:59 GMT December 1, 2009
enthusiasm?

Boring . Stocks at new highs for the year . Again . Everyday the same story. Only Buffett finds this fantastic as he is a dollar bear and a stock bull.
Keeping America Great ?

Too smart to be true ?

Yes we can .

GVI Forex Blog 19:58 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook today: AUD has managed to move back above its multi-month trend support; holding above 0.9240 would be bullish for the days ahead, while a break above 0.9400 would

Forex Research - Morning Report (Westpac)

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT December 1, 2009
enthusiasm?

enthusiasm may pick up tom.. ahead of ADP # release. or.... in a trigger reaction to it.

it is expected at -145K vs -203K last

nyc 19:54 GMT December 1, 2009
enthusiasm?

eurgbp (lower) going through just now

PAR 19:52 GMT December 1, 2009
enthusiasm?

Market is boring.

nyc ws 19:49 GMT December 1, 2009
enthusiasm?
Reply   
If there was an enthusiasm meter for measuring trading enthusiasm today it would register 3 out of 10 despite the risk moves.

GVI Forex Blog 19:18 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

Dollar Weakness Boosts Commodity and Equity Demand

PAR 19:13 GMT December 1, 2009
Strong Euro
Reply   
Contrary to strong yen for Japanese exports, strong euro is no problem for european exports as european products are of superior quality making them less price sensitive. Everybody wants to buy Chanel or Hermes and if you can not afford it , it is your problem not europe s.

GVI Forex Blog 19:01 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

U.S. Dollar Support Continues to Erode

NYC JM 18:38 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp

I have no clue whether this is used anymore but there was a time when there were position traders who traded based only on 4 week highs and lows.

PAR 18:34 GMT December 1, 2009
DOW
Reply   
Going for six straigth up months in a row. Never seen since ..?

BA mades 18:30 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp

1.6641 is 61.8% of 1.6260-16876 [last 4 weeks range].

GVI Forex Jay 18:27 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Open Forum

I continue to draw horizontal lines on a chart for this pair as the range compresses. On the downside, 1.50 remains...

THREAD: The Importance of Crosses in Spot Trading UPDATED

GVI Forex Jay 17:57 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Open Forum

EUR/GBP paused (low .9074) just above the tight daily trendline at .9070. See daily chart posted above.

THREAD: The Importance of Crosses in Spot Trading UPDATED

nyc 17:44 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp
Reply   
1.6633 => 76.4% of 1.6745-1.6272. High today 1.6639

LA LA 17:25 GMT December 1, 2009
gbpusd
Reply   
Is anyone long gbpusd or are most positions short?

PAR 17:00 GMT December 1, 2009
USD

USDJPY is for the japanese and for GS.

Varna GV 16:53 GMT December 1, 2009
USD
Reply   
USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I don't trading USD/JPY but, my analysis tell me we must sell USD/JPY, there will be a hard time foe BOJ!!!

GVI Forex Jay 16:41 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

Key GBP/USD level is at the 1.6675 (trendline), which looms above has not been seriously treatened. Note the 20...

THREAD: GBP/USD UPDATED

London SFH 16:40 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp


JP

Told ya it was going up!! lol

Mtl JP 16:37 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp

London C -Gold is liquid(ity) propelled rocket.

13, 14.. whatever # of day closes higher string records flashing caution signals but... in the meantime puppy just happily prances up

Belgrade AS 16:37 GMT December 1, 2009
What's Your Best Trade?

Sell nzdusd
Entry: 0.7320 Target: 0.71/0.69 Stop: 0.7400

this is N-th add-on to original play!
pending orders...4 units
risk covering(1/2 out) on + 80(@0.7240)

London C 16:31 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp
Reply   
I have the feeling there are many sitting on short gbpusd positions but it does seem to be struggling above 1.6630.

Gold touches $1200 - ouch

NYC Pipic 16:23 GMT December 1, 2009
fx

fwiw :
GVI Jay 10:53 GMT May 30, 2002 Reply
John and I learned a lesson many years ago, which is that you can trade a perception that a central bank will defend a level but don't take a position counting on them to be there to bail you out.

Chicago CL 16:07 GMT December 1, 2009
shifting gears
Reply   
Market is having a difficult time shifting gears after past few days trading..

