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Forex Forum Archive for 03/27/2009

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Melbourne Qindex 23:37 GMT March 27, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : the following is still valid :-


03/20/2009 11:57:28 Qindex Melbourne 45
EUR/USD : The long term cycle chart suggests that the market is vibrating around 1.3253 with an expected magnitude of 1.2762 - 1.3744. The trading reference is the following : ... // 1.3744 - 1.3499 - [1.3253] - 1.3007 - 1.2762 // ...

Gen dk 21:21 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Lahore FM 20:49 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

short audusd 0.6939,stops later.
looked like a reasonable deal.

Lahore FM 20:31 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

yes CS it may well be more on the jpy crosses.will see into those on the weekend.

good weekend all!

GVI Forex john 20:04 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click on Hyperlinks below for Updated Charts

20:02

 USD

pips

10yr

bp

2yr

bp

Stox

 

pts

USD

 

 

2.760

3.0

0.91

1.0

 

 

 

EUR

1.3297

(209)

3.090

(4.0)

1.31

(10.0)

DAX

4204

(56)

GBP

1.4300

(140)

3.280

(3.0)

1.28

0.0

FTSE

3899

(26)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHF

1.1433

150

2.240

5.0

0.55

1.0

SMI

4872

(95)

JPY

97.93

(85)

1.330

1.0

0.42

0.0

NIK

8627

(9)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAD

1.2371

79

1.900

(107.0)

1.18

(3.0)

TSE

8865

(114)

AUD

0.6925

(93)

4.560

4.0

2.99

0.0

ASX

3672

25

NZD

0.5696

(46)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNY

6.8320

(10)

SSEC

2374

13

 

DJIA

7776

(149)

Gold

923.25

(10.75)

HSI

14120

11

 

S&P

816

(17)

WTI

52.08

(1.93)

 

 

 

 

NAS

1545

(42)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GVI Forex john 19:58 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

27-Mar-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3305

98.04

1.1424

1.4305

1.2368

High

1.3591

98.86

1.1483

1.4494

1.2444

Low

1.3257

97.10

1.1223

1.4269

1.2267

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3497

97.73

1.1293

1.4502

1.2288

10 day

1.3419

97.19

1.1409

1.4388

1.2407

20 day

1.3055

97.70

1.1556

1.4183

1.2628

50 day

1.2953

94.13

1.1573

1.4265

1.2504

100 day

1.3115

93.39

1.1526

1.4595

1.2395

200 day

1.3839

99.38

1.1219

1.6479

1.1589

Zeewolde Purk 19:35 GMT March 27, 2009
e/u
Reply   
Closing out e/u longs. Have a nice weekend. enough is enough.

FW CS 19:12 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM
The bigger move will most likley be in the Yen crosses since the $/jpy is unofficially pegged.

van jv 19:09 GMT March 27, 2009
Economy
Reply   
From 2 Nobel price winners

Joseph E. Stiglitz:
Reform is Needed. Reform is in the Air. We Can't Afford to Fail
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/mar/27/global-recession-reform


Paul Krugman:
The Market Mystique
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/27/opinion/27krugman.html?_r=2&ref=opinion

GVI Forex john 19:09 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Data Preview…
Weekend: European and U.K. clocks “spring forward”.
Monday:
JA- MFG PMI- followed- Not a top Japanese number but leading indicator.
JA- Household Spending- Important- key consumption figure.
JA- Unemployment- Important- reliability of this statistic questioned.

0:00

EZ

UK

Clocks +1hr

Cons: n/a

Last: n/a

23:15

JA

Mar

Mfg PMI

Cons: n/a

Last: 31.6

23:30

JA

Feb

Household Spend

Cons: n/a

Last: -5.9%

23:30

JA

Feb

Unemploy

Cons: n/a

Last: 4.1%

singapore sl 18:28 GMT March 27, 2009
bund
Reply   
If EU goes QE, then Bund long seems like a nobrainer @ 123.

GVI Forex Blog 18:11 GMT March 27, 2009
G20
Reply   
From our blog:

G-20 bust in the making?

Lahore FM 17:29 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

CS yes boj had had hand in the pie..still we can get to 95.00 if not lower.

Bobl,thanx for your kind words!!!

Bilad KaL 17:25 GMT March 27, 2009
MKT = Lie?
Reply   
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-594683847743189197

By The best one I've seen
The greatest lie of all

FW CS 17:16 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM
How far south do you see $/jpy going? Me thinks BOJ has their hand prints in the $/jpy

San Diego bobl 17:05 GMT March 27, 2009
Results
Reply   
Sorry, been out for most of the morning. Missed the weekend by a day! But, wanted to post results from held trades yesterday.

