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Forex Forum Archive for 09/24/2009

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Melbourne Qindex 23:58 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : Market makers are moving fast down the road.

London 23:56 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd

You will be glad to know that the new Japanese embassadors name in Greece is Hino Takataka...

Ath. L.K. 23:41 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd
Reply   
Sell Gbp/Usd
Entry: 1.6022 Target: 1.5950 Stop: 1.6115

Hope to see 1.5790

Melbourne Qindex 23:40 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is below 145.71.

Singapore Sfx 23:39 GMT September 24, 2009
Global Cargo: A Ship Stuck at Sea

Thanks for this (and all the other stuff you post), syd

Syd 23:30 GMT September 24, 2009
Global Cargo: A Ship Stuck at Sea
Reply   
"The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination..." http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2009/09/21/Global-Cargo-A-Ship-Stuck-at-Sea.aspx

Melbourne Qindex 23:27 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The market is going to work on the barrier at 143.64 // 147.79. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy for this pair.


Monthly Cycle Directional Indicator : 135.41 - [139.81]* - [140.18] - [143.64] - 147.79 - 148.08* - 154.48 - 155.33 - 155.52 - 156.24 - 157.45 - 158.44*


GBP/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp-yen.html

HK [email protected] 23:22 GMT September 24, 2009
REFERENCE TRGT. FOR USD/CAD
Reply   
If you are USD/CAD long, I estimate price will enter the (1.1100,1.1150) range GL/GT

Melbourne Qindex 23:21 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

09/23/2009 23:49:53 Qindex Melbourne 13

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:
GBP/USD : Critical Point 1.6479

The monthly cycle charts indicate that 1.6479 is a critical point. The graphic indication suggests that the energy gap between 1.6479 and 1.6965 is larger than 1.5992 - 1.6479. Therefore it is easier for the market to retrace back to 1.5992 than move one step forward to 1.6965.

GBP/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp.html


[email protected] 23:07 GMT September 24, 2009
SORRY CORRECTION
Reply   
MUST BE: as a drop below 1.4460 will cause a significant downmove.

AND NOT: as a drop below 1.4560 will cause a significant downmove.

HK [email protected] 23:04 GMT September 24, 2009
MED. TERM VIEW EUR/USD
Reply   
AS I expected, but things didnt materialize yesterday 1.4580 was not reached during the prev. trading day, but the importance of that support price may cause some bounce again once reached.
The trade I prev. suggested; sell EUR/USD at 1.4820 seems to work with the expected target ~1.4500(+-20pips).
For the moment I doubt prices will go to lower level, as a drop below 1.4560 will cause a significant downmove. Where a reversal at about 1.4500 opens the way to a price recovery back above my beloved 1.4900.

Syd 22:50 GMT September 24, 2009
This bank-engineered equity rally
Reply   
Chief Investment Officer of Moonraker and manager of the Moonraker Commodities Fund and Global Opportunities Fund, commented: “Little of the bailout money given to banks seems to have been passed on to businesses or consumers. But it must have gone somewhere and it might have gone to the proprietary desks of the banks to punt the markets. Given all the calls for more transparency, it would be good if the banks could clarify this.
As Moonraker notes at the start of the press release, there will also be a problem if small and/or institutional investors join the rally, only to find banks suddenly retreat from the stock market — a possibility which bank-slayer analyst Meredith Whitney warned of earlier this year.
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/09/24/73736/this-bank-engineered-equity-rally/

Syd 21:36 GMT September 24, 2009
Japan Fin Min Fujii: Opposes Intentionally Devaluing Yen -Kyodo
Reply   
apanese Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said in Pittsburgh Thursday that he opposes intentionally devaluing the yen or any other currency, Kyodo News reported.

Fujii said he made the remark during a meeting with U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, before the start of the G-20 summit, Kyodo said.

"We talked about currency polices," Fujii told reporters. Fujii said he told Geithner he is against manipulating the value of the yen or seeing any currency being devalued "intentionally."

It was the first one-on-one meeting between the two since Fujii became Japan's finance minister last week.

Tonbridge AL 21:29 GMT September 24, 2009
Videos
Reply   
Click on Thursday links for the videos
EUR/USD Video
GBP/USD Video

reminder you can access the videos from the Thread Links above

Syd 21:06 GMT September 24, 2009
Charts: Pound Could Fall to $1.52
Reply   
Charts: Pound Could Fall to $1.52
Sterling looks set to decline against the dollar, according to Clive Lambert from FuturesTechs. Lambert thinks that the dollar could reach $1.52 per £1 in the near term.LINK

Syd 20:56 GMT September 24, 2009
Can the Dollar Extend Its
Reply   
Can the Dollar Extend Its
LINK

GVI Forex john 20:25 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivot Points

24-Sep-09

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4912

93.06

1.0459

1.6657

1.1241

Res 2

1.4849

92.34

1.0391

1.6522

1.1094

Res 1

1.4751

91.80

1.0347

1.6293

1.1001

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4688

91.08

1.0279

1.6158

1.0854

Sup 1

1.4590

90.54

1.0235

1.5929

1.0761

Sup 2

1.4527

89.82

1.0167

1.5794

1.0614

Sup 3

1.4429

89.28

1.0123

1.5565

1.0521

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.9356

135.73

1.5179

0.8890

151.95

Res 2

0.9257

135.19

1.5157

0.8830

150.75

Res 1

0.9189

134.45

1.5126

0.8741

148.67

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.9090

133.91

1.5104

0.8681

147.47

Sup 1

0.9022

133.17

1.5073

0.8592

145.39

Sup 2

0.8923

132.63

1.5051

0.8532

144.19

Sup 3

0.8855

131.89

1.5020

0.8443

142.11

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full FX Chart Points Table

GVI Forex john 20:11 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

N.Y. Closes-- Market Snapshot and Chart Gallery updated.