GVI Forex Blog 16:02 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Although recent price action in the last few weeks has threatened on numerous occasions to break the longstanding uptrend in EUR/USD (a daily chart of which is shown), this currency pair continues to

Chart of the Day - 12/01/2009 – EUR/USD

HK JC 15:59 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp/usd

GBP 1.6620, minus 80 pips

GVI Forex Blog 15:57 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
The greenback remains under pressure, especially against the European and commodity-related pairs.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

Belgrade AS 15:51 GMT December 1, 2009
stocks and the dollar

nyc ws ,
sounds like an old gangsta' song....
"power over money
money over power
minute after minute
hour after hour..."

PAR 15:46 GMT December 1, 2009
AIG - Geithner Fooling Taxpayers
Reply   
What difference does it make ?


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- AIG announced Tuesday that it completed a deal wiping out $25 billion of its debt to taxpayers by selling stakes in two subsidiaries to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

The troubled insurer gave the New York Fed preferred shares of two of its international life insurance companies, including $16 billion of American International Assurance Co. and $9 billion of American Life Insurance Co. The deal was originally announced in March.

GVI Forex Blog 15:46 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
For a second there Jack got me a bit worried. All that talk of hold-on-to-your-hats-this-could-get-crazy. I mean: sovereign default? Contagion? Sustained risk event? Really?

Jack does not understand anything.

Gen dk 15:43 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

nyc ws 15:22 GMT December 1, 2009
stocks and the dollar
Reply   
Dollar: stock watching day

Stocks: dollar watching day

lkwd jj 15:21 GMT December 1, 2009
fx
Reply   
usdjpy
Entry: 86.62 Target: 87.5 Stop: 86.20

boj and mof dont want yen lower. risk appetite on

HK Kevin 15:09 GMT December 1, 2009
GBP/USD
Reply   
Sell GBP
Entry: 1.6600 Target: Open Stop: 1.6751

Order just filled.

Lahore FM 15:07 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

COT data

http://www.forexrazor.com/Analysis/Commitment-of-Traders.aspx

PAR 15:06 GMT December 1, 2009
data on deck

Excellent Us economic numbers . So sell dollars ,buy Us stocks.

GVI Forex 14:52 GMT December 1, 2009
data on deck

CORRECTION: THE PRIOR ISM PMI READING SHOULD READ 55.7, NOT 52.6

GVI Forex Jay 14:50 GMT December 1, 2009
data on deck
Reply   
ISM PMI due at 15:00 GMT

Lahore FM 14:46 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

four charts shorts = four hour chart shorts

GVI Forex Blog 14:30 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

U.S. equity markets are expected to open higher

GVI Forex Blog 14:29 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

Dollar Continues to Weaken Against Most Majors

Lahore FM 14:28 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

Sell audusd/gbpusd/nzdusd
Entry: 0.9215 Target: 0.9140/0.9100 Stop: 0.9310

audusd ,gbpusd and nzdusd are on 4 hour chart tops.establishing a four charts shorts here can work well.

sold audusd to begin with.

London HC 14:11 GMT December 1, 2009
month end
Reply   
I wrote this yesterday and as it turned out, month end was a factor.


London HC 14:41 GMT November 30, 2009
month end: Reply
I wonder how much month end is a factor today - watch for some gyrations around the London PM fix.

GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT December 1, 2009
Maturity chart of Australian interest rates...
Rates
Talk of another +25bps in February. Also chatter that AUDUSD headed for parity. AUDUSD should continue to be a target of carry trades.

GVI Forex john 13:17 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

At its meeting today, the Board decided to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.75 per cent, effective...

THREAD: AUD, NZD, ZAR in depth thread UPDATED

GVI Forex john 12:26 GMT December 1, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier.. Chinese mfg PMI flat-lining?

GVI Forex Blog 12:16 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Dec-2009 - 1215 GMT

Mtl JP 12:14 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB / FED BALANCE SHEET

PAR fwiw:

1) re Bernanke squirming about auditing his FED outfit:
an independent and FED-unvetted audit would , in all likelihood, reveal the quality of glue that holds the US big bank house of financial cards together. Ben's mendacity and insistance on keeping that secret points to a feable bond, public knowledge of which would probably set off a run on his banking cartel and a probable collapse. For that reason I believe Bernanke will prevail in keeping the Truth off CNN or NYT.

