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Forex Forum Archive for 03/26/2009

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sofia kaprikorn 23:42 GMT March 26, 2009
EURUSD Triangle?
Reply   


This is 4-hour chart.
The support comes from the weekly Trendline resistance that has turned Support now.

the formation looks like a classical Symmetrical Triangle formation and calls for a breakout - I assume here to the Upside.

Given the stellar performance of S&P and Crude Oil etc. /higher risk appetite a challenge of 1.3640-80 area might be the first target.

Melbourne Qindex 23:39 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 98.14 which is part of the monthly cycle matrix system at 98.14 - 98.85 - 99.57.

FW CS 23:31 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

DR. Q $/jpy

So if it turns away from here would that be a negative signal in your system? I do not think this move will make a new high myself. Thanks

Syd 23:15 GMT March 26, 2009
Europe fetches the monetary helicopters, at long last
Reply   
Rejoice. After much pious posturing – and criminal wastage of time – the European Central Bank at last seems ready join the Anglo-Saxons, Japanese, Swiss, and Isrealis in printing money to fend off disasterECB is clearly alarmed by the outright contraction of credit. Loans to non-financial corporations fell in February (minus €4bn).

Syd 23:10 GMT March 26, 2009
UK investors dump a record £20bn of government bonds
Reply   

British insurers and pension funds dumped a record £20.2billion of gilts last year, underlining the mounting difficulties the Treasury faces funding its spending plans.
Official figures revealed UK firms sold out of government bonds as they suffered from heavy outflows from their funds - exceeding a record £24billion in the fourth quarter.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/money/article-1165133/UK-investors-dump-record-20bn-government-bonds.html

tlv IB 23:10 GMT March 26, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
thanks Qindex!

Melbourne Qindex 23:09 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The marlet is working on the weekly cycle upper barrier at 98.42 // 99.12. The downside targeting point is 95.65.

Syd 23:08 GMT March 26, 2009
Brown to borrow £351billion in the next two years (that's more than Britain's total debt from 1691
Reply   
Gordon Brown's government is set to borrow £351 billion in the two years leading up to 2011, according to financial analysts at the Ernst and Young Item club.
The total amount borrowed by the state from 1691 - two years after the Glorious Revolution - until Tony Blair swept to victory
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1164440/Brown-borrow-351billion-years-thats-Britains-total-debt-1691-1997-election.html

tlv IB 22:55 GMT March 26, 2009
usd/jpy
Reply   
Hi Qindex,

would you please share your views on usd/jpy?
much appreciated!

gl.

Melbourne Qindex 22:38 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The following is still valid :


03/26/2009 03:17:55 Qindex Melbourne 6
EUR/USD : The market is vibrating around 1.3532 with an expected magnitude of 1.3409 - 1.3655 for the time being. The downside targeting point is 1.3287.

Morristown GG 22:26 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, I see you are short dollar/yen too. Since I was on a couple days ago when you said this talk of a global currency wouldn't have any affect for a month or so, have you changed your mind at all? The UN Panel and others seem to be getting us ready for big news out of G20 next weekend.

Morristown GG 22:24 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, Just to understand, you are thinking that we are in for a possible correction on stox tomorrow, and that the yen crosses could come down with them. I was interested in AUD/YEN

Syd 21:55 GMT March 26, 2009
NZ 4Q GDP Slumps 0.9%, Biggest Fall Since 3Q '92 DJ
Reply   
NZ 4Q GDP falls 0.9% on quarter, worst fall since September 1992 quarter but tad better than economists' expectations of 1.0% fall, on-year GDP down 1.9% as expected. Decline marks 4th consecutive quarterly fall, ongoing recession, largely weighed by manufacturing and wholesale trade industries, with manufacturing activity tumbling 3.8% in quarter. Data underscores ongoing tough domestic outlook with 0.6% fall in expenditure measure of GDP. Statistics NZ says household consumption expenditure largely flat but notes spending on services, largely domestic air travel, offset fall in durables like cars, furniture, appliances and non-durables, including food and beverages. Overall, data unlikely to have much impact on market as largely in line with expectations but grim economic backdrop should retain market expectations for more easing by RBNZ

GVI Forex john 21:38 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

26-Mar-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3513

98.50

1.1276

1.4440

1.2288

High

1.3640

98.72

1.1288

1.4638

1.2328

Low

1.3502

97.48

1.1191

1.4425

1.2240

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3547

97.31

1.1267

1.4532

1.2293

10 day

1.3379

97.19

1.1456

1.4354

1.2445

20 day

1.3024

97.69

1.1569

1.4184

1.2644

50 day

1.2952

93.98

1.1568

1.4273

1.2506

100 day

1.3110

93.39

1.1530

1.4610

1.2391

200 day

1.3850

99.43

1.1214

1.6507

1.1578

London NYAM 21:10 GMT March 26, 2009
jimmy

breakout of what range?

Lahore FM 21:03 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

98.70 usdjpy,if it is a short at all,it is a short now.

Hillegom Purk 20:52 GMT March 26, 2009
jimmy

JIMI it is, not Jimmy, JIMI. app. to Jimi.

Well market goes to sleep now.

Hillegom Purk 20:48 GMT March 26, 2009
jimmy
Reply   
Well listening to some old songs of Jimmy Hendrix. Or should i say timeless?... Angel

On forex front. Tomorrow is break out day in aud/usd and usd/jpy. i think.... Going to sleep with a aud/usd short and a usd/jpy short. Cheerio.

San Diego LC 20:45 GMT March 26, 2009
japan daytime

I don't believe Japan observes DST at all.

Amman wfakhoury 20:42 GMT March 26, 2009
japan daytime
Reply   
anyone knows if Japan apply daytime in summer +1hr

Lahore FM 20:39 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

entred may natural gas long 4.019.