Survey of major markets.

Expanded Market Snapshot

Tallinn viies 20:09 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
next week real action

Tallinn viies 20:05 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
Im still keep my opinion that so far it is only small profit taking before G-20. next we are going to see real action which may decide the trend for last quarter.
we were today 45 ticks from yearly high.
with low volatility it crawled in straight line from 1st of september 1,4180 to 1,4845 yesterday.
can you blame them to take some profits before month and quarter end?

Stockholm za 19:50 GMT September 24, 2009
on EURUSD....


Some dynamic correlated down side trigers.
15Min 1,4618
1Hour 1,4588
2Hour 1,4559
4Hour 1,4594
1Day 1,4572
1Week 1,4461
1Month 1,4455
Ave 1,4550
Ave-Var 52,33%

Happy Trades...

Tallinn viies 19:47 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
last month low on crude is 65,20 something. it is hard to believe that crude will fall under 65 with first try. if 64,70 traded then we can be more sure about it of course ;:)

GVI Forex john 19:46 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

In cash S&P, 1035 is touted as major support.

PAR 19:24 GMT September 24, 2009
Us Stocks
Reply   
With a little help from PPT and flash traders , US stocks will close higher today.

dc CB 18:56 GMT September 24, 2009
Dow
Reply   
like a page from a Dan Brown novel
low on cash Dow so far today 9 666

GVI Forex john 18:55 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Partial highlights from our closing N.Y. forex analysis on GVI Forex...

-- Chatter technically that equities have made a major break. Oil and gold following. USD to follow (EUR/USD lower)? We noted here yesterday that the market is probably oversold USD....

GVI Forex john 18:40 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd

Talk about crosses.. oil, equities and gold cracking also.

AMS MAXXXIM 18:37 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd

Learning to read ?Who governs comedy Attention Deficit Disorder. language war.

GVI Forex Jay 18:31 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd

Viies. I am only speaking about today and price action showed every sign of liquidations driving the price action, at least for the eur/usd and other pairs. Note how movements occurred in spurts. With that said, key level remains untouched at 1.4610.

YVR MAXXXIM 18:28 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd

EX-IT
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gmbh + opTel

Tallinn viies 18:22 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
GVI Forex Jay 15:12 GMT - we can not talk about liquidation when option volas are hitting 13 month low and risk reversal favours euro calls. on short term basis,
1w and 1m are near the lows and didnt even notice last 24 hours moves I think.

AMS MAXXXIM 18:22 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd

t-shirt
Entry: Target: Stop:

fwiworth-HStax long sleeves.

Amman wfakhoury 18:21 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd and eur.usd
Reply   
they have not enough momentum to rise high during asia.
they will ranging in narrow path.

jkt-aye 18:17 GMT September 24, 2009
confused
Reply   
this week close for cable will be higher than 1.6105 ?

Gen dk 18:14 GMT September 24, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK [email protected] 18:11 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

With a possible drift to 1.4580 as I mentioned. May the Power be with you Amen.

USA ZEUS 18:09 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Final EUR/USD allocation long @ 1.4639

Mtl JP 18:09 GMT September 24, 2009
luqidating market

Jay 17:59 -- the type of market you talk about is a grand idea !

how about developping a "heat" bar thermometer of sorts - as subjectively assessed by you / your formula - and have that on a dynamic live update on your website ? a live PULSE on the market.

tia for concideration.

HK [email protected] 18:06 GMT September 24, 2009
GBP/USD
Reply   
GBP likely to ~1.5900 maybe before the Asian cockcrow

Amman wfakhoury 18:02 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd and eur.usd
Reply   
still have the momentum to go down another 30-40 pips.

GVI Forex Jay 17:59 GMT September 24, 2009
luqidating market
Reply   
I wote this in an article in our blog during the height of the financial crisis and it applies to the market we have seen today:

On the top of my trading checklist is to identify the type of market you are trading. Is it a trend, sideways, range, congestion, consolidation, or liquidating market? These can be subjective terms and often not clear until after the fact but having a feel for the type of market you are trading can be a valuable tool.

For day traders, liquidating markets can be difficult and timing is important. One reason is that movements tend to come in spurts. This is often characterized by sudden moves when a liquidating order is executed and then limited follow through once the order is completed unless the move sets off stops or violates technical levels that trigger fresh selling (or buying as the case may be) and more liquidation. This often sees price moves set up false bottoms or tops (depending on whether it a bear or bull market) once the order is done, then backing and filling before the next order hits the market.

Tallinn viies 17:58 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd
Reply   
bought back my euros at 1,4641, sell stop at 1,4591

GVI Forex john 17:50 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

We have set up a new thread in the Education and Learning forum intended to make the fundamentals more friendly to technical traders. Feel free to add or ask questions about any items.
Click Here

Gen dk 17:39 GMT September 24, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK [email protected] 17:36 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   



Likely the market will not deny us before the first Asian cockcrow a small an avalanche to 1.4580

Amman wfakhoury 17:11 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 14:59 GMT September 24, 2009
await my gbp.usd buy signal: Reply
await my buy call gbp.usd here when occur
-------
if you bought around 16030 , pls exit now to secure your profit
as upward move not confirmed yet.