2) re WHich balance sheet is the worst
International indebtedness and its collection between nations or CBs does not work in same way as between a Bank and Joe Sixpack' s loan. CBs can print, Joe Sixpacks only under threat of severe punishment. International debts will never get paid. They get inflated away. There are no major problems as long as all CBs inflate more, rather than less, at approximately same rate. Only looser are the respective Joes: due to holding fiats whose purchasing power erodes over time.

GVI Forex john 12:09 GMT December 1, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support



Swiss PMI very strong...

GVI Forex john 12:08 GMT December 1, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier UK mfg PMI disappointing.

GVI Forex john 12:07 GMT December 1, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


Earlier. EZ mfg PMI revised higher.

Varna GV 11:51 GMT December 1, 2009
USD
Reply   
USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Only one word for ECB accounts - Greece?!

PAR 11:48 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB / FED BALANCE SHEET
Reply   
WHich balance sheet is the worst ?

That of the FED or that of the ECB ?

An independent audit of both central banks balance sheet would humble both Bernanke and Trichet and give some powers back to Joe Sixpack.

GVI Forex Blog 11:22 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
The yen fell broadly on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan announced more measures to ease monetary policy to help the ailing economy following an emergency meeting, while holding interest rates at 0.1 percent.

FOREX NEWS-Yen falls on new BOJ operations, trims losses

GVI Forex Blog 11:19 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Currencies: The dollar continued to fall victim to rising risk appetite as various region of the world continued to present better economic data. Global equity markets were responding well to the overall effects of various data releases from around the globe and respective central bank comments

European Market Update: BOJ emergency decision underwhelms the currency markets; European data aids risk appetite; Gold hits fresh all-time highs on speculation that China might adds the metal to

PAR 11:15 GMT December 1, 2009
USD

Japanese economic situation is the best case study illustrating that ZERO interest rate policies dont work and that quantitative easing ultimately will lead to disaster. Japanese stock market went from 40.000 to 9.000 on continued low interest rate policies. Money has a price .

Belgrade AS 11:13 GMT December 1, 2009
USD

just think of it....people of Japan went through this already!
few months ago i gave a link to a case study that regards this matter
usdjpy=80,00 should be your "happy place",long term....everything else is intraday...left/right.....

Varna GV 11:06 GMT December 1, 2009
USD
Reply   
USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Buying USD against GBP and EUR now and later, this BOJ panic is negative for stocks, think people, (Merkel remarks for credit situation), CBs trying to beat Deflation monster and many of us waiting for inflation and buying Gold!!
This BOJ panic improve the worst credit situation in global financial system!!
Good luck and good trade!!!

GVI Forex Blog 10:55 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Forexpros Fundamental Weekly Outlook, Nov 30-Dec 4,2009 EU: • Monday: Germany Retail Sales MoM (Previous -0.5%, Forecast N/A) & YoY (Previous -3.9%, Forecast N/A).

Forexpros Fundamental Weekly Outlook, Nov 30-Dec 4,2009

PAR 10:54 GMT December 1, 2009
GOLD
Reply   
Spot Gold hit new all time record high of $1199.10 and it is just lunch time .

GVI Forex john 10:52 GMT December 1, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   

The Daily Forex View


1 December 2009

11:00 GMT- TRADING SCENARIO: It appears that the Bank of Japan has blinked in its political struggles with the new Japanese government. The central bank held an emergency meeting and announced additional quantitative easing of Y10tln, via three month loans, but did not announce additional JGB purchases as many had hoped. The announcement amounts to an admission that deflationary pressures have been mounting again. Whether JPY low-profile intervention in the JPY, through government surrogates is to follow remains to be seen The strong JPY is a major drag on the economy. We would not be surprised by additional efforts to hold the line in USDJPY at the 85.00 level.  

MORE...

 

GVI Forex Blog 10:51 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
The U.S Department of Labor will release The ADP Nonfarm Employment Change report tomorrow (Dec 2) The ADP National Employment Report is a measure of the monthly change of nonfarm private employment,

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 01/12/2009

Belgrade AS 10:49 GMT December 1, 2009
mister blog man,calling a "son of a common/simple man" "SIR" is a vulgar insult to him.if he took pride and carried one name,why is your intellect so shellow to give him another.....and it's "dirthy banker/free mason/evil world ruler" british title you chose?