Obviously, got stopped accross the board. Apparently some comments out of Europe got things going in a big way.... the other way. Good job FM for seeing it! I didn't.

EUR/USD... had taken half off for 100 pip loss, then half stopped for 50 pip loss... net -75 for trade. However, reloaded and took 60 pip loss on all for net -135 pips.

AUD/USD stopped for -60 pips

EUR/GBP had moved stop up (so as to not let good winner turn to be loser as I posted several times)... unfortunately not enough in it to get more and was expecting trade to continue course..... + 30 pips net

I had also taken USD/CHF (not posted because price had moved too much, in my favor at the time) which transpired into another full 60 pip net loss.

So, since posting...
Wed.... +240 pips
Thurs... -14 pips
Fri....... - 225 pips

LOL... a big fat nada for wed-fri. That's trading. You can't control nor predict what a market moving person or data will do, but that's why you always place stops when away from your computer (or brain, or lack thereof!).

Sidelined now... systems can't correlate on a single big move, but that could change by close. Again, good job FM in seeing these moves coming (I believe also Quindex and others had the parameters posted). Good stuff.

This time, for real..... have a great weekend!

gl/gt

Lahore FM 17:03 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

usdjpy 98.02 now.the long trek south might have just begun imho!

Hillegom Purk 16:59 GMT March 27, 2009
e/u
Reply   
Bought at 13281. Maybe buying more. Powder.

van jv 16:29 GMT March 27, 2009
forecast
Reply   
GVI Forex john
could you consider weekly or monthly forecast?

makassar alimin 16:26 GMT March 27, 2009
short usdchf

i would suggest caution here, as chfjpy is falling back under the neckline, after close today we will know whether it was a false break or just testing the neckline before resuming chf's strength

Scl CMS 16:19 GMT March 27, 2009
short usdchf

Is it a strong trend to follow ? Downturn in the usd/chf ?

GVI Forex Blog 16:09 GMT March 27, 2009
ECB QE?
Reply   
This is worth a read - covers ECB QE

FX Briefing - ECB security purchases: the genie is out of the bottle (BHF)

Lahore FM 16:05 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

LJBK many thanx for your kind view on ng.for the moment holding the dog from 4.019.

USA ZEUS 16:03 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

Entered long EUR/USD @ 1.3301 from a Swing/Scalp signal.

Lahore FM 16:02 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

long euraud 1.9172.,stops later.designated trade of the month.

Perth WTR 15:57 GMT March 27, 2009
short usdchf

Sell usdchf
Entry: 1.1438 Target: 1.1370 Stop: 1.1488

stopped out before, reshort for a pullback later late NY

LJ BK 15:50 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 20:39 GMT March 26, 2009

I've read on GVI it's your first trade in NG. Well, I can tell you I regret the day I touched this dog :( It's just too wild. On the other hand it can be helpful to just monitor it. For example, last july it started plunging heavily while oil was still firm and it helped me to keep the faith that oil mid term bubble is about to burst. So, good luck :)

Munich peter 15:44 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

I just added 3295 but we'll see

Lahore FM 15:41 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

holding that Peter from 1.3377,no stops decided as yet.considering adding but undecided there.

Munich peter 15:38 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, did you decide on stop long eurusd 3377?

Lahore FM 15:31 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

short usdjpy 98.09,stops at 80 bid.

singapore rs 15:11 GMT March 27, 2009
euro

if you want, join..if not then feel free to take the opposite

Plovdiv Gotin 15:06 GMT March 27, 2009
euro

singapore rs 15:00 GMT March 27, 2009
euro: Reply
expecting euro's intraday bounce to 1.34 later...

U know or U want?

singapore rs 15:00 GMT March 27, 2009
euro
Reply   
expecting euro's intraday bounce to 1.34 later...

Caribbean! Rafe... 14:42 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
additionally euro model points are 13307, 13235, 13163, 13091, 13019.

Caribbean! Rafe... 14:36 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
The solid support level for euro lies at 1.3019, we have to tackle 13258, 13207 first.

Amman wfakhoury 14:30 GMT March 27, 2009
eur.jpy
Reply   
KL Ron 13:40 GMT March 27, 2009
eurjpy: Reply
is it good to go long eurjpy? it has gone down some 400 pips today
====
it will rise ti 130.50-60 then decline again

makassar alimin 14:15 GMT March 27, 2009
rudd
Reply   
Syd, if you are around, can you confirm about Kevin Rudd going to Wall Street today? heard someting about him having a secret meeting with China's propaganda minister, looks like he has got something in his sleeves

Lahore FM 14:15 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/25/2009 18:52:59 FM Lahore 57
03/25/2009 14:06:11 FM Lahore 10
sold audusd 0.7042.
--
half clsoed at 0.6941.stops to 0.7070 on the rest.
--
closed rest at 0.6886 now for profit.

