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Forex Forum Archive for 03/21/2009

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Cambridge JOE 21:13 GMT March 21, 2009
KaL's Auto Trades

Hi KaL glad to see your advice for stocks for the next week.

Please would you be kind enough to post your forex advice for the next week also please.

I have followed them and have been pleasantly suprised.

I have had some difficulty with timing however, if you would be kind enough to time frame the advice, that would be of great assistance also.

TIA. GL.GT

eu trendroom 17:53 GMT March 21, 2009
seasonals
Reply   
hi guys ..seasonals work great lately for some commodities.... do you think stocks may get some boost in april based on seasonals patterns?
i don't see much stress into the system...fed indicators point to improving conditions.
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/

Saint-Felicien pv 17:24 GMT March 21, 2009
Strategy question
Reply   


Hi,

I am thinking of a strategy based on some technical analysis. It is quite simple and that's why I am sure that many traders have already thought about it. But I don't see many posts on the subject.

If you refer to the picture, there are three currency pairs. They all have a common currency between each other. In the first pair, if the price is increasing, that means that the demand for AUD is higher than the demand for CHF. At the same time, if CHF/JPY is increasing, the demand for CHF is greater. So consequently (I am not so sure about that), I would believe that at the same time the demand for AUD is greater than the demand for JPY.

So if we apply an indicator like Stochastic for price movement confirmation to AUD/JPY, the probability that the price follows the signal will be very high if the two other pairs are showing the same signal at the same time. This is what I tried to show in the picture. Whan I look at charts, I am surprised how often the rule can be verified. I am tempted to say that it has a higher probability with higher timeframes because of less whipsaws. The right indicator would have to be chosen with appropriate settings.

Please any comment will be highly appreciated.

Thanks.
Paul

makassar alimin 17:02 GMT March 21, 2009
NO DEFLATION IN SWITZERLAND



Buy chf
Entry: Target: Stop:

Guys, before considering selling chf, please have a look at this chfjpy chart, double bottom in the making on daily (?), testing neckline now.

If we do have double bottom, can see chf rally minimum projection of 10 big figs! Of course this depends on jpy performance also, it is nice to note chf's strength! And please don't count and bet on SNB's action, they will be severely tested!

I would lean on long chf side for now, playing the hidden potential, until proven wrong.

Stockholm za 14:35 GMT March 21, 2009
What is the most useless technical indicator that is used in Forex trading today?


Madrid – The HOPE indicator is classified as a physiological and not a technical indicator.
And yes, it is one of the most useless in the physiological class, in FX.
Hope is a belief in a positive outcome related to events and circumstances in one's portfolio. Hope is the feeling that what is wanted can be had or that events will turn out for the best. To hope is to wish for something with the expectation of the wish being fulfilled -wik

geneva ds 13:37 GMT March 21, 2009
NO DEFLATION IN SWITZERLAND

caba
Entry: Target: Stop:

line in the sand is clrearly 1.5250 ish, so stop on my longs are 1.5180,,,,

Philadelphia Caba 12:03 GMT March 21, 2009
NO DEFLATION IN SWITZERLAND

DS, where can be 'line in sand' for SNB to intervene again in term of eur/chf now ...or in other words, what's your s/l for long play? tia!

GVI Forex Jay 11:43 GMT March 21, 2009
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Reply   
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GENEVA DS 10:19 GMT March 21, 2009
NO DEFLATION IN SWITZERLAND
Reply   
SNB
Entry: Target: Stop:

http://www.mmnews.de/index.php/200903212564/MM-News/Schweizerischen-Nationalbank-unter-Schock.html,

this article in today, saturdays newspaper here in Switzerland makes it clear. The Swiss National Bank will do everything needed to help the CHF NOT TO RISE..... , they say they have no experience in such, but it is the only solution now, not falling in a DEFLATION.... obviously it means EUR-CHF rate to rise to 1.7000 at least next 6 month... this , then will be the ultimate non-sense long term, as the actual PPP between EU and Swiss is around 1.0000.... But as asual.... in the markets we have learned.... 2 plus 2 does NOT equal 4,,,, it equals 5 minus 1..... and now, dear investors and traders... we will play the MINUS 1...... EURCHF much higher first.... have fun... good luck to all....

