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Forex Forum Archive for 02/05/2009

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GENEVA DS 23:01 GMT February 5, 2009
caba
Reply   
eurchf
Entry: Target: Stop:

eurchf ... tough one, caught myself a little these days... think eurchf will fall to 1.3500 this summer then much lower. no way, that snb will intervene before that... ppp is about 1.3000 right now. but they have done a good job for the short term.... seems the whole planet and all governments are now looking to fix things for short term... we will have to pay for that... the most I could see in that is 1.5200 ish before collapse begin... usdchf could help in short term to give us this last chance... i hope so.

philadelphia caba 22:57 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, can you share view on chf (usd/chf & eur/chf) after today's comments from SNB Hildebrand, pls? thanks.

..also DS, what about your view on eur/chf..? still your 'a few weeks target'? thanks.

GENEVA DS 22:47 GMT February 5, 2009
Pint of Lager
Reply   
EUR
Entry: Target: Stop:

Price of a pint of beer in Milan.... 5 Euro.... price of a pint in Melbourne 5 ozzie.... price of a pint in Toronto 5 loonie.... so why euro should be 2 times the price of ozzie ? cheers

GENEVA DS 22:43 GMT February 5, 2009
Paradigm-change
Reply   
EUR
Entry: Target: Stop:

Feel that the darling long crosses in EURo from the last few months will turn to darling short crosses soon .... i.e. longs in EURAUD-EURCAD-EURGBP and EURJPY (probably only...) will turn to massive sells over next few weeks.... EURO could suffer more pain . Southern Europe is going under already, things look ugly here, most countries Italy, Spain, Greece , Portugal would need a devaluation of several dozen percentages to get alive again... good trades to all...

Syd 22:40 GMT February 5, 2009
Reserve bank director opposes package
Reply   
A RESERVE Bank board member has expressed concern about the size of the Federal Government's $42 billion fiscal stimulus package and cast doubt on whether its planned cash payments to millions of Australians would be effective in stimulating spending in the economy.
Professor Warwick McKibbin also accused the Government of playing politics with the economic slowdown and warned that this could shatter fragile consumer and business confidence.
LINK

Lahore FM 22:38 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

eurgbp 0.8750 and eurusd 1.2790* is

Lahore FM 22:33 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

1.2790 now.monthly charts eurusd note...

buying euro against usd and more than a dozen other majors can be reaonably profitable.eurcad 1.5760,eurgbp 0.8750 and eurusd 1.2890 is top faves.eurjpy 116.55 can also easily join in.

Lahore FM 22:23 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.2328 Target: 1.2600+ Stop: 1.2180.

entered long usdcad 1.2328.looking for 1.2600 and up.

Lahore FM 22:19 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Canada Fin Min Flaherty: Unemployment numbers due Friday will be 'regrettable', risk is that recession could become worse
--
thanx Syd,small long eurcad entered 1.5763.

Syd 22:15 GMT February 5, 2009
Aussie Package Risks Creating A Crisis-McKibbin
Reply   
Australian government is going to make a bad situation a whole lot worse if it ploughs ahead with wider consultation on its proposed A$42 billion stimulus package, RBA board member Warwick Mckibbin tells Sydney Morning Herald newspaper. "It risks turning what isn't a crisis into a crisis." Difficult to gauge if rest of publicity shy board members share his views, or indeed the RBA itself, though statement on monetary policy at 0030 GMT may add some color. Says timing of stimulus is also wrong, should be done in stages. "I wouldn't have done that much fiscal stimulus yet. I would have staged in a series of packages over time." Also comes down hard on cash handout in December, essentially saying it was a waste of money. McKibbin not immediately reachable for comment. Still, McKibbin himself has led charge on stimulus, with RBA board easing by 400 bps since September.
POLL: Is Turnbull right to oppose the stimulus package?


Canada Fin Min Flaherty: Unemployment numbers due Friday will be 'regrettable', risk is that recession could become worse
says ready to undertake more stimulus programs if needed.
Fed's Bullard: Worried about deflation, could worsen housing problems, would like to see second half of TARP used towards illiquid asset difficulties - Q&A
- Notes taht the fast growth of money supply will assist in handling risk of worldwide deflation, a few quarters of fast growth will not create inflation
GBP/JPY data from the Tokyo Financial Exchange traders are net sellers mainly due to the collapsing interest rate differential between the UK and Japan
PIMCO's Gross: Govt must eventually purchase long term treasuries - TV interview

Lahore FM 22:04 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/04/2009 08:52:24 FM Lahore 39
small short audnzd 1.2646.stops at 1.2760.
--
sold 2nd full position 1.2617 now.stops as before.