Lahore FM 14:12 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 04:04:07 FM Lahore 49
sold nzdusd 0.5750 now.stops at 0.5810.
--
half out at 0.5672 stops to entry on rest 1/2.

KL Ron 13:53 GMT March 27, 2009
sell usdchf
Reply   
Sell usdchf
Entry: 1.1431 Target: 1.12 Stop: 1.1480

td, usdchf has seen your ideal level to go short, i will give this a try

Melbourne Qindex 13:52 GMT March 27, 2009
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is going to test the supporting strength of the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.3195 - 1.3277 - 1.3311.

Melbourne Qindex 13:49 GMT March 27, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Munich peter 13:18 GMT - Thank you for your kind words.

Syd 13:41 GMT March 27, 2009
The Yen May Reverse Course Soon
Reply   
The yen weakness trend may reverse in the coming weeks, says Sharada Selvanathan, currency strategist at BNP Paribas. She tells CNBC's Stephen Sedgwick & Lisa Oake what will change the yen's course.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=
1074972917&play=1

KL Ron 13:40 GMT March 27, 2009
eurjpy
Reply   
is it good to go long eurjpy? it has gone down some 400 pips today

Chile CMS 13:40 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd

What about the next news from US in consumer sentiment, it is agreed less than previous month. That will pull up the euro/usd.

We should expect the euro to keep the on-going trend ?

Munich peter 13:18 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
HaMelbourne Qindex 22:38 GMT March 26, 2009
QIndex Trading System: Reply
Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The following is still valid :


03/26/2009 03:17:55 Qindex Melbourne 6
EUR/USD : The market is vibrating around 1.3532 with an expected magnitude of 1.3409 - 1.3655 for the time being. The downside targeting point is 1.3287.


Hat off Qindex!!

Gen dk 13:14 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PL KSV 13:14 GMT March 27, 2009
2 h ago

done

PL KSV 13:13 GMT March 27, 2009
euro

done

Belgrade Knez 13:03 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper


and I presume that in between is linolade.

GVI Forex john 13:02 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Earlier... Revisions to previous data. weak

U.K. GDP

GVI Forex john 12:59 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Earlier today..Deflation returning... JA CPI


GVI Forex john 12:56 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

U.S. CPI and Core PCE

Haifa ac 12:56 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper

Belgrade Knez 12:44 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper: Reply
Trendroom,

where is nekade?//

Right next to undressade

Gen dk 12:50 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PL KSV 12:45 GMT March 27, 2009
euro

can be right. Its very strong supp

Belgrade Knez 12:44 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper

Trendroom,

where is nekade?

PL 12:42 GMT March 27, 2009
2 h ago
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.341 Target: 1.329 Stop:

Let see

GVI Forex Jay 12:42 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper

Trendroom. Suggest using the Futures Forum for nat gas discussions.

nekade trendroom 12:40 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper

ZEUS ...what is your view on nat gas? I entered UNG long as donchian upper band was broken ...but yesterday's sell off is not making me very convinced on this trade?

Melbourne Qindex 12:39 GMT March 27, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Heading Towards 127.05

Lahore FM 12:37 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

many thanx Laowen,i am grateful..i will!

Shenzhen Laowen 12:35 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, observed your trades from time to time and found that your trades were fantastic. Congrats and keep showing us your idea. GL & GT~~~

Lahore FM 12:34 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

entered additional small long eurnzd 2.3347.stops later.

Lahore FM 12:33 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

thanx London HC,just fortunately so!

Lahore FM 12:32 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/24/2009 08:28:20 FM Lahore 87
Lahore FM 05:58 GMT March 24, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
eurjpy sm small short entered 134.44,stops later.
--
half closed 133.40,stops placed at 135.10 for rest 1/2.
--
closed remainder at 130.14 for 430 pips.

Lahore FM 12:30 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/27/2009 08:59:18 FM Lahore 11
03/26/2009 16:57:33 FM Lahore 14
Lahore FM 16:25 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
additional eurusd short entered 1.3569,stops at 1.3606 bid.
--
half out at 1.3527.
--
t/p in at 1.3375 for rest of it with one long order at 1.3377 offer also entred to reverse to long initlayy once we get there.
--
filled at 1.3377 for profit for 1.3606 additional remainder 1/2 short eurusd.
--
long in play too at 1.3377.will see about stops in a while.