Melbourne Qindex 09:58 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

S&P 500
Entry: Target: Stop:

S&P 500 (789.4) : Resistance at 805.0


The market is under pressure when it is trading below the weekly cycle metric at 790.4 - 803.4 - 875.9.

Melbourne Qindex 08:12 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USDX
Entry: Target: Stop:

USDX : Monthly Cycle Charts

Melbourne Qindex 07:20 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USDX
Entry: Target: Stop:

USDX (84.34) : The market is stable when it is able to trade above 83.15. The weekly cycle metric is positioning at 83.15 - 84.83 - 85.03

Melbourne Qindex 07:17 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USDX
Entry: Target: Stop:

USDX (84.34) : The market is atble when it is able to trade above 83.15. The weekly cycle metric is positioning at 83.15 - 84.83 - 85.03

Melbourne Qindex 06:39 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The market is under pressure when it is below the monthly cycle pivot center at 97.08. The weekly cycle pivot centers are positioning at 93.43 - 94.26 - 96.67. The odds are good that the market will tackle the supporting strength of 94.79 during early period of next week.

Los Angeles cp 04:18 GMT March 21, 2009
USDCHF current Srategy as of 3/22

Hi US Sw, Re - USDCHF current Srategy as of 3/22,

being a newbie, I would like to understand your signals. The following is my interpretation.

Current BID/ASk of USDCHF= 1.1266/1.1270

1) Buy at :1.137* TF = 1.147* SL = 1.127*
(100 pips apart)
2) Sell at 1.156* TF = 1.147* SL = Not available

3) Buy at 1.147* TF = 1.184 SL = 1.137 (Profit of 370 pips)

4) Buy at 1.184 TF = 1.195* SL = 1.166*


Is this right ? Did I mess it up ? Also Is this a weekly forecast or just applicable to one day on 03/22 ? Can you please confirm ?

US SW 01:58 GMT March 21, 2009
USDCHF current Srategy as of 3/22
Reply   
BUY POINTS

entry 1.137 retracement from 1.147 STOP 1.127

SELL 1.156 BUY on retracement @ 1.147

STOP 1.137 SELL 1.184

BUY on retracement from 1.184 STOP 1.166

LIQUIDATE = 1.1950 for possible double top on weekly chart...



THEORY of USDCHF Current Stategy 3/22

Resistance at 1.147 then sees 1.166

Expected retracement from 1.166 = 1.156

If 1.156 is not broken first wave of resistance is 1.184

US SW 01:09 GMT March 21, 2009
USDCHF Monthly Forcast
Reply   
Buy
Entry: NONE Target: =<1.25 Stop: 1.00

These levels are critical for my Model. I beleve that the 1.1965 level need to be broken to see furher upside....other wise look out below...

USDCHF Monthly

Breaks 1.1366 < 1.1965

BreakS 1.1965 < 1.2929

Breaks 09.97 > 1.00

Melbourne Qindex 01:07 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Bloomington UI 00:26 GMT - I will run more analysis after I come back from lunch.

Melbourne Qindex 01:06 GMT March 21, 2009
QIndex Trading System

USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The market is stable when it is able to trade above the weekly cycle matrix at 93.35 - 94.30 - 95.18.

Syd 00:33 GMT March 21, 2009
fx
Reply   
Despite Banana Republic cat calls from the usual suspects it’s still only a
correction, we think …LINK

Bloomington UI 00:26 GMT March 21, 2009
paging doctor q
Reply   
Sell usdjpy
Entry: 96 Target: open Stop: 100

Good evening Qindex: Would you please share your analysis on usd.jpy when you have run it? I reshorted around 96 and I'd like to hear your projections. Thanks very much.

 




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