GVI Forex john 20:26 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click on Hyperlinks below for Updated Charts

20:24

 USD

pips

10yr

bp

2yr

bp

Stox

 

pts

USD

 

 

2.730

(5.0)

0.9

(5.0)

 

 

 

EUR

1.3506

(87)

3.130

(2.0)

1.41

0.0

DAX

4259

36

GBP

1.4440

(114)

3.310

3.0

1.28

3.0

FTSE

3925

25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHF

1.1283

86

2.190

(1.0)

0.54

0.0

SMI

4967

(3)

JPY

98.78

137

1.320

2.0

0.42

1.0

NIK

8636

156

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAD

1.2292

11

2.970

11.0

1.21

4.0

TSE

8979

183

AUD

0.7018

48

4.520

7.0

2.99

11.0

ASX

3647

38

NZD

0.5742

81

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNY

6.8330

16

SSEC

2362

70

 

DJIA

7925

175

Gold

934

0.00

HSI

14109

487

 

S&P

833

19

WTI

54.01

1.11

 

 

 

 

NAS

1587

58

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LHR-PK MAS 19:36 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Small short for Eur/USD entered at 1.3595
___________________________________

Stop Placed 1.3641 Bid
___________________________________

half out here now @ 1.3535
rest stop remains @ 1.3641 bid
___________________________________

stop moved to 1.3581 bid

LHR-PK MAS 19:30 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?

LHR-PK MAS 15:18 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?: Reply
for you only! :)

Sell cable with
Stop 1.4521 bid
target 1.4430
__________________________________-

LA here it goes hope you took this trade

sofia kaprikorn 19:01 GMT March 26, 2009
range day
Reply   
funny I thought it is not a good day to trade but anyway sit it out watching the paint dry...
anyway eurusd reached the first target at 1.35 /daily S1 pivot/
audusd still holding -- but seems to me the Pivot 0.6976 is in the cards for today still..

also interesting where all this rally in stox will go into the close..

singapore sl 18:51 GMT March 26, 2009
nzd

nzd
Entry: Target: Stop:

*my estimate

London MM 18:45 GMT March 26, 2009
nzd

I have consensus at -1.1, please let us know where the 1.6 comes from. tia

singapor sl 18:39 GMT March 26, 2009
nzd
Reply   
Sell nzd
Entry: nzdusd Target: .555 Stop: .575

q3 gdp est -1.6

Lahore FM 18:33 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

small long usdchf 1.1269,stops at 10.

Perth WTR 18:21 GMT March 26, 2009
sell usd
Reply   
looking at usd index, i must say that i am anticipating another leg down that will come as early as Friday tomorrow as evident by euro holding 1.35 well and usdchf under 1.13, correction might have been over timewise

only a big surprise event can change course of usd which is clearly down, just trying to keep it simple all IMHO

San Diego bobl 18:04 GMT March 26, 2009
Happy Weekend
Reply   
TY FM... good stuff. It takes a lot of bruises and black eyes to get to where we are in trading, but it sure is rewarding and wonderful work when you get in tune with your mindset and trade knowing that month to month you win, and daily happenings are just that.

I will update what I read from the charts this weekend fwiw. I am keeping the eur/usd stop in place @ 15. Good luck everyone and have a great weekend.

gl/gt

Hillegom Purk 18:00 GMT March 26, 2009
LA hands

LOL

Lahore FM 17:45 GMT March 26, 2009
blast

Bobl you are a true storehouse of knowledge,experience and trading success.a down day should not matter and minus 14 can be made up by plus 140.happy trades to you as always!

San Diego bobl 17:40 GMT March 26, 2009
blast
Reply   
FM...
Thank you for sharing your thoughts. I love traders who think and act for themselves, as you are one.

I may leave early today... unless I see some umph come into play.

Net results today = -14 pips; with the carried trades, ie eur/usd, eur/gbp, and aud/usd cancelling each other out... so no portfolio progress of note yet.

gl/gt

Lahore FM 17:39 GMT March 26, 2009
Friday blast

CS,my dear have one short eurjpy at 134.44 with half closed gor gains.135.10 is the stop on remainder looking for 128.00.just waiting it out there with profit cushion.stox and jpy can correct together if that correction does come.

hope you are very well!

Lahore FM 17:35 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

t/p in at 1.2380 for usdcad long 1.2299.

FW CS 17:35 GMT March 26, 2009
Friday blast

Lahore FM
Doing anything with jpy pairs? I suspect the yen pairs are close to topping out

Lahore FM 17:34 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

2nd long usdcad in at 1.2299.

Lahore FM 17:30 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 16:22 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
MAS i suppose you were addressing me on epm 500.i have a trade on ,a short and it is looking tricky!!

--
03/26/2009 02:46:14 FM Lahore 15
short june snp 500 at 814.75 now,stops at 831.
--
stops lowered to 825.50.
--
stopped for minus 10.75 points.

Lahore FM 17:29 GMT March 26, 2009
Friday blast

Bobl,my take remains that the makings for fx are for currencies to trade lower aginst the usd.gbpusd leads the way.commodity pairs still showing usd weakness but that's hel;ped by buoyant,so far,stock markets,even if the stox are to further up we can have that killer correction tomm.it is debatable though if a killer correction is necessary at all but i am looking for that.

eyes on gbpusd audusd,gold and stox for leads.

San Diego bobl 17:24 GMT March 26, 2009
Friday blast
Reply   
FM...
What are you seeing today? Seems sloppy to me. We're on opposite sides with euro... my play I hope is for long run and will get back to add what I took off (for a loser).

Stock market as a discounting mechanism is clearly very optomistic past couple weeks. Don't get that one either. Just had weekly breakout to upside with a challenge now to 20 ema.

Anyway, love to hear your take on the "blast"... tyia

gl/gt

GVI Forex john 17:18 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Data Preview…
FRIDAY:
Far East/Europe:
JA- CPI- very important- BOJ targets inflation. Seen steady and low
JA- Retail Sales- Very important- Key measure of economy.
UK- GDP- important- revision to previous data.
UK- Current Account- important- se smaller deficit.
CH- KOF- important- Leading indicator of Swiss economy.
North America:
US- Personal Income- seen lower.
US- Core PCE- very important- preferred Fed price measure. Seen steady.
US- U of Mich Sentiment- closely followed- seen easier.
Weekend: European and U.K. clocks “spring forward”.