Lahore FM 17:10 GMT September 24, 2009
Lahore FM views on sp

yes RK,serious correction can happen.topping out action since yesterday.1025 and 960 are the levels.

Stockholm za 17:08 GMT September 24, 2009
currency distortions
Reply   

it's what you won't hear that's important.

Lahore RK 17:06 GMT September 24, 2009
Lahore FM views on sp
Reply   
Hi Lahore FM do you see the correction in sp and go lower towards 1015 as long hold the high for the move if break can lower sharply what is projected target for this for next couple of weeks mine is 961
TIA
GL/GT

Lahore FM 17:04 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

09/17/2009 23:13:04 FM Lahore 17

Sell oct crude
Entry: 72.23 Target: 65.00/60.00 Stop: 73.70
re opened short crude.
--
the switch to november crude cud not be posted due to my busy eid holidays scedule.closed 1/2 of switched short at 66.04 now for some 6 dollars.

Lahore FM 17:02 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

closed.eurchf long for minus 17.

Lahore FM 17:00 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

yes Kal.1.2800 is fine for lt on audnzd.

GVI Forex john 16:15 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Check Countdown clock above for data due at 17:00 GMT.

Note/bond auction results key measure of confidence in U.S. government finances. Psychologically important for all markets.

Belgrade AS 15:55 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd

no i didn't...was waiting for 1,66 area(sounds almost funny now!).will sell sub 1,5980/1,6000 area....it will be an ugly spill if this key neckline support doesn't hold!

Ath. L.K. 15:50 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd
Reply   
AS did u sold Gbp yesterday?
How u look like this range?
Cheers

USA ZEUS 15:50 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Added on EUR/USD @ 1.4685

Belgrade AS 15:46 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Belgrade AS 15:05 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD: Reply
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1,4705/15area Target: open Stop: 1,4735
-----------------------------
yup!my tight risk is covered.with nothing to lose,i'll sit back and injoy figuring out what this spill is all about.
first target for 1/2 of remaining units is 1,4615

Juffair KaL 15:41 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

Lahore...Hi

audnzd
1.28 tgt long term?
TIA

Lahore FM 15:36 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

Buy eurchf
Entry: 1.5102 Target: 1.5300 Stop: 1.5060

long here.

Juffair KaL 15:31 GMT September 24, 2009
cable
Reply   
Long here
tgt 1.66 for now

Lahore FM 15:29 GMT September 24, 2009
Trade Ideas

Sell audusd/nzdusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

anyone of the two or both perhaps next cable like casualty!

Belgrade AS 15:20 GMT September 24, 2009
GOLD
Reply   
what in the world happened to gold?anyone?
is it that us Treasury became an alternative?

GVI Forex Jay 15:12 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

From GVI Forex )

Tonbridge AL 15:08 GMT September 24, 2009
market: Reply
EUR/USD: current low so far is the Monday settlement low that and 6 days get taken out. for the 2nd day there are signs late of selling that I can only call long liquidation and long liquidation markets are as difficult if not more so than short covering markets

NYC JM 15:09 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Liquidating markets are generally more volatile than mature trend markets.

Belgrade AS 15:05 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Sell eurusd
Entry: 1,4705/15area Target: open Stop: 1,4735

i share your view L.K. usd is reversing!!!that is what this sudden volatility is all about!
sold at market(all over the place there)risk covering(1/2 out) on +20pips(1,4685)
gl

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

HIGHLIGHTS: The economic calendar will remain active on Friday. The ECB pays close attention to money supply. In the U.S., durable goods orders are a leading indicator of the economy. The University of Michigan sentiment survey is always watched. New Homes sale are also signifcant.

FRIDAY:
Far East/Europe:
EZ- Money Supply- important- ECB is heavily monetarist.
North America:
US- Durable Goods Orders- very important- Leading economic indicator. Seen improved.
US- University of Michigan Survey- important- Sentiment figure. Seen better.
US- New Homes Sales- important- another housing statistic. Seen improved.


Upcoming Top Tier Releases:
MONDAY
JA- CPI
TUESDAY
US- Case-Shiller20, CB Confidence
WEDNESDAY
JA- Industrial Output
AU- Retail Sales
EZ- HICP
CH- KOF Indicator
US- ADP jobs, 2Q09 GDP, Chicago PMI.
CA- PPI, GDP.


8:00

EZ

May M3 3mo-avg

Cons:n/a

Last:+3.4%

8:00

EZ

May M3 yy

Cons:+2.7%

Last:+3.0%

12:30

US

Aug Dur Goods

Cons:+0.4%

Last:+4.9%

13:00

G20

Summit

Cons:n/a

Last:n/a

13:55

US

Sepf U Mich Sent

Cons:70.5

Last:70.2

14:00

US

Aug New Homes

Cons:440K

Last:433K

 

Amman wfakhoury 14:59 GMT September 24, 2009
await my gbp.usd buy signal
Reply   
await my buy call gbp.usd here when occur

Trading Rooms

Ath. L.K. 14:48 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Looks like 1.4610 suport.
After this 1.4500/50
Then we will have dollar party

Belgrade AS 14:40 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

nice Zeus!
i just realised that all kinds of long and short term rising supports(together with a lower parallel line of trend canal) are all right there!!!
so,sub 1,4700 it's ciao eurusd...right?
i like this call,but hope for "sell sub 1,4700"...better prospects,you know?