Geneva 20:43 GMT February 5, 2009
Euro/aud
Reply   
Look like Euro/aud in in the first step in the way back to 1.70 area!

GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT February 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

5-Feb-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.2796

91.46

1.1708

1.4637

1.2279

High

1.2905

92.25

1.1710

1.4703

1.2382

Low

1.2760

89.20

1.1574

1.4367

1.2229

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.2862

89.93

1.1499

1.4218

1.2330

10 day

1.2976

89.66

1.1441

1.4033

1.2288

20 day

1.3067

89.65

1.1312

1.4199

1.2345

50 day

1.3354

90.76

1.1246

1.4511

1.2295

100 day

1.3327

95.38

1.1334

1.5460

1.1999

200 day

1.4314

101.09

1.0919

1.7333

1.1137

Amman wfakhoury 20:32 GMT February 5, 2009
new exit
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 14:36 GMT February 5, 2009
gbp.usd call: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 13:52 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP.USD high probability sell call result: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 10:40 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP/USD HIGH Probabilty sell call: Reply
this call is valid before and after the data .
sell around 14640 tp 14500.
sell another around 14740 if rise exit all 14620.
stops 14800.

-------
preferable to exit around 14540-30 and re sell again at higher price.....well done call

====
we can re sell here around 14640 and repeat the above signal

------
exit the second sell entry around 14600.

Gen dk 20:10 GMT February 5, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hillegom Purk 20:05 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp

8743 in.

Los Angels ys 20:03 GMT February 5, 2009
how come
Reply   
NYC ET <<< Thank you so very much for your answer to me...; ) I guess I shall start watch S&P chart as well...GTGL

madrid 20:02 GMT February 5, 2009
banker or bonker ?
Reply   
Reuters.com

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable”, has a simple proposal to as he puts it, “save capitalism and free markets from the banks.”

Nationalise the banks, limit the rewards to those who work in what he calls the “utility” part of the system and have a completely uninsured second leg that can take all the risks it wants and lose its shirt, he said in an interview in Davos at the World Economic Forum.

“They rigged the game. We pay them for their profits, there is no clawback so their incentive is to hide the risk they are taking.”

“Which is why eventually as someone who loves free markets, a total nationalisation of the part of the business that requires insurance and does clearing and payments needs to happen.”

“I am angry with U.S. policy. What we had is exactly the opposite of socialism, they got TARP to pay their bonuses and to take more risk.”

He describes his plan as Capitalism 2.0. It would have a barbell structure, with the insured utility-like part on one end and the free market bit with privatized risk on the other.

He describes banking bonuses as asymmetric because the banker gets the upside but does not share in the liability which ultimately may be funded by taxpayers, as we have seen.

Taleb, who as you may have noticed doesn’t mince words, is no fan of private equity.

“Private equity has absolutely no reason to exist. The private equity holder has all the upside and the banks all the downside.” He’d have no objection to a system where private equity funds itself via hedge funds, so long as neither party had any recourse to government insurance.

And a bit like an Old Testament prophet, Taleb is angry and wants those he thinks are responsible to suffer.

“I want them poor and they deserve to be poor.You can’t have capitalism without punishment.”

Oh, and another thing, he wants Bob Rubin, who trousered millions while chairman of Citigroup, to cough up.

“I want Bob Rubin to return his $110 million dollars to the American taxpayer.”

James Saft is a Reuters columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Power to the people. 8-)

Gen dk 19:37 GMT February 5, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Lahore FM 19:07 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

dow,jpy crosses and carry crosses all ready to go through the top.

time for a break!

NYC ET 18:53 GMT February 5, 2009
how come

ys. overlay a eur/jpy chart with the S&P chart. You can do the same for gpb/jpy but gbp was bid all day.

Lahore FM 18:41 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

thanx for your heartwarming words Purk!