23:30

JA

Feb

Core CPI yy

Cons: 0.0%

Last: 0.0%

23:30

JA

Feb

CPI yy

Cons: n/a

Last: 0.0%

23:50

JA

Feb

Retail Sales

Cons: n/a

Last: -2.4%

0:00

 

 

FRIDAY

Cons:

Last:

9:30

UK

4Q

GDP yy

Cons: -1.9%

Last: -1.9%

9:30

UK

3Q

Cur/Acct GBP

Cons: -5.8b

Last: -11.0b

10:30

CH

Mar

KOF Ind

Cons: n/a

Last: -1.41

12:30

US

Jan

Per Inc

Cons: -0.1%

Last: +0.4%

12:30

US

Feb

Core PCE mm

Cons: +0.1%

Last: +0.1%

14:55

US

Mar

U Mich Sent

Cons: 55.8

Last: 56.3

0:00

EZ

UK

Clocks +1hr

Cons: n/a

Last: n/a

Lahore FM 17:04 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

charts have makings of a blast of trading friday!

Lahore FM 16:57 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 16:25 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
additional eurusd short entered 1.3569,stops at 1.3606 bid.
--
half out at 1.3527.

sofia kaprikorn 16:54 GMT March 26, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
still favor the range low for today to meet the 1.34 figure - judging from the price action so far -- similar setup in AUDUSD..

JPY crosses made lower highs and this trendline resistance break above 98.40-50 seems to fail today...

a surprise will be the 826.2 high in S&P to be a short term top

Lahore FM 16:54 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Bru Yein 16:51 GMT March 26, 2009
Naturally Yein dear!

Bru Yein 16:51 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 16:36 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
usdcad for 1.2380.

------------------------------------------
FM imo if the usdcad can pass the 1.2335 area then it will go to 1.2380

Lahore FM 16:36 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

usdcad for 1.2380.

Lahore FM 16:25 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

additional eurusd short entered 1.3569,stops at 1.3606 bid.

Lahore FM 16:22 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

MAS i suppose you were addressing me on epm 500.i have a trade on ,a short and it is looking tricky!!

--
03/26/2009 02:46:14 FM Lahore 15
short june snp 500 at 814.75 now,stops at 831.
--
stops lowered to 825.50.

FW CS 16:14 GMT March 26, 2009
trade ideas

$/jpy
the obvious chart pattern says that this thing is going to go higher but the obviuos does not always seem to work nowadays. Maybe this rally fails and falls back to 97 or so.

Amman wfakhoury 15:52 GMT March 26, 2009
LA hands
Reply   
Munich peter 15:31 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?: Reply
Well LA, there are some things you can do with your hands...-)

======
must wash them first.

Mordor Sauron_TheDarkLord 15:40 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge

Perhaps it is this story in the WSJ that caused the USD surge?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123802506167942421.html#mod=testMod

* MARCH 26, 2009

AIG Fights a Fire at Its Paris Unit
Executives' Resignations Put Billions in Contracts at Risk of Default

Amid the flap over bonuses at American International Group Inc. two of the company's top managers in Paris have resigned. Their moves have left the giant insurer and officials scrambling to replace them to avoid an unlikely but expensive situation in which billions in AIG trading contracts could default.

Representatives of the Federal Reserve, AIG's lead U.S. overseer, are talking with French regulators and AIG officials to deal with the consequences of a complicated legal scenario in which the departures of the managers in Banque AIG, a subsidiary of AIG's Financial Products unit, could trigger defaults in $234 billion of derivative transactions, according to people familiar with the situation and a document AIG provided to the U.S. Treasury.

Defaults, by no means inevitable, could not only hurt AIG but also could force European banks involved in the trades to raise billions in capital to cushion potential losses, according to AIG documents.

That is because the banks used Banque AIG to hedge the risk in some of the assets they own, allowing them to hold less capital against those assets, which could include securities such as mortgages and corporate debt.

LHR-PK MAS 15:39 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

what about emini sp sir? didn't see your post on that for a while.

London MM 15:39 GMT March 26, 2009
trade ideas

Not an easy market as equities want to go higher for some reason, even though corporate earning at their lowest since 1953, and currencies follow the lead. Aussie still exhibiting remarkable resilience unlike Euro and Cable. With NZD GDP coming out later perhaps we'll see more direction imo. As an S&P scalper finding it tough today.

Munich peter 15:31 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?

Well LA, there are some things you can do with your hands...-)

tlv IB 15:28 GMT March 26, 2009
amman
Reply   
Bravo AMMAN, great call!

Amman wfakhoury 15:27 GMT March 26, 2009
movement of eur.usd
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:55 GMT March 26, 2009
eur.usd: Reply
will consilidate btwn levels 13635 and 13512 and will close
between them

---------
movement of eur.usd was posted here early in the morning.

San Diego bobl 15:26 GMT March 26, 2009
trade ideas
Reply   
The AUD/USD looks great as a long, and the eur/gbp is steady performer long. I like the eur/usd also, but I am currently in the red there and have cut half of it for a loser (50 pips). But, the long term read on it is long, so I'm a holder until proven otherwise.

gl/gt
ps... more risk in trading today which you may want to consider. Lots of distortions showing up......market just can't seem to get comfortable with a theme

LHR-PK MAS 15:18 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?

for you only! :)

Sell cable with
Stop 1.4521 bid
target 1.4430

LA LA 15:14 GMT March 26, 2009
trade?
Reply   
Anyone have a trading idea from here? I am sitting on my hands.

NYC 14:52 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge

Not much of a catalyst from these comments:

Fed's Lacker: Treasury buying ought to lower rates

sofia kaprikorn 14:52 GMT March 26, 2009
whipsaws
Reply   
funny yesterday TG pulled it up while it looked like falling - today the crowd was long and they play it down... nice game

NYC ET 14:45 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge

za, He is a known hawk.

San Diego bobl 14:45 GMT March 26, 2009
short term moves
Reply   
I don't really get caught up in short term moves......... if it's an impulse move, I sometimes lighten up like I did with eur/usd. But I always look at my whole picture, not the dollars, but how the positions are working as a whole. With eur/gbp up 83 pips now, and earlier gains taken into account, the day is pretty balanced. usd/jpy looks to be carrying the baton........but, as I said, I'll let the market sort it out. BTW Kapricorn, eur/usd is above daily pivot, still in positive mode. The market appears to be coming back now, but we'll see. I will go shopping in another hour or two for more opps.

gl/gt

Stockholm za 14:43 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge


It was "Fed's Lacker" fanning the fire !