USA ZEUS 14:18 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Bought EUR/USD 1.4715.
Will it go higher? Let's see...

GVI Forex john 14:16 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Check Countdown clock above for data due at 14:30 GMT.

Weekly estimates of working gas volumes in underground natural gas storage facilities from the Energy Information Administration, US Dept. of Energy.

London Gooner 14:16 GMT September 24, 2009
Revisited Levels

London Gooner 06:32 GMT September 16, 2009
GBPUSD 1.6112
-------------------------------------------------------
Done. Now it has 1.6467 and 1.6837.

GVI Forex john 14:12 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pending homes sales did not help existing homes sales much, but inventories were down....

Existing/Pending Homes Sales

GVI Forex Jay 14:11 GMT September 24, 2009
eurgbp

Thank Al, he posted it on GVI Forex

HK Kevin 14:11 GMT September 24, 2009
eurgbp

GVI Forex Jay 13:43 GMT, many thanks for the nos. I have 1.6018 following the break of 1.6133

PAR 14:10 GMT September 24, 2009
Bernanke Getafix
Reply   
One day after the FED meeting Panoramix (Getafix) Bernanke seems to be willing to change his magic recipe for economic recovery . Why not yesterday ?

nyc 14:07 GMT September 24, 2009
data
Reply   
Disappointing existing home sales taking usd higher.

Lahore FM 14:05 GMT September 24, 2009
eurgbp

0.9230 area is a reasonable target for eurgbp.

GVI Forex Jay 13:43 GMT September 24, 2009
eurgbp

As posted on GVI Forex:

Tonbridge AL 13:26 GMT September 24, 2009
Gbp/Usd: Reply
In case the pivot players need to call a friend
then S4 is 1.6112 and 1.6108 is 1.618 x yesterdays range
and for the emergency then S5 is 1.6030
In Eur/Gbp R4 is .9176 and R5 is .9212

HK Quek 13:40 GMT September 24, 2009
eurgbp
Reply   
Any targets for eurgbp?

Amman wfakhoury 13:39 GMT September 24, 2009
eurusd is heading 14800
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 08:04 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD is heading 14800: Reply
======
Done

London GBP 13:37 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150

meant wfak

London GBP 13:34 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150

Kudos to wfax. 1.6150 TRADES!

London C 13:25 GMT September 24, 2009
split market
Reply   
This market has a split focus. Weaker gbp (main fx focus), mixed stocks, risk aversion or risk appetite?, G20 (who cares?), weaker crude. See how market reacts to US housing data.

GVI Forex john 13:24 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Check Countdown clock above for data due at 14:00 GMT.

Existing Homes Sales
The most closely followed housing statistic by the markets is Existing Homes sales compiled by the NAR (National Association of Realtors). Existing-Home Sales data come out On or about the 25th of each month. The report contains statistics on sales and prices of existing single-family homes for the nation and the four regions. These figures include condos and co-ops, in addition to single-family homes.

A chart of the data is posted following the data release.

GVI Forex Jay 13:04 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD CONTEST SUMMARY RESULTS
Reply   
Click on this link to see a summary of eur/usd end-of-quarter contest entries. Interesting results as it shows a slight bearish bias from current spot levels.

Click for contest summary details

Amman wfakhoury 12:59 GMT September 24, 2009
Stop loss of buyers
Reply   
will accelerate the move to down ...

Richland QC Mailman 12:57 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150

do not need one I guess. I was not on board the plane crashing...

Amman wfakhoury 12:54 GMT September 24, 2009
As I see now
Reply   
The majority of traders now are hesitated to go down , any push to down..most of them will follow.

Amman wfakhoury 12:48 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150
Reply   
London C 12:44 GMT September 24, 2009
-------
Market moves by majority , we have to predict where is the
majority direction.

GVI Forex john 12:47 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Note on the long term chart (click on image) that there is a long way to go to return to "normal" levels of jobless claims.

London C 12:44 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150

That is what makes a market - different views, different time frames

GVI Forex john 12:43 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data better than expected...




Click on chart for five-year history





Amman wfakhoury 12:42 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150
Reply   

Richland QC Mailman 12:34 GMT September 24, 2009

Just click your parachute , we are falling with gbp.usd

Richland QC Mailman 12:34 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150

I guess that could be true wfak if 1.6230 holds... 1.6160/70 are good longing points though a minor battle front, but can generate some +30 to 50 pips.

Amman wfakhoury 12:31 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd is heading 16150
Reply   
for more details click here
Trading Rooms

Juffair KaL 11:59 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels

seems that way...
maybe 2011 will be a year in history...
Technically shows this to me (Anyways)
IMO it will the worst year for the last 12 years
a whole new cycle after that IMO

Ath. L.K. 11:56 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels

KaL this will come from stock market?
U see DJI on 5800.Is a very big move.
U mean another recession?
Good Luck To You

London Gooner 11:52 GMT September 24, 2009
Revisited Levels

Thanks Zeus for reply on strategy. I see the point about DOW relative to the rest.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

USDCHF not rising yet because 1.0180 is an anomaly.