Los Angels ys 18:38 GMT February 5, 2009
how come
Reply   
please some one tells me.. why gj and ej rally up so much this morning?

Hillegom Purk 18:35 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM from Lahore: soon you can buy Pakistan and spread your kindness there. You will import clogs and drink tea with mea...

Lahore FM 18:33 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/04/2009 19:20:25 FM Lahore 12
bought march snp at 830.50 and cash dow at 7963.
--
order for half placed at 865.00 and 8250 cash dow.

PAR 18:01 GMT February 5, 2009
Thank you taxpayer ?
Reply   


AP:WASHINGTON) A government watchdog group says the federal government overpaid for stocks and other assets from financial institutions under its $700 billion rescue program.

The chairwoman of the Congressional Oversight Panel for the bailout funds told the Senate Banking committee Thursday that Treasury in 2008 paid $254 billion and received assets worth about $176 billion.

The figures were reached by extrapolating the results of a study of 10 government transactions.

The Treasury by Jan. 23 had spent about $294 billion on more than 300 companies under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. In one bright spot, the inspector general in charge of reviewing the funds said the federal government has received more than $271 million in dividends from preferred shares obtained through the program.


Lahore FM 17:33 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/USD

cheers TH!

NYC TH 17:24 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/USD

Thanks FM. I'm long from 2790 and looking to add at break of 2900. Looking for ~3500.

Netherlands Bob 17:19 GMT February 5, 2009
Whistle


only if the engine is oily

dc CB 17:19 GMT February 5, 2009
Bail

more FWIW, from The BigPicture.com blog
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/

NYSE Floor Rumor: SEC to Overturn Mark-to-Market
No proof if this is true or not, but its whats goosing the markets . . .

Amsterdam Purk 17:17 GMT February 5, 2009
Whistle

want one with an engine BOB?

Netherlands Bob 17:16 GMT February 5, 2009
Whistle
Reply   

PURK, can you get for me pre-owned Toyota Aygo for a good price or you do only for rich people?

Gen dk 16:57 GMT February 5, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Lahore FM 16:46 GMT February 5, 2009
usd/jpy

many thanx Purk of Amsterdam!

Amsterdam Purk 16:40 GMT February 5, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
Exxellent call from FM out of Lahore saying that usd/jpy was ready for 91, saying that it was under 89...

Lahore FM 16:39 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 13:10 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
115.00 eurjpy now.good for 118.00 and up.
--
half out at 116.81.entry stops for rest.

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT February 5, 2009
popular media pundits
Reply   
the embarassing and ridiculous newspaper pundits... here is one Canadian Diane Francis who appears to have had a sudden come-to-jesus moment:

U.S. dollar devaluation on its way writing in the National Post

Hong Kong Qindex 16:20 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USD/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : The market is shifting its vibration center from 1.2342 (magnitude = 1.2310 - 1.2374) down to 1.2279 (magnitude = 1.2247 - 1.2310). The neutral zone is defined as 1.2105 - 1.2475.

Bilad KaL 16:15 GMT February 5, 2009
GBPJPY

EURGBP
Longs
Cause

Monthly 0.9751 0.9120
Weekly 0.9162 0.8877
Daily 0.8840 0.8723
...see what i mean?
less risk for the da month and da week and some for da day

US SW 16:15 GMT February 5, 2009
GBPJPY

how long you been trading...its not that simple...there are tong of factors that you apprently don't understand why Pairs move the way they do...technicals are great, but a lot of pro wont set up a automatic trading system or EA, just because of that reason..."fundimentals, Politics, Oil, Announment..Big Band Liquidating are all some of the mover...I trade techincals too, but am also looking for data and other thing to set stops..GL and hope that helps

Bilad KaL 16:13 GMT February 5, 2009
GBPJPY

EURUSD
Monthly 1.3992 1.3145
Weekly 1.3067 1.2664
Daily 1.2887 1.2708

...which means think about Longs Under 1.2664

Bilad KaL 16:11 GMT February 5, 2009
GBPJPY
Reply   
It's simple guys

Long
if Below Monthly Expected Low
and Below weekly Expected Low
and Below Expected Daily

