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Forex Forum Archive for 02/25/2009

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:48 GMT February 25, 2009
Falling Commodities Will Take Their Toll
Reply   
Commodity prices continue to nosedive and Australian stocks are tracking the losses, with the fate of the AUD tied to both.
LINK

Syd 23:36 GMT February 25, 2009
Huge pension for former RBS boss
Reply   
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7911532.stm

Rate-setter wants £90bn stimulus
The British economy needs a massive economic stimulus package of up to £90bn, according to Bank of England rate-setter David Blanchflower.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7911195.stm



EU Officials Concerned About Risks of Pound Drop
The pound’s “very rapid” drop “raises questions about the financial stability of the British economy,” said the document, which was prepared ahead of the Feb. 14 Group of Seven meeting in Rome and obtained by Bloomberg News. The currency’s weakness “is a source of concern for the euro area.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ablLKXPymo48&refer=worldwide

German CDS debt spreads hit record as economy crumbles
The cost of bankruptcy protection on German debt has reached an all-time high on spill-over from the financial crisis in Eastern Europe and mounting concerns about the stability of Germany's banking system.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/4800828
/German-CDS-debt-spreads-hit-record-as-economy-crumbles.html

Perth WTR 23:28 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell euro
Entry: 1.2738 Target: 1.2660>1.2530 Stop: 1.2788

followed you Qindex on this one, looks like a good risk reward trade, usd has got the upper hand for now

Syd 22:53 GMT February 25, 2009
Australian Treasury Sec Swan: Many companies in Australia under pressure
Reply   
ANZ Bank To Slash Dividends As Bad Debts Climb
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. (ANZ.AU) said Thursday it will slash future dividend payments, with higher bad debts charges likely to wipe out profit growth as economic conditions continue to soften.

Rising unemployment creates a dangerous spiral
It was another bloody day on the jobs front – with more than 5,000 job cuts announced within just hours of each other on Wednesday
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/4808009/Rising-unemployment-creates-a-dangerous-spiral.html

Perth WTR 22:50 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

thanks Qindex, you have been absolutely correct with your calls to sell euro!

Napoli DC 21:51 GMT February 25, 2009
HISTORY REPEATING

99 is a weekly fibo and a good target for the double bottom. Hope will get there

Bloomington UI 21:39 GMT February 25, 2009
HISTORY REPEATING
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 97.70 Target: 80 Stop: OPEN

I called for a top around 99 a couple of days ago and I'm sticking with it.

124-96 move retraced up to slightly above the 50% at 110.65.

Which was followed by a plummet to 87 with a double bottom.


110.65 - 87.15 move has seen a retracement up to 97.75. The 50% fib is 98.90.

I'm no genius but the facts speak for themselves. I'm short from 97.70 and will add at higher levels.

dc CB 21:38 GMT February 25, 2009
Bail
Reply   
Royal Bank of Scotland: UK govt to insure 300 bln pounds of RBS assets.

FT reports the co was preparing to inject loans and other credit assets worth more than 300 bln pounds into a government-backed insurance scheme in an effort to stabilise the bank while saving it from full nationalisation. Ministers and RBS executives were hammering out details of the plan, which will be formally announced on Thursday. Lloyds Banking is expected to unveil a similar deal when it reports results on Friday. The government is expected to insure RBS against the majority of future losses on a loan portfolio worth more than 300 bln pounds -- more than the 250 bln pounds the bank had previously been expected to inject in the scheme. In return, RBS is expected to issue billions of pounds in equity to the government and make commitments to increase lending. The shares will be non-voting but pay dividends and will count towards the bank's core Tier 1 capital ratio -- a key measure of balance sheet strength. Though the shares will not increase the government's voting stake in RBS, which could be as high as 70% following the conversion of preference shares, it will boost the state's economic claim over the bank's assets.

bluff am 21:28 GMT February 25, 2009
JPY Could Rebound From Recent Losses

So many institutions warning of pull backs in the recent yen weakness. Must be desperate for punters to take the other side.

lol.

Syd 21:22 GMT February 25, 2009
JPY Could Rebound From Recent Losses
Reply   
JPY has disconnected from its previous strong inverse correlation with equities and has done badly in recent sessions despite continued softness in equities, says one New York currency strategist. That disconnect reflects the sharp deterioration in Japanese economic data, he says. "As weak as global data has been, Japan's has been exceptionally weak," he says. That said, JPY has weakened quite substantially in the short term and there is scope to reverse some of those losses, the strategist says. USD has just reached a new intraday high at Y97.79, according to EBS.

Syd 21:15 GMT February 25, 2009
Are the JPY bears getting ahead of themselves?
Reply   
The rally in the JPY crosses reached a crescendo yesterday, most likely due to stale JPY longs capitulating as there was not new dramatic fundamental development to trigger such a move. With that in mind, we wonder if the squeeze may largely be over with for now. The recent move was an important reality check in Japan's currency due to the dire fundamentals there, but the fact remains that other metrics, including capital flows and interest rate differentials, offer the JPY support, and as long as the world remains in a risk averse state, the JPY may hang in there for now - especially against the likes of the Euro, which has little reason to rally against anything.
sexybank...

lkwd jj 21:14 GMT February 25, 2009
cable
Reply   
long from here with tight stop as hourly bottoms are here at 73.

lkwd jj 21:07 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

with double bottom mid point at 9462 will go back there before next big leg up.

lkwd jj 21:05 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

98.41 IS 150MA off daily .might be a magnet pull to touch there and fade away before it takes it out. imho the short is coming only a matter of time.

Hong Kong Qindex 21:00 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: 1.2740 Target: 1.2650 Stop: 1.2780

EUR/USD : The odds are on the lower side.

GVI Forex john 20:52 GMT February 25, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

25-Feb-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.2715

97.66

1.1732

1.4204

1.2526

High

1.2899

97.79

1.1743

1.4608

1.2612

Low

1.2690

96.36

1.1550

1.4175

1.2400

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.2760

95.30

1.1658

1.4387

1.2499

10 day

1.2748

93.70

1.1659

1.4335

1.2498

20 day

1.2831

92.04

1.1624

1.4429

1.2409

50 day

1.3262

91.03

1.1295

1.4508

1.2292

100 day

1.3122

93.65

1.1515

1.5099

1.2267

200 day

1.4119

100.28

1.1088

1.7082

1.1311

london jp 20:38 GMT February 25, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
Lahore FM

FM - thank you for your reply - I will hang on in there and aim for a small profit - doesn't really seem to want to go too far down.