GVI Forex john 11:49 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Check Countdown clock above for data due at 12:30 GMT.
Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.. Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. Theses data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.

Juffair KaL 11:46 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels

u Guys agree?
Traders?

Juffair KaL 11:31 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels

athns
I do not trade them cause too too general
margin accounts...can not do
i just them to be careful

Like Now audchf dive should not be much of a problem
Cable does not seem to like 1.66 in general
could correct back to it next 2-3 weeks from 1.61
but still have to careful
gl

Amsterdam Purk 11:31 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Thee can buy VERKADE now from the land of Clogs.

Ath. L.K. 11:26 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels

KAL do u trade on these positions?
Are u using stops?
Thanks for your comment,anyway

Juffair KaL 11:20 GMT September 24, 2009
I dont like these levels
Reply   
for long term

eurusd
gbpusd
gbpchf
audchf

all wanna south into end of year
Using monthly chart
eurusd tgt 1.22
cable 1.44

GVI Forex john 11:17 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivot Points

23-Sep-09

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4932

92.77

1.0381

1.6578

1.0886

Res 2

1.4888

92.15

1.0328

1.6523

1.0824

Res 1

1.4816

91.74

1.0294

1.6441

1.0787

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4772

91.12

1.0241

1.6386

1.0725

Sup 1

1.4700

90.71

1.0207

1.6304

1.0688

Sup 2

1.4656

90.09

1.0154

1.6249

1.0626

Sup 3

1.4584

89.68

1.0120

1.6167

1.0589

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.9133

136.21

1.5168

0.8862

152.47

Res 2

0.9097

135.71

1.5157

0.8824

151.42

Res 1

0.9054

135.17

1.5142

0.8765

150.41

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.9018

134.67

1.5131

0.8727

149.36

Sup 1

0.8975

134.13

1.5116

0.8668

148.35

Sup 2

0.8939

133.63

1.5105

0.8630

147.30

Sup 3

0.8896

133.09

1.5090

0.8571

146.29

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full FX Chart Points Table

Gen dk 11:11 GMT September 24, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Juffair KaL 11:07 GMT September 24, 2009
dji will crash from 10,300 area
Reply   
could see 5,800

i think around january next year

USA ZEUS 10:49 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Bought EUR/USD 1.4732
Let's see....


________________________________________________

Closed @ 1.4772 for +40

Melbourne Qindex 10:34 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Buy EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP: The market momentum is strong when it is above daily cycle reference at 0.8080 - 0.8085. It is now going to consolidate within 0.9134 - 0.9151 - 0.9160 for the time being. The daily cycle supporting range is expected at 0.9101 - 0.9114.

madrid 10:32 GMT September 24, 2009
nothing new on the horizon
Reply   
.../...
The reasons can be found in human nature -- behavioral economists have shown that people tend to be naturally risk averse and prone to panic and a herd mentality in the face of uncertainty and danger. For bold investors, asset price weakness in the wake of militant attacks is a clear buying opportunity.
.../...

http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE58N1EB20090924

8-)

Juffair KaL 10:31 GMT September 24, 2009
USDCAD

cable for next 2-3 weeks
got bullish out look
easily could reach 1.66 again
Buying at 1.61 area

Juffair KaL 10:18 GMT September 24, 2009
USDCAD

doing fresh aud/chf shorts from here to .8954
tagt .8860

Syd 10:08 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/JPY Could Be In For Big Fall - UBS
Reply   
For the first time in a while, USD/JPY has fallen in tandem with stocks, notes UBS. The bank says the breakdown in this normal correlation is mainly due to US short-yields being below those in Japan, which has confused the markets. If stocks continue their soft footing, which the technicals suggest they may, then not only USD/JPY but EUR/JPY could be in for a big fall, says the bank. USD/JPY now at a one-week low of 90.35, EUR/JPY at a one-week low of 133.35 and the main European bourses are between 0.5% and 1% down on the session.

GVI Forex Jay 10:06 GMT September 24, 2009
Importance of Crosses on Spot Trading - GBP
Reply   
CLick on the link below to see the impact of GBP crosses on the market today. Another example of the importance of crosses on spot trading.

Weaker GBP crosses slam GBP/USD

Juffair KaL 10:04 GMT September 24, 2009
trend following

going for 1.4920 tgt
maybe not today

GVI Forex john 10:02 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support

Earlier. Closely followed German IFO survey. Data better, but not as strong as expected...
German Ifo...

Juffair KaL 10:02 GMT September 24, 2009
USDCAD
Reply   
shorts added..I think will drop fast
out of eurgbp longs

usdchf shorts added
eurjpy longs added

euraud longs added

GVI Forex john 09:53 GMT September 24, 2009
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   
Post-Asia Closes-- Market Snapshot and Chart Gallery updated.

Survey of major markets.

Expanded Market Snapshot

Gen dk 09:43 GMT September 24, 2009 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GENEVA JFO 09:39 GMT September 24, 2009
trend following
Reply   
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4770 Target: 1.4810 Stop: 1.4720

will reach target with NY

Belgrade AS 09:24 GMT September 24, 2009
german ifo

Sell eurusd
Entry: 1,4755 Target: 1,4715 Stop: 1,4770
-------------------------
popped out for 30 pip cumulative loss!no scalps for me today.