Melbourne Qindex 12:30 GMT March 27, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The market is going to consolidate within the monthly cycle pivot centers at 138.96 - 139.12 - 140.03 for the time being.

London HC 12:28 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM. Excellent eur/usd call yesterday and also the one for a crazy Friday

Lahore FM 12:28 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 17:35:53 FM Lahore 19
t/p in at 1.2380 for usdcad long 1.2299.
--
limit at 1.2380 filled for profit.

London Gooner 12:28 GMT March 27, 2009
GBPCHF

Closed cable long from 1.4297 for little 15 pips. Will stand aside as we have stronger support in 1.4200/1.4150 area which might be on the cards.
Leaving gbpchf long open for now as 1.6280/6300 ha so far
offer good support on daily closes for quite a few sessions.

Lahore FM 12:27 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 18:33:49 FM Lahore 17
small long usdchf 1.1269,stops at 10.
--
long usdchf 1.1269 closed at 1.1417 for profit.

Lahore FM 12:23 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/27/2009 09:01:05 FM Lahore 7
03/25/2009 14:18:53 FM Lahore 45
Lahore FM 14:16 GMT March 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Lahore FM 14:04 GMT March 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
sold eurusd 1.3632.stops later.

--
closed hal;f at 1.3518.
--
stops in at 1.3670 bid for rest.
--
orders for t/p in at 1.3430 for this one on rest of 1/2 short.
--
filled for profit at 1.3430 for 1.3632 short.

singapore rs 12:22 GMT March 27, 2009
sell usdchf
Reply   
Sell usdchf
Entry: 1.1432 Target: 1.09-1.11 Stop: 1.1477

time to short usdchf big at 1.1415, stop 1.1477
it has reached daily R3 zone and 1.1450 should offer formidable resistance as mentioned before

Lahore FM 12:22 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 09:04 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
03/25/2009 18:52:59 FM Lahore 39
03/25/2009 14:06:11 FM Lahore 10
sold audusd 0.7042.
--
half clsoed at 0.6941.stops to 0.7070 on the rest.
--
orders for t/p in at 0.6930 for rest 1/2.
--
filled at 0.6930 for profit for the 0.7042 short audusd.

Lahore FM 12:21 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/27/2009 08:06:08 FM Lahore 6
03/26/2009 09:13:45 FM Lahore 24
long euruad in at 1.9342 now.stops at a later time.
--
half closed at 1.9424,stops to 1.9200 for rest of the long.
--
stopped at 1.9200 which is the low so far for minusfor minus 90.

Lahore FM 12:18 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

Thanx Peter!

Lahore FM 12:18 GMT March 27, 2009
LAHORE FM

thanx IB!

makassar alimin 12:15 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Post

John, it would be interesting to hear the famous final word from Trichet himself...

Hillegom Purk 12:13 GMT March 27, 2009
usd/jpy and aud/usd
Reply   
Well it was guessing of course, but for me usd/jpy and the other jpy crosses where the drivers today. I mentioned aud/usd as well because it was trading in a narrow range so break out it was waiting for. As it is Friday would/should/did/guess/could not be surprised if we ended up where we started. I think....

As Martin from the Gold coast already said, one can buy usd/jpy on dips all the way to say 110.
In e/u: not convinced that 140 can be ruled out. 124- will change that.
Burps, oops sorry, off for long weekend with the family.

USA ZEUS 12:13 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper

meerut vikash 11:44 GMT March 27, 2009

vikash- Please see archives. Copper is the key. Been calling for it higher over the last several weeks. Am targeting 2.07+ during the next several sessions.

GLGT!

Bru Yein 12:10 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

H=1.3509
L= 1.3269

singapore td 12:09 GMT March 27, 2009
euro
Reply   
Buy euro
Entry: 1.3319 Target: later Stop: 1.3243

time to go long euro again, pick any price 1.3250-1.3320

GVI Forex john 12:01 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

Survey Results
This is a sentiment survey, so the more who participate the better! Thanks to all!

Interesting survey today. Ranges seem to incorporate the risk of a weaker €/$, however most of the closing estimates begin with 1.34XX. We repeat this often. When everyone feels the same way, the market goes somewhere else. Look for an early Friday close after an active N.Y. morning.