Syd 20:31 GMT February 25, 2009
THE Government has warned the nation to steel itself for more large-scale job losses
Reply   
The Government has warned the nation to steel itself for more large-scale job losses.LINK

Aussie dollar plunge tipped
The fall in commodities prices that has sapped stock values and exacerbated the nation economic slowdown, may soon push the Aussie dollar to 58 US cents, according to an analyst
LINK

ECB's Nowotny: Key rate should not fall below 1%, preparations have begun for quantitative easing
- Expects Euro Zone growth to return around the end of 2009.
- Sees no need for a general EU plan for aiding Eastern Europe. Could support the region via wider repo deals.
- Expects to begin seeing results from EU stimulus plans in late 2009.

BoE's Blanchflower: Concerned over recent money supply weakness, aiming for quantitative easing to deal with concerns - Q&A - notes it is clear that the UK encountered a housing bubble
BoE's Blanchflower: Rates need to go to 0.5% and stay there, UK needs rates near zero to do quantitative easing more quickly
- UK faces the risk of a protracted recession.
- UK jobless rate may reach close to 10% by year's end.
- Credit improvement will take some time to accomplish, BoE has several loan support measures that are ready to go.
- MPC needs to consider the risk of deflation, which is clearly weighted to the downside.
- UK banks may need more support.
- Forced sales could add to downward pressure on housing prices.
- Prior mistakes have included doing too little, too late.



Hillegom Purk 20:29 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

Well you will become what you see Perrie, so watch out there matey.
Wonder what will happen to you if all the news in your mailbox is not what it seems it is.... you checked all the D & G yourself? How do you know what is there or not? Brains are a complex thing you know. Mix it with alcohol and you have ablast.

Hillegom Purk 20:25 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

Ask Perrie, he might win the champions league for D & G. Profit in the finals 1-0...

Como Perrie 20:25 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

funny movies yes, reality is just what It is - cosnider econmies in the past decade were running 300 miles per hours and the big the bigger collapsed as hitting the wall rather stupidly

better drive slowly and safe, but this wasnt the mantra as of late... excess is double sided and takes It s toll...yet to show out purk..this is just the begiining...yet with some rallies and lovely hope news yes, but just the fog for the short sighted

Mtl JP 20:23 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

Purk ... how are new opps for profit "doom and gloom"y ?

Hillegom Purk 20:21 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

G Perrie, is there anything funny in your mailbox? You have meta tags for doom and gloom in your computer?

Mtl JP 20:19 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global

bubonic plague and rat infestation all over South East Asia: good for cereals prices here = new profit opps

bluff a 20:17 GMT February 25, 2009
GBPJPY

Have a look at the weekly charts.

Yen crosses made a break out on Monday. Consolidated Tuesday. And are ready to continue today.

Como Perrie 20:17 GMT February 25, 2009
Epidemics Moving Global
Reply   
Talking to some doctors this one is unstoppable. matter of months and goes global


http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSMAN392763

Punta Cana bonbon 20:09 GMT February 25, 2009
GBPJPY

Kal ...ma boy when you give your GUESSING please tell us why you think so ..... IF YOU DO NOT KNOW WHY THEN...... PLEASE KEEP YOUR GUESSING FOR YOURSELF!!!!!!

Como Perrie 20:03 GMT February 25, 2009
Deafults
Reply   
Also in the mail Latvian national and private and private companies based in Greece, Hungary, Romania are rated as Junk status

Como Perrie 19:56 GMT February 25, 2009
Defaultsm fwiw
Reply   
Am receiving some insider mails about Hungary and Croatia about to freeze the pension system. Czech republic might default onto overindebtement and contraction Gdp

Bilad KaL 19:41 GMT February 25, 2009
GBPJPY
Reply   
GBPJPY is most likely crashing
120 is very likely
I think worth looking at

Syd 19:37 GMT February 25, 2009
euro
Reply   
EUR was turned back at a key short term pivot area today around 1.2875 as recent rumors of a the potential for the issuance of EuroZone bonds (bonds backed by all EuroZone members rather than issued by any single country's treasury) were dashed by statements from French and German officials. This and further noise in the press about the intractable problems faced by EuroZone banks in Eastern Europe seem to be keeping a lid on the Euro at the moment. The Telegraph's Evans-Pritchard was out with another Euro-bearish article late yesterday warning about the elevated level of CDS levels on German sovereign debt. EuroZone officials are out with all manner of silly comments about interest rates and the speculation surrounding whether the ECB ends up at a virtual zero interest rate policy some time down the road. Despite a constant stream of comments suggesting they are reluctant "to go there", the interest rate spreads on 2-year German government debt vs. US 2-year notes is notching new lows today just above 25 basis points, so the market is making its opinion clear on where rates are headed for the single currency.sexybk

GENEVA DS 19:31 GMT February 25, 2009
Good question
Reply   
XAU/WTI
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi FM... you got me ... I bought this ratio when Oil was 125 USD and Gold 750 ish.... around 6..... I still do run this one over.... short oil 3 full contracts each month , pays me around 6 USD for every roll... by now the Position WTI is short aroun 170 USD.... Gold I have only one full contract long around 750 USD...(which makes the ratio around 4.5 now...!!!) I think the next few years this one could go to 200:1...... do not trade this one, as long as OIL is positiv to swap eacht month... why not gold going to 2500 USD next 12 to 18 month and Petrol stays around 20 bucks... why not... and if I can swap another 18 month at 5 USD per month.... the ratio will be down at around 3... lets see ... tks mate.

Bilad KaL 19:28 GMT February 25, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

AUDUSD
More Like a sell

AUDUSD
Expiry date 10.52 Days
Tuesday, March 10, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 0.6880 0.5725




Profit Take _____ 0.6616 0.6076

Stop Loss _____ 0.7013 0.5461


Monthly 0.7342 0.4852
Weekly 0.6848 0.5623
Daily 0.6755 0.6209

Gen dk 19:08 GMT February 25, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Lahore FM 18:57 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 18:41 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Lahore FM 17:20 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
long cash dow 7202 stops at 7050.
--
order in to close half at 7355.
--
Lahore FM 18:04 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
a medium term bottom for dow imminent.now 7224.
--
closed half 7329,stops remain.

Lahore FM 18:41 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 17:20 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
long cash dow 7202 stops at 7050.
--
order in to close half at 7355.

Lahore FM 18:17 GMT February 25, 2009
WHY

thanx DS,cheers!!!

by the by where is gold oil ratio currently or even better where it was with oil at 38 and gold 1 k?