London Gooner 14:43 GMT March 26, 2009
NATURAS GAS (NGA)
Reply   
Loading long good size 4.09 - Going with last week bullish
engulfing weekly.
I am looking for a upmove and accumulate on more buy signals along it.

sofia kaprikorn 14:36 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge

another idea that comes to mind is S&P closed the Feb 15 Gap >> the last 2 days tweezer top highs at 826.2 might put a short term top and stocks selling will go with USD buying as it was some time before...

LHR-PK MAS 14:35 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Small short for Eur/USD entered at 1.3595
___________________________________

Stop Placed 1.3641 Bid
___________________________________

half out here now @ 1.3535
rest stop remains @ 1.3641 bid

Lahore FM 14:35 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/24/2009 19:01:04 FM Lahore 35
03/24/2009 13:36:25 FM Lahore 15
03/24/2009 09:32:09 FM Lahore 5
sold 1.4770,stops for this second short only at 1.4875 bid.
--
half out at 1.4668.
--
stops lowered to 1.4810 bid from 1.4875 earlier for rest 1/2.
--
closed rest of 1.4770 short gbpusd now at 1.4479 for profit.

San Diego bobl 14:28 GMT March 26, 2009
USD surge
Reply   
London...
Seems that way, doesn't it? My trade desk is trying to find out what brought about this big move ... so far, nothing. Bonds down, auction going poorly.............both USD negative, and yet here's what we are getting. Something is up, but don't know what. Another wierd thing......spot is way ahead of futures, which is opposite of the normal trading day.

I will take the loss in eur/usd @ 1.3515 on second half. AUD/USD is perfect "V" pattern.... my least favorite pattern. Still have aud/usd with 50 pip stop [email protected] .6978. EUR/GBP only saving grace at moment, plus earlier gains of messly 36 pips.

usd/jpy backing off first test........we'll see what develops.

gl/gt

sofia kaprikorn 14:26 GMT March 26, 2009
USD

sorry - M2 is 1.3497 but the target I meant is S1 - 1.3450

NYC 14:24 GMT March 26, 2009
USD

It had nothing to do with Geithner. gbp/usd drop seemed to drag usd higher.

sofia kaprikorn 14:24 GMT March 26, 2009
USD

bobl --- hello sir, seems to me it was the tipical whipsaw followed by a rotation to the opposite side of the consolidation range - while you longed above the M1 Resistance the sharp USD move drew the eurusd below the daily pivot which favors test of the 1.35 S1 level - just like in st's charts..

FW CS 14:20 GMT March 26, 2009
USD

San Diego
Geithner was scheduled to speak now maybe he said something to spook the market.

London HC 14:17 GMT March 26, 2009
USD

bobl, market doesn't seem to need a reason these days for sudden (unexplained) movements

San Diego bobl 14:12 GMT March 26, 2009
USD
Reply   
I haven't been able to locate why the USD suddenly surged. I cut eur/usd in half............for now.........that was a 50 pip hit on half............I am hanging in there with the rest and will readd if we get on track again. It looks like there was some kind of intervention to me... sudden hard moves often are. The aud/usd looks good to me longer term also. Kind of scratching my head here on the action.............but with usd/jpy breaking out of weekly action into high end range of last month of trading, that may be the driver. Right now with the early morning trading small gains, and then the 50 pip hit, and eur/gbp still well into the money, the whole is about balanced for the day. Going to hold and see how these talks go and how the markets react.

gl/gt

Lahore FM 14:03 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

MAS i myself am a skeptic regarding elliot waves though sometimes look at other people's anlysis just as two days back London NYAM gave a through anlalysis on gbpusd when he and i simultaneously entered gbpusd shorts at 1.4770.i liked his analysis as it was through and fitted what i saw for the gbpusd rate and charts.NYAM posted on gvi pro and i did that on ff.

Elliot is very good at expalining the moves when they ahve happened.like you can find your way around as to how to label the moves that occured.possibilities are many.fib numbers alongwith elliot do work better through for entries and exits.there are certain fibs which with a good working elliot analysis might work much better.

to cut a long story short much like Haifa ac,i have doubts forelliot use alone.for my own view.i still look for eurusd and gbpusd to see lower levels than any up.

San Diego bobl 13:45 GMT March 26, 2009
aud/usd
Reply   
Long aud/usd @ .7028

Hands full right now but will post more on eur and aud when I get a moment.

working orders..........eur/gbp held it's mud and remains with the half size after taking half off.

gl/gt

LHR-PK MAS 13:42 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Haifa and Geneva DS i am also looking for some comments on this from Lahore FM and GVI John. please if you two can share your thoughts.

Haifa ac 13:28 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

LHR-PK MAS 13:24 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS: Reply
Haifa, i am just talking about the possible formation//
Thank you. Nothing is impossible for Elliott.

LHR-PK MAS 13:24 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Haifa, i am just talking about the possible formation, as this has already been followed and fullfilled in GBP/USD so as being an elliot wave analyst i just put a question to every one in forum to learn more that is their any possibility we skip the wave C in EUR/USD which may lead us to some where arroun .9500? again this wave pattran is already completed in GBP/USD, 5 waves upward then A, B and C.

Lahore FM 13:22 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/24/2009 18:57:16 FM Lahore 35
03/24/2009 14:26:06 FM Lahore 6
gold long added at 920.60 to previous at 890.
--
half out 929.30 stops in place at 911 for rest 1/2.
--
rest closed now at 942.90 for profit.

LHR-PK MAS 13:14 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

entered short gbp/usd 1.4625

stop 1.4661 bid
_______________________

Profit confirmed on half of the position at 1.4575
Stope moved for entry for the rest
____________________________________

Stop Triggered for the remaining at 1.4624

San Diego bobl 13:08 GMT March 26, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

long eur/usd @ 1.3615
stops etc. later

gl/gt
full size

San Diego bobl 13:08 GMT March 26, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

long eur/usd @ 1.3615
stops etc. later

gl/gt
full size

GVI Forex john 12:47 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

U.S. GDP

GVI Forex john 12:43 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Refresh to update chart...