Averages:
Close: 1.3364
High: 1.3491
Low: 1.3269

Range: 1.3590-1.3030

Observations:
- Bias for mean €/$ close: Lower
- Clusters (Stops/Orders?)
Lows: 1.3210-75
Highs: 1.3470-1.3510


Comments encouraged!

high	low	close	spread		high	low
1.3445	1.3075	1.3125	0.0370		1.3430	1.3030
1.3590	1.3030	1.3137	0.0560		1.3437	1.3075
1.3486	1.3210	1.3240	0.0276		1.3445	1.3210
  CURRENT SPOT = 133.10
1.3430	1.3275	1.3350	0.0155		1.3470	1.3210
1.3495	1.3340	1.3400	0.0155		1.3475	1.3250
1.3490	1.3210	1.3400	0.0280		1.3480	1.3275
1.3475	1.3350	1.3405	0.0125		1.3486	1.3310
1.3470	1.3350	1.3405	0.0120		1.3490	1.3320
1.3437	1.3322	1.3407	0.0115		1.3490	1.3322
1.3510	1.3250	1.3420	0.0260		1.3495	1.3340
1.3490	1.3310	1.3430	0.0180		1.3510	1.3350
1.3520	1.3365	1.3445	0.0155		1.3520	1.3350
1.3480	1.3320	1.3450	0.0160		1.3560	1.3360
1.3560	1.3360	1.3485	0.0200		1.3590	1.3365
  AVERAGES >>>>
1.3491	1.3269	1.3364	0.0222	 

GVI Forex john 11:48 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Post
Reply   
This is from a GVI post. It is being cited as the reason for € weakness out of Europe

everybody is talking about this: (i don't see it but it is what people are looking at today)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/5056760/Europe-fetches-the-monetary-helicopters-at-long-last.html

NYC ET 11:47 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3430-1.3275-1.3350

moscow mike 11:44 GMT March 27, 2009
trade signal

EURUSD
Entry: 1.3400 Target: open Stop: 1.3355

Buying eurusd into weakness with small stops
========
stopped

meerut vikash 11:44 GMT March 27, 2009
view oncopper
Reply   
anyone has any views about copper

should v gp long or short

sofia kaprikorn 11:41 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

H 1.3437
L 1.3322
C 1.3407

in a liquidation market like this I'm afraid to pick a bottom since it is not technical in nature IMHO..
the lower S3 pivot seems in the cards as the S2 gave in..

Chicago SC 11:31 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3210-1.3490 1.3400

LHR-PK MAS 11:30 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

long GBP/USD 1.4410
stop 1.4375
____

Stoped out long back

meerut 11:27 GMT March 27, 2009
copper
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

one can go long in copper at cmp

Brussels JgrB 11:26 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

Buy
Entry: 1.3405 Target: 1.3470 Stop: 1.3350

Entry 1.3405
TP 1.3470
SL 1.3350

Livingston nh 11:24 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3486 -1.3210 - 1.3240 // in the last three hours EUR has plunged through all the hourly MAs from the 21 to the 200 -- unwinding of the Fed QE move

moscow mike 11:24 GMT March 27, 2009
trade signal
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: 1.3400 Target: open Stop: 1.3355

Buying eurusd into weakness with small stops

GVI Forex john 11:18 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

Please we need YOU to participate in the daily €/$ survey to get a representative sense of market sentiment. It just takes a second!

Thanks

GENEVA DS 11:12 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

RANGE
Entry: H13445 Target: L13075 Stop: C13125

FINALLY::... USD Getting much stronger short term,,,, same time STOX in US to explode.... decoralation always happens one day... good luck

London NYAM 11:11 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3360
1.3560
1.3485

houston st 11:10 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3520 - 1.3365 - 1.3445

Plovdiv Gotin 11:10 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3590/1.3030/1.3137

GVI Forex john 11:09 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

NEW! GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

Click for Complete Chart Points

26-Mar-09

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.3513

98.50

1.1276

1.4440

1.2288

High

1.3640

98.72

1.1288

1.4638

1.2328

Low

1.3502

97.48

1.1191

1.4425

1.2240

Simple mva

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

5 day

1.3547

97.31

1.1267

1.4532

1.2293

10 day

1.3379

97.19

1.1456

1.4354

1.2445

20 day

1.3024

97.69

1.1569

1.4184

1.2644

50 day

1.2952

93.98

1.1568

1.4273

1.2506

100 day

1.3110

93.39

1.1530

1.4610

1.2391

200 day

1.3850

99.43

1.1214

1.6507

1.1578

LJ BK 11:02 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1,3490 - 1,3310, 1,3430

GVI Forex john 10:56 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3510-1.3250 1.3420

London C 10:55 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3475-1.3350-1.3405

Perth Alan 10:50 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3480 - 1.3320 - 1.3450

sofia kaprikorn 10:46 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd flag

thanx for comment NYAM...
this is 4-hour chart -- I feel an inclination to start posting 4H or higher charts since moves there are more clear & levels are more credible -

London C 10:41 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd flag

kaprikorn - what time frame chart?