GENEVA DS 18:15 GMT February 25, 2009
WHY

DOW
Entry: Target: Stop:

TKS FM , you are not more wrong than others or myself , good to have you as contributor... have fun and hopefully you are right.... I AM YOUR SIDE !

MLT PA 18:10 GMT February 25, 2009
The Economy: Why it feels even worse
Reply   
In late October, CNN's Ali Velshi and Erica Fink looked at five key measures of the economy to see how bad it really was. Now, they look again at the CNN "Real Feel Economic Index" and find it's tougher still.

http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2009/news/0902/gallery.five_
measures_new/index.html

Lahore FM 18:09 GMT February 25, 2009
WHY

the view is based on dow component charts and currencies and commodities and dow charts weeklies,hourlies divergences and such sythesised in one overall view, and not to forget i can be wrong as has been the case many times before

GENEVA DS 18:06 GMT February 25, 2009
WHY
Reply   
DOW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore... WHY.??? do you think med term bottom in in DOW.... interested your point... just bought 4 month call option on MINI DOW ..

Lahore FM 18:04 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

a medium term bottom for dow imminent.now 7224.

Lahore FM 17:57 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/25/2009 12:49:33 FM Lahore 7
02/23/2009 13:19:11 FM Lahore 19
02/20/2009 18:30:37 FM Lahore 13
02/20/2009 13:58:29 FM Lahore 5
long eurgbp 0.8813,stops 0.8770.
--
half closed 0.8903 for 90 plus.
--
rest 1/2 stopped at 0.8770 for some profit.
--
long again 0.8771.stops 0.8720.the original long Trade of the Year still on from 0.8730 with part closed at 0.8890.
--
half of the 0.8770 long closed at 0.8887 for +117,stops remain.
--
rest clsoed at 0.8961 for 191+ in all.

Hillegom Purk 17:44 GMT February 25, 2009
usd/jpy

Out at 97.11 20 pips. will try again.

Lahore FM 17:33 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

long eurnok 8.7560 stops at 8.6800.looking for 8.83 and higher towards 8.90.

GENEVA JFO 17:32 GMT February 25, 2009
MAY i HAVE YOUR EMAIL

AMMAN WFAKHOURY 17:01 GMT

Hi there, please ask Jay for my mail

GT

Hillegom Purk 17:30 GMT February 25, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
short 97.31. this is the first. trust to add.
target: 20-50 pips. stoppy: nope.

Lahore FM 17:27 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

JP,the short usdjpy from 96.70's stopped for minus 65 at 97.40.sold afresh.

Lahore FM 17:20 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

long cash dow 7202 stops at 7050.

Amman wfakhoury 17:01 GMT February 25, 2009
MAY i HAVE YOUR EMAIL
Reply   
Geneva JFO 16:24 GMT February 25, 2009
-----
may i ask for your email.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:40 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: 1.2745 Target: 1.2650 Stop: 1.2760

The market was able to pick up some support from the center of the daily cycle projected series. I have a feeling that the market can easily go through it later today or in the Asian session.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:37 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: 1.2745 Target: 1.2650 Stop: 1.2760

EUR/USD : The center of the daily cycle around 1.2690 is a barrier but it is not a good supporting level.

Lahore FM 16:35 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

short usdjpy 97.39.stops at 90.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:28 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell DJIA
Entry: Target: Stop:

DJIA : the market is tracing from 7158 to 7200. Projected resistant barriers are located at 7227 - 7256. When the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 7085, we have to keep an eye on the 6945.

GVI Forex Jay 16:26 GMT February 25, 2009
TOOK PROFIT ON SHORT EURUSD:

JFO -- nice trade and very clear post of a trade idea

Geneva JFO 16:24 GMT February 25, 2009
TOOK PROFIT ON SHORT EURUSD:
Reply   

Entry: eurusd Target: Stop:

My post as of today at 12:10 GMT

Short eurusd at 1.2793 no tp stop 1.2830

We took profit at 1.2709 and wait till tomorrow for new trade

I have a good beer now )

ldn jp 16:19 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY
Reply   
Lahore FM 15:39 GMT February 25, 2009

FM - Are you still holding short usd/jpy? If so what is your stop on this please? I have also usd/jpy short but have been surprised with the lack of retracement & wondering how far it may go. Thank You.

Bilad KaL 15:40 GMT February 25, 2009
GBPNZD
Reply   
GBPNZD

Expiry date 11.24 Days
Wednesday, March 11, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 2.9369 2.6102




Profit Take _____ 2.8517 2.6722

Stop Loss _____ 2.9795 2.5637


Monthly 2.9928 2.4095
Weekly 3.0044 2.6474
Daily 2.8979 2.7443

Lahore FM 15:39 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/23/2009 15:19:25 FM Lahore 19
02/20/2009 08:22:36 FM Lahore 21
long order gbpchf in at 1.6700.
--
half out at 1.6916,stops to 1.6590 on the rest.
--
stopped on half for som,e gain.long afresh 1.6626,stops 1.6480.

GVI Forex john 15:39 GMT February 25, 2009
test
Reply   
test

Como Perrie 15:37 GMT February 25, 2009
EU
Reply   
As from earlier comments for EU officials It is interesting to note that Greece is already a lost cause in progress of defaulting. Plus there's the whole line of East Euro not mentioned here at huge risk except 2 minor nations that entered fully the Euro.

"The European Commission on Wednesday warned euro nations Italy, Portugal and Luxembourg to watch public spending and told Lithuania to curb public sector wages as governments pile on debt to survive the recession."

Bilad KaL 15:22 GMT February 25, 2009
USDJPY
Reply   
A) Previous Month Close 89.67925
B) Previous Week Close 93.0286
C) Previous Day Close 96.628
Risk (0.5 to 3) 2



Expiry date 9.72 Days
Monday, March 09, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 95.8749 86.8987




Profit Take _____ 93.9190 89.3563

Stop Loss _____ 96.8529 85.0555


Monthly 95.9953 76.1606
Weekly 96.5659 86.8716
Daily 98.7328 94.0960

Como Perrie 15:21 GMT February 25, 2009
eu
Reply   
yeap the Gulasch Crisis is denting eurozone more than market are expressing. so far 1.27 still holds somehow, but there are problems with the multi trillions market of default swaps, as this morning again official sources in Spain are very concerned with some their banks as Santander, which held not only Madoff funds but several of sort

Lahore FM 15:21 GMT February 25, 2009
eur/usd

TH,long is the take on eurusd and stops as mentioned!

singapore rs 15:15 GMT February 25, 2009
euro
Reply   
byebye euro...