PAR 10:27 GMT December 1, 2009
Bernanke s Secrets
Reply   
Ben Bernanke Fears Ron Paul’s Audit Above All Else


In a recent and unusual action, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke wrote a column in a newspaper, in this case the online version of the Washington Post, which attempted to undermine the legislation initiated by Ron Paul to at minimum require that the Federal Reserve be fully audited by the Government Accountability Office (GAO).

Some of Bernanke’s thoughts are actually very disturbing, and confirm more than ever why the Fed needs to be audited. Let’s look at several comments he made in the column.

In reference to auditing the Fed and taking away its regulatory powers, Bernanke said this:

“These measures are very much out of step with the global consensus on the appropriate role of central banks, and they would seriously impair the prospects for economic and financial stability in the United States.”

What Bernanke subtly attempts to do here is take the issue out of the authority of the United States in the minds of the readers and place it in the authority of “global consensus.” Who cares about global consensus, and what he also calls the “appropriate role of central banks?”

With the fact that Bernanke continually refers to this in a variety of ways when attempting to defend the Federal Reserve in its ‘doing business as usual,’ it seems to strike at the core of what Ron Paul and many of us are concerned about, and that is what types of entangling alliances and agreements are being made with foreign governments and foreign central banks without lawmakers or the American people knowing what they are. This, probably more than anything else, is what Bernanke wants to keep hidden.


http://www.americanbankingnews.com/2009/11/30/ben-bernanke-fears-ron-pauls-audit-above-all-else/

GVI Forex Blog 10:22 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Fibonacci tools never cease to amaze me. The question becomes do they predict or become a self fulfilling prophecy? In the end it may not matter.

Fibonacci Does it Again!

GVI Forex Blog 10:20 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Commodity currencies rallied today with the AUD gaining 1.03% on the Greenback while the Pound gave up nearly 3/10th of a percent.

Gold Advances – Again

Budapest 09:45 GMT December 1, 2009
Adding to long
Reply   
Buy EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop: .9045

Adding to my EUR/GBP long.

YVR MAXXXIM 09:45 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB

311 CENTOGRAM
Entry: Target: Stop:

2009.12.01 00:53 sell 1.00 gbpusd 1.64556 0.00000 0.00000 2009.12.01 02:10 1.64413 0.00 0.00 0.00 143.00
2009.12.01 08:30 sell 1.00 gbpusd 1.64656 0.00000 0.00000 2009.12.01 09:44 1.65088 0.00 0.00 0.00
-432.00
2009.12.01 09:45 buy 8.00 gbpusd 1.65073 0.00000 1.65373 2009.12.01 10:24 1.65373 0.00 0.00 0.00
2 400.00

Closed P/L: 2 111.00

Budapest 09:44 GMT December 1, 2009
Selling
Reply   
Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: 143.58 Target: 141.60 Stop:

GBP sucks, sll it.

Amman wfakhoury 09:34 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp/usd
Reply   
we are in sell at 16540

Syd 09:31 GMT December 1, 2009
Euro May Rise to 15-Month High of $1.5285: Technical Analysis
Reply   
Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) -- The euro may rise to a 15-month high of $1.5285 as the currency held above so-called support at $1.4831, said Citigroup Inc., citing trading patterns. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=aVrMSaqFyM1o

HK [email protected] 09:25 GMT December 1, 2009
Westpac Boosts Standard Variable Home Loan By 45 Basis Points


Sydney ACC 09:06

May the Providence be with your Mother In Law, so she will be able to withdraw the money before the collapse of the bank.
Amen.