London NYAM 10:35 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd flag

Yes Kap that does look like a cointinuation flag and yes i would favour buying into this move but cant rule out a false break below that line which would not at all invalidate a move up. 1.3360 FWIW

NYC JM 10:32 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close

1.3495-1.3340-1.3400

Picking the close is like throwing a dart today.

sofia kaprikorn 10:31 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd flag
Reply   


I'mm trying to adjust my charting to the dynamics of the market and find the proper timeframe for my trading..
this massive liquidation of eurusd longs due to unwind in eurjpy hit the bottom of this channel which looks like a flag that implies a continuation.. if the upside is broken
... I post these charts in an attempt to get some feedback

GVI Forex Jay 10:30 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close
Reply   

Entry: EUR/USD forecast range for the NY session start until today’s close Target: Stop:

Please post you forecast in the following format:

High-low-close

This new daily poll works best when you participate! Note poll closes at 12:00 GMT.


Post your forecast for the EUR/USD range for the NY session start until today’s close and a line for your rationale.

Click on “reply” to post your forecast and keep it in the same thread


Gen dk 10:26 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London Gooner 10:25 GMT March 27, 2009
GBPCHF

Buying some gbpchf as follow up from 24 march posts.
Also bought cable 1.4297.

tlv IB 10:25 GMT March 27, 2009
LAHORE FM
Reply   
FM , marvellous call!!!!!

Perth WTR 10:23 GMT March 27, 2009
sell usd
Reply   
Buy euro
Entry: 1.3388 Target: 1.42 Stop: 1.3238

good correction by usd, but it is done i think, just established euro long running together with prior usdchf short still believe sudchf under 1.1450 should remain under pressure

madrid 10:19 GMT March 27, 2009
Munich peter 10:14 GMT March 27, 2009
Reply   


join the queu Peter !!

8-)

Munich peter 10:14 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

FM, you have a fanclub? I'd like to become it's president. LOL

sofia kaprikorn 10:06 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd trendline break
Reply   


I posted before the same chart with possibility to see the upper targets hit but the Trendline support is now broken
the little downward channel holds the price action for now
.... it would look like flag but in this structure it more looks like a downward channel- which to me favors selling any retrace to its high border
however on hourly the channel bottom is already challenged
next stop is
M1 -- 1.3437

London MM 09:51 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd

Holding S1 right now, M2 looks good for re entry (if seen)

sofia kaprikorn 09:48 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
channel bottom on hourly hit -- think to sell it again if 1.3510 M2 pivot is seen

London MM 09:44 GMT March 27, 2009
Euro in a rare NR6

Nice observation, took the breakdown at 3548, sll covered now, tnx

GVI Forex john 09:44 GMT March 27, 2009
GVI Forex Analysis

Click on Hyperlinks below for Updated Charts

9:41

 USD

pips

10yr

bp

2yr

bp

Stox

 

pts

USD

 

 

2.730

0.0

0.89

(1.0)

 

 

 

EUR

1.3469

(37)

3.080

(5.0)

1.34

(7.0)

DAX

4243

(16)

GBP

1.4338

(102)

3.290

(2.0)

1.28

0.0

FTSE

3937

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHF

1.1336

53

2.240

5.0

0.55

1.0

SMI

4974

7

JPY

98.25

(53)

1.330

1.0

0.42

0.0

NIK

8627

(9)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAD

1.235

58

1.900

(107.0)

1.18

(3.0)

TSE

8996

17

AUD

0.6961

(57)

4.560

4.0

2.99

0.0

ASX

3672

25

NZD

0.5723

(19)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNY

6.8329

(1)

SSEC

2374

13

 

DJIA

7925

0

Gold

928.07

(5.93)

HSI

14120

11

 

S&P

833

0

WTI

53.64

(0.37)

 

 

 

 

NAS

1587

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

London MM 09:22 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

UK GDP out in 9 mins Q/Q expected -1.5 prior -1.5

Haifa ac 09:07 GMT March 27, 2009
Euro in a rare NR6
Reply   
NR7 is a good model. expect a large move any time.

NR=Narrow Range.

Lahore FM 09:04 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/25/2009 18:52:59 FM Lahore 39
03/25/2009 14:06:11 FM Lahore 10
sold audusd 0.7042.
--
half clsoed at 0.6941.stops to 0.7070 on the rest.
--
orders for t/p in at 0.6930 for rest 1/2.

LHR-PK MAS 09:03 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

long GBP/USD 1.4410
stop 1.4375

Lahore FM 09:01 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/25/2009 14:18:53 FM Lahore 45
Lahore FM 14:16 GMT March 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
Lahore FM 14:04 GMT March 25, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
sold eurusd 1.3632.stops later.