Click on chart for five-year history

Melbourne Qindex 12:42 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The weekly cycle matrix system is positioning at 130.11 - 136.62 - 144.16.

sofia kaprikorn 12:14 GMT March 26, 2009
USDJPY Trendline test
Reply   


I was watching the trendline for a reversal to short -- however given the Hourly trend and the test of the Daily Trendline Resistance from March 5 highs -- better strategy is to long on a confirmed break that will target the 200-day MA

GVI Forex john 11:59 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

Survey Results
This is a sentiment survey, so the more who participate the better! Thanks to all!

Markets appear to be looking for direction, Moderately bearish survey. Slightly negative bias to the range. Lots of data and Fed-speak today.

Averages:
Close: 1.3549
High: 1.3650
Low: 1.3460

Range: 1.3616-1.3315

Observations:
- Bias for mean €/$ close: Lower
- Clusters (Stops/Orders?)
Lows: 1.3480, 1.3505-12
Highs: 1.3630-1.3580


Comments encouraged!

high	low	close	spread		high	low
1.3635	1.3315	1.3420	0.0320		1.3616	1.3315
1.3630	1.3340	1.3430	0.0290		1.3630	1.3340
1.3616	1.3354	1.3441	0.0262		1.3635	1.3354
1.3635	1.3512	1.3570	0.0123		1.3635	1.3480
1.3650	1.3510	1.3580	0.0140		1.3645	1.3480
1.3645	1.3505	1.3580	0.0140		1.3650	1.3480
1.3650	1.3480	1.3580	0.0170		1.3650	1.3505
1.3675	1.3480	1.3585	0.0195		1.3655	1.3510
 CURRENT SPOT= 1.3605 >>>>
1.3655	1.3540	1.3605	0.0115		1.3675	1.3512
1.3679	1.3545	1.3616	0.0134		1.3679	1.3540
1.3680	1.3480	1.3630	0.0200		1.3680	1.3545
 AVERAGES >>
1.3650	1.3460	1.3549	0.0190	 		

NYC ET 11:49 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3655-1.3540-1.3605

Like throwing a dart today.

sofia kaprikorn 11:46 GMT March 26, 2009
KOF
Reply   
The latest economic statement from the [KOF] is unsurprisingly downbeat on the Swiss outlook. The institute says previous assumptions could easily be too optimistic, now seeing the Swiss recession being deeper, longer than expected. The KOF sees a two-year recession in Switzerland and expects 2009 growth to be 'clearly negative'. The KOF expects the domestic economy to shrink 2.4% in 2009, -0.3% in 2010. The KOF also estimates the jobless rate to average 3.5% in 2009, 4.8% in 2010 from current 3.1% (sa) and the deficit to come in at 0.6% of GDP in 2009, 1.5% in 2010. The KOF also sees declining banking revenue as secrecy is eased. Meanwhile, we hear a US investor has bought good size 1-mth 1.57 [EUR/CHF] calls today. The trade looks a bet on continued positive risk appetite (post G20), the SNB intervention threat and possibly Swiss economic woes.

GVI Forex john 11:43 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Data Preview…
THURSDAY:
North America:
US- GDP- very important- final red on 4Q08 GDP. Little change likely.
US- Weekly Jobless- very important- Early economic indicator. Seen steady.
US- Nat Gas- closely followed- key inventory reading.

12:30

US

4Q08

GDP (final)

Cons: -6.7%

Last: -6.2%

12:30

US

Wk

Initial Claims

Cons: 640K

Last: 646K

12:30

US

WK

Cont Claims mn

Cons: 5.475

Last: 5.473

14:30

US

DOE

Nat Gas bcf

Cons: n/a

Last: -30

sofia kaprikorn 11:36 GMT March 26, 2009
tough day
Reply   
seems it's one of those days one makes a better choice to sit on his hands as the choppy consolidation is leading to nowhere...
seems to me with time and experience one realizes that sometimes it's better not to be in the market until the congestion clears out..

Chicago SC 11:34 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3520-1.3680 1.3630

GVI Forex Jay 11:26 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

Tough day to call so please post your forecasts!

USA ZEUS 11:20 GMT March 26, 2009
Natural Gas

London Gooner 19:10 GMT March 24, 2009
Natural Gas:
Oh Yes Zeus. When it smahes through 4.90 area - LOVELY BIG RALLY should make sub 4.50 longs well happy.
_______________________________________________________

Gooner- Thank you for your thoughts friend. It looks like our SMASHING RALLY is imminent.

Cheers!

GVI Forex john 11:20 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3480-1.3650 1.3580

London C 11:16 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3645-1.3505-1.3580

london 11:14 GMT March 26, 2009
$$$
Reply   
OT
"You have to choose (as a voter) between trusting the natural stability of gold and the natural stability and intelligence of the members of
the government. And with due respect to these gentlemen, I advise you, as long as the capitalist system lasts, to vote for gold.” -- George Bernard Shaw

sofia kaprikorn 11:13 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/CHF
Reply   
seems while market awaits comments to hit the wires the buying interest is keeping it strong... now that it keeps above 1.5277 I see good probability for a move to challenge the recent top around 1.5355

Livingston nh 11:11 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3630 - 1.3340 - 1.3430 // EUR move since Fed's QE loses momentum - even the rumor yesterday of a USD replacement couldn't take it above earlier levels - still one headline away

sofia kaprikorn 11:07 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

H - 1.2679
L - 1.3545
C - 1.3616

Haifa ac 11:02 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

houston st 10:41 GMT March 26, 2009
// depending on how many times Geithner speaks today, //

LOL
the New E F HUTTON:

“When E. F. Hutton talks, people listen” (E. F. Hutton)
The investment firm of E. F. Hutton is now part of the Citigroup family. E. F. Hutton is still remembered for its catchy advertising slogan: "When E. F. Hutton talks, people listen." The commercials would show people stopping whatever they were doing the moment someone would casually say, "Well, my broker is E. F. Hutton, and he says..."

NYC JM 11:01 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3650-1.3510-1.3580

Tough day to call. Focus mainly on crosses.

London Gooner 10:58 GMT March 26, 2009
EURGBP

Resold at market. No stop yet but would use above 9380 if required.

Haifa ac 10:57 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR-USD

GENEVA DS 10:01 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR-USD: Reply
HAIFA/MAS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Haifa ac 09:49 GMT March 26, 2009

I think , we have now once for all to forget, what was in the past and how quickly something can happen...//

Alas, every time I convinced myself that things changed-- it cost me a fortune. Human nature has not changed.
We shall see.