HAJ MAXXXIM 09:24 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB

IG NO RED

Syd 09:21 GMT December 1, 2009
Rennie Sees Australia Dollar at 96 U.S. Cents by January
Reply   
November 30 (Bloomberg) -- Robert Rennie, head of currency research at Westpac Banking Corp., talks with Bloomberg's Haslinda Amin and Patricia Lui about his forecast for Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy and the nation's currency.
LINK

YVR MAXXXIM 09:20 GMT December 1, 2009
TL iCe
Reply   
Buy gbp-usd
Entry: 1.6502 Target: ? Stop: pivot 1.6472

50 ma 4hr 1.6556 top bolllnger 1.6615 fibo 76.4 -1.6541

Sydney ACC 09:15 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB

This was posted last night on the UK Telegraph:

Angela Merkel alarmed by worsening credit crisis

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/6695364/Angela-Merkel-alarmed-by-worsening-credit-crisis.html

PAR 09:13 GMT December 1, 2009
ECB
Reply   
As European economy is growing stronger ,unemployment declining faster than expected , and asset prices rising sharply ECB may consider raising rates sooner rather than later.
A december rate hike may not be ruled out but probably with only 25bp .

Syd 09:10 GMT December 1, 2009
Rates
Reply   
Sydney ACC 09:06 GMT I cant either , probably 5% tops , Westpac really pushing the boat out

jkt-aye 09:06 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

jkt-aye 03:11 GMT December 1, 2009
hope it works: Reply
Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.0520 Target: 1.0640 Stop: 1.0490

happy hunting
-----

been stopped and reenter at 1.0460 sl 1.0410 tgt 1.0510


Sydney ACC 09:06 GMT December 1, 2009
Westpac Boosts Standard Variable Home Loan By 45 Basis Points

Banks are aggressively competing for retail deposits. My mother-in-law rolled her term deposit today with a major trading bank, she received 7% p.a. for three years with interest annually.
Come what may I cannot see the cash rate getting to 7% during that time.

Amman wfakhoury 09:05 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

GBP/USD sell around 16540 or when the 1 hour bar became red after 10 pips tp 16440 . sell another around 164.90...

THREAD: Wfakhoury sys calls UPDATED

Hong Kong Qindex 09:04 GMT December 1, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The market is going to consolidate within the monthly cycle pivot centers at 85.09 - 86.40 - 86.99 for the time being.

Hong Kong JC 09:04 GMT December 1, 2009
gbpusd

it is just coincident. You also said GBP will go to 1.64 will if below 1.6430. Both said are also possible.

Syd 08:59 GMT December 1, 2009
Westpac Boosts Standard Variable Home Loan By 45 Basis Points
Reply   
Westpac Banking Corp. said Tuesday it will increase its standard variable home lending rate by 45 basis points, well above the Reserve Bank of Australia's 25 basis point boost to the official cash rate, because of higher wholesale funding costs.
Sydney-based Westpac's standard variable home lending rate will now stand at 6.76% a year, it said in a statement.

Amman wfakhoury 08:57 GMT December 1, 2009
gbpusd
Reply   
Hong Kong JC 08:54 GMT December 1, 2009
---------
it is not suddendly , I said that gbp.usd is heading up twd 16480 then 16580 if keeps above 16480.

Hong Kong JC 08:54 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

suddenly all non USD rebound

Amman wfakhoury 08:44 GMT December 1, 2009
gbpusd from my desk
Reply   
Correction
-------
Amman wfakhoury 07:15 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp/usd from my desk: Reply
gbpusd is heading twd 16480 keeps above 16480 means 16580 will be seen .
breaks 16430 will take us till 16400 keeps below 16390 means 16330 will be seen.

Lahore FM 08:44 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 04:49 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.5006 Target: 1.4910 Stop: 1.5050

sold eurusd

additionally bought usdcad 1.0563,stops 1.0490.t/p for 1/2 at 1.0705.
--
stopped for minus 44 and minus 73.

PAR 07:53 GMT December 1, 2009
DOW
Reply   
DOW post FIFTH straigth monthly gain.

What is the absolute record in straigth monthly gains ?

Stock markets in the United States rose yesterday, helping the Dow post its fifth straight monthly gain, on hopes that possible fallout from Dubai's debt woes will be contained. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 34.92 points, or 0.3%, to end at 10,344.84. The S&P 500 was up 4.14 ...

Maribor 07:49 GMT December 1, 2009
trades
Reply   
GBPJYP sell at market(now 143,25 or above for ~141,5...
For all my trades low leverage is to be used...

PAR 07:31 GMT December 1, 2009
BOJ - Dirty Floating
Reply   
Imho suspicion grows that BOJ is buying USDJPY and EURJPY in secret interventions . That would be typical Japanese.