Richland QC Mailman 09:13 GMT September 24, 2009
Choosing Our Battles to Win

Hi van gecko. Your inputs on the subject well taken. Let us see. The key is to give it a try... We can simulate by October 1st week. Joining the winning army on major battle fronts is on a volunatry basis.

Richland QC Mailman 09:06 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

Posting comments can be done either in 2 ways: Insight on how a trader interprets future market action and accordingly set assumptions, or make an actual execution or position in the market. Another way is to post on "historical" perspective, e.g. showing how trading levels or battle points when hit can cause price reversal like what happened to cable.

van Gecko 09:06 GMT September 24, 2009
Choosing Our Battles to Win

//Richland QC Mailman 14:10 GMT//
You can't change human nature.. :) money alway change hand from the majority to the minority..it's the rule of the game, or else there will not be any market for us to play.. It's the size of the deal that count.. the common methodology & instinct of the majority had always been contrarian based.. an exercise in futility..
cheerio..

Melbourne Qindex 09:04 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : We have to shift our attention to the market movement of EUR/GBP.

London Misha 08:59 GMT September 24, 2009
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Shooting Star on the Daily Chart!
USDJPY - Possible Key Reversal/Confirmation Day today!
GBPUSD - Possible Gravestone Doji on the Daily Chart!
USDCHF - Bullish Hammer on the Daily Chart!
EURJPY - Two Black Crows with a possible third today on the Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Possible bullish Piercing Line or even a Tweezer Bottom on the Daily Chart!
AUDUSD - Possible short term Double Top on the Daily Chart!
NZDUSD - Possible Gravestone Doji on the Daily Chart!

Belgrade AS 08:54 GMT September 24, 2009
german ifo

Sell eurusd
Entry: 1,4755 Target: 1,4715 Stop: 1,4770

Sell eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:
German IFO missed the target.i thing this is a quick profit/scalping sell
----------------
i'll try to scalp it from here.2 units-tight stops(-15),1/2 out on +15(1,4740)

Melbourne Qindex 08:42 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The daily cycle projected series indicates that it has potential to tackle the lower range at 1.6112 - 1.6150.

Richland QC Mailman 08:33 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

Perfect short from 1.6380 central pivot. A classic example of a major battle being won now by the bear army.

Melbourne Qindex 08:32 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : Daily Cycle Analysis


The bias is on the downside when the market is below the daily cycle congested area at 1.6242 - 1.6369. The next major downside targeting point is 1.6115.

Edinburgh Bam 08:32 GMT September 24, 2009
King Comments
Reply   
This is merely a rehash from the BofE Quarterly Bulletin so if this is the reason behind sterling's clump this morning, seems something of any over reaction

Melbourne Qindex 08:24 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

HK JC 07:46 GMT - I travel back and forth between Hong Kong and Melbourne., usually 3 times a year.

Syd 08:19 GMT September 24, 2009
Germany declares economic war
Reply   
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100001043/germany-declares-economic-war/

Belgrade AS 08:15 GMT September 24, 2009
german ifo
Reply   
Sell eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

German IFO missed the target.i thing this is a quick profit/scalping sell

Viet Nam Forex Begin 08:08 GMT September 24, 2009
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Buy EUR/USD
Entry: 1.4746 Target: 1.4776 Stop: 1.4716

Thursday, 24 September 2009 08:08 GMT

Syd 08:08 GMT September 24, 2009
nvestors 'panic buy' other currencies as sterling slides
Reply   
People who need to buy foreign currency because they are purchasing overseas property or emigrating are bringing forward their purchases of euros and dollars because they fear sterling has further to fall, a currency trader has warned.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/622216
8/Investors-panic-buy-other-currencies-as-sterling-slides.html

Belgrade AS 08:06 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

24 Sep 9:39:36 STERLING: BOE King comments that the weakness in the currency have helped rebalance economy have doomed GBP bulls over the past minutes.
----------------------------------------
hysteric reaction to this news is what moved gbp!this move is not logical,in my view.
1) it was well expected,therefore calculated into the price
2) rebalanced economy is gbp positive in the long run

Amman wfakhoury 08:04 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD is heading 14800
Reply   
etails click here

Trading Rooms

London M 08:02 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

sterling fell against the dollar and the euro on Thursday, hitting the day's lows after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said a weak domestic currency was helping to rebalance the nation's economy.

King told a regional UK newspaper that sterling's fall "will be helpful" to rebalance the UK economy to one focussed more on exports.

Syd 07:58 GMT September 24, 2009
Plenty To Talk About In USD/JPY
Reply   
USD/JPY slumps to a one-week low of 90.41 with Japanese accounts said to be repatriating funds ahead of quarter end to take advantage of the suspension of 40% tax on foreign profits that has been in place sine April 1. There is some talk that the Japanese post office Kampo is on the bid around 90.50 and that there is also a large option protection bid at 90.00. Lastly, a London-based trader says a large US bank has just issued a USD/JPY buy trade recommendation with a tight stop at 90.05 and a topside target of 95.50.

HK JC 07:46 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

thx for explain. may i ask you a question, previous found that your name is Hong Kong Qindex, but now changed to Melbourne Qindex, how come?

Melbourne Qindex 07:41 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

HK JC 07:36 GMT - GBP/USD is under pressure from GBP/JPY. Stops will be triggered when GBP/JPY is below 147.79. Market makers are in action.