Amman wfakhoury 10:55 GMT March 26, 2009
eur.usd
Reply   
will consilidate btwn levels 13635 and 13512 and will close
between them

GENEVA DS 10:45 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

RANGE
Entry: H1.3635 Target: L1.3315 Stop: C1.3420

Range still the key... believe still that stocks will move up extremely sharply and this will drag USD up.... especially against EURO and especially against all odds.... good luck to all

houston st 10:41 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3675 - 1.3480 - 1.3585

1.3800+ is possible, depending on how many times Geithner speaks today, otherwise looking for mkt to rotate back to yesty's highs...gl/gt.

Melbourne Qindex 10:39 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3616 - 1.3354 - 1.3441

GVI Forex john 10:38 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

25-Mar-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3566

97.27

1.1207

1.4526

1.2239

High

1.3653

98.35

1.1329

1.4717

1.2355

Low

1.3418

96.92

1.1170

1.4516

1.2221

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3578

96.50

1.1261

1.4547

1.2312

10 day

1.3319

97.10

1.1512

1.4305

1.2496

20 day

1.2986

97.68

1.1588

1.4177

1.2654

50 day

1.2946

93.80

1.1567

1.4277

1.2511

100 day

1.3102

93.38

1.1535

1.4623

1.2387

200 day

1.3860

99.47

1.1210

1.6533

1.1568

GVI Forex Jay 10:36 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close
Reply   

Entry: EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close Target: Stop:

Please post you forecast in the following format:

High-low-close

This new daily poll works best when you participate! Note poll closes at 12:00 GMT.


Post your forecast for the EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close and a line for your rationale.

Click on “reply” to post your forecast and keep it in the same thread


Gen dk 10:10 GMT March 26, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GENEVA DS 10:01 GMT March 26, 2009
EUR-USD
Reply   
HAIFA/MAS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Haifa ac 09:49 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS: Reply
LHR-PK MAS 09:33 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS: Reply //
Why do you expect a move of 9 years to reverse in 2?

I think , we have now once for all to forget, what was in the past and how quickly something can happen... IMHO, what we all will see is a HUGE paradigm shift in all currencies... we probably will wipe out a lot of Scalpers and housewive-clickers in the FX market... Like yesterday , news will move around the FX-world, but frankly... I really do not know if EURO-or GBP or CHF or JPY or AUD or USD isd better than the other currency. we are on the way out of the actual currency system and in this proces, I could very well imagine that the EURO will be the first currency to go away for ever.... and a huge drop in its exchange rate, can almost happen overnight... it does not really to take 2 years or 9 years... we do advise to buy Options on currencies for next 6 to 12 month.... for sure a good one is PUT EURO-USD , strike 0.9000 for 1 year.... or PUT USDJPY 70.00 for 6 month.... very cheap that crap.... and especially, this would REALLY be a black swan event... not that we go down in EURJPY.... but much more the speed and the timeframe, something like that can ever happen.... enjoy and start shifting our thinking in the market.... expect the unexpected BIG TIME !!!

Haifa ac 09:49 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

LHR-PK MAS 09:33 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS: Reply //
Why do you expect a move of 9 years to reverse in 2?

sofia kaprikorn 09:49 GMT March 26, 2009
Weekly EURUSD
Reply   
I know it's a long shot coming from as I don't have a credibility status here but Weekly chart looks like we close in a tight range which would suggest a continuation to see 1.43 cluster of Resistance

Syd 09:46 GMT March 26, 2009
BOE Sentance: UK Fiscal Deficit "Very Large" - Report
Reply   
U.K. retail sales declined sharply in February, driven by broad-based weakness across the sector as the deepening recession weighed on consumer demand, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday.Seasonally adjusted retail sales fell 1.9% on the month after an upwardly revised 0.8% increase in January, ONS said. In annual terms, retail sales rose 0.4% after an upwardly revised 3.8% gain in January.
The numbers were significantly weaker than expected, as economists had on average forecast a sales fall of 0.4% on the month and a 2.5% gain on the year, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey.
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Andrew Sentance said the U.K. fiscal deficit is already very large, and it's important to ensure it's sustainable over the medium term.

In an interview published on the Web site of regional newspaper the Western Mail late Wednesday, Sentance said allowing the deficit to get too big may not improve business confidence, since firms would worry about future tax hikes.
DJ

GVI Forex john 09:45 GMT March 26, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click on Hyperlinks below for Updated Charts

9:41

 USD

pips

10yr

bp

2yr

bp

Stox

 

pts

USD

 

 

2.820

4.0

0.95

0.0

 

 

 

EUR

1.3572

(21)

3.190

4.0

1.43

2.0

DAX

4234

11

GBP

1.4591

37

3.350

7.0

1.32

7.0

FTSE

3898

(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHF

1.1236

39

2.190

(1.0)

0.54

0.0

SMI

5000

30

JPY

98.16

75

1.320

2.0

0.42

1.0

NIK

8636

156

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAD

1.2303

22

2.970

11.0

1.21

4.0

TSE

8797

2

AUD

0.7016

46

4.520

7.0

2.99

11.0

ASX

3647

38

NZD

0.5778

117

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNY

6.8320

6

SSEC

2362

70

 

DJIA

7750

(0)

Gold

936.45

2.45

HSI

14109

487

 

S&P

814

(0)

WTI

53.47

0.57

 

 

 

 

NAS

1529

0

LHR-PK MAS 09:33 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS



Please Comment

London MM 09:33 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Worked in favour.massive deviation :)

Lahore FM 09:33 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 02:43:10 FM Lahore 13
entered 2nd short gbpusd 1.4582 now.stops at 1.4662 bid.
--
closed for profit.

Atlanta South 09:24 GMT March 26, 2009
Your GBP/$ Short Trade
Reply   
LHR-PK MAS/
Nice slice taken out of that GBP/$ short. GT

Lahore FM 09:19 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 07:51 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
usdcad now 1.2268 is looking to get past 1.2360 area imho!
--
right on course..now 1,2312.

London MM 09:18 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

UK retail sales out in 13 minutes, expected M/M -0.4 prior 0.7 Y/Y expected 2.5 prior 3.6

Lahore FM 09:13 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

long euruad in at 1.9342 now.stops at a later time.