Amman wfakhoury 07:15 GMT December 1, 2009
gbp/usd from my desk
Reply   
gbpusd is heading twd 16480 keeps above 16480 means 16580 will be seen .
breaks 16430 will take us till 16400 keeps below 12639 means 16330 will be seen.

Hong Kong Qindex 07:00 GMT December 1, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY & AUD/JPY : The followings are still valid :-



11/30/2009 16:25:31 Qindex Hong Kong 2

Sell USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
USD/JPY : Heading Towards 83.20


The market is under pressure when it is below the range 87.02 - 87.45. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the weekly cycle pivot centers at 85.33 - 85.64 - 85.92. The initial downside targeting points are 83.20 - 83.20 - 83.88. The weekly cycle normal lower limits are positioning at 80.76 - 81.08 - 81.83.



USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/yen.html


11/30/2009 09:35:10 Qindex Hong Kong 3

Sell AUD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
AUD/JPY : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is under pressure when it is below 79.19. The weekly cycle pivot centers are located at 76.66 - 77.40 - 77.60. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 77.40.


AUD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/aud-yen.html

HK Fook 06:29 GMT December 1, 2009
CHINESE HANSEL AND GRETEL STORIES
Reply   
More Fairytales from land of "virgin capitalism"


The state-sanctioned China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said its monthly purchasing managers index, or PMI, stood at 55.2 on a 100-point scale. Numbers above 50 show manufacturing activity expanding.

"The November PMI is level with the previous month, possibly indicating the economic boom is starting to stabilise after reaching a fairly high level," a government economist, Zhang Liqun said in a statement issued by federation.

Beijing's 4 trillion yuan ($A639.74 billion) stimulus has helped to boost growth by pumping money into the economy through spending on public works projects.

Economic growth rose to 8.9 per cent over a year earlier in the quarter ending in September and the World Bank is forecasting 8.4 per cent growth for the full year.

The government plans to shift emphasis to encouraging private investment and consumer spending in the second year of the stimulus, Chinese leaders said in a statement last week following an annual planning meeting.

Economists see the PMI as a more effective measure of future economic activity than gross domestic product because it contains forward-looking information such as new orders.

The November index for employment fell 1.3 points to 51.1, indicating more jobs were created but at a slower rate than in October, according to the federation. Exports grew but that index slipped 0.9 points to 53.6.

The government and business groups have warned that stimulus spending might be worsening chaotic over-investment in industries such as steel and cement where supply already exceeds demand.

Officials said last month the government has rejected 47 proposed industrial projects worth a total of 191 billion yuan ($A30.57 billion) since September in the steel, petrochemical, nonferrous metals, power generation and other fields.

The PMI survey is co-sponsored by Hong Kong trading company Li & Fung Ltd.

Syd 06:10 GMT December 1, 2009
RBA
Reply   
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--The Australian dollar fell and bonds rallied on Tuesday as dealers took the opportunity to clear out positions after Australia's central bank tightened policy for the third consecutive month but gave little away on the next move for rates.
An emergency meeting of the Bank of Japan added to the bid tone for bonds and weighed on the local currency, as dealers awaited the outcome of the special gathering.The RBA's middle of the road statement should mean the spread between three-year and 10-year bond futures' implied yields narrows as the market reprices the interest rate outlook, given the RBA may occasionally pause in 2010, TD Securities Senior Strategist Annette Beacher said.
"After this historic occasion of the RBA lifting the cash rate over three consecutive monthly board meetings, we expect the board to occasionally pause throughout 2010, although still achieving a cash rate of 4.5% by June, and a cash rate of 5.25% by December 2010," Beacher said.
She said she expects the Australian dollar to hit US$0.9500 by mid 2010 as cash rate differentials with the U.S. blow out to 450 basis points.

Lahore FM 04:49 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.5006 Target: 1.4910 Stop: 1.5050

sold eurusd

additionally bought usdcad 1.0563,stops 1.0490.t/p for 1/2 at 1.0705.

Ho Chi Minh City VTS 04:42 GMT December 1, 2009
USD/YEN

I stop all now. Good trade!