LJ BK 07:39 GMT September 24, 2009
IFO

PAR, where've you been? I missed your comments :)

PAR 07:37 GMT September 24, 2009
Free Market Economy
Reply   
World economy has become a " Central Plan Economy " with central bankers ( Trichet, Bernanke & Co) , finance ministers (Geithner, Steinbruck & Co) and Russian and American oligarchs and lobbyists doing the planning for their own interests.

HK JC 07:36 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd

nice call, but how come GBP suddenly fall that fast? any special news? or just S/L hit?

Melbourne Qindex 07:35 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The odds are in favor of maintaining a short position when the market is trading below the weekly cycle critical level at 147.79 - 148.08.

Amman wfakhoury 07:32 GMT September 24, 2009
gbp.usd
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:27 GMT September 24, 2009
GBP/USD is heading twd 16307
-------
Done

Melbourne Qindex 07:26 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The initial downside targeting points are 146.70 - 146.83.

Juffair KaL 07:26 GMT September 24, 2009
Today

eurjpy longs from here till 133
tgt 135.2

PAR 07:20 GMT September 24, 2009
IFO
Reply   
Looks like German IFO could be above 100 . Booming German cash for cars and cash for banks economy.

ABHA FXS 07:17 GMT September 24, 2009
GBPJPY
Reply   
GBPJPY now 148.80

Pound will go down to 148.41

A rising yen to the pound will go for us to 150.50 - 151.34

And then re-landing through 149.12 b

Heading to 147.16

Juffair KaL 07:14 GMT September 24, 2009
Today
Reply   
Longed euraud
still short usdcad

Longed eurusd

short usdchf

not happy to long audusd

still short from the day before gbpjpy

Melbourne Qindex 07:07 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : It is going to be a leading indicator for GBP/USD today.

ABHA FXS 07:06 GMT September 24, 2009
GBPUSD
Reply   
GBP USD now 1.6370

Pound will go down until 1.6319

Any rise of the pound will go for us to 1.6456 - 1.6470

And then re-drop passing by 1.6344

Heading to 1.6196

sofia kaprikorn 06:57 GMT September 24, 2009
Observations
Reply   
EUR/USD - Tweezer top
AUD/USD - Tweezer top
GBP/USD - Doji
USD/CHF - Nearly Tweezer bottom (wanted to call it Bullish Harami but the low is not inside the body of the previous day)
USD/JPY - clear Harami + it's a opening Marubozu
USD/CAD - Matching Low --- yesterday's candle could be called Harami - but it's just another day in the same range
EUR/GBP - looks like Two Crows + confirmation (don't quite fit into the 3 Black Crows pattern)
............
Misha,
please excuse me for frontrunning your observations - it was interesting to me to see how would you see these patterns.

Melbourne Qindex 06:56 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The daily cycle congested area suggests that the market has a tendency to trade within 1.6242 - 1.6369.

Melbourne Qindex 06:32 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : Weekly Cycle Analysis


The bias is on the downside when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 1.6395. The market is basically vibrating around 1.6395 with an expected magnitude of 1.6320 - 1.6469. The short term downside targeting range is 1.6215 - 1.6246.

Amman wfakhoury 06:27 GMT September 24, 2009
GBP/USD is heading twd 16307
Reply   
for more details click here

Trading Rooms

Viet Nam Forex Begin 06:06 GMT September 24, 2009
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Buy EUR/USD
Entry: 1.4734 Target: 1.4764 Stop: 1.4704

Thursday, 24 September 2009 06:07 GMT

Melbourne Qindex 05:43 GMT September 24, 2009
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The current expected trading range is 1.6113 - 1.6468 and the mid-point reference of 1.6113 - 1.6468 is 1.6291.


Trading Reference :


... 1.6113 - 1.6228 - 1.6242 - 1.6303 - 1.6314 - 1.6431 - 1.6468 // ....

Syd 05:42 GMT September 24, 2009
USD/JPY, EUR/JPY Drop; Exporters, Investors
Reply   
USD/JPY, EUR/JPY fall as speculators join bandwagon of USD-, EUR-selling led by Japanese exporters who need to close their books toward quarter-end, says senior sales dealer at major bank in Tokyo. USD/JPY may fall to 90.50 vs last 90.84, EUR/JPY may fall to 133.00 vs last 133.67. Adds if 90.50 broken for USD/JPY, orders lined-up suggest pair may quickly fall below 90

Syd 04:27 GMT September 24, 2009
NZD Heading For A Fall - TD Securities
Reply   
NZD/USD could slide down elevator after making climb up stairs, says TD Securities economist Annette Beacher. Says NZD supported by economic fundamentals, yield appetite, "risk-on" hot money but that as 2010 unfolds, bond supply will exceed demand and profit-taking will emerge as foreign demand for bonds underpinning NZD rise. "Our year-end 2010 forecast of US$0.60 reflects these concerns." Pair last 0.7209. Says upbeat data flow raising expectations RBNZ will no longer need extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy; recent explosion of appetite for NZ bonds fueled by improved liquidity from outsized issuance program; global cash sloshing around seeking non-USD assets. Beacher says 2010 will be different story as RBNZ moves toward neutral, curtailing nascent consumption, housing recovery; bond issuance may outstrip demand with government to issue NZ$11.4 billion in 2010-11 vs NZ$8.9 billion in 2009-10; NZ$14.5 billion in 2011-12.