NYC TH 15:13 GMT February 25, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
Lahore FM,

Your take on eur/usd please. You seem to long it every time it is falling hard.

Perth WTR 15:12 GMT February 25, 2009
buy usd
Reply   
buy usd is the way to go, usd index is showing continuation pattern and usd will head much higher soon

GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT February 25, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Existing Homes Sales

Gen dk 15:08 GMT February 25, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK Kevin 15:07 GMT February 25, 2009
usd/jpy

Amsterdam Purk 14:50 GMT, YEN crosses selling start again. For USD/JPY, it seem downside has the upper hands. At least for today.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:02 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Speculative selling pressure will increase when DJIA is trading below 7200 again.

Gen dk 14:54 GMT February 25, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bilad KaL 14:51 GMT February 25, 2009
GBP

CABLE
Sounds reasonable for Cable Lovers?
Let me know Please..TIA

Expiry date 4.94 Days
Monday, March 02, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 1.4751 1.3775




Profit Take _____ 1.4537 1.4027

Stop Loss _____ 1.4857 1.3586


Monthly 1.5171 1.1647
Weekly 1.4996 1.3091
Daily 1.4810 1.4058

Amsterdam Purk 14:50 GMT February 25, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
Good day. Range only 100, so expect range expansion. Do not have a clue which way...

GVI Forex Jay 14:46 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

LJ BK, Click on reply and post your forecast.

Suggest clicking on the subject link:

EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

to see the full thread and instructions.

Bilad KaL 14:46 GMT February 25, 2009
GBP

DJI


Expiry date 6.91 Days
Wednesday, March 04, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 8182.7927 6684.1774




Profit Take _____ 7855.2111 7115.0177

Stop Loss _____ 8346.5836 6361.0471


Monthly 9,282.6981 5,451.8695
Weekly 8,496.6940 6,475.8551
Daily 7,561.1503 6,622.1651

LJ BK 14:42 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

GVI Forex Jay 12:53 GMT February 25, 2009

Where can one post his forecast?

Maribor 14:37 GMT February 25, 2009
EURUSD
Reply   
Targets to reach: 1,2838 and 1,2518, among others...

Jerusalem ML 14:36 GMT February 25, 2009
1.40 target by friday
Reply   
GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

Collision on the pound..
its a BIG sell...

Target 1.40 for 1.35 by march

GT

Maribor 14:33 GMT February 25, 2009
GBP

It must reach 2,1 on GBPAUD...

Bilad KaL 14:30 GMT February 25, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

EURGBP

FM will be happy with this output

Expiry date 5.23 Days
Tuesday, March 03, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________ Short ____ Long
Entry _________ 0.9232 0.8739




Profit Take _____ 0.9060 0.8801

Stop Loss _____ 0.9319 0.8692


Monthly 1.0442 0.8685
Weekly 0.9359 0.8494
Daily 0.9056 0.8717

GVI Forex Jay 14:23 GMT February 25, 2009
GBP

From GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 14:19 GMT February 25, 2009
rmr: Reply

I guess this is not out yet (bank bailout plan). Ive heard they are scrambling to pull it together. It has to be done today before U.K. bank earnings start to come out tomorrow. Major losses are expected.

Contact me EMAIL if you want GVI Forex access

Napoli DC 14:14 GMT February 25, 2009
GBP
Reply   
any reason for the move in gbp?

GENEVA JFO 14:14 GMT February 25, 2009
GENEVA JFO

Hi Geneva DS

Take a look at TRIBUNE FEBRUARY 25 10h59
One "Big Finger" mistake in a convertible bond deal.

Bilad KaL 14:11 GMT February 25, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

GBPJPY shorts
going with

da Profit Take is a range were one should Profit take

GL


Expiry date 10.42 Days
Tuesday, March 10, 2009 Risk ______ 0.1%
___________ Short _____ Long
Entry _________ 141.9736 107.9403




Profit Take _____ 134.4789 120.9124

Stop Loss _____ 145.7210 98.2113


Monthly 147.5415 70.4470
Weekly 143.4088 107.2667
Daily 146.1836 131.0889

Bilad KaL 13:59 GMT February 25, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

Test

Thursday, March 05, 2009 Risk ______ 2.2%
______________________ Short Long
Entry _________ 1.3325 1.2338




Profit Take _____ 1.3010 1.2545

Stop Loss _____ 1.3483 1.2182


Monthly 1.4652 1.1342
Weekly 1.3430 1.1884
Daily 1.3125 1.2564

GENEVA DS 13:44 GMT February 25, 2009
GENEVA JFO
Reply   
UBS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi JFO.... what news on UBS in Tokyo were you talking ? tks.

GVI Forex Jay 13:33 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

Thanks for posting - note the poll will be open for about 1 hour, from 1200-1300 GMT (7-8 AM NY time)

tallinn viies 13:33 GMT February 25, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd option implied volatility indicates something like 250 tick range for today. so far only 150 pips. 100 more to come?

Lahore FM 13:32 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/24/2009 14:17:35 FM Lahore 10
additonal long audusd 0.6436,stops 0.6350.
--
hjalf out at 0.6507,stops to 0.6380 on rest.

houston st 13:27 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2740 to 1.2860

Hong Kong Qindex 13:25 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

EUR/USD : The expected trading range from my system now is 1.2630 - 1.2991 and the market is vibrating around 1.2810 with an expected magnitude of 1.2720 - 1.2901 for the time being.

Amsterdam Purk 13:21 GMT February 25, 2009
USDJPY

Mikey you Russki! Wtf did you go? you mean the size of my mailbox or my address?

Good to have you back. Cheers!

GVI Forex john 13:21 GMT February 25, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NY data Zone…13:30 GMT to 16:00 GMT

2/25/2009					
15:00	US	Fed	Bernanke	Cons: n/a	Last: n/a
15:00	US	Jan	Exist Home Sls  Cons: 4.80	Last: 4.44m
15:30	US	DOE	Crude Oil mn	Cons: +800K	Last: -200K
15:30	US	DOE	Gasoline mn	Cons: unch	Last: +1.1
15:30	US	DOE	Distil mn	Cons: -1.2	Last: -800K
COMMENTS...

Bernanke- Well received Tuesday. House is a zoo.
Existing Home Sales- Most important Housing number; slight improvement?
Weekly Energy Inventories- Watch Oil and Gasoline; distillates seasonal liquidation

madrid 13:20 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2900-----1.2741

GVI Forex john 13:18 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close


Thanks for all who participated in the survey. This was the best day yet!