GBPJPY

Monthly 134.3358 122.5954
Weekly 130.8932 125.0764
Daily 132.8374 130.3569
heheh

Amman wfakhoury 16:11 GMT February 5, 2009
eur.gbp
Reply   
Dubai Tony 16:02 GMT February 5, 2009
===============================
in downtrend ..sell around 8800 tp 8730.
sell another at 8870 if rise exit all around 8800,
stops 8900

Hong Kong Qindex 16:09 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

02/04/2009 01:23:31 Qindex Hong Kong 23
EUR/USD : The current expected trading range is 1.2700 - 1.3055. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 1.2950. The following is still valid :-



02/03/2009 00:31:05 Qindex Hong Kong 12
EUR/USD : The market is in neutral position when it is trading between 1.2661 - 1.2992. Buy at low and sell at high is the preferred trading strategy when the market is trading within this range, 1.2661 - 1.2992. A stop and reverse order can also be considered.



==============================================

02/01/2009 15:21:30 Qindex Hong Kong 6
EUR/USD : The market may vibrate around 1.2878 with an expected magnitude of 1.2700 - 1.3055. Eventually it will tackle 1.2523. If the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 1.2167, the projected chart point at 1.1812 is going to be challenged.

Netherlands Bob 16:09 GMT February 5, 2009
XAU
Reply   

fwiw, if the yellow metal will not trade until tomorrow above $925 then tomorrow and further you will have the chance to buy it for very attractive price compared to the current $920 area ... even $40 lower is attractive for some, and market dynamics analyzer may call for much lower .... happy trades and I hope it helps ;)

Dubai Tony 16:02 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/GBP
Reply   
May I please have the outlook and views on the EUR/GBP pair.Thankyou

BA mades 15:58 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   
Can someone experienced explain to me what is this pair doing today? It prints new daily high, next hourly candle new daily low and price again returns back to midrange without any significant reaction. Too many contradictory views on the pair's future?

Lahore FM 15:56 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/USD

1.2834 good price to long from imho TH!

US SW 15:56 GMT February 5, 2009
EURUSD
Reply   
technical resistance here....seem if we break 12870 is on its way to 139....my stops are in

NYC TH 15:54 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   
Lahore FM, where do you see EUR/USD going from here?

US SW 15:52 GMT February 5, 2009
CADJPY
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 7320 Target: NONE Stop: LEVERAGE

Buying this pair because it has been bouncing of the monthly bottoms for weeks..seem this pair is trying to find its footing and will add at a 100 pips less

GVI Forex john 15:50 GMT February 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Canada Ivey PMI

US SW 15:39 GMT February 5, 2009
CADCHF
Reply   
Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

sorry that last post said buy and meant sell....

US SW 15:36 GMT February 5, 2009
CADCHF
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 9455 Target: 8780 Stop: 9620

should be under pressure do to the strenght of USDCAD and the weakening EURUSD....Im thining the downdraft for the CADCHF should be slow and steady due to the relivtive strenght of USDCHF

dc CB 15:32 GMT February 5, 2009
Bail
Reply   
FWIW from briefing.com:

Bank of America: Valuation suggests investors believe bank is about to fail and be nationalized - Ladenburg Thalmann (4.09 -0.61) -Update-

Ladenburg Thalmann says BAC's stock is now selling at 0.28x expected 2009 revs; 6.9x expected 2009 earnings; 0.19x stated book value; 0.50x tangible book value. Its market capitalization is 3.4% of its total deposits and 1.7% of its assets. Firm says these numbers are clear, investors believe that this bank is about to fail and be nationalized by the United States government. If they believed that it would continue as an operating entity it is unlikely that the bank would be selling at such a low value. One reason for this conviction, on the part of investors, is BAC's acquisition of Merrill Lynch. It is felt that either the co did not do the appropriate due diligence before making this acquisition, or that the co lacked the ability to understand how bad Merrill's problems were.

Lahore FM 15:26 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

earlier citi long 3.57 stopped fo minus 28 cents.enetred again at 3.32,stops later.

hong kong seek 15:09 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

ths a lot Dr.Q

Hong Kong Qindex 15:08 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

US SW 15:06 GMT - Thank you for your kind words.