NZD/USD vulnerable to USD short-covering ahead of G-20 meeting in Pittsburgh later this week, says RBC Capital Markets strategist Sue Trinh. Adds many short dollar positions stretched, while S&P overnight underwent "a key day reversal." "If that gets follow though tonight, risk proxies (such as NZD) will bear the brunt of equity market weakness." Trinh says rumors of RBNZ intervention likely mistaken for routine central bank transactions. Adds NZD/USD risks selling down to 0.7060. Pair last at 0.7208.

HCM Big1 03:56 GMT September 24, 2009
Predict gbp/usd
Reply   
If GBP/USD goes down and break 16323. It will down so far.

HK [email protected] 03:02 GMT September 24, 2009
Iran lost it'electromagnetic eyes(for the back of your brain only)

Yes I saw that Baboon yesterday in the UN meeting, and he looked very unhappy.

tokyo ginko 02:53 GMT September 24, 2009
Iran lost it'electromagnetic eyes(for the back of your brain only)

also don't forget President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is long eur/usd around 1.4750-1.48, after he reported "issued an order to shift the oil-rich Persian Gulf nation's foreign currency reserves from dollars to euro, the semiofficial Mehr news agency reported Sunday, 20Sep2009.

I still hope he bought some EUR/USD OTM put option at strike 1.2-1.22.

HK [email protected] 02:36 GMT September 24, 2009
ADD
Reply   
ALL the rest including GOLD to the toilet!!!

I mean except the USD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

HK [email protected] 02:32 GMT September 24, 2009
Iran lost it'electromagnetic eyes(for the back of your brain only)
Reply   
.

It was said that the systems installed on that AWACS were Russian made.
So what are the chances for a top pilot flying an AWACS to collide in midair.

Or maybe the systems which possibly were made in Israel under Russian name, took over the navigation function by remote control? And...... SWING AND BANG !!!!!!!!!!

We had also the story with the Arctic Sea ship sometime ago.

So if we don't believe the president of Israel, that they will not attack Iran(So said the Russian Pres. that he was told so) because he is a politician-wolf.
Just bring into account what will happen in the markets when Israel will attack.

ALL the rest including GOLD to the toilet!!!

As I placed in posts ago that only Netan-Yahoo can save the USD from collapse.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Iranian_Air_Force_mid-air_collision

The 2009 Iranian Air Force mid-air collision on 22 September 2009 involved an Ilyushin IL-76MD and a Northrop F-5E Tiger II. The accident resulted in the destruction of Iran's only operable AWACS equipped Il-76MD.

Accident

A military parade was held in Tehran on 22 September 2009 to mark the anniversary of the start of the Iran–Iraq War,[1] and as a send-off for President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad who was to give a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York on 23 September. A fly-past by the Iranian Air Force was part of the parade. An Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) equipped Ilyushin-76MD was to be escorted by a number of HESA Saeqeh aircraft. The Il-76MD and one of the escort collided in mid-air. Both aircraft crashed with seven fatalities reported.[2] No mayday call was made by the crew of the Il-76.[1] The accident was initially reported on the Islamic Republic News Agency website, but later taken down. President Ahmadinejad made no mention of it during his speech at the parade.[3]

Berlin 02:00 GMT September 24, 2009
German Elections
Reply   
Disputed Law Looms in Tight German Vote

USA ZEUS 01:57 GMT September 24, 2009
EUR/USD

Lodon Gooner 23:15 GMT September 23, 2009

Zeus,
You shorted Dow 3 times at lower levels. Which may still hold. And then killed the Dollar. There is a contradiction or hedge if DOW shorts are still open.

One of the two needs closing at some stage as you know as it is a edge.

When do you intend to unwind?
_____________________________________________________

Gooner,

Yes I am short equities. I went long with a full allocation calling for a major reversal here in real time right at 667 on the S&P 500 before reversing to short. Thus, being off a few hundred Dow points hardly causes any lost sleep. I was heavily buying physical copper then silver months ago at the bottom as posted here. That I intend to hold beyond the coming hyperinflation as GBP and the USD crumble. Will the Dow go higher? Well I do believe as Jim Rogers stated- the Dow may hit 1,000,000 and may still not be at an all time inflation adjusted high. In the meantime I do not see where the Dow or SP 500 will have earnings high enough to sustain their current lofty levels. Downsizing, cost cutting, Obama support via cash for clunk etc will not be enough to get the engines fired up. Even the newly capitalized banks with money out of thin air can't convince the still over-leveraged consumer to spend at a GDP 70% pace. No spending = no economy. Sorry

GVI Forex Jay 01:53 GMT September 24, 2009
EURCHF

We show the 200 day mva at 1.5104.

SNB has made it pretty clear that it wants the range at 1.50-1.53 and will defend 1.50. I usually do not trust central banks but SNB has made its stance clear.

San Diego LC 01:47 GMT September 24, 2009
EURCHF
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

I'm thinking of buying EURCHF around here (1.5115-20 ish). The 200 DMA is just below at around 1.5093 and has been good support since the late June SNB intervention. Buying dips to the 200 DMA has worked well for the last 3 months, and with USDCHF having bounced twice now off of the 101.85 or so, EURCHF looks like a decent R/R trade to me at these levels. Anything changed that might make a break below the 200DMA more likely than over the last 3 months? TIA.

tokyo ginko 00:10 GMT September 24, 2009
Medium Term Position
Reply   
Buy USD/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Long 91.22
GT all

 




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