As for the results, the modal value of the mid-points was about neutral vis-a-vis spot. I notice also that the expected ranges appear to be widening again. Are traders setting up for a break out? If so which way do we go?

Lahore FM 13:16 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2757 1.3060.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:11 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Analysis

My system can easily divide the most likely trading range into several sessions. The lower range is 1.2637 - 1.2748 and the upper range is 1.2860 - 1.2972. The buffer zone is 1.2748 - 1.2860. When the downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 1.2600, we have to keep an eye on 1.2513. On the other hand when the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the projected resistant point at 1.2997, we have to watch the market reaction when it is approaching 1.3108.

GVI Forex john 13:00 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

€/$ Survey Results...

	
Low	high	middle	spread		Low	high
1.2630	1.2820	1.2725	0.0190		1.2485	1.2790
1.2750	1.2930	1.2840	0.0180		1.2530	1.2793
1.2725	1.2845	1.2785	0.0120		1.2595	1.2820
1.2740	1.2860	1.2800	0.0120		1.2630	1.2830
1.2485	1.2830	1.2658	0.0345		1.2637	1.2830
1.2637	1.2860	1.2749	0.0223		1.2660	1.2845
1.2660	1.2880	1.2770	0.0220		1.2661	1.2850
1.2680	1.2830	1.2755	0.0150		1.2670	1.2860
 CURRENT SPOT=>> 1.2790
1.2670	1.3115	1.2893	0.0445		1.2670	1.2860
1.2670	1.2850	1.2760	0.0180		1.2680	1.2880
1.2661	1.2930	1.2796	0.0269		1.2710	1.2930
1.2710	1.2960	1.2835	0.0250		1.2725	1.2930
1.2530	1.2790	1.2660	0.0260		1.2740	1.2960
1.2595	1.2793	1.2694	0.0198		1.2750	1.3115
1.2653	1.2878	1.2766	0.0225	<< Averages		

GVI Forex Jay 12:59 GMT February 25, 2009
USDJPY

Mike,m we deleted that comment.

moscow mike 12:56 GMT February 25, 2009
USDJPY
Reply   
LA jl 12:47 GMT February 25, 2009
RE: Reply
uncouth = russians
=================

There is no reason for the above statement

====================

Purk - your email box is still the same?

USDJPY forming an interesting structure atm and looks probably bearish below 97.xxx. However there is a risk to hit mASSes above this level since sentiment is still bearish and usdyen is still uptrendish.

GL GT

Chicago SC 12:54 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2750-1.2930

GVI Forex Jay 12:53 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

Last call for your forecasts - please participate, it is what makes a community.

Lahore FM 12:49 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/23/2009 13:19:11 FM Lahore 19
02/20/2009 18:30:37 FM Lahore 13
02/20/2009 13:58:29 FM Lahore 5
long eurgbp 0.8813,stops 0.8770.
--
half closed 0.8903 for 90 plus.
--
rest 1/2 stopped at 0.8770 for some profit.
--
long again 0.8771.stops 0.8720.the original long Trade of the Year still on from 0.8730 with part closed at 0.8890.
--
half of the 0.8770 long closed at 0.8887 for +117,stops remain.

Amsterdam Purk 12:46 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

Well thanks TOM. what a nice word that is, i will use that in furture.
Welcome btw, it is what it is, and the guy who uses the handle of Sandthorn is now looking for his Parrot.

In the meantime, on forex business: looking at usd/jpy again and still, but also interested in e/u and aud/usd. I am beware of late cloggy evening moves, so patience. I will go to the gym early...

iom stan 12:46 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

Amsterdam Purk 12:28 GMT February 25, 2009
RE: Reply
wat means uncouth?

No wat does NOT mean UNCOUTH, !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! UNCOUTH is a word not found in the OXFORD dictionary, more of a dialect word spoken in the middle of England Staffordshire for instance, UNCOUTH YOUTH . meaning a young person of dubious heritage and manners. Having cleared that up you may now all return to selling cable please.

GVI Forex Jay 12:45 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

TomG - please check your email

NYC TomG 12:41 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

I am a rageing lunitic, forgive me Purk and Sandton.

I just getz these New Jerk urges on occasions.

BTW Purk uncouth means rude.

GVI Forex john 12:40 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2680-1.2830

range day.

Amsterdam Purk 12:36 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

NYC TOM: but what means uncouth?

The person you referring to is a very kind person as well, only sometimes he is bored, and well you know boredom leads to things....

Tonbridge AL 12:35 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2595 - 1.2793

Sandton RSA 12:35 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

No worries NYC TomG, these things happen in the best of families.

Spotforex NY 12:34 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2530 to 1.2790 NY range (1.2730 as pivot)

GVI Forex john 12:33 GMT February 25, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

24-Feb-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.2853

96.87

1.1604

1.4490

1.2416

High

1.2877

96.94

1.1712

1.4578

1.2536

Low

1.2663

94.26

1.1534

1.4376

1.2396

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.2728

94.52

1.1664

1.4393

1.2510

10 day

1.2767

92.99

1.1644

1.4352

1.2487

20 day

1.2852

91.67

1.1614

1.4429

1.2390

50 day

1.3295

90.83

1.1275

1.4533

1.2281

100 day

1.3131

93.67

1.1510

1.5130

1.2254

200 day

1.4134

100.31

1.1081

1.7109

1.1297

Hong Kong Qindex 12:32 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : It is likelt that we have seen the daily high already. Th bias is on the downside in th eNew York session.

======================================

Hong Kong Qindex 03:48 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System: Reply
EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Analysis


Remarks : The daily cycle cycle analysis suggests that the market should trade between center of the projected series and the daily cycle upper barrier at 1.2944* // 1.2985 before the New York session.


Daily Cycle Projected Series : ... 1.2191 - 1.2274* - 1.2358 - 1.2400 // 1.2442* - 1.2484 - 1.2525 - 1.2567 - 1.2609* - 1.2651 - [1.2693] - 1.2735 - 1.2776* - 1.2818 - 1.2860 - 1.2902 - 1.2944* // 1.2985 - 1.3027 - 1.3111* - 1.3195 ...

Daily Cycle Congested Area : 1.1832 - 1.2119 - 1.2406 - (1.2693 - 1.2980) - 1.3266 - 1.3553

Neutral Range : 1.2737 - 1.2942 (Buy at low and sell at high is the preferred trading strategy when the market is trading within the the neutral range. A stop and reverse order can also be considered).