US SW 15:06 GMT February 5, 2009
Qindex or "Doctor Q"
Reply   
Thank you for all you insights..PS all new traders should be aware of his technicals and think of signing up for his service..one of the Best..and is in the FX BIZ

Hong Kong Qindex 14:52 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GOLD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : Daily Cycle Analysis



Daily Cycle Projected Series (905.9) : ... 867.6 - 874.8* - 881.9 - 885.5 // 889.1* - 892.6 - 896.2 - 899.8 - 903.4* - 906.9 - [910.5] - 914.1 - 917.7* - 921.3 - 924.8 - 928.4 - 932.0* // 935.6 - 939.1 - 946.3* - 953.5 ...

Daily Cycle Congested Area : 836.9 - 861.5 - (886.0 - 910.5* - 935.1) - 959.6 - 984.1

Neutral Range : 898.6 - 910.5 (Buy at low and sell at high is the preferred trading strategy when the market is trading within the the neutral range. A stop and reverse order can also be considered).

Upside Targeting Points : 931.4 - 932.0

Downside Targeting Points : 879.5 - 889.1

Hong Kong Qindex 14:48 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : The market is under pressure when it is trading below the neutral barrier at 924.9 // 958.5.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:43 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : We have to change our bias to negative when the market is able to trade within 0.8544 - 0.8624.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:37 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The bias is still on the downside when the market is trading below the projected resistant barriers at 131.46 - 131.73. I have to change my bias to positive if the market has the potential to tackle 136.51. The reference point is 132.92. As shown in the distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart the market has a tendency to trade within 124.30 - 131.67.

Amman wfakhoury 14:36 GMT February 5, 2009
gbp.usd call
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 13:52 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP.USD high probability sell call result: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 10:40 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP/USD HIGH Probabilty sell call: Reply
this call is valid before and after the data .
sell around 14640 tp 14500.
sell another around 14740 if rise exit all 14620.
stops 14800.

-------
preferable to exit around 14540-30 and re sell again at higher price.....well done call

====
we can re sell here around 14640 and repeat the above signal

hong kong seek 14:32 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Dr.Q--any suggestion on gold ? ths

Hong Kong Qindex 14:29 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : It is too early to say that the market will tackle 1.4717. Basically the vibration center is shifting from 1.4379 (magnitude = 1.4295 - 1.4464) down to 1.4548 (magnitude = 1.4464 - 1.4632).

PAR 14:28 GMT February 5, 2009
Ireland = Iceland ?
Reply   
IR) Moody's revises outlook on bank debt guaranteed by Irish gov't to negative from stable
- The change in outlook to negative from stable follows the change in outlook to negative from stable on the ratings of Ireland given on Jan 30 2009
- Rating maintained at AAa
- " The backed-Aaa ratings assigned are based on the unconditional and irrevocable guarantee from the Irish government and the clear intention of the Irish government to improve the level of confidence in the Irish banking system. The guarantee covers deposits, senior debt, dated subordinated debt and covered bonds of the six institutions, both existing and new instruments, for a two-year period that expires on 29 September 2010. "

Bilad KaL 14:13 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp

EURGBP Expected

Monthly 0.9429 0.8820
Weekly 0.9003 0.8724
Daily 0.8840 0.8723

PAR 14:11 GMT February 5, 2009
In ZIRP environment Buffett likes High Coupons 12 %
Reply   
Collecting high interest rates is important for Warren.

BUFFETT BARGAINS?

Buffett's move through Berkshire Hathaway Inc is the latest in a series of investments he has made in crisis-hit companies, including General Electric Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Conversion of Berkshire Hathaway's investment in what the group called a "perpetual capital instrument" would take its stake in Swiss Re to over 20 percent, the reinsurer's Chief Financial Officer George Quinn said.

The terms of the conversion were set at 25 Swiss francs per share after three years, with a price adjustment if there is a rights issue of more than 2 billion francs within six months.

The instruments have a coupon of 12 percent and the face value represents a hefty discount on Wednesday's Swiss Re closing price of 30.04 Swiss francs.

The deal extends a relationship struck between Buffett and Swiss Re just over a year ago, when the billionaire investor's fund took a 3 percent stake in the insurer and 20 percent of its property and casualty reinsurance business.