LHR-PK MAS 09:09 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

entered short gbp/usd 1.4625

stop 1.4661 bid
_______________________

Profit confirmed on half of the position at 1.4675
Stope moved for entry for the rest

LHR-PK MAS 08:47 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

entered short gbp/usd 1.4625

stop 1.4661 bid

Jerusalem ML 08:47 GMT March 26, 2009
Retail sales will surprise
Reply   
GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP headed to 47 again

GL

London Gooner 08:40 GMT March 26, 2009
EURGBP
Reply   
London Gooner 17:49 GMT March 25, 2009
Selling eur/gbp at market 9341 (40 pips stop).
---------------------------------------------------------------
Covered at 9290 now
Will stay on the short and retrade later. Looks like we're rounding a second shoulder from shs since 10th March.

LHR-PK MAS 08:35 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Small short for Eur/USD entered at 1.3595
___________________________________

Stop Placed 1.3641 Bid

LHR-PK MAS 08:33 GMT March 26, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Euro/USD and GBP USD are struck in a critical range. At the moment it seems that euro has the bias for the move towards new high's, and USD/CHF is also supporting the USD weakness. 1.3540/60 area is very critical to confirm a break towards downside. while while GBP/USD has a range for 1.4570 to 1.4640 and needs to break to confirm its direction. although the charts at the moment shows the bais is towards USD weakness so i would like to place a stop in my EUR/USD Short at 1.3641 bid and look for entering a short GBP/USD arround 1.4630.

Lahore FM 07:55 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

the corrective for gbpusd and eurusd looks entrenched.1.3595 and 1.4620 important to hold and make for a break lower.

Lahore FM 07:51 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

usdcad now 1.2268 is looking to get past 1.2360 area imho!

Hong Kong Acetraderfx.com 07:43 GMT March 26, 2009
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM : EUR/USD
Reply   
Buy EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM : EUR/USD

EUR/USD : +1.3558+

Last Update At 26 Mar 2009 06:58 GMT

Euro's rebound after finding renewed buying at
1.3537 suggests as long as this lvl holds, upside
bias remains for gain to 1.3617/19, however, firm
break there is needed to signal yesterday's rise fm
1.3418 has resumed for re-test of 1.3653.

Buy dips with stop below said sup, breach wud
prolong choppy trading n risk 1.3505/10...

Range Forecast
+1.3540 / 1.3580+

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3619/1.3653/1.3678
S: 1.3537/1.3494/1.3447

Syd 07:37 GMT March 26, 2009
AIG accused of betraying staff in bonuses row
Reply   
Besieged insurer American International Group has been accused of betraying its employees and allowing a climate of fear to operate at its embattled Financial Products division as a result of the continuing furore over the $165m bonuses saga. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5051459/AIG-accused-of-betraying-staff-in-bonuses-row.html

San Diego bobl 06:19 GMT March 26, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
Note: The second entry, 1.3547 was elected, so now own full size in three entries, 1.3547, 1.3572, and 1.3585..... all posted.

eur/gbp is still in play, with 60 pips taken earlier per post, and stop @ b/e 9272.

gl/gt

Melbourne Qindex 06:17 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : The market is working on the upper barrier of the weekly cycle at 132.83 // 134.03.

San Diego bobl 06:03 GMT March 26, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
The eur/usd just fired another buy @ 1.3585, which is an add to earlier entry. Will work on majors updates in help forum.

gl/gt

ABU DABHI ABU 05:58 GMT March 26, 2009
FAKHOURIS New trading system
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 05:20 GMT March 26, 2009
new camel riding style: Reply

Amman wfakhoury 03:00 GMT March 26, 2009



-----------------
in the new camel riding style you will ride 2 camels at same time .
it is good riding application for maximum entry ,as you exit with small erection ,
. then re-enter again to make bigger erection and then when one camel is tired you substitute to the other camel for maximum enjpyment.

Melbourne Qindex 05:47 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is going to tackle the weekly cycle matrix which is positioning at 1.3342 - 1.3372 - 1.3462.

moscow mike 05:41 GMT March 26, 2009
eurusd analysis
Reply   


This is a daily chart of the EUR/USD with different trend and volatility models applied.

The rise in price from the yellow arrow has been “exponential”. After reaching some measured targets it is taking a rest at current levels. However, the current pattern says that as long as we stay above 1.34, the greater the chance for additional upside to come. The next major support lies at around 1.3050-1.3100, not to mention minor ones. We anticipate further upside from these levels, but are prepared for opposite scenarios during these days.

Amman wfakhoury 05:20 GMT March 26, 2009
new style
Reply   
UAE 03:43 GMT March 26, 2009
eurusd exit: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 03:00 GMT March 26, 2009

What this new style mean? Stopped out then do over?

-----------------
in the new style you will have 2 calls at same time .
it is good application for stop loss ,as you exit with small
loss then re-enter again to make profit and sabistitute the
previous loss.

Melbourne Qindex 04:56 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy EUR/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : As shown in the monthly cycle prjected series the odds are in favor of maintaining a long position when the market is trading above 1.5192 which is the mid-point reference of 1.5041 - 1.5344.

USA ZEUS 04:48 GMT March 26, 2009
Copper

USA ZEUS 21:40 GMT February 11, 2009
Copper:
Copper is the key.
_______________________________________________________

As we understand it from a credible source, Freeport-McMoRan may have just depleted all of its copper from the largest North American facility, which could be causing a squeeze. There is plenty of ore but production is slow. China drained the LME stock. Time will tell if they are filling demand needs or hoarding.

Natural gas and crude prices have also bounced considerably which gives the perception that industrial activity may be creeping back. Nothing moves linear but the bottom in copper seems to have already printed

Lahore FM 04:35 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

entred long term long audnzd 1.2176.looking for 1.2800/1.3200.

St. Pete islander 04:27 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

No problem .... just wanted to be sure it arrived. Good fortune to you.

Lahore FM 04:26 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Islander Sir,message well received!thanks for making time to write that!!
gtgl!!

St. Pete islander 04:19 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Good morning, FM. You have mail. gl>

SG Awesome Trader 04:15 GMT March 26, 2009
News Flash
Reply   
WASHINGTON (CNNMoney.com) -- Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner returns to Capitol Hill on Thursday and is expected to reveal a much anticipated list of Obama administration priorities for preventing future financial collapses.