Upside Targeting Points : 1.2900 - 1.2939

Downside Targeting Points : 1.2508 - 1.2544

NYC TomG 12:32 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

I apologise to MR Sandton RSA, Mr Jay contacted me and told me that the post below was not written by Sandton RSA, but by a well known character from the"other side".

Sandton RSA 08:19 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY: Reply
Your only 2 fans from the "Red Lantern" Amsterdam supermarket say hello and would like to remind you that you havent paid your last bill and no more future credit...Due to the credit crisis from now on its "no pay..no lay"...

Once again my sincere apologies, Sir.

Lahore FM 12:29 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

02/23/2009 02:59:54 FM Lahore 21
02/20/2009 18:34:26 FM Lahore 8
sold gold 999.90.stops at 1030.
--
half out 989.90 for 10 dolls.stops lowered to 1010 in deference to my friend BC!
--
rest closed at 957 for 42.90 dolls in all.

London C 12:28 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2725-1.2845

Amsterdam Purk 12:28 GMT February 25, 2009
RE

wat means uncouth?

Lahore FM 12:27 GMT February 25, 2009
Trade Ideas

3rd loong eurusd entered 1.2786,stops at 1.2680.

NYC TomG 12:25 GMT February 25, 2009
RE
Reply   
Sandton - RSA

I have just read through some of your comments from the archive. Conclusion , you are a uncouth individual that offers no value to this forum. You are a pest and i can only see good people leaving as a result of you. Dont reply no interest to communicate.

isr gush 12:23 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

EUR/USD: 12710-12960

Como Perrie 12:22 GMT February 25, 2009
The Gulasch Crisis Getting Hot Paprika
Reply   
The second policy error is directly related to the first. The new EU members treated eurozone membership as a voluntary policy choice. This is a misinterpretation of their own accession treaties. When they signed up to EU membership, they signed up to the euro as well. Only the UK and Denmark have a legal opt-out. Of course, as newly industrialised economies, they were not under an obligation to join immediately, but they were under an obligation to conduct policies consistent with eventual membership. If they had pursued such policies, they would almost all be members by now. Slovenia and Slovakia have demonstrated that, given the right policies, it was possible to enter the eurozone early on. Both these countries are now safe. For the others, the decision to procrastinate turned out to be a financial stability disaster. If confronted with a crisis such as this, you do not want to be a small open economy, on the fringes of the eurozone, with an irrelevant currency and lots of Swiss franc mortgages.


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a68c102e-0149-11de-8f6e-000077b07658.html

Hong Kong Qindex 12:16 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

EUR/USD : New York Session = 1.2637 - 1.2860

GENEVA JFO 12:10 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

NY range 1.2485 ======= 1.2830

GENEVA JFO 12:07 GMT February 25, 2009
sell signal in place
Reply   
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.2783 Target: no Stop: 1.2830

eurusd should be sold under 1.2830

Hong Kong Qindex 12:07 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD
: Heading Towards 1.4008


The monthly cycle projected series indicates that the market is under pressure when it is below 1.4749. It is now heading towards the lower barrier at 1.3885 // 1.4008*.

Livingston nh 12:05 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

Hi=1.2820 Lo=1.2630 // still stuck in range w/21dma resisting upside breakout

Hong Kong Qindex 12:04 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The daily cycle frequency chart indicates that the resistant range is 1.2902 - 1.2985. The distribution profile of the daily cycle probability chart suggests that the market can easily move down from 1.2818 to 1.2650. A daily cycle projected barrier is located at 1.2734 - 1.2748.

It is good for day traders to have a general idea of the big picture. We notice that EUR/USD is trading within two significant numbers, namely 1.2661 - 1.2992. This is in agreement with 22 - 44 day cycle which indicates that the market is expected to trade within 1.2656 - 1.2942.

Quito Valdez 12:03 GMT February 25, 2009
Iran nuc reactor vs Israel
Reply   
Regarding Perrie's comment below, it was about a year ago I recall a message from Tel Aviv saying it would destroy the Russian built Iranian reactor when or before it went online. If it does come thru with it's promise then that event, at least some claim, could trigger an all out world war with NATO countries taking Israel's side - Russian allies taking Iran's side. I disagree since a world war would likely complete a total financial meltdown of Russia and Russia knows this, leaving NATO alliance the survivor by default. It is skeptical actually that Iran would use, as feared, the reactor's byproducts as threats. It is feared but fear is not reality. Besides if Iran lobbed a nuc it would be converted to craters via retalitory strikes, and Iran would have to know this. I therefore don't consider Iran's reactor a forex issue.

NYC JM 12:03 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2740-1.2860

EUR/USD should consolidate within this week’s 1.2663-1.2991 range. My guess is it will trade within 1.27-1.29 as the yen and stocks remain the focus

Bru Yein 12:03 GMT February 25, 2009
trade idea
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 1.4373 Target: 1.4550 Stop: 1.4332

Will be looking a bounce from here.....

ottawa mjw 12:01 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2661 low/ 1.2930 high , needs to hold 2661 area than much higher ,imo

Perth WTR 12:01 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2880-1.2660 for me, thank you

Bru Yein 12:00 GMT February 25, 2009
trade idea
Reply   
Bru Yein 22:41 GMT February 24, 2009
trade idea: Reply
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.2858 Target: TBD Stop: 1.2893

Will be selling with tight stop. targeting the 1.2760 area 1st
--------------------------------------------------------------
Ouch.. stop beaten by 7 pips well need to learn better in setting stop again.. Back to drawing board now : )

GENEVA DS 11:59 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

12670-13115 reversal in stox and carry expected today

Blore RKG 11:58 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.2670 - 1.2850

Bru Yein 11:58 GMT February 25, 2009
USDCAD Hard Today

Lagos what do you mean a free bonus acc without deposit?
The only acc that I know offered by most broker are demo/practice, live and managed acc?

GVI Forex Jay 11:57 GMT February 25, 2009
EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close
Reply   

Entry: EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close Target: Stop:

This is a live poll. Please continue to participate. This is a good chance for those (many) who just watch to post on our forums. The more who participate, the better the poll.

Post your forecast for the EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close and a line for your rationale.

Click on reply to post your forecast and keep it in the same thread


London RH 11:55 GMT February 25, 2009
sell euro

Perth, nice trade, clear call.