Amman wfakhoury 13:52 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP.USD high probability sell call result
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:40 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP/USD HIGH Probabilty sell call: Reply
this call is valid before and after the data .
sell around 14640 tp 14500.
sell another around 14740 if rise exit all 14620.
stops 14800.

-------
preferable to exit around 14540-30 and re sell again at higher price.....well done call

GVI Forex john 13:44 GMT February 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Lousy data...Weekly jobs U.S.
Refresh to update chart...


Click on chart for five-year history

eu kaprikorn 13:44 GMT February 5, 2009
pivot
Reply   
intraday / houry chart

the 1.2900 I had as a pivot acted as a clockwork resistance so once we saw the central MA around 1.2840 breached we can safely assume we can see today tested Friday lows around 1.2700 --
guesswork as usual..

eu kaprikorn 13:40 GMT February 5, 2009
shark
Reply   
Kevin - hi man - not sure but happy that I kinda felt right they would push the eurusd to intraday high and then crush it to the lower pivot zone...

hourly eurgbp - do you see this staircase structure... it goes to new low - consolidates and then goes down again...

on daily it breahce dthe 61.8% fib so next stop is the 76.8% around -- 8570..

this is just observations - gl/gt!

US SW 13:39 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp

I agree Sir...I tried to long this but fail several times..Im looking to try one more time under 8550..GL and thax for your opin...

HK Kevin 13:31 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp

Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

eu kaprikorn 13:00 GMT February 5, 2009
Think at least to test 0.8550/70 this around following the break of 0.8880.

US SW 13:30 GMT February 5, 2009
USDNZD
Reply   
Sell
Entry: 5122 Target: 4980 Stop: 5160

under pressure

Mtl JP 13:30 GMT February 5, 2009
Trichet's conference
Reply   
will start shortly. fwiw:

http://www.thomson-webcast.net/de/dispatching/?ecb_090205_stream_video

US SW 13:28 GMT February 5, 2009
EURUSD
Reply   
Hello fellow TRADERS....I would appriciate some feedback on the current direction and technical resistance and support...I follow Doc. Q's and respect his anyalis...Thanx SW

San Diego bobl 13:26 GMT February 5, 2009
News
Reply   
Beware that news will be coming out in the next few minutes and has potential to move the markets.

If not working positions, you may want to see initial reactions before positioning.

gl/gt

Lahore FM 13:10 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

115.00 eurjpy now.good for 118.00 and up.

HK Kevin 13:03 GMT February 5, 2009
AUD
Reply   

Entry: 0.6490 Target: 0.6370 Stop: 0.6560

It looks the breakout at hourly chart is a false signal.

eu kaprikorn 13:00 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp
Reply   
to me daily chart points to 0.86 next stop...
but daily range is other thing..

Amsterdam Purk 12:57 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp

8777 in.

Lahore FM 12:40 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

some very serious long eurgbp can be possibly set up now in my view from current 0.8800.might go over 1.0000.

Lahore FM 12:37 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/02/2009 17:06:13 FM Lahore 64
Lahore FM 13:32 GMT February 2, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
long gbpusd again now at 1.4108,stops 1.3980.
--
half out at 1.4224.
--
all remainder 1.4108 long out at 1.4610 for +502.

Lahore FM 12:32 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

many thanx gw!

Gen dk 12:31 GMT February 5, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Amsterdam Purk 12:26 GMT February 5, 2009
eur/gbp
Reply   
G'day. Me starting to buy e/gbp. starters at 8800, and expect to buy more at lower levels.
Target: i do not have a clue, lets say profit.

austin gw 12:25 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

nicely done FM

Lahore FM 12:22 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/03/2009 15:10:01 FM Lahore 44
02/03/2009 07:58:22 FM Lahore 7
Lahore FM 07:08 GMT February 3, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
2nd long gbpusd entered now 1.4180,stops at 1.4050.
--
half out at 1.4258 now for +78.stops remain.
--
rest out now at 1.4364 for +184
--
rest of 1.4180 long out now at 1.4636 for +456 in all.

Lahore FM 12:20 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

2nd long eurgbp 0.8792.bought now.stops at 10.

eu kaprikorn 12:09 GMT February 5, 2009
guesswork doesn't work
Reply   
too much guessing - none worked for me - time to lay low..

Lahore FM 12:06 GMT February 5, 2009
Trade Ideas

gold 918.50.something beyong 930 can be expected for the session!