Syd 04:39 GMT December 1, 2009
DJ Australia's RBA Raises Rates Again, Further Tightening Expected
Reply   
Reserve Bank of Australia Tuesday raised its cash rate target by one quarter of a percentage point to 3.75%, further unwinding emergency policy settings no longer appropriate for the country's recovering economy.
The policy tightening, an unprecedented third in succession, follows a month of hawkish comments from RBA officials pointing to looming capacity bottlenecks and a renewed commodity price boom expected to last for decades.
Stevens said in a statement the risks of a serious contraction in the economy "have passed" and a gradual withdrawal of monetary stimulus was needed. Warren Hogan, acting chief economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group, said the scenario that has the RBA hiking a few more times in early 2010 stills holds.

Syd 04:33 GMT December 1, 2009
USD/YEN
Reply   
Interbank dealers eyeing stops above 88.40 in USD/JPY - market short USD/JPY traders

Brisbane ct 04:20 GMT December 1, 2009
USD/JPY
Reply   
TPE YEN 02:10 GMT December 1, 2009
Hi Yen
If you have the opportunity, I be interested to know your current view/analysis of the USD/JPY or Yen futures.
Thanks you.

Tok JT 04:14 GMT December 1, 2009
BOJ

We haven't seen any "Real Intervention" yet. Only verbal so far, but maybe today after 5 GMT.

hk nt 04:09 GMT December 1, 2009
BOJ
Reply   
BOJ and Japan government are very clever to let usd/yen falling to 84.8 (a whopping 40 yen off 2007 high 124 and just 5 yen above 79.75 historical record low) before carrying intervention.

Nikkei 2009 year open at 9000. I bet Japan government must use every effort year to prevent a negative closing on year basis. If it does close in red on yearly basis, many investors would dump Nikkei by Jan. 2010. Pushing up USD/YEN is likely to be one of the tool used by Japanese government to jet up the stock market.

Lahore FM 03:55 GMT December 1, 2009
Trade Ideas

11/30/2009 16:55:54 FM Lahore 5
Lahore FM 15:34 GMT November 30, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.0547 Target: 1.07 Stop: 1.0510

back after a holiday.

1.0547 long in.
--
half out for 40 pips at 1.0587 now,stops raised to 1.0540 on the remainder.
--

remainder stopped 1.0540 for net gain of +33.

Sydney ACC 03:54 GMT December 1, 2009
RBA: Higher A$ Will Damp Growth For Trade-Exposed Sector

I reckon another 25bps in February and that should do them.
Whereas previously 5% could be viewed as neutral, given the economic situation ex Asia, 4% would be about right.
I recall a few weeks back seeing an article where Battellino indicated the Bank had to get to 4% quickly given the state of the Australian economy.

Syd 03:36 GMT December 1, 2009
RBA: Higher A$ Will Damp Growth For Trade-Exposed Sector
Reply   
RBA: Global Economy Has Resumed Growth
RBA: Adjustments To Monetary Policy To Increase Growth Sustainability
RBA: Adjustments To Monetary Policy To Keep Inflation Consistent With Target
RBA: Growth Likely Close To Trend, Inflation Close To Target In 2010
RBA: Higher A$ To Contain Some Prices
RBA: Higher A$ Will Damp Growth For Trade-Exposed Sector
RBA: China, Asia Economic Prospects Good In 2010

GVI Forex Blog 03:35 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 01-Dec-2009 - 0330 GMT

Syd 03:32 GMT December 1, 2009
RBA: Global Economy Has Resumed Growth
Reply   
RBA: Adjustments To Monetary Policy To Increase Growth Sustainability
RBA: Adjustments To Monetary Policy To Keep Inflation Consistent With Target
RBA: Board's Assessment On Outlook Unchanged From November Policy Statement

Syd 03:30 GMT December 1, 2009
Australia's RBA Raises Cash Rate Target 25 Bps To 3.75%
Reply   
Australia's RBA Raises Cash Rate Target 25 Bps To 3.75%

jkt-aye 03:11 GMT December 1, 2009
hope it works
Reply   
Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.0520 Target: 1.0640 Stop: 1.0490

happy hunting

Syd 02:48 GMT December 1, 2009
BOJ To Consider Additional Monetary Easing Steps - Kyodo
Reply   
The Bank of Japan will consider steps to ease monetary conditions further at its emergency policy-board meeting Tuesday afternoon, Kyodo News reported.
The news service didn't cite where it obtained the information.