Perth WTR 11:53 GMT February 25, 2009
sell euro

stop to BE, closed half 1.2783

Perth WTR 09:51 GMT February 25, 2009
sell euro: Reply
Sell euro
Entry: 1.2835 Target: 1.2720 Stop: 1.2878

euro is a sell

Hong Kong Qindex 11:50 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Daily Cycle Analysis : (1.2651 - 1.2734 - 1.2818) // 1.2902 - 1.2985

GVI Forex john 11:50 GMT February 25, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Earlier small revision...
U.K. GDP

GENEVA JFO 11:38 GMT February 25, 2009
TURN

GENEVA DS Hihi there

Have you read about UBS big mistake in Tokyo ?

Maribor 11:29 GMT February 25, 2009
EURNZD

Kal, your charts would be more readable, if they would have more hight.

GENEVA DS 11:29 GMT February 25, 2009
TURN
Reply   
EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Have covered all positions in chf long possies... think the mess here with the Swiss Banking law and other... will be not so good in the short run. Have turned my opinion in EURCHF medium term... we have done well last 12 month with long swissy... but now it might really turn down (swissy)... looking into longing AUDCHF and NZDCHF and on dips GBP CHF... best trades to all.

lagos LG 11:26 GMT February 25, 2009
USDCAD Hard Today

Buy gbp
Entry: 1.4460 Target: 1.4516 Stop: 1.4430

pls i want to know if thier any broker presently giving out free bonus account without deposit.if thier is pls let me know

Bilad KaL 10:39 GMT February 25, 2009
EURNZD
Reply   


This Pair Might get Nasty from US Open

Bilad KaL 10:32 GMT February 25, 2009
USDCAD Hard Today
Reply   


This chart is trying to get it

it's a buy I think around here

Bilad KaL 10:21 GMT February 25, 2009
CAble
Reply   
Long Cable around 1.4500
Target 1.4712

Como Perrie 10:20 GMT February 25, 2009
Toxic Banks
Reply   
Some banks have been accused of hoarding government cash they received in last year's wave of state recapitalizations because they are trying to build up reserves against huge potential losses from complex securities and derivatives.

GENEVA JFO 10:19 GMT February 25, 2009
took profit on eurusd long
Reply   
eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

Good morning All

My tost as of feb 23 at 15:41 gmt
Bought eurusd at 1.2739 TP 1.2910 No stop

I took profit at 1.2831 and wait for some new idea.

Good day All

Como Perrie 10:08 GMT February 25, 2009
The Gulasch Crisis
Reply   
Earlier the morn again Spain defaluting top banks urging intevention, but the Bank of Spain in the last years has been left near without ammos.

----

Iran Nuke Reactor Tests Started

----

The Default Swaps Nighmare, Much of It yet waiting eurozone politicians to have a common view so to set a continental regulator, which has been proposed but far from accepted.

Regulators on both sides of the Atlantic say the global $27 trillion credit derivatives sector - most of which is in the form of these swaps - is too opaque and unregulated, making it hard to quickly assess the extent of risk when things go wrong.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/02/19/business/credit.php

-------

Greece defaulting within 12 months probabilities are now at around 11 pct.

-------

Eurozone enlargemnt is taking a decade at least pause as overindebtment eroded ammos.

----

All above is no forecasts, just fundamentally things are getting worse and worse and Central Banks are also set at risk if such poltitics of covering losses and bad inflated balances of the past years does not change.

I'll see as the time goes by... no trading today till US late

Perth WTR 09:51 GMT February 25, 2009
sell euro
Reply   
Sell euro
Entry: 1.2835 Target: 1.2720 Stop: 1.2878

euro is a sell

eu kaprikorn 09:46 GMT February 25, 2009
gbpusd
Reply   
the other way around looks like this..
50 day MA caps GBPUSD move above 1.4531

Gen dk 09:44 GMT February 25, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

eu kaprikorn 09:40 GMT February 25, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
first clear close above 20/21 day MA -- but let's see

gbpusd daily chart is also looking in a bottoming pattern looking to test previous highs around 1.4786 // then 1.4874...

Amsterdam Purk 09:30 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

Mr. Sandthorn, you are one of the 2 that read my posts.

Perth Alan 09:30 GMT February 25, 2009
CME

yep 9-30 with a 15 min pre-open

Napoli DC 09:16 GMT February 25, 2009
CME

my broker tells 9.30 gmt

Perth Alan 09:13 GMT February 25, 2009
CME

the message from my broker is that a restart time has not been established yet

London Misha 09:10 GMT February 25, 2009
CME
Reply   
HIHI All - anyone have a time for when the IMM will start again?

Syd 08:43 GMT February 25, 2009
EuroCoin Feb Indicator -0.63% Vs -0.21% In Jan
Reply   
The euro-zone economic contraction deepened significantly in February, data from the Centre for Economic Policy Research and the Bank of Italy showed Wednesday.

The CEPR said its EuroCoin indicator fell to -0.63% in February from -0.21% in January, indicating that the euro-zone economy shrank at a much more rapid pace.

A separate survey of purchasing managers released Friday also indicated the economy contracted at a more rapid pace in February, while surveys of business confidence for the month indicate there is no recovery in sight.

Official statistics showed euro-zone gross domestic product fell 1.5% in the fourth quarter of last year, having contracted 0.2% in both the third and second quarters.

Since the EuroCoin is partly compiled by one of the euro zone's leading central banks, its further decline in February increases the likelihood that the European Central bank will cut its key interest rate to 1.5% from 2% in March.

Syd 08:41 GMT February 25, 2009
.
Reply   
Ireland's Deputy PM Coughlan: Country's reputation has been 'damaged'; current situation very difficult for Ireland - Irish media
- Calls upon need to secure public finances
- It is too late to reopen pension levy
- Says Irish tax base is 'very, very low'

Moody's cuts the outlook for Greece's sovereign A1 rating to Stable from Positive
- The change in outlook reflects Moody''s opinion that the Greek government''s ratings are well positioned at A1 and that an upgrade to the Aa rating range is unlikely in the next 12-18 months
- Moody''s expects public debt metrics to deteriorate in Greece over the next few years, with debt/GDP rising again towards 100%.
- While the debt level is very high, the pace of deterioration of debt ratios is not outsized relative to other EU governments

German Dec Real Construction Orders NSA Y/Y: -11.8%

Sandton RSA 08:19 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

Your only 2 fans from the "Red Lantern" Amsterdam supermarket say hello and would like to remind you that you havent paid your last bill and no more future credit...Due to the credit crisis from now on its "no pay..no lay"...