Lahore FM 11:51 GMT February 5, 2009
Re Aud

neat trade JHW!

GVI Forex john 11:26 GMT February 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

GVI Forex john 11:24 GMT February 5, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click for Complete Chart Points

4-Feb-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.2856

89.53

1.1586

1.4464

1.2319

High

1.3070

89.69

1.1633

1.4578

1.2436

Low

1.2812

88.84

1.1413

1.4325

1.2227

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.2899

89.61

1.1465

1.4170

1.2318

10 day

1.2997

89.40

1.1435

1.3965

1.2314

20 day

1.3114

89.65

1.1277

1.4230

1.2322

50 day

1.3356

90.84

1.1254

1.4530

1.2296

100 day

1.3343

95.51

1.1328

1.5494

1.1983

200 day

1.4328

101.15

1.0913

1.7359

1.1126

eu kaprikorn 11:21 GMT February 5, 2009
ecb/boe
Reply   
I just assume it is a game like pushing the eurusd & gbpusd as much as possible before the announcement so that there are many long at the top and then it goes the all the way to the lower range -- just guessing --

Netherlands Bob 11:20 GMT February 5, 2009
Good Trade

Netherlands Perk 11:16 GMT February 5, 2009

people like you are the demand for such chickens in AMS supermarkets ... pick a window dude :)

Netherlands Perk 11:16 GMT February 5, 2009
Good Trade
Reply   
Netherlands Bob 10:51 GMT February 5, 2009
Now you will be able to add more chickens to your Harem....

PAR 10:54 GMT February 5, 2009
Compensation
Reply   
If Us government wants to put a cap on Wall Street salaries it should also put a cap on preferred dividends from 10 % to 13 % paid to Warren Buffett and Souvereign Wealth Funds with Us taxpayers money. Geitner and Obama are really opening the box of Pandora .

Netherlands Bob 10:51 GMT February 5, 2009
55HRS trade

tuning the trade below to make it free and to lock some +++ pips, each trader and his style ... happy trades :)


******
Netherlands Bob 11:30 GMT February 4, 2009
55HRS trade: Reply
Buy EUR/JPY
Entry: 114.55 Target: 117.55 Stop: 113.55


happy trades

madrid 10:47 GMT February 5, 2009
---breaking news---
Reply   

There is no breaking news ..8-)

Facts more interesting than fiction

In Merrill Deal, U.S. Played Hardball

Click here!

who is your daddy ?!?!?!

LOL

have a great day and may the force be with you all !

Amman wfakhoury 10:40 GMT February 5, 2009
GBP/USD HIGH Probabilty sell call
Reply   
this call is valid before and after the data .
sell around 14640 tp 14500.
sell another around 14740 if rise exit all 14620.
stops 14800.

eu kaprikorn 10:27 GMT February 5, 2009
ECB / BOE
Reply   
definately... sharks will take theirs after the news is out.. I guess

Gen dk 10:18 GMT February 5, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sofia rocco 10:17 GMT February 5, 2009
range

BOE and ECB will announce rate decisions in few hours. It could be more lively later. :)

eu kaprikorn 10:09 GMT February 5, 2009
range
Reply   
today is very quiet - that is characteristic of days when price moves both ways without any trend prevailent

eurusd daily high might hold the daily range ..

Syd 09:47 GMT February 5, 2009
Australia Tsy Secy: A$ Could Depreciate Without Stimulus
Reply   
Australia's Treasury Secretary Ken Henry said Thursday that the Australian dollar exchange rate could depreciate further without an additional fiscal stimulus package if investor confidence is undermined by the deteriorating economic outlook.

"It may well be the case that were Australia not to undertake an expansionary fiscal policy, our dollar would depreciate even further than it already has," Henry told lawmakers in Canberra. On the flipside, any depreciation would provide support to certain sectors of the economy that benefit from a lower exchange rate, Henry said.