--
closed hal;f at 1.3518.
--
stops in at 1.3670 bid for rest.
--
orders for t/p in at 1.3430 for this one on rest of 1/2 short.

Lahore FM 08:59 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 16:57:33 FM Lahore 14
Lahore FM 16:25 GMT March 26, 2009
Trade Ideas: Reply
additional eurusd short entered 1.3569,stops at 1.3606 bid.
--
half out at 1.3527.
--
t/p in at 1.3375 for rest of it with one long order at 1.3377 offer also entred to reverse to long initlayy once we get there.

moscow mike 08:58 GMT March 27, 2009
Gold
Reply   


Gold is currently highly connected to fx markets, so I would like to take a quick technical overview of Gold in a short to medium term. Gold is currently holding well base on weekly upward trendline which currently goes at around 900. Also we can see a slightly descending triangle (Grey dotted lines) which favour a higher chance for a break up. Daily range is contracting and ADX is rangebounding. So far monthly range is only about 80$ while the average for the last 3 months is 106$ (for last 12 months 127$).This gives a tip about breaking either upside or downside till the end of March. In our view current range lies within 900-955. Swing model (arrows) holding the upmove yet.

We favor upside break.

Good trades!

LHR-PK MAS 08:27 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

LHR-PK MAS 07:47 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS: Reply
very interesting developments on charts here. GBP/USD critical levels to hold 1.4390 and Eur/Usd 1.3420. will look to enter long in cable and euro with tight stops below these critical levels.
______

GBP Bangs up from the support zone. but i missed my long as i was away for some time. now possibly another retest and with tight stops targeting 1.4560/80

Lahore FM 08:06 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

03/26/2009 09:13:45 FM Lahore 24
long euruad in at 1.9342 now.stops at a later time.
--
half closed at 1.9424,stops to 1.9200 for rest of the long.

LHR-PK MAS 07:47 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

very interesting developments on charts here. GBP/USD critical levels to hold 1.4390 and Eur/Usd 1.3420. will look to enter long in cable and euro with tight stops below these critical levels.

Lahore FM 07:37 GMT March 27, 2009
Lahore

many thanx ML,good trades to you!

AZUSA 4x-ed 07:36 GMT March 27, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   
Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

A test of the 1.3300 area is highly probable. Shorting at 1.3565 with room to alocate up to 1.3650...

LHR-PK MAS 07:31 GMT March 27, 2009
MAS MARKETS

Small short for Eur/USD entered at 1.3595
___________________________________

Stop Placed 1.3641 Bid
___________________________________

half out here now @ 1.3535
rest stop remains @ 1.3641 bid
___________________________________

stop moved to 1.3581 bid
___________________________________

Stoped out earlier today.

Amman wfakhoury 07:28 GMT March 27, 2009
eur.usd first step
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 05:53 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd movement: Reply
we may see up movement with possiblity to decline to 13550 first.
--------
enterd first step.

Jerusalem ML 07:24 GMT March 27, 2009
Lahore
Reply   
Hi
Entry: Target: Stop:

By the way Lahore

Great trades of late...
continue this way...you're breaking the bank :)

ML

Lahore FM 07:21 GMT March 27, 2009
Hi Lahore

yes ML towards 1.24 surely.gtgl!

Jerusalem ML 07:17 GMT March 27, 2009
Hi Lahore
Reply   
CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore, Hi

You still see Cadi moving lower, towds 1.24 ? today ?

Im bullish dollar too.

GOOD LUCK!

Brussels Jimi 06:39 GMT March 27, 2009
jimmy

What is sleepy trade means? you took it while falling asleep at the supermarket?

Hillegom Purk 06:12 GMT March 27, 2009
jimmy

Closing out the sleepy deals in aud/usd usd/jpy.

Lahore FM 05:55 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

on the world currency..can a nascent idea and then a nascent currency cause any threat to any established world currency much less the dollar.we always like to buy the rumour and sell the fact.do keep some salt handy for we might need a few pinches!

Amman wfakhoury 05:53 GMT March 27, 2009
eurusd movement
Reply   
we may see up movement with possiblity to decline to 13550 first.

Lahore FM 05:38 GMT March 27, 2009
Trade Ideas

GG,this is what became of the short usdjpy!
03/24/2009 02:46:00 FM Lahore 84
03/23/2009 12:42:19 FM Lahore 28
small short usdjpy entered 96.73,stops at 97.40.
--
stopped at 97.40 for minus 67.
----------
so now just a eurjpy short from mid 134's.yes looking for stox and jpy pairs to go down together if that expected correction does come!!