Hillegom Purk 07:30 GMT February 25, 2009
USD/JPY

Good day. For the 2 who follow my posts... usd/jpy gave many chances last night to go in and out many times. I fell alseep around cloggy close, so i am sorry that i did not post anymore about the subject, sleepy peepy very important to the Clog. The entry points all where more or less hit. I trust that tonight i can finish the trade i take. I am not sure if this is in usd/jpy, because if it goes down, than it will be fast and 250 like. Me only short or long in stre(ssed)ched situations.

St. Pete islander 06:08 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dr. Q, your thoughts on GBP would be welcome. tia

Perth WTR 05:42 GMT February 25, 2009
euro
Reply   
i think euro should visit 1.27 again later fwiw

Los Angeles CA 04:39 GMT February 25, 2009
Forex Managed Accounts
Reply   
Sell $
Entry: Target: Stop:

Now a days we can easily see that The Japanese Yen (JPY) broke above 95 on the USD/JPY and dragged all the crosses higher. With stocks rallying the pair extended gains to fall just short of 97. GBP/JPY reclaimed 140 and EUR/JPY nearly breached 125. AUD/JPY also responded to the increase in risk appetite breaking to the topside. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 94.28 and a high of 96.92 before closing the day around 96.70 in the New York session. Looking ahead, January Trade Balance forecast at -1.1Tn vs. -320Bn previously.

http://www.censored.censored/

Hong Kong Qindex 03:48 GMT February 25, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Analysis


Remarks : The daily cycle cycle analysis suggests that the market should trade between center of the projected series and the daily cycle upper barrier at 1.2944* // 1.2985 before the New York session.


Daily Cycle Projected Series :  ... 1.2191 - 1.2274* - 1.2358 - 1.2400 // 1.2442* - 1.2484 - 1.2525 - 1.2567 - 1.2609* - 1.2651 - [1.2693] - 1.2735 - 1.2776* - 1.2818 - 1.2860 - 1.2902 - 1.2944* // 1.2985 - 1.3027 - 1.3111* - 1.3195 ...

Daily Cycle Congested Area : 1.1832 - 1.2119 - 1.2406 - (1.2693 - 1.2980) - 1.3266 - 1.3553

Neutral Range : 1.2737 - 1.2942 (Buy at low and sell at high is the preferred trading strategy when the market is trading within the the neutral range. A stop and reverse order can also be considered).

Upside Targeting Points : 1.2900 - 1.2939

Downside Targeting Points : 1.2508 - 1.2544

Syd 02:46 GMT February 25, 2009
..
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(UK) Lloyds and RBS are in talks with the government regarding the share of risk that will be taken by taxpayers under the financial rescue plan - London Times
- The government wants to have an agreement with RBS by tomorrow before the company reports its financial results.
- Government wants to come to an agreement with Lloyds by the end of the week.
- The report adds that if other banks participate in the Asset Protection Scheme, the total could rise to £700B.
- The article reiterates that Lloyds and RBS will insure about £500B in assets under the protection scheme.

Japan's trade deficit widened to its biggest level on record in January, as a global economic downturn sapped overseas demand for Japanese goods and caused exports to plunge 45.7%, the fastest decline ever.

The data indicate that Japan's economy, which in past recessions relied on exports to recover, won't be supported by overseas demand and, if anything, will continue to suffer from the collapse in that demand. Analysts say there are few signs exports will pick up any time soon.
A Ministry of Finance official briefing reporters on the data said that the trade balance figure tends to be small when Chinese firms go on break for the Lunar New Year - this year it was in late-January - "but in this year's case, that is not enough to explain the huge drop in exports."

"The global economic downturn is clearly having an impact," the official said.

Syd 01:42 GMT February 25, 2009
RBS Plans to Sell $400 Billion of Assets
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link

Syd 01:14 GMT February 25, 2009
According to BNP currency chief Hans Redeker, the entire Landesbanken system is rotten,
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Telegraph looks at the rise in Germany's credit default swaps
- Notes that the cost of bankruptcy protection on German debt hit an all-time high due to the spill-over from the financial crisis in Eastern Europe and mounting concerns about the stability of Germany's banking system.
- Credit default swaps measuring risk on 5-yr sovereign debt hit 90 bps on Tuesday and looks to rise above French debt for the first time.
- Telegraph notes that Germany has 11 state-owned Landesbanken and most are in trouble.
- According to BNP currency chief Hans Redeker, the entire Landesbanken system is rotten, says German CDS spreads are going massively higher and the markets have started to price in a de facto bail-out of Eastern Europe and they think that Germany will have to pay the bill.

Aussie Data Won't Sway RBA Much Next Wk -JPMorgan
Slightly-better-than-expected Australian data largely backward looking, won't do much to sway RBA, which remains "preoccupied with global events" not domestic conditions, JPMorgan chief economist Stephen Walters says. Still expects RBA will cut 50 bps at meeting next week but has slightly less conviction on that call given slightly positive nature of domestic indicators. "Wage growth turns around like a tanker - very slowly - and we know that the leading indicators of employment are in freefall."

Syd 01:08 GMT February 25, 2009
RBA Remains On Track To Cut Another Notch -ANZ Bk
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Australian wage pressures in 3Q of little surprise given that there are lags between wages growth and slowing demand, says Riki Polygenis, economist at ANZ Bank. Given that it's backward-looking data, RBA will not be looking too closely at it. ANZ Bank still expects 25bp rate cut at policy meeting next week. RBA has signaled that need for big slashing cuts has waned, but a look at global economic outlook shows that it's too soon to call an end to easing cycle in Australia. Australia wages excluding bonuses +1.2% on-quarter in 4Q08, +4.3% on-year.

Syd 00:54 GMT February 25, 2009
A Crisis Is Separating Eastern Europe’s Strong From Its Weak
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A Crisis Is Separating Eastern Europe’s Strong From Its Weak

As It Falters, Eastern Europe Raises Risks
PARIS — Since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the countries of Eastern Europe have emerged as critical allies of the United States in the region, embracing American-style capitalism and borrowing heavily from Western European banks to finance their rise. LILNK

Syd 00:24 GMT February 25, 2009
$aud
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Australian Skilled Vacancies Index -11.0% In Feb Vs Jan
An index of job vacancies for skilled workers in Australia fell by 11.0% in February from January, and was 52.4% lower from a year earlier, the Department of Employment said Wednesday.

The index currently stands at 46.4.

In February, decreases were recorded in 17 of the 18 occupational groups measured by the index, with the strongest falls in the areas of printing trades, down by 29.4%; metal trades, down by 27.3%; and wood trades, down by 17.9%.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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