Among the likely proposals: establishment of a regulator to monitor system-wide financial risk and stricter rules on so-called credit default swaps and other financial instruments that helped throw the markets in turmoil, financial experts say.

Geithner has so far kept mum about what he plans to detail. But he and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke have recently dropped some big hints. In fact, every day this week Geithner has spoken publicly about the need for increased financial sector regulation.

Many experts believe the administration wants to announce a new regulatory framework before President Obama travels to London next week for a meeting of G-20 leaders. Many of those leaders have indicated they want to see the United States strengthen its regulatory system.

Lahore FM 04:04 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

sold nzdusd 0.5750 now.stops at 0.5810.

Los Angeles cp 03:48 GMT March 26, 2009
STRONG DOLLAR? hehehe

Azusa, Sorry to be personal. But I am very curious. Do you live in Azusa which is next to covina in LA county ?

AZUSA 4x-ed 03:44 GMT March 26, 2009
STRONG DOLLAR? hehehe

I would suggest reporting with some objectivity on the Strong Dollar vs. Topolanek Agenda issue, if cut’n paste is your form of expression. Here are subtleties as I perceived them:

Re: Topolanek "I think this was just an attempt to show he's a force still to be reckoned with and not a walking-dead politician," said Katinka Barysch

Re: Topolanek "You still haven't understood what the job of the E.U. presidency is," said Martin Schultz

Re: The European Union ”over the next three months risks being where the United States was in the last three months of 2008 -- a lame duck waiting for elections and a new setup, institutionally and politically,” said Antonio Missiroli

UAE 03:43 GMT March 26, 2009
eurusd exit

Amman wfakhoury 03:00 GMT March 26, 2009

What this new style mean? Stopped out then do over?

Melbourne Qindex 03:17 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is vibrating around 1.3532 with an expected magnitude of 1.3409 - 1.3655 for the time being. The downside targeting point is 1.3287.

Amman wfakhoury 03:00 GMT March 26, 2009
eurusd exit
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 19:13 GMT March 25, 2009
eur usd new style call: Reply
eur/usd
=====
sell at 13568 tp 13530 stop 13590.
sell another at 13610 tp 13540 stop 13635.

--------
sell 13610 triggered and decline till 13544 if not exited..exit now.

Bloomington UI 02:50 GMT March 26, 2009
new trade
Reply   
Sell gbpjpy
Entry: 142.6 Target: 139 Stop: 143.15

I'm shorting the gbpjpy at 142.6 looking for vaguely 139

Lahore FM 02:46 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

short june snp 500at 814.75 now,stops at 831.

Lahore FM 02:43 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

entered 2nd short gbpusd 1.4582 now.stops at 1.4662 bid.

Lahore FM 02:43 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

entered 2nd short gbpusd 1.4582 now.stops at 1.4662 bid.

Lahore FM 02:41 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 19:07 GMT March 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
03/25/2009 09:40:14 FM Lahore 13
2nd long in for eurnzd at 2.3977.
--
half clsoed 2.4134 now,stops to 2.3820 on the rest.
--
stopped for no loss on remainder half.long again at 2.3804 now.

Gen dk 01:35 GMT March 26, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 01:22 GMT March 26, 2009
DJ FX ASIA: NZ Dollar's Rebound Isn't End Of Road For Bears
Reply   
WELLINGTON (Dow Jones)--A recent rebound in the New Zealand dollar doesn't mark the end of the Kiwi's downward trend, say analysts, predicting a fall below 50 U.S. cents is still on the cards.The Kiwi has surged 17% over the last three weeks, driven by improving risk-appetite as U.S. policymakers move to pump billions of dollars more into the economy, clawing back some its losses from a 25-year peak of US$0.8215 tapped in March 2008.But strategists say the rally will soon succumb to renewed selling, as investors focus again on New Zealand's dire economic fundamentals. RBC Capital Markets and a few others expect the Kiwi to retest its October 2000 lows of US$0.3898 reached in the aftermath of the dot-com bubble burst. At 0102 GMT Thursday, it was at US$0.5681.New Zealand's recession is deepening and could last until late this year. Interest rates will likely remain at extreme low levels for an extended period. With large Kiwi-denominated bonds maturing over the next year, some analysts say investors may put their money into other currencies.There are also big downside risks to the Kiwi, including a possible sovereign credit rating downgrade by Standard & Poor's, and renewed volatility in global financial markets if confidence in U.S. efforts to fix its banking system fades.Strategists says New Zealand's precarious situation means it needs a cheap currency to entice risk-wary investors."The dominant driver going forward will be for New Zealand to have a weaker currency in order to be able to attract funding from offshore because the rates are low now," said Westpac senior markets strategist Imre Speizer.Speizer says the U.S. Federal Reserve's dramatic escalation of its quantitative easing program last week, which spurred an already buoyant Kiwi to a 10-week peak of US$0.5747 earlier this week doesn't alter his view the currency will log a new low, probably between US$0.4500 to US$0.4700 over the next two to three months.RBC senior currency strategist Sue Trinh believes there is significant risk the Kiwi will revisit earlier cycle lows of US$0.3898 tapped Oct. 19, 2000.The local currency hit a six-year nadir of US$0.4902 on March 4 before its recent rebound. Bond Investors May Flee

Since the beginning of October, there has been around NZ$2.4 billion of issuance of New Zealand dollar-denominated Uridashi and Eurokiwi bonds, far below NZ$9.5 billion of such debt that has matured over the same period. These bonds were one of the key drivers in the Kiwi's surge to above 80 U.S. cents.

"We estimate there is about NZ$15 billion of Uridashi and Eurokiwi bonds maturing over the next 12 months... Upcoming maturities are a potential downside risk to the NZD should these investors decide to repatriate their funds," said Danica Hampton, currency strategist at Bank of New Zealand.
Still, Hampton doesn't believe the maturing bonds pose as big a risk to the Kiwi as the weak global economic outlook. "For the most part, these flows do not drive long-term currency trends and these flows tend to affect the New Zealand dollar at the margin," she said However, if investors "suddenly" become less willing to hold New Zealand dollar-denominated debt, for instance due to a sovereign rating downgrade, the Kiwi will plunge, Hampton said.

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
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