Syd 03:28 GMT March 27, 2009
DJAustralia Budget Deficit To Balloon As Recession Looms
Reply   
-Australian lawmakers this week conceded what economists have long thought inevitable: Australia is on the cusp of its first recession in nearly two decades.The government will almost certainly now revise down its official economic outlook in its budget due May 12, which will mean lower revenue and higher spending on welfare as the country's jobless rate inevitably increases.Analysts say that as a result of the slowing economy, the government's budget deficit in the next fiscal year starting July 1 could balloon to as much as A$50 billion - the largest on record and the biggest as a proportion of gross domestic product since the last recession in the early 1990s.That will mean a further acceleration in issuance of bonds and will diminish sharply the government's ability to offer further economic stimulus.Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and his Treasurer Wayne Swan chose their words carefully this week when they admitted it is now "virtually impossible" for Australia to avoid a "period of negative growth" - read: a contraction.Assistant Treasurer Chris Bowen put it more bluntly on commercial radio: "avoiding recession will be difficult".Just last month, the government forecast growth of 0.75% in 2009-10 and an underlying budget deficit of A$35.5 billion, or 2.9% of GDP.But HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland and Canberra-based thinktank Access Economics all expect a deficit of A$45 billion to A$50 billion.Access Economics is forecasting anemic GDP growth of just 0.1% for the current fiscal year and a 0.2% contraction in fiscal 2009-10.
"In other words, add the two years together and you get nothing," the thinktank's director, Chris Richardson, said.
The ideological dilemma of the effectiveness of pumping billions of taxpayer dollars into the economy to try to prop up growth is not unique to Australia - it is a scenario being played out from the U.S. to Tokyo.HSBC Chief Economist John Edwards expects the government will find new money for infrastructure projects in the May budget - which will account for most of the expected deficit blowout.But Access' Richardson thinks any new spending on infrastructure will be constrained by a number of factors - notably a lack of private sector partners for any joint-venture projects and a reluctance by Treasury officials to support projects that can't be rolled out swiftly.

US SW 03:01 GMT March 27, 2009
eur/usd

feel your pain...honestly...I ridded all my stps all together

I will usually use limits and if need manually hit a market for a loss or change...all limits baby

Syd 01:56 GMT March 27, 2009
Australian Minister Under Pressure Over China Link
Reply   
SYDNEY (AFP)--Australian defense minister Joel Fitzgibbon was under pressure to resign Friday after admitting he accepted gifts from a wealthy Chinese businesswoman and failed to declare them.The leader of the opposition Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, called for Fitzgibbon to be sacked, saying he wanted to know who the minister had seen on his trips to China and what was discussed.

"China has a vested interest in acquiring our natural resources at low prices," Turnbull told reporters. "The question is how much has Mr. Fitzgibbon not told us."Liu is reportedly well connected in China, with the Sydney Morning Herald running front-page pictures of her with former premier Li Peng during his visit to Sydney in 2002.

San Diego bobl 01:45 GMT March 27, 2009
eur/usd
Reply   
Not sure what is true here... my data says I was not stopped out @ 15, however my chart shows lower trades. My market minder says I'm still in, but honestly can't trust that. Either way, I am back in fulll size, albeit half size if data wrong which I assume is correct. Whatever the case, I am holding some more dollar shorts, and will clarify my positioning when i can call trade desk. I've heard of several data problems, so honestly don't know. But, I am short USD in more crosses now, but price posts aren't fair, because they are off the mark now.

gl/gt



Gen dk 00:30 GMT March 27, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 00:28 GMT March 27, 2009
ANZ Still Sees Weaker Aussie Dollar on 12-Month View
Reply   
Recent gains have seen clients asking if ANZ intends adjusting its below US60c forecast for the Aussie dollar on a 12-month view but the bank sees no reason to make any change.

London hr 00:26 GMT March 27, 2009
Japan Decides To Destroy N Korea Rocket If It Fails - Kyodo

Time to send in "Team America"...(google for details)

London hr 00:26 GMT March 27, 2009
Japan Decides To Destroy N Korea Rocket If It Fails - Kyodo

Time to send in "Team America"...(google for details)

Syd 00:11 GMT March 27, 2009
Japan Decides To Destroy N Korea Rocket If It Fails - Kyodo
Reply   
Japan on Friday decided to order its Self-Defense Forces to destroy debris from a North Korean rocket in the event that its launch fails and fragments fall into Japanese territory, Kyodo News reported.

The unprecedented decision was made at a meeting of the Security Council of Japan.

 




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