Syd 02:20 GMT December 1, 2009
DJ BOJ To Hold Special Monetary Policy Meeting 0500 GMT
Reply   
TOKYO (Dow Jones)--The Bank of Japan policy board will hold an unscheduled monetary policy meeting from 0500 GMT "to discuss monetary control matters based on recent economic and financial developments," the central bank said Tuesday.
BOJ Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa will also meet the press from 0730 GMT

Singapore Sfx 02:13 GMT December 1, 2009
boj in

its not that they're "in" - but this news is ...


BOJ GOV TO HOLD NEWS CONFERENCE AT 0700 GMT - JIJI

BOJ TO HOLD EXTRA POLICY MEETING AT 0500 GMT - JIJI

tokyo ginko 02:07 GMT December 1, 2009
boj in
Reply   
boj

Sydney ACC 02:04 GMT December 1, 2009
UK

You have to give them credit though for seeking accommodatiion from Westminster Council, not Wandsworth or Walthamstow.Either she did her homework really well, or as is the case here there is an industry supporting this type of people.
Yesterday I saw an article where the Swiss had a referendum banning further construction of minarets in their country.

Syd 01:54 GMT December 1, 2009
DJ Sovereign Risk Concern Unlikely To Boost USD - MS
Reply   
Morgan Stanley says given concern about sovereign risk issues in Dubai, other economies such as Greece, Vietnam, "the inability of the USD to rally and the resilience of some EM currencies is quite notable," particularly BRL, MXN, ZAR. Notes lack of contagion across EM currencies suggests investors viewing recent events as more idiosyncratic in nature, rather than events with potential to spark broad contagion. Notes, "the mixed performance of the USD (after Dubai World news) suggests that while investors may have scaled back risk somewhat following the recent developments, there is not yet a strong global safe-haven demand for US Treasuries; which is what usually propels the USD higher during periods of global risk aversion."

GVI Forex Blog 00:55 GMT December 1, 2009 Reply   

Weaker Dollar Fails to Ignite Strong Equity Rally

Syd 00:43 GMT December 1, 2009
UK
Reply   
Sydney ACC 00:31 you can see why they head for the UK from every corner of the world !! the streets are paved with gold

Syd 00:42 GMT December 1, 2009
GBP
Reply   
Mtl JP 00:25 GMT exactly right

Sydney ACC 00:31 GMT December 1, 2009
Taxpayers pay £1,600-a-week for family of ex-asylum seekers to live in luxury five-storey home

They capped her benefits. What on earth was she getting beforehand?

Mtl JP 00:25 GMT December 1, 2009
NZ 2Q Curr Acct Deficit To Narrow As Imports Slide ANZ

benevolent and generous - c my 16:46 Nov 29

Syd 00:20 GMT December 1, 2009
NZ 2Q Curr Acct Deficit To Narrow As Imports Slide ANZ
Reply   
Mtl JP 00:19 GMT wonderful and yours ?

Mtl JP 00:19 GMT December 1, 2009
Taxpayers pay £1,600-a-week for family of ex-asylum seekers to live in luxury five-storey home

SYD -- not meaning to get personal, but how IS your heart ? :-)

Syd 00:11 GMT December 1, 2009
Taxpayers pay £1,600-a-week for family of ex-asylum seekers to live in luxury five-storey home
Reply   
Mtl JP 23:52 GMT The article below is an example of the wastage in the UK, being English I do know where my contributions went but back then the situation below didnt exist . Labour are the modern day Robin Hood .

A Somali family are living in a luxury £1.8million five- storey house in central London funded by the taxpayer. Nasra Warsame, 40, has lived with seven of her children and her elderly mother in the six-bedroom house since October.
Westminster council pays the £1,600-a-week rent for the former asylum seeker. Last year it was revealed Afghan single mother Toorpakai Saiedi and her seven children were given a £1.2million property complete with 100ft garden by Ealing council in West London. Mrs Saiedi, 35, received £170,000 a year in benefits. Some £150,000 of that is paid to a private landlord for the seven-bedroom house. A Department for Work and Pensions spokesman said: 'We capped the Local Housing Allowance in April because it was unacceptable that a small number of people received exceptionally high levels of Housing Benefit.
LINK

Los Angeles BB3 00:08 GMT December 1, 2009
Old news--JPM report is dated 11-24

 




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