Syd 09:33 GMT February 5, 2009
euro
Reply   
Dealer chatter of a 'significant' option barrier being constructed around the 1.23 level - Insight: One dealer suggested that means the level 'has to be tested'

Russian Central Banker Shvetsov: Reiterates additional rate hikes are possible if currency situation remains unchanged
- Note: Russa Central bank previously stated that it would hold the Ruble ceiling of 41 in its currency basket using all means
US Dollar v Russian Ruble (RU) World Bank: Russia is in gradual transition to have currency free float

Syd 08:45 GMT February 5, 2009
$aud
Reply   
Australia's treasury secretary Ken Henry warned Thursday that aggregate demand in Australia is poised to fall "markedly" below gross domestic product without additional fiscal stimulus from the federal government.

"If aggregate demand falls markedly below the potential level of GDP then so too will the actual output in the Australian economy fall markedly below its potential, and many people will end up unemployed," Henry told lawmakers in Canberra.

Shanghai Rex 08:02 GMT February 5, 2009
daily strategy
Reply   
EUR/USD:
Sell break at 1.2800;Sell a failure at 1.2860;Sell a failure at 1.2900;Buy a bounce at 1.2700;

GBP/USD:
Buy a bounce at 1.4400;Sell break at 1.4400

Paris MT 06:04 GMT February 5, 2009
Re Aud
Reply   
London JHW 17:27 GMT February 4, 2009
AUD $: Reply
London JHW 11:41 GMT February 4, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Is this a guessing game Purk ?? up or down would suffice.

Long Aud $ @ 0.6360 Target 0.65+ s/l 6310

Sq at 6510 as day trade....

Fantastic call London JHW , seems it went unnoticed. You are obviously not part of the usual fan club here, well done.

Bilad KaL 05:46 GMT February 5, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

EurUSD
--------- Short Long
Entry 1.3180 1.2562

Profit Take 1.3116 1.2623

Stop Loss 1.3370 1.2381


GBPJPY

-------- Short Long
Entry 133.3392 122.4016

Profit Take 132.3530 123.9534

Stop Loss 136.2980 117.7464


Sandton RSA 05:16 GMT February 5, 2009
China outraged after India bans all toy imports

Mtl JP 20:49 GMT February 4, 2009
any word what the toymakers will be ordered to make instead ?

.................................................................................

With a glut of factory space, I would turn the industry around by using the space to build ocean-going YOT's for the wealthy bankers to buy with their bonuses.

Sailing off into the sunset during a 1930's style depression sounds romantic.

Hong Kong Qindex 03:50 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : It is likely that we have seen the weekly high at 1.4965. The market is now heading towards 1.4773. The neutral range is defined as 1.4827 - 1.4910.

AZUSA 4x-ed 03:02 GMT February 5, 2009
range <> breakout

That's jumping the gun Kapri... even for a respected trader like ED ;-)

Syd 02:45 GMT February 5, 2009
UK Rates to Near Zero by H1 2009
Reply   
Jeffrey Halley, senior manager of forex trading at Trading censored Capital Markets looks at the issues at play in the currency markets with CNBC's Amanda Drury and guest host Arjuna Mahendran, managing director and head of investment strategy for Asia at HSBC Private Bank.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1022047807&play=1

Syd 02:13 GMT February 5, 2009
EUR Off Lows On Short-Covering But Weakness Intact
Reply   
EUR off lows vs USD, JPY on short-covering by speculators, but weakness intact on Fitch Ratings cut to Russia currency rating yesterday, caution ahead of ECB rate decision later in global day, says senior dealer at major Tokyo bank. Tips EUR/JPY in 112.00-115.00 band for rest of global session; last 114.66 compared with earlier low of 114.35. EUR/USD penned in 1.2500-1.2900 range vs last 1.2832. USD/JPY in 88.00-90.00 range vs last 89.35.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:10 GMT February 5, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD: It is likely that we have seen the weekly cycle high at 1.4578. The market is now heading towards 1.4379. If the market resumes its downward trending movement and penetrates through 1.4210, the market will test the suppporting strength of 1.4042.

Syd 00:17 GMT February 5, 2009
Bailed-out Royal Bank of Scotland bankers set for millions in bonuses
Reply   
The troubled Royal Bank of Scotland, rescued with £20 billion of public money, is planning large bonuses for thousands of its City traders and senior bankers, The Times has learnt.

The proposed payments are expected to reach tens of millions of pounds – possibly hundreds of millions – with some star bankers in line for six-figure payouts.

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business
/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article5663873.ece

 




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